FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/06/2022 “ครั้งแรกรอบ 100 ปี รัสเซียผิดนัดชำระหนี้สกุลเงินต่างประเทศ G-7 เดินหน้าแบนทองคำรัสเซีย” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/06/2022 “ครั้งแรกรอบ 100 ปี รัสเซียผิดนัดชำระหนี้สกุลเงินต่างประเทศ G-7 เดินหน้าแบนทองคำรัสเซีย” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
27 มิ.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 27/06/2022
 “ครั้งแรกรอบ 100 ปี รัสเซียผิดนัดชำระหนี้สกุลเงินต่างประเทศ G-7 เดินหน้าแบนทองคำรัสเซีย”
 ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
 ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 31,500.68 +823.32 จุด (+2.68%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 3,911.74 +116.01 จุด (+3.06%) Nasdaq 11,607.62 ปิดที่ +375.43 จุด (+3.34%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,765.74 +54.06 จุด (+3.16%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 27.23 (-6.27%)
 ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,533.17 +96.88 จุด (+2.82%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 13,118.13 +205.54 จุด (+1.59%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,073.35 +190.02 จุด (+3.23%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,208.81 จุด +188.36 จุด (+2.68%)
 ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 26,491.97 จุด +320.72 จุด (+1.23%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 4,394.77 จุด +50.89 จุด (+1.17%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 21,719.06 จุด +445.19 จุด (+2.09%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,568.76 จุด +11.15 จุด (+0.72%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,235.47 จุด -5.11 จุด (-0.41%)
 ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 27 มิ.ย. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,836.95 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 21.402 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 107.97 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 109.50 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 27 มิ.ย. 2565) Bitcoin 21,122.1 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,219.24 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 236.09 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – ดัชนี S&P500 (+6.5%), หุ้นตลาดพัฒนาแล้ว (+5.0%) Global REIT และหุ้นโลก (+4.6%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – น้ำมัน (-2.9%), ค่าเงินดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ (-0.7%), และทองคำ (-0.4%)
 ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – ดัชนี Nasdaq (+7.5%), ดัชนี S&P500 (+6.5%) และดัชนี Dow Jones (+5.4%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – ดัชนี PCOMP ฟิลิปปินส์ (-1.8%), ดัชนี IBOVA บราซิล (-1.2%) และดัชนี Dax เยอรมัน (-1.1%)
 ผลตอบแทนของดัชนี MSCI แบ่งตามสไตล์การลงทุนในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – MSCI World Quality Index (+6.6%), MSCI World Growth Index (+6.5%), MSCI World Large Cap (+5.2%), MSCI World Small Cap (+3.8%), MSCI World Value Index (+3.6%) และ MSCI World Momentum Index (+3.3%),
 ผลตอบแทนตามธีมต่างๆ ในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – Global Cloud (+12.4%), Cybersecurity (+9.5%), Blockchain (+9.3%), Global Luxury (+5.7%), Esport (+5.7%), Semiconductor (+5.3%), Sustainable Energy (+1.5%) และ Clean Energy (+0.0%)
 สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
ประชุมสุดยอดผู้นำ G-7 และชาติตะวันตก ประกาศสนับสนุนยูเครน รวมทั้งถกปัญหาเศรษฐกิจโลก มีการประกาศโครงการก่อสร้างโครงสร้างพื้นฐานทางเศรษฐกิจมูลค่า 6 แสนล้านดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ แต่ประเด็นที่ยังไม่สามารถหาข้อตกลงได้ คือ มาตรการจำกัดพลังงานของรัสเซีย
 สหรัฐฯ สหราชอาณาจักร แคนาดา และญี่ปุ่น เตรีมแบนนำเข้าทองคำจากรัสเซีย เพื่อตัดรายได้ โดยรัสเซียเป็นประเทศทำเหมืองทองคำที่ใหญ่เป็นอันดับ 2 ของโลก แต่คิดเป็นเพียง 1.6% ของสัดส่วนการส่งออกของรัสเซีย ล่าสุดรัสเซียผิดนัดชำระหนี้ในรูปเงินตราต่างประเทศเป็นครั้งแรกในรอบกว่า 100 ปี
 เศรษฐกิจจีนเริ่มมีความหวัง เห็นสัญญาณการฟื้นตัวจากโควิด ในเดือนมิ.ย. ประชาชนเริ่มออกจากบ้านมากขั้น ตัวเลขความเชื่อมั่นค่อยๆ ฟื้นตัว ยอดขายรถยนต์เริ่มฟื้นตัว แต่ตัวเลขอสังหายังค่อนข้างซบเซา
 คาดการณ์ GDP จีน รวบรวมโดย Bloomberg ปี 2022 เติบโต 4.18% ปี 2023 เติบโต 5.2% คาดการณ์กำไรสุทธิของ CSI300 เทียบกับ S&P500 ยังแย่กว่า และถ้าดู valuation เทียบกับ MSCI ACWI ยังถือว่าค่อนข้างแพง (+2 S.D.)
 ttb analytics มองไทยเที่ยวไทยพุ่ง 7.2 แสนล้านบาท ช่วงครึ่งปีหลัง คาดทั้งปีคนเที่ยวไทยโต 161.7%
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