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Another way of looking at how long a transplanted kidney is likely to last is to look at the percentage chance that the kidney will be working at set time points.1  a 90% chance (eight or nine out of ten) of working one year after the operation. 2  a 60% chance (six out of ten) of lasting five years;nother way of looking at how long a transplanted kidney is likely to last is to look at the percentage chance that the kidney will be working at set time points.
If you have a rare tissue type, it reduces your chances of getting a transplant. The average wait for a kidney transplant is about 3 years. Most people on the list for 5 years will get a kidney, and could get a transplant at any time if the tissue type match is perfect. It is important to note that these are average numbers â it can be two days, or ten years.