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[Assistant] You know, exactly. Hey Chris, you know, like my brother-in-law.


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[Assistant] Yes. I could be in rough shape. The good thing is don't have to be here in the morning on Sunday. Okay. We're gonna be able to get here in the afternoon. Oh, that's good. So, I'll get to, and my kids are at an age where I don't think you're at this yet. They don't run in our room on Christmas morning at 7am anymore. And they're like, come on, we gotta get up, Santa's here.


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[Assistant] They'll wake up at 9.30, right? It goes, Santa's on our schedule. Right, right. We gotta sleep in. We're growing. We're a teenager and on the verge of being a teenager. So I will get to sleep in. You're, you on the other hand.


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[Assistant] He's like, he couldn't have been a nicer human being. He never would have thought he was a ex-macho, 70s, you know, star running back in the NFL. He was more like, you know...


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[Assistant] You know, BS nice too, like legitimately wanted to sit there, look at you in the eye and talk a little bit and how's life. And, and, uh, so the person was amazing. And then the player, you know, for, for a guy like you and me where again, we were born, you know, right outside that Steelers dynasty.


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[Assistant] But again, me growing up in a household that was football, of course.


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[Assistant] My early recollection still of like learning history of football, of course, started with the 70s Steelers. And, you know, hearing my dad talk about those teams and then, you know, going back and watching old NFL films and highlights and things like that.


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[Assistant] I mean, at that time, 1986, 87, when I'm doing that type of stuff, they were the team in the history of the NFL. So you went back and started there, you know, Oh, let me watch, you know, the NFL films highlights of Super Bowl 13. Let me watch 14. Let me watch nine. Let me watch 10, you know, and then let alone, I think probably like the first


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[Assistant] The most majestical play I ever learned of in the lures of football were the Immaculate Reception.


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[Assistant] So some of my early recollection, early years of football, learning the history of the game, was so based around that Steelers team and Franco Harris. And that's where it's really sad to see a legend like this go. The fact that that play happened.


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[Assistant] So it's amazing, and it's got a little controversy around it, right? Yeah. You know, so there's that aspect. Of course it was the start of the great rivalry, and even in that game there.


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[Assistant] That was a game where people thought the Raiders were gonna win that for sure, and everybody was looking for the Raiders Dolphins AFC Championship game showdown. That was gonna be the matchup.


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[Assistant] So they upset the apple card there a little bit. And, and two, I mean, that play and the rest of those legends there, I mean, I think that's the beginning of putting


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[Assistant] I don't mean to be like Pittsburgh sports on the map, Pittsburgh on the map in general. Yeah. I mean that was like such a big moment and kind of the jump off spot for their four Super Bowls and uh, shame to see them go and such a, you know, part of the Pennsylvania DNA as far as going to Penn State and playing at Pittsburgh and all of that. So.


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[Assistant] Yeah, R.O., R.I.P. Franco Harris. Shame to see. Saturday, you talked about they're pining the Raiders. He's going to get his jersey retired Saturday.


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[Assistant] I mean, it's just, he was on the radio with Chris Mad Dog Russo yesterday. I think that's what's shocking about it is nobody felt like this was coming anytime soon. And you just kind of get an uppercut learning about this. What'd you say Pete? That was their first playoff victory. That was their first playoff. That's crazy.


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[Assistant] I was looking at the graphic on our computer and then I went to go look at the screen that we have of a return monitor and I was like, I want to make sure like, what I had in the computer was not the same. I had to double take it. I mean, what? How are the Eagles not the favorite?


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[Assistant] I don't, I couldn't even confidently bet on the Bills to make it out of the AFC right now. I mean, I couldn't do that. Chief's the third choice right now, plus 500. And I think you can make an argument, the one that jumps out to me would be, man, the 49ers and the Bengals, especially the Bengals, you can make an argument that the Bengals are the best team in the AFC top to bottom. I mean, yes, so that's where I'm very shocked by


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[Assistant] They gotta put the bangles next week! What? That ain't gonna be easy! So that's where...


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I don't think it's anything locked up there. The only thing we know that's locked up is in the NFC and that damn team in green down in Philly. And that's the only team that we can call that's great this year. So that's where I'm shocked by it. I'm shocked to see that.


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[Assistant] I mean, I wouldn't even bet money to bet on the bills coming out of the AFC Champions, AFC, like I wouldn't bet, I wouldn't do that. So for them to just put them in the Super Bowl, I'm really am surprised.


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[Assistant] No, it does not. I'm sorry. It does not. There's nothing easy for him. That's where I just, I feel for him a little bit. Now, listen, they're still really good. I get that. And I think the talent is overrated, as you've heard me say. It is. The scheme is good.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm not blown away by it. I'm not sitting here and going, oh my gosh, this is, you know, Kyle Shanahan or Andy Reid or whatever, but the Ken Dorsey offense, it's good. And the best thing they do that makes them dangerous is they stay aggressive. They know who their, you know, chosen one is. So the fact that they continue call plays where it's like, they call plays to


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[Assistant] Get 20 and 25 yard completions. And of course that backs the defense up. And if you're open by an inch, he gets it in there.


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[Assistant] So that is what keeps them dangerous because then also when you open the field up that way, right, he's so dangerous by the fact that they're aggressive and they keep attacking. That's when the scrambles happen. That's when he can hit an underneath throw and then get some yards after the catch.


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[Assistant] Still, I mean, yes, it's too Josh Allen centric, and there's just not enough guys on the football team that can separate. That would be my biggest issue.


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[Assistant] You know, out of the receiver position, and Pete, I was having this conversation with him a little bit earlier, because I was just going, Diggs is really the only guy I look at that can get open. Like, against a good corner, man to man, he's the only guy. And I know people out there are still on this Gabe Davis thing, but then Pete came to me and he's like, you know, actually he's like,


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[Assistant] Separation with Gabe Davis, when you look at, you know, some of the people who keep track of this, he never separates.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so yes, and then you talk about the running of the football. Well, the traditional run game is non-existent there. So, you know, that's where it worries me a little bit for them. And yes, there's, he played phenomenal. I don't know what else to say about it.


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[Assistant] He's, again, him and Mahomes are arguably the greatest one-win shows I've ever seen, let alone just this year. And, uh, yeah, I mean, it's, it's his miraculous ability that, that helped him win this football game.


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[Assistant] You know, that you can look at to go, that's a real stud. He can make some plays in a big moment here.


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[Assistant] You know, you get to other good defenses in the sport, like there's a handful of them with the Eagles.


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[Assistant] You know, quite a few with the 49ers. Bosa, Greenlaw, Fred Warner, they, you know, Hufunga, holy shit. Like, I mean, they got, you know, so those guys, they have guys that can really make plays outside the scheme and all that. This is where the Von Miller injury is a little concerning.


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[Assistant] Because again, it's really good, but the red flag I would throw on that side of the ball there is just like, it's a little too McDermott and Leslie Frazier.


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[Assistant] Dependent on their great scheme and everything there.


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[Assistant] So, that would be, Ed Oliver's a good player, right? I don't look at it and go, oh, he's great, he's in the top defensive tackle conversation. There's no pass rusher to worry about.


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[Assistant] McGregor Rousseau is his, he's got I think seven sacks or something like that. Still doesn't lead the team. Von Miller hasn't played in a month. He's still leading the team in sacks. So I think that says, says something too. And you know, Rousseau, all the sacks came in like the first few games of the year. He's kind of been non-existent as far as pressuring the quarterback that way.


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[Assistant] So I worry about that. Then you get into the secondary. They have no shutdown corner. You saw my notes.


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[Assistant] Trudevius White is, the Dolphins dropped the ball by not attacking him. There's no way he could have covered Tyree Kill or Jalen Bottle. They dropped the ball. When they attacked him, people were open. And if Tua threw the ball accurately, it was a big completion. They did not go after him enough. Trudevius White can't run right now. So, that's an issue. Jordan Poyer,


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[Assistant] Hey, he's smart, he knows what to do. He can't really run. You know, so I just go, who's, who's the guy they're going to be able to depend on to make something happen in a big moment in the AFC playoffs? And that scares me Amid.


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[Assistant] Excuse the green flag. We talk enough positive about them. They can handle a little negative here. We're talking about Super Bowl bills, so we gotta pick them apart a little bit.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I don't, I'm not shocked by that. And again, I think that goes into their smart,


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[Assistant] You know, you don't have to worry about, you know, behind you. They're really well coached that way. You know, so that, that's where I'm not shocked by it. And they are better against the run than I felt like last year or the year before where, yeah, like there, there is,


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[Assistant] You know, some teams they played last year where I go, well this team's just gonna smash it down their face and they're gonna score a touchdown. Like there's nothing they're gonna be able to do.


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[Assistant] Right? Whether it was the Titans in the regular season, the Colts in the regular season last year, they had those issues. They are definitely better and deeper on the D-line. That gives them an, here's the guy I look at to be one of the keys to the success for their year.


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[Assistant] They need Jordan Phillips, back and healthy.


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[Assistant] Jordan Phillips is a under-the-radar game wrecker.


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[Assistant] And he's by far their best run-stopping defensive lineman.


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[Assistant] So, he is, his value, and I hope he, I think he's close to being healthy here, right? He was back on the practice field yesterday. Right, so, they need him down the stretch. You know, cause he can two gap, which can help them out for a little flexibility in the run game, but I think his health is, is paramount. But, bottom line, red flags.


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[Assistant] McDermott, Frazier, too much on them, scheme-wise. And then, I mean, Allen?


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[Assistant] Is there, I mean, is there, is anybody more responsible for the total yards of their football team than football than at Josh Allen? I would have a hard time thinking that's not the case. I know Jalen Hurst is probably up there.


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[Assistant] You know, Josh Allen again, when they're traditional run game, it's, it's negative ghost rider. There's nothing there. And that scares me in the AFC where there's some damn good teams. He had to face a little bit different attack.


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[Assistant] Yes, definitely less aggressive. Not as much like, you know, in your face, we're bringing the house and we're gonna leave a guy with no safety help and you can just, you know, tear us up that way, right? So, and the thing that I think was interesting here, and you know,


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[Assistant] The Finns always opt to be a little aggressive, and they're getting better where they're being tactical about it, where it's not going all in on it all the time, which is, I think, burn them a little bit here and there. But, you know, the other thing they did in the game, and doubled digs a little bit in the first half,


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[Assistant] Put Xavier and Howard on Gabe Davis. And it's like, okay, let's do that in case they come out and, you know, maybe they have some plays designed for digs. So we can just take them out and we feel good about Xavier and Howard and Gabe Davis. So, and then it worked pretty good.


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[Assistant] The second half, I think they got to a point where they went, all right, we're kind of comfortable and we might change up the defenses a little bit here. And they put Xavier and Howard on Stefan Diggs and let him just go man to man.


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[Assistant] And then worried about maybe we'll rush five or we're gonna have a QB spy for Josh Allen so he can't scramble and run and do that. So they played that style a little bit, but it was definitely less aggressive. And I still think there's a point where I still think it's maybe even a hair too aggressive for me because I just think they're, they're good enough upfront to where they don't need to do it as much as they do. How about some of those guys?


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[Assistant] Shut down demons of tackles. And they put them on the field together a lot of the times.


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[Assistant] So they'll have those three on the field with Jaylen Phillips as their one pass rusher and they'll just go, yeah, all right, good luck running. We got four guys, we got three D tackles in the game and a guy that's a defense end who's actually good against the run too. So now we can play coverage or do whatever and we can still kind of stop the run with this group.


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[Assistant] They're, they're phenomenal up front. They really are. And, uh, there's no...


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[Assistant] As we've always talked about with good teams, there's no offense that's going to overmatch them in that department as far as being able to run or protect all day. Uh, those, they're, they're really good.


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[Assistant] No, it, it, it, it does. You know, they definitely were better with it in this football game. I still came away going, ahh, they probably could have been a little bit more patient with it. I understand. You know, again, and it, it's not the easiest adjustment, just because, excuse me, it's just,


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[Assistant] Past game and all that stuff has been so great all year. So, you know, they're, they're kind of slowly making that transition to go, wait, wait, we got to get back to this a little bit so we can help open up some of the other stuff. Cause teams have figured out how to defend some of our RPOs and play actions and all of that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're getting, you know, in this game, that's where it was a little surprising. I mean, yeah, I mean, Buffalo, there's plays where they're in run defenses and it just doesn't matter. And that's where, again, I get into the conversation about some of the red flags with Buffalo a little. And that's where I got into the Jordan, man, they need Jordan Phillips back.


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[Assistant] They're, they're still a dangerous football team. And some of the holes they opened up in this football game were big. And of course he knows how to stress you out too with running the ball.


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[Assistant] And then still having the thread of the speed sweep or some sort of.


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[Assistant] Wait, it could be the RPO or this guy's going a million miles per hour and we gotta kick the linebackers over and they say set hut and now we're kinda just figuring out what gap we're in and the ball's coming down to me in the running game and wait, was I in this gap or that gap? I just moved over cause my rules changed cause of the motion.


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[Assistant] They, they, they had a plan for the RPO game. They were man to man a little bit again in that department.


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[Assistant] Right? And that to me is where I thought they dropped the ball. Like they, they gotta, you're going to be man to man and Shredavious White on those guys. You've got to take some shots. You just got to go, all right, we're going to drop back. And if you want to play this way, I'm going to keep a tight end in the block and we're going to attack you.


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[Assistant] You know, I thought they were a little maybe late to adjust to that. And then they did some of the charger stuff we talked about that I think teams are going to dabble with as well. A little bit more man coverage.


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[Assistant] No, it didn't pay for it, because, you know, teams too, like, Buffalo, they took a few chances and they double waddle, they double hill, and then all of a sudden the motion happens or the formation changes and...


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[Assistant] You know, it can mess people up. And it's like, wait, I was doubling with you and now they're over here and I gotta double with you. And they, they, there was a few plays that were there to be had because they blew up or they messed up their rules as far as according to the formation and the play being run. And yeah, there was, you know, two, three pass plays where I went, ah, like.


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[Assistant] You know, those guys are doubled. If he looked over here and played the concept, he would have, he would have had something big. And you know, again, I think he's adjusting to the new way teams are playing him as well as in two of the quarterback I'm talking about.


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[Assistant] Well, to the, to the emphasis I'm talking about here again a little too is, yeaah, I mean we had a play that I just wrote down in my notes and early fourth quarter


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[Assistant] Third and three. Third and three. And he's got a little concept with three receivers to the left. And then on the right he's got a little go route and a slot out route.


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[Assistant] And he plays the slot out route. And again, this is a tough one. This is tough. And I'm not, I don't want to blame too much with Tua. This is where it's hard to play quarterback in the NFL. You know, Buffalo, they do a great job of disguising.


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[Assistant] Jordan Poyer made it and did a great job of making it look like it was some sort of single safety defense. And if you're watching on YouTube here, you could see now the ball's snapped and look what Jordan Poyer is. They're playing two man down here. So within this play, this concept's not going to be open against this coverage.


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[Assistant] And up top, they're trying to play a man to man, but they haven't passed it off the right way here, as you could see.


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[Assistant] Well, that's where it bothered me a few weeks ago with the Zach Wilson thing. I wanted to go, like, I can go to every game and start to go, well, after we snap the shot, look, this guy's open. Yeah. Right?


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[Assistant] You know, one, hey, he's already looking over here and throwing the ball, right? But yeaah, the way these defenses are, this is a good defensive unit as far as how they're coached, right? I talk about their disguises all the time and the things they do that way.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they fooled him, let alone, like I was saying, this is something I think McDaniel and two are getting used to, like, wait, nobody's done this to us, where it's like,


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[Assistant] They play cover zero on one side, and they're playing two man on the other side. And they'll get more and more used to it. So, Tua, again, I think was an encouraging game for the Dolphins. You went up to Buffalo in freezing cold weather with some snow and some wind, and you move the football.


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[Assistant] That's where he's unbelievable. And that's where Josh Allen, again, I don't know if he can do it the whole way here. I question that.


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[Assistant] He's unbelievable. I mean, he forced them, Ahmed, just real quick to go back to that. I didn't mean to change you, but he forced them to where they didn't want to blitz a ton because they were scared to.


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[Assistant] They wanted to play a little zone, but they realized, oh shit, he's just gonna pick us apart.


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[Assistant] And that's where they got into, all right, we're just, we can cover these guys. We'll play man. We kind of got a feel for the routes they're running today and we'll either rush five or rush forward and have a guy in the middle kind of just reacting as soon as he breaks the pocket. And that's what he did to them. And even on the last drive of the game.


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[Assistant] We gotta, we gotta go 90 yards. You know, we gotta go down the field to score here. We gotta go 90 to score the touchdown before it. I mean, nothing's easy.


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[Assistant] The easiest thing he gets is that we gotta run quarterback power and you gotta weave through it. That's the easiest plays he gets. The completions are like,


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[Assistant] Oh, here's a 20 yard outroute. Can you throw that into the wind and the snow? Oh, here's a one on one 25 yard back shoulder that you gotta throw in the guy's ear hole to make it happen. Oh, okay, no problem. And that to me, I just don't know if that's gonna be able to get it done. That's what scares me. And he has some bad luck.


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[Assistant] That's what I mean. They want to make plays. And even in this game, they, they strip sack fumble on, on Josh Allen. He held the ball too long, being too greedy. There was somebody open. See, I do talk negatively about the guy, you asshole. And he got strip sack fumbled because of it. He's got to be careful about being a little greedy at times.


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[Assistant] Definitely wasn't the offense getting figured out. Okay. Alright, that's where I want to start, I mean.


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[Assistant] Their offense looks as good as I've ever seen it. Alright, that's, I'm glad we're starting there. Cause it's as, I think, as versatile and as dangerous as I've ever seen it. He is playing unbelievable.


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[Assistant] This game was not a highlight show of Mahomes play. This, this was a surgical Mahomes. There wasn't a ton of highlight plays. I mean, he had the Kareem Abdul-Jawar run to the right, hook shot all the way across the field. That was amazing, right?


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[Assistant] The rest of the game was him in the pocket, pinpoint throws, moving the right way in the pocket, making the right decisions, and they...


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[Assistant] Their thing is self-inflicted wounds, to what you're saying.


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[Assistant] Inopportune penalties. I mean, here's McKinnon going down the left sideline and we're going to be in field goal range in the red zone. And Juju.


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[Assistant] 20 yards from the play. I don't know why. He holds the guy, right? Oh, now it comes back. And then they don't even end up being in a field goal position and they get no points, right? So it was like, hey, that was a good drive. They actually moved and did things the right way. Ah, they did that. And then of course, Pacheco fumbling and Juju fumbling. At no point did you really think maybe there was one drive the whole game where you felt like they stopped them. But the big thing is,


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[Assistant] In years past, I worried about Kansas City with a handful of teams every year. I go, oh, if they play this team, this is going to be a tough matchup for them because we know Kansas City can't run the ball and they're just going to throw it. But as you've heard me say, the run game is real. The screen game is real.


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[Assistant] The drop back intermediate short pass game is real. We know the deep ones are good, okay, we know that. And then, they're getting underneath the center and becoming a real offense that way too.


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[Assistant] I used to go, oh, like people in the screening room used to hear me say, like I always say, oh, he's underneath center. Here comes a play action shot. They're going to, and I used to go, it's just like a waste of time because they don't run the ball and everybody knows when it gets under center, they're like, they're going to, they're going to try to make a big play here. They're going to protect them and let them take a shot down the field. So no one ever respected it.


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[Assistant] Now the way they're running the ball and their fact they're getting underneath the center and running the ball, it holds water to where now you're seeing like the Texans were like, we gotta play an eight man front and play man to man. Like, holy shit. And so that's where there's not going to be a defense.


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[Assistant] This year, if they did get to the Super Bowl IFC chat where I go, oh.


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[Assistant] Man, it's going to be tough for them today because they're good at pass defense and they can rush the passer. And that's where I think it's really encouraging for the Chiefs offense.


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[Assistant] That is exactly right too. It's really just come here the last few weeks where it's starting to really become a thing. And I think that's because of Pacheco, and of course I think that's because of the offensive line. And I think also, he probably looks at it, Andy Reid being as smart as he is.


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[Assistant] Probably going, wait, I don't know if we can beat the bangles again if we don't have a little bit more of that or beat them at all. They haven't beat them yet.


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[Assistant] I don't know if we can beat, you know, the 49ers at full strength or the Eagles at full strength if we don't have a little bit more of a balance and some other answers on the offensive side of the ball. So, uh, it's really an amazing, an amazing offense altogether and what they got going right now.


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[Assistant] I think it's the only part of his game that he needs to improve on. Oh, so he does need to improve upon that. I think he does. I think especially in the pocket rhythm deep throws. When he breaks the pocket, if you took that away, I bet you those numbers are good.


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[Assistant] Because now he's outside and he's manipulated coverages or somebody's gotten behind the defense because they think he's gonna scramble and run and that's fine.


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[Assistant] But I'm talking about, hey, play action, I gotta hit this post corner. Or, you know, play action, here's a post down the middle and I took a five step drop and now I'm supposed to throw it on the second hitch and boom, I put it on the money. He's a little, tries to be a little too perfect with it sometimes.


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[Assistant] One of the worst plays he had of the game, he had Valdez scantling early on, I think it was first quarter, or maybe it was early second, on like a post corner.


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[Assistant] And he just tries to throw it so perfectly that it fell short and he couldn't get it. And I would just want to go either.


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[Assistant] Just rip it right through his chest and like aim for his chest and just drive the ball through there or throw it high and far and out there and let him go run and get it. It's the only negative that he really has about his game at all. Uhm, but yeah, I think there's, you know,


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[Assistant] They left some meat on the bone. And he threw another great throw off a play action to, uhm, 83, which I think is, uh, I always get 83 and 84 mixed up. 84 Watson off a play action. They're backed up.


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[Assistant] And he, and he dropped it. It should have been a big, big completion, but it's a real spot of their, a real part of their offense now.


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[Assistant] I wonder where the, well, I think they're doing it more differently, right? And I, I, I think about when they're doing it in the game, right? And the amount of attempts they, I bet you the attempts are up this year as well. Right. You know?


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[Assistant] You know, like last year, yeah, I'm sure the yards per attempt were pretty good because they just threw the ball 30 times in a row. So now the defense is like, oh.


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[Assistant] And then, within that, throwing the ball shorter to what you're talking about.


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[Assistant] You know, so I think that again speaks to him reading things the right way and then him in pinpoint accuracy where guys can run after the catch.


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[Assistant] That's the big thing. And that's where, you know, they're, they're dangerous. Alright, so. So, there's a red flag. What are the red flags? This is Christmas, we got green and red. Yeah, it's defense. The defense is the red flag. You know, I, I defer, the offense doesn't have a weakness right now. You know, the defense, the concern is youth.


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[Assistant] Chris Jones seems to be the only guy that can make big plays in big moments, right? And, you know, as we've seen here with some good offenses, like the Bengals and the Chargers did whatever they wanted against them. And that scares me. Let alone,


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[Assistant] You know, I know Mahomes did some dumb things against the Denver Broncos, but then they moved the ball and capitalized on them.


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[Assistant] So that's where I worry about them. They're young in the secondary.


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[Assistant] So I think that, that like kinda handcuffs Spagnuolo a little bit to be a little more simpler than years past. And as we, you heard me say a few weeks ago when they played the Bangos, right? It's like either all out Blitz or it's fake the Blitzen and we drop into Tampa too.


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[Assistant] Right? And I think that's an easy formula for young guys. Oh, I'm playing man to man or I'm faking it. I'm playing this one zone coverage that we do a lot. And that is, I think, the big thing that, uhm,


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[Assistant] That scares me. And then you add on top of that is they're not good in the red zone.


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[Assistant] So, those double whammies, that's a little scary. I mean, not only in the AFC.


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[Assistant] So that says something right there. It kind of tells you that teams can kind of do whatever they want down there. You know, that they don't have a great pass rush to get there and pressure the quarterback a whole lot. They're not necessarily great at running the football down there.


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[Assistant] It tells you that, you know, they're not great at man to man with back shoulders and things like that that you see in the red zone. So there's, there's some issues there and that's what scares me about the Chiefs. And, and here's another red flag.


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[Assistant] It is, uh, he was like, was a for sure thing, I feel like, the last three years before this.


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[Assistant] And, uh, I gotta think the injury has affected it a little bit or took him out of his mojo for sure. Uhm, but yeaah, that's scary. They were a team...


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[Assistant] You know, I'm not going to say they were in Ravensville, but they were a team where a little bit where you're like, oh, once they get around the 35, that's three points. They're going to get it. There's no doubt about it. And you can't say that right now. It's been a weird year for some kickers though. Cause even the Bengals


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[Assistant] No, no, no. Our pets' heads are falling off. Dumb and dumber. When they come into their house and they're trying to find the briefcase, cause he's an idiot and stole the briefcase with cash, and you know, the bad guys come in and they...


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[Assistant] The last five, four, five weeks, I bet you they're, if we just took that, their rankings I think would be higher. They're starting to be able to run the football, uh, to where it's enough, enough to make everything work and make the play action pass legit and all that. So that's the, that's, that's, you know, it is a positive for them. I know it's not, again, they're not a team that needs to be,


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[Assistant] Like Kansas City, we never thought they had to be the best rushing team in the football, but as long as there's a semblance of that, that means the rest of their offense is going to have some favorable matchups. And I do feel like they've gotten better, not last week, specifically against the Bucs though.


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[Assistant] You know, Locket and Metcalf would be one that'd be up there at least. I'm just throwing ones that could maybe even be in that conversation, but your point's real. You know, it's a damn good duo, that's for sure. Alright, so what's the red flag about this Bengals team? Well, okay, you know,


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[Assistant] Alright, there's two things that kind of hit me. One offensively maybe? What's that? Yea, they're kind of a little bit both play into the offense. One, you know, again, pass pressure, sacks, right?


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[Assistant] And it's been better. It's been, like the run game, the last five, six, seven weeks, it's been better. But it's still rare that your team has been sacked way more than your team gets sacked. Right? So that's one issue I look at. But more specifically, and anybody that's been listening to the podcast, you know what my concern is with them.


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[Assistant] It's still the creativity, the complexity of the offense. And that I know it's gonna look good against the middle class and the lower tier. But it's, we're holding it to a Super Bowl standard here.


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[Assistant] And I, listen, again, I think you can make a case the Bengals could, might be the best team in the AFC top to bottom. You know, but this does concern me and it's, just think about last week. He threw four touchdowns last week. Their offense didn't do shit in that game.


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[Assistant] They, they, they were fortunate their defense bailed them out and made Brady and that offense uncomfortable. That, that's the biggest thing. And, you know, there's just too many stale moments, you know, that, yeaah, I'm a little concerned about. I mean, first off, we can go into last year, right? I mean, we can go, Tennessee was not an offensive explosion.


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[Assistant] That game. Yea, they won the upset and they made a few big plays, but Ryan Tannehill gave them some gifts as well.


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[Assistant] I mean, the first half of the Chiefs game, they were almost shut out. Right? They were down 21-3. You know? The Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] I gotta remind everybody, the Super Bowl was one play in the second half. They made one play, that was it. They didn't do anything else the rest of the second half. And that could have been offensive pass interference. And that was maybe the most egregious offensive pass interference we saw the whole season. Exactly right, thank you.


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[Assistant] So that was their play. Throw it deep on a go route, right? Right? Go routes. So that is what is concerning. And then, you know, again, you said it last week, right? Against the Bucs, it's the same kind of thing. Oh, pretty good D line. Oh, they were a little healthier in the secondary. It's a good


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[Assistant] Now where I will say, and leave this graphic up there Pete if you can,


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[Assistant] You know, again, those teams are bad, but the Broncos, Bengals and Rams defenses are not bad, right? They're good defenses.


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[Assistant] And the one reason I'll just say to where still the number one red flag is the offensive creativity in that. And where I think this one is, it's a little weird and concerning, especially when you're in the AFC and you're going to have to probably play Josh Allen in my homes again, right?


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[Assistant] Their defense, like the Rams and the Broncos, is very creative. So...


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[Assistant] One, they do a good job of getting pressure on you at times. And two, they do a good job of...


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[Assistant] Like I, we've talked about in the Kansas City Chiefs game, every play was a different coverage. It was rush three, it was rush four, it was rush five, it was rush three, it was rush three, it was rush four. And it was like, oh, it's cover four, it's cover eight, it's cover six, it's Tampa two, it's cover three with a spy. It's, I mean, so.


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[Assistant] That's where they can get away with not having a top tier pass rush.


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[Assistant] I know, you're right, you're right. That might be a new statistical category right there. So if they win that game, they clinch a playoff burst. It's gonna be on that Patriots defense. And again, this is where that game would scare me just a little.


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[Assistant] Is that building that we're going to be able to, they're going to go, oh wait, we got their offense down. We know when this guy goes that way, the other guy goes this way. Like that's, that's what scares me a little, but I would have a hard time thinking the Patriots offense is going to move the ball consistently on that Bengals day. Bengals are one game up.


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[Assistant] No, so he didn't practice yesterday, so we just still don't know. I mean, I haven't heard anything that sounds like he's coming back yet this week, but we'll see. Maybe today will be probably a better, you know, we'll get the official injury report today, right? So hopefully we'll have a little gauge.


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[Assistant] They know what they are. They know what they are. They play the game that week just to win that game. They don't care if like, you know, ooh, this is gonna look pretty and sexy to the media and everyone's gonna be happy because it was fun to watch. They just do what they gotta do to win.


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[Assistant] The defense has been better. I mean, early on in the year, remember, I mean, we were talking about, oh my gosh, like what, they're getting gashed and big plays and all that. They've, they've definitely hunkered down. So that's, that's all positive. They're great against a run.


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[Assistant] I like the scheme overall. I think the big thing for me with them, you know, and there's a little double edge here a little bit is just that


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[Assistant] I, you know, Marquis D. Lyman would be the thing I would worry about once again, where I don't know if they're going to be able to get pressure on Burrow, Mahomes, or Allen with just the front four. And now you're going to have the Blitz.


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[Assistant] I don't know if there's a marquee man to man guy. Marcus Peter certainly looks better. Marlon Humphrey is the only guy that I think is marquee there, but you're gonna have to match up with more guys than that if you're blitzing. So that's where I guess I get a little scared for them overall. I like their scheme. They do a lot of different stuff.


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[Assistant] You know, I think we've seen some quarterbacks have their way with them if they have a plan on how to pick up a few blitzes and not be overwhelmed by that.


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[Assistant] That, okay, our old line's kinda good, and when you just have to rush four, then we can pick you apart. And, you know, I think their offenses kind of have, I mean, their schedule and their losses.


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[Assistant] Have a little of that in common, you know, to a degree. And that's kind of what Jacksonville did to them. Cleveland last week was a little different. Buffalo did that to them a little bit. So we'll see. But I think that's the thing I worry about more than anything. And of course the question seems like every year with them.


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[Assistant] They gotta, they gotta, they need something.


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[Assistant] We know, Lamar back, to me, everything is always about the run game with them, as we've said. You know, Greg Roman, he gets a lot of crap.


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[Assistant] He's an awesome run game designer, and when the run game's chopped out from him through injuries and all that, yeaah, one, he's not the best when it's just like, oh yeaah, we gotta throw at every play, but two, their team and talent is not the best to do that either.


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[Assistant] Okay, so that's scary, right? That's scary. That's where I keep pounding. I know I've done this for our last few podcasts, but when they're a healthy old line and those two running backs are healthy, it really makes their team different.


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[Assistant] And then if you can get Lamar healthy, that's where, you know, statistics for them are not going to look that pretty and look like a Super Bowl contending type of thing. But to what you said, playoff football, that style of football, you know.


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[Assistant] They do have a few guys that can make some plays in some big moments, whether it's Lamar or the running backs, you know, or even a Marlon Humphrey or the two safeties, at least to go, oh, they could do some special things, you know, individually.


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[Assistant] I think those are real concerns. You know, the run game does have to work for that pass game to go, especially with what they got right now at receiver and Lamar's got to be healthy. And then the pass rush and the balance of risk reward blitz and Allen in my homes, a burrow and all that. That's something they're going to have to get exactly right in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Yeah, we'll see. We'll see. He did beat the Titans that one year, right, in the wild-car game and made some pretty miraculous plays, but you're not to the point of we're expecting MVP Lamar Jackson, the Super Bowl caliber quarterback. You know, yeah, it hasn't laid out that way quite yet.


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[Assistant] That's the question. It is, what are they? That's where you have to, like, you know, cause there was so much made about, oh, the run defense, right? Cause there was the, the Houston game and then that Washington game that they lost. And you go back and you look at, oh, Houston did some good things and Houston, we know can run the ball a little bit.


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[Assistant] And then we made a big deal about the Washington game and just, you know, kind of going through this exercise and going back and looking at things too and going, man, I mean, we made a big deal about Bryan Robinson's 26 rushes for 86 yards. We're like, Oh my gosh, somebody's actually getting three yards per carry on the that. I mean, that's how good they are. I think that's what it kind of speaks to.


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[Assistant] I don't, my only question about them on the defensive side of the ball


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[Assistant] Was for a little bit of, and you heard this at the end of last year, where they've been a little simple on the back end. They don't, they're creative now. So I think that's led to them being a more dominant on that side of the ball. So defensively, nothing.


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[Assistant] Offensively, there's really nothing about the physical part of the team or anything that's a weakness either. I have one thing that I'll bring back.


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[Assistant] You know, hey, we know the drop back pass of a team can, so like, I, you know, I, do I question that a little bit still? Maybe a little, but not that much. I've seen enough good decisions and good throws to go. I think if a team really stops their run, they're still going to be tough to beat with Jalen Hurts throwing the ball. So that's not the thing. Here's my thing more than anything. Don't ignore the running back.


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[Assistant] That to me is where they fall into the trap a little bit every now and then.


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[Assistant] He's throwing RPO here to AJ Brown, and oh, go route to Devontae and AJ Brown, and oh, quarterback design run, and you know, read option off the edge, and blah blah blah. Well yeaah, I know, okay.


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[Assistant] They can sometimes get a little too enamored with the rest of their toys, which I understand. It's a little bit like we talked about with Miami. Wait, Tyreek and Waddle been open all game. Why would we just hand the ball up the middle? That's boring. And that'd be the only thing I would look at to go, don't forget that. Nick Sirianni last year at the Combine, we had a conversation


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[Assistant] On air, so I'm not sharing anything off air or anything like that. Where he said the bright light for them last year went on in the Tampa regular season game where they were like, wait, we gotta start.


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[Assistant] Living through the run a little bit more. They were trying to still play pass game and do all that.


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[Assistant] And the next week they went and played the Raiders and that was the moment where the light bulb went on to go, wait, we gotta be a run first football team. And then we can use Jalen Hurts and all the things he does off of that and really be dangerous. And I think that's the one thing that I look at with them.


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[Assistant] We're a little bit, well, like, I even think, like, the Washington game. The running backs got the ball twice in the first half.


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[Assistant] That's a problem. And yea, we're losing at the end of the first half. You know, there's just moments there where I go, you know, Hey, that old line, nobody's been able to stand up to them yet.


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[Assistant] Dallas game, game got close, right? We got 23-17. What did they do? It might have even been 20-17. I think it was 23-17 at that point. What'd they do? They went, we're going to run the ball every play, to hell with them. And they just went down the field, put the game away. And to me, that's where they just can't lose that aspect.


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[Assistant] Yeah, there's a chance he's, I don't think he's holding himself out yet this week. Is that true? I mean, I think he's, they were claiming yesterday that there's still a chance.


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[Assistant] Oh, gotcha. That's news. I was, when I was reading that, I was like, wait, so why would I vote for him if he choked away the last three games? But that's, that's what we're saying there. You're right. Alright, so, uhm.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't- Your argument wasn't that they're better with Gardner- No, exactly right. It won't be that much of a drop off. Exactly. They'd still be in the conversation of one of the better teams in football. That's all I'm saying. That's all I was trying to say. I get that. And again, it's not like-


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[Assistant] People take this shit and they just go crazy with it.


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[Assistant] And I'm gonna go, it's not a crazy thing. Like you lost the quarterback and you guys weren't that much worse.


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[Assistant] When the guy took over and you went and won the Super Bowl. Just four years ago. We've seen it before. We've seen it before. There's a lot. I mean.


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[Assistant] Those are people who don't listen. Because I know the people that listen, I look at the comments and they're always like, one of the things they're always positive about is our podcast, is we're not like everybody else on TV and we admit we're wrong. We see it all the time.


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[Assistant] You know, I think you've got the gist of that from reading my notes, right? I mean, he played really well. Do I still think that's his top end, 100% potential? No.


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[Assistant] No, I still think he can be better. Just throwing the ball. And even like we talked about when we did our social videos and some of that last week. You know, some of the balls he threw this week, still on the money in the right spot. But you know me, I'm looking at it and really dissecting it and going, ooh, that is still kind of a wobbler that's not spinning.


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[Assistant] So I can still tell the ball wasn't coming out of his hand the right way, but he played phenomenal. There's no way you can blame Dak Prescott for them losing this game.


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[Assistant] Let him know, Ahmed. I know. He is right.


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[Assistant] No, but he is right, and RiderLife88, I love it. That's right, bring it to me. I should have explained this better. I knew! Pete, we were in the room Sunday night doing the highlight package, remember? And I was going, look, the guy's right arm is on him. I didn't do a good job of...


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[Assistant] Elaborating on that a little bit. And my other point was just like, you don't, you're up, you're up by 10. You don't need to be that aggressive. Don't even take the chance. That's what I was really trying to say. And even within the offense itself, they got to save himself from himself a little bit there. That's, that's where I was trying to make. Totally not his fault. A hundred percent.


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[Assistant] I, I think where I misled it is just, I was the overall, hey people, just be ultra conservative in that point. That was my only issue there. Neither interception was his fault. Uh, RiderLife88, neither one.


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[Assistant] The second one, he threw the ball perfectly to lose the game. Threw it just where he wanted. It was short yardage. He put the ball to protect the guy. He went down and get it. He can't knock the ball in the air. He just got unlucky. Uhm, but he was, he was really good. I got no issue with that at all.


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[Assistant] I think it's better. I think their traditional run game is better. Like they are at the point where they can just line it up and say screw you, you're expecting the run, we can run it, right? And then I think


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[Assistant] You know, I actually think Helen Moore and company and the offensive scheme and the creativity has gone up a notch from what I saw last year too. Remember my complaint last year was if they can't run the ball.


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[Assistant] Their pass game is not creative enough to stand alone. They need the play action and some of that to help their offense out. I don't feel like that as much this year. I look at them in games where they are struggling to run and go, ooh, no, the pass game still got some good answers and he's getting some cool formations and motions to help everything out. So I really like that.


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[Assistant] Well, I'm trying to remember here, like is he talking about in the overtime or the end of regulation? I guess that's what he's maybe talking about is the end of regulation?


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[Assistant] Uh, and, and, and that's where I'm not quite sure where he's going with this. And I wanna, I'm, I'm literally looking right here, cause I saw the question. Uhm, and I-


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[Assistant] Well, I got it all ready to go and I know where I save it and I got my process. So, but like, I think he's talking about the end of the game situation, right? Where they're up 34, 31 and he wants to know, you know, why they didn't run it. Alright, so here we go. First run, they pulled the backside guard and the backside tackle and they're trying to run up the middle, but it's a six man front and they're playing to sell out on the run.


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[Assistant] The guy on the defense end, he just follows the running back from the back side and he goes, and they have a right guy for the read option, the backer filling over the top for Dak, Prescott, so they were a little outnumbered in the scheme itself and the DN did a great job.


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[Assistant] Alright, I again would be always wanting to go, I'd like to see you run the ball, get underneath the center and do it that way, right? That's the first thing I would say. Now, second down, because everybody's so jammed into the line of scrimmage, they run the old


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[Assistant] Right? I'm doing this in real time as I'm sitting here watching this and then third down they threw the ball and he took a shot deep down the left sideline and you know, he tried to give CD Lamb a chance. So I have no problem with that with the question there. I don't. I think there was merit to it. My only thing I would say is just get underneath the center on that first down run and do it that way.


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[Assistant] So I think that's, that's the, the, the correlation I would make there, uh, Ahmed, you're right. And then the run game's the biggest key there, cause then it even gets to play action passes going even in the red zone, even when there's not a ton of room that the, the defenders have to worry about behind them. So I guess the red flag conversation, uh,


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[Assistant] Yes, there is. There definitely is. And they're still a great unit. I mean, I don't want to say great. They're really good. They are. I do think teams have, you know, one, have a little feel for how they play, you know.


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[Assistant] They realize early on, hey, let's be conservative. They just try to create chaos. Let's not, let's not turn the ball over early and get them going. And then all of a sudden, you know, it's just like a free fall of Dallas making plays a little, but I think like there's two things that jump out to me more than, than anything. It's just that, you know, the D line being small is still an issue. There's definitely an issue.


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[Assistant] I mean, they do not, they didn't have enough big people last week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jaguars have a bigger offensive line. They got pushed around. You know, we've had the conversation. Other than Bohanna, Bohanna, Bohanna,


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[Assistant] They really don't have another 300 pounder on their team. He's 340 and he's young and I don't think he's a great run stopper at this point.


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[Assistant] That is an issue and I think that coupled along with they're an aggressive divas that likes to put people at the line of scrimmage and they like to dabble and play some man to man and get in your face. And they got two...


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[Assistant] You know, rookie corners that they have to rely on right now too. I think those are the two things that scare me a little bit.


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[Assistant] It's the, it's, again, we're holding to a Superzola standard. It's the elite offenses. It's the offenses that I worry that have a little bit of a balance that can beat you both ways. That does seem to give them issues.


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[Assistant] And, and especially in that rum game department, like we're talking about. Yea, as the game goes on, you think teams that have the size advantage have a little bit of an advantage. They can wear them out. They definitely can. You can see that happening to Dallas a little bit, where yea, again, they've gotten used to their speed, the game is fourth quarter, the guys aren't as fast because they're tired and played 65, 70 snaps, and


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[Assistant] That is where I would worry about them against the Philadelphia or the 49ers a little bit in the NFC playoffs because their size of those offensive lines and their, their ability to run the ball could, could wear them out a little.


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[Assistant] He doesn't pop enough for me. For a guy that's being paid that kind of money. It just, it's been a good player for a while, but...


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[Assistant] You know, for what they're paying him, and what I've seen him capable of doing in years past, yeaah, he's not doing that. There's, there's been a lot of games this year where I go, damn, I forgot DeMarcus Lawrence was even playing. And that's, that's not a good thing. But, on the other side of it, a couple rookies, Daron Bland, Nickleback.


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[Assistant] Made a mistake or two, but the talent's real. Rookie from Fresno State, it's real. Fifth rounder. You know, but just, it's a, you know, it's a lot of pressure on them, like I was saying, cause they get in your face and want to play bump a lot.


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[Assistant] He doesn't play as much. Doesn't play as much, but when he gets in there, I always go, wait.


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[Assistant] You know, and that's where I was like, even with Demarcus Lawrence, it just, there's not enough of those plays. I don't care. You know me. I don't care about the sacks and the tackles. I want to see disruption. That's the number one thing for a defensive lineman. And that's where I feel like they're lacking. The Damone Clark, the rookie at the LSU, the linebacker, right? He looked kind of, he looks good. I think he didn't have to rely on him a little bit at Vander Esch's hurt.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but yeaah, that's, that's the concern with Dallas a little.


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[Assistant] His lack of size, having to rely on creativity and chaos to get it done, and then having to play aggressive in the back end because of that.


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[Assistant] And now you got rookie corners where, yeah, teams are gonna test them. Oh, when we run a pick play, they're gonna know how to pass this off or go over the top or go underneath or what. You know what I mean? Those are the things they're gonna have to deal with and they got a big completion late in the game on him.


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[Assistant] With a little bit of a pick play up the left sideline cause he wasn't sure to go over or under and he went under and then that was it, you know, and then the guys got the advantage and he was up the sideline, Christian Kirk actually.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well one, I think the big thing is, is just like, here there's two things to talk about.


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[Assistant] One, I think it just shows you how Jacksonville can be explosive. And when he's playing like this, I mean, his arm is, you know, electric, he's got a laser, he's athletic, and, you know, he's getting more confident, everything there, to where they're starting to be like, they can strike. Like, and so you gotta always be scared of that.


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[Assistant] And here with this instance here, a guy who I really like in Calvin Joseph, and I think he's got talent, a second year guy at Kentucky, it's 27 to 10.


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[Assistant] Let them throw the 10 yard out route. Who gives a shit? The number one thing about this moment right here is time on the clock. Not the 10 yard completion.


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[Assistant] That's where I feel like coaches gotta say that to their players every now and then. The guards don't matter, guys. We want the clock to keep ticking. That's the most important thing.


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[Assistant] And this was the jump off spot for the comeback. You know, again, this is why I think we're seeing more comebacks than ever before. And 17 point leads are a race like this, cause like,


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[Assistant] There's no, sometimes it's just, we're gonna be aggressive on defense. It's like it's gotten into the analytics of offense where it's aggressive, aggressive. It's the defense is the same thing now too. Let's just be aggressive. No one's gonna get mad at us if we blitz and give a, we were trying to be aggressive and then no one answers a question.


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[Assistant] And I, or ask, ask a follow-up question and go, well, yeah, but that's stupid. He's got a big right arm and that guy's one-on-one on an island with him. So why aggressive? But yeah, to this point, defense is risky a little bit, but more on Calvin Joseph and just play deep and let him throw the ball underneath. Gets beat in the double move and then Lawrence throws a laser on the run touchdown.


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[Assistant] I mean, first off, look at where he's being tackled on the top of the screen, Ahmed, because this is probably the first time you're seeing this too, right? Inside the numbers. He's like three yards inside the numbers, right? He caught the ball three yards inside the numbers and then dragged Jayron Curse


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[Assistant] That was like a huge moment in the football game. The guy, again, here's the perfect example of sometimes a change of scenery and the fan base having a perception and it just taking over because he dropped some balls in some big moments, which he did. I get that.


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[Assistant] And it just, nothing, there could never seem to be a positive spin for the poor guy. He's gone here.


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[Assistant] You know, and he's found a second life and he's, he's one of the more talented pass catching


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[Assistant] No, I think it's, uh, Doug and them, they are, they're not afraid to be aggressive and take some chances and some shots. Uhm, and, you know.


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[Assistant] I can't sit here and tell you Dan Quinn is a Seattle Scheme guy as much anymore. There's still some of it.


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[Assistant] Playing aggressive man to man all the time because they're maybe worried about that run defense and all that.


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[Assistant] That, that, that's their problem. Uhm, but they're still a really damn good defense and they're still dangerous as hell too. They still can make plays and they caused some turnovers in this one. You know, they just, they lit up too many plays and got unfortunate and turned the ball over twice, you know, that, that hurt them.


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[Assistant] Agreed. Agreed. You know, he's still dangerous. Their problem as far as Dalvin Cook conversation to what you're bringing up is just can they open them up holes for them in the running game? They're not a very good running football team. You know, they're more of a...


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[Assistant] You know, there are runs, and I think we've hit on this a little bit, is that


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[Assistant] Their runs are more of, wait, they've been getting gashed by Justin Jefferson and gashed by Justin. And so now you're so worried about the pass that they change it up and run the ball and they kill you that way. But like, yeah, they're 28th in football rushing the ball. That, that I think, you know, kind of says it all. They're 26th in yard for rush.


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[Assistant] So there's, they're not that way. And the other thing that would scare me too is a little bit of like what you're talking about.


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[Assistant] Is there just a little too Justin Jefferson centric? That would scare me. You know, again, I don't think you're gonna get away with that against the good defenses in football. And we've kind of already seen that.


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[Assistant] What happened? The Cowboys game, the Eagles game, they took Jefferson out of the game a little bit and it was like, so what's your other answer? And that scares me a little bit about their football team. Again, I give them a lot of respect, but I'm still sitting here and I'm amazed that they're 11-3. I really am. I'm amazed by it.


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[Assistant] I can't recall a team having this good of a record where I've gone, man I'm just not


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[Assistant] And all of them, and I'm a little bit underwhelmed at times, but you know, credit to them.


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[Assistant] They can do, they can do some, they're dangerous. Right. I think you're right. I mean, to a degree, you're right. Even if they were, you know, not, even if they were nine and five, I'd still go, you know, hey yeah, there's some problems with their team, but


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[Assistant] Man, they can be scary in the playoffs, cause like Ahmed was just saying, one screen pass to Dalvin Cook, or two or three plays to Justin Jefferson, and it's like, oh crap, we're losing by two touchdowns. I hear you. Uhm, but yeaah, I don't look at them as the elite team on that side of the ball, and then especially when you get into the defense too.


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[Assistant] You know, the defense, that would be probably the biggest red flag.


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[Assistant] And they benched him for Nick Foles just to give everybody some current news that's going on right now. So that kind of tells you too, yeah, when you're playing Matt Ryan, you don't have to play 20 yards coverage downfield and you just know the ball's going anywhere between 12 yards and under and that's hard to


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[Assistant] Red flag? Of course. It's the 32nd ranked Divas in football. Have we ever said that about 11-3 football team? Right?


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[Assistant] It's insane, you know? So, I don't see great talent. The two pass rushers are okay, you know, but I'm still not like, oh wow, Zedarius and Daniil Hunter, watch out. The secondary?


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[Assistant] Is nothing special. And then I think when you add on top of that, they're too conservative on defense. It's just too easy. Like we've said, it's just...


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[Assistant] The disguises aren't great, you know, the coverages are too bland and it's like teams literally play them and go, wait, they're playing pass coverage but we don't even care because they're not good at it and we're going to keep passing it.


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[Assistant] That's what's crazy. You watch games and you go, they're literally begging teams to run the ball and teams are like, nah, we'll throw it. You still won't stop it. It doesn't matter. And it's not like they're like special and run the events either. So, uh, that is the red flag and they are an enigma of the 2022 season.


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[Assistant] I'm with you. It's funny you're saying that. We didn't even talk about this before, but I hear you.


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[Assistant] So all that sets up to like, ooh, this could be a week and this offense goes off a little bit.


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[Assistant] Right? And I don't know, you know, will the Giants have a game plan? And then we, you know, like you're saying, Vikings defense is not good. This is where they're running the ball, you know, Daniel Jones design run, keeping it off the edge, bootleg for five yards into the flat of the crosser. Like it might work against this defense consistently.


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[Assistant] You know, so I, I hear you. It's an interesting matchup. It really is. The only way I could be wrong.


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[Assistant] Super dangerous, super ready for a playoff football team that way. Like, there's no like...


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[Assistant] You know, a little bit like the Eagles, I sit here with the 49ers and go, there's no like glaring weakness, right? It's, it's not like, oh, I look at this and go, man, this is a real concern.


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[Assistant] You explained it right, and really what I want to say is the running game is only getting better. That's what's scary is we're seeing them like, hey, we're not even going to be fancy shanahan-y here. We're just going to run it up the middle and gash you. So that's where they are scary to your point.


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[Assistant] I think there's two things that pop to me. Alright, first off, offensively.


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[Assistant] And this is again, we just kinda had this conversation a few minutes ago. Red zone percentage. Red zone touchdowns, goal to go percentages, right?


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[Assistant] Again, if field's condensed, you can cheat the safety into it. He's playing past events, but he can be downhill and stop the run game in a hurry, right?


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[Assistant] Alright, their drop back pass game is not one that just necessarily lights the world on fire, nor do they have the quarterback who throws laser back shoulders, even when, you know, like we were talking about with Dak Prescott or Josh Allen, who they're covered, it doesn't matter.


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[Assistant] Oh, it didn't matter, it was a great throw. They don't have that, not saying Brock Purdy can't be that, but that's something that's not part of them.


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[Assistant] So that's one thing that I would say. You know, again, you're gonna be playing...


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[Assistant] Good defenses late in the playoffs, super bowl, they're going to be good in goal to go percentage and red zone defense usually. Right. Right. So that's, that's something. And then one other thing I'll say on defense is just that they need somebody else to emerge in the pass rush department.


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[Assistant] It's, it's, it's too Nick Bosa centric. Somebody else on the D line, you know, Armstead, I don't think is a hundred percent yet. He's playing, but not a hundred percent. They need some other guys to start winning.


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[Assistant] One-on-one matchups. You know, they're creative and they help other guys out with, you know, a linebacker standing between the defense attack on the defense end and it messes up.


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[Assistant] Again, if they're playing, they can't do all this stuff if they're going to be playing Jalen Hurts and the Eagles in the NFC Championship game, or the Cowboys, or Josh Allen and Mahomes in the Super Bowl. They need Ken Lotto to get back, they need Armstead to start playing to his capabilities, you know, Ekubon's good on the edge, and they got other guys that are good


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[Assistant] The boss is the guy that usually makes the play, but when he's playing Orlando Brown and the Chiefs in the Super Bowl, that might not happen. That's an awesome left tackle, right? That's what I'm trying to say. So somebody else has got to start winning the matchups. It's nitpicky, but we're talking about a team that


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[Assistant] You know, before the season, we said them and the Eagles had probably the two of the three best rosters in football. So there's not a lot of issues there with their football team.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I know, exactly right. Alright, so last year, so the 8th, I'm gonna say last year they were probably, gosh, and then, uh, so Russell got hurt. I'm gonna say 24th. They were better than that, but they were 13th. They were mid-pack last year.


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[Assistant] I mean, Geno should be, I think they'd be crazy not to bring him back as a starting quarterback. I mean, it's not the system, he's making unbelievable plays and throws. And as I said to Pete, getting ready for the podcast, like watching that game back a little, uh, the last few days, just like,


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[Assistant] I mean, he was under pressure like every play. I mean, it just, it just nothing was easy at all.


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[Assistant] And he hung in there and at least kept them in some manageable situations. And, and of course their defense couldn't get them all, you know, the 49ers off the field in some big moments and gave some big plays. But yes, it is big throws, aggressive decisions and him throwing unbelievable balls all over the football field. It's been a lot of fun to watch. Good for Gina Smith.


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[Assistant] That's pretty good, I think. That's pretty high, actually, for, I wouldn't, I mean, obviously, I didn't do that.


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[Assistant] You know, I'm not sure if they can make the playoffs this year, you know, the Randy Gregory losing him.


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[Assistant] You know, I just, I, you know, I worried about a little of that. Maury Cooper, you know, him being gone. I just, I wasn't quite sure where it was going to go. I had some questions about the offense. So, uh, you know, I, I definitely flip flopped a little myself on that one. I'm not going to sit here and tell you I was the Oracle all the way through. You're not alone.


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[Assistant] Damn. I just had them as a wild card team. I know that. I had them making the playoffs. So again, hey listen, I definitely did not see that type of fall off.


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[Assistant] Top three, who knows? It's amazing. I mean, it really is. It's crazy that, you know, you guys, as good as you are, uh, the Eagles, I mean, I think the Eagles are going to have a top 10 pick right now too. Uh, yes, Seattle. Yeah. Seattle too.


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[Assistant] Holy crap. So it is. That's why the NFL is awesome.


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[Assistant] Have you told your wife that you're a big bug expert? No, I haven't told her that. You're lying to your wife. Hide your deep dark secrets.


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[Assistant] I mean, I remember seeing them on the screen a lot during the game. I do.


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[Assistant] You play a good game and they go, it's random. It's random. Oh yeah, it was random that, you know, the day after I ran 4-2 up the sidelines, I ran away from everybody in football, I'm getting drug tested. All the time. It happens all the time.


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[Assistant] He's right. He's one of the greatest defenders ever. He's an automatic first ballot Hall of Famer. He is...


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[Assistant] He was unstoppable force for a five, six, seven year part of his career there. Uh, you know, had to deal with some injuries, but.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, he's phenomenal and still really damn good. Like, not a superstar anymore, but still really damn good. And he's still, every game you watch, you go, oh, there's JJ Watt sneaking through the line. Ooh, there's JJ Watt batting the ball down. He might not be the sack machine he once was, but he's still disruptive as hell.


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[Assistant] He still called you sir. It was very nice of him. Very nice of him. What did he say? You don't want to mess with me? Is that what he said at first? Listen, I know he's going to beat me up here in the tri-state area.


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[Assistant] Like I told you, I had a feeling it might go that way. I really did. I was very ready for it. And the other thing that crossed my mind is I wanted to get, I was very close to going, Hey, Kayvon, did you see the pregame show?


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[Assistant] Uh, uhm, uhm, Rodney Harrison said that you watch the film and you don't get after the quarterback all that well. I wanted to call out Rodney too, as he was influencing that conversation. I think Rodney would have probably been okay with that too. He would have, he would have, but I was flustered in the moment and I wanted to make sure that, again, as I always say,


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[Assistant] You know, I'm not gonna just sit here and tell you he's been bad just so I can justify me being right with the draft ranking.


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[Assistant] He, you know, like, that was an awesome performance. Deserved it. I don't, I don't, I mean, he might have been, he was Defender of the Week, right? And he won NFC Defensive Player of the Week, I think. He did. Right. I mean, he was, I don't think anybody had a first half like that, uh, you know, from the past week that I saw. He was dominant.


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[Assistant] Well, he's got a big enough a butt, you know, he's got to get, he's worthy of the elephant. One for each cheek.


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[Assistant] What were his total pressures? Did you ever see that for the last week? I did not. I know he only had the one sack, but it seemed like he was around Gino a lot. Like six or something like that.


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[Assistant] Just driving the ship as usual, making me look smart.


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[Assistant] You know, pushing back at the right times. Even though you didn't push back much today. Not a whole lot. Yeah. Yeah, you were pretty good. Yeah. You were my friend today. It was a well-rounded conversation. Thanks, you. It was a well-rounded conversation. The good and the bad. Tomorrow, Week 16 Picks podcast with Florio. Tune in, okay?


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[Assistant] It's the joint picks podcast collaboration. And then after that.


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[Assistant] Enjoy your holiday week, okay? For everybody out there that might now listen to the Florio podcast with me picking games tomorrow, have a great Christmas, have a great holiday, uh, happy new year, whatever, all those good things, be safe out there. Ahmed, you the man, you are my buddy, and Merry Christmas to you as well. Merry Christmas, Chris. Clap it up. Clap it up.


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching, homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] Uh, that you have addressed this and you've talked about it with Mike Florio on Pro Football Talk. Uh, Demar Hamlin, uh, it was, for me it was like a, I mean for all of us, like watching a real, real life horror.


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[Assistant] Well that's why, I think a lot of us, and for me, it was, it was just, you get to that point, we're like, what are we doing here? Right? I mean, is it, is it worth it? It's certainly not worth death, right? I mean, we would all, we would all say that, but,


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[Assistant] But I've been there. I was going to say that thousands of men are going to make the decision to play this weekend. They're going to play next weekend. They're going to play for endless weekends in the future. Uhm, which I think speaks to what this sport brings to individuals, right? The opportunities, the positive things this sport brings. And so kind of take me into the mind. I mean, you,


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[Assistant] For me, it's, it's the same thing. It's pushing through and doing things that may feel uncomfortable, but I've never felt better than I do after completing something that was difficult, right? And pushing yourself through, I think avoiding those situations and, and of course we all need time to think and process. And so that's perfectly valid as well.


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[Assistant] But I think there's something to be said about, about pushing through and, uh, and continuing to.


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[Assistant] To honor Demar and all he was trying to prove on the football field with your effort on a football field as well. I think one more thing for me is that what it shows is that there are so few things in this world now that


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[Assistant] How much love, passion, and connective tissue there is with everyone who


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[Assistant] Pauling for Demar Hamlin and Pauling for the Bills. Thoughts and prayers to Demar Hamlin, the Buffalo Bills, the family of Demar Hamlin. Uh, hopefully, I mean, I've been refreshing Twitter. I'm trying to get away from Twitter and I've just been hooked to it trying to get updates and see how he's doing. So we will continue to do that all week long until


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[Assistant] We get the ultimate positive news that he has been released from the hospital if and when that happens and we hope that does here very soon. One thing here.


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[Assistant] Really does. Yeah, and it makes it a little more confusing on the playoff scenarios here.


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[Assistant] Uh, but we'll get into those, uh, because we have a lot of games that we've already seen. In fact, all these games feature rematches. And so what we're gonna try to do here throughout the rest of this pod is go through the games, the crucial games here in week 18 and kind of look back at what happened previously. All these teams played before.


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[Assistant] Are there things that are the same, relevant to this game that we're gonna see coming up this weekend, or have all the circumstances changed and you can basically throw out that game, uhm, from previous, uh, weeks. So we'll start.


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[Assistant] With our Sunday night game here, Chris, as we move on in the pod to Lions and Packers.


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[Assistant] My Detroit Lions are in Sunday Night Football. Never thought I would see the day. It's finally happening. And who knows, by the time the game happens, they may be eliminated from the playoff situation because Seattle, uh, if they do win, then that does eliminate Detroit from the playoff situation. Green Bay, it doesn't matter what Seattle does for them. If they beat Detroit,


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[Assistant] They get that seventh seed, uh, in the playoffs. They played week nine.


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[Assistant] And it was one of the weirder games in the NFL because Aaron Rodgers had three interceptions in the game.


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[Assistant] Uh, one was in the end zone, the next one was in the end zone, and the next one was at the three yard line. And so they were on the doorstep, literally in the end zone two times when he was picked off. That has never happened before. Detroit won by six. Detroit's offense didn't have a great game. Uh, you looked at the film from this one.


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[Assistant] Let's just start kind of with the Packers-O. Yea, okay. And basically Aaron Rodgers, that offense, what did you learn from looking back at the tape of that one that may be different or relevant to what we're going to see this Sunday night?


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[Assistant] So they have Watson now, and Dobbs has worked his way in maybe a little bit more now. Uhm, so that's better, that's a difference. Is Aaron different?


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[Assistant] Alright, so they'll probably score more than 9 points. I would bet the over on 9 points for the Green Bay Packers, but I could also bet the over on 15 points for the Detroit Lions because we've seen that offense be very good, and in this game they weren't really. Gough threw for 137 yards, had a pick.


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[Assistant] Are there things that the Lions maybe can also do that would give the Packers more trouble than we saw the first time?


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[Assistant] Yeah, you gave a special shout out to TJ Slayton, the defensive tackle for them. To Darryl. Yeah, to Darryl Slayton. To Darryl. Yeah, it's alright.


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[Assistant] What, TJ? Doesn't he go by TJ too? I think he goes by TJ, you're right. You're right. I know him a little bit better than you, so I can call him TJ. You said he was phenomenal in the run game, Kenny Clark too. Yes. And even though they were able to pick apart the Packers defense, the zone, and some of that short passing game, you did know in your notes that they had as good a feel as NED against the Lions passing this year. They did.


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[Assistant] Packer's favorite in this game, Gutfeel, who has made the biggest improvement since week nine and who has the edge on Sunday night.


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[Assistant] What I will say too, and there was some concern about putting this game in Sunday night, in that window, because Seattle, they're saying it might be unfair to Seattle, because if Seattle wins, then Detroit knows they have nothing to play for, and that they're eliminated from the playoffs, maybe they won't give the Packers the game. I almost feel like the opposite could happen.


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[Assistant] Uh, this one's for a division title though. Titans Jaguars, a cleaner scenario. You don't have to worry about anyone else winning or losing. Titans Jaguars win and you win the AFC South. Who thought we'd be saying that about the Jacksonville Jaguars? And we would not have been saying that if they had not beat the Tennessee Titans.


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[Assistant] Back in week 14, so not too long ago. Final in that one, in case you forgot, was 36 to 22. Trevor Lawrence threw for 368 yards.


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[Assistant] Three touchdowns, no interceptions, wasn't much of a run game for the Jaguars in that one.


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[Assistant] They didn't need it. Trevor Lawrence was just slicing and dicing him up. Derek Henry fumbled a couple times in the game. Ryan Tannehill started. Uhm, so when we try to think what was relevant from that game to this game that we're going to have week 18, we have a different quarterback and it's not going to be Malik Willis. We got Dobbs in at quarterback. Uhm, so let's just start there. Uhm, what's going to be, what does that change about this matchup?


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[Assistant] So they were able to move the ball. They just had three turnovers. It looked like three or three fumbles and one interception. I think three of those in the first half. Trayvon Walker, strip sack, started it, game machine.


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[Assistant] How about the, you mentioned they rely on the run game, control the clock, but still remain aggressive. You think that's important for them because this is a different Jaguars offense that they're gonna have to keep up with.


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[Assistant] That's interesting. They trusted their pass protect a little bit more as the game went on. They trusted Trevor Lawrence to take advantage of that as the game went on. It almost seems like that has carried through the rest of the season for the Jags.


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[Assistant] It's in Jacksonville. I don't know the line, but I would guess Jacksonville's probably favored by three or four points? I don't know. Pete, do we know what the line is on that one?


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[Assistant] I repeat searching here. It was 6. And who knows if it's changed since then. We're getting a live of 6 and a half now. So Jaguar is favored by almost a touchdown in this game. I understand. To win the division title.


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[Assistant] That game's coming up Saturday night, 8.15 local kick in Jacksonville for the division title. The Dolphins can still make the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Hosting the Jets. The Jets have been eliminated. Uhm, but they're not a team that I, I don't think Robert Salla's gonna let them just roll over. I don't think so either. The final week of the season. So this could be very difficult for our Dolphins team that's not playing very well. And we got to, uhm, Skyler Thompson for probably playing again here. Yeaah. Yeaah. I mean, we don't know. I think we don't know. We could get Teddy B.


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[Assistant] So this is Mike McDaniel vs. Robert Salas. Some familiarity there that we could get into. But the last time they played was week 5 and the Jets scored 40.


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[Assistant] 40 to 17. Oh, Zach Wilson couldn't have played in that game then, right? I mean, if they were scoring 40 points like that, that had to be a Michael. Oh no, he did play. 210 yards, didn't throw a touchdown.


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[Assistant] Uh, no interceptions though, protected the ball. They ran really well in this game against the Dolphins. Yeah. Had 135 yards. However, that was with Breece Hall. Right. Who also caught a long near 80 yard catch shot of the backfield. So they will not have that weapon.


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[Assistant] Uh, this time around, but you looked at, uh, the Dolphins O versus the Jets D, cause that's probably where this game comes down to. Yeah. And the last time they did play, it wasn't Tua, and it wasn't really Teddy. He played one snap or a couple snaps and left after one pass and then Skyler came into the game. So.


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[Assistant] They've had a week to prepare as Skylar if he is going to be the quarterback as the guy, so.


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[Assistant] What do you think Dolphins owe Jets D? How do they match up? You looked at the tape from week 5.


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[Assistant] And they need New England to lose. New England in Buffalo playing the Bills. Last time, uh, this game happened was, uh, in New England. It was week 13. The Bills won by a couple scores. 24 to 10 was the final as we move ahead to Patriots at Bills. Uh, so yeah, so New England.


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[Assistant] Fans in New England is for the Patriots just to beat the Buffalo Bills.


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[Assistant] Uhm, which, I mean, that brings into a whole other question of like, what's the Bills headspace gonna be like in this game? And things that you just cannot evaluate on tape. So we'll just stick to what we saw in week 13 here. It was a game that the Bills won, I guess fairly easily, even though it wasn't always easy offensively for them. That's the way to put it, right?


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[Assistant] If they can do that, they have the seventh seed. They're back in the postseason. Ravens at Bengals, AFC North still up for grabs. The championship scenario there is a little bit of TBD depending on what the NFL ultimately decides to do with the Bills and Bengals game. But we will look back at Sunday Night Football Week 5 early on. Seems like so long ago, doesn't it? Oh my gosh. Not even this season?


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[Assistant] And then Lamar went right back and drove him into field goal range, which was a 43 yard game winning field goal attempt for Justin Tucker. That is nothing for him. He made it. Uhm, so it was a, it was a good game. It was a good finish for us on Sunday Night Football, which we needed it at the time too.


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[Assistant] We're like, are we going to get a good game this year? It was a good finish, uh, in this one. So, uh, they play again, final week of the season. So what do you think? You took some notes on this one. I haven't seen these notes. You hid them from me. I hid these ones. So what did you see from week five that is applicable now? Because Lamar's probably not going to play again.


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[Assistant] Seems like the scales are tipping in the Bengals' favor in this final game of the regular season, but it's like the Ravens, we're talking about a possible AFC North.


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[Assistant] Yeah, thunder round. Yeah, the thunder round. Thank you, Pete. We're gonna do the thunder round right now. So don't feel like you need to go super fast, but we got one, two, three, four, five, six other games. Um, and we'll talk a little bit about 49ers here too.


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[Assistant] Uh, that have playoff implications here. So we're going to talk about one thing that could trip up the favorites in these games. So we'll start with Browns at Steelers. Browns eliminated, they're gone. We'll talk about them next year maybe.


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[Assistant] Uh, Steelers still have a chance, amazingly. They can clinch the 7-C. They got a win against the Browns at home in Pittsburgh. They have to hope the Dolphins lose and they have to hope the Patriots lose, which could happen. Those are tough opponents, tough defenses that both of those teams play.


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[Assistant] Uh, Steelers are favored by two and a half. Last time they played the Browns way back in week three, the Browns won this game by 12. It was Mitchell Trubisky versus Jacoby Brissette. Right. So a whole lot has changed since then. Uh, Cleveland ran for 171 yards.


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[Assistant] Against them. So uhm, Steelers favorite though, this time around.


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[Assistant] How do you feel about the Steelers and what might be the problem for them against Cleveland here final week this season?


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[Assistant] And again if Pittsburgh loses, if the Dolphins lose, if the Patriots lose, then the Jacksonville Jaguars get in win or lose.


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[Assistant] So Pittsburgh trying to get into the postseason. The Chiefs are solidly in. Still have a chance at the one seed depending on how it all shakes out with Buffalo here. They take on the Raiders. They are favored by seven and a half points in Las Vegas, which maybe is a little surprising when you consider what happened in week five, Monday Night Football, where the Chiefs won by just a point.


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[Assistant] Against Las Vegas, despite Patrick Mahomes' ring, four touchdown passes all to Travis Kelce.


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[Assistant] Uh, in the game, Josh Jacobs ran for 154 yards against the Chiefs in that one. So what could trip up Pat, Andy, and the Chiefs?