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Tropical cyclones, also called typhoons and hurricanes, usually occur at predictable times of year in distinct parts of the world. Tropical storms lose their strength as they move over land. The range of error in the forecast of the path of a tropical storm can be significant.
The Philippines sit astride the typhoon belt, and the country suffers an annual onslaught of dangerous storms from July through October. These are especially hazardous for northern and eastern Luzon and the Bicol and Eastern Visayas regions, but Manila gets devastated periodically as well.