[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So, uh, so I'll ask you first, who do you think wins this division?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I'm picking Philly to win too. And so, um, obviously both of us believe that Philly is a good value bet.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, like if you, if you think Philly is going to win the division, you should probably bet him now because.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] This number has only gotten smaller as we've gotten closer to the season. And if they're, you know, uhm.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, I guess you can, they're probably not going to leapfrog the Cowboys. That's just sort of not, you know, it's not how it works. Um, but if they, you know, they, they could easily start. I mean at lions, Vikings at commanders, Jaguars at home, like if they started for, no, I wouldn't be surprised at all.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah. And if you, if you, if you listen to this podcast, you know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Fairly often and you probably already jumped on the Eagles because I took him when they took Jordan Davis and got AJ Brown on the draft. I took him to win the division.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I took them to, to win the conference and, uh, to win the Super Bowl. Uhm, could the Cowboys win the division? Absolutely.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Cowboys are, cowboys are, the, the, uh, downgrading of the Cowboys, which I'm, I am absolutely guilty of here, is probably a bit more than it, like, like we're probably being a bit too aggressive. Yeah. With the downgrading of the Cowboys, you know, they, they're just not very, they're not very compelling to me. Like, is, is, is, is even going to be a top five unit again? Cause the offensive line is, you know, certainly had some attrition.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You've got the wide receiver position as you point out is, I mean, the Amari Cooper.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Trap door in the contract and then the ensuing trade now looks a little short-sighted.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Cause if they still had Cooper and Lam and Schultz, I'd be, I'd be, you know, fine with them, but, you know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] There's more depth. The Eagles look a lot, to me, like a lot more like the 2017 Eagles than...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They just look like, they remind me of the depth of the offensive line and the defensive line there. Now it doesn't mean that they'll, you know, they might not need the depth, doesn't mean that it, uhm.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, it actually helps him. But yeah, I just, I like Philly more than Dallas and I still take it up plus one 55 any, um, you get, I can't get excited about the commanders eight to one for the giants is a little intriguing.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I'm pretty invested in Philly, so that's, I'll, I'll happily sit, sit back and just take my, and hopefully wins the division and, and actually, you know, hopefully wins the Superbowl. Yeah. It's not a thing I expected to say like 365 days ago. Much like, you know, I mean, yeah.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uhm, alright, so that's our value for the NFC East. Let's move to the NFC North. Or as I point out, uhm, I'm picking the backers to win the division. Wow, what a shock. Actually, minus 170 is kind of bettable.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I agree. And how about Aaron Jones is just a monster in the past. Yeah. Yeah. So since 2011.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I guess we'll start since the Packers won their Super Bowl, the only Super Bowl in Roger's time. They won four straight, then the Vikings won in 2015.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] 2000. Yeah, sorry. No, no, no. Yeah, they went, um, they played all 16 games, but he had a very only complete 60% of his passes. Man. Weird year. So Aaron Rodgers had a disastrous year.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] 2016 Packers again, 2017 Vikings win the division. Uh, Rogers only played in seven games that year because he got injured and then.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] In 2018, the Bears actually won it in Matt Nagy's first year, which is like crazy to say as well. Uhm, I think that that, that was, that was the final year of the Mike McCarthy run because they went 6-9-1. And in the, in the, in the ensuing three seasons, they've gone 39-9.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And won the division three straight times. Obviously Roger does two MVPs. Of course the Devonte Adams thing is, is, is standing out to everybody. I get it. But like, this is still a really good team.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That one games without Devontae Adams, Rogers has great stats without Adams. They run the ball very effectively. Matt LaFleur is an excellent coach and they have a lot of talent on defense. So I'm, I wouldn't want to lay 170 at this point because you're, you know, you're, you have to, although, uh, some books,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I had it last year where when the division was clinched, they actually painted out, which was, uh,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Pretty cool. You know, you may have to, if you do it in Vegas, you may have to wait or do it legally. You may have to wait till the end of the season to get to mail in your ticket. Uhm, so I don't know if I'd want to like lay like 3, you know, 170 bucks to win 100.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, for that long period of time, that's sort of the only, that's maybe the only hang up is that you got to put time to money.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I actually think there's a little bit of value in the lions, but maybe.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] 9 to 1, it feels like they should be like 13 to 1 and the Bears should be like 25.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Um, by the way, uh, I was watching, this is like kind of random, but, um, well, it's not random. So say nuclear again. Nuclear? Nuclear. Yeah, you and I say it the same way. Okay. Nuclear. And there are a lot of people out there that have a problem with this.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Well, I think we're, I don't know, I was thinking about it, so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The reason I thought, so I was watching a uhm, there's like 5 million Adam Sandler movies on Netflix now.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know what, you can, I don't want to spoil the polo. Sure. It's an Adam Sandler movie. Uhm, but, so at one point somebody says nuclear.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And the guy, there's another person, like a scientist in the room, he goes, nuke you lure.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm not describing physics here, pal. I'm talking about like a, like a, like they're going to go nuke.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] What are we doing here? Uhm, so yeah, I, uh, I could, I mean, I could be talking to the Vikings, not being a bad bet.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right. It's some people, there's a theory that certain otherwise educated people choose to say nuclear. That's what it is. Nuclear. Is that correct? I think it's nuclear.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Just say it, just close your eyes and just say it. Nucleate nu-nucular.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I assume, I mean, thank you for your service.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I guess some civilians have to be involved in the building of nuclear submarines. Yeah.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Ooh, I like it. That's, that's my, that's my, as close as I can come to nuclear. Yeah, so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You man's has got a large future of the, uh, what did I get the.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I hammered, I mean, I have a big bet on the Buccaneers to win the division at like, I don't remember exactly what I get. I think it's like even money basically. Yup. When Tom Brady retired.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And when it was announced he was coming back, it was just like immediately pounce on.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like I slammed the Bucks to win the division, like Max bet it to win the division cause it didn't, you know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uhm, and I took them to win the NFC as well. I mean, no bleep, uhm, uh, no bleep. Sherlock, like don't, uh, don't bet the bucks minus 280. Like that's just too much to lay, especially given all the injuries they've had recently. I think, I think there's some value here on this division at this point, but just because of


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] All the offensive line injuries, sort of the struggles of the Bucks, Tom Brady's been missing. Are they probably going to win the division? Absolutely.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm kind of intrigued by the 11 to 1. Yeah, you can't touch the Falcons at 35 to 1.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, you, you pointed out in the podcast a few weeks ago, it was like in 2019, Brady was talking with the dolphins and, you know, in, in hindsight, it's like, oh, this dude was just probably checked out for most, much of the season, especially when.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, he had all these, like a lack of weapons. He knew he was done in New England. It's sort of depressing to be wrapping up your career with, you know, as the greatest football player of all time, you know, with the only team you've ever played for. You've won six titles and, um, yeah, maybe he's like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, he's just getting pounded and he's like, kind of checks out with, you know, top balls as the coach and receivers banged up. I mean, I think that's like, I mean, nobody wants to question Tom Brady's motivation or desire to win football games. Like that would be, uh, that would be a very.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, foolish to do so, but I mean, he did, you know, just take like nine days off for like a international vacation with.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's right, that's right. Um, so I, yeah, I mean, I think that I would be, if I, you know, I will probably dabble in this a little bit, um, with the Saints and the Panthers before the season kicks off just because I have that Bucks future at like basically even money. So I mean, oh, I'll probably just saw off a little bit of the Bucks.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Sure as hell wouldn't pick, and like Ryan Wilson's picking the Saints and winning the division, I wouldn't, you wouldn't catch me doing that. I'm picking the Bucks and winning the division all day long.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm not as bullish on the Saints as some people, but I get it. I understand why there's interest in it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Okay, finally in the NFC, we go to the NFC West, which I somehow can't find on my computer. There we go. The rams.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The uh, the Rams are plus 120. The 49ers are plus 180 and the Arizona Cardinals plus 350 and the Seattle Seahawks 18 to 1.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think I'm starting to fall in love with the 49ers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And R.J. White was on here earlier this week and said that uhm, that's one of his best bets, 49ers, to win the division at plus 180. I believe. He took the 49ers basically at every stop. He loves the idea of uhm,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Trey Lance and who can blame him? Trey Lance is extremely intriguing. You'd like to have two to one there, but I think plus 180.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Maybe a little worried that Jimmy Garoppolo goes to Seattle if you're in San Francisco because you get the revenge game there, but I like the Niners. There's value here for sure.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah. And look, I mean, I love the Rams. I do. I mean, I, you know, they're, you know, they're the favorites for a reason.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's just, I don't know, it's like there's, you kind of just have to pick one of these two teams, unless you think the Cardinals or Seahawks are going to do something crazy, which I, which I just don't. I mean, the Andrew Hopkins suspended, obviously the Seahawks are totally rebuilding.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Very volatile all year, then I think the Rams probably take the division.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The NFC side of things, right? Do we pick, um, yeah, we pick all the same team.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So we start with the AFC where we always start in New England.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm of Sully. I'm of Matt Patricia and Joe George.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So the bills are the huge prohibitive favorites, no surprise there. Minus 230 to win the division. I would assume they're going to be both of our picks. Uh, the Pats at four, just under five to one. Dolphins same and the Jets a whopping 22 to one. I assume you're picking the bills to win the division.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Minus 230 is a reasonable price to back the bills. Again, the only issue is that you like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So you want to win one unit, you have to put down 2.3 units that is held until the bill is clinched in division, which...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, for sure. Yeah, I mean, so like, the bills are not afraid to drop a couple of games, but I agree that they...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you have the capital to tie up, like if you, if you have the liquidity.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Or the availability of funds that you don't mind tying up for a lengthy period of time. The bills are a pretty good bet.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Division winner. Some places will let you parlay. You can parlay at Caesars. Oh man. Hmm. So you could do bills and bucks. Bills and bucks parlay is basically even money.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You're basically juicing up the 49ers by taking the bills or, you know, um, how many could you part way? Let me see. Let's toss the, let's toss the, um, toss it. Well, we'll get to that division in a second. I'm gonna throw the Packers in there. Oh man. And then throw the Buccaneers in there. All right. So bills, bills, bucks.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's real fun. I mean, just bet a unit to win 7.6 units and you feel like you got three in the bag.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Now maybe that's where you could do, you do those three teams, you do that parlay, but then you do a separate parlay with the Rams instead of the 49ers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Sure. If you get all three of the huge, the heavy favorites.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Oh man, I wish I had seizures. Now we're getting crazy. I know. I like that. Uhm, okay.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, I don't know if people, people, I don't remember this, but like the patch were like kind of playing like possum in 2007. Yeah. They weren't using ready moss in the preseason.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like they just, I mean, obviously it's a totally different team. I was going to say it's, it's not comparing like a apple in a, in a, in a stone slab here. Like, like I'm not, but I'm just saying it's.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I don't, the point being is like, this isn't like, oh, yeah, maybe the Patriots would be, you know, maybe the Patriots would be really good this year. This is like, like, it's like, uh, I mean, this looks like a real problem.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, if, if you, yeah, offensive linings are a major factor. If it's not healthy, this team can't do anything on offense. Or if it's not, if it's not, not healthy, but not, if it's not like effective, what does this team do on offense?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And I still think you should bet him a plus 140. I think that's a great value for a team that's primed to bounce back.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, they are one of my favorite Super Bowl bets. RJ White, we talked about this earlier in the week. Like I was thrilled that when RJ comes on and he's like, here, like I had been eyeing like a 49ers Raven Super Bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Is my pick and he comes on and like it goes with it. I'm like, yeah, let's go. Um, I.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, are you going the same way? Are you going bingles? I can't, the Browns at 41.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's, I mean, the NFL, NFL.com standing says below the Browns.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I think so too. Uh, by the way, I added the Ravens to, um, our parlay here.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like, I mean, obviously the 49ers, Eagles or Ravens could not win. I mean, any of these teams could not win the division. Like weird stuff happens, but like, I don't know. Like those would be my six picks for those divisions. Like I, I can't, where can I get, can I?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Can I do Caesars in like Virginia? I might drive to Virginia for like an hour.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I just want to get this, I just want to get like a crazy division bet in. Why not? Yeah, put a unit on that with 52 units.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uhm, yeah, I, I, I don't, I wouldn't hate a little nibble on the Steelers either here.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you go with Kenny Pickett and you're losing a lot of games.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Can you bench him for, do you want to bench a first round rookie quarterback midway through his first season? Cause it's like.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You either have to go like all, you have to be like, alright, if we go Kenny Pickett, he's the starter for the season and bitch is just...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You don't like, like you didn't want, like if Max struggles at all, I can't, you know, can't people clamor for cam or if you know, same thing with like Trubisky and you mean like it's, it's if Trubisky struggling, it's no problem to bench Trubisky for Kenny Pickett. I think that's sort of the only argument for it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We got a 16, so we actually have all of our picks for the division in a parlay right now. I looked at the Steelers by the way, if you add the Steelers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So I mean, yeah, I mean, yeah, if you listen to this pilot, I mean, again, like, you know, it's getting closer to the season. So we'll repeat, you know, what we think, but, um, we haven't seen the culture a good bet for a long time. You look at what Indianapolis did trading for Matt Ryan.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, they, uh, Alex, Alex Pierce looks like he's like a legitimate number two for them. So they might.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If he's a stud and like Pittman has a massive breakout like that, that passing game could be really dangerous. Jonathan Taylor, probably the best running back in football. A very good offensive line that should bounce back. Uhm, I do have concerns about Gus Bradley on the defensive side of the ball.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's a big red flag for me. And then, um, uh, Shaquille Leonard is a little bang. Didn't he have any banged up?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I have no doubt about it. And uhm, I think it was Diana Rossini reported that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And, and she's, uh, usually pretty spot on with the Titan stuff. She reported that, um, this is Ryan Tannehill's team. Like he's the guy. I do think that's the case. I mean, I think it's, they want to give him the season.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] As far as value, I mean, I still think there's a value in the cult at minus 125. It's a little, it's a little rich.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Just cause, you know, again, the Gus Bradley thing, you know, unknown exactly how Matt Ryan transitions, although I really don't think it'll be a problem. Um, yeah, we saw a lot of success and look, I don't want to disrespect Tennessee, but plus one seventies and that's gotten pretty deep, you know, considering they were like minus one 10, not that long ago.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He got them to the number one seed without Derek Henry last year. And Ryan Taino and like minimal weapons. I mean AJ Brown was banged up. Julio Jones didn't do anything. Uhm, so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It was a point I was not prepared to make. You had it all in the notes. You were like, you got excited. I like it. I was ready to go. It's more about me.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Taking one of those weird stances where I'm like, I think the Jags could like, I legitimately do think the Jags could win the division. It's, it's such a down division. There are, and it always is in the culture, a steady team, but the Jaguars have talent and it's basically, it's basically a gamble on.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The upgrade from Urban to Doug Peterson, which from, yeah, from Urban to Doug Peterson, which I think is massive, like.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Urban Meyer was probably the worst hire in the history of professional football.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Sully's point about the value elsewhere, like Doug Peterson coach of the year is a good one. Like if the Jags win the division, he's, he's getting coach of the year.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I haven't like parlay 94 to one. Okay. And I mean, we're only talking like nothing above two to one.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's right. Oh, and then now this is where it gets interesting because this is obviously probably probably the toughest division to predict. I will go and tell you and there should be no surprise again to anyone who listens to this podcast.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That I'm picking the Chiefs here at plus 175. I think they're value and I think they win the division. I think the.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Additions by the Chargers and the Broncos and the Raiders, all very impressive, very exciting, fun new toys, but give me the old classic like bicycle, you know, like, like you can have your little roller blades and your


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know what analogy I'm trying to make here, but like basically give me Andy Reed and Patrick Mahomes for as long as those two guys are in KC.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If they're getting up to almost two to one to win the division, I want some of that. Uh, this, I will probably be very heavy on the Chiefs. And, um, if for any reason this gets, uh, like higher during the season, I'll be, I'll be nibbling more as the year goes along.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, it's just that. That's just what it boils down to. And, uh, so we add the cheese to our parlay. I don't think there's, if I would, if I, if there's, if there's a team, I would bet on.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Elsewhere on, on this division, maybe the Raiders?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Give me the sixth, if I'm betting anything, I mean, the chiefs to me is my favorite, like probably my favorite division bet out there. Cause you're getting.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Those guys, like those guys are routinely minus 200 to win the division every year. And now without Tyree kill, they're just plus 175. Like that, that is an overcorrect, an overcorrection.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And you know, with good reason, like they made great all season additions and Russell Wilson could be incredible with Denver. They could also win nine games. Wouldn't that be shocking? So we add the Chiefs to our eight, so we have an eight leg parlay.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And what do you think our total, we have the bills as you know, we had the 49ers packers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] This is not that, it's not, it's, we have one.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, too. Yeah, I mean, we have, we have two, not two teams that aren't the favorite, but we took the, you know, I mean, look, I'm not, I'm not going to bet against the bills. Packers are fucking ears now. And then the Ravens and the cheese are just like plus good plus money favorites. Right. So I like this a hundred dollars. He's got $26,000. We should probably split one of these. So sorry.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yes, you should check it out. Uh, okay, that'll do it for the show.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. I can't believe we covered all eight divisions in less than...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If there's one thing that people refer to me as it's efficient, punctual and efficient is what I often get from people when they talk about me.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Alright, that'll do it for the show. Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. Hit the subscribe, uh, subscribe to the YouTube channel. Go vote if you haven't in the podcast awards.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, you won't see me get a tattoo for Sully. I'm Brinson. Thanks for watching. We will see you guys later.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Debo, here's, here's how this is gonna go down. I can, I can tell, it's like I can see into the future.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I didn't book my travel, so I'm going to be getting there late. I'm always, I'm, I'm very anxious by nature. So I'll be worried about that. I'll show up like 15, 20 minutes late. I'll be hustling and I'll be sweaty.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And Bretzel will say something stupid, like he just said, now we're just, I'm going to lose it. I'm going to take off my, I'm going to take off my backpack and sling it at him and hopefully hit him in the head. And, uh, that's how that's going to go down. So, um, and then I'll get a tattoo.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And the, by the way, uh, not to victim blame here, but if you think Brinson's going to be on time based on something that's written on a sheet of paper, I got some bad news for you.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Sounds like your- All their money. All their money! Your summer tennis exploits. Although you haven't been talking about tennis lately, maybe you-


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Very similar to the plight of the Native Americans when their land was taken, I can under- I'm sure you feel similarly about that. I feel your pain, sir. By the way, uh, I was at Bill's camp on Monday with Pete Prisco and-


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Field producer Dane and they had just driven in from Canton, Ohio to.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You were talking about cutting the grass. I don't think that was me, but, but here's the first words out of Prisco's mouth when I saw him. I listened to that podcast. The first eight minutes was Brenton talking about cutting grass. What is going on?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I said, well, if you listen to the podcast more often, you get stuff like that and you get stuff like Brunson talking about playing on a par four course.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So, but they had, they, they questioned what you were talking about at the onset of these podcasts. And I said, well, clearly you don't listen often enough.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He won't answer a text. He ain't answering a phone call, so don't even try that. Maybe DMs, like I've never DM'd you, I've had no reason to DM, but your DMs are open, I do believe.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Who do you respond to quickest when they text you? Your wife or someone else?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Oh boy. I think Devo might want to worry about that. Devo doesn't text me unless it's an emergency. He just slacks. And then you don't answer. On average, how long does it take you to respond to your wife when she texts you?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So like, uh, cover three, all things covered, uhm, Sampson, is that, is that the neighborhood?


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[Assistant] Pixix should have a good chance. In terms of popularity of Host...


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[Assistant] Yeah, that changes things. Alright, here are all the finals.


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[Assistant] Uh, better chance you finish in first or better chance you finish in last? By the way, I'm saying you now that you could finish the last, not us.


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[Assistant] I'm going to read the rest of the email while you're searching. I want me to read the rest of it. Rest of the demos. Oh yeah. Why don't you? Yeah.


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[Assistant] I mean, you can go vote again in this stage, and that's what you're looking for right now, I believe. You have until September 13th, five weeks, and if you have a vote, we'd love the support. Remember, elections have consequences, people, so vote accordingly.


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[Assistant] Uh, by the way, quick tattoo update, uhm, uh, what time's the party on Tuesday night, Devo? Assuming I'm in Nashville by that point.


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[Assistant] Okay, and it's over like at eight or something. I think the tattoo parlor will probably close at eight. I'm happy to do it Wednesday morning.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think tattoo parlors generally open. I found a tattoo parlor in Nashville.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, there are a couple of tattoo parlors. I'll check the times, but I'm happy to do it in the morning. I'm looking at one now. Uh, let's see. Uh, they don't open until noon.


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[Assistant] I don't know, I'll just take a tattoo. None of us know. Uhm, but anyway, what I was going to say, Debo, you look at that Snoopy tattoo and determine where we need to put the requisite Ryan Finley information and then.


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[Assistant] So tattoo parlors in general appear to open at noon. So I'm looking around this thing. They typically close at seven. So.


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[Assistant] If I'd only gotten there earlier, perhaps I could have done it on Monday night, but wasn't meant to be apparently, but we'll figure it out.


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[Assistant] Uh, Mike Garapolo just reported that it's an avulsion of the kneecap, I believe is what he said, which sounds like a season ending situation.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, like you said, you can't predict injuries. They draft to Elijah Barrett talking the first round last year. He's, he kicked inside, uh, after playing some outside at USC and he's been good. Um, and the expectation was that Mackay Beckton will be back. Well, it didn't work out. And I'm sure if you had a redraft, you could.


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[Assistant] Uh, who plays on the right side, they have George fan who played pretty well last year, uh, at left tackle. Um, Connor McDermott is currently the listed as a starter, but Max Mitchell from Louisiana, he's a good player. Now, whether he's ready to start, that's another matter. And that's a huge drop off in terms of.


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[Assistant] Projected ability when you're trying to take care of Zach Wilson, but I don't have any issue with sauce Gardner and Garrett Wilson with the super and Jermaine Johnson for that matter. Their draft was actually a really good draft, but is working under the assumption that


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[Assistant] Breece Hall too. Jeremy Ruckert as well. I mean, go down the list. I just mentioned Max, uh, Max Mitchell working under the assumption that Makai would be healthy. He wasn't healthy for most of the last year. This is not great. And, you know, revisions history. Yeah. You probably draft an offensive lineman instead of either Garrett or, or sauce, but that's not where they're at. And hopefully one of these other guys can step up. Uh, yeah, not great situation.


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[Assistant] I think it's gonna be good. I think this team is, is fine. The biggest question still remains Sack Wilson. You would like to have had Mackay back in there. That looks to be the shift.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Connor McDermott, he's the right tackle. You know, if he's replacement level, that's a starting point. If he's, if you get Dwayne Brown in there, that also gives you some, some wiggle room, so.


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[Assistant] There are options. I mean, it's not best case scenario, but it's not worst case scenario either. It's, it's not best case scenario.


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[Assistant] No, also not good. I'm reading, I'm just reading some comments about, Judge Gwil's worked out with Ms. Office. He's talking about, uh, the loss there. So yeah, not great, not great.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I'm gonna go over. I think they win more games than the Giants as well. Do they win more games than the Patriots? No, also the Patriots offense apparently looks like doodoo with Matt Patricia as the quote unquote play caller. Uhm, so.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't know if you can put too much stock into that or not because it's training camp and we're halfway through and the defense is going to be pretty good or is there, are there legitimate concerns now that Josh McDaniel is in Las Vegas?


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[Assistant] But he didn't play last year. They sucked, but I mean, that, that's... I mean, I would be more concerned.


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[Assistant] If, actually probably if Elijah Barrett Tucker got hurt because he actually played last year. But in terms of Travis Kelsey, I'm fine with that. He's going to be, if he's ready in week one, he's ready in week one. I mean, if they lost him for four weeks or something, that, that would be a concern because Tyree Gill's gone. And, um,


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[Assistant] You know, we don't know how these other, uh, Oh, Jason Kelsey, not Travis Kelsey. Oh, Jason Kelsey. Oh, that's fine too. Sorry.


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[Assistant] I just heard Kelsey and I was thinking, eh, that's fine if he's back in week one. But even if Jason Kelsey is back and Debo sort of talked about, maybe he retires, maybe he doesn't, but they drafted Cam Jergens out of Nebraska. And you know, ideally you don't want a rookie playing in week one, but a Cam Jergens is a guy who could step in there. Um, Landon Dickerson played center at Alabama. I don't know.


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[Assistant] What the breakdown has been at training camp in terms of them working at center, but that's an option as well. Even if you need someone in week one and he played it at a high level, the injuries were the only thing that the concerns of Lane and Dickerson.


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[Assistant] So huge in fact that Brenton just dropped out of the podcast momentarily. I look forward to hearing the reasons why Depot. So what else are we talking about here?


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[Assistant] So, Joe Burrow's timetable has been extended. It was only supposed to be a few weeks. Welcome back, Brie, uh, Brenton. We're talking about Joe Burrow going from a few weeks with the appendectomy, uh, to being out a few more weeks.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's a four minute read, so he must've gotten into his feelings, cause that's long a breach is usually like a 30 second read.


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[Assistant] Yeah, he must have been trying to rationalize that this isn't a bad thing. So during an interview on the end of the trenches podcast, which is part of the Bengals radio network.


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[Assistant] Uh, Joe Burrow's dad said it might be a few weeks before his son is able to return to the field, set him back. Jimmy Burrow, I love this dad's name, Jimmy, son of the surgery. Jimmy.


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[Assistant] Alright, I don't know if that's true or not, but you have to show people what's going on behind the curtain.


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[Assistant] So Appendectomy was July 27th, uh, estimate at the time was that it would be able to return to the field after one to four weeks. And, uh, Jimmy Burrow's new timeline is accurate according to Breach. That means it could still be a few weeks before Joe is practicing again.


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[Assistant] They might have him back on the field until the end of August or even the beginning of September.


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[Assistant] So, I mean, that's the concern on some level. By the way, Dave Lapham was a teammate of Jim Breach.


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[Assistant] Jimmy Burrow also noted that his son's appendix issue kinda came out of nowhere. Uhm, I think appendix issues typically come out of nowhere. I don't know if that's a surprise. I don't think you typically plan to have an appendectomy. But anyway, if it bleeds into September, pardon the pun,


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[Assistant] That's something you gotta think about. Long term, it's fine. I mean, clearly they're in a much better situation than the Browns and whatever's gonna happen to Sean Watson.


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[Assistant] In terms of availability, but you want Joe Burrow to be out there and playing with the ones and sort of continuing to build on that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I always have to look up top of your head. Who's the backup quarterback in Cincinnati?


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[Assistant] So, Brent Allen started football games. I don't think you want him to play.


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[Assistant] It might be just a few extra weeks that they want them to rest, because I think typically when you have an appendectomy as a normal person, you can go to work, but when you're running around and getting hit and torquing your body, that probably is not good for the healing process when it's around your midsection. So maybe that's what it is. Uhm, but yeah.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but again, if you have an appendectomy tomorrow, you can probably go to work the next day because this is your job. Your job isn't doing jumping jacks and sprinting up and down the field and running away from 300 pound people.


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[Assistant] Maybe he was like stretching and he popped a, popped a seam or something, I don't know, but I'm not, I'm not worried about it. It's not like it affects his arms or his knees or his brain, it's just his...


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[Assistant] Oh, so it must have ruptured before they got it out. Maybe that's what it is.


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[Assistant] Oh, Green Bay, sorry, there it is. I was looking for, yeah, cause I was trying to look, cause he, the way you, some of the quotes you read made it sound like he was a medical.


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[Assistant] Uh, in the medical field, but he, he's a former player playing in the CFL for, for quite a while. No, he's just, he's just Joe Burrows dad. Joe Burrows dad.


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[Assistant] And he also has coached for a while, and I think we knew that during the draft process because we talked about that a lot. That's right.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the only person that likes Jamus more than me is Emory Hunt. He calls him Famous Jamus. Which I sort of love.


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[Assistant] Yeah, much better than suffering in ACL, so that's good news. And again,


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[Assistant] How many of these quarterbacks that aren't first or second year quarterbacks are going to play anyway in the first three, none, right? Exactly. And this is, I'm laughing because it's half serious, half joking, but this is prime time Andy Dalton territory. You throw them out there in the first three weeks to preseason, let them take a beating, bring an eating book and then keep James healthy, uh, for when the actual season starts. So yeah.


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[Assistant] Uh, less concerned about James than I am about Joe Burrow. And I'm not that concerned about Joe Burrow. Okay.


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[Assistant] Why would you bring him in when you have Andy Dalton in the guy you drafted last year? I would argue that that's not true. Jamus played well last year. He played fine. Relative to previous Jamus football, I thought he played well.


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[Assistant] Okay, well, you bring in Jamie Grapple and see how that goes. I think it would be an upgrade.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I don't think, I don't even know if he's, is he practicing? I don't think so. Yeah, I think they just had him sitting out so they can figure out what to do with him. Yeah. Unless he made the, made the list.


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[Assistant] Okay, well, I mean, all that can go on is what we're told and then we'll see what the recovery time is. If he's out for a year, then it might be something more serious than what Harbaugh's letting on. If he misses a full year, it's definitely illiterate. Yeah, if he's back.


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[Assistant] Uhm, sooner than that, then we'll re-evaluate, but that's a huge loss because the whole idea was to show up to center that offense. They drafted him in the first round, they drafted, uhm,


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[Assistant] The safety Kyle Hamilton from Notre Dame in the first round. They crushed their draft on paper. David Ajaba who also had an injury.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and they didn't trade one of them. So you hopefully tie our lender bombs back soon. Uhm, in fact, there were some, some folks that like Cam Juergens, who we just talked about as a backup to Kelsey in Philadelphia, better than lender bomb in terms of value for where you might take them in the draft.


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[Assistant] I think Cammy didn't go in the second round, uh, day two for sure. And Linderbaum went, went late in round one.


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[Assistant] Uhm, slightly undersized, like he was, you know, sub 300 and sometimes that bothers people. Short arms, but that's why he plays center. He was a wrestler.


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[Assistant] So, uh, I'm laughing at Breach. Breach is pipin' in on our little chat here. Dave Lapham is this guy, he says. But uhm, yeaah, this is a huge, this is the, probably one of the most concerning injuries we talked about in addition to, to the MacCuyBecton News.


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[Assistant] That team. Here, I was talking to your buddy Adam Gold earlier today and let me put this out there to you. We sort of talked about this. So, I'll mention a few teams and you tell me where the Bears slot in in terms of progress or lack of progress from the 2021 season to the 2022 season. So, Jaguars, the Lions,


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[Assistant] And the Bears. Rank those teams for me in terms of optimism or lack of optimism over the last seven months.


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[Assistant] Uh, lions. Yeah, I haven't paid attention to the falcons. I don't know what they're up to, but sure.


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[Assistant] I don't disagree with that. Like last year the Lions won 3, last year the Bears won 6.


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[Assistant] I think the Lions are winning more games than the Bears and they may double them up in the same way I just said, six and three.


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[Assistant] Jalen Johnson's good. Um, I don't know if Robert Quinn's in the conversation. Yeah, it's close.


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[Assistant] It's, it's hard to make a case that, you know, cause there's so many few, there's so few good players on this team.


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[Assistant] Yeah, sure, fine. I'm not going to push back. I mean, call command hasn't quite left those expectations. David Montgomery.


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[Assistant] Uh, Roquan's comments on the social media, wherever he put it up, is that he said, look, I love everything about Chicago, the fans, the history, the legacy, yada yada yada.


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[Assistant] But here's the deal, fans. I try to negotiate with these guys and they low ball me and peace out. So there's no questioning where he's coming from. There's no pouting like Kyler sort of did when he took everyone's name off his social media. Although he's not being passive aggressive. He's like, look, they won't, they won't deal with me. And this puts the ball in the Bears court and how are you going to respond when it comes to the PR battle?


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[Assistant] I mean, it worked out for Kyler, but Kyler plays quarterback. Uhm, and I think Rokwon.


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[Assistant] I suppose if they came to an agreement, he would be happy to stay, but right now he's, he's pissed off and that sometimes happens, uh, with the business part of this and there are plenty of other teams. So he makes 9.7 million this year, I think, final year of his, I think it's the fifth year option.


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[Assistant] Half the teams have about that much money in salary cap space. You can do some massaging in the salary cap to make it happen. But I would imagine there'd be plenty of suitors to get someone who's mid-twenties in their prime and a difference maker. I would imagine Justin Fields would like to keep broke one around because


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[Assistant] This today for, I do look a quick 45 second thing for HQ. I call Justin Fields, Justin Leonard. That's how old I am.


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[Assistant] I don't know where that, oh, you know what? I was thinking, cause I was comparing Shaquille Leonard and it takes me two beats to remember Shaquille's first name. So it's Shaquille Leonard and then that Justin Fields, I call him Justin Leonard. But here's the thing. If you want Shaquille Leonard money, that's around, I think, what is it? 17? 19? 19.7.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it feels like a lot of money for a guy who is probably on the downside of a good career and battle injuries.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but to your point about whether Justin Fields is in long term plans, that's an interesting one.


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[Assistant] Okay, I mean, Jalen Johnson's good, but yea, that's fine. I'm not gonna push back on that.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah. I will give you Matt Milano money. 10.4 million dollars.


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[Assistant] Now look, you can, maybe his agent countered and maybe they, they stood firm with that number, whatever that number we think it is for the Bears, in which case, I get it, you can be pissed off about it. But uhm, you know, you can also say no, I want 19, I want $1 more than Shaquille Leonard.


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[Assistant] And they don't have to pay that, and that's their prerogative as well. They can choose to move on.


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[Assistant] If you, not if you want to be the highest paid linebacker. And the Bears might be of the opinion that linebackers aren't worth what they're being paid currently. I mean, safeties and linebackers are sort of overvalued. You can. $20 million a year is a lot for a linebacker. And maybe that's what they, how they feel, especially given that this team has, I mean, we crushed the Bears, we're not drafting the wide receivers except for Bayless Jones. And they drafted a bunch of defensive guys. They drafted a safety and a cornerback. Um, so maybe like we want to reallocate that money.


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[Assistant] I can see both sides. I'm fine with Rokwon getting his cause he deserves it.


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[Assistant] Given the market, but if the bears are going in a different direction, quote, unquote, and they want to get better, I don't know if I'll put it this way. How many more wins does Roquan Smith give you when you double salary? It gives the same number of wins.


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[Assistant] I would imagine there are teams that, uh, I mean the Falcons are a team that should be interested. They need help with defense. The Falcons are... Cowboys, your son, Leighton Vander, so that won your deal, so there's...


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[Assistant] Sorry buddy, Sully wrote about this on cbsports.com, you can read it there, but he mentioned some possible landing spots. I mentioned Dallas, he had that. The Dolphins is a team that's on the up.


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[Assistant] At least on paper, the Patriots. That feels like a Patriots move. The Broncos and the Ravens first overall.


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[Assistant] Those are all teams that are in the mix. Uhm, I don't know where the salary cap situation for all these teams are, but again, you can massage the cap to make it work for you. But I think all those landing spots in terms of upgrading your situation, Rokuan might be happy with that. And clearly he need to get paid. He ain't showing up to pay for nine points.


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[Assistant] So they drafted Zamir White, he played alongside James Cook at Georgia. Uhm, by the way, that draft class, that first round pick.


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[Assistant] Josh Jacobs, Cleland Farrell, and then Jonathan Abram. Those are the three first front picks in that game. Absolute disaster. Oh, yea, yea. Uh, you're not getting more in the sixth round pick form if you trade them. And again, I don't know what the intent, the intentions, quote unquote, uhm, of the Raiders are, if they want to move from them or not. Uhm, by the way,


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[Assistant] Yeah, they have Brandon Bolden, who came over from New England, who's more of a sort of a part-time back, as a matter of fact I mentioned, Kenya and Drake. Uhm, Scott Federer, by the way, had to pull Sam Durrell to the side a few days ago and tell him that the, the, the trade, uh, mentioned on Twitter that he was a trade candidate was in fact not true.


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[Assistant] Uhm, just to put a bow on the, on the, on top of this trade conversation.


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[Assistant] It was the Broncos. So, um, but there really wasn't rumor. There was a rumor on Twitter.


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[Assistant] And Scott Fitter saw it, Sam Dornal said he hadn't even seen it yet, but he appreciated it.


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[Assistant] It feels like Baker's going to win that job. I voted you a person wrote about that on Tuesday morning for the athletic, but you know, we'll see.


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[Assistant] So anyway, that's just, uh, in addition to the other trade situations we're talking about.


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[Assistant] Uhm, after, I think he practiced it a few times and then he said I'm gonna hold in and I don't know what came of it after that. I lost, I got distracted by other stuff.


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[Assistant] And then they drafted Jerome Ford. They also have Demetri Felton, who's, uh, Ford and Felton are sort of similar type backs, but you have two workhorses and then you have a change of pace in Diernes and then you have, uh, sort of guys who can catch the ball in Speedsters and Felton and Ford.


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[Assistant] I wouldn't move on from Hunt. I wouldn't pay him either because he's a running back. I'm not sure where he is on his contract journey, but.


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[Assistant] Oh, oh, no, no, no, uh-uh. You're, you're, you're splitting carries.


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[Assistant] Uhm, there's no way you can have two, it's not 1993. You can't have two running backs on the rosters on relatively big contracts.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so they don't know what's going on with the quarterback situation. They don't have time to worry about Kareem Hunt. So Kareem Hunt can hold in or hold out or hold sideways. I think they're going to roll with what they have. If he doesn't play, he doesn't play. Again, not their biggest concern.


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[Assistant] He's in the Orlando Brown situation where he has the rare opportunity to have leverage as a non-quarterback.


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[Assistant] If they don't have a quarterback, they're going to need Kareem Hunt. They can't just give Nick Chubb the ball 50 times. So maybe he's trying to time it. Like if Deshaun Watson didn't have all the off-field self-hills playing, Nick Chubb, he could ask for it, but let's be real. Deshaun Watson is the offense. Now the offense starts with the running backs it feels like.


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[Assistant] Like James Connor got the deal he got because he was past 26 or whatever he was when he left Pittsburgh. It's just hard. It's a 28 year old. I'm talking about next year for cream hunt to get a, you're not getting a four year contract.


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[Assistant] Or you get a four year contract that's gonna pay for one year. I mean, let's be real about it. By the way, Jimmy Haslam said the Browns will quote, respect and honor end quote to the Sean Watson appeal process. So. Yep.


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[Assistant] All right. What is Rob Walton is, uh, Walmart. Yeah, the former Walmart.


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[Assistant] Alright, well, that's how you buy a football team.


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[Assistant] That is outrageous. I don't want to be a communist. I don't want to be a communist. Hold on. I don't be a communist, but that sounds like a lot of money for one person.


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[Assistant] Ian Walton Kronke. They have to be worth over a hundred billion, right? So her. Gosh, a hundred billion dollars.


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[Assistant] And Stan Kronke is worth $10.7 billion. $78 billion between those three.


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[Assistant] Holy Moses in the daytime, 78 billion. Yeah.


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[Assistant] What is, uh, I don't want to get too far afield. What is, uhm, Bill Gatesworth?


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[Assistant] And this is Anderson from scottfujita.com, uh, the former football player, the poorest NFL owner is, you want to guess who it is or do you have it running?


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[Assistant] Does Bezos own a team? He doesn't. No, he owns the Washington Post. He's on a team. Uhm, even the Washington Post, for example, that's not Bezos' money. He's, they, they, they have their finance department and, and, you know, maybe.


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[Assistant] All right. Yeah. I don't know the math on that. So you could be right, but I, you don't get rich by giving people money though.


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[Assistant] Oh, Mark Davis 100% does. In dimes and nickels.


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[Assistant] Right, right, right. Mike Brown is number two on this list according to scotfagita.com, so take a close look.


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[Assistant] No, I get it. Interestingly, tenth on the list in terms of, uhm, quote-unquote, poorest NFL owners are John Maher and Steve Tisch, even though they're in New York. For some reason, you feel like they'd be incredibly wealthy.


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[Assistant] Just because that, that they, they do stealers, they don't do anything else. Right. And they're sort of a family, mom and pop operation as it were, as much as you can be, than a bill. Alright, that's all I got.


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[Assistant] Okay. Definitely pop. Uh, first of all, I'm sure Wilson has heard Umbrella. I probably heard it, I just don't know the name of any song. Yes, that's right. It's me and my umbrella. Umbrella, umbrella.


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[Assistant] It was not Slim Shady. Also, she's from Barbados and I went to Barbados on my honeymoon and people talk about Rihanna because they love her.


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[Assistant] Can we just start this by saying, do we know any Rihanna songs? Did you actually mention that she's doing the Super Bowl halftime show?


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[Assistant] Don't share that information with people. Anyway, Rihanna is doing the Super Bowl half.


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[Assistant] Or do I have champagne and ice to make fun of you guys when the Broncos win the Super Bowl?


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[Assistant] I cannot believe that the Buccaneers got called for a Delaya game after going through all of that.


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[Assistant] And taking a delay game, well they probably should have been called for a delay game on...


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[Assistant] Their touchdown, which Aaron Rogers pointed out afterward, even though, yes, we all know that you get that split second at zero before they throw the flag.


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[Assistant] Well, I'm like, what, you see other coaches on the sideline get upset. There's nothing against showing them. So why should any coach, assistant coach or otherwise be exempt from that policy? And it was also, I mean-


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[Assistant] Isaiah McKenzie was trying to get two more yards when time met more than yardage. So he needed to get down almost as soon as he got say 10 yards.


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[Assistant] Well he couldn't get out of bounds and they had three guys. That wasn't a possibility. Getting down and saving two seconds so the Bills had two more seconds to get the snap off.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, or, or they refuse to spike it at the end of the half when they would've had a field goal attempt?


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[Assistant] The last play of the first half, spiking the ball is a basic play, it's so easy. And the only thing you can't do is fumble the snap, which is what he did, so. Well, the only thing you can't do is fumble the snap.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They tried to play it off like it was actually his back injury and it had tightened up on him. And it was like, uh, that's not what you look like when you have a back injury. That's what you look like when you have like a grade 14 concussion. I'm not a doctor, but it seems... I don't think a grade 14 concussion. So, Britson, here's what happened.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, the same place I have them finishing before the season started. Second place in the AFCs, behind Bopper.


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[Assistant] This, I mean, you already mentioned everything. If you, if somebody did not watch this game and just looked at the box score, they would assume the Bills won 41 to 17. And it was just every possible positive thing that could fall the Dolphins way.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Miss Fugle by Tyler Bass, there were just all these weird mistakes that all went Miami's way. To their credit, they take advantage of them, they win. The same thing happened in Baltimore last week, but, you know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You look at this game, they trailed for like, they only led for 10 of the 60 minutes. Against Baltimore, it was fewer minutes than that. And it was just, they're walking a fine line and eventually that bites you.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They put up 212 yards of offense. Only one other team has won a game this year with fewer than 215 yards of offense.


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[Assistant] They would cut to him on the sideline, and he would just be shit. You could, you could, I almost felt like Shannon hated me. That's how, that was a scowl on his face. It was just like, he could not believe it, and he wanted to like, get Mr. Miyagi to magically heal Trey Lance's ankle, so he could, and he wanted a quarterback besides Garoppolo.


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[Assistant] I will say that, as the person who picked the Broncos to win the Super Bowl,


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[Assistant] They should have beaten the Seahawks by two touchdowns. They fumbled twice at the one yard line. This is a team that could very well be 3-0 despite how badly their offense has played. And I think Wilson made a good point a week or two ago after one of our Sunday recaps is that, you know, when, when Tom Brady switched teams, he was going into a Bruce Arian system that existed.


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[Assistant] I'm just actually doing what Brinton always does. Uhm, so anyway, long story short is that


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[Assistant] Russell Wilson and Nathaniel Hackett are finding their way together. And so despite Nathaniel Hackett's boneheaded calls, game management, there's still two in one, despite the fact that Wilson has been struggling, there's still two in one, but I think the offense is only going to get better mainly because I don't think we can get worse.


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[Assistant] He drove him 80 yards. It was a vintage Russell Wilson drive for the game winner.


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[Assistant] Alright, let me ask you guys this. Who wins more games in the shape of the 49ers or the Broncos?


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[Assistant] No, no, I didn't say that. I said they're giving up more than 400 yards a game and they've played Mack Jones, Lamar Jackson, and today's game.


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[Assistant] No, I'm saying, if they win the Super Bowl, you blindly give them whatever he wants. If you lose in the first round of the playoffs, you're not blindly doing it. There's a little bit- You open your eyes.


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[Assistant] It was in the early eighties. Is there a list of every guest we've ever had? Tell us whether you pay attention to this podcast or not.


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[Assistant] And ironically enough, Wilson actually did listen to that podcast. Kenny May actually had to try out the Seahawks and then injured his ankle and then never


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[Assistant] I watched the Jets for all four quarters today and that was the first time and it hurt.


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[Assistant] Well, and Wilson, you bringing it up being able to fix things in the middle of the year is also why


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[Assistant] I would be a little concerned about the Ravens. They are giving up more than 450 yards per game. That's an insane number.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and so if you're going to be playing, uh, once they get the teams that are offensively better than the Patriots, which are almost everybody. Except the Steelers. Except the Steelers. They have the Bills and the Bengals.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And also, look, we ripped Nathaniel Hackett the last couple weeks, but Brandon Staley.


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[Assistant] Why is Justin Herbert in the game on fourth and five with 10 seconds left throwing passes where he could take hits on his injured ribs when he's down by four touchdowns? I mean, that had to be the worst coaching decision of a franchise quarterback. I mean, that's just insane that he was still in there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, he was in with 10 seconds left. He was in for the final offensive play of the game for the Chargers.


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[Assistant] Disaster. We started the day with this disaster and the day with a great punters duel. So it almost saved the day. But I mean, this was, I have, you don't really hear about special teams costing you the game over four quarters. You're like, maybe your kicker misses a field with three seconds left and that's the deciding factor. But over the course of the game to have your special teams totally melt down, uh, the Chiefs muffed a punt.


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[Assistant] Yes, and uh, Chief's actually part of that tribe.


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[Assistant] So then you have Matt Amidola, the backup kicker, who's only in because Harrison Buck are injured his ankle. Amidola misses a 34 yard field goal, misses an extra point. So now we're at four points that you're missing just from your kicker along with the seven you gave up to the muff punt. So we're up to 11. Uh, then Andy Reed decides to get crazy and calls for a


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[Assistant] If it's fourth and two or fourth and three, you want to be tricky that and have your holder throw a pass. I get it. But your holder is not going to complete an 11 yard pass. And of course he didn't.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Who knows? But, so right there, if you kick the field goals, that's 14 points the Chiefs could have had, or 14 point difference, uhm, in a game that the Colts won by three.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Chiefs died by a thousand paper cuts. They made a thousand mistakes.


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[Assistant] Hey guys, Matt Ryan and Frank Reich are just finding their way together, okay? There you go. What's next?


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[Assistant] Is there a path? Uh, I mean, you look at who they've played so far and the three teams they've lost to and


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[Assistant] I mean, it's a disaster right now. How do you feel being Josh McDaniels and you flamed out during your stint as the Broncos coach? Now here you are, uh, you blew a 20 nothing to lead to the Cardinals last week. Uh, you probably could have beaten the Chargers in week one. You lost that game by five points. Now you lost the Titans by two.


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[Assistant] And your heat season's basically hanging on by a thread with two AFC West divisional opponents coming up in the next two weeks.


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[Assistant] Well, the thing is, I think most people felt like they were going to be the third or fourth place team. I, I had them go into the playoffs. Oh, you did. Did you have them in second or third? It must've been, I think third, I think three teams that had them third.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But, you know, you couldn't lose. They had three winnable games to start off and that was it. And the thing is, like, their defense just looked...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, against the Cardinals, they pitched a shutout in the first half and then Kyler Murray diced them up in this game.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Nothing. I mean, Ryan Tannehill looked like Tom Brady in his prime out there in the first half. You look at what the Titans did. It was, I mean, you mentioned that he looked like last year's team where the Titans literally went out and had three drives in a row of 75 yards or more to start the game. Like that's insane. And so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So if you're Josh McDaniels and you're 0-3 and your team's only getting worse, are you already having internal conversations with yourself about


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Hey, can't we get out of uh, Derek Carr's contract situation after this season? Or, because you just traded for Devontae Adams and he wanted to play for Derek Carr, do you feel like you're stuck with Derek Carr?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, Alphonse and Smith. Yeah. Yes. Thank you. Good catch.


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[Assistant] But, I don't know, I just think the Raiders are in a precarious situation because...


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[Assistant] I think that Josh McDaniels is probably frustrated with the offense. Obviously he's not going to say anything. And most of that you're going to pin on the quarterback. And...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But if you upgrade a quarterback, you don't have to fix the other problems if your quarterback is good enough because they make up for that.


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[Assistant] Just get married. My god, Brenton. Took a dark turn.


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[Assistant] But the lines are like the chargers where, you know, we always talk about, but this happened, like they were doing so well, but this happened.


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[Assistant] And I do, I love that the ref did throw the flag because the celebration isn't as good if the ref doesn't throw the flag.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, one thing on this game real quick is that Dan Campbell said afterward that he regretted attempting a 50-40 yard field goal on fourth and four from the Vikings 36 yard line with one 14 left. Austin Cyber missed the kick.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So then the Vikings took over at the 44, Kirk Cousins, boom, 28 yard pass, boom, 28 yard touchdown pass. Kirk Cousins literally threw two 28 yard passes in a row and drove 56 yards on two plays because one o'clock Kirk is unstoppable.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And he did that possession after they went forward on fourth and one, right? No, that was the, that was after the miss field goal is when.


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[Assistant] But it would have been like even because Cybert had already missed a field goal in the game from closer. And so it's like, man, we already failed in the fourth down. We already, my kickers already missed a kick. Who do I trust now? What do I do?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, this is what we were talking about last week. You're guys asking what my panic level was and it was zero, but it would shoot up to 99.9% if they lost to the Jets. I just didn't feel like this was a game they were going to lose. And like you just mentioned, Brenton, it was look.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They're gonna be fine. And so it's good that they got that figured out before they play a good team like the Dolphins on Thursday.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, and you know, Burrow was clutching this game. It wasn't just the through three touchdown passes. All three of them came on third down. So they were huge throws. One of them, uh, was a third and goal from the 12 yard line.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, another one was, uh, 56 yarder, Tyler Boyd on third and seven, and then he had another third and goal touchdown pass. And so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Just to see him make those clutch throws I think is a big deal for the Bengals. And this is the Bengals team everyone expected to see.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, they looked good. Burrow only got sacked twice. He, I mean, he was moving around well in the pocket, which was a plus. Uhm, and again, that's what you wanna see. You just wanna see him more comfortable and...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Look, the bangles looked good. Great, it was against the Jets, so I'm not gonna sit here and say they're going back to the Superbowl, but this was what everyone expected the bangles to be.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Brinton does have the Eagles and Super Bowl. Can't believe it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You were gonna give Matthew Stafford's Hall of Fame induction speech. Yeah, you've got it on!


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[Assistant] I was in on the 49ers winning the division this year. I mean, this is what we were kind of talking about last week that the Kyler Murray running around and making plays is not a sustainable way to run your offense. Like, yay, it was awesome watching it against the Raiders and it's awesome that it works four or five times a season. Uh, but this is why you can't keep doing it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And, you know, if you're yelling at your receivers because they don't even know where you're going to be.


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[Assistant] When there's no rhyme or reason to where you're running is running around and launching passes and you know they obviously have scrambled drills but when car mary's doing like a double scrambled no other quarterback can do.


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[Assistant] It's just, it's just tough to predict what this offense is gonna do. It doesn't feel like the Cardinals are going to be that good, guys. I don't think, are the Rams that good?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, well, if they're not, then the Cardinals just lost to a not very good Rams team. I mean, is the MC West secretly trash?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Well, the thing is, you're the Cardinals. You just gave Cliff Kingsbury extension. You just gave Kyler Murray an extension. What happens if the team implodes this season? Like what's your next course of action? Nebraska hires Cliff Kingsbury.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Not just one o'clock Kirk, but also the Chicago Bears are in first print and don't forget about that.


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[Assistant] Well, I was saying basically this, that you're the Bears coaching staff and you're saying, well,


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[Assistant] We don't really feel comfortable calling all these pass plays because Justin Fields doesn't seem like...


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[Assistant] Cause what do they have? They have 14 games left. So they go four and 10 down the stretch that gets in there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, the block field goal goes behind the line, goes behind the line of scrimmage. And then the team that kicked it recovers it. So it's like a turnover or downs.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I don't want to sound like a total homer here, but would you at least think about putting Andy Dalton over Jameis?


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Falcons. I think they've been surprisingly good. Uh, even though Arthur Smith sounded a little awkward in both his press conferences after those losses and when he's getting questioned about how he's using players, but I mean, if they don't work,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right, right. But if they double 26-10 lead to the Saints in week 1, they're 2-1. They almost made that crazy comeback against the Rams in week 2 and then they win in.


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[Assistant] And the way they, I feel like this is what the teams that don't want to throw, the Justin Fields, the Bears or the Panthers with Baker Mayfield, they want what the Falcons are doing with Marcus Mariota where, hey, we only threw 20 passes, but we completed 13 of them. Nine of.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Mary Otis, 13 completions went for 12 yards or more. Uh, I believe six of the, uh, of the 13 completions went for 20 yards or more. So literally anytime you put the ball in there, it was a big play and you had court Darryl Patterson just running crazy out there and the Seahawks just didn't know what to do to stop the Falcons offense.


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[Assistant] I said Los Angeles. I thought I took the Rams. What? We need to go back and listen to the tape. This is ridiculous.


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[Assistant] It's September 1st. It's Wednesday, September, Wednesday, August 31st, Thursday, August, September 1st. If you're listening to the podcast and audio form.


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[Assistant] The final day of August, if you're watching on YouTube, youtube.com slash pick six, happy September. If you're listening to the podcast.


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[Assistant] Or maybe you're, maybe you're watching late. Who knows? Anyway, uh, we're gonna do some Super Bowl futures. We're getting close to the start of the season. One week away, actually. Started the NFL season. Kind of crazy. It creeps up on you these days.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Used to not surprise me, now it always surprises me. Trying to break down some Super Bowl futures.


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[Assistant] Super acquaintance, Tyler Sullivan aka Sully, what's up buddy?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You ain't robot on this. I know. Sorry. Hang on. You have to leave and I'll filibuster and then you can come back in. So sorry.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Unless it's actually my fault, which is not really possible. Everything is my fault. Uhm, by the way, make sure to check out tonight if you're watching on YouTube.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Fantasy Football Day Draftathon. I'll be on at 1020 with Adam Azer and Nando Dufino. There will be shenanigans. There will be, um,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Should have more shenanigans. Eh, n-n-not to always shi-uh.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Not always shows up with, um, you know, prepared to mess with Adam Azer. And so I'm fully, I'm very excited for that because messing with Azer is fun.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We're going to talk Super Bowl futures. Oh, Dom, shout out to a birthday. Happy birthday. 42 years old. Way to be the old man. Um.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The, uh, yeaah, I was actually sent in an, uh, Jordan Dejani is doing an article for CBSSports.com on Super Bowl futures and best wind turtles.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think, you know, I think that when you look at the problem with super world futures these days.


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[Assistant] They're just short in the market. It's just like the MVP. I talk about this all the time, I feel like, but.


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[Assistant] It's very frustrating. I mean the bills are six to one and the Buccaneers are seven and a half to one.


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[Assistant] Ram's and Chief's 11 to 1, Packer's 12 to 1. I mean, the odds are just not fair for these Super Bowl futures. It's not reasonable. Like you cannot possibly, I mean, there can't be


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[Assistant] Three, four, five, six, seven, eight, nine, 10, 11. There can't be 11 teams that have a 20 to one or better shot of winning the Super Bowl. Like it's just not, it's not reasonable. They've just shortened it because they don't want to get burnt. And I get it. It's fine. Whatever. But it's annoying because the Chargers are not 14 to one to win the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Right. This is not the true odds of the Los Angeles. They didn't make the playoffs. They didn't make the playoffs the last two years.


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[Assistant] So the Chiefs are plus 175 to win their division and 11 to one to win the Superbowl. That doesn't add up.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I get the Packers minus 1-7 to win the division, plus 12 to 1 to win the Super Bowl. I get that. Bills, I guess 6 to 1, I get. Uhm, I don't think, I don't really think anybody should be 10 to 1, under 10 to 1 to win the Super Bowl before the season starts. Certainly not two teams. But the Bucs are hemorrhaging injuries.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think it's a little bit like the offensive rookie of the year award race where.


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[Assistant] Vegas doesn't really know. They know there's just clump of teams. It's like, it's basically like 10 teams that I think probably could win the Superbowl and we just don't want to get burnt by anybody.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And if you had the Eagles who are, you know, 35 to one over the year and then they have a good off season, you're just, they're shrinking numbers on anybody who's getting peppered. And that's just what, that's just, you know, what ends up happening. It ends up shrinking the numbers pretty drastically. All right. Um, let's get into it then. So we're starting the AFC. We're going to do obvious pick value pick and long shot pick the obvious AFC super bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, I got no arguments. I mean, that's, that's kind of the, I mean, well, why, who else would it be? You know, it's like, I mean, I guess you could say.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Chiefs, but I don't think the Chiefs are obvious in that division. I mean, the Bills have every advantage you could possibly ask for. Let's like, let's run through the checklist of things you need to see from a super possible super winner. Elite quarterback check.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Um, depth across like, like high end roster. Check good depth at important positions. Check.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Elite wide receivers, check. I mean, I said it really mattered, but they, you know, they got it. They've got pass rushers. Check. Uh, you know, uh, good protection. Check. Good coach. Check. Horrible.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Not horrible, but like easily winnable division. Check. I mean, experience in the playoffs. Check. Like they've got everything there that you could possibly ask for.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, look, it's there's a reason why they're 61 to win the Super Bowl now.


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[Assistant] Excuse me. They would have got Vaughn Miller because they couldn't stop Patrick Mahomes with 13 seconds to go.


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[Assistant] They probably should have been. I don't want to crap on the Bengals, but I mean, I do think if.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think the Bills and the Bengals play in the AFC Championship game. I think the Bills win. I think the Bills go to the Super Bowl and I think the Bills in the


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Now through the first four games they've got are on the road at the Rams, Titans at home at the Bills, I mean at the Dolphins, excuse me, at the Ravens before they host the Steelers and then they are at the Chiefs. So maybe the time to look for a Bill Superbowl future is not.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right now before the season when it's six to one. Again, it's just not like, it's just not great value.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's just, you're, I mean, let's say you put $100 down to win $600. You gotta wait till the middle of February. Whereas


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you and these are going to be available after every week of the season, like it's got to the point where almost every site has them like even like locals that didn't have them and.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you have, let's say the Bills lose at the Rams, beat the Titans, beat the Dolphins, lose to the Ravens, beat the Steelers and lose to the Chiefs, which is not unreasonable. They're three and three.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And they're super wild, they're gonna be a lot closer to like 12 to 1 or something like that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Is where, uh, that's where I'd be looking.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] For potentially, um, buying into the bills is after that week six game. If they, if they're, if they're, or even after week four, if they're like one and three, which is very unlikely because they're a really good team. But again, the three games on the road.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] One's the division, one's the Super Bowl champions, and one's the Baltimore Ravens. Like, it's not crazy they're one in three to start the season.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you're, if you're, if you're like, what is your, like, what is your, like, I guess it's kind of obvious.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They are the number two team. So are they good value, but you shouldn't like, you shouldn't take the calls at 25 to one just because you think that the chiefs are too low. Like if you think that you should be the, could be the fit, could arguably be the favorite to win the super bowl. And I think they arguably could be like they have, they've been to the AFC championship game.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Or better, every single year that Patrick Mahomes has started with Andy Reid. I mean, if you're getting anything above 10 to 1, it's probably decent value for the Chiefs. Now, having said that,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And I, I, I'm on, I'm on record saying I love the Chiefs to win the division. I love that she hit that plus 175. I think it's a great price.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They are also on the road for three of their first four games. They're at the Cardinals chargers at home at the Colts and at the Buccaneers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's not unreasonable that they would also start one and three or two and two or something like that. So if you think that they might stumble early on in the season.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] This could, this, you know, there is a chance to buy value later on as well. And like if the, even if they start for another, they're not going to get down to like four to one, you know?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah. So even after that bucks game, it's Raiders at home, bills at home at the Niners Titans at home, Jaguars at home at the chargers Rams at home at the Bengals at the Broncos. I mean, golly. Yeah. Like that's, I mean, if they're coming out, if they're coming out guns blazing,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And this offense is completely in sync, then maybe they're going to start. I think, I think the, the chiefs are pretty good by low team when you feel like they've hit their sort of nadir. I think I said it. Like if they're nadir like coming like, you know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Four weeks in, six weeks in, whatever it is, whether three and three or two and four or something like that, buy low on them because they're going to figure it out. But it may take a little while in offense with these, all these new receivers and pieces in there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think I would probably prefer preseason to bet on the Chiefs to, uh, to win the.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Division versus to win the Super Bowl just because I do believe that value is going to shift pretty dramatically. My value team in the AFC.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It was 20 to 1 until I sent in my pics to Jordan Ajani today. Uh, the Baltimore Ravens, now 18 to 1. Uh, I like, I've been talking about it as 20 to 1 for a while.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I just think that they're mispriced. I mean, how are the chargers?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] 14 to 1 and the Ravens are 18 to 1. The Ravens have an easier path to, to win the division. No offense to the Bengals again. And the Bengals can even be a value team.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And I got no problem with the Bengals as a value team. I think the Bengals and the Ravens are being discounted for some reason. It's mainly because the Broncos and the Chargers are ahead of them because the Broncos and the Chargers did all these sexy moves in the off season.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Chiefs, Broncos and Chargers and Raiders all have to beat up on each other in that division. It's gonna be really hard to get the number one seed coming out of that division. The Ravens and the Bengals benefit from the Deshaun Watson suspension. They benefit from all the turnover in Pittsburgh and


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Baltimore dealt with a ton of injuries last year. They have a former MVP quarterback. They have an elite head coach. They have a strong offensive line. They have a good running game. They should get some regression to the mean on those injuries and they have a lot of defensive players who I think can, you know,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Make this team a top 10, top 5 defense if everything clicks right. So give me the Ravens at 18 to 1 to win the Superbowl. I think that's a great bet.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, I don't think it will stick either. We are definitely down on them a little bit just because.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, it's like, they got lucky, got into the Super Bowl, they'll have a little regression.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, it's, it's, it's the AFC West factor, I think. That's right. Nobody, nobody else wants to mess with anybody, but it's the bills in the AFC West.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, it's either you're picking the Bills or you're backing one of these AFC West teams. And no, the AFC North is not popular. The Ravens and Bengals are not the popular teams. It's all season. And they just have decent pathways to get to the playoffs, you know? Alright, long shot in the AFC.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm gonna go Jaguars. I'm gonna make my argument for the Jaguars. Jaguars are 125 to 1. Do I think the Jaguars are gonna win the Super Bowl? Of course not. It's very unlikely they win the Super Bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Jacksonville Jaguars winning the Super Bowl is not likely to happen, but the argument is this.


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[Assistant] They have Josh Allen as one of their pass rushers. They had Trayvon Walker.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They have an elite young quarterback in Trevor Lawrence and I saw, um, Chris Trapasso and somebody else made this argument for, but it was like picking the jets in the Superbowl because they took the mold of the Bengals. Don't the Jaguars fit the mold of the Bengals from last year more than the jets do?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like they have Doug Peterson, a super winning coach, Doug Peterson. They have Trevor Lawrence, the second year quarterback who really only stunk because Urban Meyer was terrible. They have upgraded the offensive line.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They upgraded the weapons. They, I mean, the coaching upgrade is massive and they upgraded the defense. Like the division is not great. I don't think the Jaguars are going to win the Super Bowl, but I'll take them as the, as the, as the super duper long shot when they have the second worst number in the no, no, sorry. The.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] What the six worst number in the entire NFL at 125 to one and that division is just not that good.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Which is, I mean, it's fine. The Colts are not a bad pick. Um, the Steelers are, I like 80 to one of the Steelers. I mean.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Okay, so there you have it, our, we, we, Sully and I agree the Bills are the obvious pick to win the AFC. Uh, we could, we wouldn't be if, and, uh, then our, our value picks, uh, Chiefs and Ravens plus the Jaguars and Steelers for long shots. We'll discuss the NFC, uh, same format after we take a break. So we'll do the NFC coming up next.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So the commercial we just saw is for the 25th anniversary concert of South Park. Uhm, I watched it last night. It is so awesome.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's basically like Trey, uh, Matt soon. Trey Parker is a trace. Let's get it mixed up. Trey and Matt come out with Ween and Primus.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And they play a bunch of South Park songs and some Weenie Prime songs. They're like rush comes out and they play, but it's like, like, like.


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[Assistant] Before we started doing the podcast. Uhm, there are three picks for this, right?


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[Assistant] Longest, the shortest odds to win the division at minus two 80. So certainly, you know, they could qualify Tom Brady is Tom Brady.


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[Assistant] They have lots of weapons on offense. They have a really loaded defense, new coaching staff. So I would be fine taking the bucks.


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[Assistant] The injuries, this, the injury stuff with the offensive line this off season is definitely concerning. And you touched on it, you know, when you were filibustering for me, I was cutting the volume off of my TV, but like the bucks, you know, it's just, that's just a little bit of a concern with all those injuries on the offensive line. Having said that, you know,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The, the two teams that are most likely, cause I mean, like, I think if you're going to make the playoffs, like you need to be on it. I mean, if you're gonna make this, if you're gonna win the Superbowl, you need to be, you first of all, you have to make the playoffs.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That would help. Yeaah, but we both picked the 49ers to win the division, right? Which means that the Rams would have to give us a wild card.


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[Assistant] Except, you know, then there's, you know, maybe Arizona is suddenly good. Maybe Matthew Stafford's arm is banged up. Like that's a little bit of a concern. So the Rams are a little bit tough because of that division. So for me, it would come down to the Packers or the Buccaneers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I lean towards the Packers and I know Aaron Rodgers hadn't won, I mean, they're 13 and three the last three years, each of the last three years. I mean, they were 39 and nine. And since Matt LaFleur got there, Aaron Rodgers lost to Vonte Adams. Sure.


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[Assistant] The Vikings are problem. The lions are pain and the bears are bad. The Packers to me are going to win the division and they are going to.


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[Assistant] I feel like the Packers have the easiest path to the number one seed.


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[Assistant] And that, that gives them the easiest path to win the Super Bowl. So I would lean Packers as well, but I'd be fine with Buccaneers. I mean, I realize I just named the only three candidates, but it's like, it's, they're all, they're all pretty close.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Um, parody at the top there in the NFC than there is in the AFC.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Okay, let's move along to our value picks of 15 to one or more. It could be 20 to one or more, but the Ravens moved down. So I don't feel like going back and changing my, my, uh, my setup there. So I will say 15 to one or more in the NFC.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I will take the Philadelphia Eagles and that's probably the same team that you're going to take.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We picked them to win the division. They're 25 to one. They were 35 to one a few weeks ago. They're, you know, um,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Cowboys are the other big team in that division. They've been dealing with a ton of injuries. The, whereas the, um, Eagles have only gotten healthier, have only added more bodies. They added Chelsea Gardner, uh, in the trade yesterday, they have Jordan Davis as a back, a third string defensive lineman. They added AJ Brown to go with Devante Smith and, um, and Dallas Goddard. They have depth in the offensive line and defensive line.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If Jalen Hurts takes any kind of reasonable step, the Eagles to me are a must bet at 25 to 1 to win the Super Bowl.