ullivan who is the Director (as at July 2018). Coca-Cola products are manufactured in about six countries and presence of the businesses have been indicated under New Zealand & Fiji brands, Australian Beverages, Indonesia & PNG, Alcohol & Coffee and SPC Ardmona. The company was incorporated in 1927 with an employee strength of 13.00 k.
I am hopelessly in love with formal bone china. My parents have two services—Herend Chinese Bouquet in green and, my favorite, Wedgwood Florentine with gold dragons. They had started on a third, Limoges Vieux Chine. It’s an 18th century design featuring bright orange poppies with blue and green florals and even a hit of lavender, but was discontinued in the 1980s. It’s completely over the top and I’ve been crazy about it since I can remember. When Mr. Foodinista and I were engaged and wanting to register for china, we never found anything we liked quite so much and so my dad gave us their four settings of Vieux Chine as a starter kit. We’ve slowly added pieces ever since. My most recent eBay score is this gorgeous vegetable dish, which I got for $56 but retails on Replacements.com for $300+!!!MAGNUS Hedman admits it?s time for the Sky Blues to pull themselves together and get a grip on their season.
The City goalkeeper is disappointed at the way his teammates reacted when they went a goal down to Norwich and says players have to be more disciplined to stop picking up costly bookings.
Five Coventry players collected yellow cards in the 2-0 defeat at Carrow Road, leaving them treading a fine line for the rest of the game and edging nearer to suspension.
?It is time for us to face facts,? warned Hedman, increasingly concerned with City?s form which has seen them lose six of the last eight matches and slip to eighth in the table, 12 points behind top placed Burnley.
?The first goal was very unlucky from our point of view but it is how they got it and the way we responded to it that was the problem.
?They played it through our back four very easily and then the guy?s shot or cross went in off Mo Konjic?s leg. On another day that would have gone over, but it is not down to that. You have to react the right way and I don?t think we did that.
?Even at 2-0 down they looked more likely to score a third goal than us getting one back.
?We played some good football in the middle of the pitch but they had the better chances in the second half. It is not all about possession, though. If you look at the statistics, the less passes you can do, the easier it is to get to the goal and that?s when you score.?
He added:?The indiscipline is also very disappointing. Shouting at the referee only makes you lose your concentration, so our behaviour on the pitch is not acceptable.
?Yellow cards just lead to more suspensions and it takes the concentration away of the players involved and the other players as well.
?We have to make sure we have a stronger team spirit so that if someone is out of order, his teammates tell him.
?But it is really down to the individuals to take responsibility. I can?t blame the manager or his staff at all because they have been telling us one thing and we have been going out and doing the opposite, and it has been like that for a long time.?CHRISTMAS came early for the hardworking midwives and doctors at Leighton Hospital when they received a festive treat from family baker Roberts Bakery.
Roberts, delivered some platters of delicious Christmas-themed turkey, stuffing and cranberry and pork and spiced apple sandwiches to the 65-strong team at their superb new maternity unit.
The unit was re-opened in October following an extensive six month refurbishment.
Andy Matzen was on hand to present the sandwiches to the staff.
And midwife Tamsin Williamson, who had delivered little Ellie May Barlow just that morning, looked delighted to receive a well earned lunch. Ellie, who weighed in at 9lb 2oz, slept peacefully before being handed back to mum Laura and dad David.
The tasty sandwich flavours were created by Roberts Bakery as part of its ‘12 Tastes of Christmas’ campaign which aims to inject a little excitement into the humble festive sandwich.
The company has developed 11 mouth-watering sandwich recipes and is running a competition for customers to invent the 12th flavour.
The creator of the winning sandwich will bag a festive hamper overflowing with goodies.
Kyle Ellis has been hired as Director of Strategic Programs for the Society of News Design.
Kyle Ellis, SND’s digital director and a volunteer for nearly five years, has accepted a one-year contract to help the Society achieve the objectives of a Knight Foundation grant announced late last month. In his role as Director of Strategic Programs, Ellis will be tasked with fostering the continued growth and sustainability of SNDMakes, assisting with the launch of SNDExp, managing program outreach efforts, and building a peer-to-peer learning community outside the context of SND events.
Ellis will work hand-in-hand with a stellar team of industry thought leaders, which include SND board members Chris Courtney, Ramla Mahmood, Matt Mansfield, Miranda Mulligan, and incoming Secretary/Treasurer Tyson Evans.
In the next year, nearly 250 individuals will have the opportunity to participate in the SNDMakes and SNDExp programs across eight events. While ‘Makes’ is about leveraging design-thinking principles to explore the modern challenges faced by media organizations, SNDExp will be about working hand-in-hand with smaller media outlets, universities and NGOs to improve the quality of storytelling at those organizations.
“The work ahead represents a tremendous opportunity to help SND realize its mission, while building a community that champions continued learning and innovation in digital media. I’m humbled the Society’s leadership has entrusted me with this responsibility, and I’m eager to hit the ground running,” Ellis said.
SND is known for its one-off programs such as SNDMakes and Quick Courses, but through the Knight grant, Ellis will facilitate a continued conversation to sustain SNDMakes and SNDExp well into the future.
Ellis is currently a product manager at American City Business Journals in Charlotte, North Carolina. He will join SND full-time later this month."Biocrusts" make their own sunscreen, absorbing sunlight and increasing soil surface temperatures.
Estimating lengths-of-stay of hospitalised COVID-19 patients using a non-parametric model: a case study in Galicia (Spain)

Estimating the lengths-of-stay (LoS) of hospitalised COVID-19 patients is key for predicting the hospital beds’ demand and planning mitigation strategies, as overwhelming the healthcare systems has critical consequences for disease mortality. However, accurately mapping the time-to-event of hospital outcomes, such as the LoS in the intensive care unit (ICU), requires understanding patient trajectories while adjusting for covariates and observation bias, such as incomplete data. Standard methods, such as the Kaplan-Meier estimator, require prior assumptions that are untenable given current knowledge. Using real-time surveillance data from the first weeks of the COVID-19 epidemic in Galicia (Spain), we aimed to model the time-to-event and event probabilities of patients’ hospitalised, without parametric priors and adjusting for individual covariates. We applied a non-parametric mixture cure model and compared its performance in estimating hospital ward (HW)/ICU LoS to the performances of commonly used methods to estimate survival. We showed that the proposed model outperformed standard approaches, providing more accurate ICU and HW LoS estimates. Finally, we applied our model estimates to simulate COVID-19 hospital demand using a Monte Carlo algorithm. We provided evidence that adjusting for sex, generally overlooked in prediction models, together with age is key for accurately forecasting HW and ICU occupancy, as well as discharge or death outcomes.


Introduction
As of January 2021, SARS-CoV-2 transmission continues to increase in most countries worldwide [1], and in those countries where control has been achieved, resurgences are expected [2] before effective vaccines are widely available. Within the main challenges of the pandemic, overwhelming the healthcare systems has critical consequences on disease mortality [3]. Thus, understanding and predicting inpatient lengths-of-stay (LoS) and critical-care demand remain some of the major components of outbreak monitoring for decision-making and contingency planning.
Predicting hospital demand entails estimating a patient's LoS and the probability of hospital outcomes such as requiring admission to the intensive care unit (ICU). Estimation of these variables is challenging as it requires investigating the patients' trajectories, and it must account for complexities in the data. For example, the LoS of some inpatients may be censored because the study ends before the patient leaves the hospital facility. The LoS of COVID-19 patients has been studied using parametric models [4], semi-parametric methods [5] and non-parametric estimators [3,6].
Parametric and semi-parametric approaches are often preferred due to their simplicity and ease of interpretation, but they require the LoS to conform to a predefined fixed model. Estimations based on non-validated assumptions can be significantly biased. Thus, nonparametric approaches, which do not require model assumptions, should be used when estimating COVID-19 LoS in the absence of solid knowledge.
The Kaplan-Meier (KM)