Ometok, I have seen this movie before. Either we are right and will make money, or wrong and lose. There are no guaranties in life, neither free lunches. In my opinion investing is a calculated gamble. We can calculate resources, production,management abilities . The problem is the we can't predict the market sentiment, economic growth, commodity prices, political situation and management integrity.This last part makes it a gamble. We all pick sides, either short or long, and may the better win.  But  you got to move on, nonetheless... .