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[Assistant] I have big man, which we talked about, right? Right. Andrew back, baby. I need some play the game. And, um, you know, they had a long pass from, from shroud to, uh, to take Dell or long touchdown score. I mean, I think for me.


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[Assistant] If this is going to be a case where Doug Peterson calls the, like, I thought the offense looked much better in the second half. They're really, they're trailing, uh, by double digits. You know, it's 17 to seven when tank pigs be punches that, that touchdown in with, uh, 11, 17 to go. I think it, I think I would want, if, if, if the offense is going to be as lethargic as it was.


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[Assistant] In parts of week one, week two, and then the first half of week three, then I think it's time for Doug Peterson to take over. Let press Taylor do some other OC stuff.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's not, you know, going to win you a game if you give up 37, but I think the larger point is that Jaguars defense is not good enough.


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[Assistant] The opposite of what you're saying, isn't it? I would say most of the time it's not going to keep them at games. Like if you're giving up 37 to the Texans, you're going to need to be an explosive high powered offense. They have the weapons to be that offense. And so it's, it's like, I mean, I don't know, like let Doug Peterson call plays moving forward, I think is the answer.


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[Assistant] Hey, smash the like button people over in the chat. If you're listening to the show on YouTube, the, uh, the, the ratio of people watching to.


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[Assistant] Like the Jaguars are supposed to beat the Texans. Like Pete Prisco said, he thinks they can be the one seed, the AFC. And based on the fact that they're going to play all these different rookie quarterbacks. Well, you barely beat Anthony Richardson. You just lost to CJ Stroud. So that's a problem. And Lawrence was, uh, was, it was not good. You're a huge favorite in this game. Uh, fields has been bad all year long.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] On the other hand, like, was Justin Fields performance even the third worst thing about the Bears week? No. Probably not. And...


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[Assistant] You're going against the chiefs and your Chicago in Chicago drafted Mitchell Trubisky over Patrick Mahomes. I got to told you, Mahomes is going to have a revenge game in that spot.


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[Assistant] Four picks, nine sacks, nine times. Um, the sacks aren't great, but you know, sacks are a quarterback stat to a degree to that. You're holding the ball too long. You're getting pressured. Sure. Um, the, the, the problem, the biggest problem for me with the Sam Howell thing is


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[Assistant] And like, I'm a big same hall guy and I think he'll get, I think he'll get better throughout the year. Buffalo was a really tough test, but.


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[Assistant] You have now by doing this at home in front of new owner, Josh Harris, really put a target on Ron Rivera's back.


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[Assistant] The commanders are two in one, which is nice, but we sort of think that maybe it's a little bit of smoke and mirrors and of how, which by the way, this headshot just ridiculous. Like you can tell you what to you and see.


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[Assistant] And Ron Rivera's entire premise of this season was trotting out fifth rounder Sam Howell, who could put up a 41.5 passer rating and throw four interceptions in a single game. Ron Rivera is putting himself squarely on the hot seat. And so because of that, I will say that Sam Howell had the, uh, the worst performance because it jeopardizes way more jobs than the other two guys.


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[Assistant] The Cowboys sleepwalked into this case, like they, they, they, they rolled out of bed and trotted down to a state farm arena or whatever it is. And we're like, all right.


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[Assistant] I mean, we're 12 and a point road favorites against this trash Cardinals team, even though they're being coached by, by, by one of the defensive coordinators who's been in that division for several years and knows what Mike McCarthy likes to do. Uh, you know, kind of more, I've been calling plays, but still, you know, you get, you, you've seen this personnel plenty of times.


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[Assistant] You're missing, uh, who, who they, it was Zach Wills, Zach Martin, and who else was ruled out right at the, uh, it was kind of a surprise. They were missing two offensive linemen. Yeah, two starting offensive linemen. It was a surprise. It was sort of a surprise. Like, Oh,


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[Assistant] Oh, they're going to be missing two offensive linemen that is concerning. But man, I don't know. I put it on, um, I put, I put some of it on Dan Quinn in the defense too. And look, last week.


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[Assistant] Roger's list jets and the Josh jobs like Cardinals. And so two in one's fine.


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[Assistant] But that, that game was like, you could put it on, you put on the defense for not being prepared. You put on Mike McCarthy for not, they didn't come in ready to win that game. They came, they came in and looked, they looked sloppy, looked lazy and the Cardinals took it to him and were, and out coached him. So, uh, I put, I put, I put that on the coaching staff for sure.


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[Assistant] On Monday night and lose to Baker Mayfield in the Bucks. What?


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[Assistant] By the way, uhm, this is, uh, sort of a callback to the beginning of the show, but I just, I sort of remembered it and I just wanted to point it out. Uhm, you know, the Dolphins didn't have a first round pick this year, right? You know whose fault that was?


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[Assistant] Cause remember they were, they were, uh, they lost the first round pick for the Sean Payton, for the Sean Payton Tom Brady tampering stuff.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying like, you know, might be Daniel, might be Daniel lost a first round pick for nothing, for something he had nothing to do with. And he got to play the guy who caused it.


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[Assistant] Maybe I'll get to it in a second. Uhm, I just didn't consider the chiefs were even like on the table because they're the freaking chiefs.


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[Assistant] It's fair. I guess, actually, ironically, I'm going to select the team that caused the Chiefs to be two in one, the Detroit Lions, because they beat the Chiefs in week one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I really took it as like, uh, like two in one team. We feel good about, I mean, if we breached it the right thing, they say, I'll take the chiefs. I sort of took it as like, uh, we are, um,


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[Assistant] Like team, team that got back to two and one that were now, you know, sort of like, okay, I feel pretty good about it. Not a team that blew out the bears and like sauntered to two and one. Can we talk briefly about Taylor Swift and Travis Kelsey by the way?


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[Assistant] What does the prisoner say about Taylor Swift? What do you want to say? I mean, I just think it's insane that like, Travis Kelce went to her concert at Arrowhead Stadium.


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[Assistant] And brought up his bracelet with his phone number on it, like the, you know, the Taylor Swift, Taylor Swift friendship bracelets to try and, you know, I'm talking about, right?


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[Assistant] I think there's a Taylor, there's a Taylor Swift bracelet. Like anyway, um, the, the point being is that, um,


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[Assistant] Like, he went and, and then it was like reportedly struck out and then these rumors started bubbling up that they were kind of seeing each other and then she came to the g- Taylor Swift! Taylor Swift's probably the most famous person on planet Earth right now. Is there somebody more famous than Taylor Swift right now?


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[Assistant] Hang out, like, they're straight up dating. This is gonna be, like, if you think this isn't gonna be a thing every week, it, well, it is. Like, the cameras cut to her, like, 12 times on the Fox broadcast. Every time there's a score, or like, something weird happened, they would pan up to Taylor Swift. This was like,


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[Assistant] Or you win the Super Bowl and then like you break up in the off season and then like, and then you lose the Super Bowl and it's like, you got to get back together with her. Yep. Wilson, I mean, you can't, you can't, I'm sorry. Look, you can't be the.


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[Assistant] You gave me the leader of this podcast and just have no interest in talking about Taylor Swift and Travis Kelsey when it was like the biggest story in the afternoon games on, on Saturday, on Sunday.


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[Assistant] Breach, tell him, tell him that the Taylor Swift was easily the most talked about story.


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[Assistant] I'll take, I'll take the Jaguar since we already talked about them. Uhm, Doug Peterson taking hold of the controls.


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[Assistant] On the offense, you still have Trevor Lawrence, you still have plenty of weapons. You can, you can figure this thing out. Really bad loss, but you're in a division where one and two doesn't kill you in terms of, uh, you know, being able to make a deep run and they got to three and seven last year and still made the playoffs. So I'm not, I'm not pushing the panic button on the Jaguars right now. Got him.


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[Assistant] Oh, the jets. Okay. Uh, I'll stay in New York with my one and two team and say the Giants. I was going to say that could have gone either way.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I think the, um, the Titans would also qualify to just, you're like, Oh man, for so bad division, the giants, man, that division, it just, you just can't, I don't think you feel good about the direction the giants are headed. And then, uh, Ian in the chat called me out for this, but you know what? I will stay on brand and the two and one team I don't feel good about is the New Orleans Saints.


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[Assistant] There's nothing, there's nothing. They haven't been good on offense in any of the, even with Derek Carr in there in the three weeks we've seen a play and the defense has been good, but have they played anybody good?


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[Assistant] Titans, Panthers, and Packers. I feel like the Saints get a hold of something like a good team and they get their doors blown off.


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[Assistant] And the lion, I think it's the lions and the Packers, right? I mean, it's going to come down, maybe come down to like week, week 18. Do we get lions and Packers on Sunday football again? Except this time without, uh, Aaron Rodgers. Um, I don't even know if they play week 18. Don't quote me on that, but to that point, um,


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[Assistant] Yeah, let me ask you this because I was texting with some friends about this.


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[Assistant] Are the Packers or Packers fans the most spoiled quarterback fans of all time? Like the luckiest quarterback fans of all time? I, I, the only pushback I had was maybe you say the Patriots, the Colts.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I called site throughout too, but I mean like, dude, if Jordan love is a legit quarterback, like.


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[Assistant] I mean, you're probably, you have pretty good chance of having as much success with Jordan Love the way he's looked as you did with Andrew Luck in the Colts. Like Luck didn't really win anything.


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[Assistant] They were down, they were down, um, 17 to 17 to three. Yep. Cause I came to field goal. So when you're down 14 in the fourth quarter analytics, say you go for two after scoring the first one. And I believe the logic is that you have.


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[Assistant] No, no, no, no. The logic is that the percent chance of get, of converting a two point conversion is higher than your odds of winning a coin toss.


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[Assistant] So. And people are saying they don't like the math, but like if you, so if you're down 14.


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[Assistant] Well, there's a couple of things. One, if you get the, if you, if you get the touchdown of the two point conversion, you're now down six, a touchdown plus an extra point wins the game for you. In theory, you can tie the game with two field goals.


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[Assistant] And you know, there's a decent chance you'll have multiple possessions. The Saints actually, uh, the Packers ended up having two possessions, uh, got it back with a minute to go off the missed field goal. So they would have had a chance to go win the game. And then additionally, if you, so if you miss the two point conversion, you're down, you're still only down one possession because you're down eight. So you have to go get a touchdown and a two point conversion as well. If you.


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[Assistant] But the May 2 point conversion increases your win probability more than it would if you just go to overtime and have a coin flip.


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[Assistant] So like that's the, that's the math and the logic behind that. All the reasoning behind that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Josh, I know, never left. By the way, uh, lions minus 105 Packers plus 155 to win the division, uh, at Giraffe Kings for those interested. So still lions favorite, but pretty cool.


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[Assistant] Uh, those odds will change after Thursday night one way or another. Uhm, Alan never left. Uh, I think, you know, Breach mentioned that, uh, Houston is...


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[Assistant] I think Robert Sala and the Jets are just Josh Allen's kryptonite. Okay. That defense for whatever reason just messes him up. He said same bleep different day was really mad about it. And the last two weeks, the bills have come out. I almost think like that loss to the Jets, like,


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[Assistant] You're so amped up. It's, it's September 11th. It is the Monday night football, you know, the J in New Jersey, right? You know, against the New York team. Um, Aaron Rodgers debut. He comes out with the American flag, the Monday night football, every just, I mean, just a massive, massive game. And you lay this egg.


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[Assistant] And you feel like you got sort of, uh, like not taunted, but sort of like.


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[Assistant] He's 20 of 32 to 18, a touchdown interception. Um, also had a touchdown running the ball, three carries for 46 yards and that score.


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[Assistant] Like this was a lot about the defense for the bills. The last two weeks of the bills, they have looked like integrated. They're playing the Raiders and they're playing their commanders, but they have looked like a very balanced football, a very balanced, composed, uh, high end football team, which is what we thought they were supposed to be. Now I think that the, uh,


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[Assistant] The, you know, the ending of last year where they look so, you know, you had the demar Hamlin stuff, but then it looks so bad against the Bengals in the playoffs. Just like it was just a smack in the face by, by Cincinnati there. Then you have all this off season drama.


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[Assistant] And everybody was off the bills coming into the season. Like people were very down on the bills. And I think that Jets game that lost the Jets without Aaron Rodgers served to really confirm some priors for people that didn't like the bills. Well, I was very high on the bills. I picked them to win the Super Bowl over the Niners this year.


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[Assistant] And I think that this last, the last two weeks, this has been the Bill's team that we're going to see this year.


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[Assistant] Sort of a quiet, motivated chip on the shoulder. Let's go out there and take care of our business team. They got over amped in week one. I think that's, uh, I think it's an aberration and I think the bills are going to be a very, very good football team. Um, Bill's dolphins is going to be a slugfest for, uh, for this division in my opinion.


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[Assistant] I've already ranked these earlier with Pete and Jamie, so I can tell you, it's Dolphins Chiefs Bills right now. You're ranking for Breach. There you go, Breach.


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[Assistant] Ooh, that is a fun fact. By the way, the, uh, I mean, the, the, the commanders got their three points. 37 to three was the final with 46 seconds left in the game on a 51 yard field goal, which is one of those, like, I just need someone not to look at this. No, that's funny.


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[Assistant] Like Bruce Harries did this like against the bears a few years ago. It's like, he's like, I'm kicking this 60 yard. He's like, I is like, dude, you have to go for it on fourth down here. Like what are you doing? He's like, no, no, no, I'm getting the points because I don't want that zero in the column. I think to very, very quickly just add on the Josh Allen stuff in the confines of the offense.


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[Assistant] Patrick Mahomes, we'll talk about this at length this offseason, how he changed the way he played football, because teams, and Joe Burrow too.


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[Assistant] Team started playing these two highs on the back end, taking away the deep ball.


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[Assistant] Forcing quarterbacks to be conservative because they don't want to get torched by these massive plays from these big armed aggressive quarterbacks. And Josh Allen's that's just part of his maturation is figuring out how to do that as well. And I think, you know, granted easier against these defenses, but the commander's been good. He's done a much better job of that the last two weeks after a disastrous week.


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[Assistant] I know we're not supposed to break the third wall here, but did that say Greensboro?


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[Assistant] I think it says PBR, professional bull riding, I think, or CBR maybe. It looks like it's in Greensboro. I might have to go check that out. Yeah, go check that out. You got the cowboy hat and sunglasses.


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[Assistant] Well, just really quickly on the, on the, on the, on the fourth and one, um, because we had this, me, Nick Kostos, Jamie Isenberg and Pete Prisco had this huge argument about this, like lengthy, like screaming, like ended up with like Pete saying something about Nick. That's like, I can't even repeat on air. Um, but the point being is Nick and I both thought like, I'm okay with going for it. And here's why the Vikings had four drives.


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[Assistant] That culminated inside the Chargers 10 year 6 yard line. Excuse me. They got inside the Chargers 6 yard line 4 times and came away with 10 points. That is really freaking bad. You get that close to the goal line that many times and you come away with 10 points. That's horrendous. So


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[Assistant] If you're Brandon Staley, you're looking at this and saying they, this Vikings team has been Vikings it up and are charging it up all day on us. They're marching the ball up and down, but just find ways to shoot themselves in the foot. If I go for this, like if I'm Brandon Staley and I know I'm on the hot seat and he has to know that because the way that he snapped last week about the, with the reporters.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The play, the play call was a problem. And I think that goes back to sort of like the, the give and take of these fourth down decision making where it's like, you can.


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[Assistant] Like the, the Eagles always going for it on fourth and short, or you know, like going for it on fourth and one, you have, you have Jalen Hurts in this push, the quarterback push thing, right? You have a really effective play that you can call on. Well, the, the Chargers need to have a more effective play call. They, they need to marry the play calling with the decision to do it. Josh Kelly.


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[Assistant] Like this is, this is the thing about this game is like, you knew this game was going to end in some stupid felt former fashion. I joked last week. I was like, there's going to be a six. Somebody's going to tip to 72 yard field goal. That's going to get blocked. And then like right before that person walks into the end zone to like on a game winning block.


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[Assistant] The Vikings somehow can't go 24 yards to get a touchdown to win the game and instead throw an interception and end up losing the game and basically probably put a death knell on their season. I mean, I guess they're still maybe. No. Well, and to the Vikings point.


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[Assistant] Let's just sort of bring this thing full circle. 47, four or five, three touchdowns. And the only reason, like, and then Keenan Allen also had a 49 yard bomb to Mike Williams.


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[Assistant] Being like just sort of the, like the, like a obliterator of single coverage that he is and like the route runner that he is and his ability to work. Like, so how, how you blitz like crazy like that. You're going to leave yourself open on the back end. Kenan Allen can beat dudes one on one and he can find holes in zones, right?


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[Assistant] And so, 20 targets, 18 catches, 215 yards. Like maybe this wasn't the team to aggressively blitz, or like credit to Kellen Moore and that coaching staff, you know, sure, the 4-1 decision sucked, but they had a really good game plan to go up against Brian Flores in this offense.


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[Assistant] Eight minutes left in the first, in the second quarter. By the way, this game was seven to nothing.


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[Assistant] And then it just got crazy. Speaking of.


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[Assistant] Well, uhm, couple of things. Uh, one, I would like to point out that I correctly called this basically this exact, like how this game would go exactly. Patriots win, Patriots cover, not many points. I know, shocking that, uh, area man, area man follows.


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[Assistant] All right. Um, the, I don't know. Did you see the report from Jay Glazer on Sunday that the.


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[Assistant] That the, that Matt Ryan actually confirmed this to Jeff Kerr, I believe, or somebody, somebody at CBS confirmed it. Matt Ryan was like, yeah, that happened. His agent reached out to the Jets.


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[Assistant] And said, hey, uh, would you be, would you be interested in Matt? And Carson Wentz can't reach out to the Jets too. The Jets told them both of them, no thanks. Thanks, but no thanks. Um, which means they're going to roll with Zach Wilson. I think.


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[Assistant] At this point, at one and two, with your one win being an overtime, uh, punt return walk off on an insane, just, just bizarre evening where, you know, your defense held its own. Uh, but then you get obliterated by, on your defense, your defense gets obliterated by the Cowboys and you know, you lose to the Patriots.


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[Assistant] I don't know that trading for Kirk cousins, given all that you've traded for Aaron Rogers is necessarily the move. I think it's probably a more, um, uh, you know, a more intelligent move just to be like, all right, let's like, let's go with Zach. Let's you're going to see what you have.


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[Assistant] I know, I know you know what you have, but you still drafted him second overall and it's his third year and you like you, you, you didn't cut him. You didn't get rid of him. He's your backup for a reason. You can make a, this season will give you a very clear and defined.


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[Assistant] Decision to make after, after it's over about what you want to do with Zach Wilson.


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[Assistant] Second round pick. I'm just saying like Minnesota's not going to call it in on the season without getting something significant in return for cousins. I wouldn't.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like I don't think the jets are winning a bunch of games this year, regardless of who's quarterback. And I honestly think, and this is, you know, the benefit of like, can't be proven wrong hind slash foresight, but I don't know that they're a playoff team with Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I just don't think, I don't think the Jets have any business trading way more assets trying to chase a season that probably is lost anyway. Like I would rather.


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[Assistant] Boom. They should be on three. They're probably going to end up being like one in five by the time that we get to their box.


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[Assistant] We, uh, touched on this before we went live on the show. And I mean, I think we were probably all in agreement here. Like I thought the first attempt when he went forward and Chris Collinsworth and Mike Turrico were pretty apoplectic about this as well. Like fourth and five at Pittsburgh's 29.


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[Assistant] You've, um, you know, you've gone and gotten a touchdown.


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[Assistant] You never fourth down on that drive, but you go get the touchdown. You get the two point conversion because you got the pass interference and then you're able to, um, you know, uh, Jimmy, uh, he Jimmy G hits, uh, the Notre Dame Titan mayor. You cut it to eight points. You're down eight.


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[Assistant] Get it. If you want to kick that first field goal at fourth and five at Pittsburgh, 29 data, of course, is a good kicker. It's indoors. He kicks very well at home. You cut it down to five. You can win with a touchdown or potentially walk it off. You kind of trust your defense. You've got four timeouts. If you count the two minute warning, there's a lot of time left and you feel like you're going to get the ball back as you just did.


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[Assistant] And Matt Canada might turtle up a little bit. Um, but as we talked about, when you accept that penalty on Pittsburgh for leverage and you get 15 yards and it becomes first and 10 at Pittsburgh's 14, you are and like effectively saying,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] When Daniel Carlson kicks that field goal, which he did from 26 yards on fourth and four at Pittsburgh's eight. Now look.


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[Assistant] Fourth and four from the eight. That's a tough spot. You got condensed field. You got to get four yards to pick up the first down. TJ Watt is like firing off of like firing into the backfield every single snap, but you, you have just burned.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like a minute and a half of clock. You cannot possibly kick that field goal and then just assume you're going to stop it because if you do not stop, if, if the Steelers get one first down.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You're going to have like 20 seconds if you get the ball back. And that's what happened. And then they fumbled the punt and you had 12 seconds. And so like,


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[Assistant] Mark Davis really doesn't want to fire another coach, a big name coach who he'd pursued aggressively. Um, you know, he's tied to the front office with Dave Ziegler. He is, you had the built in excuse and like you, you can say whatever you want.


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[Assistant] But it is a reasonable excuse that Mike Mayock and John Gruden left the cupboard very, very, very bare. I think it's like 13 first round picks in five years and they, or maybe it's like seven and three years or whatever it is. And they boss almost all of them.


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[Assistant] And I'm not, I'm not trying to prop up Josh McDaniels. I'm just saying like, if I'm, if I'm running the Raiders and I've spent all this money on McDaniels to bring them over and I'm already feel like I'm, you know, the, the John, we're kind of got the John Gruden thing in the, in the.


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[Assistant] But I think there's still some financials there that they're like...


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[Assistant] You're, you're not, you're not, you're not the Walton family is what I'm saying.


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[Assistant] You don't want to pay Josh McGinn, Josh McGinn is a huge contract. You do not, not good night.


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[Assistant] John Boy Walton, you mean Sam Walton? Sam Walton, exactly, yeaah.


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[Assistant] You're not the, you're not the Broncos ownership and you're not David Tepper. Like you don't want to be paying Josh McDaniel's contract and then have to go hire another coach because inevitably that's going to cause you to be a little cheaper on your coaching hire. Um, and I think that because of this, the failures of those first round picks by, by Mayock and by Gruden,


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[Assistant] Yeah. Like if these are the Browns where Jimmy Haslam's like cuckoo for cocoa puffs and like is willing to spend money on coaches, he's firing. It's a lot more likely he's fired. I mean, what Colton Miller, um,


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[Assistant] I mean, we'll count Devontae. I know he's not a first round pick, but like, you know, they traded first round picks for him. So like Colton Miller, Devontae Adams.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Josh Jacobs, who was a previous regime. Miller was too. Um, Tyree Wilson.


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[Assistant] I mean, those are your first round picks who are in your starting rot, like on your, in your starting lineup. Like, I don't know, man. I don't think it's a very good football team.


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[Assistant] Well, maybe this wouldn't be the worst year in the world to be a terrible football team, even for the Raiders.


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[Assistant] Uh, well I'm back, and that, I wanna say it's rather unfortunate, I almost was gonna move there, that didn't work. I tried to smuggle a koala back for each of you in customs.


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[Assistant] I did see a wombat, uh, they're not as cute as koalas.


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[Assistant] This is like the high school version of Fire Fest. Bingo! Exactly, that's what it was.


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[Assistant] Is this possibly end up being that you made the worst trade in history than NFL draft? Absolutely.


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[Assistant] So this is kind of like, you went out, you spent a million dollars on a lottery ticket, which was Tray Lance, and you busted, but then walking out of the store, you found a dollar scratch off on the ground, and that might win you two million dollars, so you're doubling your losses, and that scratch off is Brock Purdy. So I do think that,


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[Assistant] There is a thing with the NFL, especially with the draft, when you take a guy high, you're just afraid to cut bait.


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[Assistant] And the teams, you know, we saw the Cardinals do that with, uh, when they took Rosen, uh, and then the next year they're like, yeah, Josh Rosen's actually not that good. So we're gonna go ahead and take Kyler Murray and you don't see NFL teams do that that often. So I think if Kyle Shanahan thinks, Hey, look,


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[Assistant] Trey Lance might be a good quarterback down the road, but if Brock Purdy runs my system better than Trey Lance, which is obviously how Shanahan feels, then we're gonna go with Brock Purdy. Uh, so for that, I think that's good. The fact that they traded away three first round picks and


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[Assistant] Just blew all that up. That's bad. So I'm neutral on the 49ers, but it's a good thing for them, uh, if they win Super Bowl this year. So I'm going to reserve my judgment until February.


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[Assistant] And let's not forget, when Emory says this happened before, this happened in Dallas before, just go back to 2016, not the same exact situation, but obviously Tony Romo's there and the Cowboys are like,


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[Assistant] Oh, you know what? We're just going to spend a fourth round pick on Dak Prescott. Tony, don't worry. Obviously different because Tony Romo gets injured. Dak Prescott gets the job and never gives it back because he was so successful. What if Dak goes down for two games? He got injured last season and what if


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[Assistant] What if Trey Lance goes in and goes 2-0 in those games and looks phenomenal and we saw Dax struggle with interceptions last season if he goes through another


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[Assistant] Cause as Emery just said, Trey Lance has a much bigger upside than Cooper Rush and you probably feel better about him eventually becoming the backup QB. But the little downside there is that.


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[Assistant] There is going to be some chatter if Dak Prescott struggles at all. Hey, we have Trey Lance on the bench. Why don't we give him a try? We've let Dak do things. He can't win playoff games, can't win Super Bowls. Let's give Trey Lance a shot.


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[Assistant] Well, I thought Aaron Rodgers was awesome and we're talking about the touchdown pass. That was one of those throws you see Aaron Rodgers make where it doesn't matter if you have Deion Sanders in his prime covering the receiver. Rodgers puts it in a spot.


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[Assistant] That being said, the flip side is what you just mentioned is that the offensive line is a little bit iffy and he's only out there for two series. What's going to happen when he's out there for?


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[Assistant] Four quarters? I don't know! So that is the part that's kinda saying, uh, maybe we should kinda hedge here on the jet. So I'm not sure. I'm gonna have to think about this for about 48 more hours before I decide how I feel about the offense. But Aaron Rodgers himself looked fantastic.


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[Assistant] Well, and, and, and Dak is on the Kirk Cousins plan. He's, he's going the same route. He went to the franchise tag, then got the long-term deal, uh, the same way Kirk did. So they're, they're the same person.


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[Assistant] Well, you know what, Brinson, uhm, I would have preferred to get the bangles here, but I'll take the Ravens. I'm gonna say the Ravens lose in the divisional round, that is plus 360.


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[Assistant] Uh, you look at last year, they had the bangles on the ropes in the wild card round and probably would have won that game if not for one of the flukiest plays in the history of football with the fumble at the one yard line that gets returned 99 yards.


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[Assistant] And remember they did that with a backup quarterback in the game and Lamar Jackson missing a chunk of the season. So I think with a completely healthy team, they are absolutely a playoff team. I don't think they're quite good enough to get to the AFC championship. So I'm going to say lose in the divisional round plus three 60 bank it.


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[Assistant] Type for the second best Super Wads preseason. So I feel like if they get to the Super Bowl, maybe the Chiefs will probably be the only team favorite over them.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, that's my problem is that I don't think the Rams are going to be as bad as everyone thinks. I don't think this is a team that's going to be going 5-12. Uh, I think they can win 8 or 9 games, but uh, I don't think, I just don't feel good about them sneaking into the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Minus 380 is such a horrible, horrible value that I gotta skip it on principle.


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[Assistant] So I'm gonna say they lose in the wild card round at plus 475. I think that's the best bet of that board.


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[Assistant] Yes, you don't have to make every bet, Katie. That is a good point. I'm, I'm gonna go to sleep on this one, but losing the wild card round.


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[Assistant] I do not usually hold grudges, but I am holding a strong grudge with the Broncos over this pick. Look, they're dealing with so many receiver injuries right now. I'm not sure that Sean Payton can fix Russell Wilson.


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[Assistant] Uh, but once, and the AFC is just so loaded, that where do the Broncos rank? There, maybe you could make the argument they're a top 8 team, but, you know, the 8th team doesn't get in the playoffs, so, ahhh.


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[Assistant] I hate to miss the playoffs number once again. I would probably...


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[Assistant] Lean that route, but I'll get crazy and say it was in the wild card round.


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[Assistant] Okay, before you start talking, Katie, I will throw out some breaking news. The Browns have cut their kicker, Cade York, uh, which


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[Assistant] The only way he could lose it was by completely botching every field goal attempt. He had the preseason, which is exactly what happened. Now they've traded for Dustin Hopkins, so he is likely going to be their kicker. So I don't know if that changes your mind about anything, but their kicker's gone.


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[Assistant] Well, I think that the Browns are impossible to predict because you don't know how good Deshaun Watson is going to be. And so I'm staying away from everything Cleveland related.


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[Assistant] But, uh, like Emory just said, I would not be surprised at all if they won the division. They, I mean, they have a loaded roster, but it's kind of like the Broncos where it's gonna come down to the quarterback, except you feel a little bit better about the Sean Watson's play than Russell Wilson's play. Uhm, yeaah.


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[Assistant] And he wasn't as bad as Russell Wilson. So I would probably go lose in wild card round also. I think they have a good enough team to make the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Now Breach, I'm looking at you on top of me. So like, go ahead. I don't want to steal yours because I might steal. I heard you talk about the Falcons earlier, but just kidding. I'm not taking the Falcons. I'm going to go with a sneaky one here. A team that I think is being slept on a little bit. And that is the Tennessee Titans twin.


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[Assistant] You look at what Tennessee did last season, alright? This team had a not so great roster. Ryan Tannehill was injured for most of the season, yet they were still


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[Assistant] Uh, and I just think that Mike Frable is one of the most underrated coaches in the NFL. And I think that plus 350, I mean at plus maybe 150, I probably don't think about this, but man, you're giving this team that has just been really good in this division.


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[Assistant] Is, I don't even wanna say it because I'm gonna jinx em. Oh no.


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[Assistant] I've been a Bengals homer my entire life, but I never picked the Bengals to win the Super Bowl. Anybody who's listened to this podcast for the past five years knows it just doesn't happen. Uh, but I think if I was going to bet on the Bengals, this would be the year I'd do it.


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[Assistant] 10-1, I feel like the team is loaded. This is the best roster they've had. Obviously, Joe Burrow's cap is a slight concern.


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[Assistant] We're used to that. There's a slight concern with Joe Burrow every single offseason, whether his appendix is exploding or he's coming off ACL surgery, none of that matters because he ends up getting him with the AFC title game, even dealing with that stuff. So this would be the year, uh, that I bet the Bengals to win the Super Bowl. I think they're 10 to one plus a thousand. So there you go.


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[Assistant] Emory's got an AFC North team. I've got an AFC North team. Katie's got an AFC North bet. Brinson, are you gonna keep this streak going or uh, blow things up here?


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[Assistant] So you're going with the All Cats Super Bowl just to spite Emery who's going with the All Birds Super Bowl?


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[Assistant] I thoroughly enjoyed the draft. I must confess, however, that I don't think I realized that you could only pick one of each thing until like the fifth round.


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[Assistant] Three unit win totals, 16 times. I see that that makes more sense. And that's when I sort of, um, I tried to jump on and our day we were texting about this, but I tried to jump on. I had the second overall pick.


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[Assistant] You know, we, we, I try to jump on sort of the awards markets, uh, which, which I always think are, are interesting. And I mean, I think, you know, depending on what you, what you get, obviously, as you mentioned, you can only do, um,


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[Assistant] You know, 0.1 unit for offensive player of the year, defensive player of the year. But if you hit on like, like I have, uh, Aaron Donald for defensive player of the year, we'll talk about that later. But you know, if you, if you hit on that at 25 to one, clearly you can end up, Alex ended up, you know, making more than you might, uh, with a, with a single unit, uh, wind total.


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[Assistant] By the way, uh, you can read this article on sportsline.com. You can also sign up for sportsline.com and use promo code Brinson. Is that a promo code, RJ? Should be. Okay, use promo code.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, I'm set up on, as a, as an expert on sportsline.com.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, you know, Katie and I have been, uh, we were on sports last night, uh, the show. You can watch it on CBS Sports HQ, of course. Um, we were talking about the Eagles under like, I mean, I just think 11 and a half is a lot asking for a team to lose as both coordinators, but


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[Assistant] I think your point about the prices is smart because I immediately went with the 49ers over 10 and a half, which I got it at minus 140. I think it's out like minus 160 in some spots and being the idiot.


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[Assistant] That I am. Idiot savant. My, my initial thought was.


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[Assistant] We're not playing for any money. I can risk minus 140 at three units, not realizing that what it actually is, is three units with a payout. Like, like, like you lose reduce on the payout. You don't, you don't risk more. Um, again, idiot.


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[Assistant] I suppose. Uh, but I'm okay with the Niners there. I think, you know, the three-unit payback, um, it's, it's less, but I feel more comfortable at that 10 and a half number, uh, obviously than I do at, uh, you know, with a, with an 11 and a half with the Eagles. Cause and look, the 49ers win nine, nine games, win 10 games, win the division. We said that the


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[Assistant] I prefer the division price if you're actually wagering on it. But RJ, you actually came back and took the San Francisco under, didn't you?


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[Assistant] Alex, what pick did you have in the draft? I can't remember. Who did you take with your first round pick?


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[Assistant] Um, you know, it's easy to get real hyped up about the, the runs and how well he played down the stretch and, and how much he's going to run. Well, one like.


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[Assistant] I do think there's, if, if he, if he runs like he ran last year, there's major injury risk. And if he doesn't run like he did last year, there's major, can he take a step forward as a passer risk? So I like this under as well.


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[Assistant] Yeah, in, uh, in all, in all honesty, um, if I could go back and do it over again, um, I would, would you want to trade and you take the Niners and I'll take Casey?


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[Assistant] With like the highest pick you'll ever see, like Pete Carroll and John Schneider used on a cornerback. But man, does he fit exactly what he's like a quintessential Seahawk, just a dog who's going to be physical and compete nonstop. And then, um,


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[Assistant] They didn't, uh, I don't think they claimed him away. Yeah, they did. They claimed him away. It was my guy, Drake Thomas, a linebacker who's on the depth chart listed behind Bobby Wagner.


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[Assistant] You want to talk about a quintessential Seahawk, like a quintessential Pete Carroll guy? If this, this guy, if he gets playing time in Seattle, like he is a, he's smaller, like he's not like the prototypical size, but he's an absolute dog.


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[Assistant] Slamming the, the bills to win the division through the table all, all, uh, all off season. Like it's plus one 20 reminds me of the chiefs last year and they were plus one 60, just the most absurd price. I mean, I think the, I think the Jeffs are pretty good. The dolphins are, the dolphins are a problem, but like the bills at plus one 20 to me, I mean,


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[Assistant] Absolutely. Um, one, another one I like it plus money that I took. Uh, what a division winner, but I actually took the Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs at plus one or five. Uh, the NFC is weak. We got the Niners and the Eagles up top. The Cowboys are right there. Uh, you know, I think we, we believe in Seattle for sure as a, as a playoff team, but like,


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[Assistant] Have you, have you looked at the Falcon schedule? Has anybody really looked at the Falcon schedule? Cause it is an effing joke. Like it is the silliest schedule I have seen. Here, tell, stop me when you, stop me when you get to their first really scary game.


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[Assistant] Home against Carolina, home against Green Bay at Detroit, home in London against Jacksonville, home against Houston, home against Washington at Tampa Bay at Tennessee, home against Minnesota.


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[Assistant] And then after the bye, home against New Orleans at the Jets at the Jeffs. That's maybe a potentially scary game. Uh, home against Tampa Bay at Carolina, home against Indy at Chicago at New Orleans. Like that's their schedule. That's it. Are you kidding me?


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, no, no, that I think that I think that Arthur Smith wants this to be like a knockoff Titans team. We're like Desmond Reuters, a homeless man's Ryan Tannehill and B John becomes like a version of Derek Henry is, is, is my, is my bet is my best guess. Um, all right, let's talk some awards.


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[Assistant] Who's going to win the VP? If it's a player of the year, I mentioned Aaron Donald, maybe some offensive rookie chatter. We'll do that next coming up after the break. Friday, the community here in Pittsburgh.


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[Assistant] Alright, so I was this 18th person to take an MVP. Uh, I was the first person to take Trevor Lawrence to an MVP. I'm not picking him to win a VP. He's 15 to 1, uh, over there at DraftKings, as you can see on the screen. If you're watching youtube.com slash, uh, pick six, I think it'll still redirect or wherever the hell it goes. Um, but.


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[Assistant] I, I know that I wanted to pick him for the site.


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[Assistant] And be like, I'm, but, but you know who else beat me to it? Pete Prisco. Uh, and I think Pete's point here too with the MVP stuff.


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[Assistant] You need to win your division, right? So I've gone through this a bunch, but it's like, if you look at the divisions in the AFC.


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[Assistant] Um, you have Rogers and Allen. You're talking about the top. Look at, look at the people on this, on this list, Rogers and Allen, same division, Lamar Jackson, Joe burrow, St. John Watson, same division. Oh, excuse me. Two are Rogers, Josh Allen, same division, Justin Herbert, Patrick Holmes, same division. So the only guy with odds of 32 under less and Jalen hurts, Jack Prescott, same division too.


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[Assistant] Is, is basically Trevor Lawrence. If you, I don't count fields. Um, 21 is absurd for him, but like, but Trevor Lawrence at 15 to one, when your division and the Jaguars have a soft schedule.


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[Assistant] They can win a ton of games, get that one seed, win your division, have a breakout second year under Doug Peterson and the MVP is very much on the table for Trevor Lawrence. I think these odds for MVP overall are pretty poor. And so I think that if you can get a 15 to one on, uh, on someone like Lawrence.


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[Assistant] Could make a lot of sense. RJ, what was your favorite award pick that you made?


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[Assistant] I actually think that did I take you snipe me on Zay or did I take Bryce?


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[Assistant] Young, I think I took, I screwed up and took, um,


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[Assistant] Aaron Donald, defensive player of the year. And then you took Eagles. I was going to take either Zay. I was like, Oh, I'll take Zay or Bryce Young for offensive rookie of the year. Um, like I think a quarterback is going to win it, but like, as you point out 30 to one for Zay Fier's great number and, um,


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[Assistant] His performance of the preseason and just how he looked was exactly why that number dropped the way it did. Alex, what about you in terms of your favorite award bet?


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[Assistant] Yeah. And I guess if you look back to like, um, when Derek Henry won the award, it was a 2000 yard rushing season, right? Like it is. I mean, that's, that's a fair point. The lobby thing, I think is really interesting because you look at 180 targets for Devante Adams last year with Derek Carr. If he locks in Katie on one guy, you know, a lot of it could end up being, um, his, you know, his go-to.


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[Assistant] I'm curious to see how voters sort of handle the, uh, offensive player of the year stuff in the future, like moving forward because we've seen, like,


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[Assistant] The last four years, it's been a skill position guy, but it's been a skill position guy with a historically like great season or like a very notable season. Um, as RJ points out, like just, you know, Justin Jefferson, massive receiving numbers. Um, you know, Derek Henry, massive rushing numbers. It had.


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[Assistant] Heretofore been sort of a runner up. There's basically like the Drew Brees Memorial Trophy for like not get not winning MVP because you live in a world with Tom Brady and Peyton Manning or Aaron Rodgers. And so I'm curious to see like


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[Assistant] If a guy like Fields goes off for big numbers, but his team isn't very good.


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[Assistant] Will the voter, will the, will the voter population like decide to reward fields for that or when they still continue to lean towards a skill position? I think that's, I think that's an interesting trend to watch because it is, it is still a smaller sample size RJ.


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[Assistant] That was a, that was a nice job uh, saying there will be no price.


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[Assistant] Well, mine was not based quite as much, uh.


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[Assistant] Statistical research is Katie's. Mine was more about alphabetical location for Brandon Iuke.


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[Assistant] Yes, there are a lot of mouths to feed in San Francisco, but he went for 748 yards his rookie season.


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[Assistant] On just 12, in just 12 games with 96 targets. The next year, second year, more efficient, um, in terms of yards per catch. But remember he was in the dog house in 2021 because of, he was hanging out with that bomb, Trey Sermon, I think bomb God, Trey Sermon.


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[Assistant] He can be my intern. Work his work off work off what he is.


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[Assistant] It's unpaid, believe me. Um, 826 yards for IU, his second year, I'll just 84 targets. And then last year's targets, targets spiked up to 114, uh, and he finished with 1015 yards. Like I'm not saying he's guaranteed to go by the way, eight, uh, five, five, eight touchdowns. Um, in the, in those three years, I'm not saying he's guaranteed to go off for like a thousand yards again, but like, I feel like $800 is


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[Assistant] Love hearing that the pick six podcast is moving lines. Yeah. Um, move that Buffalo wind total with the Buffalo division thing, 10 cents, like three months ago hadn't bought your sets. Um, uh, yeah. So, I mean, as everyone is anyone who listens to the show and as you people are probably well aware, I'm a big fan of spite. Um, yeah, love spite.


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[Assistant] With the boys. With the boys. Hang with the boys. Uhm, little, uh, we had a little Ryder Cup format where it was, uh, it was people from Raleigh versus people not from Raleigh. Uhm, I'm not allowed to say what the team names were. I don't believe on this.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's how we divide it up. Yeah. And that one guy is one guy who is from Raleigh, but one guy's from Raleigh, but didn't go to this particular school in Raleigh. It was either like this. Anyway, went to this one school or people who didn't. It's like this.


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[Assistant] It's a public high school that's like very like, it's anyway, long story short, that's what we were doing. Uhm, but at one point, that's a good question.


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[Assistant] So nobody won because one of the groups put their scorecard, put their scores in on the, um, on the, you know, like on the computer, the monitor, you can track like your scores like virtually instead of writing them down by hand.


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[Assistant] And, and then the computer malfunctioned. It didn't spit out the scores. And so it affected the entire contest. And so we don't know who won.


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[Assistant] Which is really a good synopsis of the entire weekend to be perfectly honest.


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[Assistant] He's like, whatever, he's like, whatever Brinson makes his pick, I'll just do this next.


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[Assistant] If I had, if you, if you don't know, like Sunday, I probably would have spited him and just take it, whatever he took and be like, no, no, no, I'll have that just out of pure spite. Uh, but it was like Saturday. So I couldn't like, I was like, I, I'm not going to just, I was like, RJ, just Jaguars are just like, dude, it shows you these.


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[Assistant] I was, I was not following this draft, I'll be honest with you, uh, at this, uh, at this particular juncture of my weekend. Uhm, we also accidentally ordered 42 Papa John's pizzas.


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[Assistant] I got some pizza for you and handed us like six pizzas. It was like, hold on, there's more in the car. What? We already have like 20 pizzas in here. Uh, anyway.


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[Assistant] That was going to be my spite move. Obviously I wasn't able to do it, but I'm curious RJ, did you have anything that you.


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[Assistant] There's somebody else took outside the Seahawks and Alex that you, you were like, I wish that was mine.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like what, like was there a spite moment for you? Were you like, UGH!


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[Assistant] Alex, anything, any, anything that somebody did, somebody drafted and we were like, God, that's what I wanted. Cause like, I would actually throw out Zay Flowers too for me when RJ took Zay Flowers, as I mentioned before, like I thought I was going to get him. I don't know why I thought he was going to come back to me, but, um, yeah.


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[Assistant] Yeah, was that a middle finger or is that a tip of the hat? By the way, speaking of spikes, so apparently, every, every, every week this year on sports line on the show version, I'm going to be going head to head with a coach, Jonathan Coachman and, um,


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[Assistant] On Spotlight, sorry, yes, on CBS Sports HQ Spotlight. And, uh, yesterday during our trial run, we were doing awards.


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't know about that. I think I, I had never done, honestly had never done a, um, photo shoot like that. Like we flew out to Nashville, by the way, sportsline.com slash join. You should probably could pick first month for a buck, obviously.


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[Assistant] That's right. Uh, and yeah, like the whole, uh, the whole, the whole photo shoot thing.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's not really my bag, but uh, it was, it was, it was interesting. I was like, could you guys, the, um, the, the, the lady, the girl, the lady, the girl was doing the photo shoot had like good tunes going, which was, which was a huge help because you have to stand there and do like weird poses and, um,


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[Assistant] And, uh, I will say that, uh, the one, the one, you can take the promo code down now. It's just getting creepy. Uh, I will say the one thing that, like, um, I was, we were, we were to hair and makeup.


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[Assistant] And, uh, I think it was like, it was me, Ryan Wilson, John Breach walking there and Emily Proud, who's like one of the, uh, two four seven anchors was in there too, like getting hair and makeup done. And the lady looks at me, she goes, you're, you don't need anything done to your hair. I was like, I'm sorry. Could you say that into the recorder?


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[Assistant] Because I wanted known that I need nothing done to my hair to go to a photo shoot. Like my hair just looks perfect for a photo shoot. Thank you very much ma'am. Make up hair lady.


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[Assistant] Like crazy, like you can see on the YouTube page, like, you know, I had to be like,


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[Assistant] Oh, we could do that. Um, Nashville, the only place in, um,


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[Assistant] In the world, the only time I've ever had to get stitches, my entire adult, my entire life.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uhm, there's actually an article on the internet about it.


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[Assistant] The, uh, RJ, I'm curious what you thought about Sean McVay kicking the field goal.


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[Assistant] Not in the, not in the moment, not like, not like a, like a two minute, sorry, I think that I, uh, we talked about this on yesterday's show, so you can go listen to Brady and Lee talk about it too, and look, there, there's reasonable skepticism everywhere about it. I think they address it, he's like, uh, artist, you're talking about this PR guy, he's like, tells me that everyone in Vegas is really mad at me. Obviously I'm not aware of that.


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[Assistant] No, he means like every people like every like just he he made just like gamblers are mad because like the rams end up covering. I think they're just running their.


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[Assistant] I think they, I think his excuses or his, not excuses, logic is perfectly reasonable. They were...


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[Assistant] In their offense designed to get down the field and get a field goal, try to get an onsides kick and then try to get a touchdown and that's.


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[Assistant] That's just what you do nowadays. If you're down, if you're down 10 points, you go get the field goal first.


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[Assistant] And then, but they, they took too long getting, getting into field goal range. Now.


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[Assistant] It is bizarre. Like I, we, we picked that game on the, so we already did our segment between me and coach, uh, John, the coachman of the early edge podcast. You can check out pro stars on there as well. RJ, you don't do early edgy.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but yeaah, like, I think, uh, it is a good show to watch, uh, a lot of sharp people on there, including PropStars and RJ, obviously, and, uh, but, you know, we did the head-to-head, and it was like, we're picking it, and like, I look at that game, I'm like, why are the Steelers, like, why are the Steelers should be favored in this game, right? I mean, I don't know, maybe that's just me.


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[Assistant] Yeah. And, uh, we actually saw if you, um, whatever you.


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[Assistant] We saw in our rundown, you can see where we updated the lines and it moved to three Tennessee plus three and then like Brown's minus three minus one fifteen. So this is one that's kind of bouncing back and forth. So make sure you're shopping, getting the best line, the three and a half versus the three. Obviously I mean a huge, huge difference in terms of, um,


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[Assistant] How often you see, you know, like that hit where three is that key number. I look, you know, I've mentioned the me versus the coach thing.


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[Assistant] I'm like 271 on the season somehow and that's humiliating. Long season, not that worried about it, but my two wins.


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[Assistant] No, I don't, I don't really, I don't, I mean, it's, it's not great that they're throwing up the graphic that says 271.


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[Assistant] Uh, actually I, I said that I joked that 271 is the area code of Brinsonville. It's actually not claimed yet. It's a, it's not recognized as an area code anywhere in the North American territory. So, um.


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[Assistant] I'm claiming 271, Brinsonville. And when, um, when I am forced to move out of my house because my pics are so bad, that will be my area code that you can call me at.


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[Assistant] I will, uh, anywho, I will take the Titans here. The two, two, the two wins are both Titans wins. It's the only thing I've won in this stupid contest. His variables great against the spread as a dog. He, he should, it could be, the Titans could be 2-0 as an underdog this year. They could have easily beaten New Orleans. And, um, I think that the Titans,


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[Assistant] Try to make sure that Ryan Tannell doesn't get sacked, doesn't make too many mistakes. Little worried that, you know, we saw them, um, in week one against what looks, what we think is maybe a good defense, that they struggled and only put up 15 points.


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[Assistant] And now you get this Cleveland defense to be pretty good, but a lot of injuries in the back end for Cleveland. I think Ryan Tano can do enough to get going. And I got this feeling, man. Nobody's going to want to play Derek Henry.


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[Assistant] In DFS. People are a little wary of in regular. I think you're playing in regular fantasy.


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[Assistant] It's got a feeling Derrick Henry is like, dude, a pop one off. So I'm going to take the Titans plus three and a half. I actually think there's a decent chance they could win, but I don't think Katie will see many points.


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[Assistant] All right, let's move along to the Los Angeles Chargers who actually played the Titans last week. And this is my favorite game of the week. Really? I mean, just because it's going to be stupid. Oh yeah. It doesn't matter what the final score is. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Okay. And, and I think it's really interesting that the over under here shot up from 51. We mentioned on the early odds, uh, show to 54 and a half and has since dipped all the way back down to 53 and a half. The Minnesota Vikings minus one and a half hosting the Los Angeles chargers, both teams. Oh, and two.


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[Assistant] Both teams just total dirt fast. Like somebody like.


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[Assistant] I feel like this like game, like people expect, I mean, like you think you look at it, you're like, all right, cool. Like this is going to be like 75 to 74 crazy, like 72 yard field goal in the game. At the same time, you kind of, you kind of feel like there's a chance that this just ends up being.


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[Assistant] These teams march up and down the field and then like Justin Herbert and Kurt Cousins keep like falling over their feet in the red shirt and nobody scores or something like that. Uh, but RJ, I mean, you look at this game and, um, like I would lean towards the over, but it's probably too high to play it at this point. Um, but it's hard to imagine there not being a bunch of passing yards in this game, right?


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[Assistant] Several feet of snow. This is an actual tropical cycle.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I had another joke to make. I'm not going to make it. Uh, but, uh, the, my point being is I'm going to take the under in this one. And I think if you're watching the show right now on Thursday, live on youtube, youtube.com slash at NFL and CBS, I think you have to plug in. You can't just type the NFL and CBS. Um,


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[Assistant] If you're listening to the show and you're, however you, give us a five star rating, like, subscribe, smash that like button if you're in the chat. Get the under and now because it is going down.


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[Assistant] It was 37. That's a really low over under. It's down to 36 and a half on FanDuel with the under juice to minus 115. And here's the thing about this under the Patriots. One is whether to these are two teams that are going to literally try to win the game with defense.


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[Assistant] Like Bill Belichick is not going to let Bill O'Brien dial up plays designed to put Mac Jones in situations where anything could go wrong because I think he firmly believes and I think that I think the, um,


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[Assistant] I think the Jets believe sort of a similar thing, but I think Bill Belichick firmly believes that if he gets 10 points, he can win this game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, three points, three points to win this game. The Jets lost, the Jets like defense held the Patriots to three points last year and they lost the game.


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[Assistant] Belichick is going to run, run, maybe pass in certain situations, probably run again, punt the ball.


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[Assistant] He, like, he's not just gonna take it out of Mac Jones' hands. He's gonna put the ball in Zach Wilson's hands.


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[Assistant] And be like, look, I'm going to throw coverages in the back end that are messed Zach Wilson up, load up the box, dare the Jets to try to like, like stop them from running the ball and force them to use Zach Wilson. Sort of like the way the Jets got Josh Allen, right? Make him impatient, make him do something, make him make a mistake, get a sack, get something and don't be the team that makes the mistake. Now,


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[Assistant] Patriots the first two weeks, uncharacteristically mistake ridden early on in games. I think they try to correct that. Belichick knows he can't go to own three sure as hell doesn't want to go to own three against the Jets and understands that streak. I like the pats here too, but the weather is a concern. So I'll just take the under process. You like anything here?


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[Assistant] I just smashed a like button on this, on this video. So if I could be on this video and smash a like button, you people in the chat can smash the like button. Go ahead, smash it.


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[Assistant] This game scares me. I like my bills, but it scares me a little bit. I want nothing to do with betting on this game. What I do want to do though. You can't watch the Buffalo Bills on CBS, of course, Sunday.


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[Assistant] We're gonna go to a break, but first Sunday, it's week three and the Interval and CBS features the next chapter of the AFC East rivalry between the Patriots and the Jets.


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[Assistant] Or the Broncos taking on the dolphins get set for kickoff beginning at noon Eastern with JB and the guys on the NFL today. All hail Sunday. The NFL is on CBS and streaming on Paramount. Plus you can see that early slate of games on CBS.


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[Assistant] We got more picks to make coming up after the break. Next.


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[Assistant] Old Miss Alabama. Oh, sorry. That's you. That's you. That's me. I saw Old Miss. I know that you can't even hear it. See it on like the podcast. I just saw Old Miss Alabama. Got excited. I love Elaine Kiffin, Nick Saban, Ravelry. Man.


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[Assistant] Richardson thing with concussion. I mean, he hadn't cleared concussion protocol yet. I mean, like it's, it's, that's why it's ticked up to, is it seven and a half now? Where are we at here? It's eight or eight.


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[Assistant] For fantasy purposes, if you, if Richardson got dropped, go grab Richardson and stash him on your bench as a quarterback. I mean, he's a fantasy stud with just how much he runs, especially near the goal line. If he can stay healthy. I mean, he put up, I think 18 fantasy points in standard leagues, even with, um,


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[Assistant] Even leaving like basically at halftime with a concussion. So not a, uh, not a terrible way to potentially steal a, a league winning quarterback.


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[Assistant] Elsewhere in Rookie Quarterback News, CJ Stroud.


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[Assistant] Heading to Jacksonville to play the Jaguars. Jaguars minus eight.


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[Assistant] And, uh, half at last check, I believe. Yep. Jaguars was eight and a half and over under 44 and a half. That is creeping up. CJ Stroud is like top five in the league in terms of passing yards. I know, right? Maybe he's at least top six or seven. Does that scare you at all? RJ with the Jaguars laying eight and a half here.


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[Assistant] I would lean towards the Jaguars here as well. Houston is so, so injured. And I think like the bigger macro story about this game is that...


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[Assistant] For future, this upcoming future first round pick to come back up and get Willie Anderson, because if these injuries continue with a rookie quarterback in a division where the Colts look a little bit better than we thought, the Titans look a little bit better than we thought, maybe a lot better than we thought and the Jaguars are a pretty good team.


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[Assistant] In a draft that has Caleb Williams at the top and they just have to hand it to Arizona. That is an all time mistake in terms of a front office draft move.


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[Assistant] Bijan, lead the day in rushing. I love that. What was the odds last week? Was it like 30 to one? 30 to one. Yeah. I mean, you'll probably get like what? 20 to one this week or like 15 to one or something like that. But still like Bijan is dude, the dude is special. I mean, I told y'all.


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[Assistant] Chris Stapleton style, how he grabs, how he grabs and pulls at my heartstrings. Uh, he is legit. The thing about me for this game is the lions and the Falcons all season long are going to play close games.


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[Assistant] The way that they're built, the Lions can score, they can move the ball up and down the field. The defense is just banged up as, as Alex said, and it's like they've got the like Chelsea Gardner Johnson on IR. You're just dealing with these injuries. They're not going to be able to slow people down. I don't think, especially if those, if whoever they're facing have like.


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[Assistant] They got enough weapons there in with Atlanta in terms of Drake London and cow pits where if they get down, they can get come back. And I think like this is a really, you see the total 46 and a half for a Falcons game. That's really high. This is a sneaky shootout, a sneaky DFS game.


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[Assistant] Uh, to target and I just think if you're giving me three and a half points with either the Falcons or the Lions on any given week, I am probably going to take it because.


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[Assistant] And suddenly they're three and over and people are like, Oh my God, who's that handsome bearded guy in the, in the sports time photo that kept talking about the Falcons having the most wins in the NFL this season. Oh my God. Who is it? Who is it? Like a lot of buzz at the water.


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[Assistant] You're welcome, aren't you? I knew that you might not have heard. No, I just meant, I didn't mean like, I mean, everyone knew Bijan. I just meant that like, I think people were like,


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[Assistant] I think people this year like soured on the idea of like a rookie running back having a major impact in the way that Bijan has because it had been.


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[Assistant] Like we had gotten, we got Zeke and we had Zeke's Kareem Hunt and Saquon in three straight years where like rookies were just dominant. And then people were like, eh, I don't know if it's going to happen again. Rookie running back. So, and Bijan is just that dude.


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[Assistant] I don't even know what to make of this game. Is Jordan lost? Is Jordan lost? I think I just ranked fourth on Cody Benjamin's quarterback rankings for this week. Which is pretty wild, yeaah.


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[Assistant] I feel like Jordan left three touchdowns in back to back weeks. Packers could easily.


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[Assistant] Green Bay hosting the saints Derek Carr.


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[Assistant] Oh, too bad. It's not December in Lambeau field because my goodness, would it be lovely to get Derek Carr outdoors in the cold weather? Uh, probably won't be the case still at over under 42 and a half. I don't think we have any best bets here. RJ, uh, what's your lane here?


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[Assistant] Miami Dolphins 2-0, 2-0 talking about lower the, uh, consensus favorite to win MVP right now. And we have a Dolphins, uh, team that was favored by six and a half with an over under a 47 and a half. The Broncos 0-2 desperate to get a win in the Sean Payton, Russell Wilson era.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, you're going down to South Beach, South Beach or whatever, you know, it's like closer to Fort Lauderdale. It's closer to RJ than South Beach.


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[Assistant] You're six and a half point dogs. Your offense has been okay. Your defense doesn't look that great. This is a robust total. I feel like this could be a pretty big shootout, RJ.


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[Assistant] Worst half, he was awesome. He averaged like 19.3 yards per passative. Like he looked like old school Russ throwing down the field.


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[Assistant] You haven't cleared concussion protocol on Thursday. You're getting pretty close to the point where you, if you don't clear by Friday, I don't think you're playing, right?


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[Assistant] Does it protect whoever's back there enough? And that's a big cause for concern for Andrew Gregory Dalton because he collapses under pressure.


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[Assistant] Oh, and he's, you know, he's going against Eugene Cyril Smith III too, by the way. Uh, so puts a respect on his full name. I look, I think that Bryce or Andrew or Andy Dalton, it doesn't really matter. Um, see also now minus six and a half. I think I, we said on the early odd show.


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[Assistant] On Monday, watch Monday Night Football and if the Panthers offense looks like trash, grab the Seahawks minus four and a half.


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[Assistant] You got two points of CLV. Closing line value for those who don't know. Uhm, that doesn't guarantee anything.


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[Assistant] I think Seattle, I don't think Seattle's defense is as good as, um,


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[Assistant] The Falcons or the Saints, who the Panthers already played, however,


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[Assistant] It's pretty obvious you can put as many people in the box as you want and you're not getting beat deep by the Carolina Panthers offense. That means Miles Sanders has got to run the ball against a stack box, which is hard to do. And offensive line is good on the run, but bad against the pass. So if they're, you get them a third and long and they're in deep trouble.


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[Assistant] Meanwhile, Gina Smith bounced back in a big way, played some great football against Detroit. I think the Panthers defense is better than the Lions defense, but Brian Burns, I think he was at practice on Thursday with a helmet. They are still, uh, still extremely, um, you know, like banged up on that side of the ball. You go all the way across the country on a short week. I love the Seahawks here.


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[Assistant] 5.3 allowed to the Bears as well. I mean, the Lions, excuse me. So yeah, I mean, yeah, I'm staying away from this one. I would, I would lean the T. I think the under is probably the better look as RG points out. Alex, you got anything here?


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[Assistant] Uh, Cowboys at the Cardinals, another double digit point spread game.


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[Assistant] Dallas Cowboys have been, uh, extremely interesting the first two weeks of the season, their favorite by 12 and a half here over under 42 and a half climbing a little bit with that juice. And actually, I guess it was 43 and dropped down, but still juiced up to the over the, um,


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[Assistant] Interestingly, Alex is the way that this is sort of.


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[Assistant] Uh, working out what we saw week two, I didn't learn anything about the offensive week one for the Cowboys, but week two, Tony Pollard, 25 carries and CD land the alpha. This, this fits in with what we saw from Mike, Mike McCarthy when he was running offices in Green Bay where he is got one guy who does one lead back and one alpha receiver, right?


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[Assistant] Also we're noting like last year, I think the first meeting between the cow and obviously.


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[Assistant] It's not Apples Apples here, because Kellen Moore is the play caller, but uhm, I think they held the Cowboys like 17 points, uhm, in the Eagles first matchup. You know, Jonathan Gannon coordinating against Mike McCarthy's team. So, I mean, yeaah, I mean, some familiarity in terms of Jonathan Gannon going up against his Cowboys offense.


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[Assistant] Are you surprised at all that like Pittsburgh, I don't really get this line. Like I'm just kind of, I mean, I guess as I, as I pointed out on, um,


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[Assistant] The, uh, on the, on the, on HQ earlier today, it's like there is a sneaky little factor here where Pittsburgh's playing on a Sunday night, Sunday night, not Sunday at one.


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[Assistant] Or Sunday at whatever time on Pacific or Sunday night in Las Vegas.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying, if I knew I didn't have to do anything until 8 o'clock at night on Sunday, and I was in Las Vegas on Saturday.


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[Assistant] I bet the Niners on sports science, sportsline.com slash join use promo code pick, uh, RJ, I put all my, I put all my bets in before I wrote my article. How about that? Um, I got the Niners at 10, no Saquon Barkley, no Andrew Thomas.


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[Assistant] This is a tough spot for the Giants short week. They stayed out there after that crazy comeback against, against Arizona. Um, Christian McCaffrey is like 79 and a half rush yards. Give me the over unless it's just like defensive scores and a blowout. I love the Niners in the spot.


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[Assistant] I was gonna say, Katie, if you bet the you had the first touchdown score, the, uh, the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Right. But I'm saying like the move is if you like, if you bet Kittle first touchdown score, make sure you bet him anytime touchdown because like he could score later and you would wipe out your losses on first touchdown and then bet as PropStars points out, bet two touchdowns and frankly, you should probably sprinkle a little bit on three just in case.


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[Assistant] And then now you have, we're doing today's episode. Before today, I had not talked to Brinson, uh, since March. I had been ducking.


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[Assistant] We're paying him a lot of money. I'm just, if you're, if you're the dolphins, you have that hesitancy of, hey, look, he's been dealing with injuries.


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[Assistant] Uh, sure, he started the season with 466 yards, but is he gonna be throwing for 466 yards in week 12? Is he gonna be on the field in week 12? So, as far as paying him, I don't think you're gonna overreact off one game, but the thing I loved about this win by the Dolphins is it was kind of,


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[Assistant] Emblematic of the argument that everyone has about Tua and Justin Herbert where the chargers


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[Assistant] No, no, I'm talking about of both teams. Of how you feel about both quarterbacks. Not you in particular, but kind of you follow.


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[Assistant] What do people say when Justin Herbert got his big contract? It was like, well, can he win a big game? Can he lead a game winning drive? Uh, you know, he's the ultimate social media quarterback, unquote.


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[Assistant] And so he had a chance to beat Tua here. He had the ball in his hands on the final possession and he couldn't do it. And yes, the Dolphins went all in and crushed him a couple of times.


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[Assistant] But those are passes you have to get off because you know the situation. And then you have 2a and the question was can he survive the game? And as Brenton said, you were holding your breath every time he went down or got touched or hit. He didn't get sacked though because the Dolphins offensive line did such a good job. I don't even think I heard Joey Bosa's name called.


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[Assistant] Uh, a single time in this game, that really tells you how well the Dolphins offensive line played. So I was impressed.


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[Assistant] It didn't register. My brain muted out all mentions of any Bosa brother. Or Nick Bosa had enough production, uh, in the early slate to make up for the whole family. Uh, but I will say as someone who, I had the Dolphins Chargers both going 9 and 8 this year.


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[Assistant] And Tua looked a lot better than I thought he was going to. If you were going to ask me, uh, I mean, the Dolphins look like a lock for the playoffs. That's how good they looked. And the Chargers looked like the Chargers. So, uh, I'm going to go buy a Dolphin and jump on the Dolphins bandwagon.


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[Assistant] And let me just add to this real quick is that, so the Dolphins are up 36 to 34, uh, Herbert and the Chargers get the ball at the 25 yard line with a minute 45 left. At that point, and they still have, I think, two timeouts.


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[Assistant] Well, right. That's they we need 35 yards just to be in field goal range. 35 yards with two timeouts in a minute 45 and you win the game.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take a little bit of the props away from him.


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[Assistant] Uh, because one thing the Chargers did do well, so this part is a props to Kellamore, is that they figured out they could run the ball on the Dolphins, and they said, run, run, run, run, run, to the tune of 234 yards and three touchdowns. Okay, so that's great. You figure out their weakness, you're taking advantage of it. Well, guess what? Final drive.


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[Assistant] You only need 35 yards to get in field goal range. You haven't been in 45 and two timeouts. You're not in a pass only, uh, offensive situation. You can run your offense.


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[Assistant] But nope, what did the Chargers do? They call pass, pass, pass, pass. Uh, Herbert could sack twice on that final drive. He only got sacked three times the entire game. Two of them came on that final drive because the Chargers refused to run the ball. Even though they had two timeouts, they could have switched things up, thrown a few curve balls.


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[Assistant] It does feel like you've kind of reached, I don't want to say the ceiling of the quarterback salary because whenever my home's redoes his deal, it's going to go higher.


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[Assistant] But it's gonna be hard for Tua to say, hey look, I want 56 or 57 million a year when you don't have any playoff wins, you have trouble staying healthy, uh, and then it turns into a Kyler Murray situation where you regret it three weeks after you signed the contract.


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[Assistant] The entire contract is a per game active roster bonus.


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[Assistant] Well, it would take three hours for me to go through all of my favorite moments from the game.


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[Assistant] But honestly, and it's gonna sound crazy and you might not even believe me.


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[Assistant] But it is going to be how fast the Steelers first offensive drive ended. They went three and out. All I heard for the past...


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[Assistant] Three weeks was how they were in the preseason and Kenny Pickett was gonna light everything up and Matt Canada had turned a corner with Kenny Pickett and what'd they do? They went straight out, fell flat on their face with a three and out, an interception on their second possession, another three and out. And by the time they didn't do a three and out, which I don't think happened until, uh, like the end of the second quarter, five minutes left in the set. There we go.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah, I mean, that's, that's, Prince had already hit the nail on the head with him. I mean, that was, look, we all had the questions of, can he throw the ball more than 10 yards downfield coming off


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[Assistant] The elbow injury. It was, hey look, he played a few snaps in the preseason. We saw Kenny Pickett play a few snaps in the preseason and play well. Doesn't mean anything. You have to do it in a game. And I think when people were trying to make their Super Bowl picks, uh, the hesitancy with the 49ers was, do I trust


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[Assistant] Pretty and the answer right now is an unequivocal.


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[Assistant] Yes, I mean, the guy looks like he can run Kyle Shanahan's offense to perfection. And this is like Kyle Shanahan's fantasy. This is exactly what he wants in a quarterback. This is everything he's ever wanted in a quarterback. Found him with the last pick of the drafts, which makes it even crazier. And as long as Purdy stays healthy, man, and Princeton hit it.


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[Assistant] It's the 49ers, it's the Cowboys, it's the Eagles, and those feel like the three top dogs, and you maybe throw the lines in there, but those feel like the three top dogs in the NFC.


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[Assistant] But in fact, the Forerunners have not lost a regular season game with Christian McCaffrey. They are now 11-0, I believe, undefeated when Christian- Christian McCaffrey- Christian McCaffrey-


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[Assistant] Uh, if you are a Packers fan, you are thrilled. Look, I think the Bears are a bad football team. I picked them to finish in last place. I think they have them winning five games. So I'm not going to come out and say, I'm going to give Jordan Love an MVP vote because he diced up the Bears. But, but, and this is a big but, uh,


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[Assistant] You have to be thrilled to see this because look, Jordan Love could have come out and fall flat on his face and that didn't happen. I mean, there were a couple inaccurate throws, but overall I thought he played a pretty good game. It's a good stepping stone. This is what you want to see out of your new full-time starter and you gotta be thinking, all right, now if he plays like this and gets slightly better each week,


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[Assistant] Uh, we can compete in this division cause there's no great team in this division. So yeah, I think if you are the Packers, you are thrilled with Jordan Love and Justin Fields.


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[Assistant] Man, I just don't know. The Bears just aren't a good team. I don't know what you do. I don't know what Justin Fields is gonna do. He got sacked four times. He's running for his life. He's always trying to make something crazy happen and there's not enough good players on that roster to make crazy things happen.


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[Assistant] That Jordan Love finishes with better stats than Aaron Rodgers. Is that correct? That's your answer. That's your answer.


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[Assistant] There, and look, it's your rookie year, big learning curve.


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[Assistant] Last year he went three and twelve and as Brinton said, not a great roster, not, this team wasn't great. Why was there an expectation and all this hype around them going into this season? Like Fields is an electric flying player. He shows flashes, you know, when he has these crazy touchdown runs.


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[Assistant] Right, but until we can, you've gotta have the passing game to complement that.


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[Assistant] Uh, I mean, they probably still lose. Sporners are so talented, but it's probably like 27-24. Matt, Matt Canada could screw up the Niners.


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[Assistant] No, if you give Justin Fields to Kyle Shanahan, the Bears, I don't know if they win this game, but they probably win this game.


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[Assistant] Wait, to Brinton's point real quick, you were going to say to my point, I'm going to Brinton's point is that when you're saying, uh, pointing out the 2000 yards last year in 15 games, he's never had a 300 yard passing game.


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[Assistant] To add to that fact, Ryan, uh, largest week one win since 1989. 1989 is also the last time the Cleveland Browns won a division title.


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[Assistant] Who won the Super Bowl in 1989? The San Francisco 49ers. Who'd they beat? Uh, Russell Wilson's Broncos. Nice. Gotcha.


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[Assistant] Let's check our week one picks real quick. Oh, Breach picked the Browns to win. Okay, that's all.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I was writing sideways and it did look like Burrow had a little bit of trouble.


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[Assistant] Gripping the ball, which was interesting, but I don't think that would have changed anything, even if it would have been a drizzle. I still don't think the Bengals win this game.


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[Assistant] That's the thing, is that I'm a Browns fan, obviously, if I'm a Browns fan, I'm thinking, hey, I'm thrilled with this 24 to 3 win, they're celebrating because they haven't won a home opener since 2004, as Wilson already mentioned.


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[Assistant] So including Kenny Pickett. So it just kind of, so people won't be talking about the fact that Deshaun Watson did not look good in this game. He had one of the ugliest interceptions. This is something Joe Burrow didn't do. Watson scrambled out, uh, had a guy wide open or kind of in the middle of three Bengals players. And instead of getting anywhere near his guy, he threw it straight to the Bengals player. And so.


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[Assistant] Well, exactly. And here's why I picked against the Bengals this week. I would pick against the Bengals, I feel like two or three times a year, but it was, we've literally


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[Assistant] We've literally seen this exact same script in Joe Burrow's career. The first year, you know, we've talked about how he missed the off season, didn't exist because of COVID. So we didn't get a lot of time.


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[Assistant] To build chemistry with your receivers, you go out, offense doesn't look great in week one.


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[Assistant] Second year, he's rehabbing the ACL. You don't get a lot of preseason time to biochemistry the receivers. You go out, you don't look great in week one. Last year,


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[Assistant] The appendix, you don't get a lot of time with the receivers to build chemistry and you play the Steelers and you don't look great in week one. So I mean, that's what was going to happen this year. You can't just expect Joe Burrow to go out there and have this automatic chemistry after three practices and not being out on the field for a month. So.


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[Assistant] I didn't think there was any way they were going to win this game. I thought the Browns roster is stacked. I've said that predicted them to go to the playoffs this year.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I will say as far as Cleveland goes, I didn't really learn anything about them because Deshaun Watson played average football and to me he's still the wild card, the X Factor. I don't, I still don't know if he's going to be good this year and that's the one thing I needed to learn about the Browns that I didn't learn, but their defense looked awesome.


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[Assistant] Uh, Nick Chubb looked good, but I still don't know how I would rate Sean Watson.


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[Assistant] It's on CBS. You're banned until 2026. Something changed? Me? I thought you were banned from


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[Assistant] And Russell Wilson's defense, okay? The Broncos only punted twice in this game.