 a peg.
As it turns out, the second wild cards in 1998 would have been the Blue Jays and the Giants, and while the Blue Jays’ 1993 win was a lot more recent back then, the Giants were in quite a drought of their own, dating back to 1954. That means that the 1998 season still has an edge over this season, with a 37.9 average and a 37.5 median drought.
Obviously, there are a few ways that 2015 could see its numbers change. If you want to root for more big-drought teams, your best options at this point are rooting for the Nationals (never, founded 1969) or for the Yankees to fall and the Twins (1991), Angels (2002), or Rays (never, founded 1998) to take their place. However, it’s worth noting that it seems just as likely for relatively-recent winners to knock out some big drought teams; the Giants are just as far out of their division as the Nationals are theirs, and the Yankees are the first wild card team, meaning both the mystery second team AND Rangers (or Astros, should they fall behind the Rangers) would need to overtake them. We probably aren’t going to see these numbers get too much higher.
One other interesting point to note is expansion teams. I gave the run-down last year on how there’s never been an all-expansion team World Series before. 2014 was again a disappointment in this regard, as 3 expansion teams made it to October, but the Nationals lost in round one to eventual champs San Francisco, leaving the Royals no one to match up against after knocking out the Angels. Is there a chance this year of the all-expansion drought to end?
Actually, yes. If the standings hold as is, we’ll see the most expansion teams in the postseason we’ve ever seen, with five. However, the odds for an all-expansion World Series are much lower than you might think due to the distribution of those teams. Four of them are in the AL (Blue Jays, Royals, Astros, Rangers), meaning the NL representative will have to be whoever wins the NL East (the Mets are the only NL team, and even if they fall, the Nationals will take their place). By my back-of-the-envelope calculations, if you assume a 50/50 chance of winning each series (not the most accurate, but it’s pretty close), that gives us a roughly 22% chance of our first Expansion World Series.
If anything changes, the odds are more likely to go down than up, seeing as the Yankees could win the AL East outright, or the Twins could overtake the Rangers. But there’s also the distant chance of the Angels or Rays and the Rangers passing the Yankees. Either way, I don’t see the odds staying between 19% and 22%, with the absolute minimum and maximum being about 15.5% and 25%. Either way, just at a glance, I don’t think our odds of an All-Expansion Series have been this good at the start of a postseason in nearly three decades.Can you have multiple crowd instances for the same atlassian instances?
Meaning can we have two crowd instances used to authenticate against one jira instance?
We just had an outage and I'm trying to think of a way to not have my current crowd server be a single point of failure.
Is this something that can only be done with the datacenter version.
Or can I just standup another instance.
But the short answer to the body of the question is "no". If you created three Crowd servers, and then added "Rob" and "Nic" to all three of them, with the same login, email, location, inside-leg-measurement and so-on, then your Jira would see six different users, two per directory. You could then do some clever stuff with alisasing, but you'd have to do it for every user, and groups wouldn't support it.
This is not a solution for resilience.
Crowd Data Center is the solution for reslience - it will look like one directory, and if one of the nodes dies, the others will carry on providing that single directory with a single list of non-duplicated users.
Thanks for explaining my options.
The answer from Nic doesn’t quite align with my experience (and we massively rely on Crowd). If you had two crowd servers connected to Jira, a user will be synced and authenticated from the first directory that the username exists in, there’s a connection timeout for each directory as well, so if |||EMAIL_ADDRESS||| is in the top 2 directories, directory 1 is attempted, if the timeout is reached, it’ll move on to directory 2.
As for group memberships, if a the same username is in GroupA in directory 1 and GroupB in directory 2, JIRA will place that user in GroupA and GroupB.
Even though you may be able to improve your resiliency with a multi crowd instance approach, I’m with Nic, invest in doing it “properly” using Crowd DC in a multi node approach. Crowd is critical to every piece of our Atlassian stack and since we love to DC our uptime has been ~ 99.99% - the downtime we do get generally comes from the VPNs of DCs that Crowd relies on to pull its users from, and that’s not Crowds fault.The Costs and Benefits of a Child Allowance

This paper conducts a cost benefit analysis of making the $2,000 Child Tax Credit in the federal income tax fully refundable and the more generous child allowance in the American Family Act (AFA) of $3600 per child age 0-5 and $3000 per child age 6-17. We estimate costs with a micro-simulation analysis. We estimate benefits with a systematic literature review of the highest quality evidence on the causal effects of cash and near-cash transfers. We found 20 studies that met our stringent criteria; all but one found positive effects. For child beneficiaries we examine future earnings and taxes paid, education attainment, and four health outcomes: birth weight, neo-natal mortality, health between age one and death, and longevity. For parent beneficiaries, we examine effects on their health, mental health, and longevity. We also estimate the declines in health expenditures that are associated with the improvements in both child and parent health and declines in expenditures on other transfer programs, child protective services, and the criminal justice system. Our baseline estimates suggest that making the $2000 per Child Tax Credit fully refundable and increasing its generosity are both remarkably good investments. The initial investment of making the $2000 Child Tax Credit fully refundable is roughly $25 billion per year and the benefits for society are nearly $300 billion. The cost of the more generous child allowance in the American Family Act is $100 billion per year and the social benefits are over $800 billion. We also conducted several sensitivity analyses. The sensitivity analyses indicate that there is a fair range of uncertainty about precisely how good an investment the AFA is. The most plausible estimates range from being a very good to an extraordinarily good investment in our Nation’s future. The Costs and Benefits of a Child Allowance 2 | P a g eSinger Mangli(మంగ్లీ) aka Sathyavathi Rathod is a well-known singer in Telugu film Industry.Mangli was born on 10 June 1994 in AP.She was born and brought up in Anantpur district, Andhra Pradesh.She is from a middle-class Banjara family.She became popular for her traditional Banjara attire.She mostly sings Telangana Folk & DJ songs,she became popular with Jaganana song during 2019 elections.
Mangli participated in the Topmost reality show, Bigg Boss season 4 which airs on the Star Maa channel.She entered the Bigg Boss season 4 as a wild card entry.
Mangli has done her schooling at Bharathiya Vidhya Bhavan’s International School, AP, and done her diploma in Carnatic music from Sri Venkateswara University, Andhra Pradesh.
Her father played a pivotal role in her success in the film industry.
Mangli has a younger brother and a younger sister.
Mangli made her debut in the year 2013 as a guest artist on the ‘V6 News’ channel for the special show, ‘Dhoom Dham’.After this, she appeared in the show ‘Teenmar News’ aired on ‘V6 News’channel.
Mangli has a huge fan base on her social media handles.
Mangli produced “Kanakavva Aada Nemali Song || Full Song || Mangli || Janu Lyri ” Folk Song created wonders in youtube with 15croros views,all mangli folk songs got huge response and view in youtube.
On the work front, currently, Mangli is working with the Telugu web channel, ‘MIC TV’ as an anchor and folk song singer.
Police Keep A Reward Of Rs 1 Lakh On Ram’s Uncle!
Pooja Hegde Is Charging A Hefty Fee For Upcoming Movies.
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