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[Assistant] Casey in Jacksonville, and you can tell me, do you want to wait on Casey or do you want to just go and double down on it?


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[Assistant] Listen, you don't have a, you don't have a brother, right? This year? No. Yeah, but Breach, Breach, you have like 14 brothers. I've got a younger brother.


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[Assistant] Um, and like the thing about Charlie, shout out to Charlie Brinson. Yeah. Um, the thing about brothers is like, they know your, your, your, your brothers, they know how to push your buttons. They know exactly what's going to make the thing about brothers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And the jets have sort of figured out what annoys Josh Allen and they're just pushing his buttons and he's like, you're like eventually.


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[Assistant] I think, I think the Jets are liking the script right now. So like, we're in my, we're in my parents' house.


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[Assistant] Um, holidays, whatever I will, you know, I've got a nine year old and Robbie's with me and you know, nine year olds aren't clean and I'll clean up behind him, but Charlie will be like, um, I'm just going to go ahead and put this, uh, this, uh, this plate in the dishwasher since you left it out. I'm like, Charlie.


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[Assistant] Like go F yourself. Like I'm going to get it in a second. I had to get the kid in bed. Well, no, it's just like, it's just like, it's just, he knows, he knows what gets me going and I know what gets him going. And then like my dad knows what everyone can do to each other. And I think like the jets are basically Alan's kryptonite. And as such.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think it seems to be fine. Jacksonville's, it was really hot. It was like one o'clock. It's only one o'clock kickoff game for them. Um, swampy down there in Jacksonville.


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[Assistant] Oh, well, so Brady, Brady quit Brady dudes. And I talked about this on Tuesday. Uh, make sure and check out those shows. Of course. Uh, and this is where I sort of fall. Right. You lost Aaron Rogers for the season.


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[Assistant] In theory, you can come back for the playoffs. That's outrageous to suggest you be back in January after 20 killies.


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[Assistant] What, is it, what would be, what's like the better, cause I think if you go to Matt Ryan or if it's our colleague or car, you're getting.


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[Assistant] I think, yeah, by the time that actually comes to fruition, I think that it would be, you're going to be like five or six weeks in, right? Like it's, like, you're not going to be like, you're not going to be smiling.


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[Assistant] Then you have the Giants in that matchup, then the Chargers. So like, what do you have after the Eagles game now? Oh, you got your Wi-Fi. Bye. Sorry.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Is if let's say you go two and two best case scenario over the next four weeks with those defenses and like having to play in Denver. I mean, I feel like one and three is pretty good for the jets of those on those four weeks with just those matchups. Even three of the games are at home. If you go one three and you're then two and four.


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[Assistant] Do you, at that point, do you just kind of want to see what just gives Zach Wilson the whole season and you can definitively make a call after the season?


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[Assistant] The answer is no. Alright, on to number six. Here we go. Before you ask me that, I think we should take, I'll tell you what, why don't, coming up after the break, Ryan Wilson will ask me something next. There you go.


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[Assistant] I don't know how much of this game you watched Wilson or breach. I, I call it like a decent bit of it. Um, Russell Wilson was cooking.


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[Assistant] He was, he was slinging the ball, getting it downfield. It felt like pre-rust injury, like pushing the ball down the field.


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[Assistant] Okay. They hit Marvin men's for a deep touchdown. He was making some good throws. He was doing some good stuff. I was really impressed with it. Uh, you know, he ended the game, uh, going, uh, 18 to 32, which is not fantastic. 308 yards passing three touchdowns, one interception. Marvin men's the only guy over a hundred yards with 113 that that long six yard touchdown. Um, Russ was their leading rusher, which is a problem.


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[Assistant] Remember, we had this long stretch, three year stretch where the Saints went seven to nine every year. Drew Brees was like breaking every offensive passing record on planet Earth, but they just didn't have a very good defense. So like, I think that maybe we're at that spot with the Broncos now.


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[Assistant] I mean, Russell, Russell Wilson, if Russell Wilson played the way he played today for the first three quarters today, he would be considered a top 10 quarterback. If you play like that all the time.


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[Assistant] We don't know if, if this, if this is a case of Russell is kind of rounding into form with Sean Payton, I think it's a tough question to answer. I don't think we can definitively say yes or no, because like if it is coming together and he starts to put together full games like that, then the Broncos are going to be a problem. Now, if you give up 35 points to Sam Howell,


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[Assistant] Yeah, it seems unlikely, but again, like, I mean, like, let's look at the AFC as a whole and we'll, we'll shift focus in a minute to the NFC, but Miami's tuna.


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[Assistant] You feel like, uh, they're gonna get there. We have to see with the Steelers and the Browns on Monday night. Uh, the Bengals, I think two teams from that division too.


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[Assistant] Jaguars, Colts, Titans all one on one and Texans over two. To me, this feels like we've seen enough where there's gonna be one team out of the South.


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[Assistant] Might be the Titans, might be the Jaguars. I think it's either one of those two teams. And then in the, in the West.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, what I'm saying right now, if you were picking the AFC West, you would be picking one team. So you would have one team from the West, one from the South, two from the North and two from the East, right?


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[Assistant] So that's six. So there's just basically what I'm saying is the Aaron Rodgers injury and Brandon's daily sucking have vacated a playoff spot where one of these own two teams can sneak in.


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[Assistant] Look, here's what I'll say about the 49ers and Rams. I think that the 49ers are maybe the best team in football right now.


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[Assistant] Just a question, was Brock Purdy gonna be healthy? Was Tray Lance gonna get involved? Was Sam Darnold going to be forced into the starting lineup? Through two games, Brock Purdy's been really good. And if it's not like, you know, he's not like the top.


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[Assistant] He's not like top five quarterback or anything good, but he's 17 to 25 or 208 yards.


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[Assistant] I think if you were repicking a Super Bowl right now, you'd go to like 49ers Dolphins. 49ers.


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[Assistant] And like, I don't, so on the Rams side of things, I think the Rams are a playoff team and I think the Rams have looked really good. I think Matthew Stavridis looked awesome the first two weeks of the season. Uh, Karen Williams ran the ball well, uh, Puka Nakua 15 catches on 20 targets for 147 yards. Like this offense has looked good without Cooper Cup.


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[Assistant] And Aaron Donald is, he wasn't a huge factor on Sunday. I think the 49ers just had the Rams number. They're probably going to win the division.


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[Assistant] But the Rams look like a really good football team that can get involved in the playoffs and has like, you know, this quarterback who's gotten hot in the playoffs before. So uhm, that's sort of where I stand with the 49ers and the Rams. I think both these teams can go to the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Give the Rams, give the 49ers all the credit in the world, but the Rams to me do look like a team that's back.


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[Assistant] Okay, so this is, this will be my point about the Cowboys. I thought week one we talked about this. We didn't learn anything about a Cowboy's offense.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We learned everything about the Cowboys defense and the Cowboys offense just didn't get involved with that Giants game.


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[Assistant] Uh, I mean 49ers won. Uh huh. I'm actually gonna go Cowboys 2 and Eagles 3. I think Mike McCrory, I think.


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[Assistant] Remember when Mike McCarthy was running the offense in Green Bay?


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[Assistant] No, it's just that through two weeks, it feels like the Eagles could really easily be owned too. And they sort of got some lucky breaks via vis-a-vis turnovers that they shouldn't have gotten. Like it wasn't like incredible defensive plays that got turnovers. It was like.


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[Assistant] The Patriots and the Vikings kind of peed down their legs and gave the eagles the ball a bunch.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like that's probably going to change. You know, the Raiders are leading the AFC West right now. I don't think that's going to be.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying like, I don't think that the Eagles are going to be the third best team in the NFC at the end of the year.


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[Assistant] I still think, I think San Francisco won Philly to Dallas three, but man Dallas looks really complete across the board. And I don't think that they'll win a Superbowl, but I do think that this is a team that is going to be competing for the number one seed. I think they'll win the division. So actually, I guess I think there are two.


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[Assistant] Well, remember like Pete Prisco picked the, the commanders to, um, to make the playoffs. A lot of people, a lot of people sort of thought the commanders would. I, so you said Atlanta too, right?


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[Assistant] One of my bold predictions is you fools may recall since you were on the podcast, I said the Falcons are the most wins in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think, I think the Falcons are, I think the Falcons, Stevens is much improved. They were down and were trailing and Desmond Ritter sort of like.


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[Assistant] I was here at 16, a dismal riddle, ran the ball 10 times in a touchdown 19 to 32 for a touchdown on the pick. Drake lonely got involved. Kyle Pitts is kind of non-existent there. It's not going to be pretty.


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[Assistant] They're gonna scrap and claw and they're just gonna sort of, I think, find a way to win a bunch of games because they have a soft schedule.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay looks, Mike Evans looks locked in like he wants to get paid.


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[Assistant] Baker is playing pretty good football and the Bucks defense is not bad. Uhm, the Bucks have also played a Vikings team that loves to choke and is due for some regression and, and the Bears who are friggin terrible. Uhm, and then, uh, commanders do the commanders, same hells good. The commanders can make a playoff run.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So through the first five games of the season last year, Justin Fields was averaging 38.8 rushing yards per game. He was not running a bunch. He had 12 carries, 11 carries in the first game, 8, 8, 7, and 8. A lot of those were not like design carries. Most of them were not.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And then the Bears were like, oh my goodness, our team sucks. We're not very good at football. We need to let Justin Fields run and create some design carries. 12 carries, 14, 8, 15, 13, 18.


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[Assistant] Then he gets hurt and doesn't play 6, 15, 7, and 10. They ran him like crazy. They changed the offense and were like, let's let Justin run. And they won one game the rest of the year. Like this team is bad and I don't know why people thought they would be good. And Justin Fields is probably going to be if they finish with a top five pick.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He's probably going to be, he's, they probably will. He's probably going to be on like we see that. I think this is Christian process mock draft. He is, uh, the bears taking Drake may go back to the Carolina quarterback. Well, Chicago. Good luck.


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[Assistant] If this thing, or this is Josh Edwards, I'm sorry, not Chris Chapasso. Uh, if, if this, if the, I think it's very, very likely that if the Bears finish in the top five or top three pick,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That in, or in the same way that you fire a coach to get the heat off your back.


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[Assistant] The coaching staff in front office will dump fields and draft somebody else and blame it on Ryan pace.


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[Assistant] Just one more dunk on the Bears. Number two, can you do, can you name the number two person on this Bears all-time receiving yards list?


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[Assistant] Right, they said he could have kept playing if he needed to if the game was in the balance. Week two, he scores a rushing touchdown, suffers a concussion, and then plays two more series, which is not great for the team that ruined Andrew Luck's career, uh, you know, but by virtue of like all these injuries, my concern is that


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[Assistant] And I, the Russ Wilson thing I agree with completely. I, the one I read about this, it was like, I think with like Jalen Hurts, right? That's Steichen, Shane Steichen's old quarterback. Jalen Hurts is, is a, what a scout or somebody told you, Wilson is, was the best running back in the big 12. He's smaller. In a good way. Yeah.


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[Assistant] He's, he's like thick as hell. He squats massive amounts of weight and he's he, but he's AR is a V Richardson. He's like, is like a leaner cam Newton and he's bigger.


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[Assistant] Jalen hurts is really good at running, knows how to avoid the contract and he still got hurt. And it feels like.


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[Assistant] I'm just, I'm just, Richardson has two reasonably serious injuries in his first two games of his pro career. That's a concern moving forward because


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[Assistant] But why, why, why are they going to do it like, like Jalen Hurts didn't play the last two weeks, but he only, he came back in week 18, but missed week 16 and 17, right? No, just about.


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[Assistant] I think that that second half was like needed from, uh, so like, uh, Kevin Steimel, our NFL editor is a big giant fan. Um, you know, we know lots of giants fans and it was like, man,


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[Assistant] But then you're like, well, yes, but the Bills drafted Josh Allen and the Giants signed Daniel Dimes instead. They're 23 to 1 to win this division.


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[Assistant] I think that's, I think it was like a, I think it's a possible, a bit of a, like a slingshot motivationally, um, or momentum wise to possibly like play better over the next few weeks. But I still think this giant team is probably like a sub 500 team breach.


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[Assistant] What does Winsover Wilson have? I know what the line is. What do you have the line for Giants 49ers? Where is it? It's in San Francisco on Thursday nights.


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[Assistant] I think 10's too short, man. The diners might just obliterate.


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[Assistant] I think, I think, I think the Giants were, you know, Minnesota went 11-0 in one score games last year. The Giants had a great one score record as well. They were kind of a luck box. I think Dable coached up a roster that had been deteriorating for years under Dave Gettleman. Brian Dable coached it up.


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[Assistant] And they were better than the personnel they had and as such they overachieved and so it's one of those. It's like the unfortunate nature of like you go nine and eight and make the playoffs and win a playoff game and everyone's saying, oh,


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[Assistant] Well, just go do that, but better because you know, you grow exponentially as a football team each year, but that's not how it works. There's injuries, there's regression, all kinds of different stuff in a short sample size game. And so I think it's more likely that they go like, uh, six and 11, seven to 10. And to me, the big thing is.


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[Assistant] Does Daniel Jones look like, do you come away from this season not regretting the Daniel Jones contract?


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[Assistant] Right. It's like, like, but would you rather go seven and 10? You're like, okay, we feel okay about the Daniel Jones contract versus you go nine and eight, make the playoffs. You're like, we don't really know if we should have signed that deal.


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[Assistant] Alright, Rensen VP. I told you that the Falcons were gonna...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Win a bunch of games and be really good this year. And they are there. Your baby Titans breach. You live in Atlanta, lived in Nashville. They're the Bytons. Exactly. Um.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] By the way, somebody says you guys are dumb AF besides the bald guy.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That sounds like that's your wife in the chat is what that is. Thanks honey.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'll tell you, dude, my Princeton VP is, let me make sure I'm not missing somebody before I put this one in.


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[Assistant] Actually, you know what, I can't drag this out another two minutes, so I'm gonna wrap it.


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[Assistant] They're, they beat two bad teams. They beat the crap out of them. Then they beat the crap out of a good team in the Miami Dolphins. Everybody, all the Johnny come Lately's and no offense to Harry's dolphins. I think I really like Miami. I enjoy them. I think they're fun. Love Mike McDaniel.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I enjoyed watching Tua. Ryan Wilson, peacocking around every night, every Sunday night about how Tua deserves some massive contract. And, you know, Josh Allen.


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[Assistant] would be, it ends up being like a springboard for, for like, not saving their season, but for like, okay.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Once might be Daniel got, you know, got done with his script. They didn't score him for the, for the, until the third quarter and they scored a touchdown in the third quarter, missed the two point conversion.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And don't score again for the rest of the game, right? I mean, the bills were in total control, total command.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Of this game, they scored on five of the first six possessions. Uh, Josh Allen is, is that graphic showed has now, um, he is one game away from Drew Brees, which is kind of funny, but Brees, you know, always stretch it over the goal line, uh, with, with four passing touchdowns and one rushing touchdown. He has three of those and he's going to,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Hold this record for a long time. Uh, when he eventually gets here, probably later this year.


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[Assistant] And, uh, Stefan digs most games with 120 plus receiving yards at three receiving touchdowns since the merger, he has four of them. He is behind only he sat with Marvin Harrison and Wesley Walker behind only Jerry Rice and Randy Moss. I think people sort of forgot just how good digs was and he abused the Miami secondary on Sunday to the tune of three touchdowns.


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[Assistant] Right. Well, so you're seeing a lot of your video clippings and back then you're reading a lot of your like Sanskrit clippings. Um, you know, it's, I think it's just, I think there's just like a natural, like a likely let down from that. And plus the other thing too was when, um, when this line came out, we were talking about like the early odd show on Monday. It was like, it was like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like a bunch of people were like, wait a minute, the, the bills are favorite. The Dolphins are scored 70 here. And they like, do you just hear this? A bunch of people were like, I mean, the Dolphins, this is the, it's like everyone wanted to take the Dolphins. They just scored 70 and the bills have just been playing really good football. So, um, yeah, I've got, uh, I got Buffalo is the best team in football right now.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Better defense than people sort of expected, but I want to get some government credit very quickly.


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[Assistant] Buffalo's defense has been outstanding the last three weeks, uh, and we didn't really see it with the Jets. It was hard to kind of figure that out because of this Aaron Rodgers, Zach Wilson thing. Uh, but really has been outstanding the entire season and McDermott has settled back into calling plays, something he hadn't done in a few years.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, I mean injury, you know, that's really been sort of, I mean, like that's random and hard to predict, but the 49ers have been injury prone.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Would Jimmy G tour his ACL Nick Bosa tour his, um, it's, I mean, like that would probably be my biggest concern. This team rock party. I don't know if it's like a Tom Brady factor.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Or if he's lucky, but like the guy just like doesn't throw the like, doesn't throw. He'd like, nobody can catch his interceptable passes. They just get dropped all the time. Um, I think he's, he's a lot, he's just a lot better and more efficient than people give him credit for. And it's a good case of.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] quarterback who fits really well with an offense and with a coach and with like a playbook and, and, and just understanding what Kyle Shanahan wants.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Fitting in perfectly with a Kyle Shanahan offense. And then, you know, Christian McCaffrey, uh,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, when the trade happened and I'm not, I'm not trying to, you know, uh, you know, we're not trying to remind you guys that you said it was a dumb trade. Uh, but I think you both did. And I said it was a great trade and they, he's just been, he's the perfect player. You're just making stuff up.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Well, Wilson hated the trade. I know that it called me an idiot and say it wasn't going to work out. Uh, and I think you did too, breach Christian McCaffrey is the perfect player for a Kyle Shanahan offense, just in his ability as a, as a, as a smart football player, a pass catcher, a runner.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And you know, and he blocks as well too. So like, I mean, I just think the, the fact that Purdy and McCaffrey fits so well into what, with what they already had into what they do on offense, it's just, they're, they're going to be a really tough out.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] By the way, uh, Brandon Ayuk, man, quietly, six catches, six targets, six catches, 146 receiving yards. Like he is.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Is he like the most unheralded star receiver in the NFL right now?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Do you feel like, well, yeah, I mean, I think, yeah, I mean, I think Ken Dorsey would probably take Kyle Shannon too. I mean, do you, you know, breach mentioned the matchups that they've had. I mean, they haven't played.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, the Steelers, the Rams who kept it within one score, the Steelers, Giants, and Cardinals are probably three of the bottom ten teams in the NFL right now. They're not great.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Raiders and the commanders too, like I'm not, and they lost to the jets. I get it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Very interesting to see how 49ers and Cowboys Sunday night next weekend or next week a week, a week from this, a week from tonight is what I'm trying to say. Uh, that's a pretty.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Spicy Sunday night football matchup. We better get a full health just in terms of taking the I would take the bills over the Niners. I think it'd be really close. I think on a neutral field would be probably a pick them. Maybe the Niners would be a little bit favored. I just think you're


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If you're going to give me the, the, oh, I agree that Kyle Shanahan better than Ken Dorsey, but


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Oh yeaah. See, I'll take Josh Allen and Ken Dorsey over Shanahan and Purdy just because if you're down 17 points,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] To the, uh, to the opponent in this particular matchup. I mean, I think you're, you would much rather have Josh Allen than Brock Hardy. You don't want to be down.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] There's some pretty funny shots of like, Brittany Mahomes with like, sour faces like, as Taylor Swift's like, celebrating something. It's like, what, what, is this like a, like, it's like, Brittany's like, furious that Patrick's playing poorly, or like, I don't know, she's got like, like, the pouty faces, and Taylor Swift's got a vodka cranberry up in the air, like, celebrating, uhm.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I don't, I don't, I don't think it's a distraction. I think it's, I think, man, I'll tell you what.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You can build a conspiracy theory pretty quickly that, um, that this is like a mutually beneficial, uh, and I, I, I don't believe this. I'm just saying that like Taylor Swift has a movie coming out about her era's tour.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Now is she going to get some more eyeballs on it because of the NFL? Sure. Is she getting publicity? Sure. Is it a fairly negligible amount of publicity that she's adding to her already enormous stardom and publicity that she's already got for this tour? Probably.


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[Assistant] The guy who's benefiting here, if you're just being like looking at the numbers to be Travis Kelsey, like his Jersey sales are up like 700%. He gained like 300,000 Instagram followers or something like that. And new heights, the Kelsey podcast, which is really just fantastic.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Has over, uh, it's like 1.2 million subscribers on YouTube. The numbers went through the roof. Uh, they think I have like 68,000 likes on the most recent episode where they talked about the week three recap and talked about the Taylor Swift situation. And by the way, smash the like button if you're watching on YouTube now.


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[Assistant] Give us, throw us a like button. We're talking about Taylor Swift and like, I think it's fun. I think it's awesome. I think it's hilarious how this is like, you couldn't have made this up before the season. If you like, they were, they kept running all these script, like the NFL script writers or dah, dah, dah, dah. It's like, if you've been, if you've been like, okay, what about this? Zach will like Aaron Rogers gets hurt.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And Zach Wilson has to replace him and he outplays Patrick Mahomes for the most part. Um, in a, in a week four game with Taylor Swift watching from, uh, watching her boyfriend, Travis Kelsey from the luxury suite. Like you would say, if you'd said that, if that had been your bold prediction on our bold prediction show before the season, we would be like, that is, that's a, that's a D because it's so


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] By the way, do you think it's, do you think it's a coincidence that in his first game with Taylor Swift, watching Travis Kelsey at 69 yards and in his second game with Travis, with Taylor Swift watching, he had six catches on nine targets.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, Mahomes proceeded to run. All he did was run after he got Kelsey to six catches on nine targets.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, he's, he's only got one, he's only got one game this year without an interception, which is a little surprising, um, for Mahal's. I think, um, I mentioned this throughout the week and I just sort of wonder if it was the case because the, the, the balls that he had the interceptions on.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We're like those touch throws where you need to put enough arc on him and he, he didn't really step into him at all.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I sort of wonder if he was trying to be more armsy during this game because he had that banged up ankle from last week and they're on that turf in that life stadium. There's just been just devastatingly bad for injuries. Like, you know what I'm saying? Like, I don't, I don't know. I mean, I don't, I don't have anything to back that up. I just sort of wonder if.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Maybe he was trying to make sure not to expose that ankle or if he had maybe more tape on the ankle, uh, something like that. And just like, there was just very uncharacteristic of him to short those touch throws as much as he did on both of those.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yeah, I think he had a right to be upset. It was pretty physical all game. That was like, it was a holding call on either the offense or defense for straight plays, which is just really frustrating. Even if you're like, there was a, there was one when my homes ran that 25 yard run.


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[Assistant] Yep. Uhm, just a lot of like, there's just a lot of laundry there at the end of that game. So I think, yeah, if you're Robert Sala.


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[Assistant] If Zach Wilson plays like that, I mean, Robert Salas said it after the game. If Zach Wilson plays like that, the rest of your will win a lot of football games and he's not wrong. Like they, the Jets will be, although I do think that like as good as the Jets defense is the Jets themselves and like most Jets fans have so drastically overrated how good this defense is.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying, like, let's see how many games they have left. What? Thirteen? If you put together ten games like that, I think they win seven of them.


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[Assistant] When you talk about history of being terrible, the Bengals have a really long history of being really terrible. I mean, there was this little stretch with Andrew Gregory Dalton, your boy, where they were good. And then you have Carson Palmer where they were good. And then of course, boomer our colleague and now you have burrow, but like the Bengals were the laughing stock of the league for a long, long time. What's that?


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[Assistant] Well, so, so a couple of things. Well, I don't know if you, I would fill up my water in my wine, uh, when, uh, when the Jamar chase thing played. Um, did you guys talk about how the context for that where it's like, he is not, he, like, if you, if you listen to the full quotes that Jamar chase gave, this is not like him.


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[Assistant] Like, talk and smack about Joe Burrow or anything.


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[Assistant] No, no, no, but I don't think I don't think it was nearly as, um, as bad as it was. But yeah, I'm saying like that. That's just the context of it. I was, I was, I was digging to a little bit deeper. Um, wanted to point that out since your bar chase, I can get thrown under the bus, but that quote will be the one that pops up. Uh, my plan for burrow is pretty easy. You're not playing again until after the by sit him down.


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[Assistant] Try and beat the Cardinals and the Seahawks without Burrow, get him healthy because we talked about this before the season. The Bengals were one of the teams.


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[Assistant] In the NFL, the Bengals and the Chiefs and the Bills. And I guess we didn't think about the Niners, but they would probably qualify the Eagles. Maybe it's like anything less than a Super Bowl win is a disappointing season.


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[Assistant] Or do it this week before, beat the Rams and be like, all right, we just, we're going to, we're going to try and go two and one without burrow until the buy. And then I get him a month where he's getting healthy.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's fair. Yeah. Cause it's like, if you, you, you have to, you, you look at these games and you say, okay, we have.


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[Assistant] At Arizona, Seattle at home before the buy and then at San Francisco, Buffalo at home after the buy. If you sit burrow until the buy, you lose your one and one, even with you get lucky, you go one on one and then you lose with burrow out of the buying in San Francisco, Buffalo. Like it's, it's over.


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[Assistant] I think the ASC South is wide wide. I think, I think there's a chance.


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[Assistant] We get two teams in the playoffs from the AFC South. That's, there you go. That's a hot take. Indianapolis, Jacksonville, Tennessee, and Houston all have had these moments where they've looked pretty decent.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know, we have the Jets who lose Rogers, the Bengals are 1-3 because Burrow's been banged up. All this different stuff is happening in the AFC that's really kind of opening up one of these playoff spots, these wild card spots for a team that we certainly didn't think had a chance of getting in.


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[Assistant] You would be surprised to find out that on a Wednesday show with Les Jusable and Brady Quinn and myself that all three of us hate scary movies.


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[Assistant] October is kind of petrifying for me because you are getting non-stop scary movie ads and I really don't like scary movies. Just not a big fan.


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[Assistant] Uh, they were all, all the quarterbacks were under 10 to 1.


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[Assistant] So, Bryce Young was like, uh, Bijan was like, plus 275. Bryce Young was 4 to 1, CJ Trout was 5 to 1, and uh, uh, Richardson was 9 to 1, I believe. The thing, like,


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[Assistant] Because see, cause they went, cause I felt like ownership sort of forced them to move back up and take CJ's trial. But you know, you saw that sat most, uh,


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[Assistant] Most, most attempts to start a career without throwing an interception. Like he's playing really well. I don't know if you guys saw the clip, uh, where he was talking about Texans fans and how he's like.


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[Assistant] He's like, look, he's like, you know, the Steelers rolled in here. They took, they took over, they kind of took over the stadium. They're taking over the city. We shipped him out of here.


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[Assistant] He's like, he's like, he's like a Texas fan. He's like, he's like, I want you, he's like, I take it personally. I want you guys to walk around during the week proud to have under Texans gear. I don't know. It's like, I, I, I just wasn't in on CJ shroud coming out of the coming into the draft. Um, didn't love where he, where he landed and.


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[Assistant] Or she didn't love the way that it worked out with him giving up their future first round pick.


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[Assistant] They were going to take Will Anderson. There was a, there was a very clear compromise between the ownership and the front office and the coaching staff where they're like, we want Will Anderson. So they traded back up for him regardless. I don't think that's how it worked, but go ahead. It is how it worked. Why do you not think that? Eh, just saying. Well, you do back it up with info rather than just being


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[Assistant] Either way, either way it's worked out the decision to take CJ Stroud where they did, uh, now whether or not, you know, like they're winning games. They've won games. They've already won like more games. And I think like they won like the year before they already, they've, they look like a team that's going to win some games this year and probably not end up sacrificing a top five pick, which is what the Panthers look like.


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[Assistant] No, I mean, I think, uh, generally, uh, raise my hand. Uh, I think generally speaking, like that's probably the philosophy that I adhere to. If I'm like, I'm looking offense first, but.


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[Assistant] If you can find a smart defensive minded head coach who operates in that CEO role and can bring in good offensive coordinators, that's great. I think Dan Quinn would maybe even qualify. He took the Falcons in the Superbowl. He also had Kyle Shanahan as a, as his offensive coordinator and the problem with


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[Assistant] Going defense is that with the head coaches inherently you cannot control whether or not your head coach is able to keep.


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[Assistant] Like whether or not you're able to keep the offensive coordinator in place, right? Because the offensive coordinator, if he's really good, is eventually going to move on. Whereas if you have the offensive head coach.


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[Assistant] You keep him in place because you have him in your job and he's doing well.


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[Assistant] Without, without looking, who has the best point differential in the list rank or listen in order of, uh, best point differential to worst point differential in the AFC South.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I would say Breach. The game of his life was probably that playoff game against Georgia.


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[Assistant] Well, it's also, uh, you don't really like, you can't, you can't tank, you can't tank for both picks because you don't, you don't have to, you can't make them, you can't make the Panthers lose games. The Panthers are just a bad football team. They don't, they don't need help. Yeah. I don't think the Bears are tanking. I think there's too much pressure on, um,


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[Assistant] I'll say there's too much pressure on Matt Eberfluss for his job for them to tank.


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[Assistant] I think it's also possible that they are fully aware


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[Assistant] Justin Fields is not this regime's guy. Matt Eberfluss and Ryan Poles did not draft Justin Fields. In fact, remember we talked about coming into last year. It was like kind of felt like the Bears were trying to like submarine Justin Fields success by not giving him any help on the offensive line. Not giving me help at receiver. They did that those things though.


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[Assistant] Right, that's like saying like this rotten, this piece of like slightly rotten fruit is better than the piece of completely rotten fruit I had before.


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[Assistant] By the way, uh, do you remember the last time an NFL team had the first two picks in the NFL draft?


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[Assistant] I thought you knew. I thought it was Indianapolis. I thought, I thought it was Indianapolis in 1992. Okay. That could be right. They took Steve Impton and Quentin Coriot. Okay.


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[Assistant] All right. I remember reading that sports. I remember like, yeah, because well, the big ones had a bunch of like first overall, the big ones had like Kijana and big daddy, Dan Wilkinson.


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[Assistant] They, I think it's fascinating how the narrative surrounding this game flips so, so quickly. It went from, Oh, maybe Justin Fields is like, we're touchdowns in the first half. I don't know.


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[Assistant] Uh, maybe it went from Justin Fields like being like, I was like, Oh, like Justin Fields might like be turning it on, might be becoming the guy and Denver is in deep trouble and Russ and now it's like the only thing that you're, we're really talking about is the bears and those top two picks that they're chasing.


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[Assistant] I think the Falcons can still get involved with it, and I wouldn't be shocked if the Saints are in the mix there too. The Panthers look like total crap, but the Buccaneers look like the best team in the NFC South by a pretty wide margin. I think you actually, you know, make the case that the Bucs should give a little call to Indianapolis about Jonathan Taylor.


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[Assistant] Why do you need Jonathan Taylor? Cause you don't have a great running game and he would help Baker Mayfield?


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[Assistant] Yes, I did watch the London game. Yes. Desert Road is a problem. The Falcons are an issue. I just, I mean, the, the, the bucks are three in one.


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[Assistant] Atlanta and New Orleans are both two and two. The Panthers obviously own four. Yeah, I mean.


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[Assistant] The Falcons and Saints are going to find ways to win some ugly close games.


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[Assistant] Yeah. No, I mean, I think, um, you know, there was a case to be made when the, uh, the Browns were least Baker. They treated me.


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[Assistant] No, no, the Browns traded him to the Panthers and then the Panthers cut him when they benched him so that way he could sign with somebody else and then he went to Los Angeles and then he finished the season with the Rams and signed with the Bucs.


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[Assistant] Baker was having these like every other year as he was playing well. And then like Cleveland wanted to move on. Cleveland got this, like they're being, they're bothered about getting to Sean Watson and you knew they weren't going to keep Baker around if they had to show Watson.


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[Assistant] But I mean, the point being is like, Baker's a former first overall pick who's played some good football at times. And if you have the right stuff, like he, he's sort of, I mean, sort of like in the same vein as like a Kirk Cousins style, where if you have a good running game, a decent running game around him, a good offensive line, running game stinks. I didn't see it stinks. I just said you could upgrade and they haven't, they've been fine. I don't think


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[Assistant] And they got manhandled by the Eagles and then they beat the Saints team that I really think the Saints team is overrated. Like I know I said that they'll be in the mix. I just, I don't think, I think, I don't think anybody's gonna run away with the MSC South is my point.


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[Assistant] The Saints haven't like played good on offense once this year. The Divas has been good, but it's like, have they really played? They played Tampa. Um, so where are you?


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[Assistant] I think that I think that I stand by my Falcon's tank, which is that Arthur Smith created a poor man's version of Mike variables, Tennessee Titans. And Desmond Ritter is playing like a homeless man's version of Ryan Daniel.


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[Assistant] Was Bijan sixth overall? He was eighth. He was eighth. Drake London was eighth and Kyle Pitts was fourth overall.


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[Assistant] And it's like, you have this, eh, it's, it's pretty wild to have this Stone Age offense. Like, where you- Oh wait, it's supposed to be the Titans offense, so what's going on? Well, but the Titans-


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[Assistant] Titans didn't invest a first round pick in.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, it's, it's, no, I do think that the Jaguars...


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[Assistant] And then it's like the lines of Jaguars, maybe the lines of Jaguars are just good.


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[Assistant] Alright, so look, here's, alright, so here's, here's the deal with the, with the Falcons coming, upcoming schedule. And again, this is why I picked the Falcons are the most wins in the NFL because they had this schedule as a joke. Now the Texans have played well.


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[Assistant] Texas at home, commanders at home, at Buccaneers, at Titans, Vikings at home, at Cardinals. They might win two of those games. Maybe.


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[Assistant] You're going to, you're starting Taylor Heinecke in a revenge game against Washington.


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[Assistant] Yeah, drink London. Oh yeah. Cause oh, do we ever find out the answer to that trivia question about drink London?


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[Assistant] Drake London in London. Drake London scored a touchdown in London, becoming the seventh player in NFL history.


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[Assistant] Uh, last year he was like, he was up to like 12 and he was, and he had.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I also think the schedule plays into this a lot too. Like the Eagles had a really easy schedule last year, uh, easiest in the league as, as Breach noted. Uhm, and they, they took advantage of it and, and, and piled up, you know, piled up W's early and early and often, and they're still doing that, but Hertz does just look a little bit off, I think.


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[Assistant] Portion of it? I think Sirianni... Sirianni called him? I feel like he calls the place.


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[Assistant] Okay, Brian Justin. Okay, Brian Justin. Okay, well, so was Steichen calling all the plays last year? I guess you can't remember. Yeah, I mean, I think that's what it is then, right? Like it's.


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[Assistant] It's not dissimilar to what you saw when Brian table left Buffalo for the giants and Ken Dorsey takes over and you have faith in the guy you expect him and like Dorsey has been much better this second year. So I think that's probably a big factor.


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[Assistant] First year, 2021 as a NFL coach, you've been in college, you've been a coordinator, offensive coordinator at, um, three different spots, Utah, Houston, and Florida.


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[Assistant] Uh, each for I think one year, maybe two years at Utah where he's the coordinator. It's a whole different ball game when you're calling plays and like there's sort of in those college offenses versus doing in the NFL. And so I think definitely some adjustment there.


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[Assistant] And, and, and as Breach points out, told Antoine Winfield Jr. to get down on the ground after he intercepted the ball with nothing but open space between him and the end zone to score and like put the game away, even though there's like two minutes and 40 seconds left.


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[Assistant] I was asking, we don't know whether Brandon said that. I was, I saw the video replay. He told me it down.


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[Assistant] Um, so it's a good question. And I think let's, let's sort of look at this from a global AFC picture. The bills and the dolphins feel like playoff teams to me. Does that feel fair? Three in one, but three in one, I mean, assuming health, right?


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[Assistant] That's what I'm saying. So we got Ravens winning the AFC North, Bills in the Bills in is the winner and then the Dolphins. So you just do it however you want. And this is sort of goes back to my AFC South point earlier. Uh, let's give one team the division in the AFC South and just have that team make the playoffs. So then you've got the AFC West, which I think the chiefs will win obviously, and two more wild card spots.


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[Assistant] And your wild cards come down to the pats, the jets, Steelers, Browns, Bengals, Jaguars, Texas, Titans, Colts. One of those teams that you don't have one in that division.


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[Assistant] Chargers, Raiders and Broncos. I mean, I think the Chargers at two and two.


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[Assistant] Are a pretty likely wild card playoff team and I don't, I don't, along with the dolphins and then I don't know who the hell else the other, the third one is. Maybe it is from the South.


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[Assistant] The Chargers, uh, over at DraftKings, minus 105 to make the playoffs, minus 115 to miss the playoffs. Now, take this with a grain of salt because those implied odds don't add up to 100%, but, uh, 151.2% the implied odds of, uh, minus 105. Alright, let me ask you


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[Assistant] Oh, thank you. I'm glad you did ask that. Um, it's up there and Cleo Mack was asked about this and obviously I, I do deep dives upon the, the comments that the players who are engaged in revenge games make and Cleo Mack, they're like, you know, is this one like more, uh, you know, was this, was this a bigger deal for, for you than, um,


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[Assistant] I mean, he said, I tried to tell y'all max after the game of the smile. It comes in bunches, but I had six. I'll take it. That is actually a bunch. Um, you can't say it's something extra, but it is what it is.


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[Assistant] I mean, obviously you want to play good against your old team, but just knowing where you came from and knowing that organization, what it meant to me to get drafted to that organization, it's a lot of respect, but it's a lot of wanting to get


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[Assistant] You don't? Aiden O'Connell and, and, and during times of Robinson have been tough spots as far as rookies starting games this week.


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[Assistant] They kept cutting to his wife a ton during that game too. She was sitting with AJ Cole's wife. Shout out to NC State product, AJ Cole.


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[Assistant] Ninja Turtles is effortlessly cool and crushes for absolutely every age.


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[Assistant] Wait a second though, we have, we have Zan, Jaina, Brins, Daphne, Gleek. So what's the new, what's uh, those are the official super friend names. You don't even know them.


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[Assistant] Well, there's like wonder twins technically, so you can. Right.


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[Assistant] You're a little younger than the rest of us. You would actually have to call into this number on blogtalkradio.com and to conference everyone in and you would do a podcast over basically landline.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm gonna, if we're gonna do, I'll start, since you, uhm, let in with Kenneth Pickett III, I'll go to the AFC North. I just sort of did them by division. I have a couple for, for Katie's AFC, uh, NFC West.


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[Assistant] Oh boy, that seems like a lot. And they didn't, they don't involve...


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[Assistant] Joe Burrow Snoopy. Alright, here we go. Number one, the Steelers will win the division.


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[Assistant] Say what now? I think, uh, you guys are the sharps, but I think they are still picked to finish last according to today's side.


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[Assistant] Breeze, you're not going to like this because it's going to bring back memories of week one a year ago. TJ Watt will win defensive player of the year for the second time in three years!


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[Assistant] Kenny Pickett will be the second best quarterback in this division, according to Wins Over Wilson.


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[Assistant] That's my own proprietary, Britson stole his proprietary analytics nonsense from me.


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[Assistant] Kenny will outplay, I think Joe Burrow is still the best, Kenny will outplay Deshaun, duh, and also Lamar. I think Lamar is going to be great. Actually, I think Lamar, this is why it's bold. I actually like Lamar to be one or two in terms of quarterbacks in the division, but I'm just going to throw Kenny Pickett a bone here after the way he did.


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[Assistant] T.J. Watt wins defensive player of the year, second time in three years. Kenny Pickett, according to Winsover-Wilson, is the second best quarterback in the division after Joe Burrow.


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[Assistant] And just for clarification, so Katie understands, it's a balance of bold and realistic in terms of, not just because Breach will say something like, Kate York will score, he will throw 55 touchdowns. Well, that's bold, but it's not going to happen.


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[Assistant] And by the way, their Office of Coordinator, unless he's been kidnapped, is a huge problem. Go ahead, Branch.


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[Assistant] Really sharp guy. That's crazy by the way. You, you have to take into account that this dealers historically start slow.


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[Assistant] And that's my, if they start fast, then we can talk about it, but that's like, I've seen that movie way too many times to be like, oh yeah, that's going to happen.


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[Assistant] All right, Breach, you start because you will bring some common sense, which is ironically enough, I'm asking you for common sense to this.


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[Assistant] Okay, let me mark that down and then Katie, I want to ask you a question. Okay. Breach gives Brenton a 6.8. I mean, this spreadsheet is.


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[Assistant] I'm not sure. I'm not sure. Okay. So the next two games at Lions at Jacksonville.


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[Assistant] Which one of these is not like the other is what you're saying? It kind of.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm gonna go, I'm gonna go reverse price is right. I'm going six, seven. This is not gonna happen. Like there's no, there's no way.


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[Assistant] Brinson's, I'm going to do an old school baseball reference. He's basically Dave Kingman. He played probably before you guys were born. He would bat a hundred every year for the Mariners, but he would hit one ball, 8,000 feet. And you'd be like, Oh my God, this guy's Reggie Jackson, two points.


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[Assistant] Kellamore's gone, obviously, to the Chargers. That's another bowl of protection coming up. Spoiler alert. But you know, the, uh, the, uh, the officer coordinators now?


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[Assistant] Tug back and forth about trying to figure out how to do the offense.


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[Assistant] You know, it's, actually that's, I'm looking, Rico Dado's the backup, and then Deuce Bond. Oh, of course. Breach is just right, that's my bad.


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[Assistant] This one's the number three and he's somehow shorter than Breach.


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[Assistant] So he's not gonna be a lot curious. All right, Breach, talk me into it. I will give you a 9.49.


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[Assistant] By the way, I would be remiss if I didn't mention that, uh, Davis Mills led the NFL in interceptions last year, tied with Rain Dakota.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know what? I like this one much better than the Falcons one. And it's not even close.


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[Assistant] Their offensive line is a lot better. Their running game is going to be good. They finally have playmakers for Justin Herbert. Their defense is going to be better. And you're in a division without Aaron Rodgers, even though I love Lions.


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[Assistant] All right, so the score's up to one round.


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[Assistant] Oh yea, score that one round and then we'll take a break here. Breach is in first place, Katie is in second, Wilson is in third, and, uh, Brenton is, remains in undirected.


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[Assistant] I was gonna say, Sam Darnold, the best chance he has of winning the Super Bowl is if he gets traded to the Chiefs.


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[Assistant] You're, you literally, I don't know how you did it. You little nerd. You got into my computer. Cause one of my bowl predictions is Sam Darnall and Brad Allen start at least five games. Why would you not immediately say that after the moose prediction?


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[Assistant] My bold prediction is that Breach says something stupid about Sam Howell. That's a 9.9. Alright, so, uh, that wasn't my bold prediction. We can, we can...


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm with Katie. This is one of the worst bowl predictions in the history of the show. We've had some.


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[Assistant] Moose's grades are still higher than, for instance, from the first round. That's fine. I mean, that's fine.


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[Assistant] Breach, let me ask you this. How bold does that sound? Because that doesn't strike me initially as incredibly bold. I actually don't even necessarily hate it.


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[Assistant] I can see myself in the monitor, so I just said it out loud.


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[Assistant] It's two on this one. This is the NFC North one. Two? I did one. Eh, do with what you will. I don't care. Uh, choose your favorite, do both, do neither. NFC North, cause I went by, by division.


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[Assistant] Jordan Love, my guy, will have better numbers than Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] The Jets might be running the ball a little bit. They have Dalvin, Breach is coming back. They have Michael Carter.


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[Assistant] And the other one, and maybe I'll cut this one from the list if it affects your grade, Justin Jefferson gets 2000 receiving yards. He had 1800 last year. He gets 200 every year. He's gone up by basically 200 yards. So in five years, he's got 3000. So he's just getting there slowly.


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[Assistant] Okay. What do you think, Bree? Should I add them both or just do one?


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[Assistant] By the way, quick pop quiz, do you guys know who the all time current, uh, single season receiving our leader is? Calvin Johnson. Calvin Johnson's correct. If you know who number two is.


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[Assistant] Number two, I'll give you a high five. Cooper Cup.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay, we agree. I'm gonna give a 9.3. Okay, I said 9, 9.3. We're generous on a Friday. Yeah, alright.


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[Assistant] So 9.8. Let me, let me just put this out there real quick. We know about the division games that the Chiefs have, but they also have to play Miami, but they're going to finish in last place. No one cares about that.


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[Assistant] They play the Bills and the Patriots and the Bengals and the Eagles over the, after their bye week. So those are.


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[Assistant] I'm changing that 8.2 to a 1.2. Okay. I didn't change it. I gave you 9.8k.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, I mean, my intentions were nothing other than to make it easier on everyone. It wasn't to...


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[Assistant] Quickly, Katie, I'll tell you this. The other thing that I wanted to guard against on the Sunday night thing is that I don't know if you know this, but I'll tell you in 15 seconds and we'll move on.


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[Assistant] Breach gets Chick-fil-A on Saturday. It gets worse. He puts it in his fridge, warms it up at halftime of the Sunday night game with the pickle on it to eat his, that's his dinner. And then he does the podcast.


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[Assistant] No, Katie's right. Air fryer is the way to go with the fries as well. I felt that.


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[Assistant] I have, I have so many good ones. You want me to go or you want to go while you think about it?


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[Assistant] You go and I'll, I'll think about this because I've got, I've got three that are like. All right. I'm going to name the two that I want to say, and then you guys pick which ones gives me the highest grade.


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[Assistant] I know, I'm gonna go with this one, don't worry about it. This is for the AFC South, it's only one too. CJ Stroud.


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[Assistant] We'll set the NFL record four. If you had to guess which record CJ Stroud was set in week one, uh, year one.


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[Assistant] David had 76 sacks, 76 sacks in 2002, the first year the organization existed. He also started on this list, by the way, with 68, 66 I think, the number's too small for my old man eyes, and three of the highest five sack totals


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[Assistant] Sorry about Houston Texans. Deshaun Watson's another one. So, number one, the opposite line.


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[Assistant] Has huge watch marks because of injury. Titus Howard's going to be out for a few weeks. They have Larry Metoncel. They had to put Kendall, uh, Kendall Green, uh, Kenyon Green, excuse me, on IR. The guy that replaced him, they cut. They traded for, uh, Josh Jones from Houston who, uh, from Arizona who wasn't playing. They traded for


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[Assistant] Kendrick Green, who wasn't playing as a backup in Pittsburgh, didn't dress at all last season. It is going to be.


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[Assistant] Ducks on a pond as they say down in North Carolina when you're out there hunting and not on a duck line.


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[Assistant] The other issue is he has to stay healthy because David Carr was too dumb to say, I'm quitting, I'm not playing after week eight. He just kept going back out there. Mr. Mittens, man. They got him crushed.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, David Carr in his defense was incredibly tough. He probably wishes in hindsight that he quit after eight or nine weeks. But anyway, CJ Stroud, 77 or more sacks.


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[Assistant] I hope it doesn't happen, but I just, I was just looking at the number thinking, this offensive line stinks.


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[Assistant] But you have to understand, he was playing Ohio State where all those guys were first round picks in front of him. And, you know.


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[Assistant] Unless layman council can multiply four more times, it's not going to help CJ Starr a lot. Okay. All right. Go ahead. I've got that seven seven.


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[Assistant] I think the big thing, like, obviously I like CJ and I want him to do well, but I'm just looking at this offensive line. And the other thing is, I don't know if your body can physically take four and a half sacks of cake over the course of an 18 week season, but anyway.


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[Assistant] That's a good guess. My guess is that Philip Rivers comes back and wins the Super Bowl. What's your guess, Bruce?


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[Assistant] Alright, I'll go in a minute because I don't feel great about this. I'm just going to be honest with you. He wants to go.


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[Assistant] I'll see that low score and lower it. 4.9.


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[Assistant] That's bold. Hmm, Wilson. If you're the draft junior draft hand, let's go for it.


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[Assistant] Especially if, and the thing is, the other thing is Shane, Shane Steichen I like a lot. And I think the difference is...


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[Assistant] I'll ask you guys a pop quiz. How many games did Anthony Richardson start in Florida?


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[Assistant] Thirteen. Thirteen. How many did Jalen Hurts start at Oklahoma slash Alabama?


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[Assistant] You think the learning curve might be a little steeper for Anthony? That said, oh my god, he was a lot of fun to watch in the preseason. I'm going to give this an 8.88. Alright.


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[Assistant] 8.9, let me write that down. And then I want to give you guys a, Brenton, you mentioned Cam Newton? Give you guys a Cam Newton fun fact from his rookie year when he won, oh, he won MVP 2015, but his rookie year 2011.


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[Assistant] He threw, let me see, how can I phrase this to make it fun? How many URC did he throw for in his first game?


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[Assistant] That same rookie season, again, that was coming off the lockout.


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[Assistant] No, I'll, I'll buy Brinton, uh, Breach, what is his name there, uh, Sam Howell slash Hartman Jersey.


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[Assistant] Cam's first two games at NFL, he threw for over 422 yards back to back weeks. He never once again hit 400 yards in his career.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Tennessee wins the AMC South. You want to defend that or that you can leave it out there?


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[Assistant] I'm guessing. I don't know. Uh, let me say this quickly, uh, in defensive breach, which actually I like this a lot. Um, they drafted Peter Scrantzi. He's going to play start at guard. That's huge. Taiji Spears. You talked about Derek Henry. Taiji Spears had a really good preseason. He had a knee injury. Hopefully that's all well and good. I think he's going to be critical to what they do in terms of the running, running the ball. And I agree that.


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[Assistant] I get partial credit. I think that, and we've talked about this on the podcast before, Katie, but I think that Nashville, the city compared to Tennessee Titans, the football team, there's no more disparate city to football, pro football team, city to city. I feel like we said before, where should, Nashville should be like in


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[Assistant] The L, the L was taken as red. What's your grade for breach? I'm gonna give breach a 9.2.


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[Assistant] I will give Breach a, uh, you gotta bump it up for the Clark thing. 8.8 in honor of my variable. I'll give Breach a 9.4 for the Clark thing.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'll tally up these offline and I'll send them to you and we'll get the, uh, the aggregate average score and see where everyone ranks and go from there.


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[Assistant] Pretty seamless, pretty seamless. So Katie, oh.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so her three grades were 90, 98, and 89, so.


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[Assistant] It's like a cult, you can't get out of it so you're stuck. You gotta get the tattoo now.


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[Assistant] Oh, we're live. Alright, welcome back to the Pick 6 podcast. I was waiting for the, uh, red light to go on there. I'm Katie Mox, joined by Will Brinson and Sportsline's finest, RJ and Alex Selznick, aka Propstar. If you like winning picks, make sure you sign up at sportsline.com. Use the promo code PICK.


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[Assistant] Alright guys, uh, much like my start to this show, our start last week in week one was, um, a little rough. We didn't exactly kill it, chalking it up.


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[Assistant] To maybe some week one chaos. I went two and six. Brinson, you were what? Two and four. Propstars, two and four. RJ, two and five. We all won two bets.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that is really fun, uhm, and a fun way to deflect from the, uh, two and four.


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[Assistant] Alright, so we're gonna, we're gonna get into, uh, week two here. Give our best bets, but obviously guys, uh, note that lines and, um, odds are subject to change all the way up until game time. We are hitting these lines about 2 PM Eastern on Thursday, so make sure that you check.


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[Assistant] with your book, uhm, before tailing. RJ, let me just ask you though, week one was wacky, right? Week ones are always wacky, but this one felt even crazier. Any key takeaways?


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[Assistant] Alright, well let's, let's get out, let's, let's wash ourselves of week one and get right into week two here.


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[Assistant] Well, look, I think everybody, everybody that I see except for one person got killed on week one. I will say, Brynza, did you get a haircut? You're looking pretty sharp.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's, uh, let's get this moving on here because we got a lot of games that we have to go through. First up, looking at the Ravens versus the Bengals.


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[Assistant] Uh, Bengals minus three and a half. RJ, you and I got this line, um, at three a little bit better, but I don't mind laying the field goal with the Bengals here. The Ravens defense, of course,


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[Assistant] Made a complete nightmare, uh, for C.J. Stroud in his debut. But Joe Cool, Joe Shiesty is not a rookie quarterback like Stroud. And yeaah, he looked horrible, alright, in week one. He had a career.


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[Assistant] just seemed to have the bangles number and I will say I took the bangles last week and it blew up in my face. But I do think that this offense is going to bounce back. The Ravens are pretty banged up after week one. No J.K. Dobbins, which is huge, but also some injuries to their O line, which are a little bit more concerning for me. So I'm laying the three. What do you think, RJ?


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[Assistant] Alright, from one favorite last week that laid an egg to another one, the Chiefs are minus three and a half favorites over the Jags. This was three, uh, which I liked better, but I'm actually still gonna lay the three and a half with, uh, Kansas City here.


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[Assistant] The Chief's coming off of a completely humiliating


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[Assistant] Both of them are out, but I'm hoping really that we get Travis Kelsey back because I don't know if Kaderi's Tony can even show his face anywhere in Kansas City, let alone.


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[Assistant] Uh, on the field, I do think that they're going to bounce back. I was a bit underwhelmed. Sorry Brinson by the Jags against the Colts. I do think that they could have.


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[Assistant] handled them more easily than what they put forward. So I just don't think the Chiefs go down zero and two this season. I think that there's no way that Patrick Mahomes lets his receivers, you know, drop all those balls. They're well coached with Andy Reid. So it should be a tight game, but I still like the Chiefs minus three and a half.


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[Assistant] All right, well from the, uh, the other team that Green Bay owns, the Chicago Bears, uh, at Tampa, Tampa lane three, Tampa surprised a lot of people, uh, by beating the Vikings in week one. Although I think the Vikings still played better.


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[Assistant] Uh, they just had some bad turnovers in that first quarter, first half that they weren't able to overcome. But Propstars, you've isolated Mike Evans in this matchup.


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[Assistant] I agree with you guys, but I'm, I'm taking the under and for kind of similar reasons, uhm, that you both just laid out. I do think this is gonna be more of a ground and pound game, certainly for the Raiders because of the injuries, they're just gonna be given the ball to,


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[Assistant] Josh Jacobs, Josh Jacobs also forced the most missed tackles in week one and the Jets did have some success running against Buffalo.


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[Assistant] And I do kind of think after Alan's three interceptions on Monday night, they might


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[Assistant] Play it a little bit more conservative with him, at least in the beginning. Uh, try to get his confidence back up because that was really, really bad. Uh, the Raiders of course are not as strong as New York upfront, but I do think they have enough to create some pressure for Alan. I didn't have this in there, but Alan to throw an interception I think should probably be on all of our bet cards.


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[Assistant] Well, let me, let me pull it up. I just came up with that one right now. Oh, 240.


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[Assistant] TBS 4th HQ, anywhere, anytime, all the time.


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[Assistant] Alright, back on pick six and we are continuing to look at the early slate of games. Next up, Seattle Seahawks at the Lions.


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[Assistant] Lions are favored minus five and a half. Now I looked this morning, this line has budged a little bit, uhm, to four and a half. The look ahead lines were two and a half, three, and then of course Detroit comes out, beats Kansas City, Seattle lays an egg against the Rams, and we saw a huge lion shift. On Monday, we all kind of talked about leaning towards


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[Assistant] This uh, plus five and a half with Seattle, cause I wasn't overly impressed with what Detroit's offense did. Really the Kansas City Chiefs beat themselves. This total is at 47. Now that it's at four and a half, I'm kind of shy and away from it. I like the five and a half better. RJ, any leans or thoughts on this game?


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[Assistant] Yeah, let's do that. Uh, well, okay, this is one of the most interesting, I think, games on the board in terms of flipping is the Colts at the Texans. This line was at Pick'em, uh, with Indy, with the Colts minus one, and now it's flipped. Colts, or excuse me, Texans minus one and a half.


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[Assistant] Uhm, over under 40, Brinson, you like Indianapolis here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, I agree that y'all, y'all can cover on the Titans, but I agree with RJ that they are going to throw more. Justin Herbert only had 229 passing yards.


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[Assistant] Uhm, last week and only threw for one single touchdown. His over one and a half touchdowns was a little bit juicy, so I'm taking him over his yards, which is I believe at 283, uhm, and a half. Last season, the Titans ranked dead last in passing yards aloud and they didn't really do a whole lot.


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[Assistant] This off season to improve, uhm, that pass defense. The Saints passing attack found success last week. Derek Card through for 305 yards. So whether or not the Chargers win this game, I do think that the game plan is going to change a little bit and then, uhm, Herbert's going to be airing it out more. So I like him over on his passing yards.


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[Assistant] Although I am a Real Housewife of Beverly Hills fan, and the way that he treated his ex-wife Camille was a little... I thought I liked Camille either, but we don't need to go down to Real Housewives.


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[Assistant] I will say, more men, I think because their wives and girlfriends force them to watch it, but more men know about Housewives than you would.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so I only bet on things I feel comfortable with. Now on Monday, I did say lean toward the over in this full game.


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[Assistant] I mean, as far as week one is concerned, the offense under Brock Hardy somehow is more explosive, uhm, even than it was.


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[Assistant] Last year in week one, the Niners led the NFL and 21 personnel usage. 53% of snaps had two running backs, one tight end and two receivers. The league average for 21 personnel in week one was 8.3 and the Niners had 53%. So there's just so many different ways.


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[Assistant] That this team can beat you. Uh, the Rams defense gave up 13 to Seattle and Seattle was dealing with a lot of significant injuries to their offense. You know, two out of the last three matchups, the Niners have put up 31 points on the Rams. The Niners are going to wear their home red jerseys to Levi South. And so


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[Assistant] Criminally low for McCaffrey and I think it's an overreaction. He only had 17 receiving yards against the Steelers. He was utilized more as your traditional back. I do think that that's going to shift a little bit. Maybe you know Shanahan gives Mitchell some more carries because.


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[Assistant] Christian McCavrey had 22 carries, 152 yards. Uh, I think maybe they'll utilize him more in the screen game, which is kind of a weakness for this Rams.


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[Assistant] Defense, uh, last year when you look at those two games McCaffrey had seven receptions for 89 yards and then eight receptions for 55 yards against the Rams.


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[Assistant] We know that Matt Stafford is great, uhm, against the blitz, but his QBR drops significantly when he's not blitzed. 49er tradition, traditionally don't blitz that much, seems to be kind of the same under Wilkes. Uhm, and you know, he just struggles in these muddy pockets, tends to throw off targets.


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[Assistant] Turns the ball over, uh, and you know, it did take the Steelers 28 minutes and 44 seconds to get a first down.


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[Assistant] It's, it's almost free money. Now I will say he did not have an interception the last time, but, but other than that, it's free money.


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[Assistant] Well, people that, a team that everybody wants to fade right now has got to be the New York Giants, uhm, after the atrocious game that they put up on, what was that, Sunday Night Football?


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[Assistant] But they're still laying six against Arizona. This total 39 and a half. Propstars, uh, you're looking at Saquon Barkley here.


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[Assistant] Well, this line, well, from what I'm looking at, a consensus line that's giants minus four and a half right now, it says 86% of money is on New York.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Sam Howell killed me, uh, in fantasy. Uhm, alright, looking at the dolphin.


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[Assistant] Uhm, well, you know, Josh Allen was the worst thing. Anyways, Dolphins laying three at New England. Now, this was, this is one of the, one of the two bets that I hit last week was taking the, uh, Dolphins as a dog, a money line against the Chargers last week. And I think the New England Patriots,


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[Assistant] Maybe surprised a lot of people for how well they were able to contain the Eagles. I mean, obviously we knew that this was going to be a good defense, but I think they're even just a little bit tougher than we thought.


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[Assistant] Brinson, you're taking the paths, though, here. Plus the three.


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[Assistant] It's gonna be a fun one. Alright, this is going to commence our week two pick show. Hopefully we, uh, we all bounce back to a little bit better than week one. Make sure you join us for more NFL coverage on Sunday with the super friends as they recap


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[Assistant] The Sunday Slate of Games. Uh, remember to like, comment, and subscribe on the YouTube page. If you're listening to the audio version only, download, follow, leave a five-star review, and tell your friends to listen and watch the pod. I will see you next Monday. Prince will see you on Sunday.


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[Assistant] Okay, so a couple of answers to your couple of questions. Uhm, you know, one, I think the difference too is like last year they beat the Patriots 27 beat the Ravens 42 38 and then beat the Bills 21 to 19.


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[Assistant] It feels like to me that Tua is in much greater, and those are pretty good defenses too last year by the way. Um, it feels like to me that Tua is in much greater control of this offense.


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[Assistant] This year and that everybody in year two of Mike McDaniel is much more comfortable, which makes total sense. Like, you know, we gave Mike McDaniel a ton of credit last year because he is cool little hipster dude comes in.


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[Assistant] Takes over the team, runs it really well. They have these issues with the, you know, the concussion stuff, but like by and large, I mean, like a really, really successful first year for Mike McDaniel. Uh, he handles the media well. He handles the players well. He is his coaches. He's just everything really well. Like you get the sense. He's going to be a really good coach for a really long time. Now that can change, but I would be surprised if it did.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I just feel like much more impressed by the way that Tua's performed in these first three weeks this season than last season. Like if you had said,


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[Assistant] These, his stats are exactly the same through three weeks. Do you believe that? I would have said no.


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[Assistant] His stats can't be as good as they were because he just scored 70 points. Um, they did win in week two last year by coming back just like they did this year when they, when they, they came back against the chargers, um, that, you know, they've been in a shootout, but they, you know, they played


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[Assistant] Sort of does. Okay. So you're, you want to take two over Patrick Mahomes. So what's your


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[Assistant] I'm not, I'm just saying that he's not the best, the best quarterback is something different to me. That's why we're talking about it.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I think, and I wrote about this in sort of the Sunday Pouch, you can read it on cbsports.com, but like, the Dolphins, when you look at their skill position guys, one,


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[Assistant] Uh, they invested highly in these people. Tyreek Hill, they sent a ton of picks, including a first rounder for Jaylen Waddle. High first round pick. Tua.


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[Assistant] He was 5th and Herbert was 6th, excuse me, that's right. Uh, and then you have, uh, Devin Achain, who's a third round pick. You have Raheem Mosterd, who wasn't a high pick, but was a priority free agent because of what he'd done in San Francisco in the run game under Mike McDaniel. And what do those three guys all have in common as well?


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[Assistant] Speed! These guys are fast as hell. Like this, this group and, and 2 of 2 is even like pretty quick for his, you know, for, for what he is. Uhm, this group is just fast and I think that's really important because


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[Assistant] Whereas the Niners are maybe like the Niners are so strong and they have speed too, right? Like Devo and IU can George Kittle and Chris McCaffrey all faster. There's their position. The Niners feel like tough and like strong and physical. The Dolphins feel like, uh, like if the Niners are, uh,


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[Assistant] I'm trying to think of a car comp for the Niners, like, uh, it's not, it's not a Mac truck or anything like that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah. I mean, they have, but so you talk about this sort of, it's sort of like a spinoff of Kyle Shanahan's offense, right? You have, as you point out, Breach.


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[Assistant] Michael Daniel, who worked for Kyle Shanahan, who's the, you know, the whole point of these play designs, the whole point of this offense, the whole way he's building it out is to get these guys in open positions and to get them to the ball too. It doesn't have to be the best quarterback.


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[Assistant] He just has to be the best, he just has to be the perfect point guard. And that's what he is, he's really good at it. He makes quick throws, he's a quick processor, quick decision maker, gets the ball, throws an accurate football, and can push the ball down the field if he needs to. But because you have all this speed,


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[Assistant] You know, you talk about like Yak, like uh, George Kittle on Thursday night was talking about how the 49ers in the offseason, they study Yak.


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[Assistant] I was right about I read about that too. I mean, like, I don't think it's a matter again. It's not a matter of is to a can to a play well enough to deserve the contract.


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[Assistant] If you give this guy this big contract, like let's say you give him the con, let's say you gave him this contract because there's breach pointed out he has the exact same stats as last year's this year. Let's say you gave him, I guess you couldn't have given the contract last year, but you get the point. If you're getting the contract right now and then the concussion thing happened again,


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[Assistant] You know what, you know what's a remarkable fact? I'm going to help you segue, Wilson.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and by the way, the, uh, the Dolphins did make the playoffs last year, Breach, but Skyler Thompson had to play for him. Lost, yeah, didn't want to play. Yeah.


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[Assistant] So a shout out to Josh Leggett in the chat who reminded us that.


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[Assistant] of that, of that, of that fact that we should remember as professional football writers but


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[Assistant] Um, that's a fish reference, so we'll get it moving on. Uh, so yeah, advanced shows of super, super hot seat. Um, you know, Sean Payton, magic elixir.


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[Assistant] It was really more about like magic elixir for Russell Wilson. I'm not saying that Russell Wilson's been good, but Russell Wilson, uh, didn't give up 70 points.


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[Assistant] They call it embarrassing and hard to watch. And then the follow up, the reporter was like,


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[Assistant] So you called it embarrassing. He's like, yeah. He's like, well, I'm just wondering, what's the question? What's the question? He's like,


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[Assistant] When you have a historically embarrassing, well, I'm not answering that question. What's next? Um, I mean, understandably pissed off, you know, you, um, is it, it, Wilson, is it you who keeps saying, you're like, what if.


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[Assistant] You're like, what if, what if he's like Nathaniel Hackett at the worst coaching job of all time? It's like, what if Sean Payton is the second worst? Somebody keeps saying that.


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[Assistant] Uh, Javante Williams did a whole lot in the run game. Courtney Sutton. Okay. They had a couple of touchdowns called back. I thought the offense was.


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[Assistant] Uh, or 636, excuse me, left in the second quarter. You know, you're, you're down, you're down double digits, but you, you feel like the game is, you know, I mean somewhat, uh, you know, like somewhat within reach. And then the.


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[Assistant] Of course, the, uh, the, the dolphins tackle on two more touchdowns before the Broncos get a field goal. It's 35-13 at half. It was just the, the, the rapid speed with which the, uh, the dolphins were scoring.


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[Assistant] By virtue of just, uh, of the mistakes that the Broncos made and, and like the Dolphins, it was like they were running through just wide open. I mean, maybe that first catch retired kill, you see him catch it. You're like the touchdown catch. You're like, he's going to score very, very easily. Turns a corner.


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[Assistant] This is probably, as you point out, Wilson, a case of, um, you know, where your Sean Payton is going to fire his defensive coordinator. I don't, I feel like Sean Payton has got a pretty good track record when he was in New Orleans of not having


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[Assistant] A short leash, but he also was, you know, Pete Carmichael, he called the plays. Pete Carmichael is his longtime offensive coordinator. So you didn't really have a whole lot of like people that you had to scapegoat. And usually if the, if the defense was decent, you know, you would see like, I think Dennis Allen, um, or you know, he, he got his head coaching job and it just didn't feel like he fired a ton of


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[Assistant] I mean, like they were down 21 to 10, right? They, they kicked a field goal to make it 21 10. And so you're like, all right, this is going pretty, pretty poorly. Let's just try and get to half, right? With, uh, with I think, um, 641 left. Like let's, let's just try and stem the tide here. Uh, the dolphins go, the dolphins March, they punch it in with a minute, like just under the two minute warning.


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[Assistant] Uh, with a Raheem Mostert 20 yard touchdown run. And then immediately after on the next possession, Courtney sudden fumbles on a, after he catches a pass from Russell Wilson, the dolphins take it back to the three and bang punching it. It's 35 to 10. So it's like.


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[Assistant] At that point, your defense is like, dude, I mean, what, what, like, I mean, there's breach points out. They probably checked out.


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[Assistant] Pretty, I mean, you know, it's pretty, pretty awesome that Josh jobs out here balling out.


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[Assistant] How much, how much do you think, um, the way the Cardinals are playing affects their decision on when they bring Kyler Murray back?


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[Assistant] No, I will go with Cults over Ravens, but you can explain Texas over Jaguars while I...


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[Assistant] Yeah, I know, I wrote it in the rundown. Uh, the uhm, I'll go with culture of Arabia's and here's why. I think that...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So Cowboys losing the Cardinals in terms of point spread, obviously the biggest one.


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[Assistant] But I think the Cowboys probably kind of mailed us in like, we're going to go to Arizona and beat the brakes off of this. Like we got a third straight bad team to start the year. Like let's just go do what we do boys. And I think they, I think they walked in and they took the Cardinals lightly.


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[Assistant] And it's not going to hurt them in the, over the long haul in terms of the NFC. However.


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[Assistant] And I was going to say Texans over Jaguars because that's like, that's a, that's a, that's a pretty huge one. But I think the Jaguars can bounce back. I have major concerns about their, their, their offensive play calling. Um, Doug Peterson may need to step in and of course, like is their offense, can their offense get better? But the culture of the Ravens, they did this with a backup quarterback against an undefeated Baltimore team.


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[Assistant] And you have the, you know, the, the, the, like, you know, and I think that like you have the Baltimore Colts factor, which nobody really actually cares about, but kind of a revenge game, maybe, um, like a really old revenge game. And I think- It'd be a revenge game for Baltimore, Brenton.


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[Assistant] Uh, but yeaah, uh, but do you have, you know, you have Gardner Minshew comes in for Anthony Richardson.


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[Assistant] You have Shane Steichen winning this game, which really like your first year coach, you got a banged up rookie quarterback who's, who's missing the game with concussion issues. And then you, you know, you go win it with your backup quarterback. That's huge. Colts defense plays really well. And I think now, um, you know, the Colts could have beaten.


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[Assistant] The Jags are, I mean, the Colts are that far from being 3-0, and I think you can make a reasonable case that in the NFC South, AFC South, excuse me, where, you know, the Jaguars are struggling, the Titans have struggled, the Texans have struggled.


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[Assistant] The, you know, the Colts are a viable contender to win that division in a year where nobody thought they would be like even in the mix. Like they're like nine months removed from having Jeff Saturday as their coach. And so for me, that's why this win over the division leading Ravens.


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[Assistant] Who were a huge favorite, I think seven and a half points in this game, beating the Raven straight up with your backup quarterback.


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[Assistant] When you're undermanned, like the way they were, to me, and we know Jonathan Taylor still, he's on the sidelines, maybe now he's, you know, that, that helps you, you win some games, you bring him back in, maybe he gets back in the fold to give him a little more money. Uh, I'll take the Colts over the Ravens as, as the biggest upset from a macro standpoint.


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[Assistant] By the way, uh, apropos of, apropos of not, I mean, not nothing, but, um, I, uh, I felt like I did the thing with the two big TVs, the two, four multi-box things today, uh, on the YouTube TV, which, which is pretty cool.


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[Assistant] I felt like it was almost like, I want to do it like one more week and see if it's still, it's almost like a little bit overwhelming. Like I need to, I need to, I need to, I need like three games on each TV maybe. You know what I mean? It's hard to watch nine at once. It's hard to watch eight games at once.


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[Assistant] I usually do, I usually do that too, but I was like, Oh, I'm going to try these two multi boxes and see if it can work. And I felt like it was, you could kind of like get lost in the sauce on some stuff.


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[Assistant] Well, I would say that if Doug took over at half time, um, it is, it is somewhat telling that the Jaguars didn't score in the first half.


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[Assistant] And that they did score the second half. Look, you give up 37 to CJ Stroud and the Texans and you're, you're, you're going to have a bad, you're going to, you're going to have a bad time.


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[Assistant] Our third largest road win in, uh, franchise history against the Jaguars, by the way, 2019, they won by 23, 20, 2004 by 21 and then in 2012 and this year by 20. Um, yeah, I mean, look, Tankdale falling out.


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[Assistant] They didn't really run the ball extremely well. They just sort of took care of business. They had an 85 yard kickoff return.