FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/08/2022 “รัสเซียเล่นเกมพลังงาน ขอปิดท่อส่งก๊าซ 3 วัน ยุโรปหวั่นพลังงานไม่พอใช้หน้าหนาว” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/08/2022 “รัสเซียเล่นเกมพลังงาน ขอปิดท่อส่งก๊าซ 3 วัน ยุโรปหวั่นพลังงานไม่พอใช้หน้าหนาว” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
22 ส.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/08/2022
“รัสเซียเล่นเกมพลังงาน ขอปิดท่อส่งก๊าซ 3 วัน ยุโรปหวั่นพลังงานไม่พอใช้หน้าหนาว”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Dow Jones ปิดที่ 33,706.74 -292.30 จุด (-0.86%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 4,228.48 -55.26 จุด (-1.29%) Nasdaq 12,705.21 ปิดที่ -260.13 จุด (-2.01%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,957.35 -43.38 จุด (-2.17%) VIX index อยู่ที่ 20.60 (+5.32%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) EURO STOXX 50 ปิดที่ 3,730.32 -47.06 จุด (-1.25%) Dax เยอรมนี ปิดที่ 13,544.52 -152.89  จุด (-1.12%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,495.83 -61.57 จุด (-0.94%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่ 7,550.37 จุด +8.52 จุด (+0.11%)
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่ 28,930.33 จุด -11.77 จุด (-0.04%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่ 4,151.07 จุด -29.03 จุด (-0.69%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่ 19,773.03 จุด +9.12 จุด (+0.05%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่ 1,625.92 จุด -10.15 จุด (-0.62%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่ 1,294.93 จุด -5.00 จุด (-0.38%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 22 ส.ค. 2565) ราคาทองคำ 1,760.35 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver ราคา 19.032 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 89.59 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 95.78 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 22 ส.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 21,482.1 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,609.70 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ และ Binance Coin 300.30 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ภาพรวมสินทรัพย์ทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกและลบสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก กลุ่มที่ปรับตัวในทิศทางบวก – ค่าเงินดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ (+1.5%), หุ้นสหราชอาณาจักร (+0.8%) และน้ำมัน (+0.4%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – Global REIT (-2.8%), ทองคำ, พันธบัตรตลาดเกิดใหม่ และหุ้นตลาดพัฒนาแล้ว (-1.9%) และหุ้นโลก (-1.8%)
ภาพรวมตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลกที่ปรับตัวบวกที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – ดัชนี PCOMP ฟิลิปปินส์ (+1.9%), ดัชนี FSTE100 สหราชอาณาจักร (+0.8%) และหุ้นอินโดนีเซีย (+0.6%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – ดัชนี Nasdaq (-3.2%), หุ้นเกาหลี (-2.5%) และ ดัชนี Dax เยอรมัน (-2.0%)
ภาพรวม sector ใน S&P500 ที่ปรับตัวบวกสูงที่สุดในรอบ 1 สัปดาห์ 3 อันดับแรก – Energy (+3.3%), Consumer Staples (+0.9%) และ Utilities  (+0.5%) ปรับตัวในทิศทางลบ – Communication Services (-3.7%), Real Estate, Materials และ Information Technology (-2.3%) และ Consumer Discretionary (-2.2%)
ผลตอบแทนของดัชนี MSCI แบ่งตามสไตล์การลงทุนในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – MSCI World Momentum Index (+0.2%), MSCI World Value Index (-0.9%), MSCI World Large Cap (-1.8%), MSCI World Quality Index (-2.0%), MSCI World Growth Index (-2.8%) และ MSCI World Small Cap (-2.8%)
ผลตอบแทนตามธีมต่างๆ ในรอบ  1 สัปดาห์ – Health Care (-1.3%), Sustainable Energy (-1.5%), Global Luxury (-2.8%), Clean Energy (-3.7%), Semiconductor (-3.9%), Esport (-5.2%), Global Cloud (-6.5%) และ Blockchain (-21.4%)
สรุปข่าวประจำวัน
Cineworld Group เครือโรงภาพยนต์ใหญ่อันดับ 2 ของโลก จดทะเบียนในตลาดหุ้นสหราชอาณาจักร เตรียมประกาศล้มละลาย จากปัญหาเรื่องผลประกอบการ และหนี้สินสะสม
อัตราดอกเบี้ยกู้บ้านสหรัฐฯ ลดลงแตะ 5.13% จาก 5.22% จำนวนผู้กู้ขอลดลงเช่นกัน ซึ่งส่งสัญญาณว่าเงินเฟ้ออาจจะผ่านจุดสูงสุดไปแล้ว
จับตาการประชุม Jackson Hole วันที่ 25 – 27 ส.ค. นี้ ผู้นำทางการเงินโลกเตรียมเผยมุมมองเศรษฐกิจ รวมถึงประธานธนาคารกลาง Fed
จากการรวบรวมข้อมูลย้อนหลัง พบว่าดัชนี S&P500 ให้ผลตอบแทนในช่วงฤดูร้อนปีนี้ประมาณ 13% ซึ่งถือเป็นฤดูร้อนที่ดีที่สุดครั้งหนึ่งในประวัติศาสตร์
รัสเซียเตรียมปิดท่อส่งก๊าซอีกครั้งวันที่ 31 ส.ค. – 2 ก.ย. โดยอ้างสาเหตุการซ่อมบำรุง ตลาดกังวลว่าอาจจะกระทบคลังสำรองก่อนฤดูหนาวของหลายประเทศในยุโรป ข้อมูลรายงานว่า Gazprom มีการส่งก๊าซไปยังยุโรปลดลงต่อเนื่อง
ผู้ติดเชื้อโควิดจีนเพิ่มขึ้นอีกครั้ง โดยเฉพาะในเมืองท่องเที่ยว ล่าสุดพุ่งแตะ 2,200 ราย คาดการณ์ GDP จีนจาก Bloomberg ปี 2022 – 2024 อยู่ที่ 3.8%, 5.3% และ 5.0% ตามลำดับ
จีนประกาศลดอัตราดอกเบี้ยเงินกู้ลูกค้าชั้นดีระยะ 1 ปี ลง 5 bps. และระยะ 5 ปี ลดลง 15 bps.
วอร์เรน บัฟเฟต ได้รับอนุมัติให้เพิ่มสัดส่วนการถือครองหุ้น Occidental Petroleum เพิ่มถึง 50% นักวิเคราะห์คาดการณ์ว่าสุดท้ายแล้ว Berkshire Hathaway อาจจะซื้อกิจการทั้งหมดของบริษัทได้ ราคาหุ้น Occidental Petroleum วันศุกร์บวกประมาณ 9%
EIC ประเมินเศรษฐกิจไทยยังฟื้นตัวได้ จากการบริโภคในประเทศ และภาคบริการหลังเปิดประเทศ คาดสิ้นปีดอกเบี้ยนโยบานแตะ 1.25% ขณะที่เศรษฐกิจโลกส่งสัญญาณชะลอตัว
รายการ Mr. Messenger Talk EP28: SET ทะลุแนวต้าน ต่างชาติซื้อสุทธิ บาทแข็งค่า มาวิเคราะห์กัน พบกับคุณกรภัทร วรเชษฐ์ ผู้อำนวยการฝ่ายวิจัยและบริการการลงทุน บริษัทหลักทรัพย์ โนมูระ พัฒนสิน
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