Colour state other than clouds or low visibility (e.g. ice or other obstructions) then the word BLACK is written in full and placed immediately before the actual colour state (e.g. BLACKWHT). The colour state may be appended to a METAR report. A short period forecast called a "TREND" which covers the following two hours from the observation may also be added, often with reference to the colour state. The following criteria are used to determine the colour state: Colour state Colour states is a system used for quickly showing meteorological conditions. Meteorological colour states are determined by the relevant worst condition from
Expert elicitation fields. Prominent recent expert elicitation applications include climate change, modeling seismic hazard and damage, association of tornado damage to wind speed in developing the Enhanced Fujita scale, risk analysis for nuclear waste storage. In performing expert elicitation certain factors need to be taken into consideration. The topic must be one for which there are people who have predictive expertise. Furthermore, the objective should be to obtain an experts' carefully considered judgment based on a systematic consideration of all relevant evidence. For this reason one should take care to adopt strategies designed to help the expert being interviewed to avoid overlooking