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[Assistant] 334 yards, three touchdowns, no interceptions. All of this goes into why Brinson is taking him for the most, uh, receiving yards in the postseason. He has hit the over on this number, uh, in four of the last five games. The average is almost 230 yards per game. And we talk about this every single week. Detroit's pass defense has been an absolute funnel. They give up the third most yards per pass, the sixth most passing yards per game, um, and five straight


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[Assistant] Quarterbacks have gone over on their yards prop versus the Detroit line. So Matt Stafford should have no problem. Cut them up.


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[Assistant] It's time for the pick six parlay where we each select a game for a four leg money line parlay. If you've been tailing them all season, you've been losing and we're sorry about that, but this week is the week.


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[Assistant] Uh, the person with the best record goes first and then the second and so on and so on. Pick six parlay segment is brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. Make every moment more. Uh, one of these does have to be an underdog. If you are new to the podcast, I am going first and I'm going to take the biggest money line off the board. The bills at minus 520.


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[Assistant] Super wild card weekend. Uh, this total 43 and a half. Uhm, this is my wild card and I'm just gonna go with what's automatic, which is a Jalen Hurts touchdown. It's at minus 120. Our wild cards had to be under 130, so I'm just slipping underneath that. Eagles have to win this game.


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[Assistant] I believe that they will win this game, uhm, and Jalen Hurts will find the end zone, so give me an anytime touchdown for Hurts.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go ahead and uh, recap those pick sprints and uh, apart from your wild card, what else you got?


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm taking Houston plus two and a half. Pacheco over 18 and a half receiving yards. Nagy Harris over on his rushing prop at 60 and a half. Dallas team total over 29 and a half.


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[Assistant] Matt Stafford over 272 and a half pass yards and an


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[Assistant] Jalen Hurts anytime touchdown. I think that his finger being injured actually works in my favor too. I don't know how much he's going to be throwing in this game. RJ.


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[Assistant] I think that's the most props you've had, or bets you've had on this show, because the props are all out for you, which is quite nice.


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[Assistant] So if you sweep the board again, you won't be going last, uh, this week. All right. That is the show. Make sure that you tune in all week long for more NFL coverage. The Super Friends are doing recap shows on Saturday night, on Sunday night and on Monday night or just Saturday, Sunday.


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[Assistant] I was excited. We're all excited about the recap shows on Saturday, Sunday, and possibly Monday. Make sure you keep it locked with us again all week long for those. And if you're on the YouTube


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[Assistant] I just wanted to first and foremost congratulate Katie. Job well done.


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[Assistant] Uh, but yeaah, I like the value with Purdy here, just considering, I think, you know, there's quite a bit of confidence that the 49ers are gonna be playing.


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[Assistant] Uh, at the very least, the NFC championship game or obviously great chance to play in the Super Bowl. Love what I've seen from Purdy. Purdy's really had a fantastic season. I did like the value a lot on Stafford. Uh, not, I don't want to give away my running back pick. I just didn't want too much exposure.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I'm gonna go in this, uh, Stanis Ram's backfield. Gonna go Kyron Williams plus 1200. Uh, just an unbelievable, fantastic season for Kyron Williams. Over the, since he returned actually from the injury, he was the number one running back in fantasy football, uh, from a yard standpoint.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with a guy that I've been talking about all season long. Brandon Ayuk plus 1200. Brandon Ayuk, just a fantastic season. He had 1300 receiving yards, uh, barely eclipsed 100 targets. He had one of the most efficient seasons by a wide receiver in NFL history. The advanced metrics are


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[Assistant] Unbelievable. Only had double digit targets in one game this season, so.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeah, Brandon Iook has been incredible.


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[Assistant] Aren't at the level of Tyreek, but again, from an efficiency standpoint, he was every bit as good as any wide receiver in the National Football League, uh, this year. So love Ayug. I think he's going to continue to shine in the postseason, having Brock Purdy, who we obviously are high on here, uh, just in that offense as well, having the weapons around him.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeah, I think we're going to see a ton of Brandon. I love the value here at plus 1200 odds.


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[Assistant] Passing yards. Listen, we know the cold weather has been a big issue, not just for the Dolphins, but also for Tua. His splits in cold weather and temperatures under 45 degrees are absolutely dismal.


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[Assistant] Cold weather. Dolphins extremely banged up. Just a really tough spot. No Jalen Waddle potentially. Uh, you may even know Raheem Mostert as well. So I think it's a really good spot to fade to under 240 passing yards.


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[Assistant] Receiving yards, uh, love the spot for Raishi Rice, who's really, uh, become the 1A or 1B in the Chiefs passing attack. He's really come on strong over the second half of the season, over the final three weeks. He eclipsed the 70% snap share, something that, that eluded him.


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[Assistant] As well, I also love the fact that he runs over 50% of his snaps out of the slot. Jalen Ramsey plays on the outside. He does not shadow the opposing team's number one wide receiver, so he's going to avoid


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[Assistant] Jalen Ramsley, largely, if he's running all these routes out of the slot as well. Uh, so yeaah, love Raishi Rice, over 61 and a half receiving yards in this game as well.


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[Assistant] And I have a rushing prop from this game going Josh Allen over eight and a half rushing attempts. Uh, this one is a no brainer to me. We've seen Josh Allen.


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[Assistant] Of just running the ball a lot more in high leverage situations in the playoffs. I believe it was Ben Gretsch. Shout out Ben on Twitter who pointed out that there is actually data that suggests that Josh Allen runs the football significantly more in meaningful games, whether they be playoff games or games with playoff


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[Assistant] implications. So we just see him rely a lot more on his legs. Looks to be fully healthy or as healthy as Josh Allen can be at this stage of the season.


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[Assistant] Love his chances to go over eight and a half attempts, especially as 10 point favorites where we could get two or three needed nail downs to close the game.


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[Assistant] Much like Raishi Rice, Ferguson has really come on strong down the course of the season. He's really, uh, established himself as that number two option in Dallas' passing attack. We know Dak also really tends to favor.


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[Assistant] Throwing a tight end. They haven't missed a beat with Dalton Schultz. If anything, I think Ferguson gives them a much more athletic option over the middle of the field. Uh, really seeing this connection grow and grow.


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[Assistant] You have to imagine with how well CD Lamb is playing, he's going to get


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[Assistant] Plenty of attention from Green Bay's past defense. Not sure if they're gonna be able to slow him down, but I know Jake Ferguson is gonna continue to be, uh, sort of that safety blanket for Dak Prescott in the game with a 50 plus point total as well. You have to imagine we're gonna see a lot of yards in this game.


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[Assistant] Love Jake Ferguson. In my opinion, this line's gonna close, close closer to 47, 48. So I think it's a great value at 41 and a half for the tight end.


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[Assistant] I was just going to say to Jair Alexander's credit, last season, uh, Justin Jefferson, I believe, was 170 yards shy of breaking the single season receiving record.


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[Assistant] He had torched Green Bay previously earlier in the year. A game that Jair Alexander missed. I believe Justin Jefferson in a 200 yard receiving game. Jair Alexander


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[Assistant] My point is he has the, the ability to potentially disrupt CDLAM. I'm suggesting he's going to, to shut him down. I've been beating the CDLAM drum as hard as anyone here, as you can call it.


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[Assistant] I think that's a sneaky good play, RJ. And as someone who's backing the Rams, uh, this is my spread pick, are the Rams plus three and a half. I have become somewhat concerned just seeing pretty much everyone backing the Rams here. Uh, but yeah, I still think that, uh,


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[Assistant] Like, it's like a guarantee that they're gonna, yeaah. Still, still Dan Campbell. Uh, he's been very, Ben Johnson scares me quite a bit. Just, uh, how well the play calling has been.


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[Assistant] All season. So I still think that the quarterback advantage ultimately is with our guy, Princeton's guy, Matthew Stafford. Just love what I've seen from Kyron Williams. Uh, yeah, I could see this being a very competitive game, but I will take the three and a half points and take the Rams and just keep my fingers crossed and pray that they advance.


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[Assistant] Harsh words, RJ, but I cannot say I disagree. Uh, the Eagles look like the worst team in the playoffs by far. I still contend, Brinson, that if Sirianni loses this game...


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[Assistant] Yeah, just, I think the players are unhappy with him, but I digress here. Yeah, I'm going to take the under actually in this game under 43 and a half points. I think the Eagles game plan is going to be, as RJ mentioned, AJ Brown banged up.


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[Assistant] I believe they had over 200 total rushing yards in that game really just suck the air out of the football.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I think we see Deandre Swift, who is really one of the only healthy skill position players on this Eagles team.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay's offense hasn't exactly been explosive against your Panthers, Brinson. Only nine points last week. Bakers banged up as well. So just not a lot of confidence in both of these offenses. Tampa Bay's defense looks to be the best unit overall in this game as well. So yeah, I think the under 43.5 points is a good look here.


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[Assistant] And last but not least, I've got the rams at plus three and a half. I've got the eagles and bucks under forty three and a half.


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[Assistant] I've got two, uh, to throw for under 240 passing yards. Josh Allen, uh, over eight and a half rushing attempts. Reishi Rice over 61 and a half receiving yards. And my wild card is Jake Ferguson to have at least 42 receiving yards.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome to the pick six podcast, CBS sports NFL podcast. Can't even call it daily because it is like five times a day in your feed. That's right.


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[Assistant] Uhm, five times a day. I don't know how many of them was. Anyway, uhm, join me.


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[Assistant] Cause we got another emergency press conference, another Patriots centric emergency press conference, barely put.


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[Assistant] Bill Belichick's, the bow on Bill Belichick's Hall of Fame career in New England before we got to bring back Tyler Sullivan to talk about the fact that New England, the Pats, the first team to hire a coach as well, the last team to fire one, as far as we know, and the first team to hire one have signed, sealed and delivered Gerard Mayo as the new Patriots coach. Sully, what's up buddy?


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[Assistant] You're watching the chat. Longtime Pixix Podcast listeners who are jumping on early in the morning on a Friday. Say what's up to Devo in the chat. Sully, you, um.


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[Assistant] You're a Patriots fan. I mean, like, you're a journalist. I'm not trying to discredit your journalism skills, but I think like we're, we're, we're, we're, we're young enough where it's like, all right, we're not going to play this little shell game where we pretend like we don't love football teams.


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[Assistant] Multiple seasons in the last 10 years with no name coordinators.


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[Assistant] So just to sort of back it up a minute or two with Mayo, I think it's worth noting that if you look at bill Belichick's history in the draft and I'm going back to 2000, right?


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[Assistant] So no first round pick in 2001, in 2001, Richard Seymour sixth overall hall of fame player. Um, Ty Warren 13th overall.


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[Assistant] Get up to, I'm looking basically for top 15 picks of the Patriots era. Gerard Mayo 2008 10th overall. Uh, and then I think.


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[Assistant] You have to move all the way up. This guy just doesn't pick in the top 10 very often. Um, Mack Jones 15th overall is the only, so those are the three guys.


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[Assistant] Three guys he's taken in the top 15. Now, Mac Jones, maybe you could say he was born out of desperation. No, Tom Brady, Richard Seymour hall of Famer. All like, you know.


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[Assistant] Incredible career, great patriot. And then Gerard Maio, 10th overall. He's the highest draft pick, the second highest draft pick Bill Belichick ever took.


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[Assistant] In his tenure, and you can say whatever you want about Bill Belichick, the GM down the stretch, Belichick had an incredible run in the draft. And the fact that I just think that like thinking about, by the way, uh, Gerard Mayo, heavily recruited by NC State for those that care, I'm sure.


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[Assistant] I just think the fact that he took a linebacker that high speaks to not only his skillset, but also maybe more than anything, Gerard Moe's football intelligence.


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[Assistant] What, uh, what did he do after, what was he doing after he, uh, retired from the NFL?


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[Assistant] I think, I think, I think there's a couple different ways you can look at it. One, like this is insanely risky. And then two, um, you,


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[Assistant] Well, I think, I think it's interesting to contrast, compare and contrast, I guess, with the Alabama situation because Bama fans are freaking out right now. Nick Saban bouncing them. He was deciding up until like five minutes before the meeting if he was going to go to like stay or go and there's no succession plan in place.


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[Assistant] And to have a succession plan in place this quickly built into the contract. So you don't have to do the Rooney rule stuff is fascinating in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like I would expect that New England is that Bobcraft wants to bring in.


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[Assistant] A GM. I actually saw it. So I was looking, I'm looking at it. I'm trying to find a, um, trying to find a tweet, the tweet, but it looked like it was like the suggestion was that Dave Ziegler.


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[Assistant] The old Raiders GM could be a candidate for this job.


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[Assistant] Let's, let's any, any other thoughts on Mayo and like, like who, who do you think? Let's take a quick break and we'll come back. GM candidates, offensive coordinator candidates. Cause I think those two things maybe matter more than anything else when it comes to this, this hire. Uh, we'll do that next.


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[Assistant] It is just wild that this is, it's so insane to me that this is like the first coaching hired, like the Patriots.


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[Assistant] Have they, I don't know if they've announced it, but I mean like they've, you know, like they've, they've, I mean hiring Gerard Mayo within 24 hours of letting Bill Belichick walk away is, is pretty wild.


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[Assistant] I like that they didn't do any questions. I know that that's not a very journalistic thing for me to say, but.


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[Assistant] The New England media, you somebody, so people are gonna have to ask tougher questions.


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[Assistant] Like, who's it you? Was this, was this your idea, Bob? Was this, was this your idea, Robert? Was this your idea, Bill? Like, I liked that they were like...


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[Assistant] But you don't see very often. He's got more emotional than Bob Craft did. Robert Craft did. Craft gives a statement. They walk off and it's sort of like, I don't know. It felt like clean. It felt clean.


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[Assistant] Kind of fascinating as well. Uh, the names mentioned Ian Rappaport, um, this is about 20 minutes ago actually, uh, noted that Dave Ziegler, John Robinson.


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[Assistant] I would assume that what we're going to see Sully is a, is a change in the setup here, permanent setup for the Patriots where Bill Belichick had final say on everything. I would guess that.


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[Assistant] The job that you will see, um, the GM report separately, the GM and the, this is just my guess. And you, maybe you know differently, but the GM report and the coach report both separately to Robert and Jonathan Kraft.


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[Assistant] As different entities, sort of a more modern NFL front office.


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[Assistant] He was assistant GM of the Browns, has been somebody that constantly has their name brought up. Now look, I mean, I'm not, I'm not, I'm not knocking Elliott Wolf at all, but I mean the, the last name, I mean, like they're, you know, like


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[Assistant] When your last name's Wolf, one, uh, you know, Ron Wolf helps you in terms of you getting job interviews. Also your last name's Wolf.


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[Assistant] This guy's a savage. He's actually a meek and sort of like, he's kind of a nerdy football guy, but you know, his last name's Wolf. Um, yeah, no, I think that's a great call on the in-house thing. I, John Robinson, I feel like kind of got a bad rap.


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[Assistant] In terms of the publicly, like them not going with variable means that my John Robinson is on the table, I think.


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[Assistant] Ziegler just fired by the Raiders, but it was so quick that they could definitely bring him back.


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[Assistant] I do think that you have the number three pick.


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[Assistant] You have a young coach. Now look, the issue is that if you take this GM job, just based on the things that Robert Kraft has done and said,


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[Assistant] Is, you know, you cannot know how good of a coach he's going to, how he's going to be like, like this is just one where.


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[Assistant] If you, if you, like, if you, somebody's other grading head coaching hires, like whether it's an A or an F, you don't know. Right.


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[Assistant] Like unless, I mean, you have to be like, it has to be like on the Patriots coaching staff or in the Patriots building to really know. And even then, I don't think you can be that sure. Obviously the Kraft family quite, quite confident. I think you mentioned this before the break, but offensive coordinator matters too.


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[Assistant] Very well could, you could argue, has been his offensive coordinator selection.


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[Assistant] Bill Belichick is, you know, it's like, bro, we're not saying he's on the hot seat. No, it's not. That was the, that was the last off season was the, he is kind of on the hot seat, but we can't say he's on the hot seat because that's ridiculous because he's Belichick. It was that cycle. But like in this same timeframe, we're like, well, let's hold off on putting Bill Belichick on the hot seat. The Patriots.


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[Assistant] Gabe Gerard made a clause in his contract that said you can be the next coach. Like you don't do that if that's not fairly imminent in hindsight.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, that, that's a, that's an interesting discussion too. Like what will the philosophical approach be? What would Jaramé's philosophical approach be in terms of like, is he going to try and be Bella? Because every, I mean, who's the Bella check?


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[Assistant] Coaching limb that's, that's succeeded, you know, like really succeeded. I mean, you could say like Bill O'Brien had a run and he's probably the best.


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[Assistant] Oh stable. Yeah. Yeah. I thought you said dable. I was like, I feel like dables like not necessarily. I feel like dables, uh, more McDermott than.


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[Assistant] He worked for Belichick, but he also worked for Saban. I mean, yeah, David doesn't feel like a Belichick, but yeah, I think Bill O'Brien.


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[Assistant] I think it's really important for Gerard Mayo to sort of be his own coach. And that's hard to do when you take over the team that Belichick ran for 20 years as a dynasty and that you, that you played on, like he is going to try and keep the Patriot way intact. How is he not going to keep the Patriot way intact? Now, maybe the personnel stuff is different.


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[Assistant] But like his, I mean, and this is, this cuts both ways because I do think that a lot of times when NFL coaches are hired.


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[Assistant] They lean too frequently on like, oh yeah, I'm going to bring in my buddies, right? Like there's buzz that Doug Peterson is, you know, like seats a little toasty because if you won't get rid of press Taylor, you know, it's like, dude, that's why you got fired in Philly.


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[Assistant] Maybe, maybe, maybe press, maybe, maybe just quit, press Taylor. But with, so with Mayo, you don't have any ex, like.


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[Assistant] You don't have that because he's so insulated.


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[Assistant] I think you gotta use, I think you're either, I'll be curious to see, I think this is really interesting too. They're picking third overall.


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[Assistant] We, we chronicled it earlier. Belichick picks six overall to start kickstart really to kickstart his, his run with Richard Seymour.


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[Assistant] This is the highest the Patriots have picked. Since Bledsoe. Since Bledsoe. Yep. Absolutely.


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[Assistant] I'm curious to see because I don't think that bill Belichick would ever trade from three to one because it's so expensive. I'm curious to see what this front office, whatever, whoever's in the new front office and this coaching staff, because Rob may was going to like, he's going to have some input into whether or not I think the Patriots trade up for a quarterback. The bears have the first overall pick from Carolina.


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[Assistant] If they stick with Caleb Williams, or maybe they don't even trade, but like the point being is like, what, what will this front office do at quarterback? Will they be aggressive in trading up in a way that the Patriots haven't done? Cause that's, that's, that would change sort of the entire ecosystem of the NFL. If suddenly the Patriots were a team that.


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[Assistant] Is not trading backwards in the draft.


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[Assistant] Dave Ziegler went out and traded two first round picks for Devontae Adams. Like he and Josh McDaniels did that. I mean, that wasn't something that they like, there was a direction of like an edict from ownership. You know that like they, they were like, let's go get Devontae Adams and pair them with their car. I mean, there's,


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[Assistant] We've seen Bill again, Bill O'Brien traded Deandre Hopkins for a running back.


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[Assistant] Like, there is no guarantee whatsoever that the philosophical approach, John Robinson traded AJ Brown for a first round pick. There is no guarantee whatsoever that the philosophical approach of the Patriots from a roster construction standpoint, nor should, nor should there be.


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[Assistant] Like I guarantee that it's the same because it didn't work the last couple of years.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I just think, I think that's a fascinating aspect. All right, that'll do it for us. Anything else on, on Mayo? No, I think that, I think we covered it.


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[Assistant] First hire of the 2024 NFL off season. Sully, as always buddy, a pleasure. Talk to you soon.


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[Assistant] I mean, Bravens would have, I think if you redrafted it right now, it'd be Niners one.


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[Assistant] Ravens 2 or Bills 2? Would you go Bills 2 or Ravens 2 if you were redrafting? Right now, like...


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[Assistant] I guess you go Ravens because you get the Texans instead of the Chiefs, but.


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[Assistant] The bill, I mean the bills look like the best, like the bills are the scariest team.


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[Assistant] Right? That's, that's what we talked about for weeks leading up to the playoffs was okay. The bills have kind of like.


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[Assistant] F'ed around with their food a little bit and have had some weird luck in some of these games all season long.


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[Assistant] But if they get to the playoffs, they are the team that no one wants to play. I mean that, that's what we call the bills from weeks.


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[Assistant] And let me take the bills back. They won their final five games of the regular season.


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[Assistant] After losing and they should have beaten the Eagles going into the buy in week 12.


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[Assistant] They haven't lost since Thanksgiving, basically the week, the Sunday after Thanksgiving.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen has had some ups and downs, but mostly ups. Really the only down was that game against Miami when they had already clinched a playoff spot and were no longer a win and you like have to win to get in sort of situation and man.


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[Assistant] It does feel, and I'll be curious to see what the mentality is versus the Chiefs. And you can kind of guess what the spread is. It's pretty obvious.


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[Assistant] But uhm, the difference in playing the Chiefs versus playing and all the sort of PTSD and psychological damage from 13 seconds and Mahomes winning, this is Mahomes first road game, by the way, and it first road playoff game in his career.


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[Assistant] This game to me felt like, and I, and Wilson, I sort of got the vibe from you as a Steelers fan in chat. Like, you know, I wasn't really expecting to win this game.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen came into it. The bills came into it going, okay, we're playing a defense with no TJ watt against a team that we know can't score on us. Don't do anything stupid. Convert enough third downs. Get.


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[Assistant] 21 points on the board and we're probably winning this. They end up, uhm, 24 first downs.


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[Assistant] Just go five or 12 on third down, but two or three in the red zone.


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[Assistant] And 5.6 yards per play to 5.1 yards per play.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think a lesser team could have easily fallen to the Steelers team, but the bills just sort of did what they had to do, right?


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[Assistant] You asked Wilson that question. That's the answer when either it's either when Kyra Elam intercepted that pass or Josh Allen ran the 52 yard like like deep touchdown in. That's when you're like, okay, this game is ending one way.


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[Assistant] You are, you are a 10 point underdog and you are, have been sort of gifted a rare chance to slide back into the game. That's not a rare chance. The ball was on


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[Assistant] No, I mean, I would say that like, I mean, it's not nearly as bad as Sean McFay haunting yesterday.


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[Assistant] But I mean, it's, but it's, but I mean, it's still, it's still up there. Like call time out, make, make them use a backup punter. Maybe, maybe the, maybe they send the regular punter out there and he exacerbates his legs so badly that he can't putt the rest of the game and that


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[Assistant] I mean, I, I think it's not something where you're like, well, that's it. You got to fire Mike Tomlin over it. It's just in that moment.


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[Assistant] You, you force the bills who are feeling very comfortable about where they are going into halftime into making some uncomfortable and unusual decisions.


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[Assistant] And personnel movements to try to introduce more variants into the game is how I would play it personally.


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[Assistant] Panthers made the playoffs. Actually, that's wrong. They didn't make the playoffs in 2016 when he was on there. But so your point remains.


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[Assistant] Any, uh, any guesses on the spread and yeah, the injuries matter for sure. I think you gotta wait and see exactly what the longterm stuff is.


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[Assistant] You know, the she's feel like they're in better shape health wise, but the bills are in better shape form wise, which is like a.


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[Assistant] Sort of a golf. You guys were talking up to chiefs. No, no, no. I'm just saying recent foreign. The bills are, you know, you would take if you're saying who's been playing better since December.


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[Assistant] One, you would take the bills over the chiefs and the bills beat the chiefs in that time span. Uhm, what do you think the spread here is? This is not brain surgery. I'm just curious what you think.


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[Assistant] Oh, that's what One's Over Wilson's at. Minus one. What? Bill's minus two and a half, heavily juiced. Like it wants to go to three, which is...


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[Assistant] I doubt, I think it'll just sit at two and a half with heavy juice all week. Personally, unless something major happens injury wise, how, how is this not a field goal game?


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[Assistant] Like somebody, my homes or Alan's going to have the ball with a chance to drive and kick a game winning field goal.


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[Assistant] The super world is different. You got two weeks to sort of, you know, do your whole thing and you know, it's important to breach.


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[Assistant] I think it means Patrick Mahomes can't win. I think Patrick Mahomes, I think it will be a talking point all week long.


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[Assistant] But I'm saying that, well, yeah, he's never played in the playoffs on the road. Um, but I think that I think it would be maybe something that might even like, you know, reverse itself where Mahomes hears that said so much and you could see everybody picking the bills to win.


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[Assistant] And it being a thing where one of those old Patriots say, you know, for somehow this team has a chip on its shoulder, even though it has no business saying nobody believes in us. I mean, the chiefs did that last year. They said no Travis Kelsey called everyone jabronis and said no one believed in us, even though they were the Superbowl favorites to start the year. I mean, I could see that being sort of a uno reverse narrative.


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[Assistant] I mean- Well Mason's out of contract. Imagine if-


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[Assistant] And obviously this didn't happen because he wanted MVP, but imagine if Lamar Jackson had started the way Kenny Pickett started.


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[Assistant] In the same sort of transitional timeline that, uh, Aziz Nusim and Eric da Costa had you.


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[Assistant] You just, the Steelers just went to the playoffs and pick. It was hurt that I can't see a path where they blow the whole thing up and let unless there's some like.


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[Assistant] You know, they hired Jim Harbaugh because Mike Tomlin steps away and he was like, I'm only doing this if I can draft whoever I want. The campaign is going to his third year. You don't, you don't.


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[Assistant] But I'm just saying they have a quarterback who's going into his third year of his rookie contract. They finished nine and eight and made the playoffs and that quarterback got hurt.


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[Assistant] That is not a situation where you draft a quarterback. It's just not in the NFL on a normal basis.


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[Assistant] Like, wouldn't you be surprised? I saw your tweet and I don't disagree with it. I think it's a great idea. Trade up and go get a guy that you believe can be a franchise quarterback because I agree with you. Candy picking ain't it.


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[Assistant] But I would be surprised if they actually did the trade, like actually made that move. That's one, not very serious.


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[Assistant] I think if anything, this is my argument for why Mike Tomlin.


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[Assistant] Should walk away or might walk away and be like, I just need to recharge my battery. Sean Payton style. He's like, can you pick it? Ain't it? I've got a good case.


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[Assistant] Obviously no effing bleep. Mike Tomlin has some say in the personnel decisions at the Steelers. He's been there for like 20 years, but he can't say I want a quarterback go get one and the franchise will do it. That's not how that works. And you're being disingenuous if you suggest that.


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[Assistant] The Steelers don't have the answer at quarterback in the quarterback room right now.


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[Assistant] But I also think that you're really underselling the idea of if Omar Omar Khan is not on the hook for kitty picket.


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[Assistant] Eric, I mean, excuse me, uh, uh, Kevin Colbert is. Kevin Colbert's all the-


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[Assistant] So would that make them more likely to move on? The Ravens did. Ozzie Newsome drafted Lamar Jackson. That way his handpicked successor would get the credit if he was good.


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[Assistant] They would share in the credit, but you could always deflect blame if he was bad.


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[Assistant] The Steelers tried to do the same thing. Kenny Pickett hasn't worked out, but I think it would be surprising if Omar Khan and Mike Tomlin agreed to trade future first round picks to move up and grab somebody like Jayden Daniels in the top 10.


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[Assistant] And you're, you're, you're, you're saying you're like throwing out some pipe dream about the Steelers trading up to go get Jayden Daniels at the top 10. Do you think that's happening?


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[Assistant] Well, you're wrong. I'm going to go Joe Flacco one cause he's the one of two quarterbacks who's been to a super bowl. All right. So you're going to


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[Assistant] Uh, there's probably some guys, Jake Driscoll, um, that's your, uh, Mason Rudolph. That's, uh, Tyler Huntley is above Mason Rudolph. All right. Then can he pick it?


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[Assistant] The openings and the guys that are out there right now and the interest, I think that the interest that Jim Harbaugh and bill Belichick get in this coaching market. Belichick's on like Arthur blank shot.


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[Assistant] So it's like, sell me on you here versus Cowboys. And I think Mike Tomlin sees Kenny Pickett who is dog doo doo and trash.


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[Assistant] And he realizes the Steelers are the worst team in their own division for the next three years, even though they made the playoffs and went nine and eight and he can walk away having never had a losing season with Pittsburgh.


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[Assistant] And then see what opens up this year and or charges batteries. That's my, that's my prediction for Tomlin. I don't understand. I'm definitely right. I just think he takes a year off.


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[Assistant] Right. If he leaves, they're going to have to hire somebody else and he will not work for the Steelers when he comes back.


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[Assistant] How many head coaches with a Super Bowl title have we seen coach a lame duck here? I have no idea.


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[Assistant] Nope. Pick the bucks to win outright and obviously to cover as they were home dogs and they actually, you know, wow.


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[Assistant] But that was, uh, surprising. Turns out the only person who picked the Eagles to win this game was Dubin out of eight experts at CBS.


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[Assistant] How are we doing this spread this week? Five and one for your boy. Everyone five and one.


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[Assistant] Breach two, breach four and two. Breach is the only person who didn't go five and one. Go four and two. That's sad.


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[Assistant] What? Talk about Baker. Baker's great. Baker's awesome. They won the game. I mean, Baker.


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[Assistant] It was the Thursday pick show before the wild card round.


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[Assistant] And Alex sells neck who comes on with myself, Katie mox and RJ white. Prop stars. Prop stars. That's right.


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[Assistant] He said that, and I mean, I, I was like, I did a hard pause on it. He said, if they lose, if the Eagles lose, he's an Eagles fan. If they lose to Baker in the bucks that next year, he's getting fired. I was like, dude, that is a super, super hot take. And over the next. Oh, there it is.


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[Assistant] Like, what do you think? And then like, you know, bouncing around and.


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[Assistant] I don't know. I feel like people are pretty receptive to the idea of the pos- I like the possibility of that happening. And then to get balanced like this, I mean, humiliated.


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[Assistant] The Eagles, the, by the way, the Cowboys, ironically, the only home playoff team to lose the only home team to lose the wild card round of the playoffs, 32 to nine. You manage one touchdown.


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[Assistant] Jalen, her, I mean, Devanta Smith was awesome, but it happened late. The offense looked lethargic. The defense had zero answers for the Buccaneers who by the way, could not score a touchdown against the Carolina Panthers in a window division.


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[Assistant] Or don't do anything against a team that was locked into Bermuda in week 18.


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[Assistant] Baker, 22 or 36, three 37, three touchdowns. Kate Otton dropped three balls and still caught eight passes for 89 yards. A bunch of like tertiary players for the bucks. Trey Palmer or making plays.


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[Assistant] And every one of the Eagles looked like they were checked out and ready to be done. I don't think it would be crazy.


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[Assistant] What's the wins over Wilson on Mike McCarthy versus Nick Sirianni? Who gets fired first? I mean, are both guys fired?


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[Assistant] They lose five of their final six games, could have lost seven of their last eight and get obliterated by Baker Mayfield and the Buccaneers and Todd balls in a wild card game.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying that the way it all unfolded like hurts his thumb is effed up or middle finger is effed up. AJ Brown can't play because they both got hurt in week 18 against Tommy Cutlets in a game that they really shouldn't have never been playing in.


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[Assistant] What's the, uh, what's the wins over Wilson on that game?


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[Assistant] Maybe more. I'll say six. Minus six. Minus a 112 for the lions.


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[Assistant] Uh, the other game just while we're on the lines.


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[Assistant] Raven's hosting the Texans. Winter for Wilson.


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[Assistant] It's interesting the, that the, um, you know, wild card round, we had a.


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[Assistant] There's really only one good, it feels like the storylines for this round of the playoffs was better than the actual games.


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[Assistant] The games were, the games, I mean, the Packers blowing out the Cowboys is, was insane to watch. And then I never felt not captivated, but it wasn't a good game per se. You know, like it wasn't like a close back and forth. Really. The only game that was close was lions Rams. Um,


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[Assistant] The Buccaneers maybe stuffing the Eagles in a sack and getting Nick Sirianni fired.


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[Assistant] Fascinating to watch, couldn't take my eyes off it, but it wasn't a great game.


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[Assistant] You know what I mean? There's only one really good game this weekend, but...


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[Assistant] It was all very interesting because it was a true wild card weekend with, with upsets happening.


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[Assistant] Well I mean like watching the eagles and cowboys get destroyed is...


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[Assistant] I don't know. I mean, it was like the bucks, the Eagles couldn't mount anything and the Packers just kept piling it on the Cowboys and you're, you know, they're cutting to Jerry Jones and Jeff Lurie and, and, and Mike McCarthy and.


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[Assistant] It was, it was, it was enjoyable in a very, in a schadenfreude type of way.


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[Assistant] That's a good question because uh, Brady Graham said after the game, I think Mike Garofalo tweeted it out, but he wants to do a one year farewell tour, come back, play for the Eagles one more year. We said it in Slack. You're watching the end of that game and the way


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[Assistant] You know, if Jason Kelsey, Jason Kelsey may or may not be telling.


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[Assistant] The ABC slash ESPN slash Monday football broadcasters that he's retiring, but he could certainly intimate that it might be his last game at the, you know, like that stuff can be passed along in these meetings behind the scenes and.


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[Assistant] The reason I say that is the way that Joe Bach and Tori Aitman were discussing.


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[Assistant] Jason Kelsey's departure off the field.


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[Assistant] I don't know. Like they've been told that that was maybe it. And I think if you lose Jason Kelly and maybe he goes back for a year, I don't know. But if you lose Jason Kelsey, that is such a massive blow to this team.


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[Assistant] And if you have Brady Graham doing a farewell year, which is not something you really want to do.


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[Assistant] As a, as an NFL player who, you know, he said like anybody like coach case didn't work out. I don't know, man. Your coordinators are bunk. Your head coaches ass is on fire.


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[Assistant] The quarterback has played really well, but regressed when Shane Steichen left.


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[Assistant] And you have contractual stuff that you got to deal with and like the centerpiece of your team from a captain perspective, potentially retiring. It feels like.


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[Assistant] Howie Roseman's got some work to do in terms of churning this roster in a, in a, like it's still very deep and it's still very good, but to compete for a Superbowl, there's work to do this off season.


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[Assistant] Uh, sort of off the wall question, Wilson, but do you think that if the Eagles decided to move on from Nick Sirianni?


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[Assistant] Could they be players for either Jim Harbaugh or bill Belichick or your boy Mike Tomlin if he decided to leave the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Right, right, right. But I mean, like, if you're, if you're Howie Roseman and Jeffy Lurie comes to you and says,


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[Assistant] Yeah, just as we said here. Uh, Cowboys easily won. I think whether it's Washington's going to get a quarterback.


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[Assistant] I, I like the Washington job. I just think that that defense and very good. Um, uh, Cowboys won.


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[Assistant] Here's the, here's the thing again, like this, gotta get the two prints and stop stalling. Well, I was going to point out the thing about the Eagles.


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[Assistant] They, we don't, we know they weren't a 10 in one team. They were fraudulent.


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[Assistant] But they had just barely lost the super bowl to the chiefs started out 10 and one. If you own that football team.


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[Assistant] If that's your football team, if you're an Eagles fan or if you're definitely Jeff Lurie, who's the billionaire Eagles owner in your brain, you are thinking we are winning the super bowl or at the very worst case scenario, we are going to the interstate championship game and losing a crazy close game to the 49ers.


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[Assistant] That's our worst case scenario. And then all of a sudden your worst case is you lose five of six. Matt Patricia is running your defense into the ground and Baker Mayfield just went nuclear on you in the wildcard round. So.


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[Assistant] I think Washington two eagles three and giants four, maybe eagles four.


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[Assistant] Well, remember to, sorry Breach, but remember like when they won the Super Bowl with Doug Peterson, Frank Reich leaves and the leash got real short in Philly for Doug Peterson and because the coordinators weren't working out.


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[Assistant] It's definitely not yesterday. No. Ooh.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but I mean, Sirianni went to a Superbowl. Is Mike McCarthy the head coach? Yes, we know in one word, is Mike McCarthy the head coach of the Cowboys next Monday?


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[Assistant] Here are several kind of crazy surprise scenarios that could unfold. Seahawks breach nailed. I threw out Titans. I think maybe we're all in the Titans.


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[Assistant] When there one more and then like there's two or three lingering after wild card weekend that could are legitimate.


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[Assistant] The Cowboys and the, and the, and the Eagles firing their head coaches after wild card weekend.


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[Assistant] In the same year when Pete Carroll retired, Bill Belichick essentially got fired and Mike Rabel got fired.


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[Assistant] Would go down as one of the, and there were three in-season coach firings would go down as one of the craziest coaching cycle changes in NFL history.


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[Assistant] And there's some Doug Peters and stuff that's like still out there, but not really out there.


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[Assistant] I mean, I think it's pretty easy. Right. And what you're going to say next Baker.


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[Assistant] Reagan Mayfield. Oh Reagan, I like it. Quite the middle name.


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[Assistant] Follow your scent with the Texas tech red Raiders. He moved to Oklahoma. He won the Heisman. He was drafted number one overall by the Cleveland Browns. He spent four, I think one year on four different teams, landed with Tampa Bay's and outcast great quarterback in one hell of a model American.


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[Assistant] He had career highs and passing yards, passing completion percentage and passing touchdowns. And he just beat the defending industry champions in a blowout, 32 to nine, romping at home in front of the cannons, the Tampa Bay rolling. I think that Baker may feel


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[Assistant] They'd still be in the playoffs and the, but I don't know if the Buccaneers wouldn't. Baker Mayfield, my Princeton VP.


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[Assistant] Buffalo has won the last three regular season games against.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome back to the Pick 6 Podcast. Today we're looking at the final week of the regular season. I can't believe we made it. Week 18. I'm Katie Mox. Back from my sabbatical. I feel like I've missed.


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[Assistant] The last couple weeks, um, joined of course by Will Brinson and Sportsline's finest, RJ White and Alex Selznick, aka Propstars. This episode of Pick Six is presented by Fandel Sportsbook. Make every moment more. If you like winning picks, make sure you sign up at Sportsline.com and use the code PICK.


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[Assistant] Well, the last episode of The Feed was really interesting as well because you had Ryan Wilson, BMAC, Bryant McFadden, and Leejay Doosable debating the merits of resting your starters and untangling the playoff picture. Check that out on our YouTube channel.


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[Assistant] Let's yeaah, let's talk about that, uh, offline. Real quick though RJ, any takeaways from week 17?


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[Assistant] Yeah, this week is going to be tough. And I will say for prop stars, there's not a whole lot of props guys out there. This is 2 PM on Thursday, but there is props. There's a lot of incentives for a lot of these players. So hoping you can give us a little bit more insight on who we should be looking at. But let's go ahead and start with the early slate of games.


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[Assistant] The Steelers are laying four at the Baltimore Ravens, this total 35 and a half.


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[Assistant] Uhm, obviously the Steelers are favored here because Baltimore's already locked in the number one seed and they're likely resting a lot of guys. Uhm, RJ, that doesn't seem to bother you at all. You're still taking the points.


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[Assistant] I love that and I'll ride with you on that one. Uhm, but I'm also looking at Dev and Singletary here for a touchdown. It's a plus 105.


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[Assistant] Uh, yes, I don't think that the Colts are going to be able to guard, uh, Niko Collins, but they, the past defense has been getting better. Um, so even with Stroudback, I do think they're going to want to utilize their run game. And when you look at,


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[Assistant] Has been pretty good against the run. Uhm, at least he only has three touchdowns this year. He has not found the end zone in three straight games, but he does have some interesting incentives. He's already got 125 K for going over 1000 rushing yards.


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[Assistant] He's also going to get 125 K for having 50% of snaps this season, but he could get another 125 K if he gets up to 55. He's at 52 right now. So just 3% more and he could get 125 K. I do feel like CJ is going to kind of pass him the ball a little bit there and why not on the goal line for someone who only has three touchdowns all season and was not been in the end zone for three weeks. The fact that these odds are just plus 105 feel like the books know this guy's getting in.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, looking at the Falcons at the Saints. Saints laying a field goal. This total 42 and a half. This is a game that I really just don't want to touch because I just don't.


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[Assistant] Players that we should maybe be looking at for the prop market come closer to this game.


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[Assistant] Alright, next up, the Jags are laying three and a half at the Titans. This over thirty nine and a half. RJ, when I locked this in earlier, it was at five and a half. What did I, what did I miss? How did this drop two points?


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[Assistant] I do, and this is, look, to tail this at your own risk, obviously wait if you can to see if Trevor Lawrence is playing because my theory is on him playing, which now this two point line move makes it a little bit um, fishier. But like RJ said, the Jags need to win in order to lock up the division. They hold the tiebreaker over the Colts and the Texans.


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[Assistant] If Trevor Lawrence is playing, I love this. He was a limited participant in practice on Wednesday. Uhm, so we'll see what those rumors are. I just checked online too. Nothing has come out quite yet, but of course this line is a big indication of that. Uhm, the Texans, uh, excuse me, the Titans secondary has just been awful. So I do think that CJ Beathard does stand


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[Assistant] A chance here if it is him. They ranked 25th against the past.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but I'm, look, best bet Jags here, minus the three and a half, so we'll have to see what happens with the quarterbacks.


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[Assistant] Yes, I think Tebra was the only frisky one, uhm, on the team last week. Luck bucks.


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[Assistant] Win the NFC South, uhm, if they win this game. And Baker could actually, I think he's still a contender for comeback player of the year. If he has a solid performance, I know everybody loves Flacco right now, and of course there was someone who died last year.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but if it goes to someone who actually played and played well, I do think that Baker has a shot to win this award. So I do think he will be motivated as well to have a good performance. Carolina, uhm, they're


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[Assistant] The worst team in the NFL. They basically quit last week. They were not frisky at all. 26 zip.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and they've lost 11 of 12 games in the NFC this year. Bucks 10 and 6 against the spread. I just, I just don't know that this Panthers team has any fight left in them to even play spoiler here. And Tampa Bay has a lot on the line, so I'll go ahead and lay that four.


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[Assistant] And a half, but we do have to take a quick break here. More, uh, more games when we come back. You're watching Pick Six. We'll see you in a sec.


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[Assistant] It's time for the pick six parlay where we each select a game of a four-leg money line parlay, but there are some rules. The person with the best record, which is not me because I wasn't here.


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[Assistant] Gets to go first and second and so on and so on. The Pic Six Parlay is brought to you by Fandel Sportsbook. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] Last week, uh, the fellas were done in by the eagles again. Man, prop stars, these eagles, they keep ruining the parlay for us.


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[Assistant] We still love you and you can make it all right this week by picking one that wins. Um, Arjay, you're going first though.


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[Assistant] I'm not, don't worry, you can count on me for that.


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[Assistant] Well, I think you guys aren't gonna like the dog that I like, so I- I don't know, who's the dog you like? I like the bears.


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[Assistant] Spoiler. Let's, let's do bears. Let's go bears.


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[Assistant] I love that too. I like the over in this one, 45 and a half, uhm, like you laid out. Minnesota has a slim chance to make the playoffs. Lions can possibly move up to the number two seed by the end of the week, uhm, but of course Dallas would.


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[Assistant] Uh, have to lose that game. Mullins is back. The Jaren Hall experience obviously did not work out too well. This is good for Justin Jefferson. I know so many people that lost their


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, now for my underdog play in the pick six parlay, the Bears at the Packers. Packers laying three, this total 44 and a half. Uhm, I had Emory Hunt on my Muxy Bets podcast this morning and he was telling me, and apparently BMAC had this


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[Assistant] Look, you all remember I was really high on the Bears. I thought the Bears were going to win the NFC North, obviously. I think, I still think I'm just early. I don't think I'm wrong. I think I'm just early. I think next year, this Bears team, considering what we've seen from, from Justin Fields now, if they don't get


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[Assistant] A new quarterback could be something big and we saw who spoiled the Packers last year and all of a sudden our good team in competing this year, the Lions. So we could see maybe a little repeat of that. The Chicago Bears play an upset here. Not a best bet, but just going back into why I like the Bears in this spot. Anybody have any thoughts on this game?


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[Assistant] Welcome back to Big Six Podcast. We're moving along for week 18 best bets for the NFL looking at an NFC West.


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[Assistant] Seems like everybody's on Seattle on this one, but if anyone can play upset, it's Mr. Kyler Murray. I mean, we've seen him do it a couple weeks now in a row, but RJ, you're, you're liking the Seahawks.


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[Assistant] They're just gonna be pounding the rock, running the ball. I will say look at, there isn't anything available yet, but look at Jordan Mason props for the 49ers because I do think that Shanahan's gonna elect to rest Elijah Mitchell a little bit more because he is that number one backup to Christian McCaffrey. We're gonna want him to be healthy in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] So uhm, yeaah. Take this under. Agree with you on everything. Stafford isn't playing. Purdy isn't playing. CMC isn't playing. Nobody's playing in this game. But these also are teams that hate each other. So these backups, these defenses are still gonna try to play some bully ball here.


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[Assistant] Alright, have a good day, Brinson. Thank you for your time. I will recap your picks. And yes, Kansas City Chiefs. Bye.


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[Assistant] Uhm, at the Chargers, Chargers laying three and a half, this total 35 and a half. RJ, you're not taking the bait here with the Chargers, you still like KC.


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[Assistant] I love it. Alright, that is gonna do it for the show. Let's go ahead and recap the picks for our best bets. Uh, I'll read Brinson's. He's taking to England minus the one and a half. He's laying the 13 and a half with Dallas. He always a lot of favorites here saying Seattle minus two and a half as well. The under in the Rams and Niners game. He's also


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[Assistant] Going to lay the points with Vegas and also with Buffalo. Wow, no underdogs for Brinson this week. Very interesting. I'm looking at a Devon Singletary touchdown. You can find that at plus 105. I like the Jags minus three and a half Tampa Bay minus four and a half.


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[Assistant] And I like the over in Minnesota and Detroit that's at 45 and a half and the under in Rams and Niners.


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[Assistant] I love it. And that is your week 18 recap for our best bets. We made it the entire season. Of course, we're still going to be doing the postseason as well. Make sure you join us all week long for more NFL coverage, including the Super Friends this Sunday night as they recap the final week of the NFL season. Remember to like, comment and subscribe on our YouTube page. And if you're listening to the audio version only,


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[Assistant] Do the same, download, follow, leave a five star review and tell your friends to listen and watch the pod on behalf of RJ, Propstars, myself and Brinson. We'll see you next time.


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[Assistant] But they did not. I mean, this team came out on fire. I think they scored on five of their first six possessions. Brock Purdy started like eight and nine. Uh, they just looked hot. And yet, I mean, your biggest concern out of this game is the Christian McCaffrey injury and whether that is anything that might linger. But even if he needs a week or two weeks deal,


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[Assistant] Browns 5, Browns have clinched 5, so they're 5, Dolphins 6, Colts 7.


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[Assistant] In the NFL this year to hit six field goals and a game goes six to six. Justin Tucker was the other one. Uh, and the first kicker ever to do it in the regular season at Arrowhead Stadium.


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[Assistant] Jake Browning is playing right now. He's been absolutely phenomenal. Uh, again, no Jamar Chase, but he spreads the ball out. I have a tremendous amount of confidence in him, especially after watching him handle Minnesota's Blitz. He carved up a very good and underrated Vikings pass defense, so.


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[Assistant] I think he's going to have a fine game. I think he's going to spread the ball out. I don't think that Jamar Chase injury is going to be nearly as big a deal, uh, as a lot of people think. So yeah, I like Jake Browning this week quite a bit.


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[Assistant] Look at Indy versus Atlanta. Okay, thank you.


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[Assistant] I just think this is a really good spot, especially considering the price on most books. You can get this around even odds or around minus 115.


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[Assistant] Uh, I just think this chargers pass defense. They rank in the bottom five and nearly every defensive passing metric EPA.


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[Assistant] He has the deepest A dot average depth of target of any pass catcher.


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[Assistant] Uh, Josh Allen drop back. So elite route participation playing against a defense that again gives up a lot of explosive downfield plays. I'm confident Josh Allen is going to test that at least a couple of times. I think he hooks up with Gabe Davis for at least a couple of deep passes in the process. Really like both of these props.


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[Assistant] I just think he's rightfully going to receive a lot of attention. And I just find that the line just doesn't have a lot of value at the current number would be, uh, my best explanation for why. I mean, I love James Cook. I've been playing him all season long. I just think, uh, we're getting him, you know, sort of high at this present number. I'd still lean over. I think he's going to have a big game, but yeah.


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[Assistant] And then just to, uh, you know, kinda let everyone know what he's capable of. I just think the opponent is perfect, uh, for him having one of these signature ceiling games.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I would base it on AJ Dillon's status. I think if AJ Dillon sits, uh, Aaron Jones should be in line for a pretty hefty workload. Uh, if Dillon does play, he'll siphon or cannibalize some of, uh,


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[Assistant] Uhm, Aaron Jones' touches, and in that scenario, probably Lean Pittman.


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[Assistant] Yeah, absolutely. I think, uh, RJ hit the nail on the head. Uh, they're going to move the ball between the twenties even if he does make some mistakes. And if he does make some mistakes, that might just honestly lead to more opportunities and more passing volume anyway. So his style of football, I think just kind of, uh,


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[Assistant] Sets up high passing environments and then the running back, I was really impressed.


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[Assistant] With Ty Chandler, it looks like even if Alexander Madison is going to be active, it's going to be the Chandler show. He had a phenomenal game.


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[Assistant] Last week both made a big impact on the ground and through the short area passing game as well. So I think he's going to handle the bulk of those carries and just that dimension having a viable rushing threat really made the offense a lot more dangerous as well.


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[Assistant] I've gotta take my eagles. I think they're gonna win this game against Devito and the Giants. They're not losing four in a row here. Give me the eagles. I know it's...


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[Assistant] Over the past five or six weeks, making a huge impact on the ground in the receiving game as well. We backed him actually a couple times successfully, but I just think we're getting a really big number here. So we're going to sell high, sell at peak in my opinion here at 73 and a half yards.


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[Assistant] This is a tough batch up. The Jags, the strength of their defense, uh, is certainly their run defense. They rank in the top ten in nearly every rushing.


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[Assistant] Rather than just rushing, I think it would take a tremendous amount of volume for him to eclipse this number against this Jags run defense. So we are going to go under 72 and a half rushing yards.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's Jalen Hurts over one and a half passing touchdown against the Giants, as well as A.J. Brown over 72 and a half receiving yards. Uh, the Eagles, this is a get-right spot for them, in my opinion, and they're gonna make a statement against the Giants, obviously losing three straight games, unable to close games as well.


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[Assistant] The proverbial foot on the net just hasn't been the case with this Eagles team if we look at them compared to last year where they were really successful closing games out in the second half.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, it just hasn't been the case, so I think we see Jalen Hurts and this Eagles offense be very aggressive. I think they're gonna run up the score against this Giants pass defense that's completely overmatched. AJ Brown has tremendous historical results against the Giants, really no one capable of covering him.


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[Assistant] Man, can't complain. Can't complain at all. A lot to talk about as you discuss, Ry.


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[Assistant] Be interesting to hear what you guys have to say about the Steelers and the quote unquote quarterback controversy. I don't think there is a controversy.


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[Assistant] Needed to be had, but it'll be interesting to get you, you guys' point of view.


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[Assistant] That's an understatement because I can remember my freshman year, right? We traveled to Madison, Wisconsin.


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[Assistant] Right? 83,000. I've never seen that. You know, it was Florida, Florida dudes, like football is big here, but it's not like where it's Texas where 30,000 people show up.


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[Assistant] At the game, right? You might get a couple thousand here and there, and if it's a rival game, maybe max out at like 10k B max, so like.


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[Assistant] Oh, you're long to your point. I didn't expect a lot. I didn't expect 63 to what was the score like eight or something like that.


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[Assistant] Man, Rod, KJ Jefferson, to me, that was the biggest one out of everybody in the Trash Reporter when you look at guys like Riley going to Notre Dame. I think KJ Jefferson was a guy.


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[Assistant] Probably the hardest schedule besides South Carolina this year when you talk about who they had to play weekend and week out in the SEC and he dealt.


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[Assistant] And the thing that's not talked about enough is the offensive weapons that are coming back. A lot of people thought Jayvon Baker, who we still may declare because I heard he may have gotten the third or fourth round look at NFL scouts in regards to maybe leaving.


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[Assistant] Cody, uh, Kobe Hudson's coming back. R.J. Harvey, the running back is coming back. So imagine those, that three headed monster.


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[Assistant] With KJ Jefferson, I think that's why a lot of people in Orlando are excited and a lot of people are saying they have a chance to win the Big 12 this year.


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[Assistant] I know just knowing Kyle Shanahan and playing for him, he's not going to put anybody at risk, right? Now the thing is, we know this, 53 man roster, 47 dress, and then you'll get a couple other guys that can dress via a call up from practice squad, right?


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[Assistant] Thinking about it, your roster is only going to have about 49 guys, right? Then you got the emergency third quarterback. So you can't rest everybody, right? Cause that is going to be an issue. You don't want guys.


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[Assistant] essentially treating this game where guys are you g third defense of tackle a not only is he doing speci he got to take every star


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[Assistant] You know, Brock Purdy dealing with the Stinger, does he sit him down as well? And maybe a George Kittle and a Trent Williams, they sit them down.


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[Assistant] But I can see Brendan Iuke still potentially playing Deebo because he's dealt with injuries. They probably shut him down as well. They may dress these guys just in case they get dinged up too much, right?


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[Assistant] Majority of the frontline guys probably won't play, but the thing is, there's only eight spots in regards to shutting guys down that you can use. So, you gotta account for guys that are actually injured as well too. So, a lot of these frontline guys will play now. Don Harborough, right, looking at what they've done in the past and just knowing his mentality, I think the starters are gonna play, at least on the court.


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[Assistant] Correct. And, and I think, and that's a perfect setup, right? I think that's in the back of their heads, right? That the year that they had in 2019, Lamar wins the MVP, they're the number one seed. And then they get boat raced at home, right? Cause if you think about it, if they rest everybody this week, that's essentially almost three weeks off before they've played a game.


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[Assistant] Right, so honestly, no one draw a hardball, and then on top of that, right, BMAC, you know this, the last thing you want is a divisional foe to get into the playoffs. I know they're not playing you and Ross Steelers, but that's the last thing you want, a team that's in your division that knows you, who you already lost to this year.


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[Assistant] So it would not surprise me if Lamar Jackson and the starting offensive defense play at least the first quarter. And then I believe Huntley will come in the game, probably in the second quarter, just, just because you don't want to be that rusty for three weeks before playing a playoff game where it's do or die, win and go home. I think Harbaugh will actually play the starters for at least the first quarter.


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[Assistant] They've proven that they're the best all around team in the last three weeks. And you look at the, the tier of teams they've played, right? You got Jacksonville, who if they win, they're going to win their division. They both raced them in Jacksonville. They went to the 49ers, right?


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[Assistant] Before that game, everybody thought the 49ers were the most complete team in football. They both raced them at, uh, in Levi Stadium. Then they played the Miami Dolphins at home this past week.


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[Assistant] And they both raced them. So you gotta think, John Hallbarg was like, man, we hitting our stride at the right time. We gotta get our guys some work this week just because we don't want it to be that long of a layoff before they play again.


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[Assistant] Oh, without a doubt, it wasn't even close, right? Uhm, same thing, right? Like, the Miami Dolphins and the Bills at the time, like,


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[Assistant] Yeaah. I mean, they whooped us almost. But the crazy thing is when I was with Nguyen, uh, when I was with the Jets, we split with them every year. And that's why Tom Brady always hated playing against Rex Ryan because he just knew he was going to get him a different look and that pressure up the middle, which has always caused Brady issue.


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[Assistant] That's what Rex Ryan was known for, right? There'll be plays being like, you know, this, we'll have eight guys in the line of scrimmage and it'll be a three-man rush, but somebody would be scot-free just because you didn't know where we were coming from. Like, and that's what Rex Ryan does and the confusion that he brings to a defense. So it was always a New England Patriots. And people will ask me, even my guy, Calvin Pace, who I play with, he's like, dudes, why do you hate them so much? I was like,


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[Assistant] of Tom Brady's most of his career, but we just always hated that they felt smug like that.


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[Assistant] Cause I saw it and, and they hadn't seen it yet, obviously, right? Because...


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[Assistant] You know, the internet is fast. It's instant. Like, that's the difference between like a few years ago and now. Like, as soon as something happened, it goes on the internet. So I, I, I text a few dudes, they were like, what the F is literally what they said. So like,


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[Assistant] It's crazy to me, I've had this discussion all day long, uh, over here at CBS, and the thing is, it's...


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[Assistant] It's a scenario where the players are always held to a higher standard, and we get it, right? Because there's only a minute amount of players that can do what we do, right? Or people on earth that can do what we do.


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[Assistant] It is a privilege to buy into a team to be an owner in the NFL. So if you're going to hold.


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[Assistant] Your employees, the players and people upstairs to a certain standard. Why does it seem like owners are never held to that same standard? Again, when you look at it, the $300,000 fine was like a drop in the bucket for this. No question. I think they counted for like 176 in real life.


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[Assistant] So what is that going to do for him? Right? Like that's, he's writing that off. My thing is there should have been some type of suspension because


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[Assistant] That's, that's, that's what I'm saying. It's a double standard and I, and I don't get it. My thing is...


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[Assistant] There's no way he should have been allowed to be at this last home game. It's not only just been a foul, it should have been a suspension as well.


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[Assistant] Perfect example, there's a video that went viral of a guy walking by, Mark Davis, I believe, in Vegas, and literally talking crazy to him. Like, he said some of the most outrageous stuff. Now, I don't know what that Jaguar fan said, but I couldn't imagine that it was worse.


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[Assistant] That's what he did. That's what you're supposed to do. Like you can't have a temper tantrum because somebody is berating you and talking crazy to you because your team is terrible right now. Like that's what happens when you're the owner and your team is struggling. They're going to find you, especially if the windows open and they're going to talk trash.


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[Assistant] Well this is an interesting thing, and you know, I'm not a big conspiracy theorist, but there's been conspiracies thrown out there by a lot of Panther fans that supposedly


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[Assistant] If you look at what Tempers done in the last five years, right? He's been through three head coaches. You know, they were in the running to build that facility in Rock Hill right across from Charlotte in South Carolina. He pulls and yanks that the last second. Supposedly, maybe this is him doing all this to potentially try to move the team from Carolina.


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[Assistant] But you know what's hilarious about that video? Why is earlier they showed the Detroit Lions doing it the proper way in the same game. So it was almost like a dig at the Lions. They sent this video out to all 32 teams.


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[Assistant] They show the Detroit Lions doing it the proper way. And then they showed that clip in regards to saying that you need to do it properly as far as


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[Assistant] The hand gesture on your chest and making it clear and clear for the ref. But one thing you noticed on that video,


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[Assistant] It's like, the ref is kind of moving away from the players as they're talking to him. So was this a situation where he was just used to seeing Dan Skipper report most of the game and he just assumed that it was Skipper while the Detroit Lions were trying to be, have some gamesmanship and confuse the Dallas Cowboys, but they actually confused the ref. Right. Hey, Peter.


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[Assistant] Well no, but my thing is like, like BMAC was saying at the end of the day, the ref has to come over the mic and announce that. And the one thing on defense, it's all about communication. So like BMAC said,


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[Assistant] We're going to reiterate that we're going to say it multiple times. Hey, 68 is eligible, 68 eligible and BMAC, I know you said it's, it's really important for the second and third level guys, but as a defense event, if we know that a new guy is eligible.


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[Assistant] Oh, best believe we getting hands on him at the line scrimmage, right? Because what they usually like to do, Ry, is what they did, a check release right there, right? So he'll act like he's blocking.


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[Assistant] And then go, well, a lot of defenses, if that guy's eligible and a defensive end makes contact with him, sometimes he owns him, man.


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[Assistant] So like if I'm a defensive end, I know that guy's eligible. I'm trying to watch him all the way down to the center. Like you're not getting off the line of scrimmage at all.


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[Assistant] Man, if it's, if it's a one score game, right, and it's a live bet, bet on the other team.


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[Assistant] You gotta think, BMAC, they've built this team up to be a championship team. That's all we've heard the last few years, right?


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[Assistant] My thing is, if they weren't the number two seed, which they most likely will be if they go and beat the commanders who have the worst passing defense in all of football and already getting ready for the offseason. The only caveat to that is if Jacoby Brissette plays, I think that game is going to be interesting. I think it's going to be real. Cause let's not forget last year, the odds was in the scenario where they could still win the NFC East.


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[Assistant] And they lost to Sam Howe and the Commanders. Now the Eagles ended up winning, so it didn't matter, but the Eagles at the time were in a tight ball game versus Giants.


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[Assistant] If it's the Seattle Seahawks, I can see them now. The Seattle Seahawks are awful on defense right now.


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[Assistant] I know you guys are big Steelers fans. I just, I don't think John, John Hallboro is not going to play as starters, man. You would have to say, just looking at the two teams and how they've played this year, yes, Steelers are playing hot right now, but the way this Ravens team has played, like I think.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, and honestly, even with Huntley, I think they can still make some noise, uh, with him at quarterback, so.


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[Assistant] Uh, there is a real scenario that the Bills could lose. I don't see that happening either. Just because Miami is k- is getting killed with injuries right now. We can talk about Raheem Mostred most likely being out, uh, Jalen Watto being out. Tua talking about Loa got hurt in that game. He probably could have came back and played.


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[Assistant] Losing both of their pass rushes, right? Bradley Chubb is done for the year now. Losing Jaylen Phillips. And let's not forget B Mac. Xavier Howard is hurt too. He got hurt early in that game. So they're just dealing with too many injuries and B Mac, you know, to make a real run at the playoffs. Gotta have some luck. Gotta have some injury luck, right? You gotta get healthy at the right time. Buffalo is starting to get healthy at the right time.


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[Assistant] And for all the people that were talking about that defense and all the injuries it had, that defense honestly has been saving Josh Allen in his offense the last three weeks when you look at it, right? Rasul Douglas, right, was Defensive Player of the Week this past week too.


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[Assistant] Oh my god, nobody was talking, like people said it was a good trade, but the way he's played, he's dominant.


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[Assistant] If you look at this defense, I think they're top 10 like the last four or five weeks in almost every statistical category. Meanwhile, Josh Allen last week versus New England, 50% completion percentage.


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[Assistant] That had nothing to do with Josh Allen. That was all James Cook, right? He had 180 all-purpose yards. You know what Josh Allen threw for in that game?


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[Assistant] Ninety-four yards and a 48% completion percentage.


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[Assistant] So people were talking about putting this dude in the MVP race. I'm like, have y'all not been watching film?


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[Assistant] Like, when Joe Brady took over, he made it a conservative effort to run the football, right? And his defenses started to get healthy and they played a lot better. Josh Allen should have not been in that discussion. When you throw an interception 11 out of 12 games, how can you be in the MVP race?


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[Assistant] Uh, well Jackson actually plays Tennessee, they just played Carolina this last week. Oh, sorry.


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[Assistant] Tennessee Titans have packed it up. I think if Will Leves was playing, this game would be a little bit more interesting, but with him getting hurt and Ryan Tannehill seems like he's already ready for the offseason already. I think the Jacksonville Dagwires win this. Now the interesting thing is Saturday we get to figure out


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[Assistant] Which team from the AFC South, whether it be the Houston Texans.


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[Assistant] Or the coach who, none of us probably in the beginning of the year said had a chance to make the playoffs. Two rookie head coaches when you look at Shane Steichen and also, uh, my guy D'Amico Ryan's, right?


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[Assistant] I'm leaning towards Houston winning this game, even though it's on the road, right? When you look at this, right? The Colts both raced them earlier, right? They were up by 18 going into the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] Well this Texans defense has not gotten enough credit for how they stopped the run this year. They're only giving up.


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[Assistant] 3.3 yards of carry be met. So we always talk about, right, styles make fights, right? This Texans defensive front, and I know me and Ryan have talked about, you know, uh, them and, uh, Will Anderson a lot this year. Uh, he came on strong last week with two sacks as well, but if Jonathan Grenard could come back and they get them in third and long situations,


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[Assistant] We'll see if he's able to practice this week to give them a boost. I just think...


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[Assistant] It comes down to the quarterback playing. I trust CJ Stroud a little bit more, even though he's a rookie. Gardner Minstry played really well last week, right? Was efficient with the ball. Didn't turn it over. They ran the ball well with Jonathan Taylor at home. They're at home this game, but I'm liking the Texans to pull off the upset.


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[Assistant] Let's not forget, Dallas has not been as explosive on offense the last few weeks, right? You go back to the Miami game, right? They lost a close, low-scoring game. They lost a low, uh, they won a close-scoring game versus Detroit. And B-Man, we noticed Detroit defense was awful going into that game, right? Now, City Lamb had a big day and so did that, but the Detroit Lions did really well in the red zone, right?


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[Assistant] I think they're in trouble this week because they're playing Chicago Bears. And they're one of the hottest teams.


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[Assistant] They were in this scenario last year with the Detroit Lions. Detroit had nothing to play for. Chicago has nothing to play for, but Justin Fields is still putting great tape out there just in case he gets traded.


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[Assistant] And it's not just fields, right? It's the team, the defense. So it's the trait to Montez Sweat. It's playing top 10 defense right now, right? So like Jalen Johnson and then Stevenson with a couple of interceptions.


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[Assistant] This will be interesting, right? Because we've actually seen Mason Rudolph start a couple of games for the Steelers.


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[Assistant] We always talk about this, we know with backup quarterbacks, there's usually a three, four game window and then they come back down to reality because everybody gets tape on them, right? So like, is this a scenario where you have Mason Rudolph is hot right now and say the Steelers do get into playoffs and then he just.


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[Assistant] Has a terrible game, like, do they just automatically go back to Kenny Pickett or do they go back to the drawing board?


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[Assistant] On the next NFL Monday QB, you know Prescott and Purdy and Mahomes and Hurts. But who will we call? The greatest QB of them all. Recap the Christmas weekend action on CBS Sports Network.


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[Assistant] It's fair to say that, right? The only way to assure yourself a spot in the playoffs is to win out. You gotta get to 10. That's the only way to feel like pretty good about your chances at that point, right?


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[Assistant] The Dolphins obviously right now leading the division. Obviously they're a playoff spot contender. The Texans also a playoff contender.


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[Assistant] So when you look at those three in particular, obviously huge matchups in that context, but I think to assure yourself a spot in the playoffs, you gotta win them all. Now, in regards to Rodgers,


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[Assistant] I don't know that it matters to him necessarily if they're in the playoff hunt or not.


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[Assistant] I think maybe that's more the motivating factor than anything else. Uhm, it is interesting that the


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[Assistant] It happens to be, uh, Christmas Eve. Maybe he wants to give a little early Christmas gift to all those out there who, uh, who would love to see Aaron Rogers play for the Jets.


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[Assistant] So maybe that's kind of where this timeline connects and where it makes some sense to bring it back, but.


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[Assistant] Either way, maybe it's about more than that. Maybe it's about him giving Jets fans what they're clamoring for, hoping for, his teammates, his coaching staff, the organization, uhm, you know, the last three games of the season, uh, if indeed he comes back at the end of this window.


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[Assistant] What's your favorite movie? First off, bad question. It should get into your genre. Like Luje, what's your favorite comedy movie? Oh, Harlem Nights. Not even close.


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[Assistant] And that's one thing that like no one ever talks about. Like I'd rather see data dating back to I think 2012 was the first year that Nike took over as the apparel provider. And I'd love to see the data from that point moving forward.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And my issue is like, I feel like that always gets lost when we talk about these injuries is we never look at the actual shoes they're wearing. And that probably, at least in my opinion, I think plays the biggest role. Every single injury I ever had was a Nike cleat.


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[Assistant] From the NFL. Because that's specifically what I'm referring to here when you look at the data coming from, you know, 2012 afterwards and then before that with Reebok.


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[Assistant] Now granted, I was like, alright, they're testing it. I don't see them putting any extra infill size to test the test. You know, we never really know.


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[Assistant] Look, we all know that the field serve is there because it allows them then to do more in that particular service throughout the course of the week, football season, to make more money, you know.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but the general point is like, yeaah, obviously you're not gonna have in many places the ability to have, at least not


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[Assistant] It's, it's, I think it's wherever Manchester plays, maybe. But anyway, one of those fields have this elaborate system. It's ridiculously expensive, but they maintain it because the roster is ridiculously expensive. So.


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[Assistant] And so you're not applying same force, you're not cutting as hard, you're not, you know, in those situations, so.


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[Assistant] Again, I would just like to see a study and the data from the past decade or 11 years since Nike's taken over in comparison to the prior decade or so to see, you know, how that's played a factor. And look, maybe there's other factors. How spread out the game is now. Guys playing more in space, guys are able to build up more speed, sharper cuts, more aggressive cuts.


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[Assistant] Maybe that plays a role in it too, in the way some of these players have ended up hurting themselves, uh, but would just, again, combine with the cleats and the service they're playing on.


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[Assistant] It's a little different because they knew Kyler was coming back.


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[Assistant] I just, he's been able to do a tremendous job of learning an offense, being able to go out there and execute to a certain degree. And I think the tough part is, is like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like, my thing is, like, we can keep looking at these breakdown of stats, but the truth of the matter is, like, he's helped win them games.


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[Assistant] I mean, look, despite how he played, they still had a chance to win. And I think what I was going to make was, you know, Justin Jefferson is one of the best players in the NFL.


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[Assistant] If, if you do get a win, and you still look at yourself critically in the mirror, and you think you can improve, and you make a change whether it's with a coach or player, like, like, that to me is like the utmost, uhm, I said, I think self-awareness,


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[Assistant] Oh for sure. I have a lot more respect for guys who aren't going to use the result.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I don't know. I might say T.J. Watt. Cause there, I mean, he's already up there above him. Yeah. I mean, I'll throw out micropop.


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[Assistant] Shout out to Bradley Trump having a great year. Let me, let me make a play for Joss Metellus. He's not on this. He should be. I feel like he basically, he's ballin'. He made someone from the Bears fumble like, if he has three so far, he basically had all three of those this past Monday night. Cause like every single time he was on the football, I was knocking it out.


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[Assistant] Like at what point, based on all the money they've made, what they've built this into, would they be willing to sell off, maybe a majority stake of it, to someone who wants to get into it for beaucoups dollars?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And maybe still maintain a minority stake or something else, but I don't know. It kind of made me think like, alright.


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[Assistant] That's not, that's not as well as it's gonna be in trouble week 18.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm laying the points. I, I, again, I think I have a better idea of what Dallas is going to be at home versus what Seattle is going to be in that environment on the road. So I don't love it. I think you could make a case for how Seattle could keep it within the number easily.