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So apparently someone thinks the bill will have an impact on global warming. But those someones are wrong. The bill will have no meaningful impact of the future course of global warming.
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1974 was right at the peak of the global cooling scare. It was also the year of the worst tornado outbreak in US history and some of the worst flooding in Queenslands history.
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"French oil workers on Monday defied the government's demand to get back to work and end scattered fuel shortages, stepping up their fight against President Nicolas Sarkozy's plan to raise the retirement age to 62."
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Winter Storms/ Blizzards Iran Blizzard, February 1972. A blizzard in Iran in Feb 1972 ended a four-year drought but the week long cold and snow caused the deaths of approximately 4,000 people.
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Bob Ferguson, president of SPPI, told me, "The whole mission of CO2 control has been touted as staving off catastrophe, but we haven't paid enough attention to "What catastrophe?' " The Futility Report connects those dots: The first CO2 catastrophe is rapid temperature rise, or global warming, and the second is the dreaded melting of the polar ice caps with sea level rise inundating world coastlines.
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ATLAS at 94/pb: diphoton hysteria goes away
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Figures 23 and 24 are model-data comparisons of land surface air temperature anomalies from November 1981 to December 2013. Again, were using the multi-model ensemble mean of the climate models stored in the CMIP5 archive. And for the data, theyre the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (land surface air temperature) anomalies. Both are referenced to the period of 1961-1990 for anomalies. The models perform very well at simulating the warming rate of the land surface air temperatures in the Northern Hemisphere (Figure 23), but overestimate the warming of land surface air temperatures in the Southern Hemisphere by a wide margin (Figure 24).
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But with the global temperature has hardly kat p the last 10-15 pure s starts it will be krisigt also for this doubtful prognosis.
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I will submit several statements that indicate that the IPCC was wrong in its approach, in its entire methodology in trying to determine whether or not global warming, whether there is global warming and whether or not it is caused by man-made activity.
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Before his untimely death January 19, Dr. Robert M. Carter, former director of James Cook University's Marine Geophysical Laboratory and expert on historic and prehistoric climate change, offered succinct analyses of climate forces, fears, and realities, underscoring how fragile the climate chaos claims are.
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Executives at a Bermudan firm funneling money to U.S. environmentalists run investment funds with Russian tycoons
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According to those pushing the (Australian) carbon tax, 500 bureaucrats googling away quietly in Canberra and generating little useful except carbon dioxide exhalations, are more valuable than 500 farmers, foresters, fishermen, workers and miners whose machines also generate more of the same harmless carbon dioxide in order to produce the food, fibres, hardware and energy needed for our daily existence.
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The longer growing season also has a profound impact on forests. Forests are, in effect, the worlds air filters. Green leaves on trees turn carbon dioxide a greenhouse gas that traps heat in our atmosphere into oxygen. Carbon dioxide also helps trees grow since they use energy from the sun to convert the gas into plant matter. A longer growing season could change quickly forests grow and increase the amount of carbon dioxide taken out of the atmosphere.
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While sea ice INFR winter stretches back to the North's makes it for the second hole in Antarctica where it makes the summer. Maximum nddes 18 September 22 ir, which was unusually late. But as the ice was also a record not only for surface but also frmodligen volume. It is the Alfred Wegener Institute, who reports about this (versttning of parts of the press release into English hr).
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CEI: Jim Glassman has talked about the new investor class--so many more people own securities in some form now than even 20 years ago--saying it will transform electoral politics in the coming decades. Do you see that happening?
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European industries and some European governments have recently begun to recognise that the unconventional gas revolution is no longer confined to North America, but is spreading globally.The energy revolution is having a big impact on the overall economic competitiveness of the US economy and industries towards rivals in Asia and Europe. Cheap shale gas also calls into question therenewable energy policies of the EU, particularlythose of Germany.Foreign investments in European petrochemicalcompanies are already shifting from Europe tothe US.--Frank Umbach, Geopolitical Information Service, 19 March 2013
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Is there anything wrong with that? Not really, but you see the scientist sorting mechanism in action. It does exist, and pretending it doesnt is for fools. Another point which is not spoken is that the scientists at the top are of a far left political persuasion as well. You almost have to be in order to feel good about working for the IPCC.
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Governments also overlook a key conclusion from the world?s modelers, led by Fred Kucharski of the Abdus Salam International Centre for Theoretical Physics: ?The increase of greenhouse gases in the 20th century has not significantly contributed to the observed decadal Indian monsoonal rainfall variability.?
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A new paper by Stephen Schwartz of the Brookhaven National Laboratory says that the Earth is not as sensitive to carbon dioxide as had previously been thought.
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The contract terms established by 1199 also set the standard for the 10,000 workers in the city's Health and Hospitals Corporation represented by the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME) District Council 37. Thanks to state laws that allow unions to deduct dues automatically from employees' paychecks, the union's massive membership means a massive treasury.
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That when it comes to "unelected bureaucrats" (meaning, Hertzberg notes, almost the entire federal workforce), Congress should "defund and abolish these positions."
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They include or have included the National Hydrogen Association, Fuel Cells Canada, hydrogen producer QuestAir, Naikun Wind Energy and Ballard Fuel Cells. Mr. Hoggan apparently benefits from regulatory policy against CO2.
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Run on the issues of tomorrow, they say, not the issues of yesterday. Kamarck and Galston note that many Republicans offer policies modeled on Ronald Reagan's. But the country faces different problems today.
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In 2010, during the 111th Congress, Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid shelved a cap-and-trade bill because too many Democrats opposed the bill during caucus meetings. And during his 2012 reelection campaign, President Obama conspicuously dodged speaking about climate change. Despite the failure of climate policy within his own party in the Senate, and after neglecting the issue altogether in 2012, President Obama in the summer of 2013 unveiled a far-reaching executive strategy for addressing global warming, known as the Climate Action Plan.
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So how did Katharine come to the opposite conclusion? I contacted her to find out, and she kindly told me she had used 1965 as the starting point for her analysis. As the graph clearly shows, 1965 was in the middle of a much cooler interlude which lasted from about 1960 to 1985. Since 1985 temperatures have recovered to the sort of levels seen between 1920 and 1960. Indeed the average temperature during the last decade is very slightly lower than the average of the last 100 years and the last two winters have been much cooler than normal.
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Numerous studies in the past have shown that solar fluctuations on decadal, century, and millennial scales have had a significant impact on climate development. In December 2012 another impressivestudy appeared on the subject in the Journal of Geophysical Research . Jing-Song Wang and Liang Zhao from the National Satellite Meteorological Center and the National Climate Center in Peking respectively studied the impact of the 11-year solar activity cycle on June precipitation of various regions in China during the 20th century. Here they checked the relationships using six statistical methods. In the summary of their paper both scientists wrote:
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You would never know from this that the its hiding in the oceans excuse is just one unproven hypothesisand one that implies that natural variation exaggerated the warming in the 1990s, so reinforcing the lukewarm argument. Nor would you know (as Andrew Bolt recounts in his chapter in The Facts ) that the pause in global warming contradicts specific and explicit predictions such as this, from the UK Met Office: by 2014 were predicting it will be 0.3 degrees warmer than in 2004. Or that the length of the pause is now past the point where many scientists said it would disprove the hypothesis of rapid man-made warming. Dr Phil Jones, head of the Climatic Research Unit at the University of East Anglia, said in 2009: Bottom line: the no upward trend has to continue for a total of 15 years before we get worried. It now has.
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The ideas of the evangelical church regarding energy policy will likely motivate responsible citizens to terminate their church memberships. The evangelical church should rather recommit to their proper mission, namely the annunciation of the Gospel of Jesus Christ.
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The UK Governments former chief scientific adviser has accused green activists of putting the fight against climate change at risk by wanting to take society back to the 17th century.
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Accumulated Cyclone (hurricanes, in the North Atlantic) Energy across the world: we are near a 30 year low.
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The latest bid in the climate Dutch Auction comes from a paper published in Nature. According to authors Markus Huber & Reto Knutti, if you dial down transient climate response to 1.8c / doubling of CO2, and conceded around 0.15c to a combination of bad luck (lack of El Nino events) and the drop in solar activity, and squint really hard, you can just about fit the data to the models.
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Another total lie has been that the Sunderbans in Bangladesh are sinking on account of the rise in sea level. The IPCC claimed that one-fifth of Bangladesh will be under water by 2050. Well, it turns out this is an absurd, unscientific and outrageous claim. According to scientists at the Centre for Environmental and Geographical Information Services (Cegis) in Dhaka, its surface area appears to be growing by 20 sq km annually. Cegis has based its results on more than 30 years of satellite imagery. IPCC has not retracted this claim. As far as they are concerned, Bangladesh is a goner by 2050, submerged forever in the Bay of Bengal.
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In an interview with The Independent , Mrs Metcalfe said: Our challenge is a democratic one: the UK and EU are by-passing the proper environmental and economic assessments and legally-binding procedures related to democratic accountability. Scotland, she said, is being turned into a hedgehog as a result, being covered with more than 3,500 wind turbines without due regard for the growing scientific evidence which shows they have a profoundly damaging effect on the local ecology and on peoples health. Such devastating changes might be merited if we had the information to enable us to understand the benefits. Many of the supposed claims by government are now proving to be the opposite of what they say.
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I think an investigation needs to be launched to determine why taxpayer money is being spent on creating such rubbish. Taxpayers have the right to get answers.
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Environmentalists are quick to disparage their opponents as "fossil-fuel funded." How ironic, then, that one of the largest contributors to prominent green groups since 2007 has been the natural gas industry. These donations, in turn, were used to fund anti-coal activities, including media campaigns. Needless to say, anti-coal advertisements are beneficial to the gas industry, because the two fossil fuels compete in the electricity-generating market. One cannot help but draw the inescapable conclusion that certain major environmentalist groups act like fossil-fuel shills.
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Turns out a little extra carbon dioxide in the air will add to your experience as the extra CO2 boosts productivity of those perfect-with-anything pineapples from our Pacific paradise.
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TF: You are omitting the key detailI wrote that they could not provide temperature predictions on a decadal level. Which they cannot. The chosen period for total temperature change is usually 50 years or more.
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Speaking of Google , a rentseeking utility executive is now worried about the energy/climate dogs he helped unleash.
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Heres the essential fact to bear in mind. The tar sands of northern Alberta are the second-largest pool of carbon on earth, second only to Saudi Arabia.
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This has nothing to do with global warming. The oceans are, of course, risingvery slowlyas they have been doing for thousands of years, since the end of the last Ice Age. The rate of rise has not increased.
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Climatologists are pessimistic that political leaders will take any positive action to compensate for the climatic change, or even to allay its effects.
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Australias antarctic runway melting | Border Chronicle
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Cuba self-employed to pay taxes up to 50 percent:
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The third point is that the sole support for predictions of dangerous warming are climate modelsbut they are faulty . We know this because observations over the last 20 years or so show the observed temperatures becoming increasingly cooler than the model predictions. This is easily verified. Let me repeat: the climate models are proved to be wrong.
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Pederson's refusal to respond made it very clear that warmists don't want to publicly acknowledge any cooling over the past 12 or 13 years (from 1997 in the U.S. and probably everywhere else, too). And so, they pour scorn on anyone, like Murphy or myself, who dares to mention it.
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But commercial companies, no matter how skilled or innovative, can't conquer space alone. It may be hard for some conservatives to admit, but there are still things government does best, because it can muster more critical resources technological, scientific, and monetary than the market can readily supply.
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4. The behavior of global averaged annual warming in the last several years has not conformed to their expectations. To attribute this absence of warming to the occurrence of La Nia, as some have done (e.g. see ),is inappropriate as that climate feature is as much a part of climate system as any other component.
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It is tempting for governments and reflexive central planners to try and come up with schemes, incentives, policies, and regulations to direct and cherry pick from the well of innovation. They get lucky episodically, but history shows they mostly fail. "Successful technologies are pulled along by the needs of the buyers, not pushed along by the ideology of the sellers," says Freeman Dyson, professor emeritus at Princeton and one of the great scientists of the 20th century still living and lucidly pontificating.
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Satellite measurements show global sea level has risen merely 0.83 inches during the first decade of the twenty-first century (a pace of eight inches for the century) and has barely risen at all since 2006. This puts alarmists in the embarrassing position of defending predictions that are not coming true in the real world.
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Scientific uncertainty plagues all aspects of multinational climate change negotiations. In large complex natural systems like the climate and its interaction with GHG accumulations, any damages accumulate in unknown or uncertain ways across time and space. Naturally, not all populations of the countries across the planet assess this damage uncertainty in the same manner. This makes it difficult for citizens in any country to determine how they will be affected under different GHG emission controls. Most of the costs will be up front, whereas the benefits are projected to accrue far into the future, perhaps taking multiple generations. Moreover, the understanding of global and regional climate systems, their interactions, and feedbacks with rising GHG levels is highly imperfect.
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Cuba to drill five new oil wells by 2013:
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"Former Vice President Dick Cheney has to be smiling. With one exception, none of the Republicans running for the Senate including the 20 or so with a serious chance of winning accept the scientific consensus that humans are largely responsible for global warming."
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Consider California's decision to "lead by example" on global warming. Environmentalists argued that Washington was negligent in fighting climate change at the federal level. Hence California had no choice but to tackle a national problem at the state level. California implemented standards that are considerably more strict than those required (for now) by Washington.
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The Heritage Foundation is a public policy, research, and educational organization recognized as exempt under section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. It is privately supported and receives no funds from any government at any level, nor does it perform any government or other contract work.
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The story seems to be that the land is rising, increasing the carrying capacity of the oceans. This would effectively reduce the amount of sea level rise expected, and we couldn't have that - hence the "adjustment". The effect of the adjustment appears to be small when put against the projected rises, but is certainly material against the actual changes recorded (although these are, per Morner, wrong).
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Turning to climate change Clinton went through a litany of horrors associated with warming: "Concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere are at their highest levels in more than 200,000 years and climbing sharply. If this trend does not change, scientists expect the seas to rise two feet or more over the next century." He continued, "Climate changes will disrupt agriculture, cause severe droughts and floods and the spread of infectious diseases, which will be a big enough problem for us under the best of circumstances in the 21st century."
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Lets see who are skeptical. There is Paul Biggs , Bob Carter who else?
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4) Climate Models Can??t Even Hindcast How did climate modelers, who already knew the answer, still fail to explain the lack of a significant temperature rise over the last 30+ years? In other words, how to you botch a hindcast?
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Violent conflict increases vulnerability to climate change (medium evidence, high agreement). Large-scale violent conflict harms assets that facilitate adaptation, including infrastructure, institutions, natural resources, social capital, and livelihood opportunities.
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As the chart depicts over 12 different time periods (all ending July 2014), reality is that while CO2 levels keep increasing over time, the long-term temperature warming trend (the red curve) is not rapidly accelerating towards a tipping point of climate catastrophe.
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Thankfully, the Supreme Court took the highly unusual step of halting implementation of Obama's climate plan until its legality is judged by federal courts. In the meantime, Hickenlooper is imitating the president's embrace of regal prerogatives.
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A team of Climate Audit regulars have finally had their paper refuting Steig et al's headline grabbing Antarctic temperature record accepted by Journal of Climate. The big story is not that Steig has been dumped but that the team are still moving heaven and earth to keep critical papers out of the literature.
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President Bush responds to reports of appalling conditions at Walter Reed Army Medical Center.
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Since climate scientists carefully calibrate the models to simulate the actual number of clay particles in the atmosphere, the paper suggests that models most likely err when it comes to the number of silt particles. Most of these larger particles swirl in the atmosphere within about 1,000 miles of desert regions, so adjusting their quantity in computer models should generate better projections of future climate in desert regions, such as the southwestern United States and northern Africa.
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From 1700-1998, temperature rose at a near-uniform rate of about 1 F per century . In 1998, global warming stopped, and it has not resumed since: indeed, in the past seven years, temperature has been falling at a rate equivalent to as much as 0.7 F per decade .
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That would be a tragedy. By allowing developing countries to use their comparative advantageinexpensive laborinternational free trade has proven the fastest route out of poverty for hundreds of millions of people. To avoid giving atmospheric chemistry priority over human welfare, the aid industry should ensure that the risks of global warming policies are considered as rigorously as the risks of global warming itself.
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For more on this issue: Time for Big Cuts in Education Spending?
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Today, my friendly neighborhood Potbelly Sandwich Shop posted dozens of small flyers along the ordering line, asking: Where are the tomatoes? The flyer explained:
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Hurricane Andrew in 1992 was the last category 5 hurricane to hit the US. Top scientists tell us that global warming makes hurricanes more intense.
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The mainstream media loves Democrat lies , especially if the lies support their beloved climate change hoax agenda. The growing Fakegate climate science scandal is an example of such.
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What we get instead is sophistry. In AIT, the only facts and studies considered are those convenient to Gore's scare-them-green agendaand in many instances, Gore distorts the evidence he presents.
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My ostracism from the IPCC advocacy tribe has been noted by other scientists that are quietly sympathetic to my position. As an example, several years ago at a conference, one of the speakers was quite critical of one piece of the conventional IPCC wisdom, but prefaced the talk with the statement something like this: While my talk contains some evidence that challenges some of the findings of the IPCC, I want to state up front that I support the IPCC consensus on climate change. After the talk, I asked this scientist why he felt the need to preface his talk with a statement of IPCC allegiance, when his research was rather devastating to part of the IPCCs argument. He stated I dont want to have to put up with what you have had to, so I make it very clear that I support the IPCC consensus.
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These are interesting questions. As I noted in my post the other day , I wonder if the militants in the UK have been put on the back foot by the Climategate revelations. That there are militants who have poisoned the debate and wrought havoc on the careers of dissenting scientists is not in doubt. But it is important to note that there are honest scientists and that they are operating in the same milieu as the militants. It is therefore necessary to make nice and to realise that demanding that the good guys condemn every transgression by the bad guys is not going to get anywhere.
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In summing things up, Pansch et al . write that "given their present wide tolerance and the possibility to adapt to shifting environmental conditions over many generations, barnacles ( A. improvisus ) from the Western Baltic Sea might be able to overcome OA as predicted by the end of this century." And, "supporting this," they note that Parker et al . (2011) have shown "selectively bred lines of the estuarine oyster Saccostrea glomerata to be more resilient to OA than wild populations." Consequently, as in so many other cases of knee-jerk predictions of impending CO 2 -induced catastrophe, both global warming and ocean acidification appear not to be the quite the demons they have been made out to be within another coastal marine-life setting.
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U.S. Derided for Failing to Cut Greenhouse Gas Emissions
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Thanks, Ben. But I must admit no one looks good on tv!
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And our climate models did not forecast it, even though man-made carbon dioxide, the gas thought to be responsible for warming our planet, has continued to rise.
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OK, now Im realizing that this is an interesting place to visit and thinking maybe I need to look for some historical data on the Czech Republic spring to know just how normal, or not, this Prague Spring might be
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So: you've been hired to be the MC at a sales awards presentation for a local fireplace company, but the security guards at the country club venue refuse to open the remote-control gate because you'd insulted them a few days earlier, and then , when you're trying to get in by climbing over the wrought-iron fence, you impale your foot on a spike, losing several pints of blood, and then... I'm sure we've all had days like that. The comments are open, as always, for your Reader Tips.
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BTW, this means polar bears survived this extreme ice shrinkage in the past and will do so again.
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So one has to be rather careful and always ask: What is the exact question for which a consensus has been claimed?
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Finally, the agency's woeful deadline performance in reviewing State Implementation Plans puts the states in a bind. In order to guide states in their compliance with the Clean Air Act, the EPA periodically publishes memorandums that tell states what EPA is looking for when the agency reviews the state plans. Naturally, these memorandums change when political control of the EPA shifts from one president to the next. EPA is so late in reviewing state plansup to ten years latethat the review period will encompass more than one guidance memo. The upshot is that states are faced with moving targets.
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14. Costa Rica - Agreement Regarding a Debt-for-Nature Swap with Respect to Certain Debt Owed by the Central Bank of Costa Rica to the Government of the United States
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Rumors are circulating on Capitol Hill that McCain plans to force another vote on S. 139 by using the same tactics if his party leadership requires his vote on some key procedural matter this summer. It is also rumored that Senator John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) is urging his ten Democratic colleagues who voted no on S. 139 last October to switch their votes and thereby pass the bill. It is surmised by some Senate staff that the Kerry presidential campaign believe this outcome would help Kerry and hurt President Bush in the election.
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if n elements(yrloc) ne n elements(valadj) then message,'Oooops!'
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Moreover, California's comparatively low per-capita energy use is not chiefly due to its DSM policies but to other factors that most other states cannot replicate.
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Nazi Bunker to Become Europe's Largest Solar Power Plant
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p.s. Id be interested to know what Emeritus Chair Im about to be offered!
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A trio of oil companies led by Chevron Corp. has tapped a petroleum pool deep beneath the Gulf of Mexico that has the potential to boost the nation's reserves by more than 50 percent. A test well indicates it could be the biggest domestic oil discovery since Alaska's Prudhoe Bay more than a generation ago.
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The old-timers of doomsaying keep plugging away to a smaller and smaller audience, with each iteration of the old time religion sounding more and more like Woody Allen's famous commencement speech from the 1970s: "More than at any other time in history, mankind faces a crossroads. One path leads to despair and utter hopelessness. The other, to total extinction. Let us pray we have the wisdom to choose correctly." The doomsayers' theory seems to be that if they repeat these themes enough, it will get through our thick skulls. To paraphrase Karl Marx, this represents the poverty of environmental philosophy. You get the feeling that if someone in Hollywood did produce a remake of Soylent Green, these authors would rush to see it on opening night and pronounce it brilliant and believable.
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But the models accomplish it incorrectly. They underestimate the warming of the North Atlantic (Figure 13) by a little,but overestimate the warming of sea surface temperatures in the South Atlantic (Figure 14) by a huge margin.
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This followed U.S. Attorney General Loretta Lynch's disclosure early last month that the Justice Department had discussed pursuing civil action against so-called climate-change deniers, and she had "referred it to the FBI to consider whether or not it meets the criteria for" an investigation under the Racketeer Influenced and Corrupt Organizations (RICO) Act of 1970.
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Roy Glauber's Nobel Prize stolen
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No major source may be constructed unless subject to BACT in ?any area? to which the PSD program applies. The term ?any area? can only refer to one thing: a NAAQS attainment area. The NAAQS program is clearly the context for the directive specified in CAA 165(a)(4). The most sensible reading of the sentence is that each major facility built or modified in a NAAQS attainment area must comply with BACT standards for pollutants subject to regulation under the NAAQS program. Why? Because the distinction between attainment and non-attainment areas has relevance only to NAAQS-regulated air pollutants.
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Eventually the waters will recede, bodies will be buried, clean-ups will commence, money will be paid out or borrowed and people will start again. Strangely however, Australian climate scientists have been noticeably absent in the media during these floods. Not on television, newspaper or radio. Not a peep. They were queuing up to get their earnest dials on TV after the hot summer and tragic deaths of the Victorian bushfires. Solemn looks, hand clasping, oh dear, if youd only listened to us. Of course, theyd predicted this warming and were more than happy to tell us about it.
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In 1929, when spectral analysis revealed a red shift in distant galaxies, astronomer Edwin Hubble speculated that this might be due to acceleration away from Earth and a possible expanding universe. Before he could reflect on other possible explanations, a radio interview stumbled onto the phrase Big Bang and a run-away train left the station. Dr Hubble was uncomfortable with both the concept and the catchy nick-name, but he had a conflict of interest on this issue.
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She then attempts to frame Bjorn Lomborg as a convert from scepticism, using some highly selective quotes from past newspaper interviews:
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In the first decade afterwards, the West was simply too focused on the "second Cold War" against the Soviet Bloc to ponder the meaning of the revolutions engineered by Den Xiao Ping in China and Khomenei in Iran. In the second decade, a victorious West, indulging in rhetorical self-intoxication, mistook the most recent stage of a century-old globalization process for the end of history and even geography.
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It always astounds me when Harvard High Flyers put up something that makes no sense.
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A new study using a reconstruction of North American drought history over the last 1,000 years found that the drought of 1934 was the driest and most widespread of the last millennium.
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