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These regional recordings shown strong spatial variations in amplitude and duration that are consistent with rupture directivity effects. The duration of ground motion of the December event to the north in Thailand was about 600 seconds, while the duration in other directions, including Sumatra, was about 1,000 seconds. Earthquake Rupture Models
A segment of the Sunda Megathrust Fault off the coast of Sumatra (Indonesia), which has not ruptured since 1797, is fully primed and ready to go. When it does, itâs predicted to trigger a massive earthquake â as high as magnitude 8.8 â as well as a 5-6m-high tsunami. The devastating waves will reach the Indonesian city of Padang â population close to 1 million â within 30 minutes.