"For once, we see a sober analysis of a scenario without the "he's a jerk"," he's an idiot" or "he's going to be impeached" undercurrent."

But you ought to remember that, back in July, 2015, Mr. Shribman's "sober analysis" was that Trump hadn't a hope of getting the Republican nomination.

For what it's worth, I thought he did.  And I thought he might even win the election.