Raila Doctrine ambition in favor of Mwai Kibaki after his now famous proclamation Kibaki Tosha. After the election victory, Raila was to fall out with Mwai Kibaki after acrimoniously accusing Mwai Kibaki of failing to honor a pre-election MOU that they had allegedly signed. In 2007, Raila Odinga was poised to be the Kenya's fourth president after riding a ""popularity wave"". However, matters took a different turn when in the final minutes of tallying, votes started streaming in showing that Mwai Kibaki was actually winning the election. The ECK made a formal declaration, that Mwai Mibaki was the winner. This triggered widespread
Mwai Kibaki Stadium, Nairobi. Kalonzo Musyoka then broke away from Raila's ODM to mount his own fringe bid for the presidency, thus narrowing down the contest between the main candidates, Kibaki, the incumbent, and Odinga. Opinion polls up to election day showed Kibaki behind Raila Odinga nationally, but closing. On regional analysis, the polls showed him behind Raila in all regions of the country except Central Province, Embu and Meru, where he was projected to take most of the votes, and behind Kalonzo Musyoka in Kalonzo's native Ukambani. It was thus projected to be a close election between Kibaki and Raila. The