FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 10/05/2022 “Bitcoin หลุด $30,000 ต่ำสุดรอบปี มูลค่าหายเกินครึ่งจากจุดสูงสุด ด้าน UST หลุด Peg อยู่ที่ $0.78” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 10/05/2022 “Bitcoin หลุด $30,000 ต่ำสุดรอบปี มูลค่าหายเกินครึ่งจากจุดสูงสุด ด้าน UST หลุด Peg อยู่ที่ $0.78” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
10 พ.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 10/05/2022
 “Bitcoin หลุด $30,000 ต่ำสุดรอบปี มูลค่าหายเกินครึ่งจากจุดสูงสุด ด้าน UST หลุด Peg อยู่ที่ $0.78” 
 ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าสุดของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 32,245.70 -653.67 จุด (-1.99%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,991.24 -132.10 จุด (-3.20%) Nasdaq 11,623.25 ปิดที่ -521.41 จุด (-4.29%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,756.68 -82.37 จุด (-4.48%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 34.75 (+15.10%)
 ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่ 3,526.86 -102.31 จุด (-2.82%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 13,380.67 -293.62 จุด (-2.15%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,086.02 -172.34 จุด (-2.75%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,216.58 จุด -171.36 จุด (-2.32%)
 ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 26,319.34 จุด -684.26 จุด (-2.53%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 3,877.44 จุด -31.38 จุด (-0.80%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดทำการซื้อขาย SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,604.49 จุด -25.09 จุด (-1.54%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,314.04 จุด -59.17 จุด (-4.31%)
 ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 10 พ.ค. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,858.58 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 21.974 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 101.38 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 104.16 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 10 พ.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 30,935.7 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 2,323.35 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 310.51 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
ราคาปิดเมื่อวานทำให้ S&P500 ทำจุดต่ำสุดในรอบ 1 ปีแล้ว
 หุ้นเทคโนโลยีขนาดใหญ่ Apple, Microsoft, Amazon, Tesla, Alphabet, Nvidia และ Meta มีมูลค่ารวมกันลดลงถึง 1.06 ล้านล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ในรอบ 3 วันที่ผ่านมา
 ค่า Relative P/E ของ Nasdaq เปรียบเทียบกับ MSCI ACWI อยู่ที่ระดับใกล้เคียงกับ -1S.D.
 อดีตหุ้น Meme Stock ‘AMC’ ราคาลดลงแรง ลบล้างผลตอบแทนช่วงโควิด คืนกำไรให้ตลาด แม้จะประกาศผลประกอบการดีกว่าคาด
 Peloton หุ้นที่ทำอุปกรณ์ออกกำลังกาย เคยได้รับผลบวกจากการล็อกดาวน์ ทำให้ราคาเพิ่มขึ้นแรง แต่ตอนนี้ราคาลดลงจากจุดสูงสุดประมาณ -90% แล้ว
 ข้อมูลจาก Morgan Stanley ประเมินว่านักลงทุนรายย่อยที่เข้ามาลงทุนตั้งแต่เดือนมกราคมปี 2020 ตอนนี้ คืนกำไรให้ตลาดหมดแล้ว บางรายอาจจะมีผลขาดทุนได้ ถ้ามาดูหุ้นยอดฮิตของนักลงทุนรายย่อย ตอนนี้ขาดทุนแล้วประมาณ -30%
 นักวิเคราะห์หลายสำนักเริ่มออกมาปรับลดเป้าหมายหุ้นสหรัฐฯ โดยมองว่าปี 2022 อาจจะไม่สดใส มีโอกาสเกิดเศรษฐกิจถดถอยได้
 การประกอบผลประกอบของบริษัทจดทะเบียนในสหรัฐฯ ไตรมาสนี้ เริ่มเห็นหลายบริษัทออกมาพูดถึงดีมานด์ที่อ่อนแอลงมากขึ้น
 Goldman Sachs มองว่าหากเกิด recession มีโอกาสที่ S&P500 จะอยู่ที่ 3,600 จุด แต่หากมีการฟื้นตัวที่ดี อาจจะกลับไปประมาณ 4,700 จุด
 รัฐมนตรีว่าการกระทรวงการคลังสหรัฐฯ ‘เจเน็ต เยลเลน’ มั่นใจว่าระบบการเงินยังมีเสถียรภาพ แม้ว่าตลาดหุ้นจะลดลงแรง
 Victory Day ของรัสเซีย ประธานาธิบดีปูตินระบุว่าภัยคุกคามจากชาติตะวันตก เป็นสาเหตุให้รัสเซียจำเป็นต้องบุกรุกยูเครน โดยไม่ได้ประกาศยกระดับหรือประกาศชัยชนะในสงครามที่ดำเนินการอยู่
 ผลการเลือกตั้งฟิลิปปินส์เบื้องต้นเป็นไปตามคาด ‘บองบอง’ มากอร์ส จูเนียร์ ชนะถล่มถลายในการเลือกตั้ง มีผู้ออกมาใช้สิทธิราว 80% ฟิลิปปินส์เป็นประเทศที่มีการเติบโตสูงในอาเซียน และหากไปดูตามข้อมูลจะพบว่าหลังจากการเลือกตั้ง 6 เดือน มีโอกาสที่ตลาดหุ้นจะปรับเพิ่มขึ้นได้
 ราคา Bitcoin บางช่วงลงแตะ 3 หมื่นดอลลาร์ หากนับจากราคาสูงสุดพบว่าลดลงกว่า -50% แล้ว ข้อมูลจาก Glassnode พบว่านักลงทุน Bitcoin ประมาณ 40% เจอกับผลขาดทุนแล้ว และถ้าไปดูความสัมพันธ์กับ S&P500 พบว่ามีความสัมพันธ์กันกว่า 80%
 เหรียญ UST ซึ่งเป็น stablecoin ที่ตรึงราคากับดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ หลุดมูลค่าที่ตรึงไว้ ราคาอยู่ที่ประมาณ 0.78 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
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