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climate
A rise that large over a span of decades would be an unparalleled national catastrophe , driving millions of people from their homes and most likely requiring the abandonment of entire cities .
faulty generalization
climate
Will they be held legally responsible when floods do occur ? A strict policy could force some people from their homes . Conversely , should public money be spent to do the work , even if it largely benefits private property ?
false dilemma
climate
β€œ When you look at the historical record , there ’ s no trend saying the flooding is going down , ” said Dr. Sweet , the NOAA expert . β€œ The trends are all very clear . They ’ re going up , and they ’ re going up in many of these areas in an accelerating fashion . ”
ad populum
climate
β€œ The predictions of what ’ s going to happen over the next 20 , 30 , 40 years β€” it ’ s real , ” said Mr. Tuckman , the founder of a company offering creative services to the retail industry .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Moreover , if the rise of the sea accelerates as much as some scientists fear , it is doubtful the cities will be able to keep up .
appeal to emotion
climate
β€œ You can play it really badly and let unpleasant things happen earlier , ” he said . β€œ Or you can push them off by doing some infrastructure repairs and some thoughtful planning . ”
false dilemma
climate
Ever since December temperatures in the Arctic have consistently been lower than minus 20 C.
intentional
climate
This means the global temperature trend has now shown no further warming for 19 years .
intentional
climate
And we are still stuck with that insanely damaging Climate Change Act , which in this election will scarcely get a mention .
appeal to emotion
climate
Furthermore , whereas in 2008 most of the ice was extremely thin , this year most has been at least two metres thick .
intentional
climate
Scientists are also expecting a β€œ huge reduction ” in solar activity for 33 years between 2020 and 2053 that will cause thermometers to crash .
intentional
climate
This is the `` hottest [ pick a season ] ever '' ; the ice caps are at a record low ; we 'll all be dead in 10 years .
intentional
climate
This is the `` hottest [ pick a season ] ever '' ; the ice caps are at a record low ; we 'll all be dead in 10 years .
appeal to emotion
climate
Ever since December temperatures in the Arctic have consistently been lower than minus 20 C.
intentional
climate
Furthermore , whereas in 2008 most of the ice was extremely thin , this year most has been at least two metres thick .
intentional
climate
This means the global temperature trend has now shown no further warming for 19 years .
intentional
climate
He said : β€œ Cooling from 2019 into about 2020 to 2021 will bring world temperatures back to where they were in the 1940s through the 1960s .
intentional
climate
We are bombarded with `` facts '' every day : This is the `` hottest [ pick a season ] ever '' ; the ice caps are at a record low ; we 'll all be dead in 10 years . For former president Barack Obama , the ever-changing and often contradictory `` facts '' about global warming ( which liberals now call climate change because the globe stopped warming ) was simply `` settled science . '' But now it turns out the Arctic sea ice is thicker than ever and , oh yeah , the global temperature trend has not warmed for 19 years .
intentional
climate
But now it turns out the Arctic sea ice is thicker than ever and , oh yeah , the global temperature trend has not warmed for 19 years .
faulty generalization
climate
Ever since December temperatures in the Arctic have consistently been lower than minus 20 C.
intentional
climate
The liberal media might take issue with a U.S. think tank funding a study that says global warming does n't exist -- or at least has n't for 19 years -- but they 'll accept the findings from little ol ' Denmark , wo n't they ?
fallacy of credibility
climate
As for those record temperatures brought in 2016 by an exceptionally strong El NiΓ±o , the satellites now show that in recent months global temperatures have plummeted by more that 0.6 degrees : just as happened 17 years ago after a similarly strong El NiΓ±o had also made 1998 the β€œ hottest year on record ” .
fallacy of credibility
climate
As for those record temperatures brought in 2016 by an exceptionally strong El NiΓ±o , the satellites now show that in recent months global temperatures have plummeted by more that 0.6 degrees : just as happened 17 years ago after a similarly strong El NiΓ±o had also made 1998 the β€œ hottest year on record ” .
intentional
climate
β€œ The last global warming cycle ended in 1790 and the year 2020 is 230 following this – thus I have been talking about rapid cooling beginning in 2019 . ”
fallacy of credibility
climate
But now it turns out the Arctic sea ice is thicker than ever and , oh yeah , the global temperature trend has not warmed for 19 years .
fallacy of logic
climate
But now it turns out the Arctic sea ice is thicker than ever and , oh yeah , the global temperature trend has not warmed for 19 years .
fallacy of extension
climate
President Trump has claimed that scientists stopped referring to global warming and started calling it climate change because β€œ the weather has been so cold ” in winter .
fallacy of relevance
climate
President Trump has claimed that scientists stopped referring to global warming and started calling it climate change because β€œ the weather has been so cold ” in winter .
intentional
climate
The climate denialists ’ arguments have become so strained that even oil and coal companies have distanced themselves publicly , though some still help to finance the campaigns of politicians who espouse such views .
ad hominem
climate
The climate denialists ’ arguments have become so strained that even oil and coal companies have distanced themselves publicly , though some still help to finance the campaigns of politicians who espouse such views .
ad hominem
climate
The climate denialists ’ arguments have become so strained that even oil and coal companies have distanced themselves publicly , though some still help to finance the campaigns of politicians who espouse such views .
intentional
climate
Instead of negotiating over climate change policies and trying to make them more market-oriented , some political conservatives have taken the approach of blocking them by trying to undermine the science .
circular reasoning
climate
Big trouble .
appeal to emotion
climate
Tens of thousands of people are already dying in heat waves made worse by global warming .
fallacy of logic
climate
Longer term , if emissions rise unchecked , scientists fear climate effects so severe that they might destabilize governments , produce waves of refugees , precipitate the sixth mass extinction of plants and animals in the Earth ’ s history , and melt the polar ice caps , causing the seas to rise high enough to flood most of the world ’ s coastal cities . The emissions that create those risks are happening now , raising deep moral questions for our generation .
faulty generalization
climate
Longer term , if emissions rise unchecked , scientists fear climate effects so severe that they might destabilize governments , produce waves of refugees , precipitate the sixth mass extinction of plants and animals in the Earth ’ s history , and melt the polar ice caps , causing the seas to rise high enough to flood most of the world ’ s coastal cities .
appeal to emotion
climate
As the river dries , crews from the United States Fish and Wildlife Service spring into action , working to rescue the Rio Grande silvery minnow , a federally protected endangered species that used to thrive along the full length of the river but now is found only in the upper reaches .
appeal to emotion
climate
Thirty years later , they are still ignoring it , ” said Zybach , who spent more than 20 years as a reforestation contractor .
ad hominem
climate
Shortly before leaving office , Clinton introduced the Roadless Rule that restricted the use of existing roads and construction of new roads on 49 million acres of National Forest , making it difficult for officials to scan the land for the kind of kindling that fuels massive conflagrations .
intentional
climate
The former president ’ s decision created a ticking time bomb , Zybach argues . β€œ
ad hominem
climate
Years of keeping these areas in their natural state result in dead trees and dried organic material settling on the forest floor , turning such material into matchsticks soaked in jet fuel during dry seasons , he said .
appeal to emotion
climate
That ’ s an 80 % decline . β€œ They ’ ve gone and left hundreds of thousands of acres of burnt timber , a fire bomb waiting to happen , standing in place because the black back woodpecker prefers that habitat , ” Zybach said . β€œ
false dilemma
climate
The Clinton administration ’ s plan to turn forests in the West into pristine land free of human interference risked fueling β€œ wildfires reminiscent of the Tillamook burn , the 1910 fires and the Yellowstone fire , ” Zybach , who is based in Oregon , told Evergreen magazine in 1994 , when the NWFP came into effect .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Former President Bill Clinton made a significant change to federal land management nearly 30 years ago that created the conditions necessary for massive wildfires to consume portions of the West Coast , according to one fire expert who predicted the problem years ago .
fallacy of credibility
climate
The former president ’ s decision created a ticking time bomb , Zybach argues . β€œ
fallacy of credibility
climate
Shortly before leaving office in 2001 , Clinton limited the ability of the United States Forest Service to thin out a dense thicket of foliage and downed trees on federal land to bring the West into a pristine state , Bob Zybach , an experienced forester with a PhD in environmental science , told the Daily Caller News Foundation .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Years of keeping these areas in their natural state result in dead trees and dried organic material settling on the forest floor , turning such material into matchsticks soaked in jet fuel during dry seasons , he said .
fallacy of logic
climate
Years of keeping these areas in their natural state result in dead trees and dried organic material settling on the forest floor , turning such material into matchsticks soaked in jet fuel during dry seasons , he said .
faulty generalization
climate
Fires have killed 26 people in West Coast states since August , including 19 people in California , and have culminated in more than half-a-million people evacuating Oregon , a number representing roughly 10 % of the state ’ s overall population .
appeal to emotion
climate
Roughly 100 massive fires are blazing Saturday in the West , including 12 in Idaho and nine in Montana , the National Interagency Fire Center said Saturday . All told , the wildfires have churned through more than 4.5 million acres in 12 states . ( RELATED : Wildfires , Blackouts And High Gas Prices : Californians Fight Familiar Foes Amid Pandemic )
ad populum
climate
That ’ s an 80 % decline . β€œ They ’ ve gone and left hundreds of thousands of acres of burnt timber , a fire bomb waiting to happen , standing in place because the black back woodpecker prefers that habitat , ” Zybach said . β€œ
intentional
climate
It ’ s great for lawyers , but it ’ s bad for people who breathe air or work in the woods . ” β€œ The prescribed burns are an ancient form of management for keeping the fuels down so these events don ’ t happen , ” Zybach added , referring to Native American Indians who used controlled burns to ward away pests and prevent wildfires from licking their homes . The Clinton administration ’ s plan to turn forests in the West into pristine land free of human interference risked fueling β€œ wildfires reminiscent of the Tillamook burn , the 1910 fires and the Yellowstone fire , ” Zybach , who is based in Oregon , told Evergreen magazine in 1994 , when the NWFP came into effect .
fallacy of credibility
climate
The Clinton administration ’ s plan to turn forests in the West into pristine land free of human interference risked fueling β€œ wildfires reminiscent of the Tillamook burn , the 1910 fires and the Yellowstone fire , ” Zybach , who is based in Oregon , told Evergreen magazine in 1994 , when the NWFP came into effect . Western Oregon had one major fire above 10,000 acres between 1952 and 1987 , reports show . The Silver Complex Fire of 1987 snapped that streak after torching more than 100,000 acres in the Kalmiopsis Wilderness area , killing rare plants and trees the federal government sought to protect from human activities .
appeal to emotion
climate
The solution is β€œ to get good fire on the ground and whittle down some of that fuel load , ” he told ProPublica in August . β€œ It ’ s just … well … it ’ s horrible .
fallacy of credibility
climate
I suffer from Cassandra syndrome , ” Ingalsbee said , referring to the Cassandra Syndrome , a Greek metaphor people use when they believe their valid warnings are not heeded . β€œ Every year I warn people : Disaster ’ s coming . We got to change . And no one listens . And then it happens . ”
false causality
climate
The solution might be easier said than done . Nearly 20 million acres in California , or an area about the size of Maine , will need to experience controlled burns to limit catastrophic wildfires , a January study from Nature Sustainability found .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Other researchers share his skepticism .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Zybach is not convinced . β€œ The lack of active land management is almost 100 percent the cause , ” he told the DCNF , noting that climate change has almost nothing to do with fire kindling gathering across the forest floors .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Mass ’ s critique came as Mendocino Complex Fire was spreading across California on its way to becoming the largest wildfire in the state , engulfing more than 283,000 acres .
appeal to emotion
climate
The solution is β€œ to get good fire on the ground and whittle down some of that fuel load , ” he told ProPublica in August . β€œ It ’ s just … well … it ’ s horrible . Horrible to see this happening when the science is so clear and has been clear for years . I suffer from Cassandra syndrome , ” Ingalsbee said , referring to the Cassandra Syndrome , a Greek metaphor people use when they believe their valid warnings are not heeded . β€œ Every year I warn people : Disaster ’ s coming .
intentional
climate
The latest Democratic Party platform compares the fight against global warming to World War II .
intentional
climate
Until civility returns , our side can ask whether the critics are acting like the Gestapo of global warming .
ad hominem
climate
There is some levity in all this charade .
intentional
climate
And the great middle can be excused for realizing that obsessing about climate change is avoiding a frank discussion about the here-and-now problems of budget deficits , the federal debt , school choice , entitlement reform , and so on .
false dilemma
climate
Sensitivity estimatesβ€”defined as the temperature effect from the enhanced greenhouse effectβ€”have been coming down in the peer-reviewed literature , even to the point when climate economists see a positive externality , not a negative one , from the human influence on climate . ( In technical lingo , the so-called social cost of carbon would be negative . )
intentional
climate
And the great middle can be excused for realizing that obsessing about climate change is avoiding a frank discussion about the here-and-now problems of budget deficits , the federal debt , school choice , entitlement reform , and so on .
false dilemma
climate
But fifty days and years later , and the earth still spins .
intentional
climate
Green activists are at war with the greatest American foe since the Axis Powersβ€”or so they say .
ad hominem
climate
Using terms such as `` battlefield , '' `` siege , '' and `` front , '' those opposed this `` war effort '' have been labeled anything from Nazis to Holocaust deniers . ( I personally have been called a sociopath by climate activist Joe Romm of the Center for American Progress , another story . )
ad hominem
climate
Equating the Third Reich with the free society ’ s fossil-fuel reliance , and charging Republicans with climate destruction , is from the theater of the absurd .
intentional
climate
Using terms such as `` battlefield , '' `` siege , '' and `` front , '' those opposed this `` war effort '' have been labeled anything from Nazis to Holocaust deniers . ( I personally have been called a sociopath by climate activist Joe Romm of the Center for American Progress , another story . )
fallacy of relevance
climate
Using terms such as `` battlefield , '' `` siege , '' and `` front , '' those opposed this `` war effort '' have been labeled anything from Nazis to Holocaust deniers . ( I personally have been called a sociopath by climate activist Joe Romm of the Center for American Progress , another story . )
ad hominem
climate
Using terms such as `` battlefield , '' `` siege , '' and `` front , '' those opposed this `` war effort '' have been labeled anything from Nazis to Holocaust deniers . ( I personally have been called a sociopath by climate activist Joe Romm of the Center for American Progress , another story . )
intentional
climate
Don ’ t β€œ vote for climate catastrophe ” warned a Washington Post editorialist . β€œ
intentional
climate
Americans care greatly about the future ; to say otherwise is to deny their very humanity .
false dilemma
climate
Equating the Third Reich with the free society ’ s fossil-fuel reliance , and charging Republicans with climate destruction , is from the theater of the absurd .
ad hominem
climate
Equating the Third Reich with the free society ’ s fossil-fuel reliance , and charging Republicans with climate destruction , is from the theater of the absurd .
fallacy of extension
climate
And the great middle can be excused for realizing that obsessing about climate change is avoiding a frank discussion about the here-and-now problems of budget deficits , the federal debt , school choice , entitlement reform , and so on .
fallacy of logic
climate
Perhaps there is good news in the ugliness of desperate activists who are trying to get their issue out front .
ad hominem
climate
Not only do polls suggest the public is unmoved at home and in abroad , serial exaggeration at this point is arguably backfiring , confirming the perils of climate exaggeration .
ad populum
climate
Yet their dismal track record seems to lead to only more drama and hyperbole , not humility and open-mindedness .
ad hominem
climate
Back in 2006 , Al Gore prophesied that unless the world dramatically reduced greenhouse gasses , we would hit a `` point of no return . '' And in his book review of Gore ’ s book and movie from that year , An Inconvenient Truth , scientist James Hansen unequivocally stated : β€œ We have at most ten yearsβ€”not ten years to decide upon action , but ten years to alter fundamentally the trajectory of global greenhouse emissions . ” Time is up on Gore ’ s β€œ point of no return ” and Hansen ’ s β€œ critical tipping point. ”
intentional
climate
Time is up on Gore ’ s β€œ point of no return ” and Hansen ’ s β€œ critical tipping point. ”
fallacy of logic
climate
Rajendra Pachauri , while head of a United Nations climate panel , pleaded that without drastic action before 2012 , it would be too late to save the planet . Back in the late 1980s , the UN claimed that if global warming were not checked by 2000 , rising sea levels would wash entire counties away . Four years ago , Peter Wadhams , professor of ocean physics at the University of Cambridge , predicted β€œ global disaster ” from the demise of Arctic sea iceβ€”in four years . He too , is eating crow . There is some levity in all this charade . In 2009 , then-British Prime Minister Gordon Brown predicted that the world had only 50 days to save the planet from global warming . But fifty days and years later , and the earth still spins .
intentional
climate
He too , is eating crow .
ad hominem
climate
Physical science has turned into profit-maximizing political science .
ad hominem
climate
Can climate research get back on track ? Can the β€œ uncertainty monster ” in climate research , and particularly climate modeling , be acknowledged ? Can such study overcome the Malthusian bias ( change is bad ; mankind is at fault ) to achieve impartiality ? Can the federal role in climate research be scaled back to improve incentives and quality ?
intentional
climate
Sensitivity estimatesβ€”defined as the temperature effect from the enhanced greenhouse effectβ€”have been coming down in the peer-reviewed literature , even to the point when climate economists see a positive externality , not a negative one , from the human influence on climate . ( In technical lingo , the so-called social cost of carbon would be negative . )
faulty generalization
climate
β€œ Fossil fuels don ’ t take a clean environment and make it dirty , ” noted Alex Epstein , `` they take a dirty environment and make it clean. ” Fossil fuels , he adds , β€œ don ’ t take a safe climate and make it dangerous , they take a dangerous climate and make it safe . ”
circular reasoning
climate
The new research shows that without meat and dairy consumption , global farmland use could be reduced by more than 75 % – an area equivalent to the US , China , European Union and Australia combined – and still feed the world .
intentional
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Avoiding meat and dairy products is the single biggest way to reduce your environmental impact on the planet , according to the scientists behind the most comprehensive analysis to date of the damage farming does to the planet .
fallacy of credibility
climate
The solution requires political courage .
appeal to emotion
climate
Global human emissions are only 3 per cent of total annual emissions . It has never been shown that human emissions of carbon dioxide drive global warming .
faulty generalization
climate
Global human emissions are only 3 per cent of total annual emissions . It has never been shown that human emissions of carbon dioxide drive global warming .
fallacy of logic
climate
If it were shown , it would also have to be shown that the 97 per cent of emissions from natural processes such as ocean degassing , volcanoes , natural chemical reactions and exhalation don ’ t drive global warming .
fallacy of logic
climate
In the geological past , Earth ’ s atmosphere had hundreds of times the CO2 content of the modern atmosphere yet there were no carbon dioxide-driven catastrophes .
fallacy of credibility
climate
Without correlation , there can be no causation .
fallacy of logic
climate
You couldn ’ t make it up if you tried .
intentional
climate
In the geological past , Earth ’ s atmosphere had hundreds of times the CO2 content of the modern atmosphere yet there were no carbon dioxide-driven catastrophes .
equivocation
climate
Ice core drilling shows that 800 years after natural warming , the atmosphere increases in carbon dioxide . The zenith of the Little Ice Age was 300 years ago and since then we have slightly warmed and cooled during a long-term warming trend . Instrumental temperature measurements over the past 150 years show no correlation between human emissions of CO2 and Β­temperature . On all timescales it can be shown that there is no correlation between CO2 emissions and global warming .
intentional