FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/11/2022 “จีนพบผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดรายใหม่ 40,347 ราย สูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ ทางการคุมเข้ม ‘ประท้วงต้านล็อกดาวน์’” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/11/2022 “จีนพบผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดรายใหม่ 40,347 ราย สูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ ทางการคุมเข้ม ‘ประท้วงต้านล็อกดาวน์’” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
29 พ.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/11/2022
“จีนพบผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดรายใหม่ 40,347 ราย สูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ ทางการคุมเข้ม ‘ประท้วงต้านล็อกดาวน์’”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ  Dow Jones ปิดที่  33,849.46 จุด -497.57  จุด  (-1.45%) S&P 500 ปิดที่ 3,963.94 จุด -62.18  จุด (-1.54%) Nasdaq ปิดที่ 11,049.5 จุด -176.86  จุด (-1.58%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,830.31 จุด -38.89  จุด (-2.08%) VIX Index อยู่ที่ 22.21 จุด 0  จุด (0%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป  Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่  3,935.51 จุด -26.9  จุด  (-0.68%) Dax เยอรมัน ปิดที่  14,383.36 จุด -158.02  จุด  (-1.09%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่  6,665.2 จุด -47.28  จุด  (-0.7%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่  7,474.02 จุด -12.65  จุด  (-0.17%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่  28,162.83 จุด -120.2  จุด  (-0.42%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่  3,733.24  จุด -42.54 จุด  (-1.13%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่  17,297.94 จุด -275.64  จุด  (-1.57%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่  1,616.91 จุด -3.93  จุด  (-0.24%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่  1,004.34 จุด +36.85  จุด  (+3.81%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 29 พฤศจิกายน 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,752.7 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาแร่เงิน 21.34 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 78.82 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ Brent 85.92 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 29 พฤศจิกายน 2565)  Bitcoin 16,515 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,211.4 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Dogecoin 0.10503 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Binance 303.72 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
จีนพบผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดรายใหม่ 40,347 ราย สูงสุดเป็นประวัติการณ์ เเต่ขณะเดียวกันจีนไม่พบผู้เสียชีวิตรายใหม่ ด้านทางการคุมเข้ม ‘ประท้วงต้านล็อกดาวน์’ มาตราการล็อกดาวน์ ส่งผลกระทบต่อเศรษฐกิจ และการดำเนินชีวิตของประชาชน ขณะที่ผู้ประท้วงบางกลุ่มเรียกร้องให้ ประธานาธิบดี สี จิ้นผิง ลาออกจากตำแหน่ง (ที่มา : bangkokbiznews.com)
ประท้วงเจิ้งโจว กระทบยอดผลิต ‘ไอโฟน 14 โปร’ 6 ล้านเครื่องปีนี้ ส่งผลต่อรายได้ของ Apple โดยเป้าหมายที่จะส่งมอบ Iphone ที่ 90 ล้านเครื่อง ยังเป็นสื่งท้าทาย ด้าน‘ฟ็อกซ์คอนน์’ เร่งจ่ายโบนัสพนักงานสูงสุด 6.5 หมื่นบาทต่อเดือน โดยหวังคงจำนวนพนักงานเอาไว้ให้ได้มากพอที่จะฟื้นสายการผลิตกลับสู่ภาวะปกติ
กรรมการ Fed คาด สหรัฐฯ อาจเริ่มลดดอกเบี้ยในปี 2024 หลังอาจจะเห็นสัญญาณเงินเฟ้อลดลง ในช่วงปี 2023-2024 ขณะเดียวกันเตือนตลาดอย่าประมาทดอกเบี้ยขาขึ้น เนื่องจากเเนวโน้มดอกเบี้ยจะยังคงเดินหน้าปรับตัวขึ้นต่อไป เพื่อเเก้ปัญหาเงินเฟ้อ 
ประธาน ECB คาด เงินเฟ้อยุโรปยังไม่เจอจุดสูงสุด เนื่องจากปัญหาสงครามรัสเซีย-ยูเครน ราคาพลังงานเเละอาหารที่ปรับตัวสูงขึ้นมา โดยเงินเฟ้อล่าสุด ปรับขึ้นเหนือ 10% เเละตั้งเเต่ต้นปีปรับตัวเพิ่มขึ้นทุกเดือน ประธาน ECB คาดเงินเฟ้อยุโรป ยังคงเพิ่มขึ้น ต่างจากสหรัฐที่มีทิศทางชะลอตัวลง
บิตคอยน์ร่วงใกล้หลุด $16,000 หลัง BlockFi ประกาศล้มละลายหลังจากก่อนหน้านี้ BlockFi ประกาศระงับการถอนเงินของลูกค้า โดยยอมรับว่าธุรกิจได้รับผลกระทบอย่างหนักจากการล้มละลายของ FTX โดยบริษัทมีเจ้าหนี้มากกว่า 100,000 ราย รวมทั้งมีหนี้สินและทรัพย์สินราว 1 พันล้านดอลลาร์ถึง 1 หมื่นล้านดอลลาร์ (ที่มา : ryt9.com)
Pinduoduo งบไตรมาส 3 ดีเกินคาด หลังโควิดกดดันประชาชนแห่ช็อปออนไลน์ โดยผลประกอบการ Q3/2022 รายได้อยู่ที่ $4.99 พันล้าน เพิ่มขึ้น 65% มาจาก ผลิตภณฑ์การเกษตร อุปกรณ์ IT  เครื่องสำอาง โดยผลประกอบการของ JD.com , Alibaba เป็นไปในทางทิศทางเดียวกัน
The Opportunity 
FINNOMENA Tactical Call: ดัชนี VN30 หลังดัชนีส่งสัญญาณกลับตัวในระยะสั้น
แนะนำเข้าลงทุนที่ระดับราคาไม่เกิน 1,065 จุด (+6.03% จากระดับราคาปิดตลาดวันที่ 28/11/2022) ซึ่งเป็นระดับราคาที่เราแนะนำให้พิจารณาชะลอการเข้าซื้อ (หยุดซื้อ) ภายใต้คำแนะนำ Tactical Call เนื่องจากทำให้ Risk/Reward ratio เข้าใกล้ระดับ 1:1 
แนะนำ Take Profit เมื่อดัชนีปรับตัวขึ้นถึง 1,160 จุด (Upside 15.50%) ซึ่งเท่ากับระดับ Fibonacci 38.2% ของแนวโน้มขาลงปัจจุบัน
แนะนำ Limit Loss หรือตัดขาดทุนทันที เมื่อดัชนีปิดตลาดต่ำกว่า 969 จุด (Downside 3.52%) ซึ่งเป็นระดับที่ดัชนีกลับมาปรับตัวหลุดเส้นค่าเฉลี่ย 20 วัน
รายละเอียดเพิ่มเติม : 
https://www.finnomena.com/finnomena-ic/tactical-call-vn-nov-2022
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