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[Assistant] And you know, a little bit like last week, once again, the Vikings can't stop the run. So then you have to worry about them overplaying it at times. And because of that, I'm going Ravens 31 17 at home.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I understand that. I do. And, uh, yeah, we're seeing, you know, some of the flaws of the team that we thought


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[Assistant] You know, yeah, there was, there was some unfortunate losses for them earlier in the year. Then they got, you know, the bounce of the ball to go their way a few times. But yeah, I think we're looking at a, a below average team in the NFL. So I agree with a lot of what you said.


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[Assistant] Similar teams here, you know, and the fact that yeaah, it's deep, you know, I wanna say it's similar now, it looks like, as in the way the Panthers played last week. I mean, the Panthers played last week was...


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[Assistant] You know, almost a little bit like the Steelers and Big Ben, like we're just going to play defense and we're going to run the ball. And even if we just run it into a wall, we don't care. We're not going to let Sam Darnold mess the game up. We're not going to let the quarterback mess the game up.


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[Assistant] I mean, they went on drives, I think I told you earlier this week where it was just run after run after run after run and they were like, who cares? Don't let Sam Darnold mess it up.


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[Assistant] That's where he's gonna hit. So they gotta kinda get his confidence back. I don't think they're gonna be able to do that.


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[Assistant] Run the ball consistently well on the Patriots defense, especially when there's not a ton to worry about in the passing offense of the Panthers between Sam Donnell not playing well. And like you've heard me say for a few weeks in a row here now, the Panthers, it's not overly complicated to figure out what they want to do in the passing game.


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[Assistant] So that's Advantage Patriots, and I do think a lot of this Panthers defense, there's no doubt about that. They are still highly ranked, but a little of that is because of the start of the season, they played some teams that they matched up real well with. I think the Patriots are going to be able to run the ball on them enough, and


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[Assistant] You know, the Patriots are a team I look at right now going in an upward trajectory. And Mack Jones, even though maybe the completion percentage isn't as good lately, I don't care. To me, I think they become more dangerous because they are throwing the ball down the field a little bit more. Patriots 20 to 16, Mike.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the orange team that has stripes on their helmets. I am.


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[Assistant] You know, again, like last week they were underwhelming and not motivated. You said that today on PFT and that, that is exactly right. You know, they were flying high cause they beat the Ravens. People were calling them the best team in the AFC. Jets got embarrassed. Bengals will be on their game this week. They will. And even just despite last week, you know,


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[Assistant] Bengals left some points on the board, and still were up 31-20 midway through the fourth quarter, or past the midway point of the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] So that just shows you that, yeaah, their offense even on bad days is still pretty damn good. They can still make plays and that's having been stopped on first and goal on the one and not getting any points on a drive. And another drive having first and goal at the four and only getting a field goal. They still score 31.


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[Assistant] You know, I still don't know about the Browns defense. It's hit or miss. I think the Bengals offense matches up well with that. And then a little bit like we just talked about with like the Vikings Ravens.


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[Assistant] I think the bangles are pretty good at stopping the run when they don't have to worry about


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[Assistant] Yeah, the Cooper Rush thing does, it scares me a little bit. You know, this is not the Vikings defense as we laid out there, to where they're not just, you know, the Broncos defense is pretty good. They've had little issues stopping the run because of some injuries inside on their defense. So that, that does worry me, no doubt.


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[Assistant] You know, Cooper Rush isn't gonna get some of the easy completions he got against the Vikings. I mean, again, they were running like high school plays at points last week, or they're just like, 10 yards, turn around, boom, I'll throw it. 10 yards, go out, boom, I'll throw it. Slant route, boom, I'll go, because the Vikings had to overplay the run game to such an extent, it just made it easy. The Brago's defense will not do that.


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[Assistant] So if like, Cooper Rush is playing, I think we can get into a close, closer football game. I do. But...


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[Assistant] Yeah, corners, I still think there's some question marks there, but I don't think the Broncos can take advantage of that a whole lot with Teddy Bridgewater at quarterback. So if Dax plan, I'm going 30-20 Cowboys.


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[Assistant] I mean, obviously I'm picking the bills, there's no doubt about that. You know, again, I don't know, there's a part of me that...


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[Assistant] There's still, of course, one of the better teams in football in the conversation for the best team in AFC.


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[Assistant] But I am worried about their offense a little bit. I am. I can't lie. I mean, they went through some really, really struggle moments last week against the Dolphins. I mean, it was 3-3.


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[Assistant] You know, going at halftime, right? Maybe it was a little more than that. I can't remember what happened after Tua snapped the ball into Gosecki in the motion. But either way, it was close and they were having troubles there. It's just not...


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[Assistant] And not like a high functioning offense right now.


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[Assistant] You know, the run game, of course, is below average. And like you've heard me say many times, the weapons are not as good as everybody wants to make it to be. It's not. And people have, you know, figured out the offense to a degree.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go Bills 31-17, because I think Jacksonville will just hang around and be there, and it's a game where the Bills are gonna be like, well, we're better than them, and they might be asleep at the wheel to a degree.


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[Assistant] I mean, I'm gonna pick the Dolphins to win, but I don't think this will be easy. I mean, I think this is a coin toss game. I do. I think the thing I look at with the Texans to give them a fighting chance is, you know, the fact that


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[Assistant] You know, again, the stats and numbers don't always show it.


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[Assistant] They're gonna play too deep coverage. They're gonna make you try to run the ball and have some success there before they get out of it. The Dolphins can't run the ball. You know, I think it's gonna be a tough day passing the ball for two in company. I could certainly see that. And, you know,


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[Assistant] I-I-I don't know, this is one I'm just going with a little bit of a gut here. And just thinking that...


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[Assistant] The Texans are gonna hang around, and the Dolphins will be a little over aggressive at times and let you make a play here and there. You know, I'm going Dolphins, but I think it's gonna be a close one. I think the Texans are gonna, you know, be ready to go, knowing that this is a team that they can compete with and play. I'm going Dolphins 24-23.


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[Assistant] I like the Saints of course. I mean, the Saints are, their defense is a Super Bowl type of defense. There's no doubt about that. You know, their offense of course is just a question mark. You know, them putting up points consistently, making plays, doing all that. I mean, they're not the type of team that I look at that really blows anybody out.


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[Assistant] You know, that, that's really where I look at it. And you know, of course, the Falcons, like I said earlier today, without Calvin Ridley, without a big time running back and run game,


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[Assistant] It really handicaps Arthur Smith, where that's what he wants to do. He wants to run the ball and do a lot of different things off of that. And he's just not capable of doing that. Uh, Falcons play hard. I respect them for that. I do. But I just think this is a New Orleans team that's on the rise, playing great defense. The run game's coming along.


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[Assistant] Kasem Hill's playing. I think it adds another element to their offense. I hope he's the starting quarterback. To me, that's the one that makes sense. I'm going Saints 24-17.


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[Assistant] I do think the Giants, I think it'll be a little bit like we saw the other night on Monday night. They'll hang around. You know, their defense will play it the right way.


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[Assistant] The Raiders offense just has more to def- more to offer, more to defend.


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[Assistant] Then the Chiefs offense right now, and I mean that schematically, you know, really, and even on an execution level, I mean, Derek Carr is playing a cleaner game than Patrick Mahomes right now. There's, there's no doubt about that. Yeah, there's no Henry rugs. Okay. But they still got a lot of other players they can wheel and deal the ball to.


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[Assistant] They have enough of a run game, and I think that's going in the right direction too, to where that's also different for the Giants, so they have to really pay attention to that. So, you know, because of that, I give advantage Raiders on offense, and again, you know, not that the Raiders defense is special, uhm,


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[Assistant] But at the end of the day, it's kind of like what we've said in a lot of games of the Giants. You know, they're just one dimensional.


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[Assistant] It's, it's every game is kind of managing the offensive line with no run game to speak of. Their best run play this year is Daniel Jones keeping the ball. It's the best thing they got.


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[Assistant] And Gus Bradley and what he does with that Raiders defense, they're sound, they play hard. And they got, they can get after the quarterback. And that scares me because the Giants can't protect the quarterback. So hang around, but lose 24-20, Raiders.


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[Assistant] You made me like talk about upsets of the week. To me, this is one of the ones that lines up. It does. You know, it has, it has a little of that feel like why I picked the Patriots last week against the Chargers. You know, the Eagles last week, offensive line starting to move people in the run game. Jalen hurts more in the run game.


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[Assistant] That uh, that's not good for the Chargers. The Chargers can't stop diddly-squat shit in the run game. They can.


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[Assistant] I mean, they were this close to having 200 yards run on them last week. There was some holding calls on the Patriots where I went and went, man, you didn't need to hold. He was already 30 yards down the field and gone. I mean, there was no reason. The guy wasn't even by you. I don't know what you're holding for. What are you doing? You know, there's real issues there and


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[Assistant] The people have caught on to the Joe Lombardi Chargers offense. I do believe that. And the Eagles played a little bit more aggressive on defense last week. Nothing crazy. They're not going to do like go out, go totally out in a limb that way.


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[Assistant] Uh, I'm gonna go Chargers here, 2320. I was disappointed to see the spread was only two. I really thought the Chargers were gonna be more of a favorite than this, uh, because I thought I was gonna make this my best bet.


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[Assistant] I could see the Eagles winning this 23-22. I really could. I was, I was this close to kind of going, let me switch the score and go Eagles here. I don't know. I just, I'm a little soured on the Chargers and I, I think the Eagles match up well with them.


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[Assistant] Yeah, you're kind of with me there. Yeah, yeah, I hear you. Yeah, you're right. I mean, you said it right. I just couldn't, at the end of the day, Chargers desperate, maybe a little more talented with a quarterback that's, yeah, the better guy, and I just couldn't pull the trigger on going with the Eagles.


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[Assistant] I do like the way the defense has been playing lately. You know, and I know like some people are going to go, whoa, they lost 27 to three, the Titans. It wasn't the defense's fault, but Holmes and company kept screwing it up, giving the Titans short fields. The defense hung in there. They slowed down Derek Henry and company.


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[Assistant] So I think with that, I think they can slow down the Packers running attack, which is pretty damn good. There's no doubt about that. It's a good offensive line and they're smart in what they do.


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[Assistant] It then, but it allows them to play that a little bit more aggressively because you do have a rookie quarterback.


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[Assistant] And the Packers are never an offense that they just go, Oh my gosh, the creativity is just goes crazy. No, they just kind of, they got Aaron Rogers. He knows what play to get them into. Okay. Yup. Ooh, I like this play against the defense. They're playing boom, boom, boom, you know, completion, completion, touchdown. I don't think that's a, that's an element that's taken away from Jordan love.


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[Assistant] Now listen, I don't, you know, Kansas City's offense is scary. They, they, they will screw anything up right now. There's no doubt, but at the end of the day, I'm still going with them at home and you know what, which is all almost desperation games for them here for a little while until they start to get significantly over 500, 2717 Chiefs.


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[Assistant] A tight one to me. I've gone back and forth with this one. You know, first off, I do think the 49ers, their defense matches up pretty well with the Cardinals offense, like we saw the first time around.


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[Assistant] You know, they just, you know, they, they, they play a certain coverage. It doesn't allow big plays a whole lot. Their front seven is still very fast. So, and it's good. Of course they could stop the run. They can take away, you know, some of the short passes and screens and limit the damage there that Arizona is so good at doing that.


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[Assistant] Uh, the Cardinals do have issues stopping the run.


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[Assistant] You know, that's what worries me a little bit here. I've been back and forth with this one. You know, and then, you know, the, the element of 17-10 the first time around with the, with the 49ers losing the game. Trey Lance at quarterback.


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[Assistant] You know, to me that played into the Cardinals hands a little bit.


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[Assistant] And it allowed them to overplay the run game because they knew they weren't going to get a lot of variety in the pass game. That's where I think that's why Jimmy Garoppolo should be the starter and is the starter because at least he gives them enough in the pass game to where you just can't always go all in on stopping the Shanahan run game.


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[Assistant] I picked Cardinals 27-24, but this is one that I have just like the Eagles game and the Chargers where I go, this could be an upset. I just, at the end of the day, I got to see the 49ers win one of these games first really against a quality team and do it. I just, I couldn't pick them. So I'm going Cardinals 27-24. I, I decided to go with the 49ers.


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[Assistant] Yeah baby, what up Under Armour? We are supported by Under Armour and just like us, yeah, me and Florio, Under Armour wants to give you an edge. They are focused on performing better and taking their game to the next level.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Everything from running shoes, running shoes that propel you forward to hoop shoes that give you insane grip.


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[Assistant] They even make hoodies that reflect energy. I need to get that to reflect Florio's bad energy. We're not just about the end result, winning or glory. Under armor is about the hard work, the dedication, the cycle of training.


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[Assistant] Competing and recovering. We give you advantages, but not shortcuts. The only way is through.


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[Assistant] I'm not on the titans. I can't do that. I can't, you know, I mean, first off,


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[Assistant] I mean, yes, the, the offensive too is Derrick Henry centric. And I know the Rams defense has not been perfect all year. There's no doubt, but when, you know,


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[Assistant] Like, variable and company, I know they're gonna stay patient with the run game. I get that. Uhm, but first off, the Rams defense has been a lot better the last four or five weeks. Even against the run in all areas, they've been better.


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[Assistant] And what can catch the ram, the rams are so fast up front.


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[Assistant] That, you know, for bigger, overpowering offensive lines, we've seen that a few times this year. They have str- they have tr- trouble. You'd think, whoa, they're gonna be able to block the Rams. The Rams aren't that big. But their speed causes issues. And now you don't really have to worry about the Derrick Henry aspect quite the same.


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[Assistant] And you know, to me, the big question of the Titans is just like, if they can't run the ball or play through that.


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[Assistant] Is their drop back pass game good enough to carry them? I don't know that yet. I don't. You know, you look at what they've done so far this year. It's run the ball, play action pass AJ Brown. That's all they do.


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[Assistant] They're one of the league leaders in that. AJ Brown catches almost all his passes off that.


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[Assistant] You know, the Rams have a guy in Jalen Ramsey who can match up with the Brown from time to time and allow them to do different things. And then I like what the Titans defense is doing. They have gotten a lot better. They're one of the best zone teams in football, Mike, passing people off. Their pass rush has gotten pretty good, but the Rams have an answer for everything.


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[Assistant] They do. And, you know, I know, like, the titans, I just wanna pull it up here.


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[Assistant] I know they beat the Colts, the Chiefs, the Bills. None of them have the offense the Rams do. None of them have the completeness the Rams do, nor the talent that the Rams do. I'm going 30 to 20 Rams.


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[Assistant] And you know, and even like that, like, Hey, we're playing great. And of course we've blown out more teams than anybody in football. And we beat the bucks handily. You know, if it was that point in the year where they might fall asleep, Oh, Derek Henry's not here. They're not going to play, you know, they're not going to be at their best.


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[Assistant] Your point's very real. That move is gonna energize the locker room.


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[Assistant] Von Miller being in the locker room is just going to energize it and he's got that type of personality. He's that kind of team player.


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[Assistant] He's gonna fit right in with Aaron Donald and Jalen Ramsey and that group on the defensive side of the ball. It's the perfect mix. That's where McVeigh and Les Snead are amazing that way. They really are. And I think they're kind of showing the NFL a new way to do things. You know, and you know, we heard Eric Dickerson today on the PFT show, right?


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[Assistant] Where he talked about like, you know, oh, you're losing all your bicks, you're losing all your picks. I know, I know, it's jarring. But he made the point that when the Rams traded him to the Colts...


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[Assistant] Nothing really worked out for the Rams. There was no like big player. It was three first round picks. I think two second round picks and something else. And none of it really came to fruition. So, you know, it's the thing we always gloss over. You're very good at always pointing that out. Um, but I think your point about the energy with Von Miller is very real.


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[Assistant] I mean, I understand it being the lowest over, under the week. I mean, I can't imagine many points being scored here. I can't. I mean, you know, again, it's a good, good Chicago defense. It is, and it's not a great Pittsburgh offense. We know that. I mean, I certainly think Chicago can slow down Pittsburgh in their attack.


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[Assistant] And, you know, not, they're not going to have to put, you know, too much into, we got to stop their run game like they did last week with the 49ers, which of course opens the pass game. The Steelers offensive run game isn't quite at that capacity yet. So then they're, you're not going to get as many one-on-one shots with Deontay Johnson or Chase Claypool or Friar Muth. You know, and then, you know, on the other side of the ball, uh, yeah, the Steelers defense is awesome. We know that.


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[Assistant] And again, I, I don't, I don't see, I don't see the, uh, the Bears making many plays. I don't, you know, I just, uh, you know, the Steelers stopped the run. They got speed to slow down a guy like Justin Fields. We know the passing game for Chicago's nothing special. So I'm going 20 to 17 Steelers here. I got


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[Assistant] I don't really get it at times why it's such a fickle conversation when it comes to Mike Tomlin. I don't, uh, you know, it does, it bothers me. I know we stick up for him all the time and yeah, he's a phenomenal coach.


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[Assistant] That manages a lot of crazy personalities there in Pittsburgh. And for the most part, they are always ready to play. They're always the more physical team on the football field. You know, there's a lot of good that they bring to it and they got a quarterback that is really not capable of much right now. I mean, it's, it's not much.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're gonna have to play like, uh, I said to you earlier today, it's gotten into like Duck Hodges, Mason Rudolph territory. It's not quite that what we saw, you know, two, three years ago when Big Ben got hurt, but it's not far from that.


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[Assistant] You know, they're not going to like, I think they officially hit, we're not going to let him mess this game up. We're going to run the ball, run the ball, reverse. Oh wait, one on one. Fine. You could throw it, run the ball, run the ball, play through the defense.


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[Assistant] I mean, I feel pretty good about this. Uh, at least my first one. I'm gonna go with the Ravens as my best bet in the first one. I think they're gonna win by more than six points. They're at home. It's a tough place to play. It's a bye week. They came off a bad loss to the Bengals.


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[Assistant] I'm not always inclined to pick like, not good teams, but this one just pops much too much to me. And I'm afraid you're gonna be right here with me. I'm going with the Texans. Yeaah, I got them losing 24-23. But like, the spread is six and a half.


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[Assistant] I mean, Tyrod Taylor plays, I could easily see them winning the game. I don't see them losing by more than six. I don't see them losing by more than three, or a field goal that way. So I'm gonna take the Texans as my second best bet, even though I got them losing by a point.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Bears here. I am. Again, a little bit like six and a half is too much.


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[Assistant] For the most part, Justin Fields and that offense have taken care of the football all year.


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[Assistant] The Steelers have a hard time moving the ball on anybody, let alone this is a good Bears defense. You know, and I think the Bears found a little something last week. They used Justin Fields in quarterback design runs, it gave them another element. So I just, I have a hard time, I'm picking Pittsburgh to win, I'm doing the same thing, I just don't think they can ball him out.


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[Assistant] Great. Good for you. Uh, let's point out I gained two games, games versus spread. I'm breathing down your neck and two out of the three categories. I'm a game back in best bets. It's, it's, I'm going to chip away at this thing. Chip, chip, chip, chip, chip, chip, chip. That's all.


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[Assistant] Maybe not straight up. I might, I'm getting close to conceding that. Ten might be too much, but the other two, I can still take you down and talk shit throughout the off season. So that's what I plan on doing. Let's go. Here we go, baby.


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[Assistant] I'm doing it this week. It's the week. I'm doing it. I'm going with the Lions. I'm going to pick them. It's a gut feel. Yes, I know. But you know, for the dysfunction that's going on in Chicago, you know, they're a banged up football team. The Andy Dalton.


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[Assistant] Chicago Bears is actually, in my opinion, less scary than the Justin Fields Chicago Bears. You know, he enhances their run game, their bootlegs, of course his ability to make a play, scrambling. We saw that help them out.


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[Assistant] You know, this is one of the reasons I didn't like Andy Dalton becoming the starter early in the year. It's just because, you know, we've seen that offense and I think it's easy to defend and I think Detroit will be able to defend it. Let alone, Bears are a little bit of a banged up football team. I mean, Allen Robinson, you know,


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[Assistant] Yeah, and he's not playing. I'm pretty sure it was a hamstring injury. If he is playing, he won't beat a hundred percent. Akeem Hicks, you know, he's very banged up. If he does play, he won't be, he'll be less than a hundred. I'm going to play the gut feel mic of this is the week.


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[Assistant] Detroit's defense I think can slow down the Bears, and I think Dan Campbell and the offense and just the Thanksgiving atmosphere is going to put them over the top. Twenty to seventeen Lions.


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[Assistant] I know, I can't wait. We'll see. You know, one thing we do want to bring up, just I think in that matchup, just to hit one other thing. Lions run game, regardless of whether we think, you know, they're going to win or not. It has become a force. That's something to watch out. And in the last few weeks, they're all lying, being healthy. Uh, you know, like I said, a Noah Keem Hicks, a Okulio Mack.


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[Assistant] I think Alec Ogletree is going to be out. I look at that and go, it's, I think they can do this ugly type of thing. So we'll see. Thanksgiving could start off on the right foot. Here we go, baby.


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[Assistant] Well, I was surprised to see the spread at seven and a half. I didn't expect it to be that high. Uh, but yes, I do think they get back on track. I'm a hundred percent.


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[Assistant] You know, the Raiders def- first off, the Cowboys gotta have a bad taste in their mouth. There's no doubt about that. Hey, I'd like to see if CDLAM is definitely in a clear concussion protocol. It sounds like it's going in the right direction, but.


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[Assistant] Raiders defense, nothing special to talk about over there. I think they're, they're at a disadvantage on the defensive side of the ball and really all areas. You know, yes, they're well coached.


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[Assistant] You know, Max Crosby's a hell of a football player. Yannick and Gokwe pops from time to time. Sounds like Tyrone Smith's gonna be back. So I don't think protection will be an issue. Therefore, I think the Cowboys will make plays in the pass game.


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[Assistant] Not a lot of big people on that Raiders D line. I think the Cowboys are going to be able to run the ball. And the one thing we've seen since John Gruden and Henry Ruggs have gone from the Raiders, they've had a hard time.


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[Assistant] You know, dialing up big plays, getting teams to back off them to a degree. That hasn't happened. So I think the Cowboys cover, I'm going to go Cowboys 31-21. I got 31-17.


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[Assistant] It's like, it's attention, it's Vegas, it screams that, I'll say that, but I just can't imagine...


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[Assistant] Pete Carroll wanting to step into that type of situation right now. I don't know, just at his age and there's so many question marks with that roster. Uh, I guess that I'd have a hard time thinking that would be a possibility, but I think, you know.


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[Assistant] His tenure in Seattle certainly seems to be in question right now. There's no doubt about that, which I don't think it necessarily deserves to be quite yet, uh, to, to be honest.


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[Assistant] I mean, this is, this is gonna be a tight one. I don't think there's any doubt in my mind about that. I do. I mean, of course, I think I look at it like this. We know that Bill's defense is good. We saw though that they're not necessarily big up front. They can get overpowered in the run game. We saw it against the Titans. We saw it last week against the Colts.


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[Assistant] You know, the, the saints can overpower people in the run game, but the saints are a banged up football team.


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[Assistant] You know, missing a tackle, troutman, the tight ends hurt.


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[Assistant] That scares me a little bit. Taysom Hill, I've heard about him not being a hundred percent. How much can he add to the football game in some capacity? Whether that's Wildcat quarterback formations or whatever. So I could, I think this is going to be a defensive struggle type of football game. You know, on the other side, the Bills offense, Hey, this is not the week they're going to run the football.


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[Assistant] It's going to be dependent, of course, on Josh Allen. And I think that's dicey. I do, you know, but I think ultimately with the fact that there's no Camara, the, the Saints team being a little banged up and the fact that they can never get really any consistent offense.


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[Assistant] Early on in the football game, I'm just going to go here with one that I think is going to be a tight game.


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[Assistant] And I'm gonna go with the team that has the best player on the field, which is Josh Allen. The Bills win a close one. Kind of an ugly 23-20 victory on the road in New Orleans.


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[Assistant] Well, I'm going with the Bengals on this one. I am. You know, first off, uh, I like what I saw last week. Getting back to the run game with Joe Mixon. That's encouraging. I think they gotta do that. Let's not fall in the trap of Joe Burrow throwing the ball 45, 48 times a game. They're not as good when they do that.


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[Assistant] You know, it takes away the play action pass game and bootleg game, which Joe Burrows very good at. You know, they can't always rely on the shotgun drop back can be surgical.


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[Assistant] So I look at it that way. And I think, you know, really in a lot of ways, the fact that, hey, if they can run the ball and just have a decent amount of success, the fact that they do have a quick short pass game is beneficial to me in matchups against the Steelers, who we know do some different type of stuff on the defensive side of the ball.


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[Assistant] And, well, they can pressure the quarterback for the most part. You know, TJ Watt?


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[Assistant] You know, I don't know what to expect from him.


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[Assistant] So that does affect my thinking a little bit, but I don't think he'll be a hundred percent like the same TJ Watt if he does play. Sounds like Minka Fitzpatrick. He's going to be back there. Joe Hayden is going to be back. So that changes things a little bit, but still, I just think in this league is a matchup league. I think the bangles offense.


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[Assistant] Uh, can have enough success against the Steelers defense, and on the other side of the ball, you know what my thoughts are there. You know, yes, we know how they have to play. There was a better performance from Big Ben and company, but I still don't have enough faith in that offense, especially from the passing standpoint.


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[Assistant] And I think the Bengals will be able to slow down Najee Harris in the run game. And I just don't have enough faith in Big Ben in the passing game on the road to say they're going to win this one. I'm going Bengals 24-17.


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[Assistant] I do, I think so. I do, Texans I think are a better football team than the Jets. So that's, that's just what I'll boil it down to. You know, yea, hey, it's thanks to the Jets. There's no Michael Carter. You know, the running back, he's kind of been getting going and certainly been a difference maker on the offensive side of the ball in the run game and the pass game.


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[Assistant] You know, I think it's a Texans defense that's underrated. They don't give up big plays. They don't for the most part. You know, they're not gonna, they're gonna make you.


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[Assistant] They're going to make you run the ball and believe you can run the ball before they like come down and get out of a two safety look.


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[Assistant] They gotta see it to believe it, I guess is what I'm trying to say.


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[Assistant] And I think Zach Wilson and company will have a hard time moving the ball on the Texas defense. We saw the Titans struggle with it last week.


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[Assistant] Again, I think the Texas defense is better than, than people realize. It's the offense that's been an issue throughout the year, especially with Davis Mills a quarterback. Now you got Tyrod Taylor, and I think we're seeing them being a little bit more of a pain in the butt. And I just don't have enough faith in the Jets defense as a whole.


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[Assistant] You know, I think this is an ugly football game versus, you know, it's two not so good teams, but I'm going to take the experienced quarterback and the team that's a little healthier.


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[Assistant] And I just think capable of playing a more clean game, uh, and I'm gonna go tech since 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] You know, or at least the Bucks are hot after one, one game. They've changed my thought a little bit the way they looked the other night. I know it was the Giants, but you know, with Gronk healthy.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeah, Sean Murphy bunting back on the, on the defensive side of the ball. Yeah, it, it, it makes me think a little different of them. You know, so yeah, Jamel Dean, he's healthy at corner. So I, I look at the Bucks to me as still.


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[Assistant] Kind of, I think you're starting that incline like we saw last year. Gronk being back on the offensive side of the ball is huge. There's some one more mismatch you've got to worry about with Evans and Godwin.


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[Assistant] I think the Bucs also realize, hey, we got to run the ball a little bit. It just helps Brady. It helps them feel more comfortable. It helps protect them.


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[Assistant] You know, so I'm looking at, the biggest thing is, do I think the Colts can pressure Brady with just the front four? And I guess I'm saying no. I don't think they're gonna be able to do it consistently enough. It's a good front four with the Colts, I don't think it's a great front four.


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[Assistant] And on the back end there, I don't think they're talented enough to slow Brady and company down. You know, the other side of the ball, hey, can the Colts...


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[Assistant] Like, run the ball the way they've been with Jonathan Taylor? I think they can run the ball just about on anybody in football, except I just don't know if I'm ready to say that with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I'm not.


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[Assistant] You know, so I don't know in this type of game, I'm going with Brady and the bucks on the road. I think they're going to start their climb to remind us that they're the best, one of the best teams in football, if not the best, despite how much, you know, better the Colts have played over the last five or six weeks, 30 to 24 bucks.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, I know. They got whooped the last two weeks. You know, the problem is, is the Jaguars don't have the talent the Cowboys or the New England Patriots do. You know, the Jaguars respect what they do on the defensive side of the ball. You know, there is something to that.


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[Assistant] Uh, there's no doubt, but I, I, I'm gonna, I think this is a coin flip type of football game. I guess what I'm coming down to here is.


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[Assistant] You know, a, a Jacksonville offense that I just don't trust and don't know what I'm gonna get on a week to week basis. So I can't get really behind that.


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[Assistant] And Atlanta, even though I don't think a whole lot of their offense, you know, they got issues across the board. We know that.


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[Assistant] It's Matt Ryan and Pitts. It's a below average run game. You know, I think we'll have Cordero Patterson back this week. So I do think that helps their team. You know, they don't protect the passer all that well. So I could see Jacksonville making life hard on them. I'm going to go on like a.


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[Assistant] It's a dead even football game late in the fourth quarter and Matt Ryan scores a, they score a touchdown to go up 27-20.


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[Assistant] Late with two minutes and 30 seconds left and put the game away. That's kind of how I see that one playing out. I think it will be close. I think the Jaguars hang around. I just have more faith, I guess, in Arthur Smith and Matt Ryan to pull out this type of game than I do Urban Meyer and Trevor Lawrence right now.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it is another one. It's coin flip. It really is. I look at it. I mean, it's two evenly matched football teams. You know, two good defenses. I think the Dolphins defense is the hotter of the two defenses right now. Last three or four weeks, the Dolphins defense has been a real pain in the butt.


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[Assistant] Make a lot of plays, you know, cause a lot of issues for the, for, for opposing offenses. They can pressure the quarterback. They can cover receivers man to man. You know, I just worry about, I don't know if Carolina's offense has enough to, you know, offer.


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[Assistant] Uh, the Miami Dolphins and the way they're playing right now as far as be able to consistently move the football. I don't, I, I, I think they'll have a plan to kind of slow down the Cam Newton run game to a degree, you know, and after that, I think they got the DBs on the outside to,


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[Assistant] Make life hard along with the scheme and some of the creative things they do on that back end to where I'm leaning dolphins here on this one. I am. I don't think it'll be pretty, you know, but, you know, Chua.


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[Assistant] The offense of the Dolphins has been serviceable. They've been running the ball a little bit better.


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[Assistant] Listen, out of all the games we've had so far, this is the one that probably scares me more than any, or at least I just was the least, least decisive about.


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[Assistant] I did go back and forth with this one. I did. I don't know why. I'm just going with the Dolphins at home and a.


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[Assistant] Like you always say, pasta and meatballs feel here. Uh, I, I agree with you the fact that I think the Panthers are probably the little bit more of a talented football team. There's no doubt. Uh, I don't know, I don't know what it is. I guess I just got a faith in Brian, Brian Flores and company that they're going to give the Panthers offense some issues this weekend.


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[Assistant] I can't get over that either. I can't get behind them covering the spread. I know that. I am picking the Patriots. They're the hottest team in football. They match up really well with the Titans. In fact, I would say in a lot of ways, I mean, they play a very similar style.


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[Assistant] Except I would say roster wise, I think the Patriots are more talented and have come together as a football team. You know, I mean, I just look at it and go,


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[Assistant] You know, a little bit of what we saw last week. We, we still got questions about the Titans offense post Derrick Henry, and we're seeing the ripple effects with that. You know, and finally last week, a team didn't screw it up to let.


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[Assistant] The Titans offense off the hook, like it, like, like prior weeks, you know, against the Rams and I'm missing the other, the, uh, the, uh, the other matchup that they won without Derrick Henry off the top of my head. It was Rams and.


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[Assistant] Who was the other team they played? Holy cow, well I'll just look it up, don't think, I'll just look. The Saints, thank you, yes.


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[Assistant] So I have that issues there, sorry, and I just look at the Patriots to go, they're a team that I don't think is going to let the Titans offense off the hook.


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[Assistant] Mac Jones and the offensive side of the ball, I mean they take care of it. They're very good in all situations, the New England Patriots right now. And of course their ability to run the ball and just make enough plays in the pass game, I think is going to be enough, let alone I think their defense is...


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[Assistant] I don't know. I'm gonna say it's the best defense in football. It's official. And I think they'll give Ryan Tannehill and company a lot of issues on that side of the ball. I'm going, Patriots 2420.


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[Assistant] I don't expect it. I don't think it's going to happen. No, I don't. I mean, first off, I think the Eagles are one of the hotter teams in the game right now.


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[Assistant] You know, you've heard me kind of wax poetically the last few weeks about their run game. They can run the ball on anybody. It doesn't matter.


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[Assistant] You know, that's the one thing last week confirmed with the, against the New Orleans Saints for the Eagles offense. You know, again, it's, it's arguably the hottest run game in football. It's an overpowering offensive line. Jalen Hertz makes a few splash plays in the run game and then one or two pass plays every week.


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[Assistant] If there was no pass rush involved, they could probably win a seven on seven football game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense. The problem is there is a pass rush involved and the problem is Fletcher Cox and Javon Hargrave are real people and the problem is that the Giants offensive line is real people too that aren't good.


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[Assistant] And they're gonna get, they're gonna have their issues there. So I'm going Eagles, 30 to 21.


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[Assistant] 1995. I just turned 15 like a week before that. So yeah, there I am. There's my sister Deirdre sitting in front and there's dirty Diana, my mom and my grandmother who's, who's gone now. Barbara Sims who we owe all our, our athletic prowess and size to is, is big Barbara Sims.


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[Assistant] Like 5'11, you know, five, 10 and a half ish for sure. No doubt about it. And I've had a lot of big hands. I've had a lot of fun with that. My Kentucky family always loves that. She got hands like a linebacker. I mean, she really does. She'd kill me if she heard me say that in real time, but she's not here any longer. We did, we, we, we could have some laughs.


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[Assistant] I don't know how it happened. I don't know how it happened, but it got there.


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[Assistant] Screw him, don't give him any shoes. Send me more, okay? That's right, they sent me some cool Steph Currys this week too. Like, limited edition cookie monster Steph Currys, man.


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[Assistant] I look cool on my podcast. All right. So we are supported by Under Armour. We, as in, I mean me, not that other guy. Okay. Over there. And just like us, I mean, like me again, Under Armour wants to give you an edge, not like me in the picks. All right. The other guy has given you a little more of an edge.


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[Assistant] They are focused on performing better and taking their game to the next level, which is what I'm trying to do. Go next level, chip chip away on this jerk Floria.


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[Assistant] Everything from running shoes to propel you forward to hoop shoes that give you insane grip. They even make hoodies that reflect energy. And I've been saying on my podcast, please send me one of these hoodies. I need to reflect


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[Assistant] That's how I look at it. You know, first off, yeah, the Chargers offense, we know it's good.


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[Assistant] We do, you know, I don't know if it's really that good of a running offense to take advantage of a, you know, not great running defense of the Broncos. So that worries me. And the one thing I know about Denver is they can play some pass defense. So that scares me a little bit against the Chargers. And I think the Chargers passing offense is somewhat easy to figure out.


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[Assistant] I think Vic Fangio can make life hard on that passing game. Now, the other side of the ball, like, I don't see the Broncos being able to pick apart the Chargers in the pass game, I don't.


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[Assistant] But I do worry, I mean the Broncos have shown the ability every now and then to just absolutely gash teams in the run game.


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[Assistant] So that's where I go back and forth with this a little bit. I don't know. I'm going to go at the end of the day. I'm just going to go with Justin Herbert and the Chargers offense a little bit that they're going to make enough plays to win this football game. But, but again, I don't feel comfortable about this. Uh, so I'm going Chargers 24, 21.


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[Assistant] I hear you. Alright. I hear you. That was my logic a little. I'm with you, Mike. And again, it's an even matchup. I'm going Herbert over Bridgewater and that kind of thing.


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[Assistant] I'm going Rams here. I am. I think the Rams match up well with Green Bay Packers. You know, first off, I gotta imagine the Rams, you know, are pissed off, bye week, didn't play good before the bye. They're gonna have some things, you know, tightened up on both sides of the football. The Rams defense, you know,


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[Assistant] Has, had been better, you know, until the 49ers game. So I'm a little scared from that standpoint.


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[Assistant] I don't think LeFleur and the Packers offense is creative, as creative as Shanahan with some of the things they do, and especially not the run game, which is what the Rams biggest issue is, is stopping the run.


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[Assistant] You know, again, it's a solid Packers run game. I don't think it's a special Packers run game. So I think the Rams will be able to slow that down enough. And of course, I know they're going to be good in pass defense to make issues, give issues to Aaron Rodgers. Other side of the ball.


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[Assistant] No, no, I, I, I, I'm playing just the fact of here. I just think the Rams are too talented.


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[Assistant] Have too much of a system, you know, throwing the ball and they'll be able to run the ball enough to where I'm going to give them the edge on the road. Matthew Stafford finally going back to Green Bay with a team that's every bit as good, if not better than the Packers. I have a hard time thinking they're going to lose three games in a row. So I'm going Rams 28-24. Well, I have a hard time thinking the Packers.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's an interesting matchup. I, I, I hear you. I do. Um, it's, I'm going to be interested to see what the Packers defense brings to the table this week. Cause I was shocked to see them get gashed the way they did. And I would think Stafford and McVeigh and company got something new to, to offer on the offensive side of the ball. Uh, but should be one of the games of the day. No doubt about that.


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[Assistant] Who comes out with the edge, Chris? I think the 49ers are as a team in a higher class than the Minnesota Vikings. I do.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't think they match up all that well with the 49ers either, the Minnesota Vikings I'm talking about. You know, one, yeah, I mean, listen, I know Kirk Cousins and Thielen and Company are capable of making some big plays and there's Dalvin Cook. I still think this is a good 49ers defense. It's a top 10-ish defense and I think they have a front that


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[Assistant] And then the other side of the ball, like you said it, I just think the 49ers are clicking right now. You know, they're somewhat healthy.


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[Assistant] You know, the running backs, they got some variety there. Debo Samuel and the role they're using him. You know, I would argue it's, he's as important to an offense as anybody in football right now.


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[Assistant] You know, Iuk's got some confidence and I think just overall Shanahan has confidence in what he's kind of got going right now too with Jimmy Garoppolo who's playing solid football. I'm going to go 49ers, 27-17 in this one. I got 25.


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[Assistant] You know, again, I don't think it's a great Ravens defense. I think they're going to have issues stopping the Browns run game. I do.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I, we, we've seen it, we've seen the Browns move the ball and the Ravens both games last year. The Ravens defense was, was better.


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[Assistant] You know, last year than they are this year. So I guess I worry about it from that aspect, I do.


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[Assistant] And because I think the Ravens will have to commit and be so worried about stopping the run.


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[Assistant] I think you'll see a successful Baker Mayfield or Case Keenan. Not that it's gonna be like unbelievable or wow, but it'll be good enough where they'll make a handful of plays in the pass game. You know, I look at it from that standpoint and the fact that you know my thoughts with the Ravens. I don't think they're a good running team. Lamar Jackson's a great runner who adds to that.


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[Assistant] I don't think they can traditionally run the ball all that effectively. And I think the Browns have the team speed on the defensive side of the ball to kind of contain Lamar and give him some issues there. So I'm going to go with the Browns on the upset here. I am. I'm going Browns 27-24 on the road.


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[Assistant] It's another one I'm gonna put in the class of like, I wouldn't bet on this game. I know that. I'm gonna go with the team that's just playing better football here.


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[Assistant] I've liked what I've seen out of Washington's defense the last few weeks. I don't think it's a Seattle offense that has much to offer. So, I don't see them consistently moving the ball on Washington. Russell has been unable to create any magic.


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[Assistant] You know, he's not the same scrambler and outside the pocket type of player that he used to be. And you know, I know it's two, three weeks out from him being healthy with his finger and all that.


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[Assistant] That's still a tough injury. I'm sure he still doesn't feel 100% gripping the football and having total control there. You know, and then yes, the Seahawks, their defense.


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[Assistant] It's, you know, been better here, you know, the second half of the year as compared to the horrible early start. But I do think Washington's kind of found a groove on the offensive side of the ball here. You know, they can run the ball. Heinecke seems to make a few great plays every week.


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[Assistant] You know, Terry McCorran, I think he's healthy and ready to go. They got nobody that can match up with him. So I'm going to go with the football team here, 23-21, like a late field goal to win the game.


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[Assistant] You know, on the field for the Minnesota Vikings schematically and the Jimmy's and the Joe's out there. I do. And I think the 49ers have kind of hit a groove. And to me, the 49ers, even though at five and five.


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[Assistant] I think they're a good five and five football team and I think they kind of continue to establish themselves as one of the better teams in the NFC as we go along here.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go with the Rams. I am. I'm going with the Rams on the road in Green Bay. I'm going to pick it. I just think the Rams are a better football team. I do. And I just can't imagine them losing three games in a row. I, I just think there's too much firepower on the offensive side of the ball. Uh, and you know, defensively, uh,


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[Assistant] I know Aaron Rodgers is hot last week and doing a lot of special things there, but I just, I look at the Rams as a desperate team here with the spread the way it is. I'm going with them to win the game outright. Somehow, some way I will.


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[Assistant] This is where I'm stuck. I'm a little, the Eagles do interest me against the Giants. Uh, I'm a little scared of that one though. I'm gonna go with the Bucs as being my third best bet. You know, on the road, yes, they're three point favorites, but I look at it and just go...


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[Assistant] At the very worst, they win by three and it's a push. I just feel like they're going to win by more than that. I think they're kind of hit their stride. I don't have enough faith in the Colts defense to slow down Brady and company. And I don't think Jonathan Taylor is going to be able to run the ball the way he has been.


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[Assistant] And you're, you're, you're died last week, right? You're dead, didn't you die? Yes, you're in a gutter. So I don't know how you're picking this cause you're dead in a gutter somewhere. But, uh, I, um, wait, what am I going to do here? I'm going with the Raiders. I'm going with the Raiders as my pick.


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[Assistant] Hi I'm Mike Tirico and thanks for watching. Make sure to hit subscribe for the latest news and highlights from NBC Sports.


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[Assistant] I got the Panthers in this one. This is one of the reasons why I'm 10 games up on you. You will see me doing this multiple times on Sunday. Look into the camera, look into the screen, coming from my studio.


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[Assistant] You know, it's funny, what's happened, right across the top, it's all gone white, so it looks like I have no hair. Wow. Across the top of my chest. I would love to see that. White. All white. I'd love to see that. And of course, I know- Well, I could zip it down and pull it open and show you, but we don't want to lose viewers right off the-


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[Assistant] That's annoying. It's a little early for the Christmas lights. It's only December 2nd. Come on now. I mean, it's not, at least it's not November 2nd, but, but, uh, 8 and 7, straight up. Ah, that's good job, though. You better, uh, I'll tell you what. Christmas Sims and Florio ho ho ho.


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[Assistant] Fourteen games this weekend. Four teams on a buy. I think this is the last weekend for the buys. I think. So we'll be back to sixteen games every week. Oh, there's still one more week of buys. And then weeks fifteen through eighteen, no buys. Alright, let's get to it. We say hello tonight to the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] The Saints, Cowboys, 5 point favorites, 47 and a half over under. We reported last night, no Alvin Kamara. Reports today, the starting tackles for the Saints won't play. Taysom Hill will be the starting quarterback. A lot of the Cowboys are back. DeMarcus Lawrence is back. Amara Cooper is available to play. C.D. Lamb is back.


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[Assistant] Cowboys have lost three of four. Saints have lost four in a row. Something's gotta give. Who gets the win, Chris?


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[Assistant] Wow, yeah, that's gutsy, because I think the Cowboys, this is going to be one of those reestablish themselves kind of a game. The Saints, the Spirits willing, the Flesh is weak, the team is overmatched. Big game for both teams.


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[Assistant] We saw the Saints just a week ago at home lose 31 to 6 to the Bills. I don't know that it's going to be quite that bad, but I do think the Cowboys cover the five points spread. I think that that is one of those. It's a little bit too light because of where the Cowboys are and how they're going to try to get themselves


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[Assistant] Let's get to Sunday then. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have a rematch with the Falcons. The Falcons have managed to win enough games that they are on the fringes of playoff contention, but they are 10.5 point home underdogs.


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[Assistant] to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 50.5 over under. That is the highest of the week. The Bucs have won two in a row. They covered last week. That was one of our best bets. Them covering at Indianapolis. We know they're not as good. They're not as crisp. They're not as sharp away from home.


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[Assistant] But this is a place where Tom Brady's won a Super Bowl against a team that he beat for a Super Bowl. This, this just feels like a check for the Bucs as they continue to push for the one seed, Chris.


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[Assistant] This is a baby splitter for me. Because of the fact that the Falcons have shown some fight this year from time to time, and they do know the Bucs personnel


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[Assistant] And I know that Arthur Smith is still in his first season, so he doesn't know it quite as well as he would if he'd been there for a while. But I like what I think the Falcons will be able to do between using Kyle Pitts in the passing game,


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[Assistant] derailing a bit their playoff hopes, but further cementing Tampa Bay's push for the division title and more importantly, the number one seed. All right, let's move on to


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[Assistant] The next game, the Cardinals going back to Chicago, one of the places that they used to call home before St. Louis. It was the Chicago Cardinals, seven and a half point favorites against the Chicago Bears at Soldier Field over under a 44 and a half. We expect to see Kyler Murray. We don't know if we're going to see Justin Fields.


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[Assistant] Do we think that the Cardinals come out of their bi-week with a big win?


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[Assistant] Look, we saw the Bears beat the Lions last week.


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[Assistant] The Lions are not exactly a measuring stick at this point, other than if you're measuring how bad you are. And the Bears had all that dysfunction. The way they bungled the reporting about Matt Nagy being told on Monday he was going to be fired after the Thanksgiving game, apparently that wasn't true.


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[Assistant] Why didn't they shout it from the rooftops? Just a strange, strange turn of events for the Bears last week, and it's indicative of the dysfunction.


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[Assistant] That envelops the organization right now. I think we're going to see there's a big difference between the Cardinals and the Bears and it's going to play itself out on Sunday and the fans are not going to be happy. The Cardinals come home to Chicago and get a 34-20 win and they move to 10-2 and they may be the team.


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[Assistant] 50. Do you like the Bengals to make it to three in a row? And almost as importantly, do you like the Bengals to cover the three points?


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[Assistant] The charges is that they really have been all over the place. And I fully expected them to go to Denver and win last weekend, and this is one of those where


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[Assistant] I'm a little pissed off that they let me down last week, so I'm gonna hold it against them this week, possibly to my own detriment, but I think the Bengals are the better team right now. The Bengals understand that they've got some difficult matchup down the stretch and they have to hit that stride. They have to be the difficult matchup.


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[Assistant] The Bengals in this one. Let me check my score to make sure I get it right here. 30 to 23. The Bengals over the Chargers covering the spread.


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[Assistant] Uh, based upon the way they've been playing. Yeah, I hear that. There's logic to that for sure.


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[Assistant] Viable playoff contenders and this is their chance to convince even more people that they


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[Assistant] Was the subject of rumors he was going to be fired. So intense that the team actually issued a statement on Black Monday saying Zach Taylor is still our coach, which doesn't happen very often. So he's turned it around this year and maybe even if they have a strong kick down the stretch and steal the division potentially.


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[Assistant] Maybe he gets Coach of the Year votes. Alright, the Vikings at the Lions. Minnesota trying to...


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[Assistant] To pull the rabbit out of their hat and or their butt to beat the Lions earlier this year. They won't have Dalvin Cook. It's Alexander Madison. 46.5 point over-under. Again, the Vikings are 7 point favorites at Ford Field. Do you think the Vikings win? Do you think the Vikings cover?


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[Assistant] I got 31-17 Vikings, and I don't expect it to be a wire-to-wire butt-kicking, just more of a gradual inevitable between Justin Jefferson, the NFC's Offensive Player of the Month, Adam Thiel, and Alexander Maddison, who has started two games this year and has been over 100 yards rushing.


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[Assistant] In each one, he's got 280 plus in his two games as a starter, so there isn't a huge drop off from Dalvin Cook to Alexander Madison.


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[Assistant] There may be a big drop off if Madison would get injured, but that's something they need to just hope doesn't happen, but I like the Vikings in this one. They get to 6 and 6, then they get the Steelers, then they get the Bears, they'll be 8 and 6 going into the, I talked about this earlier, the Rams, the Packers, they'll be 8 and 8 going into the final game of the season.


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[Assistant] Did they win? Did they lose? Does it matter? Because they'll get splattered by the two seed in the first round of the playoffs. Alright.


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[Assistant] Here we go. Hashtag purplepurgatory. The Indianapolis Colts. 9 point favorites at Houston. The Colts coming off of that win that they really thought they could pull off the victory, the upset over the Buccaneers, but it wasn't to be. They're 6 and 6. They're very much alive, but they need to start putting it together. Houston.


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[Assistant] They've won a couple of games this year somehow. They again are nine point underdogs at home. Uh, per points bet, ninety percent, ninety five percent, excuse me, the spread money is on Indianapolis. Is your spread money on Indianapolis?


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[Assistant] This is just one of those where if you're the Colts and you're serious about making a run at the playoffs, you've got to make quick work of this team. You've got to prove to everyone that you, you are for real. And if you're for real, you should be able to mop up the floor with the Houston Texans. So I agree with you. Colts win. Jonathan Taylor unleashed.


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[Assistant] Uh, I don't think we'll see another stretch of 20 plus plays without a run play. I think they're gonna let Taylor go off. 24 to 13 is my pick, so the Colts win, the Colts cover, and uh, we'll see if either of us make it one of our best bets. The Giants at the Dolphins. The Dolphins four point favorites.


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[Assistant] Over under his 40.5, that's the lowest of the week. According to points bet, Miami initially was a 2.5 point favorite. It moved to 5 when it was reported that Daniel Jones wouldn't play. It's back to 4 since Daniel Jones participated in practice on a limited basis with that next strain.


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[Assistant] We don't know at this point, as we're doing this, whether or not they're gonna have Jones. Who do you like, regardless of whether it's Jones or Glennon? Do you think the Dolphins extend their winning streak?


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[Assistant] Dolphins covering the spread then by one point based on where it currently is. I got the Dolphins 24-17 and they've won four in a row.


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[Assistant] They're in this extended stretch of being at home. They don't go on the road again until the day after Christmas. They have a bye week coming up next week. These are games they can win. These are games they need to win as they try to fight their way back to 500.


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[Assistant] They started the season with a win, they lost seven in a row, now they've won four in a row, and I think they get to five in a row and they beat the Giants, who are kind of all over the place, but more bad than good right now. Especially if they don't have Jones, or even if they have Jones and he's


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[Assistant] He's limited in any way. Let's say he takes one weird hit because we know he ends up in the fray. He takes one weird hit.


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[Assistant] I can't say that. The Eagles have never ever lost to the Jets. Is that right, Pete?


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[Assistant] They've never, ever, ever lost to the Jets. That is amazing to me. The Eagles have never, ever, ever, ever lost to the Jets. Dating back to 1973 when they met for the first time. 11 and 0. Does that go to 12 and 0, Chris? Again, 7 point favorites over or under 45. Who do you like? I expect them to win.


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[Assistant] I've got 2717 Eagles win. Now wait, you've got them right on the number, 2417. Ooh, so let me go, uhm, let me see, I'll go 2416, okay? I'll take the Eagles to cover. You've got the Eagles covering, I've got the Eagles covering with 2717. Yeah, look, hey, I know Jalen Hurts is a little banged up.


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[Assistant] But this is one, just like with the cults at Houston.


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[Assistant] The Eagles at the Jets, given the time of year that it is, this isn't one where you let your guard down. This is one where you're finding the gas pedal if you're ever gonna find it. This is when the good teams should be beating the bad teams because the good teams should be laser focused on what is in front of them. Now, the Eagles, we're not quite sure whether they're good or bad, but we know they're better than the Jets.


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[Assistant] So the Any Given Sunday stuff, and I've never researched this, this is just kind of a pasta and meatballs gut feel when we get down to crunch time.


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[Assistant] The Jets. Let's take a break. When we return, we shift to late afternoon on Sunday, including the Steelers.


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[Assistant] For the first time ever, underdogs at home against the Ravens when Ben Roethlisberger is playing quarterback. We'll discuss that next on this joint podcast production of PFTPM and Chris Simpson.


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[Assistant] It's PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button presented by Under Armour. We shift to the late afternoon games. A handful of them. And let's start with the one that has the biggest point spread of the week. Even though the Rams have lost three in a row.


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[Assistant] They are hosting the lowly Jaguars. It's a chance for Jalen Ramsey to exact a level of vengeance upon the team.


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[Assistant] They're 0 and 3 slides since they went all in and traded for Vaughn Miller.


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[Assistant] If they blow this one, if they lose this one, they got serious, serious issues. And if it's close, if it's like a 27-24 late field goal thing, I think they also have serious issues, because they don't have a


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[Assistant] Ridiculously easy stretch. This is the last remaining game that they should win easily. It gets back to what I was saying earlier. This is the time of year where the good teams make easy work of the bad teams. And if they can't get focused on this one, they really do have issues on both sides of the ball. So we'll see.


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[Assistant] The team that's currently the best in football and uh, they can't be peeking ahead to that one. They gotta take care of business against the Jaguars. Again, if they should blow this one.


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[Assistant] We really have to wonder about whether or not the Rams have lost their way. Washington has found its way and it will be making its way to Las Vegas for a game against the Raiders. The Raiders getting some extra rest after winning the barn burner against the Cowboys. They are two point favorites at home. 92% of the spread money is on Las Vegas. That's...


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[Assistant] Usually when I see it, I think maybe I'm missing something. I'll say that the spread money is missing something, because you know what? That Vikings 49ers game last weekend, all the spread money was on the Vikings.


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[Assistant] The 49ers covered. So I'm going to ignore that stat and say, I like Washington. I'm going first on this one just cause it kind of happened. I like Washington in this one. I like what Jack Dalrillo knows about Derek Carr. I like that extra little chip on the shoulder he's going to have. I like the throwing the stone at the whiteboard cause it's David versus Goliath every week, even if it's not really Goliath. They've, they've tripped into a good,


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[Assistant] Productive, healthy, week in and week out mode and mindset in Washington. And I don't see it ending this week. I see them upending the Las Vegas Raiders and pulling off the victory, Chris.


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[Assistant] And I'm glad you mentioned Sean Jackson because Washington is one of his former teams, one of his various former teams. So he may have a little something there, but I just...


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[Assistant] Look, I'm buying what Washington is selling right now, and we'll see. We'll see. They may be one of the teams I'm pissed off at next week, frankly, for not delivering. Is that our first disagreement? That's the first one of the week. Geez.


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[Assistant] We're gonna need more if you're gonna close that 10 game gap. By the way, did I mention there's a 10 game gap?


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[Assistant] It's conceded! You've conceded! I've gotten the phone call from the failed candidate, alright? Stop the count! Stop the count!


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[Assistant] Four and a half, let's go. Yeah, that's the problem. As Pete says, it actually was the other way when he tweeted it. It was like, fine, we'll stop the count, it's over, it's done, you've lost. Four and a half point favorites are the Ravens at Pittsburgh, 44 over under. The Steelers struggling


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[Assistant] The Ravens struggled to a victory on Sunday night. Do they get the win in Pittsburgh? Do they cover the four and a half point spread against Ben Roethlisberger in what likely would be the last time Roethlisberger faces the Ravens at home?


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[Assistant] Because I feel like Mike Tomlin, one of the great coaches in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Is, is using the ultimate Jedi mind trick. Instead of being mad, he's just kinda disappointed, he's sad. You've let me down, you've changed. I don't know what's become of the black and gold. Now they don't have TJ Watt this weekend, which is gonna make the deficit potentially insurmountable, but they had a spirited practice on Wednesday, they are trying to figure it out. I'm gonna go...


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[Assistant] Half and half on this. I'm gonna go Ravens to win, but not to cover. Every other time the Ravens have been favored in the past 20 years against the Steelers, they've ultimately won by three points. So...


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[Assistant] I'm gonna pick the Ravens to win by three points. 27-24. Ravens win. Close game.


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[Assistant] Good game, but not good enough for the Steelers who will be one step closer to done from 5-3 and 1 to 5, or no, 5 and 3 to 5.


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[Assistant] Six and one is what their record will be. They have really fallen apart and it's going to be tough for them down the stretch. They do not have an easy way of it. Alright, uh, next game on the docket is the San Francisco 49ers.


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[Assistant] The mirror image of the Raven Steelers, like this is the NFC West version. Yea, you're right. The Seahawks are down, they're falling apart, can they muster the pride and the will and will it matter against a team that's playing as well as the 49ers right now?


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[Assistant] I'm not even getting that vibe, that hubris, that delusion of, hey, we can win every game and go nine and eight. They know, they know it's done. They know where it stands. I think you're right.


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[Assistant] You're absolutely right though. They have DK Metcalf, who's one of the great weapons in all of football. And you look at how the 49ers used Debo Samuel.


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[Assistant] What is the deal here? I mean is this like so ultra old school by Pete Carroll that he refuses to embrace what could revolutionize his offense? Putting DK Metcalf in different spots? I'd love to know the conversation between Shane Waldron and Pete Carroll when Shane says I've got these ideas and Pete says


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[Assistant] That's not how we do things. If that's what's happening. I just love to know where the short circuits are.


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[Assistant] That are leading to this offense that we're seeing because I don't think we expected it and it just leads to I think the inevitable divorce.


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[Assistant] Between the team and Russell Wilson or the team and Pete Carroll, if that's the only way to keep Russell around. Yep. Let's take a break. The prime time games, including a long awaited duel between the Bills and the Patriots for supremacy in the AFC East. We'll do that next here on PFTPM and Chris Simms on Bucks.


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[Assistant] It's PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button, presented by Under Armour. We have reached the point in the program where Chris, while taking shots at me, provides you with some information about Under Armour.


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[Assistant] I know, I know you do. That's fun. I know. We've been doing this for four and a half years. If we were ever going to have any issues, we would have had them by now. By now, you're right.


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[Assistant] And when they played the Packers, Aaron Rodgers didn't play. That's what I meant to say. I know, sorry. Didn't spit it out. But they held them to seven points and they have been playing better defensively. It was historically bad earlier in the year. I can see the Broncos, look, this is their chance. This is their visit to prime time and they're not there because


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[Assistant] of the broncos. They're there because of the chiefs. Yeah. Frankly. Remember that from three years ago when


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[Assistant] Kirk Cousins is trying to get the Vikings fired up against the Bears. Where are they in Promptime because of us? No, no, no, and no. And they're definitely not there because of the Broncos, but this is their chance. And I could see them maybe being a little more aggressive offensively. I got 31-21.


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[Assistant] I just think that it's going to be harder and harder to shut down this Chiefs offense. They've had more time to work on it. I'd like to think they spent the last two weeks self diagnosing.


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[Assistant] In reasonable grasp for the Chiefs. So I got 31-21. Chiefs win Monday Night Football.


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[Assistant] I got 27-23 for all the same reasons that you are expressing. One thing you said a few weeks ago that resonated with me, the Patriots defense this year has the flexibility


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[Assistant] To match up with whatever offense they face. So they can take away what the other team does best.


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[Assistant] They're one dimensional. They don't run the ball well. So take away the pass, dare them to run, they're not going to run, and they're not going to score enough points to overcome that very methodical, mechanical, make a play here, make a play there, otherwise just kind of grind it out, Patriots offense with Mac Jones, basically a video game.


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[Assistant] We would have said in September this one's gonna go very differently. Right. I would have thought in September this is gonna be a slaughter. I think it's gonna be the Patriots. You know, a game that's gonna be close. A game that could go either way. But this is one where Bill Belichick proves why he's Bill Belichick and he wins the game 27-23.


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[Assistant] This may be a case of Chris Simms accidental scholar because the goat would want to leave the shepherd because the shepherd has a bunch of sheep.


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[Assistant] Wrapping up the week 13 MegaPix podcast, PFTPM and Chris Sims on button presented by Under Armour. By the way, Chris wanted me to point out that Deron Payne of the Washington football team is not injured. It is Montez Sweat who is on injured reserve, so they will have Deron Payne. Chris looked that up during the break. Maybe he's thinking about making the Raiders a best bet. I don't know. Now's the time where we do.


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[Assistant] Our best bets for the week. Chris you're up first.


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[Assistant] If this was in Tampa, I'd say yes, but I can't trust the Bucs to be a double-digit winner on the road, so I'm not going that way. I will go with the Bengals. Not the Bengals, but the Bengals. Given three to the Charters, it may as well be Pick'em. If the Bengals win, they're gonna win by more


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[Assistant] Dolphins giving four to the Giants. I think they're better than the Giants. I understand the coaching matchups and whatnot. We don't know whether it's going to be Daniel Jones or Mike Glennon. Dolphins are hot right now. Dolphins give them four to the Giants.


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[Assistant] Alright, Folsom Prison Blues, the one game that we would pick if we were laying, dying, not dead in a gutter because we wouldn't be able to pick it. The Texans are playing. The Texans are playing.


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[Assistant] Where we're sitting, could you, could you, could you reach me? Cause I can't get to you.


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[Assistant] The first individual we're going to get into, I guess it's a team as well with the Buffalo Bills, but Josh Allen. I think he deserves, earned the right to be the lead story here. And to get into Josh, I want to start just this way. In the AFC East, there's a couple of things right now that are coming off the weekend, Chris.


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[Assistant] Just to be celebrated. First of all, Miami didn't lose in November and December. Right. Talk about Tua, talk about the defense going up against quarterbacks aren't great. They didn't lose.


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[Assistant] That's awesome. Just like as a fan, that's a cool thing to have around. The individual version of that from the weekend to me is


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[Assistant] Josh Allen played in probably the biggest regular season game of his career, and he was phenomenal.


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[Assistant] Awesome. Like applause for him. Not as a fan of the Bills, but just as a fan, a guy showing up in a big moment with a giant performance. How much better could it be than Josh Allen in Foxborough over the weekend? We're taking a look at it right now. 30 out of 47.


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[Assistant] 314 passing yards, 3 touchdowns, no picks. He ran for 64. I think he dropped back over 50 times, Chris. Right. Not a sack.


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[Assistant] Nothing for an athlete like the respect of another athlete or a coach, whether it's in your locker room or not, that you think a lot of as well. So that's something he can hang on to forever too. Couple things, uh, to piggyback on that. Number one, it's not like they okey-doke New England with, uh, they kind of tricked him or some kind of a surprise.


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[Assistant] I don't know how much you can, can you expect Josh to be an A plus every game? No, you can't. If he's a B plus or a C plus, do they have enough around him so they advance in January? I don't know. That's a big, that's a real question. I think it's a real


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[Assistant] There are always stats and numbers and figures that come out of a weekend that can kind of skew things and make you think, uh, boy, it didn't look that way, but this number looks good. This looked exactly the way it represents here. Third and seven or more.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen was 6 out of 7, 67 yards for 5 first downs and a touchdown. Against the Bill Belichick defense. Right. That was doing a, they did a number of different things like you pointed out. That ruins everybody on 30 and 7.


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[Assistant] So Cincinnati's last, their defense is last in the NFL. Pardon me, it's not Cincinnati. The L.A. Chargers defense. I was just looking at this. Chargers third down defense is the worst.


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[Assistant] Just over 50%. Okay. So, I mean, that's, I mean, keep that in mind when you think about third and seventh or more. Right. That he did that. So, uh, that's what Josh Allen did, just talking about it. I'd love to see a little bit, some examples here. Let's do it. Let's start with a three yard touchdown to Isaiah McKenzie, first quarter.


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[Assistant] One word that comes to mind, I'm sorry Chris, a word that comes to mind is I'm watching and listening. Patience. Patience is the key to this game. It's patience and poise in the pocket.


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[Assistant] When it's not there, what do you do? Do you take off and run because that's what your instinct is or do you stay and hang and look for somebody and he really did the latter?


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[Assistant] One-on-one, whether it's uh, I mean, one-on-one says it's mad, but I mean, it's a lot about instincts. That was kind of a zone-ish kind of situation where he was supposed to come underneath and his sense just took him over the top after he realized Josh had more time. He found that spot in the back of the end zone. I don't think the play call really sent him there. He probably sent himself there.


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[Assistant] Uh, prime time in this one. I mentioned a couple moments about, about the success Allen had on third and seven or more. Uh, this is early third quarter, third down in 10 and he finds Emmanuel Sanders.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's just insane. So, I mean, some guys just have the license, because if it was a pick, everybody would have been rewinding and say, this is just something you can't do with this much experience, rookie mistake, but you allow a guy with this kind of talent to make a ridiculous throw like that.


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[Assistant] Just a couple plays there. You could have picked so many different plays to demonstrate, number one, how many different ways the Patriots tried to defend him in all the different ways or different answers that Josh had for him. Let's take a peek at the other side. It's kind of like the flip side of this matchup. Josh was the lead.


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[Assistant] But when you go to the Patriots offense against the Bills defense, what'd you see there?


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[Assistant] Get you back up here to watch a player too. Patriots did have some success running the game. Early second quarter touchdown run from Damian Harris. If we could dial that one up, that was a big part of the first half and it showed that New England did, early on anyway in the first half, have limited success.


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[Assistant] As the game got longer, we always hear this thing at halftime, which team will adjust more and come out of the break better than they were in the first half. Let's see the ground game again of the Patriots and how Buffalo kind of came back a little better.


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[Assistant] I want to get to when they had to throw and what Mac Jones did and didn't do.


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[Assistant] That was such a complex explanation, so much nuance there. I know. Is that, that adjustment that they made there in the second half, and it worked very well in that play. Is that a, is that a post snap adjustment or an in huddle call you think?


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[Assistant] As for the Patriots, when they had to throw the ball, they found themselves in that spot. Nobody wants to be down in the second half, but they especially don't want to be down with how their offense works. Uh, revisit a word here we brought up earlier, snapshot. If you can think of a snapshot for how Mac Jones played in this game, what can we see?


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[Assistant] I'm glad you showed that play by A.J. Klein, the smarts and the athleticism, because when we think about a pass defense doing well, we think about, oh, the D-line must have got there. D.B.'s must have had really tight coverage. Linebackers can come in and play a big part in it too.


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[Assistant] Any overriding concerns, you know, stepping back from this one game, looking at the last two for the Patriots, that's, that's two losses in a row to contenders in the AFC. Uhm, not like nitpicking any one thing or one scheme that didn't work in any two games, but the two together. Any concerns that you walk away there for New England offensively or defensively moving forward?


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[Assistant] Both teams playing at home now. Buffalo hosts the Falcons, the Patriots host the Jaguars. Both teams oughta, oughta be fine this weekend. Any kind of flags you want to raise there?


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[Assistant] Pretty deep dive there on the Patriots and the Bills. I want to do something similar here now with Cleveland and Green Bay. It was a fun game to watch that Green Bay won 24-22.


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[Assistant] But also it was one of these games where you look back and look at what happened, look at the drives, look at the stats. There's some really interesting parts of this game. What really jumped out for me, Cleveland rush were 219 yards. Normally a team wins.


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[Assistant] And a lot of times by double digits when they go over 200 yards, they had almost 9 yards per carry in the rushing game. We all know Baker threw 400 receptions, but you look at Cleveland having that much success on the ground yet still losing by a couple of points. What happened?


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[Assistant] Yeaah. I mean, Green Bay seems very comfortable winning these games. I know. 24-22, 27-20, like, the tight one-score game. I mean, Rodgers... Moving on the edge. I mean, Aaron, since week one, has thrown two interceptions. Yeaah. They're able to win these kind of games because their quarterback doesn't turn it over. Right, right.


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[Assistant] Even the MVP can throw to a game, like, once every now and then. Like, if it happens in January.


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[Assistant] Let's get right there. We started there with the Cleveland run game. One note as you get up there, Chris Browns are now 1-2 this season when they rush over 200 yards. Rest of the league is 21-3-1 when they go over 200. But they did have some success we want to see here.


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[Assistant] That's, that was, that was huge. No doubt about it. Other side, Packers offense. Before we watch some plays here, Chris, I want to show this number. Aaron Rodgers in the first half versus the second half. Pretty big difference in the production in the passing game. So first half, MVP-like, 18 out of 23, buck 54, three touchdowns, no picks. Fantastic. Second half,


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[Assistant] Just 6 out of 11, 48 yards, no touchdowns, no picks, but to me what jumps out there, they only throw it 11 times and they only get 48 yards from those 11 attempts. What happened?


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[Assistant] Oh wow, they changed. Cleveland didn't come out in some like new looking defense and more aggressive.


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[Assistant] And tying together the last two games we've talked about, the first of all, Buffalo and New England, and now Cleveland and Green Bay, it's one thing when you ask New England to, okay, let's be a little more aggressive on first down with Mack Jones. Easy to understand why they don't want to be because of his experience level.


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[Assistant] Having Green Bay be not aggressive or be passive with their pass offense doesn't make sense when you have Aaron Rodgers. It's the two opposites. Rodgers compared to Jones, you have the same ask or the same recognition about it. It was just a little conservative. It's exactly what it was.


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[Assistant] Just like, he's another guy. Who cares? Can't get off the line of scrimmage. Stupid. Yeaah, it's gonna run a 5-3. Yeaah. Okay, so, with that segway. Yeaah. Let's take a look at, uh, Aaron Fine and Devontae Adams here. Nine yard touchdown first half.


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[Assistant] And right now, Rodgers knows he hasn't, cause I'm looking at this, he's the first guy in the slot, there's nobody in the middle of the field anyway. So, and he's, the corner's four yards off him, so if he wins.


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[Assistant] I mean, are you kidding me? It's almost like Rodgers before the snap. Could have called a little time out and be like, you guys, I'm going to 17 and you got a rookie on him. You want to put somebody at the goal line to make it hard for either one of us?


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[Assistant] I mean, it's just stupid. Pete just hit me with this one. The Browns have only had Ward cover a slot receiver. He said 10 total snaps Pete. 10 total snaps.


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[Assistant] That's how, that's always hard. That's how like, I mean, we, you and I both see this through the offensive side. Like sometimes you, you can beat a team through formation. You can line up and say,


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[Assistant] You're not going to have your best cover guy cover our best receiver because we're going to put him in a place where you defense doesn't allow your corner to go. So is it hard for him to cover the slot? Is he limited? No, he's phenomenal football player.


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[Assistant] But what if, what if the best team in the NFC puts their best receiver by far on the slot all the time?


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[Assistant] Right. Right. Jalen Ramsey is in the slot. You said it. It's hard. So because it's so hard, you may as well put your best guy there. Right.


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[Assistant] Looking ahead, Minnesota at Green Bay, Sunday night, Cleveland at Pittsburgh on Monday night.


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[Assistant] Okay, we put that one to bed and I'm looking at this and Pete, is this, is this correct? It makes me a little bit sad as I'm reading this here Pete, uh, Chris. Under Armour Reed? Pete says it's our last Under Armour Reed with Paul?


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[Assistant] Good news for the Rams. They're stringing together wins. I think it's always a good sign for a team this time of year when they find a way to win against a quality team when they're not at their best. I think you could say that about the Rams offensively. Yet there's some concern about Matthew Stafford right now. What say you?