Far, far too early to say.... and the new Minister talks on occasion but effectively says nothing.

A Fortunate friend of mine hasn't paid his TV licence for years.... not from wont of trying, though he has stopped now. 
Firstly he asked SABC for an invoice, was told he was up to date as it was deducted from his bank account... it wasn't. This went on for 3 years.  He was concerned about penalties. He's bought 2 TV's since... the retailer phones SABC and gets same answer.