FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 20/06/2022 “เศรษฐกิจถดถอยมาแน่ ในปี 2023 Fed-คลัง-นักธุรกิจ ชี้โอกาสเกิดสูงขึ้น กดหุ้นและคริปโตฯ จมดิ่งสู่ขาลง” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 20/06/2022 “เศรษฐกิจถดถอยมาแน่ ในปี 2023 Fed-คลัง-นักธุรกิจ ชี้โอกาสเกิดสูงขึ้น กดหุ้นและคริปโตฯ จมดิ่งสู่ขาลง” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
20 มิ.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 20/06/2022
 “เศรษฐกิจถดถอยมาแน่ ในปี 2023 Fed-คลัง-นักธุรกิจ ชี้โอกาสเกิดสูงขึ้น กดหุ้นและคริปโตฯ จมดิ่งสู่ขาลง”
 ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 29,888.78 -38.29 จุด (-0.13%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,674.84 +8.07 จุด (+0.22%) Nasdaq 10,798.35 ปิดที่ +152.25 จุด (+1.43%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,665.69 +15.86 จุด (+0.96%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 31.13 (+0.96%)
 ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,438.46 +10.55 จุด (+0.31%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 13,126.26 +87.77 จุด (+0.67%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 5,882.65 -3.59 จุด (-0.06%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,016.25 จุด -28.73 จุด (-0.41%)
 ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 25,963.00 จุด -468.20 จุด (-1.77%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 4,309.04 จุด +58.98 จุด (+1.39%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 21,075.00 จุด +229.57 จุด (+1.10%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,559.39 จุด -1.71 จุด (-0.11%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,258.03 จุด -22.34 จุด (-1.74%)
 ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 20 มิ.ย. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,845.00 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 21.672 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 107.81 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 112.83 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 20 มิ.ย. 2565) Bitcoin 19,862.1 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,068.25 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 207.41 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – ทองคำ (+1.0%), พันธบัตรสหรัฐฯ อายุ 10 ปี (+0.8%) และหุ้นกู้สหรัฐฯ ที่อยู่ในระดับน่าลงทุน (+0.7%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – น้ำมัน (-8.8%), หุ้นญี่ปุ่น (-3.8%), และหุ้นสหราชอาณาจักร (-2.6%)
 ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – หุ้นจีน A-Shares (+3.1%) และหุ้นจีน H-Shares (+0.2%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – หุ้นเกาหลีใต้ (-7.6%), ดัชนี Nikkei 225 (-7.2%) และดัชนี Dow Jones (-6.7%)
 ภาพรวม sector ใน S&P500 ที่ปรับตัวลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – Energy (-12.7%), Utilities (-4.7%) และ Materials  (-4.5%)
 ผลตอบแทนของดัชนี MSCI แบ่งตามสไตล์การลงทุนในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – MSCI World Growth Index (-1.3%), MSCI World Quality Index (-1.8%), MSCI World Large Cap (-2.2%), MSCI World Small Cap (-2.7%), MSCI World Value Index (-3.2%) และ MSCI World Momentum Index (-4.1%)
 ผลตอบแทนตามธีมต่างๆ ในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – Global Cloud (+1.4%), Cybersecurity (+0.7%), Health Care (-0.4%), Clean Energy (-2.5%), Sustainable Energy (-2.5%), Esport (-2.6%), Semiconductor (-3.5%) และ Blockchain (-4.5%)
 สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
ธนาคารกลางญี่ปุ่น (BOJ) คงนโยบายการเงินผ่อนคลายและอัตราดอกเบี้ยในระดับเดิมตามคาด ค่าเงินเยนยังอ่อนค่าต่อเนื่อง เมื่อเทียบกับดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ มากที่สุดย้อนไปตั้งแต่ปี 2002
 คณะกรรมการ Fed 2 คนประกอบด้วย คุณ Loretta J. Mester ประธาน Fed สาขา Cleveland มองว่าความเสี่ยงที่จะเกิดเศรษฐกิจถดถอยสูงมากขึ้น และต้องใช้ระยะเวลาเป็นปีกว่าเงินเฟ้อจะกลับลงมาที่ระดับเป้ามาย 2% ขณะที่คุณ Christopher Waller ให้ความเห็นว่าเงินเฟ้อตอนนี้สูงเกินไปแล้ว จำเป็นต้องใช้เครื่องมือทุกอย่างเพื่อแก้ปัญหาเงินเฟ้อ
 ข้อมูลจาก Bloomberg พบว่า นักเศรษฐศาสตร์ 71.7% คาดเศรษฐกิจสหรัฐฯ มีโอกาสเข้าสู่ภาวะถดถอยในไตรมาส 1 ปี 2023
 ข้อมูลจาก CME FedWatch tool ณ ปัจจุบัน มีโอกาสสูงถึง 92.1% ที่ Fed น่าจะขึ้นดอกเบี้ย 0.75% ในการประชุมเดือนกรกฎาคม
 รมว. คลัง คุณเจเน็ต เยลเลน ชี้เศรษฐกิจถดถอยเป็นสิ่งที่หลีกเลี่ยงไม่ได้ มองเงินเฟ้อสูงลากยาวทั้งปี 2022
 ผลสำรวจผู้บริหารระดับสูงของบริษัททั่วโลกมีถึง 60% ที่เชื่อว่าเศรษฐกิจในภูมิภาคตัวเอง จะเกิดภาวะถดถอยภายในปี 2023
 ประธานาธิบดี โจไบเดน กล่าวว่าสหรัฐฯ เตรียมพิจารณาการยกเว้นภาษีน้ำมันชั่วคราว และลดภาษีนำเข้าสินค้าบางประเภทจากจีน
 นัการเงินออกมาเตือนแผนการลงทุนแบบ 60/40 ถูกกระทบหนักว่าวิกฤติแฮมเบอร์เกอร์เมื่อปี 2008 ใน Q2 ปี 2022 ติดลบเกือบ -15% เศรษฐีอเมริกันที่ร่ำรวยที่สุด 1% ความมั่งคั่งลดลง 1.5 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ จากตลาดหุ้นขาลง
 หุ้นจีนผลตอบแทนในช่วงที่ผ่านมา ทำผลงานโดดเด่น ปรับตัวสวนทางตลาดโลก หากมองค่า Relative P/E ของ CSI300 เทียบกับ MSCI ACWI ค่อนข้างอยู่ในระดับสูง
 นาโต้ออกมาเตือนว่าสงครามระหว่างรัสเซียและยูเครนออกจากยืดเยื้อไปอีกหลายปี
 อีลอน มัสก์ ออกมาทวีตสนับสนุน Dogecoin หลังจากเพิ่งโดนนักลงทุนฟ้องข้อหาปั่นราคาเหรียญ Dogecoin
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