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[Assistant] Right? I think it also fits him, the new offensive coordinator for the Steelers. He came from, yeaah, Atlanta, Tennessee. I think about what he had in Tennessee with Ryan Tannehill, right? They ran the ball and then they took their tactical shots down the field and Tannehill's a great deep ball thrower. I think that's what they want to do in Pittsburgh. I think that fits Russell Wilson better than


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[Assistant] So he doesn't fit a cool coach like Kevin O'Connell looks at a guy like Russell Wilson. And then plus when he knows and hears the stories about, you know, Denver and Sean Payton, he goes, wait, I try to do a lot of.


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[Assistant] Now see a move to Sam Darnold, who I think is more along those lines of, wait, this guy can handle my full, all my verbiage and all the checks and all the rules I have, you know. And now let's see if he can succeed with a team around him for the first time as a starter. We'll see where that goes. But still, man, the Vikings letting go Kirk Cousins.


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[Assistant] I know we got like, Atlee C. Eldridge here, you know, talking about sticking with a mid-level QB, paying him a lot of money is a really hard way to win a Super Bowl. I applaud the Vikings for figuring it out. Reminds me of the Chiefs with Alex Smith. Good team, but difficult to win playoff games, right?


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[Assistant] First off, I believe Kirk has this is better than Alex Smith as a thrower and a passer and aggressive decision maker and all that. I mean, Alex Smith's nickname was Checkdown Charlie throughout the NFL, right? There'd be guys wide open down the field. That was, that was, well, that's why they stopped it. It was the Steelers divisional playoff game when they lost, right?


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[Assistant] Uh, and, and the, you know, the game got changed cause the, uh, I think it would have been the weather that year or whatever. There was people all but everywhere and he wouldn't pull the trigger. And that was when they went, I think we need to do something else at quarterback.


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[Assistant] So my, my answer to at least see Eldridge too is like,


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[Assistant] That's fine to play, replace Kirk Cousin, Kirk Cousins. I get that. And he's played at a much higher level than Alex Smith did in Kansas City. Okay, so I just want to make that clear. This is better than Alex Smith was in Kansas City.


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[Assistant] Okay, but, then you better replace them with something special then. That, that, that's, that's, that's the point there. Right? I mean, that's the point. Kansas City made a bold move, and then backed it, you know, put in assets to trade up, what, 17 picks to get Patrick Mahomes? Right?


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[Assistant] Right? Russell has been taught by Pete Carroll and a defensive head coach and he told him when it's hairy down the middle, don't ever throw it. Yes. We don't need to risk it. Right?


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[Assistant] Right, Kirk Cousins, to your point, I love that you're looking up these stats for me and backing me up here. Yea, Kirk Cousins is like- That's jarring. 8 games to 15. Yea, right. More attempts. 8 games. Right, right. And Kirk Cousins is like, wait, there's a window the size of a hole over there? I'll throw it in there, I'll smash it in there. That's where he's special.


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[Assistant] There's more of that that goes on in Kirk Cousins' game that people don't realize where if they like, sat down and watched film with us,


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[Assistant] You know, we'd sit there and go, look at this throw and this decision. This is like a little more special than you're given a credit for. Right? And those are the things. Yeah. Russell Wilson doesn't throw the ball down the middle field in those spots. And yeah, I think that's why a guy like Kevin O'Connell and the Vikings wouldn't want him.


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[Assistant] It's, it's, they're paying nothing to the quarterback position right now. So they certainly could afford to drop one or draft one. It's not going to be like, oh no, now we're paying $17 million for quarterbacks, right? I mean, it's nothing either way. So yeah, I would expect them to now, you know, the value to make that type of move or whatever, again, a team that's,


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[Assistant] You know, good, but still got some holes and can certainly get better. How much of their future do they want to leverage on that? Right? How strongly do they feel that, wait, one of these guys we can trade up, do we really feel is worth all these assets that we gotta do? Right? Because I certainly don't think Jaden Daniels or Caleb Williams will be there. So that's where it goes. But, you know,


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, I would expect them to dive into all angles as far as drafting a quarterback, see where that goes.


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[Assistant] I think they got themselves an insurance policy with Sam Donahue to go, wait, we feel like his skill set and what he does can fit Kevin O'Connell.


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[Assistant] And we'll see what, there's some potential there. And then I like their other moves they've made, you know. We talk about Kirk Cousins and that stinks, but man, Blake Cashman, really good value, awesome middle linebacker, right? Andrew Van Ginkle, I mean, stand up linebacker DN can do it all. With Grenard. With Grenard.


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[Assistant] Who I'm a fan of. Right. I like Jonathan Grenard as well. And then you talked about Aaron Jones. So they've made some good moves to improve the rest of their football team. The quarterback thing is all we're going to evaluate though.


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[Assistant] It's a close one. I mean, I'm a big, I'm a, you know, here's the thing. Patrick Queen last year was awesome, right? But that was the first year you say awesome, right?


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[Assistant] It turned down. I've gotta think, you know, the contract being, you know, being a free agent and then I would think a year under Roquan Smith. I was gonna ask, what is that about?


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[Assistant] You start to learn little nuances. You start to go, wait, I'm every bit as physically good as this guy. He just thinks a little differently.


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[Assistant] You know, he might not chase, you know, uh, uh, the, the rabbit all the time, right? He's a little more disciplined and, oh, whoa.


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[Assistant] He's doing this to take care of his body. Oh gosh. Man, Roquan, you're going in there to watch film right now to check out old line stands to see who's pulling who's not. See if we can get, okay, I'll do that. I would think that's more or less that what happened.


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[Assistant] He got a real pro around him that showed him like, hey, this is the way it's done here. Right? Let alone the competition of like, wait, this guy's good, but I could do that too. And I think it raised his game. Right? So, uh, it's, it's a good question. I think, I, you know, I, I,


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[Assistant] I saw this question before we started the pod and I was kind of trying to think about it a little bit. Saquon gives you a lot of bang for your buck right now. Okay, let's just say that right off the bat. He's going to put defenses in a bind. I mean with, with those two receivers, the best offensive line in football.


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[Assistant] I mean, Saquon's the closest thing we've seen to Barry Sanders in open space since Barry Sanders retired. And this will be the first time he's in an offense that actually can create space for him. So that's where I do like that, right? And he's, I still think he's a home run hitter, right? As far as explosive playmaker who can score touchdowns from about anywhere on the football field, right?


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[Assistant] But at the same time, you know, they got a lot of defensive guys that are studs. How much money are they gonna put there? I guess that's what I look at. You know, Jordan Davis, you know, Jalen Carter. Paid Bryce Huff big money. Bryce Huff, Nolan Smith.


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[Assistant] Sweats being paid pretty good. Hassan Reddick's being paid pretty good. Now one of them is gonna be traded, I expect. Chauncey Gardner-Johnson. You just get Chauncey Gardner-Johnson. You drafted Nicole B. Dean. Right? In the second round.


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[Assistant] I think they just decided to go, hey, let's not play the big money for that position. We got other positions on defense we gotta pay with some other needs here. And we feel like Zach Bond's a pretty good player from the Saints who can help us out in that position. You know, maybe they think there's another guy as far as, uh,


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[Assistant] You know, on their roster that's developing, but I would think they're gonna go Bond and, and Nicoby Dean and go from there.


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[Assistant] He got a few extra assets a few years ago and he's never relinquished them and they just feel like they have a never ending supply of assets now. I mean, it's incredible.


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[Assistant] Made a few trades in the draft, and all of a sudden it's just like, they're so ahead of the game. They, they got so many players, they can't even keep them all. Just like we're talking about. But everybody in football is looking for a better pass rusher right now. They're like, hey, we got a yard sale over here. We, uh, you want Josh Swett? You want Hassan Reddick? Hey, hey, who wants him? Hey, Hius Bitter. I mean, it's incredible.


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[Assistant] And they'll probably keep the one that's left over. And now you got Nolan Smith, Bryce Huff, Brandon Graham, and whoever's left over. And you go, okay, our four defense ends. We're good. There we go. That's that ends that story. I mean.


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[Assistant] Chauncey Gardner Johnson, I know this from people in Philly. They, they felt like they missed him last year. I told Borio this this morning. They, they missed him, his attitude.


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[Assistant] You know, the, the, the swag. The energy is totally different. Right. The psychoness of what he brings to the defense, the physicality, the no-nonsense. He's the attitude setter. I think they felt like they missed that last year. And then all the other moves are incredible too. I mean, Bryce Hoff, come on. For $17 million a year, I think is a steal. Bryce Hoff


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[Assistant] When I studied free agents last weekend and tried to look at like a lot of the top tier ones, right? He was the one I came away with going,


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[Assistant] He's better than I even thought he was. Like I knew he was a special pass rusher, but he's great at everything. He just, he got politically pushed out of town because of two first rounds they picked, right? And they should have signed him up last year for lower money and kept him and not worried about drafting another defensive end. They blew it. Yea, they blew it. They blew it.


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[Assistant] Just an awful job by Joe Douglas. The physicality of the player is better than I guess I expected during the year. He's developed, he's not just speed off the edge.


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[Assistant] For sure, let alone they have a very special eye for talent there. But that, the Chauncey Gardner, Johnson, you know, Saquon, Devante Parker and adding him to the wide receiver room as a third or fourth receiver is incredible. And then getting Brandon Dickerson done.


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[Assistant] Lander Dickerson was my second team All-Pro pick this year. I think he is absolutely a killer.


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[Assistant] He is in that combo with Linderbaum down in, in, uh, Atlanta as one of the best guards in football right now. So to get that done too and get out in front of it because like next year he's gonna ask for 25 million a year or that price is gonna go that. That was another brilliant move by the Eagles.


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[Assistant] The offensive line, and, and within that, you know, hey, the offensive line healthy there is, is not that bad. So the health and then add a little to that, I don't look at anything other than that to go, oh wow, they need something else here. They're decimated, right?


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[Assistant] You know, no, I think they kind of addressed it the right way. Got a little size in the middle with Jovan Kenlaw, a guy that solid probably has good feel or heard things from with the 49ers crew. He was there when they drafted him, right?


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[Assistant] Isaiah Oliver, of course, was another 49ers guy. He fits the Seattle 3 scheme. He knows how to do that. But yeaah, I think they were just looking for, for value guys. And then it's gonna be about


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[Assistant] What move do they make here in free agency to add another lineman or what do they do in the draft? I mean, it's going to be one of those two things, but I think yeah, it's really bargain shop with the, with the team that they feel like they got a lot of the key parts to be successful.


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[Assistant] Well, okay, so, like, what's, what would be your, your assessment here, Mr. Jess Fan, of what we got and what's going on?


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[Assistant] You go through the Jets roster, it's pretty strong. I mean, Connor brought up the concerns, I get that. We gotta get the O-line figured out, for sure.


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[Assistant] There's no doubt about that. And I would think that they, again, a guy like Joe Douglas,


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[Assistant] You know, and I think that's what kind of stinks. He's got a little unlucky cause he's tried to address this with McKay Beckton and Elijah Vera Tucker and Joe Titman last year. They get, they've been hurt. He'd been a little unlucky there. He came from the Eagles and the Ravens before this. So trust me, he believes in big offensive linemen for sure.


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[Assistant] I just think they're probably going to try to find a value guy here somewhere as we go along in the next week.


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[Assistant] By that deal. Great value, and can play guard or tackle, so he saves your ass no matter what, what happens there with the guys you got already, right? Oh, Evan Neil's playing guard, okay, Illuminaur can play tackle. Oh, Evan Neil's playing tackle, Illuminaur can play guard.


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[Assistant] No, I like that too. Again, this is what's been missing from John Runyon. Yeaah. He can be a starting guard. Right? I mean, this is what's been missing from the Giants for, I don't know, 10 years? 11 years? The Giants were like, famous for 30 years straight for going,


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[Assistant] They got the biggest people you'll ever see. The giants are on the field and they are actually giant as in people. I mean, that's what they were famous for.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, it didn't matter. After my dad retired and they got into Strahan and Tuck and all those guys and Sean O'Hare on the O-line, like, I mean, again, I was playing during that time, you know, you just take the feeling and go, man.


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[Assistant] Holy cow, they look good over there warming up. Holy shit. So finally, we look like we're getting back to looking like one of those teams. You know? And yea, I love Brian Burns, of course. Like Jalen Mills too, to go along with it. But then yea, the offense alignment, giving them a little versatility there. Devon Singletary is a good replacement.


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[Assistant] For, uh, uh, for Saquon, right, exactly right. And then, you know, to have Brian Burns, Dexter Lawrence, Thibodeau, O'Carickie, and Micah McFadden, you know, as a part of that front seven now, that's a, that's a pretty damn group, good group right there. That's going to give some teams some problems.


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[Assistant] I don't think so either. You know, I would question whether you get McCarthy or, you know, I'm a believer in Bo Nix too, to where I'd be interested to see where that goes.


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[Assistant] I don't think the Giants are gonna draft a quarterback.


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[Assistant] At six, I don't, I don't think they're looking for it, you know, and again, maybe if something really falls in their face here and they start to fall in love with the quarterback as day ball breaks down guys and all that, maybe they do that. But again, I mean, it's a team where, you know, we're talking about, there's a lot of different holes here, right? You know, I, uh,


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[Assistant] I feel like the Drew Locke thing yesterday, signing him, makes me believe even more that they're gonna stay with Daniel Jones. Right? I just, that would be my thought there. Uhm, and,


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[Assistant] Let me just try to, like, I could see them doing it either way. I mean, they can get a Difference Maker, maybe one of these receivers at 6. I mean, that's what I'm all. That certainly could help out, right?


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[Assistant] No, I think that's what it is. You know, again, I heard, you know, some of the comments like the Giants have buyers remorse about Daniel Jones. And again, my assessment of watching the Giants, right, being at a game in person two years ago is like, Daniel Jones is like problem 74 for the Giants. Like, there is way other problems, bigger problems.


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[Assistant] Yeah, if I'm them, I'm staying with that. I don't think it's going to be an aggressive move to look at quarterback right now. I just don't feel like the Giants will do that. One, I don't think it's necessarily in their DNA to make that. I think they're smart enough to know we got other issues on our football team.


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[Assistant] I think Dayball is a believer in Daniel Jones. So for all those reasons, you know, if they do get a quarterback, I think it's more along the lines of maybe what you say later in the draft or something that I can't believe he's there. We'll trade up and get him here right now.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay. Alright, so this is a good question. Let me pull up the Bears roster here. You know, one, I think they got into


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[Assistant] Hey, they wanted a running back. They feel like they needed an, uh, another guy or a guy that was a difference maker and they weren't going to mess around and for what their team is. And again,


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[Assistant] Okay, $8 million is really a drop in the bucket as far as the NFL and the salary cap in a total capacity there. And they're obviously not sold on Roshan Johnson yet as being that guy or being able to carry the whole workload. He's a little bit of a straight liner and a power runner. That's what he is. Swift is a guy, you know,


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[Assistant] Roshan, I think, is more of your guy, like, hey, we're underneath the center, it's second and four, we want to smash it up the middle, give it to him. Hey, we're in the shotgun, we've spread it out a little bit, Caleb's tearing it apart, oh, here you give it to DeAndre Swift, he fits that. They obviously felt a belief there. They got a damn good O-line, I think, that's brewing there in Chicago.


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[Assistant] I think they took the, took that little value or that stance at the running back position. Now, the three technique thing.


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[Assistant] No doubt about it. That's what they're thinking. No doubt. And you know, I know, you know, r- right now as far as like receivers that are big time on their roster, I mean, we know they got a stud. And DJ Moore, he's one of the best there is.


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[Assistant] You know, how do they feel about Avilus Jones? Do they feel like he can contribute a little bit more this year? I don't know, but yea, like you said, they're gonna find another receiver in the draft. I wouldn't be shocked if they find another one free agency here, right? Like a guy like maybe like DJ Chark to replace a Darnell Mooney or something like that, right? A guy that's got big playability similar to that. We talked, they got Colcomet, they got all of that.


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[Assistant] So, you know, I think the receiver thing will take care of itself. I wouldn't worry about that too much. Now the three technique thing, you know, again, I haven't evaluated Dee Lyman here yet, but the one thing I'll say, I know they lost Justin Jones, but I think too, right, they lost Justin Jones. I'm pretty sure, but they took Gervin Dexter with a second round pick.


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[Assistant] When they drafted him in the second last year, I was like, man, the guy's a specimen, but he's not a great football player. Well, they made him a pretty good football player. And I think that you're right. I'm right with you. I think they looked at it and went, wait,


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[Assistant] He's young and he can play three technique. He's athletic, he's big, he's got it all. He's a second round pick on the guy.


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[Assistant] Right? I think that, that, but, but do they want to, you know, spend that type of money? What kind of money is he asking for? I'm sure he's probably at, the reason he's not signing is probably asking a little bit more than everybody would like right now. I think that's the biggest thing.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I, you know, again, I think Brandon Staley's thing is gonna be, one, just learn their defense, right? And then, once he learns that...


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[Assistant] I think they'll lean on him for ideas, right? I mean, anybody you talk to with, you know, Brandon Staley's a smart guy. He knows football and X's and O's and all that.


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[Assistant] But as I always say, when you go to the 49ers, you gotta conform to what they do, right? So, that's where he's gonna learn what they do, and then hopefully at some point, right, he gets a hold of that, and Shanahan and Sorensen go,


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[Assistant] You know, you got another wrinkle for us, you think there's something that makes sense, and I think he'll throw that in there. So I think that's what he does, but listen.


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[Assistant] I'm, I, I love the edge guys they got. I love them all, like both guys. I'm a huge Leonard Floyd fan as a football player, right? Severely underrated. Severely underrated. You know, one of those where I was like, damn, you can get him for $10 million. Like that, that's it. That kind of player. And then Yeeter Gross Motto's is another one.


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[Assistant] That I'm a little surprised by the price tag. And I think there's untapped potential here too. And I think he's gonna be in a scheme here where...


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[Assistant] You know, hey, a lot of times, defense ends have to think about certain things. This is why the 49ers scheme is cool at times because they don't make their defense ends think about anything other than going to get the quarterback. And then they go, hey, Fred Warner and Drake Greenlaw, you guys are freaks, so fill in the holes from there, right? That's kind of how they play. But to get those two play,


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[Assistant] I think it's phenomenal. I think it's an upgrade over Chase Young, just so everybody knows, for sure. Right? For sure, let alone, I'm guessing Chase Young was asking for


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[Assistant] You know, more money than either one of those guys, which I don't know why, but he is. And then Jordan Elliott, I think is a great, you know, depth three technique.


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[Assistant] Does Eric Armstead lower his price and maybe go down to the price side? That's another three technique that the Bears could get to. That would be scary. Right? But yeah, so there's, we'll see where that goes, but they, uh, I think have dressed some important things there, got some insurance for the great green law injury with Eric Kendricks.


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[Assistant] I feel like he's at the point of his career where that, like, does he really want to go somewhere new?


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[Assistant] It seems like it's one where they like, maybe they know something we don't, that hey, he likes it here, we like him, he knows that, we just gotta tinker with, you know, the bottom line number, or whatever that is. But they're like, I've said this about Kansas City, they're hard because of the reasons you talked about.


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[Assistant] Right, they're one of those teams that I don't ever know how they feel totally about their own line and some of the guys they have as backups because they've been so good at developing guys and bringing them up along the way. But obviously there's gotta be something done there, uh, we know that. The other ones, I mean again,


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[Assistant] Yeaah, it stinks not to have em, but I mean you can't keep everybody.


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[Assistant] You just can't. And again, you look at it and go, hey, Marlon Humphrey, they're paying him. Marcus Williams, they're paying him. Kyle Hamilton, they're gonna have to pay him like the top safety in football. Ro Kwan's being paid like the top linebacker in football. You just paid Matabouke, right? So you just paid Lamar the richest contract.


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[Assistant] And there, so, uh, there's only just, there's only so much you can do. This is what happens to the good teams, but I don't look at any of these moves and go, oh wow, man, I think differently now about the Ravens. And of course I like the Derek Henry thing, and uh, I do think he'll add value to that running game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Dolphins are, they're a top heavy football team. You know, that's where it's tough here, right? It's like how many, how many guys can you pay?


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[Assistant] Right, they're gonna have to pay Tua, Waddle's gonna be coming up here soon. Bradley Chubbs contracts are wild. Bradley Chubbs is wild, Jalen Phillips will probably have to be paid, right? They just paid Seiler, they're paying Jalen Ramsey, they just got off the books with Xavier and Howard because they're probably about to have to pay Javon Holland too, right? So yeaah, they got a lot of...


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[Assistant] High caliber football players. Here's the one thing I don't love about. Right? You know, there's a team that I brought up like,


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[Assistant] You know, they got a lot. I like it. I think they, you know, the next thing I would say just, you know, they couldn't win any of the gritty tough games last year, right? That was the thing we broke down. I think that's the fact of the matter.


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[Assistant] I felt like couldn't be as physical as the other top physical teams in football. They just lost their most two physical football players, right? So that's where now they did a great job here. I do think of like value guys, but I don't think any of them are the caliber of the guys they lost, right? Shaq Barrett, of course, saves them.


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[Assistant] Because neither one of their pass rushers are going to be healthy to start the year. So that gives them a little something there, right? Aaron Brewer, center position.


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[Assistant] Good player, athlete, that'll be good. He'll fit all the athletic things they ask their center to do. Brewer being a little undersized there is extremely athletic, not necessarily crazy power, right?


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[Assistant] Uh, and then Jordan Brooks is a guy that I always liked the athlete. Just doesn't seem to have put it all together. Alright, but yeaah. They're a team that's got a lot of contracts coming up. They're top heavy. And, you know, it's just...


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[Assistant] Right now, I wouldn't be lying. I'd be a little worried about them. They'd be one team I'd look at and go...


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[Assistant] I don't know, they didn't get better to me right now. That's what I would say, right? Uh, that would be the big thing. I'm not saying they got worse, but man, those are some big people to lose in Van Ginkle, Christian Wilkins, and Robert Hunt. And the fact that they're pass rushers


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[Assistant] We're, if we have to start the season with him, we will if we don't end up getting the quarterback we want in the draft. It all worked out that way.


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[Assistant] Right, I don't think they're looking to go, let's go back to the rookie quarterback formula. One, you know, two, I don't think they want to totally give up on Kenny Pickett.


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[Assistant] No, Russ is here to potentially and most likely be the starting quarterback. That's just, you know, what I said to you earlier. I'm a believer in, you know, he fits the way I think the Steelers want to play on the offensive side of the football, right?


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[Assistant] Run the ball, you know, okay, here's George Pickens open for an outroute, throw it to him, run it, run it, ooh, play action pass, deep down the middle, there's Fryer Muth or, you know, George Pickens running a go-route on the outside, boom, touchdown. I think that's the way they're gonna try to play here. And, you know, Pickett can maybe run an offense better.


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[Assistant] As far as like, you know, picking you apart, short passes, intermediate throws over the middle that you alluded to earlier and all that, but there's no big play element with Pickett. And that to me is what they've missed there, and I feel like they're gonna be like, hey, we got a system of running the ball and getting some intermediate passes, no problem, Arthur Smith, I'll take care of all that for you, Russell.


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[Assistant] Three or four times a game, I'm gonna dial up the shot downfield and that's where I need you to come through with a big time throw. And that's where I think he can deliver. I do. And, my biggest thing with Russell, as I said on Monday,


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[Assistant] It's the Beacon of Hope. There's no Beacon of Hope in Pittsburgh. I had this conversation with McCourty yesterday. That's been my phrase I've used. The Beacon of Hope.


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[Assistant] What does the Beacon of Hope do? When you have a quarterback, and I know Russell Wilson's taken a hit here the last two years, but last year wasn't horrible, right? It just wasn't up to Sean Payton and his standards and what he thinks that can be done in that offense, right? They were still good there.


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[Assistant] Right? There's some merit to improve. Stop rush, looking at the rush. Hey, there's guys open down the field, but you're looking at the rush. There's things he can work on. I get that.


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[Assistant] You know, but it wasn't bad to where you still go, whoa, he can still make a lot of big throws and he can make the occasional old Russell Wilson magic that way, right?


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[Assistant] In the locker room, a guy like Russell Wilson is gonna give that locker room. Oh, we gotta play burro and, you know.


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[Assistant] This quarterback this week, we got Russell. We'll be okay. He'll keep us in this. He'll make some plays in the big moments to help us win the football game. It's that feeling of we don't need to run for 150 yards and the defense doesn't have to get a stripped sack and we got to block a punt to win the game. Right. That's how it always felt. That's how it felt. That's how it felt. Exactly right. Exactly right. 100%. Let's move to a teammate. I love the Patrick Queen signing though.


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[Assistant] Going back to Bill Cower in the late 90's is essential to the Blitzburg defense. They do so much up front, right? You know that.


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[Assistant] Right? Well, they create so much chaos and this guy goes this way and that goes that. They need a guy at middle linebacker who's got.


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[Assistant] Incredible athletic ability ball-hawking skills where it's like, it's not by the book always when you play middle linebacker with the Pittsburgh Steelers, right? Middle linebackers are like, wait, I got this gap and I'm gonna shuffle down the line. Like in Pittsburgh, they're like, hey, this guy's crossing this way, this guy's crossing this way. We don't know where the **** are gonna end up. That's why we're paying you 13 million a year.


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[Assistant] That's what they're gonna ask, and they've been looking for that guy ever since this year, traded up with the Devin Bush trade, never got it, right? And I think they got a guy here that fits it. The Miles Jack signing last year, that didn't work.


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[Assistant] I think they looked at it and went, wait, we're the Steelers? We know how to draft receivers as good as anybody in the business, right? You've already said a million times, there's a ton of receivers to have here. I wouldn't be surprised if they have their eye on a value guy in the second week of free agency that they feel like can help out their football team. And they need help at corner.


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[Assistant] You know, that's the other thing. So, you know, Dante Jackson will help them out in that aspect. You know, being able to play nickel, play outside, do that. Uh, but, you know, I, I...


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[Assistant] I wasn't shocked when I saw Deontay Johnson traded. A little bit of like, okay, who's going to be the next guy up right there? I don't know about that. Calvin Austin has got some


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[Assistant] The 51st pick in the draft. That's the next guy. That's the next guy, right? I mean, that's what I would expect. And it'll be a great one. And it makes sense for the Panthers too, just to hit on that real quick. They needed a proven commodity. They couldn't go on the draft and go, well...


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[Assistant] We'll make it work in the draft, right? They needed something in their hand right now that they go, that's good, that'll work, and you couple that with Thielen, Loviska, Shannalt, and all that, and you start to go, okay, they got something working at least.


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[Assistant] I wouldn't bet against that. I wouldn't either. I mean, I think you and I both have the same thought here. We briefly just hit on them before we started the pod, right? And it's, to me, they're one of the teams that's winning free agency right now.


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[Assistant] A hundred percent. Like, of course, love Joe Mixon. Love that. I think Joe still runs hard, has physicality, and you couple him with Damian Pierce, that's a damn good little duo they got there. You know, yeaah, they lost Greenard and Cashman. Both really good players. Both guys I like.


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[Assistant] But, they replaced them with two guys that are better. I mean, come on, Daniel Hunter is a unicorn. He's rare.


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[Assistant] I mean, and he's gonna play in a scheme like he's never played in before where, like again, like we talked about with the 49ers guys and all that, it's just lineups outside and go get the quarterback. And then,


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[Assistant] Aziz El Shair to replace Cashman. Cashman's a damn good player, but Shair is pro bowl, all pro worthy, talking middle linebacker in my, in my opinion. So that is awesome.


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[Assistant] And then you add a Deniko Autri into the convo, who's a guy who on first and second down could play defense end if you need to get big, but it'll be a handful in the inside, a defensive tackle and three technique, right? Okuda's got talent.


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[Assistant] You know, and, and I think at a spot here where, you know, they're not going to play a ton of man in Houston. He's going to play that Seattle three in their zones and all that. But I still think has skills and ability just didn't live to live up to the number three pick. So yeah, between all those moves right there, I'm, I'm a pretty big fan of what Houston is doing.


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[Assistant] You add him with, uh, you know, Will Anderson is one of the best duos in football right now. You know, and again, it's like, there's nothing to read. There's nothing to think about. Let's get wide. Let's get after the quarterback. I have a hard time thinking that Daniel Hunter will not absolutely thrive, right?


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[Assistant] He probably feels like he should have got top of the market money, right? He's probably going, wait.


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[Assistant] I'm as good as pressure on the quarterback as TJ Watt or Nick Bosa the last few years.


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[Assistant] You know, why, the last two years especially, so why aren't I up there in that class? Okay, so he takes the next best thing, and like you said, he's gonna get back to the market, and...


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[Assistant] He's the next contract and asked for 32 million a year or whatever, maybe more. I mean, we'll see where it goes, but good for him and way to battle back after a guy where we thought his career might be over with the neck injury. But man, you put Aziz El Shair in the middle.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I wouldn't be shocked if that's what they're doing there. They've been busy at wide receiver though. They have been busy at receiver. Gabe Davis and Devin Duvernay. I like what Jacksonville's done, right? I do. And now, like, it's not the ones that are going to blow you out of the water. They needed to improve their offensive line. They definitely did that.


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[Assistant] You know, uhm, with re-signing Ezra Cleveland and getting Mitch Morse, right? So I like that.


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[Assistant] Gabe Davis, not a world beater, hello everyone, he's not a number one superstar, like everybody's been telling me, oh man, I know, I was sarcastic about this on Monday, but like, there's just too many people over the last two years that's been telling me Josh Allen's got superstars all over.


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[Assistant] Three years, thirteen million? What? That doesn't say superstar.


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[Assistant] Thirteen million a year? I mean that says, you know, that says low end number two, high level three. That's what that contract is everybody. So, but I still like it.


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[Assistant] They need a guy with a little size and physicality, catch the ball over the middle, do all that.


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[Assistant] Goes along well with, you know, Christian Kirk and the rest of the receivers they got there. DuVernay, of course, a speed guy. So, yeaah, I, I, I do. I think they got value signings. I think that's the biggest thing. It's not splash. It's just things that I think will help round out their football team and make them better.


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[Assistant] I don't know, you know, again, I have no inside knowledge there. I haven't heard anything that would make me think that. Like I've heard that around the news media, you know, wire, but nothing of like substantiated claims from people I know or heard from in the NFL to think that's a thing.


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[Assistant] It's not, and the big thing too is just what kind of money is he asking for there too? That's where I just, I don't see or envision the Chiefs going crazy at that position for that. And I would agree with you in your saying there, like,


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[Assistant] There's a lot of similarities to Rashi Rice. Let alone, Calvin Ridley was good last year, but I'm not sure it's the kind of good that I would go, oh, it blew me out of the water, and we need to give him number one wide receiver type of money.


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't see that. I'm sorry. And I don't think Kansas City will see that either at the end of the day. I don't think they're going to be willing to do that.


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[Assistant] Like, they might be willing to pay a receiver, but I think it's gonna be like, it's gonna be a no-brainer, like, we know this guy's the guy, the freak, and can be the number one star.


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[Assistant] You know, other than that, I don't think they're going to be rushing to anything like that because they're going to go, well, we got to go out of good and we got a quarterback that's awesome. So we're not that desperate to do anything that desperately at wide receiver.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's, you know, I like their signings. I think it fits for what they want to do, right? I mean, hey, I would have liked to have seen them re-sign Aziz El Shair. I would have. That's certainly one where I look at and go, damn, he's good. You sure you want to let him out the door?


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[Assistant] Like, great athletic ability, but just not the player.


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[Assistant] And has not turned into what, you know, we all thought he would be, be in our first round pick out of Oklahoma. But Awuze, good player, right? And of course he knows what he's all about, uh, in Callahan as far as being with him in Cincinnati the last few years. They needed a center and, and a guy that Callahan felt like and.


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[Assistant] Dominate the interior part of the offensive line. So yeaah, I like that as well. And then of course yeaah, we talked about Tony Pollard. I think they were good, what I would say, you know.


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[Assistant] You know, build some needs and culture things and things that you go, hey, for what they're gonna do schematically on both sides of the ball, they need some guys like this. And I think that's where I liked it and thought it made sense.


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[Assistant] They're, they're a team of just, you know, again, I haven't thought about all teams and their needs as far as draft, but like just you and I just talking here, right? Receiver for sure.


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[Assistant] Right, pass rusher. Dillard's their left tackle, so you wonder. They got Harold Landry, yea, Dillard, how do they feel about that? That's a great question. They could go, they could go, they could, you're right, tackle, wide receiver, right?


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[Assistant] Maybe pass rusher, you know, mid be it, but I would think it's, it's more along the offensive line and the pass catcher would be at the top of my list for the Tennessee Titans.


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[Assistant] Well, he, I think, yes, he does. I, I do. You know, I think one is, it's a, like we talk about, it was a little bit back to like our Pittsburgh conversation with the Mitch Hrabisky and the question we got there, right? This is one where I think they go, hey, he could, he could be the starter, right? He could be the starter, but he could be


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[Assistant] You know, also the bridge guy in case we do draft our future quarterback here.


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[Assistant] Right? Just like he was for the Indianapolis Colts. And then we go, oh, hey, hey, you know, we don't have to start our rookie star quarterback right away.


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[Assistant] You know, or if our rookie gets hurt, hey, we got a good backup in that. But I think within that contract and what they're saying there, he's definitely going to be taking the first team reps when it comes OTAs. You know, that'll be him. Two years, $25 million is pretty significant. That number is, you're an awesome backup, fringe starter.


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[Assistant] That's what that is telling all of us out there. So I think that's what it is. And it buys them insurance in case they don't get, you know, in the quarterback market, which I think they desperately want to get into here. I've heard the same. As far as the draft is concerned. The Wilkins thing I think was a necessity. Like, had to be done.


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[Assistant] They needed, this is what, you know, my man got on me for, and the Raiders and Max Crosby, that he had a bone to pick with me, cause I always said,


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[Assistant] They don't have enough blue chip players on their defense and he was sticking up for his guys, which he should, but this is what I was talking about. This is what I mean. They needed a guy that takes pressure off him that can make some place outside the realm of what Patrick Graham does. So because of that, yeah, I really do like the signing of Christian Wilkins. They needed it, you know.


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[Assistant] And they found a guy that I think they thought embodied what they wanted. Patrick Graham knows Christian Wilkins from his Brian Flores connection in the Miami Dolphins. And then of course he got a defensive head coach at Antonio Pierce where he wants his defense to set the attitude and be the ass kicker in the division. And Christian Wilkins is certainly going to help that.


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[Assistant] He is the, one of the biggest variables in all of NFL, right? Because when he was coming out, I was like, this guy might be Myles Garrett, right? But he didn't do Jack Diddley squat last year dealing with that foot injury. He never, you never really got to, I at no point thought like, ooh, he looks as explosive as I saw him at Texas Tech.


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[Assistant] So, let's see if he can get totally healthy there and turn the corner that way. He's gotta get healthy.


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[Assistant] Right? Guys that wash the, the, the rinse the mouth out of the bad taste of the last regime, right?


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[Assistant] Guys that Dan Quinn knows to kinda set the right tone in the locker room. Addresses a ton of positions. Again, this is a team that needed a lot of help in a lot of areas, right? So, we know the offensive line, especially the interior part, needed help. They got that with, uh, ILB.


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[Assistant] Badiaz, how do you say his name? Biatish. Biatish, I always messed that up. And then Nick Allegretti, right?


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[Assistant] You know, Doran Armstrong, God knows him from Dallas days, Clellan Farrell.


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[Assistant] You know, was in San Francisco and in the 49ers scheme, right? So he runs the same scheme very similar. So he's seen what he does there. Jeremy Chin, right? You know, guy that hasn't killed it the last few years, but it's got some potential. I don't know. They get to bring him in to be a.


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[Assistant] Linebacker maybe? It might be with that kind of defense. They usually go fast, smaller linebacker, right? I can see him being that guy right there, right?


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[Assistant] Uh, Austin Eckler, of course, is gonna add some, some value in past game situations in the, in the Cliff Kingsbury offense. So all those things are awesome. I mean, they're awesome as far as not splash, but certainly help their roster for some depth, some versatility, some energy in the right direction, culture, all of that.


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[Assistant] And that's where I think the value is and, you know, we'll see what else they do from here. But the Mariota thing you talked about, right? I mean, that move there even leads me below that, yea, it's number two is quarterback. They're gonna do that for sure, right? Sam Howell, what happens there is gonna be interesting.


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[Assistant] What do you do with Sam Howell in that spot?


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[Assistant] You could keep three. You could. It's not necessarily like it's expensive here with Sam Howell. Or, or...


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[Assistant] Some team gets to down the line here and they go, damn, we don't have a good backup. You know, here's a late round pick for, for Sam Howell or you hang on to him. Maybe they'll training camp early in the year. You go, Oh, this guy got hurt. Oh, you need a quarterback. Sam Howell played a lot last year, right? So I feel like he's kind of like the, the, the Jack of all trades here right now. But yeah, Marcus Mariota, they don't want to back up young quarterback with


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[Assistant] Young quarterback who gets sacked and throws a lot of interceptions, they're not trying to do that, right?


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[Assistant] So, they're gonna go young quarterback at two with, okay, we got a veteran guy who's been there and done that a little bit in Mariota. And I think they feel better about that. And I think that's what speaks to, I mean, that pick, that signing right there just, you know, solidified quarterback at number two for me.


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[Assistant] I mean, they're, they got killers right now. Sean, Sean McVeigh adjusted his thought, obviously, in the last two years about what he expects from an offensive line, right? He always kind of had.


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[Assistant] It's size. It's we're gonna maul you. I mean you throw in.


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[Assistant] Dotson, right, Avila, like you're talking about, and now Jonah Jackson, I'd go, that's about as big as three guards and as powerful as you're gonna get. They're drive blockers. They are drive blockers. Let alone, right, they're not athletic zone guys, they're block down, block down, somebody pull and maul this guy as you pull and crush him, right?


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[Assistant] Michael Fleur used to be the running game coordinator for the 49ers, right? I, he went to the Rams after he got fired by the Jets as the offensive coordinator.


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[Assistant] Everything that I look at and see, he taught McVeigh Shanahan run game stuff, right?


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[Assistant] He taught him going, Kyle used to do this, Kyle ran this scheme.


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[Assistant] Hey, let me teach you there. Let me help you with this. I kind of know this. And that's where the four, the Rams became different this year. They became a very versatile run scheme team and Kyron Williams is not only awesome, but yeah, you add those old linemen and then again, your quarterback's older and he doesn't move that well.


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[Assistant] Start addressing the demons a little bit, and watch out for the Rams next year.


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[Assistant] And they're a great drafting team as we know. They really are. They didn't care about the picks, now they do. Exactly right. They didn't care about some of those high picks because they were like, hey, we're going to get a star here and then our fourth and third and fifth round picks are going to be awesome because we know how to pick them and we'll be okay. And you know, they made it work there for a long, long time with that formula.


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[Assistant] They are definitely a win now team. They are a win now team, but it's got some balancing to do, right? I mean, win now team got a lot of good players, but also have holes that I would look at to go that are glaring that doesn't put you in the upper echelons of teams in the NFL.


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[Assistant] And then you couple that with, wait, they gotta do something with Dak Prescott in this contract. They're gonna have to pay CD Lamb. And as I said to Florio this morning, if I'm Micah Parsons, there's no way I'm stepping on the field until I'm...


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[Assistant] One of the two highest paid defensive players in football. It's just not happening.


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[Assistant] So they gotta worry about that. So yeaah. You know, you said it right, typically they're a week two free agency team.


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[Assistant] And I think that's what they'll stand by this year, and especially because of some of the things they gotta figure out in-house right now with paying their own guys and trying to get that done, you know, before they start worrying about throwing out big money. Like, if they threw big money out to some free agent right now, Michael Parsons and C.D. Lambert are gonna be like, on social media, like, what the f***? Are you kidding me?


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[Assistant] You gave, like, you didn't pay us, and you paid this guy, so, yeaah, they're trying to figure all that out before, uh, they spend any more else, you know, big money on anyone, anybody else. And Tyron Smith's still out there too. Exactly. Which is, that's gonna be really interesting, cause that's a big hole, I know. It's like you talked about, that contract, you know, how do you balance his age, the health,


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[Assistant] That amount of money, cause when he does play well, he's still really damn good, right? Not superstar good anymore, but real damn good, right? So yea, that's, that's, he could be one that...


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[Assistant] I wouldn't be shocked if he sat out there for a little while, right? And just, you know, maybe he's asking for a little too much money right now, but once a team gets into OTA's early training camp and they start to go, man,


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[Assistant] We're not good at tackle. You know, okay, give Tyrone that extra two or three million he was asking for and sign him up, right? That's where I feel like this could go with Tyrone.


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[Assistant] We got through a lot. It was fun. This is just wave one. It's just wave one. And you know, no disrespect for the other teams out there that we didn't talk to. We just felt like...


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[Assistant] Some of the other themes we talked to, we can't do a seven hour podcast and we felt like there wasn't enough there to kind of unpack, but we're going to as we go along here. And some of them deserve some longer conversations, I think, to unpack.


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[Assistant] Alright, but we'll be right back into our draft rankings. Me and Connor in the thick of things. I'm trying to catch up to him. He's way down the road. He's an expert. I'm still a novice at this point. I've only finished the quarterbacks. I'm just diving into the receivers. I am having fun.


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[Assistant] I mean really, you really are. He's such an old man dad commentator. I love talking shit about Ahmed when he's not here. Alright everybody, be good, peace out, have a good weekend, be safe, we'll see you Monday. Clap it up!


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[Assistant] Me and Ahmed Fareed are gonna be here for it all. You know, we got free agency. We're gonna break it all down. The draft, the rankings of positions. Of course, we're gonna unpack it all. Hit subscribe, get to my free agency reactions, 2024 draft rankings and more. Thanks again for watching. Peace out, homies. See you soon.


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[Assistant] It just shows what a great actor he was. And when I was a kid, go ahead and play the music, 1973, 1974, the Fonz was the coolest guy around. The Fonz was the biggest thing around.


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[Assistant] The head needs to be a little larger. I think it needs to be a little larger. Nice effort. Nice effort.


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[Assistant] He was the biggest TV actor of the 70s. He was the most popular TV actor of the 70s and the real Henry Winkler acts nothing like Arthur Fonzarelli. That is acting. If you've ever seen an interview of Henry Winkler, if you've seen him on any other show, he was great on Barry, won an Emmy.


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[Assistant] Best Supporting Actor for Barry, which is an awesome show on Maxnow.


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[Assistant] Al Pacino in The Godfather, original Godfather, Godfather 2, so different than what he became. It's almost like it's a different person. I remember there was a point like around the late 80's where it's like,


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[Assistant] Al Pacino died and they secretly replaced him with somebody else. He doesn't look anything like the guy who was in the movies in the 70s. He doesn't talk anything like the guy that was in the movies in the 70s.


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[Assistant] But, Son of a Woman. Yes. Son of a Woman is one of my all time favorites. Right. It's one that my son and I absolutely love. It's on the list. We've got a list of movies we want to try to watch in the barn at some point.


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[Assistant] Over the next week when we're not watching football down there. Scent of a Woman. It's more of a Thanksgiving movie because it plays out Thanksgiving weekend. It's still awesome.


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[Assistant] Awesome. Everything about it is great. Everything about it. I know he's a legend.


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[Assistant] You just don't like Italians. Yeah, that's right.


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[Assistant] That's a different story altogether. Even though Henry Winkler is not Italian. See, that's how good of an actor he is. He acted like this Italian street thug. I mean, really, if Sylvester Stallone had been the Fonz, wouldn't Sylvester Stallone have been a much better Fonz than Henry Winkler?


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[Assistant] When they're, when they're on the ice skating rink and she's on skates and he's jogging. That's, it's just great. That movie is so good. It still holds up 47 years later. I watched it not that long ago. Right. I think it's on Peacock or on Max or on Netflix or one of those services out there, but get Peacock. You especially need Peacock because there's.


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[Assistant] Alright, now I get paid this week. Let's get to the picks. Last week we were...


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[Assistant] Right down the middle straight up and best bets, although somehow you got


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[Assistant] Straight up. We disagreed on two last week and we split them down the middle. Alright, so you got anything to add there?


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[Assistant] Yes, exactly right. If we disagree, that's a different story. When we're on the same page, then maybe, you know, you let it creep in. I was rooting for overtime. I wanted the Eagles to win 26-20 because I picked 27-21. That was...


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[Assistant] As close to a holding one as possible. That's what I was rooting for and that's why I was pissed off.


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[Assistant] They didn't just throw a short pass and set up a Jake Elliott field goal and force overtime instead of trying to go deep late in the game. All right. Every week this season, you can play along with us. DraftKings has set up the free $1,000 Florio and Sims pick and pull pick every game against the spread for a chance at a $1,000 prize pool every week. Download the DraftKings app.


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[Assistant] And just like us, you gotta enter all your picks before kickoff of the Thursday night game. Let's get to the Thursday night game. One good thing about this, we're gonna have to listen to you. I'm not coming up there because our games are on Saturday. We don't have the full Sunday experience. I'll be in my barn.


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[Assistant] Alright, Thursday Night Football, Saints at the Rams. Rams are 4 point favorites at home over under a 46. DraftKings has 86% of the spread money on the Rams. Christopher, we talked about this game at length during PFT Live. I think we're both leaning Rams. Do Rams cover, in your opinion?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've got, this is unbelievable. And here we go again. And I can exp, I can, I can show you the proof. I don't want to give away my score for Saturday, so I'm not going to show you the phone, but Rams 2820. Wow. Exact same thing. That's amazing. And it could be worse than that. I'm trying to show a little respect to the Saints because they're seven and seven.


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[Assistant] The team best situated to beat the 49ers would be a team that plays them twice a year every year and knows their games and knows their tricks and beat them in the playoffs a couple of years ago in the NFC Championship. So the Rams are going to be very dangerous if they get in. So we both agree, 28-20. Alright, let's pivot to Saturday. An exclusive Peacock game at night, preceded by an NBC game


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[Assistant] The coverage for the pregame begins at 3 o'clock. Kickoff, I believe, is at 4 or thereabouts. Fanny's football pregame is on NBC at 1 o'clock Eastern. Bengals at the Steelers, Bills at the Chargers, Holiday Doubleheader, and... Yea, it's Jake Browning and maybe it's Mason Rudolph.


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[Assistant] It's still Bengal Steelers. And the Bengals have rebounded well to the adversity they've faced. The Steelers haven't.


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[Assistant] It feels like something weird's happening in Pittsburgh. They gotta get their act together here quickly. Can they do it? This is one of the most fascinating games of the weekend for me because of this question of whether or not it's ending for the Steelers and Mike Tomlin. I think the next three weeks are gonna be a major factor in where it goes.


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[Assistant] How does this game play out, in your opinion, with the Steelers 2-point underdogs at home to Jake Browning, an over-under of a mere 37 points? I, I, I... It feels like a...


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[Assistant] Oh, here we go. You hope that there will be disagreements and you will have one that you can razz me about all day long on Saturday through that game and into the late game. My terrible towel's down there. I'm too lazy to pick it up. Steelers, when in doubt, 1613. That's my default


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[Assistant] I feel like if the Steelers, and I said this last week, if they're ever going to turn it around, it's now. Well this week, if they're ever going to turn it around, it's now. It's beyond embarrassing. They have to rectify the turds they've dropped on Hines Field, their past two home games.


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[Assistant] They're probably gonna list him as questionable later today. Thursday will be the day they do the final injury report for the Saturday game. I think he's gonna play.


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[Assistant] I think there's been enough turmoil that, you know, you either come together or you fracture and splinter and just completely shit the bed. I think Mike Tomlin this week finds a way to pull them together. They find a way to beat the Bengals. They find a way to get to eight and seven and keep away their playoff or keep alive their playoff hopes. 16-13 is my pick. Alright.


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[Assistant] I just said that I'm assuming that Kenny Pickett is playing, so I don't plan to make an excuse if he doesn't play. If my assessment is wrong and the Steelers lose, I'll live with it. Bills at Chargers, are you going to pick the Chargers coached by a guy I'd never heard of and I'm still not sure how to pronounce his first name?


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[Assistant] 42-10. Giff Smith is the interim head coach to close the 2023 season, which is his eighth as a member of the Chargers coaching staff. Coached defensive line for the first six years, outside linebackers the last two. And I apologize to Giff Smith for never hearing of him. And I apologize for him.


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[Assistant] Or to him as to what he's about to go through the next few weeks. Trying to restart the engine on that Chargers lawnmower that has shut down for the season and been mothballed. Alright, to Sunday. Christmas Eve games. We begin with the Colts at the Falcons. Falcons going from Desmond Ritter.


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[Assistant] Back to Taylor Heinecke as Arthur Smith feels his head coaching career swirling the drain in Atlanta. I'm surprised the Colts are underdogs. I know they're on the road and I know the Falcons have potential but the Falcons are 6 and 8 and the Colts are 8 and 6.


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[Assistant] And the Falcons are one point favorites and the over-under is 44.5. Christopher, who do you have?


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[Assistant] I have the Colts in this one, 24-17, so we disagree on another one. I just think that at this stage of the season, we have seen it again and again from the Falcons.


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[Assistant] Feels like it's falling apart. They lost that game in Carolina. They should have won. They had to go back to Taylor Heinecke. There are real issues with usage of the star players. Bijon Robinson not getting utilized the way that he should. You wonder if Arthur Smith feeling the heat.


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[Assistant] You had the comments this week from the owner of the team, Arthur blank, which kind of make it pretty clear that Smith is in trouble. And then you've got this Colts team. I mean, you're all in with Shane Stiken and what he's doing with the offense and that they're feeling pretty good about themselves.


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[Assistant] They got a chance to win the division. I, I see them becoming more confident and believing and Gardner Minshew leading the way.


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[Assistant] And you know, the Falcons are one of these teams that probably said no to Gardner Minshew in the offseason. Let's take Taylor Heinecke instead. Gardner Minshew's been rejected and overlooked and this is his chance and the Colts chance.


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[Assistant] To continue this unlikely path toward the postseason, I've got the Colts 24-17. Packers at the Panthers. Green Bay favored by five on the road against the red hot Carolina Panthers who doubled their win total last week.


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[Assistant] Thanks to Desmond Ritter throwing the ball into quadruple coverage. That was one.


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[Assistant] Falcon and four Panthers and that was that for the Panthers. They get their win. Do they get another one on Sunday at home against the Packers?


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[Assistant] 27-13 Green Bay Packers, I just feel like the Panthers. Check the box on getting that win, and now they can go back to sucking again. And the Packers, if they can't win this one.


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[Assistant] Then they have far deeper problems, far deeper problems than the last two weeks would suggest if they can't go to Carolina with the season basically on the line at six and eight. If they're going to have any hope of pulling it out down the stretch, they've got to win this game on Sunday at Carolina.


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[Assistant] Browns at the Texans. Joe Flacco popped up on the injury report yesterday with a calf issue. CJ Stroud still out, reportedly light sensitivity after suffering at least one concussion, if not two in back to back weeks. The Browns are favored by two and a half.


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[Assistant] Thanks to that incredible defense they have over under a 40.


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[Assistant] Do the Browns go down to Houston and move to 10 and 5 on the year, Chris? I believe so.


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[Assistant] 1914 Browns and look that defense is so good it can make up for three interceptions and Joe Flacco forgets about the mistakes and focuses on the task at hand. They're not going to get away with that forever though.


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[Assistant] They're so close to that brass ring. They can feel the culmination of a season of fighting through adversity. Four different starting quarterbacks.


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[Assistant] I just feel like they're so close. Now isn't the time for it to fall apart, although this won't be a best bet because I could see that game going either way. Alright, the Lions, three point favorites at Minnesota.


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[Assistant] The Vikings outplayed the Bengals, but only were outscored in Cincinnati. Nick Mullins had over 300 passing yards. Ty Chandler, who


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[Assistant] It's great. You know, 32 has kind of always been the unofficial favorite family number. There's never been a 32 worth a damn on the Vikings. Now there is with Ty Chandler. I kind of like that aspect of it. My son loves that side of it.


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[Assistant] I don't know what the Vikings are going to do next week against the Packers and I think it's a tall order for them to go to Detroit and win there, especially if that game ends up being for the division title as it very well could be, but coming home.


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[Assistant] Big day, big game, Christmas Eve, Justin Jefferson back and healthy, Nick Mullins a little underrated, he had some dumbass plays last week, the one where he basically handed the ball to the Bengals defensive line and yawned ludicrous, stupid, stupid, just stupid.


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[Assistant] But I think they can do enough because look, the lions are kind of like this roller coaster team and they allow themselves to think they're good and they are good, but then they'll, they'll, they'll step in a pothole. We've seen it.


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[Assistant] And I think the Vikings can exploit their defense. The challenge is Brian Flores. Can he get Jared Goff to third down and confuse and confound him and force him to make some mistakes? I think they can. I think the Vikings win. I picked it close 24 to 23.


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[Assistant] Because I knew the Vikings were gonna be the underdogs, so what the hell. It could be worse than that, but I'll go 24-23, late field goal, Vikings beat the Lions, and keep their hope alive to win the division title.


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[Assistant] By the way, by the way, Ontario Smith was picked eight spots after you in 2003. He had 579 rushing yards as a rookie, 544 in his second season. And then after that, that's when it all ended because, but for the grace of God, went Chris. He got popped.


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[Assistant] Over under of 37, a game nobody cares about, who do you think wins?


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[Assistant] I already picked the commanders. I'm not going to flip-flop. I have no idea what's going to happen in this game because I have no idea where the motivation comes from. I have no idea how Zach Wilson is going to play. I have no idea how many people are going to show up. Can you imagine how empty that stadium is going to be Christmas Eve? Who is going to muster the will?


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[Assistant] To go watch the Commanders of the Jets on Christmas Eve with no Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] With Zach Wilson in one of his final games with the Jets ever.


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[Assistant] It's gonna be an ugly day, 24-20, commanders, and it's just throw a dart, pick a team. Commander's offense was promising last week against the Rams. That's all I got. All right. All right. Good.


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[Assistant] Seahawks at the Titans. Seahawks favored by two and a half after that big win on Monday night against the Eagles. The Titans are, are home underdogs and the over under is 41.5. 89% of the spread money according to DraftKings Sportsbook is on the Seahawks. Are you Christopher on the Seahawks in this one?


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[Assistant] Good, good. You rooted for the Seahawks on Monday night. They gave you the enjoyment, they gave you the pleasure of having your rooting interest pay off even though it went against your picking interest and now you're turning your back on Pete Carroll.


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[Assistant] He turned his hat backward and you're turning your back on him. I'm taking the Seahawks.


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[Assistant] 27-17, they're still alive. I mean, look, when in doubt, the team with motivation against the team with none, and now they're eliminated, and Derek Henry knows it's coming to an end for him and he's gonna be a free agent, does he want to get injured?


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[Assistant] One of the final weeks of a lost season. I think that mindset might infect a lot of guys who play. Will Levis is likely out? Ryan Tannehill's back in.


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[Assistant] I just think that you get to one of these holiday weekend games for a team that's done. It's hard to believe in the Titans, although we saw them a couple of weeks ago up in the Dolphins. Alright, let's take a break.


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[Assistant] We'll look at the late afternoon games for Christmas Eve, including the headliner, arguably, of the weekend until we get to Monday night, Cowboys at the Dolphins. More PFTPM and Chris Sims unbuttoned right after this.


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[Assistant] That's great. Oh, I said the wrong promo code. Damn. You're gonna get the credit for all the people who are gonna rush to sign up with promo code unbuttoned instead of promo code PF. You're just, you're just. Darn, how will I ever pay the bill?


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[Assistant] We don't have a lot of time, we gotta get to the games. Okay, Antonio, let's go. Jaguars at Buccaneers. Buccaneers are favored by one. Jaguars have lost three in a row.


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[Assistant] They're in a position where, look, I think it's a big deal they went to Lambeau Field and won. I don't care how much the Packers are struggling, I think it's a big deal to go to Lambeau Field and win. When you're late in the season, the playoffs on the line, the confidence level is going to go up.


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[Assistant] Is it, is it confident level high enough for the Buccaneers to upend the Jaguars and get to 8 and 7 and stay in first place, at least in a tie for first place in the NFC South?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that was my reasoning in picking them to beat the Ravens on Monday, on Sunday night when I was the lone wolf. Yes. On football night in America. So I'm holding a grudge.


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[Assistant] I'm holding a grudge. I'm pissed that the Jaguars let me down. I'm pissed off. Jackson DeVille is back on my shit list again after the Jaguars lost on Sunday night.


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[Assistant] I believe in Baker Mayfield. I believe in these Buccaneers. These Buccaneers, you know, you say all the time you want the best teams to make it to the playoffs. If it's Buccaneers hosting the Cowboys in the wild card round. Yeah, I hear ya.


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[Assistant] I think the Buccaneers, I think you get the Cowboys out of Dallas, onto grass.


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[Assistant] I think the Buccaneers, I think these Buccaneers have a better chance than Tommy's Buccaneers did last year if they get there because it'll be the culmination of proving to themselves and everyone else that they belong. They belong, they win, 23-20, go Bucs, go Baker Mayfield, go Mike Evans, go Rashad White, we gotta go to the next game.


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[Assistant] Cardinals at the Bears. Bears are favored by four. The Cardinals, who once upon a time were in Chicago, come back to town with an over-under of 43. Justin Fields, Kyler Murray, another game between two teams who are done. Who do you have?


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[Assistant] Time for your weather on the 1s. The temperature kickoff will be in the mid 50s, so it's not exactly going to be an old soldier field day with not a lot of wind. Still doesn't really change my mind here. I like what the Bears are doing. Jonathan Gannon is safe for next year. Matt Eberfluss, the Bears coach, isn't. They need to win this game to just kind of


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[Assistant] Big game of the day, Christmas Eve, Cowboys at the Dolphins after getting blown off the field in Buffalo 31-10 and it felt like it wasn't even that close. The Cowboys go to Miami where the Dolphins finally get, maybe, a pelt on the wall against a good team. That's been the narrative all year.


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[Assistant] Bad teams lose to the good teams. The only time they've broken that character is when they lost to the Titans a couple of weeks ago. This is a huge one.


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[Assistant] And a lot of it comes down to whether or not Tyreek Hill can play. I'm told it's likely he'll play. I don't know how effective he'll be, but I'm told it's likely he'll play. I was told that on Sunday. I don't know where it stands currently. We'll get it updated by the weekend. The Dolphins are favored by one and a half over under a 50. That's the highest over under of the week. Chris, you rode with the Cowboys last week.


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[Assistant] And they screwed you. Are you going to double down with Big D or are you going to abandon them for the Dolphins?


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[Assistant] I got 27-24 Dolphins and look, I think the Cowboys will play better than they did last week. They'll take it as a challenge. They don't understand why they can't win on the road. Micah Parsons was talking about that this week.


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[Assistant] This, this is the ultimate test for the Dolphins. This is it. And they're trying to hold off the bills. At some level, the Cowboys have to have gotten the memo.


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[Assistant] The chances of them winning the division are pretty damn slim when you look at the Eagles facing Giants, Cardinals, Giants. Cowboys have to run the table and hope the Eagles slip up in one of those three games. I just think it's too much to ask for. You get them out of Dallas, they're a different team. The Dolphins really, really need this one. I... I could see it go the other way, but...


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[Assistant] After what the Cowboys did on Sunday, I just think that's a lot to fix in only one week. And the Dolphins, flying higher at this point, they get the win 27-24. Not gonna be a best bet though, cause I could see that game going the other way. Alright. Flying higher, wait, and just one thing.


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[Assistant] And I think Mike McDaniel really using what happened against the Titans on that Monday night as a way to just kinda, you know, poke and prod his Dolphins players to perform at a higher level overall. Alright, Christmas Eve night game.


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[Assistant] NFL Network exclusive broadcast of the Patriots at the Broncos. Broncos are favored by 6.5. Patriots just playing out the string. Broncos still have some playoff hopes, although they're slimmer after getting beat by the Lions last week. This is the lowest over under the week at 34.5 who you got.


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[Assistant] I picked the score at 23-17 before I knew the spread. So I'm giving the Patriots the cover, but the Broncos the win. You know, Bill Belichick still has his team playing hard.


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[Assistant] We don't know what's going to happen at the end of the season. It feels like a change is coming, but the Broncos still are in position to maybe, just maybe make it to the postseason. I'll give the Broncos that edge. 23-17. We'll take a break. When we return, three games on Christmas, including this week's version of the game of the year to cap off.


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[Assistant] Week 16, we'll do that when PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button continue right after this.


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[Assistant] Alright, well, Santa's bringing somebody some squirrel meat on Christmas Day, apparently. Oh, that'd be great. That'd be great. That'd be great if you open a present from your dad and it's squirrel meat. I don't know how you would find squirrel meat this time of year, but as soon as I'm done, I'm gonna see if I can deliver you.


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[Assistant] Alright, alright, uh, Raiders at Chiefs, Christmas Day.


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[Assistant] Patrick Mahomes told me after the win over the Patriots, he likes the fact that they get this standalone game after everybody's opened their presents or getting ready to eat. He's disappointed that he's not gonna be at home with his kids on Christmas Eve and he's not gonna be there Christmas morning.


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[Assistant] I think, I think players kinda like, you know, being the center of attention on a day when it's a huge captive audience. That's right. And it starts with Raiders Chiefs. Chiefs are favored by 10.


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[Assistant] Over under a 41. Extra long break for the Raiders who played last Thursday. Who do you like in this one?


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[Assistant] Mahomes capped his thoughts about playing on Christmas when I talked to him after last week's game by saying, we'll celebrate when the game is over.


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[Assistant] It won't be a celebration if the Raiders are running their buses around Arrowhead Stadium like they did a few years ago when they went into Kansas City and won.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs understand the stakes here. They still are going to be alive for the 1C in the AFC if the Dolphins lose to the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] Clouds are parting for the Chiefs to still steal the one seed and they still need to win the division. They still need to develop confidence. They need to believe in themselves. They have to check this box and beat the Raiders. I think they will.


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[Assistant] And my pick for the game is 30-20. Is that right on the, that's right on the, let's go 31-20. Is that right on the number? 31-20 then. Chiefs cover the spread. You and I both have the Chiefs winning by 11. Uh, and uh, we'll see. We'll see.


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[Assistant] Raiders know that team well and maybe they got a little something as they try to keep Antonio Pierce.


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[Assistant] On the job beyond this year. Giants at the Eagles. Uh oh, here's another big spread. Eagles favored by 12.


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[Assistant] Biggest spread of the week, 82% of the spread money is on the Eagles, even with that 12 point, easy for him to say, 12 point margin. Do you like the Eagles, Chris? Against your Giants, and do you like them to cover? Well, yes and yes.


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[Assistant] 34-20 Eagles. It feels like red alert in Philly after three straight losses. They need this one badly. Good lord, can you imagine what the reaction's gonna be if they find themselves in a close game in the second half? I think the Eagles win this one easily. I know the Giants have surprised us. They've been


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[Assistant] The fun kind of ran out against the Saints. I just think, I think that, who knows, who knows. I'm still 3420. Maybe they make it interesting, but I don't think so. Alright, here's the big game.


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[Assistant] Ravens at the 49ers. 49ers have beat the shit out of everybody lately. Six straight wins and the scores are blowout, blowout, blowout, blowout, blowout. The Ravens are only five point underdogs in this one with an over-under of 47. Chris, you have picked the 49ers to win every single week this season.


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[Assistant] Your Kyle Shanahan tattoo has been throbbing every Thursday when we do this picks podcast. Will you pick the 49ers yet again or do you believe they have met their match in Lamar Jackson and company?


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[Assistant] And when we were talking about the expected point spread on Monday and I said it's going to be 10 and you thought it was going to be lower, it made me think that you would at least pick the Ravens to cover the five point spread, but you're all in with the 49ers as am I.


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[Assistant] The quest is for second place. That's it. As long as those people stay healthy. They're currently healthy. The 49ers kick the shit out of the Ravens here on Monday night. I'm sorry, I know that's disrespectful to the Ravens, but let's be realistic. At home, they gotta fly across the country on Christmas night, and the 49ers are waiting.


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[Assistant] And the 49ers are gonna dismantle the Ravens. And if it's a Super Bowl preview, the Super Bowl's gonna suck. Because the 49ers, as long as those guys are healthy, they're gonna run over everyone.


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[Assistant] Alright, best bets, we gotta move quickly. We disagree on six games. Chris, give me your first best bet of the week.


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[Assistant] Alright, give me the Chiefs giving 10 to the Raiders on Christmas Day in that early game. They're gonna, they're gonna, they're gonna take care of the Raiders. Next one.


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[Assistant] I thought about going all three favorites on Christmas Day. The Eagles are the ones I'm the most nervous about. I go to the 49ers. You're 49ers. Five is not nearly enough against the Ravens. It's gonna be double digits. Give me the 49ers in that one. I'm sorry, John Harbaugh, if you regard that as disrespectful, but it's true. Folsom Prison Blues, who you got? Who wins, no matter what?


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[Assistant] Because I will literally shave all my hair off if the ravens finish with the one seed. We know you! We've got you! And you did say all of your hair too, which means all of your hair. Not even just your head. Right? Technically, technically that is what that means. You're pushing it too far.


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[Assistant] When I grew up, I really, I think I look more Gen X. I feel more Gen X.


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[Assistant] Yeah, offensively, offensively for Washington. He's amazing. It's gonna be, it's gonna be, and you've been talking about him for a long time. Yeah. I remember everyone, before the year started, even, you said, well, look out for Pennex, because- He deserves it.


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[Assistant] We would have been kissing feet and making bets and all that. Now it sucks as Pete says. Uh, but you were tired of late night there and you've got early mornings and, um, when you got home, the last time we were together was New Year's Eve night and we got done with the pot at 1150. We all stuck around, popped a bottle of champagne. We took, we took, uh,


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[Assistant] And then you were like, I gotta go home because I got maybe ten, ten kids at home that are having a party. I'm just gonna tell them, you know, hey, it's, okay, night's done, guys.


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[Assistant] So you don't have to get into all the details here if you don't want to. This is your own film. But was it always, well like, was this the plan from, from? No, no. I believe- Or did people just start, like, heard, like, oh, the Sims house is poppin' right now.


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[Assistant] You gotta make your choices every now and then. Good for him. Looking good, man, really. It still hinds a solid homie out there. Well, well done. Alright, so what we're gonna do-


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[Assistant] Rematches here of games that have significance for the playoff picture. Right. That, uh, we've had before. So these are all rematches and, and when we were going over the ideas with Pete and you on the text chain, you're like, like really? You go, really? We're really going to look back at a week one game with no significance?


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[Assistant] And uh, Requiem for a team. Teams have been eliminated. We have to put them in the ground. Yeah, damn. They're dead.


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[Assistant] Okay, next week you're gonna have half the league to write Requiem of the Sword. I know, I know. Okay, we got, we got a good amount of them though. Yeah, I know. After this one.


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[Assistant] Alright, so here we go. We're going through the most important games and the most important people in these games too. We'll kind of take a look at the key figures in, uh, clinching playoffs or some of these. And the first one we talk about is our NBC Sunday Night Football Bills at Dolphins, the final Sunday Night Football regular season game of the year. The winner of this game...


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[Assistant] It's either hosting a significant number of games in the playoffs, or


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[Assistant] Like going on the road immediately and having to play in maybe some cold weather environments.


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[Assistant] So they played week 4, the Bills destroyed them. 48-20 in that one. That was one of those where we were like, ah, the Bills are actually a pretty good team. Uhm, slowed down that Miami offense. You looked those specifically, you looked at the Dolphins against what they did against the Ravens too. You did a deep dive into this.


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[Assistant] So let's go with the, the Dolphins defense first year, because they did score the Bills 48 points on the Dolphins defense, and that was before some of their key injuries. They don't know exactly how many people will be available for them. Howard, uh, Zavian Howard, will he be back? I don't know. Jalen Waddle, will he be back? Doesn't sound good, I know, they need him, right? Tareek Hill, will he be 100%? He has been playing. Uhm, but the Dolphins D,


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[Assistant] Uhm, was that Ravens game an anomaly for them or is it a sign of real problems to come here? Cause I think we have a graphic of how good the Dolphins defense has been. Weeks 8 through 16, it was like 254 yards a game. So up until last week, they were one of the best defensive units in the league. Last week it was almost 500 yards allowed.


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[Assistant] So we mentioned that we asked the homies who the people of the game will be, who the most important players or coaches. I got an answer to that too. The boy B says easy answer for him. He goes, Joe Brady, we've seen the Bills offense look a little different under him, but he's gotta come up with a game plan, specific plays to expose this Dolphins defense who is missing several key contributors.


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[Assistant] You mentioned man to man. And Miami Dolphins. Are they going to be able to do that against the Buffalo Bills? Is Joe Brady going to have to scheme up some stuff in the passing game to get guys open?


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[Assistant] I thought this was good in your notes too, transitioning to the bill's offense, is that


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[Assistant] You're almost in the same world as the Chiefs right now. In, in some respects. Right. You think, you've said this about the Chiefs, they need to embrace the ugly, you know, it's not just that high-flying Patrick Mahomes throw it all around the field. Right.


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[Assistant] Josh Owens, one of the best quarterbacks in the game right now, of all time, most talented, but you feel like, does this, does this build offense, they also need to embrace the ugly?


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[Assistant] Mark Cooper says Josh Allen cannot afford any mistakes even with their more balanced offense right now. I would say no quarterback really at this time of year and against this kind of competition can afford many mistakes. No. Uh, not Bucky Cox.


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[Assistant] It says, his most important people, Mike McDaniel and Sean McDermott. Seems like the Dolphins offense is a little more elementary with the recent injuries. Has Sean figured out a defense to drop his players into the right zones at the right times, or has McDaniel found a new angle of attack?


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[Assistant] And I don't know what's easier to do as an offensive line that has had a lot of movement and injuries. I was looking at the numbers and the different starting offensive lines with the Miami Dolphins. They've had 10 different combinations of starting offensive lines.


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[Assistant] Buffalo Bills. Yeaah. Just the same five. Same five. All year, right? We have three teams to just have the same five. And so, that's a benefit. And who knows, maybe there are things that Mike McDaniel thinks he can't do with some of the combinations of the offensive line that he has out there.


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[Assistant] 30 million people will watch on Sunday Night Football. We'll do the halftime show. We'll give our analysis on that one.


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[Assistant] Alright, as a little bonus nugget, we'll get to that. So, uh, that is Bill's Dolphins, watch it on NBC. Texans and Colts, the winner of this game, clinches a playoff berth.


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[Assistant] Uh, week number two, the Colts won 31 to 20. Did, I think...


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[Assistant] Uhm, Richardson got hurt in that game, because Gardner-Minshew came in. Uh, it was 31-10 in the third quarter, so really the Colts handled the Houston Texans. Texans got some numbers late, CJ Stroud I think still threw for over 300 yards in that game. It's part of the coming out party.


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[Assistant] Nigel Bryant says the in-division matchup between Shane Steichen and D'Amico Ryans should be epic. CJ Stroud versus the improved Colts defense should be interesting, but two Coach of the Year candidates battling it out for a potential home game in the playoffs should be a classic. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] It is weird. I'm looking at the numbers from the week two game and Pierce ran the ball like 15 times for 30 yards. So they held him in check to tw-


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[Assistant] Sheldon Rankins, Will Anderson, and Jonathan Greenard. His players to watch, they have to seal the edge and win at the line of scrimmage to slow the Colts run game.


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[Assistant] If the Houston Texans win this game, it could, it could decide. The Rookie of the Year, the offensive Rookie of the Year at least. DraftKings Sportsbook has the Rookie of the Year odds. And as we sit here right now, CJ Stroud is the overwhelming favorite on the offensive side. Minus $1200. Then you got Pukin' Nakua.


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[Assistant] Plus 450, I think there's some good value there with Pukunikuwa. Definitely is. Because I was looking at the last two winners have been...


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[Assistant] Wide receivers, Jamar Chase and Garrett Willson. It's not like it just goes to, it's not like the MVP. No, no. Where it automatically goes to the best performing quarterback.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so we'll get to the defensive side here in just a second, but just first on the offensive side.


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[Assistant] Could break two NFL rookie records this week. Needs four catches to break Jalen Waddle's record in 2021. Needs 29 yards to take down Bill Grohman from 1960 with the Houston Oilers, his rookie record. Never thought that would fall.


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[Assistant] He might play just to get the yardage, but he did have a hip injury last week. Still played despite that, but maybe he hasn't been 100% either. On the defensive side, Jalen Carter is the favorite, mine is 330.