An inversion would most likely be a signal that a recession is imminent. An inverted yield curve has a perfect track record of predicting recessions, according to RBC's Jonathan Golub. You can see this in the chart below â the shaded areas are recessions. Business Insider
As pregnancy tests, quantitative blood tests and the most sensitive urine tests usually detect hCG between 6 and 12 days after ovulation. However, it must be taken into account that total hCG levels may vary in a very wide range within the first 4 weeks of gestation, leading to false results during this period.
HCG levels in your blood increase rapidly if you really are pregnant -- they should double approximately every 48 hours -- so you should be able to trust the negative test result if you took the test about a week after you missed your period.