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Almost overriding all of these are the ridiculous population predictions, particularly in Paul Ehrlich?s book The Population Bomb. One quote is enough to show the insanity of the claims. ?The battle to feed all of humanity is over. In the 1970s and 1980s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a substantial increase in the world death rate.? Amazingly, despite the inaccuracies Ehrlich and his co-author John Holdren continue to have influence.
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Undaunted by reality, all the evidence, and millions of temperature records in the year 2000 Dr. Hansen and Tom Karl at NOAA adjusted the US temperature record to make it look like Hansens already adjusted global temperature record. Theypromoted1998 from fifth hottest to hottest by adding nearly half a degree on to 1998 and lowering the temperatures of 1921, 1934 and 1942.
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As shown in the figure belowfrom Levitus et al 2012, they claim that the uncertainty range of the observations(thevertical lines on the red line)narrows to very small levels in recent years.
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For example, on February 6, 2012 at a press conference in Berlin, Dr Sebastian Lning and Professor Fritz Vahrenholt unveiled their newly published book Die kalte Sonne . In attendance at the press conference was a journalist from Die Zeit, who, never having read the book, immediately attacked the two authors and their message. The good news that there was lots of science emerging showing no coming climate catastrophe was just too upsetting for him to handle. Just think about that.
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There is a weird logic to the sort of inflated rhetoric we've seen from Ambassador Rice and others in the Obama Administration. The conceptual corollary of treating "soft power" as one's national security tool of first resort is that broad swathes of economic, cultural, and political life suddenly become appropriate subjects for analysis through the prism of "national security." But how easy do we wish it to be to assign our security bureaucracy responsibilities with regard to whatever issue is next offered as a "national security" challenge hitherto ignored by stick-in-the-mud traditionalists like me who apparently just don't understand the real challenges America faces? We should be careful of mission creep grounded in such totalistic understandings, and for reasons that go beyond poor prioritization of scarce resources. The risk of deeper impropriety lurks in these shadows.
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So despite the fact that renewable subsidies are only a sixth of the fossil subsidies, per unit of energy they are seven times as large as the fossil subsidies.
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"Studies conducted to date have made uniformly bleak predictions for the survival of tropical forest lizards around the globe our data show that four similar species, occurring in the same geographic region, differ markedly in their vulnerabilities to climate warming," the authors of the study write in the learned journal Global Change Biology . "Moreover, none appear to be on the brink of extinction. Considering that these populations occur over extremely small geographic ranges, it is possible that many tropical forest lizards, which range over much wider areas, may have even greater opportunity to escape warming."
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The draft bill that is the subject of this hearing, The American Clean Energy and Security Act of 2009 (ACESA), is an ambitious attempt to meet the very real challenges posed by rising amounts of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere. Some of the draft bill's goals are unquestionably valid. With climate change, solutions will take time, and hurried action can lead to costly errors. The subcommittee and its members are, therefore, to be commended for their efforts to explore the discussion draft's complex implications.
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So our James is gearing with anticipation for the coming Climate Wars well good for him.
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McKibben claims hydraulic fracturing, commonly referred to as "fracking," is responsible for releasing massive quantities of methane into the atmosphere. He argues fracking could release methane in sufficient quantities that humans' use of natural gas could lead to more intense global warming than our use of coal.
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Drought deepens worries about food supplies, prices
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One sponsor is Silicon Valley's Zoe Lofgren, ranking Democrat on the Judiciary Committee's immigration subcommittee. Another, who apparently copied much of Lofgren's bill, is Idaho freshman Republican Raul Labrador.
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"The ruling class demonizes any questioning of its demands," says Boston University professor emeritus Angelo Codevilla."The pretexts differ" from issue to issue," he notes. "But the reality is the same: Bow or be persecuted. Consequently, if we wish to remain who we are in the face of threats and declamations meant to force us to honor intellectual and moral falsehoods, we have no alternative but clearly and loudly to distinguish between true and false, and fully make the case for what we believe to be right."
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4. CO2 COOLS, NOT WARMS, THE ATMOSPHERE. This one is a little more subtle because the net effect of greenhouse gases is to cool the upper atmosphere, and warm the lower atmosphere, compared to if no greenhouse gases were present. Since any IR absorber is also an IR emitter, a CO2 molecule can both cool and warm, because it both absorbs and emits IR photons.
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Even a relatively small town, like Aberdeen, WA seems to have lots of firework smoke, with levels getting well into the unhealthy range (about 90).
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As illustrated in the two earlier posts that use these same datasets (see here and here ), the Multi-Model Mean of the CMIP3 coupled ocean-atmosphere climate models do not hindcast and project the Sea Surface Temperature anomalies in any ocean basin, when the data is presented on times-series basis and on a zonal mean (latitude-based) basis. (The model mean of the West Pacific subset may look good on a time-series basis , but not on a zonal mean basis .)
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Claims that weather forecasts are reasonably accurate up to 48 hours are based on measured results for fair weather. Results for severe weather, which are really what is important for people, are very poor. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) has a worse record for both. Every prediction/projection since their first Report in 1990 has been wrong, with claims for more severe weather part of that failure. They fail because of fundamental errors in assumptions and mechanics.
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That is all the more true this year. Every day since Sept. 11, we have been subjected to scare stories and tales of imminent terror. But since that fateful day, very few have died. Three unfortunate people have died in the anthrax scare that has gripped the nation. Far more have died in car accidents -- some of which may have happened after people took the decision to drive rather than fly.
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The data show that the global temperature was 0.21 C (about 0.38 F) below the 20-year average for July. This followed on from a June temperature about 0.02 C below the average. Only 3 months in the last 41 had been below this norm.
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A digression into the Y2K bug opens up an unncessary can of worms.
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Equally fundamental and essential, policies and rules that affect our livelihoods, living standards and liberties must be based on honesty, accountability, evenhanded application, and verifiable evidence.
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She schlepped that tutu and that tiara for the whole 13.1, walking only at a couple of the last water stops. This event was 95% women, and attracts a LOT of folks who really don't run the whole thing, so it was a great place for her to begin. It's also pretty laid back, as there are actually character photo ops every mile, though we skipped those. I have not seen our time, but we probably did about 2:45. That's 20 minutes worse than my time five years ago -- it would be nice to say I was holding back to stay with my daughter but in fact she pulled me through the last mile. Muscles and cardio were fine but the knees and ankles really can't take it any more. But I proudly wore this bad boy all day.
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With respect to our papers, the press repeated innuendos that Mr. Soon received funds from Southern Co. He did not, which is a matter of public record. Other than salaries from our employers, Mr. Soon, co-author Kesten Green and I received no money for our two papers at issue. Interestingly, it is our impression that our employers believe in the "dangerous man-made global warming hypothesis."
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One natural factor in climate change may be variations in the brightness of the sun, over decades to centuries, that are in step with changes in the sun's magnetism, which has a period of roughly 11 years and is known as the sunspot cycle. Brightness changes have only been recorded over two decades of satellite observations. If brightness changes were to continue to occur over decades to centuries, they might cause terrestrial temperature change.
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Yet, the White House keeps pushing the Green-energy narrative and, on July 3, 2014, "The Energy Department Just Announced $4 Billion For Projects That Fight Global Warming," as the headline reads at ThinkProgress.org.
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the cost-benefit calculus was altered by the darkness. Dr. Maestripieri then offers a fascinating analysis of the
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Hopefully, the lessons learned about the labyrinthine rules of protests in D.C.there are dozens of agencies that govern public spaces in this cityallow for an even bigger protest to occur soon. I heard whispers of 5 million bags making their way to D.C. in the near future.
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Looking Up for Answers: What Weather Balloons Tell Us About Greenhouse Warming
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Coal-fired power plants in China, India, and other developing countries do emit large quantities of real pollution: sulfates, nitrous oxides, mercury, and soot that can cause respiratory problems and death. However, modern pollution control systems could and eventually will eliminate most of that.
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in order to establish whether or not such a relationship exists, measurements of short-timescale solar events, individual cosmic ray events, and spatially correlated cloud parameters could be of great significance. Here we propose such a comparison using observations from a pair of radio telescopes arrays,the Long Wavelength Array (LWA) and the Eight-meter-wavelength Transient Array (ETA). These low-frequency radio arrays have a unique ability to simultaneously conduct solar, ionospheric and cosmic rays observations and are thus ideal for such a comparison.
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A discovery made by this research is the insight that neither ice ages nor the interglacials have seen any longer "peaceful" period without changes - at least not in the last 800,000 years. Even the interannual variations were substantial. The Greenland data even point to 10-degree inter-annual variations of the air temperature.
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It also totally ignores the evidence of the 1950s and 1970s, which clearly points to a decrease in stronger tornadoes over the longer term , not an increase.
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Extensive surveys by the US Forest Service contradict the NWFs cry that warming is forcing pika upslope, and with no place left to go face extinction. As discussed here , 19% of the currently known pika populations in California and Nevada are at lower elevations than ever documented by any study, including benchmark studies during the cooler early 1900s. Further north in the Columbia River Gorge, another independent researcher also found pika at much lower elevations, surviving at temperatures much higher than their models had predicted.
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I grew up in a place where being stupid was your right, but only you would be responsible for it or pay for it. We had stupid, but it was contained in small patches. Now we have shared stupid and organizational stupid and even systemic governmental stupid. The ability of Stupid to cause general havoc has never been stronger. And the result shows.
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Skeptics warned Tuesday the rule will kill domestic coal use, increase energy prices and force businesses to move abroad.
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There are evironmental commodities markets developing internationally in order to combat climate change, slow biodiviersity decline, carbon dioxide emissions, and other problems. Incentives are needed for producers and consumers so as to make better use of natural resources. This approach allows flexibility in the system and provides signals to producers and consumers alike. The problem is that tracking or monitoring these emerging markets is difficult. Thus, the author contends that, "by handling vast amounts of in- formation efficiently, information systems permit accurate tracking of emissions and allowance accounting to ensure compliance. Furthermore, Internet access to regulatory in- formation increases the transparency and accountability of market-based environmental management."
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"The result of the routine media practice of quoting conflicting "sides,'" wrote Corbett and Durfee, is "giving equal weight to fringe and nonscientists as much as scientists even though the majority of evidence or opinion may fall clearly to one side."
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As the Stanford project explores better ways to utilize proven and economical energy sources like petroleum, coal and nuclear power, and develops ways to realize the promise of hydrogen, magnetic fusion, geothermal energy, the wind, the sun and biomass, we ought to be guided by five tenets:
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He is not advocating "no action," he's advocating reasonable, time-tested responses to what look like manageable risks;
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A point often made is that until the warming of the last few decades, major changes in temperature were preceded by or coincident with changes in atmospheric circulation. For example, consider the climate change event commencing 1700 and ending by about 1850, during which circulation and temperature acted synchronously in both polar regions. The cooling is coincident with an increase in the frequency of El Nino events, and with an increase in solar energy output.
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I also didnt hook a salmon, in fact Ellie was the only one to get a bite, but ask me if I care ... I was out in the sun and the wind, on a lovely stretch of a river with boon companions, and the chance to learn a new kind of fishing was just a bonus. Whats not to like?
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The Past, Present and Future Of The El Nio/Southern Oscillation A Dissertation Defense By Samantha Stevenson
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Figure 2) April 2015 Pacific Ocean Shallow Sea Surface (SST) temperature map. Anomalously warmed areas are shown in dark red and orange. Regional shallow sea surface current flow of the Pacific Ocean is from west to east. The location of the anomalously warm temperatures is a small deep ocean area east of New Guinea and is marked as the Heat Point Source on the map.
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I assume he is referring to the fact that Arctic ice extent is the highest at the end of July since 2006.
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Eco-warriors are losing the public relations battle on global warming -- and it's driving them batty.
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This was accomplished by throwing out global-coverage satellite-sensed sea surface measurements taken since the late 1970s the best data available and upwardly adjusting spotty and unreliable hit-and-miss temperature readings taken from ocean-going vessels which present well-recognized problems.
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Glacier is ice, ice is water, water is life, intoned priest Toni Wenger, before beseeching God to stop the glaciers high above them from melting.
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Technology Innovation the centerpiece of the Clean Energy Dialogue from the beginning is occurring at a fast pace as low prices encourage the use of gas for commercial, residential, industrial applications as well as power generation. Researchers in both countries could learn from one another in areas such as natural gas use to smooth the peaks and troughs of renewable energy production, to meet distributed energy needs and for integrated community energy systems, and for new industrial growth as North American manufacturing rebounds.
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As the temperature of the ocean surface rises in response to increases in diurnal and seasonal forcing factors, concentrations of DMS and its oxidation products (MSA and nss-SO 4 2- ) rise dramatically, inducing a negative feedback that tends to counter the impetus for warming. Hence, there is every reason to believe that the same negative feedback phenomenon operates in the case of long-term warming that could arise as a result of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, and that it could substantially mute their combined climatic impact.
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It will be seen that there were far more large volcanic eruptions towards the end of the nineteenth century, and at the beginning of the twentieth century than at any time since. It appears, from the study of early temperature records that this period was unusually cool; and it seems probable that the high level of volcanic activity contributed to. this coolness. It would seem inappropriate to select this exceptionally cool period as a datum line by which to evaluate the possible existence of global warming by the greenhouse effect. Recently the behaviour of the atmosphere following the eruption of Mount Pinatubo in 1991 has been adduced as evidence for the lack of global warming, but it seems to have been forgotten that the beginning region of the global temperature records used to evaluate supposed global warming included eruptions such as those of Krakatoa (1883) and several others.
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CEI: Is the aim of the Club to elect pro-growth candidates or to push the Republican Party in a more growth-oriented direction?
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Guess the chances of Rudd getting this through now in June are about zero.
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List of 10:10 Global partners, including SONY: HERE and HERE and primarily HERE
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First off, about a year after the IPCC released its AR4 report (from which the EPA took its statement), David Thompson and colleagues published a paper in Nature magazine titled "A large discontinuity in the mid-twentieth century in observed global-mean surface temperature." In it, they documented how a change in observing practices before and after World War II produced a cold bias in the sea surface temperatures that were incorporated into the compilations of global average temperatures (see here and here for more details). Thompson et al. were unable to correct this bias (so it remains in the extant "observed" global temperature histories) but suggested that:
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An endless parade of people described as "urban experts, " warned that whatever plans were adopted at Quito would be pointless unless they were accompanied by comprehensive monitoring. But what would be the criteria by which a city's performance could be evaluated? Not to worry, said Michael Cohen of the New School in New York , his graduate students had developed the criteria that would assess cities' compliance with the UN's plans to ensure that urban areas take the lead in combating climate change.
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would you agree that there is no convincing evidence for kilimanjaro glacier
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Just add sea ice onto the growing list of variables that are simulated poorly by the IPCCs climate models. Over the past few months, weve illustrated and discussed that the climate models stored in the CMIP5 archive for the upcoming 5 th Assessment Report (AR5) cannot simulate observed:
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Discovery Channel. Climate Changes Linked to Fall of Roman Empire .
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The circuitous nature of this reasoning to save the people one had to save perestroika, but perestroika could be saved only if it was capable of changing man "from within" did not seem to trouble anyone. Those who thought out loud about these matters seemed to assume that the country's salvation through perestroika and the extrication of its people from the spiritual morass were tightly perhaps, inextricably interwoven, and left it at that. What mattered was reclaiming the people to citizenship from "serfdom" and "slavery." "Enough!" declared Boris Vasiliev, the author of a popular novella of the period about World War II, which was made into an equally well-received film. "Enough lies, enough servility, enough cowardice. Let's remember, finally, that we are all citizens. Proud citizens of a proud nation!"
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A paper published today in Geophysical Research Letters finds coral reefs are thriving in "naturally acidified" waters in Palau, one of the top diving destinations in the world. According to the authors, "we report the existence of highly diverse, coral-dominated reef communities under chronically low pH and aragonite saturation state...where acidification levels approach those projected for the western tropical Pacific open ocean by 2100. Nevertheless, coral diversity, cover and calcification rates are maintained across this natural acidification gradient."
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Alabama AG to keep enforcing gambling laws:
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Kerry described those who do not accept that human activity causes global warming as shoddy scientists and extreme ideologues, and said big companies and special interests should not be allowed to hijack the climate debate.Climate change can now be considered another weapon of mass destruction, perhaps the worlds most fearsome weapon of mass destruction.
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But since 1999 new evidence has seriously weakened the case that carbon emissions are the main cause of global warming, and by 2007 the evidence was pretty conclusive that carbon played only a minor role and was not the main cause of the recent global warming. As Lord Keynes famously said, "When the facts change, I change my mind. What do you do, sir?"
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In other words, it is the natural reality of extinction events and species evolution that has led to the ultimate enrichment of ecosystems and biodiversity with niches and opportunities for new species.
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Richard Ebeling, a leading scholar in the Smithian tradition, penned this two-part look-back at Adam Smith, which MasterResource reposts this July 4th week.
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However, to borrow a phrase from Clinton, it depends on what the meaning of ???used?? is. These upper treeline chronologies were clearly canvassed and assessed in the attempt to reconstruct upper treeline temperature. They were disregarded ??? but they were touched in the collective search process of the dendro community and became part of the sampling program. In my opinion, the situation is parallel to Jacoby??s ???few good men??: Jacoby said that he used the 10 most ???temperature-sensitive?? chronologies out of 36 and discarded the rest because they didn??t provide a story. These yellow-cedar chronologies were part of a collective search process and were even cited by Wilson and Luckman. It??s entirely relevant to show that these yellow-cedar chronologies did not have HS-shape as part of a survey of upper treeline populations.
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Excellent Research Paper by Katsafados et al. on Regional Climate Forcings and Teleconnections Across Thousands of Kilometers
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Monckton then shows a graph for 1880 1990 of CO2 and temperature mismatch, pointing out that there is not a good correlation.
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JC comment: unfortunately the same is not true of climate modelers. They only receive useful feedback on decadal time scales, but even with this feedback, they dont seem to see the need for recalibration. The following seems to explain why.
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Several nations, including Germany, Japan and the United Kingdom, have announced their hopes of bringing U.S. climate policy closer to that of the European Union. The Competitive Enterprise Institute urges the President and his advisors to resist this pressure and reject the limits on energy use embodied in international agreements like the Kyoto Protocol.
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Something significant happened in the atmosphere, Killingsworth said. This kind of an atmospheric shift in carbon dioxide is not observed during any other period of Earths history. And now we have sedimentary rock evidence for how long this ultra-high carbon dioxide period lasted.
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You might suppose EPA would explain the legal authority for a policy change potentially affecting hundreds of companies' bottom lines. Yet neither the final CPP, the CEIP fact sheet, nor EPA's proposed federal implementation plan discusses the CEIP's statutory basis.
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on Friday, June 10th, 2011 at 5:06 pm and is filed under Uncategorized.
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The computer told us these declines should be measurable even in the year we made the forecast. We suggested that measurements of jack pine growth be started to verify the forecasts and to see whether the potential effects of global warming on the diversity of life were actually occurring. People could have started going to southern Michigan to check out our forecasts 16 years ago. Nobody did. I tried to get funding to do this, but no government agency or private foundation was interested.
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> >> of use to decision-makers. But this does not undermine your
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Meanwhile, here in the actual world, Arctic sea ice continues to track 2006 the year with the highest summer minimum of the past decade.
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Personally, I prefer business to politics, so I live in business-friendly New Hampshire. But my wife and I spend part of each year in Washington, D.C. And we do this on purpose. We don't want the kids growing up thinking the world is sane.
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A paper published today in The Holocene reconstructs temperatures in Ontario, Canada over the past ~9,200 years and finds temperatures correlated to reconstructed solar activity on decadal and millennial time scales. According to the authors, "The results also indicate the presence of millennial-scale cycles possibly comparable with the globally recognized Bond cycles that have been correlated to fluctuations in solar irradiance." The IPCC claims small variations in solar activity cannot account for climate change, but this paper and many other peer-reviewed publications show that solar activity can be amplified by a variety of mechanisms to cause climate change.
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Above all, these highly qualified people experts in their own spheres look at the published data and trust their own analysis, so their views match the available data. They agree that the climate warmed over the 20th century (this has been measured), that CO2 levels are increasing (this too has been measured) and that CO2 is a warming gas (it helps trap heat in the atmosphere and the effects can be measured). Beyond this, the survey found that 98% of respondents believe that the climate varies naturally and that increasing CO2 levels wont cause catastrophic warming.
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New Japan-China Air Tensions: Smog
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SM: I think there's part truth and part untruth to what George Gilder says. He, like me, is mostly interested in growing the economy. I think his point is that the burden of government is really the total government divided by total private sector economy. If you want to lower that burden, you can do one of two things--either shrink government or grow the private economy. George Gilder's preference is to grow the economy. I describe that as growing the denominator. In fact, in the last six or seven years the size of the federal enterprise as a share of the economy has actually shrunk, and the reason it's shrunk is because the economy has done so well, and government hasn't kept up with it.
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In the year 1900, the entire city of Galveston,Texaswasdestroyedby a hurricane, which killed nearly 10,000 people.
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Ive eliminated the graphs of the long-term running trends (see sample here from the March 2015 update). Ive been presenting them for a few years and I cant recall one comment about them. I replaced them with a model-data comparison which shows the growing difference between model simulations of global surface temperatures and data.
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Carbon monoxide (CO) emissions are roughly 20 percent lower than 1970 levels.
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?I?ve done a number of studies that show at the very most it might buy you about five years before you reach a certain global average temperature level. But that?s not to say, on a more regional basis there aren?t changes to the patterns of our weather that we?ll have to get used to.?
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Gary L. Stone, vice president of engineering at Five States Energy Capital, says Democrats' energy and climate platform is like a wish list for those waging a war on fossil fuels.
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According to the review, the vast majority of the offset credits went into the European Unions flagship Emissions Trading Scheme. The authors estimate these may have undermined EU emissions reduction targets by 400 million tonnes of CO2, worth over $2bn at current market prices.
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Ryan Maue sent this map over, showing anomalies for the winter relative to the dates of the satellite era. It makes it clear why Joe Romm is now only interested in temperatures in Western Greenland.
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The Narrawong teacher will make a presentation for international educators and policy makers at the Greening Education Conference to be held in south-west Germany next week.
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More detail on the Southern Hemisphere's exceptionally cold winter
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The government urges us to reduce our energy usage so that we may indulge ourselves in other ways, but we have a higher motive for reducing waste (1 Timothy 6.17-19). Although I have yet to see any evidence that climate change is a sign of Christ's imminent return, human pollution is clearly another of the birth pangs of creation, as it eagerly awaits being delivered from the bondage of corruption (Romans. 19-22).
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Another Green Energy Company Stumbles: Fisker Announces Layoffs
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The case studies should focus on developing national institutions, such as those needed for monitoring emissions, enforcing nations' obligations, facilitating international trading of permits and resolving disputes. Such national institutions will be crucial to carrying out novel, low-cost approaches.
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Lets put it this way, I will be very surprised if the Republican dont already have the ammunition to ensure there arent criminal prosecutions started against climate extremists before the US presidential election.
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/s/ Dr. Donald Bogard JSC, Principal Investigator, Science Directorate, 41 years
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Since when is valuing personal freedoms...or questioning sweeping government intervention anything other than a deeply embedded American tradition and a very good idea under any circumstance?
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GT is safe njda with his little PR stunt, but are they aware that the flesh stands for more than 18 percent of global koldioxidutslppen and medium Svensson klimatpverkan depends to 25 percent on our eating habits?
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The IPCC, you will recall, is Al Gore's co-recipient of the 2007 Nobel Peace Prize and the host over the years of numerous scandals involving fudged and twisted climate data, research plagiarized from student theses, popular magazine articles, and green-group press releases, and, of course, the infamous Climategate emails which showed coordinated efforts to "hide the decline" in temperature data. This is not just one more scandal, however. This is much bigger.
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the first 100 yards can be very misleading. A runner could stumble badly coming
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One way to indoctrinate children on living green is to teach them in a green passive school that requires little energy consumption. This is what they are attempting in East German Schwarzheide, as reported at the online Lausitzer Rundschau daily .
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