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[Assistant] Kyle Shanahan's system and his system too, but 8chan's out. It's just like they, they get people in space and they seem to have everyone that can make a play.


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[Assistant] Two seconds, down five, touchdown or bust for the Giants.


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[Assistant] Waller off of his fingertips, incomplete ladies and gentlemen, the Buffalo Bills hang on to win. Wow. At home. Is that the play you want?


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[Assistant] Well, it's kind of good that we did this here too, because this kind of fits into the wide receiver difference makers section, even though there wasn't a whole lot of action. I mean, Stephane Diggs was targeted 16 times in this game. And this is something that you have long said, and if you're listening to this pod, it's just they need, they need more weapons on the offensive side. He had 16 targets, 10 catches. Uh, the next closest in targets was Dawson Knox with six.


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[Assistant] Ram's a little beat up obviously on the defensive side still, uh, will be maybe for most of the year if not all the year for some of those guys.


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[Assistant] We gotta finish that. I don't know what else, what else do we want to talk about in that one? Cause it seems for the most part, I mean this is a game where-


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[Assistant] It's almost like the NFL version of the air raid in those, those teams that is the defense is very tough for them just because of the way the offense plays. Although the time of possession was pretty even in this game between the Panthers, uh, and the Dolphins. So yeah, certainly. I mean, they got the big names, they got the studs on the defensive side, but


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[Assistant] Uh, do give up some yards and were not great, I don't think. Oh, they were pretty good on third down, uh, in this one, so.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Rams outscored the Cardinals 20 to nothing in the second half. Uh, under Sean McVay, they are now 12 and 2 versus Arizona. That's pretty impressive. I saw Cliff Kingsbury on the sideline for USC.


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[Assistant] This was a Cardinals team that's lost 12 of their last 13 dating back to last season, but has played better at times this year. They do though, drop 2-1 and 5. Time now, forgive me the headlines presented by Hyundai. We'll start with the Vikings and Bears. NFC North.


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[Assistant] So Vikings get their second win of the season. This one without Justin Jefferson, who's on IR, gonna be out for a while. So don't know where either of these teams are going. Yes, Vikings do improve though to two and four. Our other game that we need a headline for.


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[Assistant] Raiders defeat the Patriots, 21-17. This is the third week in a row that we've had the Patriots in. Give me the headlines presented by Hyundai.


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[Assistant] Yea, Raiders improved to 3 and 3 in this one.


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[Assistant] Josh McDaniels, 3-0 as a head coach versus Bill Belichick, 2-0 with Las Vegas.


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[Assistant] That was a report that they took him to the hospital. So first of all, he says, I pray for him and his family for sure. Uhm, second of all, how did Josh McDaniels not expect this and have a better plan at quarterback?


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[Assistant] Yeah, Hoyer's the one that came into this game, but we'll see. Aiden O'Connell got the start before when Jimmy G couldn't go, so.


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[Assistant] As if Patriots fans were not depressed enough, here are some more depressing stats. Worst start, 1-5 since 1995 under Bill Parcells. Five straight games with 17 points or fewer for the first time under Bill Belichick. And that third quarter touchdown was their first in 40 drives.


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[Assistant] We need to move on right now. That's so bad. This is bad. That was Give Me the Headlines presented by Hyundai.


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[Assistant] Uh, in the fourth with the Texans up a touchdown here, CJ Stroud again continues probably to impress you. I would assume I haven't talked to you about that yet. They get their third win of the season, do the Texans. They had three wins all of last season. They have matched last year's win total.


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[Assistant] That is now the longest streak in NFL history. Yeaah. It's over though.


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[Assistant] Because as I was watching it, I was like, I think the Falcons offense is like performing considerably better than the commander's offense, but the commander's had the lead.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and looking at the numbers, that is the case. Falcons had 25 first downs. The commanders just had 13 first downs. Uh, what did Ritter throw for in this game? Over 300 yards. Right. Uh, but it was not a great 300 yards. They had three interceptions thrown in there too. He did have two touchdown passes. Uh, I feel like this is becoming a weekly thing.


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[Assistant] It's like the stock market, Desmond Ritter, up or down, very volatile stock here too. Uh, will we see him next week, two weeks, three weeks down the road? That seems to be a weekly conversation.


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[Assistant] They were some, like, not just like, they were like gut-wrenching interceptions in the end zone, just like bad, just like what were you thinking? Didn't look good. Didn't they look good?


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[Assistant] Here's the total offense, 402 yards for the Falcons, 193 for the commanders.


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[Assistant] Commander snapped that three game losing streak, they're now three and three. And Sam Howell does have his first career, three touchdown game, even though he only threw for 151 yards, did find the end zone three times.


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[Assistant] That's about it. It was about it for the football game. Uhm, yeaah, but the good news for Russ is he almost did throw for 100 yards in this game, so 95, so very close to getting 100. Haha, you're funny.


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[Assistant] I kinda like it. It's like high school football again. Right? That's what you got in high school football. It's not bad. It makes the TV viewing experience kinda fun.


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[Assistant] Cheers for everything. No doubt. I don't disagree with you there. Uh, you predicted that the Cowboys would win by 3-23-20.


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[Assistant] One last stat from Pete here to sum up the day. Speak to the big day the defense has had. Nine of the 12 games today went under.


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[Assistant] Oh yea, baby, what's up? It's Chris Sims. It's Chris Sims on button. I am here with Ahmed Fareed. Uh, he is staying on top of all his NFL insider news through Hollywood directors once again, which means he has no news today. So we're not sure we're going to make him host the pod. We're not sure.


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[Assistant] You're clueless. You don't know what's going on in the league right now. Hope everybody's good. We're gonna have a good one today. We're hanging. Uh, how you feeling today? Good. Good? I feel okay. You look a little tired today, not gonna lie.


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[Assistant] Unbuttoned podcast, you don't have to be on top of your game.


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[Assistant] Little tipsy, little loose, here we go, alright. I am, you know, it's summer still, so you try to enjoy it while it lasts, right? It's a little bit like, the storm is here, it's on the horizon, but it's not like totally here yet, so I am trying like,


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[Assistant] You know, I'd be like, oh, hey, I got one more weekend here to, you know, I know I got some work, but I could, you know, enjoy some days, time in the pool, whatever else, and you're trying to make, you know, the best of this last little push we got here. I'll be honest with you, I might have some wood for tonight. Damn, I like it. Yeah, I've definitely broken my smoky, smoky, like, you know,


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[Assistant] I, I, I, I next week will be in schedule mode. We're only smoking the weekends.


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[Assistant] But right now, I mean, yeah, there's, there's certain Tuesday nights or Wednesday nights where I'm just like, it's the summer, it's a nice night out. Yeah. And I'm going to go outside and enjoy myself for a little bit here and relax. Pete wants to know if you did your detox month.


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[Assistant] No, I did not. I decided not to this year. I thought about it. It sounded miserable. I was like, damn, I gotta be sober for 30 days again.


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[Assistant] I don't want to do that. So I'm just gonna try to just go right into my schedule. See, I always thought like the detox helped me.


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[Assistant] Get into the schedule, but I've proven to myself that I can get in the schedule without having to detox totally. Like I am capable of just going,


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[Assistant] Cold turkey. It's Monday morning. I'll see you Friday night for a drink and a smoke and being good that way. And I don't have to be miserable and dreaming for the month to fly by as it goes to. That was the other thing that was disappointing last year. I found myself in August going,


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[Assistant] I hope this month will fly by. Oh man, this day's over, thank God. Alright, I'm one day closer. You don't want to wish away the summer. I don't want to live that way.


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[Assistant] Oh, it's hard not to say. I know, right. Everybody gets a drink. You know, it is. Yea, alright, you're going to have to find that balance. Well, we'll do a scouting report on that. Because you're going to be on the road, Big Ten. Fly home Sunday morning. Correct.


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[Assistant] Hopefully had a drink after the Big Ten work. I hope so. Okay. And then you're going to have to watch football and then do a podcast with me on a Sunday night. Yes. Cause that's our new routine for the homies out there.


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[Assistant] Sunday night, we are going to tape the podcast in the third quarter of the Sunday night football game to where you're going to see us or hear us watching the game and reacting, but also going through all the other games that went on during the day and, uh, that's how we're going to do it this year instead of the Monday morning pod.


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[Assistant] I don't wear ties on this show. That shit's coming off in a hurry. I'm gonna rip that thing off and then get back into Chris Sims unbuttoned attire and very fast. You're right, I didn't think about that. I gotta make a, I gotta have another wardrobe available.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah. I like it. I like some of the reaction too. There were some good thoughts and you know, it wasn't an easy exercise. Like we always joke about on the pod.


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[Assistant] There's ten teams that are top five quality, right? I mean, we know there was two or three that stood above the rest, but man, that, that three, four, five group, you certainly could argue, and I'm not saying I'm, you know, perfectly right about that, but we'll give some more thoughts about that.


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[Assistant] It is. It is crazy. It is crazy. Agreed. I was, what do you think? Hey, at lockdown corner, you heard me on the pot. I was sitting there, I was trying to be totally transparent. I, you know, I pulled the Cowboys trigger at the very last second because I was


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[Assistant] Bangles, oh, I don't know. Ravens, like you talked about, you know, and of course the Jaguars, I think, are in that conversation. Cowboys, Bangles, you know, we hit them all. And the Ravens. We'll get to that.


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[Assistant] I'm not surprised by the top two. I guess I looked at it, you know.


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[Assistant] I'm with you in the command, their, their overall talent on their roster is better than that record right there, but I understand the betting public.


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[Assistant] You know, it's, it's a, it's a young quarterback who's unproven. We don't know. The old line was an issue last year. Did that get better in, you know, in front of a young quarterback? So I can understand that thought there here. But, but the NFC East is, of course, was a surprise of last year to a degree.


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[Assistant] And I look at it this year and just still go, this is one of the better divisions in football, period. It doesn't matter. And I'm talking about, hey, we know the Eagles and Cowboys are ultra talented and both in our top five rosters. The Giants, you know, have a lot of talented players.


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[Assistant] In the spots for where, how they play. And of course they're extremely well coached. So I, you know, I look at this, this division again to go.


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[Assistant] There certainly could be three playoff teams come out of it. Now, the thing that's important for this exercise, we're gonna do the, you know, over-unders and all that, but it's who they're playing. And I think that has to, we have to make sure we hit on that because the NFC East plays the AFC East, which


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[Assistant] I would say on paper is the best division of football right now. So, man, you got Clash of the Titans between those two divisions, and then they gotta play the NFC West, which the NFC West used to be kind of the king of the NFC. Now you got two teams that are really damn good in the 49ers and the Seahawks, and then you got two other teams that are like, I don't think they're gonna be very good.


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[Assistant] So uhm, you know, again, there's some challenges here to be had, and a lot of this too is


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[Assistant] They have the same schedules, we know that to a degree, other than if you were third in your division last year, you're gonna play third in the division from another division, right? And a lot of this is a little bit of how is it set up?


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[Assistant] Right? How is the schedule set up? Is it out of the gates really tough? Is there a stretch here or there where you go, whoa, that's six or seven games in a row. And the team we're going to start off here with at first, the Eagles. Okay.


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[Assistant] That's one, when I look at that Omin, and I go, out of all the teams in the NSC East, I think they have the most favorable first half of the season schedule, just as far as it's set up, and of course we know they're extremely talented and have an advantage there more times than not.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and you know, the schedules, it's tough. I'm not trying to downplay it.


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[Assistant] I can look at the first three games and clearly say without being a jerk to anybody and go, the Philadelphia Eagles are better than the Patriots. I know it's Bill Belichick in week one and that's a little wild card, but they're clearly better than the Vikings and Buccaneers.


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[Assistant] We know they're better than the commanders as division rival, but then to play the Rams right after that, where out of their first


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[Assistant] Five games, obviously they're better than all five teams, but they have three teams on there that I think they're like significantly better. Where I just go, they're in another class.


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[Assistant] From those football teams. So there I go, just like last year and I look at this and I go, well, they're going to get a chance to get used to being the hunted and having the bullseye on their back and a few new pieces on defense and a new D coordinator. They got a little time here to kind of get ready for all that. And that's why I go over, over,


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[Assistant] Almost floor is 11 and 6. Right? That's almost where I feel like. That would be worst case scenario for you. That would be like, man, they didn't play, they had some stretches this year, but they didn't do as good. They're 11 and 6. But I certainly envision 13 and 4.


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[Assistant] 12 and 5, you know, maybe 14 and 3 again. They're such a good football team and they've retooled and I think they're still a team on the mission and yea 11.5 is a little


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[Assistant] But now, like the schedule, the first five games, just hitting on that real quick, it's like five out of the first six games, they're, they're, you know, they're brutal. The Giants, the Jets, that's not an easy first two.


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[Assistant] Cardinals, we know they're clearly better than. You know, the Patriots again.


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[Assistant] You know, play too deep into the overall schedule. There's some things I'll gleam from it and coaches and teams where I go, Hey, even if this team wasn't bad, they're still going to be scary in week 14, right? I know that.


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[Assistant] You know, but I am, as you know, a little bit of the start of this, the start of the season and I'm just going to believe in the teams themselves and not try to like,


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[Assistant] You know, mind read or look into the crystal ball of how the league is going to shake out through the year. So, I'm going to take the over here. Uhm, I don't feel like incredibly confident here, but I think 11 and 6, 12 and 5, I feel a lot better than saying, ooh, I think they'll be 10 and 6.


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[Assistant] Does it mean that this is one of the toughest ones? The New York Giants.


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[Assistant] I don't think their talent is just, whoa, right? They've gotten the offensive line fixed. They got detackles. We're still waiting on Thibodeau, right, to see where that is.


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[Assistant] Hey, let's see how our new middle linebacker, Okereki, is. We got a rookie corner. I think we're gonna put a lot on in banks and all that.


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[Assistant] You know, we got some, ooh, the tight ends could be good. Ooh, we got a few receivers that if they stay healthy, they could be good, right? So there's a little of that. The schedule is brutal to start the year. There are another team here where I go, first half schedule. I mean, wow. When you just talk about Cowboys week one, Niners three.


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[Assistant] I mean, and then it's Raiders and then back to the Cowboys? That's where I struggle with them.


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[Assistant] So I don't look at their talent like it's Philly or Dallas, but I look at their coaching in a very favorable way and they know who they are.


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[Assistant] Right? That's, that's to me what they're very good at too. They realize what they are and they play in the realm of that. They're not like, oh well we want to throw for 400 yards so we're going to get in the shotgun and just spread it out because we want to do that. No, they're like, no we're going to run for four and we're going to play action and throw another five yards and Danny Dime's going to run around the edge for eight yards and then we're going to run up the middle again. I'm going to go over. But barely.


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[Assistant] But barely. I tell people all the time, the Giants will be better than last year, but I don't know if that necessarily means better record or in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, I mean I can see them being 8 and 9 and still getting in the playoffs. Yeaah. Or you know, 9 and 8 being that too. But yeaah, I don't think they're gonna, they're not in a state either where I think you made a point there that's real.


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[Assistant] You know, last year in a lot of those close games, they were very good. You know, can they depend on that? Once again, to where all these one score games are late in the fourth quarter, they managed the game and did things the right way. Hey, you know how it is. Injuries, a wrong bounce to the ball, and that doesn't always work out the way. I'm gonna go over.


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[Assistant] Uhm, it's not by much, I'll say that. And that one there to me is probably the scariest so far. Alright, three overs so far.


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[Assistant] It is. And then I look at though Washington, you know, out of these other teams that we've talked about so far, you know, they're gonna have a chance to work out some of these kinks here.


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[Assistant] You know, Arizona and Denver, they're certainly not being anointed as world beaters there. To where you could see Washington starting out 2-0, couldn't you? I could. I don't think that's a crazy thought. And then, you know, the bills, what I would say here is, you know, the bills are better, but I don't know if it's by a ton.


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[Assistant] I think if you went roster to roster, it's maybe closer than people realize. Right?


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[Assistant] I think they have a chance here to surprise people. Alright, so you go Cardinals, Broncos. Then they got Bills Eagles. Then it's Bears and Falcons. Now Bears and Falcons, those are two teams again where you could certainly say, I think there's definitely equal, maybe better. It's right there. Those are toss ups there. So, here for the commanders. I know.


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[Assistant] I wanna go over again. I think it's over. I think this one's one of the easier ones. I wanna go over. I do. Now again, I'm not expecting like a landslide over here, but I just...


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[Assistant] I could see 6 and 10, and I understand that, but if you're gonna make me bet, I would bet 7 and 9 more alike. And especially, I guess maybe I have a little recency bias here, just because I'm an Eric B. Enemy fan, and


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[Assistant] Sam Howell looked phenomenal the other night in Monday Night Football against the Baltimore Ravens. That wasn't just like good, that was really impressive. That's how a first team offense is supposed to look against a number two defense. They dominated there, and he made a lot of nice plays, so I guess maybe I'm feeling even stronger because of that.


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[Assistant] Stars to maybe the general public and the quarterback thing and then the division they're in. I think those three things probably lend to money not going their way.


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[Assistant] This is new territory. This is very new territory. Right? And you got...


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[Assistant] I know your defense might be better, but I'm still not expecting to be world beaters, and you gotta play the Chiefs and the Seahawks to start the year? I mean, you're talking about two teams that are like, it's firepower, watch out. Right?


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[Assistant] Atlanta? Alright. They're just like you guys in a lot of ways I look at. Like a team that had a good offseason and were helpful for and they might get in the playoffs this year.


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[Assistant] Green Bay in week four? I mean, you and I both feel like they're being disrespected there. I'm going under here. I'm going under.


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[Assistant] He can't go back, it's already written in stone. I'm gonna go under. Not that I'm expecting, like, the sky to fall, but I do think there's gonna be an adjustment period. I wouldn't be shocked if this is one of those, like,


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[Assistant] Hey, the pressure's on, we melt a little early, we come on towards the end of the year, we just missed the playoffs, and next year's really your year. I don't know how ready for prime time they are. You know that, the defense I have questions about, and I'm still not just a total believer in Jared Goff that way, so that's where


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[Assistant] In, in some ways, when you think, when I think of stuff like that, them losing a close one to the Chiefs could be the worst thing that happens. Because they'll still, well damn, we were good, we should have beat them. And they'll kind of puff your chest out, and all of a sudden the Seahawks come into town and you're like, oh shit!


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[Assistant] Oh, here they come again. Oh, no, wait, we're not as good, you know? I don't know. We'll see. But I do think the Chris Jones thing is the biggest thing they got going for them.


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[Assistant] If there's an advantage your team has, it is that your O line, even with Chris Jones, should be able to run the ball and do some things in the run game. It's the strength of your football team. And that D line is...


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[Assistant] You know, I don't want to say significantly worse, but it drops a notch or two without him in the middle. You know, there's still a group that got some young guys, they don't have anybody else that you can say is dominant yet, right?


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[Assistant] It's not like the Eagles where you're like, well, if one guy's missing, the other 74 will be awesome on the D-line, right? It's like, no, Chris Jones, he's kind of the game wrecker for them. And that could be an issue for them in week one.


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[Assistant] You know, and the NFC North, just so we hit on this too, cause I forgot to, they play the AFC West and the NFC South, right?


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[Assistant] So, the NFC South, we know, it's not a world beater.


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[Assistant] So, and then we know the AFC West is gonna be pretty tough all together. Uhm, Minnesota, I think the thing that, you know, won last year, yeaah, like you kinda just said, they weren't as good as their record.


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[Assistant] You know, and I look at them this year.


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[Assistant] And go, out of their first five games, there's three teams that I look at that are definitively better than them, in my opinion. And the Chiefs, the Chargers, and the Eagles. Where I'd go, they're definitely better than them. Where I could see them being two and three to start the year. So, I think the Divas will be better.


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[Assistant] I think people will catch on to O'Connell and that offense a little bit after seeing it for a year to where I'm not going to say I think it's going to be as explosive.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take the under again here. Wow. I am. Again, I don't think it's gonna be grossly under.


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[Assistant] But I think they're a team that's kind of fighting for their life all year and is, you know, I see them as 8 and 9, 7 and 10. You know, if I'm wrong, they're 9 and 8. I don't think it's going to be 12 and 5 or 10 and 7. I just don't see that. So I'm taking the under here.


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[Assistant] It is. It's definitely one of the ones that, like, I didn't look at any of these over-unders until we started here today. I mean, I didn't look at it. And when I saw that one, I was like, ooh, wow, okay.


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[Assistant] You know, hey, the Justin Fields hype, all that. The weapons they got at receiver. Everybody thinks the Alliance is going to be better. They spent a bunch of money on people in free agency and the defense, right? So I do think they'll be a better football team. Here's the thing that I don't like about


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[Assistant] Their early season schedule. And it's just off of what we just said. And we've talked about this a lot. Justin Fields, where's he at? Where's his development at? He's thrown three passes this preseason so far. They were awesome passes. They were. Perfect quarterback rating. He's blowing it out of the water there. But what I don't like is what you see right here. Okay? And my point is that they play


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[Assistant] Those first five games, there's one thing, I don't know how good those first five teams will be, right? But I can tell you one thing about every one of them. Their defenses are gonna be good. Their defenses, the Broncos, the Commanders, the Buccaneers,


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[Assistant] And the Packers will all have very good defenses. And of course we know the Chiefs are going to be good and creative too.


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[Assistant] To where I don't think that bodes well for the Bears. I'm going to take the under. They're a one where it, you know.


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[Assistant] In their perfect world, you'd like to play a few defenses that aren't good. Let's let Justin Fields get into rhythm. Let's figure out how our new formula works, whatever. Here it's gonna be like, whoa, we gotta execute at a high level here. Right off the bat. I don't think that's gonna happen right off the bat. I can see them going on a middle season run. I think early on it could be tough.


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[Assistant] It's definitely one where I wouldn't feel comfortable just throwing money on it. It's one where I always break out my old phrase, like, I gotta see it to believe it a little first.


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[Assistant] You know, go, oh yeah, you know, Justin Fields, he, he ran great last year. So now he's definitely going to turn the corner like Jalen Hertz and be good in the pass game. No, there's one little element missing in that equation. Oh, that's right. The Eagles have an all-star team.


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[Assistant] So that helped Jalen Hurts, you know, come along slowly but surely and, you know, he had other avenues where we talked about during the year. It wasn't always on him at the end of the game to dice people up with his right arm and passing the ball, right? We had games where we'd go, well they needed a big drive, they just ran the ball down the field every play. I don't think he's gonna have that luxury here.


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[Assistant] I know everybody's expecting that huge jump. I'm sure it's gonna be good, but I can't say over, and it's gonna be eight and nine or nine and eight in playoff. I'm not willing.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I'm not racist against them. I'm not. I think the Packers have, I'm gonna say it again, the Packers have the best roster in the division. Oh god, you're gonna pick them to win the division. I'm picking them to go over. I know that. I am. Here's the one thing I like. Alright, the first two games of the year, yea, they're on the road.


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[Assistant] But they're not against world beater defenses, so that's good for Jordan Love. And I think their defense is talented to where they can give those teams some issues. They have a very favorable early season schedule. Bears, Falcons, Saints, Lions, Raiders.


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[Assistant] None of those, I mean, you know, I know we have some expectations, but I don't think anybody there, other than the Lions, are we expecting to be a world-beater, or being taught


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[Assistant] Or four and one, or, you know, even a three and two is gonna work. But, uh, yeaah. I am going to play the... Rogers Fatigue...


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[Assistant] The playoff letdowns, you know, three years in a row, that all led to...


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[Assistant] You know, Roger's injury, of course, there's a lot of things that went into last year's demise. And even with all that, yeaah, they went eight and nine.


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[Assistant] You know, I think this year they bounced back. They proved people were right. I think they got motivation. They want to show that it wasn't just him.


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[Assistant] And then I also think they got motivation in the fact that they know they underperformed at certain positions. And guys like Dobbs and Watson are going to be different players this year. And it sounds like they're going to have a healthy O-line. So uhm, that's where I'm going over for sure with the Packers.


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[Assistant] This is being very jumbled up and tight through most of the year. We're not much more than a game.


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[Assistant] Is separating like the whole group, right? Or it's like, hey, you know, yeah, the Lions are in first and the team in, you know, last place is only two games behind them or, you know, they got two games behind them and they play them twice down the stretch, right? I, I certainly could see it being that type of division.


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[Assistant] To me, they're, they're, they're the teams I look at to go, ooh, they have the most potential.


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[Assistant] That's what I'll say. And, you know, the, the NFC South, just so everybody knows, they play the AFC South and the NFC North. You said that already, didn't you? Just the North, I didn't know what the AFC South. Oh, okay. Alright, good. So, so, yeah, and the AFC South is a little like them, a little, you know, lots of questions throughout the division there, right?


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[Assistant] The Saints, I, I, I would have expected them to be the, the team that's favored. Derek Carr's there.


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[Assistant] You know, the, the O line is pretty damn good. The defense was, you know, towards the top of football all last year.


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[Assistant] Defense didn't make any plays last year, that was the problem. And...


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[Assistant] They let people run on them for the first time in a while, which was kind of shocking. So, I don't know, when I look at the Saints, there is, like, a lot to like about their football.


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[Assistant] That's actually kind of shocking, you know, but yeaah, you look at their schedule, it's, it's, it's not daunting when you really check it out there. Now again, like, I think like the teams like the Titans and the Packers are a little scary early on in the year, you know, and then of course the other thing too that just


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[Assistant] Division Rivals and the Panthers and the Bucks, they know how to apply them, right? Those are two teams that got good defenses and everything there.


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[Assistant] This, this is one of the hardest ones to make. I'm going with the under. I'm gonna go with the under. But it's barely. Alright, I mean...


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[Assistant] There are another team I'll sit here and say I wouldn't be shocked if they're in the playoffs at 9 and 8. I wouldn't be. I don't know what is making me just


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[Assistant] Tread lightly with them. I guess it's, I wanna see Derek Carr on the new team.


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[Assistant] You know, the fact that they couldn't pull out some of the games that they played last year, it's like, I guess there's a little bit of a, I want to see if they have the culture and Dennis Allen and company got the, the ability to get them over the hump in some of these really close football games that they lost last year.


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[Assistant] You know, a lot of times. I guess that's what it is. I guess what I'm saying is, I'm just not sure if I believe in the group as a total. The people that are leading them.


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[Assistant] And I don't mean that to be disrespectful, I just, I guess I gotta see a little bit. I gotta see it to believe it there. And I guess I'm just not totally biased.


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[Assistant] They have. They did a pretty good job of quietly flipping over their roster in the secondary. They drafted some guys last year, you know.


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[Assistant] Drafted a Peyton Turner two years ago on the defensive line, you know, to get him going. Olave got him involved and then they've done a good job with some guys that have been off the radar too, you know, where they've hit.


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[Assistant] Jo-Juan Johnson, the tight end, Rashid Shahid, like we talked about, guys that were like, not top prospects, but, but they hit on. And, uh, but I, that point there is, I'm glad you said that too.


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[Assistant] I worry about that. That would be my one thing that worries about them too. That it's, that they missed their window. That they might, they are a year older and a lot of spots still. And I, that is something that definitely has crossed my mind that I've even said to Florian on PFT a few times throughout the off season. So you went under. I'm going under. You're under the nine and a half. That's definitely one of the toughest ones


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[Assistant] For me to say that about, because, you know, there is some spots where I go, you know, what, you know, I'll be mad in some ways, but go, well, they got Derek Carr, they had a good old line, D-line, what are you, such an idiot, why would you pick under?


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[Assistant] I'm going over. I'm just gonna hit that right off the bat. Okay. You know, you've been hearing me say it all year. I'm a believer in Atlanta. I am. I don't think it's gonna be sexy, but they're gonna run the ball, control the clock. Ritter will be smart. Ritter will make a run here or there. I think their defense will be much improved.


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[Assistant] So I am going over, and I think the thing I like about them too is they're, you know, you mentioned the schedule, but as you're hearing, everybody's hearing here, I'm into the early season schedule, you know that, and there's no team that I look at


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[Assistant] To go, ooh, they're, they're gonna be outclassed on that. At least early on. The Jaguars are the only team in the first five weeks that I could sit there and just go, okay, I, I think on paper they're, they're clearly better.


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[Assistant] You know, and again, it's not by so much that I don't think they can't win that football game. But, you know, I think Houston, Detroit, Green Bay, Carolina.


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[Assistant] They're every bit in the class of those football teams. I think they're ready to turn the corner here. I know we got the quarterback question and we'll see where it goes, but I think they're going to play a brand of football that is not going to put a ton of pressure on the quarterback just like we saw last year. And I think we'll get better quarterback play than they did last year from Marcus Mariota out of Desmond Ritter.


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[Assistant] That's tough. I'm not trying to blame him. I just, yea, I haven't loved the look. They haven't protected him well, which hasn't helped him that way. You know, their weapons are not dangerous. Right? I'm a believer.


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[Assistant] You know, their O-line has been a little disappointing so far. I thought they would have been better than, you know, because they kind of ended the year last year playing some good football, opening up some big holes, running the ball, doing that, right? And then they, the Jets just annihilate them and the Giants annihilate them up front. I,


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[Assistant] I just, again, they're building something. They're going in a new direction there and their philosophy of their football team overall. They got some talented guys on defense. I just don't think it's going to be enough.


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[Assistant] I just went in Williams Christian Wilkinsville this year, right? It's gotta be like, it's gotta be better than just, hey, you've been, you know, good. It's time to dominate, right? Brian Burns is the man on the edge over there, too.


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[Assistant] They got some, they got some dudes. We know the secondary's got some dudes. But no. Do I think that they're going to be so dominant that, you know, they'll be able to win games 16 to 10 and stuff like that? I don't envision that. And I think if they, if I, you know, what goes into that is I would,


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[Assistant] The defense is, it's, it's there. It's there. Devin White, he didn't play good last year, he's gotta play better this year.


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[Assistant] Right? They got, they're big on the defensive side of the ball. Their secondary is good.


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[Assistant] Definite O-line questions, we know that. They drafted Cody Mock. Right.


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[Assistant] He was good last year. I'm going to say I wasn't thrilled with it either.


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[Assistant] So I, you know, that's where I wanted to see it go. I have questions that...


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[Assistant] Their offense won't be good enough and then they've gotten old at some positions. I guess that's what I'm worried about. And then I gotta see Shaq Barrett coming off a Achilles tear. What's he gonna look like?


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[Assistant] Try on Cheyenneka. Can we depend on him to, like, be a consistent pressure guy on the edge? I don't know. So that's where I'm gonna go with the under with the Bucks. Yeah, it's a tough under there. I know, and there's some things I like, and I like some of those things you said, that size and that defense.


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[Assistant] I just can't do it. I can't do it. I don't see it. Uh, I think Brady was worth, you know, two or three wins for them last year to get them to where


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, you know, I look at it early on.


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[Assistant] And you know, like we've been talking about, they play the Eagles week three and we, we know the Eagles are better, but can they play, you know?


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[Assistant] Could I see them beating the Vikings and the Bears maybe in a, you know, a tough close football game? Where they play through their defense and maybe the Saints too?


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[Assistant] It's not crazy. Cause none of those teams are world beaters other than the Eagles. Cause I see Todd Bowles having a really good game plan and stopping Justin Fields in that offense and what they're doing. And they win the game, you know, 17-13. Definitely. No doubt about it.


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[Assistant] Right? So that's where you kind of like see the angle of success for them. And it's just, it goes back to what you said to start. It's that D. How good can they be? How dominant can they be? Cause I guess I'm not expecting a ton from the offense.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're the classes. I don't think it's a one team race though. You know, just like we see a lot of the times they've been the class of the division. And what's that do? One team builds to go, we got to keep up with this group. We got to, well, they got good pass rushers. We better get some good tackles. Right?


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[Assistant] The Seahawks are a team that I think are going to challenge the 49ers in this division. I think the Seahawks are going to surprise some people. I do.


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[Assistant] Now, you know, the 49ers, we know they're extremely talented. Their early part of their schedule is not killer, but it's not easy. It's, you know, in the middle of the pack for me, I guess is what I'd say. Yeaah, I think they're better than the Steelers week one. But it's at Pittsburgh, and it's Pittsburgh, and it's Mike Tomlin and that crew. That'll be scary.


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[Assistant] The division we talked about, the teams like Arizona and the Rams, you know, they're total rebuild mode here. I'm gonna go over with the 49ers. 10.5 is a little low. I certainly


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[Assistant] I understand where it's at at 10 and a half. I think overall, just because of the schedule, the NFC West are playing the AFC North and the NFC East. I mean, that's, that's brutal. That could be arguably the two best divisions in football, and they gotta play them. So I understand the 10.5. But I think it's an 11 and 6, 12 and 5 year. That's how I kinda look at it.


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[Assistant] You know, Dallas at week five, I believe we have that on Sunday Night Football. That'll be exciting. We got the Bengals three weeks after that, right? I mean, like we said, the fact that they play the NFC East and the AFC North,


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[Assistant] I mean, you're gonna get to see some, some clash of the titans type of football. I mean, Ravens 49ers at the end of the year on Christmas? What?


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[Assistant] I, you've heard me, I'm, I'm, I like eating Seahawks. Okay? I like them a lot. You're going anti-Vegas here? I am going to go anti-Vegas. I am. I'm definitely going to go with the over. I'm going with the over. Uhm, the first thing I think that jumps out to me is that in


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[Assistant] They're the more talented team on the field, except for one of them. The Bengals are the only game I'll go, they're not gonna be more talented than them in Week 6. Right? But.


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[Assistant] I believe Rams, Lions, Panthers, Giants, and Cardinals, the other five games they got other than the Bengals there to start the year, I think they're more talented.


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[Assistant] No fear in saying that. I'm not saying it's by a long shot or whatever, but I think they're going to be better. And then I just look at.


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[Assistant] Yeah, what they've done in the offseason, what they've done in the draft, I think they're a team, I think it's Geno Smith, there's no questions there, he's the guy, he's more comfortable.


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[Assistant] Right? They'll be able to add to that offense. I do worry about Kenneth Walker's health. He's a game breaker. And like we talked about in our exercise two weeks ago, guys to watch, the tackles are still something to watch. But if they develop the way they expect them to,


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[Assistant] You know, I, I just don't see the Seahawks having many matchups to where you go, Ooh.


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[Assistant] They're gonna have trouble in this area. They're not gonna be able to stop this. They got some difference makers on the front seven now. They got some big people.


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[Assistant] Jordan Brooks, I know he's not going to be totally healthy to start the year, but Bobby Wagner's in the middle to help him. If Jamal Adams can be healthy too, it can be one of the better secondaries in football with Jamal Adams, Witherspoon, Tariq Willin, and then my guy who was a hater to me on Twitter and Quandre Diggs, my Texas alumni friend who got mad at me because I said something negative about Jalen Ramsey. So that, but they're boulders there.


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[Assistant] And, and then I just, I'm gonna play the Pete Carroll Psycho, they're gonna be psychos,


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[Assistant] That's all I said. That's all I said. Just to defend you. Thank you. I mean, that's all. I mean, I'm just gonna say, no other top person at their position in the league would get traded for a third round pick. That's where I would just have that conversation and go, do you think the Rams will give Aaron Donald away for a third round pick this year? Oh no, exactly. So there you go.


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[Assistant] It's a lot of good. They need to stay healthy. That's a, that's a problem, right? We were talking a little bit off air the other day, you know.


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[Assistant] They got Devon Bush at linebacker, that's a nice little addition. You know, got Jaron Reed. Draymond Jones in the middle of their defensive line is going to change them. Uchenna Nowosu is very good on the edge. And Darrell Taylor, Darrell Taylor, Darrell Taylor, I'm not sure, out of Tennessee, year four or so.


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[Assistant] He was also a force off the edge last year. So I, I feel that, you know, this is moving time.


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[Assistant] Like, I could sit here very easily. What I wrote in my notes, and again you should be proud of me, my notes are here. This is very good. Okay? I'm trying to, I'm trying to be coachable.


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[Assistant] I'm trying to be Captain Planet all the way through here. Like, you got their schedule pulled up right now?


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[Assistant] Look at that. Can you not, could you see the Rams being 0-5 to start the year? At Seahawks, 49ers, at Bengals, at Colts, Eagles.


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[Assistant] For sure. Yea, right? I mean, it's not far-fetched. No. They're not better than the Seahawks, 49ers, Bengals, and Eagles. They're not actually better than the Colts. They're not. But they have a rookie quarterback and maybe, you know, you get lucky and they make some mistakes or whatever else.


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[Assistant] I could certainly see that. So yes, I'm going under with the Los Angeles Rams. I mean, I still think Matthew Stafford's damn good, but I got no faith in that old line. I don't know what Cam Akers is gonna be. Cooper Cubs not totally healthy. Right?


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[Assistant] They don't have anything, you know, I know Tutu Atwell, there's been some buzz about him in camp and all that. The secondary's got guys that a lot of people in the, in the public wouldn't even know.


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[Assistant] You know, there's just not a lot to look at to go, ooh, oh yeah, ooh, they're strong here, ooh, they'll dominate teams with that. I don't know what it is. Other than McVeigh's coaching, I know he'll coach them tough, they're gonna be tough and competitive and have the right game plans, but that can only take you so far with where they are right now. They're in, they're in rebuild mode.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I'm picking the under here too. I expect the Cardinals to have a top three or four pick in the draft next year.


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[Assistant] They have the Texans pick, so, you're right, they could have two in the top five. I mean, which would be incredible. But yea, this is, they told us at the draft and we were hanging in the barn.


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[Assistant] It was about next year, right? We said that right away. They're making all these moves just really for next year. They got their tackle and they were like, we needed a tackle. That's good. The hell with the rest of the season. Let's go to 2024.


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[Assistant] And, uh, yeaah, I don't see, you know, many wins in their future.


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[Assistant] I know, so somebody on the draft, I owe them 500 bucks. Oh, because they were perfect in the first place.


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[Assistant] Five picks. That's right. Right. And I said I would do it. And I'm a man of my word. And what a nice guy that is. Either he hasn't listened to the show since, or he hasn't even, he just doesn't care. He's that rich. He doesn't need


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[Assistant] There you go, I made up for it. And I promise you that my math was not, I'm just going by what I feel and looking at teams and having a little bit of a feel for a schedule and how it plays out. That's all you can do here. You know, but uhm, okay, so that's good to know though, at least it evened out a little bit.


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[Assistant] Thomas is a loyal listener and he's always contributing with questions and stuff. Uh, the Browns are, they got potential, we know that. I gotta see a little more and as you heard me say there, I think it was the, you know, Dean Lines stuff that


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[Assistant] I worry about. Now I know they got Daven Tomlinson and Myles Garrett, but it's some other guys there. Certainly linebacker play needs to be better, you know, but yeah, there's, there's some, some positives.


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[Assistant] That's right, those were the teams where it was just like, man, that's brutal right there. And I even threw the Chargers into that, you know, that little group as well. It really was. And see,


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[Assistant] You know, this is where it's, it's a great conversation. Well, I'll wait to make this point because I think we got a question coming, kind of coming, you know, that way. So I, I won't say anymore, but yeah, it's hard to pick those last few times. There's like one that's two down about my homes. Okay, here we go. We got, uh,


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[Assistant] I don't think it's that far down. We both had them kind of in the top 10. Yea, they're in the top 10. You know, their old line is really damn good. Their receivers, even though they lack a superstar, it's still a really good core group.


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[Assistant] They have the best tight end in football. They have good running backs. They have a very good duo of linebackers and Nick Bolton and Gaye in the middle.


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[Assistant] Well, it's not Niners or Eagles. It's still damn good. And they got young secondary guys that I think by the end of the year, we're all going to go, they're good. Damn, they're good. They showed it last year. So that's where I look at it. And this is the beauty of football.


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[Assistant] Doesn't mean the most complete roster wins. It just, it doesn't.


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[Assistant] It's about your game planning, sometimes about how the roster is formulated, maybe around the best thing you have. Oh wait, we have Patrick Mahomes, and if we just make this one or two areas really good, it'll make the rest of our team look amazing. That's why football is amazing. Right?


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[Assistant] And so, that's where it is great. And yea, they're not, to me, a top five roster of the Chiefs. Mahomes is certainly special. It's not only Mahomes what he does in the field, it's Mahomes and what he does in allowing them to have some versatility with their roster. That's what it does. Like, oh, we don't need Tyra Kill anymore. That's exactly what I was going to say.


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[Assistant] Right. We can just have a lot of good ones and he'll make them look elite at times and stuff like that. Right. So, and then, ooh, you know, okay, yeah, we're paying him a lot of money and we're paying the guys that are protecting him a lot of money. And, you know, Kelsey's getting a lot of money and the receivers are getting good money. So yeah, the defense can't make a ton of money.


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[Assistant] So we gotta have young guys, and we gotta have a creative defense coordinator.


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[Assistant] And we're going to play a brand of offensive football that's going to take a little pressure off our defense anyways because we're always going to be winning and we got him and it's going to change the way the other team plays us. So there's a lot of things that go into it. That's why football is amazing. It's amazing.


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[Assistant] It's the best team doesn't always win. Von Miller. Did you see this the other day? I meant to bring this up. This is where I love Von Miller because he always keeps it real. He really does. He was on a podcast talking about his Super Bowl 50 win against the Panthers, right?


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[Assistant] He said, if we played that Panthers team ten times, they would have beat us seven or eight times. You know? First off, I really credit him. Nobody ever says that when they win a Super Bowl, right? We're the best team that was ever invented. We won the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] That happens a lot. And that was cool for him to say. But yeaah, on that day...


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[Assistant] Ooh, they haven't seen this game plan, and we're gonna throw this wrinkle out, and the emotions of this is do or die, and all of a sudden the team that's not as good wins the game. Right? I mean, I feel that way with this past Super Bowl. If the Eagles played the Chiefs ten times, the Eagles are gonna win seven of them, because the Chiefs aren't gonna get a-


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[Assistant] Away with that crazy game plan they had that time, right? If they had to play them again, they're gonna go, whoa, we gotta be ready for the double corner blitz and all these crazy things. And they would have gashed them again.


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[Assistant] So, uh, that's my point is that you don't have to have the best roster to win the Super Bowl. You don't have to. You know, you can have certain other areas that are elite and then if you've got good coaching and they know how to use it, it can make your roster look like it's one of the best rosters. It is true.


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[Assistant] It could have happened. Exactly right. But they looked at it and went,


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[Assistant] Like we always talk about calculated risk. And they went, if we just play our defense, we are not going to win the game. So we have to do some things that they're not ready for and that, yeah, if they call a certain play and we call those defense, we're screwed, but we got to take these chances. And they did that and you know, found a way to win it.


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[Assistant] I won't try to claim it all the way, but I mean, Courtland 858, you can at least like, I mean, I'm always giving the Titans credit. I'm never, I am such a Mike Vrabel fan and that style of football fan. Ryan Tannehill fan. Exactly. So I uhm, I definitely think they're, they're kind of, uh, under the radar


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[Assistant] The way their team's orchestrated, the style of play in which he wants to play and do all that, and how he manages his football games, he's gonna win, they're gonna win some games they shouldn't win next year.


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[Assistant] I think the two teams I look at there, there's three teams that I think drastically, like, the thing that's making me think is, I might put the Bengals in the top five, right, if you're counting Joe Burrow, right?


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[Assistant] Are not in, to me, the top ten conversation, really. But they are with, when you add Josh Allen in the conversation. But still probably not top five. No, not top five. He can't, he can't overcome that much, but.


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[Assistant] We're done with the pod. We're done with the pod. If you're wondering why we're wearing the same clothes in the next pod.


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[Assistant] It's because we're going to tape that one here shortly. Okay. Alright, the cat's out of the bag. What? Yes. I gotta go to Muma Homes on Monday, so we're doing a double back to back podcast. You'll hear the NFC, uh, over-unders.


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[Assistant] I was trying to say like they're gonna hear it the next day or two. You got it. See, now I'm confused. Now I'm confused. AFC pod coming next, alright? Alright homies, I hope you're good. Hope everybody enjoyed that. Keep sending in the questions, thoughts, whatever. Tell me if you agree with me, disagree with me, whatever. You know where to find us. Everybody be good. We'll see you Monday. Clap it up.


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[Assistant] Yo, yo, thanks for watching homies. I appreciate it. As always, the NFL season is right around the corner. So now it's your turn to hit subscribe to Chris Sims on Button. If you want to get all the training camp battles, preseason film review, playoff predictions, and much, much more, you know where to find it. It's right here. Chris Sims on Button. Please subscribe. Thanks again for watching. Peace out, homies. See you soon.


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[Assistant] We had to screw in one of the screws a little bit tighter to, uh, Chris's neck. Thanks, Morgan. Alright, so it is Treasure Hunters Wednesday. What the F happened Wednesday. Chris, despite all of his, uh, his tiredness.


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[Assistant] He went back into the film, looked through some games, tried to figure out exactly what happened with some of these.


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[Assistant] How did they let that happen? Jaguars, are they really screwed? Are they, is that team from last year not coming back? Ravens Colts you looked at, the Dolphins, how in the world did they do that to the Broncos? And we also have Chargers, Vikings a little bit, and Bills Commanders. We got a lot to do. We got the Big Butt Awards as well, the cherry on top.


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[Assistant] I think, you know, and I've read your notes here, the cursive handwriting too, you gave some, some props to the Cardinals offense and, and what they did. Yeah, the coaching staff, right. Cause I was thinking maybe this is all just like, wow, the Cowboys really screwed this up. Like we're asleep


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[Assistant] Early on, you had Dobbs with that 44 yard run. It was just a read option off of Micah Parsons, which is what we saw the Eagles do to them last year.


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[Assistant] Oh yea, that play too. That seemed like a blown coverage on that long 70 yard pass play. I don't know exactly what happened on that play, but...


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[Assistant] Someone didn't have the right communication. So it was like, it was almost like, I looked at it here too, I was like, I don't know if Stefan Gilmore thought it was man to man or something like that, and I don't know, or it was man to man and Malik Hooker didn't cover him. I'm blanking out on that play. I've taken you down a rabbit hole right now.


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[Assistant] They just can't coach it, they're not confident in getting the guys in the right, I mean it just seems like such a wasted thing if you don't shift and move guys pre-snap.


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[Assistant] Was, this is, uh, something that was now exposed. I mean, we've said this for a while, and you've said this for a while. They're fast. They're a fast defense. They're not big. You were underwhelmed by their defensive tackles against the run, as you mentioned. Definitely right. This is a way to beat the Cowboys defense.


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[Assistant] Other side of the ball, you were impressed with the Cardinals defense against the Cowboys offense. Some guys like Gardek, the linebacker, Barnes, the linebacker popped again for you. Definitely.


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[Assistant] So that's what I was going to ask you. So that was one of your biggest complaints about Kellen Moore when he was the offensive coordinator is that they just didn't do enough with the amount of talent that they had. And Schottenheimer is there now. You're seeing the same thing.


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[Assistant] They leave you wanting more. So as we're calibrating the blame-o-meter, it seems like some blame goes on the offensive system for sure. Some blame does go on Dak, and I think we have the dots for Kazeer White, that interception in the end zone, if you want to speak on that place specifically. So what did you see on this one that basically sealed the deal?


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[Assistant] The Patriots can do similar things to slow down the Cowboys. We got that game this week. The Cardinals are at the 49ers, another tough test for them. We'll see how they handle. It's like the difficulty level just keeps going up for the Cardinals on this season. All right, moving on now.


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[Assistant] Houston Texans defeated the Jacksonville Jaguars 37-17. That ended up being a 20 point game. It seemed like the Jaguars were always on the cusp of like, alright, now they're gonna take over, now they're gonna take over.


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[Assistant] Let's start there. I think that's interesting because your praise was effusive in your notes for what you saw. Not just with the Texans offense, but you thought they did some good things, but with the way that the rookie quarterback CJ Stroud handled himself. That was I think the headline from your deeper look into this game. What did you see from CJ?


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[Assistant] Yeah, you like C.J. Stroud. We mentioned that on Sunday night. I like Tank Del too. And Tank Del and C.J. Stroud seem to have something going here. Definitely.


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[Assistant] He was on Shanahan's. He was there too. Of course, because it's D'Amico Ryan's going over there. Right. Right. Yeaah. We gotta get a picture. So they got some good things going there. We gotta get you face to face with him. Alright, so, you know, last year it was the Jaguars offense, and you were like, wow, they finally


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[Assistant] On Trevor Lawrence. So should we, now we panicked before, and we got over it, but now is the time to re-panic.


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[Assistant] They are close. You noted that multiple times. They are close. They are close. They are missing some plays here. Uh, Trevor Lawrence had some good throws and some good decisions out there.


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[Assistant] And they gotta button up. And maybe part of the reason is that, you know, and maybe where you can...


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[Assistant] Tip of the cap though, still to the Houston Texans defense and a couple of guys that you were a little lower on in the draft that stood out to you in this one where Henry To'oto'o in the linebacker.


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[Assistant] So Texans will play the Steelers coming up, a couple bruising teams going head to head, and then the Jaguars go out to London to take on the Falcons later on this week. Colts beat the Ravens, that one went to overtime.


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[Assistant] 22-19 if you forgot the final score. Uhm, the Ravens offense.


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[Assistant] Was a little, was a little sluggish and we, we thought that Todd Munkin would come in here, change everything more for passing offense, get away from the Greg Romans running style. It would just open up a whole new, you know, dimension to Lamar Jackson in that offense. We haven't quite seen that yet. No. What's going on with it?


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, that would have changed the complexion of the game for sure, because it was only a field goal that determined this one. Uh, real quick on the offensive side of the ball for the Colts, what did you think of Shane Steichen and what he was doing over there?


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[Assistant] Alright, so uh, you want to do the 70 burger right now? Yeah, might as well. Or I guess maybe more specifically the Broncos defense and what went wrong. So Sean Payton said on Monday, quote, it's a tough film to watch. We'd be remiss if we didn't though. As unpleasant as it's going to be, we've got to get these things cleaned up.


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[Assistant] A lot of, I mean, I'm sure there's a lot of people around football that would say, you don't even watch that film. You don't, you don't even look at it. It's just like, it's, it's so bad. What are you going to even learn? But they, they watched it. Yeah. I give them credit there and you watched it. I did.


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[Assistant] Well, that's the crazy thing, because we think that that Dolphins defense has talent, right? A couple injuries, I guess. Broncos defense, you mean? Yeah. What did I say? Yeah, Dolphins defense. Gotcha. Broncos defense. Uh, Justin Simmons, was he hurt? Or Frank Clark? I mean, there's a couple of guys who are hurt, maybe hurt in the game or didn't play. Yep, they didn't. Frank Clark didn't play. Simmons didn't play. But still, it's like Vance Joseph, a good defensive coordinator. Was it, was it, you said schematical problems. Was it lack of effort at all? Well, it became that a little bit. At the end of the game.


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[Assistant] I mean, why that's crazy is that's like a bend but don't break defense that just gave up 70 points is what you described right there.


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[Assistant] That's what he said, he wants it to be known now that it's not a chain, it's a chan.


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[Assistant] And then, in their media guide, it said a chain, so everyone was like, oh, we were wrong in college, so now we'll fix ourselves.


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[Assistant] Alright, so I feel like this is a, uh, this is a theme of this podcast here today and FinSport sums it up again. We know the NFL is a copycat league.


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[Assistant] Motion on pass plays and run plays. Where did this come from, Pete? Where'd we get this? I feel like this was ESPN, Seth Walder.


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[Assistant] Yeah, up there in the corner on X. You can go get it on X right now. So all the teams in the upper right are teams that use a lot of motion on run and pass plays. Right. And I feel like...


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[Assistant] Those are all the coaches that are the most creative coaches also in the NFL, including my Detroit Lions and Ben Johnson. Yeah. Yeah. I mean.


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[Assistant] Yeah, there's a lot of Shanahan there, right? Dolphins are way to the extreme. 70% of the time on running plays and 50% of the time on pass plays. But you got the Rams over there, you got the Lions, you got the Chargers, you got the 49ers, Packers, and you got the Falcons.


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[Assistant] I have a feeling we're going to be able to talk about this Dolphins offense for many, many podcasts this year. Now Mike McDaniel is getting love. Of course he is. For Coach of the Year. Now it's early, it's very early, but DraftKings still has the early Coach of the Year odds and maybe no surprise to anyone.


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[Assistant] Mike McDaniel is currently the favorite at plus 400. Dan Campbell, my guy, second choice at 750. Arthur Smith for the Falcons, third choice at plus 1000. And Matt LaFleur at plus 1400. I think that's a pretty good... I think it's a pretty good... Top four right now. Shane Stike in there at five.


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[Assistant] That was his chance. Last year was his chance. It's over now. It's over. Expectations are too high. DraftKings Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NFL. New customers can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets instantly, Chris.


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[Assistant] The crown is yours. Damn! I thought you were still gonna go there, you kinda ended in a...


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[Assistant] And now they got the Bears, and they gotta stop that juggernaut at offense. That's just what the doctor ordered for Sean Payton and company over there. Alright, let's go to this right now. We'll go one more game real quick. Bills...


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[Assistant] All over the commanders, 37 to 3. And let's do Inside the Numbers, powered by AWS, because we can look at what the Bills did defensively, and they created a whole lot of pressures. Uh, Bills pressures leaders, you got Ed Oliver,


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[Assistant] That is their number one right now. Shaq Lawson, AJ Eponesa though. Leonard Floyd is in the mix. Greg Rousseau. So they got a lot of guys contributing pressures right now to the quarterback.


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[Assistant] This was all week three at the commanders. Man, that is crazy. I don't know if I've seen that many pressures from one team and that many different guys, uh, but that offensive line did not slow down the Bills much.


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[Assistant] That actually might be a really good thing, right? It was like a slap in the face. If the end of last year wasn't, the beginning of this year was for him. Alright, we got one more thing to do. You ready?


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[Assistant] We'll start with the defensive tackles and Jalen Carter was awesome again. I gave him the big butt of the week, week one. He was, he was great again. Didn't play a whole lot of snaps, but was very dominant in the ones he did. Javon Hargrave was good, Christian Barmore, but none of them won. Big butt of the week. That goes to Mario Edwards Jr.


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[Assistant] And getting that straight. So he won there and the edge, big butt of the week goes to Myles Garrett. He was amazing. Oh my gosh. Little edge with three and a half sacks, second in pressures with nine, and he just played 36 snaps. They didn't need him to play a whole lot more than that.


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[Assistant] Well done. You made the, uh, the graphic here with Miles Garrett and Mario Edwards Jr. with a Miles Garret. And yeah, look at the, look at the rear for Miles Garrett there. Good job, Kristen. It's impressive.


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[Assistant] Alright, so do we have to do the rest of the pod? You wanna just call it quits and just say the hell with it?


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[Assistant] I'm going to get it going. I'm not going to get a hot streak. I definitely am. I'm still like, Oh my gosh, with Patrick Mahomes and the chiefs and the way they played and he could have scored at the yes and all that. That could have been my one victory last week with the, with the best bets. So I need to rebound.


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[Assistant] A lot of evidence of, you know, you yelled at Pete like four weeks ago for sending the results on a Monday for our picks and a lot of evidence so far that


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[Assistant] Well, you brought it up on two Mondays or Tuesdays in four weeks. You brought it up on the weeks you were winning. You brought it up. So I'm just letting you know. And we got receipts and I gotta go to the videotape like Warner Wolf and everybody. You know what you do?


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[Assistant] Download the DraftKings app. Click on the Pools tab and enter free $1,000 Florio and Sims Pick'em pool to make your picks or visit draftkings.com slash pools.


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[Assistant] Alright, well, you know, there's two things, and I think we, you know, both agree on this a little bit. Hey, one, the product on the field, two, the psychology off the field leading up to the game, all of that.


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[Assistant] And I look at it and just go, I think the commanders have the advantage in both areas there. I do. One, I think the commanders are better, alright, on the field, the players, you know, the coaching, all of that.


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[Assistant] Two, I think the psychology of last week of Washington going, wait, we could have beat the Eagles. We even left a few plays on the field and made a few mistakes and still went to overtime with them. And then the other side of that is the Bears and like, oh geez.


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[Assistant] You know, we blew a 28-7 lead at home against the Broncos who...


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[Assistant] You know, their defense has been pitiful and everything like that. So I, I actually think that's gonna kinda be a negative for the Bears. And I think Washington's gonna be able to stick out their chest and go, wait, we kinda feel good where we are as a football team.


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[Assistant] I think you couple that with some of the injuries in the secondary for the Bears. That scares me. You know, I think a lot of that firepower that Washington has on the offensive side of the ball, their offense is creative, does a lot of good things there. And then I think, you know, their defense, uh,


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[Assistant] Is better than what it's statistically ranked. And I think, you know, we saw last week, they gave Jalen Hurtson and some problems there. I think they'll give Justin Fields and this offense some problems as well. I'm going to go commanders 24 to 17.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it'll be interesting. 30 to 17 shouldn't be that bad or 24 17 shouldn't be that bad. So well, you know, and Justin Fields running and those weapons on that Washington offense, hopefully it'll lead to, you know, some big plays and at least an exciting watch.


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[Assistant] The Bills are, I think, the team I look at right now, and you heard me say this earlier today, I think other than the 49ers, right, the last three weeks I would go, the Bills have probably been the second best team in football.


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[Assistant] I mean, they've been pretty dominant on both sides. You know, the defense is, I think, the thing that's really impressive. You know, they're deep, they're talented on their front four. The two middle linebackers they got, Milano and Bernard, are special that way. They're playing at a really high level. And then on top of that, right, like,


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[Assistant] Jacksonville, Jacksonville's offense has not really gotten going yet. It hasn't got there yet.


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[Assistant] So that's where it's hard for me to sit there and go, ooh, this is the week Jacksonville is going to get it together against this group, the way Buffalo is playing. I don't know about that. I don't. I respect Jacksonville, but they just haven't found that, you know, that stride yet.


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[Assistant] The Bills' offense is on fire. Their old line, I think, is as good as it's been, really, in the Josh Allen era. We're seeing consistent production from Gabe Davis and some other guys that are getting involved, so it's not just Allen and Diggs.


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[Assistant] Right? So I like all of that. I'm going to go with the Bills winning the football game, but I'm not by so much that they're going to cover this spread. I'm going 24 20 Bills. Uh, I don't know. I just always kind of feel in these London games.


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[Assistant] Offense is always a little harder for whatever reason and teams don't seem to hit on all cylinders on that side of the ball as often. So, uh, I'm going to keep this one a little closer than maybe the spread makers think.


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[Assistant] Well, I think it's a really even matchup. I do. And I think also what plays into Atlanta being home and Atlanta has been pretty tough at home now, going into last year and of course even this year here. So I think that's probably playing a part in it.


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[Assistant] Right? Maybe a little bit of the rookie quarterback. How are they going to handle two wins in a row? I don't know. They all play in a part of it. And I think another thing too is, this Atlanta defense, they are real. That's for sure. Right?


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[Assistant] I've gone back and forth with this football game. And you know, I'm a, I'm a believer in the Texans a little bit, right? Last week, I know I picked the Steelers, but I just said, I said, I, this is a game. I can see the Texas winning this game.


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[Assistant] I stated that clearly. I think I picked the Steelers to win by a point or whatever. I just was chicken to pick the Texans. Wasn't totally bought in on the culture there and just, can they win a tough game like that against a Steelers football team? They showed me something.


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[Assistant] You know, the D is a real pain in the ass as we've talked about. Uh, they got some young talent that is better than I expected. We know D'Amico Ryans is a good coach and CJ Stroud continues to amaze me and awe me. It's special what he's doing right now.


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[Assistant] He is awesome. I have a little bit of a man crush and he's already, I think, one of my more favorite quarterbacks in all of the NFL. I kind of went back and forth on this. This will not be a best bet here. It's a low scoring, tough defense of football game.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Texans though, because of what you said. I don't trust Atlanta's offense. I don't trust Desmond Ritter. And I don't know, I don't see anything that tells me it's about to turn the corner. I'm gonna go with the hot hand on CJ Stroud and this Texas team, 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Well, I originally wrote down 27-17, and then I looked at the spread and then I made it 28-17. Alright, so I'm going with the Lions here. One, the same old story. The Panthers offense? What? Okay, great.


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[Assistant] And you're not going to be able to run the ball on this Detroit defense. That's one thing that we've seen a difference between last year and this year. Detroit, good luck running the ball. They're legit upfront. They're hard to move. You know, they got it going in that, that department.


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[Assistant] So, and then I go, the Panthers pass offense, you know I have no faith in that right now. So between that and then, okay, I look at the other side and we know the Lions offense has everything. It's got answers for everything. It really does.


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[Assistant] You know, and then I think going on top of that, you know I respect the Panthers defense. They're a pain in the butt. They got some talent. Their one issue though is they're not great at stopping the run. Teams have run the ball on them a little bit.


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[Assistant] And that's what's scary about Detroit, who leads the league and, hey, we will run, but they lead the league and play action passes. I don't know if they actually lead it, but they're always up the top of football in that department. I think that's a tough combination. I do. You know, and like you said, extra time, all that. I'm going 28-17 Lions.


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[Assistant] No, I hear you there. I hear you. And I think they are a team that, you know, is gonna continue to play at a high level. Uh, and, and, you know, back to the Bryce Young thing.


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[Assistant] You know, all the things are the people that were worried about Bryce Young and all the negatives we kind of brought up during the draft. Yeah. So far there, that's kind of the overarching story that, that, that's it.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, he's small. He plays small. His arm is not very strong.


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[Assistant] He's not as fast as everybody thought he was. It's easy to be fast when you're worried about all Alabama's weapons and you got the greatest past protection and all this movement and everything there.


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[Assistant] So that they, I don't care what they say. They gotta be concerned because the other two are showing to be freaks and their guy looks nothing like a freak right now. Nothing like that at all. In fact, it's borderline whether he looks a starting quarterback caliber right now.


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[Assistant] Help me help you. Uh, I hear you. It is a tough one. Cause one, it feels like both of these teams are kind of comfortable being in a close kind of defensive, low scoring football game, right?


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[Assistant] So you go, you go, you go, okay, I can see that game being that way. And usually I always pick Tennessee in those type of games because I go that that's, they want to play football like that.


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[Assistant] I think my big thing here is, the Titan's offense seems to be coming along a little bit here.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, we saw, like, a run game get going last week and, and we are seeing Tannahill and the pass game have moments. I'm not ready to write home and go, oh damn, they're, they're legit and they gotta go in here.


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[Assistant] You know, I think with, with this matchup in particular, right, they struggled against, who was it, the Browns defense? And the Browns we know are kind of special. This ain't, the, the, the Colts are not the Browns. Alright? I, I think that, and then here's the other thing too, I look at it and go,


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[Assistant] It starts still with the run game with the Colts. That's how they want to stress you out. They want to get you to defend that. And Tennessee is phenomenal at stopping the run. And I just don't think this is a game yet quite where Anthony Richardson can take over with his arm and throw the ball and beat them that way. I'm gonna take the Titans 23 to 20 on the road. One of the reasons I


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[Assistant] Is it sharps? Is that what they call it? Sharp. Sharp. Sharp. Not shark. Sharps. I don't think I ever knew that. I don't know if I ever knew that. I think I've always thought it was shark. I don't know why. I always thought it was.


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[Assistant] One, that was embarrassing by the Giants offense. That's the first thing. So it's hard for me to think that that won't be a highly motivated group here. Two, off of that...


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[Assistant] The Dolphins defense has been disappointing to this point this year. I'm in.


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[Assistant] We've seen, you know, really everybody move the ball on them. Even the Broncos in the 70 to 20, they left plays and yards out there. They could, they should have had more too.


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[Assistant] Well, but, but, so, so that, I look at the Giants and I go, I think they can move the ball and keep it respectable against this Dolphins defense. I do. Now the other side to me is where it's really interesting.


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[Assistant] The Giants love the Blitz. They're aggressive as hell. They always have a few new wrinkles with how aggressive they are. So you go, oh wait, when they bring this Blitz, we should have this guy here by everything we do. But like Wink Martindale's good at like self-scouting thyself and you know, they'll bring that Blitz and you prepare for it.


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[Assistant] But then they have a guy drop off, drop out this week. Cause they're like, Oh, we know this team likes to throw it right here. So we're going to have a guy drop there or whatever. They're there. The Giants defense is way better than the statistics bear out.


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[Assistant] You know, as I said to you earlier today, the 49ers game was 17-12, halfway through the third quarter.


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[Assistant] The defense kept them in it. The game the other night was 14-3 and about to be 14-10 because the defense kept them in it and let's not forget the Seahawks created a short field for one of their scores there early in the game to get to 14.


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[Assistant] Uh, so, I'm gonna go with the Dolphins, of course, to win the game, but I'm gonna have the Giants cover the spread. I think you're gonna get a last ditch, desperate, desperate, kind of best performance they can possibly do. 27-17, Dolphins. I got 30 to 20.


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[Assistant] This is a tough one here. I'm interested to see who you're gonna pick here because right now we've picked the same ones and I thought for sure, I thought you would go Atlanta and me picking Houston was gonna be, you know, a different one here. So we're both on the same page with a lot of these here. I think I look at it like this. You know, uhm,


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[Assistant] The Patriots offense, a little bit like we were just talking about, embarrassing, what they did last week, like certainly gonna be a week where I kinda look at it like they'll right the ship a little bit here. You know, I think their offensive line is getting healthier, it's a good


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[Assistant] You know, and then on the other side, where are, I really think the Patriots have a big advantage on the defense versus the New Orleans offense, where I am a little worried. Of course there's the secondary, that the Patriots are banged up there and the fact that


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[Assistant] Yeah, we got some weapons in the past game with the New Orleans Saints, but weapons that they can't seem to ever really get going here.


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[Assistant] And you know my thought, it's a little bit like the Bangles. It's basic West Coast bullshit that Bill Belichick's gonna be all over a lot of their crap. So I'm going Patriots here, 19 to 17, winning a close one at home.


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[Assistant] Press the panic button. I'm not sold as gonna result in a win. I'm not there. Now, like, the Steelers, you know, as you've mentioned nine million times since we worked together, this is, this is a Steelers moment.


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[Assistant] Play like shit last week, right? They got out physical, out coached, everything, and then this is the week where you go, oh, I count them out, they look like crap, and they come back and win a football game. I, I think this is gonna be a real good football game. I don't think they're gonna win it. I don't.


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[Assistant] Hey, it looks like the Ravens are going to be somewhat healthy on offense. I think the Ravens, I'm hoping, after watching that film last week against the Browns, their big thing is run.


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[Assistant] I think in the first few weeks, they were a little bit too like, Oh, we paid Lamar. We got these receivers. We got to throw the ball. We got Todd Munkin. We got to prove that this was all worth it and all that.


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[Assistant] Just, you've still got one of the best running schemes and a big physical o-line. Run the ball and all the other stuff will start to happen and people will be open.


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[Assistant] The offense is looking better. I don't have a ton of faith in the Steelers defense. You know that. I think the Ravens will run on this Steelers defense, just like the Texans did last week a little too. And I'd have no faith still in the Steelers offense. I don't. And I think the Ravens defense is damn good. I'm going Ravens 21-20. Close football game.


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[Assistant] Right? Like, I don't, I don't trust the Bengals. I wouldn't bet money on them.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna bet for them to win the football game because of some of the dudes they got in that locker room and the culture they've built over the last two years, but I don't feel comfortable about it. Like I can see Arizona winning this football game.


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[Assistant] Arizona's defensive game plans and what they do there are really good and you're not even going to have to really worry about a run game against the Bengals. And then it's simple offense on that side, right? I think it's a game that, that really the Bengals defense is going to have to help them win the game. And that's kind of what I expect them to do.


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[Assistant] You know, the Cardinals offense, as you said, just like a minute ago, they've been a pleasant surprise as well.


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[Assistant] They're, they're, they're pretty creative, a pain in the butt. You know, if they had a better quarterback, I'd go, ooh, they would have stole some of these games if they let go by. And it's not that he's been bad, he just can't, he doesn't make a lot of plays, and he does miss a few throws every game where I go, damn, you know, that would have been a big chunk there, or whatever else.


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[Assistant] I like everything there. I'm gonna go with the bangles just out of desperation. And like I said, they got more talent.


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[Assistant] And they're going to find a way to win the football game, uh, 20 to 16, but I think it's going to be ugly. I do. And I think we could be sitting there at one point in the game going, damn, they're down. It's early third quarter. It's 16, 13 Cardinals. Holy crap. Are the bangles going to lose the whole season right here? I would not be shocked if that happened.


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[Assistant] You know, maybe get drunk a little bit and buy some clothes that fit you and do that. That's probably why he sent it to you. Uhm, either way, Eagles Rams, alright, the Rams have been one of the most pleasant surprises in football, right? The Rams...


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[Assistant] Their defense, a pain in the butt. They got, of course Aaron Donald's still up there. They got some other guys with.


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[Assistant] They're a little bit bigger than in years past the Rams defense. I think that's kind of what's, what's interesting about them upfront.


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[Assistant] Um, maybe not as like fast and as disruptive. Uh, then the offensive side of the ball, Hey, we know Stafford's the man. You know, McVeigh is going to come up with ways to, to get, you know, I think we got Cooper cut back this week, right? Him with Puka Nakua and all that. I get it.


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[Assistant] But I just think this is too much to overcome here in this one. I feel like this one is one where the Eagles will slowly steamroll the Rams as the game goes on.


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[Assistant] Well, we'll sit there early third quarter and go, Oh man, look at the Rams. This is good. This is a great game. But ultimately I'm going the Eagles 34 to 20. I just think upfront.


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[Assistant] They are going to wear the Rams out as this thing kind of moves along. And then we know what happens. It becomes one on one outside and Devontae and AJ Brown start to go off. But I really worry about Stafford being protected in this game more than anything.


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[Assistant] Is that an Italian phrase? Yeah, it is. I think it is too. I think I've heard it up here too. And I, well, what does it mean though? That's what I'm not sure, but shit. Okay. It means shit. Okay. Okay. All right. So, uh, who do you, who do you like in this one?


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[Assistant] This isn't, I mean, this got a lot of storylines to this football game. Uh, I tend to, I'm leaning Broncos here in this one. I am. Now, one,


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[Assistant] The Jets, as we saw again last week, you can run the ball on the Jets.


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[Assistant] Right. I think Denver will run the ball enough. I think Sean Payton in the passing game is creative enough that it will make some plays against this.


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[Assistant] This, uh, Jets defense, which I know was good, but not as good as we all thought it was going to be. I mean, let's be serious. Can the Jets defense start a game out being dominant? Can they end the game? I mean, gosh, the chiefs held the ball for eight minutes to end the game the other night. That's insane.


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[Assistant] They let them go up and down the field to start the game. 17-0. Boom. Just like that.


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[Assistant] That's where, that's the disappointing thing to me about the Jets. We knew the offense might be trouble, right? We didn't think the defense was gonna get behind in every game and not be able to close out games at the end. That's, that's disappointing to me.


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[Assistant] Um, so I, you know, the Broncos and Sean Payton and that offense, I, I, I see a lot of good. I don't think it's like that bad. They're close. It's not horrible. And especially when you just wipe away that, that Dolphins game.