FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/08/2022 “ “ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย จนกว่าเงินเฟ้อจะลง” ประธาน Fed ย้ำจุดยืนดอกเบี้ยขาขึ้น หุ้นสหรัฐฯ ร่วง 1,000 จุด” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/08/2022 “ “ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย จนกว่าเงินเฟ้อจะลง” ประธาน Fed ย้ำจุดยืนดอกเบี้ยขาขึ้น หุ้นสหรัฐฯ ร่วง 1,000 จุด” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
29 ส.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/08/2022
“ “ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย จนกว่าเงินเฟ้อจะลง” ประธาน Fed ย้ำจุดยืนดอกเบี้ยขาขึ้น หุ้นสหรัฐฯ ร่วง 1,000 จุด”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 32,283.40 -1,008.38 จุด (-3.03%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 4,057.66 -141.46 จุด (-3.37%) Nasdaq 12,141.71 ปิดที่ -497.55 จุด (-3.94%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,899.83 -64.81 จุด (-3.30%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 25.56 (+17.36%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,603.68 -70.86 จุด (-1.93%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 12,971.47 -300.49  จุด (-2.26%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,274.26 -107.30 จุด (-1.68%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,427.31 จุด -52.43 จุด (-0.70%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 28,641.38 จุด +162.37 จุด (+0.57%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 4,107.55 จุด -8.69 จุด (-0.21%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 20,170.04 จุด +201.66 จุด (+1.01%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,644.78 จุด +1.26 จุด (+0.08%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,306.81 จุด -4.74 จุด (-0.36%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 29 ส.ค. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,738.20 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 18.455 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 94.19 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 100.17 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 29 ส.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 19,822.6 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,454.98 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 279.6 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – น้ำมัน (+3.1%), หุ้นตลาดเกิดใหม่ (+1.5%) และพันธบัตรตลาดเกิดใหม่ (+1.0%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – หุ้นญี่ปุ่น (-3.2%), ดัชนี S&P500 (-1.9%) และหุ้นยุโรป (-1.6%)
ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก หุ้นจีน H-Shares (+2.6%), SET Index (+2.0%) และดัชนี IBOVA บราซิล (+1.9%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – ดัชนี Nikkei 225  (-3.2%), ดัชนี Dow Jones (-2.4%) และ ดัชนี Dax เยอรมัน (-2.0%)
ภาพรวม sector ใน S&P500 ที่ปรับตัวบวกสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – Energy (+4.5%)และ Materials  (+0.3%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – Health Care (-3.0%), Information Technology (-2.9%), Consumer Staples และ Communication Services (-2.2%)
ผลตอบแทนของดัชนี MSCI แบ่งตามสไตล์การลงทุนในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – MSCI World Momentum Index (-0.3%), MSCI World Small Cap (-0.5%), MSCI World Value Index (-1.2%), MSCI World Large Cap (-1.6%), MSCI World Growth Index (-1.8%) และ MSCI World Quality Index (-2.2%)
ผลตอบแทนตามธีมต่างๆ ในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – Clean Energy (+2.3%), Cybersecurity (+1.2%), Sustainable Energy (+1.1%), Global Luxury (-0.4%), Esport (-0.4%), Semiconductor (-1.5%), Global Cloud (-2.1%) และ Blockchain (-4.7%)
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
ค่าเงินดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ปรับตัวแข็งค่ามากที่สุดในรอบประมาณ 2 ปี
ประธาน Fed กล่าวสุนทรพจน์ในการประชุม Jackson Hole โดยใช้เวลา 8 นาที ย้ำเตือนต้องใช้นโยบายการเงินเข้มงวดต่อไป เพื่อควบคุมเงินเฟ้อ แม้จะต้องเจอความเจ็บปวดทางเศรษฐกิจบ้าง
โอกาสในการเกิดเศรษฐกิจถดถอยของสหรัฐฯ อยู่ที่ 50% คาดการณ์ GDP สหรัฐฯ ปี 2022 เติบโต 1.65% ปี 2023 เติบโต 1.1%
ธนาคารกลางอื่น ยอมรับความเสี่ยงจากเงินเฟ้อ เตรียมเดินหน้าขึ้นดอกเบี้ยพร้อม Fed
จากสุนทรพจน์ของประธาน Fed ก่อให้เกิดการปรับตัวลงของตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ และส่งผลให้มหาเศรษฐีโลกมีความมั่งคั่งลดลง 7.8 หมื่นล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ อาทิ Elon Musk, Jeff Bezos, Bill Gates, Warren Buffet เป็นต้น
ตัวเลขการจับจ่ายใช้สอยของประชาชนสหรัฐฯ เห็นสัญญาณชะลอลงในเดือนก.ค. ส่วนยอดขายบ้านรอขายของสหรัฐฯ อยู่ในจุดต่ำสุดตั้งแต่เม.ย. ปี 2020
ไต้หวันเจอการลดลงของการส่งออกเมื่อเทียบกับช่วงเดียวกันของปีก่อน สาเหตุมาจากความขัดแย้งระหว่างจีนและไต้หวัน รวมถึงการชะลอของเศรษฐกิจประเทศคู่ค้า
Bloomberg เผย นักเศรษฐศาสตร์ หั่นเป้าเศรษฐจีนลงอีกครั้ง ปี 2023 เติบโต 5.2% ส่วนปี 2024 เติบโต 4.8% โอกาสเกิดเศรษฐกิจถดถอยอยู่ที่ 20%
Bitcoin ราคาหลุด 2 หมื่นเหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ จากความกังวล Fed ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย วอลุ่มเทรด – บัญชีคริปโทในไทยลดลงต่อเนื่องติดต่อกันหลายเดือน
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