Stephen, your writing would really benefit if you stopped trying to gaze into a political crystal ball. Generally, halfway through your articles we get to some new outlandish theory of "what might happen next".  Whilst I appreciate your attempts at understanding motivations in this game, there is far too much that we don't know about the internal machinations of our ruling party/family to make any accurate predictions. Stick to the facts, please. Journalism has a limited tolerance for poetic licence.