WMA is better than SMA because of the ability to vary the weights! Time Series: Exponential Smoothing (ES) Main idea: The prediction of the future depends mostly on the most recent observation, and on the error for the latest forecast.
New Furnace Costs. A new furnace cost roughly $3,800 and most homeowners pay between $3,250 and $4,420 to install a new furnace. The lowest price that a homeowner might pay is $1,500, while the maximum price a homeowner has reported paying for a furnace replacement or installation was $8,000.
Furnace Average Costs. The actual cost of a new furnace is subject to vary based on your location, the product selected, the complexity of the installation (i.e. whether the existing ductwork and exhaust flue also need to be upgraded), and other factors. 1  A wall furnace averages $750 to $1,500 installed. Efficiency: Furnace efficiency measures how much fuel a unit converts to heat, and how much is lost up the chimney. 2  The national minimum efficiency standard is 78%, while some new models are up to 98.2% efficient. 3  The latter cost more, but will cut fuel costs and are better for the planet.