FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/09/2022 “โลกการเงินปั่นป่วน หุ้นสหรัฐฯ S&P500 “ขาลง” ทำจุดต่ำสุดใหม่ของปี เงินปอนด์อังกฤษอ่อนค่าทุบสถิติ เสี่ยงมูลค่าต่ำกว่าดอลลาร์” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/09/2022 “โลกการเงินปั่นป่วน หุ้นสหรัฐฯ S&P500 “ขาลง” ทำจุดต่ำสุดใหม่ของปี เงินปอนด์อังกฤษอ่อนค่าทุบสถิติ เสี่ยงมูลค่าต่ำกว่าดอลลาร์” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
27 ก.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/09/2022
“โลกการเงินปั่นป่วน หุ้นสหรัฐฯ S&P500 “ขาลง” ทำจุดต่ำสุดใหม่ของปี เงินปอนด์อังกฤษอ่อนค่าทุบสถิติ เสี่ยงมูลค่าต่ำกว่าดอลลาร์”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 29,260.81 -329.60 จุด (-1.11%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,655.04 -38.19 จุด (-1.03%) Nasdaq 10,802.92 ปิดที่ -65.00 จุด (-0.60%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,664.34 -15.25 จุด (-0.91%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 32.26 (+7.82%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,342.56 -6.04 จุด (-0.18%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 12,227.92 -56.27 จุด (-0.46%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 5,769.39 -14.02 จุด (-0.24%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,020.95 จุด +2.35 จุด (+0.03%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 26,431.55 จุด -722.28 จุด (-2.66%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 3,836.68 จุด -19.34 จุด (-0.50%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 17,855.14 จุด -78.13 จุด (-0.44%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,621.25 จุด -10.46 จุด (-0.64%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,187.22 จุด -28.19 จุด (-2.32%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 27 ก.ย. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,637.25 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 18.455 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 77.06 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 83.24 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 27 ก.ย. 2565) Bitcoin 19,837.8 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,370.68 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 281.40 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
หลายตลาดเริ่มเข้าสู่ Bear Market (ติดลบ -20% จากจุดสูงสุด) อาทิ Dow Jones และ EURO STOXX 600
ชาวฮ่องกงแห่จองเที่ยวบินออกนอกประเทศเพิ่มขึ้น 400% โอซากาเป็นจุดหมายยอดฮิต ยอดจองพุ่งถึง 7,300% โตเกียวเพิ่มขึ้น 1,385% โซลเพิ่มขึ้น 700% และกรุงเทพฯ เพิ่มขึ้น 628%
OECD คาดว่า GDP โลกปีนี้เติบโต 3% ขณะที่ปีหน้าเติบโตเหลือ 2.2% จากปัจจัยกดดันหลายๆ ส่วน โดยซาอุดิอาระเบีย อินเดีย และอินโดนีเซีย เป็นประเทศที่มีการเติบโตสูงที่สุด 3 อันดับแรก ในปี 2023 ขณะที่สหราชอาณาจักร เยอรมัน และรัสเซีย มีโอกาสเติบโตติดลบในปี 2023
OECD คาดการณ์ในปีเดือนม.ค. – มี.ค. ปริมาณแก๊ซในคลังของยุโรป มีโอกาสปรับลดลงต่ำกว่าระดับ 30% ซึ่งเป็นระดับที่สำคัญ จากปัจจุบันที่ระดับ 80%
ดัชนี S&P500 ปรับลดลงกว่า 23% ในปีนี้ ทำจุดต่ำสุดใหม่ของปี และกำลังทดสอบเส้นค่าเฉลี่ย 200 วัน Valuation ของ S&P500 เทียบกับ MSCI World ย้อนหลัง 10 ปี ตอนนี้อยู่ประมาณ +1.7 – 1.8 S.D.
Loretta Mester ประธาน Fed สาขาคลีฟแลนด์ หนุนการใช้นโยบายการเงินเข้มงวดลากยาวระดับนึง เพื่อดึงให้เงินเฟ้อปรับตัวลงมาระดับเป้าหมายที่ 2%
เงินปอนด์อังกฤษอ่อนค่าต่ำสุดตั้งแต่ปี 1985 เมื่อเทียบกับดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ หลังอังกฤษออกแผนลดภาษีมากสุดรอบ 50 ปี ความผันผวนของค่าเงินปอนด์เทียบกับดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ในรอบ 3 เดือน เพิ่มสูงใกล้เคียงระดับเดียวกันกับช่วงเกิดวิกฤติ COVID-19
เงินหยวนอ่อนค่าเทียบกับดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ในรอบ 14 ปี กดดัน PBOC ใช้นโยบายการเงินเข้มงวด
Shopee ประเทศไทย ประกาศปลดพนักงานหลายร้อยคน ตามหลังอินโดนีเซีย เพื่อลดการขาดทุน
ส่งออกไทยเดือนส.ค. ขยายตัว 7.5% ต่อเนื่องเป็นเดือนที่ 18 กลุ่มอาหารแปรรูปโดดเด่น กระทรวงพาณิชย์ตั้งเป้าทั้งปี 65 โต 4%
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