FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/12/2022 “จับตา 5 ปัจจัยเสี่ยง! จ่อทุบตลาดหุ้นโลกปี 2023” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/12/2022 “จับตา 5 ปัจจัยเสี่ยง! จ่อทุบตลาดหุ้นโลกปี 2023” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
29 ธ.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 29/12/2022
“จับตา 5 ปัจจัยเสี่ยง! จ่อทุบตลาดหุ้นโลกปี 2023”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ  Dow Jones ปิดที่  32,875.71 จุด -365.85  จุด  (-1.1%) S&P 500 ปิดที่ 3,783.22 จุด -46.03  จุด (-1.2%) Nasdaq ปิดที่ 10,213.29 จุด -139.94  จุด (-1.35%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,723.51 จุด -26  จุด (-1.49%) VIX Index อยู่ที่ 22.14 จุด +0.49  จุด (+2.26%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป  Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่  3,808.82 จุด -24.07  จุด  (-0.63%) Dax เยอรมัน ปิดที่  13,925.6 จุด -69.5  จุด  (-0.5%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่  6,510.49 จุด -40.17  จุด  (-0.61%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่  7,497.19 จุด +24.18  จุด  (+0.32%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่  26,340.5 จุด -107.37  จุด  (-0.41%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่  3,871.26  จุด -16.59 จุด  (-0.43%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่  19,898.91 จุด +305.85  จุด  (+1.56%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่  1,647.28 จุด +4.12  จุด  (+0.25%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่  1,013.95 จุด +6.59  จุด  (+0.65%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 29 ธันวาคม 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,813 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาแร่เงิน 23.75 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 78.48 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ Brent 83.43 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 29 ธันวาคม 2565)  Bitcoin 16,568 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,191.97 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Dogecoin 0.0708 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Binance 245.2 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
สหรัฐฯ และอีกหลายประเทศ บังคับผู้โดยสารจากจีนตรวจโควิดก่อนเข้าเมือง มีผลวันที่ 5 มกราคม2566 เป็นต้นไป หลังจากญี่ปุ่นและอินเดียกำหนดให้ตรวจพีซีอาร์ผู้โดยสารชาวจีน หลายประเทศกังวลจีนเปลี่ยนนโยบายโควิด-19 กะทันหัน ท่ามกลางความหวังเศรษฐกิจจะดีขึ้นจากนักท่องเที่ยวชาวจีน (ที่มา : bangkokbiznews.com)
นักเศรษฐศาสตร์เตือน เศรษฐกิจโลกกำลังเข้าสู่ทศวรรษเติบโตต่ำ จับตา 5 ปัจจัยเสี่ยง เงินเฟ้อที่ยืดเยื้อ นโยบายการเงินที่เข้มงวดทั่วโลก สงครามรัสเซีย-ยูเครนที่ยืดเยื้อ ความเสี่ยงโควิดจากการเปิดประเทศของจีน เศรษฐกิจโลกที่ชะลอตัว จ่อทุบตลาดหุ้นโลกอีก 1-2 ปี ข้างหน้า (ที่มา : cnbc.com)
ผลสำรวจ CNBC CFO ชี้ ดัชนีดาวโจนส์กำลังลงไปต่ำกว่า 30,000 จุด โดยร้อยละ 65 เชื่อเงินเฟ้อผ่านจุดสูงสุดเเล้ว เเละร้อยละ 52 ทำงานได้ค่อนข้างดีถึงดีมาก โดยกังวลเรื่องเงินเฟ้อ โควิดในจีนการขึ้นดอกเบี้ยของเฟด โดยมองว่าโอกาสการเกิด Recession ใน H1/2023 มีร้อยละ 43 ใน H2/2023 มีร้อยละ 43 เช่นกัน  ขณะที่มองโอกาสน้อยที่จะเกิด Soft Landing (ที่มา : cnbc.com)
หลังจาก BOJ สร้างปรากฏการณ์ช็อกตลาดด้วยการประกาศขยายกรอบอัตราผลตอบแทนพันธบัตรอายุ 10 ปีของรัฐบาลญี่ปุ่นให้เคลื่อนไหวในช่วง -0.5% ถึง +0.5% จากเดิมที่อยู่ในกรอบ -0.25% ถึง +0.25% ซึ่งตลาดตีความว่าเป็นการส่งสัญญาณเริ่มใช้นโยบายคุมเข้มการเงิน หลังจากที่ BOJ รักษาจุดยืนในการใช้นโยบายอัตราดอกเบี้ยต่ำเป็นพิเศษมาเป็นเวลานาน ล่าสุดมีสัญญาณชัดเจนที่บริษัทญี่ปุ่นเล็งปรับขึ้นค่าจ้าง-ราคาสินค้า (ที่มา : ryt9.com)
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