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By Targon on 2/5/2011 10:43:32 PM , Rating: 2
No other phone gets this much hype and marketing behind it, even the Verizon Droid phones don't push this much.

You have to look at this from a logical breakdown of people who will be buying the iPhone on Verizon, just to give some perspective...

You have the people in areas with known bad cell phone reception, yet people ran out to buy the iPhone with AT&T. These people will run to Verizon without checking if Verizon is any better in their area because they assume that it is just the fault of AT&T, not that they live in the middle of nowhere.

You have the people who were on Verizon and who did not switch to AT&T just to get the iPhone, yet they DID want the iPhone.

You will have the people who disliked AT&T previously who wanted the iPhone but didn't want to go to AT&T for it.

Many people will make the shift to the Verizon version of the iPhone....and will find they are just as unhappy if not more unhappy with Verizon than they were on AT&T. The grass is always greener on the other side, right?

In any sort of shift, you add up all of the above, and you get a lot of sales, no question there, but the results over the next two years after the new two year contracts are signed are what people should be paying attention to. Many people replaced their iPhone 3GS that they bought only a year before the iPhone 4, and while the sales numbers are there, these customers did not increase the percentage of users with an iPhone. If you replace your phone, you do not have TWO phones, you have one with one sitting on a shelf or sent over to eastern Europe, or something like that, effectively GONE.

Note that Apple made promises for a white iPhone that was supposed to be released shortly after the iPhone 4 launch...can you really believe EVERYTHING that Apple tries to claim? Hype, advertising, and smart marketing tricks...Apple has talent there, but they are fighting a stagnation in product design while the competition shows more innovation that IS taking a lot of the spotlight these days.

So, again, if you have people currently on AT&T who go to Verizon, they are not increasing the number of iPhone users if they can't or don't sell their old phone to someone who doesn't have an iPhone already.

