Shane Oliver's 13 common sense tips to help manage your finances | Urban.com.au
Expert insights Shane Oliver's 13 common sense tips to help manage your finances
Shane Oliver's 13 common sense tips to help manage your finances
We often shop around to get the best deal when it comes to consumer items but the same should apply to financial services. As Governor Lowe points out “don’t be shy to ask for a better deal whether for your mortgage, your electricity contract or your phone plan”.
So when getting a new financial service it makes sense to look around. And when it comes time to renew a service – say your home and contents insurance - and you find that the annual charge has gone up way in excess of inflation (which is currently around 2%) it makes sense to call your provider to ask what gives.
Debt is great, up too a point. It helps you have today what you would otherwise have to wait till tomorrow for.
So always make sure that you don’t take on so much debt that it may force you to sell all your investments just at the time you should be adding to them or worse still potentially send you bust.Or to sell your house when it has fallen in value.
A rough guide may be that when debt servicing costs exceed 30% of your income then maybe you have too much debt – but it depends on your income and expenses.
So as Governor Lowe observes “many borrowers have never experienced a rise in official interest rates”. But don’t be fooled by the recent history of falling or low rates.
My view is that an increase in rates is still a long way off (and they may even fall further first) - but that’s just a view and views can be wrong.
History tells us that eventually the interest rate cycle will turn up.
Just look at the US where after six years of near zero interest rates, official US interest rates have risen 2% over the last three years.
So never get a cash advance unless it’s an absolute emergency and always pay by the due date.
Sure the 20-21% rate sounds a rip-off but don’t forget that credit card debt is not secured by your house and at least the high rate provides that extra incentive to pay by the due date.
Obviously, this works best with assets that provide high returns on average over long periods.
But to make the most of it you have to start as early as possible. Which is why those piggy banks that banks periodically hand out to children have such merit in getting us into the habit of saving early.
Cash is safe but has low returns and that $1 will have only grown to $237 today.
Shares are volatile (& so have rough periods highlighted by arrows) but if you can look through that they will grow your wealth and that $1 will have grown to $526,399 by today.
It’s well known that the share market goes through rough patches.
The volatility seen in the share market is the price we pay for higher returns than most other asset classes over the long term.
But when it comes to property there seems to be an urban myth that it never goes down in value.
Of course property prices will always be smoother than share prices because it’s not traded daily and so is not subject to daily swings in sentiment. But history tells home prices do go down as well as up.
Japanese property prices fell for almost two decades after the 1980s bubble years, US and some European countries’ property values fell sharply in the GFC and the Australian residential property market has seen several episodes of falls over the years and of course we are going through one right now.
Hearing that $50 bn was wiped off the share market in one day sounda scary – but it tells you little about how much the market actually fell and you have only lost something if you actually sell out after the fall.
Scarier was the roughly 20% fall in share markets through 2015-16 and worse still the GFC that saw roughly 50% falls.
But such events happen every so often in share markets – the 1987 crash saw a 50% in a few months & Australian shares fell 59% over 1973-74. And after each the market has gone back up.
So, we have seen it all before even though the details may differ.
The housing boom in Australia that got underway in the mid 1990s and reached fever pitch in Sydney & Melbourne last year has left housing very unaffordable for many.
Hopefully the current home price correction underway will help in starting to correct that. But for Millennials in the meantime, if you can it makes sense to make the most of the “Mum and Dad bank”.
(Of course, changes to negative gearing if there is a change to a Labor Government could affect this.) Second consider leaning on your parents for help with a deposit.
Just don’t tell my kids this!
When it comes to borrowing & investing there is no free lunch – if something looks too good to be true (whether it’s ultra-low fees or interest rates or investment products claiming ultra-high returns & low risk) then it probably is and it’s best to stay away
In closing, I have focused here mainly on personal finance and investing at a very high level, as opposed to drilling into things like diversification and taking a long-term view to your investments.
DR SHANE OLIVER is the Head of Investment Strategy and Chief Economist AMP Capital
Financial Advice Shane Oliver