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[Assistant] Gosh, it was a tough week, but his playoff football, the margin so close, felt like the Rams were going to get the win outright, right? Which we picked them outright to win the football game outplayed Detroit, but couldn't score touchdowns. That was big.


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[Assistant] Uh, and then I got a little egg in my face with my Cleveland, you know, Texans and all that. The Texans absolutely just shitting all over the Browns. Uh, that was, uh, that was one that hurt me for sure.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I don't think there's any doubt about that, right?


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[Assistant] You know, you got rid of some teams as far as last week that...


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[Assistant] Okay, yeah, maybe surprise upset with Green Bay, Dallas, whatever else, but we do get rid of teams that I think we looked at to go, wait, how good are they? Or they haven't played good down the stretch.


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[Assistant] You know, yeah, no more Eagles. The Eagles, yeah, had, they were the Eagles, but really in actuality, the last six or seven weeks, they were hands down, one of the worst teams in football, like literally, figuratively, statistically, whatever you want to talk about it. And then we caused, we knew the Steelers were what they were kind of a one and done football team.


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[Assistant] This is a weekend where you feel like all these teams kind of have a chance. They're all scary.


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[Assistant] And there's all elite parts of their football teams. And I think that's why it is the best weekend of the year for me. I mean, it's two awesome games on Saturday, two on Sunday. And like you said, the stakes are high. It's, I mean, it's every kid's dream to be playing on championship Sunday to have that.


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[Assistant] Have that ability to go to the Super Bowl. Whoa, I'm going to be on championship Sunday. One of the only two games on TV for a chance to go to the Super Bowl. All kids growing up.


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[Assistant] You know, relish that opportunity, wanted that opportunity, watched football and went, man, I hope one day I can be in a game like that. And of course it's all about this weekend to set up that stage.


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[Assistant] I believe, yeaah. Well, you can pick a team or over under. I mean, we're gonna, we'll pick something. We'll figure it out. But yeaah, I think we've picked it either way in the last years.


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[Assistant] The thing we've talked about from a few years ago, with the Ravens sitting out, being the number one seed that year, I think that was a parade year. Like, oh man, look, we were great, we won it, blah, blah, blah, hey, we're the number one seed, Lamar was the MVP. I don't think they care about any of that crap this year.


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[Assistant] I don't. I think they've had their sights on Super Bowl all year long.


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[Assistant] I think they realized what they did a few years ago in that divisional game. I'm going to be shocked if the Ravens get caught sleeping here. Now, do I think that means they're necessarily going to come out and be hitting on all cylinders? No, I still think there'll be a little bit of like what you said, a rust factor, a fact that we haven't played all that much and the Texans have played two playoff games here down the stretch. So they're ready to go.


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[Assistant] But I think clearly the Ravens are the better football team. I think the other thing I look at too is


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[Assistant] I don't think, you know, the Ravens are not, they're a little more tactical. They're not as meatheadish of the Browns, right? The Browns, I just did not think they were going to be quite that blindly aggressive.


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[Assistant] Right? Against a guy like CJ Stroud and the Bobby Slovic offense and just go, Oh, we're going to come out and getting in their face and take a chance every play. You know, the Ravens are different in the fact that


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[Assistant] They'll trust their front seven a little and go, okay, hey, you, you might run the ball on us here a little bit. You might get three, you might get five. So what, but we're not going to let you throw the 70 yard corner post or, you know, some other big play. They're a little more.


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[Assistant] Where Baltimore does a lot of different stuff and they are specific to who they're playing against.


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[Assistant] And I think that they'll be very cognizant of not letting CJ Stroud get home run shots down the football field. I think I look at it that aspect. I think Texans make some plays and some points, but ultimately I give the advantage to the Ravens defense. The other side of the ball, uh, always respect D'Amico Ryan's there. I do look at this one and go,


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[Assistant] I know they like to stop the run and they gotta worry about the run because the Ravens are much bigger than they are up front. The Ravens of course are pretty creative in the run game too and that's where I think they're in a tough spot because it's how much do you go all in on the run where you know you're gonna have an issue.


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[Assistant] And it's still Lamar Jackson and that passing game and the receivers that are


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[Assistant] Definitely a notch up as compared to any other year we've seen Lamar Jackson in the playoffs. I like Ravens here, obviously. I'm going to say 2017, one of those games where it might take them a little bit to get going, but they get going and they clearly show us who the better team on the football field is.


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[Assistant] It's one of the things that, you know, makes them special.


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[Assistant] And shows a maturity about his game that is really rare for a rookie, right? Rookies usually want to get out anytime they feel any pressure. Oh no. And for the most part, you know, quarterbacks that are first rounders have been good enough to do that at every level to kind of go, wait, I can get out of here and make a play. And I I've survived that way. Strata is different.


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[Assistant] That's where he's got a little bit of that Joe Burrow, little Tom Brady sense in the pocket where he knows


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[Assistant] Going backwards is not a good thing. One, of course you can't step into throws, but two, you actually make the angle easier for the pass rush on the edge, right? Those guys now don't have to turn a corner. They can kind of just go, wait, I can go nine yards that way.


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[Assistant] Steps up in the fray, but has the confidence to know, to like what you're saying, stepping up actually is gonna protect me. I'm gonna have more people around me and I gotta, like you're saying, not flinch and still look down the field, but I'm actually more secure here than I would be if I just got the shotgun.


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[Assistant] And took a few steps and then stayed back there. Something I learned in my days with Josh McDaniels and working in New England.


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[Assistant] They had the six and a half yard rule. I think I told you that before where the, they wanted to snap the ball, the quarterback being shotgun around five and five and a half yards behind the center. But you weren't allowed to go, excuse me there as I choked on myself.


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[Assistant] Past six and a half yards, and if you got to six and a half yards, you had to start pushing up because the tackles now have a frame point of where Brady would be.


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[Assistant] You know, and I know he's not going to be that deep so I can push the guy around or let ride him as he goes around the pocket. And that's the beauty of what CJ strata is very rare to see a rookie quarterback do that. Mike has good observation by you.


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[Assistant] They're a little bit like that naturally anyways. A little bit of like, again, they're like the patriots in their prime of where they're not looking for one guy to come around the edge and get 20 sacks a year. That's not what they're about. They kind of work as a unit. They kind of believe in just let's collapse the pocket as a unit.


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[Assistant] And to your point there, as good as CJ Stroud is at hanging in the pocket, making throws within the pocket, I would think we see some creative ways, Mike, of, you know, Hey, Judevion Clowney standing up.


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[Assistant] Right? We got a deep, we got defense ends in, but Jadevion Clowney and maybe somebody else are roaming around. They say set up and they rushed through the middle and maybe the defense ends drop back, but now it pushes it into Strahd's face. Let alone they're a team that's very.


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[Assistant] Cognizant and conscious of being like that anyways, but I would think that yes, that is going to be overemphasized this week as much as CJ Stroud wants to hang in there and throw the ball down the field within that pocket, like you're talking about.


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[Assistant] I hear you. I hear you. It's scary for me too. I hear you. Let me just add one more thing off of that. Cause you talked about like the Texans defense a little bit.


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[Assistant] They kind of are a little bit of like, they do what they do and they just have a few little wrinkles within that every week.


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[Assistant] Right? It's not like, like the Ravens or some other teams where you just go, I don't know how they're going to attack us this week. It's kind of just like, wait, we know what they play, but which one of those are they going to pick against this formation or against that formation or that personnel set?


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[Assistant] And that'll be interesting too because the Ravens are a team that will be extremely aggressive. They're not afraid to go wait.


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[Assistant] We have a good feel that you're going to be in this and you're the Texans and you like to take away all these 10 and 15 yard throws over the middle. Fine. Take them away. Here's 50 over the top of Rashad Bateman.


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[Assistant] That, I'm just saying, again, I'm only picking a 10 point win, but that to me could be the way maybe the Ravens end up stomping them by more if that were to happen and they kinda got in a groove that way.


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[Assistant] You know me. I'm picking the 49ers. Uh, I think the 49ers are in a class of their own in the NFC. I do. I think they're a notch above everybody there. I worried like the Ravens conversation.


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[Assistant] I worry a little bit about the same things we discussed there, right? I don't care who you are and how hard you practice during your Biden week and all that. You know, you got one team that, yeah, the Packers have been playing playoff football for the last five, six weeks.


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[Assistant] So they're ready to go. And there could be a little bit of a getting used to being back on the field in this kind of environment moment, but I don't think that's going to last long with the 49ers. I don't. I mean, again, this is another team like the Ravens. I'll even emphasize more. I think this, I mean, on a mission ever since that Eagles game last year.


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[Assistant] Definitely. The matchup I worry about with the Packers is their defense. Their defense has talent. That's the one great thing they got about it for sure, right? We've seen some offenses through the year schematically pick it apart. And Shanahan of course is a genius that way.


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[Assistant] Right? So, you know, I don't know if Lafleur can get with Joe Barry a little bit and maybe try to teach him some of the things Shanahan's doing to help him out with some of the tricks there, whatever. But we know the 49ers in that offense, you know, unlike


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[Assistant] The team that the Packers had to play last week, they didn't really have to worry about the run game.


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[Assistant] This is a whole different ball game here. Like if you don't worry about the running game against the 49ers, McCaffrey runs for over 200 yards against you, your offense never gets the ball, and you lose 42 to 10.


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[Assistant] So you kinda gotta go all in on that aspect and then find the right way to defend in the back end.


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[Assistant] And we know the 49ers, I think more than any other years past.


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[Assistant] Our, our, the best passing football team they've been in the Shanahan era. And that's hilarious to say with Brock Purdy and right. I mean, all that he's done, he's the only first round non-first round quarterback playing this year in the playoffs. Uh, but we know he's been playing like a first round quarterback and he's efficient as hell.


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[Assistant] That's where I worry about the Packers. The other side of the ball, Mike.


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[Assistant] I think it's the 49ers defense that's not as good as maybe the last.


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[Assistant] Few that have gone to the NFC Championship game. I think it's a notch down from that.


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[Assistant] And I think Green Bay is dangerous on the offensive side of the ball. And they can make plays and they are pretty balanced as well, like you've heard me say.


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[Assistant] A lot of moving parts, a lot of motions, shifts. They can run the ball and Jordan Love will hang in the pocket a little like we were talking with CJ Stroud. He might not fade up into the, get up in the pocket. He hangs on his back leg, but he'll hang in there and wait for people to get open.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take the 49ers, 30 to 21, alright? Nine and a half was a little too much for me, and this one, I think this Packers offense will make some plays and kind of keep them hanging around this game and make 49ers a little uncomfortable as it goes on.


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[Assistant] Again, there's a week for the number one seed to be had. This is the week.


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[Assistant] Traditionally, this is when we see the upset of the team not play at their best. And you know, if they do get through this week, then they kind of got their feet underneath them and they're ready for the AFC championship or NFC championship or whatever it may be. I'm going to be interested about that Packers defense approach.


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[Assistant] Right? That's a meme where I think it's going to be really interesting. I think it could be a game where they play a lot of five man fronts, Mike. The Packers do.


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[Assistant] They're young. This is the youngest team in football, right? So they're not battle tested and, and used to this and their talent. They're not going to be outclassed. I said this on my podcast session, not going to be outclassed by the talent on the field.


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[Assistant] It's about what we talk about a lot with the 49ers. Can you play at a high level with the highest of intensity to match that and then be all over every little detail and not mess that up either? And that's where the Packers are still young and growing in those departments as the 49ers are well seasoned in those departments. But if the Packers might


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[Assistant] Like, they got a Tadaryl Slayton, 93, who's 340 pounds. You know, they got, of course, Devonte Wyatt, first round pick two years ago from Georgia. He's 315. And then, of course, Kenny Clark at 314.


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[Assistant] I wouldn't be shocked if we saw all three of them on the field together a lot.


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[Assistant] Right? Let's get three big people on there. Now we got Preston Smith and Rashaun Gary on the outside.


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[Assistant] We can drop one, rush one every now and then, but we're big and now we can hang in there versus the run game and maybe not have to overplay with linebackers and safety versus the play action that Shanahan and Purdy are so good at. That would be one thing, uh, just a little X's and O's to look for for everybody out there.


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[Assistant] I am. Like, I thought long and hard about it.


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[Assistant] I can't wait to be there. First off, like you said, it's going to be an amazing experience. I'm also excited that it's the Buccaneers and there's still a lot of people in that organization that were there when I was there. So I can't wait to see them. It's going to be an awesome atmosphere.


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[Assistant] It really is. Now, I will say this. The Buccaneers, as you've heard me say it, I'm not always right about my things, but I'm usually right when I say watch out or this team matches up well. They could be a surprise here. To me of all the games this weekend,


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[Assistant] This is the game where if you had to pick one and you went, I can see an upset happening. This is the one. It is definitely the one to me.


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[Assistant] I think the Buccaneers match up very well with the Detroit Lions. They play a similar style of football in a lot of ways. They kind of go all in on the run on defense, both teams and they'll, they'll let up some pass plays to make sure you don't dominate them in the run game.


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[Assistant] You know, both offenses, right? The Lions run the ball better, of course, but the Bucs try to run the ball, at least to keep you honest. But more of the point I was getting to is both are aggressive down the field throwing offenses, right? We've joked all year. I mean, the Bucs, it's like,


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[Assistant] Right, it's, it's heaven, 70 yards if he catches it, it's 60 yards if he catches it, it's Godwin, deep throw, you know, it's plays after the catch on short, shallow throws because they're down, they're so far down the field, oh, here's David Moore running a shallow cross, nobody's around him because we're all worried about the down the field stuff.


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[Assistant] So that's where I think it could be fun. I think we could see a lot of big plays in the pass game. I can.


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[Assistant] Alright, and I think with, you know, the first matchup around, 20-6 Lions victory,


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[Assistant] Mis- misleading. I mean, they won the game, don't get me wrong. But the game was closer than even that score would show.


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[Assistant] And the Lions offense against that is Bucks defense did not move the ball at will. I mean one of their touchdowns was they got the ball in the seven yard line early in the game.


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[Assistant] When it was about to be a Mike Evans 95 yard touchdown cause they blew the coverage and a D lineman for Detroit got their hand up and tipped the ball as Baker was thrown into a wide open Mike Evans and they intercepted it.


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[Assistant] They're big enough up front Tampa on the defensive side of the ball to hang in there with that Detroit O line. Detroit's not going to overpower that, that front seven of the, the, the, um, the bucks and the bucks have a better secondary than the Los Angeles Rams did last week.


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[Assistant] The Bucs have two guys in Carlton Davis and Jamel Dean who can play some man to man, let alone they're good at their zone butses too. And we know they got Antoine Winfield in the center field and he's maybe the best safety in the game right now. So that's where I go. They can, they can keep this lion's offense in check.


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[Assistant] And it's almost the same way the other side of the ball, where


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[Assistant] I hope the Lions don't go too all in on stopping the run because the bucks are not that great at running the ball.


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[Assistant] If they run the ball, it's really just about to keep you honest so they can throw the ball down the field to Edmonds or Godwin. And that's really what it's all about. So I'll be excited to see the adjustments or how the Detroit Lions defense plays this, but I think this will be a fun one. I'm going Lions. I'm going chalk.


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[Assistant] I don't have the guts, but I'm gonna make it 27-24. I am going to have the Buccaneers cover that spread.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the biggest thing and the biggest concern about a game that's this evenly matched, right, is the health of right now the Buffalo Bills. I think that's the biggest problem. And that's where I'm a little bit


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[Assistant] The injuries again, seeing the extent of maybe the injury report today, which becomes official and everything there.


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[Assistant] That'll give me a better feel, but hey, we don't have the luxury of doing that.


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[Assistant] You know, because if some of these injuries where I go, Ooh, I don't know, is this gotta give me a plan? They go, Oh, hey, it's, it's just questionable.


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[Assistant] Alright, right? And this guy, oh, okay, it's like, hey, it's looking like these, a lot of their good players are going to be able to play and be somewhat close at a hundred percent. Yeah, of course that changes my opinion rather than, oh, this guy's doubtful or can't practice all week and it's going to be a game day decision. That's a different animal altogether there.


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[Assistant] Now when you get into the X's and O's of the football game all together here, you know, it's fascinating. One, we know it's a Chiefs offense that's not special.


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[Assistant] It's, it's not right, but it's still Patrick Mahomes. They protect pretty well. He's capable of magic. And I do think by with what we saw last week, like


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[Assistant] They showed me that they realize who they are. We're gonna run the ball, we're gonna throw screens, and Patrick will make a few big throws in the pocket, and that's all we are, right? And, and, and that's fine. I think that's the way they play. It's the way they should play. Their defense is top notch. It's Super Bowl-ish, their defense that way. So, I like that.


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[Assistant] Now, the other side of this story is this Kansas City defense versus this Bills offense, which I think this Bills offense


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[Assistant] Probably caught them by the Chiefs defense by surprise a little bit early in the year, or in week 14. It was still the early phases of the Joe Brady, I've taken over offense, right? We've talked about it the last few weeks. Teams have figured out how to defend him a little bit more.


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[Assistant] But the thing we talk about and the Chiefs a lot like, I mean the Bills a lot like the Chiefs, they've kind of embraced


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[Assistant] You know, their best way to win football games and been playing playoff football for six weeks. And yet it is not all about Josh Allen. He's certainly the driving force, but they do have a running game. They are spreading the ball out to different guys. It doesn't seem like it's all on his shoulders. Play after play after play, which is good. They're playing a team football game there. This is weird.


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[Assistant] I think the Chiefs are the better team, like physically. I think if we went through the game, you'd go, I'd probably take more Chiefs players than Bills players.


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[Assistant] I have this one thing that just keeps bothering me. And my football historian self usually says, and hey, a team shows you who they are all year. So don't be shocked when that rears its ugly head or beautiful head in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] And I know I want to go, wait, this is playoff, Chiefs, and this is my homes, right? And the magic, and they know the playoffs, and they're buckled in, and as much as I want to say that and believe in that,


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[Assistant] There's like, you know, 35 years of me paying attention to football in a big way to go, wait, wait, they had 18 weeks and they kind of showed us who they were. And even last week.


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[Assistant] And the bills have gotten into mode of, we're just gonna do whatever we gotta do to win the game this week, every week, every week. We'll just do that. We know it. Oh, it's tight late in the fourth. No big deal. We were in this last week. We're in this this week. We were in it six weeks ago. Doesn't matter. We know how to do it. I'm going to ride the bills from that standpoint, Mike.


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[Assistant] That they've just been in, gotta win the game no matter what mode for so long. Been playing pretty good football under the pressure. And the Chiefs, it's been good the last two weeks, yeaah. But Christmas Eve or Christmas Day was a debacle, let alone there was some debacles early in December and that. I'm gonna go Bills 28-24.


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[Assistant] Wow. Wow. Wow is right. I know I'm scared and I don't know. And like I said, that Bill's health is certainly a big part of this.


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[Assistant] That's my son last night and that's exactly what he said. He goes, Oh man, I, the chiefs, my homes and the chiefs, they're in playoff mode. My homes is a player. Playoff my homes is different dad. So I hear you.


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[Assistant] Don't forget on DraftKings Sportsbook, this NFL playoffs, new customers can bet $5 in pocket, $200 in bonus bets instantly. Plus all customers could get a no sweat, same game parlay every day.


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[Assistant] It's like one of those two, right? I mean, and honestly, I'm not going to, I'm going to take Patrick my homes. I am. I know I just picked the bills to win the game. I get it. It's a team sport. I, I still am like trust my homes. Yes. My homes is shown


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[Assistant] The ability to play, that's why I want to pick the Bills and I pick the Bills but I'm scared to death. Mahomes has shown the ability to rise up to any occasion.


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[Assistant] Right? He knows how to take care of the ball in these big games. So even though I didn't pick him to win, he's still the guy I have the most confidence in. I'm gonna still ride that. I know that's a little backwards, but it's, yea. Uh, it's, it's, it's a tight one there.


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[Assistant] That's why it's an interesting conversation, right? Because I believe, I mean, Alan's probably the most highlight reel, get on my back, I'll carry the team, do whatever we gotta do. But confidence also is in a little trust.


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[Assistant] And I guess, you know, again, Allen turnovers this year, all of that.


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[Assistant] That scares me just a little bit. That's the reason I don't. But do I think he of course is capable of out-dueling Mahomes and making more magical plays? 100%. As you know, he's the only guy in football that we feel like is capable of doing that. And that's why he's the man and this is why


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[Assistant] This feels like it's the new Manning-Brady matchup.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright. Well, now it's time to go to the next one. And the next one, I am going to go with Lamar Jackson here. I am. I know it's only one playoff game. I don't care.


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[Assistant] Alright, I know he's only won one playoff game. He's been in the playoffs, he's been determined all year, he's played high level football all year. I think like you talked about with Mahomes and Legacy, Lamar is very aware of all that and that he needs to start


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[Assistant] Winning some games in this time of the year if he wants his legacy to be what he wants it to be when he's all said and done. So I'll go with Lamar as the second quarterback in my trust tree.


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[Assistant] Yeah, listen, Stroud is as high a level thrower as there is in football. I don't think you're wrong to say that you trust CJ Stroud to make a big time throw as compared to Purdy, right? Purdy can make some big time throws, but not like CJ Stroud.


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[Assistant] All right. I'm going to go with Purdy next, but yeah, it's not so much about Purdy, but it's also some of his, Hey, his ability. And I trust him to run this offense and do the right things. And his ego's not going to get involved. And if there's a run game play there, he'll check it and hand it off to McCaffrey and play the team football game. And therefore that's why he'll be my third choice. I have confidence in that.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Buccaneers, my old squad, the team that was crazy enough to draft me back in 2003 NFL draft in the third round. I think they match up well with the Lions. I know I picked the Lions to win, but I still think it's to be closer. If there's an upset to happen this weekend, I think it's Tampa Bay. I had 27-24 Detroit.


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[Assistant] I just trust them. I trust them not to be asleep at the wheels in number one seed. I don't totally trust the Ravens in that capacity. So that's where I'm going Niners with you. I'm with you.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what up homies, thanks for watching. Remember, subscribe to Chris Sims on Button.


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[Assistant] I completely agree. I think there's a lot of variables in that one. Windows in the NFL are so small. And it's not that, hey, we can only win these two years. It's, hey, we're probably gonna have to retool in two years.


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[Assistant] And 48 of the 49 millions guarantee- I'm seeing that money. Rather than I'm signing a 5 year deal.


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[Assistant] 60 of it's guaranteed, but I'm going to be, you know, maybe not happy in three years or can't go hit the marketing. It's just, I agree with you entirely. You have to have the leverage to do it. Kirk Cousins is a guy that just always has that leverage to live on those deals. Neil Hunter had that leverage to do it. But if you're a guy, like I'm very curious what the Tyron Smith deal will look like.


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[Assistant] That's a guy that you would think two years, 85% of that money should be guaranteed if you want him. I would think so. Right.


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[Assistant] The discussion point last year when you and I were talking this time of year, it was, hey, are these guys ever going to be able to get money?


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[Assistant] This year, we see the carousel, as you see here, Deandre Swift out with the Eagles, Saquon Barkley in, as Swift goes to the Bears, obviously Barkley out with the Giants, Devin Singletary in with him, as Singletary leaves the Texans, Joe Mixon is in via a trade with the Bengals, the Bengals get Zach Moss to replace him,


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[Assistant] The Vikings cut Alexander Madison. They go get Aaron Jones from the division rival Green Bay. Who does Green Bay replace Aaron Jones with? But a big money deal that Josh Jacobs, one of the best backs in the league.


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[Assistant] Antonio Gibson leaves the commanders for the Patriots. The commanders go get Austin Eckler as their pass catching back. As the Chargers lose Eckler, they get more.


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[Assistant] of, uh, you know, bang between the tackle guy for Harbaugh and Gus Edwards, the Gus bus. And you know, the Ravens needed a replacement for the Gus bus. They go hit Derek Henry and then the Titans, as they lose Derek Henry, they get Tony Pollard. Let's start it with this Chris.


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[Assistant] Who is the best fit out of these guys? This giant game of musical chairs at the running back position.


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[Assistant] Yeah, AddieM27 sees it how you do. Uh, he said, I like what the Ravens did in signing Derek Henry and I think they need to run more under center with him rather than in shotgun. Uh, Titans1313 asked, well, really had a comment, Tony Pollard, pathetic, 8 million a year for a mediocre running back who barely cracked a thousand yards with a four yards.


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[Assistant] Uh, per carry in a good offense. Did they even ever really try to re-sign Henry? Was this really your priority in free agency? It's like, uh, John Robinson never left. Disheartening for a fan base.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Pollard now obviously in a run game that we feel like Bill Callahan's gonna have a huge hand in, of course, there. You know, very outside zone heavy there in Cleveland, but Bill has run everything, everything throughout his NFL life.


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[Assistant] Let's jump into a little free agency stock up or stock down. And I think the biggest question you have to start with when you look at this is really does free agency pay off? A lot of dollars are paid in free agency, but does it actually have the short and long term ramifications that you hope for? Let's look at the records of the highest spending teams in free agency.


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[Assistant] Jacksonville. They were 3 and 14 the year before they ended up going 9 and 8 when you look at the 2021 Patriots.


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[Assistant] 5 and 11 to 10 and 6. And then a couple other teams here. I think the most notable one on the entire list, uh, Chris, might be the Bears going from 5 and 11 to 12 and 4 in 2018. It feels like you get a short shot in the arm from free agency. You get that one year bump. It's just a matter of how the deals ultimately age.


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[Assistant] Well, and then it's, you know, kinda thrown on the lap of the head coach. You figure it out now.


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[Assistant] I think that's the frustration part, right? And we saw in a very, very different capacity, Mike Vrabel.


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[Assistant] We never thought he'd be on the market this year. That felt like it was always a roster control battle. Kevin O'Connell is a great coach and it's going to be very interesting to see how they figure this out. And speaking of the Vikings,


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[Assistant] George North asked, why did the Vikings not make sure to get Russell Wilson as a backup plan? Wilson with the Vikings would have been a far better fit and spot for both the team and the player than the offensive difficulties of the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Sam Darnold in one year, set to start. They're picking in the top 15, but not in range for one of the top four quarterbacks. We don't know what the entry points are in a trade-off. One, do you think that's something they have to explore? Or two, are you comfortable enough with Darnold that you're sitting there going, maybe a guy falls to us where we're picking and we're gonna roll with Sam and that guy.


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[Assistant] And I'll say this Chris, in this draft, there's no Saquon Barkley.


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[Assistant] There are plenty of day two, it's not a great linebacker class, but there are plenty of day two run and chase guys that I think can make up that gap they wanted in Patrick Queen. There's Edren Cooper from Texas A&M, there's Peyton Wilson from NC State, I mean, Junior Colson from Michigan, and I know every Eagles fan is like, we don't draft linebacker early, you don't have to.


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[Assistant] And four picks in the top 100 in total. So it's not even like they're going into free agency we have to spend because we have no draft capital. They have all the draft capital again as well. They are set up really nicely. Alright, let's move over to the Jets here. Israel DMS7 asked, what was the Jets plan? Bargain shop with a win now team?


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[Assistant] Dan Benetter said, I do not like Joe Douglas. He doesn't sign any players that they are desperately in need of. It seems like absolute arrogance to me. If I hear he has a number one more time, I'll puke.


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[Assistant] This is what scares me with the Jets. They go into the draft every year and it is so damn obvious what they need to do. Last year they needed a tackle, they got jumped for Broderick Jones. Absolutely jumped. Then they took Will McDonald, who I like as a player, but


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[Assistant] Felt a little early. Every Jets fan thought Bryce Huff was going to be a star before the season. And everyone knew that except the Jets. And we get to this point where they lose Bryce Huff because they didn't see that. So now Will MacDonald needs to be Bryce Huff. I don't know if that's really fair.


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[Assistant] And now you're going into the draft again where they're starting line right now. They got Joe Tippman, Elijah Vera Tucker coming off of Torn Achilles. They signed John Simpson to be a starting guard. Everybody knows the Jets need to tackle a 10. And they might need more if they don't get going here. I think that's the frustration with Joe Douglas that


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[Assistant] This window with Aaron Rodgers is not the time to really look for bargains because the Jets got one to two years to win. And I think that's the frustration with them is that it's painfully obvious what they need to do in the draft every year because they don't do enough in free agency.


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[Assistant] Dwayne Brown. Dwayne Brown, right. Uhm, and then, you know, a lot of it's really gonna be pretty similar, cause they were shuffling in guys, like Connor McGovern got hurt, he was their starting center. Right, but he's still there, right? I think he's a free agent. He is a free agent. So the only guys coming back, like Wes Schweitzer, their backup guard center, which is a fine backup guard center, but they have two legitimate starting holes on this line right now.


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[Assistant] That'll be it. Definitely. You gotta get a guy that can play across from Garrett Wilson. Yes, they do. Which we'll see if they enter that. And they could get in the bargain receiver here in the next week. I imagine they talk to Odell again, they look at that kind of road map. Yeah. So, we'll see with the Jets. Alright, let's stay in New York and go to the Giants here. Jim Dee said, I hate losing Saquon to Philly.


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[Assistant] Alright, one more for the Giants here. Which quarterback will the Giants go after in the draft? Would they trade back and collect assets and draft McCarthy in the teens instead of six? Let me jump out in front of you, Chris. I don't think you'd get McCarthy in the teens anymore.


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[Assistant] Say a Bo Nix, Michael Penix, somebody in that tier starts falling to the end of round one, you have the flexibility to go get the guy if you want to do that. I just don't think you need to, you have to take the guy at six.


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[Assistant] And I think that's the guy that they're gonna go with. Exactly right. Right. So, and I know they took Zach Pickens as well, so maybe they're expecting some development from him. I think so. And like you said, Chris, that's a position you could draft for depth, you know, later on. So I think the Bears are in a really good place. I do. They have work to do, but they also have purposely set themselves up to do so much of that work early in the draft.


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[Assistant] Quentin Jefferson certainly would too. Cost effective. Exactly right, exactly right. So there's gonna be options. They're probably on that market. Alright, the 49ers, your boy El Rey, how much help are Floyd, Grossmatos, and Elliott? What changes, good and bad, will Brandon Staley bring to the defense?


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[Assistant] The thing with the Ravens right now, Chris, they've lost Gus Edwards, fine, replace them, Devin Duvernay, starting left guard, John Simpson goes to the Jets, Patrick Queen, Del Sean Phillips, Ronald Darby, Gino Stone, and their long snapper, Tyler Ott. It feels like for Baltimore right now, cause Zeitler is a free agent as well, both guard spots open.


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[Assistant] Baltimore's not, they find a way to trap and develop mid pick, you know, guards like no other. They're hard. They're like- They probably gotta sign one out here. It's hard to go in with both spots open. I would think so. Maybe Zeitler goes back.


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[Assistant] A team that their roster got absolutely ravaged was the Miami Dolphins. You know, they lose Robert Hunt, who got a hundred million dollar deal from the Panthers to be their starting guard.


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[Assistant] Christian Wilkins goes to the Raiders on a massive deal. Rayquan Davis leaves to the Colts. Andrew Van Ginkle, who really stepped up and filled in for their injured pass rushers, he goes to Minnesota. And safety Brandon Jones, who's been kind of that key third safety for them, goes to the Broncos.


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[Assistant] They have found some value, Chris. They haven't had a ton of cap to work with, but they get a new center in Aaron Brewer. They bring in Jonu Smith at tight end. Shaq Barrett takes a one-year deal. Now he's further removed from the Achilles injury. Maybe he gets back to being himself.


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[Assistant] Jordan Brooks, a big add to the middle of the field, as well as Anthony Walker Jr., and then Jordan Poir, who has some ties to the Florida area, leaves Buffalo at the end of his career to go be maybe that safety replacement for Brandon Jones.


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[Assistant] They signed Patrick Queen, Dante Jackson they traded for, and they signed punter Cameron Johnston.


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[Assistant] We talked about the hunter deal, I mean two years, 49 million 48 of it's guaranteed. So this is just mercenary, I'm here for two years, I'm collecting all my money, and I'm gonna probably stumble into 13 sacks.


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[Assistant] That's the thing. Winning team. Winning team. Yeah, closing games. Staying in the division, the Jacksonville Jaguars, Tomas Pena said, Calvin Ridley as a chief, mark my words.


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[Assistant] The pick for Jacksonville that they traded doesn't become a second-rounder to Atlanta. I think it stays at third. It stays at third, that's right. I didn't read that.


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[Assistant] The theories that he's waiting to sign because of that, or Jacksonville's waiting for that, it's interesting. I wouldn't be shocked by that. He could also be drawing up the price the longer this goes on if a team like the Chiefs were involved, which we don't know yet.


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[Assistant] Let's put a bow on that division with the Titans because you kind of went to bat at the beginning of the podcast for the Tony Pollard signing. They also got an upgrade at center in Lloyd Cushenberry. They signed Sadik Charles at guard, Kenneth Murray.


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[Assistant] And Shidobia Wuzier for the defense. The Titans were pretty busy after losing Derek Henry, Aaron Brewer, Deniko Autry, Al Shair, and Sean Murphy-Bunting.


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[Assistant] So the Titans picking 7th in the draft, they add some additions to their offensive line. Does it feel like this is a team that now they're also in play to take a wide receiver in the top 10? Definitely. I mean they are, it's looking a little rough there. I mean. Right now.


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[Assistant] They pick at 38 as well, so they can honestly address both of those needs in any order they want. Yea, it'll be interesting to see what the Brian Callahan era kinda with Ran brings in there. Okay, let's move over to the Raiders who were pretty busy right out of the gate.


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[Assistant] ShMorris92 said, Love the Christian Wilkins move for the Raiders. Gives them another playmaker on defense. This defense with the number one corner would be a dangerous group. Curious of your opinion on the Gardner Minshew signing, does he move the needle to you over Aiden O'Connor?


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[Assistant] If they get anything from Tyree Wilson next year, that trio of Wilson, Crosby, and Wilkins will be scary. I mean, they would absolutely raise hell in the trenches. He's like the biggest variable.


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[Assistant] Another team that's been really busy from a volume perspective is the Washington Commanders. New owner, new GM, new head coach.


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[Assistant] They bring in a lot of veterans here. Zach Ertz, Neil, uh, Nick Allegretti and Tyler Biotish for the interior of the offensive line. Dorrance Armstrong, Cleo and Farrell on the edge. Frankie Louvue, a very underrated off-ball linebacker. Safety Jeremy Chin, kind of a chess piece on the back end, Chris. And then special teams, a kicker in Brandon McManus and a long snapper in Tyler Ott. They lost Jacoby Percet, Antonio Gibson and Sadiq Charles. Ex-Cowboys.


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[Assistant] Our last team, the Los Angeles Rams, who took care of business keeping some of their own guys, most notably guard Kevin Dotson, and then went out and spent big money on another guard in Jonah Jackson. Mark Floyd said the Rams are road graders and I love it. What position should we be looking at in the draft? I go back to the Simms and Lefkoe days, hashtag cheers. Chris, let's stick with the first point about road graders.


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[Assistant] This is a team that last year was very gap heavy in their run game, not as zone heavy. Now they are lining up. Jonah Jackson. I think it's safe to assume Steve Avila is going to move to center after being a great second round pick last year. And you bring back Kevin Dotson. I mean, the Rams will absolutely line up and just punch you in the mouth and run north and south. With, uh, Kyron Williams.


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[Assistant] So they're another team. They have a first round pick this year. The defensive players in this draft are going to fall because of the allure and the obsession of the wide receivers, tackles, and quarterbacks. The Rams can get a great player where they pick in this draft on defense. So they're a scary team.


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[Assistant] Opening day is right around the corner and you can get your Rotoworld baseball draft guide now. Visit mbcsports.com slash draft guide and use code baseball24 to get 10% off. And Thursday at 8pm we'll premiere our fantasy baseball mock draft show. You can watch at youtube.com slash mbc sports.


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[Assistant] I think we did, I think they didn't want, they didn't want to start off with some of the other crazy stuff they said, so they went with the Flosio.


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[Assistant] It's a good question. It's like Al Pacino. I don't know. I, you know, another one I want to throw a good actor or is he the same guy in every movie and just, Hey, dogs like this and every movie, like, I don't know. I think he's a little overrated. That's what I'm saying.


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[Assistant] That guy that we see now, uh, and I know he's a legend, a great actor, but you know, I'm just playing and having some conversation here. That's fine.


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[Assistant] No, I hope we, I hope we disagree on more this week. We'll see where it goes. It's more fun. And you know, one thing I like, like, okay, do you ever root against your picks? Right? Like do you ever, are you always root for your picks? Do you, are you that guy? I know you've said it before, but I guess I'm just asking to confirm, right? Cause


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[Assistant] I prefer to be right. I almost was rooting for the Vikings so I could, even though I picked the Bengals too.


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[Assistant] Just so I could bag on you for them winning and then you not picking your team, right? I felt like that would have hurt you a little bit more. So I was rooting for that, but I like, I don't always go with my picks like Monday night. Oh, you're sitting there watching the Seahawks Eagles. I know I picked the Eagles.


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[Assistant] Damn, as it got late in the third quarter, in the fourth quarter, I was rooting for the Seahawks. Like you've never seen me root before. I was all in on it. I didn't care about being right. I was like, damn, they're close. Go ahead and beat these damn Eagles. And, uh, it got my wish there. So I was okay with being wrong on that one. The stakes are higher when we disagree


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[Assistant] Click on the Pools tab and enter the free $1,000 Florio and Sims Pick'em pool to make your picks or visit draftkings.com slash pools.


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[Assistant] I'm definitely taking the Rams. I'm taking the Rams to cover too. I think the Rams are.


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[Assistant] You know, one of the hottest teams in football right now. Playing as good a football as...


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[Assistant] Almost anybody except for maybe some of the top tier teams in the league, 49ers, Ravens, okay, Bills.


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[Assistant] But after that, I feel like the Rams can hang with anybody. They found something. You heard me talk about it earlier today, like you just mentioned. I mean, I'm in awe of their run game right now. I'm in awe of Kyron Williams. I think he's a star. He's a beast.


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[Assistant] I love, and that's what, people are going to get to see him tonight, how hard he runs, and I think people will have a different respect and go, whoa, this guy's better than I thought, watching him in a standalone game here.


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[Assistant] You know, they got some toughness up front, right? And of course with Matthew Stafford and, and, and that, and, and the weapons he's got around him, I think they're going to put the Saints in a bind on defense. The Saints, they don't stop the run very well. They want to play man to man. Those are two things that I think, you know,


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[Assistant] Vastly favor the Rams offense in that matchup. The other side of the ball, I do think that the Saints can move the ball on this Rams defense. I do.


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[Assistant] But I think the fact that the Saints aren't a great running football team.


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[Assistant] We'll allow Raheem to, Raheem Morris, the coordinator of the Rams, to play a little more past the events. And I just don't believe in the Saints in totality. I don't believe in their offense and their, you know, inability to be explosive, even though they should be explosive.


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[Assistant] I, I just feel like the Saints are kind of one of those teams that beats the teams they're supposed to beat. But when it's even or the team might be better than them, they don't win those games. And that's kind of how I expect tonight. 2820 Rams.


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[Assistant] Type of weekend, you know, as far as the timing, the way they played and all that.


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[Assistant] But, I think the things you bring up, I think the questions about Mike Tomlin, the future there, I think it's the first time ever I feel like there's like a legitimate chance this might end.


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[Assistant] The distractions of them having to talk about George Pickens or a receiver again and about his, you know, lack of intensity and Pittsburgh way of football. Those are all distractions for the Steelers. And I just, as much as I kind of want to go,


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[Assistant] I think this is Mike Tomlin will get him turned around and ready this week. They've just been playing so bad that I can't even do it. I can't do it.


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[Assistant] And the Bengals have shown culture of, again, why they were in the AFC Championship game two years in a row and one once in the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] It's more than, you know, just one guy at quarterback. There's a whole team there. There's a bunch of playmakers, right? And this is a team of the Steelers where, yea, the Bengals' defense is not very good. They give up big plays. I don't even think the Steelers are good enough to take advantage of that in any shape, way, or form.


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[Assistant] Right? And then, you know, the, the stealer's not necessarily great at taking care of the football either here. And I just go, the bangles are good at that. They're, they're good at taking away the ball.


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[Assistant] Well, the other side of it, the Steelers deep vents, yeaah, I feel like it's, you know,


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[Assistant] Starting to crumble a little bit as well as we talked about. I've kind of said the last few weeks, you know, they've just had so much pressure on them. There's only so many weeks they can play ugly defensive ball and out hit you and do all that. I'm going to go with the bangles and Jake Browning think the Steelers fight, but I'm going to go 21 17 bangles.


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[Assistant] I don't want to hear any of this excuse shit if Mason Rudolph starts or anything. All right. You pick dealers and that shitty offense, whoever plays quarterback, I just want that to be known.


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[Assistant] I mean, how could you not pick what coach, whatever his name is and Easton stick to win on Saturday night? I mean, whatever his name is and stick, that is a deadly combination.


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[Assistant] You know? And, uh, no, I mean, in all seriousness, uh, what is it, uh, GiftSmith, right? All to respect!


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[Assistant] This is uh, ridiculousness. I mean, the offense, it hasn't been that great when it was healthy. And of course it's horrible now, right? The defense.


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[Assistant] That, what we saw last week was the closest thing.


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[Assistant] Not even being able to rev up the intensity to 90%, you know, at the end of the first quarter and just like they were faking it. So of course the Bills are one of the hottest teams in the sport. 34 13 Josh Allen Bills continue their upward trajectory and whoop that


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[Assistant] Well, I think there's some things in this matchup that favor the Falcons. I do.


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[Assistant] Uh, that's where I am going to go with the Falcons in this one. You know, I, first off, the Colts, you know, you can run on them a little bit and you've heard me say that you can throw on them a little bit. I would think that's part of the reason they go with Taylor Heinecke here. You know, the Colts will kind of go because they're worried about their inability to stop the run.


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[Assistant] They kind of go all in at times stopping the run and just leave you with, you know, some looks in the pass game that I feel like a Taylor Heineken and the Selena Falcons offense will be able to take advantage of. I do. I look at that and then, you know, again,


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[Assistant] It's, it's a little bit of a pasta and meatballs feel too.


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[Assistant] But the desperation like you brought up with Arthur Smith, the Falcons, it's a must win football game. They are at home, right?


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[Assistant] I think their defense matches up favorably against this Indianapolis Colts offense. I do. A Colts offense that can do everything, but isn't necessarily


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[Assistant] Yo, what do I wanna say? Explosive or scary? And I think Atlanta will be able to play pretty aggressive. They're aggressive to begin with anyways there, so I'm gonna go Falcons 24-21 in a close one.


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[Assistant] I don't know, but, but I do think there'll be a pain in the butt and keep it close. I mean, I feel like I'm a, you know, I'm repetitive when it comes to the Panthers and what we talk about, right?


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[Assistant] You know, it's just, it's, again, it's the offense. It's a struggle.


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[Assistant] Them getting over 14 or 17 points is almost a miracle when it happens. Now I do think that Panthers defense will give Jordan love.


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[Assistant] And company problems. And I don't expect them to go down there and, you know, kind of look like they did three and four weeks ago, you know, before they hit the road bumps of the giants and the Buccaneers the last few weeks.


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[Assistant] Uh, so that's where I think it can be interesting. And I think the Panthers for a while can kind of keep this low scoring and ugly. And maybe if their defense can force a turnover, maybe they can make that type of an upset. The Packers defense is definitely a little concerning here down the stretch.


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[Assistant] Too many big plays, blown coverages, stupid stuff they're doing on that side of the ball, but I still can't pick the Panthers. I'm going Packers 23-13.


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[Assistant] Now it's scary. It is. You know, Houston we know is a pain in the butt.


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[Assistant] I think the thing I look at and just go, man, this Houston running game, the way they're, they're dominating the line of scrimmage there.


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[Assistant] Definitely gonna put some, you know, make some issues for Cleveland. You can run the ball a little on Cleveland.


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[Assistant] And they're so aggressive at times with people at the line of scrimmage that if you kind of.


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[Assistant] Get through that first wave, you know, the, the parting of the sea can happen and you can rip off some plays there. I think where I really worry about it is I just go where I don't know if I see pass plays or big pass plays or enough consistency in the pass game from the Houston Texans against the Cleveland Browns to really make it happen.


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[Assistant] I think Cleveland will be able to go, we're gonna load the box, overplay the run. We got three awesome corners. We don't think your receivers are all that.


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[Assistant] And then they're going to get in the face and be able to play some run defense and do that. Now the Texas defense, I think can give them, give the Cleveland Brown some offense, some issues too. What I would say to Cleveland, what I've been saying all week is you gotta manage Joe Flacco. You got to manage him.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, again, everybody talks about him like he saved the day last week. He threw three interceptions. I wish I could have been a savior in one of the games. I threw three interceptions. I mean, so they got to be smart with what they're doing. They're good to me a little too loose with him right now.


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[Assistant] You know, I understand he's a veteran and you think you can trust him, but Joe, Joe Flacco, the last four or five years is Mr. Hold the ball in the pocket too long. Mr. I think I can fit a ball deep down the field into window, even though there's seven people there. And he's made some of those mistakes here as a starter for the Browns.


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[Assistant] I'm still going Browns, but they scare me. Be conservative, play through the defense, 20 to 10 Browns.


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[Assistant] They're not gonna get away with that forever though. That's where I'll just say he can't do that. You know what I mean? He might get away with it last week against the Bears. It's not gonna be against the good AFC teams.


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[Assistant] Of course you are. I mean, you're wearing a ugly Viking sweater. Good thing they're not wearing that for this game this weekend.


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[Assistant] Okay, I like it. I don't think you're crazy with any of the thoughts you said there.


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[Assistant] I waffled with this one, I went back and forth, and how dare you disrespect the great number 32, Ontario Smith. I mean, the guy buying Wisinators and doing all that, you disrespect that legend, the Vikings, how dare you? What a jerk you are, jeez. Uhm, but no, in all seriousness, uh,


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[Assistant] You made a lot of the great points. You know, the Vikings defense, it is damn good. It really is.


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[Assistant] I think the thing I look at with the Lions here, and you've heard me say this the last two weeks, with their offensive line healthy and guys that banged up are a hundred percent healthy and all that.


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[Assistant] There are another team that I'd sit there and go, run the ball a little bit more. Don't, don't be so pass happy at times.


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[Assistant] Cause when they run the ball, they're, they're almost unstoppable. We know the play action games, unbelievable. And I think the running the football is the one thing that can kind of stop the creativity of Brian Flores.


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[Assistant] Right? But that's going to be a really great matchup. The other side of the ball, yea, the Lions defense, I don't look at it as special and I certainly think Kevin O'Connell and company can have their way with the Lions defense, especially with the way they're running the football here as of late. But all said and all of that,


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[Assistant] I just, I'm gonna go with the Lions here. It was a tough, it was a toss up.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go with them to pull this off. I think the opposite line in the run game will be too much. And I don't trust Nick Mullins from not doing something stupid during the game. I've seen him do it with the 49ers. I've seen them do it last week and I might see it again. So I'm going lions, 28, 24.


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[Assistant] Ah, yeaah. I mean, that whole thing's a little weird too. Is he gonna dress, right? Is that gonna happen? I don't even know.


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[Assistant] I mean, these are two beaten puppies as far as football teams are concerned here, right?


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[Assistant] The commanders, I mean, the benching of Sam Howell last week, I mean, I guess they're sticking with him again this week. Sure.


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[Assistant] You know, but they're all line, they don't run the ball that well, pass protecting against this group with the Jets, right? I don't necessarily feel comfortable with the Jets offense versus the commander's defense, but I think it's C.


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[Assistant] Poor enough defense in Washington there that even the Jets will muster up a few points, let alone Sam Howell is the closest thing we've seen to a human turnover and a human sack in football in quite some time, and I think that just bodes well for the Jets. I'm gonna take the Jets 17-14, won't be a best bet, uh, but I just think they gut this one out.


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[Assistant] All right, all right, good. So wait, I'm right on the spread there, right? So let me make mine 1713. Okay, I'll go there.


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[Assistant] One, I don't care who plays at quarterback this week for the Tennessee Titans. You know, I don't, this is one where if little Levis can't play, I don't go, oh man, they're not going to be as good with Ryan Tannehill. They're going to be, they'll be fine, right? I mean, they might even be able to do some more advanced things that they wouldn't want to do with a rookie quarterback. So I don't look at that necessarily as like a bad thing.


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[Assistant] And again, I don't look at Seattle's defense as being anything special.


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[Assistant] Right, and I think this is a game and a team that can put them in a bind a little bit. Where their run game of the Tennessee Titans, yeaah, can pose some problems for the Seattle Seahawks defense and make them have to go a little too much all in on that and be stupid in the pass game behind that.


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[Assistant] Right? So I worry about that for Seattle. The other side of the ball too, kind of the same thing.


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[Assistant] I don't know if I really feel like the Seattle can run the ball that


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[Assistant] You know, consistently well. And I think with like, you see Ray Bull, when they feel like they can stop the run, like maybe the Miami Dolphins game, they can be very creative in how they stop the pass game.


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[Assistant] This is one of those I look at every, you know, I try to look at, you know, two, three games every week. Do I go, where do I think an upset can happen? This is the one I got circled. I'm going with the Titans here. I think they're going to pull it off at home. I'm going to go 24 17 Tennessee.


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[Assistant] Right? I think this could be a game where, I mean, we see a number of big plays in the past game and, and in the air with, you know, two big right arms. I'm gonna pick the game like,


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[Assistant] Like Trevor Lawrence does play. Uh, that's, that's how I'm, you know, going to evaluate it and talk about it for right now. Uh, obviously yes, it'll be a little different if he doesn't because he's, he's still got some special qualities about him.


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[Assistant] But I look at that and go, you know, one, yeah, I think they're going to be able to throw the ball on Tampa Bay. Definitely. I mean, everybody throws on Tampa Bay.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay, one of my things that I talk about too much is they worry about the run game too much, right? Almost like you'd, you know, think about back to the Superbowl against the Chiefs, right? Everybody had to talk Todd Bowles out of like, don't do what you always do, or they're going to throw for 400 yards like they did in the regular season matchup.


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[Assistant] Back off a little bit, right? And they just can't do that at times. They're always aggressive and...


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[Assistant] I don't know if that's gonna change here. Now the Jags can't run the ball worth a damn, right? So maybe that makes them play more pass defense, but that worries me about the Bucks, certainly. The other side of the ball almost stands true to the same thing, too.


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[Assistant] You know, the Jags can't stop the damn pass, pass, uh, game either. They can't rush the passer. Baker Mayfield can sit in the pocket, make big plays in the passing game. I'm just going to go with this is a Jaguars get back on track football game and that


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[Assistant] The bucks feeling themselves riding high a little bit and the Jags, this is big. This is desperation time here.


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[Assistant] I think they're gonna get off the Schneid. I'm gonna take them to win on the road, 27-20.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I like the Bears. Obviously the Bears have been playing pretty high caliber football. You know, they lost the tough one last week against the Browns, but went toe to toe with them.


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[Assistant] You know, you see, their defense is real. They're a pain in the ass. They got a lot of young talent.


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[Assistant] Offments and Justin Fields. Justin Fields is gonna be the hot button topic as soon as this season's over.


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[Assistant] I mean, you know me, I'm Mr. Pretty Definitive on my evaluations of quarterbacks. Even in this year, I've gone back and forth on Justin Fields two or three times. I'm really intrigued by what they do.


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[Assistant] But I think he's playing pretty damn good football, and they can run the football too to go off of that. They're kind of explosive in the pass game. Uh, I just don't see the Cardinals going on the road in cold Chicago and this Bears defense that's been stout as hell. Uh, I just don't see them making a lot of plays there. I'm going Bears 27-17.


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[Assistant] No, I'm, I'm, I'm, I'm not. I'm abandoning with a, with a big D. Abandonment with a big capital D in the middle there. Yeah, I, I am. I, I, first off, I,


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[Assistant] You know, I've thought a lot about the Dolphins this week because I've kind of just been racking my brain because I, you know, I'm starting to have people on radio and I know we'll have to talk about it this weekend about who's the team you look at in the AFC that, you know, will play the 49ers in the Superbowl as it stands right now.


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[Assistant] And the more and more I think about it, the more and more I feel like I'm trending towards the Miami Dolphins. You know, one...


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[Assistant] Hey, they're, yeah, they're defense the way it's playing, the way it continues to get better here. I think they're a pain in the ass. I do.


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[Assistant] And you know, when in this matchup, just all together, yeaah, you've heard me say this before.


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[Assistant] Dallas, the offensive attack is not overly creative. It's aggressive and that's been enough against the middle class and the lower class. But like we saw last week, aggressive isn't good enough against a good coach and a good defense. I don't think aggressive


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[Assistant] Playing aggressive, simple aggressive, is not gonna be good enough for Vic Fangio. And then Dallas, what I worry about with them is, they wanna play man, but can you really play a ton of man against this group?


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[Assistant] I don't really know about that. I don't think they can. And if they play zone, they're not that good at it. They're going to get picked apart.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Dolphins here. 31-24. The odd thing is neither team is very good at red zone defense or goal to go defense and I think both teams will get down there and when they get in there they're gonna score touchdowns. 31-24 Dolphins.


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[Assistant] Flying higher, wait, and just one thing, flying higher too, and, you know, to something you brought up, right, about


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[Assistant] Hey, I mean, there's a good chance they could be back at the number one seed this weekend. They win this game. Baltimore loses to the 49ers. They play Baltimore next week, right? So there's some really big time motivation for Miami on a lot of different levels here.


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[Assistant] Well, I like the Broncos, but not by a lot. This is another one where if there's an upset to happen, I think this is one that, that it could, could be. I do. You know, the status of the, the Patriots O line and health is concerning a little bit because I thought, you know, they might be able to healthy. They could run the, run the ball on Denver a little bit.


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[Assistant] But I really think the big thing is, I think the Patriots defense will make the game ugly and keep them in it. I do, but either way, I'm going to go with the Broncos at home, playoffs on the line, Russell Wilson, all that, 17-13.


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[Assistant] Well, obviously the Chiefs, I do. And you know, there is, hey, it'll be, he's going to love the day. It's going to, he's going to play at 12 o'clock central time. He's going to be at home sitting by a fire by 5 PM and it'll be one of the best Christmas days he's ever had. He really, he will. I promise him that.


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[Assistant] And I expect them to have a damn good day, day on the field too. Hey listen, the Raiders defense, as we've said many times, they're a pain in the ass. I don't think the Chiefs are just going to march the ball up and down the field, uh, on the Raiders, but you know, ultimately they'll find their groove. And to me, that's the big thing is the Raiders just don't have enough talent


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[Assistant] One in the secondary and enough people in the pass rush to contain.


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[Assistant] Contain mah homes, right? I mean, it's just kinda Max Crosby.


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[Assistant] And the last time they played, Mahomes sits back there forever and buys time and makes plays happen that way. You know, the screen game was big for them. They ran the ball. Okay. Yeah. I just think there's a little too much offense there in Kansas city, even though it's not a perfect offense and I don't trust the Raiders.


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[Assistant] Uh, offense on the road in Kansas City. Good Chiefs defense, 28-17 Chiefs.


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[Assistant] And yes, and yes, and yes, and yes. Yes, yes. One, I mean, yeah. The Eagles are gonna be pissed off. They're at home. They're playing a team that they're in another class from right now. You know, the Giants...


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[Assistant] Fighting, respect that, you know that, but I mean, again.


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[Assistant] I mean, if you play with any brains, you're gonna stop the Giants offense. I mean, just don't be dumb like the Commanders or the Packers.


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[Assistant] I mean, the commander served up some like, Hey, here's Saquon Barkley, one on one of the linebacker 50 yards down the field or Hey, well, there's Darius Slayton. We won't even cover him.


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[Assistant] And then you heard me talk about the Packers, they did some of the dumbest shit I've ever seen on defense when they played the Giants and Tommy DeVito. Literally ran by them and let him run. You saw last week, they didn't let him run.


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[Assistant] And it was like, oh no, the Giants have no offense. Right? So that's what I expect to happen here. Uh, I'm going to go Eagles 28 to 10. You know, I want to put more points on the board, but I do think the Giants defense will fight and, and, and, you know, be a little bit of a pain in the ass to that Eagles offense.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, I'm taking them all the way. I mean, all the way. And I'm gonna take them to cover the spread too.


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[Assistant] I am. I'll just get it out of the way right now. 31, 21, 49ers, right? You know, I love, I, I, you know, I love the physicality of the Ravens. They got some big people up front that might, might, might, might not make them have to go too crazy on stopping the run. Right. But as much as I love the scheme of the Ravens.


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[Assistant] I don't know if I think the personnel is big time, right? You've heard me talk about they can't rush the passer with four, right? You're get, they got to, they're going to have the blitz to get to Brock Purdy.


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[Assistant] Blitzen Shanahan with more room downfield for Deebo Samuel or George Kittle. That ain't a recipe for success.


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[Assistant] I think the Ravens defense is showing, you know, some cracks in the armor. I mean, again, it's, it's, it's 33 points to the Cleveland Browns. It's 20 points to the bangles and probably would have been more if Joe burrow didn't get hurt.


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[Assistant] Right? It's 31 points against the Rams. It's, I know seven last week against the Jaguars, but let's not forget they missed two field goals. They did a stupid thing at the end of the half. They fumbled the ball running in the red zone and just dropped it. It wasn't enforced by the Ravens. The defense worries me a little bit.


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[Assistant] Right? And, you know, as much as I have respect for that Ravens offense and what they can do, they haven't faced a unit like this. Not like this 49ers defense. You know, the Ravens gotta run the ball. That would be the big thing to me, but I just think it's too much to overcome on the road out in San Francisco. 31-21 49ers.


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[Assistant] Yeah, listen, I think they're clearly the best team. You're right about that. And we'll see. Now, the Ravens are well coached, and they are bullies, just like the 49ers, so they're not going to be intimidated, and that'll be fun to watch, no doubt about it. But yeah, I have a lot of the same thoughts you do. And here, let me give you this a little, right?


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[Assistant] Like, this is where there's a little motivation here for the 49ers. This is a big game for them.


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[Assistant] Big game because of what you're saying, staying healthy, right? They win this game. They got the commanders next week. They, I think could probably fall asleep and still beat the commanders, right? I'm just going to give them the win there.


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[Assistant] That'll allow them to rest against the Rams in week 18, which I do think will be big for a team like the 49ers, like, you know, Eric Armstead's been doing the injury there and all that. And they don't want to play the Rams back to back weeks. That's why they got to be scared. They got to be worried about that too.


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[Assistant] Agreed. Bills for me too. What's your next one? My next one is Miami Dolphins, Miami Dolphins, Miami Dolphins number one. Yeah, I don't know. I just look at that and I look at some of the games this week. I trust the Miami Dolphins. I think it's a bad matchup for the Dallas Cowboys. I'm taking them.


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[Assistant] Okay, my last one, I'm going to Christmas Day as well. I'm going to go with the Eagles over the Giants. I mean, I don't see that happening at all. Eagles blow them out.


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[Assistant] I don't know. Bills. I'm gonna take the bills too. Of course they are. The chargers? Are you kidding me? Get out of here. Merry Christmas! Merry Christmas everybody!


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what up homies, thanks for watching. Remember, subscribe to Chris Sims on Button.


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[Assistant] Whoa, what would Omid Fareed look like if he shaved his head? I don't know. I don't want to find out. I don't. He's here wearing his Michigan colors. He's an asshole. He's rubbing it in cause my longhorns didn't make it. What's up everybody? It's Chris Ibsa buttoned.


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[Assistant] We're pretty close to millennials. I know, I think we are millennials. She's probably not even. She's like something younger than that, which Generation Z or X. Millennials, she's a proud millennial.


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[Assistant] I hear that. It was definitely special. Like even though it wasn't the most exciting, it was exciting if that makes sense, right? There were mistakes for sure. It was intense. It was a close fought battle. You felt like one mistake could sway it one way or the other, right? Two legendary coaches.


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[Assistant] Right, where you felt like, man, if one of them messes up managing the game here, they're gonna lose the football game.


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[Assistant] Uh, that stadium, that setting, right? You know, that stadium's got a special place in my heart always, right? Cause my dad won his Superbowl there. Uh, but yea, to see that on TV with two powerhouses like that going at it, and then like literally, I mean when they were down 7, I was like,


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[Assistant] And McCarthy clutch as hell, awesome to see, really was. So, uh.


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[Assistant] I would say dumb as shit in all of American sports. They top the list in a lot of things, right? With their current status of


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[Assistant] The playoffs and how it's done. I mean, the most dominant American sports team in the last three years is Georgia. They didn't get a chance to even get in a playoff. That makes no sense. Okay. So that's an issue to play a game at nine o'clock at night on New Year's night when everybody has school and work the next day. Like, do they want to make money?


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[Assistant] Cause they all seem to want to pocket money for like, oh, give me this cash and you can be a sponsor and do all that. But then when it comes to the enjoyment of everybody and making big money for commercials, you're going to just screw over half the country? I couldn't make it. It's 34.21.


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[Assistant] Texas was driving. It looked over. I had been up late from the night before on New Years. We'll get into that.


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[Assistant] And I was kinda like, exhausted, let alone, I was like, man, they're down. And next thing I knew, I woke up, cause I was on the ESPN app at the time. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Washington barely survives. I think that's what it said. And I was like, what? The game got that close, right? Uh, so yeah, cool to see Longhorns fought, but uh,


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[Assistant] I felt like we were going to come up short. Watching the game, I felt like Washington was better. You know, not that we didn't have a chance, but I felt like Washington was better.


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[Assistant] He deserves to be right up there in that convoy. Right, right. Caleb's awesome, I got that. Drake May's awesome. Michael Pennex Jr. needs to be right there with them.


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[Assistant] Michael, I mean, in the year where you always hear me say, don't just give it to the quarterback on the best team.


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[Assistant] We finally have a team that's got a good team and the quarterback is the reason. Undefeated. And they give it to the Heisman to somebody else. Yeah. Who was deserving. I don't mean that. But of all the years where he did all these great records and they're undefeated and it's all about him throwing the ball every play and everybody knows he's going to do it. And he throws for 430 yards every week.


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[Assistant] This is the year, oh, forget the quarterback on the best team, we're not gonna do it this year. Why? Because it's not sexy, it's not cool, he wasn't what, a top recruit? I don't understand it. That's where it just drives me crazy sometimes, sports media and all that. Well it's understandable, you couldn't make


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[Assistant] If it was ten, I wouldn't have said anything. I would have said, you're fine, you can stay here. Oh, okay. Right? I knew I was in trouble because before, as I was walking out of the building, my wife was calling. Oh no. And she was already stressed. And she was on, in the act of kicking people out at that point because the party had become too big.


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[Assistant] So, you know, it went from yea 10 to 15 to I think it got to around 11 o'clock and there was 50 people there, right? Right. And you know, you've been in our barn. Our barn's not made for 50 people. Our whole house isn't made for 50 people. We got a 300 year old, you know, farmhouse, right? So that don't look right. And it became.


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[Assistant] They ruined it and I was pissed off because on New Years I was like, I'm going to sit in the barn and make a fire and kind of enjoy the last day or two with the tree and all that ruined the tree, broke the lights. Sounds like somebody.


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[Assistant] I tried to jump off the top of the barn, you know, the barn has like the second level there. Right. And jumped onto the tree. Right. So the barn was a mess. You know, nobody, there was only a few kids there when I got home.


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[Assistant] They're like, we're out of here, we're not gonna meet Mr. Sims right now. So did that, but yea, I was revved up, it's New Years, you know, I'm revved up anyways from our show, I was expecting to go home to Action anyways, but then it became like, ugh.


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[Assistant] My daughter's boyfriend told me yesterday, cause he was like, still apologizing, he's like, sorry Mr. Sims, I should have took more control of the situation. I was like, oh, relax, his name's Rowan. Relax Rowan, don't worry, it's not on you. Taking accountability, I like that. But then my daughter, they chimed in, they were like,


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, we had 10 to 15 people here. She's like, we invited like a few more.


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[Assistant] She goes, but the problem was when they came, they brought people that we didn't even know were invited. So this second group that came must have told a bunch of people and that's where it went off the rails. Welcome, you'll be there one day.


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[Assistant] Okay, you're keeping it real, big guy. Look at that. I like it as still, Heinz. He did it. He did it. And, Nike, you should be proud of it. You got the perfect round-shaped head to be the bald-shaped head guy. Well, that was part of-


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[Assistant] Probably have to go to Kansas City, the way it looks right now. I mean, if that's what happens, they're most likely going, because if they lose, they won't be able to be the five seed.


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[Assistant] Uh, they might be able to actually, I'm wrong about that. They might, uh, no actually I don't think they will because Cleveland will still win the tiebreaker because of the better conference record. So, Cleveland will be the five seed.


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[Assistant] So that means they will be the six and then they have to go on the road to Kansas City, yeaah, and play in the cold and play the team that we saw has answers to stop that high octane offense already this year when they played over in Germany.


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[Assistant] Baltimore made some incredible plays, right, to where, again, Baltimore controlled the game, but it also, they made some incredible plays where you went, ooh, if that goes a different way, the fourth and seven at the middle of the field, right, where Isaiah likely catches it with one hand and runs it, like if they don't get that,


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[Assistant] The game's gonna be a little different. It's not, I mean, now, like, the Ravens are gonna have the ball at midfield before the half. It's 21-13, right? So there were some moments in the game where


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[Assistant] You know, Baltimore won and credit to them. And of course I'm not taking any credit away from them, but like in the NFL, 56 to 19, it happens because of like three or four plays, right? It's not like as maybe sometimes as physical dominance of what you think. Either way, they still were physically dominant. They were. I think the, when you, when you, Miami,


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[Assistant] Defense is very good. I like it. You know that. It's well coached. Concerned about the pass rush issues now, right? Now you're down to like Van Ginkle as being the only guy that you feel like can really get pressure off the edge. He's a very good player.


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[Assistant] But at the same time, like yea, defense is good. How good? You know, I've been up in the air about it. You know, I've kind of talked highly about it, right?


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[Assistant] You know, I think the thing you could question is just like, did they play any great offenses here during that stretch of really good defense that we talked about? You know, the Cowboys being the best one of the group and the Cowboys being a team that's


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[Assistant] A little one dimensional, don't run the ball all that well, so they could go, hey, let's play pass defense. But, either way, they had problems in that game on pass defense, right? The thing that they really got killed in this football game, they were worried about the Ravens run game, right? And all the answers they have, the QB runs, all that stuff.


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[Assistant] And they played more man than they have in most games. And I think that was the reason why, because they were worried about the Ravens run game. They wanted to get one guy, one more guy in there to stop the run or one more guy to keep eyes on LeBar Jackson if they drop back to pass to kind of spy him and not let him run crazy, right? They messed up coverages throughout the football game.


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[Assistant] Right? Whether it was Zay Flowers uncovered down the sidelines, I don't know if that is, you know, the linebacker's fault or if that was Eli Apple's fault. I think it was Eli Apple's fault. I think it was just regular three buzz and he should have stayed in his third.


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[Assistant] Either way, that was a mess up. There was a touchdown, there was, you know, uhm, a touchdown, what was it, to make it, I wanna say the next touchdown pass to start the third quarter, man-to-man coverage. They kinda messed up how they played the bunch set.


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[Assistant] You saw the wheel routes early on in the football game, right? With the running back. One got called for offensive pass interference. The next one was a touchdown.


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[Assistant] They didn't play that right because they were playing man coverage there. We saw Xavier and Howard get beat on a slant and go to start the game in man coverage. They didn't make the plays mano-a-mano. OBJ, man to man down the sideline, makes the play over the guy, gets the feet down, right? There was a ton of that where it's just like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The intensity, the big play moments, whatever, was all on the Raven's side, definitely. So, the thing you come away with, and sometimes it's hard to see, and I'm faulting myself here too, like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Cause like, yesterday I had one of those days where I watched them on defense. I watched the Ravens on defense. And then I went down the line and watched some other teams on defense too. And you come away and like, it was one of those where I went, ugh.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Miami's defense definitely doesn't move like some of these defenses. I'm watching the Ravens defense. Oh, I'm watching the 49ers defense right now. They don't move like this.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, as good as I think they are, it was a little reminder, like, to watch them next to these other teams to go,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, they're not on their level yet. They're good. They're on the right path. They're still, I still think they're learning and trying to figure out some of Vic Fangio's rules. And that's why they're messing up some of these passing off of receivers. It was a thing consistently throughout the day, literally the first play of the game, Jalen Ramsey's yelling at Javon Howland and they're having an argument on who should have taken who can passing them off. So they had a problem with that. Um, but, but, uh, yeah, their, their physicality,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And the way they fly around the field is not the same as Ravens, Niners, you know, Cleveland Browns, right? Some of those defenses where, you know, I look at that and just go, oh my gosh, they're flying around and killing people. I think that was another thing that kind of maybe hit me in the face as I was watching that football game.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, so that's where, you know, like, yeaah, they struggled with man to man in this game, right? Yeaah. But it wasn't like I was like, oh, mano y mano, they can't cover these guys, uh oh, right?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Now, I mean, we know they posed problems with Baltimore and they got speed, but I wasn't just like, oh my gosh, they're, they have no chance here, right? No, Miami's got some good cover guys. We know that. Especially if Xavier and Howard's healthy. That's the thing I came away with. One,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like, Buffalo's offense is not as creative as Baltimore's. Two.


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[Assistant] You know, they can't run the ball like Baltimore can, traditional wise, right? Now they're getting better and I'll get into that in a second. And then three, of course you don't think, I don't think they have the weapons that...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Baltimore has a wide receiver. I mean, Baltimore's got three receivers with multiple rockets up their ass, you know. And Buffalo, I'd go, I don't know if anybody's got more, you know, they've got Stefan Diggs and even his rockets aren't, you know,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Multiple. It's, it's just like, hey, he runs good. But it's not like, again, I, what I tell everybody when they go, oh, what about Stefan Diggs? I go, when's the last time you saw Stefan Diggs just run by somebody for an 80 yard bomb? When's the last time you saw him catch a slant and then go, zoom! Oh my gosh, there goes Stefan Diggs for 70 yards. It never, like it didn't years.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So that's where people gotta back off that. My point being with all that said.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Miami's gonna be able to cover Buffalo. They will. And that will be something to watch for. Can Buffalo separate? And as you know, I mean, and we'll hit on it in a second, Buffalo couldn't separate from New England at all last week. Now New England's awesome on defense, they do a lot of stuff, but they couldn't separate from them at all.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I do, I think so. There are another one where I go,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Stick with your shotgun, pulling guards, pulling tackles.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Fake the read option, give it to the running back. He follows the guard, you know, comes from another way. It looks like he's going to go out the back door, but then he goes back and follows the pulling tackle. Oh, Josh Allen keeps it off of it. Oh, Josh Allen play action and we still pull the tackle. Boom. That to me is when they're at their best right now.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right? When they get into some of the moments they did the other day where it was like, Oh no, we can't do what we want to do. Oh, we're having a little problem today. And all of a sudden it's like default, let's go default mode, default mode, like on the Xbox controller. Let's go to it. Just shotgun Josh Allen. Let them.