A young Aboriginal man of 18 in Australia is more likely to end up in jail than university, Opposition Leader Bill Shorten said in an interview on Sky News.
Mr Shorten's claim is a fair call. Experts contacted by Fact Check said it is difficult to assess "lifetime likelihood" with certainty because it involves predicting the future based on past patterns. But the most recent available data shows a greater proportion of Indigenous men had been to jail in the five years to 2008 than had a Bachelor degree or above in 2011, and a greater proportion were in jail than at university in 2014.
Fact check: Are young Indigenous men more likely to end up in jail than university?
['Australia', 'Bill_Shorten', 'Sky_News']