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Baileys website actually says that they guarantee their flavor for 2 years in an open or closed bottle refrigerated or not so long as it remains out of direct sun light. They also add they have a shelf life (seal unbroken) of 30 months.
Baileys slims down to fit in the fridge: Bottle shape changes after 40 years. Best-selling tipple Baileys is scrapping its distinctive bottle shape after almost 40 years...so that drinkers can keep it in the fridge door.