FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 05/08/2022 “จีนแสดงแสนยานุภาพซ้อมรบ ‘กระสุนจริง’ ยิงขีปนาวุธข้ามเกาะไต้หวัน” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 05/08/2022 “จีนแสดงแสนยานุภาพซ้อมรบ ‘กระสุนจริง’ ยิงขีปนาวุธข้ามเกาะไต้หวัน” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
5 ส.ค. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 05/08/2022
“จีนแสดงแสนยานุภาพซ้อมรบ ‘กระสุนจริง’ ยิงขีปนาวุธข้ามเกาะไต้หวัน”
ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ Dow Jones ปิดที่ 32,726.82 จุด -85.68 จุด (-0.26%) S&P500 ปิดที่ 4,151.94 จุด -3.23 จุด (-0.08%)  Nasdaq  ปิดที่ 12,720.58 จุด +52.42 จุด (+0.41%)  Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,906.46 จุด -2.47 จุด (-0.13%) VIX index ปิดที่ 21.44 จุด (-0.51%)
ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่ 3,754.6 จุด -22.06 จุด (-0.59%) Dax เยอรมัน ปิดที่ 13,662.68 จุด +75.12 จุด (+0.55%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่ 6,513.39 จุด +41.33 จุด (+0.64%) 
ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) ดัชนี Nikkei 225 ปิดที่ 27,932.13 จุด +190.3 จุด (+0.69%) ดัชนี CSI 300 ปิดที่ 4,101.53 จุด +34.56 จุด (+0.85%)  ดัชนี Hang Seng ปิดที่ 20,174.05 จุด +406.95 จุด (+2.06%)  และ SET Index ปิดที่ 1,598.75 จุด +4.02 จุด (+0.25%)
ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 5 ส.ค. 2565) ทองคำ 1,808.85 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Silver 20.245 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 88.86 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Brent 94.27 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 5 ส.ค. 2565) Bitcoin 23,088.5 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,656.32 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Dogecoin 0.068168 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Binance Coin 313.2 ดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
สถานการณ์ผู้ติดเชื้อในรายใหม่วันนี้ 2,253 ราย เสียชีวิตเพิ่ม 34 ราย หายป่วยกลับบ้าน 2,483 ราย ผู้ป่วยสะสมตั้งแต่ 1 ม.ค. 65 2,377,543 ราย หายป่วยสะสมตั้งแต่ 1 ม.ค. 65  2,379,845 ราย
จีนแสดงแสนยานุภาพ ซ้อมรบ กระสุนจริง ในวันที่ 4 – 7 สิงหาคม รอบเกาะไต้หวัน ยิงขีปนาวุธตอบโต้เพโลซี เยือนไต้หวัน การซ้อมรบในครั้งนี้จะเป็นครั้งแรกที่มีการยิงขีปนาวุธจากแผ่นดินใหญ่ ข้ามผ่านไต้หวัน ด้านเรือบรรทุกสินค้าเกือบครึ่งหนึ่งของโลกเดินทางผ่านช่องแคปไต้หวัน การซ้อมรบทำให้การส่งสินค้าทางเรือล่าช้าออกไป ด้านเศรษฐกิจจีนระงับการนำเข้าสินค้าสำคัญของไต้หวันได้แก่ ทรายธรรมชาติ ผลไม้และปลา
ธนาคารกลางอังกฤษขึ้นดอกเบี้ย 50 bps สู่ระดับ 1.75% แรงสุดรอบ 27 ปี เตือนเงินเฟ้อพุ่งสูงสุดภายในเดือน ต.ค. 13.3% ลากยาวอย่างต่อเนื่องอีก 1 ปี และคาดการณ์เงินเฟ้อจะกลับเข้าสู่ระดับปกติที่ 2% ในปี 2025 ด้านเศรษฐกิจเสี่ยงเข้าสู่ Recession ในไตรมาส 4/2022 ลากยาวไปถึง 5 ไตรมาส
JPMorgan โชว์แบบจำลองมีโอกาสเศรษฐกิจสหรัฐฯ ถดถอยลดลงแรง แต่ในการจ้างงานยังไม่กระทบในเดือนกรกฎาคมจะมีการจ้างงานเพิ่มขึ้น 258,000 ตำแหน่ง คาดการณ์ภาวะว่างงานจะอยู่ที่ระดับ 3.6% แสดงถึงเศรษฐกิจสหรัฐฯ ยังมีการจ้างงานที่แข็งแกร่ง ด้าน Michael Burry เตือนภาวะตลาด ไร้เหตุผลยังอยู่ จะมีโอกาสที่ตลาดหุ้นจะปรับตัวลง
Alibaba ผลประกอบการดีเกินคาด แต่รายงานรายได้ทรงตัว ไม่เติบโตเป็นครั้งแรก รายได้อยู่ที่ $30,680 ล้าน หรือประมาณ 205,000 ล้านหยวน ใกล้กับช่วงเดียวกันของปีก่อนที่ 203,000 ล้านหยวน กำไรต่อหุ้นอยู่ที่ 11.73 หยวน เนื่องจาก Alibaba ได้รับผลกระทบจากการล๊อคดาวน์ของจีน ธุรกิจ E commerce รายลดลง 1% ธุรกิจ Cloud ชะลอตัวลง
Toyota กำไรจากการดำเนินร่วง 42% profit tumbles กำไรอยู่ที่ 9.97 แสนล้านเยน เผชิญปัญหาต้นทุนพุ่ง ซัพพลายขาดแคลนจากการขาดแคลน semiconductor มีการปรับลดประมาณการณ์การผลิตลดลงไป 3 ครั้งในช่วงไตรมาสที่ผ่าน ต่ำกว่าเป้าหมายเดิม 10%
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