FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/06/2022 “อีลอน มัสก์ เตือน ‘เศรษฐกิจถดถอย’ มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นเร็วๆนี้ Tesla เตรียมปลดพนักงาน 3.5%” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา - FINNOMENA
FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/06/2022 “อีลอน มัสก์ เตือน ‘เศรษฐกิจถดถอย’ มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นเร็วๆนี้ Tesla เตรียมปลดพนักงาน 3.5%” พร้อมสรุปเนื้อหา
22 มิ.ย. 2565

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FINNOMENA The Opportunity Morning Brief 22/06/2022
 “อีลอน มัสก์ เตือน ‘เศรษฐกิจถดถอย’ มีโอกาสเกิดขึ้นเร็วๆนี้ Tesla เตรียมปลดพนักงาน 3.5%”
 ภาพความเคลื่อนไหวล่าของตลาดหุ้นทั่วโลก
 ตลาดหุ้นสหรัฐฯ  Dow Jones ปิดที่  30,530.25 จุด +641.47  จุด  (+2.15%) S&P 500 ปิดที่ 3,764.79 จุด +89.95  จุด (+2.45%) Nasdaq ปิดที่ 11,069.3 จุด +270.95  จุด (+2.51%) Small Cap 2000 ปิดที่ 1,694.03 จุด +28.34  จุด (+1.7%) VIX Index อยู่ที่ 30.19 จุด -0.84  จุด (-2.71%)
 ตลาดหุ้นยุโรป  Euro Stoxx 50 ปิดที่  3,494 จุด +24.17  จุด  (+0.7%) Dax เยอรมัน ปิดที่  13,292.4 จุด +26.8  จุด  (+0.2%) CAC 40 ฝรั่งเศส ปิดที่  5,964.66 จุด +44.57  จุด  (+0.75%) FTSE 100 อังกฤษ ปิดที่  7,152.05 จุด +30.24  จุด  (+0.42%)
 ตลาดหุ้นเอเชีย (ราคาปิดวันทำการล่าสุด) Nikkei 225 ญี่ปุ่น ปิดที่  26,246.31 จุด +475.09  จุด  (+1.84%) CSI 300 จีน ปิดที่  4,325.57 จุด -4.86 จุด  (-0.11%) Hang Seng ฮ่องกง ปิดที่  21,559.59 จุด +395.68  จุด  (+1.87%) SET Index ไทย ปิดที่  1,574.52 จุด +15.31  จุด  (+0.98%) VN30 เวียดนาม ปิดที่  1,224.54 จุด -1.02  จุด  (-0.08%)
 ราคาสินค้าโภคภัณฑ์ (เช้าวันที่ 22 มิถุนายน 2565 ) ราคาทองคำ 1,827.65 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาแร่เงิน 21.395 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ WTI 105.77 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ ราคาน้ำมันดิบ Brent 111.09 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 ราคา Cryptocurrency (เช้าวันที่ 22 มิถุนายน 2565 )  Bitcoin 20,370 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Ethereum 1,099.48 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Dogecoin 0.06326 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ Binance 215.9 เหรียญดอลลาร์สหรัฐฯ
 เงินเยนอ่อนค่าสุดรอบ 24 ปี นักเศรษฐศาสตร์ชี้อาจอ่อนถึง 140 เยน/ดอลลาร์ กดดัน BOJ เปลี่ยนนโยบายการเงินจากผ่อนคลายเป็นเข้มงวดโดยการขึ้นอัตราดอกเบี้ย เเละลดมาตรการกระตุ้น เพื่อลดผลกระทบทางธุรกิจจากต้นทุนการนำเข้าที่เพิ่มสูงขึ้น จากค่าเงินเยนที่อ่อนค่า
 อินเดียเตรียมขวาง จีน-รัสเซีย ขยายอิทธิพลต่อต้านสหรัฐฯ ในประชุมสุดยอดผู้นำ BRICS โดยช่วงที่ผ่านมาความสัมพันธ์ระหว่าง จีน-รัสเซีย ใกล้ชิดกันมากขึ้น หลังเกิดสงครามรัสเซีย-ยูเครน ทำให้อินเดียกังวลว่า จีน-รัสเซีย จะใช้เวที BRICS เเสดงจุดยืนเรื่องสงครามรัสเซีย-ยูเครน
 บอร์ดทวิตเตอร์ มีมติเอกฉันท์อนุมัติการขายหุ้นให้ อิลอน มัสก์หุ้นมูลค่า 44,000 ล้านดอลลาร์ ประกาศย้ำความตั้งใจของตนที่จะเดินหน้าเข้าซื้อกิจการทวิตเตอร์เมื่อสัปดาห์ที่แล้ว ระหว่างการเข้าร่วมประชุมออนไลน์กับพนักงานของบริษัท
 อีลอน มัสก์ เตือนเกิด “เศรษฐกิจถดถอย” เร็วๆ นี้ ด้าน Tesla เตรียมปลดพนักงานลดลงประมาณ 10% ในช่วง 3 เดือนข้างหน้า แต่โดยภาพรวมจะลดลงราว 3.5% เเต่คาดว่าจำนวนพนักงานรายชั่วโมงจะเพิ่มขึ้น
 Goldman Sachs เตือน โอกาสเกิดเศรษฐกิจถดถอยเพิ่มขึ้น เป็น 30% ในปีหน้า และเพิ่มเป็น 48% ภายใน โดยเหตุผลคือปัญหาเงินเฟ้อที่ยังไม่ผ่านจุดสูงสุดไปในสหรัฐ จะทำให้ FED ต้องใช้นโยบายดอกเบี้ยที่เคร่งครัดมากขึ้น ซึ่งจะเป็นความเสี่ยงที่จะทำให้เศรษฐกิจเกิดการชะลอตัว
 Cathie Wood เตือน Fed ‘เงินฝืด’ น่ากลัวกว่า ‘เงินเฟ้อ’ อย่ามัวแต่ขึ้นดอกเบี้ย  ไม่สนใจเศรษฐกิจชะลอตัว โดยมองว่า ความเชื่อมั่นของผู้บริโภคในปัจจุบันต่ำกว่าช่วงวิกฤิตการเงินโลกปี 2008 และช่วงภาวะเศรษฐกิจถดถอยปี 1980-1982 ด้านราคาหุ้น ARKK เจ็บหนัก -60% จากต้นปี
 Ray Dalio เตือน ขึ้นดอกเบี้ยเพื่อรับมือเงินเฟ้อ จะทำให้เศรษฐกิจอ่อนแอ การขึ้นดอกเบี้ยมีต้นทุนที่เศรษฐกิจสหรัฐต้องจ่าย การขึ้นดอกเบี้ยเพื่อหวังลดเงินเฟ้อ เเล้วหวังให้เศรษฐกิจกลับมาเติบโต เป็นเรื่องที่เป็นไปได้ยาก 
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