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With a model that conserves energy as well as physics, and allows the flux be the actual real-time values they have to be in reality, the greenhouse effect is no longer required to make the atmosphere heat itself up some more without being an actual energy source.
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The southeastern province of Hakkari was also struck by cold weather, with snow reaching a depth of 20 centimeters and 15 village roads closed due to heavy snowfall.
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The Administration's cost estimate assumes, first of all, that the European Union and the G-77 plus China developing country bloc will accept unrestricted trading among industrial (Annex B) countries, even though Article 17 of the Protocol states that emission trading shall be "supplemental" to "domestic actions" undertaken to reduce emissions.
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Kevin Trenbirth the author of the now discredited paper of 1997 updated in 2008 pretending to show that there is a dangerous accumulation of heat energy in the atmosphere.
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Politicians have different motives. They experience all kinds of monetary pressures, group pressures and rewards for decision making. The pressures and rewards are so great that when listening to a politician, we non-braindead know that the words we hear are an expression of their individual pressures more than a belief in their truth.
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Two-meter sea level rise unstoppable | Manila Bulletin OXFORD, England (Reuters) A rise of at least two meters in the world's sea levels is now almost unstoppable, experts told a climate conference at Oxford University on Tuesday. "The crux of the sea level issue is that it starts very slowly but once it gets going it is practically unstoppable," said Stefan Rahmstorf, a scientist at Germany's Potsdam Institute and a widely recognized sea level expert. ... "Once the ice is on the move, it's like a tipping point which reinforces itself," said Wageningen University's Pier Vellinga, citing various research. "Even if you reduce all the emissions in the world once this has started it may be unstoppable. I conclude that beyond 2 degrees global average temperature rise, the probability of the Greenland ice sheet disintegrating is 50 percent or more."
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Cap & Trade Realities for CO2 Emissions
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Morano: 'If you look at time scales of 50-100 years for (extreme weather).First off, on hurricanes we are at historic record lows, the longest we have gone without a majorhurricanestrike, category 3 or larger -- 9 years now -- the period longest since 1900.Big Tornadoes are down. Floods,droughts, all of these factors are either on no trends or declining trends.
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After the film's debut, public's awareness about global warming increased and the "green" movement surged. Since then, many corporations have gotten on board the Global Warming Band Wagon to exploit and profit from what has now become (falsely) an indisputable fact to many Americans: The Earth is dangerously warming and man is to blame. Climate alarmists warn that unless drastic steps are taken to curb global warming, Mother Earth will suffer grave consequences 100 or so years into the future. This despite a recent article that reports how tens of thousands of scientists have declared that human-driven global climate change is a hoax.
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The seasonal warming of the cold tongue in the early part of the calendar year (JanuaryApril) favors the initial growth of an event.
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how the senior one takes the chair with the back to the wall (the
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This might be a new year but some traditions are too good not to continue. After watching the Christmas classic Planet Terror over the holidays, either Rose McGowan or Marley Shelton had to make the cut. But since we took a week off, why not both? Genius!
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Crank of the Week January 23, 2015 Barack Obama
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The spatial patterns of the warming of the ocean surfaces dictate the spatial patterns of warming of the surface air temperatures over land, and those sea surface temperature spatial patterns contribute to the precipitation patterns on the continents. Because the climate models cannot simulate the spatial patterns of the warming of sea surface temperatures, one wonders how the modelers expect to properly simulate the warming of land surface air temperatures or the precipitation that occurs there.
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The heat wave, while largely predictable on short, weather-driven timescales, appears not to be the product of long-term climate changes. Instead, as discussed by Dole et al. (Geophys. Res. Lett., 38, L06702, doi:10.1029/2010GL046582, 2011. See Highlight 4, above), the heat wave falls within the realm of natural variability.
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According to the website of the proud window and door supplier, Wiegand , the 3-storey 23 million school was built in 15 months and was dedicated during a party-like ceremony in February 2011 by Brandenburg State Minister President Platzeck, and State Council member Heinze accepted the Certificate from the Passive Building Institute.
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The pause in warming may have been affected by volcanic eruptions that increased aerosols and particulate that increased upper atmospheric reflectance. AGW will continue after this. Is this an explanation for a pause that many warmists deny is happening? The pause may be caused in part by 17 small volcanic eruptions that occurred since 1999. Experts from Lawrence Livermore Labs said this want taken into account when predictions were made. I wonder what else was overlooked when predictions were made.
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Around the world there are five official weather data-bases, about 14 weather satellites (some say there are 88 of them!), 73 climate computer models, at least 30 research groups and thousands of academics receiving grants and attending never-ending climate conferences. Much of this torrent of public money is now focussed on trying to torture a climate confession out of one normally un-noticed and totally innocent trace gas in the atmosphere carbon dioxide.
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Report: Obama's oil company tax proposal would jeopardize thousands of jobs:
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John Berlau is Director of the Center for Entrepreneurship. Previously, he was the 2004-2005 Warren Brookes Fellow. He has written for many publications, recently serving as an investigative writer on the staff of Insight magazine. The National Press Club awarded him its 2002 Sandy Hume Memorial Award for Excellence in Political Journalism for his series of stories in Insight about the conflicts of interest of now-former IRS commissioner Charles Rossotti. He is a former Washington correspondent for the newspaper Investor's Business Daily. He has also written for Reader's Digest, USA TODAY, USA Weekend, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Post, Reason, The New Republic, National Review, and The Weekly Standard, and RAZOR.He graduated from the University of Missouri in 1994, with a double-major in journalism and economics. He was a media fellow at the Hoover Institution at Stanford University.
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Last August Vice President Al Gore told a captive audience of science students at the National Geographic Society that "global warming is real and we should act together now so that in the future our families will not have to suffer more extreme weather of all kinds." The VP linked his statement with a presentation of arctic ice core samples that some analysts believe indicate an historical correlation between rising carbon dioxide levels in the atmosphere and the warming-cooling cycle of the earth.
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Mawson Found Similar Ice Conditions, But Did Not Get Stuck
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While this uncertainty seems generally acknowledged in the solar community and by Judith Lean (who has been the main solar person involved in the IPCC), I have to say Im concerned that the CMIP climate model experiments for the IPCC uses only one solar reconstruction.
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As for combined Arctic and Antarctic ice, there is always a natural balancing act going between the two. There has been a lot of recent media attention directed to overall melting conditions in the northern ice cap region which is attributed to global warming. The cause is that the Atlantic Ocean has been in its multi-decadal warming phase. Meanwhile, the southern ice cap has increased to record levels.
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5. Always bear in mind that technology will continue to surprise us. I doubt that the expression fracking was widely known, let alone used five years ago.
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President Obamas second inaugural speech featured climate change more prominently than didhis first inaugural address. As Greenwire (subscription required)observed:
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However their asymmetrical categorization of a 74year baseline period vs. three 11year climate change periods is highly problematic. If their intent was to determine the timing of any significant shifts, their analysis should have compared equal decade-long periods. Instead because their technique averaged the most extreme southern latitudes, the baseline would easily be dominated by the earliest 20 th century observations. Any range retractions that happened later during the baseline period would not be statistically detected until the 1975-1986 climate change period. Any editor or peer reviewer should have required a correction, knowing their asymmetrical categorization could cause such misleading results.
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Present true stories of workers and families whose jobs and businesses have been threatened or destroyed by EPA and other government policies, programs and diktats; how these citizens have fought back; and their victories over energy, environmental and economic totalitarianism.
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Dr Pachauris trips would have produced 121.1 tons of carbon dioxide , according to calculations by ClimateCare, a carbon offset provider.
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In his RMS article , Kevin Trenberth also conveniently overlooked the fact that the discussions about the warming hiatus are now for a time period of about 16 years, not 10 yearsever since David Roses DailyMail article titled Global warming stopped 16 years ago, reveals Met Office report quietly released and here is the chart to prove it . In my response to Trenberths article , I updated David Roses graph , noting that surface temperatures in April 2013 were basically the same as they were in June 1997. Well use June 1997 as the start month for the running 16-year trends. The period is now 192-months long. The following graph is similar to the one above, except that its presenting running trends for 192-month periods.
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The committee again excluded from consideration any document or point of view that might incriminate Mann's conduct.
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A new paper published in Environmental Research Letters finds that climate models exaggerate the upper end of projected global warming because the models are " inconsistent with past warming ." The paper adds to many other recent peer-reviewed studies demonstrating that IPCC projections of global warming are exaggerated.
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When you get to this link, click on the graph again to make it even bigger: http://www.vukcevic.co.uk/GrandMinima.gif
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It was 58 degrees today in Pecos, Texas. On this date in 1972 (peak year of the ice age scare) it was 100 degrees.
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Hansens remarks were prompted in response to comments made by Joe Oliver who is a conservative politician and the Canadian Minister of Natural Resources. Speaking at the Center for Strategic Studies last week, Oliver heaped opprobrium on the scientist. In his speech he declared , It does not advance the debate when people make exaggerated comments that are not rooted in the facts. And should know that.
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The CDM system itself, however, will still be in place, and we will all contribute through its chief source of revenue, the EU's $100-billion-a-year Emissions Trade Scheme (which we pay for in various ways, not least through our electricity bills). We here in Britain also have the special privilege of knowing, as I reported in February, that we are now chipping in 60 million to buy additional CDM credits through our taxes ? so that the politicians and civil servants in government offices can keep warm by continuing to pump out emissions much as before.
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Bombshell conclusion new peer reviewed analysis: worldwide-temperature increase has not produced acceleration of global sea level over the past 100years
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Bushfire predictions in 2070 are nonsense on stilts. Models cant predict rainfall
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Evidence for sun-climate link reported by UMaine scientists
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Indoctrination Alert as the ABC reports that the Great Barrier Reef Marine Park Authority is targeting children in its latest effort to protect the reef.
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In 1990, the IPCCs central estimate of near-term warming was higher by two-thirds than it is today. Then it was 2.8 C/century equivalent. Now it is just 1.7 C equivalent and, as Fig. 3 shows, even that is proving to be a substantial exaggeration.
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Or, at least, I think that's the objective. Another way to put is the Audi folks want to have their cake and eat it. They want to be both green and independent of green.
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According to the British Met Office , the 2007 Arctic ice-melt was an anomaly unrelated to climate change. The article says, Modeling of Arctic sea ice by the Met Office Hadley Centre climate model shows that ice invariably recovers from extreme events, and that the long-term trend of reduction is robustwith the first ice-free summer expected to occur between 2060 and 2080. It is unlikely that the Arctic will experience ice-free summers by 2020.
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With quite a bit of action North of New Zealand.
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When Corker subsequently praised Trump's disastrous press conference in Scotland as "one of his better events" this was the press conference that mainly showcased Trump's golf resort, and in which Trump praised the UK's vote in favor of Brexit in strongly pro-Europe Scotland, after earlier demonstrating he did not even know what Brexit was the cave-in was complete.
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Thanks Marlo. This ultimately puts the ball in the "court" of informed voters who will determine who those representatives are, and will expose them to some true human-caused heat.
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What Dr Hubble meant was that with four times the light gathering power and four times the distance of past light sources, the anticipated light speed would exceed half the speed of light. At that point it would easy to discredit Big Bang and develop another model. That never happened for a multitude of reasons, some to do with Dr Hubble.
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And although certain aspects of the program are specifically directed at NAAQS pollutants, see, e.g., id. 7473(b)(4), the program as a whole plainly has a more expansive scope. For instance, covered sources are required to (1) install the best available control technology for ?each pollutant subject to regulation under ,? id. 7475(a)(4) (emphasis added), and (2) demonstrate that they will not cause or contribute to ?any . . . applicable emission standard? under the Act, id. 7475(a)(3) (emphasis added).
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Once we had the total energy embodied in each consumption item, we were able to translate this into dollar terms by obtaining the total expenditure for each consumption item from the National Income and Product Accounts tables for 2006. The direct energy expenditures were then calculated by summing up total expenditures on electricity, gas, water, fuel oil, coal, gasoline, and oil. The rest were classified as indirect energy expenditures.
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Question: What photographic documentation is available for the global network of surface temperature sites used to construct the long term global surface temperature analyses?
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From Bankers.asn.au - Source: Australian Bureau of Statistics 5206. National Income, Expenditure and Product. June Quarter 2003: Axiss Australia Guest post by Viv Forbes
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Humans keep adding large amounts of greenhouse gases to the atmosphere, among them carbon dioxide (CO2), the most important man-made greenhouse gas. Over the past 250 years, human activities such as fossil fuel burning have raised the atmospheric CO2 concentration by more than 40% over its preindustrial level of 280 ppm (parts per million). In May 2013, the CO2 concentration in Earths atmosphere surpassed a milestone of 400 ppm for the first time in human history, a level that many scientists consider dangerous territory in terms of its impact on Earths climate.
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Are these uncertainty intervals adequate? Not entirely. After all, I neglected autocorrelation in the residuals, non linearity and all sorts of things. Autocorrelation in the residuals is 5%. I set it to zero, but it may be real. If it is, then I should have added that possibility to computation of my uncertainty intervals. Also, maybe the trend is non-linear, or maybe something important changed after the final data point.
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Anyone vaguely familiar with this issue knows that Murray Darling Basin Authority boss Craig Knowles and Water Minister Tony Burke and even Opposition leader Tony Abbot and Opposition water spokesman Barnaby Joyce dont want the issue of the barrages or the Lower Lakes raised in polite discussion.
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How 1199SEIU, New York's ultra-powerful hospital and nursing home employees' union, took over the Empire State.
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There are many historical accounts of this approach, for example the early German explorer Ludwig Leichardt described frequent mild bushfires in New South Wales in the 1840s, lit by Aborigines. He pointed out that such fires, although widespread and common, were not a threat to humans. I suspect there were few big hats and medals in those days. Early European farmers imitated Aboriginal burning, to keep themselves safe. More recent bushfires in New South Wales, often in long unburnt areas such as National Parks, have been unmistakeably menacing, due to heavier fuel. In 2013 bushfires in NSW caused two deaths, and the loss of 248 houses. The cost was put at $94 million.
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Frst might br we recall that chemical kinetikhar its base in a reaction rate or flerasannolikhetsfrlopp in a particular direction is proportional to
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strategy says that trying engagement first can ultimately yield more pressure.
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Since then, there have been just two more instances in which the price of wind power in Denmark turned negative for a significant period of time because of excess wind, according to the national grid company, Energinet.dk.
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What is the origin of the false beliefconstantly repeatedthat almost all scientists agree about global warming?
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There is no evidence, Mr Miliband, Lord Stern and others, that our floods and storms are related to climate change
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According to Chris Horner, counsel to the Cooler Heads Coalition, "The Clean Air Act never specifically mentions global warming gases except to say that they can't be regulated." And Rep. David McIntosh, chairman of the Subcommitte on National Economic Growth, Natural Resources and Regulatory Affairs, has said, "EPA has somehow missed the obvious. The Clean Air Act is a carefully structured statute with specific titles that establish specific regulatory programs to accomplish specific objectives .The Clean Air Act is not a regulatory blank check."
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Second, Eli has not commented on the discrepancy between GISS and GHCN adjustments and the KNMI results. So while the additional reference is interesting and further documents the points that I made above, it does not contradict them. Eli has simply thrown up a diversion as though it were an academic comment.
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one hand, one can say that there is someone frtjnst on scientific parameters change value every 6 r. the other hand, one can frvnas over these 35 years with psttt framgngsrik research, nor has meant that oskerhetsmarginalerna shrunk. I remember that it was this table that either Nir Shaviv or Roy Spencer summarized in a bar graph, which he described as his life's most monotonous. Among AGW critics vckte there is a certain attention to the AR5 researched oskerheten compared to AR4 by snka the lower border from ECS.
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He even offered to represent the health departments archenemy, possibly for less than his usual rate. He said if a soda company would like to call me so we can do a commercial, Ill sing and dance for them and I wont charge an arm and a leg.
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So this morning, we requested all relevant records under FOIA, including all records sitting on that server, as they all were provided to US government employees for official purposes. This was filed with OSTP run by controversial "science czar" and, we now know, former Mitt Romney "climate" adviser John Holdren. The taxpayer deserves to know about this coordinated effort between Holdren's OSTP and the UN.
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British Government to Admit Imposing CO2 Limits Not Most Effective Way to Deal with Climate Change
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This sounds to good to be true but it may be true. I still think it's very unlikely but these smart authors obviously think it's a totally sensible scenario. It's hard to figure out whether they really impartially believe that these low-scale intersecting braneworlds are likely; or their belief mostly boils down to a wishful thinking.
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None of this would have mattered if the liberal progressives had been right about the reasons they have lost in the past. If Americans genuinely wanted quick implementation of liberal-progressive economic measures, then there would have been no electoral retribution to fear. Indeed, this was the argument many liberal progressives made when the decision was made to go forward with the health-care bill.
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40 George Weigel, The Final Revolution: The Resistance Church and the Collapse of Communism, 2003; Dore Gold, Hatred's Kingdom: How Saudi Arabia Supports the New Global Terrorism, 2004
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Good news for reefs: How corals could survive a warming planet. Corals evolved with CO2 levels 18X higher than present
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But forcing the city's inhabitants into a certain lifestyle is not a future that gteborgarna has chosen. The party has been hijacked, like Jimmy!
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But as we suggested earlier in the year , the incautious statements issued by Met Office scientists looked less like the work of scientific enquiry, and more like post-hoc speculation about which way the weather would turn.
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This means, among other things, that the more urgently the United States wants to negotiate for something like a cease fire in Syria, the more the Russians enjoy withholding it for weeks and months and even years. Our very eagerness to negotiate incentivizes the Kremlin to tease, to stall, to hold the glittering prize just beyond reach, making us beg for it. Dance, Kerry, dance!
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Much environmental regulation tests that same line between bona fide efforts to regulate health and safety and unprincipled efforts to use environmental laws to restrict competition. Perhaps the most notorious illustration of this practice in the air pollution area was the clean air/dirty coal provisions of Section 111 of the 1977 Amendments to the Clean Air Act, which vastly increased the cost of getting clean air by shifting the competitive balance between low-sulfur western coal and high-sulfur eastern coal.
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UPDATE: Shub Niggurath suggests that no peer reviewed science references existed in first and second order IPCC drafts:
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To change the politics of the day, scientific evidence is not enough. Graphs and statistics are pointless; the lack of warming, or any other predicted calamity is insufficient.
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Wholesale power and carbon markets have failed to find a clearing price for low-carbon power generation, recalling a comment by British economist Nick Stern in 2006 that climate change was the greatest and widest-ranging market failure ever seen.
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President Kennedy's America of early 1960 was still a world of rotary dial phoning, vinyl LPs, AM radio music, and the early days of color TV (tube of course). It was world in which no one forecast the GPS or iPhone. Most of what happened wasn't forecast; not least by government agencies and their NGO pilot fish. And most of what was forecast didn't happen, like the Jetsons' flying cars, colonies on the moon and under the seas, to name a few. Four decades ago, experts surveyed by U.S. News & World Report--as part of a future look at America in AD 2000--forecast the demise of the internal combustion engine. There are almost a billion more such on the road today than then.
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U.S. Senate Rejects Lieberman-Warner Cap-and-Trade Bill
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For the 79 countries included in their analysis, Ihm et al . report that "vascular plant species richness showed large variability, ranging from 377 to 51,220 species per country, or 0.0003 to 0.2896 species per km 2 ." In addition, they found that "variability declined while richness gradually increased as one moved from Arctic to Equator regions." Based on this relationship, and noting that "over the past 100 years, the global average temperature has increased by approximately 0.5C," their derived relationship indicated that this 100-year elevation in air temperature was associated with a species richness increase of 0.8%. And when they "estimated the effect of higher temperatures," such as those predicted for the future, they found that "a 1 or 2C rise in global warming produced an increase in species richness of 1.6 or 3.2%." What it means
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This lack of progress is not new. There never has been sustained multilateral action on GHG controls. The US did not ratify the Kyoto Protocol of 1997, which was drawn up during the COP 3 meetings. The Protocol called for developed countries to reduce emissions by at least 5% of 1990 levels by 2008-2012.Less-developed countries were exempted at the time. Since 1997, however, total emissions have grown, primarily from exempted developing countries, especially China and India.
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NASA says carbon emissions could cause 30+ year megadroughts. They also said that the California drought was part of natural cycles. What about all the noise we heard about the current drought caused by climate change? From NASA, NASA Study Finds Carbon Emissions Could Dramatically Increase Risk of U.S. Megadroughts
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The Financial Times reports that China has reassumed its position as the top manufacturing country, measured as proportion of global output.
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It is possible that the current $9 per barrel difference between U.S. and global oil prices could shrink slightly if some oil is exported. Barclays Bank says eliminating the export ban could add $10 billion a year to overall national gasoline costs.
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Last week I took a trip to the Texas Hill Country. (Yes, Texas really does have hills. Not like the Rocky Mountains, certainly, but hills nevertheless.)
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Wind power is too variable and too unpredictable to provide a serious alternative to fossil fuels, a new study by the Scientific Alliance and the Adam Smith Institute has confirmed. The researchers concluded that, although it is true that the wind is always blowing somewhere, the base line is only around 2 percent of capacity, assuming a network capacity of 10GW.
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And this adds more armour to the observation that environmentalism is a self-fulfilling prophecy. Recalling Sens maxim, the anti-democratic tendency of environmentalists the view that democracy isnt equal to the problem of climate change, and so institutions must be constructed above democratic control would replicate the configuration of power that allowed tyrants and their indifference to their populations needs to reign.
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The car bomb is appropriately getting a lot of attention. But so are two other recent events that will force Congress to consider or reconsider its agenda this year: the oil spill in the Gulf of Mexico and the Arizona law targeting immigrants. Conventional wisdom has had it that there was little chance of a climate change bill getting enacted this year and no chance of an immigration bill. Conventional wisdom may still be right, but both issues have been complicated by these events, and both need at least a renewed focus, and a wider focus, by Congress.
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How can you be on board with the science. Do you not understand that the whole AGW theory is based upon a planetary climate positive feedback . If such a thing actually existed, then this planet would be either roasting, or frigid; and it would have arrived at that state within a few million years. This planet has been pretty good, except when it got cold during ice ages, for about 4.5 billion years.
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A family of four losing more than $1,000 of income per year,
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The two researchers determined that ???the tropical oceanic warming pattern is poorly represented in the coupled simulations,?? and they say that their analysis ???points to model error rather than unpredictable climate noise as a major cause of this discrepancy with respect to the observed trends.?? And because of this problem, they found that ??? the patterns of recent climate trends over North America, Greenland, Europe, and North Africa are generally not well captured by state-of-the-art coupled atmosphere-ocean models with prescribed observed radiative forcing changes.??
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The social engineer views the members of society as mere pawns on a great chess board of society, to be moved about with little thought or consideration that each of those pawns is a living, thinking, valuing and planning individual, who would much prefer to make his own decisions concerning how he will live and act.
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The ice core data show, the authors write, that when solar radiation increases, more calcium is deposited at Siple Dome and at one of the ITASE field sites. The additional calcium may reflect an increase in wind strength in mid-latitude regions around Antarctica, they add, especially over the Indian and Pacific Oceans. Calcium in West Antarctic ice cores is thought to derive mainly from dust in Australia, Africa and South America and from sea salt in the southern ocean.
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The 1980 value for the greenhouse effect is 35.56C and the value for 2010 is 0.14C lower at 35.42C. This demonstrates that the 70.9% increase in global CO2 emissions since 1980 did not in any way enhance the greenhouse effect as has been falsely claimed since 1988 when this global warming debacle first began.
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Now where is the error? Where is the error both in logic and in Physics? I believe that what Bob Carter said to me was fundamentally correct that is to say that all molecules radiate every which way including downwards, but he omitted
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27 Flynt Leverett and Pierre Noel, "The New Axis of Oil," National Interest (Summer 2006).
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There will be negligible leakage (of emissions between countries, between industries and between emissions sources)
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Now assume you got an outrageously good deal on the solar panels and only had to pay $100/m that would cost $200,000,000,000 for the panels and maybe that much again for the installation and power lines.
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Three ships with icebreaking capability have responded, including the Australian Antarctic Division (AAD) vessel Aurora Australis, and are now en route to the area.
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