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5 Years 5 seasons. If they hit season 6, and the flashbacks of 5 years ago occur, it will be of season 1. Another reason why i think it will be 5 seasons. The ending of Season 3, Oliver mentions to Diggle that he has been with him for 3 years. 3 Years 3 seasons.
Re: How many seasons do you think Arrow will or should have? Well, the island origin is suppose to span 5 years, 5 years could equal 5 seasons... Of course they could expand on it if it's still doing well and have more stories to tell. I'd be happy with at least 5 seasons though. As long as the quality remains at the level they have reached.