





Source: Engadget

Comments     Threshold


RE: Still 32-bit
By othercents on 12/18/2012 11:27:49 AM , Rating: 0

I'm not sure how many decades of software you are still using, however I typically stay up to date with the latest software. If developers start developing into these newer platforms and they convert over certain applications like WOW and Office, then I don't see a reason why people wouldn't be able to use tablets (or specifically Windows RT) as their desktop replacement at home.

Keep in mind this isn't the top 10% of people who are developers and extreme gamers, but the other 90% that are casual computer users can definitely move as long as performance doesn't suffer. This also doesn't include businesses that might have custom software, but hopefully they are starting to move to a web browser based software.

If a 10 year old starts using computers now then they could start on a tablet and might never buy off the shelf software. Software companies really need to adjust to this new market or get left behind.


RE: Still 32-bit
Many businesses use Software that is often decades old.
It still works and fits the needs of the customer.

RE: Still 32-bit
I would have to point you to what I said.

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No Kidding!




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You wouldn't be talking about S3 Publishing would you?

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RE: Still 32-bit
By bug77 on 12/18/2012 12:48:39 PM , Rating: 2

Because you can't type worth a squat on a tablet. And have you ever tried changing the value of a combo box?

RE: Still 32-bit
By othercents on 12/18/2012 1:13:59 PM , Rating: 2
Yes, my keyboard I type on with my laptop is the same one I can plug into my tablet and use. If there is any question I use a Natural Ergonomic 4000 Keyboard. However I also an Apple bluetooth keyboard that works just as well when I travel. You also have options for using a mouse.

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Not in an office environment anyway.




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RE: Still 32-bit
By Shadowself on 12/18/2012 1:18:37 PM , Rating: 3
as long as performance doesn't suffer
This is the crux of the problem. Running the current versions of MS Office applications on 5+ year old systems can be a royal pain.

ARM and similar SOCs are not equivalent to *today's* mid to high end desktop processors. Within five years these SOCs certainly will be equivalent to today's mid to high end (maybe not the very high end Xeons, e.g.). However, software will get more compute hungry in that time. Both users want more functionality and developers want to insert more functionality -- not to mention marketing wanting to scream about the latest and greatest new features.

Eventually (my guess is within 10 years, 15 years AT MOST) the SOCs like ARM will be at a state that very few people will have dedicated boxes sitting on (or under) their desks. It's just not the near future. Certainly not within the next five years.

The transition has started. It will be taking a bigger step next year with the new Surface tablet ships with a "full" version of Office and a "full" version ships for iOS. It's just that the transition will take at least another decade to take hold.

This in not unlike the very late 1970s leading into the early 1990s with the switch from "big iron" to networks of "desktops". (For the sake of simplifying this discussion, I'm lumping large mainframes through what were called "minicomputers" like the VAXes into the same category.) "Desktops" got their nose under the tent in the late 1970s just like the current "bring your own device" trend is getting tablets into enterprises today. It was well more than a decade (into the 1990s) before big iron really, really started to die -- as was shown by consolidation of such entities as DEC, Data General, Wang, etc. into other companies and IBM transforming into a services company. Personal usage in the home moved a bit faster om the 80s and early 90s simply because people didn't have mainframes in their homes and therefore had nothing to replace. Now desktops and laptops are firmly entrenched in most homes.

Sure, they will be replaced by a combination of smartphones, tablets and ultrabooks. But that entrenchment will take time to replace especially when you consider evolving/expanding requirements/needs as mentioned above.

My best guess (100% pure speculation) will be that by 2025 the "standard" will be high performance tablets (of various sizes) with "smart" TVs in the home and maybe even office. Moderate resolution (I'm avoiding the 'retina' label) on the tablet when not connected to the smart TV, but with the tablet supporting (with enough performance capability) to drive a 4K smart TV when connected -- and that connection will be optionally either wired or wireless.

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