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Baileys website actually says that they guarantee their flavor for 2 years in an open or closed bottle refrigerated or not so long as it remains out of direct sun light. They also add they have a shelf life (seal unbroken) of 30 months.
Average Life Expectancy. The average life expectancy for a properly maintained refrigerator is between 14 and 17 years, depending on model and size. Compact refrigerators typically run for 14 years on average, while a standard refrigerator will run up to 17 years. The life expectancy of your refrigerator is affected by how well it is cared for and its construction. Some models may last only about 10 years, while others may run for up to 19 years.