The following claim demonstrates the fallacy in the context of a prosecutor questioning an expert witness: "the odds of finding this evidence on an innocent man are so small that the jury can safely disregard the possibility that this defendant is innocent". The claim obscures that the likelihood of the defendant's innocence, given the evidence found on him, in fact depends on the likely quite high prior odds of the defendant being a random innocent person – as well as the stated low odds of finding the evidence on such a random innocent person, not to mention the underlying high odds that the evidence is indeed indicative of guilt.