I've seen all of the Oscar nominees.  I think it is a given that La La Land will win.  Not the best of the bunch, but with 14 nominations and a Hollywood theme, it will be hard to beat.  Personally, I think the best movie of the bunch was Lion.  Casey Affleck absolutely deserves best actor.  Not that Washington was not deserving of a nod, but Fences was simply the play caught on film.  He gave a good Tony award performance, but not an Oscar award performance.  People who understand the difference will know what I am talking about.