Age, years (mean (SD)): 57(13) Female %: 21 Family origin not reported Setting: Multicentre (over 150 hospitals) Country: United States Follow up: median 3.8 years Participants recruited between Mortality at 1 year AROC Mortality at 1 deaths) Retrospective cohort Kao Seattle Heart Failure Model People with heart failure due to left ventricular systolic dysfunction Male %: 76 Family origin not reported Setting: Castle Hill Hospital, Hull Country: UK Mean follow up not reported Participants were recruited previous to 2001 Mortality at 1 year AUC Predicted versus year mortality Mortality at 1 Retrospective analysis of RCT data Chronic Heart Failure Advanced heart failure and palliative care NICE 2018. All rights reserved. Subject to Notice of rights. ISBN: 978-1-4731-3093-7 Study Risk tool Population Outcomes No of events (%) Study design Ketchu m Seattle Heart Failure Model- D People with NHYA class II-III heart failure and impaired systolic function (ejection fraction 35%) who were on guideline recommended medical therapy. Age (years): 62 12 Male %: 80 Family origin not reported Setting: Multicentre Country: USA Mean follow-up of 21 months Participants were recruited between July 2005 and Mortality at 1 year AUC Predicted versus observed mortality at 1 year 101 deaths in a mean follow-up of Retrospective cohort Ky Seattle Heart Failure Model- D People with a clinical diagnosis of heart failure as determined by a heart failure specialist Male %: 66 Aetiology: Systolic heart failure: 86% Ischemic heart failure: 30% Family origin %: African American: 22 Setting: Multicentre Country: USA Follow up: Maximum of 5 years Recruitment period not reported Mortality at 1 year AUC Predicted versus observed mortality at 1 year over a maximum follow-up period of 5 years Retrospective cohort Chronic Heart Failure Advanced heart failure and palliative care NICE 2018. All rights reserved. Subject to Notice of rights. 