Asml Holdings Stock Future Price Prediction


USD 575.96  13.55  2.41%   

Asml Holdings NY stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Asml Holdings shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Asml Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Asml Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Asml Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asml Holdings NY, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Please continue to Asml Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Asml Holdings based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Asml Holdings stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Asml Holdings over a specific investment horizon.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
EPS Estimate Current Year
EPS Estimate Next Year
Wall Street Target Price
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Using Asml Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Asml Holdings NY from the perspective of Asml Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Asml Holdings using Asml Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Asml Holdings using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Asml Holdings' stock price.
Asml Holdings Earnings per Diluted Share are relatively stable at the moment as compared to the past year. The company's current value of Earnings per Diluted Share is estimated at 15.47. Free Cash Flow per Share is expected to hike to 26.18 this year, although Book Value per Share will most likely fall to 27.73.

Asml Holdings Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Asml Holdings' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Asml Holdings. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Asml Holdings stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Asml Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Asml Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge Asml Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
Short Percent
Short Ratio
Shares Short Prior Month
50 Day MA
Shares Short
978 K

Asml Holdings NY Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Asml Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with investment in Asml Holdings. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Asml Holdings can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Asml Holdings NY. Please note that most equiteis that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Asml Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Asml Holdings.

Asml Holdings Implied Volatility

Asml Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Asml Holdings NY stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Asml Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Asml Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when Asml Holdings' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Asml Holdings. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Asml Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Asml Holdings because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Asml Holdings after-hype prediction price

  $ 574.85  

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Asml Holdings contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Asml Holdings NY will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 2.34% per day over the life of the 2022-08-19 option contract. With Asml Holdings trading at $575.96, that is roughly $13.49. If you think that the market is fully incorporating Asml Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Asml Holdings NY options at the current volatility level of 37.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Asml Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Asml Holdings in the context of predictive analytics.
LowReal ValueHigh
LowNext ValueHigh
8 Analysts
LowTarget PriceHigh
Estimates (5)
LowProjected EPSHigh
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Asml Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Asml Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Asml Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy towards taking a position in Asml Holdings NY.

Asml Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Asml Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Asml Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many smart people who confused the symmetrical distributions of stock prices, such as prices of Asml Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Asml Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Asml Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Asml Holdings' historical news coverage. Asml Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 571.64 and 578.06, respectively. We have considered Asml Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value 575.96
After-hype Price
Asml Holdings is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asml Holdings NY is based on 3 months time horizon.

Asml Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a company such as Asml Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Asml Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Asml Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.17  3.21   1.11    0.01  6 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn about 6 days

Asml Holdings Hype Timeline

Asml Holdings NY is presently traded for 575.96. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.11 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Asml Holdings is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 574.85. The average volatility ofmedia hypeimpact on the company stock price is about 49.01%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.19% whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Asml Holdings is about 4585.71% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 575.95. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. Asml Holdings NY recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.02. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of May 2022. The firm had 1:1 split on the 29th of November 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expectedpress releasewill be in about 6 days.

Asml Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Asml Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Asml Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Asml Holdings rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Asml Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Asml Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Asml Holdings price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Asml Holdings using various technical indicators. When you analyze Asml Holdings charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Asml Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Asml Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Asml Holdings NY, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Asml Holdings based on analysis of Asml Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Asml Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Asml Holdings's related companies.
 2020 2021 (projected)
Book Value per Share33.1528.9
Asset Turnover0.550.65

Story Coverage note for Asml Holdings

The number of cover stories for Asml Holdings depends on current market conditions and Asml Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Asml Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Asml Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories


Asml Holdings Short Properties

Asml Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Asml Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Asml Holdings NY often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Asml Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Asml Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out0.26%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.35
Float Shares397.09M
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day900.34k
Shares Short Prior Month767.16k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month1.03M
Date Short Interest15th of July 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield0.60%
Please continue to Asml Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Asml Holdings NY information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Asml Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Asml Holdings NY price analysis, check to measure Asml Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Asml Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Asml Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Asml Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Asml Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Asml Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Asml Holdings' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Asml Holdings. If investors know Asml Holdings will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Asml Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth YOY
Market Capitalization
228.6 B
Quarterly Revenue Growth YOY
Return On Assets
Return On Equity
The market value of Asml Holdings NY is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Asml Holdings that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Asml Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Asml Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Asml Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Asml Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Asml Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine Asml Holdings value by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Asml Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.