### A Pluto.jl notebook ###
# v0.15.1

using Markdown
using InteractiveUtils

# ╔═╡ 0d09e2e8-f6fd-11eb-0ce7-995afaa52c9f
using CSV

# ╔═╡ ba0d30d4-e44a-46a1-99b1-0c7cfd127398
using Dates

# ╔═╡ 4aeb90c8-73ac-4c04-a32c-b41db6951ed6
using Plots

# ╔═╡ b17e0e48-f25c-421a-bde6-0003dde62d46
md"""
The code in this notebook accompanies the essay "Riding the Covid Coaster," by Brian Hayes, published 17 August 2021 at [http://bit-player.org/2021/riding-the-covid-coaster](http://bit-player.org/2021/riding-the-covid-coaster). It explores various approaches to understanding the trajectory of the Covid-19 epidemic in the United States during its first 18 months.

This is one of three notebooks with code for the project:

* covidcurve.jl covers the reconstruction of the Covid-19 incidence curve and attempts to apply Fourier methods, looking for periodic signals in the data. Also a look at time derivatives. Includes code for figures 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 16.

* SIR_model.jl deals with exponential growth in epidemic processes, and models based on that idea. Figures 11, 13, 14, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 23, 24.

* us_states_data.jl breaks down the national Covid data set into records for inividual states and regions. Code for Figure 22.

The underlying data for most of this work was collected and curated by _The New York Times_. The archive is available at [https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data](https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data). The version I used in the code below, including data from 21 January 2020 through 20 July 2021, is commit c3ab8c1beba1f4728d284c7b1e58d7074254aff8. You can access the identical set of files at [https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/tree/c3ab8c1beba1f4728d284c7b1e58d7074254aff8](https://github.com/nytimes/covid-19-data/tree/c3ab8c1beba1f4728d284c7b1e58d7074254aff8). But you should probably get the most up-to-date version, with the latest data.

Within the _Times_ archive I have used the files within a folder named "rolling-averages," which has daily new cases rather than cumulative cases, and has precomputed the seven-day trailing average of the data sequences.

The code is written in the [Julia programming language](https://julialang.org/) and organized in [Pluto.jl notebooks](https://github.com/fonsp/Pluto.jl).

Instructions:

1. You'll need a working installation of Julia with the Pluto.jl package installed. Version 0.15.1 or later is needed to automatically find, load, and install packages.

2. In a terminal window, cd to the directory where you have stored this file. Start Julia, then at the "julia>" prompt, type "using Pluto; Pluto.run('covidcurve.jl')".

3. A browser window will open with this notebook displayed. Pluto will then download all the necessary packages and their dependencies, and will evaluate the cells in the proper order. This can take several minutes, and it can rev up your CPU fan. But then you're done.

"""

# ╔═╡ 0dc3dd14-a874-4974-b9f9-4426c0c6b81f
# Load data from Times archive on state-by-state case numbers.
# Each row gives the number of new cases on a single date for a
# single state. If a state did not report cases on a given date,
# no entry for that state appears. In the period from 2020-01-21
# to 2021-07-20 there are 27,789 entries.


state_data = CSV.File("covid-19-data/rolling-averages/us-states.csv"; select = [:date, :state, :cases_avg])

# ╔═╡ 85ab8b6e-dbf8-49ad-9dcc-1174e2d560eb
md"""
#### Data wrangling

The chronological list is not exactly handy for analysis. What we really want is a matrix with columns indexed by state and rows by date.

I tried doing this the right way, with the DataFrames package, but I couldn't get it to work. That's probably my fault, and at some point I must figure out where I went wrong. Meanwhile I've cobbled together something that works.
"""

# ╔═╡ 918efb32-b482-45f4-ae95-6939a7a22182
# Extract the list of state names from the archive, remove duplicates ("Set"),
# convert to an array ("collect") and alphabetize ("sort").

state_names = sort(collect(Set(state_data.state)))

# ╔═╡ cdcb9cd4-6773-4214-9888-b8a21df59a64
md"""
#### Define regions.

I started out with 10 regions but then did some conolidating to get it down to six.
"""

# ╔═╡ 2b828285-a134-4767-b269-561dc7192f72
new_england = ["Connecticut", "Maine", "Massachusetts", "New Hampshire", "Rhode Island", "Vermont"]

# ╔═╡ 751cbc3d-66b9-41cc-8f71-62f52b18e3f3
mid_atlantic = ["Delaware", "District of Columbia", "Maryland", "New Jersey", "New York", "Pennsylvania"]

# ╔═╡ 659eb69a-8da8-4efd-9b10-4b65c86607be
southeast = ["Florida", "Georgia", "North Carolina", "South Carolina", "Tennessee", "Virginia", "West Virginia"]

# ╔═╡ dcef4817-d70a-48ca-a244-3e5df02920f0
midwest = ["Illinois", "Indiana", "Kentucky", "Michigan", "Missouri", "Ohio", "Wisconsin"]

# ╔═╡ 0411bc2d-51a0-49e1-99d9-d01b488e01c6
south_central = ["Alabama", "Arkansas", "Louisiana", "Mississippi"]

# ╔═╡ 31baf162-0876-436d-b488-10ce92422b82
great_plains = ["Iowa", "Kansas", "Minnesota", "Nebraska", "North Dakota", "Oklahoma", "South Dakota"]

# ╔═╡ 699924a6-3ce4-4255-8a76-e2caf758af96
rocky_mountains = ["Colorado", "Idaho", "Montana", "Utah", "Wyoming"]

# ╔═╡ cb18cf99-5b6b-4c0c-967c-be8237744d7d
southwest = ["Arizona", "Nevada", "New Mexico", "Texas"]

# ╔═╡ 926bacfb-5017-40e7-a3c7-30d5436a3db2
california = ["California"]

# ╔═╡ 7ecff87e-f071-4fab-b0e8-9d66b506c1e2
cascadia = ["Oregon", "Washington"]

# ╔═╡ a1664656-fce9-4e1c-aa84-959b74510dbb
md"""
The six regions are midwest and southwest (both defined above), plus northeast, south, plains and mountains, and westcoast (all defined below by combining smaller categories).
"""

# ╔═╡ 4174e65a-a212-42fb-9a26-b0e958a55081
northeast = vcat(new_england, mid_atlantic)

# ╔═╡ 8a04eead-c372-4821-b182-207659c8695b
south = vcat(southeast, south_central)

# ╔═╡ 60d0fa98-c255-4ad4-8f06-43b309ac635d
plains_and_mountains = vcat(great_plains, rocky_mountains)

# ╔═╡ 97cafd6c-7652-4663-8f4b-15d9486184d1
westcoast = vcat(california, cascadia)

# ╔═╡ 094ecc07-0a40-45e9-a7fe-c992bc526fb3
md"""
#### Building the data matrix
"""

# ╔═╡ f011d6f9-5e10-4822-9eea-b980d5c9312b
# Given a state name, we need to be able to retrieve the corresponding
# data, which will be indexed by the state's position in the alphabetized
# list. So let's build a dictionary that maps a name to an array index.

state_name_dict = Dict([(n, findfirst(x->x==n, state_names)) for n in state_names])

# ╔═╡ bd35653b-f47e-4c1a-adfc-21d42efc8211
# Rows of the matrix correspond to dates, so we need the means to convert
# a given date to an integer index into the array.

start_date = minimum(state_data.date)

# ╔═╡ c9f463c2-a4d1-4fd8-9cf9-82e1f06fb4ed
end_date = maximum(state_data.date)

# ╔═╡ ab170dda-4d4b-41aa-a4c1-70ea9f9bd0f7
function date_to_index(d)
	Dates.value(d) - Dates.value(start_date) + 1
end

# ╔═╡ a360dacc-4303-4468-ad6c-cfeb7b9970c4
# The data matrix has 547 rows (the number of dates in the data set,
# from 2020-01-21 through 2021-07-20) and 55 rows (the number of "states").
# The matrix entries are floating-point numbers representing averaged
# case counts.

# The strategy here is to first create a matrix with all 0.0 entries,
# then loop through the 27,789 entries in the data archive, filling in
# entries at the appropriate row and column address. Date/state combinations
# for which we have no data retain their 0.0 values.

state_data_matrix =
begin
	m = zeros(Float64, date_to_index(end_date), length(state_names))
	for record in state_data
		row = date_to_index(record.date)
		col = state_name_dict[record.state]
		val = record.cases_avg
		m[row, col] = val
	end
	m
end	

# ╔═╡ 52cfce07-5819-4e95-b656-fe7ccb751302
md"""
#### Draw the figure

(The labeling of most-prominent states was done by hand.)
"""

# ╔═╡ 0914f935-6d03-4601-9668-4097059ffd73
# savefig(regions_curves, "regions_curves.svg")

# ╔═╡ cc7b1c43-8ee1-4ed6-a758-25f796e92188
monthly_xticks = ([Dates.value(Date(2020,1,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,2,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,3,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,4,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,5,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,6,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,7,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,8,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,9,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,10,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,11,1)), Dates.value(Date(2020,12,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,1,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,2,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,3,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,4,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,5,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,6,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,7,1)), ], ["J", "F", "M", "A", "M", "J", "J", "A", "S", "O", "N", "D", "J", "F", "M", "A", "M", "J", "J"])

# ╔═╡ e8609be6-cc0c-4eed-8e2f-df3e7d7cf26b
# Figure 22

regions_curves = 
plot([Dates.value(Date(2020,1,21)):Dates.value(Date(2021,7,20))], 				                       [state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in northeast]],
		17000 .+ state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in midwest]],
		30000 .+ state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in plains_and_mountains]],
		40000 .+ state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in south]],
		60000 .+ state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in southwest]],
		85000 .+ state_data_matrix[:, [state_name_dict[st] for st in westcoast]]],
	size = (640, 800),
	legend = false,
	ylims = [0, 140000],
	xlims = [Dates.value(Date(2020,1,1)), Dates.value(Date(2021,7,31))],
	fontfamily = "helvetica",
	guidefontsize = 12,
	tickfontsize = 11,
	yticks = false,
	xticks = monthly_xticks,
	xlabel = "     2020                                       2021",
	framestyle = :axis,
	linewidth = 0.75,
	linecolor = "#dd4411",
	widen = true)

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uuid = "c8e1da08-722c-5040-9ed9-7db0dc04731e"
version = "1.3.0"

[[IteratorInterfaceExtensions]]
git-tree-sha1 = "a3f24677c21f5bbe9d2a714f95dcd58337fb2856"
uuid = "82899510-4779-5014-852e-03e436cf321d"
version = "1.0.0"

[[JLLWrappers]]
deps = ["Preferences"]
git-tree-sha1 = "642a199af8b68253517b80bd3bfd17eb4e84df6e"
uuid = "692b3bcd-3c85-4b1f-b108-f13ce0eb3210"
version = "1.3.0"

[[JSON]]
deps = ["Dates", "Mmap", "Parsers", "Unicode"]
git-tree-sha1 = "8076680b162ada2a031f707ac7b4953e30667a37"
uuid = "682c06a0-de6a-54ab-a142-c8b1cf79cde6"
version = "0.21.2"

[[JpegTurbo_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "d735490ac75c5cb9f1b00d8b5509c11984dc6943"
uuid = "aacddb02-875f-59d6-b918-886e6ef4fbf8"
version = "2.1.0+0"

[[LAME_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "f6250b16881adf048549549fba48b1161acdac8c"
uuid = "c1c5ebd0-6772-5130-a774-d5fcae4a789d"
version = "3.100.1+0"

[[LZO_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "e5b909bcf985c5e2605737d2ce278ed791b89be6"
uuid = "dd4b983a-f0e5-5f8d-a1b7-129d4a5fb1ac"
version = "2.10.1+0"

[[LaTeXStrings]]
git-tree-sha1 = "c7f1c695e06c01b95a67f0cd1d34994f3e7db104"
uuid = "b964fa9f-0449-5b57-a5c2-d3ea65f4040f"
version = "1.2.1"

[[Latexify]]
deps = ["Formatting", "InteractiveUtils", "LaTeXStrings", "MacroTools", "Markdown", "Printf", "Requires"]
git-tree-sha1 = "a4b12a1bd2ebade87891ab7e36fdbce582301a92"
uuid = "23fbe1c1-3f47-55db-b15f-69d7ec21a316"
version = "0.15.6"

[[LibCURL]]
deps = ["LibCURL_jll", "MozillaCACerts_jll"]
uuid = "b27032c2-a3e7-50c8-80cd-2d36dbcbfd21"

[[LibCURL_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "LibSSH2_jll", "Libdl", "MbedTLS_jll", "Zlib_jll", "nghttp2_jll"]
uuid = "deac9b47-8bc7-5906-a0fe-35ac56dc84c0"

[[LibGit2]]
deps = ["Base64", "NetworkOptions", "Printf", "SHA"]
uuid = "76f85450-5226-5b5a-8eaa-529ad045b433"

[[LibSSH2_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Libdl", "MbedTLS_jll"]
uuid = "29816b5a-b9ab-546f-933c-edad1886dfa8"

[[LibVPX_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "12ee7e23fa4d18361e7c2cde8f8337d4c3101bc7"
uuid = "dd192d2f-8180-539f-9fb4-cc70b1dcf69a"
version = "1.10.0+0"

[[Libdl]]
uuid = "8f399da3-3557-5675-b5ff-fb832c97cbdb"

[[Libffi_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "761a393aeccd6aa92ec3515e428c26bf99575b3b"
uuid = "e9f186c6-92d2-5b65-8a66-fee21dc1b490"
version = "3.2.2+0"

[[Libgcrypt_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Libgpg_error_jll", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "64613c82a59c120435c067c2b809fc61cf5166ae"
uuid = "d4300ac3-e22c-5743-9152-c294e39db1e4"
version = "1.8.7+0"

[[Libglvnd_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libX11_jll", "Xorg_libXext_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "7739f837d6447403596a75d19ed01fd08d6f56bf"
uuid = "7e76a0d4-f3c7-5321-8279-8d96eeed0f29"
version = "1.3.0+3"

[[Libgpg_error_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "c333716e46366857753e273ce6a69ee0945a6db9"
uuid = "7add5ba3-2f88-524e-9cd5-f83b8a55f7b8"
version = "1.42.0+0"

[[Libiconv_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "42b62845d70a619f063a7da093d995ec8e15e778"
uuid = "94ce4f54-9a6c-5748-9c1c-f9c7231a4531"
version = "1.16.1+1"

[[Libmount_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "9c30530bf0effd46e15e0fdcf2b8636e78cbbd73"
uuid = "4b2f31a3-9ecc-558c-b454-b3730dcb73e9"
version = "2.35.0+0"

[[Libtiff_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "JpegTurbo_jll", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll", "Zstd_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "340e257aada13f95f98ee352d316c3bed37c8ab9"
uuid = "89763e89-9b03-5906-acba-b20f662cd828"
version = "4.3.0+0"

[[Libuuid_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "7f3efec06033682db852f8b3bc3c1d2b0a0ab066"
uuid = "38a345b3-de98-5d2b-a5d3-14cd9215e700"
version = "2.36.0+0"

[[LinearAlgebra]]
deps = ["Libdl"]
uuid = "37e2e46d-f89d-539d-b4ee-838fcccc9c8e"

[[Logging]]
uuid = "56ddb016-857b-54e1-b83d-db4d58db5568"

[[MacroTools]]
deps = ["Markdown", "Random"]
git-tree-sha1 = "0fb723cd8c45858c22169b2e42269e53271a6df7"
uuid = "1914dd2f-81c6-5fcd-8719-6d5c9610ff09"
version = "0.5.7"

[[Markdown]]
deps = ["Base64"]
uuid = "d6f4376e-aef5-505a-96c1-9c027394607a"

[[MbedTLS]]
deps = ["Dates", "MbedTLS_jll", "Random", "Sockets"]
git-tree-sha1 = "1c38e51c3d08ef2278062ebceade0e46cefc96fe"
uuid = "739be429-bea8-5141-9913-cc70e7f3736d"
version = "1.0.3"

[[MbedTLS_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Libdl"]
uuid = "c8ffd9c3-330d-5841-b78e-0817d7145fa1"

[[Measures]]
git-tree-sha1 = "e498ddeee6f9fdb4551ce855a46f54dbd900245f"
uuid = "442fdcdd-2543-5da2-b0f3-8c86c306513e"
version = "0.3.1"

[[Missings]]
deps = ["DataAPI"]
git-tree-sha1 = "4ea90bd5d3985ae1f9a908bd4500ae88921c5ce7"
uuid = "e1d29d7a-bbdc-5cf2-9ac0-f12de2c33e28"
version = "1.0.0"

[[Mmap]]
uuid = "a63ad114-7e13-5084-954f-fe012c677804"

[[MozillaCACerts_jll]]
uuid = "14a3606d-f60d-562e-9121-12d972cd8159"

[[NaNMath]]
git-tree-sha1 = "bfe47e760d60b82b66b61d2d44128b62e3a369fb"
uuid = "77ba4419-2d1f-58cd-9bb1-8ffee604a2e3"
version = "0.3.5"

[[NetworkOptions]]
uuid = "ca575930-c2e3-43a9-ace4-1e988b2c1908"

[[Ogg_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "7937eda4681660b4d6aeeecc2f7e1c81c8ee4e2f"
uuid = "e7412a2a-1a6e-54c0-be00-318e2571c051"
version = "1.3.5+0"

[[OpenSSL_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "15003dcb7d8db3c6c857fda14891a539a8f2705a"
uuid = "458c3c95-2e84-50aa-8efc-19380b2a3a95"
version = "1.1.10+0"

[[Opus_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "51a08fb14ec28da2ec7a927c4337e4332c2a4720"
uuid = "91d4177d-7536-5919-b921-800302f37372"
version = "1.3.2+0"

[[OrderedCollections]]
git-tree-sha1 = "85f8e6578bf1f9ee0d11e7bb1b1456435479d47c"
uuid = "bac558e1-5e72-5ebc-8fee-abe8a469f55d"
version = "1.4.1"

[[PCRE_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "b2a7af664e098055a7529ad1a900ded962bca488"
uuid = "2f80f16e-611a-54ab-bc61-aa92de5b98fc"
version = "8.44.0+0"

[[Parsers]]
deps = ["Dates"]
git-tree-sha1 = "bfd7d8c7fd87f04543810d9cbd3995972236ba1b"
uuid = "69de0a69-1ddd-5017-9359-2bf0b02dc9f0"
version = "1.1.2"

[[Pixman_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "b4f5d02549a10e20780a24fce72bea96b6329e29"
uuid = "30392449-352a-5448-841d-b1acce4e97dc"
version = "0.40.1+0"

[[Pkg]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Dates", "Downloads", "LibGit2", "Libdl", "Logging", "Markdown", "Printf", "REPL", "Random", "SHA", "Serialization", "TOML", "Tar", "UUIDs", "p7zip_jll"]
uuid = "44cfe95a-1eb2-52ea-b672-e2afdf69b78f"

[[PlotThemes]]
deps = ["PlotUtils", "Requires", "Statistics"]
git-tree-sha1 = "a3a964ce9dc7898193536002a6dd892b1b5a6f1d"
uuid = "ccf2f8ad-2431-5c83-bf29-c5338b663b6a"
version = "2.0.1"

[[PlotUtils]]
deps = ["ColorSchemes", "Colors", "Dates", "Printf", "Random", "Reexport", "Statistics"]
git-tree-sha1 = "501c20a63a34ac1d015d5304da0e645f42d91c9f"
uuid = "995b91a9-d308-5afd-9ec6-746e21dbc043"
version = "1.0.11"

[[Plots]]
deps = ["Base64", "Contour", "Dates", "FFMPEG", "FixedPointNumbers", "GR", "GeometryBasics", "JSON", "Latexify", "LinearAlgebra", "Measures", "NaNMath", "PlotThemes", "PlotUtils", "Printf", "REPL", "Random", "RecipesBase", "RecipesPipeline", "Reexport", "Requires", "Scratch", "Showoff", "SparseArrays", "Statistics", "StatsBase", "UUIDs"]
git-tree-sha1 = "e39bea10478c6aff5495ab522517fae5134b40e3"
uuid = "91a5bcdd-55d7-5caf-9e0b-520d859cae80"
version = "1.20.0"

[[PooledArrays]]
deps = ["DataAPI", "Future"]
git-tree-sha1 = "cde4ce9d6f33219465b55162811d8de8139c0414"
uuid = "2dfb63ee-cc39-5dd5-95bd-886bf059d720"
version = "1.2.1"

[[Preferences]]
deps = ["TOML"]
git-tree-sha1 = "00cfd92944ca9c760982747e9a1d0d5d86ab1e5a"
uuid = "21216c6a-2e73-6563-6e65-726566657250"
version = "1.2.2"

[[Printf]]
deps = ["Unicode"]
uuid = "de0858da-6303-5e67-8744-51eddeeeb8d7"

[[Qt5Base_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "CompilerSupportLibraries_jll", "Fontconfig_jll", "Glib_jll", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Libglvnd_jll", "OpenSSL_jll", "Pkg", "Xorg_libXext_jll", "Xorg_libxcb_jll", "Xorg_xcb_util_image_jll", "Xorg_xcb_util_keysyms_jll", "Xorg_xcb_util_renderutil_jll", "Xorg_xcb_util_wm_jll", "Zlib_jll", "xkbcommon_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "ad368663a5e20dbb8d6dc2fddeefe4dae0781ae8"
uuid = "ea2cea3b-5b76-57ae-a6ef-0a8af62496e1"
version = "5.15.3+0"

[[REPL]]
deps = ["InteractiveUtils", "Markdown", "Sockets", "Unicode"]
uuid = "3fa0cd96-eef1-5676-8a61-b3b8758bbffb"

[[Random]]
deps = ["Serialization"]
uuid = "9a3f8284-a2c9-5f02-9a11-845980a1fd5c"

[[RecipesBase]]
git-tree-sha1 = "b3fb709f3c97bfc6e948be68beeecb55a0b340ae"
uuid = "3cdcf5f2-1ef4-517c-9805-6587b60abb01"
version = "1.1.1"

[[RecipesPipeline]]
deps = ["Dates", "NaNMath", "PlotUtils", "RecipesBase"]
git-tree-sha1 = "2a7a2469ed5d94a98dea0e85c46fa653d76be0cd"
uuid = "01d81517-befc-4cb6-b9ec-a95719d0359c"
version = "0.3.4"

[[Reexport]]
git-tree-sha1 = "5f6c21241f0f655da3952fd60aa18477cf96c220"
uuid = "189a3867-3050-52da-a836-e630ba90ab69"
version = "1.1.0"

[[Requires]]
deps = ["UUIDs"]
git-tree-sha1 = "4036a3bd08ac7e968e27c203d45f5fff15020621"
uuid = "ae029012-a4dd-5104-9daa-d747884805df"
version = "1.1.3"

[[SHA]]
uuid = "ea8e919c-243c-51af-8825-aaa63cd721ce"

[[Scratch]]
deps = ["Dates"]
git-tree-sha1 = "0b4b7f1393cff97c33891da2a0bf69c6ed241fda"
uuid = "6c6a2e73-6563-6170-7368-637461726353"
version = "1.1.0"

[[SentinelArrays]]
deps = ["Dates", "Random"]
git-tree-sha1 = "a3a337914a035b2d59c9cbe7f1a38aaba1265b02"
uuid = "91c51154-3ec4-41a3-a24f-3f23e20d615c"
version = "1.3.6"

[[Serialization]]
uuid = "9e88b42a-f829-5b0c-bbe9-9e923198166b"

[[SharedArrays]]
deps = ["Distributed", "Mmap", "Random", "Serialization"]
uuid = "1a1011a3-84de-559e-8e89-a11a2f7dc383"

[[Showoff]]
deps = ["Dates", "Grisu"]
git-tree-sha1 = "91eddf657aca81df9ae6ceb20b959ae5653ad1de"
uuid = "992d4aef-0814-514b-bc4d-f2e9a6c4116f"
version = "1.0.3"

[[Sockets]]
uuid = "6462fe0b-24de-5631-8697-dd941f90decc"

[[SortingAlgorithms]]
deps = ["DataStructures"]
git-tree-sha1 = "b3363d7460f7d098ca0912c69b082f75625d7508"
uuid = "a2af1166-a08f-5f64-846c-94a0d3cef48c"
version = "1.0.1"

[[SparseArrays]]
deps = ["LinearAlgebra", "Random"]
uuid = "2f01184e-e22b-5df5-ae63-d93ebab69eaf"

[[StaticArrays]]
deps = ["LinearAlgebra", "Random", "Statistics"]
git-tree-sha1 = "b28f39450421d07d89ab5d126fd15e5246350e8a"
uuid = "90137ffa-7385-5640-81b9-e52037218182"
version = "1.2.11"

[[Statistics]]
deps = ["LinearAlgebra", "SparseArrays"]
uuid = "10745b16-79ce-11e8-11f9-7d13ad32a3b2"

[[StatsAPI]]
git-tree-sha1 = "1958272568dc176a1d881acb797beb909c785510"
uuid = "82ae8749-77ed-4fe6-ae5f-f523153014b0"
version = "1.0.0"

[[StatsBase]]
deps = ["DataAPI", "DataStructures", "LinearAlgebra", "Missings", "Printf", "Random", "SortingAlgorithms", "SparseArrays", "Statistics", "StatsAPI"]
git-tree-sha1 = "fed1ec1e65749c4d96fc20dd13bea72b55457e62"
uuid = "2913bbd2-ae8a-5f71-8c99-4fb6c76f3a91"
version = "0.33.9"

[[StructArrays]]
deps = ["Adapt", "DataAPI", "StaticArrays", "Tables"]
git-tree-sha1 = "000e168f5cc9aded17b6999a560b7c11dda69095"
uuid = "09ab397b-f2b6-538f-b94a-2f83cf4a842a"
version = "0.6.0"

[[TOML]]
deps = ["Dates"]
uuid = "fa267f1f-6049-4f14-aa54-33bafae1ed76"

[[TableTraits]]
deps = ["IteratorInterfaceExtensions"]
git-tree-sha1 = "c06b2f539df1c6efa794486abfb6ed2022561a39"
uuid = "3783bdb8-4a98-5b6b-af9a-565f29a5fe9c"
version = "1.0.1"

[[Tables]]
deps = ["DataAPI", "DataValueInterfaces", "IteratorInterfaceExtensions", "LinearAlgebra", "TableTraits", "Test"]
git-tree-sha1 = "d0c690d37c73aeb5ca063056283fde5585a41710"
uuid = "bd369af6-aec1-5ad0-b16a-f7cc5008161c"
version = "1.5.0"

[[Tar]]
deps = ["ArgTools", "SHA"]
uuid = "a4e569a6-e804-4fa4-b0f3-eef7a1d5b13e"

[[Test]]
deps = ["InteractiveUtils", "Logging", "Random", "Serialization"]
uuid = "8dfed614-e22c-5e08-85e1-65c5234f0b40"

[[URIs]]
git-tree-sha1 = "97bbe755a53fe859669cd907f2d96aee8d2c1355"
uuid = "5c2747f8-b7ea-4ff2-ba2e-563bfd36b1d4"
version = "1.3.0"

[[UUIDs]]
deps = ["Random", "SHA"]
uuid = "cf7118a7-6976-5b1a-9a39-7adc72f591a4"

[[Unicode]]
uuid = "4ec0a83e-493e-50e2-b9ac-8f72acf5a8f5"

[[Wayland_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Expat_jll", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Libffi_jll", "Pkg", "XML2_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "3e61f0b86f90dacb0bc0e73a0c5a83f6a8636e23"
uuid = "a2964d1f-97da-50d4-b82a-358c7fce9d89"
version = "1.19.0+0"

[[Wayland_protocols_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Wayland_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "2839f1c1296940218e35df0bbb220f2a79686670"
uuid = "2381bf8a-dfd0-557d-9999-79630e7b1b91"
version = "1.18.0+4"

[[XML2_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Libiconv_jll", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "1acf5bdf07aa0907e0a37d3718bb88d4b687b74a"
uuid = "02c8fc9c-b97f-50b9-bbe4-9be30ff0a78a"
version = "2.9.12+0"

[[XSLT_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Libgcrypt_jll", "Libgpg_error_jll", "Libiconv_jll", "Pkg", "XML2_jll", "Zlib_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "91844873c4085240b95e795f692c4cec4d805f8a"
uuid = "aed1982a-8fda-507f-9586-7b0439959a61"
version = "1.1.34+0"

[[Xorg_libX11_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libxcb_jll", "Xorg_xtrans_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "5be649d550f3f4b95308bf0183b82e2582876527"
uuid = "4f6342f7-b3d2-589e-9d20-edeb45f2b2bc"
version = "1.6.9+4"

[[Xorg_libXau_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "4e490d5c960c314f33885790ed410ff3a94ce67e"
uuid = "0c0b7dd1-d40b-584c-a123-a41640f87eec"
version = "1.0.9+4"

[[Xorg_libXcursor_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libXfixes_jll", "Xorg_libXrender_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "12e0eb3bc634fa2080c1c37fccf56f7c22989afd"
uuid = "935fb764-8cf2-53bf-bb30-45bb1f8bf724"
version = "1.2.0+4"

[[Xorg_libXdmcp_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "4fe47bd2247248125c428978740e18a681372dd4"
uuid = "a3789734-cfe1-5b06-b2d0-1dd0d9d62d05"
version = "1.1.3+4"

[[Xorg_libXext_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libX11_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "b7c0aa8c376b31e4852b360222848637f481f8c3"
uuid = "1082639a-0dae-5f34-9b06-72781eeb8cb3"
version = "1.3.4+4"

[[Xorg_libXfixes_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libX11_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "0e0dc7431e7a0587559f9294aeec269471c991a4"
uuid = "d091e8ba-531a-589c-9de9-94069b037ed8"
version = "5.0.3+4"

[[Xorg_libXi_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libXext_jll", "Xorg_libXfixes_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "89b52bc2160aadc84d707093930ef0bffa641246"
uuid = "a51aa0fd-4e3c-5386-b890-e753decda492"
version = "1.7.10+4"

[[Xorg_libXinerama_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libXext_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "26be8b1c342929259317d8b9f7b53bf2bb73b123"
uuid = "d1454406-59df-5ea1-beac-c340f2130bc3"
version = "1.1.4+4"

[[Xorg_libXrandr_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libXext_jll", "Xorg_libXrender_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "34cea83cb726fb58f325887bf0612c6b3fb17631"
uuid = "ec84b674-ba8e-5d96-8ba1-2a689ba10484"
version = "1.5.2+4"

[[Xorg_libXrender_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libX11_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "19560f30fd49f4d4efbe7002a1037f8c43d43b96"
uuid = "ea2f1a96-1ddc-540d-b46f-429655e07cfa"
version = "0.9.10+4"

[[Xorg_libpthread_stubs_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "6783737e45d3c59a4a4c4091f5f88cdcf0908cbb"
uuid = "14d82f49-176c-5ed1-bb49-ad3f5cbd8c74"
version = "0.1.0+3"

[[Xorg_libxcb_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "XSLT_jll", "Xorg_libXau_jll", "Xorg_libXdmcp_jll", "Xorg_libpthread_stubs_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "daf17f441228e7a3833846cd048892861cff16d6"
uuid = "c7cfdc94-dc32-55de-ac96-5a1b8d977c5b"
version = "1.13.0+3"

[[Xorg_libxkbfile_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libX11_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "926af861744212db0eb001d9e40b5d16292080b2"
uuid = "cc61e674-0454-545c-8b26-ed2c68acab7a"
version = "1.1.0+4"

[[Xorg_xcb_util_image_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "0fab0a40349ba1cba2c1da699243396ff8e94b97"
uuid = "12413925-8142-5f55-bb0e-6d7ca50bb09b"
version = "0.4.0+1"

[[Xorg_xcb_util_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libxcb_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "e7fd7b2881fa2eaa72717420894d3938177862d1"
uuid = "2def613f-5ad1-5310-b15b-b15d46f528f5"
version = "0.4.0+1"

[[Xorg_xcb_util_keysyms_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "d1151e2c45a544f32441a567d1690e701ec89b00"
uuid = "975044d2-76e6-5fbe-bf08-97ce7c6574c7"
version = "0.4.0+1"

[[Xorg_xcb_util_renderutil_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "dfd7a8f38d4613b6a575253b3174dd991ca6183e"
uuid = "0d47668e-0667-5a69-a72c-f761630bfb7e"
version = "0.3.9+1"

[[Xorg_xcb_util_wm_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xcb_util_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "e78d10aab01a4a154142c5006ed44fd9e8e31b67"
uuid = "c22f9ab0-d5fe-5066-847c-f4bb1cd4e361"
version = "0.4.1+1"

[[Xorg_xkbcomp_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_libxkbfile_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "4bcbf660f6c2e714f87e960a171b119d06ee163b"
uuid = "35661453-b289-5fab-8a00-3d9160c6a3a4"
version = "1.4.2+4"

[[Xorg_xkeyboard_config_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Xorg_xkbcomp_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "5c8424f8a67c3f2209646d4425f3d415fee5931d"
uuid = "33bec58e-1273-512f-9401-5d533626f822"
version = "2.27.0+4"

[[Xorg_xtrans_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "79c31e7844f6ecf779705fbc12146eb190b7d845"
uuid = "c5fb5394-a638-5e4d-96e5-b29de1b5cf10"
version = "1.4.0+3"

[[Zlib_jll]]
deps = ["Libdl"]
uuid = "83775a58-1f1d-513f-b197-d71354ab007a"

[[Zstd_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "cc4bf3fdde8b7e3e9fa0351bdeedba1cf3b7f6e6"
uuid = "3161d3a3-bdf6-5164-811a-617609db77b4"
version = "1.5.0+0"

[[libass_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Bzip2_jll", "FreeType2_jll", "FriBidi_jll", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "acc685bcf777b2202a904cdcb49ad34c2fa1880c"
uuid = "0ac62f75-1d6f-5e53-bd7c-93b484bb37c0"
version = "0.14.0+4"

[[libfdk_aac_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "7a5780a0d9c6864184b3a2eeeb833a0c871f00ab"
uuid = "f638f0a6-7fb0-5443-88ba-1cc74229b280"
version = "0.1.6+4"

[[libpng_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Zlib_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "94d180a6d2b5e55e447e2d27a29ed04fe79eb30c"
uuid = "b53b4c65-9356-5827-b1ea-8c7a1a84506f"
version = "1.6.38+0"

[[libvorbis_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Ogg_jll", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "c45f4e40e7aafe9d086379e5578947ec8b95a8fb"
uuid = "f27f6e37-5d2b-51aa-960f-b287f2bc3b7a"
version = "1.3.7+0"

[[nghttp2_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Libdl"]
uuid = "8e850ede-7688-5339-a07c-302acd2aaf8d"

[[p7zip_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "Libdl"]
uuid = "3f19e933-33d8-53b3-aaab-bd5110c3b7a0"

[[x264_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "d713c1ce4deac133e3334ee12f4adff07f81778f"
uuid = "1270edf5-f2f9-52d2-97e9-ab00b5d0237a"
version = "2020.7.14+2"

[[x265_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg"]
git-tree-sha1 = "487da2f8f2f0c8ee0e83f39d13037d6bbf0a45ab"
uuid = "dfaa095f-4041-5dcd-9319-2fabd8486b76"
version = "3.0.0+3"

[[xkbcommon_jll]]
deps = ["Artifacts", "JLLWrappers", "Libdl", "Pkg", "Wayland_jll", "Wayland_protocols_jll", "Xorg_libxcb_jll", "Xorg_xkeyboard_config_jll"]
git-tree-sha1 = "ece2350174195bb31de1a63bea3a41ae1aa593b6"
uuid = "d8fb68d0-12a3-5cfd-a85a-d49703b185fd"
version = "0.9.1+5"
"""

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