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[Assistant] As their early season schedule is very favorable. I can legitimately sit here and go,


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[Assistant] Now it's on paper, but they do not play a team that is physically as good as they are until week 7 of the season. They are better than the Redskins, the Falcons, the Lions, the Packers, and the Jets, and the Vikings. They are better.


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[Assistant] I just think when I evaluate their roster and look at them, I go, ooh, they're the lead dog in every one of those matchups. They really are. Not to say that means you win every one.


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[Assistant] Those are all teams I think they're going to be fighting with that, you know, uh, favor them, let alone they get the Cowboys in the second to last game home again at the end of the year.


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[Assistant] I do. I got the Dallas Cowboys going to the playoffs and it was a tough one. I, I, you know, I don't trust Dallas. Dallas is such a up and down football team. It's go to the playoffs and it's fall apart and then it's go to the playoffs and it's fall apart and then it's go to the playoffs and then it's fall apart. That's what they do. You know, recent history would tell you this is your year. They don't go to the playoffs.


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[Assistant] I think though, this is a year where they're just too talented for me to not put them in. I really do. And I think with Ezekiel Elliott and that news coming about, that makes me feel better about it. Uhm, but I just think the Cowboys, really, my only question, and you've heard me say this, is their offensive coordinator, and Kellen Morris, the only thing we gotta see.


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[Assistant] You know, this is why I think they're desperate to sign Zikila, cause they're gonna go, wait.


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[Assistant] We haven't exactly been the greatest show on turf when Ezekiel Elliott's not here. In fact, we lose and we stink on offense when he's not here.


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[Assistant] I just worry about those handful of games where they can't run the ball. Can their pass game carry the load enough to get them over the hump in those few games? That's really the biggest question for me for the Cowboys in general. Uh, but I still think they're a playoff football team. I have them as the number five seed. They're the five seed.


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[Assistant] I am trying to, not to say that I'm not picking them to go to the playoffs, but I like, that would be one of those teams where I'd at least put a little star next to it and go, if they make the playoffs, it's not going to shock me. Do I think some things have to happen right for them? Yes, but.


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[Assistant] I think what I saw from Matthew Stafford in preseason game number three looked good. I mean, it really did. And we'll see how the Darrell Beville offense works out. I think they have a special running back in Kerryon Johnson. Their front seven on defense is real. I question their secondary. Ultimately, yea, I don't have the lines going to the playoffs. I think they're a pain in the butt for a lot of teams. Vikings, same.


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[Assistant] Vikings, kinda the same thing. I don't think they're gonna make the playoffs. I don't. I think the Vikings are gonna be a pain in the butt. I think they have a lot of talent on the defensive side of the ball. I think it's...


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[Assistant] A little overrated though, their talent. You know, again, I think there's a lot of good players there. Do I think Daniel Hunter's a little overrated? Yes.


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[Assistant] Everson Griffin, I need to see him bounce back after a very odd year last year. So they're gonna see that. Anthony Barr. I mean, they paid him a lot of money. He's a good player. Do I think he's a little overrated? Yes. Xavier Rhodes.


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[Assistant] They pan them like he's in the top five corner in football. He's not. That's just in. And Mike Zimmer said that during the off season, he's got to start playing like one of the best corners in football. I didn't look that much better to me in the preseason. That scares me. I don't know if they have great depth on their team and I worry about their pass offense being only two guys. Okay. And I got to question the offense in general altogether. So I got them missing out.


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[Assistant] I think you like the Lions better than the Vikings. I might, I might. You're right. There's a lot of things I like about the Lions better than the Vikings. And yeah, ultimately, I'm very close with those two teams and how I kind of envision that playing out. Now I got the Packers in number two in the, in the division.


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[Assistant] But not making the playoffs. Oh no! Out of the playoffs again! It actually hurt my heart, okay? And I really did. Because I try...


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[Assistant] Defense should be better. Hoping they have a run game. I gotta see it first. I mean, Matt LaFleur in the 25th ranked offense in football last year with the Tennessee Titans, the 29th ranked pass offense. And then, who are his weapons? Who, who's he gonna throw to?


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[Assistant] Now, I think the defense will keep them in games, but I think the NSC is tough. And I think ultimately, yeaah, I just left the Packers out. I don't see, I gotta see it through this LeFleur offense to believe it. I just don't know in general.


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[Assistant] I'm just worried about this. This is the stretch I worry about. I mean, of course, Bears, week one, okay? Then they got the Vikings and Broncos, two and three, which, you know, again, even matchups. We'll see where they go.


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[Assistant] But then it's the Eagles, and then it's the Cowboys, and then I, you know, I think the Lions are dangerous. Okay, the Raiders, they're better than the Raiders. Raiders are dangerous nonetheless, but then it's at the Kansas City Chiefs, at the Chargers, the Carolina Panthers. I'm not so sure they're gonna be in a good enough spot after the first 10 weeks of the year to where I go.


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[Assistant] Like they might be in a spot where they have to win out the last seven games of the year to win, to, to, to go to the playoffs. And I just don't know if they're, they're good at caliber over the football team.


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[Assistant] I think the Bears are clearly the best team. I don't think there's a weakness on their football team in general. Their biggest thing is just


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[Assistant] Consistency from Mitchell Trubisky, who I still think is much better than people want to give him credit for. He certainly didn't lose that wild card game against the Philadelphia Eagles. In fact, he made all the plays to help them win the game. Uhm, but there is some moments last year where


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think it's really just the accuracy, the few throws a game where you go, damn, I mean, that was, there was three guys there. What's he doing? Why is he even throwing that ball there? Decision making. Decision making is certainly a thing about it. And then he is one of the best running quarterbacks in football. I'd like to see him become one of the best scrambling quarterbacks in football.


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[Assistant] And you might, people might be going, what the hell is the difference? Okay, here's the difference. When Patrick Mahomes runs around behind the line of scrimmage,


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[Assistant] He's running around just to go, somebody get open so I can unleash my rifle and throw a 50-yard bomb and really gash this defense. When Mitchell Trubisky runs around, his eyes go down and he's looking to run. He becomes a true runner. If he can find a little blend of, ooh,


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[Assistant] Let me set up and find a pass or let me see if there's anything here. I think it's gonna make him more dangerous ultimately and make that, that, that, uh, bear's offense more dangerous. What seed for the bears? I got the bears as a number three seed. Three seed. Eagles one, bears three. Okay, alright.


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[Assistant] And then, I gotta see James Swinson not go full Tropic Thunder a few times, to really believe that he won't go full Tropic Thunder. Because he usually does that once every three weeks, where you go, what the, like, I've never seen anybody do that. Okay, so, I gotta see that, plus the Dements is young, a little unproven.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I just, I just can't put them there yet. The Atlanta Falcons I think are going to be a pain in the butt, Ahmed. But again, I think there's lack of depth on the football team.


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[Assistant] I think he might be a guy that's maybe taking too many shots and about to kind of slow down a little bit.


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[Assistant] There's things I like. Again, I mean, there's talent. I don't love their corners. I like Nikhil Har- I mean, uh, uh, uh, uh, uhm.


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[Assistant] Uh, their safety number 22, Keel. Uh, man, what's his name again? Yea, Kean O'Neal, sorry. Kean O'Neal. I had Nikhil Harriot. I like a lot of players, but I think depth concerns me there. And lack of creativity on both sides of the ball system-wise I think scares me to a degree. So I got the Falcons missing the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Drew Brees. Drew Brees, certainly. Again, I did not look great at the end of the year last year. I wasn't necessarily in love with the way it looked against the Jets in preseason game number three. There were some completions there, but I did not think the ball was necessarily just flying through the air. There was a lot of...


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[Assistant] I am concerned about that aspect, let alone I'm playing the percentages of two big let down years and them maybe being a little bit of a let down themselves, right, having to rebound from all that. And then my, really my biggest thing with determining this, with the Saints especially.


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[Assistant] The start of their schedule, you could argue is as tough as anybody I've seen in the NFL. When you go Houston Texans, at the Rams, at the Seahawks, Cowboys, okay, Buccaneers at home, who have traditionally given them problems,


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[Assistant] So that's where I go a little different here in general. And my big thing with the NFC South


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[Assistant] And, and the Carolina Panthers is the only, they have one question mark.


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[Assistant] Okay, they have somebody that can really rush the passer on the edge. That's gonna be the biggest thing to be answered all year. That's why they took Brian Burns in the, you know, what was it, the 16th or 17th pick in the first round. But no one's gonna push them around, Amin.


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[Assistant] Their linebackers are phenomenal with Shaq Thompson and Keakley. I think their corner and secondary play is better than people realize. Uh, Dante Jackson and Brad Berry, I think are very good corners. Offensively, it's the best O-line Cam Newton's ever had. I think it's the best weapons he's ever had.


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[Assistant] And I think Ramon Rivera can tell his seat's a little hot. And I think like desperation leads teams to, you know, play desperate, be focused. And I think the Carolina Panthers are, are a really good football team. I got the Panthers as my number two seed. They've got the bye. They got the first round bye. Yes, sir.


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[Assistant] Nope. The Rams are not making the playoffs. I'm not picking the Rams. Yep. The Rams are probably one of my one surprise team that I'm gonna go, don't make the playoffs. I don't know. Again, this is me more on gut, okay?


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[Assistant] A little bit Super Bowl hangover. Haven't seen them in the preseason. I do believe if you're staying the same, you're getting worse.


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[Assistant] The Rams didn't do anything to get better this offseason. They, you know, they can, they can say whatever they want. If you want to go Andama Consue for Clay Matthews, I would go, I take Andama Consue. If you want to go Eric Weddell for LaMarcus Joyner, I go, I take LaMarcus Joyner. They lost both of those guys. Weddell and Clay Matthews are certainly good. Don't get me wrong. I'm not trying to downplay them.


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[Assistant] Yes, Whitworth a year older. Their best offensive lineman Roger Saffold's gone. He went to the Tennessee Titans. Todd Gurley knee issue. Okay, Cooper Cup coughing, coming, coming, uh, off of a knee issue at torn ACL.


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[Assistant] I just think it's going to be a little bit of a let down year for them because of the things I mentioned and mainly being the Super Bowl hangover that you lose that way. You do see that a lot. It's tough. I mean, you know, look at history. Again, anybody other than the Patriots, go back and look. It's not too good for the Super Bowl loser, alright? And then this is what I think scares me too. The Rams schedule is tough.


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[Assistant] I mean, when you go to at Carolina week one, ooh, that's scary. And then the Saints, and then at Cleveland on a Monday night, okay?


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[Assistant] Then you got Tampa at home. Okay, that should be good. But that's at Seattle. The 49ers are going to be much improved. I mean, the 49ers are one of those teams I got, you know, they're going to be a pain in the ass, but I just don't got them. I got to see it to believe it. But then you get to this little stretch here. Week 10.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna put the Rams on the outside looking in this year. They'll make the appropriate moves next off season and then be very relevant and right back in the Super Bowl conversation. Wow. Yeaah. Can you believe that?


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[Assistant] I think they'll be in the conversation late in the year. I do. I think they're gonna be contending. I think there's a lot of things to like about their team in general. Again, I always start up front. They're not gonna lose too many battles up front with their O&D line the way they are. You know, there's some question marks as far as cover corners, maybe secondary question marks, guys there who I like who have not been able to stay healthy.


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[Assistant] Yeah, young receivers is Deebo, Sanyal and Jalen Hurd and Dante Pettis. Are they going to be able to depend on them on the offensive side of the ball? But the big question is Jimmy Garoppolo. I mean, that's the biggest thing. And it's, again, like what it came down to with teams where I was on the, ooh,


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[Assistant] Overpowering teams, uh, were the bullies on the team. The Cowboys are the same team, except they have the better version of the roster. And I just think ultimately them playing on the road with that run game, everything like it, I'm going to pick the Cowboys to win an ugly game in the wild card game against Seattle.


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[Assistant] And I'm gonna go with the Saints upsetting Chicago at home. Again, I think it's a tough matchup for the Bears. Uh, the Bears are a team that, yeaah, likes to dominate people up front physically as well. They're not gonna do that to the New Orleans Saints. The New Orleans Saints are big and physical on both sides of the ball.


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[Assistant] Plus I just think with Sean Payton, his throw, you know, his ability to, to find seams in our offense and playoff game planning, yeaah, I'm gonna go in the Saints to win ugly. The only thing that scares me there is your breeze and bad weather outside in the cold. It's not necessarily a good thing usually for the New Orleans Saints.


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[Assistant] Yep. Awesome game, simila type of game, but I'm goi Panthers to beat the Da think they match up reall the Dallas Cowboys. An you know, with North Turner I think they just have mo Dallas Cowboys do on the ball to be able to sc points there. So then e


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[Assistant] I'm going Eagles. I got the Eagles going to the Super Bowl. That's right. Yep. Eagles are going to the Super Bowl with Carson Wentz. And what will be the storyline of Super Bowl 54? We'll get back to you in a second after these AFC brackets.


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[Assistant] Yep, we got the Ravens going to the Jaguars. I mean, two teams that pride themselves on being the big bullies. Jaguars are at home, Nick Foles, I just think gives them too much offense this year. And I think with the Ravens, that run game, I don't know, we'll see what Lamar Jackson does in the pass game, but if he made me peg it right now, this is not the team they want to see in the wild card. I got the Jaguars winning.


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[Assistant] Yep, I'm going there too. I think they'll probably split their regular season matchup, but I think the Steelers win the tiebreaker in the wild card game at home. Uh, Steelers football, you know, just the experience there that the Steelers have playing in those big moments, everything like that. I give them the edge. And I of course think the Steelers are really one of the better teams in all of football.


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[Assistant] They could beat anybody in the ASC. This is the one team they don't want to see. This is the worst matchup for them, the Chiefs. I really do think so. You know, the Steelers, yeaah, their defensive line, what do they want to do on defense? They're not necessarily known for their coverage, they want to just overpower the line of scrimmage and make things tough on the quarterback.


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[Assistant] Wrong team to do it against. Chiefs all-line really good. Mahomes, of course we know is elusive as hell. And I just think the passing game and offensive weapons are too much for that steal or secondary to where I think this is kind of a back and forth fun game, but I think ultimately the Chiefs win at home and go on to the AFC Championship.


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[Assistant] Why? They're sound, they don't turn the ball over.


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[Assistant] Their defense is a force to be reckoned with. They don't try to like, oh, we're going to match you with wits. Now you're not going to outwit the Patriots. It's going to be, can you play sound football? Can you physically maybe make some plays and beat them into the ground that way? And I think the Jaguars defense is super talented to give Brady and them troubles.


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[Assistant] Right? If the Jags go, but if the Chiefs go, it's Andy Reid versus old team, right? And ultimately I'm going with the Chiefs. I am. The Chiefs at home, I just think those special playmakers, and even though the Chiefs defense, yeaah, I don't think it's going to be special, I think it will be improved and good enough to slow an offense like Jacksonville down.


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[Assistant] You got, you got Chiefs and Eagles in the Super Bowl. Who wins? Alright, so wait, first off, I'm going Eagles. You're gonna go Eagles. I'm picking the Eagles to win the Super Bowl. Yep. If you're gonna make me pick a team, I'm going with the Eagles. I'm picking you. You are. Okay, now more importantly, who are you picking?


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[Assistant] If you get any of your Super Bowl contenders right, or if I get any of mine right, if you get yours right, I'll, I'll go two buttons unbuttoned for a podcast. No. And if I'm right. Not a whole podcast. Yeah. And if I'm right, you have to go to the very top with a collared shirt, not that Henley thing. I'll do that. I'll do that. I'll go, I'll go all the way to the top. Alright.


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[Assistant] So let's just, I'm really into being right, but yeaah, I'm going to go with Patrick Mahomes. I just think the offense is going to be better, they're more talented, and I love the LaShawn McCoy ad, but yes, I mean, it's Mahomes, year two, it just, it's too obvious for me not to do it. So you're going shock, I'm going to guess defensive player of the year, you're going to go with Aaron Donald. I am going to change it up.


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[Assistant] I think this is the year Miles Garrett does it. We're gonna go Cleveland Browns, Miles Garrett.


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[Assistant] This is the second year in a row I'm picking him, just so you know, full transparency. I picked it last year, it didn't happen, but yeaah, I think this is a Myles Garrett or Khalil Mack type of year, uh, and I just, I don't know why, I think the Rams is gonna be a slightly down year, but I'm gonna, I'm gonna take Myles Garrett. Cameron Jordan getting some love out there from some people as well. Yeaah, can see that, certainly.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, I had to do it. I just think he's looked too special, even when I saw him in person at training camp a few weeks ago. But what I've seen on film too, is really impressive. I mean, they knocked it out of the park, making that trade, making that move. So yeah, I'm going with him. If I didn't pick Josh Jacobs for the offensive one, another guy I'll say watch out for, T.J. Hockinson.


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[Assistant] If the lions are kind of good, and I think that offense is going to set up to being the tight end being a very viable option.


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[Assistant] I like his role in that offense and I like the player a lot. That would just be one guy to go off the radar far as far as offensive rookie of the year. And the final award that we'll do here on the Sims on Button podcast, Coach of the Year. Coach of the Year, okay. Uhm, I did an offensive player of the year, just so you know too, cause you know we have MVP and I went with Saquon Barkley. I did, I just, this is on my own. I just wrote a bunch of shit down, okay. Just for yourself. But Saquon Barkley is gonna be my offensive player of the year because


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[Assistant] If you're not a quarterback, you basically can't win MVP anymore. It's become a dumb award. It's the quarterback award. Coach of the year, Andy Reid. I'm gonna go with Andy Reid.


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[Assistant] That he was, he's only won it one time in 2002. Okay. I mean, let's give the guy credit. First of all, he is the one that like found Patrick Mahomes and traded it and drafted him. Okay. That's kind of special. That offense is kind of special. And then, you know, yeah, I expect them to go to the Superbowl and they fired their defensive coordinator and made some big time changes.


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[Assistant] I mean, change the system, got rid of D. Ford, got rid of Justin Houston, bring in Honey Badger and Frank Clark and a bunch of other guys on their front that I think is going to help their football team. I think those are what a coach of the year type of candidate does. I'm going Andy Reid.


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[Assistant] No doubt about it. I mean, this is a big football game. Certainly this could have, you know, NFC playoff seeding implications right off the bat. I'm going with the Bears to win this game at home. I definitely am. I just think on the road.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know, in a, in an electric atmosphere to kick off the season, and really ultimately, I think the better team on the field is the Chicago Bears. I just gotta see this LeFleur, Aaron Rodgers combination at quarterback first before I pick it. I do think that Packers defense is gonna be a lot better, but ultimately I think I'm gonna go, I'm gonna go with,


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[Assistant] Uh, tune in. Hey, we're, I'm gonna do the next podcast from Chicago on Friday morning with Mike Florio, okay? Cause we're gonna be there for Thursday night football. So that will be released some point late Friday morning. We're gonna go through the whole schedule of games in week one. We will pick winners and losers and everything like that starting next week.


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[Assistant] The podcast will go to Monday, Wednesday, Thursday. Okay. Big Phil will be on the Wednesday podcast. Wednesday will be my big film breakdown podcast. Monday will be a recap. Thursday will always be the games coming up, a little breakdown of what we should see that Sunday and pick the winners of those games as well.


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[Assistant] Starting next week, three podcasts a week. Hope everybody enjoyed today, aka the answer key. You the man, Ahmed. Thanks a lot. You the man. Thanks so much. And, uh, we'll see who's right with our Super Bowl predictions. Everybody have a good week. Enjoy the first game of the year. Peace out.


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[Assistant] Oh yeah baby, we're like, I don't know what we're like. We're two guys that have horrible voices but we like to sing. I don't know what we do. Uh, but that's what happens during commercial breaks or on live TV.


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[Assistant] I am Chris Sims. That is Mike Florio. It's a PFTPM unbuttoned collaboration. It's our usual Thursday picks podcast. Okay. What's up, Michael? How you doing, man?


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[Assistant] I did sit here for a while, uh, waiting for you. I mean, but I was here, you know, ready to go, 10 o'clock. I'm sorry.


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[Assistant] And I still, yeaah, we're supposed to do our best bets prior, I don't know what they're gonna be, cause I need to talk this crap out. So speaking of crap, okay, last week, uhm, I was 9-7 straight up. 6-9-1 against the spread, but...


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[Assistant] If you went with me and you wanted to bet money, which is the point of this, uh, best bets that won Dallas and Detroit, new England lost. I mean, cause of the punt returner in this back up.


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[Assistant] Alright so, and Florio, you had a good week, 10-6, 10-6 straight up, you beat me by a game there, you were 8-8 against the spread, not bad.


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[Assistant] And your best bets, you won, uh, Dallas, but you lost Seattle and New England. So on the year for best bets, Mike is three and three. I am four and two. You clearly know that you would have made more money if you listened to me.


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[Assistant] Against the spread, you have a comfortable lead. I am 18, 28 and 2. You are 21, 26 and 1. We both suck there, but I wouldn't bet most of these games. So I don't necessarily like the record of those. I only want to, if I'm a better, I'm only picking like


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[Assistant] One, two, three games I like and that's it. I'm not betting on every one. So there's that. Does anything else you want to add or clarify? No, no, no.


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[Assistant] No, no, I would never do that. We're good to go. We're ready to go. Okay, good. Alright, so let's start it out. Eagles-Packers, first off, any injuries that you want to mention there in that game that you think are worth noting, uh, as of right now here Thursday morning?


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[Assistant] Alright, well go ahead. You started off then there, old man wizard. Started off. Who you got?


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[Assistant] Okay, so you went back basically to, originally on the show, on Pro Football Talk, you were leaning Eagles, and then, as we had conversations through the week,


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[Assistant] I think maybe me and just some of the elements surrounding the injury situation. You kind of talk to yourself off of the Eagles, but now you've talked to yourself back onto it. I like it. Okay. First off,


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[Assistant] I'm no better on Thursday Night Football. The Underdog has won their 3-0 so far on all three games. Uh, and I, I of course went with the Tennessee Titans as you did last week. This is a tough one. I would say this, I wouldn't bet money on this game. I'm just going to clarify that right off the bat.


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[Assistant] I'm taking the Packers here, 24-21, but I don't feel comfortable about that. I do agree with you that the Eagles are the ultimate backs against the wall type of football team. Yeah, I don't think the Packers are like cream of the crop type football team in the NFL right now. Yes, they're 3-0.


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[Assistant] Somewhat desperate. You know, I mean, it's, they gotta start winning football games, certainly, or the NFC East is gone. You could kiss a goodbye the way Dallas is playing. Uhm, I do worry.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's a fair point. Uhm, they've already lost tiebreakers against the Falcons and the Lions if it comes to that. But you're right, with the NFC West, I mean, right now it looks like the 49ers, Rams, Seahawks are all playoff caliber. And the three teams at top are all four teams in the NFC North look like it. So you're right, it could be tough to find the, uh, the right way to get in that 5-6 spot. I do worry about this.


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[Assistant] I do worry, uh, if the Eagles decide, they decide to worry about the run game a little too much. Matt LaFleur that they leave.


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[Assistant] Too many one-on-one opportunities for Aaron Rodgers and the LaFleur offense to take some shots down the field.


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[Assistant] That is what scares me about the Eagles. Flipping around on the other side, I almost worry about the same thing. I'm not necessarily worried about the pass rush of the, or the great front seven that the Packers have had so far, but I do worry about Mike Petten.


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[Assistant] Putting his, uh, corners on an island a little too much. Okay? I worry about that, but I don't know if the Eagles have the guys to really take advantage of it right now. Alshon Jeffries a 50-50 jump ball type guy, but not a just, I'm gonna blaze by you and catch a 50-yard bomb.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I-I hear you. I mean, it could be an extra touchdown by either team in there. I'm going Packers 24-21, and okay, I'm barely on the under there. But, okay, we got that one in the books. I'm excited to watch that tonight. Now, let's get to the 1pm games on Saturday. Panthers at Texans. Texans favored by 4 points, over and under 47.5.


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[Assistant] The Kyle Allen Show continues on the road here in Houston. Texans had the big win last week against the Los Angeles Chargers. Run us through the injuries, Mike, that, uh, stick out to you.


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[Assistant] Panthers defense, pretty good, right? I mean, they have been one of the better pass defenses in football. They make you work. They make you earn it. They're not gonna just let up big plays. Now, I guess,


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[Assistant] I think that continues. What scares me about that aspect of Carolina's defense, which I have a lot of respect for, is Deshaun Watson's ability to extend plays. And when you play a lot of zone coverage like the Carolina Panthers do and do that,


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[Assistant] You know, when you have to play those zones for that long, and Deshaun Watson, who can move around and buy himself time, we've seen it for the first three weeks of the season, that scares me a little on the back end, and I don't think Carolina's pass rush is


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[Assistant] In the special category yet either to take advantage of maybe some of the issues the Texans have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, flipping it around, uhm,


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[Assistant] Hey, Kyle Allen was great last week. You and I both know Christian McCaffrey is awesome. I'm a fan of North Turner and what he's done with that offense. The Texans pass defense.


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[Assistant] Has been, you know, an issue, but they've played also some pretty good pass offenses in the, in the fact of New Orleans to start the year and then the Chargers last week. So I think it's better statistically than what it says. I don't know. I don't.


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[Assistant] My big thing is I don't think Kyle Allen is going to take a good enough to take advantage at for the second week in a row. I think the game fell just right for them last week.


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[Assistant] I think the Texans have found a little formula on the offensive side of the ball that works for them. Mike, I'm going Texas, Texans, and I'm going Texans by 10. I'm gonna go 24-14, Texans get the victory, and that clearly, uh, covers the spread.


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[Assistant] Okay, I hear you. And you said, what was your score? 23-17? That's what you had there? 23-17. Alright, cool. Alright, so we're very similar there. Uh, very close. You gave the Panthers basically a field goal compared to me. That's all it was. Okay, now we go to...


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[Assistant] The Browns versus the Browns. The old Browns versus the new Browns. It's the Browns at the Ravens. Uh, tough place to play.


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[Assistant] I mean, the Cleveland Browns backs against the wall here. I mean, they're in danger here with a tough stretch of games coming up of really putting themselves in the hole. Played well last week. There's a lot to respect about what the Browns did. Raven's coming off a weird game against the Kansas City Chiefs where I got, I think they got away from what they do.


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[Assistant] Alright, uh, in Baltimore, Raven's favored by, uh, seven points, over-under at 45. Mike, go ahead. What do you got?


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[Assistant] Okay, so you got a push there, uh, with the Ravens winning by seven. Um, okay, I mean, you, you said a lot of things there, uh, that I think are correct. I'm a little concerned, of course, about the secondary for the Cleveland Browns. Yeah, you'd love to have Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams out there.


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[Assistant] For those handful of snaps when they want to play man to man, you can trust them a little bit more than the guys they got out there right now. So, uh, that does concern me a little bit, but I'm not going to let it determine my pick or totally just because


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[Assistant] The Browns are more of a zone coverage type of football team as well. And I think the Browns defense is one of the things being overlooked about the Browns in general right now.


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[Assistant] I mean, they've played well, really, in all three games. I mean, really, other than the, oh man, we had a few guys mess up and have a mental error on that 75 yard screen pass in week one against the Tennessee Titans. Other than that,


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[Assistant] It's been a stout unit, and they gave the Rams all they can handle last week. Now, the other side of the ball, yeaah, I'm still got questions about the Browns offense, what they're trying to do. Uh, Odell Beckham Jr. made the comment about, we don't have an identity, and you know, I said that on Monday morning too. I just don't think they know exactly how they want to attack yet. A little scary.


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[Assistant] I think they're gonna keep this close. One, because of desperation. Two, I think their defense is pretty damn good to slow down this attack of the Baltimore Ravens. I think they can hang in there in the run game and in the pass game a little bit.


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[Assistant] And, uh, because of that, and because of the desperation, I'm gonna take the Ravens, but in a close one, 20 to 17, Mike. Uh, I think Baltimore gives them, I mean, the Browns give them all they can handle.


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[Assistant] Uh, I do, and I do think I still have faith in Cleveland. You know, Cleveland, their biggest issue last week of that Rams game was pass protection.


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[Assistant] The Baltimore Ravens are not great pass rushers. And that's where I give them a fighting chance on that side of the ball. So they lose, but I think they make it very close. And like I said, I'm going Ravens 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't totally agree with that. I do think there's a handful of snaps in every game so far. The crazy thing is this, Mike, all the things I worried about when he came out of Oklahoma did not come true last year, but they're starting to come true now, which is,


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[Assistant] Yes, there are plays that Rex Ryan is talking about and it's not every play because that's not fair to say.


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[Assistant] But yes, there's too many when I watch film where he looks at the first guy and he's not open.


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[Assistant] And he panics in the pocket as you see him do a lot, right lately. And then he, he escapes back and right, which is such a big mistake anyways. He really has to learn to stay in the pocket and keep his eyes downfield. And he was better at that last year than this year. This year, I think he's seeing ghosts because they have some protection problems.


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[Assistant] Their offense is finding their way. He's not overrated. Hey, maybe the Browns and everything around it got overrated, but this is still a young quarterback learning on the fly, and it's not easy playing quarterback when you're young, and your right guard and right tackle suck.


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[Assistant] And you constantly have to like kind of peek over your shoulder to go, I hope they're blocking somebody. And there was a lot of throws last week where they were not. And that's why they throw a lot of short game and all that. So long story short, I don't totally disagree. I agree with what Rex Ryan's saying there.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's get to it. Next one. Chiefs, Lions. Chiefs favored at six and a- by six and a half points. In Detroit, over and under 54.5. This is Patrick Mahomes' first game in a dome as an NFL quarterback, which I-


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[Assistant] Thought that was funny. It's kind of shocking that this is the first one. But go ahead, Mike, run us through the injuries.


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[Assistant] Okay, you wanna lead it off on this one? You tell me what you think, what you got?


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[Assistant] Okay, yep. Alright, so uhm, we're not gonna be far off here. I'm gonna say my score right off the bat too. Chiefs 31, Lions 21, okay? Now,


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[Assistant] This is what scares me and you hit on it a little bit. What scares me is this. I fully expect the Chiefs to win. I don't know if I'm fully confident they'll win by 10 points because I do get scared of what you said.


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[Assistant] It is Matt Patricia. He did have his old coach and boss last year who showed a little bit of a formula of how to slow down the Kansas City Chiefs offense. Now, he certainly doesn't have the personnel that New England has, so that's an issue there. But where I worry about it is this.


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[Assistant] The Lions are big up front, you know that, they're pretty good at, you know,


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[Assistant] I think he'll call their bluff a little bit and he'll have a lot of three and four man rushes and he might look like it's, oh, we got people at the line of scrimmage, but they're going to back out and he's going to play total pass defense and I think he could give them some problems there.


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[Assistant] Uh, I do think this Chiefs defense matches up very well with the Lions offense. You know, the Lions, uh, I'm not necessarily, they're, they're just trying to play complimentary football. They're kind of a team that on offense it's run the ball, run the ball, run the ball.


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[Assistant] Matt Stafford make a play here or there to keep the chains going to score a touchdown, but I still think they're finding their way on the offensive side of the ball. And my biggest question about the Lions is their drop back pass game. One of the things I said on my podcast yesterday was if the Lions have to get in a shootout,


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[Assistant] Does Daryl Bevel have the inventory of drop back pass game to get into that style of game? And I'm not so sure he does. I haven't seen it yet through three weeks, and I never saw it up in Seattle. I like what they're doing there, but I don't think that's conducive to what they want to do. That's why I go Chiefs 31, uh, Lions 21. Anything you want to add there further?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's right. All right. Now, uh, talking about a cut above everybody else, uh, that would be the Miami Dolphins. I should say below everybody else, but the Chargers going to Miami, um, in the dreaded one o'clock game for the West Coast team that I always look at, they're favored by 15 points.


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[Assistant] Dolphins, uh, of course, at home, gave a spirited effort last week in Dallas to at least make it somewhat fun to watch for two and a half quarters, uh, over under at 43 and a half. Lead us off, Mike, with the injuries.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, I see you there. I mean, listen, I'm clearly picking the Chargers to win this football game as well.


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[Assistant] I don't know why, but I feel like this game might be, first off, Josh Rosen is the starting quarterback for the Miami Dolphins. He's much better than Ryan Fitzpatrick. I saw enough last week in that game to go. That should not, we should not be seeing Fitzpatrick


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[Assistant] Uh, other than for injury purposes for the rest of the year. Josh Rosen gives them the best chance. He's the best thrower on the team. He's an underrated athlete and he made some big throws in that game last week and they didn't necessarily help him out a lot with the Dolphins either. I am going to say though this, okay, I'm going Chargers 27.


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[Assistant] The fact that this staff came from New England and got to play this Chargers team in the divisional playoff game last year and really had their way with the Chargers defense, especially


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[Assistant] To where I think they're going to be able to muster enough offense. The Chargers are going to take it a little lightly. You know, I always think Miami's a trap even for a team from Los Angeles and that 1pm start.


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[Assistant] Where I just feel like teams can kind of, you know, be asleep at the wheel for a little bit. I think the Chargers clearly win the game, like I said.


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[Assistant] But I do think, with the familiarity this staff has with the chargers, that they can make things interesting.


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[Assistant] To a degree. And I don't think they're gonna get blown off the field in this one. That's why I go Chargers 27, Dolphins 23. But I will not be making that a bet of the week. Because like I said, I don't trust the Dolphins. I mean, they could very easily lose what you're saying. But I'm just going with a little bit of a gut feeling on this one.


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[Assistant] No question, no question. All right, let's get to dildo ball. Okay, here we go. It's the dildo bowl. It's a podcast that I could say it. Yes. Uh, it's, uh, our annual tradition that Mike and I love to laugh about during commercial breaks. Whenever we talk about Patriots and Bills.


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[Assistant] The Patriots going up to Buffalo. Buffalo no pushover. Uh, as we've seen, they are 3 and 0. Patriots favored by 7 and a half. Over, under at 42 and a half. I was surprised to see that. So the Las Vegas doesn't think this will be real high scoring. But go ahead, Mike, lead it off with the injuries.


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[Assistant] Patreon's 30, Bill's 21? Okay. Alright. Yes. I hear you there. It's not like, uh, too far off. Certainly I can see that happening. Okay.


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[Assistant] Alright, I guess if I, I had to break it down like this, the Bills offense versus the Patriots defense, I do worry about that a little bit, but the Bills have pretty good balance. I mean, Brian Dayball came from New England, he's got a little bit of a feel for what the Patriots like to do defensively.


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[Assistant] Uh, I worry though about the bills versus that secondary.


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[Assistant] You know, they're gonna have to be patient with the run game.


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[Assistant] And maybe have some design runs for Josh Allen and things like that because if they think they're just gonna drop back Josh Allen 30 and 40 times against this team and that's secondary, I think only bad things can happen. So I do think McDermott and company are gonna have to manage the Bills offense properly to make sure Josh Allen doesn't try to like, you know,


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[Assistant] I don't know if anybody's given more problems to Tom Brady and Josh McDaniels than Sean McDermott the last few years. Yeaah, I mean the Patriots win, we know that. They're the better team than these past few years.


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[Assistant] The Bills defense so well coach McDermott with his game plan specific simplicity with his own coverages. If that makes sense, you know, he plays cover two, but he might play a different version of cover two on a certain week because he sees certain aspects of your offense.


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[Assistant] Where he might drop guys differently in the zone from week to week, but it's still cover two or cover four. And that's what I love about him. Their front. We always talk about Mike. You can't blitz Brady. I don't think Buffalo needs to. They don't have to. Their front four phenomenal. I think they could get pressure that way. And I think they can be okay in the run game.


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[Assistant] I think where you're taking the Patriots are gonna be on high alert. I'm gonna go more of the


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[Assistant] Bills are gonna play their mo- their best, most buttoned up game of the year because of the fear of the Patriots, because-


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[Assistant] They do want to assert themselves as like, we're no longer a pushover. I think Josh Allen's gonna be on his game. They recognize the magnitude of this game. And I do think the Bills think they're for real. So I think this will be a closer one than people think.


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[Assistant] Okay, I really, I'm like, in my vision, I'm going Patriots drive down late in the game to score a touchdown and win the game and Tom's clutch and that's how they do it. And you know, the bill is so close, but that's how I see it kind of unfolding. So I got, we both have the over surprisingly enough.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but yeaah, I got the bills covering, and of course you got the Patriots covering, so that'll be a good one, we'll see.


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[Assistant] The Patriots really haven't had to play a football game yet. You know what I mean?


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[Assistant] Being like the second quarter and being like, well, holy shit, we're like, this game's tight. Like we gotta like.


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[Assistant] We gotta start playing here. We've used to be in just, you know, playing like the Pee Wee football team from, uh, you know, Miami and New York and Pittsburgh. I mean, this, so I, I did play into that, but I certainly could see it going your way. We'll see how it plays out. And if I'm right, I'll rub it in your face next week. All right. Hey, one last point.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I getcha, I getcha. I will be interested to see how that psychological, uh, kind of aspect develops in the game. Okay, now let's go to Indianapolis. The Raiders having to do, uh, what we see the Chargers doing. They're playing that one o'clock East Coast game in Indianapolis. Raiders got


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[Assistant] Blown off the field last week by your Minnesota Vikings.


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[Assistant] Colts favored by 7. Colts shaping up to be a, ooh, this team's legit type of football team in my eyes. Uh, over under at 44 and a half. Mike, uh, lead us off with the injuries, dude.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that is. Those are big. Uhm, I mean, I think they can survive either one of them because the Raiders are not great.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, the Raiders, I worry about, you know, yeah, Trent Brown a little bit on the offensive side, uh, offensive line, the offensive line issues, Gabe Jackson, all that. Yeah, I do. I worry about it. The Raiders offense is not clicking on all cylinders. Their run game is okay.


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[Assistant] You know, pass game, there's nothing special to sit there and like talk about, you know, there's still a little too much of a John Gruden dink and dunk aspect to the offense, uh, in my eyes and they're missing.


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[Assistant] You know, a real just difference maker on that side of the ball right now in the pass game who can scare a defense. They got a lot of good. I don't know if they have any great, uh, the defensive side of the ball with Colts versus the Raiders. I just worry about the Colts just absolutely smashing the face of the Raiders. I mean, you saw your Vikings do it last week. The Raiders.


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[Assistant] There's nothing good up front to really look at that front seven. I can't sit there and go, ooh.


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[Assistant] Yeah. Oh, I like that. I like this. I mean, they play hard. Clellan Farrell is solid. I mean, they got a lot of solid.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but nothing to hang your hat on. And I think this Colts offense has just gotten better every week along with Jacoby Percet. So I look at this like this, Mike.


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[Assistant] I think the Colts win 28-17. I think they control this game, maybe from the get-go. I could see the Raiders making a close up first, like 7-7, something like that. But slowly but surely the Colts will wear this team down. 28-17, Colts.


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[Assistant] Okay, let's go to another one of the fascinating games of the 1PM. You know, not necessarily it's sexy, but this is one when I was looking at it, I was like, oh, I don't know who I'm going to pick here. I don't love either team. It's the Titans at the Falcons. Falcons favored by four over under 46. You know, Falcons were okay last week.


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[Assistant] Move the ball on the Colts, had chances to win, had another bad injury to Kian O'Neil, that stinks. Matt Ryan through another dumb red zone interception, which seems to be one of the things he's going to do on a weekly basis this year. Uh, the Titans, I don't know what the f**k they are, okay? You know, they just, they had a great game plan for week one that caught the Browns by surprise. After that,


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[Assistant] Yeah, had a chance against the Colts, really were outplayed, the Colts were better than the two point win. Titans last week in Jacksonville, it was Sucksville, okay, in Jacksonville, they looked like shit.


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[Assistant] Uh, I do think Marcus Mariota's time as a quarterback, we can start, you know, start the clock, let's see, because if they don't have another good offensive output here, I do think that people will clamor for Ryan Tannehill, and I think the Titans should talk about it regardless. Uh, go ahead, Mike, hit the injuries up.


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[Assistant] Okay, I mean, I hear you. This is a toss-up football game. I mean, if anybody out there's betting money on this one.


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[Assistant] I'm just gonna tell you, you have a problem. You have a problem if you're betting on this one. Because I don't know what's gonna happen here either. Alright, I'm going the opposite of you. I'm gonna go 28-24 Falcons, because I just can't pick the Titans right now. But everything you said, I mean, it's true.


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[Assistant] But I just, I gotta see their offense. Well, let me just break it down real quick before and then we'll move on to the next game.


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[Assistant] What scares me? I mean, Titans offense versus Falcons defense. Kian O'Neill getting hurt and tearing his Achilles tendon for that is a huge blow to that team.


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[Assistant] So that aspect there, I look at it and I go, man, there's going to be some plays for Mario in the passing offense to strike and move the ball. You know, the other side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, the Titans defense plays a little too much man to man at times and that scares me. You know, excuse me, my nose is running, but that scares me.


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[Assistant] When you have Calvin Ridley and Julio Jones and Mohamed Sanu and Matt Ryan. It does. You take too many chances. But at the same time, the other thing that scares me a little...


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[Assistant] Is Dean Pease's ability to game plan with the extra time that you mentioned. And him finding a few creative wrinkles to take away staples of the Atlanta offense.


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[Assistant] So all those things scare me, but just the fact that the Falcons are at home, and I don't trust Marcus Mariota is really the only reason I'm going with the Falcons. Falcons 28-24, which would be a push in my book there, and you have the Titans winning outright, which would be maybe one of your bets of the week. We'll see.


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[Assistant] Yes. I think you're right. That could be coming around the corner. Alright. Redskins at Giants. Case Keenum vs. DJ NY. Danny Dimes taking over the Giants. Redskins at the Giants. Giants favored by two and a half. Over under at 49.


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[Assistant] Okay, Michael, uhm, go ahead. You do injuries and then lead it off to your thoughts in the game and your pick and everything. First of all, I got a question for you. Yeaah. Do you like the Danny


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[Assistant] Yeah, go ahead. I just, it's, it's really become a thing up here. I mean, I just, eh, we walk around New York, or you walk around the office here at NBC, it's all about Danny Dimes, Danny Dimes. So, I don't know, it's got a nice ring to it. I could deal with it.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Mike, I mean, that's I, if you want to get into like the politics of football and things like that, I agree with you. That's the play there at this point winning games. I don't know if that's really realistic.


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[Assistant] Bringing along the rookie quarterback and striking up a relationship where the quarterback goes, no, I like this guy as my head coach and he can tell the owner and the other important people who make decisions that could save his job. Okay, uh, go ahead. You want to leave this off or you want me to leave this off here?


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[Assistant] Yes, if you're gonna pick them to win by 9 points, then you gotta call him Danny Dimes, okay? That's just, that's part of it. Alright. Wow, I can't believe you got them dominating like that.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm going the opposite of you. I'm going the Redskins 23-20. I think the Giants are gonna have that week of, ah, we feel good, we got off the Schneid, we got our quarterback, they're gonna, like, kinda believe in all that.


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[Assistant] Also, the Redskins. Yeah, it was, it was a disaster last week. Their defense didn't play bad. Case Kingdom did some stupid things against a really awesome defense. And of course, they were out. Man, that bear's defense is special. I...


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[Assistant] I think the Redskins will move the ball on the Giants. The Giants defense sucks. I mean, they suck. They can't cover anything. So you're gonna be able to throw the ball on them.


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[Assistant] Now I know the Redskins are not going to run the ball a whole lot either, but I would be really concerned. The Redskins have found ways to make big plays on the pass game. Even last week they did against the Bears. It just, it was followed by a bad interception or a great play by the defense.


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[Assistant] I think the Redskins are kind of in that desperate mode. Now, if Case Kingdom can't play, that would scare me and I would change my bet. But right now I'm picking it as he is playing. And I think that Greg Mineski, who I'm a fan of, the defensive coordinator of the Washington Redskins,


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[Assistant] I think he'll find a few wrinkles to make life a little more tough on a Daniel Jones. And I'm going to go with the Redskins pulling off the upset 2320 in Danny Dime's home opener.


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[Assistant] I'm not betting on it though. I would not bet on it. It'd be another one. I don't bet on bad teams because who knows what the hell could happen.


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[Assistant] I, I definitely am horrified by it. I, I really am. I can't lie. Uh, I guess it just, when you're on a sideline, there's a lot of other gross things that are going on to where you'd probably block that out. I mean, like I've talked about. So why drink filth? Why drink filth?


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[Assistant] Yeah, it is filth. I mean, it's also filth on the back of the quarterback's hand from sticking his finger in the butt crack of a 300 pound man all game too. So do you start the game?


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[Assistant] I feel like after the game's over, when I smelled my hand, I was always like, it smells like I stirred his asshole for a little while today. Okay? Alright. Alright. Alright. I gotta, I gotta promote. I gotta promote this cra-


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[Assistant] That you've never listened to. No, I have not. That's okay, I don't listen to yours. Exactly. I know you didn't. I mean, how much do you think I can listen to you in a day? But Mike, you're always all over All League Matters. I always respect that about you. You're always taking questions from the posse. How is the posse, by the way? I haven't heard from them in a while. Are they doing okay? They're fine. Yeah, they're fine. I'll set them loose on you. Okay.


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[Assistant] Okay, and then what about, uh, you got any guests coming up this week? Anything like noteworthy? Or this past week? Anybody that, uh- No.


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[Assistant] But that's cool that you do the mailbag every week. I need to start incorporating that more into my podcast. But, uh, PFTPM Podcast, download it, subscribe it.


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[Assistant] You know where to find it. It's anywhere podcasts are available. And the guy that hosts the show is real smart, snarky asshole, you know, copy paste, copy paste, snarky comment, but it's still worth the good listen.


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[Assistant] You know, they don't have receivers as it is and even though they might be wasting money and not getting the production, I would make that move after the year because


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[Assistant] They're gonna get some one-on-one looks on the outside with Diggs and Thielen to where I think they can strike for some big plays. We'll see how it works, but I know that's a very interesting topic and


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[Assistant] When the podcast is over, I'm gonna tell you something else that I know, but I can't say it publicly about that subject, okay? Alright. Alright. Here we go. 4pm.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I, uh, I tend to think, uh, the same way here, Mike. I'm not gonna make this long. I mean, yes, you're right about the Cardinals offense, and I question


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[Assistant] Whether what else Clif Kingsbury has to offer. I do. I mean, again, this goes back to what I've said all along.


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[Assistant] He hasn't been around too many different offenses or people or ideas, so he only knows what he knows, and that's shotgun and dink and dunk what we've seen. Really, their big plays have become not through the system, but Kyler Murray's just phenomenal ability to put pinpoint passes down the field against tight


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[Assistant] Man to man coverage. That's really where their big plays have come in the pass offense. Very little of it has been like, oh wow, they really game plan that. That was a great play design and that was a great job. I haven't seen much of that. I worry about that and I'm with you with what you say about the CTOX are going to be pissed.


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[Assistant] With the way they played last week and how they messed that game up, they're gonna be pissed because they know they're in the NFC West and the Lions, I mean, and the, the, uh, Rams and 49ers are real.


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[Assistant] So they gotta keep pace there. So they're, they're gonna be a very motivated football team. I'm with you, Mike. I'm going Seahawks 31, Cardinals 17. I just think the Seahawks will dominate this from get-go.


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[Assistant] Yep. Okay. All right. Now we got Buccaneers Rams in Los Angeles, 4 p.m. game bucks coming off that tough loss last week where they should have won it. Rams favored by nine, uh, coming off that Sunday night football game against the Browns over under at 49 and a half Mike injuries.


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[Assistant] I think we do need to know. And Mike, I made comments about this on my podcast yesterday where I do my deep dive into my notes. I watch the Rams on film every week.


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[Assistant] They can talk all they want. There is something wrong with Todd Gurley. Not that he is like, bad. He's still a really good running back.


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[Assistant] The days of like Todd Gurley, the superstar, I think they might be over. I do. You know, Mike, and you've said it all along and you've been all over it, but I, I don't, this is what I've seen on film. Like I said, they're still good there. There's no doubt about it. I don't see the explosive burst that I used to see.


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[Assistant] And he wants to plant his left leg in the ground and then cut right. He kind of cuts with both legs. He doesn't just jam his left leg into the ground as compared to the opposite side when he's running right. He will jam his right leg into the ground and cut back to go to the left and he will use fully that right leg.


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[Assistant] There are issues there, and when he goes between the tackles, I feel like he's very careful of people taking shots on his legs. So I don't think we're gonna ever see the Todd Gurley that we saw last year, early in the year, and the years before that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so interesting enough. Hey, the Rams are one of the best teams in football. We know that, right? I mean, the Bucs, I'll say this. I do think their style of play...


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[Assistant] On the defense or offensive side of the ball, you know, they're, they're pretty good at pass protecting. Arians is great at calling up design shots and aggressive plays in the pass game down the field. And the Rams play a lot of zone coverage. So.


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[Assistant] I mean, of course we know Aaron Donald and Dante Fowler are amazing. They can ruin a game. I think they'll have a harder time ruining the game a little bit against this Bucs team than normal, uh, but nonetheless.


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[Assistant] The Rams are a phenomenal three-phase football team. They're patient with the run. Their play action pass game. Phenomenal.


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[Assistant] You know, last week the, the Bucks who did a pretty decent job at times on defense still got burned by a lot of big pass plays. I just go Rams in this one, 27-20. So I got the Bucks covering, uh, but I think the Rams clearly win the game.


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[Assistant] Okay, cool. I, I don't, that will not be one of my bets of the week. I'll say that though. It does scare me a little bit.


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[Assistant] I could see it going either way. I could see the Buccaneers making it a little closer. I could see maybe Jamis Winston throwing an interception late and they lose by 34-22. So that's where I don't trust that one.


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[Assistant] Um, Jaguars at Broncos, defense, defense, defense in this football game. No offense will be there. This will not be fun to watch. Broncos at home favored by three and a half over under 39. What say you, Florio?


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[Assistant] Oh, and 16. Yeah, they do. And their offense stinks.


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[Assistant] Uh, but you're right. Last week was closer than the score indicated. I mean, their offense put their defense in some tough spots and just gave the packer some easy touchdowns and easy points that way. Uh, I do think this is a total defensive struggle.


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[Assistant] You know, the fact that it's in Denver, Denver is still a tough place to play. You said it, that Broncos defense is still played well this year. They're tough. I don't care what it, you know, what the record is, whatever it is, it's still one of the better units in all of football. Now I do think the Jaguars defense is going to give that Broncos offense all they can handle too. Uh, not having Jalen Ramsey,


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[Assistant] Does sway me maybe another two or three points for the Broncos that way. And I'm definitely not like buying the Gardner Minshew hype yet. I've been a big fan of just saying, Hey, I think they can manage with this guy and maybe win some games through their defense. And if he just doesn't mess it up and do all that.


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[Assistant] You know, I was saying that predicated on the fact of Jalen Ramsey being there. He gives their team a lot of flexibility, especially on the defensive side of the ball. But I'm with you, Mike. I'm going Broncos 17-13 and a total defensive struggle. Uh, but I think they find a way to win this football game and win their first game of the year.


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[Assistant] I would be scared too. I really would be because the offense is certainly not dangerous and there's just only so much the defense can do on a weekly basis. You can't expect it. When do we see Drew Lock?


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[Assistant] I think we're good on that when we're both on the same boat though. We like the Broncos to win, although I'm not real confident about it. Yeah, it's scary. I mean, it's, it's, it's, uh, they're a bad team and it's, it's hard to always bet on a bad team. Okay. Now we got the Mike Florio bowl. Okay. Here we go. Minnesota Vikings.


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[Assistant] Oooooooooh. Vikings going to Chicago. Bears favored by two and a half. Mike Floria's Vikings looking good. Bears defense looks good. Offense, ehh. Okay, Bears favored by two and a half, like I said, over under at 38. Uh, go ahead, Mike, hit off the injuries.


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[Assistant] Okay. All right. Yeah, I'm with you. I mean, I think this is going to be a defensive struggle. Certainly. I mean, I don't really have any faith in the Bears offense. The Bears did not make me feel any better about what they did against the Washington Redskins the other day. Of course, the defense set up some really great opportunities for them.


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[Assistant] You know, they found a way to get a few short completions and get your bisque in a rhythm that way. I don't think they'll be there to be had this week against the Minnesota Vikings defense, which is still a really good defense. Um, I, I, I basically, I mean, I think you're right.


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[Assistant] I feel more comfortable about just the Vikings offense and Kirk cousins than I do Mitchell Trubisky right now.


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[Assistant] I do. And as much as I think of that Bears defense, the fact that Akim Hicks probably won't be a hundred percent if he plays at all. That does scare me. He's a difference maker. He's one of the best interior D lineman in all of football. I mean, he is a phenomenal, phenomenal football player.


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[Assistant] And that will be tough against a Vikings team, like you said, with an amazing running back and a running game.


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[Assistant] It's good. This is a really good run blocking old line. Their scheme is pretty diverse, Mike. They do a bunch of different stuff in the run game, so you can't just peg it to like zone, inside zone, outside zone. They'll do other things off of it.


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[Assistant] So I, I just like you, I think this is a defensive struggle all the way, but I'm going to take the Vikings to kick a game winning late field goal, 19 to 17 Vikings, and they pull off the wind straight up on the road.


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[Assistant] Mitchell Trubisky. No, but if they do lay an egg, you're gonna get heckled by me cause I'm just, cause you're the Vikings of your team and I'm gonna just rag on you a little bit.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I can understand that. You still pay attention and care a lot though. I'm there with you on Sunday. I care a little. I care a little. Whatever. I do some of it for your amusement. Alright, alright. Sunday Night Football. We got a dandy on NBC. I mean, it's gonna be amazing.


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[Assistant] It'd be a little more amazing if Drew Brees was playing, but Cowboys at Saints, Cowboys favored by two and a half Cowboys looking like one of the best teams in football. And Mike, you have to promote something first. I do have to promote something first.


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[Assistant] Oh. We're professionals here. Damn, I'm uh, this is me and being a host. Here we go.


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[Assistant] Okay, here we go. This is how it's done, okay? This is how we make the donuts, alright? Tide!


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[Assistant] You know, Tide might, right? Tide made this look clean. I look good out here because of Tide, okay? Uh, you look okay. I don't know if you use Tide or not, but Tide, it's the beginning of the season and Tide is making sure no one misses football on Sundays.


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[Assistant] Starring Peyton Manning, this new campaign pits NBC's biggest stars in lineup of fan favorite shows against one another in the ultimate battle.


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[Assistant] Debating which night of the week is best to do laundry. I don't like to do laundry any night of the week, okay? But if I was gonna pick it, it would be Tuesday and Wednesday. All month long, throughout NBC programming, check out why Manning and the league officially declare a new meaning for the NFL.


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[Assistant] It now stands for not for laundry. Okay? You like that? Not for laundry, but Tide. There we go, Mike. Tide Reid. Uhm, and I hope you're using that to clean your, your clothes. Do you wash clothes? No, of course not.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay. Yeah, I mean, Tide is like, yes, it's, uh, it was a part of my growth, my youth as well. All right, get to your Sunday night seven. Let's go.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go 250 to 299. I mean, the Cowboys are balanced, uh, so we know they're going to continue to run the football and the Saints, they play a lot of man to man. So there'll be opportunities for him to hit some big throws down the field. I don't think he goes for over 300 because of the balance, but I think it's somewhere between 250 and 299.


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[Assistant] I think there's a very good, uh, chance that does happen. Uhm, you know, I mean, it's an interesting matchup and, uh, I mean,


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[Assistant] The fact that they returned the punt and picked up a fumble and returned it for a touchdown.


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[Assistant] You know, they really only had one real like legit drive of the day.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I never got to see exactly how they wanted to use Teddy Bridgewater, because they didn't have to show what they really wanted to do. But I would think that'd have to be a little bit of a concern, or...


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[Assistant] Maybe just find different ways to play pass defense. Stop playing so much man to man to where you give guys like Russell Wilson and Dak Prescott, who are great, great downfield throwers, chances to hit guys like that. I just think that's one of my issues with the Saints, uh, defense altogether.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with Ezekiel Elliott. I am. Uh, I just, you know, I think more of Alvin Kamara's total yardage output will be him coming out of the backfield and Sean Payton designing a lot of short passes in the passing game.


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[Assistant] I have a hard time thinking they're gonna run for a whole lot of yards on the Saints. I mean, on this Cowboys defense. Now the Saints D line is real, too. I don't think it'll be easy to run the ball on them. Uh, but I just think with the Cowboys that all sense of line.


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[Assistant] The passing game being as dangerous as it is now and their offensive running game very diverse like your Minnesota Vikings. I think they'll be able to make some plays in the run game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I hear you there. I-I lean very similar to you there, okay? I'm picking- taking the Cowboys 27-21. If I just had to break it down real quick.


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[Assistant] You know, the Cowboys offense, it's just a different offense than anytime we've seen here in recent history. It's, it's really one of the best offenses in football through three weeks. I've been extremely impressed. It's not about yards and numbers. It's about the creative, like,


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[Assistant] We have not seen a Cowboys offense like this in a long, long time. So they're special that way. And then on the other side of the ball, I always worry about Sean Payton. I'm there with you, too. And the Cowboys


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[Assistant] They'll give you a few opportunities because they'll be a little aggressive every now and then and play man to man and let you throw a one on one ball down the sidelines against a Byron Jones or should be a lose a who are usually there in great coverage. But of course we know a great throw can beat a great coverage.


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[Assistant] But the other thing I like about the Cowboys, the Cowboys don't have to blitz. They can always just rush front four. Okay, they really don't have to rely on that to get pressure. Robert Quinn being back for the team.


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[Assistant] Just, it takes maybe one of the fastest defenses in football and just makes them that much faster. And then they have the linebackers.


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[Assistant] Uh, as far as Jalen Smith and Vander Esch and Sean Lee, to make that short passing game to Alvin Kamara, you know, tough, at least. And Rod Marinelli, who was in Tampa with me, John Gruden,


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[Assistant] John Gruden's offense, very similar to Sean Payton, except Sean Payton's just better, but I think Rod Marinelli has a good feel for that offense, and that's why they slowed him down a little bit last year. I'm going Cowboys 27-21, uh, but I do think the Saints will put up a spirited effort, and of course them being home and being motivated by last year I think makes this game, you know, fun to watch.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, I, uh, I still think the Saints are dangerous. Uh, they still have a lot of things, the DNA structures you'd like for a really quality football team is still a good offensive line, still a good defensive line, have a few difference makers on the offensive side of the ball. As we know, creative coaching.


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[Assistant] Uh, and yeaah, I look at them and still go. As long as they can be in the conversation for December, I have faith that they'll win the games necessary and be a handful for whoever it is if they get into the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright. Speaking of handfuls, let's talk about two teams who are not a handful. The Bengals and Steelers on Monday Night Football. Uh, Bengals at the Steelers. Steelers favored by three and a half. Uhm,


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[Assistant] Mason Rudolph off his first start last week was okay at best. Had two touchdown passes. I get that, but I'm not going to sit here and go, Oh, I was amazed by them. Just about every quarterback in football would have thrown two touchdown passes in that game over under at 43 and a half Steelers playing at home. Uh, lead us off, Mike.


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[Assistant] Okay, any other injuries you want to hit on there that were worthwhile to talk about?


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[Assistant] It's just, it's not good on either side of the ball. There's no, there's just nothing. It's, it's uhm, I think it's over for the Steelers. I mean, I think they gotta kinda blow it up.


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[Assistant] I really do. I look at it and go, the lifeline of this team has passed.


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[Assistant] It's time for a new team and a whole lot of new faces there.


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[Assistant] Uh, the offensive line, yes, has not been good in the run. They're not dedicated to it. Mike Munchek's not there. I have no faith in them getting it going. The running backs aren't all that talented. Mason Rudolph, not that talented. Receivers, not that talented other than Juju, and he's not a superstar. So,


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[Assistant] You know, unless their defense where their front seven has some special players there, if they can make a muck of the game and cause some turnovers.


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[Assistant] Okay, maybe I give them a chance, but I do think I'm with you, Mike. The Bengals are the better football team.


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[Assistant] They are through and through and I'm taking the bangles to win this game on the road 20 to 17. I'm with you there all the way. I just, I'm not picking the Steelers to win anything until I see it. I got to see it to believe it. And I haven't liked really anything about their team. Hey, Minka Fitzpatrick was great. It looked cool last week, all of that, but there's just too many other issues across the board.


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[Assistant] Yeah, right, seriously. Alright, here we go. We got the best bets of the week coming up. Uhm, Michael, since you're older and not as handsome as me, I'll let you go first. Go ahead, tell me your bets of the week.


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[Assistant] You wanna ping pong or you wanna hear all mine? I think, I think I wanna hear all yours. I do. I have. Cause you have no idea what you're gonna do. I have five games starred that I know that I wanna bet on. I don't know which three I wanna pick. I'm kind of filtering them out in my brain as we go right now.


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[Assistant] Right. That, my friend, is bullshit. Okay, alright, fine. We'll ping pong them then. Does that make you feel better? Alright, let's ping pong. Alright, go ahead. You're the first ping, I'm pong. Go ahead, go ahead.


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[Assistant] Oh my gosh, you're fucking insane. I don't even know what to say there. I cannot believe it. He's going to drop a deuce on you for picking them in a game like that. Okay. My first bet of the week that I like this one, there's no doubt about it. The Colts.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the Colts over the Raiders, even though it's a seven point spread that one PM East Coast game. I think the Colts with their offensive line.


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[Assistant] Their D line versus that Raiders offensive line that's a little banged up really scares me. I think the Colts dominate the Raiders and win that game by more than seven points.


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[Assistant] Yep, I'm not mad at you that one. I don't have the guts to make that a best bet, but I don't think that's crazy. It's better than your Giants one. I'll tell you that much. Okay. All right. My bet next best bet of the week. I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks who are favored by five at the Arizona Cardinals.


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[Assistant] I don't have a ton of faith or anything special about that Cardinals defense either.


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[Assistant] On the offensive side of the ball, the Arizona Cardinals will play man to man. That'll play right in the hands of Russell Wilson and him being able to make big plays down the field. So I like the raid, uh, the Seahawks. Sorry, I can't say this damn game right. Seahawks 31-17 in that game. That's one of my bets of the week.


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[Assistant] I think the Seahawks are gonna be desperate and know they have to keep pace with the 49ers and the Rams in that tough division.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, now this is where I'm not sure where I wanna go here, okay? You got my two. My third one, I'm like a little between the Bills, the Chiefs,


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[Assistant] And even the Houston Texans, uh, who are at home against Kyle Allen and everybody, I'm very conflicted with what I want to do there. But ultimately, I think with Darius Slay not being 100%


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[Assistant] And I don't trust the Lions pass offense yet. I'm going to go with the Chiefs. I don't think the Lions are made to play this type of football game. Little scared with this one.


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[Assistant] But it's the least one I'm scared of out of all the other ones I've mentioned. I just think the Chief's defense has turned the corner. I think it's a solid unit. You're not gonna just be able to just march up and down the field on them anymore.


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[Assistant] Uh, and the Chiefs offense, of course, we know is special, and I just don't know if there's enough special on the Lions defensive side of the ball to slow it down.


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[Assistant] Mike, you the man. Subscribe, rate, review, everybody out there. PFTPM Podcast, Chris Sims unbuttoned. Check us out. But it's always fun doing the PIX Podcast with you, Mike. Hope you're doing good, man.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Simms Unbuttoned Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] Three movies a year? Three movies a year. Maybe less than that. Maybe some years I see two. What have you seen this year? Anything? Did you see any of the best picture movies? I don't even remember the last one that I saw. No. No, I do. I went with my kids. It was, it was a kids movie. Right. Uh, The Avengers? Incredibles? No, Incredibles 2. Oh, that's a good one. I think I saw that one.


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[Assistant] Star Wars, we've seen those? Star Wars I've seen, uh, most of them. Okay. I would say the early ones I saw, uhm, but it's been a long time. I have not re-watched them. The Godfather?


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[Assistant] Here's the, here's the problem with, so I had not seen, um, uh, Caddyshack for a long time, like years and years and years, and it was a similar conversation with a friend of mine, and he goes, you gotta, you can't go your whole life and work in sports and not see Caddyshack. I was like, alright, so fine, like a year ago, I watched it.


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[Assistant] Okay, okay. The natural? No, the natural. Bull Durham, no? Bull Durham, Rookie of the Year. Major League, I have seen. Major League, okay, I like that. Naked Gun, that's kind of a baseball moment. It is, you're right, she's right.


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[Assistant] I did, we're not part of the food store. I like that in passing though. They don't necessarily eat on humans. That's what I try to tell my wife. I'm like, don't worry, they'll let them play out there. They don't, they don't eat on humans. I do, so here's my top, here's my top five. Okay, you have a top five. I do. Good. So number five is Inception. I thought that was pretty good. Ooh, I like that too. I like Inception. I like those thinking movies. That is deep.


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[Assistant] Number two, Feel the Dreams. Okay. Uh, and then my number one favorite movie of all time is Groundhog Day with Bill Murray. That's my, like my number one favorite movie.


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[Assistant] That's a good, that's a good movie. It is, it is.


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[Assistant] About, uh, Ezekiel Elliott in regards to, it was what, uh, uh, Pollard had done. Tony Pollard had a good preseason game, looked good. But some of the reporters were wondering if maybe Tony Pollard would want, you know, Ezekiel Elliott to come back and talk to him so they could team up and create a dynamic backfield. And here's what Jerry Jones had to say to that question.


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[Assistant] Zeke. Who? Jerry Jones. So the end of that sound bite that we've heard, you know, the Zeke who, he does go on to say that he likes what he saw from Tony Pollard.


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[Assistant] But he thinks that he could compliment, not replace. And he did go back and say, he goes, uh, not replace. He's like, I think he can compliment Zeke, which, you know, he definitely could in that backfield.


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[Assistant] They can't pay Dak and Zeke what they both want.


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[Assistant] Is he back in Texas? I think he's back. I think this past week he just came back, yes.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I'm almost scared to bring this up because it's the ongoing saga. It never ends. That we've been talking about with Antonio Brown. Uh, he's filed a new grievance with the NFL.


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[Assistant] He wants to wear that shut air advantage. He wants to wear that helmet, and now he's found a couple that are not 10 years old. And that was the big problem before, is that any helmet that's 10 years old, we're not allowing it in the NFL. Uh, but he says, I want to wear the shut air advantage. It's from, I think he's found one maybe from 2014. Yep. And, and the grievance.


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[Assistant] And perhaps Antonio Brown has this piece of equipment that he thinks has protected him for a decade and nothing serious has happened to him with this piece of equipment and so he just feels a little superstitious that


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[Assistant] That story will continue to play out. We're maybe not going to talk about it anymore. I doubt it. We're getting over it. We'll talk to it Thursday. Uh, there's something, we're going to look at some of the film review in a bit. And Daniel Jones is looking pretty good, I think. He is. Once again. Yes. Uhm, but there was an interesting story that came out in GQ. Baker Mayfield was talking to GQ.


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[Assistant] And, and they had a quote, apparently in the story, they were sitting down just hanging out, uh, uh, something came up on, on ESPN Sports Center about Daniel Jones and, and Baker Mayfield sitting there and says, quote, I cannot believe the Giants took Daniel Jones. Blows my mind. Some people overthink it. That's where people go wrong. They forget.


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[Assistant] So if you're talking to someone in the NFL, an NFL writer, a Peter King, and you're kinda talking before the interview, before you sit down, before he pulls out the notepad, everything that you say is kind of implied off the record. Even if it's not said, it's implied off the record.


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[Assistant] And I think it's unique to the sports world. I think in, you know, in the, in the news gathering world, if you're talking to a reporter, it's implied it's live, on the record, you can go with anything unless you stay off the record. So I think that the sports world's a different world and I think that's catching these guys.


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[Assistant] Did you ever, did you ever get caught by that? With a reporter saying something kind of off the cuff and then all of a sudden you read it in the paper, read it on the internet and you're like, I wish they wouldn't have put that out there.


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[Assistant] I've a couple of times where I've done an interview just about, you know, TV shows that we've had throughout the time. And remember I said something not quite right, you know, and it goes word for word. That's the only thing every once in a while.


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[Assistant] And talking about his departure from the Giants, I'm sure a lot more is going to come out here. This is via Sports Illustrated. Uh, the quote was, on the trade to Cleveland, this wasn't no business move. This was personal. They thought they'd send me here to die.


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[Assistant] I wonder if they didn't trust him at that point. Maybe not. If there was a way they were like, if he is gonna say no to this, they got a deal, they got an offer from Cleveland they loved, apparently, because I don't think they just sought out a situation to send him to, to make him go die. I mean, they knew Cleveland's an up and coming team and that he had a good chance to be successful there. I'm sure they had to think that.


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[Assistant] Giants and Browns play in 2020, maybe they didn't want to trade them to anyone who they'd have to face in the 2019 season. Maybe, maybe it was NFC teams, right?


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[Assistant] Which I could get, nothing could get you under hot water fast enough than playing Odell twice a year and have him go off and play games with Baker Mayfield. Although that's not going to happen with Cleveland. So that's a little, some interesting news.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know, we've got the podcast here. Yeaah. But NBC Networks, they got a growing, growing list of podcasts. We got a workin'.


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[Assistant] You know, we might have to go with reviewing the film, because that might be the only original title that we can come up with. Uhm, so film review, week two. Can I give you some quarterbacks here? Yeah. And go through them? Okay. I want to start with a guy that I covered back in the Bay Area.


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[Assistant] Uh, for the last couple of years. So that's why you're not wearing the 49ers jacket today. I couldn't today. I had it. I was like, you know what? Didn't look great. Uh, Jimmy Garoppolo. Yes. First action since, uh, Teren's ACL last season against, uh, Kansas City. So let me give you the, the numbers even though I don't, you don't really look at numbers, but you do look at the tape.


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[Assistant] So one for six, uh, zero yards on that one completion, one interception. So the numbers ain't great. No. Did the film look any better?


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[Assistant] That's interesting. You know, in good hands with Kyle Shanahan, you hope that they can bring him along, but some question marks for Jimmy Garoppolo and some question marks maybe now developing in preseason week number two. You don't want to overreact. Of course we're going to have our under reactions coming up. But to Kyler Murray, you said after seeing him for the first time, he looked really good.


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[Assistant] Didn't look as good, his second preseason game, 3 for 8, 12 yards, was sacked twice. What'd you make of Kyler in week number 2?


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[Assistant] So, you say don't look at numbers, but these are just too good not to look at. Daniel Jones, 11 of 14, 161 yards, one touchdown, did lose two fumbles.


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[Assistant] So what do you make of the fact that the owner of the Giants, John Mara, has said that the perfect season would be that Daniel Jones


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[Assistant] Does not take a snap. Yeaah. It does not take one snap all season. It's Eli, Eli Manning's show. I mean, I guess that means that Eli is playing at a high level. Exactly. 38 year old. Right. Winning a lot of games and, and I mean, I guess there's a lot of sense to it, but, uh, what do you make of that? There's no snaps for Daniel Jones throughout the year.


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[Assistant] There was one quarterback last week that you said jumped off the screen to you. Yes. And it was, you didn't quite say he's the eventual successor to Tom Brady, but you were really impressed with what Jarrett Stidham did last week. This week he goes 14 to 19, 193 yards, one touchdown.


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[Assistant] Uh, he, he capped a comeback as well. You know, I don't know how valuable that is in the preseason, but you are trying to win and move the ball down the field and you feel the pressure. 23 yard touchdown pass with four minutes left to get that comeback. So, so what'd you think of Jarrett Stidham this week?


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[Assistant] Maybe he had the advantage of playing in Nashville because the last time he played in that stadium, it was for Auburn. They tore it up. Through five touchdowns in the Music City Bowl in December. Hey.


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[Assistant] And he's retiring finally. It's been a backup for a decade. It finally gets his chance. Uh, one more real quick. We got uh, Ryan Finley. Yeaah. Of the Bengals. I don't have his numbers, but how did he look?


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[Assistant] He's like the GQ of NFL reporters, because he gets things out of players and coaches that you don't normally get out.


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[Assistant] Okay, don't get freaked out. Okay. We're gonna play music. Okay. For the speed round. I don't know what music we picked. Hold on.


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[Assistant] It's almost lyrical. It's almost like you were singing a song or it was like a spoken poem.


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[Assistant] Let's wrap it up with four defensive standouts. You can touch on any one you want or all of them. Go ahead. Carolina defensive end, Marquise.


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[Assistant] And they shot a potty. We did a whole day's work yesterday. We had Wolves Manchester United 1-1 draw. Really good game. Paul Pog would miss the penalty kick. Wolves? Wolves, yea. Wolverhampton Wanderers is their long official name.


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[Assistant] It's about two and a half hours outside of London apparently. Okay. Over Hampton. Uh, but yeaah, uh, and they did the podcast after the long day, they did the podcast in the studio there for a half hour.


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[Assistant] So they have, for the first time ever, they have replay review for handballs and offsides in football, and they're having the same discussions like we had whenever instant replay came in, in football. Yeah, welcome to American Sports.