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In 2007, Russia produced roughly 9.8 million barrels per day (1.56 Ã10. 6 m 3 /d) of liquids, consumed roughly 2.8 million barrels per day (450 Ã10. 3 m 3 /d) in liquids, and exported (in net) around 7 million barrels per day (1.1 Ã10. 6 m 3 /d). Over 70 percent of Russian oil production was exported, while the remaining 30 percent was refined locally.
But the near-term impact on oil markets is likely to be far less significant, despite Iranâs large natural gas and oil reserves. The bottom line is that a deal with Iran would likely add only about 500,000 barrels/day to the 90-million-barrel daily oil market over the next 12 months. This would be a non-trivial amount, but not a game changer. Our baseline is for prices to return to about $70 for a barrel of Brent Crude in 2016.