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[Assistant] Mike Munchack, Ken Wisenhunt, Mike Malarkey, two years each, just total train wrecks. I liked Munchack. Well, do you remember when Malarkey got fired after leading them to the playoff game?


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[Assistant] They are going to hire somebody from the 49ers tree. I sup, I mean, I guess you could go with Steve Wolf's qualify. I think you're right there. I think they go offensive, but.


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[Assistant] I think if I, if I were guessing it is if, if they're willing to take the job, it's either Bobby Sloan or Frank Smith. That's who I would peg.


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[Assistant] Indeed. He was a yard and a half short, or one yard short of winning.


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[Assistant] All right. So we anticipate a 49ers Kyle Shanahan style tree, offensive higher, Frank Smith, Bobby Sloak, just two guys. I think, I think it dated Eric down to two guys, but I feel like.


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[Assistant] And I think it's worth pointing out too, that when you are...


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[Assistant] Bobby slowik versus Frank Smith, and this is just working as an offensive coordinator for a defensive coach versus an offensive coach. Bobby slowik.


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[Assistant] By virtue of working for Demeca Ryan's gets a ton of credit.


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[Assistant] On the offense, like when they talk about the, the, uh, Texans offense, it's like Bobby slowick. But when you talk about the dolphins offense.


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[Assistant] Why breach went? Anyway, breach disappeared. But when you talk about the Dolphins offense, you tend to talk about Mike McDaniel more than you talk about Frank Smith. At any rate.


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[Assistant] Those are the things, those are the players, the coaches we think they'll target in Tennessee. Mike variable out. That'll do it for us for breach. I'm Brinson. Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. Make sure and wave Johnny as we get out of here. See you guys.


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[Assistant] Welcome back to the pick six podcast. It is finally here, conference championship weekend. And then there were four.


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[Assistant] Sportsline, this episode of the Pick 6 podcast is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook. Make every moment more and if you like winning picks, make sure you sign up at sportsline.com. Use the promo code PICK to get your first month


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[Assistant] Should we, should we get, uh, should we get right into it? The format is going to stay the same, uhm, this week. Obviously, this is Thursday at a little bit past two, two oh eight.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so make sure that you go ahead and check the, uh, your books, uhm, to see if there's been any line movement on these lines. Alright, starting with the AFC Championship game, the Kansas City Chiefs, again, for their sixth straight conference, uhm, championship game going to Baltimore, Baltimore length three and a half. This total


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[Assistant] 44 and a half, uhm, Brenton, I jumped you actually on this one. Apologies.


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[Assistant] I will. I will. Alright, so I'll give my bets for this one. Ravens minus three and a half and look, I went back and forth on this so many times. It's so hard to bet against Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs.


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[Assistant] But this Ravens defense is scary. They have hurt my feelings already once this year. We've seen them absolutely dismantle offenses like the 49ers, uhm, they put Brock Purdy in hell, they put CJ Stroud in hell, not even an offensive touchdown last week, and I just do feel like they are built


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[Assistant] To stop a team like Kansas City, you got Roquan Smith.


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[Assistant] So I am taking Lamar and the Ravens to cover in this. And I also like Lamar over his rushing yards. Now, depending on where you get this, book wise, it's kind of all over the place. I got it at 64 and a half. I did see it's at 66 and a half, uhm, with our partners here on FanDuel.


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[Assistant] I like it either way. Like Lamar to me is just on a mission. He had 100 yards, two rushing touchdowns versus Houston last week. And the Chiefs have been pretty soft against mobile quarterbacks. We saw Josh Allen just put up 72 yards on them last week. They've allowed the 10th most rushing yards to quarterbacks during the regular season.


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[Assistant] And we look back at Lamar versus the Chiefs, he's actually run over this mark in the last two matchups, 83 and then 107. And then over the four times that he's seen the Chiefs, he's hit the over on his rushing arts prop in three of four. So for me,


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[Assistant] Uhm, I'm gonna lay the points with the Ravens and I'm also gonna take over on the rush, uhm, for Lamar, RJ.


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[Assistant] It's all over the place shop around for this line. Well, let's take the lowest one.


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[Assistant] No, it's 66, on Fando right now it's 66 and a half, it's even higher. Oh.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I went last year. You were there last year.


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[Assistant] But this is my first year going fully with CVS.


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[Assistant] Current line is San Francisco minus 7 at minus 120 and the total 51 and a half.


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[Assistant] Oh, 4pm. Okay, yes. You got an hour and a half. 90 minutes? I mean, yeah. Yes. Yes. Yep. As long as you get them in within an hour. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Also Christian McCaffrey, offensive player of the year. I feel like most of us were on that, um, in the preseason. So good cash.


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[Assistant] Which by the way, you guys, if you haven't seen it, go see the graphic. He's got no body. It's just basically- They took off my legs! They took my boots to my knees!


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[Assistant] Or like 40s, like lower than that, like it gets pretty cold there at night. But I do know that yeah, like 65 high, like in the middle of the day.


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[Assistant] You're right about the weather. 72 degrees, low of 53, uhm, but in and around kickoff at 3.30pm, mid to high 60s. Yeah, winds just between like 5 and 10 miles an hour. So yeah, optimal weather, uhm, certainly for sure.


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[Assistant] Well, instead of taking the 49ers over their team total, which I do every single week, uhm, I'm taking Detroit under their team total of 20 and a half. And yes, there is all of the conversation about


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[Assistant] And yes, outside has been a problem for them. Detroit's offense has scored an average of just 17.8 points.


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[Assistant] Over their last five games in open air stadiums, they are just one and four to their team totals. Overs, outdoors, that's ranging anywhere between 20 and a half and 24 and a half points. You look at Jared Goff's passer rating, indoors, number five.


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[Assistant] Outdoors number 21 in the NFL. And like you said, Bryn said, it's very interesting. They've only played one.


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[Assistant] True outdoor game on grass since November and that was that game in Chicago where they only put up


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[Assistant] 13 points, uh, Jared Goff threw for only 161 yards. Every other game, uh, was in a dome, so uh, we'll have to see on that one, but it's just a narrative that I like, so I'm playing that one.


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[Assistant] Joel Montana or he's the world. And both of those a little bit ridiculous. B bounce box spot for him a that's been pretty leaky


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[Assistant] So on Fandl right now, if you want to take pretty over one and a half touchdown passes, that's at minus 250. You bump that up to over two and a half or three plus, then you're looking at 167, plus 167. Lions ranked 29th in their red zone defense in the NFL this season. They're giving up a touchdown on nearly 65% of red zone trips.


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[Assistant] Versus the 49ers who are number one, uhm, in terms of their red zone offense this season, they score a touchdown on 67% of trips.


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[Assistant] And uhm, since week 10, the Lions defense is ranked 27 in EPA per play, only the Cardinals, Commanders, Eagles.


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[Assistant] Seahawks and bangles were worse and if we look at what the 49ers did to them, they put up


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[Assistant] 45, 42, 31, 28, 27. Uhm, so I love party to get at least three touchdown passes.


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[Assistant] I'm looking at George Kittle in this game. We, I did really well with him in the last game. I feel like I'm a slight George Kittle whisperer, so hopefully I don't jinx myself with this, but I do like him over four and a half receptions.


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[Assistant] Uhm, that will be my kind of, uh, I guess, receiver or reception pass catcher prop. Uhm, and then I also like him for an anytime touchdown.


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[Assistant] When you look at Brock Purdy and the pocket starts to collapse and the pressure gets tight, like he's always gonna go to George Kittle, that is his safety valve and the Lions can create pressure, their number one defense in pressure rate. Uhm, when Purdy has faced 15 or more pressures, Kittle averages about 7.7 targets per game compared to just 4.2 when he's pressured under 15 times.


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[Assistant] That's a good sign. I would, I would be surprised if Deebo doesn't play in this game, uhm, just because it is the NFC Championship game. But either way, I do think that Kittle, uhm, is again a safety valve for


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[Assistant] Uhm, four block party, so I like him to get over four and a half receptions and then also, uhm, anytime touchdown at plus one.


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[Assistant] Third quarter teams, outside of this last weekend, they had 23 turnovers. Eight of those came in the third quarter and plus they allowed the second highest touchdown rate to opposing teams in the third quarter. So they do struggle coming out of the half.


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[Assistant] Well, cause I don't think I'm gonna be on the podcast that week.


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[Assistant] It's time for the pick six parlay that has not hit at all this season.


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[Assistant] I mean, it's, it's kind of depressing. I feel like we cannot get through this NFL season without a six weeks parlay. Huh?


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[Assistant] Yeaah. Well, the weather was, yeaah, that was hard. But this Pic Six Parlay is brought to you by Fandel Sportsbook. Make every moment more. RJ, we were talking about this in the pre-show. There's only two games, so how do you think we should tweak, uh, tweak the Pic Six Parlay?


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[Assistant] Alright, so Brinson- Oh, I'm first? Yeah, I'm last. Sweet.


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[Assistant] Uhm. Ooh, this is interesting because we can, there's only four of them.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and it can't be a team total or something. I gotta look at the actual total.


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[Assistant] Alright, that is gonna do it for our championship weekend best bets. We, uh, Brynson, we don't have a graphic because somebody was late getting their picks in.


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[Assistant] And I am taking the Ravens minus three and a half, uhm, Lamar Jackson over on his rushing yards, which I got at 64.


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[Assistant] And a half, I'm taking the Lions under their team total of 21 and a half, Brock Purdy alternate line over 2 and a half, passing touchdowns.


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[Assistant] George Kittle over four and a half receptions and a Kittle anytime touchdown.


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[Assistant] Alright, those are your bets. Uh, good luck everybody. Thanks for watching the Pick Six Podcast. Make sure that you tune in with the Super Friends on Sunday night. To recap,


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[Assistant] Conference, championship, Sunday, and then do we have a best, do we have an early lean show on Monday, Rinson?


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[Assistant] Well, we will see you on Monday too. Regularly scheduled time, uh, might look a little bit different, but again, make sure that you like, comment, subscribe on YouTube. If you're listening to audio, do the same thing. Tell your friends to listen and watch the pod and the super friends will be live on Sunday after the championship weekend.


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[Assistant] On CBS Sports Network. Look at my eyes. I've been up since like 4.45 in the morning for no good reason. I look terrible. Uh, but I think that I wish the CBS Sports Network and, um,


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[Assistant] You must recognize the NFL's branding change of branding. I actually had my picks column change. I noticed that they change it. It's super wild card week. This is, we're not just having a wild time. We're having a super wild time this weekend.


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[Assistant] Any, any, any complaints about the format from contestants is more than likely related to a lack of understanding, general confusion and getting up at 4.45 in the morning. Look at my, my, I look like,


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, pretty understandable. Not playing this weekend.


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[Assistant] I knew that. I mean, obviously, uh, but the, uh, I think that when you, when you look at this.


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[Assistant] You've got to sort of path chart a pathway through the playoffs that you think.


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[Assistant] Guaranteed to either, he's guaranteed, he's almost guaranteed to have decent, um, weather for his first two games.


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[Assistant] If, uh, so the Rams are the five seed, right? Six, six seed. So if the seven seed Buccaneer or if the seven seed, I'm, I'm, I'm delusional. If the seven seed Packers beat the Cowboys, then the Rams would go to.


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[Assistant] I think if you look at all those teams, they're all like, I see, I think you kind of want to go NFC on this, on this bet too, because like thinking about all these teams in the NFC, they're all really big, like pass funnels.


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[Assistant] You know, or, or teams that you're gonna have to score with to keep up and et cetera, et cetera. So, um, I'm going Stafford there. You other two have party cause you're cause like Alex is a huge Ninersheimer.


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[Assistant] Last year we actually dialed it back just 20 rushing yards and 26 rushing yards against the Dolphins and the Bengals in that bad loss. They were obviously chucking it a ton against the Bengals and he wasn't running. He is going to activate his legs in the postseason. You have a team that's playing in the wild card.


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[Assistant] First round in a game against a Pittsburgh defense is going to be missing TJ watt and is really banged up in 25 plus mile per hour wins, which means


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[Assistant] And then all of a sudden you start getting up to like 75, 80 yard games and we could see Josh Allen lead all the playoffs in rushing at 40 to one. Great value. What are you giggling about Catherine?


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[Assistant] I'm already the most insufferable human on planet earth. If I get, if staffer gets an MVP vote, Pete Prisco says he didn't give him one, which is sad.


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[Assistant] I even offered Pete a buy one, get one free wings at, uh, Joe's Crab Shack. And he said, no dice.


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[Assistant] I think too, sorry, just to, you know, if you'd like the Josh Allen thing or if you like the James Cook thing, I think if you're going to go, there's nothing wrong with sort of, it's not correlated because they're actually, um,


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[Assistant] Uh, what? I mean, 330 in two games pretty easily. We've seen one of the things that you've seen and had, um, it didn't work out with Tony Pollard, but we saw it with the, um, Mike McCarthy's Packers offenses.


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[Assistant] Developed into, uh, you know, maybe the best receiver in football or one of them. I think you know who I'm taking. Cooper Cup 50 to 1.


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[Assistant] Give me a break. Give me a Gimper Cup. Fifty, two, one. Uh, obviously with the, with the, with the Rams, once you know, I mean, 50 to one is really good value. I almost took Stafford off the correlation there. I think works. Um, 50 to one, if they win two games,


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[Assistant] Prop stars, what do you got on anything on the, I think, I think in theory, do you have to have something on every game? No, no.


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[Assistant] Uh, I have a, I have an under, uh, uh, I was definitely trying to find one from all the different games, whatever. Uh, I don't care. Uh, yeah, I thought it was like the whole point was like, you know, diversifying your bonds. Uh, I mean, it's hard to make that


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[Assistant] Right. Cause they're all like, yes. I was like, wait, there's not six games next week.


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[Assistant] That's so many positives. I think you're going to see a game where.


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[Assistant] Flacco will throw the ball, but chemistry basically likes to run. Now Houston is a pass funnel, but in my.


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[Assistant] Uh, sort of game script here. The Browns are going to be leading for most of the game because CJ Stroud's a rookie and you said the fun little Joe Flacker run.


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[Assistant] Back when CJ Stroud was wearing diapers.


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[Assistant] Uhm, actually it was like six and a half, but I digress.


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[Assistant] I generally subscribe to the idea that first playoff game, rookie quarterbacks in their first playoff game.


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[Assistant] You are going to struggle. The stage is just different. Now CJ Stroud played really, really well against Georgia in the college football playoff last year. So that's the, that's the one thing that really has me more nervous than anything else. But I think against this Brown's defense, they've been bad on the road. I think they travel. I think they turned CJ Stroud over. I think they limit the Texans run game.


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[Assistant] Next, uh, that's how he says goodbye to me. He's like, okay, bye. I'm like, love you too, pal. Uh, dolphins at the


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[Assistant] I can't remember what his name is, but one of the Miami media members, uhm,


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[Assistant] So yeah, that like, he's like, I reached out to, he's like a source of the NFL says they're not going to postpone this game.


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[Assistant] It's going to be the story. If you've got peacock, you're going to hear about it a lot. And Katie, you have a receiving bet in this game.


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[Assistant] I lo- I love that one. I mean, I wish I'd see- spotted that one, but that's- that's a good bet. I like it.


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[Assistant] Who goes into the, who goes into the pick six hall of fame, along with the Niners team total over and, uh, and magic beans or NC state references. Is it Reishi rice or crystal lobby? I would say crystal lobby.


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[Assistant] What do you, what do you think, um, they're going to, Vic Fangio is going to do with Jalen Ramsey? Cause I mean,


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[Assistant] It's just a, I mean, it's just a really, it feels like the Chiefs are the worst possible matchup for the, for the Dolphins defense as currently constructed just because it like,


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[Assistant] Navy runs a triple option. He basically was like, I'm about to run the ball 50 times down your throat and there's nothing you can do about it. You don't know. It was one of my favorite Belichick moments.


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[Assistant] Truly, truly nothing better than that. Then like maybe like, haha, yes, I agree with Alex completely. I have Josh Allen, 41 most rushing yards. I have the proper here. Josh Allen over 38 and a half rushing yards. And then he's like,


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[Assistant] If he, even if he, he has never run the ball in the playoffs less than four times. He has run it.


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[Assistant] He is going to run the football. Now, last year he did run the ball less in the postseason a little bit. Well, I actually took it back. He ran it eight times in the, in the, in the second game. He's going to run the ball in this game. He just is. And the Bills is a typically favorite when he takes three D's.


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[Assistant] All of a sudden you really, I mean that over on the rushing attempt is a really good look. I think he clears the rushing yardage maybe by halftime and he ends up with like an 80 yard rushing game. So, uh, like all those Josh Allen rushing props across the board, the Green Bay Packers are at the Dallas Cowboys.


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[Assistant] Like McCarthy revenge game. Ooh, la la. Look at this. The game is dropped to Cowboys at minus seven. I've been a very juiced Packard seven almost all day. The line shifted a half a point. The total climbing, you know, maybe a little bit 50 and a half of a juice, uh, juiced over there.


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[Assistant] Uh, Katie, we are apparently sharing a brain because we think there'll be lots of points and lots of points for the Cowboys here.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah, sorry. Oh, I was gonna say, on the CD-LAM thing too, uhm, is Jair Alexander gonna play?


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[Assistant] Mike McCarthy's like, all right, we're going to funnel this through brain of cooks and Jake Ferguson early on.


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[Assistant] Wow. You know, and, and force, like, you know, let's see what J.R. Alexander can do early on, get the ball to Ferguson, get the ball to Tony Pollard out of the backfield, get the ball to Brandon cooks. Can you get Gallup involved?


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[Assistant] And then if, if lamb is beating, if Alexander's just balling out and locking down lamb, then you just keep, and you know, it's working. You just keep doing it. And if not, if Alexander looks like he's still banged up, then you can start attacking with lamb. But that I, that's, that's, I would look to it. Um, first, yeah, go ahead, prop. I was gonna.


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[Assistant] Cook 16, Ferguson 12, and uh, Gallup 22. Let's, heesh. Uh, I got to count with Team Tunnel over too. I think they, I think they score plenty.


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[Assistant] I mean, photobombs, somebody outside, some girl outside of Lambert Field, like so quickly that she was like, the fan says the pack's back! It's like, that was J.R. Alexander.


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[Assistant] Dan Campbell, not so much. The PC principle will go for it anywhere, anytime, or basically any fourth down. And I think that you could see, let's say Sean McVay takes some points.


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[Assistant] Who's come up with like, they're going to have a package of fourth down place specifically to convert these fourth and one, two, three, four, five that he's not afraid to go for.


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[Assistant] If they get like 75% of those and they go for a bunch of them, that could flip this game completely. And that's, that's really my biggest concern. I've also got Jameer Gibbs over 19 and a half receiving yards. Man, he's electric.


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[Assistant] I like RJ's over David Montgomery rushing yards, but I think that's correlated with the lions. I will take the Rams and the correlated receiving yards for the young rookie out of Alabama. Shout out Nick Saban.


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[Assistant] It all begins at noon Eastern with the NFL today. Super wild card weekend Sunday and CBS and streaming on Paramount plus coming up next, the pick six parlay.


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[Assistant] I just realized that RJ is going to try and play a game of chess here, potentially, but actually maybe not.


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[Assistant] I'm, I'm, I'm with you on the Buccaneers. I like, I like the Buccaneers this week.


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[Assistant] I think though, and I'm just, let me clear out. I've got a, I've got a parlay built up here. So let me just see what happens when we do. So we got Tampa Bay plus one 34 Katie grabbed the bills at minus five 50.


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[Assistant] Cleveland, Houston, Miami, KC and the Rams Detroit for Alex to choose from.


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[Assistant] Minus 235. So yep, yep. Minus 235. I will take the cheese.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, I was, I was either going to go Chiefs or Cowboys. So we avoided the Rams Monday night. All right. Maybe, maybe it's not so jinxed after all. So here's what we got.


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[Assistant] By the way, that parlay, this pick six parlay segment brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] I, I took this tape to the streets. Like, I, what happens if, like, do you think there's a chance Nick's gonna get fired? You know, I, I think you're, I'm, I'm, I'm not totally off board.


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[Assistant] Like the Christmas day game, they should have lost the chiefs and the Bills. They could have lost that game on Christmas day to the Giants. They did lose to Tommy Devito and Kyler Murray, the Cardinals, like to close out the season, just, just win one of those games.


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[Assistant] I mean, it's unbelievable. An epic collapse by the Eagles. Then in that final game, AJ Brown gets banged up, Jalen Hurts gets banged up.


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[Assistant] Matt, Patricia may have gotten Bill Belichick fired. He's about to get Nick Sirianni fired. This guy's getting everybody fired. The defense is terrible. And so I'm going to, for my wild card, we're getting real weird.


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[Assistant] Brown's Moneyline, Chief's Moneyline, Bill's Moneyline, Cowboy's Moneyline, Ram's Moneyline, Buccaneer's Moneyline,


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[Assistant] And shout out to producer Harry. He got the Moneyline parlay graphically on there. That is some fine font work, Harry. That is excellent stuff. Uh, I've got Joe Flacco under 37 and a half passing attempts that late six game Moneyline parlay I mentioned.


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[Assistant] Is that really the first time that two guys traded for each other have played against each other?


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[Assistant] Well, first, Wilson, I would just like to send my condolences to you. Oh yeah, that's right. And really everyone in the entire state of Pennsylvania, cause what a nightmare day, uh, for the old Keystone state with the Steelers and Eagles both losing. You go from having two teams in the playoffs to no teams.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] In the playoffs, uhm, but I'm sure you'll talk about the Seals and their future in a second.


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[Assistant] With the Bills, I think we were kind of talking about this a little bit last week, where if Josh Allen, we saw it in week 18, where he plays hero football, turns the ball over, things get crazy, and you're like, well, if he plays like that in the playoffs, they're gonna lose. And then we saw second half Josh Allen go off against the Dolphins, no turnovers, play like Superman, and


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They run away with a win. And if that Josh Allen shows up in the playoffs, then you like their chances, not just to get out of the wild card round, but to maybe get to the Super Bowl. And so that really felt like the Josh Allen. He didn't try to do anything crazy in this game. He had a couple of absolutely absurd throws.


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[Assistant] A couple of his touchdown passes where you're just kind of, you drop your jaw, uh, and just appreciate it. I mean, that's all you can do after the George Pickens fumble. He had the one play 29 yard drive with the 29 yard TD pass to Dalton Kincaid.


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[Assistant] They can beat anyone. That's how I feel. And I think Brinton does cause he loves the Bills more than anyone. Weren't they your preseason pick to get to the Super Bowl, even though they're my Super Bowl draft team? To win the Super Bowl. I have the Bills over the


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I was gonna ask you, Wilson, at what point as a Steelers fan were you like, okay, well this game's over, and don't say as soon as the Steelers got off the bus.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think the one thing was that, well first, you know, you had a 14-0 game where it felt like...


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[Assistant] Well, right, and so that's in your head, you're thinking it's 99.9% over, unless something bonkers happens, and then something bonkers did happen.


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[Assistant] Because the Steelers block the field goal and that puts them in a spot where they get a quick touchdown and now it's 21 to 7 and then the Bills get the ball back. Uh, so now it's like if you're Buffalo, you're fine going in half up 21 to 7. We're not going to do anything crazy.


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[Assistant] Right, and he limps off the field, and so now the Bills have the ball with about a minute left, uh,


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[Assistant] Josh Allen gets sacked and you have a second and 17. I think with 45 seconds left, the Steelers have timeouts. You use the timeout there.


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[Assistant] Make them run a play, use a timeout, make them run a play, and look. Too afraid.


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[Assistant] You're probably gonna go conservative, especially you're in your deep in your own territory. You don't want to do anything dumb.


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[Assistant] I just would have made the bills send out their punter and Jay Feely mentioned this on the broadcast because


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[Assistant] Sam Martin's injured and if Tyler Bass is punting, you don't know what you're going to get from a kicker. It might go off the side of his foot and be a 12 yard punt.


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[Assistant] Or you ask the injured guy and then by the time, uh, the second half started, you know, Sam Martin had the halftime doctors and wizards working on him and, and he was ready to go, but he was not in any shape to punt.


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[Assistant] Well yeah, Tyler Bass, if he's the partner and he's catching a 15 yard step, maybe it goes through his hands. You just saw, it just seemed like something.


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[Assistant] AJ Klein, a guy who was not even supposed to play at this point last week, he was not on the Bills roster. He was not going to be playing in this game. As Wilson said, he had his RV packed. He was going to drive to Key West, Florida and watch the playoffs while on vacation. They called him up because there was an injury and he said, sure. Yeah, I'll play.


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[Assistant] And then, uh, had a huge game and he, I think like three years ago, I was like the bill signed AJ Klein is such a huge deal. Uh, cause only because at that point, every team he had ever played for made the playoffs when he was on the team.


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[Assistant] Uh, I would say the Bills are favorites. I remember the, the spread was close when they played in Kansas City. I, one and a half, Buffalo.


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[Assistant] That's why they're not making a field game. The one interesting thing though, and it comes with trying to put this point spread together is not just that the bills are dealing with injuries, but the chiefs are getting two full days of rest more than the bills.


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[Assistant] Uh, which is not common for a lower seed to do that, especially going on the road against the better seed. I mean, obviously if you're the seventh seed and you're playing the one seed, you,


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[Assistant] You dealt your own hand, you dug your own grave because you barely got in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Brenton, home's his first road game. So you're betting against.


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[Assistant] Well, I think part of it is probably top, top one seems like a guy who's too stubborn to do so. He sticks with his guys. And I mean, you know this more than I do, but.


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[Assistant] Look, he, he rode the Kenny Pickett train until he was forced to get off it and then said, all right, let's, Mason Rudolph's going to start here.


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[Assistant] Mason Rudolph wins the game and it's like, eh, well, we can't send Mason back to the bench. Kenny has to be a hundred percent Mason Rudolph wins another game and I'll pick it is a hundred percent. But at that point you can't turn around and now you have.


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[Assistant] Uh, Mason Rudolph starting in the playoffs. So I think that's a huge thing that they're going to have to consider going into the off season. And you know, you're mentioning the draft, but what are they picking? Like 20th, 21st overall, where's Jayden Daniels going in this draft?


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[Assistant] Well, you're also making it sound like Omar Khan doesn't watch film or understand football. If he's sitting there, yeah, cause you're saying he wouldn't even consider moving on from his quarterback. And here's the thing. If you are a Steelers team that went nine and eight in 2022 and went 10 and seven this year, if you sit down with Mike Tomlin and you're saying, man,


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[Assistant] We went 10-7 in spite of our quarterback, not because of our quarterback, and we feel like we could take a huge jump


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[Assistant] Start, start at the bottom. When the MVP gets to the Super Bowl, I'll put them up at number one. I'll go Joe Burrow 1 and Lamar Jackson 1A.


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[Assistant] Now hold on Brenton, as, since Wilson is the resident Steelers fan here, I want to know what he thinks is going to happen.


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[Assistant] He still have to be traded is what Wilson said. He couldn't just go be a free agent.


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[Assistant] Right, but they'd still have to work out a trade, so there'd still be a lot of negotiation.


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[Assistant] I think I agree with Wilson. I think Tomlin probably comes back. I think it makes...


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[Assistant] It looked like Jeffrey Lurie was angry. I love that they were giving him the Taylor Swift treatment in the fourth quarter by just cutting to him every time the Eagles did something dumb, which was literally every single play. And, and kind of to Brenton's point here, it wasn't just a beat down. You are Nick Sirianni. You're supposed to be this offensive stud.


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[Assistant] And your team goes out there against the fourth worst passing defense in football.


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[Assistant] You went 0 for 9 on 3rd down. Uh, you didn't even throw for 240 yards. Plenty of quarterbacks have diced up this Buccaneers defense. You couldn't do it. And yea, no, not having AJ Brown obviously doesn't help.


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[Assistant] But they just looked like everyone looked mentally checked out. Everyone looked like they had their foot halfway into the offseason, which, which is what you do in Week 18 when you've been eliminated from the playoffs, not in a playoff game. And so, I mean, it's, so it's not just the offense played bad. That's on the coaching. If you can't get your team fired up and prepared,


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[Assistant] For a playoff game? That's insane. And so who couldn't do that this week? Nick Sirianni, Mike McCarthy.


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[Assistant] Well, they do. I mentioned this last week that they have the longest active playoff streak in the NFC, which just seems impossible to believe. They're the only NFC team that has been to the postseason for straight years.


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[Assistant] But I'm just saying Fortnite playoffs, uh, only NFC team. Uh, and you know, look.


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[Assistant] So fully circle back to what Wilson said about Baker Mayfield. It is a great story. It's awesome to see him throw for over 300 yards and three touchdowns.


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[Assistant] And advanced in the playoffs in the same year where the Browns could not. Uh, it's almost as a little bit of the Jared Goff beating the Rams feeling, not exactly because Baker didn't beat the Browns, but I'm sure he feels pretty good being in the divisional round, knowing that the Browns are at home because they decided to move on from him.


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[Assistant] But I feel like his numbers were a product of who he was playing. I think almost anyone could have thrown for 300 yards the way this Eagles defense played tonight.


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[Assistant] But look, man, it's survive in advance. The Buccaneers did that. I don't like their chances against the Lions next week to answer your question, Wilson. Uh, I, that is the one divisional game. I am a hundred percent sure what side I will be picking as we have these conversations right now. There's just no way I'll be picking into the Lions straight up at home, uh, against this Buccaneers team. But


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[Assistant] It's funny you said that Brenton because I kind of had the same thought where you had five of six games that were all decided by at least two touchdowns. So right. Pretty much blowouts. And then number two, uh, after the Texans Browns game was over, there wasn't a single game the rest of the weekend that had a lead change.


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[Assistant] It wasn't even a lead change. All... Even Lyons Rams? Lyons Rams. Lyons jumped out on top early and then never trailed. So we're talking about the team that scored first.


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[Assistant] Never trailed and ended up winning. So there's, uh, that makes it not very exciting.


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[Assistant] But as you said, it did feel kind of interesting because we saw CJ Stroud. And then we, you know, even though Dolphins Chiefs wasn't crazy, fourth coldest game in NFL history, it's always kind of fun to watch games in that type of weather.


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[Assistant] Uh, and you know, Steelers-Bills was a one-score game in the fourth quarter, so at least kept you drawn in, uh, until Buffalo put it away. Sorry, Ryan. And this game was 16-9 in the second half, so, you know, maybe you turned it off in the fourth quarter, but they were all watchable. That's, I think that is all you want.


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[Assistant] Well, I think that we all, even talking about how they got to 10-1 with the close swim over the Cowboys, where the Cowboys made dumb plays, that was their,


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[Assistant] First game in November, the close one over the Chiefs, the close one over the Bills where the Bills blew the game.


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[Assistant] Uh, that they probably shouldn't have been 10-1 and they were a house of cards and it was all gonna eventually come crashing down. And it felt that way the whole season. And when you look at these guys on the sideline, they just always looked dejected. Everyone always looks sad. They're arguing with each other, always seems to be some sort of skirmish. And it just seems like the offensive.


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[Assistant] And so I think that's where you have to make changes whether it's bringing in a new offensive coordinator, whether it's


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[Assistant] Deciding that Jalen Hurts and Nick Sirianni can't coexist, uh, whatever it is, I think you're gonna have to make some major changes. Uh, and as Brenton said, losing Jason Kelsey would be a brutal loss. So I think this...


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[Assistant] Is going to be one of those off seasons for the Eagles where we might not be talking about them as a playoff contender at this point next July unless they make some big moves.


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[Assistant] And that was actually a perfect segue, Brenton, to what I was gonna say. So here is a yes or no question with I don't need any explanation to each of you. Brenton, you can go first.


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[Assistant] Is Nick Sirianni the head coach of this team next Monday, January 22nd? No.


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[Assistant] Wilson is Nick Sirianni, head coach of this team, next Monday.


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[Assistant] And we talked about that on the Black Monday. That's why I went through all the teams. We were trying to name the 12. So here we are with, and our exact conversation was if the Eagles or Cowboys get blown out, one of those coaches might get fired. And I don't think either of us thought,


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[Assistant] They would both get blown out. If that was even in the realm of possibility, certainly not the Cowboys. You know, some people thought the Cowboys might lose. I don't think anybody thought they were going to lose by 16.


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[Assistant] I, I, I was thinking about it. I'll, I'll go for, I, I go, I go. Okay.


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[Assistant] I was, I was gonna go with another quarterback, but I'll stay away from him because we gave him a lot of talk.


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[Assistant] I'm going to stay in the same game Brinton had. I'm going to go with Todd Bowles. That guy was underrated. People were putting him on the hot seat, even though he won the division title last year when I was got two division titles and I love


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[Assistant] That he went into this game, he knew that the Eagles often struggled against the Blitz, and he said, you know what, we're just gonna Blitz on every down until they beat it.


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[Assistant] Why can't we just beat the Blitz? Why don't we have a hot route here? Why don't, why aren't we throwing screens? No. Todd Bowles just kept blitzing and kept blitzing, and he was probably laughing inside like, are they actually, are they gonna ever beat this or can I just keep doing this? And he kept doing it. I mean, the strategy was so simple and worked so perfectly.


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[Assistant] And I'm glad to see him get a playoff win because he just went into the season on the hot seat and I think this should take him off the hot seat winning the division and getting a playoff win.


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[Assistant] And out-coaching Nick Sirianni incredibly. This is master class.


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[Assistant] Yes, this was one of those, I think all of us probably picked the 49ers straight up, but thought it was going to be a close game.


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[Assistant] But this was one of those where I don't think a lot of people thought the Ravens were gonna win. Let alone win by two touchdowns. I mean, they destroyed them. This was a curb stomping. This was, they dominated the game. Brock Purdy was seeing ghosts. This guy's supposed to be an MVP candidate. He got two interceptions in. He looked like he had no idea what was going on anymore.


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[Assistant] Granted all four of those interceptions weren't his fault, but the fact that he threw four interceptions just tells you.


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[Assistant] The Ravens defense was everywhere. And when you think about all the weapons the 49ers have,


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[Assistant] And can anyone slow them down? Can anyone stop them? And the Ravens prove that yes, you can. And also that they're, you know, sometimes you have a defense that is one of the top 10 in the NFL based on yards given up in points per game because they play an easier schedule.


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[Assistant] Not the Ravens. I mean, they prove that their defense is legit. We already know their offense is for real. Uh, so to me, this team feels like the Super Bowl favorite, for instance. You think so?


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[Assistant] Well, uh, and just to that point, I will say like my hesitation with them all year has been in my preseason picks. I had them in the AFC title game, but my hesitation with them is still the same, which is what's going to happen when they get to the playoffs because they have this history of falling flat on their face in the playoffs. And so I think.


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[Assistant] And so, yes, obviously huge win. And like I said, I think the Ravenson Super Bowl favorite, but you know, you just look at their playoff track record one and four with Lamar. So that is where you worry a little bit.


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[Assistant] Uh, through 16 games, only the 2007 Patriots and 1972 Dolphins have also done that. So we're talking about, they are in a club with the only two teams that went undefeated in NFL history. And so, and they're dominating, they're winning a lot of their games.


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[Assistant] But then the game they did lose was blowing a two touchdown lead to the Browns who...


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[Assistant] I get it, but you have first and goal at the one yard line with over two minutes left and you're only down two touchdowns and you have all three timeouts. I have my best guys out there trying to win this game.


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[Assistant] I will just say, they beat down the Cowboys and Eagles who are the better team's entities so badly, it's hard to see it mattering in that sense. But with Brock Purdy, we talked about it in the Bengals game back in October. If you fluster him,


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[Assistant] They can't, he struggles and then they can't play from behind. So if you get the lead, they're horrible. We saw the stats tonight that Kyle Shanahan's Owen 37 in the, his team showing by eight or more points in the fourth quarter. There's no comebacks. They don't come back. So if you jump out quickly, you are going to win. That is how you beat them.


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[Assistant] No, like if you have a team that can fluster him and get after him.


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[Assistant] That's how you beat him. That's how you make him struggle. I mean, we saw earlier this year they lost by two touchdowns at the Bengals. That was the healthiest they had been before this beat down.


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[Assistant] That was Breach's Superbowl it turned out. The Minnesota Vikings, the Minnesota Vikings also did it with, you get the pass rush, you get ahead, get them off their game script. Alright, Breach.


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[Assistant] And that's not even count the time when he was offensive coordinator in the Superbowl and lost.


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[Assistant] No, I look, I think the Dolphins are good. I think the Cowboys are good, but throw me no apology because what the Dolphins do, they're often scored one touchdown. It's not like they went out there and put up 40 on the Cowboys defense. Great. I wasn't very impressed without to a plate, especially under pressure because he has struggled a little bit.


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[Assistant] Under pressure this year, getting them in the field goal range on that game winning drive was awesome. And the thing that actually really impressed me about what the Dolphins did was how well their defense played. It was, you know, you expect the Dolphins to put together scoring drives, two or three or almost 300 yards. What I didn't expect was


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[Assistant] Early drive and then the late drive where they got the touchdown. But other than that, I mean, the dolphins were dominant. They got after Dak Prescott.


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[Assistant] They sacked him four times. They shut down the Cowboys ground game. And I mean, CD Lamb had a big game, but that was it. It was either CD Lamb or nothing. And so I was impressed with the Dolphins defenses and that's what they need. If you're going to win in the playoff, your defense has to show up. So I think it was encouraging to see them play that well.


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[Assistant] I don't know if I'd feel better about the dog. I mean, I think I have a hard time seeing the Cowboys get past the 49ers. I have a hard time. The Cowboys are 0-4 glass. Uh, they can't win away games. So there's a lot of question marks about the Cowboys going into the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Well I think one concern with the Dolphins though is the Jalen Waddle injury. He's dealing with the high ankle sprain and that could put him out against the Ravens.


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[Assistant] If we're going top three kickers from week 16.


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[Assistant] Then he's absolutely in there because he had arguably the best game of the season of any kicker, uh,


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[Assistant] It does not. You give him five for five in that game, his percentage of the season is still under 85%. Okay. All right. So Justin Tucker number one.


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[Assistant] A lot of indoor games, so I thought his biggest test would be playing outdoors. He didn't miss against the Dolphins. He didn't miss against the Bills. He has just been on fire. Uh, so I'd say him, Harrison Bucker.


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[Assistant] And you can debate the third one.


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[Assistant] If we're talking about time, Justin Tucker's number one. If we're talking just the season, Tucker, struggle a little bit. Okay, alright.


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[Assistant] I think it's more of this team just isn't as good as they were in any of the past five years. I mean, they lost to a quarterback who didn't complete a pass after the first quarter. It's a no Connell is the first quarterback to win a game when he did not complete a pass after the first quarter since the year 2000 when the Bengals beat the Broncos. Uh, by the way.


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[Assistant] Uh, but it's literally been 23 years since we've seen that happen. The other worrisome thing is that this is a team that usually gets hot at the end of the season. They're one in three in December. They haven't had a losing record in December since 2013. It has been 10 years. This team usually catches fire. They're not doing that. We're seeing.


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[Assistant] This just feels like a team that...


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[Assistant] I don't see a route to them playing a ton better. I mean, granted, the other team's not going to get two defensive touchdowns every game. So, you know, you take that away and they probably beat the Raiders, but I don't see this team putting up 35 points in the playoffs if they need it. It just seems like it's going to be a struggle and there's, I wouldn't be surprised at all if they lost the wild card round.


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[Assistant] Everybody's angry all the time. Like Mahomes was yelling his line and Kelsey's throwing his helmet down. Everybody's body language looks like a eight year old who just saw their cat get hit by a car. It's just everything about the team is so weird right now.


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[Assistant] Look, I think we know that I'm the unofficial president of the Joe Flacco fan club. Everyone that first game...


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[Assistant] After though you won the first game, I went on the power ranking show that Tuesday and said, what if Joe Flacco's so good he gets the Browns in the Super Bowl? Cause he looked that good. I mean,


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[Assistant] It is almost impossible to believe that he sat at home for 11 weeks because no one called him. This guy was willing to be a backup quarterback. He was willing to sit on a bench. He didn't even need to be playing and no one wanted him.


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[Assistant] And the Browns come out and they say, Joe, come play for us. And now we're talking about, uh, throws for over 300 yards in the third straight game. The first Browns quarterback to ever do that in franchise history.


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[Assistant] When they win all three games, they have quarterbacks throw for 300 yards, but not win all three games. And then the third oldest quarterback in NFL history, the throw for 300 yards in three consecutive games. What he's doing is absolutely unheard. Now the question is, is it going to be one of those where you have the backup quarterback in?


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[Assistant] Jake Browning, Josh Dobbs, whatever, where they come, they play lights out for three or four games and then they crash back to earth. Is that what's gonna happen with Joe Flacco?


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[Assistant] Or, because he's such a veteran, he knows what he's doing. He has a very good understanding. Kevin Stepansy's offense is a great connection with Amari Cooper. Is he going to keep playing at this level? And if he keeps playing at this level, why can't this team win a couple of playoff games? Look at the.


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[Assistant] The AFC, they already beat the Ravens once. That's the team you're most worried about. I could see this team beating the Chiefs. This defense is good enough to beat anyone. All they need is a little bit of quarterback help, and I think Flacco is good enough to get them to an AMC title game.


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[Assistant] Who would you take in a Brown's Dolphins divisional game in Miami? Cleveland, baby. Cleveland's number five.


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[Assistant] You do have to be a little concerned with interceptions if they play a really, really good team. Cause obviously CJ Shroud wasn't starting this game. This is his second straight game with multiple interceptions. But to Britson's point real quick, uh, you mentioned his yardage. If he played a 17 game season, he would be on pace for 5,000.


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[Assistant] 554 yards, which would smash the NFL single season record. Joe Flacco in four starts.


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[Assistant] Already weeds the Browns in passing yards and passing touchdowns this season. Sean Watson had six starts. Flacco's passed all his numbers. DTR had three starts, obviously. Flacco not even in the same.


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[Assistant] What a twist. I thought you were going to say they're going to roll and you're saying they're going to lose and melt down. They're going to melt down. This team is not built for.


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[Assistant] Well, so we're talking about a bucksing. There's one four games in a row. They dominated Jacksonville. That game was never close. I mean, they're, they're whatever Jacksonville was more impressive than Baltimore's win over Jacksonville. I mean, this, the game was just never close. They beat down the Packers.


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[Assistant] And I think we said a few weeks ago, I mean, probably a month ago, we're like, ah, the Cowboys are destined to get the five seed, get the buy to the divisional round because they'll beat whoever comes out of NFC South. But with Baker Mayfield playing the way he's playing, it does not feel like such a lock anymore. So I'm almost inclined to breach by, I can't even call the Cowboys a lock to get out of the wild card round anymore.


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[Assistant] But I also have the bill, so I'm happy.


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[Assistant] I think they're gonna get stuck playing the Rams. I think Matthew Stafford is gonna dice them up.


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[Assistant] I don't even think Detroit really has a shot at the number one seed, which Harry can cut and paste when they do clutch number one seed. I just think they're going to get steamrolled by the Cowboys. Cowboys don't lose at home. They're winning by 27 points per game in their home games this year. They're just so good at home.


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[Assistant] I have a tough time seeing, and you know, they've got the hangover. You just quench your first division title in 30 years. So you kind of. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Uh, natural let down in your next game, which you really can't afford to have because it's on a short week because you're playing on a Saturday in Dallas. Uh, and that they lose that, you know, the one seeds out the window. So I just feel like they're going to be a three seed and.


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[Assistant] Well I mean the 7th seed right now is the Seahawks who already beat the Lions and if the Seahawks went out they're in.


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[Assistant] Uh, Cowboys at 5. I think the Seahawks at 6 and the Rams at 7. Alright.


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[Assistant] Well, let me ask Brenton this real quick because the 49ers loss throws a wrench into things because part of our scenario here by week 18. Yes. Right. And so now the 49ers are


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[Assistant] Almost certainly going to play their starters. They're not going to have the number one seed clench going into week 18. They're going to need to win that game. And so.


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[Assistant] Maybe the Rams are now finishing season nine and eight and not ten and seven.


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[Assistant] Well, cause the one thing working in their favor is that you look at the seven and eight teams, Vikings, Falcons, Packers, Saints, Vikings and Packers play each other Sunday night this week. So one of them has to lose. And then the Falcons play each other in week 18. So one of them has to lose. So you're cutting down on the teams that can end up in a tiebreaker with you.


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[Assistant] I think it goes 49ers, Eagles, Lions, Buccaneers, Cowboys, Ramseyhawks.


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[Assistant] Get on the Garner Mintchoo bandwagon. I feel like I would be miserable if I got off and out, even though they got slaughtered by the Falcons in a must-win game. My God. Uh, but I, yeah, I think the Browns and Bills feel like locks at this point. And then, I mean,


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[Assistant] Uh, man, I just think the AFC playoff race is crazy because I could see the Bengals beating the Chiefs this week, I could see the Raiders beating the Colts, uh, the Titans beating the Texans, like there's just so many


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[Assistant] Wrenches that can be thrown into this, uh, but I'll say the Colts get the seventh seed, even though my heart says the Bengals.


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[Assistant] This kid has had a rough year. He's only made 65% of his field goals. He is probably never going to kick another season in the NFL. This has just been one giant learning curve for him to go out there and hit a 56 yard field goal, essentially not the bright Broncos playoff chances, final nail in the coffin.


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[Assistant] That was pressure. Already missed a field goal in the game. Already missed an extra point. And just for him to bounce back like that was awesome. And I was wrapping presents, drinking eggnog while that happened. And, uh, just couldn't believe it.


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[Assistant] You guys laughed at me. I literally, when we did the HQ show, uh, we had to pick everybody's, how their last three games would go. I picked the Broncos. I said they lose to the Patriots and you guys, that's not going to happen.


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[Assistant] Rick and George Pickens is catching an 86 yard touchdown. I'm like, my God, I probably should have just stayed there.


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[Assistant] Wilson, you have to end with Merry Christmas to all. Merry and to all a good night.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, Josh Allen is good, but this was the best way the Bills could have won in the sense that they know that, hey, look, Josh Allen threw for 94 yards and we beat a very good team 31 to 10 to me. That's a huge confidence booster.


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[Assistant] If Josh Allen has an off game next week, two weeks, maybe in the playoffs, we can still win because we have a rushing attack. And if you look at the Bills this season, and I'm just going to break it down simple here.


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[Assistant] In any game where they have rushed for over 100 yards, they've gone 8 and 2. If they have not rushed for, if they've rushed for under 100 yards, they've gone 0 and 4.


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[Assistant] Now that's just simplifying it, but the point there is that when they get their ground game going, Josh Allen doesn't feel like he has to do everything. He doesn't have to do everything. And it makes the opposite. The offense looks like it plays with more confidence when they can run the ball. Yeah. Go Brinson.


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[Assistant] And real quick, those two losses, uh, 12 men on the field feel golden. So they should have won that game and blowing the lead to the Eagles and losing over time. So they probably should have won that game. So they should really be 10 and 0. Uh, and yeah, for instance, I was just kind of simplified.


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[Assistant] But yeaah, if the, if their rushing attack is working, this team, and I also think there's a sense of desperation. They are playing like any loss could knock them out. Like they're already in the playoffs and they can't afford to lose. And I felt like I sensed that when their defense was on the field where they just punched the Cowboys in the mouth and the Cowboys didn't know how to respond.


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[Assistant] The thing is, with the Cowboys, I'm concerned about that because they play an indoor stadium and you put them in an outdoor game and it's like putting an indoor cat outside in the rain. You just scare, curls up in a ball, doesn't know what to do. That's what the Cowboys look like. With the Bills so much, it doesn't concern me as much just because


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[Assistant] I felt like the London game was, that was the one where Jacksonville was out in London the whole week and the Bills came up with the dumbest travel plan of all time.


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[Assistant] And got smoked. They got caught off guard by the Patriots. And then, uh, the Eagles game they should have won. And I feel like the Bengals game was the only real bad loss. But again, like, uh, Bernstein mentioned, I only lost by six, so it wasn't even that bad.


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[Assistant] To me, the Buffalo Bills are the best team in the AFC right now. I know we're going to talk about the Ravens really soon. If I had to pick a team, if the,


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[Assistant] Bills and Ravens played tomorrow in neutral field. I'm absolutely picking the Bills to win. And you look at the three teams at the top with the best record in the AFC, the Ravens, Dolphins and Chiefs. The Bills already smoked the Dolphins. They just beat the Chiefs last week and I feel like they're playing better than the Ravens. So I would take the Bills over on that one right now.


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[Assistant] Well, we were joking last week that Sean McDermott leaked that story out on purpose to fire his team up because this team is totally fired up right now.


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[Assistant] Exactly, that's the exclamation point on top of all this. So you're looking at like, look, they went to that buy all that stuff, all the crap hit the fan and now they just took down the Chiefs and Cowboys. That's two impressive wins. I mean, there's no other way to spin it. So I think.


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[Assistant] The fact that they played well against a good offense is going to give that defense some confidence considering they had struggled this year.


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[Assistant] All I'm gonna say about this game is that, look, final score 23-7, yes, but I wasn't overly impressed.


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[Assistant] with the way the Ravens played. I mean, honestly, it is like Jacksonville went out there, shot themselves in the foot four different times in the first half. I mean, the halftime score probably should have been 21 to 10 Jacksonville and not, and Baltimore shut them out, but not because of anything Baltimore did. Jacksonville just


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[Assistant] Forgot how to play football any time they crossed the Ravens 50 yard line and Brandon McManus can't make a long field goal.


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[Assistant] Uh, and so if anything, that made me more concerned about the Ravens versus Hey, the Ravens dominated a one by 16. Uh, but yeah, I mean, Lamar Jackson doing Lamar Jackson. Are you concerned about the Ravens? Is that what you're saying? I'm not concerned about it. I'm just saying this is a team that hasn't made it out of the divisional round in 10 years.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, I agree with Princeton just because they have some big games left. I mean, the 49ers and Christmas and they have the Dolphins and those are two huge games where if he goes to San Francisco and out duels the MVP leader,


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[Assistant] That's gonna be a little MVP odds bump and the voters will see that at the end of the season. But yeaah, like I'm not worried about the Ravens. This team is good there. I think it's them in the Bills, top two in the AFC as far as who's playing the best football right now. I am just mildly concerned that


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[Assistant] They did not look great on Sunday. The Rams almost beat them in Baltimore in bad weather.


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[Assistant] Kickers are not allowed? No kickers. That's a ridiculous rule.


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[Assistant] I would say Brock Purdy is number one for me. Okay, stop there.


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[Assistant] Well, I think we're, we're looking at part of the case right here is most starts with 130 passer rating in a season. You look at that list, Aaron Rogers, Russell Wilson, Aaron Rogers, Tony Rama, and then somehow Ryan Tannehill in 2019. Uh, but just the number that year.


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[Assistant] I think that that is, uh, true. Weren't they number one seed in 2020?


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[Assistant] Uhm, but I mean, if you look at Brock Birdie, I think the one thing, the number one stat that stands out to me is his yards per attempt. It is 9.9. Every time he throws the football,


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[Assistant] That really stands out to me, and I do think if you took Frog Party out and put Sam Darnold in there, I wouldn't feel as comfortable picking the 49ers.


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[Assistant] So I, I do think there is a major drop off if you take him out of the game. And yeah, does he have Debo Samuel? Does he have Christian McCaffrey? Yeah. But did we give, you know, do people say, Hey, Joe Montana wasn't great because he had Jerry Rice and Roger Craig. It's, and no, Brock Hardy is not Joe Montana, but you can't just say, Hey, look,


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[Assistant] They had these super weapons. Peyton Manning had Marvin Harrison and Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. So the good quarterbacks have good weapons. That's why their offense is successful. So I don't think you can hold that against


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[Assistant] I just think he's playing the best football right now. He's running Kyle Shanahan's offense as perfectly as can be run. If I had to vote right now, I'd give Brock Purdy my vote.


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[Assistant] Uh, Purdy, Lamar, Christian McCaffrey, and I don't think I need to go deeper than that because I think one of those three will win it.


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[Assistant] He just had a 94 yard game. They didn't need anything from him. Like, I wouldn't move him up.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's- Wait, before we move on, Wilson, quick trivia. Yeah. When is the last time two teammates both got an MVP vote in the same year? Oh, can you give us a decade? Uh, it happened since 2010.


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[Assistant] I don't know, um, Googling in your head. What are you laughing at? Is that maybe that's not a bad guess?


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[Assistant] No, I mean, there's only, there's only first place folks. That's all you got.


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[Assistant] I guess that I can get behind that if- Five feet against the AFC South corner, Brinson?


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[Assistant] And let's not forget, Brian Sype won MVP in 1980, so Joe Flacco obviously well on the way to putting himself in the MVP conversation right now.


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[Assistant] But yeaah, I mean that was the thing is that Joe Flacco, the Browns defense dominated the Bears.


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[Assistant] Uh, and that's what I was saying is that you had the pick six, that's how the Bears got a touchdown and they had another interceptions that they got down to the Browns one yard line. That's how they got another touchdown. So I mean, the Browns defense played fantastic. It was like Flacco was throwing interceptions just so he could set himself up for this magical.


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[Assistant] Where he gets $75,000 per win in the regular season.


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[Assistant] It's not preposterous. Eh, it sorta is. Well, you know what though, here's the thing, we keep mentioning January Joe, is if fourth quarter Joe Flacco, the guy from the fourth quarter of this game, shows up in the playoffs, they can literally beat anyone. I mean, if he goes out there and he's just dicing people up and throwing dimes for the whole game,


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[Assistant] Well, real quick, I want to mention one thing on this game. Uh, Brenton mentioned how well they played against Derek Henry. They played so well that Derek Henry became the first player in NFL history to touch the football 20 times and not finish with at least 15 yards. Really? For image.


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[Assistant] 16 carries for 9 yards and 4 receptions for 1 yard, that's all. I wanted to break down the numbers. You just said 20 touchings, that's it.


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[Assistant] Was nuts because when it went to the fourth quarter, I honestly didn't think the bangles had a chance at winning. They had done nothing the entire game. It probably should have been 31 to three, except Nick Mullins through.


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[Assistant] Of the year. I mean, for T Higgins to jump, and that's the thing. If you have good receivers, you have Jamar Chase on your team. If you have T Higgins on your team, you throw it up and give them a chance because they can come down and make plays like that. Jake Browning had 140 yards in the fourth quarter of this game.


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[Assistant] He only had, he also had 140 yards in the first three quarters. So he matched his total in the fourth quarter, uh, and then 280 and then another 44, uh, in overtime. So it, look.


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[Assistant] We always debate, not always, but we've debated enough about Zach Taylor's coaching and it seems like we're always on the fence about whether he's a good coach or a bad coach.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I am now very much in the, he's a good coach because I feel like this string with Jake Browning has been his most impressive coaching run so far. We saw them go to the Superbowl, but a lot of that is, Hey, look, Joe Burrows on the team. Joe Burrows carrying that. Well, that's not the case anymore. It is Jake Browning out there with Zach Taylor, perfectly tailoring.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Chase Browns emerged, Joe Mixon has done, he's just been awesome, uh, since Jake Browning became the starter. And look, the Bengals are another team. I don't think they can win the Super Bowl with Jake Browning, but I do think they could win a wild card game.


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[Assistant] Maybe a divisional round playoff game, but I think that- Who knows.


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[Assistant] Well, we talked about Jacksonville and Baltimore a little bit earlier, and like I said, I thought Jacksonville played well until they started shooting themselves in the foot, and then they took out the shotgun, shot off both feet. I mean, the offense moved the ball against a very good Ravens defense, they just couldn't finish anything with the two missed field goals.


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[Assistant] That just, I think against a not great team, Baltimore's a very good team. If they play a not very good team, I would feel a lot more comfortable with them not making silly mistakes like that. So I will say.


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[Assistant] I think Jacksonville first, Colts second, Texans third.


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[Assistant] And if anybody was not watching that game, the Falcons were ahead seven to six and no points are being scored in this game. The Falcons had finally driven it down inside Carolina's 20 yard line. Ritter throws an interception, uh,


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[Assistant] Just late in the fourth quarter. Yeah, yeah, with seven and a half minutes left in the game. So you're already in field goal range. You go up 10-6. The Panthers have not shown they can score a touchdown at all. You play it safe, kick a field goal, you probably win, but instead Ritter throws an ugly interception and Carolina probably goes down and kicks the game when it goes.


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[Assistant] We haven't seen a rookie, I guess Dak got one in 2016. So I guess that was the last one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, of course, because if you're the third seed, you're going to have to go on the road at some point if you want to get to the Super Bowl, but I think that...


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[Assistant] Well right, but Jared Goff has not been the same person on over, I mean, he showed up Saturday night, that's for sure. Five touchdowns was awesome.


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[Assistant] That is good, I guess. I mean, they only have to beat the Vikings and then they pretty much walk up the division and the third seed. So the rest of it.


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[Assistant] They beat Minnesota in week 16, then they clinched a division, and I don't think the NFC South winner is going to catch them, so you pretty much lock the third seed up at some point, or at that point, and then it becomes, alright, now we get to host our first home game since 1993 in the playoffs, and they play well at home, but


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[Assistant] Wilson just asked, so can they win the big games on the road? I don't know.


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[Assistant] Let me ask you this, this is a very pos- and we're gonna talk playoff picture in a second, but this is a very plausible scenario. Lions versus Rams in the wild card round. Who are you picking?


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[Assistant] We can still do it. It's wide open. I feel like we could do it this week and it's still fair.


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[Assistant] Okay, here is my biggest problem. We all know that I am the biggest bangles Homer on this podcast.


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[Assistant] Okay, well that's a problem. Uh, that's not the only problem.


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[Assistant] The other problem is that there are three in six in the conference in the AFC, which is also a big time tiebreaker, uh, so they're not going to win that tiebreaker with anyone.


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[Assistant] And so, what they're gonna have to do is absolutely win out, because I think if they finish 10 and 7, they're just not going to win any tiebreakers, unless the Texans fizzle out, because that kind of throws the wrench in it, because if it's them, the Colts and the Bills, you have the head-to-head, uh,


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[Assistant] So I'm glad you asked because people might be wondering that and this is because they beat the cult. So when you have this many


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[Assistant] Uh, teams tied at eight and six. So you have four teams.


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[Assistant] When you have two divisional teams, you have to eliminate one of those teams first. So the Colts and the Texans are in their own tiebreaker, which the Colts hold and that eliminates the Texans. So then that leaves the Bengals, Colts and Bills and the Bengals beat the Colts and the Bills. And so that's why the Bengals are six Colts. Well, so that's good.


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[Assistant] Or, but if the Colts, if the Colts had lost and the Colts were seven and seven right now, then the Bengals would be behind the Texans and the Bills because there'd be a three-way tie and the Bengals head to head wouldn't matter because there was no sweep involved because they had lost to the Texans. So the Bengals really need the Colts to stay good.


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[Assistant] Or the Browns to lose out. Uh, anyway, to answer your question, uh, do I think any of this changes? Brunson, do you think any of it changes?


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[Assistant] Alright, and so I'm glad I, and so Wilson, you have Browns, Bengals, Bills.


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[Assistant] Browns bangles Texans? Or do you, you don't have the bills in?


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[Assistant] You're gonna, you were stumping for the bills for the past two weeks and now you're gonna knock them out.


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[Assistant] I need to saw so I could play out the rest of the schedule on the old playoff machine so I could figure out who I think is getting in. Uh, Brent said I know that you and I also see eye to eye that the Bills are gonna win the AFC East with an 11-6 record. Uh, the Dolphins will also finish 11-6 but they obviously are gonna lose the tiebreaker because they're gonna get swept by the Bills.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I have the Browns as the fifth seed, the Colts as the sixth seed, and the Dolphins as the seventh seed. Oh, you guys are all in on the bills, huh? The Dolphins as the seventh seed.


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[Assistant] At 11 and 6. Going back to Buffalo after back to back weeks.


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[Assistant] Nope, I have the Chiefs as the second seed. Oh my god, Miami, can you imagine this?


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[Assistant] Colts Jacksonville, Colts Jacksonville 6-3 and then Browns Bills at 5-4. Oh my gosh.


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[Assistant] So you have the Eagles winning the division then? Yeah, I think so. I think it comes down. If they win on Monday night.


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[Assistant] Yeah, easily. If they win Monday, you feel really comfortable about them winning division. Uh, I agree mostly with friends. I like the Buccaneers at four. I think Baker Mayfield. They look the best.


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[Assistant] The Saints just iffy and like Princeton said, I don't think they are going to beat the Rams on Thursday night and I just do not trust the Falcons at all. You can't even beat the Panthers with your season essentially on the line. The Desmond Minter keeps throwing these back breaking interceptions.


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[Assistant] So I have the Cowboys as the 5 seed, the Packers as the 6 seed, and the Rams as the 7 seed.


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[Assistant] It has, I thought their performance today against the Packers in Green Bay, usually don't see Florida teams go up north in the middle of December and win games, uh, but they pulled that out. That was a huge win. It was an impressive win. Seems like the Packers have taken a couple steps back, but yeah, I think the Buccaneers look like the best. You cannot trust the Falcons. How can anyone trust the Falcons? I don't trust the Falcons, uh,


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[Assistant] I don't trust anyone in this division, but I think you guys are both right that it feels like the Buccaneers play the best football right now.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know what? It is gonna be kinda fair, man. Is it? You just did that.


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[Assistant] Well, he was on my list. I have a list of four in case you guys steal my guys. Okay. Uh, and he was on my list for him to come back.


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[Assistant] Uh, a 53 yarder in the third quarter. That's a huge kick outdoors in December. Not easy. And then a 54 yard field goal in overtime again.


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[Assistant] Behind Jacksonville instead of tied with them right now or a half game behind the Colts. So that would have been troubling. Bear Bear might have just saved the Texan season with a phenomenal performance coming off an injury.


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[Assistant] Mechanics are just so different that it would throw you out of whack. McAfee kicked field goals a little bit and punted at West Virginia. Uh, we had Jamie Gillan do it, but you're not going to make it to the NFL doing both. That's just...


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[Assistant] Cause it would save you a roster spot if you could do it, but it's just not.


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[Assistant] You for sure know her stuff. You've heard Dua Lipa before. She's one of like the top billboard artists.


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[Assistant] Every team should support their players in doing this, especially with what we've seen from the Chiefs and Taylor Swift and Travis Kelsey. But even furthermore, okay?


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[Assistant] These guys need to be like Tim Hardaway back when we played with the Miami Heat and he had a bad shooting night. You know what he kept doing? Kept shooting, okay? Wall averages. He's going to shoot himself right back into that and hitting some shots. So I always remember when I was a kid, I watched Tim Hardaway and was like,


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[Assistant] No, and Luje, I wanna get your, your opinion on this.


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[Assistant] You know, how much would you have made out? And I thought about it. I was like, yeah, I'd probably would have made some when you're the quarterback in Notre Dame and you do, you do decently well.


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[Assistant] Then I thought back and I was like, you know why I wouldn't have done as well as I could have?


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[Assistant] Cause I couldn't have signed on for something that wasn't genuine. Like I wasn't gonna be a NASCAR and just slap on all these different logos and like drive around like, hey, here's what I'm pitching here. Here's what I'm, like, it'd have to be genuine, right? Like I wasn't meaning that.


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[Assistant] But okay, EAS was a supplement I used. I used when I was training. It was Columbus based. I loved it. So the story of H2 is amazing.


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[Assistant] Is one of my buddy's neighbors had one, so he would always get it to take us up to one of my other buddy's lake houses.


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[Assistant] So we drove in that thing like my, my, probably my last two years of college, going to lake houses in the summertime.


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[Assistant] They'd let me drive it because they'd be, you know, hanging out, partying. And I'd try, you know, I'd be ready for the season, but I was always like, if I, if I can get a deal with Hummer, like I'm going to go fight, try to find a way. Those H2s were by far away the best.


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[Assistant] Ah, then that fell by the wayside. But like everything I did was genuine to me, like I wouldn't have done something, and that's where like I get to like nowadays.


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[Assistant] And honestly, like even kids like going different schools and all that stuff, you're just like, Oh yeah, they're going for this. This is just like, no, they're not. It's like, it's like, it's like whatever they get paid.


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[Assistant] No, I get that, but even like to this day, you know, I, I never, when I had the opportunity to do a McDonald's deal ever, ever did anything and I didn't do anything with it.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna pound a Celsius as soon as the show is over and promise you that. Uhm, great question.


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[Assistant] Do you guys kind of feel like, remember the report first came out that maybe Belichick had a job lined up already next year, there were some feelers and what not, like, I almost feel like it was one of those deals where it's like,


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[Assistant] You know, you're in high school and it's like, well, I don't know. I'm thinking, hey, I'm thinking about, you know, breaking up with so-and-so and all of a sudden you tell someone else and it gets around and someone's like, well, no, like I'm like, wait a second. And like, next thing I hear, it's like, no, no, they're breaking up with me.


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[Assistant] I just, I feel like obviously the season and where things have gone since Tom Brady left has led us to this point.


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[Assistant] But I also feel like there's some suitors, they're not gonna fire him, they have to trade him, they have to work together probably to make that trade happen. So uh, look, we know the end is coming, like we can see the light at the end of the tunnel.


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[Assistant] Probably for Bill Belichick, whether it's with the Chargers or...


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[Assistant] You've heard rumors of like Tampa Bay, some of those other organizations that are looking for a guy like Bill Belichick, who's won as many Super Bowls as he has as a head coach and as an assistant.


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[Assistant] Look, I think there's also gotta be some hesitation from Bill Belichick, from an owner that you've watched rip the rug out from underneath Matt Ruhl, and now, you know, looking at Coach Reich in the first year.


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[Assistant] Maybe he doesn't want to have to deal with an owner who's, you know, overly involved to that capacity. Look, it's Bill Belichick. He's one, you know.


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[Assistant] Multiple Super Rolls, been to so many, brought this sort of success that the New England Patriots and Robert Kraft could have never experienced without them, so.


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[Assistant] I just, he's not firing him. I'm sorry. Like, you can call, Sam Dums, call me whatever you think. He's not getting fired. They will, they're going to trade him. They'll say they went their separate ways. It's not going to be a bad breakup, I don't think, by the end of it. Uh, there's just too much history there. There's too much success there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and I think there's probably too much in the end to be thankful for, that Bill Belichick really brought to this organization, especially considering the evaluation of that franchise, how much more they've won and gained over the past two decades.


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[Assistant] I just, I don't see it happening. Maybe there's some sort of trade, so they don't have to do that to your point, Will, but I don't know. Call me crazy. Call me whatever you want.


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[Assistant] You know, it's not hitting their cap, you're just giving up draft capital in exchange for whatever that contract looks like, but.


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[Assistant] You think that he would want an extension in order to go there, but whatever, we should move on. Like I said, I just, this isn't to me the most topical thing right now.


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[Assistant] I love when Will gets so excited, he can't even get the words out. Like he's just, his mind's running so fast. So I cannot wait to have one.


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[Assistant] So I had, uh, what's called mouth finger. Alright, so mouth finger, right? You have a, a fracture at the, um, your fingers. It's a little crooked. I know.


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[Assistant] So yes, it's a little crooked, alright, but the, uh, I broke the bone up in here.


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[Assistant] This, the ligaments got torn off of this, right? So obviously the, like the, the finger then is kinda like hanging like this, alright?


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[Assistant] And the problem with that is when you're throwing a football, clearly you need that finger to really flick and spin the football. It's the last thing that touches it when you throw.


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[Assistant] So if you have no power, no pop off that, you then have to switch and kind of push more from your middle finger, adjust your grip, kind of more like sidearm it and not really get on top of it as much when you're throwing the ball in order to still generate that spin and try to maintain that accuracy.


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[Assistant] Happened in Monday Night Football, tried to play the following week, wasn't gonna work, they basically took me out a half, and we elected to get surgery.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So they drove pins in here, alright, like, like straight this way, and they drove pins in at an angle that way. And those things are gonna sit in there for about six weeks, because it takes about six weeks for the bones to heal, and then hopefully all, everything gets reattached.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And then once you rip those things out and trust me, I got an arm block. I watched the doctor do it. It's not very complicated. They get a set of pliers. He put his foot up against the table and he just yanked those things out. And it was one of the craziest things I've ever witnessed. When you watch something be pulled out of your body like that and you can't feel a thing.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So, after that, you literally go through finger rehab. Like, that's what you do. You put stim on it, all this stuff, you're icing it, all these different things. You're trying to get back the feeling, trying to get back the strength. It seems like it's


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So I, I, I hit it off Marcus Stroud's helmet in 2008 on Monday Night Football with Cleveland versus the Bills. Uh, Stroud was a beast by the way. The whole D-line was a beast.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Well, no, I know. Here's the problem is we found out, cause I thought I stowed, it was so cold in Buffalo. Uhm, I, I didn't get x-rayed till Wednesday night. I went through practice and I was just like, what is wrong with you? I'm like, dude.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] My, my, my middle finger was really swollen, my right index finger was swollen, blood in her nail. And I said, I can't like feel my fingers, like it's really painful, I can't really push, can't throw. Our trainer's like, hey, let's go get x-rays.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And so we went and got x-rays and they called me that night. They're like, Hey, this is not good. Like this is what we're going to try to do to try to hopefully help you play and go forward with it. So I said, that's fine.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But we kind of knew going into the game, like, it was not overly effective. And I, if I had like 90 or whatever yards passing, it literally like half that came on like one floor to Braylon Edwards, I think up the sidelines.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, we had a, a last, we did a two minute drive and Phil Dawson kicked I think a 54, 50 yard or somewhere in there? 56. 56, there you go. All I remember was, man.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] My man, Kellan, he was supposed to run like an 18 to 22 yard crossing. He turned it into a six yard shallow cross. I'm like, this isn't going to work, dude.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think the interesting thing will be, you're going from Brandon Staley, who's a defensive minor head coach. Do they go with another one considering some of the issues they've had defensively?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Because they see a team like the Texans with D'Amico Ryans, where they see whoever you want to touch on. Baltimore Ravens defense has been really good.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I went with Mike McDonald. Or do they go with an offensive mind like Ben Johnson? He's clearly one of the top candidates. There's no doubt about it what he's been able to do with Jerry Goff, in particular over the past two years.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think the hardball one's interesting only because we heard this rumor of like the extension and


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Nothing since then. So you kind of wonder if he's not only preparing to try to win a national championship focused on that, but also behind the scenes, they're like, well, I can drag this out because I don't need to make a decision. And Brandon Staley is still the head coach. So they're not starting their search, but we kind of feel like the running's on the wall there.


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[Assistant] The whole thing is pretty perplexing, but I do think he would be the most interesting outside the NFL of assistance.


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[Assistant] Build up a organization, build up a roster, build up a team and coach and develop, which I think is highly lacking. Like to me right now, if you're looking for the next head coach of a team.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] One of the biggest things that just doesn't happen anymore is development because there's no time for it. If you find a coach who figures out how to develop players.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's only going to make the front office and the general manager look better, and it's only going to help your team in the long run anyway. So I just think that's one of those, uhm, intangibles that Jim Harbraugh brings. He's proven at the NFL level. He's proved at the college level that you're not getting with kind of an unknown guy who's just known for a scheme on one side of the ball.


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[Assistant] Never. And I've heard nothing but fantastic things. Have you been legit?


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[Assistant] Don't look at uh, don't look at Will's search history.


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[Assistant] The NFL has been really aggressive with this international push.


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[Assistant] Trying to grow the game globally from a viewership standpoint, for money, for potential suitors. Is it for expansion?


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[Assistant] Uhm, I mean you'd have to think that we're so far off from being able to create


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Another expansion, a couple of teams, division, I mean, or a competitive league, mind you.