FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 19/09/2022 “จีนยุติล็อกดาวน์ ‘เฉิงตู’ วันนี้ ประชาชน 21 ล้านคน ใช้ชีวิตได้ตามปกติ แต่เศรษฐกิจจีนน่าห่วง ตลาดคาด GDP โตเหลือ 3.5% ปีนี้” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 19/09/2022 “จีนยุติล็อกดาวน์ ‘เฉิงตู’ วันนี้ ประชาชน 21 ล้านคน ใช้ชีวิตได้ตามปกติ แต่เศรษฐกิจจีนน่าห่วง ตลาดคาด GDP โตเหลือ 3.5% ปีนี้” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
19 ก.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 19/09/2022
“จีนยุติล็อกดาวน์ ‘เฉิงตู’ วันนี้ ประชาชน 21 ล้านคน ใช้ชีวิตได้ตามปกติ แต่เศรษฐกิจจีนน่าห่วง ตลาดคาด GDP โตเหลือ 3.5% ปีนี้”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 30,822.42 -139.40 จุด (-0.45%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,873.33 -28.02 จุด (-0.72%) Nasdaq 11,448.40 ปิดที่ -103.95 จุด (-0.90%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,795.26 -29.97 จุด (-1.64%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 26.30 (+0.11%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,500.41 -41.38 จุด (-1.17%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 12,741.26 -215.40  จุด (-1.66%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,077.30 -80.54 จุด (-1.31%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,236.68 จุด -45.39 จุด (-0.62%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 27,567.65 จุด -308.26 จุด (-1.11%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 3,932.68 จุด -94.44 จุด (-2.35%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 18,761.69 จุด -168.69 จุด (-0.89%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,630.40 จุด -11.93 จุด (-0.73%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,252.78 จุด -10.04 จุด (-0.80%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 19 ก.ย. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,679.75 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 19.462 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 85.31 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 92.07 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 19 ก.ย. 2565) Bitcoin 18,763.6 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,300.52 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 261.6 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – ทองคำ (+0.4%) และน้ำมัน (+0.0%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – Global REIT (-5.6%), หุ้นตลาดพัฒนาแล้ว (-5.5%) และหุ้นโลก (-5.3%)
ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวลบมากที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – ดัชนี Nasdaq  (-6.7%), ดัชนี S&P500 (-5.8%) และ ดัชนี SZSE Component (-5.2%)
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
ตลาดหุ้นญี่ปุ่นและสหราชอาณาจักรปิดทำการในวันนี้
จับตาการประชุม Fed สัปดาห์นี้ ตลาดคาดว่าน่าจะขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ยที่ 75 bps. ส่วนปีหน้า ตลาดเชื่อว่าดอกเบี้ยยืนเกิน 4% และยังไม่มีการลดดอกเบี้ยทั้งปี ตัวเลข CPI เดือนส.ค. ที่ผ่านมา ออกมาสูงกว่าคาด ขณะที่ตัวเลขเงินเฟ้อคาดหวังในปีหน้า เริ่มชะลอตัวลง
ตัวเลขโอกาสการเกิดเศรษญกิจถดถอยจาก Bloomberg สหรัฐฯ อยู่ที่ 50% ยุโรปและสหราชอาณาจักรอยู่ที่ 60% และจีนอยู่ที่ 20%
ช่วงครึ่งหลังของเดือนกันยายนเป็นช่วงเวลาที่ไม่ดีของ S&P500 ข้อมูลย้อนหลังตั้งแต่ปี 1950 พบว่าผลตอบแทนเฉลี่ยในช่วงนั้นติดลบ -0.75%
เงินเฟ้อยูโรโซนเดือนส.ค. ทำสถิติใหม่ที่ 9.1% คาดว่าไม่นานจะเพิ่มขึ้นทะลุ 2 หลัก
ประธานาธิบดีปูติน ย้ำว่าการโต้กลับของยูเครนไม่ทำใหรัสเซียต้องเปลี่ยนแผน  ขณะที่สหรัฐฯ เตือนอย่าใช้อาวุธนิวเคลียร์
ยุโรปยังเป็นตลาดหลักสำหรับการส่งออกน้ำมันของรัสเซียแต่มีแนวโน้มลดลง ขณะที่จีนตามมาเป็นอันดับ 2
จีนยุติล็อกดาวน์ ‘เฉิงตู’ หลังจากผู้ติดเชื้อปรับตัวลดลง ประชาชนราว 21 ล้านคน กลับมาใช้ชีวิตปกติ นักวิเคราะห์คาดว่า GDP จีนปีนี้จะเติบโต 3.5% ต่ำที่สุดนับตั้งแต่ปี 2000 จีนเจอปัญหาการขาดดุลงบประมาณต่อเนื่องในปีนี้
ญี่ปุ่นสั่งอพยพประชาชน 4 ล้านคน หลบภัย ‘นัมมาดอล’ ไต้ฝุ่นที่รุนแรงที่สุดของปี ด้านไต้หวันเผชิญแผ่นดินไหวขนาด 6.8 แมกนิจูด
Volkswagen เตรียม IPO ซูเปอร์คาร์ Porsche ตั้งเป้าระดมทุน 7.01 – 7.51 หมื่นล้านดอลลาร์
ราคาหุ้น Meta ปรับตัวลดลงอย่างต่อเนื่อง นักวิชาการ Harvard มองว่าสาเหตุมาจากการมีมาร์ก ซักเคอร์เบิร์ก เป็นผู้นำ ไม่ฟังใครและหวังแต่เงิน
รายการที่น่าสนใจ
Mr. Messenger Talk EP30: ตลาดหุ้นไทยยังมีหวัง ลุ้น SET ไปต่อ 1,730 จุด พบกับ คุณเทิดศักดิ์ ทวีธีระธรรม รองกรรมการผู้อำนวยการสายงานวิจัย บล. เอเซีย พลัส
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