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Baileys website actually says that they guarantee their flavor for 2 years in an open or closed bottle refrigerated or not so long as it remains out of direct sun light. They also add they have a shelf life (seal unbroken) of 30 months.
Average Life Expectancy. The average life expectancy for a properly maintained refrigerator is between 14 and 17 years, depending on model and size. Compact refrigerators typically run for 14 years on average, while a standard refrigerator will run up to 17 years.