(abstract and organization; more to come)
EY's arguments from Overcoming Bias are linked in [[Intelligence explosion]].
The creation of a artificial general intelligence (AGI) is plausible. Humans are the first and only example we have of a general intelligence, but we have strong empirical and theoretical reasons for believing that we're nowhere near maximally intelligent. Sufficient understanding of ''intelligence'', or whatever similar concept can help us understand and account for human technological prowess, may allow researchers to duplicate the process in a computer. Computer-based AIs could potentially think much vaster than humans, expand onto new hardware, and undergo recursive self-improvement. These possibilities suggest that such an AGI, once created, is likely to undergo an ''intelligence explosion'', vastly increasing its capability to far beyond the human level on a very fast timescale.
**http://singinst.org/overview/whatisthesingularity
**http://singinst.org/overview/whyworktowardthesingularity
**http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/schools
-effects of hardware scale, minds that can be copied and run quickly, vs qualitative improvements
**http://singinst.org/upload/LOGI/seedAI.html
**http://yudkowsky.net/singularity/power
* '''Conclusions'''
* '''References'''
== Posts to be covered ==