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[Assistant] That was set up by a good kick return. And then there was the four play fifty-five yard, uh, drive with the Nelson Aguilar touchdown pass there. That was set up by the kick return. Sorry, the previous was set up by a punt return. So, you know, I like what the Raiders are doing. I really do.


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[Assistant] The Raiders are one of those teams where I just, again, will go watch out for them in 2021. If they can spend some money and get some defensive linemen, they're, they're going to be complete because they can run the ball.


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[Assistant] Derek Carr is continuing to get better making plays, throwing the ball aggressively down the field. I mean really that's all he hit yesterday. It wasn't dink and dunk Derek. Oh yea, you're right. It was 13 completions for 165 and all of them were kind of like explosive field changing type plays and I gotta give Derek Carr a lot of credit for that.


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[Assistant] That's where, like, I was yelling at the TV a little, and I won't lie, I was rooting for the Raiders a little yesterday. One, because it was my best bet. And hey, I know people out there, and I root for them. I like to root for them. But, you know, there was two elements where one time it was a fourth down, around midfield, the Raiders elected to play.


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[Assistant] And then there was the fourth down, uh, I think at the, I think at that end where they kicked the field goal, it was a fourth and short where they could have gone for it too.


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[Assistant] And he decided to do it. I remember just thinking like, man, your defense ain't that good and this damn quarterback is just, he's en fuego. He's en fuego.


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[Assistant] I mean, it just doesn't matter where you are on the field. I mean, even, you saw the last two throws of the game. Wasn't his fault. They were on the freaking money. I mean, literally. Used his legs on that drive. Yes. I mean, he's a beast. A capable runner. He is a beast. I mean, again, I think it's very close.


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[Assistant] As far as rookie of the year right now, between him and Joe Burrow?


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[Assistant] You know, I really do. I think it's a, it's a, they're going down the stretch. What was that horse race that was close this year? Weren't you covering it?


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[Assistant] Well, you know, part of the playing the Ravens, like the Steelers, you know, is not letting their defense win the game. You know, not letting, hey, we're playing the Ravens, let's not make sure, we know Lamar's good, but let's not help them out more by letting them have interceptions and touchdowns themselves on the defensive side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, and Jonathan Taylor, you know, to your point, Ahmed, I mean...


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[Assistant] The Colts were steamrolling the Ravens early on. It's 7-0 and you're going...


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[Assistant] And I'm going, man, it just looks like one of those days, the Ravens just, they got no energy. They're gonna let last week's loss beat them this week too. And I'm not even joking you, as I'm finishing that sentence, they're stripping Jonathan Taylor, and they're running down the sideline.


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[Assistant] To your point, they're just aggressive. They're aggressive as a football team. They never let you take a deep breath. And this was not a pretty win, but I think it's an impressive win.


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[Assistant] I do. You know, again, the Colts, I know five and three.


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[Assistant] Right? But a lot of, they're a playoff quality football team. They got the number three defense in football. I mean, it's legit that way. And I know Rivers can make his mistakes and all those type of things, but between the stripped fumble return and then the huge interception by Marcus Peters, which I think was very questionable,


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[Assistant] Hey, the new rule is three steps. That's control the ball and a football move and they thought he had control of that football and that set them up for that, that 10 play 54 yard drive by Gus Edwards to go up 14 to 10 and they never look back. The one last thing I want to say about this game.


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[Assistant] And I had a lot of conversations with Big Phil about this last week. You know, people being a little too critical of Lamar Jackson, you know, and I think my dad... Even you! I know, I know.


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[Assistant] I am. And I still am not questioning that. I'm not. I think where I'm disappointed a little in myself and just even talking to my dad last week too, and I think he was saying this probably to


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[Assistant] Check me a little bit. Because it's not about Lamar always. The offense, the passing game itself does not deliver itself always to where you go Lamar should be hitting this and doing that and doing that, right?


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[Assistant] I want to give him credit because yesterday there was not a lot there to be had. He was very efficient throwing the football. Every throw was just about on money.


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[Assistant] In a game where one turnover could've, oh no, now we're in trouble, he really understood the full scope of the game.


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[Assistant] And yeaah, it wasn't a highlight reel, but it was a lot of tough runs and some really high percentage good throws to keep them in manageable situations on the 14 play 75 yard drive or the 10 play 54 yard drive or the drive that started off the second half where Gus Edwards fumbled at the three yard line.


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[Assistant] You know, they, that was a lot of really good quarterback play from Lamar Jackson. I was glad to see him kind of, you know, wipe the haters off him.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but uhm, and he's had a few fumbles too, and that has hurt them. But nonetheless, they haven't, you know, had the greatest success running the football, or at least not been as successful as I thought they would have been this year doing that.


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[Assistant] It's hard to pick games and spreads and do any of that. I mean, it really is. I'm just happy when I pick a winner. And I think right now I'm 9-3, right Pete? 9-3 or 9-4?


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[Assistant] Nine and four? This week? Very good. It's all I root for every week is my normal straight out picks to be good. Agreed. You know, I, I, I really... It's hard enough to do that.


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[Assistant] I'd have seven ulcers and everything if he made me gamble. I mean, I was nervous yesterday watching the games just because I put my best bets on Instagram.


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[Assistant] It is. It is a dynamic offense. You know, Matt Ruhl is the guy that first deserves a lot of credit. Every game, they kind of play it the right way. He manages it the right way. When I watch them, I go, oh, I understand what they're trying to do here in this game. I get it. This is, they're trying to attack this, that, blah, blah, blah.


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[Assistant] So I've been ultra impressed with him. So very rarely does he deliver the wrong game plan for them to not be competitive. Even though, you know, a lot of these games, they're not the more talented team on the field. Because of his game plan, he can keep them right there in the game in a 50-50 balance against teams that we have seen.


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[Assistant] Buccaneers, Saints, all these games where they're right there to be had, and they hang in there. And again, that was the case yesterday. Hey listen, I've been saying it all year long. You take McCaffrey, Curtis Samuel, DJ Moore, Robbie Anderson, I'll put it against anybody in football. Anybody. I don't know what else to say. I mean, the Chiefs, here we go.


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[Assistant] Alright, you're giving McCaffrey the advantage of running back. I mean, we know the quarterback edge is Mahomes, obviously. The tight end, okay, Kelsey.


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[Assistant] You know, now you get them to the three receivers. Okay, I'm giving them Tyree Kill, the Chief, certainly.


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[Assistant] But after that, even with a healthy Sammy Watkins, I'm giving receivers two, three, and four to the Panthers. So they've run the running back, and then they won.


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[Assistant] Three out of the four best receivers on the field. You know, that's, people gotta put that in perspective a little bit. Teddy did a really good job.


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[Assistant] Definitely. And the way the Chiefs want to play, which is a little bit more aggressive, it's hard to play that way against this group. Because there's just so many one-on-one matchups they're going to win across the board. And Teddy, if he makes the right decision and is smart, they were going to capitalize.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs, it was another game where a little bit of sleep at the wheel, then they control the game and they don't put a team away, whether it's a third and 14 great scramble by Teddy Bridgewater.


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[Assistant] You know, there was the one point where you're starting to go, ooh, they might control. It's a fake punt by the Panthers. They get the first down. You know, I brought up earlier on the show today, there was a bad third down penalty where they made a stop and Chris Jones late hit.


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[Assistant] The Panthers controlled the game with short passes and a little bit of running and it kept the clock going. And there you go, yeaah, they're scoring points and yet keeping Mahomes off the field at the same time. Uh, and that's what people try to do to the Chiefs and that's where they got a remedy whether they want to just go after people more to create something.


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[Assistant] I saw the play, it was fourth quarter, uh, it was, I believe, the last drive of the game. And, uh, I immediately said, I said, ooh, he hurt his shoulder. He came down hard on it. You know, I think Sorensen tackled him as he was trying to get out of bounds. And we'll see. Man, I mean, he's, yeaah, he's having a tough year. He's a little beat up.


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[Assistant] So fluidly to where it's never just like, he's gotta go like, ah, ah, ah, ah, and stop and then turn. It's kinda just like he can keep running full speed and he just kinda weaves through people. I mean, it's amazing that way. And then for a smaller guy, I mean, man does he have some collisions and still fall forward for a few extra yards. Gary Kubiak, his run game design.


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[Assistant] Rick Denison, you know, his partner in crime up there in Minnesota, they deserve a lot of the credit. I mean, they really do. Every- the last few weeks, and really, really ever since maybe the last- the first few games of the year.


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[Assistant] They have found ways to run the ball creatively almost every week. I know it's not been every week, but most weeks. And you know, did it a lot of different ways. Hey, tosses, toss cutbacks, full back lead, inside zone.


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[Assistant] You know, on the big run at the end of the football game, you know, they got the Lions to put only 10 players on the field. It was great coaching by Minnesota. They said, hey, get another guy out, don't put him over there. I mean, that was unbelievable. There's no guy at the end of the line of scrimmage on the long touchdown run for Dalvin Cook.


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[Assistant] So then you have to worry about that in the run game, right? You do all of that. And then you get into second and third down.


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[Assistant] And you're worried about the run game, so you might be putting some extra guys in the box to stop that, right? And, okay, we gotta worry about that. And, you know, we wanna cover Justin Jefferson feeling on the outside, but then Kirk drops back to pass, and it's one on one with Dalvin Cook.


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[Assistant] And a linebacker out of the backfield. And, you know, these plays aren't for Dalvin Cook. They're not.


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[Assistant] But it's Kirk realizing, wait, it's man to man. Oh wait, this is Jamie Collins on my running back that has three rockets up his butt.


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[Assistant] Why didn't he even look down there, let me just hit him, boom, make a miss, or, and then there he goes. And that's just where he's such a double threat that way.


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[Assistant] And really their success is completely as a football team predicated on him and his ability to run the ball or at least make big plays in general whether that be the pass game or the run game. The Vikings are 3 and 5. Yeaah. They're still in it. Like, they could be a playoff team. You talked about


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[Assistant] The Bears being the worst 5-in-1 team ever. Yeah. Like, this is one of the better maybe 3-in-5 teams we've ever seen. I mean, it really is. When you talk about, you know, some of their wins and then their losses, I mean,


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[Assistant] You know, okay, Colts, they lost, and Packers early in the year. But, you know, there is some things to like, and they got a part of their schedule right now with the Bears, the Cowboys, the Panthers, the Jaguars, where we could be sitting here going, Vikings are seven and five. And if they can win out, or you know, only lose one more down the stretch,


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[Assistant] That's score touchdown. You're going, no, they'll maybe get a field goal, but they go right down the score touchdown.


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[Assistant] Six plays 87 yards in a minute and four seconds. A minute and four seconds.


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[Assistant] He does. He's got a little everything. And you know what, total honesty, yeaah, he's impressed me. He really has. He's a little bigger and stronger than I gave him credit for in college.


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[Assistant] And to this point, he's been a little bit more explosive than I wanted to give him credit for. You know, you know I like Clyde Edwards O'Leary and Jonathan Taylor. You know, as it looks from right this second.


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[Assistant] You know, yeaah, I would go, ooh, I'm a hair downer, down on them, and I should have been a hair higher with the Andre Swift. Definitely. I mean, but yeaah, that's a, this is a game, you know, the Lions, hey,


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[Assistant] They play hard, they try, they're just not that talented. And I think that's just the biggest issue and especially on the defensive side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, there's just really, there's some good, but there's just nothing great to latch on, latch onto across the roster to where you go, oh, if they play through them, or this area, they'll be okay. I don't think that exists, I don't know, you tell me, you're Johnny Lyons expert.


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[Assistant] Florio, no, Florio really hates this. Oh, he was bothered. I said this right here last night, as you see this picture, if you're watching us on YouTube right now, I am literally, I think I just got done saying, oh man, we're gonna get trolled by New Orleans. I knew it. You know, it seems like it always works that way too, when everybody picks one team, that other team always wins.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I, I don't, you know, I, I'm, hey, it's cool. Zach Streiff, he's a former offensive, that tweet was by a former offensive lineman. Oh, is that who it was? Yea, for the Saints. I'm cool with it, you know, I, I don't care, it's all fun, I get it, you know, all those type of things, but, you know, just,


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[Assistant] If I was right or I'm not right, I mean, they don't, I don't, it just, it's just stupid. Whatever. I don't know, I don't know what to say.


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[Assistant] Why? I wasn't sure about the Saints. Yeah, I couldn't pick them against the Bucks. I couldn't do it. Well, I mean, after the underwhelming overtime win against the Bears or the underwhelming win against the Panthers or the underwhelming overtime win against the Chargers or the underwhelmingly win


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[Assistant] So sorry, yeaah, I didn't think that where the Bucks had played two amazing games and blew out the Raiders and the Packers and then played a lackluster, ooh, I thought they maybe asleep at the wheel against the Giants and you know, they ate it pretty hard against the Bucks.


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[Assistant] That's what leads to a 38-3 victory, is usually you get bullied on the field physically, and then your scheme also got bullied as well. And I think that was a double whammy, and that's what led it to what you saw there. You know, hey, nonetheless, I'll talk about this a lot.


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[Assistant] You watch the game. I mean, there was no question who the more physical, hungry, mad team was on the football field. I mean, from the get-go.


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[Assistant] When the first play of the game for Brady on offense, first play of the game for Breeze on offense, the offensive line went into the, or the line battle went to the favor of the Saints.


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[Assistant] Right from the get go. You know, to start on the Saints, yea, Breeze was awesome last night.


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[Assistant] Right off the bat. You could see a game plan though. It was in a, it was up tempo. It was an assault of formations and personnel sets on the Tampa Bay Buccaneer defense. And not that they went up tempo, no huddle, but they broke the huddle. Hey, shift moves said, said hut.


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[Assistant] They were staffing the ball with 29, 28 seconds on the play clock every time. They weren't going to let the Bucs hunker in there and, oh wait, they're in this formation. Oh, coach told us they do this and this and this. You know, they really applied the pressure with a lot of different things to think about if you're the Bucs in your defense right off the bat.


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[Assistant] So that's the first thing I think that jumps off to me. Now, the rest of the success of the football game is predicated a lot on the defense. I mean, and we'll go there in a minute. But man, just look at the field position the Saints have. Yea, they have that first drive, which is only a 65 yard touchdown drive.


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[Assistant] Now, the next drive they make a great drive and Jared Cook fumbles, right? Uh, on the two yard line.


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[Assistant] They keep Tampa locked in there. They get the ball back at the 35 yard line.


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[Assistant] Now, 50 yard drive for a touchdown. And they had their heads spinning at this point. But really had their way more than anything with a short passing game, controlling the clock that way.


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[Assistant] Taking the Buccaneers pass rush out of the game. They can't do anything. And I think the thing that surprised me more than anything was kind of a...


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[Assistant] Lack of aggressive approach by the Buccaneers on defense. Lot of zone coverages, didn't blitz, didn't do anything like that. Okay, well they blocked your forward down lineman, and you're playing zone against Breeze and Sean Payton? Night night.


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[Assistant] Good luck. You know, you can play some zone, but you can't do that all game long because he'll just pick it apart. And that's where I was surprised with at least Tampa's approach against them.


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[Assistant] Just a great game plan. Drew Brees was on his game. And then, you know, the elements of Sean Payton's offense as far as the taste of him. Hill runs, the physicality of their offensive line, all of that just was at a pinnacle last night and they kicked ass.


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[Assistant] You know, I do, because I think it's a great weapon for them. You know, like, on the first drive of the game, when they go down and score a touchdown, they have a third and two. He ends up throwing like a little crossing route. I think it was Jared Cook for a first down.


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[Assistant] That element of him in that quarterback position.


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[Assistant] Is really dangerous. And it really, if you're willing to throw the ball with him, you're gonna get some cheap, easy yards. Because,


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[Assistant] It's a little bit like Lamar Jackson last year when he took over for the Ravens. You're so worried about Taysom Hill in the run game and they have a powerful offensive line that you play a defensive pass coverage that's very elementary to where, like if Drew Brees got some of those coverages, he'd be like, oh please keep playing that, oh my gosh, I'm gonna tear you guys up if you do that.


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[Assistant] But because they have to worry about the run game, it leads it to, oh my gosh, this is...


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[Assistant] So easy to throw the ball. And even though that wasn't a great throw, they were playing so much to stop the run and the quarterback design run, that it led to wide open people. And, you know, that's when Sean Payton has you, you know, by the kahunas, for lack of a better phrase. And yea, there was some cool Taysom Hill elements in the game plan last night.


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[Assistant] I've been thinking about this a lot lately. Maybe he's not. Maybe this is always the role he's gonna be. Maybe James Winston's the quarterback next year if Drew Brees isn't there. And they just go, no, but we got Taysom Hill and he's part of the offense. Why wouldn't you do that? I agree. It's a great weapon. It's a, it's a, it's a big chip for their football team because it causes mismatches. It's really an issue that way. Um, but yeah, I mean, I just think overall, you know,


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[Assistant] It was a complimentary football game because of the defense setting up the offense and then the offense taking advantage of that. Okay. I don't think there's anything I can sit here and just go, oh, they did this or that. It was more physical. It was...


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[Assistant] Just multitude of formations and personnels.


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[Assistant] And look at how they spread the ball around. I mean, Taysom Hill had a carry. Just, here's running backs. Hills, Taysom Hill had 7 carries. Camara had 9 carries. Murray had 10 carries. Washington had 5 carries. Burton had 1 carry. Right? Drew Brees had 2. Drew Brees 2 and James Winston 1. So wait, there's all those different running attack. And then they had, what was it? 4, 8, 12 different receivers catch the football. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] I mean, that is unbelievable. They had the Bucks on the heels. On the heels and didn't play aggressive, which I still am shocked by. Why wouldn't you play aggressive? I'm sorry because I know you want to transition to the other side of the ball and Pete's probably saying move on.


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[Assistant] But I also don't understand the bucks. You got two big time corners. You got-


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[Assistant] Drew Brees can't throw the ball down the field, nor do they have receivers that really are going to scare you that way either. Why wouldn't you be playing a little bit more of a, we're around the line of scrimmage. How other teams have played. For the most part. That's where I was really surprised by the attack.


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[Assistant] And I don't know if it's Todd Bowles was like, wait, I don't know what I'm going to get. Michael Thomas is back in the lineup or whatever. Uh, but either way, I just found there, there a line of attack on the defensive side of the ball to be a little shocking.


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[Assistant] Well, yes, but it's not him. Oh, why was Brady bad? It's not, yeah, exactly. Why? The why is the important part. You know, first off, you said it. Pressure. First play of the game. I mean, first play of the game, Cameron Jordan just


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[Assistant] Push his worths back. There's Brady, I think he's gonna hit Godwin for maybe a 15 yard completion. But as he's throwing, he gets whacked in the head and everything. Because...


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[Assistant] I mean that was really a, you know, it was almost like a sign of things to come. Like nope, this is the way it's gonna be tonight. You're gonna get whooped a lot. I don't know any other way to say it. I said this this morning, I'll say it again, just for like an overall theme of the game.


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[Assistant] The Buccaneers came out like, oh we got weapons and we're just gonna throw it and you can't match up. It's Antonio Brown and Gronk and Evans and Godwin and there's no way and Brady and you won't be able to match up with us. There's just no way.


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[Assistant] And it's like they came out just thinking we're gonna throw the ball every play and you won't be able to do it. Well they've been at their best all year when they run the ball a little and do control the line of scrimmage.


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[Assistant] And then Brady does have to play action passes and some of those run formations you and I have talked about through the first eight weeks has led itself to, oh, max protect big throws down the field. They never even really got that part of their game going last night.


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[Assistant] You know, they never even really gave the run game a chance. It's like they read all their press clippings.


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[Assistant] That makes me feel better. That makes me feel better about what I said this morning. I mean, it really does, because, uh, I mean, their leading rusher was jones, three carry


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't, you know, Brady, again, this is a tough game for him.


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[Assistant] There wasn't there, a lot there to be had. And then the way he's pressured,


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[Assistant] You know, this is where Brady, you know, again, being 43, this is a negative of his game. When he's pressured like that, he can't take games over. He's not gonna be able to.


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[Assistant] Make somebody miss or move around like a Rogers or a Russell Wilson or a Mahomes Ken and these type of games where you still go, whoa, they're getting pressure on, but it doesn't matter. You know, Mahomes is still throwing 20 yard completions or Rogers is still hopping around and throwing lasers.


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[Assistant] This is where, you know, this is where Tom Brady can't affect, you know, he can't overcome it.


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[Assistant] It's just too many people in his face to route the game. Let alone, okay, so you're dominating the line of scrimmage. The Saints didn't play too overly aggressive. They played aggressive in the right spots as far as playing man to man. But did a good job, like I would always say.


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[Assistant] Changing coverages, right, and giving combination coverages too.


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[Assistant] Uh, and when I say combination coverages, I mean playing like one coverage on this side of the field and another coverage on the other side of the field. Those are little things that even if you played quarterback for 20 years, you know, you could get a little confused by at times. But I think those are the things that jumped out more than anything.


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[Assistant] Stupidly blitz, or weren't overly aggressive. They played man to man, I felt like, when they felt like, ooh, we think like man to man's the right...


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[Assistant] They were mixing it up on later downs. That's where I thought it was great. On third down, I don't think Bruce Arians or Lefwich could ever get in the flow of what to do.


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[Assistant] You know, and then they just played, like I said, some cool coverages. Hey, there was a third and eight at seven, seven, nothing, two 52 in the first quarter. Anybody wants to go look up this play? It's a good play. Third and eight, seven, zero, two 52 first quarter where he's got his three stud receivers to his left. Gronkowski to his right. There's two safeties deep.


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[Assistant] They're going Malcolm Jenkins 1-on-1 on Gronk. DiMario Davis 1-on-1 on Leonard Fournette. Okay, so over there it's just two 1-on-1 matchups.


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[Assistant] Now there's two safeties back there. They're playing all three receivers man to man, but the safeties kick over to the three receivers.


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[Assistant] So now, one's playing really far over there, and then the other one's like, looking for that inside of the three receivers to come across the field or do anything like that. That's what I mean by cool coverages, combination coverages, things where I go, I don't know exactly what this coverage is. It's man with two safeties deep, and they've been taught to look up certain aspects of an offense, right? And that was what I think Dennis Allen really kicked some butt with.


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[Assistant] But when you do, you know, you become one dimensional against a good coach defense that has talent like that, you know, it's just hard. It's just, I don't understand what they were thinking. I understand the Saints have a good run defense.


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[Assistant] I think they played a game that just allowed Hendrickson and Onamana, Onamana? Onamana, is that right? I don't even know. It's something like that. Okay, I think I butchered it pretty good. Daniel, Daniel O. Daniel O, D-O, you're right. That's what we should just go with. But Hendrickson, D-O,


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[Assistant] Cam Jordan, I mean, they popped a lot during the football game. I mean, a lot.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and, you know, yeaah, you talked about the Malcolm Jenkins interception. Right. The Anya Mata interception was a tip pass caused through the pressure. And then there was the, the, the second of the three interceptions was the Marcus Williams, the Antonio Brown mix up. So what'd you think of Antonio Brown in the game? Right. Antonio looked good. He really did.


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[Assistant] On that interception specifically, you know, that's a play where it's like


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[Assistant] It's like, oh, if the guy's press on you, you need to run the go. If he's playing off of you a little bit, you need to hook it up.


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[Assistant] It was a hard read for him. I see what he saw. Cause I think he thought, ooh, there's not like the safeties over the top of me and they're pressing me with like two guys like that. I think he thought, oh, they're still playing soft. Let me sit up. And Brady read it as no, he's still playing you aggressively. Let's try to throw over the top.


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[Assistant] It was still a bad decision, and it was a bad throw. If he runs straight, it's still gonna get picked, is what you're saying. Probably, yeaah. Unless Antonio makes some great play of breaking it up. Yeaah. But he threw it short and inside, and the safety was not a hard play for him to get over there and make that play. He was in the position. But all, all in all, yeaah. I mean, Antonio Brown, to run the way he runs, uh, without playing football for that long,


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[Assistant] Lost twice to the Saints, but when you lose, like the Giants game they won last week, but we're outplayed.


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[Assistant] Now, this game really outplayed and physically dominated. It's two weeks in a row where the Buxo line and D-line have been pushed around. They've lost the battle up front, which is shocking to me. You know, and I'll say this, I said this this morning too. They miss Vita Vea big time.


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[Assistant] If you want to know why their run defense might not be kicking butt, you want to know why their pass rush isn't kicking butt. It's because Vita Veja is not in there.


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[Assistant] He was a force. He stopped quarterbacks from being able to ever step up in the pocket, which let JPP and Shaq Barrett always have the edge to get them that way.


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[Assistant] And he was a great force in the run game. And they're, they're really hurting him, hurting, uh, missing him right now. There's your stat. F up the play guys, you know. And last thing. Yes. First and goal from the one. Yeah. Oh, yeah. You throw the ball three times. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, well the headline's gonna be Big Blue Wrecking Crew, cause that's what happens when the Giants D wins games for you. I mean, hey, is five turnovers enough for you? Is that enough? Almost not. Is that okay to call them Big Blue Wrecking Crew? Yeaah, but it got it done.


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[Assistant] I'm not saying the whole team's a wrecking crew, okay, I'm just saying the defense was. No, but either way, it did get it done. I mean, you know, uhm, Daniel Jones was efficient for the most part of the day.


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[Assistant] I really believe this. Joe Judge, I said this a little bit about Matt Rule, and they're less talented than the Giants and the Carolina Panthers. Joe Judge and the coaching approach and the game plan, every game is correct for the New York Giants. Now whether they win that game or not,


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[Assistant] You know, we'll see, but it's why you haven't seen them get blown out or anything like that with a team where we know a lot of the times they're lesser than. Now I know they're not lesser than Washington football team, but I do got to give him credit again. And Daniel Jones, what he did, but I think the big thing is you pick off, you know, Alex Smith,


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[Assistant] You know, twice at the end of the football game, when the game was still in the balance, you know, had three interceptions total, and then had the two force fumbles. That's a pretty big day. Not two force fumbles, one was the muff punt by Washington back in their own area, where Washington capitalized on it.


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[Assistant] Either way, Giants, good win for them. They show that, you know, I think they're on the right track as a football team. They just need more talent on the football team. It was good to see Evan Ingram and Daniel Jones connect for a big touchdown. Uhm, but nonetheless, they get the win and I'm happy about that.


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[Assistant] Raheeming himself. And that is for Raheem Morris, that's right, my old buddy, he was down in the Bucs all those years when I was playing as a DB coach, but uhm.


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[Assistant] I mean, they should be 4-0 ever since Raheem Morris took over. If Todd Gurley falls in the one yard line, they're 4-0. That's all there really is to it.


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[Assistant] Totally, totally messed it up. But, you know, Matt Ryan, those weapons, you know, Julio has the touchdown catch, but you know, the Zacchaeus, I hope I'm saying his name the right way, he's really carved out a little niche for himself in the offense, and when Ridley's been out, he's done a good job.


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[Assistant] You know, they run the ball somewhat effectively to where it doesn't have to be gashing people every game, but they run it good enough to where it keeps play action pass and everything a viable option to where a defense can't get a feel for you. You know, they were really...


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[Assistant] Never really stopped all day long yesterday. And their defense has definitely been better since Raheem Morris took it over. It's not dominant.


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[Assistant] But you see they have moments of confusing people, creating some turnovers. Oh, three and outs a few series in a row. And hey, they're not totally out of this yet either. They're kind of like the Vikings. They're one of these teams you look at and you go, damn, that's a pretty damn good three and six football. For sure.


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[Assistant] I mean, you know, as we talk about Russell Wilson, Josh Allen, whoever, I mean, it just, he is the guy that makes the Houston Texans go. And it's his big plays that help him win the football game.


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[Assistant] You know, oh, yeaah, I mean, first off, his scrambling and running, you know, it's, it feels like it's almost every week. Oh, he led his team in rushing and passing. Shocker. Oh, I didn't really realize that. Oh, yeaah, really. No duh. Because they can't run the ball.


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[Assistant] Uh, and they're not good that way, but, you know, it's the big plays, whether it's Brandon Cook's long touchdown, Will Fuller long touchdown, another big pass play that ended up in a 50-yard pass interference call before the end of the first half that led to a touchdown. All those things are because of one person.


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[Assistant] Deshaun Watson. He's the man. There's no other way to say it. He's having a great year even though the team is not. He's still one of the six, seven best quarterbacks in the game. And, uh, that's why I say thank you.


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[Assistant] He was uhm, the guy I touted as my number 6 quarterback coming out in the draft this year. I don't remember that, is that true? Yeaah. So, you know, he's good size, never loses control of the football, pretty good arm strength.


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[Assistant] Excuse me as I burp? Yea. And you saw his cool running you had at the end of the game?


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[Assistant] Drew Locke, just so you say, like, you said, like, I, there's a lot of talk about him right now. Yeah. Hey, there's a lot of talent with Drew Locke. I like it. I will say this. He's gotta reel it in just a little. Not every throw has to be 30 and 40 yards down the field.


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[Assistant] You know, take the five yard completion every now and then. That would be my only issue with him right now is just constantly being a little too old.


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[Assistant] It's very good. I'll be interested to see what they do with the quarterback position this week.


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[Assistant] I mean, they gotta be. You know, first off, Alex Smith after yesterday is not gonna actually like embolden you to go, hey, we wanna throw him back out there.


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[Assistant] That would tell you there's really, that there's true concern. Because after a game like yesterday, you would think that would open up the invite to go, eh, let's bring Dwayne back in. He's had a few weeks to reassess, things like that. And maybe they want to make him earn it.


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[Assistant] I guess, I don't know. I truly question how effective Alex Smith can be. I'm not trying to be a jerk or anything. He's never had a big time arm. And now, just to watch out for this. And it's a great story and I'm not trying to, I'm just talking purely football here, okay?


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[Assistant] He can't move around. Can he move? I don't know. I haven't seen him do it yet. That's where I go like as a starting quarterback. I don't know if that's gonna be like a good thing.


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[Assistant] You know, I haven't seen him run or move anything. You know, I, I know his legs better, but, you know, there's just, there's been nothing there to this point. I know. And that's a little troubling too, where a guy doesn't have a big arm.


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[Assistant] You know, with Greg Williams, he is a good defensive coach, and we know that the Patriots offense lacks weapons. So when they have to worry about running, it's, it's, they're a little one-dimensional, the Patriots. It's run game. It's all about cams and the run game off of him. And then he just hits a few passes here and there.


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[Assistant] You're right. And you know, I mean, I thought about the Saints yesterday.


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[Assistant] You know, I picked the bucks, or I like to stay with what I picked during the week. I do. Sure. Now...


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[Assistant] The, the thought to me of the Saints being pissed off and feeling disrespected and we're the kings of the NFC South and we're a team that's been together and battle tested and you guys are just a bunch of names on a paper that are just starting to become a team. I think they took that personal and they kinda showed what they had last time.


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[Assistant] Friday's off. Thank you very much. Well done. We will be back on Wednesday for what happened and then probably big fill back in the fold.


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[Assistant] But I will definitely deep dive a few other of the major matchups we just saw. Everybody be good out there. Enjoy Monday Night Football Patriots Jets. You the man. You look great in your red pants today. I had to go pants. Good. Sure. Good. Good job. Way to go. Clap it up.


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[Assistant] Look, Josh Outland went 2 for 2 out of the last 2, but we're gonna act like he was 0 for the last 4, because he was so awesome in the first 4, but now, look.


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[Assistant] Like, if there's three of us in there, watching the game, then the whole night can revolve around that.


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[Assistant] What's up? You have a good weekend? It was awesome. Thanksgiving great? You would have been proud of me at Thanksgiving. Yeah, right. So my wife and her mom, they just, they made everything all day without any kind of peeking around and see what we were up to. So it was, it was football all day. Okay, that's good.


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[Assistant] Yes, we went out and cut down a Christmas tree, actually two. One for the kids, one for the main room.


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[Assistant] It did because this is how it works. So you drive out here in New England, like every turn there's a Christmas tree farm. Right. And I ask, I'm like, where's the saw? Like we walk up there, like, you gotta walk out there where the trees are. So I walked out and pulled it off the rack.


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[Assistant] There is a portion where you have to, someone has to hang onto the tree while people are laboring down there, cutting down the tree. So I held it to make sure it didn't fall over on my youngest son.


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[Assistant] Barely. You alright? Barely. You good? Yea, but it all went fine. Alright, good. You should totally do it.


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[Assistant] That's what we do on Monday, and you already mentioned it a little bit, but Mahomes against Brady. We knew we wanted to watch that one closely, and then it turned into a very good game. Lots of numbers, lots of great passes. Let's start. For those of you that are with us on YouTube and can watch, you can take a look at these numbers put up by the Kansas City offense. Patrick Mahomes and Tyree Kill.


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[Assistant] We're kind of accustomed to this, but even by their standards, it was off the charts. So I'm glad you picked it as a deep dive game. And let's start right there. I don't want to take this for granted when they're making these kind of connections and putting up these kind of numbers. What stood out about what they did yesterday?


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[Assistant] Can you play, can a team play man to man against the Chiefs? You can, but you have to do it the right way. But somebody's gonna end up on Tyree Kill.


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[Assistant] Is patrolling the whole field, but he's really patrolling Tyrese.


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[Assistant] At Mikey Troy 65, and you've touched on this a little, but maybe it's a different way of getting at it. What's your opinion of Todd Bowles as a coordinator for Tampa Bay? His defenses are statistically good, but always seem to wither in big games. What if you have a thought there? Uh, there are constant coverage miscues and an inability to adapt and contain the opponent's best weapon. Thank you. Love the show.


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[Assistant] Very late in the game, a little bit over two minutes left, they got the ball back, the Bucks had just scored, so if they get a stop, maybe give up just one first down or zero first downs, they're gonna get the ball back and have a shot.


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[Assistant] They didn't even come close to stopping them. I think they reeled off maybe three consecutive first downs. It was Mahomes back there doing a variety of Mahomes type things, but what happened at the end there when they had showed promises of, it was a promising second half stopping Kansas City, but then when they absolutely had to have it. I know.


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[Assistant] Before we get to Tampa Bay and some of their issues and what's been going on there the last month and what happened there yesterday, we talked so much about Mahomes and Tyreek Hill and what you're supposed to do there. We haven't even said the name Travis Kelsey, second in the league in NFL receiving yards. You did bring up the fact that Mahomes is now


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[Assistant] Able to be more patient, more consistently. So, let's wrap up that side of the ball with


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[Assistant] What is the right way? What's the right mix of man and zone when you have Tyree Kill, Mahomes, you have as a supplement Kelsey, and you've got a more patient Mahomes while he's still very explosive?


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[Assistant] There's no magic answer. Wouldn't you be better off leaning more on the deceptive zone than trying to be risky and play bad?


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[Assistant] Which, which I, I think I've been, I, I was thinking watching it yesterday and watching, listening to you talk about the second half. They kinda did do that. They kinda fell asleep a little bit, but then woke up enough at the end to keep the ball away from them. That gets us to the Buccaneers, uh, offensively. Right. And Tom Brady.


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[Assistant] They follow up that loss to the Rams with this loss. They were in position by keeping the Chiefs to just 27.


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[Assistant] About a month ago, we were talking about this team as maybe the most complete team in the NFC. With the thought of what happened yesterday, what's going on with this team that's clearly taken a step back?


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[Assistant] And the numbers really support what you're saying about the pressure. Last four games, Brady against pressure, he's 46%. They got a pressure problem. One touchdown, four picks.


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[Assistant] And in a close game like this, against arguably the best team in the NFL, you can pick out two situations that really relate to what you're saying and what we saw against the Blitz. Main differences


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[Assistant] Three point difference, third down, Mahomes was much better on third down. Right. He didn't throw a pick, Brady threw two. Right. I mean, you could, we could talk about a hundred different things. Yeaah. But if you want to boil down to two things, third down and take care of the ball, one guy was really good. Yeaah. The other guy was okay. Right.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so that was a whole lot better. Uh, I want to get to a question from social, but one question as I watched yesterday. It's great to see Gronk playing a bigger role. Do you think he's too reliant on him sometimes?


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[Assistant] Here's a question from some dude. This is either a Twitter handle or Pete labeling himself some dude. I'm not sure which one it is, but the question about the Chief's defense. Pete said it is. It is you or it is somebody out there?


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[Assistant] It is a Twitter person. Okay, some dude. Chief's defense is having a lot of trouble generating pressure with four. Will that cost them in the postseason?


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[Assistant] It was good to veer down the lane of the Kansas City defense a little bit to answer that question. Uh, but let's wrap this one up with the Tampa Bay offense. November was pretty hit and miss. It was up and down for that group. If Bruce Arians gets up there on a whiteboard and says, okay, December.


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[Assistant] Number one thing the offense has to do better, uh, to get us back to being talked about maybe as the most complete team in the NFC. What would you put at number one?


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[Assistant] Sounds like a problem with the quarterback of that stature wanting to do one thing and the coordinator and head coach wanting to do another, if that is indeed the case.


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[Assistant] Stretch. Fun watch. Almost a thousand yards of total offense. Chiefs beat the Bucks 27-24, KC 10-1, and cruising Tampa Bay. Still in decent shape, but retreating a little bit there at 7-5.


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[Assistant] It is time now. Take it up to 100, presented by...


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[Assistant] Head and shoulders. Pete's coming up with nice themes here. He may not be some dude out there in the Twitterverse, but this is two weeks in a row. It has good themes. So this is the big division wins edition of Take It Up to 100. Let's begin with Derek Henry, the Chiefs. I'm sorry, the Titans beat the Colts 45-26.


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[Assistant] 27 carries for a buck 78 and 3 touchdowns and just numbers are great but when you watch you're like, this looks unstoppable.


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[Assistant] It's special stuff when they really needed it. Remember that Thursday night a couple weeks ago when they were struggling and the offense couldn't really get much done? Since then, against Baltimore and Indy, 55 carries for 3-11. And it's a time when Ryan Tannehill hasn't thrown the ball 55 times and he's carried it that much.


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[Assistant] Is that 10 years ago? I want to say it's 09, 10, somewhere in that area. I think that's probably more the habit of looking for the hottest quarterback on the best team than recognizing what Derek Henry's doing.


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[Assistant] And it's not only that the yards he's putting up, it's no coincidence that Brown and Davis, seven catches for 168 yards. That's over 20 yards per catch. There's a lot to do with the fact that the defense is most worried about that big guy running you over.


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[Assistant] Let's also hit on Deebo Samuel here and take it up to 149ers beat the Rams 23-20. Career highs catches 11 and receiving yards of buck 34.


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[Assistant] Pete says we have some backups playing today. So maybe, uh, you know, just a second. A second? A second. Oh, a little delay. That's right, right. It happens.


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[Assistant] You ready to go? Let's go. This is the Keeping Playoff Pace edition of Damn Okay. Right. Aaron Rodgers, ho-hum, 21 out of 29, four touchdowns, no pick.


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[Assistant] One of my favorite things to watch now when watching the Packers is that, and he's, it's a look that's all his at nonchalance, but very serious and kinda walking up to the line of scrimmage real slow. My oldest son, we're watching, he goes, do you think he even gets nervous anymore? No. Cause he has that look. I know.


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[Assistant] Okay, I'm gonna throw a laser to somebody, I'm not sure who, but I'm not too worked up about it.


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[Assistant] Eight and three, comfortable three game lead in the NFC North. Staying with Damn Okay, thinking about the NFC North. Don't pay too much attention to it over here, but here come the Vikings.


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[Assistant] It would be fun this spring if we have the wide receiver class to talk about. Oh my gosh. That was a terrific group. Good to see them coming through here in the fall too. So let's reheat the Kirk Cousins conversation because we seem to have this about this time.


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[Assistant] Every season, LA Go 10 asks, why does Kirk Cousins continue?


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[Assistant] He's asked to get so much hates. He's not one of the best quarterbacks in the game, but he's extremely accurate and is asked to make a lot of tough throws behind his shaky offensive line. Love the pod, appreciate that you guys hit every game. Uh, just to sprinkle in, Minnesota's won four out of five. Yeah. Cousins was 12 out of 15 in the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] Give him a respect and of course I disagree with it. I think people get way too wrapped up in what, 10 or 15, 20 million dollars a season used to mean 5, 10, 15 years ago. Definitely. Doesn't mean the same thing now. It's not. At all. I don't think you can attach it to that. And if you're not one of the top 5 or 6 quarterbacks in the game, and you're not one of the 5 or 6 worst,


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[Assistant] Everybody else in the middle, you can get creative with numbers and stats and wins and losses and say, this is why he sucks. And that happens to cousins a lot. It does.


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[Assistant] Second player NFL history with two fumble returns for touchdown in a single game. Fred Evans did it back with the Bears in 1948. Wow. Okay, the next dude up here, Jarvis Landry. Whoa. Browns knocked off the Jags 27-25. Cleveland is 8-3. He had 8 catches for 143 yards.


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[Assistant] Evan Ingram, Giants beat the Bengals in 1917. They're 4-7 tied with Washington atop the NFC East. That's a career high 129 yards and most by a Giants tied end since.


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[Assistant] The quarterback trivia has kinda gone away a little bit. It's gone away this week. Like the Buccaneers consistency. It's like, it's out there somewhere. We'll bring it back in next week.


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[Assistant] Other things to do. But yea, Evan Ingram, most for a tight end for the Giants and Shockey back in 2007.


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[Assistant] Yeah, good enough. So four and seven tied with the Washington Giants. Big Blue! Three straight wins for the first time since 2016. Pete did not put an exclamation point after that. Wow. I don't know, his mind. Oh, it's there. He placed it there. He's there.


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[Assistant] He's very, very excited. Alright, film deep dive number two, Patriots beat the Cardinals 20 to 17. I always find interesting things to dive into with your deep dive picks, but I'm really glad you picked this one because my biggest question from the entire weekend


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[Assistant] What did Bill Belichick do to keep Kyler to 201 yards total offense? Not just passing, but passing, running, combined. Yeaah. Just 201.


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[Assistant] Did the Patriots secondary just do a good job on Arizona's receivers all day or did Kyler leave yards out there and miss open guys watching on TV nothing looked easy for him.


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[Assistant] Check and see what he ran for. 5 carries, 31 yards for Kyler Murray. That is not a whole lot. No. I'm gonna back up. Pete, Pete actually found this. Pete, great work. Arizona 12 personnel, 31% in the first 10 games, 41% yesterday. Okay, so a little bit more. Kind of an uptick there. 29 of 70 plays yesterday, they used 12 personnel.


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[Assistant] Can we show Kyler's rushing the first nine games against the last two games?


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[Assistant] Uh, I'm gonna guess it's gone down quite a bit from what we got used to early. There we go. First nine games there, Chris.


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[Assistant] Per PFF, Gilmore allowed three receptions, 25 yards on four targets to Hopkins.


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[Assistant] One month from now. Cause I mean, I would have said, I wouldn't even ask the question.


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[Assistant] But, it's, it's Arrow up there as arduous as it's been. They've won three out of four. Yeaah. Belichick has always said the season doesn't start until after Thanksgiving. Right. I mean...


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[Assistant] I think that's the headline of this conversation I was gathering. Alright, you ready for some self-scout thyself? You know it. Alright, this is the hot seat edition. Ooh. Pete's on a roll here. Anthony Lin, the game management as the Bills beat the Chargers 27-17.


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[Assistant] To echo that, at Mitch Mike Matt via Twitter says, Think the Chargers need a new head coach? That play calling by Anthony Lynn at the end was unreal. If it does play out that way and they are looking for a new head coach, what an attractive job.


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[Assistant] Oh, no doubt. If that's what they do, they should have attractive candidates lining up.


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[Assistant] Winning combination when Josh Allen 18 completions for less than 10 yards a completion. I mean that run game was something they really needed yesterday.


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[Assistant] Staying with the hot seat edition here on Self Scout Thyself. The firings this weekend, unfortunate time of year. I mean, we saw it early in the year as well, but the Lions let go Bob Quinn, General Manager Matt Patricia, Jaguars fire Dave Caldwell.


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[Assistant] If you're leading that next regime, are you keeping or letting go of Matt Stafford?


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[Assistant] And let's begin with, oh, I'm sorry, this is the least to most surprising blowout edition.


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[Assistant] There's some good headlines here. Saints beat the Broncos 31-3. Interesting, unfortunate, tough game to watch quarterback wise. With Kendall Hilton going 1 out of 9. Poor guy, I mean he was a receiver.


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[Assistant] A storyline there with all three of those quarterbacks in, uh, you know, couldn't play because of COVID. It's crazy. I'm stealing your thunder here. No, that's good, I like it. What's your headline?


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[Assistant] It was 0-0 still in the second quarter. Speaking of Taysom Hill, 9-16, 78. Have one question here from Luca E23. How long do we have to suffer seeing Taysom Hill playing quarterback?


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[Assistant] That is, uh, the least to most surprising blowout edition there. Give me the headlines. Fitz Venge, my favorite one. That was your favorite? Good. Yeah. Boom. Really, really well done. Before we say goodbye, Monday night. Seahawks. Yeah.


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[Assistant] 11 point victory. Yeah, double digits, okay. Yeah, but I like to see Hawks for sure. Just in case it happens and we see a probably compromised Ravens team, Tuesday night, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, what do you think?


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[Assistant] Alright man, you gotta do Without Me for a week. Alright. Ahmed is here on Wednesday. Ahmed's back on Wednesday? Okay. Check it out. Alright.


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[Assistant] Chris, these last few weeks, no buys. We got 16 games and we got Saturday football this week. We got two Saturday games. Let's try to get through Thursday night, Saturday and the one o'clock games on Sunday in this segment. And we're going to get right to it.


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[Assistant] Your guy, Johnny Gruden, hosting the Los Angeles Chargers, the Las Vegas Raiders desperately need to win or it will be time to put a fork in them. Three point favorites are the Raiders, over under 53 and a half, highest of the week. What do you think happens?


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[Assistant] With all that said, I agree with you. Desperation is a difference maker in December.


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[Assistant] The Chargers aren't playing for anything. I don't think the players are sufficiently motivated to play for Anthony Lynn's job.


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[Assistant] Like the fact that the Raiders desperately need it. Derek Carr has shown flashes this year. If they're ever going to do it, they're doing it now. 2720 the Raiders tonight. And if they lose, trust me, Chris, tomorrow morning on PFT live while you're off and I'm doing the show, you can tune in.


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[Assistant] And here a stream of profanities bleeped out that I direct to John Gruden if he makes me wrong on Thursday night. I think I've been wrong the last two or three straight Thursday nights. So come on, Gruden, suck it up and win a game. All right.


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[Assistant] And the latest update that we saw Thursday morning is that both Keenan Allen and Mike Williams for the Chargers are game time decisions. So we don't know whether or not there will be that mismatch. And I still trust the team that's desperate when all else fails.


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[Assistant] Buffalo Bills six point favorites at Denver. The Bills in the middle of this run where they play in prime time. They're looking good. They're stepping up at the right time. The Broncos, who knows what they have, although they managed to beat the Panthers on the road last week over under 49 and a half. Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] I, uh, I could sense where you were going. We've been doing this long enough now. I know which way the wind's blowing. I was getting ready to do the gesture of somebody trying to thread a needle because I knew that was coming. You were going to take the bills to win the Broncos to cover. I'm going to go the other way. I'm going to, well,


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[Assistant] Not as it relates to who's gonna win. Obviously we're gonna pick the Bills at this point. But I like the Broncos to lose this one by more than six points. Bills 30, Broncos 17. I just think the Bills have reached a level that we haven't seen from them in a long time.


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[Assistant] And they're within reach of their first division title since 1995. I think they're going to grab it come Saturday. The Saturday Nightcap. Carolina Panthers at the Green Bay Packers. We've seen issues with the Packers having sufficient energy in these homes.


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[Assistant] The fans aren't present, although they had a limited smattering the last time they played at home. Packers favored by nine against the Panthers who really have nothing to play for. Packers trying to get the one seed. Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] We had Aaron Rodgers earlier this week appearing with Pat McAfee.


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[Assistant] Now part of me thinks they're maybe walking into a trap by being that confident, but I'm not going to pick against the Packers as they are within reach of the number one seed. I think they've ironed out this issue.


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[Assistant] of not having sufficient energy when they play at home. And I think some fans better than no fans at all. And the last time they played at home, they did have a little bit more right out of the gates against the Bears on that Sunday night of Thanksgiving weekend. I like the Packers 37-23. I'm going all in with the Packers down the stretch. I'm still not confident they won't.


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[Assistant] Gack at some point in the playoffs, but at least down the stretch as they have that one seed in sight, they're not going to blow it. 37-23. Let's move on to Sunday. Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


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[Assistant] Tom Brady and company after winning their first game post by they go to Atlanta, Raheem Morris, former Bucks coach, getting a chance to try to convince Arthur blank to hire him. The Falcon six point underdogs over under 50.5 Chris who wins this one and by how much.


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[Assistant] Wow, wow, another needle threader. Look, I, I, I'm taking the chalk and the chalk to cover. I like the bucks. I think they figured some things out during the buy week. We saw the changes. LaShawn McCoy in for Leonard Fernet as the third down back.


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[Assistant] We saw a plummeting of the Antonio Brown participation from 75% to below 50%. I think they're realizing that forcing three and four receivers onto the field doesn't work. And then Scotty Miller, he needs more reps. He was on the pl- on the field last week.


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[Assistant] Antonio Brown hasn't had a single touchdown during his entire time with the Buccaneers. So I think they're starting to pivot toward what they know will work down the stretch and in the postseason. And speaking of pivoting,


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[Assistant] Bruce Arians on Wednesday says, I don't know why Tom Brady's getting criticized so much. Bruce, you're the guy that's been criticizing him on and off all year. Don't act surprised now when other people are following your lead. Bottom line is he's now kissing Tom's butt. He knows they're getting closer to the point in the season where


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[Assistant] Brady isn't going to be flustered by being in the playoffs and having a season ride on it. He's made, he's made a career out of thriving in those settings and they are, they are getting closer and closer to what will be an inevitable playoff berth. I say 31-20 Buccaneers handle the Falcons. They play them twice over the final three weeks and I think they will win both times. Next up Jacksonville heads.


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[Assistant] The touchdown catch and run that got the game tied up late. It was the key play of the game when Lamar Jackson returned from the locker room. Will that help the connection between the two?


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[Assistant] As that passing game needs to improve if the Ravens are gonna have any hope of advancing in the postseason. Next up on the docket, San Francisco 49ers at the Cowboys once upon a time. It was a great game. As we said on PFT Live, the NFL said to


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[Assistant] The Cowboys go flex yourself or something like that. Whatever it was, it made you laugh earlier. We both need a couple of laughs today. The Cowboys favored to lose. That's, that's called a, that's called a cover when I, when I, uh, I was getting that wrong. The 49ers actually three point favorites on the road. Who do you have and how many points will they win by, Chris?


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[Assistant] The fact that the 49ers are sticking with Nick Mullins as the starting quarterback tells me this is going to be a run the ball, run the ball, run the ball game. You know, Shanahan actually said last week that they're lost to the Bills.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna say 27-23. That was the score I picked before I even knew the spread. That's the 49ers winning, that's the 49ers covering, and we're gonna go with that one. Let's move on to the next one. The Houston Texans at the Indianapolis Colts. Colts favored by 7 over under a 51. Chris, who wins and by how many?


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[Assistant] I got 34-24 Colts, a lot of the same reasons you're talking about. And again, the Colts trying to position themselves for the postseason. The Texans simply playing out the string, playing the role of spoiler. I think that urgency to qualify for the postseason.


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[Assistant] And still the uncertainty for the Colts. They could win the division. If they fall apart down the stretch, they won't even be in the playoffs. They need this one. They have to win it, especially with a trip to Pittsburgh in prime time.


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[Assistant] Coming up next week. Is it primetime? I don't think it's primetime, but still it's a trip to Pittsburgh coming up in week 16. So 3424, my pick for that one. Next up,


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[Assistant] The New England Patriots trying to play spoiler for the Dolphins. The Dolphins, a slim two point favorite at home, which would suggest neutral sight.


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[Assistant] The Patriots would be favorite or it would be a push. Kind of shocking, Chris, but we know what Bill Belichick does against young quarterbacks. When he gets a crack at them for the first time, will Bill Belichick be able to solve to a tongue of Iloha and beat the Dolphins? Coin flip football game.


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[Assistant] Wow, so you have the Dolphins winning and covering. See, I tend to think that if the Dolphins win, it's not gonna be close. That if it's close, it favors the Patriots, and I think it will be close.


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[Assistant] And I think the Patriots will win. This is just one of those, even though the Patriots are likely done, Bill Belichick's not ready to fold the tents. He's not gonna make it easy for one of his


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[Assistant] Former assistance, and I've got the same score just the other way. Patriots 20, Dolphins 17. This is a find-a-way-to-win-it game, plus that factor of 2-1.


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[Assistant] Number one, being a rookie. Number two, enough film out there for Bill Belichick to come up with a defense that will confuse and confound Tua and force him into making some, some mistakes, which I think will happen.


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[Assistant] I have to put some film out there that other teams will like because chances are


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[Assistant] He's going to be playing elsewhere in 2021 and not with the New England Patriots, but who knows if he finishes strong, maybe the Patriots decide to bring him back. All right. Next one, Chicago at Minnesota. Both teams are six and seven. Both teams are desperate to keep their playoff hopes alive. Although I think neither team will ultimately make it. Vikings are a three point favorite over under a 47. Chris, who wins?


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[Assistant] I have Bears 23, Vikings 20, and my reasoning is very simple. Earlier this year when they played on Monday night, Nick Foles was the quarterback. The Bears offense couldn't do anything. They had opportunities early.


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[Assistant] And the Vikings still couldn't win that game. And Trubisky ran well against the Vikings defense back when they had a pass rush. Now they don't really have a pass rush. I think Trubisky, if guys aren't open, and they very well may be with that overmatch, the Vikings secondary, especially corner,


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[Assistant] If they aren't open, he can run the ball. And Cordell Patterson has an extra level of juice when it's time to play the Vikings. I think the Bears win this one 23-20 and put a fork in the Vikings rear end. He loves him.


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[Assistant] That's alright. Lions at the Titans. The Titans need to keep winning to win the division. Get to the postseason. Ten and a half points spread in that one for the Titans. But the Lions, we don't know if it's going to be Matthew Stafford or Chase Danielwood. Quarterback Chris, who wins and by how many?


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[Assistant] And here's what I think of the Lions. When I typed up my scores and picks, I actually put Titans 31, Jaguars 13. So I regard the Lions in pretty much the same category as the Jaguars, even though the Jaguars are 1 and 12 and the Lions are 5 and 8. 31-13 is the score I'm going with.


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[Assistant] Regardless of whether or not Matthew Stafford plays, the question for me is, does Derrick Henry get enough yards on the ground against the Titans, against the Lions defense?


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[Assistant] So when we go into the last couple of games, he's at least within reasonable shouting distance.


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[Assistant] Then we go into the last two saying, hey, all he needs is, you know, 180, 190 a game over the last two weeks. And maybe he can, maybe we'll get some quotes from Eric Dickerson where he's trying to put some sort of a hex on Derek Henry. So he doesn't break a record that stood since 1984. Last early game, Seattle, which loves to come across the country and play at those.


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[Assistant] 10 a.m. body clock games, a five point favorite at Washington. Chris, who do you have?


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[Assistant] You know, I originally had 2720 Seattle. I'm looking at the over under to the extent that anyone relies upon my total score projection in making an over under bet. First of all, I feel sorry for you, but second of all, I don't want to mislead you. I think this will be under. I'm gonna go, instead of 2720, I'm gonna go


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[Assistant] 2417, which if my math is correct, and it rarely is, is under 44 and a half. I think as we discussed earlier today on PFT Live, the key is going to be to play it


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[Assistant] Careful on offense. Don't give the Washington defense a chance to get the ball and have


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[Assistant] Chase Young run it to the end zone, Walter Payton style, holding that football out there like he did on that long run.


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[Assistant] Be careful, be smart, it's not let Russ cook, it's let Russ crock pot. That's what they need to do on Sunday against Washington. If they do that they'll win and I think Pete Carroll and Brian Schottenheimer are smart enough to make that happen. 24-17 my pick for Seattle to win the game and maybe get closer to a division title. What do you got?


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[Assistant] All right, we have to take a break when we return the late afternoon games from Sunday of week 15, including Chief Saints plus a former Oklahoma quarterback and the guy who replaced him once he went to the NFL. We got that and much more coming up here on PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button, the weekly MegaPix podcast. We'll be right back.


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[Assistant] Welcome back to the joint production of PFTPM. Chris Sims on button presented by Verizon. Things are a little bit different today because of technical issues. I've got this microphone. I'm trying to not knock over and I don't know what to do with my arms. I've had to lower my chair, Chris, because I had to lift up the camera on my laptop. I feel like I'm sitting at the kids table today.


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[Assistant] Elbows up, though. Elbows up, and uh, I don't know where to put my arms, cause it's like, it's not, it's not, there's not a natural resting spot. Anyway, enough of our...


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[Assistant] Extremely first world problems as we try to navigate the program today. It's time for the 4 p.m. games for the 15th Sunday of the 2020 regular season. Let's begin with the Philadelphia Eagles and the Arizona Cardinals. Former Oklahoma quarterback, so though Jalen Hurts was just there for a year after he transferred from Alabama, he replaced Kyler Murray.


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[Assistant] We've almost picked the identical score. I went 26-17 just for variety. Who knows how many points are ultimately going to be scored. We're in the same range though. And that's a great point that the Cardinals defense knows


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, and they deal with Russell Wilson twice a year, so they're not going to be freaked out.


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[Assistant] Have a game plan for a guy who's mobile. Now maybe this week they try to flip it around, but hey, we'll see if Jalen Hurts can throw the ball if the Eagles deliberately choose not to run it.


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[Assistant] I agree with you. I think the Cardinals prevail. They continue to move toward getting to the postseason. They will be a fun team to watch in the postseason. I don't know how successful they'll be, but they'll definitely be fun to watch. Next up, a game that will be fun to watch for no one except even the most ardent Rams fan that just wants to watch their team.


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[Assistant] Kick around a team that should be relegated to the CFL if the CFL even still exists. The Jets at the Rams. The Rams a 17 point favorite with an over under a 43.5. Chris, how bad will this one be for the Jets?


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[Assistant] This reminds me of a boxing match where one side is thrown in the towel but the fight keeps going. That's where I feel like the Jets are this year. They're done. They don't care. They just don't care. I think what we saw in Seattle is what it's gonna be the rest of the way.


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[Assistant] They don't care. Adam Gase knows what's coming, whether from Christopher Johnson or Woody Johnson.


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[Assistant] And it's just a question of how ugly these last three games get. 17 is too low of a spread. I think the Rams will destroy them. I've got 42-17, which is being charitable to the Jets. I don't know how they score 17 points against this Rams defense, which will feast on Sam Darnold and company.


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[Assistant] Hell, Aaron Donald, after seeing Hasan Reddick get five sacks last week, I could see Aaron Donald try to get six or seven on his own and maybe he'll pull it off. So this one's gonna be ugly and that's all we need to say about that. The game of the day. Chiefs.


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[Assistant] The Saints. It would be better if we knew Drew Brees was playing. He most likely won't be Taysom Hill for his fifth consecutive start. That's exactly how many games Drew Brees didn't play in 2020. They were 5-0 this year. They're 3-1. The Chiefs coming to town. Three point favorites. The line has dropped. It has moved.


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[Assistant] Uh, and now it's three points that the, uh, that the Chiefs are favored. Chris, do the Chiefs win? Do the Chiefs cover?


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[Assistant] I've got 34-27, almost the identical score again, and I agree with you. Look, it's gotta be a high-scoring game for the Saints to have a chance. We've gotta see Taysom Hill throwing the football. This could be a game where the Saints actually feel better about Taysom Hill on the other end of it. And if the Saints somehow would win this one, that would be great. But what we've seen about the Chiefs is one of the key ingredients in beating them, you need to catch them napping.


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[Assistant] You're not gonna catch them napping when they're going into New Orleans to take on a Saints team that is trying to reposition itself as the number one seed. And I think what will happen as a practical matter here,


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[Assistant] Packers win Saturday, Saints lose Sunday. The Packers will essentially have the number one seed wrapped up and the Saints at some point will have to go to Lambeau Field, which is not good news for the New Orleans Saints. They have to go outdoors in the elements in January. Let's take a break. The prime time games coming up.


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[Assistant] Brown's Giants and the Potential Revenge of Freddie Kitchens. We'll be back with more PFTPM and Chris


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[Assistant] Boy, it would be great if it would snow during the game. The Browns after that epic Monday night loss to the Ravens, although a lot of people gaining respect for the Browns, me included in that effort. The Giants, who knows who the quarterback's going to be. We know the offensive coordinator won't be Jason Garrett.


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[Assistant] Freddie Kitchens will be calling the plays for the Giants, the ultimate revenge opportunity against the team that fired him after one year. Although it's really not revenge. He stunk. He got what he deserved. Now he gets a chance to show he's learned something in his year away from Cleveland. Chris, the Browns are a five point favorite with an over under of 44. What's the final score of this one?


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[Assistant] This one is, is one of the toughest ones of the week for me to pick. I've, I've


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[Assistant] Not given the Giants their proper due this year. I got locked into the early season narrative and I didn't want to let it go even though they have gotten better. Baker Mayfield has gotten better before our eyes. He spoke yesterday to reporters about the confidence that he's feeling and he gets better the more confident.


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[Assistant] That he feels. So as you get better and you feel more confident, you get more confident and you get better.


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[Assistant] He also said that the Browns players want to win this one for Odell Beckham Jr., even though he's not.


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[Assistant] I like the Browns in this one, and I'm gonna say Browns 30, Giants 20. I don't feel all that confident about it. I just feel like the Browns are rising to the moment. Last week we had two teams in the Giants and the Browns with an opportunity to rise to the moment against a playoff contender.


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[Assistant] The Giants didn't and the Browns did. And to me that counts for something this week. The Browns have it figured out and the Browns I think are going to be desperate and anxious to get back on the field and show.


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[Assistant] That they can recover from that emotional loss. I love what Kevin Stefanski's done. Couple of coach of the year candidates going against each other. I think Stefanski and the Browns emerge with the victory 30 to 20, Chris. Although I don't feel great about it, especially if Daniel Jones plays and if he can move around at all.


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[Assistant] The bye week was the turning point for the Browns offense because when you think about it, no off season program, no preseason games. That was a chance to go back and see what they had done wrong, what they'd done right and improve. And since then, Mayfield has been very good. He's had his first career back to back 300 yard passing games the last two weeks. All right, Monday night football.


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[Assistant] Not quite as compelling as last week, but hey, that's what you get late in the season. You never know how these teams are going to be. The Steelers, although...


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[Assistant] Reeling a little bit after losing two in a row. They need to reestablish. They finally get a normal week to prepare plus a day. They are at Cincinnati. 13 point favorites with an over under of only 40.5. Chris, I assume you're picking the Steelers to win. The question is, do you pick the Steelers to cover?


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[Assistant] Great game for the Steelers to reestablish themselves and figure out what their identity is going to be down the stretch and into the playoffs and having that extra time to prepare any normal week for a change.


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[Assistant] Should matter plus the prime time focus after they lost on Sunday night a chance to convince people and themselves.


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[Assistant] The games about which we feel the strongest this week. Best bets plus the one game straight up that we guarantee will produce a winner. We'll do that when PFTPM and Chris Simms unbuttoned.


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[Assistant] This edition of PFPPM and Chris Sims Unbuttoned, we do our joint megapix podcast every Thursday during the season. We've got our best bets and a new feature.


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[Assistant] Pete Demolitus has been calling it the Survivor pick. I view it as the Folsom Prison Blues pick. Here's why. In the excellent movie Walk the Line, when Johnny Cash, played by Joaquin Phoenix, is playing some tired old gospel song, the producer says to him,


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[Assistant] You're lying dead in the ditch and you got one song to play. That's not the song you're gonna play and he plays Folsom Prison Blues for the first time. So, one pick that we're gonna make. We'll wrap up the podcast with that. So I'm gonna keep calling it the Folsom Prison Blues pick.


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[Assistant] Chris, whether anyone likes it or not. What's your first best bet of the week?


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[Assistant] We have pulled the arm on the slot machine and we've got 49ers locked in on one line and we've got 49ers locked in on the next one. We're doing it again. It didn't work last week, but we're doing it again. I got the 49ers as well. Chris, what's your second one?


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[Assistant] Ineptitude is the key for my next pick. The Jets have stumbled to a level of ineptitude I've never seen before. The Rams cover the 17 point spread. What's your last one?


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[Assistant] I may regret this, I'm going with the Chiefs for my third pick. When they're locked in, when they're focused, they are dangerous. They're gonna win by seven in my estimation, so that covers the three points. Alright, real quickly Chris, cause we're almost out of time. What's your Folsom Prison pick? I assume it's the Rams.


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[Assistant] Alright, uh, that is it for this edition of PFTPM and Chris Simpson Button. Enjoy the games! We'll see you next time.


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[Assistant] Notre Dame did not have a good weekend. No, they did not. You're impartial though.


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[Assistant] There you go. On the home radio broadcast, as impartial as I can be. Thursday night, though, was interesting because my normal radio partner, Ryan Harris, I think your old teammate, Denver Broncos, tested positive for COVID early in the week.


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[Assistant] I had a few hours where I thought I was going to call by myself. Wow. So I'm thinking of these one man mechanics, you know, how can I do this? I'm going to call the play, maybe sprinkle. Break it down a little. A little bit of insight, but we landed on our feet, got Joe Theismann in. Awesome. I was with Joe T all weekend.


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[Assistant] Pat Summerall and John Madden talking about Phil Simms, Joe Theismann, or Ron Jaworski every single Sunday, and now in the last 15 years I've gotten to know all those guys.


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[Assistant] I've never really lost that fandom part where it's, it's cool to hang out with Joe Theis. We get to know this guy. Yeah. That I was watching my whole childhood growing up. Sure. Just, uh, it's one more layer of fun to add to a good weekend.


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[Assistant] He looked awesome. And I was telling you a little bit before, what I really like about watching him, it's not this catch and release bubble screen, inflated yards.


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[Assistant] NFL type of reads and throws intermediate. He's throwing 20, 25 yards down the field with touch driving the ball. So for Notre Dame fans, it wasn't a fun watch, but for quarterback junkie evaluation stuff, he looks to be the real deal. Make an NFL kind of region.


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[Assistant] I thought Lawrence was a little more Joe Burrow. Like, I think the Herbert thing is going to be a compliment to him. Herbert throws it a little bit easier and more natural. Yes, I would agree. I thought it was more of a Burrow. I know where to go with it.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and hopefully for the NFL and maybe the Jaguars, now that they're number one, hopefully he plays like Burrow next year.


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[Assistant] Let's start out with Drew Brees, who was only 15 out of 34. So rare for him. Obviously still hurt with the ribs. Here's what he had to say after the game.


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[Assistant] But now, you probably have to lean on that relationship too. About 15 years, they've been together. At some point in the last 24 hours, don't you have the conversation with Sean leading it, being like, okay, uh, I get it. That didn't go the way you thought it was going to. We're playing for keeps now.


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[Assistant] Should I play you again? Is this what we can expect?


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[Assistant] And that's something you've kind of pointed to throughout the season, that obviously they're led by the offense. That's where the stars are, the money, the most production. But this defense, it wasn't just yesterday. It's been pretty good or really good for a while.


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[Assistant] The other end with Spagnolo and the Kansas City defense, they know that their offense is going to score at least 28 more times than not in the 30s. Sure. They can probably call a game and play a game in a different way.


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[Assistant] Flip it over and talk about the offense. And we're used to them hitting 30 or more. They hit 32. We're used to them winning.


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[Assistant] But Mahomes at only 5.4 yards per attempt, lowest of his career, let me take it one step further here for you Chris, to under 10 yards per completion. That doesn't happen very often with him. So how do they hit the 30 mark? How do they win again when Mahomes was not quite at his best?


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[Assistant] I don't either. So now looking ahead with the kind of teams that the Chiefs are going to compare themselves to as they try to repeat what they did last year. Are there other teams?


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[Assistant] That's as stiff a test as they'll face until if, if they face the Saints again in the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] That is kind of odd because you look at the AFC lineup and all the teams kind of right beneath.


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[Assistant] Right beneath Kansas City's number one senior, like, whoa, there's a lot of good squads there.


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[Assistant] Yeah, as we're going to hit a bunch of different games. I'm going to get it back to the next game. Packers beat the Panthers 24-16. So you have the Chiefs number one seed in the AFC.


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[Assistant] Green Bay number one now in the NFC and Steve Kornacki who killed it once again. Yeaah, he's amazing. I love tuning in to listen to all you guys, but man he's a...


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[Assistant] I think he's my number one reason to tune in now. So he has Green Bay now 76% chance to hang on to that number one seed with New Orleans losing. They're down to an 8% chance with that one loss now of getting that top seed.


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[Assistant] Alright, uh, points bet. Let's check out this graphic here. Most regular season receiving yards provided by our points bet at Sportsbook Friends here.


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[Assistant] We're thinking about this because of Devontae Adams. He's far down the list. But look at all these names chasing the receiving title. You have Hopkins on top. Kelsey's six yards behind. Diggs is right there. Tyreek Hill has a shot. Metcalf has a shot.


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[Assistant] The name we saw at the top of the list, DeAndre Hopkins. There's a reason we kind of showed that. We're leading into Cardinals and the Eagles, but let's first take a listen to one of your favorite songs.


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[Assistant] Great way to segue. Damn okay. Damn. See if Pete's on it. Damn.


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[Assistant] I know you can't hear it, but I'm enjoying it. It is weird, actually, not having it in my ear. Okay. Okay, as promised, DeAndre Hopkins gets us into the Cardinals knocking off the Eagles, 33-26. Damn okay, of course we're starting out with Kyler Murray, 435 yards of total offense, passing and running.


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[Assistant] So now at 8-6 with Kyle Murley, clearly feeling well throwing the football. Maybe they found something, what you're pointing out here. How big of an issue are they? How big of a concern are they for the NFC now that they're 8-6 and that they've turned the corner a little bit?


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[Assistant] So Kyler Murray responds really well to what Kingsbury did. 27 out of 36, 406. Three touchdowns passing and one rushing. Other side, Jalen Hurts, also over 400 yards of total offense, four touchdowns. One question here from Twitter from Luciano.


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[Assistant] I have a nephew named Luciano. Luciano Donoso, not Luciano Sims. Damn okay, Jalen Hurts, moving the ball and making plays all game long for touchdown, just scratching the surface. I'm intrigued to know where you see room for improvement on his game considering NFL defenses will adjust sooner rather than later.


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[Assistant] The offense around him looks like it has a lot more life, a lot more belief as well. And his arm strength isn't any different than you thought. No, no, not really. Is it the, and I like how you point out the defenses have to play him in a way that there's some openings there that there wouldn't be.


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[Assistant] Exactly. He's created that. It goes to him. So if the arm is still, it's not great like I mentioned. Is it the anticipation or the decision making? What other part of him is a little better than maybe you thought?


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[Assistant] So that was the beginning of the end last spring then. I mean, drafting, drafting this kind of player in the second round.


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[Assistant] To be the guy. You're supposed to be the man and watch somebody else come in and lead your team to a Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Maybe it'd be good to leave anyway. I mean, you have to live with that for the rest of your career.


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[Assistant] I keep seeing Philadelphia on the list of the Carson Wentz, maybe he ends up here. Philip Rivers is playing really well. Oh, you mean, uh, the Colts? Yea, Colts.


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[Assistant] Those are some very worthy Damocays. We have a couple more to get to. Let's go to the Bears win over the Vikings, 33-27. Bears are now 7-7. Bears in a row. David Montgomery, 32 carries, buck 46.


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[Assistant] I'll sign up for that formula every Sunday forever. And that's the way it is. Yes. And Trubisky is responding too. I mean the last couple games, over 70%. What I really like is he's over 12 yards per completion. Making plays and making aggressive throws. Usually when he's making completions he's not getting that much out of him. Yeaah. But the last month you can't say that.


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[Assistant] I think that's a good reality check on all the praise for the Bears. People are thinking, oh, maybe postseason, and like, okay.


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[Assistant] Big time, big time production there because Cook was 24 for 132.


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[Assistant] Giants, Browns. Cleveland wins 20 to 6. Uh, expected they would win. Baker Mayfield just puts together good performance after good performance. This is a real pattern the last month and a half.