FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 24/05/2022 “จีนวิกฤติหนัก! Airbnb ยอมแพ้ เลิกกิจการฤดูร้อนนี้ เจอล็อกดาวน์-คู่แข่งในจีน โฟกัสนักท่องเที่ยวขาออกจากจีนแทน” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 24/05/2022 “จีนวิกฤติหนัก! Airbnb ยอมแพ้ เลิกกิจการฤดูร้อนนี้ เจอล็อกดาวน์-คู่แข่งในจีน โฟกัสนักท่องเที่ยวขาออกจากจีนแทน” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
24 พ.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 24/05/2022
 “จีนวิกฤติหนัก! Airbnb ยอมแพ้ เลิกกิจการฤดูร้อนนี้ เจอล็อกดาวน์-คู่แข่งในจีน โฟกัสนักท่องเที่ยวขาออกจากจีนแทน”
 ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าสุดของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
 ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 31,880.24 +618.34 จุด (+1.98%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,973.75 +72.39 จุด (+1.86%) Nasdaq 11,535.28 ปิดที่ +180.66 จุด (+1.59%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,792.76 +19.50 จุด (+1.10%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 28.48 (-3.23%)
 ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่ 3,708.39 +51.36 จุด (+1.40%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 14,175.40 +193.49 จุด (+1.38%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,358.74 +73.50 จุด (+1.17%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,513.44 จุด +123.46 จุด (+1.67%)
 ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 27,001.52 จุด +262.49 จุด (+1.27%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 4,053.98 จุด -23.62 จุด (-0.58%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 20,470.06 จุด -247.18 จุด (-1.19%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,635.28 จุด +12.33 จุด (+0.76%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,255.35 จุด -27.16 จุด (-2.12%)
 ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 24 พ.ค. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,852.91 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 21.761 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 109.83 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 110.35 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 24 พ.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 29,277.9 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,987.60 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 326.19 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
หุ้น Didi เตรียมถอนหุ้นออกจากตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ เหลือแค่จดทะเบียนในจีน โดยมีผลวันที่ 2 มิถุนายน 2022
 Morgan Stanley มองว่าหากบริษัทจดทะเบียนถูกหั่นเป้ารายได้ มีโอกาสที่ดัชนี S&P500 จะปรับตัวลดลงอีก 5 – 10% จากระดับปัจจุบัน Forward P/E 12 เดือนของ S&P500 อยู่ที่ประมาณ 16.7 เท่า ต่ำกว่าค่าเฉลี่ย 10 ปี ย้อนหลังแล้ว ตามข้อมูลในอดีตพบว่าเมื่อ S&P500 เข้าสู่ Bear market จะใช้เวลาเฉลี่ยประมาณ 154 วัน ก่อนที่จะเจอจุดต่ำสุด
 Raphael Bostic กรรมการ Fed มองว่า Fed มีโอกาสหยุดขึ้นดอกเบี้ยในเดือนกันยายน ขึ้นอยู่กับภาวะเศรษฐกิจ และคาดว่าอัตราดอกเบี้ยนโยบายปลายปีจะอยู่ที่ประมาณ 2 – 2.5%
 ประธานาธิบดี Joe Biden เตรียมยกเลิกกำแพงภาษีจากจีน ที่มีขึ้นในสมัย Donald Trump ซึ่งจะทำให้ครัวเรือนสหรัฐฯ ประหยัดเงินได้ 800 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ต่อครัวเรือน
 สหรัฐฯ ประกาศพร้อมปกป้องไต้หวัน หากถูกจีนรุกราน ซึ่งจีนออกมาตอบโต้ “อย่าเล่นกับไฟ”
 ประธานาธิบดี Joe Biden ประกาศจัดตั้งกรอบความร่วมมือ IPEF เพื่อสร้างพันธมิตรในเอเชีย หวังคานอำนาจกับจีน กรอบความร่วมมือนี้จะเน้นในเรื่องเศรษฐกิจดิจิตัล ซัพพลายเชน การลดการปล่อยก๊าซเรือนกระจก และกฎระเบียบของแรงงาน และไทยเองสนใจที่จะเข้าร่วมความร่วมมือนี้ด้วย
 จีนเตรียมลดอัตราภาษี 1.4 แสนล้านหยวน เพื่อฟื้นฟูเศรษฐกิจจีน
 Airbnb แพลตฟอร์มให้บริการเช่าที่พักอาศัย เตรียมถอนธุรกิจจากจีน ปิดบ้าน-ห้องพัก ในฤดูร้อนนี้ เจอผลกระทบจากการล็อกดาวน์ รวมถึงคู่แข่งในจีน และจะโฟกัสตลาดนอกเอเชีย โดย Airbnb มีสัดส่วนรายได้จากจีนเพียง 1% ราคาหุ้น Airbnb ปรับตัวลดลงประมาณ 30% จากต้นปี แต่ยังสูงกว่าราคา IPO
 Zoom ประกาศผลประกอบการดีเกินคาด ส่วนหนึ่งมาจากการลดต้นทุน ทำให้ราคาหุ้นเพิ่มขึ้น 16% แต่หากดูระยะยาว ราคาถือว่าลดลงรุนแรงจากระดับประมาณ 600 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ เหลือประมาณ 90 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาเป้าหมายเฉลี่ยของนักวิเคราะห์ยังมีอัพไซด์ประมาณ 60%
 เกาหลีใต้สั่งอายัดทรัพย์ของ Luna Foundation Guard หลังจากประสบปัญหาอย่างหนักในช่วงที่ผ่านมา
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