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[Assistant] Good question. I like this higher. One, here's the first thing. Frank Rake I think is...


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[Assistant] Was a little bit like we were talking about Billy O'Brien. Severely underrated, and some things happened in Indianapolis that were out of his control. Every year with the quarterback. Right. And Andrew Luck, and hey, then we gotta get Phillip Rivers, and Jacoby Berset, and Adam Vettere, Mrs. Fugles, that he's made his whole life and all of a sudden he can't


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[Assistant] You know, I'm not sure those quarterbacks were the first choice of the Indianapolis Colts either. Right? You know, this past year I thought this was unwarranted to fire him.


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[Assistant] They were in a tough spot, nobody saw Matt Ryan's play coming to that point.


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[Assistant] You know, the offensive line, we didn't see that coming, nor is that his fault either. I mean, they played so much worse after he left. Right, right, right. And he had a history of like, hey, the Colts are three and three. And all of a sudden we look up and we go, well, they're nine and three or they're, you know, seven and four and they went on a run. He's got a history of doing that.


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[Assistant] So, one, I'm saying I think he's better than he got credit for. Two,


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[Assistant] I think his offense is very creative. I've always been a fan of Frank Reich's, you know, back to his Philly days. To me, that was the one thing when he left Philly, I went, ooh, they missed Frank. He was definitely a part of the reason they were so good that Super Bowl year. He gave, you know, you could see the creativity. And when I watched the Colts, I go, oh, there's the plays from Philadelphia, blah, blah, blah.


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[Assistant] Uh, other thing too that I think is important with this conversation as we go into thunder and go into rainstorm here is the, the, uhm, the love affair that obviously the owner has to find a franchise quarterback. And I think that's probably where Frank could sell himself to. Frank's gonna eye for the quarterback position.


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[Assistant] I do believe that. So I'm probably, you know, guessing he sold himself pretty good in that department. And that he could find the right guy for them for the future. So that's where I like to hire. And, you know, again, I don't think they're a team that, that far off. And, uh, I think he's gonna have pretty good results down there.


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[Assistant] It's gone to another level recently in the last few years. This is something that I've, I don't know, I've talked about this again. I'm not trying to give myself credit as like I came up with this out of thin air, right? These are conversations I've had with coach friends and things like that where, you know, I've had coaches and things over the last few years go,


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[Assistant] We can't even find five good ones to block for our quarterback.


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[Assistant] We can't, we got ten lime and we can't find five good ones to go against the four we gotta play this week.


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[Assistant] Right? And I think more of it is, you know, the popularity of the sport, it's easier to play D-line, right? There's more.


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[Assistant] Mental aspect that goes into O-line, I'm not trying to disrespect anybody here, but O-line is more about working as a unit, communicating, doing all that, hey wait, we were changing this play, oh wait, we gotta, they lined up like this, we gotta change how we were gonna block this, and we gotta be on the same page right away. Defensive line's easier.


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[Assistant] Uh, the guy who can, wait, they, they moved the stem in the front and now he's gotta be able to, I don't have to block the guard, I gotta kick out to the tackle and, oh wait, they're twisting and I gotta pass it off. Right?


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[Assistant] I mean, like the Chris Jones and the Fletcher Cox of the world, right? They could play offensive line. They're definitely smart enough to play offensive line.


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[Assistant] Exactly right, so there's great value in that, alright? Uhm, I think, you know,


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[Assistant] This popularity of the sport has added more freaks to go into those positions, especially defense align.


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[Assistant] You know, there's always, there's always one or two kids in the draft who's like, I didn't really play football those sophomore year in high school. And he's a defensive lineman more times than not. Right. Or it's just like, they were just like, yeah, he's big and fast. Just put his hand on the ground. Tell him to go get the guy with the ball. Right. And then I think the conversation we've had around this too, the colleges are not.


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[Assistant] They're not doing the NFL any favors. You know, this goes back to where, you know, I rag on the big 12 at times and the pack 12 and all that. Cause I want to go, they run one run play, so they have no clue how to block in the run game.


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[Assistant] And they run one pass protection their whole careers. So then they get in the NFL and it's like, Oh, you went to that school. Damn. He won't be ready to play for three more years. Oh, you went to that school. Damn. We got a lot of work to do with you. You don't even know how to do this. You never pulled as a guard in college, never pulled as a guard.


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[Assistant] And right, so that's, that's the other problem. You're limited from your pool of schools to go, wait, these teams have like pro-ready offensive linemen.


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[Assistant] And, uh, yeah, that's an issue. And hey, listen, holding was a big thing, right? That last Mahomes scramble, right? With the Orlando Brown controversy there, right? I don't think it was holding. Listen, if they called holding, I wouldn't have been shocked. I wouldn't have called it, is all I'm saying.


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[Assistant] But I mean, like, I could watch that game back, and again, just for like, to put people at ease here.


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[Assistant] Bangle's got away with holding more than the Chiefs did in the game, if that makes people feel any better. Right? They, they did. They, they'd held way more. So, if that was holding, and okay, we'll call a holding, the Bengals still won that scoreboard. Alright? That, that's all I'd say. But yeah, I think that's a little bit of, uh,


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[Assistant] Trying to think, I mean, the Panthers that year is Jericho Cotry, Teddy Ginn, Greg Olson was probably their best receiver, right?


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[Assistant] That's exactly right. That's exactly right. And in some ways, I would tell you that, you know, the Panthers had probably a better run blocking offensive line. So at least do that. They didn't have a great all-line. But yea, that's another example of a quarterback, yes, his physical attributes


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[Assistant] Or what making the team go a little bit, or at least that side of the ball. It's funny how all of a sudden people are starting to realize this a little, right? Have you noticed the sway a little bit?


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[Assistant] You know, I, I felt like it was like, oh, Josh Allen, he didn't beat Joe Burrow, blah, blah, blah. And I, I don't know, again, you know, I'm just going by kind of little things I see on social media or, you know, like the highlight shows and stuff like that where I feel like people started to finally, like, go, like, you know, maybe Buffalo


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[Assistant] Nobody else in football wanted them, but they're on this team and they're playing, right? It's not because they're so, they're so talented. They just wanted some extra cool guys. Hey, we need a cool white guy and a cool black guy receiver just to be cool. No, they needed them.


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[Assistant] So yeah, I'm glad people are recognizing that. Yeah, here's some of the other names.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well this is one where, you know, I think you can chalk it up to go, like, Mike LaFord doesn't realize what he doesn't know about, he doesn't realize what he doesn't realize, or I don't know if I wanted to say that yet, he doesn't know what he doesn't know. I'm butchering that I think all together, but either way, yeah, I just think that


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[Assistant] Know how to sell plays, are creative, know how to attack rules of a defense, and I just feel like, you know, Lefleur was a little bit more of just like, hey, this is a cool play, we're gonna call it, hey, this is a cool play, and there was no rhyme or reason to it at times.


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[Assistant] I also think, hey, really great offensive coordinators a lot of the times, they hide some of their secrets. Like, when I was in New England, and McDaniels on a Monday, okay, we're done evaluating the prior game, and now it's Monday and Tuesday, and we're gonna, it's time for the new game plan, right? Josh McDaniels went in his room and locked the door.


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[Assistant] He wasn't like, hey, receiver coach, hey, but come in here and let me show you how all my tricks of how I come up to screw over this defense we're going to play next week, right? He would just come out with a game plan.


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[Assistant] And I'm, you know, again, these guys are smart. They are realizing, wait, I'm a good coach, so somebody's going to want this guy to be the coach. Do I really want to let him know everything?


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[Assistant] I think there's an aspect of that that goes along with it, let alone Shanahan's special. You know, just because he worked for him, it's like, just because you play backup quarterback, do you become, you know, for Tom Brady, do you become Tom Brady? No. You know, it's the reason Shanahan's Shanahan.


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[Assistant] Hey, JetsJoe73, is that Joe Kleko over there? That's big Joe Kleko. Maybe. Uh, but I don't think, um, I do think it's, I, I feel like this is, I have no inside knowledge here, but I do feel like this is going to be a thing here. I just,


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[Assistant] I think they're a team that looks at themselves and goes, we're ready. And they can't rely on Zach Wilson for all the obvious reasons.


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[Assistant] Rogers, the Nathaniel Hackett, you know, combination there, uh, I think is gonna be intriguing. And I don't know, I just...


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[Assistant] Reading between the lines, it gets a sense that Green Bay does kind of seem like they're ready to move on. So we'll see where to go. Just, I found even kind of funny with Rodgers kind of bringing up the, you know, it seems like there's trade chatter going on without me. Right? That was kind of funny. He made a comment yesterday. Um, but yes, I think, I'm not ready to say Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Hey, the jets are, they're real damn close, that's for sure. And Rogers certainly would be able to take them to a place they have


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[Assistant] Well, if he was, he wasn't that good looking. Okay? Cause I don't remember him.


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[Assistant] I'm trying to think of what Josh, what guy Josh Wilson would it be. I, I mean, I had a few nice... Oh! Did you run into this guy a lot? I did run into that guy. You did? I did. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] Hey Josh. Hey Josh. You are good looking. You're right. But you just slightly lost the good looking award. I do. I recognize him.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs have a lot of those guys, right? We've talked about the Jaguars a lot, and of course that's why I pick them to win every game the whole year. Uhm, right? But the Chiefs, that was the thing, and I don't know if I actually said this to you or not, I don't think we got to do a pod and really discuss this.


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[Assistant] The look of their team was so different than when the last time I saw them two years ago. And that was because Orlando Brown, who's in the conversation for the biggest human being you'll ever see in your life,


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[Assistant] Joe Tooney being there, right? That changes the look of their team. Creed Humphrey at center, right? So none of these guys were there two years ago. And then even Wyatt Smith at right guard. He wasn't there. So that


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[Assistant] Juju is a way bigger human being than people realize. Okay? And then, Chris Jones is a giant. He's the best looking six, six and a half, three hundred and forty pound guy you've ever seen in your life. And here's two guys that to me really stood out.


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[Assistant] That made me look at them differently. And they're going to have to be special in the Super Bowl. The two linebackers, William Gay and Bolton. They're bigger human beings than they look like on the football field.


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[Assistant] Taller and thicker in person. And of course they're extremely explosive.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but yeaah, they got the look. They really do. And then when you add in the two rookie corners who are both like praying mantis at 6'3", they're just, they're an impressive looking team. Are they impressive as a team they're going to be playing? No, maybe not.


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[Assistant] He's a good player. He's had a great career. You know, he's one of those guys that yeah, he's not going to go to the hall of fame. You know, he's one of those guys, 15 years from now, we're going to go, Oh damn, yeah, Carlos down there, he was a good player, right? Legend of the sport, but, um, and, and really can do it all.


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[Assistant] Hey, one of the reasons they won that game is because of the Chiefs D line. I mean, they were, they were dominant at times and harassed Burrow, stopped the run game. He's good at both. And that was good for him, getting a little payback. They didn't pay him a few years ago. I think he was a little disgruntled about it.


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[Assistant] So that was, uh, good to see that happen for him, but yeaah, he was, he was apparently, you know another guy I want to give a little love to, like we know some of the stars, but also, uhm, what is it, Mike Dana, is that right? Mike Dana, right? 51? Yeaah. He, he was also,


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[Assistant] Phenomenal in the football game. Those to me were like kind of the under the radar Dunlap and Dana were the two under the radar leg.


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[Assistant] Like wow, did they pop up a lot during the game? Might not have got the tackle or the sack, but were around and disrupted and did all those good stuff.


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[Assistant] That was like, he took it personal with that game. I was like, wait, I'm not going to let these guys block me. These backups, like I'm going to take over. That's not going to happen.


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[Assistant] Another key aspect of the game and he's gonna have to be crucial in this one once again.


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[Assistant] He is. You know, maybe one of the best advantages they have as far as O-line on D-line is him versus Isaac Suomulo at right guard. That might be their weak link if there is one with the Eagles offense line. We know how good they are across the board.


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[Assistant] Always. I mean, it's not, you know, my favorite thing in the world, honestly. There's been some quarterback MVPs over the last few years where I'd go, no, that's wrong. That should not be that. Just cause he's the quarterback does not mean he was the most valuable player. But, you know, uh, yeah, the two quarterbacks, of course, if I had to go after that though,


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[Assistant] I think the guy that I think would be next most likely, I would probably say AJ Brown.


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[Assistant] AJ Brown would be the guy where I could see, like, oh, the Chiefs, they gotta do all these crazy things in the defense, they're worried about the run game, all that, and he just goes off with...


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[Assistant] You know, a historic performance, one on one jump balls, catching slants and breaking tackles and running for 50 yards. He'd be one that certainly jumps out to me in this equation. And then, you know, after that, how could you not think about Travis Kelsey as well? Kind of along those same lines. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Right? So he won it that year against the Raiders. He had the two interceptions on Rich Gannon kind of early on in the football game. So it's been 12 quarterbacks, five wide receivers, two linebackers. Two linebackers. Wow. Okay, wait, wait, hold on. Two linebackers. Who are the two? So you have...


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[Assistant] Well, you have the Seahawks guy. Malcolm Smith. Hold on, hold on, oh, hold on. I'm missing s-


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[Assistant] I know, I'm missing somebody here from the recent years that I'm not...


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[Assistant] Oh, Von Miller. Von Miller, right. Yes, Von Miller is the other LB, right? Alright, then you have five wide receivers.


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[Assistant] Wow. Since that's Super Bowl, so Dion Branch and Edelman are two right off the bat.


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[Assistant] Who's, oh, Cooper Cup last year. Yeah. Yeah. There we go. All right. Good. That was good research, Pete. I love when you do little stuff like that.


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[Assistant] So say you bet $100 on a wide receiver to win Superbowl MVP. Bet MGM also lets you bet on positions for the award. If you win, you'll get $700, but if you lose, you will still get $100 worth of free bets. You might not get your voice back though.


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[Assistant] I think so, especially, you know, a lot, a lot of, not a lot of people went out, I don't even want to say a limb, as everybody got scared of the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Right, so I was one of the, well I had the 49ers winning it before the year, yes, against the Eagles.


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[Assistant] I would love to know out of those 18 who had the Chiefs winning it all, right, out of the 24, if they would still pick that today, right? Where they have Chiefs Eagles, Super Bowl, 24 of them, 18 have picked the Chiefs. Would those 18 still pick the Chiefs today?


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[Assistant] I thought I even saw two and a half. Alright, so that's cool. Well, that to me would sign that none of the injuries are that critical with the cheese, that they should be close to 100% across the board. That's true. It's TBD.


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[Assistant] We'll break down some of the other aspects of the game in the, uh, what the F will happen podcast. Yeah, so we're done. We're done. We get to go home now. Peace. Or not.


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[Assistant] We'll see, we got lots of stuff going on, but everybody stay tuned.


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[Assistant] Right, it's usually when I rerun from our 7 to 9 show, but because we're on the west coast, it'll be 1 to 3. We're gonna release things and interviews throughout the week.


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[Assistant] You know, under the Chris Sims Unbuttoned podcast, it'll be interviews with players and whoever else. I wish you were gonna be there with me. I know, me too. I mean, it would be cool. Uhm, but we are gonna get to do our Super Bowl breakdown together. That'll be cool nonetheless. But please, uh, send out questions you wanna ask me. Questions you might want me to ask people that you think I might talk to at the Super Bowl. I'm up for anything, but everybody be good.


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching, homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] One of my all time favorite movies, Hell or High Water. You know what? I don't think I've ever seen that movie. You liked it? Like it's a good one?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I got you there. It's, uh, it makes sense. And that is a, that's one that, you know, I hear you're like pretty famous for your...


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[Assistant] You know, you're pretty good at reliving old movies, doing that from time to time, bringing up something. I go, oh damn, I haven't seen that one in forever. Uh, I give you credit for that. That's one I need to be a little bit better at. Maybe put some background movies on in my life just to kind of keep track and see the funny scenes from time to time.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's, that's the million dollar question is just, you know, yeah, teams that got it sold or sewed up. How invested are they?


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[Assistant] Got some question marks and I starred here cause I'm not exactly sure who's playing, what the attitude of the team is and the lines that we are seeing here don't necessarily reflect some of the things that are being said in the media about teams playing too, which makes it dicey and scary as well.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm, I'm, I'm gonna, like, this is one where, uh, I know the Chiefs are favored by nine and a half. I know the Chiefs, I'm gonna say, are gonna win. Yes, yes, for sure.


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[Assistant] But nine and a half for this scenario and everything there? I don't know. I just feel like it's a little much. I think that's what I'm, I'm, I'm worried about. I mean the Chiefs, yea Patrick Mahomes never lost to a team in the AFC West. I'm not going to pick it to happen this weekend. I'm not.


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[Assistant] The way the Chiefs have kind of, for lack of a better way, bullshitted on the offensive side of the ball as of late.


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[Assistant] You know, I like a lot of how they look, their physicality, their speed.


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[Assistant] But there's like a lack of attention to detail and...


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[Assistant] And, you know, the thing we've talked about before, just the...


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[Assistant] The consistent, let me just keep the pressure on the gas pedal and go. We've seen the last two, three weeks, they've kind of fallen in the trap of, oh, we're going to win this game. Oh, we can coast through this quarter.


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[Assistant] Whatever else. And I feel like some of that's gonna get infused into the game Saturday night. Yeah, there's the motivation of the one seed and all that, but they're also gonna look at it and go, ah, we're better than the Raiders. We can beat them with a hand tied behind our back.


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[Assistant] And I think the Raiders are one of those teams, Mike, that I'll classify as, I think are trying to finish something strong here.


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[Assistant] They're trying to, you know, build for next year. And I think they got a quarterback with the Jared Sydenham thing that adds a little extra motivation to show like, hey, it's Derek Carr was part of the issue here this year. Look at what he's doing here. I'm going to take Chiefs 28-24 in this one. I think Raiders hang around a little longer than they'd like.


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[Assistant] Yeah, listen, maybe I need to take your approach a little bit more. You are beating my ass. So, uh, there's not much I can say there, but to your point, it is a tough week. It is. And one, I feel like just you and me personally,


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[Assistant] Have thought about the games less this week because of everything that happened on Monday night and we've done been packing that. So it's weird. And like, I feel like I'm just starting to form a little pasta and meatballs in the gut here. Cause it's just like, Oh, well, I'm just changing my thoughts from tomorrow Hamlin and how we're getting over that.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I, I think there's that aspect to throw in this with also the meaning of the game to some teams, the meaningless part of the game to other teams. And then of course, the Damar Hamlin just hovering over the whole NFL. It's a huge curve ball for this week.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I am gonna go with the Jaguars. I am. I mean, but I think this game could be...


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[Assistant] To sit here and think that just because it's Joshua Dobbs that this is going to be some blowout football game. All right. I mean, I'm going to tell you the score right now. I'm going to pick the Jaguars 24 to 13.


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[Assistant] But I kind of envision it being, like, somewhat close for a little while. The Jaguars maybe getting a late touchdown to kind of put the game away.


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[Assistant] But one, I mean the Jaguars, their defense, we know it's had issues the whole year. It's not one of the better units in football.


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[Assistant] The Titans really ran the ball at will on the Jaguars, the first meeting. And then because of turnovers, they got behind and they had to kind of abandon the game plan and start throwing the ball a little bit. So that hurt them.


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[Assistant] But Joshua Dobbs, as compared to Malik Willis, does give them a little bit more of a drop back pass game, you know, effect.


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[Assistant] And he's played a little bit and got more experience. He's just more polished as a passer and a pocket passer right now.


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[Assistant] But I think ultimately between Joshua Dobbs, you know, lack of.


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[Assistant] You know, options of me seeing them making plays in the passing game a whole lot. And then the Jaguars just being one of the hotter teams in football and Tennessee's pass defense, not that great as we know.


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[Assistant] And really the Jaguars are starting to ride the hot right arm of Trevor Lawrence and just go, Hey, screw it. We're coming at you with him and he's going to throw lasers all over the field. Uh, I'm going with the Jaguars 24 13.


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[Assistant] It's just, it's, they're all scary, it looks like. And Mike, you know, you know how you always talk, I wouldn't be surprised if Tennessee made this really close. I kind of feel like with Vrabel in Tennessee, the way you do with like the Steelers and Mike Tomlin.


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[Assistant] Just when you start to go, oh shit, they can't do it, this is over. They come out with some game plan and show a toughness about them. They kinda have that element.


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[Assistant] That's where I like, I wouldn't be surprised even with your 24 16. I wouldn't be surprised if we're sitting there in five minutes left in the game and it's 17 to 16 Jaguars and they got to go down and put the game away. You know, Tennessee's controlled the clock and played that type of game and maybe got one turnover and all of a sudden we're going, Holy cow. Are they really going to?


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[Assistant] You know, Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars with Josh Dobbs, I think they can make that scary interesting. I wouldn't want to bet on this game, is guess what I'm saying, ultimately.


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[Assistant] Bills are clearly better, we know that. Patriots defense did a pretty damn good job on them in their first meeting. I watched back that game on Tuesday and was really impressed with a lot of the things the Patriots did.


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[Assistant] One thing the Patriots, you know, in my opinion, you know, they're sound, we know that.


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[Assistant] They do a lot of the things the right way. I wish they would take a few more calculated risks.


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[Assistant] To, you know, force a play on the defensive side of the ball and, and lately, hey, their defense has been making big plays. They've been scoring touchdowns and causing turnovers and doing that. I think it's going to take that, at least one of those type of turnover, short field, whatever, to keep the game close and to keep them in it.


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[Assistant] I will say that. You know, they got the one turnover with the Uche sack the first time around. Their defense played great.


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[Assistant] But my point, Mike, is like, you know, against the Burroughs, Mahomes, and Allens of the world, just playing sound and mixing up the coverages, that ain't enough. That's just not enough for those crew, those guys.


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[Assistant] You gotta do some of the unexpected, and like, you haven't seen this on film, or we're gonna take a chance here and do a little bit of a crazy blitz, and man, if you call this one play, yeah, we're gonna be screwed.


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[Assistant] But we're going to take our chance and that you don't call that play here. And man, we got a 10 yard loss or a sack, whatever it may be. They're going to have to do that because I don't think their offense can consistently move the ball on the Bills. It was, they're better than they were the first time around, but man, their offense was totally shut down by the Bills the first time.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go, the game's a little closer because of the emotions and the Demar Hamlin, uh, Bills 21 Patriots 17.


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[Assistant] No, and you know, I think a lot of it is swayed on just that quarterback thing there. I kinda like Skyler Thompson too.


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[Assistant] I do. And I think you now you give them a full week of practice to be the starter and all that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think he, they can play a style and a game that they're still efficient and can be explosive on the offensive side of the ball, the Miami Dolphins. Another game I went back and watched, uh, on Tuesday, their, their first matchup, I believe it was week five, right? The game was 1917 with Skyler Thompson.


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[Assistant] In the game, with ten minutes left in the fourth quarter. The Jets finally got a short field from, you know, just playing the field position game, got a touchdown, and then the wheels fell off on the Dolphins. He, you know, they had a few turnovers. So the score is misleading that way.


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[Assistant] You know, Miami is playing for something and with the weak of Skyler Thompson too, they're going to formulate the right way to attack the Jets defense. They ran the ball very well against the Jets defense the first time around. Again, they kind of probably ran it more and I think they will now with Skyler Thompson.


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[Assistant] And hey, he is a good athlete. The RPO game won't be as good, but it'll be there for sure.


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[Assistant] And their defense, you know, it's still talented and dangerous and the Jets offense is not, can't run the ball and they're, they're pretty much, you know, they're going to throw the ball and they're not great at protecting.


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[Assistant] So, I'm going with the Dolphins in this one. I don't give a shit who's a quarterback here. And you talk about the Jets are one of those teams I go, I'm not so sure how hard they're gonna play this week.


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[Assistant] It's been a meltdown here towards the end. And last week was bad. And I just think this could be the week where they just go like, ah man, I can't believe we didn't make the playoffs. And it's kind of one of those. So I'm going Miami 23-20, Mike.


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[Assistant] I think this is gonna be close. I'm gonna go a little bit here on the other end of this spectrum. I am.


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[Assistant] I didn't think I would do this. I mean, listen, when these, when I first started these games Sunday, I just went, Oh man, Skylar Thompson, the Jets are probably going to win that. And you know, right away I went, Oh man, Steelers at home, Browns, they're going to win that too. Oh, okay. But I don't know. I,


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[Assistant] The Browns are one of those teams that I'm going to say, yea, they're playing for nothing, but not really. I think they're kind of riding the wave of them playing better football as of late. And they're riding the wave of like, we'd like to finish the year strong with Deshaun Watson because we plan on being a player in the AFC next year when he's hitting on all cylinders and gets another off season under his belt. I think they're going to be able to run.


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[Assistant] You know, they're gonna be able to run on the Steelers because I don't think the Steelers, you can't play the defense you did last week against Baltimore. They can't play everybody at the line of scrimmage. You know, Cleveland starts showing, there's a little passing game you gotta worry about. You can't just leave Amari Cooper with Deshaun Watson one on one. They're gonna make some plays. I'm gonna go with the upset here.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go, with the way the Browns' defense has played lately, I'm gonna take the Browns in a shocking field goal type win. 20-17 on this one, Mike. And again, I don't feel comfortable about this. This is a pasta and meatballs, Chris Sims, uh, edition here.


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[Assistant] If we didn't have Monday night, I'd go the Bengals are gonna dominate this game.


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[Assistant] You know, Tyler Huntley, you know, questionable or not 100%.


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[Assistant] When DJ Reader's on the field, nobody runs the ball on the Bengals. I haven't seen anybody do it yet. Ain't gonna do it. I'd have a hard time thinking that the Ravens are just gonna be able to rely on that. Let alone, we know the Bengals are good in the secondary and that Raven's offense, even if you do overcommit to stop the run,


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[Assistant] There's nobody to be worried about at receiver. And they can play them man to man and stop them that way.


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[Assistant] They're kind of rolling. That didn't look good for the Bills defense early. It kind of looked like, whoa, are the Bengals just going to march up and down the field on them? I think they're feeling themselves. This would be maybe a best bet for me if it weren't for Monday night. I'm just a little not sure about the Bengals and their mindset.


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[Assistant] But the Ravens who like to play zone, you know, and do all that, you can't do that anymore against the Bangos. You've heard me say that. He'll pick it apart. And then playing man's scary too. They don't have a great pass rush with the Ravens. I'm gonna go Bangos 28-13. Uhm, and it might be a best bet. I got a star next to it.


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[Assistant] Oh, Mike, real quick, real quick question, you know, because it is interesting, and I don't know the answer to this, so I'm kind of at, you know, the Chargers and the Ravens, right? They could flip-flop in the standings, right? I mean, if, if, if the Chargers lost and the Ravens won, well obviously that would happen.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so, okay, and, and yeah, alright, so, so that's, that's where, you know, there is some incentive there, like, where if I'm Baltimore or the Chargers, I'd go...


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[Assistant] You know, yeah, I think I'd rather go play Jacksonville and Trevor Lawrence there than have to deal with maybe Joe Burrow again the next week. You know, that, that's, that's something to think about here in this whole process.


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[Assistant] What do you think? I gotta think that's a little bit, you know, on their mind, right? Just to get, let's get one good game, positive game, get things going in the right way here before we're in the playoff rounds the next week.


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[Assistant] So I don't think this is a team that's just gonna like sit back and be unmotivated that way. Plus it's a, it's a team in the Bears that, you know, yea, like you've said it, Tank or, you know.


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[Assistant] They're obviously worried about next year. This is one of those teams, especially with Justin Fields not playing, where I'd go, they just want the year to be over. And the Vikings are gonna work on, yeaah, regaining some momentum and some mojo there. But without Justin Fields,


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[Assistant] You know, I just don't see the Bears being able to consistently move the ball, and the Bears defense just, you know, just not all that good right now. There's lack of talent there, and I'm gonna take the Vikings 24-14.


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[Assistant] No, I mean, you know, the, the, the line tells me itself that it's, and this is a team that the Bucks, I guess, and, you know, they're, that's where it's confusing.


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[Assistant] Cause they, they kind of said that they were going to play, but the Bucs is a, they're a team that's just getting healthy. So I have a hard time thinking that they're going to really go in and all in on play. I can see this being a game where they play just a few series and they're out here. All right.


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[Assistant] Oh, so I'm taking the favor. That's right. I'm so confused that they're minus four, so I'm still gonna take them to win then. Screw it. I'm gonna go that way. I don't care. I have no feel for this.


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[Assistant] The Saints, the Saints have kind of, you know, playing good football. Their defense has been great. I think the Panthers will be a, it's a letdown week that they lost last week. They're out of it. And then I think the Saints, Dennis Allen, he's trying to kind of do something positive for next year and do that. So I'm going to go to Saints here, 20 to 13.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take the Texans. The Texans, they've fought every week here. I mean, they haven't given anybody a free pass. Let alone, I think the Colts are just a dead horse. They're done. They don't, they want to go home and get out of here. Uhm, so I'm gonna take the Texans and just what they've shown as of late, 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Okay, I'll take it. Good day there. I was there. That was a good day in January of 1991. Giants. Uh, I take that ring out of Dad's closet every now and then and check him out. Uhm.


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[Assistant] This is like, it is, the Broncos I do think are trying to end on a positive note and build a little positive vibes about Russell Wilson here.


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[Assistant] Towards the end and I'm with you. I mean, I'm, I'm playing the Ravens lost in Cincinnati and I think that's going to result in the chargers and Justin Herbert may be playing a few series and then it's see you later. So I'm going to go Broncos. I'm going to have them cover and I'm going to say they went 16 to 13.


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[Assistant] That's what we got to do. We're getting ready. We're refocusing. Not going to let that 61 yard field goal shamrock up your ass beat us this time. We're coming for your ass for you. All right. But no, um, I, of course, yes, I'm done. I'm done. I'm picking the Eagles. They have motivation that I think they're going to play this throughout again, because they got to, you know, they're going to have a two week break after this.


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[Assistant] And they haven't played their best football as of late either. Anyways, so I think they're going to be motivated by a number of things here.


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[Assistant] Like, you know, with the Giants, yeah, I think you got to be careful about how this game looks a little bit, right? I wouldn't want to keep my starters out there too long. And then all of a sudden we're down 31 to seven and that's how we're going into the playoffs. Like, Hey guys, we're in the playoffs and Hey starters, we got our ass whooped today, but next week we're in the playoffs. I think you got to worry about that a little bit.


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[Assistant] To where I think I would almost just, uh, I must want to play one or two series. I don't even want to see how this game is going to unfold. So I can just keep telling my players, you know, if we play them again, we can get them. So I'm going to go 31 14 Eagles.


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[Assistant] Hey, yeah, there were a team that played the Titans last week, didn't really have to put the pedal to the metal here.


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[Assistant] I gotta think, uh, I think they're just gonna try to end the season on a good note, positive vibes, everybody playing good.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think they will be scoreboard watching here, right?


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[Assistant] Uh, to a degree if they look up and the, the giant, the Eagles are up 31 to seven.


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[Assistant] And I could see them going, oh, it's halfway through the third quarter, hey guys, get out, whatever, let's start waiting for the playoffs. But I still think that the starters are going to play enough of a, you know, significant role into this, so where I'm not just going to say, oh, they're going to lose. And then also too, like,


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[Assistant] The commanders are just, to me, it's, it's, they're one of the teams that would go, I just think it's over. I think it's just, there's been, you know, the quarterback turmoil, a year of owner dysfunction, everything. It's just been a drama. And now we're going to the third string rookie quarterback to where I think the veterans locker room would be like, ah.


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[Assistant] All right. Well, it'd be cool when this game's over and this, you know, we can rest up here. I'm going to go Cowboys, 27-13.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I hear you there, Mike. I'm not too far off of you. I'm going to go 31-13 here. I don't know if the 49ers will play the whole game, but I think they'll play a significant amount to where, yeah, they want to get the defense back, sort it out.


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[Assistant] They were exposed in some areas last week with some of the things the Raiders did.


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[Assistant] I would agree with that and I think they want to continue to, you know, get Brock Purdy meaningful reps and keep that offense rolling that way. Yeah, I think you're going to see just an incredible initial surge dominance maybe into the third quarter.


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[Assistant] And the game's over and then they start to take guys out and worry about the next week there. But, uh, I'm, I'm with you. 31 13 Niners.


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[Assistant] I think this is a little scary for the Seahawks. I don't think this is like, oh, just slam dunk. One, I think the Rams are one of those teams that we're talking about that will play and fight here. You know, Baker Mayfield's playing for something. I think they have a coach that's like that. And I think they're a team that kind of


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[Assistant] We know that too. And they gave the Seahawks problems the first time. And that was with John Wolf for the quarterback. I mean the Seahawks had to go on a last second drive to win the game. And threw a touchdown pass with what, 25 seconds left? Something like that. I'm, I'm gonna take Seattle to win.


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[Assistant] I think the, the Rams hang around in this one. I'm going to go 24-20 Seattle.


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[Assistant] Well I agree with everything you said with the Lions. Like, you know, Seattle win or lose, I don't think it's going to affect them to the point where everybody thinks it is.


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[Assistant] You know, there's a part of me too that just make them more loose and go out there and go, Oh damn, we weren't going to call this flea flicker in this situation, but we'll call it now. So what, you know, we can't lose the game or not go to the playoffs because of this. You know, there is something to that. Yeah. The pressure is on the Packers there. Um, I do think.


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[Assistant] That this is gonna be a game about throwing the football. I will. I will say that. You know, it's another game I went back and watched Mike, their first matchup. I believe that was week nine, right? Uhm.


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[Assistant] And, and the one thing that jumped out to me, one was that was when the Packers offense was struggling, right?


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[Assistant] Rogers was not playing good football. About as bad a football as I've ever seen him play during that period. And that game might have been in the worst game I've ever seen him play. I mean, he threw two interceptions on the one yard line. Threw another one when they were in, you know, red zone fringe. Should have been a touchdown.


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[Assistant] Late to throw it through behind the guy. Left plays in yards all over the field. Was really one of those games where I went back and I went, he should have thrown for 450 yards and four touchdowns in this game.


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[Assistant] Now, I don't think they're gonna make the same mistake this time. And Christian Watson and Romeo Dobbs are more of a part of the equation. Watson was not a part of the equation at that point.


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[Assistant] So that changes the dynamic there. They couldn't run the ball all that well in Detroit. Detroit in the middle of their defense is stout. If you're gonna run the ball, it's on the edge. I think they're gonna play defenses to kind of sell out.


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[Assistant] To stop the run. I do. And I just think Green Bay is going to be forced to go, okay, we got to throw it. And I think they're going to be able to throw it with success against this Lions team.


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[Assistant] The other side of the ball, I almost see it the same way, Mike. The Packers totally sold out to stop the Lions run the first time.


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[Assistant] Six, eight, nine guys at the line of scrimmage a lot of the time during the game. They had a good feel for the pass game, but I felt like the Lions relied on the run game a little too much. I think this is a game where the ball goes into both of the quarterback's hands and they go, we're going to win it with the passing game. And I'm going to take Ryan Rogers because of that. I think with his weapons, that bad Detroit pass defense,


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[Assistant] In Green Bay, I'm gonna take them 28-24.


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[Assistant] I won't either. You know, the Lions offense, it's got answers for everything. I was shocked.


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[Assistant] And played it in a way in the back end where even though they had a lot of people, they obviously had a good feel for the Lions passing game. That's the one thing that jumped out to me.


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[Assistant] Where they were comfortable like, wait, we can play Blitz and cover three and we know who's going where and we can play it that way. But I would think Ben Johnson and them have some answers for what they, how they were played that first time around. And I'm, I'm expecting some, some big time air yards in this one. I think it could be fun to watch.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm gonna go, uh, my first one is I'm gonna take the Raiders on Saturday. I am. I just think it's too, nine and a half points is too much for me. It's a Chiefs team that's kind of been bullshitting as of late.


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[Assistant] Too much. And I think the Raiders are trying to finish strong and, you know, prove that Derek Carr moving on for him was the right thing. I'm going to take the Raiders to cover that nine and a half spread.


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[Assistant] I don't like this, but I'm going to take the bangos as well. I'm there. I thought about maybe taking the Patriots to cover the spread. I thought about the Cowboys a little bit. I just don't trust it all the way those two games. So I'm going bangos to cover this spread against the Ravens as well. I'm with you, Mike.


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching, homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] You know, you know one thing I realized last night, I was doing some research on past stories as I was doing my latest copy paste snarky comment. Right. I tripped over a video of us from five years ago. Oh my gosh. You were young. Right. And I was fat. You couldn't have been that fat.


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[Assistant] I don't either until I watch that video. Thanks. I was young though, huh? You had a lot more hair. A lot more hair? Yea, yea. You're doing your best, you're doing your best to guide what's there to cover spots where it isn't.


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[Assistant] It's funny, it has moved some over the years, and I decided at one point that I'm just gonna let nature take its course, just let it go good. Every once in a while though when I get out of my house where the lighting does not reveal how gray it is, like I'll see return here and I'll think, hey, who's that old dude on set? Oh shit, it's me. It is.


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[Assistant] Once, once the grey is out of the bottle, the grey stays. You cannot undo the grey.


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[Assistant] Like, you're not fooling anybody. I mean, you're 73 and your hair's jet black. And you have jet black hair. I mean, good lord. Alright.


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[Assistant] Let's get to it before we name names. This is the PFTPM Chris Sims Joint Collaboration. You have been great in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] What the hell? Thank God you didn't find your groove until it was... There's jet black hair when it really was jet black hair. Thank God you didn't find your groove sooner or you would have kicked my ass. You have been 11-1 in the postseason straight up.


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[Assistant] Seven and four against the spread. Four and one best bets. Unbelievable. But I still have a half game lead and it'll come down to this. How do we have best bats in one game? There is no best bet. There's no worst bet.


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[Assistant] I think we're going to agree too. I have a feeling we're going on the same path. We spent all week together. We have a pretty good idea where we're leaning on this one and that's what we're going to be doing today. All odds provided by BetMGM. Let's just get right into it. The line started at Kansas City minus one and a half over the Eagles.


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[Assistant] Then it went to Philadelphia minus two and a half. It is settled in at the Eagles as one and a half point favorites. So they can't wear their dog masks. They can't call themselves underdogs. They can't have a chip on their shoulder. That plays into the Chiefs hands just like in the AFC Championship when I should have seen it coming. Now that game could have gone either way. Of course it could have. But once it ended and they just unleashed


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[Assistant] That vitriol that made it clear they were paying attention to all the talk about burrowhead, all the talk about the Bengals, the Chiefs were motivated by the fact that they were underdogs and they're gonna be motivated by it in this one.


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[Assistant] And think about this, the Eagles were here five years ago and they do have some common threads, but not many. The Chiefs have a lot back to two years ago. They have guys who know what this week is like, know what this routine is like, know what it's like to have a 25 minute halftime.


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[Assistant] There are just advantages that come through being experienced. And you've got a guy in Patrick Mahomes who is determined to get to number two, who is determined to carry the team as far as he possibly can. Nothing against Jalen Hurts and the Eagles because I think the Eagles are


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[Assistant] Deserving of being here. Of course. They are a great team top to bottom. What they've done defensively and offensively this year is spectacular. But to me that, that, that just


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[Assistant] That the Chiefs, and having gone through difficult games to get here, and it's just, there's something about, you can see the look on Patrick Mahomes' face, there's a determination when you combine that with his talent, it makes him unstoppable.


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[Assistant] We'll rattle off a few of them. I'm curious now, what are they? Because it sounds like you've got plenty of data points you're relying upon in advance of your inevitable pick.


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[Assistant] And this just makes me convinced that at the end of the day, and we see, almost every single game comes down to moments, plays.


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[Assistant] What happens here? And the impact that has on the game. What happens in this one? And who makes the play? Who steps up? Or is there an unlucky bounce or a bad call? Because for every bad call, there's a good call on the other side. Somebody who benefits when they shouldn't have. And I hope a bad call slash good call doesn't decide this game. But I could see it. I see where you're coming from. I still


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[Assistant] I still believe in the Chiefs, but there is a path that is not implausible. I mean, the Eagles are favored for a reason. They are, when you look at position by position and stack them all up, you would say they're the better team, but there are intangibles that I think


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[Assistant] New England, Seattle was a pick'em. There was no favorite. And four and nine against the spread over the last thirteen. It, it, look.


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[Assistant] When you get to this level, both teams deserve to be here. Both teams are good. Both, there haven't been any fluky teams that have slipped through the cracks in recent years and gotten to the Super Bowl. Right. Other than the Eagles, and they won it. Even though they were the 1C, there was a sense that it was just


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[Assistant] Blowouts that were boring as hell. And I think that neither team is gonna give up early if they fall behind. I'd be more concerned about the Eagles if they fall behind than the Chiefs. Chiefs fall behind they'll find a way. Eagles fall behind it could fall apart.


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[Assistant] Wow. I always go with the score that just kind of...


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[Assistant] Chiefs win, and obviously we think the Chiefs cover because of the fact that they are currently the underdogs. What's the over-under game, over-under on this game? It's 50.5. Right.


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[Assistant] That's a good over under, because I really don't know which way I'd go. I feel a hair over, but it could easily go under. You have it over by a point and a half.


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[Assistant] I feel like if the Eagles win, they're going to win by seven to ten or more. Right. And if it's a close game, the Chiefs are going to win. And I think the Chiefs, I think the least likely outcome is the Chiefs win a blowout. They just don't


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[Assistant] They don't blow people out. They didn't cover against the Jaguars. No. And I feel like if it's going to be close, it favors them.


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[Assistant] And if it's the Eagles, it's, it, there's a chance.


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[Assistant] We'll know early on if Mahomes can get it done. If Mahomes just can't get it done against that defense, then fine, I stand corrected, all bets are off, and the Eagles win the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] The 49ers tied it up with the Christian McCaffrey touchdown and it was 7-7. The Eagles just kind of settled in right down the field, score the touchdown, then get the ball back, score another one, and it just feels like a backbreaker. Yes. And that's what they can do to you. They can get two touchdowns just like that and you're done. If the Chiefs win, it'll be the first time


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[Assistant] The regular season MVP, which undoubtedly will be Patrick Mahomes when they announce it on Thursday night.


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[Assistant] First time since Kurt Warner in 1999 for the double dip.


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[Assistant] Let me back up a step. The AP MVP has lost 8 straight Super Bowls.


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[Assistant] During that 23 window, which is just incredible. But there it is. It's been a long, long time.


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[Assistant] Since 1999 season when the Rams won after Kurt Warner came out of nowhere as the replacement for Trent Green because Rodney Harrison hit him low in a preseason game and I remember thinking what are the Rams gonna do and Dick Vermeer's gonna get fired and they're gonna be terrible and off they


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[Assistant] Another example of Andy Reid being willing to give that opportunity to somebody who's had struggles elsewhere. He'll embrace talent. He'll work with talent.


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[Assistant] And, you know, maybe it never would have worked there because OBJ would want the ball more, et cetera, et cetera. That's the great thing about the Chiefs right now, that culture. There's nobody complaining for the ball publicly or privately. Last year it wasn't public, it was private with Tyree Kill. This year they're all content with the roles, we talked about that earlier in the week, and I just think it makes a huge difference for the, uh,


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[Assistant] I was distracted. There's Tuco Salamanca from Breaking Bad. Sorry, I couldn't. I usually don't lose my concentration, but you never know when you get your brains bashed in by Tuco as he slips by. Not to be confused with Tuco Ramirez from The Good Bad and The Ugly. Two great Tukos in American


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[Assistant] Alright, well we're gonna take a break and start looking around for more people that we will recognize or maybe we won't. Who knows?


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[Assistant] See you tomorrow and also PFT live. We'll be here again Thursday and Friday. Thanks for some of your time. We'll see you soon. See ya.


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[Assistant] See, I'm picturing this, this effort by Chris to recreate the scene in Elf where he tries to put the star on the top of the tree and ends up going just torso first into the middle of the tree.


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[Assistant] So you're gonna get high and drunk on Christmas Eve and pass out.


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[Assistant] What they need to do is get some blue silly string, because that's what they did to Todd Packer, the Office Christmas Party Season 2, the, the...


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[Assistant] What do they call that? Uh, I was just watching it recently when- Yankee Swap! YAAANKEE SWAP!


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[Assistant] Todd Packer shows up with mistletoe in a very strategically placed location and gets drunk off his ass and passes out and they spray silly string all over his head before they go to poor Richards for even more alcohol. That'll teach me. That's season two. That's season two. So I'm gonna send Danielle overnight


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[Assistant] Well game lead against the spread. You are clinging to a game and a half lead on the best bets. We were both one and two.


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[Assistant] Although I thought we were 2-1, I don't know, I can't remember. No, who saved us? Cincinnati saved us from going 0-3, thank you. Cincinnati bangles, as Chris would say. Or we would have both been 0-3 in best bets last week, yet again.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's get to it. You ready? Yeah, let's do it. 16 games. Crazy week. A lot of Saturday games.


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[Assistant] Three Sunday games, one Monday game, Thursday game. We'll start with Thursday Night Football. Jaguars at Jets.


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[Assistant] Weather, an issue. Zach Wilson against Trevor Lawrence. The line has moved. The Jets are now two point favorites against the Jaguars. Who do you like?


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[Assistant] I, uh, I don't know that you can see that. You probably can't. You also see my other scores. Jets 20 to 17. We spent way too much time working together.


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[Assistant] I feel about it the same way you do. The Jets need this one more than the Jaguars. I feel like the Jaguars understand at some level they can slip up and still have


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[Assistant] Robert Sala willing through his personality, the team to just get focused and do what needs to be done to be a Jaguars team that hasn't won three in a row since 2017, the year they almost went to the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] They've won two in a row, which is a major accomplishment given where that franchise has been in recent years, and they've been so up and down and all over the place, I just don't...


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[Assistant] 1pm Eastern, let's see if it lasts. 1pm Eastern, the Bills at the Bears.


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[Assistant] Eight and a half point favors, but 40.5 over under. Weather is going to be an issue. The bill's leaving a day early because it's going to be windy and it's going to be snowy and it's going to be cold and it's going to be miserable. Josh Allen throwing lasers through any and all conditions. Justin Fields running circles around people in any and all conditions.


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[Assistant] I assume you're gonna pick the Bills to win. The question is, do you pick the Bears to cover? Cause you said yourself on Sunday, anytime Justin Fields is playing, the Bears are gonna


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[Assistant] It's funny, yet again, we're on the same track, although the difference is, I've got the garbage time touched down for the Bears to make it 30-24. Somehow, someway, Justin Fields making something happen once the bills are up comfortably.


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[Assistant] On Saturday afternoon at Chicago, we both agree on that, we just disagree on who covers. I've got the Bears, you've got the Bills, but it just, it should be a fun game. You know, weather games are fun, unless they're three-nothing.


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[Assistant] You still want to see scoring. You want excitement. It's fun to see something that looks different than what we're used to, so we'll see what happens. 30-24 is my score.


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[Assistant] Atlanta Falcons at the Baltimore Ravens, Desmond Ritter start number two, Tyler Huntley still banged up.


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[Assistant] Shorter injury this time. Lamar Jackson still hasn't practiced after suffering that PCL injury in his knee a couple of weeks ago. The Ravens are 7 point favorites. After losing to the Browns last week, they're now a game behind.


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[Assistant] The Bengals, so they're going to want to keep pace with Cincinnati. Falcons still alive in the NFC South. The over under 35.5 another day where, another game where on a day that the weather is going to be bad pretty much in the entire Eastern part of the country. They're going to be playing outdoors in Baltimore. Do the Ravens win? Do the Ravens cover?


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[Assistant] I think if he's not practicing, he didn't practice yesterday, uh, or the day before. I mean, it's a Saturday game, so everything gets pushed back a day.


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[Assistant] I-I-I think that he's not gonna play. I'd be surprised if he does.


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[Assistant] Again, same page, same idea, 2110. I just think the Ravens understand that after pissing down their leg to use one of your favorite


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[Assistant] Two games behind the Bengals, they need to be in striking distance for week 18 in order to win that game and then win the division because they've already beaten the Bengals once before this year. So 21-10, I expect Tyler Huntley, I expect to see some


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[Assistant] Some, you know, better offensive play than what we saw. They had a bunch of weird little things happen that


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[Assistant] Speaking of the Bengals, they are at New England where Cincinnati is a 3.5 point favorite. The Patriots still reeling from whatever the hell that was that they tried to do in Las Vegas. 41.5 over-under. Bengals are looking better and better each week. They fell down 70. Nothing to them.


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[Assistant] So you have them winning, you have them covering. I'm putting more points on the board for this one. I just have a weird feeling that they're gonna find a way to score. 30-23 is the final. I don't have any faith in the Patriots because how do you come back?


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[Assistant] From what happened in Las Vegas. They were away from home for a whole week, staying in Arizona. They beat the Cardinals in kind of a weird sluggish game. Then they lose in heartbreaking fashion to the Raiders. How do you coach out of them the mindset?


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[Assistant] That settles in after that and I never got the impression that Bill Belichick was all that disturbed.


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[Assistant] About what happened. Not nearly as disturbed as I thought he should be. And, you know, we made the argument earlier this week it was his fault for not just taking a knee in that spot. What are you doing running a play with three seconds left and no timeouts in a tie game when you're on your own 45 yard line? That was where it all started. So,


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[Assistant] Tough week to turn it around, and I think they recognize what's gonna happen to them if they would get to the playoffs. It's gonna be like it was last year, 47-17. So I think the Bengals win this one, they continue their push for potentially the one seed, maybe the two seed, if nothing else, the division title, and the three seed, 30-23. Alright, Seahawks Chiefs, you were talking about this game earlier.


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[Assistant] Gino Smith vs Patrick Mahomes, who would have thought we'd be?


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[Assistant] Can I go back and forth on this one? I've got 30 to 21 sheafs. I just think the Seahawks can muster enough.


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[Assistant] He accepts whatever seed they have, but he'd like to see the Bills lose. He was pulling for his old teammate Tyreek Hill to do a little bit more and knock off the Bills last Saturday night, but it wasn't to be. And you know, they, they need, they're going to be playing the same time the Bills are this week. They need this one. And I think they'll, they'll continue what we've seen. That Seahawks defense is not impressing anybody.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I know Tariq Wolin has done very well and he's made it to the Pro Bowl now as a rookie and he's the next coming of Richard Sherman, but there's just too many...


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[Assistant] Weapons on that Chiefs offense. And they've got Patrick Mahomes. I think they get it done. They get the win.


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[Assistant] I still doubt that they'll cover. I think 10 is too much for this one. Giants at the Vikings.


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[Assistant] I originally had the Giants to win this game. Whoa, whoa. We talked about it earlier on PFT Live because of the, and the Vikings by the way, four point favors, but they're nowhere under a 48. And no weather issues there because obviously they play indoors.


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[Assistant] I worry about the Vikings being able to reset after the emotional come from behind win over the Colts down 33-0, but they've already been there.


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[Assistant] They've already learned what happens when you have that emotional victory, that uncanny win in Buffalo. They were discombobulated against a good Cowboys team and they got the crap kicked out of them. That could happen. That could happen. I, I just think that they understand keenly the importance of getting that two seed.


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[Assistant] Because if they do win in the wild card round, they cannot afford to go back to San Francisco. Even though Kevin O'Connell wasn't the coach then, Kirk Cousins was the quarterback, a lot of the players were there, they understand what is waiting for them if they have to go to Levi's Stadium.


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[Assistant] Face the 49ers in the division around. They need to run the table as best they can and who knows what's going to happen at Green Bay or at Chicago. Those are still to come.


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[Assistant] But this is the last one they can control. This is the final home game of the regular season. They're doing this white out thing where they're painting the end zones white and they're gonna wear white on white and they want everybody to wear white and they're trying to make a big deal about the Christmas Eve game. I just think they, they just find a way. It's another find a way game.


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[Assistant] 2724, they find a way to get it done, but, BUT, I'm hedging Giant's cover.


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[Assistant] And look, as far as the Vikings know, the Eagles are gonna lose to the Cowboys. As far as the Vikings know, the Eagles aren't gonna have Jalen Hurts until the playoffs. And there's still a path for the Vikings to get the 1C.


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[Assistant] If the Eagles lose their final three and the Vikings win their final three, the Vikings are the one seed.


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[Assistant] That's as simple as it can be. So they have a strong motivation, even though they've won their


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[Assistant] Based on current forecast in Charlotte in the twenties at kickoff, 1 PM Eastern on Saturday. Lions are two and a half point favorites. They climbed back to 500 after starting one and six. They're now seven and seven. The Panthers at five and nine still control their path.


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[Assistant] To a division championship, win the final three games, and they win the division.


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[Assistant] 44 point over under. Again, two and a half point favorites of the Lions. Who do you like?


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[Assistant] The Panthers have played well under Steve Wilkes with a bad team.


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[Assistant] And it's amazing they're in position to make it to the playoffs, but the Lions have shown so much more in recent weeks.


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[Assistant] And you know, they go on the road and they beat the Jets at MetLife Stadium, beat the Giants at MetLife Stadium, they manhandle the Vikings, they don't even give the Vikings a chance to have that late horseshoe up their ass moment. They just are taking care of business and getting it done. And you made a great point earlier today about Jared Goff. Historically, he's played poorly in the cold. But he's played better in the cold, now he's living in the cold.


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[Assistant] It's not nearly as shocking, and I assume they practice outside from time to time. They do, yes. Because they know they're going to be playing outside. Yeah, so, uh, it's a different vibe altogether. I think they'll be fine. 23-20, barely cover, Lions win, move to 8-7, and they'll be a dangerous team in the postseason.


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[Assistant] Browns are two and a half point favorites against the Saints. Saints are five and nine. Still alive for the AFC South. Browns still alive for a wild card berth. Who do you like? Well, I, I, I like the Browns. I said AFC South. I meant AFC South. Yeah, we got you.


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[Assistant] Yeah, look, I, I agree with you on that. The Saints got their win last week over the Falcons. I just don't think that show travels well on the road. It frustrates the hell out of me that they don't use Taysom Hill more than they should. Threw a touchdown pass last week. Use him more. Andy Dalton's not getting it done. Dennis Allen's not getting it done. You know, there's actually been some...


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[Assistant] Some rumblings from legitimate credible...


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[Assistant] I don't see him going back, although Tom Brady and Sean Payton with the Saints in 2023 would be something if that worked out. Uh, Browns, where's my score here? Browns, Browns, Browns, 20 to 17. Browns win the game. Um, and yeaah, I mean, you know, it's like you said, it's grinded out.


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[Assistant] It's run the ball, it's play good defense, it's get the Saints out of their dome, into some bad elements, and it just feels like a game the Browns are gonna win. This is, this is as basic pasta and meatballs as it gets.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I agree with you. And look, they had a great run for an extended period of time. They got so close to the Super Bowl the past few years. They had those heartbreaking losses. They kept coming back. It was like the Bills in their four Super Bowl appearances, one level down.


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[Assistant] They continue to have good regular seasons, continue to get to the playoffs, continue to have their hearts ripped out and shown to them, but it's a different vibe now. And you wonder how long Dennis Allen is going to last.


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[Assistant] And you wonder how much longer they can make this salary cap magic last that Mickey Loomis seems to pull off every year. At some point the roster is going to show the wear and tear for it. Alright, Texans at the Titans. No Ryan Tannehill.


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[Assistant] Titans are now only 3 point favorites. Texans have played the Cowboys tough, played the Chiefs tough, took them to overtime, took the Cowboys to the limit.


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[Assistant] Can the Texans knock off the Titans and get win number two of the season or do the Titans stay on track to win the AFC South? Chris Over-Under by the way, 35.5.


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[Assistant] The GM. And since then you haven't won a game. And you haven't won a game since the Thursday night at Lambeau Field five weeks ago. At some point you gotta win a damn game. At some point you gotta do something to make the owner think, you know what?


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[Assistant] Instead of giving Mike Raible the keys to the car and hiring a GM who will support him, I'm just gonna hire a GM and let the GM decide what to do with the coach. Or I'm just gonna clean house and start from scratch with somebody else.


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[Assistant] I'm not saying she will, I'm not saying she should, but you gotta worry about it. At some point, you gotta win football games. That's what it's about. It's production based. He'd been producing until the last few months, few weeks. I think they'll get it done. 20 to 16 is the score that I just kind of pulled out of thin air on this one. So they cover, they win.


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[Assistant] They stay at least a game ahead of the Jaguars based upon what happens.


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[Assistant] And to Lovey Smith's credit, you know, everybody just assumes he's gonna get fired after one year. How many times can you fire the coach after one year? And I think Lovey Smith has a strong argument to be made on his behalf. You got people in and around the Broncos


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[Assistant] You know, it's funny you mention Belichick because as I try to think through the machinations of what happens in New England if they don't make it to the playoffs or if they do and get the shit kicked out of them in the opening round like last year, the Texans would be a team. If they just make it known, the Patriots make it known he's available. I could see the Texans being a team that would at least consider trying to make a move because Nick Cicero is down there. But even then, Belichick would have to say,


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[Assistant] They're playing us off! They're playing us off with this shitty synth pop Christmas music!


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[Assistant] I haven't watched that start to finish this year. That's very disturbing. And thank God, my hairline has held up. When I was a kid, I assumed that's how I'd look by now.


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[Assistant] Thanks to the magic of modern technology. Not yet. Not yet. Maybe eventually, not yet. Alright, Chris Sims on button, PFTPM.


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[Assistant] Two games, late afternoon, Christmas Eve, and the Christmas Eve game. Let's get through these. Commanders 49ers, a game that we think deserves a bigger platform than it's gonna get. The 49ers are 7 point favorites. The Commanders are getting desperate after losing at home and getting screwed late a couple of times on Sunday night. By the officials, all due respect. 38 over under.


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[Assistant] I assume you like the 49ers to win. I do. You like them to cover.


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[Assistant] It's got me doubting what I've already picked, but I don't want to do that because my first instincts have worked more often than not. 24 to 10 49ers. I just feel like they are ascending to that status of dominant team.


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[Assistant] Plays well, plays hard, the only concern is, and Nick Bosa talked about it this week, they're never gonna turn it off. They're gonna go out there on the field and they're gonna try to kick your ass on every play. The problem is sometimes they get their own ass kicked because they play so hard. And they play with that.


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[Assistant] Reckless Abandoned, no hesitation as you say that they say within the building, no hesitation.


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[Assistant] That's the concern. Will they get guys injured before the postseason? But they're gonna continue to try to grab that brass ring. They're still eligible for the number one overall seed. They wanna get the two seed away from the Vikings. They know the value of playing those games at home. And I think that they, and I think they'd like to deliver a dagger to the commanders.


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[Assistant] Just, just so they understand, you don't have an, if you would come back here at some point in the postseason, you got no chance. I just, I, and you know that, that whole, whatever Ron Rivera was trying to do with Taylor Heinecke, whether it was inadvertent, whether it was intentional,


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[Assistant] I think his faith is gonna be a little shaken. I think he's starting to feel the hook is coming out his way. Carson Wentz may get back in the game.


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[Assistant] I don't think that's going to help. I think the 49ers are going to win this one by a couple of touchdowns, 20-40. That's the 4 or 5 PM Eastern game. Go ahead.


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[Assistant] I just think those badass roughnecks on their team can't turn it off.


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[Assistant] Eagles Cowboys, and it is now official, Gardener Minshew will start.


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[Assistant] On late Saturday afternoon in Dallas, a game that we've been looking forward to for weeks. It's lost a lot of its luster. The Cowboys are four and a half point favorites because Jalen Hurts isn't playing. There was that moment earlier in the week where the line started to move before we knew Hurts was injured inside information available to the bookies and they make it work in their favor. Over under 47,


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[Assistant] Uh, do you like the Cowboys to hold on? I mean, they've, they've kind of been all over the place lately. Can they get focused on the Eagles even without Jalen Hurts on the field?


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[Assistant] I still have a vivid recollection of walking into the viewing room at NBC week one, 2019 season, and there was a little pop quiz. Who's the backup quarterback of the Jacksonville Jaguars? That was the year that Nick Foles arrived as the starter.


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[Assistant] And I didn't know, most people didn't know, and it turned out to be Gardner Minshew, and of course my reaction was, since I-


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[Assistant] I can't watch a whole lot of college football because I'm usually traveling on Saturdays with a f***ing Gardner Minshew. We found out that day, he came in against the Chiefs for Nick Foles because he broke a collarbone, he was great as a rookie, he was pretty good in his second year but not good enough to keep the Jaguars from being horrible and they earned the number one overall pick and out he went. My point is this, he's in a contract year.


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[Assistant] The guy's better than he gets credit for. The Eagles stole him for a 6 round pick. This is his opportunity. This is it. Big stage, big spot.


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[Assistant] He's gonna come out and play well. And the Cowboys had better not get off-kilter at all. Now, I'm gonna split the baby on this one. I'm gonna pick the Cowboys to win but not cover. 24-20.


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[Assistant] But I'm not going to be surprised if the Eagles win this one. I just can't muster the idea, because I feel like for the Cowboys...


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[Assistant] One of the reasons they stubbed their toe against the Texans and shit the bed against the Jaguars was because they were thinking about this game. I think they're all in for this game. And they're not gonna lose focus of what it takes to win, but I still think the Eagles keep it close with Gardner Minshew. So 24-20, Dallas wins the game. We go to the Saturday night game.


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[Assistant] The Immaculate Reception return game 50 years and a day after the Immaculate Reception happened, just a few days after the


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[Assistant] Shocking passing of Frank O'Hara. Steelers are two and a half point favorites over under 38 and a half. Weather is going to be an issue in Pittsburgh on Saturday night.


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[Assistant] Chris, you know, you and I were talking about this earlier. I think we both expect the Steelers to rise up in honor of the memory of Franco Harris. I'm surprised this line hasn't moved, because I think the Steelers are going to do everything they can.


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[Assistant] You know, on, on, on an otherwise kind of potentially sluggish night when it's cold and you're thinking about other things, you're thinking about the holiday and you're thinking about your lost season. They're going to be thinking about going out there and doing justice to Frank O'Harris. And, uh, so I've kind of, I've kind of gone into that.


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[Assistant] I got the Steelers. I got the Steelers. I've got the Steelers 24 to 17. It could be worse than that. You know, the Raiders, it's that same mindset with the Vikings. You pull the rabbit out of the hat, emotional game, can you reset? Quickly.


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[Assistant] And I think the Raiders understand what's going on, the history of the Immaculate Reception game. I know they pride themselves on being the villains, but, I mean, it's kind of, it's kind of a Pittsburgh night. It's kind of a Frank O. Harris night. And I know,


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[Assistant] That's not anything anyone's going to consciously be thinking of because they want to try to make it to the playoffs. They have their own agendas that they want to advance. But it's going to be tough. It's going to be tough for the Raiders to overcome this one, especially in the elements. And the Steelers are going to be fired up. They're going to be ready to go. I hope a lot of people can show up and make it to that one despite their Christmas Eve plans. Steelers win 24-17.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, look, this is ultimate pasta and meatballs and it's fitting because Franco's mother...


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[Assistant] Was Italian. Uhm, so, uh, you're stepping on a rake with this one, but that's okay. I know, I know. It helps me, helps me maintain my lead. And it gives me a reason, it gives me a reason to watch the game on Christmas Eve because that's a swing game for us both straight up and against the spread. Alright.


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[Assistant] Let's take a break. Let's do that. Three games on Christmas Day, plus the Monday Night Football game between the Chargers and the Colts. We'll do that when P.F.P.P.M. and Chris Sims on Button continues right after this.


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[Assistant] Merry Christmas! Ugh. Shuntersoul! That's quite a robe.


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[Assistant] Let me just say that the quality of the Photoshop there on par with the Donald Trump trading cards. I will say that.


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[Assistant] Let's move on before we get ourselves in any more trouble than we usually do. Patriots and Dolphins, or Packers and Dolphins.


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[Assistant] And I know the Packers are trying to thread the needle and get into the playoffs, but Chris, I think we both kind of see this as an opportunity for some redemption for a Dolphin scene that's fallen off in recent weeks. The Dolphins are favored by four over under.


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[Assistant] Which seems ridiculously high given all these others that are in the 30s. 49 and a half on Sunday at 1 o'clock in Miami.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've got the Dolphins 34-27. I just think the Packers defense won't be able to slow down this offense and it'll be a great opportunity for them to rebuild some confidence.


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[Assistant] Mike McDaniel knows what he's doing in that, in that offense. Get it going. Call the right plays at the right time. Put Tuitonga-Vilo in a position to succeed and good luck Packers chasing around Tyree Kill. And also Jalen Waddle is going to be a little motivated because he got snubbed.


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[Assistant] Uh, in that, a little bit of it. Alright, a couple of games that, uh, somebody was very naughty to end up getting on the schedule. Broncos at the Rams, two and a half point favorites. Uh, the, uh, the Denver Broncos real quickly, cause who cares? Uh, who do you like in this?


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[Assistant] 24-20 Rams, gut feeling, Baker Mayfield versus Russell Wilson, a little Bobby Wagner thrown in as well. So we disagree on that one. Bucks are 7.5 point favorites against the Cardinals in the night game, 40.5 over-under. Do you see any way that the Cardinals with Trace McSorley can beat the Bucks who, who, who can't beat many teams generally?


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[Assistant] I've got 20 to 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and it may not be that close, but the Bucs trying to get to the playoffs, and as I've said before, once they get there, things can get very interesting. Monday Night Football gets interesting because it's the Chargers who could clinch a playoff spot this weekend. They are alive again.


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[Assistant] Four and a half point favorites against the Colts who are trotting out Nick Foles on St. Nick's Big Weekend. It's Nick Foles' big chance to show that he's still got it Monday night. Four and a half points again, Chargers. Uh, who do you got?


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[Assistant] I got 28-21 because I think that Jeff Saturday has proven to us multiple times in big spots that he is capable of doing something that will screw everything up. Hey Jeff, you tried, you won your first game, but since then they haven't won a single time. Alright, we'll take a break. When we return, speaking of guys who can't win, our best bets


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[Assistant] Where we have been horrible this year. Maybe the Christmas spirit will overcome us and we'll get them right. We'll do them next year on PFTPM and Christmas on Button.


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[Assistant] Now THAT is disturbing. Why did he put Sims' face? Why am I Thurman Merman? Why would I, if anything- I don't fit.


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[Assistant] I pretend to not like Christmas. I love Christmas. And I love sandwiches. So yes, you should fix me some sandwiches with the usual amount of lettuce. Alright, best bet's time. We're gonna fix, hopefully, hopefully something that would allow you to buy some sandwiches. Chris, give me your first one for the week.


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[Assistant] Browns over the Saints, two and a half point. Even though I picked 20 to 17, I think the Browns will be able to put the clamps on the Saints. The Saints aren't going to be very happy out in the cold in, uh, Northeast, Northeast Ohio. And I think the Browns taking care of business and still alive in the playoff.


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[Assistant] Next one for me, the 49ers on Saturday afternoon. 7 point favorites over the commanders. Again, as long as these 49ers are healthy, I think they're gonna kick the shit out of anyone and everyone. Alright, one more.


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[Assistant] It's, it's one in the morning, little girl. Why are you still at this party? What do you think it is, New Year's? Yeah, right. I'm starting to go through that.


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[Assistant] That's where, this is my first year where my little girl didn't want to spend New Years with us. Oh no. She went to a party. Right. How old is she now? She's 16. Yeah. So it's like, you know, I mean, I can't say no, right? I mean, that's what I wanted to do as a 16 year old. You don't want her to be lame. No, I don't want her to be lame. Right. Exactly. And so yeah, that's, there it is. And it's.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, you're waiting to hear from, hey, where are you at? What's going on? Did you have to reach out? Well no, she's actually pretty good. Because what comes at this age too is, okay, party starts to die down a little after that, but now can we have a sleepover, right? So that's the text we get. Can I have two friends sleepover?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right, and then we've finally gotten to the age where we send the Uber for them. I don't go pick them up anymore, okay? We trust the Uber. My wife for a long time was like, I don't want to get an Uber!


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean that's what I feel like still. I mean I do. It's like mourning for the human being, Damar Hamlin, and hope he makes it. A little bit mourning because of like, oh man, this is, messes up the mojo of football a little bit and gives it, you know, a few more people some negative connotations to put around it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, as an ex-player, putting myself, you know, in the shoes of other players in their locker room. I mean, there's just so many emotions. Knowing coaches and people up there in Buffalo. So there's those personal connections.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, I think it's just, we never like to see anybody get hurt. We never like to see anybody get, you know, a devastating injury. We're all like, oh gosh, his neck, his head.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, this went to another stratosphere. What? Dead on the field? Heart not beating? Like...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And then I think what adds to it is the grandiosity of the game of the year. Right? We made it even more game of the year and started off with like fireworks where you're like, oh, it's Burrow and Alan and oh my gosh, Burrow looks good and this game looks like it's going to be awesome. And then like, what?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So it just was a huge blow to the soul, to the heart, and I feel for them. I'm glad the game was called and it's going to be hard for Buffalo to bounce back and kind of


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Refocus here. They're the team that I look at more than any that's certainly got the biggest obstacle to overcome. I know Cincinnati has some of that, but at least it's not their player or somebody they know personally for the most part, you know what I mean? So it doesn't hit home quite the same. Uhm, but just a crushing moment overall and, uh,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That's right. I had a love for the game. I wanted to play that year. I mean, when I was starting to like, oh, I can work out again in December and stuff, I was like, well, maybe I'll come back for the next two weeks. That's what I love to do.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, I, I understand I took, you know, the risk and the danger of playing football. And that, you know, some, some bad and injuries were gonna come along with that. I knew that. I watched my dad get hurt a lot.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, does it hit home when you go, wait, whoa, I, they brought my wife in to say bye to me because I lost nine pints of blood. I mean, things like that, that happened to me. Yeah, it's like, holy cow, that was crazy and wow. But it doesn't supplant my love for the game or the fact that I wanted to get out there again. And to your point of like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Hey, horrible things happen. We know that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Through all these hundreds of thousands of football players and hundreds of thousands of football games, it's the first time it's ever happened. It's honestly kind of amazing. It's amazing that only, I'm the only one that's kind of lost a spleen. I mean, and been that close to, you know, death that way.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It is. It's a tough, brutal sport, but I bet you, you know, God willing, Demar Hamlin makes it out of this. I bet you when he gets out of it, he's going to tell you, there's, I wouldn't trade anything for my moments in the football and playing the game he loved.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, it's just, it's, yea, unfortunately it's the negative of the sport.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And this is just the unthought about negative, the unforeseen negative where.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You don't let your mind really go down these wormholes. And, you know, there's so much, we've made so much progress in the safety of the game in so many ways. Protecting the neck, that's gotten better. You know, we're still in the infancy stages of figuring out the head stuff, but we're getting better. And,