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["2017-10-09", 0.0], ["2017-10-12", 0.0], ["2017-10-15", 0.0], ["2017-10-17", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-21", 0.0], ["2017-10-24", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ["2017-10-29", 0.0], ["2017-10-30", 0.0], ["2017-11-01", 0.0], ["2017-11-03", 0.0], ["2017-11-05", 0.0], ["2017-11-09", 0.0], ["2017-11-10", 0.0], ["2017-11-12", 0.0], ["2017-11-13", 0.0], ["2017-11-16", 0.0], ["2017-11-18", 0.0], ["2017-11-20", 0.0], ["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-23", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-27", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-03", 0.0], ["2017-12-05", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-09", 0.0], ["2017-12-11", 0.0], ["2017-12-13", 0.0], ["2017-12-15", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/117 | In November 2015, foreign governments participating in UN-backed talks agreed that Syria should hold new elections in the next two years (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-france-shooting-syria-idUSKCN0T30Q520151114#8cKdE8OtClo8OiDS.97" target = "_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/19/world/middleeast/syria-talks-isis.html" target = "_blank">NY Times</a>). UN-backed elections could include the supervisory role stipulated in the Vienna communique (see Article 4 of the <a href = "http://www.securitycouncilreport.org/atf/cf/%7B65BFCF9B-6D27-4E9C-8CD3-CF6E4FF96FF9%7D/s_res_2254.pdf" target = "_blank">Security Council Resolution</a>), other forms of active involvement in the elections (<a href = "http://www.un.org/en/peacekeeping/issues/electoralassistance.shtml" target = "_blank">electoral assistance</a>) or statements of support (e.g., <a href = "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=52419#.Vp5oAzYZ5ps" target = "_blank">Tanzania</a>, <a href = "http://allafrica.com/stories/201601080332.html" target = "_blank">Central African Republic</a>, <a href = "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=52543#.Vp5pXzYZ5ps" target = "_blank">Myanmar</a>).
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/96-before-april-2016-will-the-french-army-or-foreign-legion-deploy-combat-troops-to-fight-the-islamic-state-on-the-ground-in-syria-or-iraq" target = "_blank">Before April 2016, will the French Army or Foreign Legion deploy combat troops to fight the Islamic State on the ground in Syria or Iraq?</a>
Syria did not hold UN-backed elections. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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<hr>
| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will Syria hold UN-backed elections before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-07-20 | 2016-01-21 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jun/25/donald-trump-virginia-republican-delegate-sues-to-avoid-voting-convention", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/06/19/the-brutal-numbers-behind-a-very-bad-month-for-donald-trump/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_fix-trumpnumbers-923am%3Ahomepage%2Fstory", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/anti-donald-trump-forces-see-convention-coup-as-within-reach-1467839099", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/06/19/paul-ryan-its-not-my-job-to-tell-delegates-what-to-do/?hpid=hp_hp-top-table-main_pp-ryandelegates-1013am%3Ahomepage%2Fstory", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/06/donald-trump-delegate-revolt-224634", "http://www.politicususa.com/2016/07/06/gop-close-dumping-trump-coup-plotters-votes-nomination-chaos.html", "http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/meet-woman-who-could-take-down-donald-trump-n608956", "http://www.nationalreview.com/corner/437909/never-trump-dies-whimper", "http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/judge-va-trump-delegate-unbound-voting-him-rnc-n607461", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/volokh-conspiracy/wp/2016/07/11/federal-court-rules-virginia-cant-force-its-gop-convention-delegates-to-vote-for-trump/", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/republican-rules-delegates-trump/", "https://www.electionbettingodds.com/conv.html", "http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0078841/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/07/13/your-definitive-guide-to-the-rnc-rules-committee-meeting/", "http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/05/republican-nomination", "http://gawker.com/how-is-donald-trump-going-to-quit-1782312998", "http://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2016/07/is-it-legitimate-to-deny-donald-trump-the-nomination/490115/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/10/gitrep-9may16pm/", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/jul/15/republicans-quash-last-ditch-attempt-to-stop-donald-trump-becoming-nominee", 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["2016-07-14", 0.98], ["2016-07-15", 0.98], ["2016-07-15", 0.99], ["2016-07-15", 0.99], ["2016-07-16", 0.99], ["2016-07-17", 0.99], ["2016-07-18", 0.99], ["2016-07-18", 0.99]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/123 | This question was closed with the answer "Yes" on 20 July 2016 with an end date of 19 July 2016. On 19 July 2016, Donald Trump became the official nominee of the Republican party on the first vote (<a href="http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/07/19/delegates-ready-nominate-trump-roll-call-vote/87305640/" target="_blank">USA Today</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/19/politics/donald-trump-republican-nomination-2016-election/" target="_blank">CNN</a>).
<br/>
As the Republicans enter primary season, the nomination race remains tight and a brokered convention could be possible (<a href="http://time.com/4059030/republican-primary-calendar-2016-nomination-convention/" target="_blank">Time</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/12/12/what-happens-if-republicans-face-a-brokered-convention-explained/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>). A candidate must receive the votes of 1,236 delegates (50%+1) in order to win the Republican party's nomination (<a href="https://gop.com/2016-gophq/event_schedule/?schedule_type=primary" target="_blank">GOP</a>).
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2017-03-30 | 2016-02-02 | ["https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1z3n9FWa0OYqt8knFlJNTzC32AZworiZAhvqgWauSlhg/edit?usp=sharing", "http://www.france24.com/en/20160920-risk-genocide-crimes-against-humanity-burundi-un-investigators-warn", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/334650", "http://www.ohchr.org/EN/HRBodies/HRC/UNIIB/Pages/UNIIB.aspx", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/burundi-presidential-aide-wounded-assassination-bid-43838309", "http://www.voanews.com/a/burundi-risks-genocide-rights-groups-warn/3596921.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/335363", "http://www.africa-newsroom.com/press/statement-by-adama-dieng-united-nations-special-adviser-on-the-prevention-of-genocide-on-the-situation-in-burundi?lang=en", "http://www.nation.co.ke/news/Burundian-envoy-to-US-says-African-countries-will-leave-ICC/1056-3416510-125lugl/", "http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/burundi-bans-three-un-human-rights-investigators/3195622.html", "http://en.rfi.fr/africa/20160812-burundi-provides-no-answers-un-committee-against-torture", "http://www.ohchr.org/en/NewsEvents/Pages/DisplayNews.aspx?NewsID=20534&LangID=E", "http://reliefweb.int/report/burundi/report-united-nations-independent-investigation-burundi-uniib-established-pursuant", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/310702", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/11/burundi-risks-genocide-forgotten-conflict-161115142336120.html", "http://www.nation.co.ke/news/africa/Burundi-crisis--A-descent-into-hell/1066-3453812-wvahvsz/", "http://www.africanews.com/2016/10/26/burundi-security-situation-has-improved-eu-au-jointly-laud-efforts/", "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data-2016/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/348442", "http://www.businessinsider.com/burundis-government-might-scrap-presidential-term-limits-2016-8", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/burundi-lawmakers-vote-to-withdraw-from-international-criminal-court-1476278413", 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["2016-12-24", 0.05], ["2016-12-26", 0.05], ["2016-12-27", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.04], ["2016-12-29", 0.04], ["2016-12-30", 0.03], ["2016-12-30", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/128 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
Violence erupted in Burundi in May 2015 following an attempted coup after President Pierre Nkurunziza announced he was running for a third term. It has continued since then (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35157517" target = "_blank">BBC</a>). The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify Burundi as one of the top 60 countries with the greatest risk of an onset of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Burundi before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Burundi before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-02-02 | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/01/world/asia/myanmars-leader-faulted-for-silence-as-army-campaigns-against-rohingya.html?emc=edit_ee_20161202&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-38091816", "http://www.nytimes.com/topic/destination/myanmar", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281886", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/11/10/the-public-loves-myanmars-new-war-on-muslims/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/356206", "http://www.worldbulletin.net/todays-news/178794/rohingya-groups-say-rakhine-deaths-now-excuse-for-purge", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/11/rohingya-muslims-flee-myanmar-crackdown-bangladesh-161117062551006.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-38049106", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/02/myanmar-armed-mob-torches-mosque-amid-spike-in-religious-tensions", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/12/many-dead-as-hundreds-of-men-wielding-pistols-and-swords-assail/", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-japan-idUSKBN12W3JO?il=0", "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/azeem-ibrahim/the-rohingya-are-at-the-b_b_12445526.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/11/myanmar-arms-muslim-civilians-rakhine-state-161103071811045.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/10/calls-probe-attacks-rohingya-myanmar-161025063757177.html", "http://aa.com.tr/en/asia-pacific/myanmar-troops-jailed-for-civilian-deaths-in-rare-move/646922", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37970926", "http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/asia/1140120/two-dead-in-fighting-in-myanmar-town-on-china-border", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/244986", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-myanmar-politics-idUSKCN10Z0ED?il=0", "http://www.acleddata.com/asia-data/", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-37968090?ocid=socialflow_twitter", "https://www.ecoi.net/file_upload/4765_1467293044_2016q1myanmar-en.pdf", 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["2016-12-13", 0.02], ["2016-12-14", 0.02], ["2016-12-15", 0.02], ["2016-12-15", 0.02], ["2016-12-17", 0.02], ["2016-12-18", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-21", 0.02], ["2016-12-21", 0.02], ["2016-12-22", 0.02], ["2016-12-23", 0.02], ["2016-12-23", 0.015], ["2016-12-25", 0.015], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/130 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
We consider Myanmar to already be experiencing a mass killing episode perpetrated by the state and targeting separatist groups and the Karen (<a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2015/11/07/update-myanmar-elections" target = "_blank">EWP Myanmar</a>). We are specifically asking about new episodes of mass killing with different targets (e.g., the Rohingya) or perpetrators (<a href = "http://blogs.reuters.com/great-debate/2015/06/17/why-is-no-one-helping-myanmars-rohingya/" target = "_blank">Reuters</a>). The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify Myanmar as the country with the greatest risk of an onset of new state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
Recommended Question
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/95-will-a-member-of-the-national-league-for-democracy-nld-take-office-as-president-of-myanmar-before-april-2016" target="_blank">Will a member of the National League for Democracy (NLD) take office as president of Myanmar before April 2016?</a>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Myanmar in 2016(<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-05-02 | 2016-02-02 | ["http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/mar/24/farc-peace-talks-in-cuba-miss-deadline-for-final-deal", "http://www.dnaindia.com/world/report-thousands-protest-across-colombia-against-government-2197560", "http://colombiareports.com/one-farcs-feared-commanders-joins-peace-talks-havana/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Colombia-FARC-Peace-Talks-Just-Days-Away-from-Cease-fire-Deal-20160410-0028.html", "http://www.breitbart.com/national-security/2016/04/20/colombia-rescinds-ban-pesticide-used-destroy-coca-crops/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/22/gitrep-21apr16pm/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/03/30/colombias-rebels-survived-war-now-they-worry-about-surviving-the-peace/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/01/gitrep-31mar16pm/", "http://colombiareports.com/farc-rebels-seek-popes-intervention-colombias-peace-talks/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/13/gitrep-13apr16am/", "http://globalriskinsights.com/2016/04/missed-deadline-farc-deal-colombian-government/", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/scientists-believed-covid-leaked-wuhan-211452135.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/21/gitrep-20apr16pm/", "http://ww4report.com/node/14767", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/203814", "http://www.laprensasa.com/309_america-in-english/3738541_colombian-rebel-leader-certain-of-success-in-peace-talks-with-gov-t.html", "http://www.pbs.org/newshour/rundown/colombias-eln-rebels-enter-peace-talks-raise-hopes-for-more-changes/", "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-04/10/c_135263976.htm", "http://www.humanosphere.org/world-politics/2016/04/colombia-farc-struggle-reach-agreement-peace-deal/", "http://www.telesurtv.net/english/news/Santos-Blames-FARC-for-No-Deal-Sidesteps-Paramilitary-Violence-20160329-0058.html", 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["2016-04-30", 0.0], ["2016-04-30", 0.0], ["2016-04-30", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/127 | In late September 2015, the Colombian government and FARC publicly pledged to conclude a peace deal within six months (<a href = "http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21666233-ultimatum-unblocks-groundbreaking-agreement-justice-big-leap-towards-peace-colombia" target = "_blank"><i>The Economist</i></a>, <a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-19875363" target = "_blank">BBC</a>).
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2017-03-30 | 2016-02-02 | ["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2016/06/06/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2015", "http://qz.com/757824/how-the-ethiopia-protests-were-stifled-by-a-coordinated-internet-shutdown/", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/10/08/ethiopia-independent-inquiry-needed-irreecha", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37534387", "http://www.dtic.mil/doctrine/new_pubs/jointpub_operations.htm", "http://www.newsweek.com/can-ethiopias-new-cabinet-address-oromo-protests-518375", "http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/96e9600c-88b1-11e6-8cb7-e7ada1d123b1.html", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/10/08/qa-recent-events-and-deaths-irreecha-festival-ethiopia", "https://morrellk.wordpress.com/2016/10/06/ethiopia-acled-data/", "https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/oct/12/ethiopia-state-of-emergency-protests-corruption", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/341587", "http://www.acleddata.com/", "https://www.ft.com/content/753f033c-8f9e-11e6-8df8-d3778b55a923", "https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Q3H4a9zjsu1EsE8exb-6innpIhBZZU2oMjHgY6aRMig/edit?usp=sharing", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/09/19/coalition-ngo-diaspora-groups-support-ethiopia-human-rights-resolution", "https://www.nazret.com/2016/12/04/discontent-grows-louder-in-ethiopia-as-regime-fights-for-survival/", "https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/08/ethiopia-dozens-killed-as-police-use-excessive-force-against-peaceful-protesters/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36940906", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37910542", "http://africanarguments.org/2016/10/07/ethiopia-how-popular-uprising-became-the-only-option/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/311161", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/375214", "http://www.africa-confidential.com/article/id/11754/The_centre_holds_on", "https://fas.org/blogs/secrecy/2013/06/dod-maro/", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/06/15/ethiopia-protest-crackdown-killed-hundreds"] | binary | [["2016-02-02", 0.25], 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0.05], ["2016-11-28", 0.05], ["2016-11-30", 0.05], ["2016-11-30", 0.05]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/129 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
Ethiopia is one of the most repressive regimes in the world. In December 2015, security forces killed over 140 people protesting city development plans (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35300471" target = "_blank">BBC</a>). The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify Ethiopia as one of the top 20 countries with the greatest risk of an onset of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 30 November 2016. The EWP assessed that Ethiopia experienced a new mass killing episode in 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-11-30 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 1 |
2016-03-15 | 2016-02-02 | ["http://www.amazon.com/Playing-Edge-American-Intelligence-Terror-ebook/dp/B00Y9HIMG4", "http://www.wired.com/2016/03/sadness-beauty-watching-googles-ai-play-go/", "http://www.theverge.com/2016/3/10/11192774/demis-hassabis-interview-alphago-google-deepmind-ai", "http://americanfolklore.net/folklore/2010/07/john_henry.html", "http://www.amazon.com/Dark-Territory-Secret-History-Cyber-ebook/dp/B010MHABUY/ref=sr_1_sc_1?s=digital-text&ie=UTF8&qid=1457643750&sr=1-1-spell&keywords=Dark+Terriorty", "http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2016/03/09/google_deepmind_s_alphago_ai_beats_champion_lee_sedol_in_go.html", "http://senseis.xmp.net/?YiSeTol", "http://nerdist.com/google-deepmind-beats-legend-lee-sedol-in-game-one-of-five-game-go-series/", "http://www.shanghaidaily.com/national/AlphaGo-cant-beat-me-says-Chinese-Go-grandmaster-Ke-Jie/shdaily.shtml", "https://apple.news/ASlCa23nNOOigmUcPG-DmMQ", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/10/world/asia/google-alphago-lee-se-dol.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=photo-spot-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0", "http://www.boardability.com/profile.php?id=demis_hassabis", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demis_Hassabis", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3485328/Now-s-2-0-AlphaGo-Google-s-DeepMind-computer-takes-second-victory-against-human-champion-Lee-Sedol.html", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3483569/It-s-1-0-AlphaGo-Google-s-DeepMind-computer-BEATS-human-champion-Lee-Sedol-battle.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/12/gitrep-11mar16pm/", "https://gogameguru.com/alphago-shows-true-strength-3rd-victory-lee-sedol/", "http://demishassabis.com/biography/", "http://www.zdnet.com/article/alphago-is-the-official-winner-in-landmark-man-vs-machine-go-match/", "https://news.developer.nvidia.com/google-ai-algorithm-masters-ancient-game-of-go/", 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["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.97], ["2016-03-11", 0.98], ["2016-03-12", 0.98]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/133 | Google's AlphaGo computer program beat a professional Go player for the first time and is set to take on world champion Lee Sedol in a 5-game match in March 2016 (<a href = "http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/computer-beats-go-champion-for-first-time/" target = "_blank">Scientific American</a>, <a href = "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-3419548/March-machines-Computer-BEATS-one-world-s-best-players-ancient-board-game-using-human-like-skills.html" target = "_blank">Daily Mail</a>).
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2016-03-04 | 2016-02-09 | ["http://tinyurl.com/GJODPRKsanctions", "http://www.npr.org/sections/parallels/2016/02/26/468297948/u-s-proposes-tough-new-sanctions-on-north-korea-with-chinas-support", "http://www.businessinsider.com/north-korea-facing-expanded-sanctions-over-recent-missile-launches-2016-2", "http://nyti.ms/1KNN37i", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-adopts-new-sanctions-against-north-korea-1456934616", "http://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=3015574&cloc=joongangdaily%7Chome%7Ctop", "http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-to-present-draft-un-sanctions-resolution-on-north-korea/ar-BBpWUg7?li=BBnb7Kz&ocid=UP97DHP", "http://tass.ru/en/politics/858942", "http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/us-to-present-draft-un-sanctions-resolution-on-north-korea/ar-BBpWUg7?li=BBnb7Kz", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/un-to-vote-wednesday-on-new-north-korea-sanctions/2016/03/02/f64d41d0-e046-11e5-8c00-8aa03741dced_story.html", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/02/29/russia-holds-up-vote-on-us-drafted-north-korea-sanctions-resolution-at-un.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-china-agree-to-sanction-north-korea-on-nuclear-program-1456383545", "http://www.businessinsider.com/r-un-security-council-to-vote-on-new-north-korea-sanctions-tuesday-us-2016-2", "http://www.voanews.com/content/vote-united-nations-sanctions-north-korea-expected-within-days/3208380.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-un-idUSKCN0W34QN", "http://world.kbs.co.kr/english/news/news_In_detail.htm?No=117219", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/its-official-us-south-korea-begin-talks-on-thaad/", "http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/un-approves-toughest-sanctions-on-north-korea-in-20-years/ar-BBqeozd", "http://english.hani.co.kr/arti/english_edition/e_northkorea/732568.html", "https://apple.news/AFV5LPoY1NRieCxjEtmCMkg", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/124681", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/147204", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-nuclear-un-idUSKCN0VX2T5", "https://www.nknews.org/2016/02/beijing-non-committal-on-reported-n-korean-coal-sanction/", "http://thephilippinestar.ph/articles/2016-03-02/news/un-security-council-to-vote-on-new-nokor-sanctions/142318"] | binary | [["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.775], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.85], ["2016-02-09", 0.84], ["2016-02-09", 0.73], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.75], ["2016-02-09", 0.8], ["2016-02-09", 0.875], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.925], ["2016-02-09", 0.95], ["2016-02-09", 0.975], ["2016-02-09", 1.0], ["2016-02-09", 1.0], ["2016-02-09", 0.975], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-09", 0.825], ["2016-02-09", 0.85], ["2016-02-09", 0.85], ["2016-02-09", 0.87], ["2016-02-09", 0.825], ["2016-02-09", 0.845], ["2016-02-09", 0.89], ["2016-02-09", 0.9], ["2016-02-10", 0.9], ["2016-02-10", 0.9], ["2016-02-10", 0.91], ["2016-02-10", 0.9], 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["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-01", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99], ["2016-03-02", 0.99]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/135 | The U.S. and China appear to disagree over how to respond to North Korea's recent nuclear test and rocket launch (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-35518058" target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/28/world/asia/us-china-north-korea.html" target = "_blank">NY Times 1</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/08/world/asia/china-struggles-for-balance-in-response-to-north-koreas-boldness.html" target = "_blank">NY Times 2</a>).
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/138-will-the-united-states-remove-iran-from-the-list-of-countries-identified-as-state-sponsors-of-terrorism-before-18-october-2016" target = "_blank">Will the United States remove Iran from the list of countries identified as state sponsors of terrorism before 18 October 2016?</a> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-03-02 | Will the UN Security Council pass a resolution expanding sanctions on North Korea before 1 June 2016? | gjopen | 1 |
2016-03-28 | 2016-02-09 | ["http://www.foreign.senate.gov/press/chair/release/corker-iran-testing-will-of-us-and-international-community-after-second-straight-day-of-ballistic-missile-launches", "http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/03/government-just-charged-iranian-hackers-major-cyberattacks-us", "http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/mar/24/us-treasury-new-sanctions-iran-ballistic-missile-test", "http://www.eveningtribune.com/article/20160316/NEWS/160319796", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-missiles-un-idUSKCN0WG1NG", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/22/us/politics/hillary-clinton-and-donald-trump-vow-to-protect-israel-but-differ-on-means.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/178467", "https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/jl0395.aspx", "http://thehill.com/policy/cybersecurity/272959-white-house-set-to-send-iran-cyber-message", "https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/OFAC-Enforcement/Pages/20160324.aspx", "http://www.thetower.org/3113oc-bipartisan-efforts-to-sanction-iran-for-ballistic-missile-tests-underway-in-congress/", "http://m.jpost.com/Opinion/Will-Senate-Democrats-take-violations-of-the-Iran-deal-seriously-448855#article=6017RjM0Q0VGOUMzOUU4OTBEQTNDNjM5M0E2REEwRDAyM0Y=", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/the-u-s-senate-takes-on-iran-1458605304", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/186450?is_child=true", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/03/senate-hardline-iran-sanctions-republicans-bills.html", "http://www.thetower.org/3127-wsj-editorial-senate-sanctions-bills-are-good-start-to-countering-iranian-missile-program/", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/03/16/washington-made-it-easy-for-iran-to-fire-its-ballistic-missiles/", "http://www.scmagazine.com/update-schumer-confirms-expected-indictment-of-iranian-hackers-for-ny-dam-breach/article/483351/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-australia-iran-trade-idUSKCN0WH066", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/03/17/456331/GOP-senators-sanctions-Iran", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/03/21/gitrep-20mar16pm/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-sanctions-iranian-defense-firms-revolutionary-guard-units-for-missile-tests-1458837204", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-missiles-usa-idUSKCN0WQ1NE"] | binary | [["2016-02-09", 0.15], ["2016-02-09", 0.3], ["2016-02-09", 0.05], ["2016-02-09", 0.05], ["2016-02-09", 0.045], ["2016-02-09", 0.12], ["2016-02-09", 0.19], ["2016-02-09", 0.175], ["2016-02-09", 0.275], ["2016-02-09", 0.2], ["2016-02-09", 0.2], ["2016-02-09", 0.2], ["2016-02-09", 0.2], ["2016-02-10", 0.125], ["2016-02-10", 0.095], ["2016-02-10", 0.1], ["2016-02-10", 0.085], ["2016-02-10", 0.075], ["2016-02-10", 0.09], ["2016-02-10", 0.085], 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["2016-03-10", 0.205], ["2016-03-10", 0.205], ["2016-03-11", 0.215], ["2016-03-11", 0.235], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.235], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.25], ["2016-03-11", 0.26], ["2016-03-11", 0.26], ["2016-03-12", 0.27], ["2016-03-12", 0.27], ["2016-03-12", 0.27], ["2016-03-12", 0.27], ["2016-03-12", 0.27], ["2016-03-12", 0.285], ["2016-03-13", 0.285], ["2016-03-13", 0.315], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-13", 0.3], ["2016-03-14", 0.3], ["2016-03-14", 0.3], ["2016-03-14", 0.26], ["2016-03-14", 0.26], ["2016-03-14", 0.285], ["2016-03-14", 0.27], ["2016-03-14", 0.26], ["2016-03-14", 0.26], ["2016-03-14", 0.26], ["2016-03-14", 0.27], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.3], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.3], ["2016-03-15", 0.3], ["2016-03-16", 0.3], ["2016-03-16", 0.29], ["2016-03-16", 0.3], ["2016-03-16", 0.3], ["2016-03-16", 0.3], ["2016-03-17", 0.28], ["2016-03-17", 0.26], ["2016-03-17", 0.26], ["2016-03-17", 0.26], ["2016-03-17", 0.26], ["2016-03-17", 0.25], ["2016-03-17", 0.25], ["2016-03-17", 0.25], ["2016-03-17", 0.25], ["2016-03-18", 0.26], ["2016-03-18", 0.275], ["2016-03-18", 0.275], ["2016-03-18", 0.275], ["2016-03-19", 0.27], ["2016-03-19", 0.25], ["2016-03-19", 0.27], ["2016-03-19", 0.27], ["2016-03-19", 0.27], ["2016-03-20", 0.27], ["2016-03-20", 0.27], ["2016-03-20", 0.26], ["2016-03-21", 0.26], ["2016-03-21", 0.25], ["2016-03-21", 0.25], ["2016-03-21", 0.25], ["2016-03-21", 0.26], ["2016-03-22", 0.275], ["2016-03-22", 0.275], ["2016-03-22", 0.27], ["2016-03-22", 0.25], ["2016-03-22", 0.27], ["2016-03-22", 0.27], ["2016-03-22", 0.27], ["2016-03-23", 0.29], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-23", 0.3], ["2016-03-24", 0.3], ["2016-03-24", 0.3], ["2016-03-24", 0.3]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/137 | In January 2016, the U.S. imposed new sanctions in response to Iran's October ballistic missile test (<a href = "https://www.treasury.gov/press-center/press-releases/Pages/jl0322.aspx" target = "_blank">Treasury Department</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/18/world/middleeast/three-freed-americans-depart-iran-one-remains-us-officials-say.html" target = "_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-35338901" target = "_blank">BBC</a>). Many sanctions against Iran have been lifted as part of the nuclear deal, but other US sanctions on non-nuclear issues have remained in place (See page 3 of <a href = "https://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/Documents/jcpoa_faqs.pdf" target = "_blank">JCPOA FAQ</a>). 18 October 2016 is the one year anniversary of "Adoption Day" for the nuclear deal.
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2016-10-18 | 2016-02-09 | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/24/us/politics/iran-embassy-state-department.html", "http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2016/08/analysis-irgc-implicated-in-arming-yemeni-houthis-with-missiles.php", "http://thewire.in/50922/us-lawmakers-challenge-iran-nuclear-deal-fresh-legislation/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Heritage_Foundation", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/13/iran-sends-ships-to-yemeni-coast-in-wake-of-u-s-strikes/", "http://www.local10.com/news/politics/us-official-navy-aircraft-threatened-with-shoot-down-by-iran", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/06/03/iran-still-leading-state-sponsor-of-terrorism-u-s-state-department-reports/", "https://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2016/06/258013.htm", "https://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2014/239410.htm", "http://www.jpost.com/Middle-East/Iran-News/Iran-left-with-no-choice-but-to-confront-the-US-official-warns-460953", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-exemptions-exclusive-idUSKCN1173LA", "https://www.yahoo.com/finance/news/obliviously-huge-deal-us-navy-201336151.html", "http://www.worldtribune.com/report-calls-iran-top-mideast-threat-to-u-s-interests-by-far/", "http://www.cnsnews.com/news/article/patrick-goodenough/analyst-iran-could-spend-more-1-billion-17-billion-windfall-terror", "http://www.nationalreview.com/article/432516/iran-nuclear-deal-iaea-reports-violations-disclosure", "http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257520.htm", "http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/19827/nuclear-deal-does-little-to-change-iran-s-engagement-with-the-world", "https://www.cia.gov/index.html", "http://www.heritage.org/", "http://www.state.gov/j/ct/rls/crt/2015/257517.htm", "http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2016/08/irgc-commander-discusses-afghan-militia-shia-liberation-army-and-syria.php", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/06/02/politics/state-department-report-terrorism/", "http://soufangroup.com/tsg-intelbrief-irans-expanding-strategic-reach/", 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["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/138 | This question was closed on option B) 'No' on 17 October, 2016. The State Department has not removed Iran from its list of state sponsors of terror. (<a href="http://www.state.gov/j/ct/list/c14151.htm" target="_blank">US Department of State</a>)
Since 1984, Iran has been on the U.S. Department of State's State Sponsors of Terrorism list, a designation that involves significant sanctions (<a href = "http://www.state.gov/j/ct/list/c14151.htm" target = "_blank">State Department</a>). 18 October 2016 is the one year anniversary of "Adoption Day" for the nuclear deal.
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2016-05-02 | 2016-02-16 | ["http://ngcsuthesaint.com/2016/03/oil-ouput-freeze-already-in-place-uae/", "http://www.commoditytrademantra.com/crude-oil-trading/doha-is-done-saudi-prince-says-no-oil-deal-without-iran/", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/03/08/oil-prices-dip-on-stronger-dollar-demand-concerns.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/13/opinion/sunday/how-saudi-arabia-turned-its-greatest-weapon-on-itself.html", "http://english.stackexchange.com/questions/89574/what-does-3-sigma-type-of-event-mean", "http://marketrealist.com/2016/03/goldman-sachs-lowers-wti-brent-price-forecast/", "http://www.investors.com/news/who-needs-iran-russia-saudi-arabia-come-to-terms-for-freeze/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://data.cnbc.com/quotes/@LCO.1", "https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/hist/LeafHandler.ashx?n=PET&s=W_EPC0_SAX_YCUOK_MBBL&f=W", "http://www.nber.org/papers/w15836", "http://www.nasdaq.com/markets/crude-oil-brent.aspx", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/22/gitrep-21apr16pm/", "http://www.epmag.com/eni-reaches-first-oil-goliat-barents-sea-842036", "http://www.worldbank.org/content/dam/Worldbank/Research/PRN01_Mar2015_Oil_Prices.pdf", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-14/oil-freeze-everything-you-need-to-know-about-the-doha-summit", "http://www.cityam.com/238051/iranian-minister-rebuffs-saudi-oil-demands-throwing-a-spanner-in-the-opec-and-russia-production-freeze-talks", "http://www.foxbusiness.com/markets/2016/04/06/oil-prices-jump-after-surprise-u-s-crude-stockpile-draw.html", "http://seekingalpha.com/article/3962475-oil-outlook-secrets-april-will-reveal-least-better", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-global-oil-idUSKCN0XO01U", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/04/14/best-oil-deal-from-doha-likely-to-underwhelm.html", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qudNktYwRNo", "http://www.bloomberg.com/energy", "https://www.rt.com/business/335221-iran-oil-russia-opec-meeting/", 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For historical data, see <a href = "http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_pri_spt_s1_d.htm" target = "_blank">history</a>. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-04-30 | Will the closing spot price for a barrel of Brent crude oil dip below $20.00 before 1 May 2016? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-08-09 | 2016-02-16 | ["https://youtu.be/Axmtz8g8Jzk", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/olympics/rio-2016/2016/07/21/10-arrested-allegedly-planning-attack-involving-rio-olympics/87382726/", "http://www.npr.org/sections/goatsandsoda/2016/07/14/486047678/zika-epidemic-may-have-peaked-but-will-threaten-u-s-for-years", "https://cameronwebb.files.wordpress.com/2013/05/gollybardbatandmosquito.jpg?w=584", "http://www.defense.gov/News-Article-View/Article/795226/walter-reed-scientists-test-zika-vaccine-candidate", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/01/health/cdc-miami-florida-zika-travel-warning/", "http://www.uptodate.com/contents/zika-virus-infection-pregnancy-and-congenital-infection?source=search_result&search=zika&selectedTitle=2~59", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/16/nyregion/zika-virus-female-to-male-sexual-transmission.html", "http://www.cbsnews.com/news/health-experts-dismiss-claims-larvicide-linked-to-microcephaly/", "https://babel.hathitrust.org/cgi/pt?id=mdp.39015005321081;view=1up;seq=6", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/273595", "http://www.niehs.nih.gov/research/resources/bioethics/timeline/", "http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices/alert/2016-summer-olympics-rio?gclid=CjwKEAjwq8y8BRCstYTm8qeT9mwSJACZGjUkP9gawqDfoG0s-lDH_WKXOSrjMZKiraaXlG2jP1cyMxoCl5zw_wcB", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rD8SmacBUcU", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/143-will-the-centers-for-disease-control-elevate-their-travel-guidance-for-brazil-to-warning-level-3-due-to-the-zika-virus-before-the-olympics-begin/www.uptodate.com", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/brazil-says-there-is-almost-zero-risk-of-zika-during-olympics-really/2016/07/05/9f2c49fc-31c0-11e6-ab9d-1da2b0f24f93_story.html", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/health/article-3703088/Zika-virus-remain-semen-longer-thought-French-man-s-record-93-days-beats-previous-62.html", "http://www.businessinsider.com/r-us-plans-to-fund-zika-virus-study-of-us-olympic-team-2016-7", "http://www.survivalinternational.org/tribes/brazilian", "http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/zika-virus-found-in-second-mosquito-species-is-very-bad-news-for-brazil/article31070755/", "http://www.uptodate.com/", "http://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(16)31048-0/abstract", "http://www.newsmax.com/TheWire/rihanna-lollapalooza-colombia-zika/2016/07/05/id/737089/", "https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/Rio+de+Janeiro+Brazil+BRXX0201:1:BR", "http://www.vox.com/2016/8/1/12341972/zika-virus-florida-new-cases"] | binary | [["2016-02-16", 0.1], ["2016-02-16", 0.175], ["2016-02-16", 0.095], ["2016-02-16", 0.15], ["2016-02-16", 0.725], ["2016-02-16", 0.2], ["2016-02-16", 0.48], ["2016-02-17", 0.55], ["2016-02-17", 0.38], ["2016-02-17", 0.35], ["2016-02-17", 0.3], ["2016-02-17", 0.18], ["2016-02-17", 0.18], ["2016-02-17", 0.215], ["2016-02-17", 0.19], ["2016-02-17", 0.2], 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["2016-07-14", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-16", 0.02], ["2016-07-16", 0.02], ["2016-07-17", 0.02], ["2016-07-18", 0.02], ["2016-07-18", 0.02], ["2016-07-18", 0.02], ["2016-07-19", 0.02], ["2016-07-19", 0.02], ["2016-07-20", 0.02], ["2016-07-21", 0.02], ["2016-07-22", 0.02], ["2016-07-23", 0.02], ["2016-07-23", 0.02], ["2016-07-23", 0.02], ["2016-07-24", 0.02], ["2016-07-24", 0.02], ["2016-07-24", 0.01], ["2016-07-25", 0.01], ["2016-07-26", 0.01], ["2016-07-26", 0.01], ["2016-07-27", 0.01], ["2016-07-27", 0.01], ["2016-07-27", 0.01], ["2016-07-28", 0.01], ["2016-07-29", 0.01], ["2016-07-30", 0.01], ["2016-07-31", 0.01], ["2016-07-31", 0.01], ["2016-07-31", 0.01], ["2016-08-01", 0.01], ["2016-08-02", 0.01], ["2016-08-02", 0.01], ["2016-08-02", 0.01], ["2016-08-03", 0.01], ["2016-08-03", 0.01], ["2016-08-03", 0.01], ["2016-08-04", 0.01], ["2016-08-04", 0.01], ["2016-08-05", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/143 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 9 August 2016 with an end date of 5 August 2016. The Olympics began on 5 August 2016 (<a href="http://www.nbcolympics.com/live-stream-schedule" target="_blank">NBC</a>), at which time the CDC' s categorization of travel to Brazil was still "Alert Level 2" (<a href="http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/destinations/traveler/none/brazil" target="_blank">CDC</a>). Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59 PM Pacific time on 4 August 2016.
The CDC currently categorizes travel to South America, including Brazil, as "Alert Level 2," recommending travelers practice enhanced precautions. Elevation to "Warning Level 3" would include recommendations against non-essential travel (<a href = "http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices/alert/zika-virus-south-america" target = "_blank">CDC 1</a>, <a href = "http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/destinations/traveler/none/brazil" target = "_blank">CDC 2</a>, <a href = "http://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices" target = "_blank">CDC 3</a>). There has been concern over Zika's potential effects on the Olympics, which are scheduled to begin on 5 August 2016 (<a href = "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/world-health-organization-zika-virus_us_56aa8608e4b00b033aae57eb?2cp4lsor" target = "_blank">Huffington Post</a>, <a href = "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/sport/olympics/12137247/Zika-virus-might-stop-me-taking-my-family-to-the-Olympics-admits-British-athletics-star-Martyn-Rooney.html" target = "_blank">Telegraph</a>, <a href = "http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/feb/05/brazil-faces-steep-hurdles-ahead-of-olympics-zika-and-economic-crisis" target = "_blank">Guardian</a>).
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/14-will-africa-remain-free-of-the-wild-poliovirus-through-31-december-2016" target = "_blank">Will Africa remain free of the wild poliovirus through 31 December 2016?</a> | Healthcare & Biology | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-08-05 | Will the Centers for Disease Control elevate their travel guidance for Brazil to Warning Level 3 due to the Zika virus before the Olympics begin? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-20 | 2016-03-01 | ["https://hbr.org/2016/09/applying-game-theory-to-the-supreme-court-confirmation-fight", "http://dailysignal.com/2016/08/12/gop-at-odds-over-post-election-vote-on-obamas-supreme-court-nominee/", "https://www.bustle.com/articles/199055-can-merrick-garland-still-become-supreme-court-justice-democrats-have-a-few-loopholes-at-their-disposal", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/11/23/four-predictions-about-president-trumps-supreme-court/", "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/merrick-garland-scotus_us_57cf3054e4b06a74c9f15393", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/23/politics/hillary-clinton-merrick-garland-supreme-court/", "http://live.reuters.com/Event/Election_2016", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/stephen-breyer-contested-2016-election-230228", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/324579", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/341156", "http://fortune.com/2016/11/10/trump-supreme-court/", "http://theweek.com/articles/656021/conservative-case-confirming-merrick-garland-immediately", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-garland-idUSKCN11C2HM", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/317193", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/13/politics/mitch-mcconnell-merrick-garland-lame-duck/", "http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/11/01/richard_burr_s_supreme_court_comments_make_the_gop_s_plan_clear.html", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/trumps-victory-has-enormous-consequences-for-the-supreme-court/2016/11/09/1ea52b3e-a671-11e6-ba59-a7d93165c6d4_story.html", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/stand-stalled-supreme-court-nominee-merrick-garland/story?id=42648073", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/senate-merrick-garland-confirmation-grassley-227543", "http://www.politico.com/blogs/under-the-radar/2016/12/merrick-garland-returns-dc-circuit-232826", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/345645", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-court-ginsburg-idUSKCN11D2U9", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/10/19/john-mccain-is-right-senate-republicans-could-block-a-clinton-supreme-court-indefinitely/", "http://time.com/4527889/ruth-bader-ginsburg-merrick-garland-confirmation/", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/10/jeff-flake-merrick-garland-vote-supreme-court-230109"] | binary | [["2016-03-01", 0.3], ["2016-03-01", 0.125], ["2016-03-01", 0.425], ["2016-03-01", 0.235], ["2016-03-01", 0.22], ["2016-03-01", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.325], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.195], ["2016-03-02", 0.25], ["2016-03-02", 0.225], ["2016-03-02", 0.24], ["2016-03-02", 0.24], ["2016-03-02", 0.2], ["2016-03-02", 0.23], ["2016-03-03", 0.2], ["2016-03-03", 0.23], ["2016-03-03", 0.28], ["2016-03-03", 0.28], ["2016-03-03", 0.315], ["2016-03-04", 0.265], ["2016-03-04", 0.27], ["2016-03-04", 0.33], ["2016-03-04", 0.33], ["2016-03-04", 0.33], ["2016-03-05", 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["2017-01-07", 0.0], ["2017-01-09", 0.0], ["2017-01-09", 0.0], ["2017-01-10", 0.0], ["2017-01-11", 0.0], ["2017-01-12", 0.0], ["2017-01-13", 0.0], ["2017-01-14", 0.0], ["2017-01-16", 0.0], ["2017-01-16", 0.0], ["2017-01-18", 0.0], ["2017-01-19", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/150 | This question was closed on "No" with a suspend date of 20 January 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
The death of Supreme Court Justice Scalia presents an interesting challenge for the administration in an election year (<a href = "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/02/13/what-happens-when-a-supreme-court-justice-dies-in-an-election-year-nobody-really-knows/" target = "_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/02/15/us/supreme-court-nominations-election-year-scalia.html" target = "_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href = "http://www.scotusblog.com/2016/02/is-a-recess-appointment-to-the-court-an-option/" target = "_blank">SCOTUSblog</a>).
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2016-06-24 | 2016-03-01 | ["http://indianexpress.com/article/cities/delhi/janta-ka-budget-manish-sisodia-address-the-public-in-patparganj-constituency/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Referendums_related_to_the_European_Union", "http://fortune.com/2016/04/04/eu-multinationals-tax-havens/", "https://www.poundsterlinglive.com/eur/3858-hsbc-and-ubs-forecast-parity-in-euro-to-pound", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:EC-EU-enlargement_animation.gif", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wat_Tyler%27s_Revolt", "http://ec.europa.eu/economy_finance/economic_governance/sgp/index_en.htm", "http://hir.harvard.edu/brexit-will-good-european-integration/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/277185", "http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/images/e/ee/General_government_debt%2C_2014_and_2015_%28%C2%B9%29_%28general_government_consolidated_gross_debt%2C_%25_of_GDP%29_YB16_II.png", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/rating", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/country-list/rating", "http://ec.europa.eu/taxation_customs/taxation/tax_fraud_evasion/a_huge_problem/index_en.htm", "https://next.ft.com/content/48d81c36-41bd-11e6-b22f-79eb4891c97d", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-25/new-york-london-on-notice-as-china-targets-commodities-pricing", "https://fullfact.org/europe/our-eu-membership-fee-55-million/", "http://www.debtclocks.eu/eu-ranking-public-debt-in-percent-of-gdp.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Paris_Commune", "http://www.visualcapitalist.com/by-this-measure-the-u-s-has-the-2nd-highest-national-debt/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1848,_Revolutions_of", "http://www.colorado.edu/AmStudies/lewis/ecology/rolecreditagencies.pdf", "http://www.debtclocks.eu/public-debt-and-budget-deficits-comparison-of-the-eu-member-states.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_government", "https://eu.boell.org/en/2016/04/11/panama-papers-and-international-battle-against-tax-havens-lessons-eu", "https://www.oecd.org/tax/beps/"] | binary | 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["2016-05-30", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-06-01", 0.8], ["2016-06-01", 0.8], ["2016-06-01", 0.8], ["2016-06-02", 0.8], ["2016-06-02", 0.8], ["2016-06-02", 0.8], ["2016-06-02", 0.8], ["2016-06-03", 0.8], ["2016-06-03", 0.8], ["2016-06-04", 0.8], ["2016-06-04", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-06", 0.8], ["2016-06-06", 0.8], ["2016-06-06", 0.8], ["2016-06-06", 0.78], ["2016-06-06", 0.78], ["2016-06-06", 0.77], ["2016-06-06", 0.77], ["2016-06-06", 0.77], ["2016-06-07", 0.77], ["2016-06-07", 0.77], ["2016-06-07", 0.77], ["2016-06-07", 0.76], ["2016-06-07", 0.76], ["2016-06-08", 0.76], ["2016-06-08", 0.76], ["2016-06-08", 0.76], ["2016-06-09", 0.75], ["2016-06-09", 0.75], ["2016-06-09", 0.75], ["2016-06-09", 0.75], ["2016-06-10", 0.75], ["2016-06-10", 0.75], ["2016-06-10", 0.75], ["2016-06-10", 0.75], ["2016-06-11", 0.75], ["2016-06-11", 0.75], ["2016-06-11", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 0.75], ["2016-06-14", 0.75], ["2016-06-14", 0.73], ["2016-06-14", 0.73], ["2016-06-14", 0.73], ["2016-06-14", 0.72], ["2016-06-14", 0.72], ["2016-06-14", 0.715], ["2016-06-14", 0.71], ["2016-06-14", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-15", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-16", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-17", 0.7], ["2016-06-18", 0.7], ["2016-06-18", 0.7], ["2016-06-18", 0.7], ["2016-06-18", 0.7], ["2016-06-18", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-19", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.7], ["2016-06-20", 0.705], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.72], ["2016-06-20", 0.73], ["2016-06-20", 0.73], ["2016-06-20", 0.73], ["2016-06-20", 0.75], ["2016-06-20", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-21", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-22", 0.75], ["2016-06-23", 0.75], ["2016-06-23", 0.75], ["2016-06-23", 0.75], ["2016-06-23", 0.75], ["2016-06-23", 0.75]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/149 | Resolved 6/24/16: The majority of British voters elected to leave the EU (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/politics/eu_referendum/results" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-idUSKCN0Z902K" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59pm Pacific on 22 June 2016.
After concluding a deal with the EU in February, Prime Minister David Cameron scheduled a referendum on "Brexit" for 23 June 2016 (<a href = "http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21693324-britains-out-referendum-will-be-held-june-23rd-david-cameron-strikes-european-union-deal" target = "_blank"><i>The Economist</i></a>, <a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-32810887" target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/21/world/europe/british-prime-minister-announces-eu-referendum-date.html" target = "_blank">NY Times</a>).
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2016-07-05 | 2016-03-01 | ["http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2016/06/al-qaeda-and-allies-gain-more-ground-in-aleppo-province.php", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/06/16/russia-says-48-hour-truce-reached-in-syrias-aleppo/85977808/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-rebels-idUSKCN0X428P", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-kerry-idUSKCN0Z11ET", "http://www.haaretz.com/middle-east-news/1.723870", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/06/11/469909/Russia-Turkey-Syria-Aleppo-Daesh-Maria-Zakharova", "http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/hezbollah-syrian-govt-clash-over-aleppo-impossible-take-report-1337512772", "http://bigstory.ap.org/article/0844d0a242f248b69b8f65ee588f13dc/iraqi-commander-about-2500-militants-killed-fallujah", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-aleppo-ceasefire-idUSKCN0Z20F5", "https://www.rt.com/news/339244-syria-aleppo-blocked-militaints/", "http://www.militarytimes.com/story/military/war-on-is/2016/05/26/green-berets-syria-kurdish-ypg-insignia/84987596/", "http://www.longwarjournal.org/archives/2016/06/al-nusrah-front-and-allies-launch-new-offensive-in-syrias-aleppo-province.php", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/06/syria-aleppo-regime-army-assad-support-isis-marea-tlalin.html#ixzz4CiVmSnzZ", "https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2016/20-june-russian-jets-flying-over-aleppo", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-36202438", "http://armamentresearch.com/us-remington-xm2010-sniper-rifle-in-syria/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-aleppo-idUSKCN0Z406V", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/may/26/us-military-photos-syria-soldiers-fighting-isis", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-syria-aleppo-commentary-idUSKCN0XW25N", "https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/iraq-syria-battlespace-0", "http://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2016/28-june-saa--allies-advancements-on-the-al-malla-farms-in", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/views/news/middle-east/2016/06/21/Hezbollah-s-hot-summer-between-Aleppo-s-battle-and-banking-wars-.html", "http://news.sky.com/story/1718716/syrian-government-forces-close-in-on-aleppo", "https://syria.liveuamap.com/en/2016/20-june-more-footage-of-the-aftermath-of-incendiary-munition", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/06/air-strikes-kill-dozens-syria-aleppo-160605111131963.html"] | binary | [["2016-03-01", 0.625], ["2016-03-01", 0.475], ["2016-03-01", 0.55], ["2016-03-01", 0.525], ["2016-03-01", 0.675], ["2016-03-02", 0.705], ["2016-03-02", 0.7], ["2016-03-02", 0.73], ["2016-03-02", 0.75], ["2016-03-02", 0.75], ["2016-03-02", 0.75], ["2016-03-02", 0.75], ["2016-03-02", 0.725], ["2016-03-02", 0.68], ["2016-03-02", 0.685], ["2016-03-03", 0.695], ["2016-03-03", 0.68], ["2016-03-03", 0.665], ["2016-03-03", 0.65], ["2016-03-03", 0.65], ["2016-03-03", 0.65], ["2016-03-04", 0.68], ["2016-03-04", 0.665], ["2016-03-04", 0.65], ["2016-03-04", 0.625], 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["2016-03-12", 0.55], ["2016-03-12", 0.535], ["2016-03-12", 0.55], ["2016-03-13", 0.55], ["2016-03-13", 0.55], ["2016-03-13", 0.55], ["2016-03-13", 0.55], ["2016-03-13", 0.535], ["2016-03-14", 0.52], ["2016-03-14", 0.52], ["2016-03-14", 0.52], ["2016-03-14", 0.48], ["2016-03-14", 0.5], ["2016-03-14", 0.48], ["2016-03-14", 0.45], ["2016-03-14", 0.45], ["2016-03-14", 0.42], ["2016-03-14", 0.4], ["2016-03-14", 0.4], ["2016-03-14", 0.35], ["2016-03-15", 0.35], ["2016-03-15", 0.34], ["2016-03-15", 0.32], ["2016-03-15", 0.31], ["2016-03-15", 0.295], ["2016-03-15", 0.28], ["2016-03-15", 0.255], ["2016-03-15", 0.25], ["2016-03-15", 0.25], ["2016-03-15", 0.25], ["2016-03-15", 0.24], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-16", 0.2], ["2016-03-17", 0.2], ["2016-03-17", 0.19], ["2016-03-17", 0.18], ["2016-03-17", 0.165], ["2016-03-17", 0.165], ["2016-03-17", 0.15], ["2016-03-17", 0.15], ["2016-03-17", 0.15], ["2016-03-18", 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["2016-06-22", 0.01], ["2016-06-23", 0.01], ["2016-06-23", 0.01], ["2016-06-23", 0.01], ["2016-06-23", 0.01], ["2016-06-24", 0.01], ["2016-06-24", 0.01], ["2016-06-24", 0.01], ["2016-06-25", 0.01], ["2016-06-25", 0.01], ["2016-06-26", 0.01], ["2016-06-26", 0.01], ["2016-06-26", 0.01], ["2016-06-27", 0.01], ["2016-06-27", 0.01], ["2016-06-28", 0.01], ["2016-06-28", 0.01], ["2016-06-28", 0.01], ["2016-06-29", 0.01], ["2016-06-29", 0.01], ["2016-06-29", 0.01], ["2016-06-30", 0.01], ["2016-06-30", 0.01], ["2016-06-30", 0.01], ["2016-07-01", 0.005], ["2016-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/148 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Forces continue to close in on Aleppo but as yet have not taken control (<a href="http://news.sky.com/story/1718716/syrian-government-forces-close-in-on-aleppo" target="_blank">Sky News</a>, <a href="http://www.dw.com/en/russian-airstrikes-hit-rebel-held-aleppo-as-battle-rages/a-19357527" target="_blank">DW</a>)
Government forces backed by Russian airpower are closing in on the city of Aleppo (<a href = "http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/02/syria-aleppo-assad-russia/462231/" target = "_blank">Atlantic</a>, <a href = "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-v-micallef/the-battle-for-aleppo-syr_b_9234146.html" target = "_blank">Huffington Post</a>, <a href = "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/a-mini-world-war-rages-in-the-fields-of-aleppo/2016/02/14/d2dfff02-d340-11e5-a65b-587e721fb231_story.html" target = "_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href = "http://www.theworldin.com/article/10450/next-moves-syria" target = "_blank">The World in 2016</a>).
** This question involves military operations. See <a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#resolution11" target = "_blank">here</a> for GJ's FAQ on the fuzzy nature of these questions.
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2017-03-30 | 2016-03-08 | ["https://english.alarabiya.net/en/perspective/features/2016/10/11/Sheikh-Zakzaky-the-face-of-a-dangerous-Iranian-design-in-Africa.html", "https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/11/peaceful-pro-biafra-activists-killed-in-chilling-crackdown/", "http://www.cfr.org/nigeria/nigeria-security-tracker/p29483", "http://dailypost.ng/2016/09/26/kaduna-suspected-fulani-herdsmen-kill-two-fresh-attacks/", "http://www.standwithnigeria.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/NIgeria-Fractured-and-Forgotten.pdf", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sahel", "http://www.france24.com/en/20161101-ban-ki-moon-united-nations-south-sudan-juba-peacekeeping-commander", "http://icirnigeria.org/outlawed-shiites-allege-mass-killing-of-members/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/330871", "https://venturesafrica.com/standwithnigeria-report-says-rampaging-fulani-herdsmen-and-boko-haram-follow-similar-pattern/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/330871", "http://abcnews.go.com/Blotter/nigeria-requested-us-intel-military-gear-fight-terror/story?id=23662022", "http://america.aljazeera.com/articles/2016/1/31/report-nigeria-reinstates-general-implicated-in-mass-murder.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37642282", "https://www.naij.com/983666-fulani-herdsmen-go-rampage-burn-kill-locals-kaduna.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/338213", "https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/deconstructing-nigeria", "http://www.acleddata.com/data/realtime-data-2016/", "http://www.vanguardngr.com/2016/11/senate-rejects-buharis-plan-take-30bn-loan/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36139388", "http://www.washingtonpost.com/sf/world/2016/10/13/they-survived-boko-haram-now-millions-in-nigeria-face-a-new-threat-starvation/?wpisrc=al_alert-COMBO-exclusive%252Bnational%252Bworld", "http://www.economist.com/blogs/economist-explains/2016/09/economist-explains-0?cid1=cust/ddnew/n/n/n/20160927n/owned/n/n/nwl/n/n/n/email&etear=dailydispatch", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-nigeria-festival-idUSKCN11R0ZO?il=0", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/nigerian-senate-refuses-30-billion-loan-plan-43222409", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/335373"] | binary | [["2016-03-08", 0.56], ["2016-03-08", 0.65], ["2016-03-08", 0.215], ["2016-03-08", 0.18], ["2016-03-08", 0.26], ["2016-03-09", 0.65], ["2016-03-09", 0.65], ["2016-03-09", 0.65], ["2016-03-09", 0.65], ["2016-03-09", 0.65], ["2016-03-09", 0.4], ["2016-03-10", 0.28], ["2016-03-10", 0.29], ["2016-03-10", 0.28], ["2016-03-10", 0.29], ["2016-03-10", 0.3], ["2016-03-10", 0.3], ["2016-03-10", 0.345], ["2016-03-11", 0.39], ["2016-03-11", 0.44], ["2016-03-11", 0.39], ["2016-03-11", 0.44], ["2016-03-11", 0.45], ["2016-03-12", 0.44], ["2016-03-12", 0.46], ["2016-03-12", 0.48], ["2016-03-12", 0.48], ["2016-03-12", 0.47], ["2016-03-12", 0.42], ["2016-03-13", 0.36], ["2016-03-13", 0.355], ["2016-03-13", 0.34], ["2016-03-13", 0.355], ["2016-03-13", 0.36], 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0.095], ["2016-12-30", 0.095], ["2016-12-30", 0.07], ["2016-12-30", 0.07], ["2016-12-31", 0.07]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/156 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
According to these criteria, Nigeria is already experiencing two episodes of mass killing: one perpetrated by Boko Haram, and another perpetrated by state security forces targeting alleged members or supporters of Boko Haram (<a href = "https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2015/06/nigeria-horror-in-numbers/" target = "_blank">Amnesty International</a>). This question pertains to the risk of a new episode of mass killing. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify Nigeria the country second most at risk for a new onset of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a "yes" answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on EWP's <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">blog</a>.
Recommended Questions
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/128-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-burundi-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Burundi before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/129-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-ethiopia-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/130-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-myanmar-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017?</a>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Nigeria before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Nigeria before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-03-08 | ["https://zimnews.net/kasukuwere-moyo-g40-zimbabwe-corruption/", "http://ewn.co.za/2016/04/25/Zim-police-mulling-plans-to-garnish-bank-accounts-of-traffic-offenders", "http://nehandaradio.com/2016/10/25/army-angry-mugabe-takes-aim-g40-corrupt-officials/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/an-old-leader-faces-new-threats-in-zimbabwe-1471820903", "https://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2016/07/06/zimbabwe-government-workers-strike-over-pay-delay", "http://bulawayo24.com/index-id-opinion-sc-columnist-byo-98329.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281886", "https://www.newsday.co.zw/2016/04/25/zim-holds-meetings-imf-world-bank-spring-forum/", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/crisiswatch", "http://www.voazimbabwe.com/a/zimbabwe-protest-harare-mdc/3478950.html", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=A90Km_PzAsA", "http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/zimbabwe-multitudes-march-for-mugabe-life-rule/2016/05/25/969d7184-22a8-11e6-b944-52f7b1793dae_story.html", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201610090013.html", "https://www.dailynews.co.zw/articles/2016/10/25/tsvangirai-will-crush-mugabe", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/244986", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/gitrep-8may16am/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36860159", "https://www.newsday.co.zw/2016/04/25/war-vets-avert-state-capture/", "http://www.cfr.org/global/global-conflict-tracker/p32137#!/", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/southern-africa/zimbabwe/zimbabwe-s-threadbare-theatre-reform", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-africa-36968995", "http://www.crisis.acleddata.com/dissent-and-protest-in-zimbabwe-mass-mobilisation-in-the-face-of-economic-and-political-crisis/", 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["2016-11-03", 0.01], ["2016-11-04", 0.01], ["2016-11-05", 0.01], ["2016-11-06", 0.01], ["2016-11-07", 0.01], ["2016-11-07", 0.01], ["2016-11-08", 0.01], ["2016-11-08", 0.01], ["2016-11-09", 0.01], ["2016-11-10", 0.01], ["2016-11-10", 0.01], ["2016-11-11", 0.01], ["2016-11-12", 0.01], ["2016-11-13", 0.01], ["2016-11-13", 0.01], ["2016-11-14", 0.01], ["2016-11-15", 0.01], ["2016-11-16", 0.01], ["2016-11-16", 0.01], ["2016-11-17", 0.01], ["2016-11-18", 0.01], ["2016-11-18", 0.01], ["2016-11-19", 0.01], ["2016-11-19", 0.01], ["2016-11-20", 0.01], ["2016-11-21", 0.01], ["2016-11-21", 0.01], ["2016-11-22", 0.01], ["2016-11-22", 0.01], ["2016-11-23", 0.01], ["2016-11-23", 0.01], ["2016-11-24", 0.01], ["2016-11-25", 0.01], ["2016-11-26", 0.01], ["2016-11-26", 0.01], ["2016-11-27", 0.01], ["2016-11-28", 0.01], ["2016-11-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-01", 0.01], ["2016-12-02", 0.01], ["2016-12-02", 0.01], ["2016-12-03", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-06", 0.01], ["2016-12-07", 0.01], ["2016-12-07", 0.01], ["2016-12-08", 0.01], ["2016-12-08", 0.01], ["2016-12-09", 0.01], ["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-12", 0.01], ["2016-12-12", 0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01], ["2016-12-15", 0.01], ["2016-12-15", 0.01], ["2016-12-16", 0.01], ["2016-12-17", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-19", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.005], ["2016-12-31", 0.005]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/157 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify Zimbabwe as one of the top 35 countries most at risk of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a "yes" answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on EWP's <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">blog</a>.
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/128-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-burundi-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Burundi before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/129-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-ethiopia-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/130-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-myanmar-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017?</a>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Zimbabwe before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Zimbabwe before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-03-08 | ["http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-36575584", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201605170512.html", "http://www.acleddata.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/ACLED_Conflict-Trends-Report-No.49-June-2016_pdf.pdf", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/congo-leader-claims-interference-amid-vote-delay-tension-163807584.html", "http://www.undispatch.com/elections-in-the-democratic-republic-of-congo-could-mean-trouble/", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2015/07/28/joseph-kabila-forever-dangers-extended-presidency-democratic-republic-congo", "http://reliefweb.int/report/democratic-republic-congo/drc-humanitarian-situation-report-may-june-2016", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281886", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201605201207.html", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/democratic-republic-of-the-congo", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/dr-congo-president-defies-growing-calls-resign-174446567.html", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-01/congo-opposition-raise-stakes-as-rally-urges-kabila-to-step-down-irbpa0sw", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/18/congo-braces-for-violence-president-mandate-expires", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/africa/central-africa/democratic-republic-congo/katanga-tensions-drcs-mineral-heartland", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/244986", "http://www.africanews.com/2016/10/04/drc-icc-urged-to-probe-beni-massacres/", "http://www.voanews.com/a/united-nations-democratic-republic-of-congo-election-kabila/3545781.html", "http://www.news24.com/Africa/News/us-orders-families-of-govt-personnel-to-leave-drc-20160930", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/kinshasa-faces-unrest-congolese-president-refuses-step-down-174506688.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/05/drc-braced-protests-planned-opposition-160526050328405.html", 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["2016-10-31", 0.1], ["2016-11-02", 0.1], ["2016-11-02", 0.1], ["2016-11-03", 0.1], ["2016-11-03", 0.1], ["2016-11-04", 0.1], ["2016-11-06", 0.1], ["2016-11-06", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-08", 0.1], ["2016-11-09", 0.1], ["2016-11-10", 0.1], ["2016-11-11", 0.1], ["2016-11-12", 0.1], ["2016-11-13", 0.1], ["2016-11-14", 0.1], ["2016-11-15", 0.1], ["2016-11-16", 0.1], ["2016-11-16", 0.1], ["2016-11-17", 0.1], ["2016-11-17", 0.1], ["2016-11-18", 0.1], ["2016-11-19", 0.1], ["2016-11-20", 0.09], ["2016-11-21", 0.09], ["2016-11-21", 0.08], ["2016-11-21", 0.085], ["2016-11-22", 0.075], ["2016-11-22", 0.07], ["2016-11-23", 0.07], ["2016-11-24", 0.065], ["2016-11-24", 0.06], ["2016-11-26", 0.06], ["2016-11-28", 0.06], ["2016-11-30", 0.06], ["2016-11-30", 0.06], ["2016-12-01", 0.055], ["2016-12-02", 0.06], ["2016-12-03", 0.06], ["2016-12-04", 0.055], ["2016-12-05", 0.05], ["2016-12-06", 0.05], ["2016-12-07", 0.05], ["2016-12-07", 0.05], ["2016-12-08", 0.05], ["2016-12-09", 0.05], ["2016-12-11", 0.05], ["2016-12-11", 0.05], ["2016-12-12", 0.05], ["2016-12-13", 0.05], ["2016-12-14", 0.05], ["2016-12-15", 0.05], ["2016-12-15", 0.05], ["2016-12-17", 0.05], ["2016-12-18", 0.05], ["2016-12-19", 0.05], ["2016-12-19", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-21", 0.05], ["2016-12-21", 0.05], ["2016-12-22", 0.05], ["2016-12-23", 0.05], ["2016-12-23", 0.05], ["2016-12-24", 0.05], ["2016-12-25", 0.05], ["2016-12-27", 0.05], ["2016-12-27", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.04], ["2016-12-30", 0.04], ["2016-12-30", 0.04], ["2016-12-30", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/158 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target ="_blank">Definitions</a> page.
According to those criteria, the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) has an ongoing episode of state-led mass killing linked to the government's counterinsurgency efforts in eastern DRC (<a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2015/01/12/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2014" target = "_blank">EWP trends</a>). This question pertains to the risk of a new episode of mass killing. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identify DRC as one of the 10 countries most at risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on EWP's <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">blog</a>.
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/128-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-burundi-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Burundi before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/129-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-ethiopia-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ethiopia before 1 January 2017?</a>
<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/130-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-myanmar-before-1-january-2017" target = "_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Myanmar before 1 January 2017?</a>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in the Democratic Republic of Congo in 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Democratic Republic of Congo before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-06-15 | 2016-03-08 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-idUSKCN0YS0KW", "http://www.economist.com/news/americas/21700412-anti-fujimorismo-achieves-unlikely-victory-economic-liberal-fortunate-president", "https://www.google.ca/amp/s/amp.ft.com/content/8165e4a6-2ba7-11e6-a18d-a96ab29e3c95?client=ms-android-rogers-ca#", "https://scontent-mia1-1.xx.fbcdn.net/v/t1.0-9/13315716_10153837546873740_5034133144957347609_n.jpg?oh=917a417e5e53bc24e451c2e16430bfd7&oe=57DA2744", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36454328", "http://s17.postimg.org/xb7lnxwkf/Brier_score_proper.png", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/06/peru-elections-pedro-pablo-kuczynski-edges-160606040223884.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/253597", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/kuczynski-maintains-thin-lead-in-peru-presidential-election-1465305666", "http://elcomercio.pe/politica/elecciones/onpe-resultados-al-100-estaran-fin-semana-noticia-1907049", "http://www.idea.int/vt/countryview.cfm?CountryCode=PE", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/252423", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/253596", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-latin-america-36454328", "https://resultadoselecciones2016.onpe.gob.pe/PRP2V2016/Resumen-GeneralPresidencial.html#posicion", "http://elcomercio.pe/elecciones-2016-resultados-flash", "https://next.ft.com/content/8165e4a6-2ba7-11e6-a18d-a96ab29e3c95?ftcamp=crm/email//nbe/WorldNews/product", "https://www.google.ca/amp/s/amp.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/10/peru-presidential-election-keiko-fujimori-concedes-pedro-pablo-kuczynski?client=ms-android-rogers-ca#", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/252465", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/peru-votes-tightening-race-shaped-leaders-legacy-39616950", "http://www.voanews.com/content/peru-election/3365240.html", "https://www.predictit.org/Market/2177/Who-will-win-the-Peruvian-presidential-runoff-election", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/251572", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/the_americas/nail-biter-race-for-perus-presidency-remains-tight/2016/06/07/be784a92-2d18-11e6-b9d5-3c3063f8332c_story.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-idUSKCN0YV2HA"] | binary | [["2016-03-08", 0.7], ["2016-03-08", 0.85], ["2016-03-08", 0.75], ["2016-03-08", 0.85], ["2016-03-08", 0.875], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.75], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.8], ["2016-03-09", 0.82], ["2016-03-09", 0.85], ["2016-03-10", 0.84], ["2016-03-10", 0.875], ["2016-03-10", 0.9], ["2016-03-10", 0.9], ["2016-03-10", 0.9], ["2016-03-10", 0.9], ["2016-03-11", 0.905], ["2016-03-11", 0.905], ["2016-03-11", 0.9], ["2016-03-11", 0.91], ["2016-03-11", 0.91], ["2016-03-11", 0.92], ["2016-03-12", 0.89], ["2016-03-12", 0.88], ["2016-03-12", 0.87], ["2016-03-12", 0.9], ["2016-03-13", 0.89], ["2016-03-13", 0.895], 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["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-05-31", 0.81], ["2016-05-31", 0.83], ["2016-05-31", 0.83], ["2016-06-01", 0.83], ["2016-06-01", 0.83], ["2016-06-01", 0.845], ["2016-06-01", 0.85], ["2016-06-01", 0.85], ["2016-06-02", 0.85], ["2016-06-02", 0.85], ["2016-06-02", 0.85], ["2016-06-02", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-03", 0.85], ["2016-06-04", 0.85], ["2016-06-04", 0.82], ["2016-06-04", 0.85], ["2016-06-04", 0.82], ["2016-06-04", 0.82], ["2016-06-04", 0.82], ["2016-06-04", 0.82], ["2016-06-04", 0.81], ["2016-06-04", 0.81], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8], ["2016-06-05", 0.8]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/153 | UPDATE 6/7/16: We have re-opened the question on Peru's election to allow forecasters to continue to discuss and engage with each other as the vote count continues. However, as with other election questions, we will only score forecasts made prior to the election: in this case forecasts made through the end of 4 June 16.
Peru is scheduled to hold general elections on April 10. Term limits bar incumbent president Ollanta Humala from running for that post again, and polls have identified Keiko Fujimori as the front-runner (<a href = "http://www.voanews.com/content/keiko-fujimori-clear-favorite-in-peru-election-poll/3102181.html" target = "_blank">Voice of America</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-peru-election-guzman-idUSKCN0W6283" target = "_blank">Reuters</a>). If no candidate receives at least 50 percent of the vote in the first round, a runoff will be held in June, in which case the end date of the question will be extended.
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2017-02-02 | 2016-03-15 | ["http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/07/21/venezuela-might-be-worse-country-in-latin-america-but-its-bonds-look-great/#4f297ae294ef", "https://qz.com/894841/the-most-tweetable-trial-in-us-history-happened-300-years-ago-and-its-just-as-relevant-today/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-venezuela-oil-shell-idUSKBN13V1TY", "https://play.google.com/store/apps/details?id=com.girish.venezuelaecon", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuelas-pdvsa-misses-404-million-payments-on-bonds-1479768989", "http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2016/11/30/venezuela-as-pdvsa-makes-late-payment-2017-bond-risk-rises/", "http://www.presstv.com/Detail/2016/01/07/444830/Venezuela-Maduro-cabinet-reshuffle-Luis-Salas", "http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Venezuelas-Oil-Industry-To-Receive-Another-Shot-In-The-Arm-From-China.html", "http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2016/09/22/venezuela-is-debt-swap-event-default-citgo-knows/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-02/venezuelan-credit-dashboard-default-risk-rises-even-with-swap", "https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-08-11/venezuela-has-good-reasons-to-avoid-default", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/375933", "http://www.emergingmarketsmonitor.com/market-strategy-sovereign-default-likely-2017-14-nov-2016", "http://www.barrons.com/quote/stock/HYEM", "https://www.google.com/finance?q=NYSEARCA%3AEMB", "http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2016/11/21/venezuelas-pdvsa-inching-closer-to-debt-default/", "https://itunes.apple.com/gb/app/venezuela-econ/id1112743973?mt=8", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-03/venezuelan-credit-dashboard-can-default-be-avoided-in-2017", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-pdvsa-restructures-debt-1477333172", "http://www.valuewalk.com/2016/12/venezuela-liquidity-crisis/", "http://qz.com/866593/venezuela-is-too-poor-to-import-food-and-medicine-so-why-is-the-government-still-paying-off-its-debt/", "http://money.cnn.com/2016/11/29/investing/venezuela-worthless-currency/", "http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/11/30/venezuelas-pdvsa-missed-a-payment-so-what/#7d906a8f7936", "https://www.caracaschronicles.com/2016/11/21/schrodingers-coupon-payment/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/pdvsa-debt-idUSL1N1DM1OK"] | binary | [["2016-03-15", 0.8], ["2016-03-15", 0.705], ["2016-03-15", 0.75], ["2016-03-15", 0.8], ["2016-03-15", 0.76], ["2016-03-16", 0.85], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-16", 0.9], ["2016-03-17", 0.89], ["2016-03-17", 0.89], ["2016-03-17", 0.85], ["2016-03-17", 0.85], ["2016-03-17", 0.76], ["2016-03-18", 0.745], ["2016-03-18", 0.675], ["2016-03-18", 0.655], ["2016-03-18", 0.65], ["2016-03-18", 0.68], ["2016-03-19", 0.725], ["2016-03-19", 0.75], ["2016-03-20", 0.75], ["2016-03-20", 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["2017-01-18", 0.03], ["2017-01-19", 0.03], ["2017-01-19", 0.02], ["2017-01-20", 0.02], ["2017-01-21", 0.02], ["2017-01-22", 0.015], ["2017-01-22", 0.01], ["2017-01-22", 0.01], ["2017-01-23", 0.01], ["2017-01-24", 0.01], ["2017-01-24", 0.01], ["2017-01-25", 0.01], ["2017-01-26", 0.01], ["2017-01-27", 0.005], ["2017-01-27", 0.0], ["2017-01-28", 0.0], ["2017-01-29", 0.0], ["2017-01-30", 0.0], ["2017-01-30", 0.0], ["2017-01-31", 0.0], ["2017-01-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/162 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 January 2016. In October of 2016, it restructured some of its debt (<A HREF = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-24/venezuela-wins-relief-from-bondholders-as-39-accept-pdvsa-swap"target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuela-pdvsa-restructures-debt-1477333172"target = "_blank">WSJ</a>) and in November2016, PVDSA missed a payment but was granted a 30 day grace period to meet its obligations (<a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/venezuelas-pdvsa-misses-404-million-payments-on-bonds-1479768989"target = "_blank">WSJ</a>, <a href = "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-11-23/threats-delays-and-conspiracies-dog-holders-of-venezuelan-bonds"target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>). It made a late payment later that month, avoiding default (<a href = "http://www.forbes.com/sites/kenrapoza/2016/11/30/venezuelas-pdvsa-missed-a-payment-so-what/#4815334a7936"target = "_blank">Forbes</a> , <a href = "http://blogs.barrons.com/emergingmarketsdaily/2016/11/30/venezuela-as-pdvsa-makes-late-payment-2017-bond-risk-rises/"target = "_blank">Barron's</a>).
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<hr>
After years of recession and falling oil prices, Venezuela is at risk of defaulting (<a href = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-22/venezuela-s-descent-into-world-s-riskiest-sovereign-credit-q-a" target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/venezuela-debt-idUSL2N1631PV" target = "_blank">Reuters</a>). Examples of past defaults include Argentina in 2014 (<a href = "http://www.bbc.com/news/business-28578179" target = "_blank">BBC</a>, <a href = "http://www.economist.com/news/leaders/21610263-cristina-fern-ndez-argues-her-countrys-latest-default-different-she-missing" target = "_blank"><i>The Economist</i></a>) and Ivory Coast in 2011 (<a href = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2011-02-01/ivory-coast-bondholder-calls-default-on-2-3-billion-of-debt-by-gbagbo" target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "http://www.africancapitalmarketsnews.com/889/cote-divoire-defaults-on-2-3bn-eurobonds/" target = "_blank">African Capital Markets News</a>).
Clarification added 4/25/2016: Restructuring of debt will not count as a default.
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| Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-01-31 | Will Venezuela or its state-owned oil company Petroleos de Venezuela SA (PDVSA) default on any of its foreign debt before 1 February 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-07-05 | 2016-03-15 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/02/iran-rejects-oil-output-cap-as-opec-leaders-meet-in-vienna", "https://www.iea.org/oilmarketreport/omrpublic/currentreport/", "http://money.cnn.com/2016/06/02/investing/opec-oil-decision-saudi-arabia-iran/", "http://www.investing.com/analysis/don%E2%80%99t-wait-on-iran-for-an-oil-production-freeze-200128671", "http://www.unian.info/economics/1352775-reuters-iran-has-no-plans-to-freeze-oil-exports.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/gitrep-11may16pm/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-opec-iran-idUSKCN0YD0UJ", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-iran-exclusive-idUSKCN0VE21S", "http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/311.htm", "http://m.gulf-times.com/Story/493471", "http://asia.nikkei.com/Markets/Commodities/Iran-undercuts-Saudi-Arabia-again-in-oil-share-battle", "http://www.naturalgaseurope.com/iran-says-will-reclaim-full-oil-market-share-post-sanctions-29706", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "http://www.maritime-executive.com/article/iranian-oil-exports-near-four-year-high", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/05/29/468002/Russia-says-oil-freeze-plan-lost-relevance", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/05/12/465205/Iran-Hajj-Saudi-Arabia-Jannati", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-12/iran-oil-output-rose-to-pre-sanctions-levels-in-april-iea-says-io408r1c", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1110289/iran-saudi-row-threatens-opec-deal-puts-role-question/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/05/09/464762/Iran-again-rejects-joining-oil-freeze-plan/", "http://qz.com/682945/iran-has-ramped-its-oil-production-back-up-sooner-than-anyone-was-expecting/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/opecs-ability-to-influence-oil-supply-is-slipping-1464089971", 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["2016-06-26", 0.0], ["2016-06-26", 0.0], ["2016-06-27", 0.0], ["2016-06-27", 0.0], ["2016-06-27", 0.0], ["2016-06-27", 0.0], ["2016-06-28", 0.0], ["2016-06-28", 0.0], ["2016-06-29", 0.0], ["2016-06-29", 0.0], ["2016-06-29", 0.0], ["2016-06-29", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/161 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: Iran rejected the oil output cap discussed by OPEC at its last meeting earlier this month and has only ramped up its exports (<a href="https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/jun/02/iran-rejects-oil-output-cap-as-opec-leaders-meet-in-vienna" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/saudi-arabia-cuts-oil-prices-in-europe-as-iran-ramps-up-exports-1465165449" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
Agreeing to cap oil output as part of a larger OPEC agreement on output would suffice. Talks continue on the widening of an agreement to freeze output at January levels struck by OPEC members Saudi Arabia, Venezuela and Qatar plus non-member Russia last month; some observers believe Iran must commit to capping or cutting its own production for the agreement to hold (<a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-oil-meeting-idUSKCN0WC1U2" target = "_blank">Reuters 1</a>, <a href = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-02-16/saudi-arabia-and-russia-agree-oil-output-freeze-in-qatar-talks" target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href = "http://money.cnn.com/2016/02/17/investing/oil-freeze-saudi-russia-iran/" target = "_blank">, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-opec-oil-iran-idUSKCN0VQ17P" target = "_blank">Reuters 2</a>, <a href = "http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/29621c84-d562-11e5-829b-8564e7528e54.html" target = "_blank">Financial Times</a>).
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| Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-07-01 | Will Iran agree to cap its oil output before 1 July 2016? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-07-12 | 2016-03-22 | ["https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2990864/Press-Release-on-South-China-Sea-Decision.pdf", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/11/world/asia/south-china-sea-philippines-hague.html?_r=0", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/philippines-v-china-decision-to-be-released-on-july-12-2016/", "http://globalnation.inquirer.net/140947/key-points-arbitral-tribunal-decision-verdict-award-philippines-china-maritime-dispute-unclos-arbitration-spratly-islands-scarborough?utm_content=buffer00064&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer", "http://www.defense.gov/News/News-Releases/News-Release-View/Article/790490/readout-of-secretary-carters-meeting-with-indonesian-minister-of-defense-ryamiz?source=GovDelivery", "http://qz.com/705223/where-exactly-did-chinas-nine-dash-line-in-the-south-china-sea-come-from/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/242193", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/beijing-remains-angry-defiant-and-defensive-as-key-south-china-sea-tribunal-ruling-looms/2016/07/12/11100f48-4771-11e6-8dac-0c6e4accc5b1_story.html", "http://www.andrewerickson.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/PH-CN-20160712-Press-Release-No-11-English.pdf", "https://pca-cpa.org/en/news/pca-press-release-the-south-china-sea-arbitration-the-republic-of-the-philippines-v-the-peoples-republic-of-china/", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-china-36771749", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/266335", "http://www.andrewerickson.com/2016/07/pca-press-release-pca-case-no-2013-19-the-south-china-sea-arbitration-the-republic-of-the-philippines-v-the-peoples-republic-of-china/", "http://en.yibada.com/articles/132352/20160616/u-n-permanent-court-of-arbitration-to-release-decision-on-philippines-vs-china-claim-on-scarborough-shoal-on-july-7.htm", "http://app.scmp.com/scmp/mobile/index.html#/article/1987129/home", 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["2016-06-30", 0.965], ["2016-06-30", 0.965], ["2016-07-01", 0.97], ["2016-07-01", 0.97], ["2016-07-02", 0.97], ["2016-07-03", 0.97], ["2016-07-04", 0.97], ["2016-07-05", 0.97], ["2016-07-05", 0.97], ["2016-07-05", 0.97], ["2016-07-06", 0.97], ["2016-07-07", 0.975], ["2016-07-07", 0.975], ["2016-07-07", 0.975], ["2016-07-08", 0.98], ["2016-07-08", 0.98], ["2016-07-09", 0.98], ["2016-07-10", 0.98], ["2016-07-10", 0.98], ["2016-07-11", 0.98], ["2016-07-11", 0.98], ["2016-07-11", 0.98], ["2016-07-12", 0.98], ["2016-07-12", 0.98], ["2016-07-12", 0.99], ["2016-07-12", 0.99], ["2016-07-12", 0.99], ["2016-07-12", 0.99]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/166 | This question was closed with the answer "yes" on 12 July 2016. The Hague released a summary of their findings, stating that "there was no legal basis for China to claim historic rights to resources within the sea areas falling within the 'nine-dash line'" (<a href="https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/2990864/Press-Release-on-South-China-Sea-Decision.pdf" target="_blank">Press Release</a>). For additional coverage of the issue see: <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-36771749" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/13/world/asia/south-china-sea-hague-ruling-philippines.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/12/asia/china-philippines-south-china-sea/" target="_blank">CNN</a>.
In 2013, the Philippines started an international legal process aimed at invalidating some of China's territorial claims in the South China Sea, including its "nine-dash line" claim (<a href="http://amti.csis.org/a-case-of-rocks-islands/" target="_blank">Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative</a>, <a href="http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/the-philippines-vs-china-the-south-china-sea-legal-showdown-12116" target="_blank">The National Interest</a>). The Permanent Court of Arbitration at the Hague determined in 2015 that it has jurisdiction over the issue, and it is expected to issue rulings on the case in June 2016 (<a href="http://thediplomat.com/2015/10/philippines-v-china-court-rules-favorably-on-jurisdiction-case-will-proceed/" target="_blank">The Diplomat</a>, <a href="http://www.pcacases.com/web/sendAttach/1524" target="_blank">The Hague</a>).
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2017-01-05 | 2016-03-22 | ["http://apps.leg.wa.gov/billinfo/summary.aspx?bill=1487", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/223085", "http://www.stateside.com/states/2016-legislative-session-info/", "http://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/will-californias-zero-emissions-mandate-alter-the-car-landscape.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://www.autonews.com/article/20160627/OEM11/306279987/zev-mandates-get-harder-to-ignore", "https://www.nh.gov/oep/energy/programs/documents/sb191pc-2014-7-8-alliance-automobile-manufacturers.pdf", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/22/gitrep-21apr16pm/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-california-electriccars-insight-idUSKCN1173LK", "http://cleantechnica.com/2015/06/06/why-california-gets-electric-cars-other-zev-mandate-states-dont-get/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/13/gitrep-13apr16am/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/223085", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/21/gitrep-20apr16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/01/gitrep-1may16am/", "http://www.zevfacts.com/zev-states.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/gitrep-8may16am/", "http://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2015-16/Pdf/Bill%20Reports/House/1487%20HBA%20ENVI%2015.pdf", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "http://leg.wa.gov/legislature/Pages/cutoff.aspx", "http://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2015-16/Pdf/Bill%20Reports/House/1487%20HBR%20ENVI%2015.pdf", "http://app.leg.wa.gov/billinfo/summary.aspx?bill=1487&year=2015", "http://lawfilesext.leg.wa.gov/biennium/2015-16/Pdf/Bills/House%20Bills/1487-S.pdf", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/216995", "https://www.americanprogress.org/issues/green/news/2016/04/26/136454/leading-by-example-state-and-local-governments-are-adopting-electric-vehicles/"] | binary | 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0.0], ["2016-12-11", 0.0], ["2016-12-12", 0.0], ["2016-12-12", 0.0], ["2016-12-14", 0.0], ["2016-12-15", 0.0], ["2016-12-16", 0.0], ["2016-12-18", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/168 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
California’s Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) mandate requires auto companies to produce a certain percentage of zero emission vehicles, such as those using hydrogen fuel cell cars and battery electric vehicles (<a href="http://www.edmunds.com/fuel-economy/will-californias-zero-emissions-mandate-alter-the-car-landscape.html" target="_blank">Edmunds</a>). The Clean Air Act permits other states to adopt California standards and nine other states plus the District of Columbia have already adopted California’s ZEV mandate (<a href="http://www.c2es.org/us-states-regions/policy-maps/zev-program" target="_blank">Center for Climate and Energy Solutions</a>).
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2017-01-05 | 2016-03-22 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-03/tesla-falls-as-quarterly-deliveries-trail-analysts-estimates", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/382602", "http://www.latimes.com/business/autos/la-fi-hy-tesla-delivery-production-3q-musk-20161002-snap-story.html", "http://seekingalpha.com/article/4028253-teslas-december-remember-model-3-problems", "http://ev-sales.blogspot.de/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/353249", "http://ev-sales.blogspot.de/2016_10_01_archive.html", "https://electrek.co/2016/10/02/tesla-tsla-delivery-q3-2016-record-breaking-24500-vehicles/", "http://www.ontheissues.org/celeb/Republican_Party_Environment.htm", "http://insideevs.com/november-2016-plug-electric-vehicle-sales-report-card/", "http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/", "http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/12/21/3-catalysts-for-tesla-motors-incs-vehicle-deliveri.aspx", "http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/08/12/forecasting-tesla-motors-incs-q3-deliveries-expect.aspx", "http://ir.tesla.com/releasedetail.cfm?releaseid=991720", "https://electrek.co/2016/12/07/tesla-deliveries-2016/", "https://cleantechnica.com/2016/10/03/tesla-shatters-quarterly-sales-record-24500-model-s-model-x-evs-delivered-q3-70-increase-q2/", "http://ir.tesla.com/releasedetail.cfm?releaseid=978031", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/382500", "https://electrek.co/2016/04/04/tesla-deliveries-q1-2016/", "http://seekingalpha.com/article/4032851-tesla-q4-delivery-items-watch", "http://www.wikiwand.com/en/Tesla_Motors", "http://ev-sales.blogspot.de/2016/11/world-top-10-october-2016.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-misses-its-2016-sales-goal-despite-27-fourth-quarter-rise-1483479562", "http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2015/08/total-tesla-motors-sales-figures-usa-canada.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_Motors"] | binary | [["2016-03-22", 0.75], ["2016-03-22", 0.8], 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Tesla did not deliver more than 80,000 BEVs to customers in 2016 (<a href = "http://www.wsj.com/articles/tesla-misses-its-2016-sales-goal-despite-27-fourth-quarter-rise-1483479562"target = "_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
Tesla Motors was created in 2003 by engineers in Silicon Valley with the mindset that battery-powered electric vehicles (BEVs) could be better than gasoline-powered cars, and with the mission to accelerate the world’s transition to sustainable transport. Tesla delivered 32,000 BEVs in 2014 and 50,000 BEVs in 2015. The company predicts that it will deliver between 80,000 and 90,000 BEVs in 2016 (<a href="http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/1675108879x0x874449/945B9CF5-86DA-4C35-B03C-4892824F058D/Q4_15_Tesla_Update_Letter.pdf" target="_blank">Tesla</a>). Yearly deliveries can be extracted from the cumulative delivery data provided on page 4 of the letter. The question will be suspended on 31 December 2016 and will be closed when the 2016 data is released by <a href="http://ir.teslamotors.com/events.cfm" target="_blank">Tesla</a>.
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:TeslaMotorsYorkdale5.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/a1/TeslaMotorsYorkdale5.jpg/1600px-TeslaMotorsYorkdale5.jpg" height=200></a>
<small>Image source: Wikimedia Commons. Click on the image for more info.</small>
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2016-11-16 | 2016-04-01 | ["https://www.fbi.gov/news/pressrel/press-releases/statement-by-fbi-director-james-b.-comey-on-the-investigation-of-secretary-hillary-clintons-use-of-a-personal-e-mail-system", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/fbi-completes-investigation-hillary-clintons-personal-email-server/story?id=40346712", "http://www.vox.com/2016/7/5/12096352/hillary-clinton-fbi-email", "http://www.burnhamgorokhov.com/federal-defense-information/understanding-federal-indictments-frequently-asked-questions/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/22/the-fbi-found-15000-emails-hillary-clinton-didnt-turn-over-uh-oh/?tid=sm_fb", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2016/08/31/house-republicans-want-new-doj-probe-of-clinton-foundation/", "http://www.brandeis.edu/legacyfund/bio.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/07/us/politics/hillary-clinton-loretta-lynch.html?smid=tw-share", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/07/05/fbi-director-james-comey-has-concluded-the-investigation-into-clintons-emails.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/273481", "https://www.law.cornell.edu/rules/frcrmp/rule_58", "https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/may/22/how-pentagon-punished-nsa-whistleblowers", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/fbi-won-t-recommend-clinton-be-indicted-over-private-email-use-1467731774", "http://www.msn.com/en-us/news/us/extremely-careless-but-fbi-advises-no-charges-for-clintons-emails/ar-AAi7Py6?li=BBnb7Kz&ocid=SK2IDHP", "http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/12/house-gop-request-perjury-investigation-clinton-over-private-email-server.html", "http://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/15pdf/15-474_ljgm.pdf", "http://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36742095", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/07/us/politics/hillary-clinton-loretta-lynch.htm", "http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-07-05/comey-says-no-clinton-charges-recommended-despite-carelessness?cmpid=wsdemand", "https://www.opensecrets.org/politicians/contrib.php?cid=N00000019&cycle=Career", "http://en.kremlin.ru/events/president/news/53151", "http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/04/16/abscam-agents-to-fbi-chief-bureaus-reputation-on-line-in-clinton-probe.html", "https://www.rt.com/usa/364586-comey-reopens-clinton-investigation/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/273796", "https://m.youtube.com/watch?feature=youtu.be&v=wbkS26PX4rc"] | binary | [["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-01", 0.035], ["2016-04-01", 0.06], ["2016-04-01", 0.365], ["2016-04-01", 0.175], ["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-01", 0.05], ["2016-04-02", 0.035], ["2016-04-02", 0.02], ["2016-04-02", 0.02], ["2016-04-02", 0.02], ["2016-04-02", 0.05], ["2016-04-02", 0.05], ["2016-04-02", 0.05], ["2016-04-02", 0.05], ["2016-04-02", 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The Department of Justice did not indict Hillary Clinton before November 8, 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>
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The Justice Department's investigation of Clinton over her use of a private email server continues (<a href="http://www.latimes.com/nation/la-na-clinton-email-probe-20160327-story.html" target="_blank">LA Times</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/how-clintons-email-scandal-took-root/2016/03/27/ee301168-e162-11e5-846c-10191d1fc4ec_story.html" target="_blank"> Washington Post</a>).
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2017-01-06 | 2016-04-05 | ["http://verfassungsblog.de/can-poland-be-sanctioned-by-the-eu-not-unless-hungary-is-sanctioned-too/", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-27/poland-plots-endgame-in-democracy-row-as-eu-obsesses-over-brexit", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/eu-faces-difficult-choice-as-poland-fires-latest-salvo-in-rule-of-law-dispute-1477665662", "https://www.neweurope.eu/article/poland-no-point-dialogue-venice-commission/", "https://euobserver.com/news/135698", "http://m.dw.com/en/council-of-europe-reiterates-admonishment-of-poland-over-constitutional-standoff/a-36049470", "https://euobserver.com/institutional/135716", "http://www.thenews.pl/Portal/ExternalSearchen.aspx?q=EU", "http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/10/26/eu-parliament-debate-undemocratic-reforms-poland-hungary/", "http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-2643_en.htm", "http://www.thenews.pl/1/10/Artykul/278484,Polish-gov%E2%80%99t-no-legal-possibilities-for-EC-recommendations-implementation", "http://verfassungsblog.de/systemic-threat-to-the-rule-of-law-in-poland-what-should-the-commission-do-next/", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-poland-eu-kaczynski-idUKKCN12A0JL", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/european-rights-body-checks-on-polands-rule-of-law-again/2016/09/12/d9d4b456-78db-11e6-8064-c1ddc8a724bb_story.html", "http://www.thenews.pl/1/10/Artykul/275645,Polish-govt-to-end-cooperation-with-Venice-Commission", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Council", "https://rsf.org/en/news/rsf-calls-eu-financial-sanctions-against-poland", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/dec/13/thousands-protest-in-poland-against-rightwing-government", "https://www.eureporter.co/frontpage/2016/10/28/mfa-makes-statement-on-polish-governments-response-to-commission-recommadation/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-poland-eu-rule-of-law-idUSKBN12E1P7?il=0", "http://www.mfa.gov.pl/en/news/mfa_statement_on_the_polish_government_s_response_to_commission_recommendation_of_27_07_2016", "http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex:12012M007", "http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/news-room/20161020IPR47863/meps-call-for-eu-democracy-rule-of-law-and-fundamental-rights-watchdog", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/europe/the-polish-plumbers-who-annoy-brexit-supporters-come-from-towns-like-this-one/2016/07/10/0ff923fc-3d4d-11e6-9e16-4cf01a41decb_story.html", "http://www.eui.eu/SeminarsAndEvents/Events/2016/November/EUMechanismonDemocracytheRuleofLawandFundamentalRights.aspx"] | binary | [["2016-04-05", 0.04], ["2016-04-05", 0.09], ["2016-04-05", 0.08], ["2016-04-05", 0.135], ["2016-04-05", 0.12], ["2016-04-05", 0.05], ["2016-04-05", 0.03], ["2016-04-05", 0.02], ["2016-04-06", 0.01], ["2016-04-06", 0.005], ["2016-04-06", 0.0], ["2016-04-06", 0.005], ["2016-04-06", 0.01], ["2016-04-06", 0.01], ["2016-04-06", 0.01], ["2016-04-06", 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Poland's constitutional crisis has spurred the European Commission to undertake a formal review that could lead to a suspension of some of Poland's EU membership rights, including voting rights (<a href="http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jan/13/ec-to-investigate-polish-governments-controversial-new-laws" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/01/21/will-the-e-u-suspend-poland-here-are-3-reasons-it-wont/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>). For more information on the dispute over Poland's Constitutional Tribunal see <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/poland-constitution-crisis-idUSL8N14B2UG20151222" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://bigstory.ap.org/article/3a94a6f5bfdd4e009f7c2c5146d7f492/polands-top-court-rule-constitutional-crisis" target="_blank">Associated Press</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/polands-constitutional-standoff-continues-1457799887" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>. For more information on the European Union's process for sanctioning states that have failed to uphold EU values see <a href="http://eur-lex.europa.eu/legal-content/EN/TXT/?uri=celex%3A12012M007" target="_blank">EUR-Lex</a>.
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2016-04-25 | 2016-04-05 | ["http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article70110512.html", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/article68956712.html", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article56092280.html", "http://www.africanews.com/2016/04/19/haiti-to-miss-poll-deadline-electoral-chief/", "http://mobile.reuters.com/article/idUSKCN0XC0D4", "http://www.as-coa.org/articles/haiti-update-political-impasse-thats-delaying-presidential-runoff", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/22/gitrep-21apr16pm/", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article70110512.html#storylink=cpy", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/13/gitrep-13apr16am/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/21/gitrep-20apr16pm/", "http://www.nycaribnews.com/latest-news/us-legislators-want-elections-be-held-haiti-scheduled", "http://www.haitilibre.com/article-17084-haiti-flash-elections-reportees-sine-die.html", "http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article70385237.html", "http://haitielection2015.blogspot.com/", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-haiti-election-idUKKCN0XC0D6", "http://www.rfi.fr/ameriques/20160413-haiti-partisans-martelly-phtk-manifestent-demander-elections", "http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/world/haiti-will-miss-election/2698588.html", "http://www.haitilibre.com/en/news-17190-haiti-elections-verification-commission-terms-of-reference-approved-and-signed.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/07/gitrep-06apr16pm/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-haiti-election-idUSKCN0XC0D4", "http://www.thelocal.es/20160407/three-way-coalition-talks-launched-as-clock-ticks-in-spain", "http://www.miamiherald.com/opinion/op-ed/article71435012.html", "http://aa.com.tr/en/politics/haiti-to-get-election-dates-at-end-of-may/558066"] | binary | [["2016-04-05", 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["2016-04-24", 0.0], ["2016-04-24", 0.0], ["2016-04-24", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/175 | Presidential elections in Haiti in October 2015 failed to produce a clear winner. After being postponed twice, the runoffs are scheduled to be held 24 April 2016 (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-haiti-election-idUSKCN0SU36N20151106" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/news/nation-world/world/americas/haiti/article65146567.html" target="_blank">Miami Herald</a>).
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2016-07-05 | 2016-04-05 | ["http://38north.org/2016/06/jschilling062316/", "http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2016/06/205_207826.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-36593321", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/north-koreas-musudan-missile-test-actually-succeeded-what-now/", "http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2016/06/25/0301000000AEN20160625000400315.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-southkorea-security-idUSKCN0ZF12J", "http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2016/06/205_206385.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jul/08/south-korea-and-us-agree-to-deploy-thaad-missile-defence-system", "http://www.japantoday.com/category/world/view/washington-hopes-to-wrap-up-anti-missile-deal-with-south-korea", "http://sputniknews.com/military/20160630/1042209421/thaad-russia-korea.html", "https://youtu.be/-m86H1ed4yw", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/251644", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/271143", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/KM-SAM", "http://www.defense.gov/News/News-Releases/News-Release-View/Article/791223/us-republic-of-korea-japan-trilateral-defense-ministers-meeting-joint-press-sta", "http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2016/06/06/South-Korea-considering-possible-locations-for-US-THAAD-deployment/2221465232851/", "https://www.nknews.org/2016/06/s-korea-undoubtedly-intends-to-deploy-thaad-defense-minister/", "http://comptroller.defense.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/fy2016/budget_justification/pdfs/02_Procurement/MDA_PROCUREMENT_MasterJustificationBook_Missile_Defense_Agency_PB_2016_1.pdf", "http://m.koreatimes.co.kr/phone/news/view.jsp?req_newsidx=206474", "http://www.koreatimes.co.kr/www/news/nation/2016/06/205_207116.html", "http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2016/06/24/Seoul-THAAD-can-intercept-North-Korea-Musudan-missiles/1941466774982/", "http://www.koreatimesus.com/seoul-washington-discussing-location-of-thaad-deployment/", "http://koreajoongangdaily.joins.com/news/article/article.aspx?aid=3020651&cloc=joongangdaily%7Chome%7Cnewslist2", "https://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:iaiAIG54eZ8J:english.yonhapnews.co.kr/news/2016/06/15/69/0200000000AEN20160615001300315F.html+&cd=1&hl=en&ct=clnk&gl=au&client=opera", "http://nation.com.pk/international/24-Jun-2016/kim-says-new-missile-can-strike-us-pacific-bases"] | binary | [["2016-04-05", 0.825], ["2016-04-05", 0.25], ["2016-04-05", 0.205], ["2016-04-05", 0.28], ["2016-04-05", 0.28], ["2016-04-05", 0.28], ["2016-04-05", 0.27], ["2016-04-06", 0.29], ["2016-04-06", 0.27], ["2016-04-06", 0.235], ["2016-04-06", 0.235], ["2016-04-06", 0.275], ["2016-04-06", 0.225], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-06", 0.2], ["2016-04-07", 0.2], ["2016-04-07", 0.205], ["2016-04-07", 0.18], ["2016-04-07", 0.16], ["2016-04-07", 0.16], ["2016-04-07", 0.15], 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0.0], ["2016-06-29", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-06-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/173 | This question resolved on 30 June 2016: While talks are progressing, no announcement has been made (<a href="http://english.yonhapnews.co.kr/national/2016/06/25/0301000000AEN20160625000400315.html" target="_blank">Yonhap News Agency</a>)
South Korea and the US began high level talks on deployment of THAAD in the wake of North Korea's nuclear test and missile launch (<a href="http://www.usfk.mil/Media/News/tabid/12660/Article/651588/rok-us-joint-announcement.aspx" target="_blank">U.S. Forces Korea</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-northkorea-satellite-missiledefense-idUSKCN0VH034" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/1931667/us-offers-brief-china-over-deployment-thaad-missile" target="_blank">South China Morning Post</a>).
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2016-05-09 | 2016-04-12 | ["http://deadline.com/2016/03/batman-v-superman-dawn-of-justice-opening-box-office-results-international-1201725677/", "http://www.zueritipp.ch/kino/kino/krawumm-/story/11259154/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/04/26/gitrep-25apr16pm/", "http://deadline.com/2016/05/captain-america-civil-war-jungle-book-huntsman-batman-superman-international-box-office-weekend-results-1201747374/", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4182&p=.htm", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=similar&id=marvel2016.htm", "http://deadline.com/2016/04/captain-america-box-office-opening-international-results-1201745767/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/219439", "http://www.fandango.com/movie-news/captain-america-civil-war-is-outselling-all-previous-marvel-movies-plus-fandangos-most-anticipated-summer-movies-750765", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?id=avengers2.htm", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/", "http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/weekends/", "http://m.screendaily.com/5103203.article", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/01/gitrep-1may16am/", "http://screenrant.com/captain-america-civil-war-opening-weekend/", "http://www.comingsoon.net/movies/news/682177-captain-america-civil-war-international-box-office-up-to-84-million#/slide/1", "http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/captain-america-winter-soldier-tracking-688364", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/gitrep-8may16am/", "http://deadline.com/2015/04/international-box-office-avengers-age-of-ultron-furious-7-paul-blart-home-1201416588/", "http://www.latino-review.com/news/captain-america-civil-war-breaks-new-fandango-record-as-top-pre-seller-among-superhero-movies", "http://www.indiewire.com/article/captain-america-civil-war-review-marvel-chris-evans", "http://deadline.com/2016/04/captain-america-civil-war-box-office-opening-records-1201744563/", "http://www.imdb.com/title/tt3498820/releaseinfo?mode=desktop", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/03/gitrep-2may16pm/", "https://www.google.com/trends/explore#q=%2Fm%2F0jzt8tx%2C%20%2Fm%2F0wrshm2%2C%20%2Fm%2F0cc846d%2C%20%2Fm%2F0125zrjx%2C%20%2Fm%2F0n15g8q&geo=US&cmpt=q&tz=Etc%2FGMT-2"] | binary | [["2016-04-12", 0.0], ["2016-04-12", 0.005], ["2016-04-12", 0.05], ["2016-04-12", 0.6], ["2016-04-12", 0.6], ["2016-04-12", 0.82], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.95], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-12", 0.9], ["2016-04-13", 0.9], ["2016-04-13", 0.875], ["2016-04-13", 0.85], ["2016-04-13", 0.85], ["2016-04-13", 0.85], ["2016-04-13", 0.85], ["2016-04-13", 0.8], ["2016-04-13", 0.825], ["2016-04-13", 0.85], ["2016-04-13", 0.855], ["2016-04-13", 0.855], ["2016-04-13", 0.855], ["2016-04-13", 0.86], ["2016-04-13", 0.855], ["2016-04-13", 0.86], ["2016-04-13", 0.895], ["2016-04-13", 0.875], ["2016-04-13", 0.9], ["2016-04-13", 0.92], ["2016-04-13", 0.92], 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["2016-05-06", 0.99], ["2016-05-06", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-07", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99], ["2016-05-08", 0.99]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/176 | "Batman vs. Superman: Dawn of Justice", produced by rival D.C. Comics, grossed $166,007,347 in its opening weekend (<a href="http://www.boxofficemojo.com/movies/?page=weekend&id=superman2015.htm" target="_blank">Box Office Mojo</a>). "Captain America: Civil War", the next installment from Marvel Studios, opens in the United States on Friday 6 May. Question will be resolved using data from <a href="http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/" target="_blank">Box Office Mojo</a>.
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"http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-gops-chances-of-holding-the-senate-are-following-trump-downhill/", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/ohio/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Ohio,_2016#Polling_3", "http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-congress-senate", "http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2016/09/national_democrats_pull_more_m.html#incart_river_home", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/ohio-senate-ads-ted-strickland-super-pac-227542", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/313845", "http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/local/2016/08/30/democratic-group-begins-canceling-ads-supporting-ted-strickland.html", "http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/ticket-splitters-could-be-key-vulnerable-gop-senate-incumbents-n633751", "http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2016/09/is_it_too_late_for_ted_strickl.html#incart_river_home", 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["2016-11-07", 0.98], ["2016-11-08", 0.98], ["2016-11-08", 0.98], ["2016-11-08", 0.98], ["2016-11-08", 0.98]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/178 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Rob Portman (R - OH) won his bid for reelection on November 8 against Democratic challenger Ted Strickland. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
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Senator Rob Portman is facing former Governor Ted Strickland in the 2016 elections (<a href="http://www.cleveland.com/open/index.ssf/2016/04/ted_strickland_seeks_five_us_s.html" target="_blank">Cleveland.com</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/04/the-top-10-senate-races-in-2016/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
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2016-11-16 | 2016-04-15 | [] | binary | [["2016-04-15", 0.44], ["2016-04-15", 0.475], ["2016-04-15", 0.34], ["2016-04-15", 0.325], ["2016-04-15", 0.28], ["2016-04-15", 0.26], ["2016-04-15", 0.26], ["2016-04-15", 0.3], ["2016-04-15", 0.28], ["2016-04-15", 0.3], ["2016-04-15", 0.31], ["2016-04-15", 0.25], ["2016-04-15", 0.2], ["2016-04-16", 0.235], ["2016-04-16", 0.25], ["2016-04-16", 0.22], ["2016-04-16", 0.22], ["2016-04-16", 0.22], ["2016-04-16", 0.22], ["2016-04-16", 0.215], ["2016-04-17", 0.19], ["2016-04-17", 0.205], ["2016-04-17", 0.195], ["2016-04-17", 0.19], ["2016-04-17", 0.165], ["2016-04-17", 0.16], ["2016-04-17", 0.14], ["2016-04-17", 0.13], ["2016-04-17", 0.15], ["2016-04-18", 0.15], ["2016-04-18", 0.15], ["2016-04-18", 0.15], ["2016-04-18", 0.15], ["2016-04-18", 0.16], ["2016-04-18", 0.165], ["2016-04-18", 0.165], ["2016-04-18", 0.165], ["2016-04-18", 0.18], ["2016-04-18", 0.19], ["2016-04-19", 0.2], ["2016-04-19", 0.2], ["2016-04-19", 0.215], ["2016-04-20", 0.215], 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["2016-10-25", 0.05], ["2016-10-25", 0.05], ["2016-10-25", 0.05], ["2016-10-25", 0.05], ["2016-10-26", 0.05], ["2016-10-27", 0.05], ["2016-10-27", 0.05], ["2016-10-28", 0.05], ["2016-10-28", 0.05], ["2016-10-28", 0.05], ["2016-10-29", 0.05], ["2016-10-30", 0.05], ["2016-10-30", 0.05], ["2016-10-30", 0.05], ["2016-10-30", 0.05], ["2016-10-30", 0.05], ["2016-10-31", 0.05], ["2016-10-31", 0.05], ["2016-10-31", 0.05], ["2016-10-31", 0.05], ["2016-11-01", 0.05], ["2016-11-01", 0.05], ["2016-11-02", 0.05], ["2016-11-02", 0.06], ["2016-11-02", 0.06], ["2016-11-02", 0.065], ["2016-11-03", 0.065], ["2016-11-03", 0.07], ["2016-11-03", 0.06], ["2016-11-03", 0.07], ["2016-11-04", 0.075], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.08], ["2016-11-04", 0.1], ["2016-11-04", 0.1], ["2016-11-04", 0.1], ["2016-11-04", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-05", 0.1], ["2016-11-06", 0.1], ["2016-11-06", 0.1], ["2016-11-06", 0.11], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-07", 0.1], ["2016-11-08", 0.115], ["2016-11-08", 0.125], ["2016-11-08", 0.13], ["2016-11-08", 0.14], ["2016-11-08", 0.14]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/177 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Ron Johnson (R - WI) won his bid for reelection against Russ Feingold on November 8. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
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<hr>
Senator Ron Johnson is facing former Senator Russ Feingold in the 2016 elections (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/14/politics/russ-feingold-ron-johnson-wisconsin-senate-race/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/03/04/the-top-10-senate-races-in-2016/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
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2016-05-25 | 2016-04-19 | ["https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/People%27s_Experts", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Society_of_Seminary_Teachers_of_Qom", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/242675", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/239135", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pervasive_Coalition_of_Reformists", "http://www.khobreganemellat.net/en/MajlesMemberList.html?CategoryItemID=1012", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/240310", "https://translate.googleusercontent.com/translate_c?depth=1&nv=1&rurl=translate.google.com&sl=fa&tl=en&u=http://www.khabaronline.ir/detail/509323/root/Politics&usg=ALkJrhgsAdouOUxjUdkaAS-HxLD10WhDEA", "http://www.irantracker.org/iran-news-round-may-11-2016", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/04/17/iran-unveils-s-300-missile-defence-system-at-army-day-parade/", "http://irandataportal.syr.edu/the-assembly-of-experts", "http://www7.irna.ir/en/News/82081833/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Assembly_of_Experts_election,_2016", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iranian_Assembly_of_Experts_election,_2016#Provinces_with_4_seats_and_less", "http://www.irantracker.org/iran-news-round-may-19-2016", "http://en.mehrnews.com/news/116806/Jannati-next-chair-of-Iran-s-Assembly-of-Experts", "http://thefederalist.com/2016/05/23/the-iran-deal-wasnt-about-nukes-at-all/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/05/24/nra-threatens-iran-with-video-about-men-who-wrestle-alligators/", "http://www.tehrantimes.com/news/402756/Ayatollah-Amini-to-run-for-Assembly-of-Experts-chair", "http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/192197#.Vz_qvpOGOu4", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "http://www.iran-daily.com/News/151733.html", "http://www.criticalthreats.org/iran-news-round-may-19-2016", "https://www.desmos.com/calculator/rcqb67ltoi", "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-05/24/c_135384578.htm"] | binary | [["2016-04-19", 0.85], ["2016-04-19", 0.8], ["2016-04-19", 0.5], 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["2016-05-08", 0.93], ["2016-05-08", 0.925], ["2016-05-08", 0.925], ["2016-05-08", 0.93], ["2016-05-08", 0.93], ["2016-05-08", 0.935], ["2016-05-08", 0.945], ["2016-05-08", 0.945], ["2016-05-09", 0.95], ["2016-05-09", 0.95], ["2016-05-09", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-10", 0.95], ["2016-05-11", 0.95], ["2016-05-11", 0.95], ["2016-05-11", 0.95], ["2016-05-11", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-12", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-13", 0.95], ["2016-05-14", 0.95], ["2016-05-14", 0.95], ["2016-05-14", 0.95], ["2016-05-14", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-15", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-16", 0.95], ["2016-05-17", 0.95], ["2016-05-17", 0.95], ["2016-05-17", 0.95], ["2016-05-17", 0.95], ["2016-05-18", 0.95], ["2016-05-18", 0.95], ["2016-05-18", 0.95], ["2016-05-18", 0.95], ["2016-05-19", 0.95], ["2016-05-19", 0.95], ["2016-05-19", 0.95], ["2016-05-19", 0.95], ["2016-05-19", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-20", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-21", 0.95], ["2016-05-22", 0.95], ["2016-05-22", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-23", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.95], ["2016-05-24", 0.925], ["2016-05-24", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.9]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/180 | The next chairman of Iran's Assembly of Experts will be selected in May 2016 (<a href = "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/03/iran-assembly-of-experts-internal-election-chairmanship.html" target = "_blank">Al-Monitor</a>, <a href = "http://www.middleeasteye.net/columns/reasons-why-khamenei-re-asserting-his-authority-iranian-politics-2068068246" target = "_blank">Middle East Eye</a>). For more information on the "People's Expert's List" and the "List of Hope" see <a href = "http://iranprimer.usip.org/blog/2016/feb/24/irans-election-coalitions" target = "_blank">Iran primer</a>.
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<a href = "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/153-will-keiko-fujimori-win-peru-s-upcoming-presidential-election" target = "_blank">Will Keiko Fujimori win Peru's upcoming presidential election?</a> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-05-24 | Will a candidate included on the "List of Hope" or the "People's Expert's List" be elected as the next chairman of Iran's Assembly of Experts? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-10-18 | 2016-04-19 | ["http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/24/us/politics/iran-embassy-state-department.html", "http://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2016/08/15/1158741/iran-should-brace-for-huge-sanctions-official-warns", "http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2016/06/258493.htm", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/13/iran-sends-ships-to-yemeni-coast-in-wake-of-u-s-strikes/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/23/world/middleeast/with-boeing-deal-americans-are-coming-to-iran.html?_r=0", "https://www.eda.admin.ch/countries/iran/en/home/representations/embassy-of-switzerland-foreign-interests-section.html", "http://www.local10.com/news/politics/us-official-navy-aircraft-threatened-with-shoot-down-by-iran", "http://www.cnn.com/2015/08/14/world/u-s--embassy-reopens-cuba-havana/", "http://en.alalam.ir/news/1866342", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-iran-military-idUSKCN10Z2OP", "http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/08/24/harassing-situation-iranian-vessels-come-within-300-yards-us-navy-ship", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-exemptions-exclusive-idUSKCN1173LA", "http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2016/Jul-19/362767-iran-hard-liners-gain-power-in-backlash-against-rouhani.ashx", "http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/JCPOA_Exemptions_Revealed_1Sept2016_Final1.pdf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-banking-insight-idUSKCN1091QM", "http://www.nationalreview.com/article/432516/iran-nuclear-deal-iaea-reports-violations-disclosure", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/pope-francis-welcomes-irans-president-to-the-vatican-1453808307", "http://www.worldpoliticsreview.com/articles/19827/nuclear-deal-does-little-to-change-iran-s-engagement-with-the-world", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/07/iran-new-poll-disappointment-nuclear-deal-jcpoa.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-usa-rouhani-idUSKCN0T118K20151112", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-threatened-to-shoot-down-u-s-surveillance-planes-1473794715", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cuba%E2%80%93United_States_relations#Vision_for_.22democratic_transition.22", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/08/world/middleeast/how-an-iranians-spy-saga-ends-6-years-later-hes-executed.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=second-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news&_r=0", "http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/218560", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Embassy_of_the_United_States,_Tehran"] | binary | [["2016-04-19", 0.225], ["2016-04-19", 0.75], ["2016-04-19", 0.05], ["2016-04-19", 0.0], ["2016-04-19", 0.005], ["2016-04-19", 0.0], ["2016-04-19", 0.02], ["2016-04-20", 0.04], ["2016-04-20", 0.04], ["2016-04-20", 0.04], ["2016-04-20", 0.045], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], ["2016-04-20", 0.075], ["2016-04-20", 0.1], ["2016-04-20", 0.1], ["2016-04-20", 0.1], ["2016-04-20", 0.1], ["2016-04-20", 0.1], ["2016-04-20", 0.05], 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As of this date, the US has not announced plans to open a consulate or an embassy in Iran.
The US has not had formal diplomatic offices in Iran since 1980, when diplomatic relations were severed after the hostage crisis (<a href = "http://www.state.gov/r/pa/ei/bgn/5314.htm" target = "_blank">State Department</a>).
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2017-01-06 | 2016-04-19 | ["http://www.theglobeandmail.com//news/world/abruptly-dropped-charges-against-minister-a-fresh-defeat-for-zuma/article32589827/", "http://www.fin24.com/BizNews/how-world-sees-sa-zuma-now-increasingly-vulnerable-after-latest-bombshells-20161018", "http://www.timeslive.co.za/politics/2016/11/11/Did-35-ANC-MPs-who-missed-the-Zuma-no-confidence-motion-vote-with-their-feet", "http://www.newsweek.com/jacob-zuma-south-africa-president-survive-anc-voters-522723?rx=us", "http://www.rdm.co.za/politics/2016/10/26/politics-live-anc-leadership-quashed-rebellion-against-zuma", "http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2016-11-03-explainer-misconceptions-about-a-no-confidence-vote/#.WB53yNR97iw", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/28/world/africa/jacob-zuma-south-africa-anc.html?emc=edit_ae_20161128&nl=todaysheadlines-asia&nlid=77825025", "http://qz.com/825789/state-capture-jacob-zuma-the-guptas-and-corruption-in-south-africa/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/368222", "http://www.biznews.com/leadership/2016/10/25/south-africans-mobilise-to-save-sa-from-state-capture-can-they-eject-zuma", "http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2016-11-27-analysis-should-zuma-lose-the-dominoes-would-fall/#.WDu-sNR97iw", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/south-africas-jacob-zuma-defeats-no-confidence-vote-in-parliament/articleshow/55359293.cms", "https://www.enca.com/south-africa/anc-nec-called-to-resign", "http://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2016-11-28-the-endgame-zuma-on-the-ropes-as-anc-tactical-manoeuvre-unfolds/#.WDvDP9R97iw", "http://abokifx.com/south-africa-reclaims-spot-africas-second-biggest-economy-business-tech/", "http://www.iol.co.za/news/politics/anc-meeting-extended-zumas-fate-uncertain-2093875", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/388341", "http://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/anc-turns-on-zuma-20161126", "http://www.fin24.com/Economy/zuma-days-are-numbered-as-crisis-deepens-20161102", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37833372", "http://www.news24.com/SouthAfrica/News/tell-the-world-its-democracy-zuma-to-ambassadors-20161018", "http://www.amazon.com/Africa-2016-2017-World-Today-Stryker/dp/1475829027/ref=sr_1_2?s=books&ie=UTF8&qid=1478114131&sr=1-2&keywords=africa+the+world+today", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-37845606", "https://www.ft.com/content/d9e72242-a1e1-11e6-82c3-4351ce86813f", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/nov/02/protests-in-pretoria-as-south-africans-call-for-jacob-zuma-to-resign"] | binary | [["2016-04-19", 0.475], ["2016-04-19", 0.2], ["2016-04-19", 0.125], ["2016-04-19", 0.15], ["2016-04-19", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.06], ["2016-04-20", 0.055], ["2016-04-20", 0.06], ["2016-04-20", 0.09], ["2016-04-20", 0.07], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-20", 0.08], ["2016-04-21", 0.065], ["2016-04-21", 0.08], ["2016-04-21", 0.09], ["2016-04-21", 0.1], ["2016-04-22", 0.1], ["2016-04-22", 0.09], ["2016-04-22", 0.1], 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["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/182 | This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Calls for Zuma to be replaced as president have intensified amidst corruption allegations and a surprise ministerial shakeup which spurred further decline in the South African rand (<a href = "http://www.vox.com/2016/4/12/11408788/zuma-south-africa-crisis" target = "_blank">Vox</a>, <a href = "http://www.theafricareport.com/Southern-Africa/pressure-mounts-on-south-africas-zuma-to-step-down.html" target ="_blank">Africa Report</a>, <a href = "http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/05/jacob-zuma-impeachment-nkandla-scandal-african-national-congress-south-africa" target = "_blank">Guardian</a>, and <a href = "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-12-11/just-how-vulnerable-is-south-africa-president-zuma-s-position-" target = "_blank">Bloomberg</a>). In the event that Zuma reportedly disappears or flees the capital, the administrator will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Zuma returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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2017-04-20 | 2016-04-19 | ["https://www.ft.com/content/f86a3c6c-9c60-11e6-a6e4-8b8e77dd083a", "https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/12/tesco-running-low-key-unilever-brands-price-row-supplier-supermarket-falling-pound", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-38300919", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-10-18/u-k-inflation-rate-surges-to-highest-in-almost-two-years", "http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21709015-not-first-time-relatively-poor-households-who-tended-vote-leave-will-suffer?frsc=dg%7Cc", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/united-states/gdp-growth", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-37799235", "http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/gdpnewsrelease.htm", "https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2016/oct/28/brexit-apple-mac-customers-prices-rise-us-dollar-pound-sterling", "http://www.economicshelp.org/macroeconomics/macroessays/does-devaluation-cause-inflation/", "https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/timeseries/d7g7/mm23", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/canada/inflation-cpi", "https://www.ft.com/content/511f43d1-315a-3a11-94c7-f5b141930c31", "https://data.oecd.org/price/inflation-forecast.htm", "http://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2016/tech3q16_2nd.htm", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/29/business/economy/us-economy-grew-at-3-2-rate-in-3rd-quarter.html", "http://money.cnn.com/2016/10/28/news/economy/us-economic-growth-gdp-third-quarter/", "https://www.theguardian.com/business/2016/oct/04/britain-fastest-growing-g7-economy-imf-international-monetary-fund-brexit-vote", "http://news.sky.com/story/morrisons-hikes-price-of-marmite-weeks-after-tesco-price-row-with-unilever-10635718", "https://knoema.com/", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/business/2016/10/28/british-airways-parent-iag-cuts-profit-outlook-in-tough-environm/", "http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/economy-to-defy-brexit-fears-dgz3k9rf9", "http://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/business/jump-in-us-gdp-boosts-case-for-rate-rise-this-year-73g5vxk76", "http://www.cnbc.com/2016/11/29/us-q3-gross-domestic-product.html", "https://www.dailyfx.com/forex/market_alert/2016/10/04/IMF-Cuts-Global-Growth-Projections-Amid-Woes-in-Advanced-Economies.html"] | binary | [["2016-04-19", 0.525], ["2016-04-19", 0.65], ["2016-04-19", 0.415], ["2016-04-19", 0.31], ["2016-04-19", 0.43], ["2016-04-20", 0.31], ["2016-04-20", 0.35], ["2016-04-20", 0.39], ["2016-04-20", 0.355], ["2016-04-20", 0.29], ["2016-04-20", 0.29], ["2016-04-20", 0.25], ["2016-04-20", 0.225], ["2016-04-20", 0.25], ["2016-04-20", 0.3], ["2016-04-20", 0.39], ["2016-04-20", 0.3], ["2016-04-20", 0.39], ["2016-04-21", 0.42], ["2016-04-21", 0.47], ["2016-04-21", 0.42], ["2016-04-21", 0.45], ["2016-04-21", 0.46], ["2016-04-21", 0.485], ["2016-04-21", 0.485], ["2016-04-22", 0.5], ["2016-04-22", 0.5], ["2016-04-22", 0.46], ["2016-04-22", 0.46], ["2016-04-22", 0.32], ["2016-04-22", 0.295], 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["2016-11-02", 0.055], ["2016-11-03", 0.06], ["2016-11-04", 0.06], ["2016-11-05", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.06], ["2016-11-08", 0.055], ["2016-11-10", 0.055], ["2016-11-11", 0.05], ["2016-11-11", 0.05], ["2016-11-12", 0.05], ["2016-11-12", 0.05], ["2016-11-12", 0.05], ["2016-11-14", 0.05], ["2016-11-14", 0.05], ["2016-11-14", 0.05], ["2016-11-16", 0.05], ["2016-11-17", 0.05], ["2016-11-18", 0.05], ["2016-11-18", 0.05], ["2016-11-19", 0.05], ["2016-11-22", 0.05], ["2016-11-22", 0.05], ["2016-11-22", 0.05], ["2016-11-24", 0.05], ["2016-11-26", 0.05], ["2016-11-28", 0.05], ["2016-11-29", 0.05], ["2016-12-01", 0.05], ["2016-12-01", 0.05], ["2016-12-01", 0.05], ["2016-12-02", 0.05], ["2016-12-03", 0.05], ["2016-12-04", 0.05], ["2016-12-05", 0.05], ["2016-12-06", 0.05], ["2016-12-06", 0.05], ["2016-12-06", 0.05], ["2016-12-07", 0.05], ["2016-12-08", 0.05], ["2016-12-09", 0.05], ["2016-12-10", 0.05], ["2016-12-11", 0.05], ["2016-12-12", 0.05], ["2016-12-13", 0.05], ["2016-12-14", 0.05], ["2016-12-15", 0.05], ["2016-12-16", 0.05], ["2016-12-18", 0.05], ["2016-12-18", 0.05], ["2016-12-19", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-21", 0.05], ["2016-12-21", 0.045], ["2016-12-22", 0.045], ["2016-12-23", 0.04], ["2016-12-24", 0.04], ["2016-12-25", 0.04], ["2016-12-26", 0.04], ["2016-12-26", 0.04], ["2016-12-27", 0.04], ["2016-12-27", 0.03], ["2016-12-28", 0.03], ["2016-12-29", 0.035], ["2016-12-29", 0.03], ["2016-12-30", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/183 | Question will be resolved using the IMF's World Economic Outlook database, which releases reports in April and October (<a href = "http://www.imf.org/external/ns/cs.aspx?id=28" target = "_blank">IMF</a>). The relevant indicators are the percent change in GDP using constant prices and the percent change in inflation using average consumer prices. The April 2016 data can be seen <a href = "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/01/weodata/weorept.aspx?sy=2014&ey=2021&ssd=1&sort=subject&ds=.&br=1&pr1.x=59&pr1.y=7&c=156%2C158%2C132%2C112%2C134%2C111%2C136&s=NGDP_RPCH%2CPCPIPCH&grp=0&a=" target = "_blank">here</a>. Question will be suspended on 31 December 2016 and will close when the April 2017 report is released.
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<hr>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. None of the G7 countries experienced GDP growth of more than 2.5% or inflation greater than 2% (<a href = "http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2017/01/weodata/weorept.aspx?sy=2015&ey=2022&scsm=1&ssd=1&sort=subject&ds=.&br=1&pr1.x=47&pr1.y=10&c=156%2C158%2C132%2C112%2C134%2C111%2C136&s=NGDP_RPCH%2CPCPIPCH&grp=0&a="target="_blank">IMF</a>).
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<hr> | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | In 2016 will any of the G7 countries experience either inflation of 2% or more or GDP growth of 2.5% or more? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-11-02 | 2016-04-22 | ["http://toyotanews.pressroom.toyota.com/releases/tms-september-2016-sales-chart.htm", "http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1100377_more-than-1000-people-want-2016-toyota-mirai-hydrogen-fuel-cell-vehicles", "http://www.autoblog.com/2016/06/20/california-government-deal-toyota-mirai-fleet/", "https://www.gov.ca.gov/news.php?id=19515", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/329547", "https://cleanvehiclerebate.org/eng", "http://pressroom.toyota.com/article_display.cfm?article_id=5692", "http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1106296_price-cut-and-monthly-sales-spike-for-toyota-mirai-fuel-cell-sedan", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/336048", "http://hondanews.eu/eu/en/corporate/media/pressreleases/77303/honda-set-to-resume-production-at-kumamoto-factory", "http://www.breakingnews.com/topic/kumamoto-prefecture-jp/", "http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2015/09/toyota-mirai-sales-figures-usa-canada-monthly-yearly.html", "https://www.fremont.gov/2295/SunShares-Program", "http://newsroom.toyota.co.jp/en/corporate/companyinformation/manufacturing", "http://earthquaketrack.com/p/japan/kumamoto/recent", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/319051", "http://www.autoblog.com/2016/09/21/toyota-mirai-lease-rate-dropped-349-month/", "http://www.hybridcars.com/california-governments-add-toyota-mirai-fuel-cell-cars-to-their-fleets/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/330642", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=oOUjqxec4bA", "http://left-lane.com/us-car-sales-data/toyota/toyota-mirai/", "http://newsroom.toyota.co.jp/en/detail/11935925", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zLAlen2RvnI", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/319229", "http://www.toyotanewsroom.com/releases/tms-august-2016-sales-chart.htm"] | binary | [["2016-04-22", 0.33], ["2016-04-22", 0.375], ["2016-04-22", 0.35], ["2016-04-22", 0.34], ["2016-04-22", 0.295], ["2016-04-22", 0.33], ["2016-04-22", 0.3], ["2016-04-22", 0.29], 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1.0], ["2016-10-19", 1.0], ["2016-10-19", 1.0], ["2016-10-21", 1.0], ["2016-10-21", 1.0], ["2016-10-21", 1.0], ["2016-10-21", 1.0], ["2016-10-22", 1.0], ["2016-10-23", 1.0], ["2016-10-24", 1.0], ["2016-10-24", 1.0], ["2016-10-24", 1.0], ["2016-10-26", 1.0], ["2016-10-26", 1.0], ["2016-10-27", 1.0], ["2016-10-28", 1.0], ["2016-10-30", 1.0], ["2016-10-31", 1.0], ["2016-11-01", 1.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/184 | This question was closed with the correct answer "Yes" with an end date of 1 November 2016. <a href="http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2015/09/toyota-mirai-sales-figures-usa-canada-monthly-yearly.html" target="_blank">Good Car Bad Car</a> reports that Toyota sold 103 Mirai in October, pushing their yearly sales total to 813.
The Mirai is Toyota's first commercially launched fuel cell-powered electric vehicle (<a href = "https://ssl.toyota.com/mirai/fcv.html" target = "_blank">Mirai</a>, <a href = "http://www.forbes.com/sites/brookecrothers/2015/07/20/toyota-on-mirai-vs-tesla-battery-electric-vehicles-have-fundamental-physics-problem/" target = "_blank">Forbes 1</a>, <a href = "http://www.forbes.com/sites/lianeyvkoff/2016/01/31/hydrogen-vehicles-are-here-and-expensive/#6b9839715612" target = "_blank">Forbes 2</a>). In late 2014, Toyota announced the goal of selling 3,000 Mirai in the U.S. by the end of 2017 (<a href = "http://www.forbes.com/sites/brookecrothers/2015/07/27/taking-on-tesla-toyota-mirai-fuel-cell-vehicle-infrastructure-hurdles-interview/#65eb48b42e59" target = "_blank">Forbes 3</a>). However, only 72 were sold in the last three months of 2015 (<a href = "http://corporatenews.pressroom.toyota.com/releases/tms+december+2015+sales+chart.htm" target = "_blank">Toyota</a>).
<a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Mirai_trimmed.jpg" target="_blank"><img src="https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/b/ba/Mirai_trimmed.jpg" height=200> </a>
<small>Image source: Wikimedia Commons. Click on the image for more info.</small>
Toyota Mirai sales data can be tracked both during and after the challenge <a href = "http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2015/09/toyota-mirai-sales-figures-usa-canada-monthly-yearly.html" target = "_blank">here</a>. Note that sales figures reported include all vehicles acquired by a customer, regardless of how that customer is defined or what kind of payment they made in order to register the vehicle. Hence, sales figures also include leases, and refers to both individual and business customers.
The question will be suspended on 31 December 2016 and will be closed when the 2016 data is released. | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-11-01 | Will Toyota sell or lease more than 750 Mirai in the US in 2016? | gjopen | 1 |
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"http://ev-sales.blogspot.de/2016/12/china-november-2016.html", "http://evobsession.com/baic-takes-gold-bronze-october-china/", "http://www.ev-volumes.com/country/china/", "http://www.scmp.com/business/companies/article/2018663/chinese-auto-group-slashes-new-energy-vehicle-forecast-wake", "https://cleantechnica.com/2016/12/22/china-electric-cars-sales-record-43441-november/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-autoshow-china-electric-idUSKBN14V1H3?il=0", "http://www.caam.org.cn/hangye/20170206/1005204431.html", "http://www.caam.org.cn/AutomotivesStatistics/20170222/0905205351.html", "http://www.caam.org.cn/zhengceyanjiu/20161121/1005201237.html", "http://www.shanghaidaily.com/business/auto/Newenergy-vehicle-sales-to-surge-over-50/shdaily.shtml", "http://www.hybridcars.com/chinese-analysts-concerned-electric-car-sales-need-more-than-subsidies-to-succeed/", "http://www.caam.org.cn/AutomotivesStatistics/20161103/0905200308.html", 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0.22], ["2016-11-22", 0.22], ["2016-11-22", 0.2], ["2016-11-23", 0.2], ["2016-11-23", 0.2], ["2016-11-26", 0.2], ["2016-11-28", 0.19], ["2016-11-30", 0.15], ["2016-12-01", 0.15], ["2016-12-02", 0.15], ["2016-12-02", 0.15], ["2016-12-03", 0.15], ["2016-12-04", 0.15], ["2016-12-05", 0.125], ["2016-12-06", 0.12], ["2016-12-07", 0.11], ["2016-12-09", 0.11], ["2016-12-10", 0.1], ["2016-12-11", 0.1], ["2016-12-12", 0.1], ["2016-12-13", 0.1], ["2016-12-15", 0.1], ["2016-12-17", 0.1], ["2016-12-19", 0.1], ["2016-12-19", 0.1], ["2016-12-20", 0.1], ["2016-12-22", 0.1], ["2016-12-22", 0.1], ["2016-12-23", 0.1], ["2016-12-23", 0.1], ["2016-12-24", 0.1], ["2016-12-24", 0.1], ["2016-12-26", 0.1], ["2016-12-27", 0.1], ["2016-12-27", 0.08], ["2016-12-29", 0.09], ["2016-12-29", 0.08], ["2016-12-30", 0.08], ["2016-12-31", 0.07], ["2016-12-31", 0.07]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/187 | This question was resolved as "yes" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The English Language press releases on the Chinese Association of Automotive Statistics have not included annual sales for electric vehicles in 2016 (<a href = "http://www.caam.org.cn/AutomotivesStatistics/20160120/1305184260.html"target="_blank">CAAM</a>), but the Chinese language press release (<a href = "http://www.caam.org.cn/xiehuidongtai/20170112/1505203997.html"target="_blank">CAAM</a>) shows that 507,000 electric vehicles were sold in 2016. The numbers increased 63.9% and 65.1% respectively comparing to the year before, with 409,000 BEV units sold and 98,000 PHEV units sold.
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In 2012 the Chinese government set a target of reaching 500,000 annual unit sales of electric vehicles by 2015 (<a href = "http://www.forbes.com/sites/greatspeculations/2014/05/30/china-poised-for-plug-in-electric-vehicle-volume-growth-going-forward/" target = "_blank">Forbes</a>, <a href = "http://cleantechnica.com/2016/03/19/chinas-electric-cars-sales-boom-to-continue-sales-to-double-in-2016-china-minister-states/" target = "_blank">CleanTechnica</a>, <a href = "http://www.scientificamerican.com/article/in-coal-powered-china-electric-car-surge-fuels-fear-of-worsening-smog/" target = "_blank">Scientific American</a>). In 2015, electric vehicle sales, including battery electric vehicles (BEVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), in China were 331,092 (<a href = "http://www.caam.org.cn/AutomotivesStatistics/20160120/1305184260.html" target = "_blank">China Association of Automobile Manufacturers</a>).
The question will be suspended on 31 December 2016 and will be closed when the 2016 data is released by the <a href = "http://www.caam.org.cn/english/newslist/a101-1.html" target = "_blank">China Association of Automobile Manufacturers’ (CAAM) website</a>. Monthly and yearly data on electric vehicle sales are included in periodic press releases titled "New Energy Vehicles." The January release is cited above.
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2017-03-03 | 2016-04-22 | ["http://themarketmogul.com/the-electric-car-might-spell-the-death-of-oil-heres-why/", "http://www.hybridcars.com/gm-ev-battery-cells-down-to-145kwh-and-still-falling/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/394422", "http://www.topspeed.com/cars/car-news/study-shows-that-electric-cars-could-take-over-wealthy-cities-as-early-as-2030-ar174822.html", "http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Will-Electric-Cars-Be-Cost-Competitive-By-2020.html", "http://www.power-technology.com/features/featureunder-the-skin-of-teslas-gigafactory-5649122/", "http://gas2.org/2016/11/04/video-tesla-fire-shows-bursting-battery-cells/", "https://googleblog.blogspot.com/2009/12/personalized-search-for-everyone.html", "http://www.valuewalk.com/2016/11/tesla-gigafactory-construction/", "http://www.fool.com/investing/2016/10/26/falling-battery-prices-will-open-up-world-of-innov.aspx", "http://pubs.aeaweb.org/doi/pdfplus/10.1257/jep.30.1.117", "https://mackinstitute.wharton.upenn.edu/2016/are-affordable-electric-vehicle-batteries-on-the-horizon/", "http://evobsession.com/ev-battery-manufacturer-sales-market-share-march-2015/", "http://www.thedetroitbureau.com/2016/10/second-daimler-plant-to-yield-400-increase-in-battery-production/", "http://auto.economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/auto-technology/toyota-finally-tames-lithium-ion-battery-technology/55153819", "http://www.autoblog.com/2015/10/08/gm-li-ion-battery-cost-per-kwh-already-down-to-145/", "http://www.economist.com/news/special-report/21710635-what-changes-driving-habits-and-improved-batteries-might-do-oil-demand-coming", "http://www.wikiwand.com/en/Tesla_Motors", "http://www.altenergymag.com/article/2016/10/tesla-apple-and-uber-push-lithium-prices-even-higher/24941/", "http://www.autoevolution.com/news/ev-branching-puts-financial-strain-on-mercedes-benz-ceo-plans-budget-cuts-112097.html", "http://www.nrel.gov/docs/fy16osti/66086.pdf", "http://www.teslacentral.com/panasonic-exclusive-battery-supplier-tesla-model-s-x-and-3", "https://www.bbhub.io/bnef/sites/4/2016/10/BNEF_McKinsey_The-Future-of-Mobility_11-10-16.pdf", "https://62e528761d0685343e1c-f3d1b99a743ffa4142d9d7f1978d9686.ssl.cf2.rackcdn.com/files/77181/area14mp/image-20150407-26476-25dolr.jpg", "http://www.hybridcars.com/october-2016-dashboard/"] | binary | [["2016-04-22", 0.28], ["2016-04-22", 0.165], ["2016-04-22", 0.58], ["2016-04-22", 0.465], ["2016-04-22", 0.45], ["2016-04-22", 0.55], ["2016-04-22", 0.55], ["2016-04-22", 0.55], ["2016-04-22", 0.55], ["2016-04-22", 0.55], ["2016-04-22", 0.72], ["2016-04-22", 0.72], ["2016-04-22", 0.5], ["2016-04-22", 0.5], ["2016-04-23", 0.55], ["2016-04-23", 0.625], ["2016-04-23", 0.565], ["2016-04-23", 0.575], ["2016-04-23", 0.625], ["2016-04-23", 0.65], ["2016-04-23", 0.65], ["2016-04-24", 0.65], ["2016-04-24", 0.65], ["2016-04-24", 0.63], ["2016-04-24", 0.565], ["2016-04-24", 0.63], ["2016-04-24", 0.63], 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["2016-12-30", 0.86], ["2016-12-31", 0.87], ["2017-01-01", 0.87]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/185 | This question was closed as "yes" with an end date of 31 December 2016 (<a href="https://mackinstitute.wharton.upenn.edu/2017/electric-vehicle-battery-costs-decline/" target="_blank">The Mack Institute</a>).
<hr>
Lowering the cost of battery packs through R&D investments, manufacturing improvements, and economies of scale is a major consideration for bringing down the price of battery-powered electric vehicles (BEVs) and making them more competitive with gasoline-fueled internal combustion engines.
A study published in Nature Climate Change in 2015 analyzed the cost of battery packs between 2007 and 2014 based on estimates from over 80 different publicly-available data sources. This study calculated that industry-wide average cost of lithium-ion (Li-ion) battery packs declined by approximately 14% annually between 2007 and 2014, from more than US $1,000 per kWh in 2007 to around US $410 per kWh in 2014 (<a href ="http://www.nature.com/nclimate/journal/v5/n4/full/nclimate2564.html" target = "_blank">Nature</a>). If this trend holds through 2016, the industry-wide average cost would be about $300 per kWh.
The <a href = "https://mackinstitute.wharton.upenn.edu/events-and-programs/pvmi/" target = "_blank">Mack Institute</a> will resolve this question by using the same methodology as the Nature Climate Change article. For more information on cost estimates from that article and the methodology used to estimate those costs see (<a href="https://mackinstitute.wharton.upenn.edu/2016/are-affordable-electric-vehicle-batteries-on-the-horizon/" target="_blank">Mack</a>) or the pre-publication <a href="https://www.sei-international.org/mediamanager/documents/Publications/SEI-Nature-pre-pub-2015-falling-costs-battery-packs-BEVs.pdf" target="_blank">version</a> of the article. An explanation of the resolution, along with sources, will be posted on (<a href="https://mackinstitute.wharton.upenn.edu/2016/are-affordable-electric-vehicle-batteries-on-the-horizon/" target="_blank">Mack</a>).
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</sub>
<hr> | Environment & Energy | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-01-01 | Will the 2016 industry-wide average cost of Li-on batteries used in battery-powered electric vehicles be less than $300 per kWh? | gjopen | 1 |
2018-01-02 | 2016-05-03 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/global-markets-idUSL5N18M22Q", "http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/eu-leaders-urged-stick-together-9753827", "http://murciatoday.com/schengen-agreement-suspended-for-a-week-on-spanish_french-border._11465-a.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/gitrep-11may16pm/", "http://www.praguemonitor.com/2016/05/10/intmin-border-checks-odds-eu-legislation", "http://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2017/02/07-prolongation-border-controls/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/231141", "http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/10/16/economist-austria-leave-european-union-brexit/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "http://www.politico.eu/article/hungary-residence-permits-schengen-visa-free-viktor-orban/", "http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-europe-trump-20170203-story.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/367971", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-01-16/merkel-says-europe-controls-its-own-fate-in-rebuff-to-trump", "http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/69a269f6-1825-11e6-bb7d-ee563a5a1cc1.html#axzz48Xd2CV3J", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/sep/13/germany-border-crackdown-deals-blow-to-schengen-system", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-swiss-eu-idUSKCN12Q1OH", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/199-will-the-eu-lift-visa-requirements-for-turkish-citizens-before-july-2016", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-13194723", "http://europa.eu/rapid/midday-express-04-05-2016.htm", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/10/gitrep-9may16pm/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_French_presidential_election,_2017", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/266879", 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0.0], ["2017-10-08", 0.0], ["2017-10-11", 0.0], ["2017-10-14", 0.0], ["2017-10-15", 0.0], ["2017-10-17", 0.0], ["2017-10-19", 0.0], ["2017-10-21", 0.0], ["2017-10-23", 0.0], ["2017-10-25", 0.0], ["2017-10-26", 0.0], ["2017-10-27", 0.0], ["2017-10-29", 0.0], ["2017-10-31", 0.0], ["2017-11-02", 0.0], ["2017-11-03", 0.0], ["2017-11-05", 0.0], ["2017-11-10", 0.0], ["2017-11-11", 0.0], ["2017-11-12", 0.0], ["2017-11-14", 0.0], ["2017-11-16", 0.0], ["2017-11-18", 0.0], ["2017-11-20", 0.0], ["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-23", 0.0], ["2017-11-25", 0.0], ["2017-11-27", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-02", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-05", 0.0], ["2017-12-07", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-11", 0.0], ["2017-12-13", 0.0], ["2017-12-14", 0.0], ["2017-12-16", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-19", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-22", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-26", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/193 | The Schengen Area allows citizens of participating countries to cross each others' borders without border checks (<a href="http://ec.europa.eu/dgs/home-affairs/what-we-do/policies/borders-and-visas/schengen/index_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>, <a href="http://europe.newsweek.com/five-things-you-need-know-about-schengen-agreement-332976" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>, <a href="http://www.ecfr.eu/specials/scorecard/schengen_flash_scorecard" target="_blank">European Council on Foreign Relations</a>). Some EU member states do not participate, but so far no country that has joined the area has subsequently withdrawn. A list of Schengen states can be found <a href="http://www.schengenvisainfo.com/schengen-visa-countries-list/" target="_blank">here</a>.
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There were no official announcements that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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<hr>
| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 2018, will it be officially announced that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-10-18 | 2016-05-03 | ["http://www.tolonews.com/en/afghanistan/26005-meshrano-jirga-approves-presidents-decree-on-electoral-reforms", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/09/the-coming-political-crisis-in-afghanistan/", "http://hamodia.com/2016/09/01/focus-taliban-makes-gains-afghan-politicians-bicker-kabul/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-nato-summit-afghanistan-idUSKCN0ZP0AC", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ijtihad", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/08/opinions/david-miliband-afghanistan-opinion/", "https://books.google.com.br/books?id=26qBFrQhF0AC&pg=PA16&lpg=PA16&dq=Ijtihad+al+afghani&source=bl&ots=L3ywmTbeKV&sig=DqUvvyqgt3sFbvXfjaH1AaELvVk&hl=pt-BR&sa=X&ved=0ahUKEwiP_YDb-KXPAhUFHZAKHRuiD5YQ6AEINjAC#v=onepage&q=Ijtihad%20al%20afghani&f=false", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/09/29/afghan-unity-deal-expires-but-gridlocked-government-remains.html", "http://www.dw.com/en/discord-between-afghan-unity-government-leaders-intensifies/a-19485299", "http://www.tolonews.com/en/afghanistan/27339-ghani-ceo-reach-electoral-reforms-agreement", "http://outlookafghanistan.net/national_detail.php?post_id=16114", "https://www.timeanddate.com/worldclock/afghanistan/kabul", "http://outlookafghanistan.net/national_detail.php?post_id=16144", "http://www.thenational.ae/world/central-asia/afghan-parliament-elections-create-new-political-rifts", "http://www.outlookafghanistan.net/national_detail.php?post_id=15984", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/07/18/us-commander-progress-fighting-taliban-afghanistan/87257034/", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/09/gulbuddin-hekmatyar-group-signs-afghan-peace-deal-160922093420326.html", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/new-afghan-id-cards-the-size-of-a-large-pizza-create-ethnic-spat/2016/08/17/72e8b3ca-63da-11e6-9161-aa7c674b6ede_story.html", "http://www.eurasiareview.com/04092016-game-for-the-throne-more-instability-expected-in-afghanistan-analysis/", "http://www.outlookafghanistan.net/national_detail.php?post_id=15830", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/28/world/asia/afghanistan-corruption-financial-disclosure.html?_r=0", "http://www.voanews.com/a/two-years-after-controversial-afghan-elections-promised-reforms-remain-stalled/3462811.html", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/03/middleeast/taliban-afghanistan-kunduz/", "http://www.kabultribune.com/index.php/2016/09/18/wj-summons-icoic-members-on-electoral-reform-decree/", "http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/us/US-senate-panel-humiliates-Pakistan-again-virtually-calls-it-a-terrorist-state/articleshow/54206542.cms"] | binary | [["2016-05-03", 1.0], ["2016-05-03", 0.815], ["2016-05-03", 0.86], ["2016-05-03", 0.855], ["2016-05-03", 0.28], ["2016-05-03", 0.28], ["2016-05-03", 0.25], ["2016-05-04", 0.25], ["2016-05-04", 0.25], ["2016-05-04", 0.25], ["2016-05-04", 0.32], ["2016-05-04", 0.42], ["2016-05-04", 0.42], ["2016-05-04", 0.42], ["2016-05-04", 0.425], ["2016-05-04", 0.42], 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["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/194 | This question was closed on option b ('No') on 16 October, 2016. The absence of reporting on the Lower House/Wolesi Jirga elections scheduled for 15 October after an <a href="http://www.iec.org.af/media-section/press-releases/546-donduct-2016" target="_blank">Independent Election Commission press release</a> foreboding a possible delay indicates that no elections were in fact held on 15 October.
Elections for Afghanistan's lower house of parliament have been scheduled for 15 October 2016 (<a href="http://thediplomat.com/2016/01/afghanistan-sets-election-date-or-maybe-not/" target="_blank">The Diplomat</a>, <a href="https://www.afghanistan-analysts.org/the-iec-announces-an-election-date/" target="_blank">Afghanistan Analysts Network</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/01/19/world/asia/afghan-panel-sets-election-date-drawing-government-criticism.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
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2017-05-02 | 2016-05-03 | ["http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article59153", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article61547", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/18/world/africa/us-south-sudan-arms-embargo-genocide.html?emc=edit_ee_20161118&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565&_r=0", "https://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com/", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/06/bashir-declares-ceasefire-blue-nile-south-kordofan-160618042942706.html", "https://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com/2015/01/17/statistical-assessments-of-coup-risk-for-2015/", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article58884", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/gitrep-11may16pm/", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article61043", "http://www.usnews.com/opinion/blogs/world-report/2012/11/26/sudans-bashir-government-faces-more-problems-after-failed-coup", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/234466", "http://allafrica.com/stories/201607290097.html", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/africa/gambias-president-refuses-to-step-down-defying-regional-military-intervention/2017/01/20/098a0782-de94-11e6-8902-610fe486791c_story.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/03/omar-al-bashir-attends-islamic-summit-jakarta-160307050734283.html", "https://en.gravatar.com/dartthrowingchimp", "http://edition.cnn.com/2012/11/22/world/africa/sudan-aborted-coup/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-35983518", "http://www.sudantribune.com/spip.php?article58871", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/sudan-appoints-prime-minister-for-first-time-since-1989/2017/03/02/02387b0e-ff4a-11e6-9b78-824ccab94435_story.html?_hsenc=p2ANqtz---_F-yw5-g-TD049YhlnMbGJ7uHoMhuRUd0662Wagthe7d8LLIBUSCYyGe9kj9bQ3mswiyviw3RqB1xNBMcve9Kpe9ig&_hsmi=43762671&utm_campaign=Daily%20Fringe%20&utm_content=43762671&utm_medium=email&utm_source=hs_email&utm_term=.c27c4753eb59", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/gitrep-8may16am/", 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["2017-04-01", 0.0], ["2017-04-02", 0.0], ["2017-04-03", 0.0], ["2017-04-04", 0.0], ["2017-04-05", 0.0], ["2017-04-06", 0.0], ["2017-04-07", 0.0], ["2017-04-09", 0.0], ["2017-04-11", 0.0], ["2017-04-11", 0.0], ["2017-04-12", 0.0], ["2017-04-13", 0.0], ["2017-04-14", 0.0], ["2017-04-15", 0.0], ["2017-04-16", 0.0], ["2017-04-17", 0.0], ["2017-04-17", 0.0], ["2017-04-18", 0.0], ["2017-04-19", 0.0], ["2017-04-19", 0.0], ["2017-04-21", 0.0], ["2017-04-21", 0.0], ["2017-04-22", 0.0], ["2017-04-23", 0.0], ["2017-04-24", 0.0], ["2017-04-24", 0.0], ["2017-04-25", 0.0], ["2017-04-25", 0.0], ["2017-04-26", 0.0], ["2017-04-26", 0.0], ["2017-04-27", 0.0], ["2017-04-27", 0.0], ["2017-04-28", 0.0], ["2017-04-28", 0.0], ["2017-04-29", 0.0], ["2017-04-29", 0.0], ["2017-04-30", 0.0], ["2017-04-30", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/188 | Omar al-Bashir came to power in a coup in 1989 before being elected President (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-africa-16010445" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/1989/07/01/world/military-coup-in-sudan-ousts-civilian-regime.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). There are a number of underlying social, economic, and political factors that could place Sudan at risk for a coup attempt (<a href="https://dartthrowingchimp.wordpress.com/2015/01/17/statistical-assessments-of-coup-risk-for-2015/" target="_blank">Dart Throwing Chimp</a>).
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<hr>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 30 April 2017.
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<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-04-30 | Will members of Sudan's military or paramilitary attempt to remove Omar al-Bashir as President of Sudan before 1 May 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-05-03 | ["http://bangladeshchronicle.net/2016/08/bangladesh-ranked-6th-riskiest-country-to-do-business/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/01/world/asia/myanmars-leader-faulted-for-silence-as-army-campaigns-against-rohingya.html?emc=edit_ee_20161202&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565", "http://indiatoday.intoday.in/story/12-killed-as-violence-mars-bangladesh-local-body-polls/1/680233.html", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/12/gitrep-11may16pm/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281886", "http://www.straitstimes.com/opinion/transnational-links-political-vacuum-fuel-bangladeshis-turn-to-terrorism", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-36507173", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/09/world/asia/bangladesh-killings-bloggers.html", "http://www.nationmultimedia.com/breakingnews/319-garment-factories-to-shut-down-in-Bangladesh-30286006.html", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/224791", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bangladesh-violence-idUSKCN0Z12B5", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/244986", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/11/world/asia/bangladesh-executed-motiur-rahman-nizami.html?_r=1", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/08/gitrep-8may16am/", "http://news.siteintelgroup.com/blog/index.php/categories/jihad/entry/410-the-rising-tide-of-terror-in-bangladesh", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/11/world/asia/bangladesh-executed-motiur-rahman-nizami.html?_r=0", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/10/gitrep-9may16pm/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/06/12/world/asia/bangladesh-arrests-over-3000-to-halt-attacks.html?_r=0", "http://bangladeshchronicle.net/2016/06/11684-arrested-in-four-days/", 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0.0], ["2016-12-18", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/190 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the Early Warning Project’s <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target = "_blank">Definitions</a> page.
The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Bangladesh as one of the 15 countries at greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/bangladesh" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question.
This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href = "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target = "_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/189" target="_blank">Will the Democratic Republic of the Congo hold presidential elections in 2016?</a>
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/158-will-there-be-a-new-episode-of-mass-killing-in-democratic-republic-of-congo-before-1-january-2017" target="_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Democratic Republic of Congo before 1 January 2017?</a>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Bangldesh before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Bangladesh before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-20 | 2016-05-06 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/195-will-the-deferred-action-for-parents-of-americans-and-lawful-permanent-residents-dapa-program-be-implemented-prior-to-inauguration-day/www.nilc.org/issues/immigration-reform-and-executive-actions/united-states-v-state-of-texas/supreme-courts-tie-vote-means-dapa-daca/", "http://www.scotusblog.com/2016/02/tie-votes-will-lead-to-reargument-not-affirmance/", "http://www.nilc.org/issues/immigration-reform-and-executive-actions/united-states-v-state-of-texas/supreme-courts-tie-vote-means-dapa-daca/", "https://www.numbersusa.com/news/obama-admin-petitions-supreme-court-rehear-amnesty-case", "https://thinkprogress.org/republicans-were-fine-with-bush-acting-on-immigration-reform-without-congress-ae2ae00d2130#.4lg27oczz", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/Search.aspx?FileName=/docketfiles/15-674.htm", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ednq_vKPdQE", "http://www.slate.com/blogs/the_slatest/2016/08/25/lawsuit_on_obama_immigration_executive_actions_could_restore_deferred_deportation.html", "https://reaganlibrary.archives.gov/archives/speeches/1984/102184b.htm", "https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/immigration", "https://www.dhs.gov/news/2016/06/23/statement-secretary-johnson-todays-supreme-court-decision", "http://www.cfr.org/immigration/us-supreme-court-obamas-immigration-actions/p37630", "http://www.utne.com/politics/ices-secret-prisons-in-suburbia.aspx", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Deferred_Action_for_Parents_of_Americans", "http://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/288220-doj-asks-supreme-court-to-rehear-immigration-case", "https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/15pdf/15-674_jhlo.pdf", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=axN-hs4slpY", "http://www.scotusblog.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/08/15-674-Petition-for-Rehearing.pdf", "https://www.nilc.org/2016/08/25/ny-dreamer-challenges-injunction/", 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["2017-01-09", 0.0], ["2017-01-09", 0.0], ["2017-01-10", 0.0], ["2017-01-10", 0.0], ["2017-01-10", 0.0], ["2017-01-11", 0.0], ["2017-01-11", 0.0], ["2017-01-12", 0.0], ["2017-01-13", 0.0], ["2017-01-13", 0.0], ["2017-01-14", 0.0], ["2017-01-15", 0.0], ["2017-01-15", 0.0], ["2017-01-16", 0.0], ["2017-01-16", 0.0], ["2017-01-17", 0.0], ["2017-01-17", 0.0], ["2017-01-18", 0.0], ["2017-01-19", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/195 | This question was closed as "No" with an end date of 20 January 2017. Since Judge Andrew S. Hanen issued a preliminary injunction on 22 June that blocked the implementation of the expanded Deferred Action, the Supreme Court tie at 4-4 has prevented it from being implemented.
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<hr>
Will the 4-4 Supreme Court allow Obama’s deferred action immigration policy to be implemented?
The United States Supreme Court is reviewing President Obama's Deferred Action for Parents of Americans and Lawful Permanent Residents (DAPA) program, and is expected to rule on the case in June 2016 (<a href="http://www.cfr.org/immigration/us-supreme-court-obamas-immigration-actions/p37630" target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</a>, <a href="http://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/united-states-v-texas/" target="_blank">SCOTUSblog</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/04/18/politics/supreme-court-immigration-executive-actions-texas/" target="_blank">CNN</a>). Implementation of the program, which provides deportation relief and work visas for parents of US citizens and lawful residents, was suspended after a Texas Court issued a temporary injunction (<a href="https://www.ice.gov/daca" target="_blank">U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/02/18/us/obama-immigration-policy-halted-by-federal-judge-in-texas.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2015/05/26/politics/obama-immigration-texas-federal-appeals-court/" target="_blank">CNN</a>). Inauguration day is 20 January 2017.
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2016-10-04 | 2016-05-10 | ["https://cyber.law.harvard.edu/node/99511", "http://en.farsnews.com/newstext.aspx?nn=13950222001323", "http://phys.org/news/2016-08-iran-rounds-social-network-users.html", "http://www.voanews.com/content/iran-pokemon-go-ban/3452601.html", "http://time.com/4338539/iran-headscarves-model-arrests/", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/07/iran-saudi-arabia-twitter-social-media-psychological-war.html", "http://www.rferl.org/content/iran-social-media-foreign-move-data/27764252.html", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/05/16/iranian-models-arrested-for-posting-pictures-without-headscarves/", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/social-media/12105631/Twitter-and-YouTube-unblocked-in-Iran-for-some-users-after-sanctions-lifted.html", "http://www.techtimes.com/articles/161955/20160530/iran-orders-foreign-social-media-and-messaging-apps-to-store-data-within-its-borders.htm", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Censorship_of_YouTube#.C2.A0Iran", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-36302405", "http://www.livemint.com/Politics/6LHhwsf9SGah9urkThewBO/Iran-demands-social-media-hand-over-data-on-its-citizens.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/265126", "http://www.catchnews.com/world-news/operation-spider-2-iranian-models-find-their-instagram-accounts-hacked-by-revolutionary-guards-1458311887.html", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/25/gitrep-24mar16pm/", "http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_tense/2016/07/21/netizen_report_some_iranian_hardliners_want_the_government_to_stop_blocking.html", "http://www.t-online.de/nachrichten/ausland/id_78504588/iran-immer-mehr-ignorieren-verbote-von-facebook-und-twitter.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/07/iran-destroys-100000-corrupting-satellite-dishes-160724202722493.html", "http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21699462-supreme-leader-clipping-wings-reformist-president-whos", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/198-will-iran-officially-lift-its-ban-on-either-facebook-or-twitter-before-1-october-2016/www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/298773", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/18/gitrep-17mar16pm/", "https://larswericson.wordpress.com/2016/05/14/gitrep-13may2016pm/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/298773", "http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/4/iran-twitter-rouhaniinternetcensorship.html"] | binary | [["2016-05-10", 0.25], ["2016-05-10", 0.06], ["2016-05-10", 0.12], ["2016-05-10", 0.09], ["2016-05-10", 0.115], ["2016-05-10", 0.18], ["2016-05-10", 0.135], ["2016-05-10", 0.135], ["2016-05-10", 0.1], ["2016-05-10", 0.045], ["2016-05-10", 0.04], ["2016-05-10", 0.04], ["2016-05-11", 0.04], ["2016-05-11", 0.03], ["2016-05-11", 0.035], ["2016-05-11", 0.03], ["2016-05-11", 0.03], ["2016-05-11", 0.03], ["2016-05-11", 0.04], ["2016-05-11", 0.05], ["2016-05-11", 0.06], ["2016-05-11", 0.05], ["2016-05-11", 0.05], ["2016-05-11", 0.05], 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["2016-09-30", 0.0], ["2016-09-30", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/198 | This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 9/30/2016.
In the wake of protests over elections held in 2009, the government of Iran began blocking access to Facebook and Twitter. Some Iranian government officials use these social media channels, and many citizens access them illegally through virtual private networks and other means, but the official ban remains in place (<a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/technology/social-media/12105631/Twitter-and-YouTube-unblocked-in-Iran-for-some-users-after-sanctions-lifted.html" target="_blank">The Telegraph</a>, <a href="http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/4/iran-twitter-rouhaniinternetcensorship.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera America</a>, <a href="https://www.iranhumanrights.org/2015/05/officials-re-affirm-facebook-blocked/" target="_blank">International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran</a>).
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2016-07-05 | 2016-05-10 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN0YA1E9", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/06/12/merkel-ready-to-cave-to-turkish-pressure-on-visas-british-diplom/", "https://next.ft.com/content/3d08f86c-29a3-11e6-8ba3-cdd781d02d89", "http://www.gatestoneinstitute.org/8072/eu-turkey-migrant-deal", "http://www.intellinews.com/istanbul-blog-davutoglu-s-successor-inherits-impossible-task-97740/?source=blogs", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/05/18/466302/EU-Turkey-Terror-Law", "http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/679768/EU-Turkey-refugee-deal-migrant-crisis-European-court", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/turkey-admits-no-visa-free-eu-travel-deal-173556335.html", "http://m.voanews.com/a/can-eu-migrant-deal-survive-turkey-political-turmoil/3332120.html", "https://www.rt.com/news/348191-eu-referendum-turkey-visa/", "http://www.breitbart.com/london/2016/05/11/erdogan-aims-eu-visa-free-travel-citizens-turkey-october/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/237861", "http://www.independent.ie/world-news/europe/turkey-wont-go-ahead-with-eu-refugee-plan-unless-visa-requirements-are-lifted-for-turkish-citizens-34744250.html", "https://www.stratfor.com/analysis/eu-turkey-search-lasting-migrant-deal", "http://nos.nl/l/2103072", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/merkel-warns-turkey-visa-free-eu-travel-july-142129586.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw", "http://www.politico.eu/article/turkey-to-miss-visa-free-travel-deadline/", "http://www.europarl.europa.eu/news/en/news-room/20160509IPR26368/Visa-liberalisation-for-Turkey-EU-criteria-must-be-met-say-MEPs", "http://nos.nl/l/2103128", "https://www.rt.com/news/345805-merkel-erdogan-incomprehensible-comments/", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/05/turkey-european-union-visa-free-travel-dream-collide.html#ixzz48whXZszE", "http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/Default.aspx", 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href="https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/15/turkey-misses-deadline-visa-free-travel-eu-ambassador-withdraw" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href="http://www.euronews.com/2016/06/23/turkey-announces-fresh-round-of-eu-talks/" target="_blank">Euronews</a>, <a href="http://www.politico.eu/article/turkey-to-miss-visa-free-travel-deadline/" target="_blank">Politico</a>).
In a deal struck in March 2016, the EU agreed to lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens by the end of June if Turkey holds up its end of the deal on handling migrants and refugees and satisfies the conditions of visa liberalization (<a href="http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-16-963_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-turkey-davutoglu-idUSKCN0WK0QQ" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/5344d67c-eb92-11e5-bb79-2303682345c8.html#axzz43dJ9BuRr" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>). For more information on the visa requirements referenced in the agreement and the visa liberalization process for Turkey more generally see: <a href="http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-582_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>.
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2016-09-01 | 2016-05-10 | ["http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/08/25/491330705/beginning-of-the-end-impeachment-trial-opens-for-brazils-dilma-rousseff", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/28/rousseff-prepares-to-testify-at-brazil-impeachment-hearing", "http://g1.globo.com/politica/processo-de-impeachment-de-dilma/noticia/2016/08/impeachment-no-senado-discurso-final-de-antonio-valadares-psb-se.html", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-30/from-guerrilla-to-impeachment-the-dilma-rousseff-story", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/brazil-dilma-rousseff-trial-told-broke-laws-160828052638654.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/aug/31/dilma-rousseff-impeached-president-brazilian-senate-michel-temer", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/impeachment-trial-looms-for-brazils-beleaguered-rousseff/articleshow/53630316.cms", "http://www.journaldemontreal.com/2016/08/10/bresil-le-senat-decide-de-soumettre-rousseff-a-un-proces-en-destitution", "http://g1.globo.com/politica/processo-de-impeachment-de-dilma/noticia/2016/08/perguntas-e-respostas-sobre-votacao-do-impeachment-de-dilma.html", "http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/08/31/492064070/brazils-senate-prepares-for-final-vote-on-dilma-rousseffs-impeachment", "http://qz.com/763566/dilma-rousseffs-impeachment-trial-is-snapping-brazil-back-to-post-olympics-reality/", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/vote-whether-remove-president-nears-brazils-senate-041403303.html", "http://www.dividend.com/dividend-education/the-dow-30-a-look-into-the-last-five-recessions/", "http://oglobo.globo.com/brasil/senado-define-futuro-de-dilma-rousseff-nesta-terca-feira-20015986#ixzz4IrJUDMPV", "http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/world/rousseff-impeachment-trial-to-hear-closing-arguments/article31602783/?service=mobile", "http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/caae055a-5ec7-11e6-bb77-a121aa8abd95.html#axzz4GqC74VUG", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-impeachment-vote-idUSKCN10L0HO", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Impeachment_process_against_Dilma_Rousseff", "http://www.brasil247.com/pt/247/poder/252566/54-senadores-j%C3%A1-se-declaram-a-favor-do-impeachment.htm", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/judgment-vote-looms-brazils-rousseff-135018622.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-impeachment-idUSKCN11007P", "https://www.rt.com/news/357361-chomsky-condemns-impeachment-rousseff/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-18/rousseff-offers-rare-mea-culpa-on-eve-of-brazil-impeachment-vote", "http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/upfront/2016/08/brazil-dilma-impeachment-case-study-hypocrisy-160812113243389.html", "http://www.pbs.org/newshour/bb/brazils-president-begin-impeachment-trial/"] | binary | [["2016-05-10", 0.675], ["2016-05-10", 0.91], ["2016-05-10", 0.86], ["2016-05-10", 0.87], 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question was closed as "a) Yes." On 31 August 2016, Brazil's Senate voted to remove Dilma Rouseff from office, and Michel Temer was sworn in as the new President later that day (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/01/world/americas/brazil-dilma-rousseff-impeached-removed-president.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/31/americas/brazil-rousseff-impeachment-vote/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://fortune.com/2016/09/01/brazil-dilma-rousseff-impeached-michel-temer/" target="_blank">Fortune</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/michel-temer-seeks-new-start-as-brazils-president-1472676685" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
President Rousseff faces impeachment proceedings in Congress (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-36209789" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-brazil-politics-idUSKCN0XV1UB" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-05-04/brazilian-senate-report-supports-motion-to-impeach-rousseff" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>). For more information about the impeachment process see: <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/04/04/world/americas/Brazil-Impeachment-Listy.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a> and article 86 of <a href="http://web.mit.edu/12.000/www/m2006/teams/willr3/const.htm" target="_blank">Brazil's constitution</a>. Please note that suspension from office (e.g. during an impeachment trial), will not suffice to resolve the question. In the event that Rousseff reportedly disappears or flees the capital, GJ will observe a three week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of her disappearance or exodus. If Rousseff returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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2017-01-06 | 2016-05-17 | ["http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/defence/military-boys-set-timer-device-on-nawaz-sharif-government/articleshow/54876629.cms", "http://m.hindustantimes.com/world-news/nawaz-sharif-orders-action-over-news-story-on-national-security/story-hUizPziP8U344V30WXnUyL.html", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/full-text-of-nawaz-sharifs-speech-at-the-un-general-assembly-3043041/", "https://www.thenews.com.pk/latest/156348-Bilawal-criticises-PM-Nawaz-for-blocking-Panama-Papers-investigation", "http://www.financialexpress.com/india-news/closer-us-india-ties-reason-for-pakistans-burgeoning-ties-with-russia-nawaz-sharifs-special-envoy-on-jk/411215/", "http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/Talk-of-government-army-friction-in-Pakistan-may-be-all-too-true/articleshow/54760395.cms", "https://m.geo.tv/#category%7Clatest-news%7Cp106813-Indian-Prime-Minister-Modi-wishes-Nawaz-Sharif-speedy-recovery", "https://m.geo.tv/#category%7Clatest-news%7Cp117215-PM-says-CPEC-to-bring-economic-revolution-in-Pakistan", "http://m.ndtv.com/world-news/pakistani-journalist-who-reported-military-government-rift-banned-from-leaving-country-1472698", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/350609", "http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/world/pakistan/General-Sharif-a-known-India-baiter-on-way-out/articleshow/55552299.cms", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/pakistan-prime-minister-nawaz-sharif-donald-trump-president-oath-taking-ceremony-tariq-fatemi-may-visit-us-next-month-4410095/", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1238914/army-ends-retirement-guessing-game/", "http://www.dtic.mil/docs/citations/ADA549541", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1214307/rivals-trying-seize-sabotage-countrys-progress-pm-nawaz/", "http://indianexpress.com/article/opinion/columns/nawaz-sharif-pakistan-army-chief-gen-raheel-sharif-retires-4388365/", "http://m.dw.com/en/why-pakistani-pm-sharif-should-replace-the-army-chief/a-36014438", "http://www.smh.com.au/world/opposition-leader-imran-khan-under-virtual-house-arrest-in-pakistan-20161028-gsdjdm.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/10/pakistan-information-minister-removed-news-report-161029140320275.html", "http://www.hngn.com/articles/210978/20161010/kashmir-nawaz-sharif-pakistan-india-kashmir-freedom-struggle-surgical-strike-pakistan-burhan-wani.htm", "http://www.news18.com/news/world/tensions-rise-as-pak-govt-blames-its-army-for-spoiling-countrys-image-1299231.html", "https://sg.news.yahoo.com/pakistan-may-building-nuclear-complex-analysts-101308429.html?soc_src=social-sh&soc_trk=tw", "http://www.business-standard.com/article/news-ani/military-boys-set-timer-device-on-nawaz-sharif-govt-116101500461_1.html", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1194918/opposition-lawmakers-urge-govt-shun-non-state-actors/", "http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-pakistan-protest-20161101-story.html"] 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["2016-12-02", 0.01], ["2016-12-03", 0.01], ["2016-12-04", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.005], ["2016-12-05", 0.0], ["2016-12-06", 0.0], ["2016-12-06", 0.0], ["2016-12-07", 0.0], ["2016-12-08", 0.0], ["2016-12-09", 0.0], ["2016-12-10", 0.0], ["2016-12-12", 0.0], ["2016-12-12", 0.0], ["2016-12-13", 0.0], ["2016-12-14", 0.0], ["2016-12-16", 0.0], ["2016-12-17", 0.0], ["2016-12-18", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/201 | This question was closed a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
The Panama Papers are a trove of documents from a Panamanian law firm detailing secretive financial dealings that could involve tax evasion or money laundering (<a href="https://panamapapers.icij.org/20160403-panama-papers-global-overview.html" target="_blank">The International Consortium of Investigative Journalists (ICIJ) 1</a>, <a href="https://panamapapers.icij.org/" target="_blank">ICIJ 2</a>). Prime Minister Sharif has come under public pressure and scrutiny as a result of the revelation of those documents (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/15/world/asia/nawaz-sharif-leaves-pakistan-panama-papers-scandal.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://thediplomat.com/2016/05/the-panama-papers-and-a-turf-war-in-pakistan/" target="_blank">The Diplomat</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pakistan-politics-idUSKCN0XL0A0" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://next.ft.com/content/9bba31da-0231-11e6-99cb-83242733f755" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>). Vacating office for any reason will count. In the event that Sharif reportedly disappears or flees the capital, Good Judgment will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Sharif returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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2018-01-02 | 2016-05-17 | [] | binary | [["2016-05-17", 0.78], ["2016-05-17", 0.9], ["2016-05-17", 0.7], ["2016-05-18", 0.725], ["2016-05-18", 0.75], ["2016-05-18", 0.85], ["2016-05-19", 0.875], ["2016-05-19", 0.86], ["2016-05-19", 0.83], ["2016-05-19", 0.84], ["2016-05-20", 0.84], ["2016-05-20", 0.85], ["2016-05-21", 0.815], ["2016-05-21", 0.85], ["2016-05-22", 0.89], ["2016-05-22", 0.9], ["2016-05-23", 0.88], ["2016-05-23", 0.85], ["2016-05-23", 0.89], ["2016-05-23", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.86], ["2016-05-25", 0.85], ["2016-05-25", 0.84], ["2016-05-26", 0.83], ["2016-05-26", 0.83], ["2016-05-26", 0.84], ["2016-05-27", 0.845], ["2016-05-29", 0.845], ["2016-05-30", 0.835], ["2016-05-31", 0.8], ["2016-06-01", 0.8], ["2016-06-02", 0.8], ["2016-06-03", 0.8], ["2016-06-04", 0.75], ["2016-06-04", 0.75], ["2016-06-05", 0.75], ["2016-06-06", 0.75], ["2016-06-06", 0.75], ["2016-06-07", 0.75], ["2016-06-08", 0.75], ["2016-06-10", 0.75], ["2016-06-11", 0.75], ["2016-06-12", 0.75], ["2016-06-13", 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["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-26", 0.0], ["2017-11-27", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-02", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-12", 0.0], ["2017-12-14", 0.0], ["2017-12-16", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-22", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/200 | As part of a plan for economic transformation unveiled by Saudi Arabia in April 2016, the Saudi government has said that it intends to raise capital by floating shares in state-owned oil company, Saudi Aramco (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-saudi-economy-idUSKCN0XM1CD" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-19/saudi-arabia-said-to-pick-jpmorgan-banker-klein-for-aramco-ipo" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/54f30e86-0d15-11e6-ad80-67655613c2d6.html" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://business.financialpost.com/news/energy/saudia-arabia-plans-2-trillion-mega-fund-to-wean-the-country-off-oil?__lsa=34d6-bcc5" target="_blank">Financial Post</a>). Only shares of Saudi Aramco's parent company, the Saudi Arabian Oil Company, will count.
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/17-will-iran-s-president-hassan-rouhani-meet-saudi-arabia-s-king-salman-bin-abdulaziz-al-saud-before-1-september-2016" target="_blank">Will Iran's President Hassan Rouhani meet Saudi Arabia's King Salman bin Abdulaziz Al Saud before 1 September 2016?</a>
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<hr>
Saudi Arabia did not list shares of Saudi Aramco in an initial public offering. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
| Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will Saudi Arabia list shares of Saudi Aramco in an initial public offering before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-12-21 | 2016-05-17 | ["https://electrek.co/2016/11/21/nextev-nio-ep9-electric-1-mw-supercar/?preview_id=31674", "http://www.carnewschina.com/2016/10/24/nextev-electric-supercar-from-china-spied-testing-on-the-nurburgring/", "http://www.teslarati.com/faraday-future-contractor-halts-construction-nevada-factory/", "http://www.businessinsider.com.au/faraday-future-production-vehicle-release-date-2016-11?r=US&IR=T", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/402052", "http://www.nextev.com/en/node/39", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/400765", "http://www.motoring.com.au/nextev-high-voltage-hypercar-104619/", "http://www.futurecar.com/article-366-1.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/245097", "https://cleantechnica.com/2016/11/30/lucid-motors-atieva-factory-400-mile-atvus-arizona/", "http://www.motorsport.com/formula-e/news/nextev-boss-martin-leach-passes-away-after-battle-with-cancer-845955/", "https://lucidmotors.com/car/reserve", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lucid_Motors", "https://www.cnet.com/roadshow/news/lucid-air-electric-car-promises-executive-interior-1000-horsepower/", "http://www.roadandtrack.com/new-cars/future-cars/videos/a31252/nextev-electric-supercar-nurburgring/", "http://www.ff.com/subscribe/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/402684", "http://www.carmagazine.co.uk/car-news/industry-news/nextev-2016-electric-hypercar-revealed/", "http://radio.garden/", "http://www.sfgate.com/business/article/Lucid-Motors-unveils-new-electric-car-to-10796760.php", "https://electrek.co/2016/10/20/atieva-becomes-lucid-motors-teaser-images-atvus-sedan/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/401337", "http://www.autoevolution.com/news/nextev-1360-hp-electric-hypercar-laps-nurburgring-a-chinese-ev-record-attempt-112326.html#", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_rose_by_any_other_name_would_smell_as_sweet"] | binary | [["2016-05-17", 0.25], ["2016-05-17", 0.125], ["2016-05-17", 0.55], ["2016-05-17", 0.1], 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0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/203 | This question was closed as "Yes" with an end date of 14 December, 2016. Lucid Motors, formerly Atieva (<a href= "https://electrek.co/2016/10/20/atieva-becomes-lucid-motors-teaser-images-atvus-sedan/"target = "_blank">Electrek</a>), began taking orders in December 2016 (<a href = "https://lucidmotors.com/car/reserve" target = "_blank">Lucid Motors</a>, <a href = "http://www.theverge.com/2016/12/14/13959732/lucid-motors-air-electric-car-deposit-1000-horsepower"target = "_blank">The Verge</a>, <a href = "http://insideevs.com/lucid-motors-debuts-lucid-air-400-mile-ev/" target = "_blank"> Inside EVs</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>
<hr>
<a href="http://www.faradayfuture.com" target="_blank">Faraday Future</a>, <a href="http://www.nextev.com" target="_blank">NextEV</a> and <a href="http://atieva.com" target="_blank">Atieva</a> are challenging Tesla with new high-end battery-powered electric vehicles. These companies are backed by Chinese technology entrepreneurs or carmakers, have bold visions, have raised significant capital, and are being led by many former Tesla and other Silicon Valley executives (<a href="http://fortune.com/2016/04/13/faraday-future-nevada-groundbreaking/" target="_blank">Fortune</a>, <a href="http://electrek.co/2016/05/05/nextev-electric-vehicle-factory-china/" target="_blank">Electrek</a>, <a href="http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1101392_tesla-faraday-meet-atieva-your-newest-electric-car-rival" target="_blank">Green Car Reports</a>).
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2016-10-14 | 2016-05-17 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-electric-germany-idUSKCN10F276", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/germany/car-registrations", "http://www.bafa.de/bafa/de/presse/pressemitteilungen/2016/19_emob.html", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/2016/201607GV1monatlich/201607_nzbarometer/201607_n_barometer.html?nn=1436722", "http://www.teletrader.com/amt-bisher-266-antrage-auf-kaufpramie-fur-elektroautos-eingegangen/news/details/35083464", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/monatl_neuzulassungen_node.html", "http://www.automobilwoche.de/article/20160714/AGENTURMELDUNGEN/307149907/kaufpramie-fur-elektroautos-vor-allem-privatleute-wollen-kaufpramie-fur-elektroautos", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2016/Fahrzeugzulassungen/pm21_2016_n_06_16_pm_komplett.html;jsessionid=3ACBA18D62CE124EC9781D69B342A780.live11291?nn=716864", "http://www.automobilwoche.de/article/20160704/AGENTURMELDUNGEN/307049943/elektroauto-kaufpramie-der-gro%C3%9Fe-ansturm-bleibt-aus", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/2016/201607GV1monatlich/201607_nzbarometer/201607_n_barometer.html?nn=653844", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/312891", "http://evobsession.com/bmw-i3-sales-rose-germany-following-electric-vehicle-subsidy-implementation/", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/2016/201606GV1monatlich/201606_nzbarometer/201606_n_barometer.html;jsessionid=E329FC27316228259A5AFE74A03F2EB1.live21302?nn=653844", "http://www.autoblog.com/2014/04/23/bmw-ups-i3-production-meeting-demand/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-bmw-i-idUSKCN0ZQ0O7?il=0", "http://www.merkur.de/lokales/wolfratshausen/wolfratshausen-ort29708/e-autos-kaum-interesse-landkreis-6787756.html", "http://www.finanznachrichten.de/nachrichten-2016-07/37851260-praemie-fuer-e-autos-reicht-laut-bafa-chef-bis-2019-003.htm", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Statistik/Fahrzeuge/Neuzulassungen/MonatlicheNeuzulassungen/2016/201607GV1monatlich/201607_nzbarometer/201607_n_barometer.html;jsessionid=E329FC27316228259A5AFE74A03F2EB1.live21302?nn=653844", "http://www.bafa.de/bafa/de/wirtschaftsfoerderung/elektromobilitaet/publikationen/emob_zwischenbilanz.pdf", "http://evobsession.com/electric-car-sales-germany-july-2016/", "http://www.kba.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2016/Fahrzeugzulassungen/pm25_2016_n_08_16_pm_komplett.html?nn=716864", "http://zoepionierin.de/renault-zoe-ein-fazit/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/298091", "http://www.welt.de/wirtschaft/article157534732/Autohersteller-sacken-Elektro-Praemie-fuer-sich-ein.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/309728"] | binary | [["2016-05-17", 1.0], ["2016-05-17", 0.5], ["2016-05-17", 0.45], ["2016-05-17", 0.72], 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0.05], ["2016-09-05", 0.05], ["2016-09-05", 0.05], ["2016-09-06", 0.05], ["2016-09-06", 0.045], ["2016-09-06", 0.04], ["2016-09-06", 0.04], ["2016-09-06", 0.04], ["2016-09-08", 0.04], ["2016-09-09", 0.04], ["2016-09-10", 0.045], ["2016-09-12", 0.04], ["2016-09-12", 0.04], ["2016-09-13", 0.04], ["2016-09-14", 0.04], ["2016-09-15", 0.04], ["2016-09-17", 0.04], ["2016-09-18", 0.04], ["2016-09-19", 0.04], ["2016-09-19", 0.04], ["2016-09-20", 0.03], ["2016-09-20", 0.03], ["2016-09-21", 0.03], ["2016-09-21", 0.025], ["2016-09-23", 0.02], ["2016-09-23", 0.02], ["2016-09-23", 0.02], ["2016-09-24", 0.02], ["2016-09-25", 0.02], ["2016-09-25", 0.02], ["2016-09-26", 0.015], ["2016-09-26", 0.015], ["2016-09-27", 0.01], ["2016-09-28", 0.01], ["2016-09-29", 0.01], ["2016-09-29", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/204 | This question was closed on "No," with an end date of 30 September 2016. Kraftfahrt-Bundqesamt, the source for the best-selling-cars report mentioned below, reported 3,321 new battery electric vehicles were registered in the third quarter (<a href="http://www.kba.de/DE/Presse/Pressemitteilungen/2016/Fahrzeugzulassungen/pm27_2016_n_09_16_pm_komplett.html?nn=716864" target="_blank">Kraftfahrt-Bundqesamt</a>).
Germany is launching a 1 billion euro rebate scheme to incentivize the sale of electric vehicles (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-autos-electric-germany-idUSKCN0XO0XI" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). Question will be resolved using the totals from the "Electric" columns for the three months in Q3, July, August, and September at <a href="http://www.best-selling-cars.com/electric/2016-germany-electric-hybrid-car-sales/" target="_blank">best-selling-cars.com</a>. Registrations of hybrid electric vehicles and plug-in-vehicles will not count. Third quarter registrations in 2015 were 2,722, and include both German (e.g. BMW i3; VW e-Golf) and non-German (e.g. Nissan Leaf; Tesla Model X) models. Question will be suspended on 30 September 2016 and resolved when September's data is released. The new subsidy program, which gives purchasers a discount of 3000-4000 euros for select vehicles, is scheduled to start as early as May 2016. The German government is perceived as wanting to support the German auto companies, which are very important to the German economy, and to draw attention away from the diesel engine scandal of Volkswagen by emphasizing the country’s commitment to “green” technologies. The tax is controversial with some economists, who oppose subsidizing private purchases, and with environmentalists, who see negative impact from a boost in electricity consumption at a time when Germany’s ban on nuclear power plants has made its electricity generation more coal-based. For more information see: <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/28/germany-subsidy-boost-electric-car-sales" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-27/germany-planning-1-4-billion-in-incentives-for-electric-cars" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href="http://www.forbes.com/sites/neilwinton/2016/04/27/germany-introduces-electric-car-subsidy-but-excludes-tesla/#4b7255183e99" target="_blank">Forbes</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/germany-to-subsidize-electric-autos-1461768367" target="_blank">The Wall Street Journal</a>.
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2016-10-14 | 2016-05-17 | ["http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/10/05/496724643/meet-the-man-tapped-to-become-the-next-u-n-secretary-general", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/05/world/un-secretary-general-antonio-guterres/", "http://www.rferl.org/a/russian-envoy-churkin-says-next-un-secretary-general-should-east-european-woman-georgieva/28030414.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-un-election-idUSKCN12D215?il=0", "http://www.huffingtonpost.com/joseph-braude/a-clean-election-for-un-s_b_12352728.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-security-council-chooses-antonio-guterres-as-secretary-general-1475692334", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-un-election-idUSKCN125099", "http://www.theportugalnews.com/news/united-nations-elections-run-risk-of-becoming-a-farce/39722", "http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-10-06/security-council-agrees-on-portugals-guterres-next-un-chief/7907178", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=55285", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=55283#.V__74TJh1gg", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/10/05/antonio-guterres-to-be-new-secretary-general-of-the-united-natio/", "http://www.theatlantic.com/news/archive/2016/10/un-secretary-general/502979/?utm_source=atlfb", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/06/world/americas/antonio-guterres-un-secretary-general-united-nations.html?hp&action=click&pgtype=Homepage&clickSource=story-heading&module=first-column-region&region=top-news&WT.nav=top-news", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/international/world-news/portugals-former-pm-antonio-guterres-clears-hurdle-to-be-next-united-nations-chief/articleshow/54701916.cms", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/333488", "http://www.unhcr.org/en-us/news/briefing/2016/7/5784b1ef4/unhcr-calls-open-borders-possible-south-sudan-refugee-outflows.html", "https://ria.ru/world/20161004/1478428977.html", "http://whitegenocideproject.com/un-demands-open-borders-for-europe-this-is-their-future/", "http://abcnews.go.com/US/wireStory/georgieva-inclusive-east-europe-woman-head-42512392", "http://www.cbc.ca/news/world/un-secretary-general-1.3792296", "http://asia.nikkei.com/Politics-Economy/International-Relations/Portugal-s-Guterres-poised-to-be-next-UN-secretary-general", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=55224#.V_bKBjKZOL4", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/amphtml/world/europe/georgieva-un-would-be-inclusive-with-eeurope-woman-chief/2016/10/03/80e154ea-891f-11e6-8cdc-4fbb1973b506_story.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/sep/30/former-new-zealand-pm-helen-clark-expected-to-battle-on-for-un-top-job"] | binary | [["2016-05-17", 0.875], ["2016-05-17", 0.67], ["2016-05-17", 0.705], ["2016-05-17", 0.82], ["2016-05-17", 0.745], ["2016-05-17", 0.67], ["2016-05-17", 0.71], ["2016-05-18", 0.7], ["2016-05-18", 0.71], ["2016-05-18", 0.75], ["2016-05-18", 0.7], ["2016-05-18", 0.71], ["2016-05-18", 0.72], ["2016-05-18", 0.72], ["2016-05-18", 0.72], ["2016-05-19", 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["2016-10-11", 0.0], ["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/202 | This question was closed as "No." On 14 October 2016, the Antonio Guterres was officially appointed as the next UN secretary-general (<a href="http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=55285#.WAEKtWUydFIhttp://www.bbc.com/news/world-37648265" target="_blank">UN</a>).
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon is scheduled to vacate the post at the end of 2016 and the process of selecting his successor has already begun (<a href="http://www.un.org/pga/70/sg/" target="_blank">United Nations</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-un-secretarygeneral-idUSKCN0X8294" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/05/world/un-secretary-general-candidates-ban-ki-moon.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). There has never been a female secretary general of the UN (<a href="http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/u-n-ready-female-secretary-general-n545731" target="_blank">NBC News</a>, <a href="http://time.com/4281653/helen-clark-united-nations-secretary-general-un-female-women/" target="_blank">TIME</a>).
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2016-07-19 | 2016-05-20 | ["http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/2016-conventions/its-official-trump-announces-mike-pence-vp-pick-n610111", "http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/05/17/melania-trump-defends-donald-hes-not-hitler/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/01/us/politics/chris-christie-donald-trump.html?_r=0", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/08/us/politics/donald-trump-president.html?_r=0", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/02/us/politics/donald-trump-vice-president.html?smprod=nytcore-ipad&smid=nytcore-ipad-share", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-36800811", "https://www.wbez.org/shows/npr/meet-donald-trumps-potential-vice-presidents-in-100-words/104b654f-e0e0-40ed-b973-e42f676e72f7", "http://www.northjersey.com/news/stile-christie-lends-gentle-hand-to-trump-campaign-1.1621860", "http://nypost.com/2016/07/09/the-military-fired-me-for-calling-our-enemies-radical-jihadis/", "http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/apr/27/donald-trump-carly-fiorinas-not-going-do-trick/", "https://twitter.com/jeremybowers/status/748880748241752064", "http://www.politico.com/blogs/2016-gop-primary-live-updates-and-results/2016/04/trump-carly-fiorina-vice-president-222521", "https://twitter.com/brianstelter/status/752955749953921026", "https://twitter.com/allmyalibis/status/748918204538445826", "http://www.indystar.com/news/", "http://www.nj.com/politics/index.ssf/2016/07/trump_insiders_say_christie_vp_vetting_just_for_sh.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/275427", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/02/us/politics/donald-trump-republican-convention.html?smid=tw-share&_r=0", "http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/11/gov-or-vp-indiana-s-pence-has-friday-ballot-deadline.html", "http://www.tribstar.com/news/indiana_news/pence-i-ll-campaign-for-trump-anywhere-anytime/article_bfc92294-6619-5fa4-9c2d-e28423573e1c.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vice_President_of_the_United_States#Nominating_process", "http://www.bustle.com/articles/159388-can-donald-trumps-vice-president-be-rejected-at-the-convention-the-gop-nominees-hands-may-be", "https://twitter.com/jilldlawrence/status/748942351838638080", "http://time.com/4402919/donald-trump-vice-president-chris-christie-newt-gingrich-mike-pence/", "http://nation.foxnews.com/2016/07/12/newt-gingrich-out-fox-news-contributor-amid-vp-speculation"] | binary | [["2016-05-20", 0.25], ["2016-05-20", 0.075], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.55], ["2016-05-20", 0.34], ["2016-05-20", 0.05], ["2016-05-20", 0.05], ["2016-05-20", 0.025], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.0], ["2016-05-20", 0.02], ["2016-05-20", 0.005], ["2016-05-20", 0.04], ["2016-05-20", 0.07], ["2016-05-20", 0.1], ["2016-05-21", 0.2], ["2016-05-21", 0.2], ["2016-05-21", 0.2], ["2016-05-21", 0.15], ["2016-05-21", 0.125], ["2016-05-21", 0.15], ["2016-05-21", 0.15], ["2016-05-21", 0.15], 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["2016-07-14", 0.1], ["2016-07-14", 0.1], ["2016-07-14", 0.1], ["2016-07-14", 0.1], ["2016-07-14", 0.09], ["2016-07-14", 0.08], ["2016-07-14", 0.08], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.045], ["2016-07-15", 0.04], ["2016-07-15", 0.03], ["2016-07-15", 0.03], ["2016-07-15", 0.03], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.02], ["2016-07-15", 0.01], ["2016-07-15", 0.01], ["2016-07-15", 0.01], ["2016-07-15", 0.01], ["2016-07-15", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/206 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 19 July 2016 with an end date of 15 July 2016. Donald Trump announced that Mike Pence would be his vice presidential running mate on 15 July 2016 (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/donald-trump-vice-presidential-choice/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="https://www.bostonglobe.com/news/politics/2016/07/15/mike-pence-donald-trump-vice-presidential-pick/mMIREP5yiRQikYxbLxwY0O/story.html" target="_blank">Boston Globe</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/16/us/politics/mike-pence-donald-trump-vice-president.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). Mike Pence was not a former presidential candidate.
<br/>
A number of Trump's previous rivals have been mentioned as potential picks for his vice presidential running-mate (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/29/5-people-donald-trump-could-pick-to-be-his-vice-president/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/vice-presidential-picks-could-hold-clues-strategies-trump-clinton-n562566" target="_blank">NBC News</a>). A list of the past Republican presidential candidates can be found at the <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/2016-presidential-candidates.html" target="_blank">NYTimes</a>.
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2017-01-06 | 2016-05-24 | ["https://www.ft.com/content/52871ca4-7a35-11e6-ae24-f193b105145e", "https://www.stratfor.com/geopolitical-diary/watching-signs-political-triumph-xi", "http://www.bbc.com/news/business-37869769", "http://www.china.org.cn/china/2016-09/19/content_39322817.htm", "https://twitter.com/relevantorgans/status/785591179379257344", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/322757", "https://www.ft.com/content/09cc1044-8f77-11e6-a72e-b428cb934b78", "https://boardgamegeek.com/boardgame/171344/politburo", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/332990", "http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/2186725-exclusive-chinas-anti-corruption-chief-will-be-exempt-from-forced-retirement/", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-china-corruption-idUKKCN12K0BQ", "https://www.ft.com/content/48abb5dc-7e3b-11e6-8e50-8ec15fb462f4", "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2016-09/10/c_135678295.htm", "http://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=2835841", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-12/mayor-s-investigation-shakes-up-china-s-political-chessboard", "https://sinocism.com/?p=11679", "http://www.scmp.com/news/china/policies-politics/article/2018440/top-tianjin-officials-exit-may-trigger-politburo-power", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=H61yfxU2AHg&feature=youtu.be", "http://atimes.com/2016/09/xi-set-to-consolidate-power-by-curbing-communist-youth-league/", "http://www.theepochtimes.com/n3/2191503-chinas-xi-jinping-paves-political-transition-with-anti-corruption-drive-2/", "http://shanghaiist.com/2016/10/19/always_on_the_road.php", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-corruption-idUSKCN12006D", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/324164", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/05/world/asia/china-president-xi-jinping-successor.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-politics-league-exclusive-idUSKCN1200OL"] | binary | [["2016-05-24", 0.795], ["2016-05-24", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.9], ["2016-05-24", 0.47], 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["2016-10-02", 0.2], ["2016-10-02", 0.2], ["2016-10-02", 0.2], ["2016-10-03", 0.2], ["2016-10-03", 0.2], ["2016-10-04", 0.2], ["2016-10-05", 0.2], ["2016-10-05", 0.2], ["2016-10-05", 0.2], ["2016-10-06", 0.2], ["2016-10-07", 0.19], ["2016-10-07", 0.19], ["2016-10-08", 0.19], ["2016-10-09", 0.19], ["2016-10-11", 0.185], ["2016-10-11", 0.17], ["2016-10-12", 0.16], ["2016-10-13", 0.16], ["2016-10-14", 0.16], ["2016-10-14", 0.16], ["2016-10-15", 0.15], ["2016-10-16", 0.15], ["2016-10-17", 0.15], ["2016-10-17", 0.15], ["2016-10-18", 0.15], ["2016-10-19", 0.15], ["2016-10-20", 0.15], ["2016-10-20", 0.15], ["2016-10-20", 0.15], ["2016-10-20", 0.15], ["2016-10-21", 0.15], ["2016-10-22", 0.15], ["2016-10-22", 0.15], ["2016-10-23", 0.13], ["2016-10-24", 0.13], ["2016-10-24", 0.105], ["2016-10-25", 0.105], ["2016-10-25", 0.1], ["2016-10-26", 0.1], ["2016-10-28", 0.1], ["2016-10-28", 0.1], ["2016-10-29", 0.1], ["2016-10-30", 0.1], ["2016-10-31", 0.1], ["2016-10-31", 0.1], ["2016-11-01", 0.09], 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["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-15", 0.01], ["2016-12-16", 0.01], ["2016-12-17", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-19", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.005], ["2016-12-22", 0.005], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/208 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
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<hr>
China's anti-corruption campaign has come under public scrutiny after a number of Politburo members were implicated in the Panama Papers (<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/reports-of-offshore-companies-raise-questions-about-beijings-graft-fight-1459869258" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/07/world/asia/china-panama-papers.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://time.com/4284739/panama-papers-china-xi-jinping-corruption/" target="_blank">TIME</a>, <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/07/china-ramps-up-panama-papers-censorship-after-leaders-relatives-named" target="_blank">The Guardian</a>).
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/201-will-nawaz-sharif-whose-family-was-recently-implicated-in-the-panama-papers-cease-to-be-prime-minister-of-pakistan-in-2016" target="_blank">Will Nawaz Sharif, whose family was recently implicated in the Panama Papers, cease to be Prime Minister of Pakistan in 2016?</a> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will any member of China's Politburo resign, be suspended, or be removed from the Politburo in 2016? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-05-25 | ["https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2016/06/06/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2015", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/321615", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-kurds-idUSKBN13109Y?feedType=RSS&feedName=worldNews&utm_source=Twitter&utm_medium=Social&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+Reuters%2FworldNews+%28Reuters+World+News%29", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-34503388", "https://twitter.com/i/moments/759015382409621505", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37003819", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/309448", "http://www.weaselzippers.us/285630-report-british-intercepted-intel-reveals-erdogan-behind-coup-to-conduct-purges/", "https://www.socialeurope.eu/2016/01/turkeys-military-onslaught-kurds-europe-us-silent/", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/detainees-beaten-tortured-and-raped-after-failed-turkey-coup-amnesty-says-a7154091.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281914", "https://twitter.com/MahirZeynalov/status/758989255242678274", "http://blogs.wsj.com/washwire/2016/11/04/erdogans-latest-crackdown-and-how-turkeys-chaos-plays-to-extremists-strengths/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/356262", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/15/europe/turkey-coup-crackdown-one-month/", "http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2016/08/20/490779707/turkish-officials-say-at-least-22-killed-94-injured-in-wedding-bombing", "http://www.crisisgroup.be/interactives/turkey/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/26/world/europe/turkey-cracks-down-on-journalists-its-next-target-after-failed-coup.html", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/21/turkey-suspends-european-convention-on-human-rights-as-it-enacts/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/313526", "http://www.pressreader.com/usa/san-francisco-chronicle/20160829/281603829893963", "https://www.amnesty.org/en/latest/news/2016/07/turkey-human-rights-in-grave-danger-following-coup-attempt-and-subsequent-crackdown/", "https://www.rt.com/news/353277-turkey-erdogan-death-penalty-eu/", "http://www.news.com.au/world/breaking-news/265-deaths-in-failed-turkey-coup/news-story/1111b2a30416fb70d83299cf505612f1"] | binary | [["2016-05-25", 0.515], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 0.1], ["2016-05-26", 0.08], ["2016-05-26", 0.085], ["2016-05-26", 0.09], ["2016-05-26", 0.125], ["2016-05-26", 0.105], ["2016-05-26", 0.125], ["2016-05-26", 0.14], ["2016-05-26", 0.075], ["2016-05-27", 0.05], ["2016-05-27", 0.08], ["2016-05-27", 0.08], ["2016-05-27", 0.06], ["2016-05-27", 0.1], ["2016-05-27", 0.08], ["2016-05-28", 0.075], ["2016-05-28", 0.075], ["2016-05-29", 0.055], ["2016-05-29", 0.06], ["2016-05-29", 0.065], ["2016-05-29", 0.08], ["2016-05-29", 0.1], ["2016-05-29", 0.1], ["2016-05-29", 0.1], ["2016-05-30", 0.1], ["2016-05-30", 0.1], 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0.05], ["2016-12-06", 0.05], ["2016-12-07", 0.05], ["2016-12-08", 0.05], ["2016-12-08", 0.05], ["2016-12-09", 0.05], ["2016-12-10", 0.05], ["2016-12-11", 0.05], ["2016-12-12", 0.05], ["2016-12-12", 0.05], ["2016-12-13", 0.05], ["2016-12-14", 0.05], ["2016-12-15", 0.05], ["2016-12-15", 0.05], ["2016-12-16", 0.05], ["2016-12-18", 0.05], ["2016-12-19", 0.05], ["2016-12-19", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-20", 0.05], ["2016-12-21", 0.05], ["2016-12-22", 0.05], ["2016-12-22", 0.05], ["2016-12-23", 0.05], ["2016-12-23", 0.05], ["2016-12-24", 0.05], ["2016-12-26", 0.05], ["2016-12-27", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-28", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.05], ["2016-12-29", 0.05], ["2016-12-30", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03], ["2016-12-31", 0.03]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/211 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Turkey as one of the 31 countries at greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/turkey" target="_blank">EWP</a>). Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Turkey before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Turkey before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-05-25 | ["http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/316761", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/pak-successfully-tackling-terror-economic-challenges-nawaz-sharif-3100521/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/327109", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1174675/twin-blasts-rock-mardan-district-court/", "http://www.economist.com/blogs/graphicdetail/2016/09/daily-chart-11?fsrc=scn%2Ftw%2Fte%2Fbl%2Fed%2Fpakistanisdrivingout15mafghanrefugees&%3Ffsrc%3Dscn%2F=tw%2Fdc", "http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/Pakistan/database/casualties.htm", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/risk_assessments", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/281886", "http://www.the-american-interest.com/2016/09/22/the-explosive-india-pakistan-situation/", "http://en.dailypakistan.com.pk/pakistan/hrcp-report-2015-violence-related-deaths-decreases-upto-40-in-pakistan/", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/275786", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/379789", "http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/pakistan/database/casualties.htm", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/244986", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/315982", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honour_killing_in_Pakistan", "http://www.samaa.tv/pakistan/2016/10/gunmen-storm-police-academy-college-in-quetta/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-37387475", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/276761", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pakistan-blast-idUSKCN10J0I7?il=0", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/opinion_pools/104", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1020621/think-tank-reports-2015-witnessed-significant-decline-in-violence/", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/pakistan-mosque-bombing-death-toll-rises-to-36-3036277/"] | binary | [["2016-05-25", 1.0], ["2016-05-25", 0.585], ["2016-05-25", 0.14], ["2016-05-25", 0.075], ["2016-05-25", 0.05], ["2016-05-25", 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["2016-12-19", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.005], ["2016-12-25", 0.005], ["2016-12-27", 0.005], ["2016-12-27", 0.005], ["2016-12-27", 0.005], ["2016-12-28", 0.005], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/210 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions Page</a>. According to those criteria, Pakistan has an ongoing episode of mass killing perpetrated by the Lashkar-e-Jhangyi militant group (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2015/01/12/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2014" target="_blank">EWP</a>). This question pertains to the risk of a new episode of mass killing. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Pakistan as one of the 10 countries at greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/pakistan" target="_blank">EWP</a>).Those forecasts do not assess the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Pakistan before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Pakistan before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-07-19 | 2016-06-03 | ["http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/11/gov-or-vp-indiana-s-pence-has-friday-ballot-deadline.html", "http://howeypolitics.com/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/280214", "http://edition.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/donald-trump-vice-presidential-choice/", "http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/287515-trump-meets-with-pence-amid-vp-speculation", "http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2016/07/05/pence-trumps-vp-he-has-10-days-decide/86704444/", "http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-governors", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/02/us/politics/donald-trump-vice-president.html?emc=edit_ee_20160702&nl=todaysheadlines-europe&nlid=70183565", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/279530", "https://ballotpedia.org/Indiana_gubernatorial_election,_2016", "http://www.ballstatedaily.com/article/2016/04/news-gregg-pence", "http://www.indystar.com/story/news/politics/2016/07/01/pence-meeting-trump-amid-vp-speculation/86596164/?hootPostID=0131b1d911d7d1e8d394be19fd3d46de", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/07/14/donald-trump-just-left-the-indiana-gop-in-limbo/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/a-vp-process-spins-out-of-control-or-did-it/2016/07/14/2ad9c1ea-4a31-11e6-bdb9-701687974517_story.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-36800811", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indiana_gubernatorial_election,_2016#Polling"] | binary | [["2016-06-03", 0.52], ["2016-06-03", 0.55], ["2016-06-03", 0.54], ["2016-06-03", 0.545], ["2016-06-03", 0.63], ["2016-06-03", 0.56], ["2016-06-03", 0.7], ["2016-06-03", 0.675], ["2016-06-03", 0.7], ["2016-06-03", 0.705], ["2016-06-03", 0.66], ["2016-06-03", 0.66], ["2016-06-03", 0.705], ["2016-06-03", 0.75], ["2016-06-03", 0.77], ["2016-06-04", 0.79], ["2016-06-04", 0.79], ["2016-06-04", 0.795], ["2016-06-04", 0.825], ["2016-06-04", 0.85], 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0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.05], ["2016-07-14", 0.045], ["2016-07-14", 0.035], ["2016-07-14", 0.035], ["2016-07-14", 0.015], ["2016-07-14", 0.005], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0], ["2016-07-15", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/214 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 19 July 2016 with an end date of 15 July 2016. Mike Pence, who is now Donald Trump's vice presidential running mate, withdrew from Indiana's governor race on 15 July 2016 (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/07/14/politics/donald-trump-vice-presidential-choice/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.newsmax.com/Politics/mike-pence-indiana-governor-race/2016/07/15/id/738947/" target="_blank">Newsmax</a>, <a href="http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/07/15/pence-out-indiana-gubernatorial-race-after-vp-pick.html" target="_blank">FOX News</a>).
<br/>
John Gregg is challenging Govenor Pence in this year's election (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/15/republicans-are-sitting-pretty-in-the-top-5-governors-races-in-2016/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
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2016-12-06 | 2016-06-03 | [] | binary | [["2016-06-03", 0.63], ["2016-06-03", 0.35], ["2016-06-03", 0.48], ["2016-06-03", 0.54], ["2016-06-03", 0.58], ["2016-06-03", 0.56], ["2016-06-04", 0.53], ["2016-06-04", 0.5], ["2016-06-04", 0.475], ["2016-06-04", 0.49], ["2016-06-05", 0.5], ["2016-06-05", 0.48], ["2016-06-05", 0.525], ["2016-06-05", 0.525], ["2016-06-05", 0.48], ["2016-06-05", 0.49], ["2016-06-05", 0.5], ["2016-06-05", 0.5], ["2016-06-05", 0.46], ["2016-06-06", 0.45], ["2016-06-06", 0.43], ["2016-06-06", 0.45], ["2016-06-06", 0.47], ["2016-06-06", 0.46], ["2016-06-06", 0.435], ["2016-06-06", 0.41], ["2016-06-06", 0.405], ["2016-06-06", 0.43], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.46], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-08", 0.45], ["2016-06-08", 0.44], ["2016-06-08", 0.42], ["2016-06-08", 0.43], ["2016-06-09", 0.45], ["2016-06-09", 0.45], ["2016-06-09", 0.44], ["2016-06-10", 0.43], ["2016-06-11", 0.43], ["2016-06-12", 0.45], ["2016-06-12", 0.45], 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["2016-09-22", 0.31], ["2016-09-22", 0.31], ["2016-09-23", 0.31], ["2016-09-23", 0.31], ["2016-09-23", 0.31], ["2016-09-24", 0.31], ["2016-09-24", 0.31], ["2016-09-24", 0.31], ["2016-09-25", 0.31], ["2016-09-25", 0.31], ["2016-09-26", 0.315], ["2016-09-26", 0.315], ["2016-09-27", 0.315], ["2016-09-28", 0.315], ["2016-09-28", 0.31], ["2016-09-29", 0.31], ["2016-09-30", 0.31], ["2016-09-30", 0.31], ["2016-09-30", 0.31], ["2016-09-30", 0.31], ["2016-10-01", 0.31], ["2016-10-01", 0.31], ["2016-10-01", 0.31], ["2016-10-01", 0.31], ["2016-10-02", 0.31], ["2016-10-02", 0.31], ["2016-10-02", 0.31], ["2016-10-03", 0.31], ["2016-10-03", 0.31], ["2016-10-04", 0.3], ["2016-10-04", 0.3], ["2016-10-04", 0.3], ["2016-10-04", 0.3], ["2016-10-05", 0.3], ["2016-10-06", 0.3], ["2016-10-06", 0.3], ["2016-10-06", 0.3], ["2016-10-06", 0.3], ["2016-10-07", 0.3], ["2016-10-07", 0.3], ["2016-10-07", 0.3], ["2016-10-08", 0.3], ["2016-10-08", 0.295], ["2016-10-08", 0.285], ["2016-10-08", 0.265], ["2016-10-09", 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["2016-10-21", 0.2], ["2016-10-22", 0.2], ["2016-10-22", 0.22], ["2016-10-22", 0.22], ["2016-10-23", 0.22], ["2016-10-23", 0.21], ["2016-10-23", 0.2], ["2016-10-23", 0.22], ["2016-10-23", 0.22], ["2016-10-24", 0.22], ["2016-10-24", 0.235], ["2016-10-25", 0.22], ["2016-10-25", 0.22], ["2016-10-25", 0.22], ["2016-10-25", 0.215], ["2016-10-25", 0.215], ["2016-10-26", 0.215], ["2016-10-26", 0.22], ["2016-10-26", 0.22], ["2016-10-27", 0.22], ["2016-10-27", 0.22], ["2016-10-28", 0.22], ["2016-10-28", 0.22], ["2016-10-28", 0.22], ["2016-10-28", 0.22], ["2016-10-29", 0.22], ["2016-10-29", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.25], ["2016-10-30", 0.265], ["2016-10-31", 0.265], ["2016-10-31", 0.265], ["2016-10-31", 0.265], ["2016-11-01", 0.265], ["2016-11-01", 0.25], ["2016-11-01", 0.25], ["2016-11-01", 0.25], ["2016-11-01", 0.25], ["2016-11-02", 0.25], ["2016-11-02", 0.25], ["2016-11-02", 0.25], ["2016-11-02", 0.25], ["2016-11-03", 0.25], ["2016-11-03", 0.25], ["2016-11-03", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.265], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.25], ["2016-11-04", 0.275], ["2016-11-04", 0.275], ["2016-11-04", 0.3], ["2016-11-04", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.275], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.32], ["2016-11-06", 0.325], ["2016-11-06", 0.325], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.32], ["2016-11-07", 0.325], ["2016-11-08", 0.33], ["2016-11-08", 0.34], ["2016-11-08", 0.34], ["2016-11-08", 0.34], ["2016-11-08", 0.34], ["2016-11-08", 0.33], ["2016-11-08", 0.33], ["2016-11-08", 0.33]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/215 | This question closed with the correct answer "No" with an end date of 8 November 2016. Governor Pat McCrory lost his bid for election to Roy Cooper. (<a href="http://www.newsweek.com/north-carolina-governor-pat-mccrory-concedes-528561" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/12/05/north-carolina-gov-pat-mccrory-r-concedes-closely-contested-governors-race/?utm_term=.1e43ee614edf" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>)
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<hr>
Roy Cooper is challenging Governor McCrory in this year's election (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/04/15/republicans-are-sitting-pretty-in-the-top-5-governors-races-in-2016/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.rollcall.com/news/gonzales/north-carolina-governor-vulnerable-lgbt-bathroom-trump" target="_blank">Roll Call </a>).
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2016-10-04 | 2016-06-07 | ["http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/09/04/483083/Spain-Mariano-Rajoy-attempts-formation-government-election", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/314958", "http://aa.com.tr/en/europe/messy-nomination-scandal-rocks-spain-s-ruling-party/644120", "http://politica.elpais.com/politica/2016/08/29/actualidad/1472463143_105712.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-37237984", "https://euobserver.com/beyond-brussels/134826", "http://nyti.ms/2bYF5cX", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/poll-suggests-vote-solve-spains-problem-42036292", "http://www.thelocal.es/20160828/rajoy-says-forming-new-government-a-wish", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-spain-politics-idUSKCN11418V?il=0", "https://www.thespainreport.com/articles/873-160827132841-rajoy-says-new-government-more-a-wish-than-a-fact", "http://www.seattletimes.com/nation-world/spains-regional-elections-reaffirm-rajoy-in-galicia/Acting", "http://www.dw.com/en/spanish-pm-rajoy-loses-bid-to-form-new-govt/a-19524113", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/31/world/europe/spain-government-mariano-rajoy.html?_r=0", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-spain-politics-idUSKCN1181AB?il=0", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq11.&quot", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-09-28/spanish-socialists-turn-on-sanchez-edging-rajoy-closer-to-power", "http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/220772/spain%E2%80%99s-socialists-say-no-to-rajoy-as-pm", "https://www.thespainreport.com/articles/878-160829135138-sanchez-confirms-psoe-no-after-meeting-rajoy", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-08-28/rajoy-seals-pact-with-ciudadanos-ahead-of-spain-confidence-vote", "http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-spain-politics-deadlock-snap-story.html", "https://www.thespainreport.com/articles/878-160829135138-sanchez-confirms-psoe-no-after-meeting-rajoy#636", "http://www.dw.com/en/december-election-beckons-as-mps-scupper-pm-rajoys-bid-to-form-government/a-19517110", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/spains-rajoy-braces-for-second-confidence-vote-in-parliament-1472816776", "http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21706439-stubborn-socialists-are-blocking-mariano-rajoy-forming-centre-right-government-spain-may-be"] | binary | [["2016-06-07", 1.0], ["2016-06-07", 0.775], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.45], ["2016-06-07", 0.425], ["2016-06-07", 0.475], ["2016-06-07", 0.55], ["2016-06-07", 0.635], ["2016-06-08", 0.67], ["2016-06-08", 0.635], ["2016-06-08", 0.59], ["2016-06-08", 0.55], ["2016-06-08", 0.55], ["2016-06-09", 0.55], ["2016-06-09", 0.575], ["2016-06-09", 0.575], ["2016-06-09", 0.6], ["2016-06-10", 0.645], ["2016-06-10", 0.645], ["2016-06-10", 0.645], ["2016-06-11", 0.6], ["2016-06-11", 0.65], ["2016-06-11", 0.6], ["2016-06-12", 0.66], ["2016-06-12", 0.67], ["2016-06-12", 0.68], ["2016-06-12", 0.725], ["2016-06-13", 0.7], 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["2016-09-29", 0.0], ["2016-09-29", 0.0], ["2016-09-29", 0.0], ["2016-09-30", 0.0], ["2016-09-30", 0.0], ["2016-09-30", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/216 | This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 30 September 2016. A Spanish Minister had not won a vote of confidence as of that date and negotiations over government formation continued (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/03/world/europe/spain-socialists-sanchez-rajoy.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/turmoil-hits-spains-socialist-party-amid-government-stand-off-1475165183" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
Spain is expected to hold parliamentary elections again on 26 June 2016, after elections held in December 2015 produced a fragmented parliament that failed to approve several nominated governments (<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/8373d826-161b-11e6-9d98-00386a18e39d.html" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/04/world/europe/king-felipe-spain-dissolves-parliament-new-elections.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). To form a government, a Prime Minister (referred to in the constitution as the President of the Government) must win a vote of confidence in Spain's parliament (See Part IV, Section 99 of the <a href="https://www.constituteproject.org/constitution/Spain_2011.pdf?lang=en" target="_blank">Spanish Constitution</a>).
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2016-10-18 | 2016-06-07 | ["http://en.parliran.ir/", "http://www.france24.com/en/20161006-iran-death-penalty-bill-reduce-executions-rouhani", "https://majlismonitor.com/en/2016/03/analysis-2016-iranian-parliamentary-assembly-of-experts-election-results/", "http://www.tasnimnews.com/en/news/2016/08/03/1147420/president-rouhani-raps-lack-of-commitment-to-jcpoa", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/05/iran-drug-executions-larijani-un-ahmed-shaheed.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/284417", "https://www.iranhumanrights.org/2015/12/bill-to-end-death-penalty-for-drug-crimes/", "http://irannewsupdate.com/news/human-rights/2959-mass-execution-of-sunni-kurds-highlights-unchanged-attitudes-toward-death-penalty.html", "http://www.theatlantic.com/international/archive/2016/03/iran-election-results-winner/472128/", "http://shaheedoniran.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/SR-Report-HRC31-March2016.pdf", "http://en.trend.az/iran/politics/2541350.html", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/12/iran-drug-offense-smuggling-execution-ban.html", "http://www.icana.ir/En/", "http://deathpenaltynews.blogspot.com.br/2016/05/iran-public-execution-in-kermanshah.html", "http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-iran-death-penalty-20161006-snap-story.html", "http://ncr-iran.org/en/news/human-rights/20717-iran-regime-hangs-18-people-over-the-weekend", "https://www.politicshome.com/news/uk/foreign-affairs/news/73031/alex-salmond-helps-broker-moves-end-death-penalty-iran", "http://m.ibtimes.co.in/iran-has-executed-20-sunni-terrorists-various-crimes-monitor-688922", "http://irannewsupdate.com/news/human-rights/2961-iran-s-mass-execution-of-28-fires-outrage-as-situation-worsens.html", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/jun/28/iran-under-pressure-abolish-death-penalty-drug-trafficking", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/25/world/iran-assembly-experts-ahmad-jannati.html", "http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/middle_east/03/iran_power/html/expediency_council.stm", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=53686#.V17wsNQ8KrV", "http://deathpenaltynews.blogspot.ch/2016/07/iran-regime-hangs-nine-collectively.html?m=1", "http://qz.com/693031/iran-has-a-growing-drug-problem-and-young-well-educated-women-are-among-its-biggest-victims/"] | binary | [["2016-06-07", 0.0], ["2016-06-07", 0.01], ["2016-06-07", 0.18], ["2016-06-07", 0.09], ["2016-06-07", 0.04], ["2016-06-07", 0.0], ["2016-06-07", 0.005], ["2016-06-08", 0.0], ["2016-06-08", 0.0], ["2016-06-08", 0.0], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-08", 0.01], ["2016-06-09", 0.01], ["2016-06-09", 0.01], ["2016-06-09", 0.035], ["2016-06-09", 0.055], ["2016-06-09", 0.045], ["2016-06-09", 0.045], ["2016-06-09", 0.04], ["2016-06-10", 0.045], ["2016-06-10", 0.035], ["2016-06-10", 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["2016-10-11", 0.0], ["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-12", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-13", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-14", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/217 | This question was closed on option B) 'No' on 17 October, 2016. Though there has been movement towards restricting capital punishment (especially for nonviolent drug offenses), Iran's Guardian Council has not yet held a vote. (<a href="http://www.latimes.com/world/la-fg-iran-death-penalty-20161006-snap-story.html" target="_blank">LA Times</a>)
International pressure to end the death penalty for juvenile offenders has increased, and the Majles, Iran's parliament, is considering legislation which would remove mandatory death sentences for drug related offenses (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/11/world/middleeast/iran-executions-at-highest-level-since-89.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=53686#.Vyx1BzYZ5ps" target="_blank">UN</a>). The Guardian Council must approve legislation passed by the Majles. For more information on the Guardian Council's role in the legislative process see: <a href="http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/shared/spl/hi/middle_east/03/iran_power/html/guardian_council.stm" target="_blank">BBC</a>. Legislation eliminating the death penalty for certain classes of offenders (e.g. juveniles, women) or certain offenses (e.g. drug related crimes) would count, as would legislation designed to reduce the use of the death penalty (e.g. removing mandatory sentencing or giving judges more discretion to use alternative punishments). For more information on the death penalty in Iran see: <a href="http://www.deathpenaltyworldwide.org/country-search-post.cfm?country=Iran®ion=&method=#f3-1" target="_blank">Death Penalty Worldwide</a>.
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</a> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-10-17 | Before 18 October 2016, will Iran's Guardian Council approve legislation which would restrict the use of the death penalty? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-05 | 2016-06-14 | ["https://www.yahoo.com/tech/nissan-confirms-next-gen-leaf-135003615.html", "http://www.thetruthaboutcars.com/2016/06/nissan-leaf-sales-faceplant-chevy-volt-laughs-points/", "http://www.greencarreports.com/news/1107541_plug-in-electric-car-sales-for-nov-volt-soars-prius-prime-arrives", "http://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard/", "http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2011/01/nissan-leaf-sales-figures.html", "http://www.hybridcars.com/august-2016-dashboard/", "http://www.autoblog.com/2016/11/01/nissan-leaf-100k-sales-us-report/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/313008", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_emission_standards", "http://www.forbes.com/sites/brookecrothers/2016/06/05/the-tesla-model-3-effect-nissan-leaf-first-victim/#1271be265dc4", "http://www-odi.nhtsa.dot.gov/acms/cs/jaxrs/download/doc/UCM533484/RCAK-16V436-7499.pdf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-autos-idUSKCN0ZH504", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/259543", "https://cleantechnica.com/2016/11/02/us-nissan-leaf-sales-reach-100000/", "http://electrek.co/2016/06/01/nissan-leaf-sales-down-tesla-model-3-fault/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/392711"] | binary | [["2016-06-14", 0.25], ["2016-06-14", 0.15], ["2016-06-14", 0.1], ["2016-06-14", 0.15], ["2016-06-14", 0.155], ["2016-06-15", 0.21], ["2016-06-15", 0.18], ["2016-06-15", 0.15], ["2016-06-15", 0.15], ["2016-06-15", 0.105], ["2016-06-15", 0.1], ["2016-06-15", 0.1], ["2016-06-15", 0.09], ["2016-06-15", 0.06], ["2016-06-15", 0.05], ["2016-06-15", 0.05], ["2016-06-16", 0.05], ["2016-06-16", 0.05], ["2016-06-16", 0.045], ["2016-06-16", 0.02], ["2016-06-16", 0.01], ["2016-06-16", 0.01], ["2016-06-16", 0.01], ["2016-06-17", 0.01], ["2016-06-17", 0.01], ["2016-06-17", 0.01], ["2016-06-18", 0.01], ["2016-06-18", 0.01], ["2016-06-18", 0.01], ["2016-06-18", 0.01], ["2016-06-19", 0.01], ["2016-06-19", 0.01], ["2016-06-19", 0.01], ["2016-06-19", 0.01], ["2016-06-19", 0.01], ["2016-06-20", 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0.02], ["2016-09-08", 0.02], ["2016-09-09", 0.02], ["2016-09-10", 0.02], ["2016-09-11", 0.02], ["2016-09-12", 0.02], ["2016-09-13", 0.02], ["2016-09-15", 0.02], ["2016-09-16", 0.02], ["2016-09-17", 0.02], ["2016-09-18", 0.02], ["2016-09-18", 0.02], ["2016-09-19", 0.02], ["2016-09-20", 0.02], ["2016-09-22", 0.02], ["2016-09-23", 0.01], ["2016-09-25", 0.01], ["2016-09-25", 0.01], ["2016-09-26", 0.01], ["2016-09-26", 0.01], ["2016-09-28", 0.01], ["2016-09-28", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01], ["2016-09-30", 0.01], ["2016-10-01", 0.01], ["2016-10-01", 0.01], ["2016-10-02", 0.01], ["2016-10-03", 0.01], ["2016-10-03", 0.01], ["2016-10-04", 0.01], ["2016-10-04", 0.01], ["2016-10-06", 0.01], ["2016-10-07", 0.01], ["2016-10-08", 0.01], ["2016-10-09", 0.01], ["2016-10-10", 0.01], ["2016-10-10", 0.01], ["2016-10-10", 0.01], ["2016-10-11", 0.01], ["2016-10-12", 0.01], ["2016-10-13", 0.01], ["2016-10-14", 0.01], ["2016-10-15", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-16", 0.0], ["2016-10-17", 0.0], 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["2016-11-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-01", 0.0], ["2016-12-03", 0.0], ["2016-12-03", 0.0], ["2016-12-04", 0.0], ["2016-12-05", 0.0], ["2016-12-06", 0.0], ["2016-12-06", 0.0], ["2016-12-06", 0.0], ["2016-12-08", 0.0], ["2016-12-09", 0.0], ["2016-12-11", 0.0], ["2016-12-12", 0.0], ["2016-12-13", 0.0], ["2016-12-15", 0.0], ["2016-12-16", 0.0], ["2016-12-18", 0.0], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/219 | This question closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. Sales of the Leaf were 14,006 for 2016 (<a href = "http://nissannews.com/en-US/nissan/usa/channels/U-S-Sales-Reports/releases/nissan-group-reports-december-and-2016-calendar-year-u-s-sales"target = "_blank">Nissan</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Nissan LEAF is the world’s all-time best selling battery-powered electric car, with global sales of over 200,000 units since its launch in 2010 (<a href="http://www.nissan-global.com/EN/NEWS/2015/_STORY/151210-01-e.html" target="_blank">Nissan</a>). More than 30,000 LEAFS were sold in the US during 2014, up from 22,610 in 2013. However, there was a sharp decline in 2015 with total sales in the US amounting to only 17,269. The newly-released 2016 LEAF has an upgraded 30 kWh battery option which will yield an estimated 107-mile range, a 27% improvement over the 24 kWh option offered in the previous model (<a href="http://blog.caranddriver.com/2016-nissan-leaf-ev-offers-more-range-for-a-price/" target="_blank">Car and Driver</a>). During the first quarter of this year, 2,931 units of LEAF were sold in the US. Question will be resolved using data from <a href="http://www.goodcarbadcar.net/2011/01/nissan-leaf-sales-figures.html" target="_blank">Good Car Bad Car</a>.
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2017-03-03 | 2016-06-14 | ["http://www.ibtimes.co.in/spacex-gets-set-launch-worlds-most-powerful-rocket-falcon-heavy-711230", "http://www.npr.org/sections/thetwo-way/2017/02/22/516614289/spacex-cargo-craft-fails-to-dock-with-space-station-will-try-again", "http://www.itechpost.com/articles/73853/20170112/spacex-falcon-heavy-launch-details-announced.htm", "https://www.theregister.co.uk/2017/02/22/spacex_capsule_iss_error/", "http://spacenews.com/faa-grants-license-for-spacex-falcon-9-return-to-flight/", "http://www.popularmechanics.com/space/rockets/a24581/spacex-explosion-new-launch-date/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Falcon_Heavy", "http://www.spaceflightinsider.com/organizations/space-exploration-technologies/spacex-still-eyeing-fall-launch-maiden-flight-falcon-heavy/", "http://observer.com/2017/01/spacex-mars-falcon-launch/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/01/14/science/spacex-falcon-9-iridium-elon-musk.html?emc=edit_th_20170115&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=77825025", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/19/science/spacex-launch-kennedy-space-center.html?emc=edit_th_20170220&nl=todaysheadlines&nlid=77825025", "https://spaceflightnow.com/2016/09/14/falcon-9-could-launch-again-in-november-falcon-heavy-debut-slips-to-2017/", "http://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/watch/spacex-to-resume-launches-as-early-as-january-8-846526019725", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Falcon_9_and_Falcon_Heavy_launches", "http://www.ibtimes.co.in/spacexs-falcon-9-rocket-launch-schedule-block-5-falcon-heavy-will-revolutionise-future-flights-713315", "https://twitter.com/SpaceX/status/833327256239878145", "http://fortune.com/2017/02/07/spacex-rocket-launch-falcon-9/", "http://www.popularmechanics.com/space/rockets/a25035/flaws-in-spacex-falcon-9-rockets/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/spacex-plans-to-resume-rocket-launches-1483363705", "http://spaceflightnow.com/launch-schedule/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/technology-38753819", "http://www.teslarati.com/dont-expect-spacex-land-falcon-9-rocket-next-launch-mission/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-space-spacex-idUSKBN14Y0H3", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-02-18/spacex-halts-launch-of-rocket-10-seconds-before-planned-liftoff", "http://www.ibtimes.co.in/reason-why-spacex-has-deferred-mars-mission-launch-date-falcon-heavy-carry-dragon-spacecraft-716540"] | binary | [["2016-06-14", 0.925], ["2016-06-14", 0.975], ["2016-06-14", 0.75], ["2016-06-14", 0.9], ["2016-06-15", 0.91], ["2016-06-15", 0.83], ["2016-06-15", 0.75], ["2016-06-15", 0.77], ["2016-06-15", 0.8], ["2016-06-15", 0.785], ["2016-06-16", 0.77], ["2016-06-16", 0.71], ["2016-06-16", 0.47], ["2016-06-16", 0.6], ["2016-06-16", 0.65], ["2016-06-16", 0.51], ["2016-06-17", 0.51], ["2016-06-17", 0.55], ["2016-06-17", 0.65], ["2016-06-17", 0.675], ["2016-06-18", 0.705], ["2016-06-18", 0.725], ["2016-06-18", 0.75], ["2016-06-19", 0.75], ["2016-06-19", 0.75], ["2016-06-19", 0.75], ["2016-06-19", 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["2017-02-18", 0.01], ["2017-02-19", 0.01], ["2017-02-19", 0.01], ["2017-02-19", 0.01], ["2017-02-20", 0.01], ["2017-02-20", 0.01], ["2017-02-21", 0.01], ["2017-02-21", 0.01], ["2017-02-21", 0.01], ["2017-02-22", 0.01], ["2017-02-22", 0.01], ["2017-02-22", 0.01], ["2017-02-23", 0.01], ["2017-02-23", 0.01], ["2017-02-23", 0.01], ["2017-02-24", 0.01], ["2017-02-25", 0.01], ["2017-02-25", 0.01], ["2017-02-26", 0.01], ["2017-02-26", 0.01], ["2017-02-27", 0.01], ["2017-02-27", 0.01], ["2017-02-27", 0.01], ["2017-02-28", 0.01], ["2017-02-28", 0.01], ["2017-02-28", 0.01], ["2017-02-28", 0.01], ["2017-03-01", 0.01], ["2017-03-01", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/223 | This question was closed on "No" with an end date of 28 February 2017.
<sub>
See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
The new <a href="http://www.spacex.com/falcon-heavy" target="_blank">Falcon Heavy space launch vehicle</a> is a heavy-lift version of SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket and is crucial for achieving the company’s goal of sending a cargo capsule to Mars in 2018 (<a href="http://www.theverge.com/2016/5/1/11549456/spacex-falcon-9-heavy-launch-capabilities-weight-mars" target="_blank">The Verge 1</a>, <a href="http://www.theverge.com/2016/4/27/11514844/spacex-mars-mission-date-red-dragon-rocket-elon-musk" target="_blank">2</a>). The initial launch, originally scheduled for summer 2016, has been pushed back to December 2016 (<a href="http://spaceflight101.com/falcon-9-rocket-completes-static-fire-test-for-next-high-energy-satellite-delivery-mission/" target="_blank">Spaceflight 101</a>). For more information on low earth orbit see: <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Low_Earth_orbit" target="_blank">Wikipedia</a>, <a href="http://www.wired.com/2015/09/whats-special-low-earth-orbit/" target="_blank">Wired</a>.
Clarification Issued 6/22/2016: Falcon Heavy reaching an LEO altitude will resolve this as "yes".
<sub>
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2018-01-03 | 2016-06-14 | ["https://news.usni.org/2017/09/26/report-russia-continues-use-nuclear-threats-intimidate-neighbors", "http://thebulletin.org/save-inf-treaty%E2%80%94-not-repeating-history11109", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-russia/russian-frigate-fires-cruise-missiles-at-islamic-state-targets-near-syrias-deir-al-zor-idUSKCN1BG16D", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fail-deadly", "http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/heres-why-us-special-forces-want-russian-machine-guns-20642", "https://www.dodbuzz.com/2017/08/23/lockheed-raytheon-new-nuclear-cruise-missile/", "http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/world-news/russian-army-joins-forces-three-11133952", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-usa-nuclear/russia-says-it-is-fully-committed-to-nuclear-missile-pact-idUSKBN1E30HZ", "http://nationalinterest.org/blog/the-buzz/are-russia-america-headed-missile-showdown-23152", "http://en.apa.az/world-news/america-news/us-set-to-restrict-russian-flights-over-us-violating-open-skies-treaty.html", "http://defense-update.com/20171231_russian_strategic_modernization.html", "http://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/13765/new-syria-missile-factories-look-a-lot-like-ones-in-iran", "https://sputniknews.com/analysis/201709151057439372-us-policy-violates-nuclear-treaty/", "http://www.militaryaerospace.com/articles/2015/11/unmanned-underwater-nuclear-weapons.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-usa-missiles-putin/putin-accuses-u-s-of-plotting-to-break-landmark-arms-control-pact-idUSKBN1EG1CG", "https://www.rferl.org/a/russia-reported-may-send-iskander-missiles-kanliningrad-us-armored-divisions-poland/28790998.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unrestricted_submarine_warfare", "https://sputniknews.com/military/201709141057396387-iskander-missile-system-russia-inf/", "http://www.dia.mil/", "http://www.businessinsider.com/russian-militarys-ak-12-assault-rifle-passed-field-tests-2017-7", "http://inhomelandsecurity.com/navy-warships-get-new-heavy-missile-2500-lb-lrasm/", "http://www.mid.ru/en/foreign_policy/news/-/asset_publisher/cKNonkJE02Bw/content/id/2867341", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Submarine_warfare", "https://www.ukrinform.net/rubric-defense/2284382-russian-missiles-from-crimea-may-reach-europe-and-middle-east.html", "http://tass.com/defense/962021"] | binary | [["2016-06-14", 0.505], ["2016-06-14", 0.38], ["2016-06-15", 0.35], ["2016-06-15", 0.24], ["2016-06-15", 0.235], ["2016-06-16", 0.11], ["2016-06-16", 0.105], ["2016-06-17", 0.05], ["2016-06-17", 0.075], ["2016-06-18", 0.1], ["2016-06-19", 0.105], ["2016-06-19", 0.25], ["2016-06-19", 0.235], ["2016-06-20", 0.25], ["2016-06-20", 0.34], ["2016-06-20", 0.33], ["2016-06-21", 0.315], ["2016-06-21", 0.25], ["2016-06-22", 0.15], ["2016-06-22", 0.15], ["2016-06-23", 0.15], ["2016-06-24", 0.15], ["2016-06-25", 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["2017-01-14", 0.105], ["2017-01-15", 0.1], ["2017-01-16", 0.1], ["2017-01-17", 0.1], ["2017-01-18", 0.1], ["2017-01-19", 0.1], ["2017-01-20", 0.1], ["2017-01-21", 0.1], ["2017-01-22", 0.1], ["2017-01-22", 0.1], ["2017-01-23", 0.1], ["2017-01-24", 0.1], ["2017-01-25", 0.1], ["2017-01-26", 0.1], ["2017-01-27", 0.1], ["2017-01-28", 0.1], ["2017-01-29", 0.1], ["2017-01-29", 0.1], ["2017-01-30", 0.1], ["2017-01-31", 0.1], ["2017-02-02", 0.1], ["2017-02-03", 0.1], ["2017-02-04", 0.1], ["2017-02-05", 0.1], ["2017-02-05", 0.1], ["2017-02-07", 0.1], ["2017-02-08", 0.08], ["2017-02-08", 0.075], ["2017-02-10", 0.07], ["2017-02-11", 0.07], ["2017-02-12", 0.07], ["2017-02-12", 0.065], ["2017-02-14", 0.065], ["2017-02-14", 0.07], ["2017-02-15", 0.075], ["2017-02-16", 0.075], ["2017-02-16", 0.075], ["2017-02-17", 0.07], ["2017-02-18", 0.08], ["2017-02-19", 0.08], ["2017-02-19", 0.075], ["2017-02-20", 0.07], ["2017-02-21", 0.065], ["2017-02-22", 0.065], ["2017-02-23", 0.065], ["2017-02-25", 0.07], ["2017-02-26", 0.07], ["2017-02-27", 0.055], ["2017-02-27", 0.05], ["2017-02-28", 0.05], ["2017-03-01", 0.05], ["2017-03-03", 0.05], ["2017-03-04", 0.05], ["2017-03-05", 0.05], ["2017-03-06", 0.05], ["2017-03-07", 0.05], ["2017-03-09", 0.05], ["2017-03-09", 0.05], ["2017-03-11", 0.05], ["2017-03-12", 0.05], ["2017-03-13", 0.05], ["2017-03-13", 0.05], ["2017-03-15", 0.05], ["2017-03-16", 0.05], ["2017-03-17", 0.05], ["2017-03-18", 0.05], ["2017-03-19", 0.05], ["2017-03-21", 0.05], ["2017-03-22", 0.05], ["2017-03-24", 0.05], ["2017-03-25", 0.05], ["2017-03-26", 0.05], ["2017-03-27", 0.05], ["2017-03-28", 0.05], ["2017-03-29", 0.05], ["2017-03-30", 0.05], ["2017-03-31", 0.05], ["2017-04-01", 0.05], ["2017-04-02", 0.05], ["2017-04-03", 0.05], ["2017-04-04", 0.05], ["2017-04-05", 0.05], ["2017-04-06", 0.05], ["2017-04-08", 0.05], ["2017-04-09", 0.05], ["2017-04-10", 0.05], ["2017-04-11", 0.05], ["2017-04-12", 0.05], ["2017-04-13", 0.05], ["2017-04-13", 0.05], ["2017-04-15", 0.05], ["2017-04-16", 0.05], ["2017-04-17", 0.05], ["2017-04-18", 0.05], ["2017-04-19", 0.05], ["2017-04-20", 0.05], ["2017-04-21", 0.05], ["2017-04-23", 0.05], ["2017-04-24", 0.05], ["2017-04-25", 0.05], ["2017-04-27", 0.05], ["2017-04-28", 0.05], ["2017-04-29", 0.05], ["2017-04-30", 0.05], ["2017-05-01", 0.05], ["2017-05-03", 0.05], ["2017-05-04", 0.05], ["2017-05-06", 0.05], ["2017-05-07", 0.05], ["2017-05-08", 0.05], ["2017-05-09", 0.05], ["2017-05-10", 0.05], ["2017-05-11", 0.05], ["2017-05-12", 0.05], ["2017-05-12", 0.04], ["2017-05-13", 0.03], ["2017-05-14", 0.03], ["2017-05-15", 0.03], ["2017-05-16", 0.03], ["2017-05-17", 0.03], ["2017-05-19", 0.03], ["2017-05-20", 0.03], ["2017-05-22", 0.03], ["2017-05-24", 0.03], ["2017-05-25", 0.03], ["2017-05-25", 0.025], ["2017-05-26", 0.025], ["2017-05-28", 0.02], ["2017-05-30", 0.02], ["2017-05-30", 0.02], ["2017-05-31", 0.02], ["2017-06-01", 0.02], ["2017-06-02", 0.02], ["2017-06-03", 0.02], ["2017-06-05", 0.02], ["2017-06-06", 0.02], ["2017-06-08", 0.02], ["2017-06-08", 0.02], ["2017-06-10", 0.02], ["2017-06-12", 0.02], ["2017-06-13", 0.02], ["2017-06-14", 0.02], ["2017-06-16", 0.02], ["2017-06-17", 0.02], ["2017-06-18", 0.02], ["2017-06-19", 0.02], ["2017-06-20", 0.02], ["2017-06-22", 0.02], ["2017-06-23", 0.02], ["2017-06-24", 0.02], ["2017-06-26", 0.02], ["2017-06-28", 0.02], ["2017-06-29", 0.02], ["2017-07-01", 0.02], ["2017-07-02", 0.02], ["2017-07-03", 0.02], ["2017-07-05", 0.02], ["2017-07-05", 0.02], ["2017-07-06", 0.02], ["2017-07-07", 0.02], ["2017-07-09", 0.02], ["2017-07-10", 0.02], ["2017-07-12", 0.02], ["2017-07-13", 0.02], ["2017-07-14", 0.02], ["2017-07-16", 0.02], ["2017-07-17", 0.02], ["2017-07-18", 0.02], ["2017-07-19", 0.01], ["2017-07-20", 0.01], ["2017-07-22", 0.01], ["2017-07-23", 0.01], ["2017-07-24", 0.01], ["2017-07-25", 0.01], ["2017-07-26", 0.01], ["2017-07-28", 0.01], ["2017-07-29", 0.01], ["2017-07-31", 0.01], ["2017-08-01", 0.01], ["2017-08-02", 0.01], ["2017-08-04", 0.01], ["2017-08-06", 0.01], ["2017-08-07", 0.01], ["2017-08-08", 0.01], ["2017-08-09", 0.01], ["2017-08-10", 0.01], ["2017-08-11", 0.01], ["2017-08-12", 0.01], ["2017-08-14", 0.01], ["2017-08-15", 0.01], ["2017-08-17", 0.01], ["2017-08-19", 0.01], ["2017-08-21", 0.01], ["2017-08-23", 0.01], ["2017-08-24", 0.01], ["2017-08-25", 0.01], ["2017-08-26", 0.01], ["2017-08-28", 0.01], ["2017-08-29", 0.01], ["2017-08-30", 0.01], ["2017-08-31", 0.01], ["2017-09-01", 0.01], ["2017-09-03", 0.01], ["2017-09-04", 0.01], ["2017-09-05", 0.01], ["2017-09-06", 0.01], ["2017-09-07", 0.01], ["2017-09-09", 0.01], ["2017-09-10", 0.01], ["2017-09-13", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-16", 0.01], ["2017-09-17", 0.01], ["2017-09-18", 0.01], ["2017-09-19", 0.01], ["2017-09-20", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-22", 0.01], ["2017-09-23", 0.01], ["2017-09-24", 0.01], ["2017-09-25", 0.01], ["2017-09-26", 0.01], ["2017-09-28", 0.01], ["2017-09-29", 0.01], ["2017-10-01", 0.01], ["2017-10-02", 0.01], ["2017-10-03", 0.01], ["2017-10-04", 0.01], ["2017-10-07", 0.01], ["2017-10-08", 0.01], ["2017-10-10", 0.01], ["2017-10-13", 0.01], ["2017-10-15", 0.01], ["2017-10-16", 0.01], ["2017-10-17", 0.01], ["2017-10-19", 0.01], ["2017-10-20", 0.01], ["2017-10-21", 0.01], ["2017-10-22", 0.01], ["2017-10-24", 0.01], ["2017-10-25", 0.01], ["2017-10-26", 0.01], ["2017-10-28", 0.01], ["2017-10-29", 0.01], ["2017-10-31", 0.01], ["2017-11-01", 0.01], ["2017-11-02", 0.01], ["2017-11-03", 0.01], ["2017-11-05", 0.01], ["2017-11-09", 0.01], ["2017-11-10", 0.01], ["2017-11-12", 0.01], ["2017-11-13", 0.01], ["2017-11-14", 0.0], ["2017-11-17", 0.0], ["2017-11-18", 0.0], ["2017-11-20", 0.0], ["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-22", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-25", 0.0], ["2017-11-27", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-02", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-05", 0.0], ["2017-12-07", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-09", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-12", 0.0], ["2017-12-13", 0.0], ["2017-12-13", 0.0], ["2017-12-14", 0.0], ["2017-12-16", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-19", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-21", 0.0], ["2017-12-22", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-26", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/221 | For more information on the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty see <a href="http://www.state.gov/t/avc/trty/102360.htm" target="_blank">US Department of State</a>. Accusations of violations by both sides and escalating tensions between Russia and the US have generated concerns over the future of the INF treaty (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-28538387" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/12/02/world/europe/us-plans-to-counter-arms-breach-by-russia.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). In March 2015, Russia announced that it was withdrawing from the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/f6c814a6-c750-11e4-9e34-00144feab7de.html" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>).
<sub>
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Russia did not officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-03 | 2016-06-14 | ["https://www.rt.com/news/404678-russia-ballistic-missile-test/", "http://www.msnbc.com/morning-joe/watch/a-controversial-option-that-may-work-in-north-korea-1048852035776", "http://www.businessinsider.com/russian-bombers-fly-over-korean-peninsula-as-us-conducts-exercises-2017-8", "https://shape.nato.int/news-archive/2017/exercise-ample-strike-takes-place-for-4th-consecutive-year", "http://www.defenseone.com/technology/2017/09/russians-just-test-fired-icbm/141163/?oref=d-river&utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DFN%20DNR%209.21.17&utm_term=Editorial%20-%20Early%20Bird%20Brief", "https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2017-11/news/putin-slams-us-nonproliferation-deals", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/07/31/world/europe/russia-military-exercise-zapad-west.html?mcubz=3", "https://thediplomat.com/2017/09/russia-tests-topol-m-intercontinental-ballistic-missile/", "http://www.4freerussia.org/", "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-09/13/c_136606142.htm", "https://www.rferl.org/a/us-russia-fraying-ties-erode-arms-control/28611015.html", "https://thebarentsobserver.com/en/security/2017/10/russia-close-fulfill-new-start-treaty", "https://fas.org/irp/cia/product/style.pdf", "https://www.state.gov/t/avc/newstart/274550.htm", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-russia-usa-nuclear/russia-says-it-is-fully-committed-to-nuclear-missile-pact-idUSKBN1E30HZ", "http://www.shape.nato.int/", "http://thehill.com/policy/defense/359709-defense-bill-would-not-limit-extension-of-arms-treaty-with-russia", "https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/russia-plans-huge-zapad-2017-military-exercises-belarus-n788741", "https://russianmilitaryanalysis.wordpress.com/", "https://kitup.military.com/2017/09/m3e1.html", "http://scout.com/military/warrior/Article/The-Russian-Militarys-Greatest-Enemy-And-Its-Not-America-107135992", "https://russianmilitaryanalysis.wordpress.com/2017/09/23/zapad-watch-summary-of-post-exercise-exercises-the-zapad-hangover/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Multiple_independently_targetable_reentry_vehicle", "http://defense-update.com/20171231_inf.html", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/europe/ukraine-russia-war-games-kiev-us-weapons-request-putin-a7949591.html"] | binary | [["2016-06-14", 0.515], ["2016-06-14", 0.15], ["2016-06-14", 0.35], ["2016-06-15", 0.25], ["2016-06-15", 0.14], ["2016-06-15", 0.1], ["2016-06-15", 0.05], ["2016-06-15", 0.05], ["2016-06-16", 0.04], ["2016-06-17", 0.05], ["2016-06-17", 0.05], ["2016-06-17", 0.03], ["2016-06-18", 0.05], ["2016-06-19", 0.05], ["2016-06-19", 0.05], ["2016-06-19", 0.05], ["2016-06-20", 0.05], ["2016-06-20", 0.05], ["2016-06-20", 0.05], ["2016-06-21", 0.05], ["2016-06-21", 0.05], ["2016-06-22", 0.05], ["2016-06-22", 0.05], ["2016-06-23", 0.045], ["2016-06-24", 0.05], ["2016-06-25", 0.05], ["2016-06-26", 0.05], ["2016-06-27", 0.05], ["2016-06-27", 0.05], ["2016-06-28", 0.09], ["2016-06-29", 0.08], ["2016-06-29", 0.09], ["2016-06-30", 0.09], 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["2017-11-14", 0.0], ["2017-11-17", 0.0], ["2017-11-17", 0.0], ["2017-11-19", 0.0], ["2017-11-20", 0.0], ["2017-11-21", 0.0], ["2017-11-22", 0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-26", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-02", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-05", 0.0], ["2017-12-07", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-12", 0.0], ["2017-12-14", 0.0], ["2017-12-14", 0.0], ["2017-12-16", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-19", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-21", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/222 | For more information on the New START Treaty see: <a href="http://www.state.gov/t/avc/newstart/index.htm" target="_blank">US Department of State</a>. Escalating tensions between Russia and the US have generated concerns over the future of the New Start treaty (<a href="http://time.com/4280169/russia-nuclear-security-summit/" target="_blank">TIME</a>). In March 2015, Russia announced that it was withdrawing from the Treaty on Conventional Armed Forces in Europe (<a href="http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/f6c814a6-c750-11e4-9e34-00144feab7de.html" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>).
<sub>
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/221" target="_blank">Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty?</a>
</sub>
<hr>
Russia did not officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 2018, will Russia officially announce that it is suspending its participation in or withdrawing from the New START treaty? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-12-21 | 2016-06-21 | ["http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus", "http://www.al.com/news/index.ssf/2016/08/latest_odds_on_hillary_clinton.html", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JRMOMjCoR58", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/09/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-popular-vote/", "http://www.abc.net.au/news/2016-11-10/us-election-was-closer-than-you-think/8012392", "http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-odds-of-an-electoral-college-popular-vote-split-are-increasing/?ex_cid=538fb", "https://www.gjopen.com/challenges/6-monkey-cage-us-election-2016", "http://www.euronews.com/2016/11/10/hillary-clinton-loses-presidential-election-but-wins-the-popular-vote", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election", "http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#popular-vote", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/08/politics/dixville-notch-results-2016/index.html", "http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-odds-of-an-electoral-college-popular-vote-split-are-increasing/", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question6", "https://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/elections/forecast/president", "https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/dont-worry-about-the-electoral-college-math/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_College_(United_States", "https://g.co/kgs/yJ5b1C", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-stocks-idUSKBN1321FT?il=0", "http://www.pewresearch.org/fact-tank/2016/11/03/why-electoral-college-landslides-are-easier-to-win-than-popular-vote-ones/", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hT_nvWreIhg", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/366782", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question7", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/0/us-presidential-elections-2016-poll-tracker-latest-donald-trump/"] | binary | [["2016-06-21", 0.475], ["2016-06-21", 0.95], ["2016-06-21", 1.0], ["2016-06-21", 0.95], ["2016-06-21", 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["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-05", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-06", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-07", 0.97], ["2016-11-08", 0.96], ["2016-11-08", 0.96], ["2016-11-08", 0.96], ["2016-11-08", 0.96], ["2016-11-08", 0.96]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/226 | This question was closed as "No" with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump won the electoral college, while Hillary Clinton won the popular vote (<a href = "http://time.com/4608555/hillary-clinton-popular-vote-final/" target = "_blank">Time</a>, <a href = "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-election-electoralcollege-idUSKBN1480FQ" target = "_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href = "http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president" target = "_blank">NY Times</a>)
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>
<hr>
For more information on the the popular vote and the electoral college see: <a href="http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/about.html" target="_blank">National Archives and Records Administration 1</a>, <a href="http://www.archives.gov/federal-register/electoral-college/faq.html#ecpopulardiffer" target="_blank">2</a>. Four presidents, including George Bush in the 2000 election, have been elected without winning the popular vote (<a href="http://www.factcheck.org/2008/03/presidents-winning-without-popular-vote/" target="_blank">FactCheck.org</a>). Only forecasts made prior to election day will be scored.
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2016-08-03 | 2016-06-21 | ["http://www.odessatalk.com/2016/07/ukraine-and-the-imf-where-are-we-at/", "https://www.imf.org/external/NP/SEC/bc/eng/index.aspx", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/289187", "http://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2016/07/15/15/18/TR071516%20Transcript%20of%20the%20Press%20Briefing%20with%20Gerry%20Rice", "http://uatoday.tv/business/ukraine-may-receive-next-tranche-in-july-august-imf-official-667539.html", "http://www.imf.org/external/NP/SEC/bc/eng/index.aspx?sort=country&year=", "http://www.unian.info/economics/1413933-finance-ministry-says-when-imfs-board-of-directors-to-convene-on-ukraine.html"", "http://112.international/politics/ukraine-has-not-fulfilled-all-its-obligations-to-imf-lagarde-7181.html", "http://uatoday.tv/politics/imf-loan-tranche-for-ukraine-delayed-700616.html", "http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/economic/359054.html", "http://zik.ua/en/news/2016/07/08/no_summer_recess_rada_to_work_through_summer_714578", "http://www.kyivpost.com/article/opinion/op-ed/timothy-ash-very-disappointing-if-imf-delays-loan-to-ukraine-419218.html", "http://af.reuters.com/article/guineaBissauNews/idAFL1N1A00T9", "http://sputniknews.com/europe/20160728/1043723394/imf-ukraine-tranche.html", "http://www.blic.rs/vesti/ekonomija/vucic-sa-novim-sefom-kancelarije-mmf-srbija-nikad-nece-biti-na-ivici-bankrota/s8sl9r5", "http://www.defensenews.com/story/defense/omr/roadtowarsaw/2016/07/09/nato-approves-assistance-package-ukraine-condemns-russian-aggression/86897150/?utm_source=Sailthru&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=Warsaw%201&utm_term=Editorial%20-%20Digital%20Show%20Daily", "http://indianexpress.com/article/world/world-news/international-monetary-fund-imf-could-resume-aid-to-ukraine-in-july-spokesman-2914379/", "http://www.unian.info/economics/1427927-imf-loan-tranche-for-ukraine-delayed.html", "http://en.interfax.com.ua/news/economic/358168.html", "http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-07-21/imf-may-not-approve-ukraine-s-tranche-in-july-minister-says", "http://www.kyivpost.com/article/content/ukraine-politics/unian-imf-to-meet-on-ukraine-late-in-august-finance-ministry-419667.html", "http://www.imf.org/external/NP/SEC/bc/eng/index.aspx", "http://www.imf.org/external/NP/SEC/bc/eng/index.aspx?sort=date&year=", "http://iportal.rada.gov.ua/en/news/News/133471.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/imf-ukraine-idUSL1N1A00VO"] | binary | [["2016-06-21", 0.0], ["2016-06-21", 0.65], ["2016-06-21", 0.725], ["2016-06-21", 0.775], ["2016-06-21", 0.8], ["2016-06-21", 0.815], ["2016-06-21", 0.64], ["2016-06-21", 0.78], ["2016-06-21", 0.8], ["2016-06-21", 0.875], ["2016-06-22", 0.875], ["2016-06-22", 0.83], ["2016-06-22", 0.83], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.925], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.95], ["2016-06-22", 0.925], 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["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-29", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-30", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0], ["2016-07-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/224 | This question was closed with the answer "No" on 3 August 2016 with an end date of 31 July 2016. Scores are based on forecasts made through 11:59pm Pacific on 30 July 2016. In late July, the IMF's executive board announced that they would not be releasing the next tranche of the loan until at least mid-August (<a href="http://www.rferl.org/content/ukraine-imf-bailout-delay-continues/27887802.html" target="_blank">Radio Free Europe Radio Liberty</a>, <a href="http://uatoday.tv/news/rfe-rl-imf-announces-further-delay-in-ukraine-bailout-706396.html" target="_blank">Ukraine Today</a>).
In March 2015, the IMF approved a four-year, $17.5-billion loan program for Ukraine (<a href="http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2015/pr15107.htm" target="_blank">IMF</a>). Two tranches of funds have been released, but the third has been delayed by concerns over stalled progress on expected reforms (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/ukraine-crisis-imf-idUSL8N15N42C" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). In May 2016, Ukraine secured preliminary approval for the release of the next tranche of that loan, but final approval, which the IMF plans to consider at its July board meeting, is contingent on further Ukrainian reforms (<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/imf-gives-preliminary-green-light-for-ukraine-bailout-payout-1463606021" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-ukraine-finmin-idUSKCN0XP2BV" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.imf.org/external/np/sec/pr/2016/pr16227.htm" target="_blank">IMF</a>). Extending the review process or delaying the approval decision (e.g. by requiring Ukraine to show more progress in meeting IMF conditions, as they did in May 2016) will not resolve the question as "yes."
Clarification issued 5 July 2016: The question will resolve as "yes" when the IMF approves the release of the next tranche of loans to Ukraine, regardless of the dollar amount.
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2017-03-02 | 2016-06-21 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKBN15F17I", "http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2017/01/03/russia-s-new-favorite-jihadis-the-taliban.html", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-38048604", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/oct/18/taliban-afghanistan-secret-talks-qatar", "http://www.tolonews.com/afghanistan/govt-moves-hold-peace-talks-afghan-envoy", "http://dailytimes.com.pk/editorial/19-Jan-17/afghan--peace-process-", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/02/world/asia/afghanistan-security-terrorism-taliban.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/challenging-the-u-s-moscow-pushes-into-afghanistan-1485513002?mod=e2fb", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/06/world/asia/saudi-arabia-afghanistan.html?_r=0", "https://defence.pk/threads/afghanistan-taliban-wont-talk-because-it-is-winning.478178/", "http://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2017/jan/30/afghanistan-government-open-to-talks-with-taliban-envoy-1565224.html", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/defense-secretary-carter-makes-surprise-visit-afghanistan-054354459--politics.html", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/12/12-asian-geopolitical-trends-and-events-from-2016-thatll-matter-in-2017/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-peacetalks-idUSKCN12I0O2", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-38893926", "http://www.globalsecurity.org/military/library/news/2017/01/mil-170118-voa01.htm?_m=3n%2e002a%2e1917%2elo0ao02gx5%2e1rh0", "http://paktribune.com/news/Afghanistan-ready-to-talk-unconditionally-with-Taliban-278136.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/367877", "http://tribune.com.pk/story/1228413/afghan-taliban-not-ready-talks-pakistan-told/", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/11/03/2-us-service-members-killed-fighting-taliban-in-afghanistan.html", "https://thewire.in/109617/moscow-six-party-talks-afghanistan-commit-red-lines-taliban-engagement/", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-38867280", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-india-afghanistan-idUSKBN13T0CM", "http://www.voanews.com/a/russia-to-host-wider-regional-conference-on-afghanistan/3709818.html", "http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Military/2016/1129/In-Afghanistan-a-mounting-sense-of-failure-and-a-flash-of-hope"] | binary | [["2016-06-21", 0.25], ["2016-06-21", 0.315], ["2016-06-21", 0.28], ["2016-06-22", 0.1], ["2016-06-22", 0.05], ["2016-06-22", 0.125], ["2016-06-22", 0.3], ["2016-06-22", 0.35], ["2016-06-22", 0.35], ["2016-06-23", 0.31], ["2016-06-23", 0.26], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-23", 0.21], ["2016-06-24", 0.22], ["2016-06-24", 0.21], ["2016-06-25", 0.2], ["2016-06-25", 0.2], ["2016-06-25", 0.21], ["2016-06-26", 0.2], ["2016-06-26", 0.205], ["2016-06-26", 0.215], ["2016-06-26", 0.215], ["2016-06-26", 0.21], ["2016-06-27", 0.205], ["2016-06-27", 0.15], ["2016-06-28", 0.15], ["2016-06-28", 0.1], ["2016-06-28", 0.1], ["2016-06-28", 0.1], ["2016-06-28", 0.1], ["2016-06-28", 0.1], 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0.0], ["2017-02-21", 0.0], ["2017-02-21", 0.0], ["2017-02-21", 0.0], ["2017-02-22", 0.0], ["2017-02-22", 0.0], ["2017-02-23", 0.0], ["2017-02-23", 0.0], ["2017-02-23", 0.0], ["2017-02-24", 0.0], ["2017-02-25", 0.0], ["2017-02-25", 0.0], ["2017-02-25", 0.0], ["2017-02-25", 0.0], ["2017-02-26", 0.0], ["2017-02-26", 0.0], ["2017-02-27", 0.0], ["2017-02-27", 0.0], ["2017-02-27", 0.0], ["2017-02-27", 0.0], ["2017-02-28", 0.0], ["2017-02-28", 0.0], ["2017-02-28", 0.0], ["2017-02-28", 0.0], ["2017-03-01", 0.0], ["2017-03-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/228 | The Taliban's refusal to join talks hosted by the Quadrilateral Coordination Group in May 2016 (<a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/03/afghan-talks-taliban-refuses-participate-160305135801134.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-pakistan-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKCN0Y9133" target="_blank">Reuters</a>) and the appointment of the hard-line Mawlawi Haibatullah Akhundzada to replace Mullah Akhtar Mohammed Mansour have raised doubts about the future of the Afghan peace process (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/05/26/middleeast/taliban-leader-peace-talks/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.newsweek.com/taliban-mullah-akhtar-mansourhaibatullah-akhundzada-afghanistan-drones-barack-463597" target="_blank">Newsweek</a>).
<sub>
Recommended Questions:
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/173" target="_blank">Before 1 July 2016, will South Korea announce that the Terminal High-Altitude Area Defense (THAAD) missile defense system will be deployed on the Korean Peninsula?</a>
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/136" target="_blank">Will Bahrain, Qatar, or the UAE return an ambassador to Iran before 18 October 2016?</a>
</sub>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 28 February 2017.
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<hr>
</sub> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-03-01 | Will the government of Afghanistan and the Afghan Taliban participate in official talks before 1 March 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
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"http://www.businessinsider.com/iran-was-caught-importing-potentially-banned-missile-technology-2017-1?ref=yfp", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-idUSKBN16O2RL", "http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/analysis-of-the-iaeas-fourth-iran-deal-report-time-of-change/#ref2", "https://fas.org/sgp/crs/mideast/RS20871.pdf", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/iran-test-fires-medium-range-ballistic-missile-1489082919?mod=e2fb", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-kazakhstan-russia-idUSKBN1640DO", "http://isis-online.org/uploads/iaea-reports/documents/IAEA_Iran_Report_9Nov2016.pdf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-usa-sanctions-idUSKBN16U2VI", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-idUSKBN1631WG", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/u-s-europe-in-agreement-on-russia-sanctions-eu-official-says-1486755982", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/wireStory/iran-sanctions-renewal-law-obama-signature-44204828", 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0.0], ["2017-06-02", 0.0], ["2017-06-02", 0.0], ["2017-06-03", 0.0], ["2017-06-04", 0.0], ["2017-06-05", 0.0], ["2017-06-05", 0.0], ["2017-06-06", 0.0], ["2017-06-07", 0.0], ["2017-06-08", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-10", 0.0], ["2017-06-11", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-14", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-16", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-19", 0.0], ["2017-06-20", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-23", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-27", 0.0], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/231 | The Iranian nuclear deal established a Joint Commission to adjudicate disputes between the IAEA and Iran over access to undeclared nuclear facilities (<a href="http://www.iranwatch.org/our-publications/nuclear-iran-weekly/how-will-inspections-work-iran-under-nuclear-deal" target="_blank">Iran Watch</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/worldviews/wp/2016/06/03/u-n-watchdog-iran-nuclear-deal-appears-to-be-working-so-far-but-inspectors-are-stretched/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
Recommended Questions:
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/179" target="_blank">Before 18 October 2016, will the US announce that it is opening a consulate or embassy in Iran?</a>
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/136" target="_blank">Will Bahrain, Qatar, or the UAE return an ambassador to Iran before 18 October 2016?</a>
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<hr>
To date there is no evidence of any IAEA access disputes being referred to the Joint Commission. This question was closed as "b) No" with an end date of 30 June 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Will any disputes over IAEA access to Iranian sites be referred to the Joint Commission before 1 July 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-10 | 2016-07-05 | ["https://www.yahoo.com/news/europe-close-limits-refugee-influx-tusk-063809482.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/11/02/opinion/can-turkeys-democracy-survive-president-erdogan.html", "http://www.dw.com/en/eu-parliament-chief-softens-line-on-visa-free-travel-for-turkey/a-19520203", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-idUSKCN10S0EQ", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/latest-refugee-chief-fears-eu-turkey-deal-43983726", "https://www.rt.com/news/358456-turkish-people-eu-membership/", "http://www.nytimes.com/video/world/100000004659579/turkeys-erdogan-speaks-at-un-general-assembly.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/tables-have-turned-for-some-media-in-turkish-crackdown-1473170306", "http://avrupa.info.tr/de/visas-mobility-migration/eu-turkey-dialogue-on-visas-mobility-migration.html", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-eu-turkey-idUKKBN1391J3", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/european-parliament-votes-to-suspend-talks-on-turkey-joining-the-eu-1479989641", "http://vestnikkavkaza.net/analysis/Turkey-EU-relations-are-sinking.html", "http://www.todayonline.com/world/turkish-defense-minister-warns-mosul-offensive-may-trigger-1-million-migrant-flood", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-europe-38090121", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-kurds-idUSKBN12Y2XA", "http://www.euractiv.com/section/justice-home-affairs/news/austria-and-balkan-states-prepare-for-collapse-of-eu-turkey-deal/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-turkey-hahn-idUSKCN11F1D7?il=0", "https://euobserver.com/migration/135811", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-europe-migrants-eu-turkey-idUSKCN10W0P4", "https://euobserver.com/migration/133840", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKCN10Z07J", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/21/world/europe/turkey-wedding-bombing.html?ref=europe", 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<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
In a deal struck in March 2016, the EU had agreed to lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens by the end of June, but negotiations on visa liberalization continue (<a href="http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_MEMO-16-963_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>, <a href="http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2016/06/12/Turkey-visa-free-EU-travel-deal-stalls.html" target="_blank">Al Arabiya</a>). For more information on the visa requirements referenced in the agreement and the visa liberalization process for Turkey more generally see: <a href="http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-16-582_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>.
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/193" target="_blank">Before 2018, will it be officially announced that any state is withdrawing from the Schengen agreement?</a> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will the EU lift visa requirements for Turkish citizens before the end of 2016? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-06-02 | 2016-07-05 | ["http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2017/Feb-15/393716-ayatollah-khamenei-criticizes-irans-president-on-economy-ahead-of-vote.ashx", "http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2017/01/iran-reformists-stand-lose-rafsanjani-death-170109100325733.html", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/en/originals/2016/03/rouhani-entezami-house-arrests-green-movement-leaders.html", "https://www.iranhumanrights.org/2016/04/mehdi-karoubi-open-letter/", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/27/world/middleeast/mehdi-karroubi-iran-national-trust-party.html", "https://www.iranhumanrights.org/2016/11/ali-motahari-3/", "https://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/middle-east/2017/02/27/Rafsanjani-s-daughter-Mysterious-cause-behind-my-father-s-death-.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/15/world/middleeast/irans-president-is-squeezed-by-opposition-leaders-demand-for-a-trial.html?_r=0", 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["2017-05-24", 0.0], ["2017-05-25", 0.0], ["2017-05-25", 0.0], ["2017-05-26", 0.0], ["2017-05-27", 0.0], ["2017-05-28", 0.0], ["2017-05-29", 0.0], ["2017-05-29", 0.0], ["2017-05-30", 0.0], ["2017-05-30", 0.0], ["2017-05-30", 0.0], ["2017-05-31", 0.0], ["2017-05-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/232 | Mousavi and Karroubi ran as opposition candidates in Iran's 2009 presidential election. Both contested the official results, and the two have been under house arrest since 2011, when they called for a demonstration in support of the uprisings that were occurring at the time in Egypt and Tunisia (<a href="http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2015/07/iran-judiciary-2009-overthrow-system.html" target="_blank">Al-Monitor 1</a>, <a href="http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2014/03/iran-green-movement-moderates-relevance-rouhani-hard-liners.html" target="_blank">Al-Monitor 2</a>). Karroubi recently released an open letter requesting authorities allow him to stand trial (<a href="https://www.middleeastmonitor.com/20160502-former-iranian-lawmakers-demand-removal-of-house-arrest-orders-against-opposition-leaders/" target="_blank">Middle East Monitor</a>, <a href="http://www.payvand.com/news/16/apr/1118.html" target="_blank">Payvand</a>).
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<hr>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 May 2017.
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-05-31 | Will either Mir Hossein Mousavi or Mehdi Karroubi stand trial or be released from house arrest before 1 June 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-07-06 | 2016-07-12 | ["http://nltimes.nl/2016/06/21/majority-dutch-also-want-referendum-eu-membership", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-21148282", "http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/eu-leaders-urged-stick-together-9753827", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/europes-periphery-debt-market-welcomes-new-member-france-1487604548?mod=e2fb", "http://www.economist.com/news/britain/21716629-bitter-argument-over-money-looms-multi-billion-euro-exit-charge-could-sink-brexit", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-03-08/brexit-talks-where-will-the-eu-red-lines-be-after-article-50", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/418426", "https://www.ft.com/content/60a534e0-c6cc-11e6-8f29-9445cac8966f", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-juncker-idUSKBN16P0PF", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/post-politics/wp/2017/01/24/trump-threatens-to-send-in-the-feds-to-address-chicago-carnage/?utm_term=.bc22f7ed85cf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-germany-merkel-idUSKBN16V05P", "https://youtu.be/jfoufXs01KU", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Referendum_Act_2015", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-schaeuble-idUSKBN15921T?mod=related&channelName=worldNews", "https://www.ft.com/content/935a7d98-12e2-11e7-80f4-13e067d5072c", "http://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/will-the-netherlands-follow-brexit-with-nexit-1.2701518", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-02-27/how-brexit-means-eu-loses-money-influence-and-military-strength", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-35621079", "http://www.dutchnews.nl/news/archives/2016/05/narrow-majority-of-dutch-dont-want-referendum-on-eu-membership/", "http://www.latimes.com/world/europe/la-fg-europe-trump-20170203-story.html", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election-2015-32633099", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-01-16/merkel-says-europe-controls-its-own-fate-in-rebuff-to-trump", 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0.0], ["2017-05-30", 0.0], ["2017-05-31", 0.0], ["2017-06-01", 0.0], ["2017-06-01", 0.0], ["2017-06-02", 0.0], ["2017-06-04", 0.0], ["2017-06-05", 0.0], ["2017-06-06", 0.0], ["2017-06-08", 0.0], ["2017-06-08", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-11", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-16", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-19", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-23", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-27", 0.0], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/237 | The victory of the "leave" campaign in the United Kingdom's June referendum has spurred calls for similar votes in other EU member states (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-36615879" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.express.co.uk/news/world/682339/Brexit-spreads-across-Europe-Italy-France-Holland-Denmark-all-call-for-referendums" target="_blank">Express</a>). "Any other member state" refers to EU member states other than the United Kingdom.
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</hr>
To date no EU member state has officially set a date for an EU exit referendum. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017.
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<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Before 1 July 2017, will any other European Union (EU) member state set a date for a referendum on leaving the EU? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-07-06 | 2016-07-12 | ["http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/24/will-general-election-postponed-will-campaigning-start/", "http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/politics/scottish-referendum-theresa-may-blocks-second-nicola-sturgeon-independence-bid-latest-a7633131.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/490303", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-election-scotland-idUSKBN18O0N4", "http://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/sturgeon-refuses-to-rule-out-working-with-tories-on-councils-1-4425502", "http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-40263711", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-politics-scotland-sturgeon-idUSKBN19I0Z7", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/03/13/can-nicola-sturgeon-trigger-second-scottish-referendum-vote/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scottish_independence_referendum,_2014#2011_SNP_administration", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-scotland-idUSKBN17Q2F4", "http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-39982198", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-scotland-idUKKBN17U1JK", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-scotland-idUSKCN18A0C4", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/04/28/new-poll-blow-snp-suggests-tories-set-take-back-key-heartland/", "https://www.ft.com/content/1d9282b8-2b1f-11e7-9ec8-168383da43b7", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-election-talks-idUSKBN18P22H", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-4442784/Sturgeon-blow-poll-finds-slump-independence-support.html", "http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15366020.Drop_plans_for_second_independence_referendum_or_lose_top_job__Sturgeon_warned/", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-britain-eu-scotland-idUKKBN17U0QR", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-election-scotland-idUSKBN18I2SD", "http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/05/18/tory-manifesto-no-scottish-independence-referendum-without-public/", 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["2017-04-28", 0.1], ["2017-04-30", 0.1], ["2017-05-01", 0.1], ["2017-05-02", 0.1], ["2017-05-02", 0.1], ["2017-05-03", 0.1], ["2017-05-05", 0.1], ["2017-05-06", 0.1], ["2017-05-07", 0.1], ["2017-05-08", 0.1], ["2017-05-09", 0.1], ["2017-05-09", 0.1], ["2017-05-10", 0.1], ["2017-05-11", 0.1], ["2017-05-11", 0.09], ["2017-05-12", 0.09], ["2017-05-12", 0.09], ["2017-05-13", 0.08], ["2017-05-14", 0.08], ["2017-05-15", 0.08], ["2017-05-15", 0.08], ["2017-05-16", 0.075], ["2017-05-17", 0.07], ["2017-05-19", 0.075], ["2017-05-19", 0.07], ["2017-05-20", 0.065], ["2017-05-22", 0.06], ["2017-05-24", 0.06], ["2017-05-25", 0.055], ["2017-05-26", 0.05], ["2017-05-27", 0.05], ["2017-05-29", 0.05], ["2017-05-30", 0.05], ["2017-05-31", 0.05], ["2017-06-01", 0.05], ["2017-06-01", 0.05], ["2017-06-03", 0.05], ["2017-06-04", 0.05], ["2017-06-06", 0.05], ["2017-06-07", 0.05], ["2017-06-08", 0.05], ["2017-06-09", 0.05], ["2017-06-09", 0.05], ["2017-06-10", 0.05], ["2017-06-11", 0.05], ["2017-06-12", 0.05], ["2017-06-12", 0.05], ["2017-06-13", 0.05], ["2017-06-15", 0.05], ["2017-06-16", 0.05], ["2017-06-17", 0.05], ["2017-06-18", 0.05], ["2017-06-20", 0.05], ["2017-06-21", 0.05], ["2017-06-23", 0.05], ["2017-06-24", 0.05], ["2017-06-25", 0.05], ["2017-06-26", 0.05], ["2017-06-27", 0.05], ["2017-06-27", 0.05], ["2017-06-28", 0.05], ["2017-06-29", 0.05], ["2017-06-29", 0.05], ["2017-06-30", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.05], ["2017-07-01", 0.05]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/236 | In the United Kingdom's June 2016 referendum on European Union (EU) membership, a majority of voters in Scotland backed the losing side. The United Kingdom's planned exit from the EU has caused some Scottish leaders to call for another vote on independence, less than two years after nearly 56 percent of voters cast ballots against it (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-scotland-idUSKCN0ZA0S2" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07/06/scottish-business-leaders-reject-premature-independence-referend/" target="_blank">The Telegraph</a>, <a href="http://www.scotreferendum.com/" target="_blank">Scotland's Referendum</a>).
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<hr>
Scotland has not set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom. This question closed as "b) no" with and end date of 30 June 2017.
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<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Before 1 July 2017, will Scotland set a date for another referendum on independence from the United Kingdom? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-07-19 | ["http://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/1969/05/chicagos-blackstone-rangers-i/305741/", "https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/search/Results.aspx?country=228", "http://english.sina.com/news/2016-07-17/detail-ifxuaiwa7085854.shtml", "https://www.alaraby.co.uk/english/news/2016/7/5/houthi-rockets-kill-seven-children-in-yemens-marib", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions", "http://www.voanews.com/content/yemen-civilian-casualties/3370540.html", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/10/yemen-war-houthis-saudi-arabia-partition.html", "http://www.globalresearch.ca/war-on-yemen-inhaling-poisonous-gas-saudi-arabia-launches-chemical-attack-on-sanaa-killing-civilians/5542172", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2016/10/13/yemen-saudi-led-funeral-attack-apparent-war-crime", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-iran-idUSKCN12K0CX", "http://www.rferl.org/content/afghanistan-loya-jirga-explainer/25174483.html", "http://www.al-monitor.com/pulse/originals/2016/07/yemen-hadramout-forces-aqap-isis.html", "http://reliefweb.int/report/yemen/yemen-crisis-update-july-2016", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/world/2016/06/08/united-nations-saudi-arabia-coalition-yemen/85588502/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/cross-border-attack-from-yemen-kills-4-saudi-family-members/2016/08/01/25736856-57dc-11e6-8b48-0cb344221131_story.html", "http://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2016/09/21/485790/yemen-saudi-airstrike-hudaydah", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Al-Qaeda_insurgency_in_Yemen#2016", "https://www.rt.com/news/362037-yemen-blast-strike-killed/", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=54476#.V48xa_moOuo", "http://english.almanar.com.lb/91760", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-35842708", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/french-woman-hostage-working-red-cross-released-yemen-42548337", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/285421"] | binary | [["2016-07-19", 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0.035], ["2016-12-11", 0.035], ["2016-12-12", 0.035], ["2016-12-12", 0.035], ["2016-12-12", 0.025], ["2016-12-13", 0.025], ["2016-12-13", 0.025], ["2016-12-14", 0.02], ["2016-12-14", 0.025], ["2016-12-15", 0.025], ["2016-12-15", 0.025], ["2016-12-15", 0.025], ["2016-12-16", 0.025], ["2016-12-17", 0.025], ["2016-12-18", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.015], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-20", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-24", 0.01], ["2016-12-25", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.005], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.005], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/244 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Yemen as the 10th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/yemen" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. Violence perpetrated by Saudi Arabia inside Yemen will not count because our definition of mass killing focuses on state and non-state violence perpetrated within a state, not as part of international wars or military interventions (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2015/11/04/what-constitutes-a-mass-killing" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Yemen before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Yemen before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-07-19 | ["http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/regions/africa/west-africa/mali/238-central-mali-an-uprising-in-the-making.aspx", "http://www.crisisgroup.org/en/publication-type/crisiswatch/crisiswatch-database.aspx?CountryIDs=%7b00784553-1A92-4A05-8825-9235786CF9BC%7d&StartDate=20150715&EndDate=20160716", "http://www.dailymail.co.uk/wires/afp/article-3619542/Chinese-peacekeeper-3-civilians-killed-Mali.html", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Northern_Mali_conflict", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/07/mali-20-dead-fighting-threatens-peace-deal-160722210119514.html", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/07/armed-groups-kill-17-soldiers-mali-base-160720023710103.html", "http://in.reuters.com/article/mali-violence-aid-idINKCN1002HF", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/285582", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/06/mali-crisis-peacekeepers-killed-gao-attacks-160601043032404.html", "http://www.the-monitor.org/en-gb/reports/2016/mali/casualties-and-victim-assistance.aspx", 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["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/245 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified Mali as the 13th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/mali" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/157" target="_blank">Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Zimbabwe before 1 January 2017?</a>
This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Mali before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Mali before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-10-18 | 2016-08-02 | ["http://www.dailystar.com.lb/News/Middle-East/2016/Oct-13/376270-iran-warships-sent-to-waters-off-conflict-hit-yemen.ashx", "http://isis-online.org/isis-reports/detail/analysis-of-the-iaeas-third-iran-deal-report-filling-in-missing-details", "http://pilotonline.com/news/military/local/norfolk-based-uss-san-antonio-came-under-missile-attack-with/article_75be0991-0713-5cd8-b3ee-e8fa08533133.html", "http://www.eurasiareview.com/14102016-saudi-special-forces-train-with-chinese-french/", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2016/10/13/iran-sends-ships-to-yemeni-coast-in-wake-of-u-s-strikes/", "http://www.local10.com/news/politics/us-official-navy-aircraft-threatened-with-shoot-down-by-iran", "http://www.thetower.org/3927-irgc-admiral-tells-u-s-to-leave-persian-gulf-amid-growing-iranian-harassment/", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/missiles-fired-us-ship-off-yemen/story?id=42832766", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/10/yemen-houthis-claim-attack-uae-military-vessel-161001212236896.html", "https://www.bing.com/images/search", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-iran-nuclear-exemptions-exclusive-idUSKCN1173LA", "http://www.ibtimes.co.in/iranian-vessels-harassed-american-ship-uss-nitze-says-us-defence-official-691656", "http://www.usnews.com/news/articles/2016-08-25/iran-intercepts-us-warship-in-strait-of-hormuz", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/iran-guards-warn-saudis-over-gulf-war-games-093502033.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-iran-navy-idUSKCN11C1TL", "http://isis-online.org/uploads/isis-reports/documents/JCPOA_Exemptions_Revealed_1Sept2016_Final1.pdf", "http://www.nationalreview.com/article/432516/iran-nuclear-deal-iaea-reports-violations-disclosure", "http://www.thetower.org/pentagon-officials-armed-irgc-boats-swarmed-u-s-navy-ship-in-persian-gulf/", "http://www.thetower.org/4008-houthi-rocket-damages-uae-ship-raising-fears-of-iranian-control-of-strategic-strait/", "http://www.foxnews.com/world/2016/10/03/us-warships-sent-to-area-where-iran-backed-rebels-attacked-saudi-led-coalition-ship.html", "https://www.gov.uk/government/news/uk-upgrades-diplomatic-relations-with-iran", "http://www.cbsnews.com/news/official-yemen-rebels-fire-2-missiles-at-navy-ship-us-responds-with-strikes/", "https://news.usni.org/2016/09/06/iranian-boats-harass-another-u-s-navy-patrol-coastal-ship-persian-gulf", "https://www.yahoo.com/gma/7-iranian-boats-harass-navy-ship-gulf-183806915--abc-news-topstories.html", "https://www.bing.com/images/search?q=irgc+navy&view=detailv2&&id=F6E99B9D1B5BEAA7531580EA75790856C1A53CF1&selectedIndex=127&ccid=5GNwN7gW&simid=608024330660544562&thid=OIP.Me4637037b816ca24806dfc647007b3c5o0&ajaxhist=0"] | binary | [["2016-08-02", 0.25], ["2016-08-02", 0.035], ["2016-08-02", 0.03], ["2016-08-02", 0.0], ["2016-08-02", 0.0], 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There have been no reports of fatal confrontation between Iranian military forces and other national military forces in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, or the Gulf of Oman during the time frame in question.
For the purposes of this question, Iran's national military forces include the Revolutionary Guard Corps (<a href="http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/revolutionary-guards" target="_blank">US Institute of Peace</a>, <a href="http://www.cfr.org/iran/irans-revolutionary-guards/p14324" target="_blank">Council on Foreign Relations</a>). Iranian vessels patrolling the Strait of Hormuz have been involved in what the US and others have called a number of risky interactions in recent years (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-iran-warship-idUSKCN0ZR2E0" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.upi.com/Top_News/US/2015/12/30/US-Iran-have-close-call-in-Strait-of-Hormuz/6971451441956/" target="_blank">United Press International</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2015/05/02/world/middleeast/strait-of-hormuz-once-again-at-center-of-us-iran-strife.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/iran-fires-singapore-tanker-strait-hormuz/story?id=31045253" target="_blank">ABC News</a>). For this question, civilians killed inadvertently will be included in the fatality count.
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2017-07-06 | 2016-08-02 | ["http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/02/reuters-america-brics-bank-to-lend-between-25-3-bln-in-2017--china-daily.html", "http://www.bbc.com/news/business-38807695?utm_campaign=Daily+Fringe+&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=41707707&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-_UPVDjdVigBoLKO3vme7R4Ycpxrxn-zyYpmxtpv9UNUR43wgEbazdRRaQlAjt1wugREXBggW77S6NscH0J9uiwrsBDsw&_hsmi=41707707", "http://www.lseg.com/sites/default/files/content/documents/20170105%20Masala%20Bonds%20Presentation_1.pdf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-india-brics-idUSKBN1711LV?il=0", "http://www.livemint.com/Industry/Ct7OWetkVebzM9AjUpfEGO/HDFC-raises-504-million-via-masala-bonds.html", "http://www.londonstockexchange.com/specialist-issuers/debts-bonds/masala/masala-factsheet.pdf", "http://www.livemint.com/Industry/YfZrBKSXfOzEKynXLrPlrL/NDB-plans-to-issue-masala-bonds.html", "http://www.longfinance.net/images/GFCI18_23Sep2015.pdf", "http://www.cnbc.com/2017/03/30/reuters-america-update-1-brics-development-bank-to-issue-up-to-500-million-in-masala-bonds.html", "http://ndb.int/China-inks-deal-with-BRICS-bank-approving-525-mn-yuan-loan.php", "http://ndb.int/New%20Development-Bank-end-2-5-billion-next-year-KV-Kamath.php#parentHorizontalTab2", "http://asia.nikkei.com/Markets/Commodities/New-Delhi-struggles-with-wheat-tariffs-dilemma-as-prices-fall?n_cid=NARAN11&utm_source=NAR%20Newsletter&utm_campaign=RN%20Free%20newsletter&utm_medium=daily%20newsletter%20free&utm_content=article%20link", "http://in.reuters.com/article/india-brics-development-bank-idINKBN1720C9", "http://ndb.int/BRICSbankNDBtosellGreenrenminbibonds.php", "http://www.ndb.int/medias/brics-development-bank-issue-500-million-masala-bonds-reuters/", "http://ndb.int/BRICS-Bank-to-finance-Indian-Chinese-infrastructure-projects.php", "https://www.dlapiper.com/en/hongkong/insights/publications/2017/03/appetite-for-masala-bonds-grows/", "http://www.livemint.com/Industry/08hlIUpKTYvZYHwfMU8bzH/Brics-development-bank-to-issue-up-to-500-million-in-masala.html", "http://economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/bonds/rbi-allows-multilateral-agencies-to-invest-in-masala-bonds/articleshow/57190529.cms", "http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2017-03/02/content_28400588.htm", "http://www.lseg.com/sites/default/files/content/documents/Rupee%20bonds%20factsheet%20-%20final_0.pdf", "http://www.tnp.sg/news/singapore/indian-companies-spice-things-singapore-masala-bonds", "https://sputniknews.com/business/201611031047045140-india-standard-and-poors-rating-highlights/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-india-budget-privatisation-idUSKBN15L06M", "http://www.ndb.int/medias/brics-bank-launch-twin-bonds/"] | binary | [["2016-08-02", 0.3], ["2016-08-02", 0.525], ["2016-08-02", 1.0], ["2016-08-02", 0.97], ["2016-08-02", 0.72], ["2016-08-03", 0.82], ["2016-08-03", 0.735], ["2016-08-03", 0.86], ["2016-08-03", 0.82], ["2016-08-03", 0.86], 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["2017-06-11", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-14", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-16", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-19", 0.0], ["2017-06-20", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-23", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-27", 0.0], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/251 | The Shanghai-based New Development Bank, a.k.a. the BRICS bank, issued its first yuan-denominated bonds in July of 2016, and bank officials have said that in the future the bank will consider issuing more bonds in its members' local currencies, including the Indian rupee (INR) (<a href="http://www.firstpost.com/world/brics-new-development-bank-to-issue-bonds-in-chinese-currency-2810062.html" target="_blank">First Post</a>, <a href="http://www.financialexpress.com/industry/banking-finance/new-development-bank-completes-first-green-bond-sale-sees-strong-orders/321752/" target="_blank">The Financial Express</a>). For more information on the New Development Bank see <a href="http://www.ndb.int/news.php" target="_blank">the bank's press page</a>.
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</hr>
To date the BRICS bank has not issued rupee-denominated bonds. This question was closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017
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<hr> | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Before July 2017, will the New Development Bank issue any rupee-denominated bonds? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-08-03 | 2016-08-02 | ["https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-02-19/even-some-erdogan-diehards-flinch-at-giving-him-more-powers", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-politics-erdogan-syria-idUSKBN17R2GU", "http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-News/2017/02/12/Turkish-president-Islamic-States-ouster-from-key-Syrian-stronghold-immiment/4351486931964/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-referendum-europe-idUSKBN16T13E", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-aselsan-idUSKBN16G0UQ", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-eu-germany-merkel-idUSKBN16V05P", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-referendum-idUSKBN17H0CU", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/ex-cia-director-mike-flynn-and-turkish-officials-discussed-removal-of-erdogan-foe-from-u-s-1490380426", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-06-07/turkey-chooses-sides-in-gulf-conflict-as-erdogan-defends-qatar", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKBN16H0SP", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/297026", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-turkey-military-idUSKBN1A42RR", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-turkey-referendum-idUKKBN1733PN", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-04-25/turkey-will-keep-pumping-money-into-infrastructure-premier-says", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKBN16D240", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-referendum-europe-idUSKBN16H2C6", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-mideast-crisis-syria-turkey-idUSKBN19I2YM", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-politics-erdogan-europe-idUSKBN17R2GG", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-referendum-eu-idUSKBN16W0R2", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-referendum-germany-gabriel-idUSKBN16P0EA", "https://www.wsj.com/articles/turkeys-erdogan-approves-referendum-on-presidential-power-1486742933", "https://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2017-04-16/erdogan-declares-victory-as-opposition-contest-turkish-result", "http://hosted.ap.org/dynamic/stories/E/EU_TURKEY_REFERENDUM?SITE=AP&SECTION=HOME&TEMPLATE=DEFAULT&CTIME=2017-03-19-10-33-32", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-politics-germany-idUSKBN17O0ON?il=0", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-turkey-idUSKCN18C1ZT"] | binary | [["2016-08-02", 0.075], ["2016-08-02", 0.19], ["2016-08-02", 0.15], ["2016-08-02", 0.05], ["2016-08-02", 0.055], ["2016-08-03", 0.05], ["2016-08-03", 0.06], ["2016-08-03", 0.05], ["2016-08-03", 0.06], ["2016-08-03", 0.075], ["2016-08-03", 0.05], ["2016-08-04", 0.065], ["2016-08-04", 0.065], ["2016-08-04", 0.065], ["2016-08-04", 0.05], ["2016-08-04", 0.06], ["2016-08-04", 0.04], ["2016-08-05", 0.04], ["2016-08-05", 0.015], ["2016-08-05", 0.02], ["2016-08-06", 0.02], ["2016-08-06", 0.02], ["2016-08-06", 0.02], ["2016-08-06", 0.02], ["2016-08-07", 0.02], ["2016-08-07", 0.015], ["2016-08-07", 0.02], ["2016-08-07", 0.02], ["2016-08-07", 0.02], ["2016-08-07", 0.02], ["2016-08-08", 0.02], ["2016-08-08", 0.02], 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["2017-07-31", 0.0], ["2017-07-31", 0.0], ["2017-08-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/250 | In the wake of a failed coup attempt in July 2016, Erdogan has aimed to consolidate his power (<a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-13746679" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/07/28/world/europe/turkey-media-newspapers-shut.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-20/turkey-s-erdogan-takes-on-kurds-jihadists-and-more" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>). In the event that Erdogan reportedly disappears or flees the capital, Good Judgment will observe a three-week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Erdogan returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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<hr>
As of 1 August, Recep Tayyip Erdogan remained President of Turkey. This question closed as "b) no" with an end date of 1 August.
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<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-08-01 | Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan cease to be President of Turkey before 1 August 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-08-09 | ["http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2015/05/05/india-s-gujarat-faces-atrocity-risks-despite-new-development-efforts", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_massacres_in_India", "http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/assam-witnesses-lowest-civilians-deaths-in-25-years-due-to-extremism-report-1442701", "http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/army-to-deploy-remote-controlled-guns-at-loc-to-take-on-infiltrators/story-HDBgHHXgSsYzvyDeGOqDmO.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/299647", "http://www.ndtv.com/india-news/currency-ban-has-ended-terror-funding-stone-pelting-says-manohar-parrikar-1625527", "http://www.satp.org/satporgtp/countries/india/database/indiafatalities.htm", "http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/India-plans-five-layer-lock-at-Pakistan-border/articleshow/51770756.cms", "http://mha.nic.in/sites/upload_files/mha/files/AR(E)1516.pdf", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/2016/01/11/2016-wikisurvey-results", "http://www.hindustantimes.com/india/j-k-civilian-deaths-in-terrorism-related-violence-down-by-90/story-bRqpKWB56KmeziiRjbNXBO.html", "https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/search/Results.aspx?chart=casualties&casualties_type=b&casualties_max=&dtp2=all&country=92", "http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions"] | binary | [["2016-08-09", 0.0], ["2016-08-09", 0.0], ["2016-08-09", 0.015], ["2016-08-09", 0.02], ["2016-08-09", 0.005], ["2016-08-10", 0.0], ["2016-08-10", 0.0], ["2016-08-10", 0.0], ["2016-08-10", 0.005], ["2016-08-10", 0.025], ["2016-08-10", 0.01], ["2016-08-10", 0.01], ["2016-08-10", 0.005], ["2016-08-10", 0.01], ["2016-08-10", 0.005], ["2016-08-10", 0.01], ["2016-08-10", 0.01], ["2016-08-10", 0.005], ["2016-08-10", 0.03], ["2016-08-10", 0.055], ["2016-08-10", 0.05], ["2016-08-10", 0.05], ["2016-08-11", 0.03], ["2016-08-11", 0.025], ["2016-08-11", 0.04], ["2016-08-11", 0.04], ["2016-08-11", 0.03], ["2016-08-11", 0.02], ["2016-08-11", 0.02], ["2016-08-11", 0.02], ["2016-08-11", 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["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/256 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project’s Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s 2015 statistical risk assessments identified India as the 19th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing (<a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/india" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in India before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in India before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-08-09 | ["https://news.vice.com/article/war-related-violence-in-afghanistan-killed-and-injured-more-civilians-than-ever-last-year", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/08/in-afghanistan-kunduz-under-siege-once-again/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/315996", "https://www.start.umd.edu/gtd/search/Results.aspx?charttype=line&chart=casualties&casualties_type=b&casualties_max=&dtp2=all&country=4", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Civilian_casualties_in_the_war_in_Afghanistan_(2001%E2%80%9314", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-blast-idUSKCN123187", "https://www.unmultimedia.org/radio/english/2016/07/afghanistan-violence-claims-record-death-toll/", "https://www.ctc.usma.edu/posts/a-view-from-the-ct-foxhole-an-interview-with-john-brennan-director-cia", "https://unama.unmissions.org/sites/default/files/protection_of_civilians_in_armed_conflict_midyear_report_2016_final.pdf", "http://www.tolonews.com/en/afghanistan/26737-17-villages-under-taliban-control-in-bahark-badakhshan?utm_term=Ultrascan+Humint&utm_source=TOLO+News&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Ultrascan+AGI+Terrorism+AfPak", "http://www.catchnews.com/national-news/25-insurgents-8-security-personnel-killed-in-separate-attacks-in-afghanistan-1479564726.html", "https://www.rt.com/op-edge/357778-terrorism-us-syria-afghanistan/", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/checkpoint/wp/2016/10/14/an-eroding-stalemate-in-afghanistan-as-taliban-widens-its-offensive", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-peacetalks-idUSKCN12I0O2?feedType=RSS&feedName=topNews&rpc=932", "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/countries/afghanistan", "http://indy100.independent.co.uk/article/how-many-afghan-civilians-have-died-in-13-years-of-war--lkcwu0y6Le", "http://www.khaama.com/terrorist-with-links-to-pakistani-military-arrested-by-afghan-forces-01757", "https://news.brown.edu/articles/2016/08/costs-war", "http://dailycaller.com/2016/12/03/afghanistan-more-dangerous-today-than-15-years-ago/", "http://unama.unmissions.org/afghanistan-record-level-civilian-casualties-sustained-first-half-2016-un-report", "https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/17/rise-in-afghan-civilian-casualties-caused-by-pro-government-forces-taliban", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/u-n-says-afghan-civilian-casualties-near-record-high-1469427316", "https://www.stripes.com/news/afghan-forces-break-from-tradition-and-launch-winter-offensive-1.440504", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/299866", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/25/world/asia/american-university-attack-kabul-afghanistan.html?src=twr&smid=tw-nytimes&smtyp=cur"] | binary | [["2016-08-09", 1.0], ["2016-08-09", 0.925], ["2016-08-09", 0.86], ["2016-08-09", 0.8], ["2016-08-10", 0.825], ["2016-08-10", 0.72], ["2016-08-10", 0.635], ["2016-08-10", 0.45], ["2016-08-10", 0.34], ["2016-08-10", 0.15], ["2016-08-10", 0.07], ["2016-08-10", 0.06], ["2016-08-10", 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0.04], ["2016-11-30", 0.04], ["2016-12-01", 0.04], ["2016-12-01", 0.04], ["2016-12-02", 0.04], ["2016-12-02", 0.04], ["2016-12-04", 0.04], ["2016-12-04", 0.03], ["2016-12-05", 0.03], ["2016-12-05", 0.03], ["2016-12-06", 0.03], ["2016-12-06", 0.02], ["2016-12-07", 0.025], ["2016-12-07", 0.025], ["2016-12-08", 0.02], ["2016-12-08", 0.02], ["2016-12-09", 0.02], ["2016-12-10", 0.02], ["2016-12-10", 0.02], ["2016-12-11", 0.02], ["2016-12-12", 0.02], ["2016-12-12", 0.02], ["2016-12-12", 0.02], ["2016-12-13", 0.02], ["2016-12-13", 0.02], ["2016-12-14", 0.02], ["2016-12-15", 0.02], ["2016-12-15", 0.02], ["2016-12-15", 0.02], ["2016-12-16", 0.02], ["2016-12-18", 0.02], ["2016-12-18", 0.02], ["2016-12-19", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.02], ["2016-12-20", 0.02], ["2016-12-21", 0.02], ["2016-12-22", 0.02], ["2016-12-23", 0.02], ["2016-12-23", 0.02], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-24", 0.01], ["2016-12-25", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.01]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/257 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project's Definitions page</a>. According to those criteria, Afghanistan is already experiencing an episode of mass killing perpetrated by the Taliban (<a href="https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2016/06/06/trends-over-time-in-state-led-mass-killing-through-2015" target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>). This question pertains to the risk of a new episode of mass killing. The Early Warning Project’s <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/risk_assessments" target="_blank">statistical risk assessments</a> identified Afghanistan as the 8th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
Recommended Questions
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Afghanistan before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Afghanistan before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
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["2016-09-06", 0.105], ["2016-09-06", 0.115], ["2016-09-06", 0.115], ["2016-09-06", 0.115], ["2016-09-06", 0.135], ["2016-09-06", 0.135], ["2016-09-07", 0.115], ["2016-09-07", 0.115], ["2016-09-07", 0.115], ["2016-09-08", 0.11], ["2016-09-08", 0.11], ["2016-09-08", 0.11], ["2016-09-08", 0.11], ["2016-09-09", 0.11], ["2016-09-09", 0.11], ["2016-09-09", 0.11], ["2016-09-09", 0.12], ["2016-09-10", 0.135], ["2016-09-10", 0.135], ["2016-09-11", 0.17], ["2016-09-11", 0.17], ["2016-09-11", 0.17], ["2016-09-11", 0.21], ["2016-09-11", 0.23], ["2016-09-11", 0.23], ["2016-09-11", 0.23], ["2016-09-12", 0.23], ["2016-09-12", 0.23], ["2016-09-13", 0.25], ["2016-09-13", 0.24], ["2016-09-13", 0.24], ["2016-09-13", 0.23], ["2016-09-13", 0.23], ["2016-09-13", 0.24], ["2016-09-13", 0.24], ["2016-09-14", 0.24], ["2016-09-14", 0.23], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-15", 0.25], ["2016-09-15", 0.25], ["2016-09-15", 0.27], ["2016-09-15", 0.27], ["2016-09-15", 0.27], ["2016-09-16", 0.27], ["2016-09-16", 0.35], ["2016-09-16", 0.35], ["2016-09-16", 0.375], ["2016-09-16", 0.425], ["2016-09-16", 0.425], ["2016-09-16", 0.425], ["2016-09-16", 0.45], ["2016-09-17", 0.45], ["2016-09-17", 0.45], ["2016-09-17", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.6], ["2016-09-18", 0.65], ["2016-09-18", 0.65], ["2016-09-18", 0.65], ["2016-09-18", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-19", 0.65], ["2016-09-20", 0.65], ["2016-09-20", 0.65], ["2016-09-20", 0.675], ["2016-09-20", 0.675], ["2016-09-20", 0.7], ["2016-09-20", 0.725], ["2016-09-20", 0.725], ["2016-09-20", 0.725], ["2016-09-20", 0.7], ["2016-09-21", 0.7], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-22", 0.8], ["2016-09-22", 0.8], ["2016-09-22", 0.8], ["2016-09-22", 0.8], ["2016-09-22", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-23", 0.8], ["2016-09-24", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-25", 0.825], ["2016-09-25", 0.8], ["2016-09-26", 0.8], ["2016-09-26", 0.8], ["2016-09-27", 0.8], ["2016-09-27", 0.8], ["2016-09-27", 0.795], ["2016-09-27", 0.8], ["2016-09-28", 0.79], ["2016-09-28", 0.795], ["2016-09-28", 0.8], ["2016-09-28", 0.8], ["2016-09-28", 0.8], ["2016-09-29", 0.8], ["2016-09-29", 0.8], ["2016-09-29", 0.8]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/261 | This question was closed on option A with a closing date of 9/29/2016. On 29 September 2016, California's governor signed a bill into law which permits the use of autonomous vehicles on some state roads (<a href="http://www.roadandtrack.com/new-cars/car-technology/news/a31011/california-clears-fully-autonomous-cars-to-drive-on-public-roads/" target="_blank">Road & Track</a>, <a href="http://eastcountytoday.net/governor-signs-bill-to-allow-first-purely-autonomous-vehicle-on-a-california-public-road/" target="_blank">East County Today</a>, <a href="https://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billHistoryClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160AB1592" target="_blank">California Legislative Information</a>).
Most states neither explicitly allow nor explicitly ban the operation of autonomous vehicles on public roads, making such vehicles de facto legal (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/business/economy/as-self-driving-cars-come-to-more-states-regulators-take-a-back-seat/2015/08/28/7a29413e-474f-11e5-8ab4-c73967a143d3_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>). However, several states are considering legislation that would explicitly allow autonomous vehicles to operate on public roads (<a href="http://www.ncsl.org/research/transportation/autonomous-vehicles-legislation.aspx#Introduced 2016" target="_blank">National Conference of State Legislatures</a>, <a href="https://cyberlaw.stanford.edu/wiki/index.php/Automated_Driving:_Legislative_and_Regulatory_Action#Current" target="_blank">The Center for Internet and Society</a>). Autonomous vehicles are those that can operate without the active control or monitoring of a human driver, at least under some conditions. This does not refer to cars with regular features such as adaptive cruise control, lane assist, crash avoidance, emergency braking, and other technology unless those features allow a driver to cede all control and monitoring. Any legislation enacted allowing autonomous vehicles on public roads will resolve the question as "yes," even if the legislation places restrictions on those autonomous vehicles (e.g., by limiting operation to certain roads or conditions, or only allowing operation for the purposes of research or testing).
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2016-08-31 | 2016-08-12 | ["http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/debbie-wasserman-schultz-primary-226830", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florida_Democratic_primary,_2016", "https://www.predictit.org/Contract/2732/Will-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-win-the-Democratic-primary-in-Florida's-23rd-Congressional-District#data", "https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/reelect.php", "http://floridapolitics.com/archives/219543-new-poll-shows-debbie-wasserman-schultz-crushing-tim-canova-cd23-race", "http://www.sun-sentinel.com/opinion/endorsements/fl-editorial-wasserman-schultz-endorsement-20160806-story.html", "http://www.congwomensoftball.org/", "http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/8/22/1562708/-An-independent-poll-gives-Debbie-Wasserman-Schultz-a-10-point-lead-a-week-away-from-her-primary"] | binary | [["2016-08-12", 0.65], ["2016-08-12", 0.65], ["2016-08-12", 0.81], ["2016-08-12", 0.915], ["2016-08-12", 0.84], ["2016-08-12", 0.86], ["2016-08-12", 0.82], ["2016-08-12", 0.855], ["2016-08-12", 0.87], ["2016-08-12", 0.875], ["2016-08-12", 0.9], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-12", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.95], ["2016-08-13", 0.97], ["2016-08-13", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.975], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.975], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.97], ["2016-08-14", 0.96], ["2016-08-14", 0.955], ["2016-08-14", 0.945], ["2016-08-14", 0.945], ["2016-08-14", 0.945], ["2016-08-14", 0.94], ["2016-08-14", 0.94], ["2016-08-15", 0.945], ["2016-08-15", 0.925], ["2016-08-15", 0.925], ["2016-08-15", 0.945], ["2016-08-15", 0.94], ["2016-08-15", 0.94], ["2016-08-15", 0.91], ["2016-08-15", 0.91], ["2016-08-15", 0.91], ["2016-08-15", 0.9], ["2016-08-15", 0.85], ["2016-08-15", 0.775], ["2016-08-15", 0.775], ["2016-08-15", 0.85], ["2016-08-15", 0.905], ["2016-08-15", 0.905], ["2016-08-15", 0.9], ["2016-08-16", 0.8], ["2016-08-16", 0.85], ["2016-08-16", 0.85], ["2016-08-16", 0.875], ["2016-08-16", 0.875], ["2016-08-16", 0.875], ["2016-08-16", 0.89], ["2016-08-17", 0.89], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.88], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.89], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-17", 0.9], ["2016-08-18", 0.9], ["2016-08-18", 0.9], ["2016-08-18", 0.9], ["2016-08-18", 0.9], ["2016-08-18", 0.91], ["2016-08-18", 0.91], ["2016-08-18", 0.915], ["2016-08-18", 0.91], ["2016-08-18", 0.91], ["2016-08-18", 0.915], ["2016-08-18", 0.93], ["2016-08-18", 0.945], ["2016-08-18", 0.94], ["2016-08-18", 0.92], ["2016-08-19", 0.915], ["2016-08-19", 0.915], ["2016-08-19", 0.915], ["2016-08-19", 0.91], ["2016-08-19", 0.91], ["2016-08-19", 0.905], ["2016-08-19", 0.905], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.9], ["2016-08-19", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.905], ["2016-08-20", 0.91], ["2016-08-20", 0.91], ["2016-08-21", 0.925], ["2016-08-21", 0.925], ["2016-08-21", 0.925], ["2016-08-22", 0.925], ["2016-08-22", 0.925], ["2016-08-22", 0.91], ["2016-08-22", 0.91], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-22", 0.9], ["2016-08-23", 0.9], ["2016-08-23", 0.9], ["2016-08-23", 0.9], ["2016-08-23", 0.9], ["2016-08-23", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-24", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.9], ["2016-08-25", 0.915], ["2016-08-25", 0.915], ["2016-08-25", 0.915], ["2016-08-26", 0.915], ["2016-08-26", 0.915], ["2016-08-26", 0.915], ["2016-08-26", 0.93], ["2016-08-26", 0.93], ["2016-08-27", 0.93], ["2016-08-27", 0.95], ["2016-08-27", 0.95], ["2016-08-27", 0.95], ["2016-08-27", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-28", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-29", 0.95], ["2016-08-30", 0.95], ["2016-08-30", 0.95], ["2016-08-30", 0.95], ["2016-08-30", 0.95]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/258 | This question was closed as a "yes'. Debbie Wasserman Schultz won her primary (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida-congressional-23-primary-wasserman-schultz-canova" target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
Incumbent Congresswoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz, who recently resigned as chair of the Democratic National Committee after an email leak showed her having favored Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders throughout the presidential primary, faces Sanders-backed challenger Tim Canova in Florida's 23rd Congressional district (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/ousted-from-dnc-wasserman-schultz-fighting-to-stay-in-house/2016/08/05/8bd03866-5ae0-11e6-8b48-0cb344221131_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/08/01/wasserman_schultzs_opponent_sees_gain_from_dnc_uproar_131375.html" target="_blank">Real Clear Politics</a>, <a href="http://www.miamiherald.com/news/politics-government/election/article93583247.html" target="_blank">Miami Herald</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/05/25/us/politics/debbie-wasserman-schultz-tim-canova-florida.html?_r=0" target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
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2016-11-17 | 2016-08-12 | ["http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/pennsylvania/", "http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/poll-pennsylvania-senate-race-virtually-tied-katie-mcginty-pat-toomey", "http://talkingpointsmemo.com/election/2016/us-senate", "https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/reelect.php", "http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_PA_083016/", "http://www.electionprojection.com/senate-elections.php", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_toomey_vs_mcginty-5074.html", "https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?cycle=2016&id=PAS1", "https://fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g=6IQZ", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/314398", "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/senate-election-forecast.html?_r=0#other-forecasts", "https://ballotpedia.org/Voting_in_Pennsylvania", "http://www.fec.gov/fecviewer/CandidateCommitteeDetail.do", "http://media.wix.com/ugd/3bebb2_865ec63b1c494be78da4af7d7834766c.pdf", "http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-congress-senate", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question6", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/08/gabby-giffords-pac-endorses-pat-toomey-mark-kirk-227268#ixzz4IBcjmpK2", "http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/capitolinq/Q-Poll-Pat-Toomey-leads-Katie-McGinty-by-8-in-PA-Senate-race.html", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/", "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/senate-polls.html?_r=0", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_toomey_vs_sestak-3928.html", "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/us/elections/senate-polls.html?_r=1", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question7", "http://billypenn.com/2016/10/17/is-pat-toomey-winning-or-losing-despite-all-the-polls-nobody-really-knows/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_Pennsylvania,_2016"] | binary | [["2016-08-12", 0.16], ["2016-08-12", 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0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-05", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-06", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-07", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3], ["2016-11-08", 0.3]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/259 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Pat Toomey (R - PA) won his bid for reelection on November 8. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
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<hr>
Incumbent Senator Pat Toomey is facing Democratic challenger Katie McGinty in a race that, as of 7 August, shows McGinty leading by 2-3 points in the polls. Donald Trump lags behind Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania by several percentage points, leading to worries that Trump may hurt Toomey's chances down-ballot despite Toomey's efforts to distance himself from the presidential candidate (<a href="http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/20160811_Toomey_presses_immigrant_issue__keeps_distance_from_Trump.html" target="_blank">The Inquirer Daily News</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/08/05/saving-the-senate-majority-republican-senators-look-to-create-distance-from-trump/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/pa/pennsylvania_senate_toomey_vs_mcginty-5074.html" target="_blank">Real Clear Politics</a>, <a href="http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/will-trump-sink-republicans-senate-races-n622991" target="_blank">NBC News</a>).
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-11-08 | Will Senator Pat Toomey (R-PA) be re-elected this November? | gjopen | 1 |
2017-04-03 | 2016-08-16 | ["http://www.europarl.europa.eu/oeil/popups/ficheprocedure.do?lang=&reference=2015/0270(COD", "http://www.europarl.europa.eu/legislative-train/theme-deeper-and-fairer-economic-and-monetary-union/file-european-deposit-insurance-scheme-(edis", "http://www.regulationtomorrow.com/eu/progress-report-on-edis-regulation-and-eu-banking-union/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/germany-says-bank-risks-must-be-cut-before-saver-deposit-scheme-agreed-1466157655", "http://www.euractiv.com/section/euro-finance/news/juncker-and-draghi-fail-to-win-support-for-eurozone-reform/", "http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_SPEECH-16-2993_en.htm", "https://www.euractiv.com/section/eu-priorities-2020/news/summit-achieves-minor-progress-on-banking-union-deposit-scheme/", "http://www.sven-giegold.de/wp-content/uploads/2016/10/Draft-Banking-Union-Annual-Report-2016.pdf", "http://www.reuters.com/article/eu-banks-deposits-guarantees-idUSL8N1D25O7", "http://www.euractiv.com/section/euro-finance/news/berlin-and-london-play-hardball-in-shaping-vision-for-the-emu/", "http://ec.europa.eu/priorities/economic-monetary-union/docs/5-presidents-report_en.pdf", "https://www.ecb.europa.eu/ecb/legal/pdf/en_con_2016_26_f__sign.pdf", "http://data.consilium.europa.eu/doc/document/ST-10036-2016-INIT/en/pdf", "http://www.euractiv.com/section/euro-finance/news/commission-aims-at-having-full-european-deposit-insurance-scheme-by-2024/", "https://www.euractiv.com/section/euro-finance/news/germany-blocks-small-progress-on-banking-union-at-eu-summit/", "https://global.handelsblatt.com/finance/e-u-backs-off-common-deposit-guarantee-622538", "http://finance.yahoo.com/news/eu-fails-set-target-date-125945976.html", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-01-16/portugal-bonds-falter-as-ecb-running-out-of-eligible-debt-to-buy", "http://www.europarl.europa.eu/committees/en/econ/work-in-progress.html", 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["2017-03-02", 0.0], ["2017-03-02", 0.0], ["2017-03-03", 0.0], ["2017-03-04", 0.0], ["2017-03-04", 0.0], ["2017-03-05", 0.0], ["2017-03-06", 0.0], ["2017-03-06", 0.0], ["2017-03-07", 0.0], ["2017-03-08", 0.0], ["2017-03-09", 0.0], ["2017-03-09", 0.0], ["2017-03-09", 0.0], ["2017-03-09", 0.0], ["2017-03-10", 0.0], ["2017-03-11", 0.0], ["2017-03-12", 0.0], ["2017-03-12", 0.0], ["2017-03-13", 0.0], ["2017-03-14", 0.0], ["2017-03-14", 0.0], ["2017-03-14", 0.0], ["2017-03-14", 0.0], ["2017-03-15", 0.0], ["2017-03-15", 0.0], ["2017-03-16", 0.0], ["2017-03-16", 0.0], ["2017-03-16", 0.0], ["2017-03-17", 0.0], ["2017-03-17", 0.0], ["2017-03-18", 0.0], ["2017-03-18", 0.0], ["2017-03-19", 0.0], ["2017-03-19", 0.0], ["2017-03-19", 0.0], ["2017-03-20", 0.0], ["2017-03-20", 0.0], ["2017-03-20", 0.0], ["2017-03-21", 0.0], ["2017-03-21", 0.0], ["2017-03-22", 0.0], ["2017-03-23", 0.0], ["2017-03-24", 0.0], ["2017-03-24", 0.0], ["2017-03-25", 0.0], ["2017-03-26", 0.0], ["2017-03-26", 0.0], ["2017-03-26", 0.0], ["2017-03-27", 0.0], ["2017-03-27", 0.0], ["2017-03-28", 0.0], ["2017-03-28", 0.0], ["2017-03-28", 0.0], ["2017-03-29", 0.0], ["2017-03-29", 0.0], ["2017-03-29", 0.0], ["2017-03-30", 0.0], ["2017-03-30", 0.0], ["2017-03-30", 0.0], ["2017-03-30", 0.0], ["2017-03-30", 0.0], ["2017-03-31", 0.0], ["2017-03-31", 0.0], ["2017-03-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/263 | The European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS) was proposed by the European Commission in November 2014 as part of a larger plan to establish a banking union (<a href="http://europa.eu/rapid/press-release_IP-15-6152_en.htm?locale=en, http://ec.europa.eu/finance/general-policy/banking-union/index_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>), but German opposition has stalled the process (<a href="http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-eu-banks-regulations-idUKKCN0YI1DI" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="https://next.ft.com/content/9953afd5-d195-3be0-946e-f8fa43328356" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/germany-says-bank-risks-must-be-cut-before-saver-deposit-scheme-agreed-1466157655" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>). For more information on the existing proposal see: <a href="http://www.efdi.eu/sites/default/files/archive/eprs_bri2016579090_en.pdf" target="_blank">European Parliament</a>, <a href="http://ec.europa.eu/finance/general-policy/banking-union/european-deposit-insurance-scheme/index_en.htm" target="_blank">European Commission</a>. Adoption by vote of the European Parliament is the first step in <a href="http://www.europarl.europa.eu/external/html/legislativeprocedure/default_en.htm" target="_blank">the EU's legislative process</a>.
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<hr>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 March 2017.
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<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-03-31 | Will the European Parliament vote before 1 April 2017 to establish a European Deposit Insurance Scheme (EDIS)? | gjopen | 0 |
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["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/265 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project's Definitions page</a>). The Early Warning Project’s <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/libya" target="_blank">2015 statistical risk assessments</a> identified Libya as the 24th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Libya before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Libya before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-03-30 | 2016-08-23 | ["http://www.politico.eu/article/dutch-government-delays-ukraine-trade-deal-decision-mark-rutte-prime-minister/", "http://uatoday.tv/business/further-imf-bailout-for-ukraine-delayed-731752.html", "http://tass.com/politics/898487", "http://bharatuntoldstory.tumblr.com/post/31804149753/operation-vijaythe-liberation-of-goa1961", "https://russiamil.wordpress.com/2016/03/17/1837/", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/three-ukrainian-soldiers-killed-in-fighting-against-rebel-forces-1473784739", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Donetsk_People%27s_Republic", "http://www.globalresearch.ca/depopulation-and-social-explosion-mass-exodus-from-ukraine-to-russia-80000-people-a-week/5555293", "http://ukraine.csis.org/#496", "http://ukraine.csis.org/#494", "http://www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/new-atlanticist/ukraine-s-reforms-are-pointless-without-solving-security-issues", "http://www.ohchr.org/EN/Countries/ENACARegion/Pages/UAReports.aspx", "https://news.vice.com/article/russias-military-modernization-is-working-but-the-moneys-running-out", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/GLONASS#Achieving_full_orbital_constellation", "http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/261176?download=true", "http://www.academia.edu/27715875/The_Right_Sector_and_Others_National_Radicals_and_the_Ukrainian_Political_Crisis_of_Late_2013_Early_2104", "http://tass.com/world/899797", "http://www.osce.org/ukraine-smm/279531", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/eu-extends-sanctions-on-russian-officials-over-ukraine-crisis-1473937849", "http://www.iar-gwu.org/content/clash-civilizations-ukraine-not-quite", "https://www.amnesty.org/en/countries/europe-and-central-asia/ukraine/report-ukraine", "http://tass.com/politics/898486", "http://reliefweb.int/sites/reliefweb.int/files/resources/ukraine_-_issue_11_eng.pdf", "http://www.newsweek.com/where-do-clinton-and-trump-stand-russia-487777", 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["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/264 | For more information on what constitutes an episode of mass killing, see the <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/definitions" target="_blank">Early Warning Project's Definitions page</a>. The Early Warning Project’s <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/countries/ukraine" target="_blank">2015 statistical risk assessments</a> identified Ukraine as the 20th country at the greatest risk of an onset of a new episode of state-led mass killing. Those forecasts do not include the risk of mass killing by non-state groups, which would also produce a “yes” answer to this question. This question will be resolved by the Early Warning Project, in consultation with subject matter experts, using publicly available secondary sources. If the project determines that a new episode of mass killing has occurred, relevant evidence will be summarized in a post on <a href="http://www.earlywarningproject.com/posts" target="_blank">EWP's blog</a>.
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This question was closed as a "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The EWP did not find evidence of a new mass killing episode in Ukraine before the end of 2016 (<a href = "https://www.earlywarningproject.org/2017/03/29/state-of-the-world-mass-killing-in-2016"target="_blank">Early Warning Project</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will there be a new episode of mass killing in Ukraine before 1 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2020-01-14 | 2016-08-31 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-cenbank-rates-idUSKBN18H113", "http://www.worldometers.info/world-population/egypt-population/", "http://pubdocs.worldbank.org/en/38111460208801133/Egypt-MEM.pdf", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/315291", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/180351/Business/Economy/World-Bank-cuts-Egypts-predicted--growth-rate.aspx", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economy_of_Egypt", "http://www.econotimes.com/Moodys-Expected-gradual-economic-recovery-in-Egypt-will-drive-profit-growth-for-insurers-318941", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/254759/Business/Economy/Egypts-economic-growth-rate-up-to--pct-in-Q-of--.aspx", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/egypt/gdp-growth-annual/forecast", "http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/egypts-annual-urban-consumer-price-inflation-jumps-233-pct-december-11272397?utm_campaign=Week+In+Review+&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=40668130&_hsenc=p2ANqtz--qDIr4cYwIPqG_K6I-fmbOGtE6G_Y4VQBcIKktn00JYU7Qmz1hKCR1V09JbNUXS6UKaj5oJ2qHR738HVFoFr84xnZ0VA&_hsmi=40668130", "http://www.dailynewsegypt.com/2016/12/28/egypts-economic-targets-line-economic-reality/", "http://www.dailynewsegypt.com/2017/02/02/613786/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tourism_in_Egypt", "http://country.eiu.com/egypt", "https://knoema.com/atlas/Egypt/GDP-growth", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/egypt/gdp-growth/forecast", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/egypt/gdp-per-capita", "http://www.economist.com/news/middle-east-and-africa/21703393-egypt-has-squandered-billions-dollars-aid-more-way-it", "http://egyptianstreets.com/2016/04/13/egypts-economic-growth-to-slow-in-2016-recover-in-2017-imf-forecast/", 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["2017-06-16", 0.0], ["2017-06-17", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-19", 0.0], ["2017-06-20", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-23", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-27", 0.0], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-30", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/270 | Egypt's economy has sputtered since 2011 despite billions of dollars in aid from neighboring states; the promise of a three-year, $12-billion loan package from the International Monetary Fund -- and the reforms that loan would require -- are spurring optimism among some observers and pessimism among others (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/12/world/middleeast/egypt-imf-loan.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/a3abdcdc-5fcd-11e6-ae3f-77baadeb1c93.html" target="_blank">Financial Times</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-egypt-economy-imf-deal-idUSKCN10M1LZ" target="_blank">Reuters</a>). Question will be resolved using data from Egypt's Central Bank, which releases monthly data on real sector growth (<a href="http://www.cbe.org.eg/en/EconomicResearch/Publications/Pages/MonthlyStatisticaclBulletin.aspx" target="_blank">Central Bank of Egypt</a>). You can find the relevant table by clicking on the "Real Sector" Excel sheet and looking at Tab 44 "GDP by Expenditure (Constant Prices)." The relevant figure for this question is on the "GDP at Market Prices" row, and the column labeled 2016/2017 under "Growth Rate %". Question will be suspended on 30 June 2017, the end of Egypt's fiscal 2016/2017 fiscal year, and closed when the data is released, typically in early December.
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/183" target="_blank">In 2016 will any of the G7 countries experience either inflation of 2% or more or GDP growth of 2.5% or more?</a>
<hr>
Egypt's growth rate did not equal or exceed 5% (<a href = "http://www.cbe.org.eg/en/EconomicResearch/Publications/Pages/MonthlyStatisticaclBulletin.aspx"target="_blank">Central Bank of Egypt</a>). This question closed as "No" with an end date of July 1 2017.
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| Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Will Egypt’s GDP growth rate for their 2016/2017 fiscal year equal or exceed 5%? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-11-17 | 2016-09-02 | ["http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo#plus", "http://warontherocks.com/2016/10/emails-and-influence-investigating-russias-attack-on-the-u-s-political-system/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gerald_L._K._Smith", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/317081", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1984", "http://www.worldatlas.com/articles/largest-landslide-victories-in-us-presidential-election-history.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/362329", "http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/poll-after-trump-tape-revelation-clinton-s-lead-double-digits-n663691?cid=sm_tw", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geraldine_Ferraro", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/343932", "http://nbcnews.to/2eXOS3D", "http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/trump-is-just-a-normal-polling-error-behind-clinton/", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/onpolitics/2016/10/27/memo-shows-bill-clintons-wealth-tied-clinton-foundation/92842822/", "https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-big-lead-means-a-steadier-forecast/", "https://www.youtube.com/embed/TlqKFlU7YAs&quot", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_clinton-5491.html#polls", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/elections/", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_presidential_election,_1936", "http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-vaults-double-digit-lead-boosted-broad-disapproval/story", "http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-bottom-could-fall-out-for-trump/?ex_cid=538fb", "http://www.thewrap.com/whats-wrong-or-right-about-the-la-times-poll-that-says-donald-trump-could-win/", "http://election.princeton.edu/history-of-meta-analysis/", 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["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-07", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05], ["2016-11-08", 0.05]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/275 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'No' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Donald Trump, winner of the 2016 presidential election, did not win the popular vote. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/president" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
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A popular vote margin of 10 points or greater has not happened since the 1984 presidential election, when Ronald Reagan defeated Walter Mondale by winning 58.8% of the popular vote to Mondale's 40.6%, but some analysts are predicting that this year's presidential election will be a landslide (<a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/16/politics/donald-trump-hillary-clinton-landslide-loss/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/24/us/politics/hillary-clinton-donald-trump-polls.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-clinton-landslide-would-look-like/" target="_blank">FiveThirtyEight</a>).
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-11-08 | Will the winner of the 2016 presidential election win the popular vote by 10 or more percentage points? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-04-12 | 2016-09-06 | ["https://www.eia.gov/forecasts/steo/report/global_oil.cfm", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/320908", "http://trade.ec.europa.eu/doclib/docs/2006/september/tradoc_113392.pdf", "https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/wts2016_e/wts2016_e.pdf", "http://www.theweek.co.uk/oil-price/60838/oil-steadies-as-putin-effect-fizzles-out", "https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/quarterly_trade_e.xls", "http://www.tehrantimes.com/news/406112/Iran-ready-to-raise-oil-output-to-4m-bpd-depending-on-demand", "http://www.statista.com/statistics/262860/uk-brent-crude-oil-price-changes-since-1976/", "http://www.opec.org/opec_web/en/data_graphs/40.htm"] | binary | [["2016-09-06", 0.82], ["2016-09-06", 0.46], ["2016-09-06", 0.34], ["2016-09-06", 0.22], ["2016-09-06", 0.135], ["2016-09-06", 0.135], ["2016-09-06", 0.11], ["2016-09-06", 0.15], ["2016-09-06", 0.15], ["2016-09-07", 0.105], ["2016-09-07", 0.105], ["2016-09-07", 0.03], ["2016-09-07", 0.03], 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["2016-12-01", 0.02], ["2016-12-01", 0.02], ["2016-12-02", 0.02], ["2016-12-02", 0.02], ["2016-12-02", 0.02], ["2016-12-03", 0.02], ["2016-12-03", 0.02], ["2016-12-03", 0.02], ["2016-12-04", 0.02], ["2016-12-04", 0.015], ["2016-12-04", 0.015], ["2016-12-04", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-05", 0.01], ["2016-12-06", 0.01], ["2016-12-06", 0.01], ["2016-12-06", 0.01], ["2016-12-06", 0.01], ["2016-12-07", 0.01], ["2016-12-07", 0.01], ["2016-12-07", 0.01], ["2016-12-08", 0.01], ["2016-12-08", 0.01], ["2016-12-09", 0.01], ["2016-12-09", 0.01], ["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-10", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-11", 0.01], ["2016-12-12", 0.01], ["2016-12-12", 0.01], ["2016-12-12", 0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-13", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01], ["2016-12-14", 0.01], ["2016-12-15", 0.01], ["2016-12-15", 0.01], ["2016-12-16", 0.01], ["2016-12-16", 0.01], ["2016-12-17", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-18", 0.01], ["2016-12-19", 0.01], ["2016-12-19", 0.01], ["2016-12-19", 0.005], ["2016-12-19", 0.005], ["2016-12-19", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-20", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-21", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-22", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-23", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-24", 0.0], ["2016-12-25", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-26", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-27", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-28", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2017-01-01", 0.0], ["2017-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/277 | Expectations that Iran's nuclear deal would quickly produce economic dividends are fading (<a href="http://qz.com/729036/a-year-on-irans-nuclear-deal-is-helping-its-economy-but-not-as-much-as-some-hoped/" target="_blank">Quartz</a>, <a href="https://www.imf.org/en/News/Articles/2015/09/28/04/53/sp051716" target="_blank">International Monetary Fund</a>), and those struggles are reflected in the continuing shrinkage of Iran's trade with the world. This question will be resolved using quarterly merchandise trade values reported by the World Trade Organization on <a href="https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/short_term_stats_e.htm" target="_blank">its website</a> (or download the WTO dataset <a href="https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/quarterly_trade_e.xls" target="_blank">here</a>). Data for "Iran, Islamic Rep. of" from the tabs "Imports" and "Exports" will be summed for Q1-Q4 2016 when they become available, most likely in April 2017. According to the data available in August 2016, the annual totals for 2014 and 2015 were $139.8 billion and $104.9 billion, respectively, and the total for Q1 2016 was $25 billion.
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<hr>
This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016. The merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports for 2016 was $106 billion in total (<a href = "https://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/daily_update_e/quarterly_trade_e.xls"target="_blank">Quarterly merchandise trade value</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-01-01 | Will the merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports in 2016 exceed $140 billion? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-07-06 | 2016-09-13 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-idUSKBN15F17I", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/04/10/world/asia/john-kerry-arrives-in-afghanistan-with-message-of-support.html", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/afghanistan-seeks-3b-aid-corruption-concerns-persist-42522878", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-40170596", "http://dailycaller.com/2017/01/03/an-afghanistan-strategy-primer-for-the-trump-administration/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-parliament-idUSKBN13806Z?il=0", "http://www.tolonews.com/afghanistan/govt-moves-hold-peace-talks-afghan-envoy", "http://www.thehindu.com/news/national/us-backs-indian-position-on-crossborder-terrorism/article9212576.ece", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/afghan-leaders-trade-barbs-government-splits-widen-162016067.html", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/challenging-the-u-s-moscow-pushes-into-afghanistan-1485513002?mod=e2fb", "https://www.armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/Mattis_06-13-17.pdf", "http://www.pakistantoday.com.pk/2017/02/01/afghan-government-and-taliban/", "http://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2017/jan/30/afghanistan-government-open-to-talks-with-taliban-envoy-1565224.html", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/defense-secretary-carter-makes-surprise-visit-afghanistan-054354459--politics.html", "https://www.afghanistan-analysts.org/afghanistans-national-unity-government-rift-2-the-problems-that-will-not-go-away/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/23/world/asia/afghanistan-taliban-helmand-sangin.html", "http://country.eiu.com/article.aspx?articleid=1764403960&Country=Afghanistan&topic=Politics&subtopic=Forecast&subsubtopic=Country+outlook", "http://www.aljazeera.com/news/asia/2014/09/ashraf-ghani-declared-winner-afghan-poll-2014921133512174572.html", "http://www.newyorker.com/magazine/2016/07/04/ashraf-ghani-afghanistans-theorist-in-chief", "http://freebeacon.com/national-security/trump-admin-inherits-continued-insecurity-corruption-afghanistan/?utm_source=Freedom+Mail&utm_campaign=35efc83535-EMAIL_CAMPAIGN_2017_01_11&utm_medium=email&utm_term=0_b5e6e0e9ea-35efc83535-46174369", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_Packer", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/28/world/asia/afghanistan-corruption-financial-disclosure.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-india-afghanistan-idUSKBN13T0CM", "http://dailycaller.com/2016/10/26/obamas-afghan-strategy-hinges-on-a-crazy-man-with-an-army-threatening-civil-war/#ixzz4OsA324PZ", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-security-idUSKBN18U05U"] | binary | [["2016-09-13", 0.275], ["2016-09-13", 0.28], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-14", 0.25], ["2016-09-14", 0.375], ["2016-09-15", 0.3], ["2016-09-15", 0.25], ["2016-09-15", 0.2], ["2016-09-16", 0.3], ["2016-09-16", 0.2], ["2016-09-16", 0.2], ["2016-09-17", 0.3], ["2016-09-17", 0.3], ["2016-09-18", 0.3], ["2016-09-18", 0.265], 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["2017-05-31", 0.0], ["2017-05-31", 0.0], ["2017-06-01", 0.0], ["2017-06-01", 0.0], ["2017-06-02", 0.0], ["2017-06-03", 0.0], ["2017-06-04", 0.0], ["2017-06-04", 0.0], ["2017-06-05", 0.0], ["2017-06-05", 0.0], ["2017-06-06", 0.0], ["2017-06-06", 0.0], ["2017-06-07", 0.0], ["2017-06-08", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-09", 0.0], ["2017-06-10", 0.0], ["2017-06-11", 0.0], ["2017-06-12", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-13", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-15", 0.0], ["2017-06-16", 0.0], ["2017-06-17", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-18", 0.0], ["2017-06-19", 0.0], ["2017-06-20", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-21", 0.0], ["2017-06-22", 0.0], ["2017-06-23", 0.0], ["2017-06-24", 0.0], ["2017-06-25", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-26", 0.0], ["2017-06-27", 0.0], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/281 | Ghani became president of Afghanistan in 2014 as part of national unity government under a deal brokered by the US, but that deal is set to expire in September 2016 and tensions between rival factions have led to some calls for a change in the composition or form of the Afghan government (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/asia_pacific/afghan-political-crisis-intensifies-as-two-year-anniversary-nears/2016/08/12/3575a5aa-6085-11e6-9fd0-0b47b4fac0a4_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="https://www.yahoo.com/news/aides-afghan-governments-chief-could-withdraw-support-105904660.html" target="_blank">Yahoo! News</a>, <a href="http://www.voanews.com/a/two-years-after-controversial-afghan-elections-promised-reforms-remain-stalled/3462811.html" target="_blank">VOA News</a>). In the event that Ghani reportedly disappears or flees the capital, GJI will observe a three week waiting period, at the end of which the question will close retroactively to the date of his disappearance or exodus. If Ghani returns in the interim, the question will remain open.
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President Ghani remains the president of Afghanistan. This question closed as "b) No" with an end date of 30 June 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Will Ashraf Ghani cease to be president of Afghanistan before 1 July 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-10-04 | 2016-09-13 | ["http://www.latimes.com/world/middleeast/la-fg-qatar-explainer-2017-story.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-apec-vietnam-idUSKCN18H02B", "http://gulfnews.com/news/gulf/saudi-arabia/ahead-of-king-s-visit-china-hopes-saudi-iran-can-resolve-problems-1.1990244", "https://dailynewsegypt.com/2017/07/17/china-involved-gulf-crisis/", "http://edition.cnn.com/2017/06/05/middleeast/saudi-bahrain-egypt-uae-qatar-terror/index.html", "http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uns-zeid-warns-gulf-states-respect-rights-qatar-row-399029839", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/04/21/the-gulf-states-are-turning-to-asia-in-a-big-way-heres-why-it-matters/", "https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/94328173/terence-obrien-changing-winds-of-strategy", "https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2017/06/21/how-china-is-shifting-toward-the-middle-east/", "http://uk.reuters.com/article/uk-gulf-qatar-idUKKBN19A1BS", "http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/2017-03/20/content_28608392.htm", "http://www.albawaba.com/business/gcc-launches-anti-dumping-probe-against-chinese-steel-companies-968052", "http://www.emirates247.com/news/government/arab-strategy-forum-calls-for-nationals-to-forecast-future-challenges-2017-04-02-1.650668", "http://english.mofcom.gov.cn/article/newsrelease/press/201703/20170302540791.shtml", "http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/bahrain-detains-citizen-sympathising-qatar-agency-reports-458828410", "http://ec.europa.eu/trade/policy/countries-and-regions/regions/gulf-region/", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/06/21/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-crown-prince-mohammed-bin-salman.html", "http://oilprice.com/Energy/Energy-General/Is-China-The-Next-Key-Influencer-In-The-Middle-East.html", "http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/uk-gcc-trade-talks-halted-following-gulf-crisis-893229378", "https://jingdaily.com/gulf-cooperation-council-looks-to-china-for-future-tourism-growth/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-06-19/qatar-reminds-gulf-critics-of-9-11-as-crisis-enters-third-week", "http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/engcc/engccnews/201612/33922_1.html", "http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2017-05/16/c_136288477.htm", "http://english.aawsat.com/theaawsat/business/uae-china-agree-complete-free-trade-gulf-states", "http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/engcc/engccnews/200911/1640_1.html"] | binary | [["2016-09-13", 0.455], ["2016-09-13", 0.5], ["2016-09-13", 0.49], ["2016-09-14", 0.38], ["2016-09-14", 0.425], ["2016-09-14", 0.5], ["2016-09-14", 0.52], ["2016-09-15", 0.53], ["2016-09-15", 0.645], ["2016-09-15", 0.665], ["2016-09-15", 0.7], ["2016-09-16", 0.715], ["2016-09-16", 0.665], ["2016-09-17", 0.69], ["2016-09-17", 0.78], ["2016-09-18", 0.74], ["2016-09-18", 0.7], ["2016-09-18", 0.7], ["2016-09-19", 0.69], ["2016-09-19", 0.7], ["2016-09-19", 0.7], ["2016-09-20", 0.685], ["2016-09-20", 0.65], ["2016-09-20", 0.65], ["2016-09-20", 0.53], ["2016-09-20", 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["2017-10-01", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/279 | China and the GCC started negotiating a free-trade agreement in 2004, and in early 2016 the parties accelerated their talks in an effort to conclude the deal (<a href="http://www.middleeasteye.net/news/china-and-gulf-states-target-free-trade-deal-end-year-1187614884" target="_blank">Middle East Eye</a>, <a href="http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/enarticle/engcc/engccnews/201601/30498_1.html" target="_blank">China FTA Network news release</a>, <a href="http://fta.mofcom.gov.cn/topic/engcc.shtml" target="_blank">China FTA Network news archive</a>). For this question to resolve negotiators must reach an agreement. Ratification by the parties to the agreement is not required.
Recommended Questions
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/277-will-the-merchandise-value-of-iran-s-imports-and-exports-in-2016-exceed-140-billion" target="_blank">Will the merchandise value of Iran's imports and exports in 2016 exceed $140 billion?</a>
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<hr>
China and the members of the GCC have not completed negotiations on an FTA. This question closed as "No," with and end date of 1 October 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Economics & Business | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Will negotiations on a China-Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) free trade agreement be completed before 1 October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
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"http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/334210", "http://menafn.com/1094985103/Russia-transportation-minister-denies-resumption-of-flights-to-Egypt-in-October", "http://www.egyptindependent.com/news/flights-between-frankfurt-and-sharm-el-sheikh-resume-october", "http://vestnikkavkaza.net/news/Egypt-s-Hurghada-Airport-to-reserve-terminal-for-Russian-tourists.html", "http://www.tradingeconomics.com/egypt/tourist-arrivals/forecast", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/1/64/244965/Egypt/Politics-/Russias-Egypt-airport-inspections-constructive,-at.aspx", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/News/244680.aspx", "http://english.ahram.org.eg/NewsContent/3/12/245462/Business/Economy/Number-of-August-tourists-in-Egypt-down-pct-agains.aspx", "http://www.zawya.com/mena/en/business/story/CBE_Egypt_tourist_numbers_hit_23_million_in_H1-ZAWYA20160922053000/", "http://www.dailynewsegypt.com/2016/09/26/51-decline-number-inbound-tourists-egypt-h1-2016-capmas/", 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["2016-10-29", 0.0], ["2016-10-29", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-30", 0.0], ["2016-10-31", 0.0], ["2016-10-31", 0.0], ["2016-10-31", 0.0], ["2016-10-31", 0.0], ["2016-10-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/280 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 October 2016. There were 506,000 tourist arrivals in October of 2016 (<a href = "http://www.cbe.org.eg/en/EconomicResearch/Publications/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?id=/MonthlyStatisticaclBulletinDL/Real237.xlsx&DefaultItemOpen=1"target="_blank">Central Bank of Egypt</a>).
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question"" target=""_blank"">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href=""https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4"" target=""_blank"">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Tourism has long played an important role in Egypt's economy, but political turmoil in the past several years has significantly reduced the number of foreign visitors to the country. This question will be resolved using data reported by the Central Bank of Egypt on their <a href="http://www.cbe.org.eg/en/EconomicResearch/Publications/Pages/MonthlyStatisticaclBulletin.aspx" target="_blank">monthly statistical bulletin</a>. You can find the relevant table by downloading the "Real Sector" spreadsheet and looking at Tab 54 "Number of Tourists & Nights Spent." The relevant figure for this question is in the row labeled "Number of Tourist Arrivals," and the column labeled 2016 October. Egypt registered 909,000 tourist arrivals in October of 2015 (<a href="http://www.cbe.org.eg/en/EconomicResearch/Publications/_layouts/xlviewer.aspx?id=/MonthlyStatisticaclBulletinDL/Real%20Sector%20232.xlsx&DefaultItemOpen=1" target="_blank">Central Bank of Egypt</a>). This question will be suspended on 31 October 2016, and closed when official numbers are released, typically two months later.
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2016-11-16 | 2016-09-16 | ["http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/20/politics/maggie-hassan-kelly-ayotte-new-hampshire-senate/", "https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bY3uW-QYfj4", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/new-hampshire/", "https://www.opensecrets.org/races/summary.php?cycle=2016&id=NHS1", "http://boston.cbslocal.com/2016/10/25/new-hampshire-senate-race-wbz-umass-poll-kelly-ayotte-maggie-hassan-jon-keller/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/360117", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire,_2016", "http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-congress-senate", "https://alphacast.cultivateforecasts.com/questions/1011-will-former-gov-maggie-hassan-defeat-senator-kelly-ayotte-r-for-the-new-hampshire-us-senate-seat", "http://www.nationalreview.com/article/436223/kelly-ayotte-nh-senate-race-donald-trump-complicates-reelection-chances", "http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-ayotte-vs-hassan", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_ayotte_vs_hassan-3862.html", "http://edition.cnn.com/2016/10/20/politics/maggie-hassan-kelly-ayotte-new-hampshire-senate/index.html?eref=rss_politics"] | binary | [["2016-09-16", 0.55], ["2016-09-16", 0.55], ["2016-09-16", 0.5], ["2016-09-16", 0.695], ["2016-09-17", 0.59], ["2016-09-17", 0.59], ["2016-09-17", 0.6], ["2016-09-17", 0.595], ["2016-09-17", 0.595], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-19", 0.53], ["2016-09-19", 0.53], ["2016-09-19", 0.51], ["2016-09-19", 0.465], ["2016-09-19", 0.495], ["2016-09-20", 0.49], ["2016-09-20", 0.485], ["2016-09-20", 0.465], ["2016-09-20", 0.45], ["2016-09-20", 0.45], ["2016-09-20", 0.45], ["2016-09-21", 0.48], ["2016-09-21", 0.45], ["2016-09-21", 0.45], ["2016-09-21", 0.5], ["2016-09-21", 0.55], ["2016-09-22", 0.55], ["2016-09-22", 0.53], ["2016-09-22", 0.53], 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0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5], ["2016-11-08", 0.5]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/282 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'No' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Incumbent Senator Kelly Ayotte (R - NH) lost her bid for reelection to Democrat Maggie Hassan. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>
<hr>
Incumbent Republican Senator Kelly Ayotte is facing Democratic challenger Maggie Hassan in a tight race (<a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nh/new_hampshire_senate_ayotte_vs_hassan-3862.html" target="_blank">Real Clear Politics</a>, <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-new-hampshire-ayotte-vs-hassan" target="_blank">Huffington Post</a>). Ayotte is one of a number of incumbent Republican senators walking the tightrope between criticizing Donald Trump's often unpopular rhetoric and supporting their party's nominee for president, and she has indicated that she will vote for Trump but will not endorse him (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/08/22/sen-kelly-ayotte-is-stuck-between-donald-trump-and-a-hard-place/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/08/16/politics/kelly-ayotte-trump-hassan-new-hampshire/" target="_blank">CNN</a>).
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2017-01-05 | 2016-09-16 | ["https://www.google.com/selfdrivingcar/", "http://easymile.com/", "http://www.upi.com/Business_News/2016/09/13/Volvo-builds-its-first-self-driving-car/1181473763575/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/333323", "http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billNavClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160AB1592", "http://www.rand.org/search.html?query=self+driving+cars&sortby=relevance", "http://www.rand.org/blog/2016/09/when-will-we-know-self-driving-cars-are-safe.html", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question2", "http://www.pocket-lint.com/news/139769-what-is-google-waymo-and-when-can-you-expect-the-first-cars", "http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1478.html", "http://www.roadandtrack.com/new-cars/car-technology/news/a31072/google-autonomous-cars-involved-in-wreck-that-hospitalized-driver/", "http://leginfo.legislature.ca.gov/faces/billTextClient.xhtml?bill_id=201520160AB1592", "http://www.mercurynews.com/2016/07/22/driverless-shuttles-coming-to-east-bay-to-be-tested/", "http://www.theverge.com/2016/10/5/13164406/google-self-driving-car-2-million-miles-alphabet-x", "http://www.autoblog.com/2016/05/25/google-michigan-self-driving-vehicle-test-facility/", "http://www.nbcnews.com/tech/tech-news/look-ma-no-driver-new-california-law-allows-driverless-vehicles-n657301", "https://www.inverse.com/article/21608-california-governor-oks-autonomous-car-tests-public-roads", "http://www.autoworldnews.com/articles/25152/20161230/why-googles-waymo-projects-latest-self-driving-car-great-idea.htm", "https://newsroom.uber.com/pittsburgh-self-driving-uber/", "https://medium.com/waymo/a-first-look-at-our-waymo-fully-self-driving-chrysler-pacifica-hybrid-minivans-5677e5e67750#.ut3pgxaj5", "http://www.theverge.com/2016/2/29/11134344/google-self-driving-car-crash-report", "http://fortune.com/2016/09/25/crash-google-self-driving-car/", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#etiquette", "https://www.yahoo.com/news/driverless-cars-hit-british-streets-landmark-trial-005545714.html", "http://fortune.com/2016/09/29/california-law-test-autonomous-shuttle/"] | binary | [["2016-09-16", 0.5], ["2016-09-16", 0.2], ["2016-09-16", 0.305], ["2016-09-16", 0.555], ["2016-09-16", 0.55], ["2016-09-17", 0.7], ["2016-09-17", 0.4], ["2016-09-17", 0.46], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.435], ["2016-09-17", 0.35], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.52], ["2016-09-17", 0.435], ["2016-09-17", 0.435], ["2016-09-17", 0.38], ["2016-09-17", 0.505], ["2016-09-18", 0.555], ["2016-09-18", 0.6], ["2016-09-18", 0.51], ["2016-09-18", 0.53], ["2016-09-18", 0.46], ["2016-09-18", 0.46], ["2016-09-18", 0.51], ["2016-09-18", 0.55], ["2016-09-18", 0.575], ["2016-09-18", 0.58], ["2016-09-18", 0.58], ["2016-09-18", 0.305], ["2016-09-18", 0.43], ["2016-09-18", 0.35], ["2016-09-18", 0.31], ["2016-09-19", 0.33], ["2016-09-19", 0.375], ["2016-09-19", 0.375], ["2016-09-19", 0.35], ["2016-09-19", 0.31], 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["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-21", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-22", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-23", 0.01], ["2016-12-24", 0.01], ["2016-12-24", 0.01], ["2016-12-25", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-26", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-27", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-28", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-29", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-30", 0.01], ["2016-12-31", 0.005], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0], ["2016-12-31", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/284 | This question was closed as "no" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Since 2014, Google has focused on developing a fully autonomous vehicle that can "operate safely and autonomously without requiring human intervention" and which "won't have a steering wheel, accelerator pedal, or brake pedal… because they don’t need them" (<a href="https://www.google.com/selfdrivingcar/" target="_blank">Google Self-Driving Car Project</a>, <a href="https://googleblog.blogspot.com/2014/05/just-press-go-designing-self-driving.html" target="_blank">Google Official Blog</a>, <a href="https://plus.google.com/+selfdrivingcar" target="_blank">Google Plus</a>). Public testing refers to testing that allows people from the general public to use Google's Cars. Uber's testing of its autonomous cars in Pittsburgh is an example of public testing (<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/news/features/2016-08-18/uber-s-first-self-driving-fleet-arrives-in-pittsburgh-this-month-is06r7on" target="_blank">Bloomberg</a>, <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/11/technology/no-driver-bring-it-on-how-pittsburgh-became-ubers-testing-ground.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). Google is currently testing its self driving cars in Kirkland, WA, Mountain View, CA, Phoenix, AZ, and Austin, TX, but those tests are not open to the public.
<img src="https://c3.staticflickr.com/6/5592/15104006386_e92bfc87f4_k.jpg" height=200>
<a href="https://www.flickr.com/photos/smoothgroover22/15104006386" target="_blank">smoothgroover22 on flickr</a>
Recommended Questions
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/261" target="_blank">Between 12 August 2016 and the end of 2016, will any US state enact legislation that allows autonomous vehicles to operate on its public roads?</a>
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| Science & Tech | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Before 2017, will Google announce that it will conduct public testing of its fully autonomous vehicles in a US city? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-10-04 | 2016-09-20 | ["http://elpais.com/elpais/2016/09/26/inenglish/1474883844_556723.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-colombia-peace-idUSKCN11W0BR?il=0", "http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p0489xkc", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/26/americas/colombia-farc-peace-deal/", "https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-08-26/waging-peace-in-colombia", "http://jamaica-gleaner.com/article/news/20160929/national-emergency-centre-be-activated-friday-hurricane-matthew-heads-towards", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-colombia-peace-idUSKCN12204M?il=0", "http://en.mercopress.com/2016/09/26/land-distribution-remains-challenge-for-the-post-peace-accord-in-colombia", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/09/ghanis-deal-with-the-devil-hekmatyar-and-transitional-justice/", "http://www.un.org/apps/news/story.asp?NewsID=55126#.V-mke5A8KrU", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/03/world/colombia-peace-deal-defeat.html?emc=edit_na_20161002&nlid=52725637&ref=headline&_r=0", "https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=MsbEU7TFBdk", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37537252", "http://plebiscito.registraduria.gov.co/99PL/DPLZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZZ_L1.htm", "http://www.economist.com/news/21707728-scenes-colombian-guerrillas-last-conference-armed-group-farc-agree-hand", "http://www.nytimes.com/aponline/2016/09/26/world/americas/ap-lt-colombia-peace-ceremony-the-latest.html", "http://www.economist.com/news/briefing/21707921-all-its-imperfections-and-complexities-agreement-between-government-and-farc", "https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=DZGCJVnhMRc", "http://www.semana.com/noticias/plebiscito-por-la-paz/104205", "http://www.buenosairesherald.com/article/222172/colombians-expected-to-say-%E2%80%98yes%E2%80%99-to-peace", "http://www.wsj.com/articles/colombian-peace-plan-heads-for-plebiscite-1472166364", "http://www.populationlabs.com/colombia_population.asp", "https://weather.com/storms/hurricane/video/watching-extremely-dangerous-matthew-in-caribbean-0", "https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=qoz5Za-LBDU", "https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/ff0932f38e9b5546a32093182078fbffb0671736/43_249_2903_1742/master/2903.jpg"] | binary | [["2016-09-20", 0.5], ["2016-09-20", 0.68], ["2016-09-20", 0.84], ["2016-09-20", 1.0], ["2016-09-20", 0.925], ["2016-09-20", 0.95], ["2016-09-20", 0.9], ["2016-09-20", 0.95], ["2016-09-20", 0.9], ["2016-09-20", 0.85], ["2016-09-20", 0.825], ["2016-09-20", 0.9], ["2016-09-20", 0.8], ["2016-09-20", 0.775], ["2016-09-20", 0.85], ["2016-09-20", 0.925], ["2016-09-21", 0.9], ["2016-09-21", 0.8], ["2016-09-21", 0.85], ["2016-09-21", 0.85], ["2016-09-21", 0.85], ["2016-09-21", 0.9], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.95], ["2016-09-21", 0.97], ["2016-09-21", 0.965], ["2016-09-21", 0.965], ["2016-09-22", 0.98], ["2016-09-22", 0.98], ["2016-09-22", 0.98], 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["2016-09-28", 0.98], ["2016-09-28", 0.98], ["2016-09-29", 0.98], ["2016-09-29", 0.985], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-29", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-09-30", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-01", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99], ["2016-10-02", 0.99]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/287 | This question was closed on option B ('No') with a closing date of 10/2/2016. The plebiscite did not approve the peace agreement ( <a href="http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/03/americas/colombia-farc-peace-deal-collapse-whats-next/" target="_blank">CNN</a>, <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37537252" target="_blank">BBC</a>, <a href="https://thecitypaperbogota.com/news/no-wins-colombians-narrowly-rejects-peace-accord-with-farc/14639" target="_blank">The City Paper</a>, <a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/colombian-voters-apparently-reject-peace-deal-with-rebels-1475451463" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>).
In late August, Colombia and the FARC signed a deal to end the FARC's decades-long armed rebellion (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-colombia-rebels-idUSKCN10Z2HJ" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.bbc.com/news/world-latin-america-37180752" target="_blank">BBC</a>). Colombians will now have a chance to vote on the deal in a plebiscite that is scheduled for October 2 (<a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/what-comes-next-for-colombia-farc-peace-deal-agreement-plebiscite-2016-8" target="_blank">Business Insider</a>). Winning approval requires that a simple majority vote "yes" on the plebiscite question (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-colombia-peace-idUSKCN11526Y" target="_blank">Reuters</a>) and that the majority represent at least 13% of registered voters (<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/colombian-peace-plan-heads-for-plebiscite-1472166364" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href="https://vbouvier.wordpress.com/2016/07/20/constitutional-court-approves-plebiscite-for-colombian-peace-accords/" target="_blank">Colombia Calls</a>). President Juan Manuel Santos supports the agreement while his chief rival, former President Alvaro Uribe, is campaigning for its rejection (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/colombia-government-and-farc-rebels-ready-to-announce-peace-deal/2016/08/24/32ac13b6-d796-4d70-b2f9-da75d9e43bbb_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-10-02 | Will the peace agreement between Colombia and the FARC win approval in the upcoming national plebiscite? | gjopen | 0 |
2016-11-18 | 2016-09-30 | ["http://www.rollcall.com/news/politics/north-carolina-richard-burr-competitive", "http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_burr_vs_d_ross-5693.html", "http://talkingpointsmemo.com/polltracker/incumbent-senator-ahead-nc-poll", "http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/2016/10/13/nc-senate-race-surprise-nail-biter-may-critical-senate-control/91964582/", "http://predictwise.com/politics/2016-congress-senate", "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/north-carolina-election-forecast.html", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/337494", "https://www.buzzfeed.com/tariniparti/democratic-challenger-reports-big-fundraising-haul-in-key-no?utm_term=.xyBLNqMqB#.lwYNva0ab", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/?ex_cid=story-twitter", "http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/senate-election-forecast.html", "http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-the-fivethirtyeight-senate-forecast-model-works/", "http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-north-carolina-senate-burr-vs-ross", "http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/north-carolina/", "https://www.opensecrets.org/overview/reelect.php", "http://www.highpoint.edu/blog/2016/09/hpu-poll-in-nc-clinton-leads-trump-and-cooper-leads-mccrory/", "http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-03/north-carolina-poll", "http://www.politico.com/story/2016/09/richard-burr-carolina-senate-228297", "http://www.journalnow.com/news/local/sen-richard-burr-trump-has-to-be-sharp-on-his/article_68f7fed7-9a9f-5641-9423-20ea30f31c7c.html"] | binary | [["2016-09-30", 0.65], ["2016-09-30", 1.0], ["2016-09-30", 0.775], ["2016-09-30", 0.475], ["2016-09-30", 0.425], ["2016-09-30", 0.45], ["2016-09-30", 0.48], ["2016-09-30", 0.48], ["2016-09-30", 0.505], ["2016-09-30", 0.505], ["2016-09-30", 0.53], ["2016-09-30", 0.48], 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0.66], ["2016-11-08", 0.66], ["2016-11-08", 0.665], ["2016-11-08", 0.665]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/290 | This question was closed with the correct answer 'Yes' with an end date of 8 November 2016. Senator Richard Burr won his bid for reelection on November 8. (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate" target="_blank">NY Times</a>)
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>
<hr>
Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Burr is facing Democratic challenger Deborah Ross, a former state representative, in a close race with implications for which party will control the Senate after November (<a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/senate/nc/north_carolina_senate_burr_vs_d_ross-5693.html" target="_blank">Real Clear Politics</a>, <a href="http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-north-carolina-senate-burr-vs-ross" target="_blank">Huffington Post</a>). Republicans, including Senator Burr and Governor McCrory, are facing tough races in North Carolina (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/worried-republicans-are-pouring-resources-into-north-carolina/2016/09/12/124c69d6-76da-11e6-b786-19d0cb1ed06c_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post 9/12/16</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/09/22/in-north-carolina-gov-pat-mccrorys-reelection-prospects-are-fading-fast/" target="_blank">Washington Post 9/22/16</a>).
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2017-10-05 | 2016-10-04 | ["http://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-philippines-idUSKBN1AL05R", "http://www.cnn.com/2017/07/24/asia/china-south-china-sea-cinema/index.html", "https://www.thecipherbrief.com/article/exclusive/preventing-zombie-intel-officers-stealing-any-secrets-they-can-1091?utm_content=buffer9c44b&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/08/04/world/asia/vietnam-south-china-sea-repsol.html", "http://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/17/china-reportedly-installs-rocket-launchers-on-disputed-south-china-sea-island.html", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-asia-storm-japan/weakening-typhoon-talim-brings-heavy-rain-to-southwestern-japan-idUSKCN1BR05M", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2017_Pacific_typhoon_season", "http://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy-defence/article/2106473/chinas-ambitions-develop-floating-nuclear-reactors", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-china-southchinasea-exclusive-idUSKBN1AQ0YK", "http://www.defensenews.com/articles/satellite-images-reveal-chinese-expansion-in-south-china-sea", "https://www.reuters.com/article/us-southchinasea-philippines-china-idUSKCN1AV0VJ", "https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2017-09-05/as-world-watches-kim-china-quietly-builds-south-china-sea-clout", "https://phys.org/news/2017-09-nasa-typhoon-doksuri-south-china.html", "https://www.forbes.com/sites/panosmourdoukoutas/2017/09/07/to-stop-kim-jong-un-china-needs-a-big-prize-the-south-china-sea/#37f89c946df1", "https://www.thecipherbrief.com/column/strategic-view/wanted-robust-intelligence-and-diplomatic-reporting#.WYVEp04mEyY.linkedin", "http://www.foreigndesknews.com/news/politics/china-builds-new-military/", "http://www.ecns.cn/military/2017/08-24/270508.shtml", "https://www.thecipherbrief.com/expert/John-Sipher", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-asean-philippines-idUSKBN1AL05R?il=0", 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["2017-08-01", 0.05], ["2017-08-02", 0.05], ["2017-08-03", 0.05], ["2017-08-05", 0.05], ["2017-08-06", 0.05], ["2017-08-07", 0.05], ["2017-08-08", 0.05], ["2017-08-09", 0.045], ["2017-08-10", 0.045], ["2017-08-11", 0.035], ["2017-08-11", 0.025], ["2017-08-12", 0.025], ["2017-08-13", 0.025], ["2017-08-14", 0.03], ["2017-08-16", 0.03], ["2017-08-18", 0.03], ["2017-08-18", 0.02], ["2017-08-19", 0.02], ["2017-08-21", 0.02], ["2017-08-22", 0.02], ["2017-08-23", 0.02], ["2017-08-24", 0.02], ["2017-08-25", 0.015], ["2017-08-27", 0.015], ["2017-08-28", 0.015], ["2017-08-29", 0.01], ["2017-08-31", 0.01], ["2017-09-01", 0.01], ["2017-09-03", 0.01], ["2017-09-03", 0.01], ["2017-09-04", 0.01], ["2017-09-05", 0.01], ["2017-09-06", 0.01], ["2017-09-07", 0.01], ["2017-09-08", 0.01], ["2017-09-09", 0.01], ["2017-09-11", 0.01], ["2017-09-12", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-14", 0.01], ["2017-09-15", 0.01], ["2017-09-17", 0.01], ["2017-09-18", 0.01], ["2017-09-20", 0.01], ["2017-09-21", 0.01], ["2017-09-22", 0.01], ["2017-09-23", 0.005], ["2017-09-24", 0.0], ["2017-09-25", 0.0], ["2017-09-25", 0.0], ["2017-09-27", 0.0], ["2017-09-28", 0.0], ["2017-09-30", 0.0], ["2017-10-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/291 | In July of 2016, the Permanent Court of Arbitration (PCA) ruled on a long-running dispute between China and the Philippines about sovereignty over the strategically-located Scarborough Shoal or the Macclesfield Bank (<a href="https://amti.csis.org/arbitration-ruling-analysis/" target="_blank">Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative</a>, <a href="http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/after-the-south-china-sea-arbitration/" target="_blank">The Diplomat 6/21/16</a>). In the spring, China indicated that land-reclamation activity at Scarborough Shoal could start within the year, regardless of the PCA ruling (<a href="http://thediplomat.com/2016/04/will-china-begin-scarborough-shoal-reclamation-after-hague-verdict-on-south-china-sea/" target="_blank">The Diplomat 4/25/16</a>), and President Duterte of the Philippines has indicated that he would not lead his country to war with China over this issue (<a href="http://thediplomat.com/2016/06/did-a-us-line-in-the-sand-at-scarborough-shoal-just-wash-away/" target="_blank">The Diplomat 6/25/16</a>). For more information on land reclamation in the South China Sea see the <a href="https://amti.csis.org/island-tracker/" target="_blank">Asia Maritime Transparency Initiative</a>.
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<hr>
China did not begin land reclamation activity at Scarborough Shoal or in the Macclesfield Bank. This question closed as "b) No," with and end date of 1 October 2017.
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<hr>
| Security & Defense | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-10-01 | Will China begin land reclamation activity at Scarborough Shoal or in the Macclesfield Bank before 1 October 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2016-10-04 | ["http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2017/01/thailand-legislator-general-election-delayed-170102161345073.html", "http://www.straitstimes.com/asia/se-asia/thailand-to-hold-general-election-in-mid-oct-2018-at-the-earliest-dec-2018-at-the", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-politics-idUSKBN15N19M", "http://thediplomat.com/2016/03/why-thailands-next-election-may-not-matter/", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/508456", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-king-constitution-idUSKBN15115D", "https://asia.nikkei.com/print/article/284940", "http://www.chinapost.com.tw/asia/2017/08/17/500055/p2/yingluck-verdict.htm", "http://www.benarnews.org/english/news/thai/coup-anniversary-05202017104732.html", "http://www.scmp.com/news/asia/southeast-asia/article/2087022/thailands-junta-lift-political-party-ban-2018-elections", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-king-constitution-idUSKBN1780VB", "https://www.bangkokpost.com/news/politics/1379671/wissanu-dismisses-talk-of-poll-delay", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-politics-idUSKBN15N19M?il=0", "http://www.dawn.com/news/1311920", "http://asia.nikkei.com/print/article/229561", "http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/politics/1226960/election-due-late-in-2018", "http://bangkok.coconuts.co/2017/02/09/thailands-next-election-exactly-one-year-deputy-pm", "http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asiapacific/thailand-s-next-election-in-exactly-one-year-deputy-pm/3503030.html", "http://www.bangkokpost.com/news/politics/1180297/roadmap-veers-off-course", "http://www.theborneopost.com/2017/01/06/thai-junta-says-elections-will-be-held-in-early-2018/", "http://www.phnompenhpost.com/national/nec-begin-registering-voters-it-missed-2017", "http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21719474-it-claims-crave-national-reconciliation-while-continuing-persecute-political-opponents", 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["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-19", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-21", 0.0], ["2017-12-22", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-24", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-26", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-28", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/293 | Thailand's government has promised to hold a general election in 2017, but it remains unclear how the elections will be conducted and how the Pheu Thai Party of former prime minister Yingluck Shinawatra, ousted in a May 2014 coup, will factor into that process (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-thailand-politics-idUSKCN10K0CH" target="_blank">Reuters</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/thailand-hold-elections-2017-junta-chief-160809084208337.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>).
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Thailand did not hold general elections. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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<hr>
| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Will Thailand hold general elections before 1 January 2018? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-07-06 | 2016-10-04 | ["http://scholarship.law.cornell.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1373&context=clr", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/516143", "https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plain_meaning_rule", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-24944325", "http://www.hurriyetdailynews.com/putin-removes-restrictions-on-operations-of-turkish-firms-in-russia.aspx?pageID=238&nID=113760&NewsCatID=344", "http://www.garant.ru/hotlaw/federal/1114099/", "https://www2.deloitte.com/content/dam/Deloitte/ru/Documents/tax/lt-in-focus/english/2017/2-june-en.pdf", "http://thediplomat.com/2013/09/russias-aircraft-carrier-to-visit-syrian-naval-base/", "http://en.kremlin.ru/acts/news/54640", "http://www.jepeterson.net/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderfiles/Foreign_Military_Presence_in_the_Gulf.pdf", "http://weknownyourdreamz.com/images/sadness/sadness-07.jpg", "http://www.newindianexpress.com/world/2017/may/31/russia-relaxes-economic-sanctions-visa-rules-on-turkey-1611271.html", "https://www.law.cornell.edu/wex/strict_construction", "http://www.comw.org/qdr/fulltext/0207thomason.pdf", "http://en.ria.ru/world/20130627/181909679/Russian-Navy-Pulls-Personnel-Out-of-Syria-Base--Deputy-FM.html", "https://www.sipri.org/publications/1989/bases-abroad-global-foreign-military-presence", "http://www.ponarseurasia.org/sites/default/files/policy-memos", "http://www.ponarseurasia.org/sites/default/files/policy-memos-pdf/pepm198.pdf", "http://www.understandingwar.org/sites/default/files/Backgrounder_Russian_NavalBaseTartus.pdf", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/524604", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/512367", "http://tass.com/world/953096", "http://en.kremlin.ru/acts/news/50805", "https://www.rt.com/business/390319-putin-softens-sanctions-turkey/", "http://thehill.com/blogs/defcon-hill/policy-strategy/188911-russia-continues-weapons-shipments-to-syria"] | binary | [["2016-10-04", 0.65], ["2016-10-04", 0.65], ["2016-10-04", 0.38], ["2016-10-05", 0.35], 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["2017-05-19", 0.03], ["2017-05-19", 0.03], ["2017-05-20", 0.03], ["2017-05-22", 0.03], ["2017-05-23", 0.03], ["2017-05-24", 0.03], ["2017-05-24", 0.02], ["2017-05-25", 0.02], ["2017-05-26", 0.02], ["2017-05-28", 0.02], ["2017-05-29", 0.02], ["2017-05-30", 0.02], ["2017-05-31", 0.02], ["2017-05-31", 0.025], ["2017-06-01", 0.025], ["2017-06-01", 0.03], ["2017-06-01", 0.03], ["2017-06-02", 0.03], ["2017-06-03", 0.025], ["2017-06-04", 0.025], ["2017-06-04", 0.02], ["2017-06-05", 0.02], ["2017-06-05", 0.02], ["2017-06-06", 0.02], ["2017-06-07", 0.02], ["2017-06-07", 0.03], ["2017-06-07", 0.03], ["2017-06-08", 0.03], ["2017-06-08", 0.03], ["2017-06-09", 0.03], ["2017-06-09", 0.025], ["2017-06-11", 0.025], ["2017-06-12", 0.02], ["2017-06-13", 0.015], ["2017-06-13", 0.015], ["2017-06-15", 0.01], ["2017-06-16", 0.01], ["2017-06-18", 0.01], ["2017-06-19", 0.01], ["2017-06-20", 0.01], ["2017-06-20", 0.01], ["2017-06-21", 0.01], ["2017-06-22", 0.01], ["2017-06-22", 0.01], ["2017-06-23", 0.01], ["2017-06-23", 0.01], ["2017-06-23", 0.01], ["2017-06-24", 0.01], ["2017-06-24", 0.01], ["2017-06-24", 0.01], ["2017-06-25", 0.01], ["2017-06-26", 0.01], ["2017-06-26", 0.01], ["2017-06-26", 0.01], ["2017-06-27", 0.005], ["2017-06-28", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-06-29", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0], ["2017-07-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/294 | In 2011, Russia began allowing Turkish citizens to enter its territory without visas for a period of up to 30 days (<a href="http://tass.ru/en/world/848154" target="_blank">TASS Russian News Agency</a>). Russia suspended that arrangement in November 2015 after Turkish forces downed a Russian military jet (<a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/putin-signs-sweeping-economic-sanctions-against-turkey/2015/11/28/f3f5fff4-9603-11e5-befa-99ceebcbb272_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>, <a href="http://www.businessinsider.com/russia-turkey-jet-visa-travel-agreement-2015-11" target="_blank">Business Insider</a>). In August 2016, Russian president Vladimir Putin and President Erdogan moved toward rapprochement and committed to working toward a full restoration of economic and trade ties (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/08/10/world/europe/putin-erdogan-russia-turkey.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/middle_east/turkeys-erdogan-pivots-to-putin-as-tensions-rise-with-the-west/2016/08/08/43c19884-5d93-11e6-84c1-6d27287896b5_story.html" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>). Shortly afterwards, Russia lifted the restrictions on charter flights to Turkey (<a href="http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/1003389.shtml" target="_blank">Global Times</a>).
Recommended Questions
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/286" target="_blank">Before 2018, will there be a new president of Zimbabwe?</a>
<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/250" target="_blank">Will Recep Tayyip Erdogan cease to be President of Turkey before 1 August 2017?</a>
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<hr>
There is no evidence that the Russian government has implemented any changes to the restrictions which were in place at time of question launch. The question has been closed as "b) no" with an end date of 30 June 2017.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr> | Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-07-01 | Before 1 July 2017, will Russia allow Turkish citizens to travel to Russia without a visa? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-04 | 2016-10-07 | ["https://www.gjopen.com/questions/16-will-the-book-superforecasting-2015-be-on-the-new-york-times-besteller-s-list-by-the-end-of-october", "http://ritholtz.com/2016/12/annual-predictions-2017-edition/", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/355938", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/400690", "http://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/paperback-nonfiction/?module=DropDownNav&action=click&region=navbar&contentCollection=Books&version=Nonfiction&referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.nytimes.com%2Fbooks%2Fbest-sellers%2Fcombined-print-and-e-book-nonfiction%2F&pgtype=Reference", "https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-12-14/put-forecasting-in-its-final-resting-place", "https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anchoring", "http://www.theworldin.com/good-judgment", "https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100010204140464", "http://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/370284", "https://www.gjopen.com/comments/comments/343901", "https://www.ted.com/talks/bruce_bueno_de_mesquita_predicts_iran_s_future", "https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2016-09-14/how-superforecasters-think-about-the-future", "http://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/business-books/?_r=0", "https://www.amazon.com/Superforecasting-Prediction-Philip-E-Tetlock/dp/0804136718/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1477755123&sr=8-1&keywords=superforecasting", "https://800ceoread.com/bestseller_lists/2016/september", "https://prod-cert-bucket.s3.amazonaws.com/downloads/fa76f1296f4b48c2b1b7e9f61f8d746a/Statement.pdf", "https://www.chapters.indigo.ca/en-ca/books/superforecasting-the-art-and-science/9780771070549-item.html", "http://www.marketminder.com/a/fisher-investments-book-review-is-forecasting-a-general-skillset/053f643e-86b2-4936-b253-cda14fe868a6.aspx", "https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/numeric-solution?utm_campaign=LL_Content_Digest&utm_source=hs_email&utm_medium=email&utm_content=36161192&_hsenc=p2ANqtz-8pYpfQtstIWJ37dlFZAo4LR36fTOjcIRWYMqBafvmxFyOn3iPjk-vmZJTK58uKlBh7YEZrzZ1p1nembJqzo6LMqIlFEQ&_hsmi=36174365", "http://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/2015", "http://www.agriculture.com/news/technology/superforecasting-for-the-farm", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#etiquette", "http://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers/business-books/?module=DropDownNav&action=click&region=navbar&contentCollection=Books&version=MonthlyLists&referrer=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.bookspot.com%2Fbestsellers.htm&pgtype=Reference", "https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question8"] | binary | [["2016-10-07", 0.55], ["2016-10-07", 0.55], ["2016-10-07", 0.57], ["2016-10-07", 0.305], ["2016-10-07", 0.06], ["2016-10-07", 0.1], ["2016-10-07", 0.1], ["2016-10-08", 0.275], ["2016-10-08", 0.475], ["2016-10-08", 0.415], ["2016-10-08", 0.36], ["2016-10-08", 0.305], ["2016-10-08", 0.13], 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["2016-12-29", 0.0], ["2016-12-30", 0.005], ["2016-12-30", 0.005], ["2016-12-31", 0.005], ["2016-12-31", 0.005]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/295 | This question was closed as "No" with an end date of 31 December 2016.
<sub>See our FAQ to learn about <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#question" target="_blank">how we resolve questions</a> and <a href="https://www.gjopen.com/faq#faq4" target="_blank">how scores are calculated</a>.
<hr>
Superforecasting by Good Judgment Inc cofounder Philip E. Tetlock and his coauthor Dan Gardner was released in paperback on 13 September 2016. The hardcover version of the book reached the 11th spot in the New York Times' E-Book Nonfiction list in October 2015. This question will resolve as "yes" if the paper back, hardcover, or e-book version of the book is listed on any of the New York Times' weekly or monthly bestseller lists (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/books/best-sellers" target="_blank">NY Times</a>).
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<a href="https://www.gjopen.com/questions/283" target="_blank">Which book will win the 2016 Man Booker Prize?</a> | Arts & Recreation | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2016-12-31 | Will the book "Superforecasting" be listed as a New York Times bestseller between 7 October 2016 and 2 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
2018-01-02 | 2016-10-11 | ["https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/nov/07/saudi-arabia-accuses-iran-of-supplying-missile-to-houthi-rebels-in-yemen", "http://abcnews.go.com/International/wireStory/yemen-rebels-reject-envoy-mediator-conflict-47850994", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-saudi-yemen-idUSKBN17M2ZK", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-iran-houthis-idUSKBN16S22R", "https://www.hrw.org/news/2017/04/20/yemen-houthi-saleh-forces-using-landmines", "https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/yemen/yemen-peace-possible", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-un-idUSKBN16S287", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-court-idUSKBN16W0UF", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-yemen-idUSKBN1691PV", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-talks-idUSKBN18Q26C", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-idUSKCN1B60OG?il=0", "https://www.nytimes.com/2017/11/14/world/middleeast/saudi-arabia-mohammed-bin-salman.html", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-cholera-who-idUSKBN1A61GY", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-conflict-un/saudi-arabia-should-fund-all-humanitarian-aid-to-yemen-wfp-idUSKCN1BF22R", "http://in.reuters.com/article/yemen-security-court-idINKBN16X02Z?il=0", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-hodeidah-idUSKBN16I072", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-gulf-qatar-idUSKBN18O0HA", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-mattis-iran-idUSKBN17L230", "http://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-41446342", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-un-idUSKBN18Q24V", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-contest-idUSKBN1872RO", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-usa-emirates-idUSKBN1AJ2UW", "http://english.alarabiya.net/en/News/gulf/2017/05/08/Arab-coalition-launches-air-strikes-on-Houthi-sites-in-Yemen-s-Taiz.html", "http://foreignpolicy.com/2017/03/15/yemen-famine-humanitarian-relief-conflict-food-insecurity-casualties-of-conflict-saudi-led-intervention/", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-refugees-coalition-idUSKBN16Q0JW"] | binary | [["2016-10-11", 0.09], ["2016-10-12", 0.13], ["2016-10-12", 0.1], ["2016-10-12", 0.035], ["2016-10-12", 0.09], ["2016-10-13", 0.07], ["2016-10-14", 0.05], ["2016-10-14", 0.1], ["2016-10-15", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.05], ["2016-10-16", 0.045], ["2016-10-17", 0.045], ["2016-10-17", 0.05], ["2016-10-18", 0.05], ["2016-10-19", 0.05], ["2016-10-19", 0.05], ["2016-10-19", 0.1], ["2016-10-21", 0.1], ["2016-10-22", 0.1], ["2016-10-23", 0.1], ["2016-10-24", 0.1], ["2016-10-24", 0.1], ["2016-10-26", 0.1], ["2016-10-26", 0.1], ["2016-10-27", 0.1], ["2016-10-28", 0.1], ["2016-10-29", 0.1], ["2016-10-29", 0.095], ["2016-10-30", 0.095], ["2016-10-31", 0.07], ["2016-10-31", 0.06], ["2016-10-31", 0.07], ["2016-11-01", 0.08], ["2016-11-02", 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0.0], ["2017-11-24", 0.0], ["2017-11-26", 0.0], ["2017-11-27", 0.0], ["2017-11-28", 0.0], ["2017-11-29", 0.0], ["2017-11-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-01", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-04", 0.0], ["2017-12-06", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-08", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-10", 0.0], ["2017-12-12", 0.0], ["2017-12-13", 0.0], ["2017-12-16", 0.0], ["2017-12-17", 0.0], ["2017-12-18", 0.0], ["2017-12-19", 0.0], ["2017-12-20", 0.0], ["2017-12-22", 0.0], ["2017-12-23", 0.0], ["2017-12-25", 0.0], ["2017-12-26", 0.0], ["2017-12-27", 0.0], ["2017-12-29", 0.0], ["2017-12-30", 0.0], ["2017-12-31", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0], ["2018-01-01", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/298 | The war that began in Yemen in 2014 has killed thousands (<a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/10000-killed-yemen-conflict-160830173324902.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="https://www.crisisgroup.org/middle-east-north-africa/gulf-and-arabian-peninsula/yemen/yemen-peace-possible" target="_blank">International Crisis Group</a>), and peace talks that began in early 2016 have not yet led to a political settlement (<a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-idUSKCN1241RN" target="_blank">Reuters 10/4/16</a>, <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/news/2016/08/yemen-peace-talks-collapse-fighting-intensifies-160807042106210.html" target="_blank">Al Jazeera</a>, <a href="http://www.reuters.com/article/us-yemen-security-sammad-exclusive-idUSKCN11420N" target="_blank">Reuters 8/29/16</a>). Peace agreements that include provisions creating a new government, establishing a transitional political process to form a new government, or recognizing an existing government would count.
This question was updated on 24 October 2016 to clarify that the question is asking about the date of the signing of the agreement, not the establishment or recognition of a single, national government.
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Yemen's Houthi rebels did not sign a peace agreement. This question closed as "no" with an end date of 1 January 2018.
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2018-01-01 | Before 1 January 2018, will Yemen's Houthi rebels sign a peace agreement that includes provisions about the establishment or recognition of a single, national government? | gjopen | 0 |
2017-01-20 | 2016-10-14 | ["http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/weo/2016/02/pdf/text.pdf", "http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-trade#ixzz4OPEeivZm", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-china-apec-idUSKBN13D0BI", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/299-will-the-trans-pacific-partnership-be-ratified-by-congress-before-20-january-2017/www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-trade#ixzz4Ohr83SZB", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-trade-tpp-peru-idUSKBN13626H?il=0", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-afghanistan-taliban-peacetalks-idUSKCN12I0O2?il=0", "https://www.donaldjtrump.com/press-releases/trump-win-is-the-only-way-to-stop-tpp-catastrophe", "http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-trade#ixzz4Ohp7Y86o", "http://www.stripes.com/news/pacific/ratifying-pacific-trade-pact-not-on-vietnam-assembly-agenda-1.434792", "http://highlandcountypress.com/Content/In-The-News/In-The-News/Article/Senators-to-Obama-Trans-Pacific-Partnership-shouldn-t-be-considered-until-renegotiated/2/20/35152", "http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/29/business/economy/more-wealth-more-jobs-but-not-for-everyone-what-fuels-the-backlash-on-trade.html?emc=edit_ta_20160928&nlid=70183565&ref=cta&_r=0", "https://www.gjopen.com/questions/299-will-the-trans-pacific-partnership-be-ratified-by-congress-before-20-january-2017/www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-trade#ixzz4OPEeivZm", "http://www.cnn.com/2016/11/14/politics/tpp-trade-deal-trump-obama-trip/", "http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/morning-trade#ixzz4Ohr83SZB", "http://www.reuters.com/article/us-apec-summmit-froman-idUSKBN13D2HG?il=0", "http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/white-house/trump-s-pledge-dump-tpp-just-first-step-anti-trade-n687191", 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["2017-01-19", 0.0], ["2017-01-19", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0], ["2017-01-20", 0.0]] | https://www.gjopen.com/questions/299 | This question was closed on "No" with an end date of 20 January 2017
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<hr>
The Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal, which sets rules for trade between the United States and eleven other nations in the Asia-Pacific region, was signed in February 2016 (<a href="https://ballotpedia.org/The_Trans-Pacific_Partnership_trade_deal:_An_overview" target="_blank">Ballotpedia</a>). In recent months, the deal has come under scrutiny as both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton criticized the effects of free trade on American manufacturing (<a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2016/09/16/business/obama-plans-another-appeal-for-trans-pacific-partnership-trade-deal.html" target="_blank">NY Times</a>). President Obama hopes the deal will be ratified before the end of his term, but Senate Majority leader Mitch McConnell has ruled out a vote during the Obama presidency (<a href="http://www.wsj.com/articles/obama-makes-last-ditch-push-for-vote-on-trans-pacific-partnership-trade-deal-1473804821" target="_blank">Wall Street Journal</a>, <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2016/09/29/mcconnell-the-trans-pacific-partnership-is-dead-until-a-president-revives-it/" target="_blank">Washington Post</a>).
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| Politics & Governance | Not applicable/available for this question. | true | 2017-01-20 | Will the Trans-Pacific Partnership be ratified by Congress before 20 January 2017? | gjopen | 0 |
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