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The Congressional Budget Office says that federal spending for major health care programs and Social Security are on track to 14 percent of the gross domestic product by 2038, twice the 7 percent average of the past 40 years.
Mandatory spending makes up nearly two-thirds of the total federal budget. Social Security alone comprises more than a third of mandatory spending and around 23 percent of the total federal budget. Medicare makes up an additional 23 percent of mandatory spending and 15 percent of the total federal budget. This chart shows where the projected $2.45 trillion in mandatory spending will go in fiscal year 2015.