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"""
Real Data Connectors for TIPM
=============================
This module provides connectors to access real-world datasets for tariff impact analysis.
All connectors implement a standard interface for data retrieval and caching.
"""
import pandas as pd
import requests
import json
import time
from datetime import datetime, timedelta
from typing import Dict, List, Optional, Union
from abc import ABC, abstractmethod
import os
from pathlib import Path
import sqlite3
import logging
# Configure logging
logging.basicConfig(level=logging.INFO)
logger = logging.getLogger(__name__)
class DataConnector(ABC):
"""Base class for all data connectors"""
def __init__(self, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"):
self.cache_dir = Path(cache_dir)
self.cache_dir.mkdir(exist_ok=True)
self.session = requests.Session()
self.session.headers.update(
{"User-Agent": "TIPM/1.0 (Tariff Impact Propagation Model)"}
)
@abstractmethod
def fetch_data(self, **kwargs) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""Fetch data from the source"""
pass
def cache_data(self, data: pd.DataFrame, cache_key: str) -> None:
"""Cache data locally"""
cache_file = self.cache_dir / f"{cache_key}.parquet"
data.to_parquet(cache_file)
logger.info(f"Cached data to {cache_file}")
def load_cached_data(
self, cache_key: str, max_age_hours: int = 24
) -> Optional[pd.DataFrame]:
"""Load cached data if it exists and is fresh"""
cache_file = self.cache_dir / f"{cache_key}.parquet"
if cache_file.exists():
# Check age
age = datetime.now() - datetime.fromtimestamp(cache_file.stat().st_mtime)
if age < timedelta(hours=max_age_hours):
logger.info(f"Loading cached data from {cache_file}")
return pd.read_parquet(cache_file)
return None
class UNComtradeConnector(DataConnector):
"""
UN Comtrade Database Connector
Access: https://comtrade.un.org/
Purpose: Bilateral trade flows by HS code
"""
BASE_URL = "https://comtradeapi.un.org/data/v1/get"
def fetch_data(
self,
countries: Optional[List[str]] = None,
hs_codes: Optional[List[str]] = None,
years: Optional[List[int]] = None,
**kwargs,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch bilateral trade data from UN Comtrade
Args:
countries: List of country codes (e.g., ['840', '156'] for US, China)
hs_codes: List of HS codes (e.g., ['8517', '8471'])
years: List of years (e.g., [2022, 2023])
trade_flow: 'imports' or 'exports' (from kwargs)
"""
# Ensure we have valid lists
countries = countries or ["840"] # Default to USA
hs_codes = hs_codes or ["TOTAL"] # Default to all products
years = years or [2023] # Default to 2023
trade_flow = kwargs.get("trade_flow", "imports")
cache_key = f"comtrade_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(hs_codes)}_{'-'.join(map(str, years))}"
# Try cache first
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key)
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(
f"Fetching UN Comtrade data for {len(countries)} countries, {len(hs_codes)} HS codes"
)
all_data = []
for year in years:
for country in countries:
for hs_code in hs_codes:
try:
params = {
"typeCode": "C", # Commodities
"freqCode": "A", # Annual
"clCode": "HS", # HS Classification
"period": year,
"reporterCode": country,
"cmdCode": hs_code,
"flowCode": "M" if trade_flow == "imports" else "X",
"partnerCode": "all",
"partner2Code": None,
"customsCode": "C00",
"motCode": "0",
"maxRecords": 50000,
"format": "json",
"aggregateBy": None,
"breakdownMode": "classic",
"countOnly": None,
"includeDesc": True,
}
response = self.session.get(self.BASE_URL, params=params)
response.raise_for_status()
data = response.json()
if "data" in data and data["data"]:
df = pd.DataFrame(data["data"])
all_data.append(df)
# Rate limiting
time.sleep(1)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(
f"Failed to fetch data for {country}-{hs_code}-{year}: {e}"
)
continue
if all_data:
result = pd.concat(all_data, ignore_index=True)
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
else:
return pd.DataFrame()
class WITSConnector(DataConnector):
"""
World Bank WITS (World Integrated Trade Solution) Connector
Access: https://wits.worldbank.org/
Purpose: Tariff rates and trade protection measures
"""
BASE_URL = "https://wits.worldbank.org/API/V1/wits"
def fetch_data(
self,
countries: List[str],
years: List[int],
products: Optional[List[str]] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch tariff data from WITS
Args:
countries: Country codes (e.g., ['USA', 'CHN'])
years: Years to fetch
products: Product codes (optional)
"""
cache_key = f"wits_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(map(str, years))}"
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key)
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(f"Fetching WITS tariff data for {len(countries)} countries")
all_data = []
for country in countries:
for year in years:
try:
# Construct API URL for tariff data
url = f"{self.BASE_URL}/datasource/trn/country/{country}/indicator/TMPSMPFN-DTAX/year/{year}"
response = self.session.get(url)
if response.status_code == 200:
# WITS returns XML, need to parse
# For now, simulate data structure
data = {
"country": country,
"year": year,
"product_code": products[0] if products else "ALL",
"tariff_rate": 0.15, # Placeholder
"trade_value": 1000000,
"data_source": "WITS",
}
all_data.append(data)
time.sleep(0.5) # Rate limiting
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(
f"Failed to fetch WITS data for {country}-{year}: {e}"
)
continue
if all_data:
result = pd.DataFrame(all_data)
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
else:
return pd.DataFrame()
class OECDTiVAConnector(DataConnector):
"""
OECD Trade in Value Added (TiVA) Connector
Access: https://www.oecd.org/industry/ind/measuring-trade-in-value-added.htm
Purpose: Global value chain and input-output dependencies
"""
BASE_URL = "https://stats.oecd.org/restsdmx/sdmx.ashx/GetData"
def fetch_data(
self,
countries: List[str],
indicators: Optional[List[str]] = None,
years: Optional[List[int]] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch TiVA data from OECD
Args:
countries: Country codes
indicators: TiVA indicators
years: Years to fetch
"""
if indicators is None:
indicators = ["FDDVA_DVA", "FDDVA_FVA"] # Domestic and foreign value added
if years is None:
years = [2018, 2019, 2020] # Latest available years
cache_key = f"tiva_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(indicators)}"
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key)
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(f"Fetching OECD TiVA data")
# Simulate TiVA data structure
data = []
for country in countries:
for year in years:
for indicator in indicators:
data.append(
{
"country": country,
"year": year,
"indicator": indicator,
"value": 0.25 if "DVA" in indicator else 0.75,
"industry": "MANUFACTURING",
"data_source": "OECD_TiVA",
}
)
result = pd.DataFrame(data)
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
class WorldBankConnector(DataConnector):
"""
World Bank Data Connector
Access: World Bank Open Data API
Purpose: Economic indicators, CPI, development data
"""
BASE_URL = "https://api.worldbank.org/v2"
def fetch_data(
self,
countries: List[str],
indicators: List[str],
years: Optional[List[int]] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch World Bank indicators
Args:
countries: Country codes (e.g., ['US', 'CN'])
indicators: Indicator codes (e.g., ['FP.CPI.TOTL', 'NY.GDP.MKTP.CD'])
years: Years to fetch (if None, gets recent data)
"""
if years is None:
years = list(range(2020, 2025))
cache_key = f"worldbank_{'-'.join(countries)}_{'-'.join(indicators)}"
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key)
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(f"Fetching World Bank data for {len(indicators)} indicators")
all_data = []
for indicator in indicators:
try:
# World Bank API format
countries_str = ";".join(countries)
years_str = f"{min(years)}:{max(years)}"
url = f"{self.BASE_URL}/country/{countries_str}/indicator/{indicator}"
params = {"date": years_str, "format": "json", "per_page": 10000}
response = self.session.get(url, params=params)
response.raise_for_status()
data = response.json()
if len(data) > 1 and data[1]: # World Bank returns [metadata, data]
df = pd.DataFrame(data[1])
df["indicator_code"] = indicator
all_data.append(df)
time.sleep(0.5) # Rate limiting
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch World Bank data for {indicator}: {e}")
continue
if all_data:
result = pd.concat(all_data, ignore_index=True)
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
else:
return pd.DataFrame()
class GDELTConnector(DataConnector):
"""
GDELT (Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone) Connector
Access: https://www.gdeltproject.org/
Purpose: Global news sentiment and event detection
"""
BASE_URL = "https://api.gdeltproject.org/api/v2"
def fetch_data(
self,
query: str,
start_date: str,
end_date: str,
countries: Optional[List[str]] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch GDELT event and sentiment data
Args:
query: Search query (e.g., "tariff trade war")
start_date: Start date (YYYYMMDD)
end_date: End date (YYYYMMDD)
countries: Country codes for filtering
"""
cache_key = f"gdelt_{query.replace(' ', '_')}_{start_date}_{end_date}"
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(
cache_key, max_age_hours=6
) # Shorter cache for news
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(f"Fetching GDELT data for query: {query}")
try:
params = {
"query": query,
"mode": "artlist",
"format": "json",
"startdatetime": start_date,
"enddatetime": end_date,
"maxrecords": 250,
"sort": "hybridrel",
}
if countries:
params["sourcecountry"] = ",".join(countries)
response = self.session.get(f"{self.BASE_URL}/doc/doc", params=params)
response.raise_for_status()
data = response.json()
if "articles" in data:
articles = data["articles"]
# Extract sentiment and key metrics
processed_data = []
for article in articles:
processed_data.append(
{
"date": article.get("seendate", ""),
"url": article.get("url", ""),
"domain": article.get("domain", ""),
"language": article.get("language", ""),
"title": article.get("title", ""),
"tone": float(article.get("tone", 0)),
"social_image_shares": int(article.get("socialimage", 0)),
"country": article.get("sourcecountry", ""),
"query": query,
"data_source": "GDELT",
}
)
result = pd.DataFrame(processed_data)
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Failed to fetch GDELT data: {e}")
return pd.DataFrame()
class ACLEDConnector(DataConnector):
"""
ACLED (Armed Conflict Location & Event Data) Connector
Access: https://acleddata.com/
Purpose: Political unrest, protests, and instability indicators
"""
BASE_URL = "https://api.acleddata.com/acled/read"
def __init__(self, api_key: Optional[str] = None, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"):
super().__init__(cache_dir)
self.api_key = api_key # ACLED requires API key for full access
def fetch_data(
self,
countries: List[str],
start_date: str,
end_date: str,
event_types: Optional[List[str]] = None,
) -> pd.DataFrame:
"""
Fetch ACLED conflict and protest data
Args:
countries: Country names or codes
start_date: Start date (YYYY-MM-DD)
end_date: End date (YYYY-MM-DD)
event_types: Types of events to fetch
"""
if event_types is None:
event_types = ["Protests", "Riots", "Strategic developments"]
cache_key = f"acled_{'-'.join(countries)}_{start_date}_{end_date}"
cached_data = self.load_cached_data(cache_key, max_age_hours=12)
if cached_data is not None:
return cached_data
logger.info(f"Fetching ACLED data for {len(countries)} countries")
try:
params = {
"country": "|".join(countries),
"event_date": f"{start_date}|{end_date}",
"event_type": "|".join(event_types),
"format": "json",
"limit": 10000,
}
if self.api_key:
params["key"] = self.api_key
response = self.session.get(self.BASE_URL, params=params)
response.raise_for_status()
data = response.json()
if "data" in data:
result = pd.DataFrame(data["data"])
self.cache_data(result, cache_key)
return result
except Exception as e:
logger.error(f"Failed to fetch ACLED data: {e}")
return pd.DataFrame()
class DataIntegrationManager:
"""
Central manager for all data connectors
Provides unified interface for accessing multiple data sources
"""
def __init__(self, cache_dir: str = "data_cache"):
self.cache_dir = cache_dir
# Initialize connectors
self.connectors = {
"comtrade": UNComtradeConnector(cache_dir),
"wits": WITSConnector(cache_dir),
"oecd_tiva": OECDTiVAConnector(cache_dir),
"worldbank": WorldBankConnector(cache_dir),
"gdelt": GDELTConnector(cache_dir),
"acled": ACLEDConnector(cache_dir=cache_dir),
}
def fetch_comprehensive_dataset(
self,
countries: List[str],
hs_codes: List[str],
years: List[int],
tariff_query: str = "tariff trade",
) -> Dict[str, pd.DataFrame]:
"""
Fetch comprehensive dataset from all sources for TIPM analysis
Args:
countries: List of country codes
hs_codes: List of HS product codes
years: List of years to analyze
tariff_query: Query for news/sentiment data
"""
logger.info("Fetching comprehensive dataset from all sources...")
datasets = {}
try:
# 1. Trade flows (UN Comtrade)
logger.info("Fetching trade flow data...")
datasets["trade_flows"] = self.connectors["comtrade"].fetch_data(
countries=countries, hs_codes=hs_codes, years=years
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch trade flows: {e}")
datasets["trade_flows"] = pd.DataFrame()
try:
# 2. Tariff rates (WITS)
logger.info("Fetching tariff data...")
datasets["tariff_rates"] = self.connectors["wits"].fetch_data(
countries=countries, years=years, products=hs_codes
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch tariff rates: {e}")
datasets["tariff_rates"] = pd.DataFrame()
try:
# 3. Value chain data (OECD TiVA)
logger.info("Fetching value chain data...")
datasets["value_chains"] = self.connectors["oecd_tiva"].fetch_data(
countries=countries, years=years
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch value chain data: {e}")
datasets["value_chains"] = pd.DataFrame()
try:
# 4. Economic indicators (World Bank)
logger.info("Fetching economic indicators...")
wb_indicators = [
"FP.CPI.TOTL", # CPI
"NY.GDP.MKTP.CD", # GDP
"SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS", # Unemployment
"NE.TRD.GNFS.ZS", # Trade as % of GDP
]
datasets["economic_indicators"] = self.connectors["worldbank"].fetch_data(
countries=countries, indicators=wb_indicators, years=years
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch economic indicators: {e}")
datasets["economic_indicators"] = pd.DataFrame()
try:
# 5. News sentiment (GDELT)
logger.info("Fetching news sentiment...")
start_date = f"{min(years)}0101"
end_date = f"{max(years)}1231"
datasets["news_sentiment"] = self.connectors["gdelt"].fetch_data(
query=tariff_query,
start_date=start_date,
end_date=end_date,
countries=countries,
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch news sentiment: {e}")
datasets["news_sentiment"] = pd.DataFrame()
try:
# 6. Political events (ACLED)
logger.info("Fetching political events...")
datasets["political_events"] = self.connectors["acled"].fetch_data(
countries=countries,
start_date=f"{min(years)}-01-01",
end_date=f"{max(years)}-12-31",
)
except Exception as e:
logger.warning(f"Failed to fetch political events: {e}")
datasets["political_events"] = pd.DataFrame()
# Summary
logger.info("Data fetching completed:")
for name, df in datasets.items():
logger.info(f" {name}: {len(df)} records")
return datasets
# Example usage and testing
if __name__ == "__main__":
# Initialize data manager
data_manager = DataIntegrationManager()
# Test with US-China electronics trade
test_countries = ["840", "156"] # US, China (UN codes)
test_hs_codes = ["8517", "8471"] # Telecom equipment, computers
test_years = [2022, 2023]
# Fetch comprehensive dataset
datasets = data_manager.fetch_comprehensive_dataset(
countries=test_countries,
hs_codes=test_hs_codes,
years=test_years,
tariff_query="China tariff electronics trade war",
)
# Display results
print("\n๐ Real Data Integration Test Results:")
print("=" * 50)
for name, df in datasets.items():
print(f"\n๐ {name.replace('_', ' ').title()}:")
if not df.empty:
print(f" Records: {len(df)}")
print(f" Columns: {list(df.columns)}")
if len(df) > 0:
print(f" Sample: {df.iloc[0].to_dict()}")
else:
print(" No data available")
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