FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 31/10/2022 “จีนไม่สน เดินหน้าล็อกดาวน์ สั่งคุมโควิดจากอู่ฮั่นถึงเซี่ยงไฮ้ หลังผู้ติดเชื้อทะลุ 2,000 ราย ทั่วประเทศ” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 31/10/2022 “จีนไม่สน เดินหน้าล็อกดาวน์ สั่งคุมโควิดจากอู่ฮั่นถึงเซี่ยงไฮ้ หลังผู้ติดเชื้อทะลุ 2,000 ราย ทั่วประเทศ” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
31 ต.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 31/10/2022
“จีนไม่สน เดินหน้าล็อกดาวน์ สั่งคุมโควิดจากอู่ฮั่นถึงเซี่ยงไฮ้ หลังผู้ติดเชื้อทะลุ 2,000 ราย ทั่วประเทศ”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 32,861.80 +828.52 จุด (+2.59%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,901.06 +93.76 จุด (+2.46%) Nasdaq 11,102.45 ปิดที่ +309.78 จุด (+2.87%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,846.92 +40.60 จุด (+2.25%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 25.75 (-5.99%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,613.02 +8.51 จุด (+0.24%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 13,243.33 +32.10    จุด (+0.24%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,273.05 +29.02 จุด (+0.46%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,047.67 จุด -26.02 จุด (-0.37%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 27,105.20 จุด -240.04 จุด (-0.88%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 3,541.33 จุด -89.82 จุด (-2.47%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 14,863.06 จุด -564.88 จุด (-3.66%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,606.07 จุด +3.74 จุด (+0.23%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,029.49 จุด +0.99 จุด (+0.10%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 31 ต.ค. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,645.15 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 19.157 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 87.51 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 93.15 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 31 ต.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 20,484.8 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,576.57 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 309.90 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – Global REIT (+6.5%), น้ำมัน (+4.7%) และพันธบัตรตลาดเกิดใหม่ (+3.1%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – ค่าเงินดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ (-1.1%) และทองคำ (-0.4%)
ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – Dow Jones (+4.3%), หุ้นเวียดนาม (+4.2%) และดัชนี MSCI World (+2.8%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – หุ้นจีน A-Shares (-2.5%), ดัชนี IBOVA บราซิล (-2.3%) และหุ้นจีน H-Shares (-2.1%)
ภาพรวม sector ใน S&P500 ที่ปรับตัวบวกสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – Real Estate  (+6.3%), Utilities (+5.7%) และ Industrials  (+5.3%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – Communication Services (-3.7%)
ผลตอบแทนของดัชนี MSCI แบ่งตามสไตล์การลงทุนในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – MSCI World Small Cap (+4.4%), MSCI World Value Index (+3.7%), MSCI World Momentum Index (+3.0%), MSCI World Large Cap (+2.6%), MSCI World Quality Index (+2.3%) และ MSCI World Growth Index (+1.7%)
ผลตอบแทนตามธีมต่างๆ ในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – Blockchain (+8.7%), Clean Energy (+5.5%), Cybersecurity (+5.4%), Semiconductor (+3.4%), Sustainable Energy (+3.2%), Global Luxury (+3.0%) และ Health Care (+2.4%)
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
สัปดาห์นี้ติดตามผลประกอบการของ Uber, AMD, Robinhood, Coinbase, PayPal, Starbucks, Toyota และ MicroStrategy เป็นต้น
ดัชนี Dow Jones ทำผลตอบแทนรายเดือนดีที่สุดตั้งแต่ปี 1976
ตัวเลขผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดจีนทะลุ 2,000 ราย เป็นเคสที่มีอาการ 401 ราย ตัวเลขผู้เสียชีวิตยังคงที่ เซี่ยงไฮ้สั่งล็อกดาวน์ และทำการตรวจโควิดครั้งใหญ่ ซึ่งส่งผลลบต่อเศรษฐกิจ รวมถึงตลาดหุ้นจีนและฮ่องกง
Goldman Sachs คาดการณ์ Fed ยังเดินหน้าปรับขึ้นดอกเบี้ยต่อเนื่อง โดยคาดว่าอัตราดอกเบี้ยจะแตะ 5% ในเดือนมี.ค. 2023 (คาดการณ์ว่า Fed จะขึ้นดอกเบี้ย 0.75 bps. และ 50 bps. สำหรับการประชุมที่เหลือในปีนี้) สาเหตุจากเงินเฟ้อที่ยังอยู่ในระดับสูง
การสำรวจของ Bloomberg พบว่ามีโอกาส 75% เศรษฐกิจสหรัฐฯ จะเข้าสู่ recessions ในช่วง 24 เดือน มีโอกาส 20% ที่จะเกิด Hard Landing แต่เป็นช่วงสั้นๆ และไม่เกิด recessions และมีโอกาส 5% ที่จะเกิด Soft Landing
ธนาคารกลางญี่ปุ่น (BOJ) ยังคงดอกเบี้ยนโยบายที่ -0.1% และใช้นโยบายการผ่อนคลายต่อ พร้อมทั้งหั่นคาดการณ์การเติบโตของเศรษฐกิจลงจาก 2.4% เหลือเติบโต 2% และปรับคาดการณ์เงินเฟ้อเพิ่มขึ้นจาก 2.3% เป็น 2.9% โดยอัตราเงินเฟ้อล่าสุดของญี่ปุ่นอยู่ที่ 3.4%
Elon Musk เจ้าของใหม่ Twitter ทำการไล่ผู้บริหารชุดเก่าบางรายออก อาทิ CEO และ CFO และย้ำว่าการเข้าซื้อทำเพื่อช่วยเหลือเพื่อนมนุษย์ ไม่ใช่การทำกำไร รวมถึงยังคงนโยบายแบบเดิม แต่จะแก้ไขเรื่องบัญชีปลอมให้ดีขึ้น ราคาหุ้นในช่วงที่ผ่านมาปรับตัวแย่กว่าดัชนี S&P500 Info Tech. และดัชนี Nasdaq 100
UN ออกมาประกาศเลื่อนแผนการฟื้นข้อตกลงทะเลดำ หลังจากที่รัสเซียปิดทางยูเครนในการส่งธัญพืช
Exon Mobile รายงานกำไรไตรมาส 3 สูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ จากราคาน้ำมันและก๊าซธรรมชาติที่เพิ่มขึ้นจากภาวะสงคราม
Chevron รายงานผลประกอบการดีกว่าที่นักวิเคราะห์คาดการณ์ มีกำไรไตรมาสที่ผ่านมาสูงเป็นอันดับ 2 ในประวัติการณ์ จากราคาน้ำมันที่ปรับเพิ่มขึ้น
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THE OPPORTUNITY
ศูนย์รวมข่าวสารด้านเศรษฐกิจ และการเงิน เพื่อไม่ให้พลาดโอกาสด้านการลงทุน โดย FINNOMENA