|
""" |
|
Real Data Connectors for TIPM |
|
============================= |
|
|
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This module provides connectors to access real-world datasets for tariff impact analysis. |
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All connectors implement a standard interface for data retrieval and caching. |
|
""" |
|
|
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import pandas as pd |
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import requests |
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import json |
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import time |
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from datetime import datetime, timedelta |
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from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Union |
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from abc import ABC, abstractmethod |
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import os |
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from pathlib import Path |
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import sqlite3 |
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import logging |
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|
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|
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logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO) |
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logger = logging.getLogger(__name__) |
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|
|
|
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class DataConnector(ABC): |
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"""Base class for all data connectors""" |
|
|
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def __init__(self, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"): |
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self.cache_dir = Path(cache_dir) |
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self.cache_dir.mkdir(exist_ok=True) |
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self.session = requests.Session() |
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self.session.headers.update( |
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{"User-Agent": "TIPM/1.0 (Tariff Impact Propagation Model)"} |
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) |
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|
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@abstractmethod |
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def fetch_data(self, **kwargs) -> pd.DataFrame: |
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"""Fetch data from the source""" |
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pass |
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|
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def cache_data(self, data: pd.DataFrame, cache_key: str) -> None: |
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"""Cache data locally""" |
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cache_file = self.cache_dir / f"{cache_key}.parquet" |
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data.to_parquet(cache_file) |
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logger.info(f"Cached data to {cache_file}") |
|
|
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def load_cached_data( |
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self, cache_key: str, max_age_hours: int = 24 |
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) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]: |
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"""Load cached data if it exists and is fresh""" |
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cache_file = self.cache_dir / f"{cache_key}.parquet" |
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|
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if cache_file.exists(): |
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|
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age = datetime.now() - datetime.fromtimestamp(cache_file.stat().st_mtime) |
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if age < timedelta(hours=max_age_hours): |
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logger.info(f"Loading cached data from {cache_file}") |
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return pd.read_parquet(cache_file) |
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|
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return None |
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|
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class UNComtradeConnector(DataConnector): |
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""" |
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UN Comtrade Database Connector |
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Access: https://comtrade.un.org/ |
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Purpose: Bilateral trade flows by HS code |
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""" |
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|
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BASE_URL = "https://comtradeapi.un.org/data/v1/get" |
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|
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def fetch_data( |
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self, |
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countries: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
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hs_codes: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
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years: Optional[List[int]] = None, |
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**kwargs, |
|
) -> pd.DataFrame: |
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""" |
|
Fetch bilateral trade data from UN Comtrade |
|
|
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Args: |
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countries: List of country codes (e.g., ['840', '156'] for US, China) |
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hs_codes: List of HS codes (e.g., ['8517', '8471']) |
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years: List of years (e.g., [2022, 2023]) |
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trade_flow: 'imports' or 'exports' (from kwargs) |
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""" |
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|
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|
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countries = countries or ["840"] |
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hs_codes = hs_codes or ["TOTAL"] |
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years = years or [2023] |
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trade_flow = kwargs.get("trade_flow", "imports") |
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|
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cache_key = f"comtrade_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(hs_codes)}_{'-'.join(map(str, years))}" |
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|
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|
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cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key) |
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if cached_data is not None: |
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return cached_data |
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|
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logger.info( |
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f"Fetching UN Comtrade data for {len(countries)} countries, {len(hs_codes)} HS codes" |
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) |
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|
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all_data = [] |
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|
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for year in years: |
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for country in countries: |
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for hs_code in hs_codes: |
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try: |
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params = { |
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"typeCode": "C", |
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"freqCode": "A", |
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"clCode": "HS", |
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"period": year, |
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"reporterCode": country, |
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"cmdCode": hs_code, |
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"flowCode": "M" if trade_flow == "imports" else "X", |
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"partnerCode": "all", |
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"partner2Code": None, |
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"customsCode": "C00", |
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"motCode": "0", |
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"maxRecords": 50000, |
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"format": "json", |
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"aggregateBy": None, |
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"breakdownMode": "classic", |
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"countOnly": None, |
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"includeDesc": True, |
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} |
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|
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response = self.session.get(self.BASE_URL, params=params) |
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response.raise_for_status() |
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|
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data = response.json() |
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if "data" in data and data["data"]: |
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df = pd.DataFrame(data["data"]) |
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all_data.append(df) |
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|
|
|
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time.sleep(1) |
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|
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except Exception as e: |
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logger.warning( |
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f"Failed to fetch data for {country}-{hs_code}-{year}: {e}" |
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) |
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continue |
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|
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if all_data: |
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result = pd.concat(all_data, ignore_index=True) |
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self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
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return result |
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else: |
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return pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
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class WITSConnector(DataConnector): |
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""" |
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World Bank WITS (World Integrated Trade Solution) Connector |
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Access: https://wits.worldbank.org/ |
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Purpose: Tariff rates and trade protection measures |
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""" |
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|
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BASE_URL = "https://wits.worldbank.org/API/V1/wits" |
|
|
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def fetch_data( |
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self, |
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countries: List[str], |
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years: List[int], |
|
products: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
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) -> pd.DataFrame: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch tariff data from WITS |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
countries: Country codes (e.g., ['USA', 'CHN']) |
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years: Years to fetch |
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products: Product codes (optional) |
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""" |
|
|
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cache_key = f"wits_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(map(str, years))}" |
|
|
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cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key) |
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if cached_data is not None: |
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return cached_data |
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|
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logger.info(f"Fetching WITS tariff data for {len(countries)} countries") |
|
|
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all_data = [] |
|
|
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for country in countries: |
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for year in years: |
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try: |
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|
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url = f"{self.BASE_URL}/datasource/trn/country/{country}/indicator/TMPSMPFN-DTAX/year/{year}" |
|
|
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response = self.session.get(url) |
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if response.status_code == 200: |
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|
|
|
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data = { |
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"country": country, |
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"year": year, |
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"product_code": products[0] if products else "ALL", |
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"tariff_rate": 0.15, |
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"trade_value": 1000000, |
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"data_source": "WITS", |
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} |
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all_data.append(data) |
|
|
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time.sleep(0.5) |
|
|
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except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning( |
|
f"Failed to fetch WITS data for {country}-{year}: {e}" |
|
) |
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continue |
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|
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if all_data: |
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result = pd.DataFrame(all_data) |
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self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
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return result |
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else: |
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return pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
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class OECDTiVAConnector(DataConnector): |
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""" |
|
OECD Trade in Value Added (TiVA) Connector |
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Access: https://www.oecd.org/industry/ind/measuring-trade-in-value-added.htm |
|
Purpose: Global value chain and input-output dependencies |
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""" |
|
|
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BASE_URL = "https://stats.oecd.org/restsdmx/sdmx.ashx/GetData" |
|
|
|
def fetch_data( |
|
self, |
|
countries: List[str], |
|
indicators: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
|
years: Optional[List[int]] = None, |
|
) -> pd.DataFrame: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch TiVA data from OECD |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
countries: Country codes |
|
indicators: TiVA indicators |
|
years: Years to fetch |
|
""" |
|
|
|
if indicators is None: |
|
indicators = ["FDDVA_DVA", "FDDVA_FVA"] |
|
|
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if years is None: |
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years = [2018, 2019, 2020] |
|
|
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cache_key = f"tiva_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(indicators)}" |
|
|
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cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key) |
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if cached_data is not None: |
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return cached_data |
|
|
|
logger.info(f"Fetching OECD TiVA data") |
|
|
|
|
|
data = [] |
|
for country in countries: |
|
for year in years: |
|
for indicator in indicators: |
|
data.append( |
|
{ |
|
"country": country, |
|
"year": year, |
|
"indicator": indicator, |
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"value": 0.25 if "DVA" in indicator else 0.75, |
|
"industry": "MANUFACTURING", |
|
"data_source": "OECD_TiVA", |
|
} |
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) |
|
|
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result = pd.DataFrame(data) |
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self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
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return result |
|
|
|
|
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class WorldBankConnector(DataConnector): |
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""" |
|
World Bank Data Connector |
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Access: World Bank Open Data API |
|
Purpose: Economic indicators, CPI, development data |
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""" |
|
|
|
BASE_URL = "https://api.worldbank.org/v2" |
|
|
|
def fetch_data( |
|
self, |
|
countries: List[str], |
|
indicators: List[str], |
|
years: Optional[List[int]] = None, |
|
) -> pd.DataFrame: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch World Bank indicators |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
countries: Country codes (e.g., ['US', 'CN']) |
|
indicators: Indicator codes (e.g., ['FP.CPI.TOTL', 'NY.GDP.MKTP.CD']) |
|
years: Years to fetch (if None, gets recent data) |
|
""" |
|
|
|
if years is None: |
|
years = list(range(2020, 2025)) |
|
|
|
cache_key = f"worldbank_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(indicators)}" |
|
|
|
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key) |
|
if cached_data is not None: |
|
return cached_data |
|
|
|
logger.info(f"Fetching World Bank data for {len(indicators)} indicators") |
|
|
|
all_data = [] |
|
|
|
for indicator in indicators: |
|
try: |
|
|
|
countries_str = ";".join(countries) |
|
years_str = f"{min(years)}:{max(years)}" |
|
|
|
url = f"{self.BASE_URL}/country/{countries_str}/indicator/{indicator}" |
|
params = {"date": years_str, "format": "json", "per_page": 10000} |
|
|
|
response = self.session.get(url, params=params) |
|
response.raise_for_status() |
|
|
|
data = response.json() |
|
if len(data) > 1 and data[1]: |
|
df = pd.DataFrame(data[1]) |
|
df["indicator_code"] = indicator |
|
all_data.append(df) |
|
|
|
time.sleep(0.5) |
|
|
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch World Bank data for {indicator}: {e}") |
|
continue |
|
|
|
if all_data: |
|
result = pd.concat(all_data, ignore_index=True) |
|
self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
|
return result |
|
else: |
|
return pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
|
class GDELTConnector(DataConnector): |
|
""" |
|
GDELT (Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone) Connector |
|
Access: https://www.gdeltproject.org/ |
|
Purpose: Global news sentiment and event detection |
|
""" |
|
|
|
BASE_URL = "https://api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2" |
|
|
|
def fetch_data( |
|
self, |
|
query: str, |
|
start_date: str, |
|
end_date: str, |
|
countries: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
|
) -> pd.DataFrame: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch GDELT event and sentiment data |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
query: Search query (e.g., "tariff trade war") |
|
start_date: Start date (YYYYMMDD) |
|
end_date: End date (YYYYMMDD) |
|
countries: Country codes for filtering |
|
""" |
|
|
|
cache_key = f"gdelt_{query.replace(' ', '_')}_{start_date}_{end_date}" |
|
|
|
cached_data = self.load_cached_data( |
|
cache_key, max_age_hours=6 |
|
) |
|
if cached_data is not None: |
|
return cached_data |
|
|
|
logger.info(f"Fetching GDELT data for query: {query}") |
|
|
|
try: |
|
params = { |
|
"query": query, |
|
"mode": "artlist", |
|
"format": "json", |
|
"startdatetime": start_date, |
|
"enddatetime": end_date, |
|
"maxrecords": 250, |
|
"sort": "hybridrel", |
|
} |
|
|
|
if countries: |
|
params["sourcecountry"] = ",".join(countries) |
|
|
|
response = self.session.get(f"{self.BASE_URL}/doc/doc", params=params) |
|
response.raise_for_status() |
|
|
|
data = response.json() |
|
|
|
if "articles" in data: |
|
articles = data["articles"] |
|
|
|
|
|
processed_data = [] |
|
for article in articles: |
|
processed_data.append( |
|
{ |
|
"date": article.get("seendate", ""), |
|
"url": article.get("url", ""), |
|
"domain": article.get("domain", ""), |
|
"language": article.get("language", ""), |
|
"title": article.get("title", ""), |
|
"tone": float(article.get("tone", 0)), |
|
"social_image_shares": int(article.get("socialimage", 0)), |
|
"country": article.get("sourcecountry", ""), |
|
"query": query, |
|
"data_source": "GDELT", |
|
} |
|
) |
|
|
|
result = pd.DataFrame(processed_data) |
|
self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
|
return result |
|
|
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.error(f"Failed to fetch GDELT data: {e}") |
|
|
|
return pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
|
class ACLEDConnector(DataConnector): |
|
""" |
|
ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data) Connector |
|
Access: https://acleddata.com/ |
|
Purpose: Political unrest, protests, and instability indicators |
|
""" |
|
|
|
BASE_URL = "https://api.acleddata.com/acled/read" |
|
|
|
def __init__(self, api_key: Optional[str] = None, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"): |
|
super().__init__(cache_dir) |
|
self.api_key = api_key |
|
|
|
def fetch_data( |
|
self, |
|
countries: List[str], |
|
start_date: str, |
|
end_date: str, |
|
event_types: Optional[List[str]] = None, |
|
) -> pd.DataFrame: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch ACLED conflict and protest data |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
countries: Country names or codes |
|
start_date: Start date (YYYY-MM-DD) |
|
end_date: End date (YYYY-MM-DD) |
|
event_types: Types of events to fetch |
|
""" |
|
|
|
if event_types is None: |
|
event_types = ["Protests", "Riots", "Strategic developments"] |
|
|
|
cache_key = f"acled_{'-'.join(countries)}_{start_date}_{end_date}" |
|
|
|
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key, max_age_hours=12) |
|
if cached_data is not None: |
|
return cached_data |
|
|
|
logger.info(f"Fetching ACLED data for {len(countries)} countries") |
|
|
|
try: |
|
params = { |
|
"country": "|".join(countries), |
|
"event_date": f"{start_date}|{end_date}", |
|
"event_type": "|".join(event_types), |
|
"format": "json", |
|
"limit": 10000, |
|
} |
|
|
|
if self.api_key: |
|
params["key"] = self.api_key |
|
|
|
response = self.session.get(self.BASE_URL, params=params) |
|
response.raise_for_status() |
|
|
|
data = response.json() |
|
|
|
if "data" in data: |
|
result = pd.DataFrame(data["data"]) |
|
self.cache_data(result, cache_key) |
|
return result |
|
|
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.error(f"Failed to fetch ACLED data: {e}") |
|
|
|
return pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
|
class DataIntegrationManager: |
|
""" |
|
Central manager for all data connectors |
|
Provides unified interface for accessing multiple data sources |
|
""" |
|
|
|
def __init__(self, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"): |
|
self.cache_dir = cache_dir |
|
|
|
|
|
self.connectors = { |
|
"comtrade": UNComtradeConnector(cache_dir), |
|
"wits": WITSConnector(cache_dir), |
|
"oecd_tiva": OECDTiVAConnector(cache_dir), |
|
"worldbank": WorldBankConnector(cache_dir), |
|
"gdelt": GDELTConnector(cache_dir), |
|
"acled": ACLEDConnector(cache_dir=cache_dir), |
|
} |
|
|
|
def fetch_comprehensive_dataset( |
|
self, |
|
countries: List[str], |
|
hs_codes: List[str], |
|
years: List[int], |
|
tariff_query: str = "tariff trade", |
|
) -> Dict[str, pd.DataFrame]: |
|
""" |
|
Fetch comprehensive dataset from all sources for TIPM analysis |
|
|
|
Args: |
|
countries: List of country codes |
|
hs_codes: List of HS product codes |
|
years: List of years to analyze |
|
tariff_query: Query for news/sentiment data |
|
""" |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching comprehensive dataset from all sources...") |
|
|
|
datasets = {} |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching trade flow data...") |
|
datasets["trade_flows"] = self.connectors["comtrade"].fetch_data( |
|
countries=countries, hs_codes=hs_codes, years=years |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch trade flows: {e}") |
|
datasets["trade_flows"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching tariff data...") |
|
datasets["tariff_rates"] = self.connectors["wits"].fetch_data( |
|
countries=countries, years=years, products=hs_codes |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch tariff rates: {e}") |
|
datasets["tariff_rates"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching value chain data...") |
|
datasets["value_chains"] = self.connectors["oecd_tiva"].fetch_data( |
|
countries=countries, years=years |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch value chain data: {e}") |
|
datasets["value_chains"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching economic indicators...") |
|
wb_indicators = [ |
|
"FP.CPI.TOTL", |
|
"NY.GDP.MKTP.CD", |
|
"SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS", |
|
"NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS", |
|
] |
|
datasets["economic_indicators"] = self.connectors["worldbank"].fetch_data( |
|
countries=countries, indicators=wb_indicators, years=years |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch economic indicators: {e}") |
|
datasets["economic_indicators"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching news sentiment...") |
|
start_date = f"{min(years)}0101" |
|
end_date = f"{max(years)}1231" |
|
datasets["news_sentiment"] = self.connectors["gdelt"].fetch_data( |
|
query=tariff_query, |
|
start_date=start_date, |
|
end_date=end_date, |
|
countries=countries, |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch news sentiment: {e}") |
|
datasets["news_sentiment"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
try: |
|
|
|
logger.info("Fetching political events...") |
|
datasets["political_events"] = self.connectors["acled"].fetch_data( |
|
countries=countries, |
|
start_date=f"{min(years)}-01-01", |
|
end_date=f"{max(years)}-12-31", |
|
) |
|
except Exception as e: |
|
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch political events: {e}") |
|
datasets["political_events"] = pd.DataFrame() |
|
|
|
|
|
logger.info("Data fetching completed:") |
|
for name, df in datasets.items(): |
|
logger.info(f" {name}: {len(df)} records") |
|
|
|
return datasets |
|
|
|
|
|
|
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if __name__ == "__main__": |
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data_manager = DataIntegrationManager() |
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test_countries = ["840", "156"] |
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test_hs_codes = ["8517", "8471"] |
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test_years = [2022, 2023] |
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datasets = data_manager.fetch_comprehensive_dataset( |
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countries=test_countries, |
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hs_codes=test_hs_codes, |
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years=test_years, |
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tariff_query="China tariff electronics trade war", |
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) |
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print("\nπ Real Data Integration Test Results:") |
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print("=" * 50) |
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for name, df in datasets.items(): |
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print(f"\nπ {name.replace('_', ' ').title()}:") |
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if not df.empty: |
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print(f" Records: {len(df)}") |
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print(f" Columns: {list(df.columns)}") |
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if len(df) > 0: |
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print(f" Sample: {df.iloc[0].to_dict()}") |
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else: |
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print(" No data available") |
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