Leafs need 10 wins minimum to make the playoffs out of 18 remaining games..  Last year the Minnesota Wild became the first team to ever make it in with only 38 wins in the shootout era.  So 10/18 is a 56% win percentage, for a team that has spent 62 games at the 45% win percentage and currently ticking over at 3-7 last 10 games; that is a big ask, given other teams are trying also.