@techreport{NBERw15570, title = "Investment Shocks and Business Cycles", author = "Alejandro Justiniano and Giorgio E. Primiceri and Andrea Tambalotti", institution = "National Bureau of Economic Research", type = "Working Paper", series = "Working Paper Series", number = "15570", year = "2009", month = "December", doi = {10.3386/w15570}, URL = "http://www.nber.org/papers/w15570", abstract = {We study the driving forces of fluctuations in an estimated New Neoclassical Synthesis model of the U.S. economy with several shocks and frictions. In this model, shocks to the marginal efficiency of investment account for the bulk of fluctuations in output and hours at business cycle frequencies. Imperfect competition and, to a lesser extent, technological frictions are the key to their transmission. Labor supply shocks explain a large fraction of the variation in hours at very low frequencies, but are irrelevant over the business cycle. This is important because their microfoundations are widely regarded as unappealing.}, }