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Another way of looking at how long a transplanted kidney is likely to last is to look at the percentage chance that the kidney will be working at set time points.1  a 90% chance (eight or nine out of ten) of working one year after the operation. 2  a 60% chance (six out of ten) of lasting five years;nother way of looking at how long a transplanted kidney is likely to last is to look at the percentage chance that the kidney will be working at set time points.
The success of a kidney transplant graft depends on the strength of the match between donor and recipient and the source of the kidney. Cadaver kidneys have a four-year survival rate of 66%, compared to an 80.9% survival rate for living donor kidneys.