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[Assistant] Yeah, they couldn't get a running game, they couldn't get a passing game, but Mitchell Trubisky, there are serious concerns right now that he will never be the guy that the Bears need to be a perennial playoff contender.


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[Assistant] You threw the ball 54 times. He kinda had one of those, I like to call him the Dan Marino at the end of his career game. Definitely, that's what it was, just garbage time stats. 251 yards, some came late, but it's like if you throw the ball 54 times, you should be in the 300s for a yards pass.


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[Assistant] Throw it to Alan Robinson, which I do think, without Alan Robinson, where would the offense be? They threw to him 16 times, caught 10 of them for 87 yards, then a touchdown. I feel like he's maybe their only weapon. Yea, I think he's their, yes. He's going when he gets some field.


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[Assistant] Third worst yards after contact per rush in the NFL this year David Montgomery.


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[Assistant] But at the same time, like you said, this is Saints D, that is really good. It is really good. You got Cam Jordan.


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[Assistant] Who, if you add up all of his hurries, knockdowns, and sacks, he's got 25, second most in the NFL to Khalil Mack.


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[Assistant] Uhm, who has 27. Right. DeMarcus Davenport, 8 quarterback knockdowns, 1 off the NFL lead. So this is a, if you're struggling and if you're Mitch Trubisky and if you've had a hard time getting a foothold of the NFL game, you're not gonna get right against the same team.


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[Assistant] The elite defenses are showing themselves early this year. The Rams, uh, last year, uh, rode the reputation of having an elite offense, although I think it kind of disappeared at the end of the year, and we haven't seen it so far this year. So if they're gonna make a run,


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[Assistant] This year, it's gonna probably be with a revamped defense. Yes. A defense stepping up. And so,


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[Assistant] We're gonna go with, uh, with a little spotlight on the Rams defense with


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[Assistant] You have, as part of the move, to, you know, you lose the key to leave, and then you trade Marcus Peters, who you had acquired in the offseason in Kansas City, and you gave up quite a bit to get Marcus, and then didn't get total value for him. You trade him away, he gets the pick six for Baltimore in his first game there.


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[Assistant] So overall, where we stand here today is where we were two weeks ago. I mean, you lose a couple defensive backs in Peters and Talib. You gain a really elite one in Ramsey.


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[Assistant] Okay, and here's another quarterback that you spoke highly of.


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[Assistant] Even before he was the starting quarterback of the Indianapolis Colts.


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[Assistant] 326 yards, four touchdowns outperforming, uh, Deshaun Watson, and I thought it was interesting, uh, the Colts offense.


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[Assistant] So you think, we've talked about the Colts, like, oh man, kind of easy to play quarterback on a team that has a great running game, and you've got a great offensive lineman, Marlon Mack, he gives you a lot. I mean, Marlon Mack had 18 rushes for 44 yards. Frank Reich went heavy, Jacoby Berset, first drive, 9 passes, ending with an 11 yard touchdown. They threw the ball a lot. They did.


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[Assistant] First of all, is he in the top five for you now? Has he made it into the top five in the NFL?


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[Assistant] And he seems like he has the same type of Belichick Patriots mindset of if it's working, we're going to keep doing it. It's not like, oh, we've run quite a bit here. We probably should even it out with a little passing. It's not like, oh, we're against the Kansas City. They're not stopping it. We're not going to stop running.


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[Assistant] Needs just 10 more to match what he had last year with 13. I don't think he'll get there, but did you see on that play?


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[Assistant] They have their, uh, all pro guard. Quentin Nelson lined up as a fullback. And ran a route. He ended up in the end zone. He actually ended up probably too close to Eric Ebron on that play. Wait, he...


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[Assistant] He's a good athlete. He really is. He's good. But I missed that. Thanks for bringing that up. Uhm, yeaah. I was looking at him, uh, so that you remember the Colts traded down to get him. Yeaah. So there were three, they traded down to six, cause the Jets went up and got Sam Darnold at three. They got three second round picks for trading down. And they get Quentin Nelson.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, he's on pace to be a Hall of Fame guard. That's how good he is. Before we talk about this next quarterback, let's talk about the guy who, uh, who likes this team, although doesn't necessarily like this quarterback. Oh, I know.


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[Assistant] This is the man. A lot of heat early in the year from, uh, the fans, the media, that Kirk Cousins is the reason this offense was not clicking because Delvin Cook was running wild and it seemed like it should open up some stuff for the passing game and it wasn't up until last couple weeks. Cousins, once again, he was 24, 34, 337 yards.


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[Assistant] Four touchdowns. That was even without Adam Thielen for most of the game. He went out with a hamstring injury. Uh, Kirk Cousins.


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[Assistant] Fondigs was the second fastest ball carrier of week 7 on that 66 yard reception. Was he? So yeaah, you're right. They got talent all over the field offensively. Here's the play action our YouTube audience can see.


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[Assistant] What they did the first four games, play action pass percentage, 27% of the time. Last three games are almost up to 50% of the time. And the success, the yards per attempt. The yards per attempt has gone up. Touchdowns have gone way up.


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[Assistant] 7-0, the TD, the interception ratio, last three games, it was 1-1.


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[Assistant] One more thing on Delvin Cook, too, because running backs are interesting. They, uh, the offensive line have been doing their job. The yards before contact, that's also a stat they keep track of.


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[Assistant] How far you get down the field before you get hit. Alexander Madison, Delvin Cook, both in the top 15. I can believe that. Add that to the fact that Delvin also has the second most yards after contact in the NFL, so he's not facing contact.


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[Assistant] Who do you think is the best yards after contacting the NFL?


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[Assistant] Who's the big bruising back that gets more yards after contact?


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[Assistant] So, so how do you, how do you stop the Vikings now in this current, I mean, they don't have Adam Thielen. He has been ruled out for the Washington game coming up on Thursday. The Vikings have faced the fourth fewest blitzes of any NFL team.


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[Assistant] You know, there's been this whole talk cause Adam Schefter talked about that and Tom Brady is gonna...


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[Assistant] I wrote down, uh, the right tackle, Brian O'Neal, too. So that was a different, different lineman.


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[Assistant] So Neil grew up an Eagles fan. He grew up in Delaware, not too far from Philadelphia. His grandmother still roots for the Eagles.


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[Assistant] Has not been converted to a Vikings fan for Brian O'Neil. What a disloyal grandmother. That's unfortunate.


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[Assistant] They got Packers and Chiefs, at Arrowhead, Sunday Night Football on NBC.


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[Assistant] There's rumors. Don't rule him out yet. I mean, it would be surprising. I think there, I read somewhere where the, uh, Matt Stafford had a similar injury like in 2009, missed four games. Hey, I don't know if there's a, you know, everyone's different. Every injury is different. But if he's out there practicing, it seems unlikely he would play on Sunday. But he wants to give it a go.


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[Assistant] This year was a scout for the Miami Dolphins. There's video of him out there scouting, uh, Kyler Murray, uh, for the Dolphins early in the year. 35 years old.


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[Assistant] Was undrafted out of Oregon State, was out of football, and then Kansas City when, uh, when Ched Henney had a broken ankle in August said, you know, hey, Matt Moore, you still know how to quarterback? Come on back. And he did, and he played this game, and I'm curious what the film said that Andy Reid, who, while maybe not in your top five of offensive, uh,


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[Assistant] After halftime, you go, hey, let's get into halftime. So after halftime, they come out.


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[Assistant] And Andy Reid started, they ran it with LaShawn McCoy. Right. And then five straight plays in a row. Yeaah. They threw it with Matt Moore. Yes they did. So while they didn't need to, they had the lead.


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[Assistant] What do you think of the 57 yard touchdown where he did step up in the pocket quite nicely.


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[Assistant] There's a chance! But if it doesn't happen, it still must see TV. Yes. Sunday Night Football on NBC.


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[Assistant] I did want to do a little more lineman love to the right tackle. Go ahead. Mitchell Schwartz.


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[Assistant] Okay, so your big gripe with the Chiefs is, okay, you got this elite offense, right? On defense, you're letting a slow bleed happen to every other opposing offense. You're just kind of playing back, you're letting them do what they want, you know, five yards of pop, you're giving up a lot of points, it's taking a little while.


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[Assistant] So maybe you don't give them a whole lot of credit for going whole ass against a Broncos team that they really can't do a whole lot of damage maybe, but there's some weapons there with Emmanuel Sanders back when he was a Denver Broncos. Yes, until today. But you think they went, for the first time this year, they went whole ass.


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[Assistant] But even within a half-assed approach. It wasn't like it was working though.


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[Assistant] I know, but you do the, see here's the thing, you do the work, I want that information to get out. I want that information to happen. Thanks. Now it's like you've written it down, it should be set up. Okay, good. I don't want to waste my time. And now it's time for, damn, okay, oh no. Sorry, this is Wednesday, sorry, sorry Monday.


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[Assistant] Man, you look so cute in your purple Kirk Cousins jersey. Very well done today. You look so cute in it, Michael.


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[Assistant] So, alright, I just want to get to it before we move on and get into our picks. We did, I asked, I put out a little, you know, calling out there to the homies, like, what up, homies? What do you think of Mike Florio's jersey? We got some good interaction to go.


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[Assistant] I like this. One of my favorites from John Ellis. Okay. He looks like an eager middle-aged team owner at a wild card weekend pep rally. Like go, go Kirk cousins, go Vikings.


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[Assistant] Your collar shirt is so impressive too underneath.


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[Assistant] I can hear the production room yelling through the walls right now when they just heard you say that. Like everybody is yelling, okay? Yep. That's what I'll do.


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[Assistant] Oh dear God, oh dear God, dear God, dear God, if you've ever listened to me ever in your life, please let the Vikings win the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] All right, but man, you just turned the NBC control room into Vikings fans. I'm just telling you that right now. We're all let's go purple. Here we go. Okay. Let's get into business. Last week you were seven and seven straight up. Not your best showing. I on the other hand was 11 and three.


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[Assistant] Pretty good showing by me. You were, uh, six and eight against the spread. I was eight, four and two against the spread.


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[Assistant] We both went two and one, right, with our best bets. We lost a 49ers game in the Slop Fest, which just stinks, cause, I mean, come on.


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[Assistant] The Rams, we both were all over that. I took New Orleans.


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[Assistant] You took the New England Patriots. So we go two and one there for the season. I have a two game lead on you straight up. You are beating me against the spread by three. Okay. And our best bets. I have a one game lead on you. I'm feeling good about my best bets lately. So I'm just telling everybody, I said it last week. I feel like I'm on a heater.


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[Assistant] And you might want to jump in a little bit, I'm just saying, I'm just saying. I just so you know too, I don't really care about our total record against the spread for the year.


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[Assistant] Now, speaking of kicking your ass, the Redskins at the Vikings on a Thursday night football game. It's prime time. It's Kirk Cousins time. Uh, Vikings are favored by 16 and a half points over and under at 41 and a half. Go ahead and lead it off with your squad, Mike.


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[Assistant] No, I mean, I hear you. And you're right. I mean, they play through Dalvin Cook. You're spot on there. Everything that Kirk Cousins really feeds off of in the pass game comes off of the Dalvin Cook.


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[Assistant] Uh, run game threat. He's been on fire. Uh, I'm with you. I am taking the Vikings, of course. I'm picking 27 to 10 Vikings. I think...


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[Assistant] You know, I'll go with like what you first said. I think the Redskins will hang around early. I think the Redskins have a little bit of the formula to slow down the Vikings early. You know, to what you're talking about, like that team that can stop the Dalvin cook factor, uh, and where does it go from there?


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[Assistant] The Redskins, they had this going for them at least. They have a front four that can be dominant.


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[Assistant] And their defense is better than the statistics show because their offense sucks, so eventually their defense just gets worn down and things like that.


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[Assistant] I think they will be a pain in the ass for the Vikings early, but I don't know if the Redskins offense can ever establish anything really either going on. And I just think eventually the Vikings will kind of slowly wear them down. I could see it being 7-3 and then 10-3 and then 17-3.


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[Assistant] And then, you know, maybe 20 to 10, 20 to s- 20 to 3, and then 20 to 10, and they put them away late, something like that.


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[Assistant] But, uh, we're both on it. I, of course, have the Vikings barely covering, but I think it's dangerous. I'm with you. I think it's in that range of maybe 17, maybe it's only 13, something in there. And I don't think I would bet on this game.


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[Assistant] As I'm telling you that now, you know, it will not be one of my best bets of the week. I can promise you that. All right, let's go to game two.


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[Assistant] The Seahawks at the Falcons. The Falcons get another NFC West team to come into town to whoop their ass in Atlanta. We don't even know the status of Matt Ryan. That's certainly not helping the situation out. Uh, Seahawks favored by five and a half over under at 54. What say you, Florio?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm with you and just about everything you said. I mean, yeah, it's not good for the Falcons that the Seahawks come off a loss that way. They are going to be refocused. They're clearly the better football team.


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[Assistant] You know, avalanche of pressure into Matt Ryan's face or stopping the run game. Now I do want Matt Ryan being healthy does add a little bit of a danger factor. Okay. I'll just say that.


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[Assistant] Because the Seahawks, I do worry, uh, as you know, and that's why they made a trade for a safety this week in Quandre Diggs. I'm worried about their pass defense. I don't think it's special, but I don't know if Atlanta


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[Assistant] But the Falcons defense, nothing special. It's horrible and, uh, their offense is pretty damn bad too. So I'm going Seahawks.


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[Assistant] They're done, and uh, we'll move on for that one, but the Seahawks, this is one of two road favorites in all of week seven here. It's uh, only one of two. The Green Bay Packers are the other one, and we'll get to that later. Alright.


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[Assistant] I think this is the cream of the crop out of the one o'clock games, what we're about to discuss. The Eagles versus the Buffalo Bills. It's a little bit of an underwhelming one o'clock game package this week.


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[Assistant] But I do find this to be the most intriguing matchup of all, the desperate.


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[Assistant] Reeling Philadelphia Eagles going up to Buffalo who won a game last week where they did not play well. And you've heard me say that's always dangerous to me when a team wins and then doesn't play well, you know, the pressure is not on you in the building yet. The pressure is there that


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[Assistant] Oh, we gotta, you know, cross our T's and dot our eyes because that was not acceptable last week. So I always think that's a dangerous formula. The bills favored by two and a half over under at 43 and a half.


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[Assistant] Do you think the Eagles can get on track on the road in Buffalo this week?


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're scary. They're the ultimate backs against the wall type of team.


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[Assistant] They're scary in general though right now. I do not like what I see. Not only on TV, but you know, when I get all Ron Jaworski and go film stuff too.


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[Assistant] You know, the offense is a little predictable. What's there to be scared of? There's no run game. They have a little bit of identity problem where I want to go, what is the Eagles offense? Tell me, because to me it just looks like Carson Wentz, please make some plays for us to help us. But other than Carson Wentz, who do you get scared of on that, that offense defensively?


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[Assistant] Still not up to par. And yeaah, still a banged up group that's not as dominant up front as they've been in years past. And you know, their corner play is, as you saw again last week, it's just not good.


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[Assistant] You know, the Bills, even though I got questions about their offense, I got no questions about their defense. Sean McDermott, for as predictable as Philly has been, I think will be all over this Eagles offense.


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[Assistant] I'm scared of Josh Allen and doing dumb things, even though last week he was positive that he took care of the football. Uh, but I'm taking the Bills to win this. I just can't put my hat or put my, you know, what do I, I can't hang my hat on the Philadelphia Eagles right now. They got to prove it to me before I kind of believe in them once again. So I'm going Bills 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that'll be, that'll be a good one. I mean, I'm excited to watch that as that goes. Uh, I, I expect it to be very close nonetheless, and I could see it going your way or my way. Now let's go to the, uh, we play like crap game. Okay. The Los Angeles Chargers are going to the Chicago Bears. The Chargers, uh, of course,


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[Assistant] You know, lose a heartbreaker last week to the Tennessee Titans. The Bears look like absolute shit against the Saints. There's no other way to say it. They're offense pitiful.


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[Assistant] Chargers all over the place. I don't know what to expect in this one, but the Bears are favored by three and a half over under at 40 and a half. Uh, go ahead, Mike.


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[Assistant] I mean, uh, I agree with you. Whoever loses this game, it will be kind of that final, like,


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[Assistant] That final nail to go, okay, it's official, we're not good, and the season's over. Uhm.


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[Assistant] The Chargers, of course, their offense, it is a little more potent than the Bears. I mean, they do have Philip Rivers in their passing game, so there's something positive there. Their run game has not, you know, come to life at all this season, really. You know, on the other side of the ball,


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[Assistant] The Bears offense, yeaah. I mean, it's pitiful. It's one of the worst in football. There's really no other way to say it. And I talked about the Eagles having no identity. I mean, the Bears really have no identity. I don't know what they're trying to accomplish. Uh, but the Chargers defense is certainly nothing special there. I'm taking the Bears in this.


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[Assistant] I do. I don't think you're gonna see a whole lot of sexy offense or anything like that. But ultimately I'm picking the Bears because I think this is the type of game they can win.


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[Assistant] Because they can steamroll the front of the Chargers offensive line, a little bit like we saw the Steelers do to the Chargers O line.


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[Assistant] To where I think that'll, that'll help them. And then, because of the simplicity of the Chargers defense, they're still not a healthy group. They're not very big in the interior. I think the Bears will be able to muster enough offense to win the football game. And let me just say this too. The Bears. Where's Mitchell Trubisky's run game? Where did that go?


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[Assistant] I mean the best thing he did last year was scramble, and they had some design runs for him every year. Hey listen, if you don't like the guy, or you don't think he's a quality starter, then run his ass!


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[Assistant] Let him get hit. I mean, who cares if he gets hurt apparently if it doesn't matter to you. I just, you know, why did we draft these guys sometimes that are these dual threat quarterbacks and then we never use the other part of the dualness. I don't ever get that.


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[Assistant] So, I'd like to see that instilled into that offense, but I'm going Bears. I don't feel confident about it, but I think it's an ugly win for them at home.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, uh, that's certainly not looking good for either team. All right. Giants, Lions, uh, one o'clock in Detroit.


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[Assistant] We got the Lions favored by seven over under 49. Lions are coming off some tough losses where they not, haven't necessarily played bad. They've just played two teams that are better than them and hot. The Giants on the other hand,


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[Assistant] Are starting to go in the wrong direction. Uhm, so I'm not surprised to see the seven point spread over under 49. Like I said, how do you see it unfolding, Michael?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I think you said a lot of right things. I mean, just, hey, living up here in New York, uh, yeah, I think there's, there's some rumblings about Pa-Pat Schermer from the fan base here in New York.


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[Assistant] He's not winning, you know, the press conferences either. So he's not doing himself any favors with some of that stuff, which I think also hurts them in the public perception, you know, kind of flew under the radar for one of the dumbest coaching decisions of the week last week. And because of the giants and they were playing the Cardinals, we didn't talk about it a lot.


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[Assistant] But they were down by three points with like two minutes and 40 seconds left and had two timeouts. And what was it? Fourth and fifteen?


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[Assistant] And they went for it. Backed up. And then of course that led the Arizona Cardinals to kicking a field goal to go up by six. That made no sense. The Cardinals-


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's ridiculous. Yeah, it's ridiculous. That's right. That's what I mean. He's not winning and doing himself favors there. Um, that was full Tropic Thunder moment right there by Pat Schirmer and company. But ultimately, hey, I don't like that the Lions lost Karrion Johnson. Uh, that does stink, uh, because they do want to run the ball and have some consistency there. But Matthew Stafford has been playing great.


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[Assistant] You know, the receiving core has been good. We saw what Marvin Jones can do last week. TJ Hawkinson's a weapon. The Giants past the event still stinks and


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[Assistant] You know, I think that the Giants offense is not talented enough or diverse enough right now to where I think Matt Patricia will have a beat on things and, and understand what to do. Plus he got to see New England's plan of attack and he'll be able to play off of that from a few weeks ago to go with what he liked and didn't like about their game plan against the Giants.


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[Assistant] I got a similar score. I got the Giants losing by more than you though. I'm going Lions, 34-20. I think this is one of those teams that they match up very well with. I think Matthew Stafford will have a big day and I think they win this one comfortably.


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[Assistant] Very valid point, and you're right, I did not think about that aspect of it, I'm hoping that doesn't filter into the rest of the team, but you're right, when you lose a player like that, it can piss people off in the locker room and be a little bit of a distraction in that way, and that is something to watch out for. Alright, Broncos, Colts.


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[Assistant] Colts favored by five and a half. They're at home coming off there and went against the Texans. Broncos got an extra time after getting shellacked on Thursday night football last week against the Chiefs over under at 42 and a half.


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[Assistant] Interesting game. I think I know who you're gonna pick. Go ahead, Mike.


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[Assistant] Okay, I mean, you're right about the Broncos agree with you. I mean, if they get something like that for Von Miller, I think your point is very real. Uh, you're right. By the time they would be relevant again, he's going to be totally on the decline of his career and towards the end of it. So I think that would be smart. Um, be interesting to see if there is some play for him, you know, down the, down the, this last week.


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[Assistant] The Colts, you're right, they're a little all over the place. I'm very impressed with the Colts offense for the most part.


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[Assistant] I mean, you know, they went through a few games early in the year where, you know, they managed the offense a little bit and Jacoby Berset as he was kind of getting his feet settled underneath him.


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[Assistant] But man, when I watch them on film and all that on a weekly basis, I'm always impressed with the game plan. And you've heard me talk about their game plan, specific plays that they come up with just to screw a defense over all of that. I think the one area, you know, this is Denver. I do think they have pride Vic Fangio in his defense. They didn't play great last week.


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[Assistant] I do think that they're gonna wanna bounce back. I do worry about the Colts defense a little bit.


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[Assistant] There's no one great area to me on that defense. There's a lot of good.


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[Assistant] You know, maybe the linebackers I would say are great when Darius Leonard is healthy and flying around. Uh, so I have it a little closer than you. I would, I'm with you. I think the Colts win this game clearly, but I'm kind of thinking they might be a little asleep at the wheel, like you're saying.


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[Assistant] Uh, and the Broncos defense can maybe give them some problems early, but I'm going to go Colts 24 to 17.


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[Assistant] Clearly the better football team and really ultimately at the end of the day, I just do, I'm with you. I have no faith in the Broncos offense in totality. They might be able to run the ball here and there, but I don't trust Flacco or the game plan. And now no, Emmanuel Sanders, one less got to be worried about. I just don't see it happening. And that's that. Anything else you want to say to that one?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think that's a very good angle, and I'm, I'm, I hear you. I mean, I would, I would make that call too, especially if they deem themselves as...


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[Assistant] Being in the Super Bowl window for maybe the next two to three years, it would make sense to have Yvonne Miller to be a part of that window being open. Okay.


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[Assistant] Jets, Jaguars, I see dead people. Sam Darnold and Adam Gase. Okay, going to the Jaguars. Nick Foles has been practicing. Jaguars are favored by six points. Over, under at 41 and a half. Do you think the Jets bounce back? Florio.


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[Assistant] I'm with you. I think they have enough to beat the Jets as well. Again, to your point, you're right. The Jaguars don't do what the Patriots do, so you're not going to see that similar game plan. Plus, I'd be a little scared to have that game plan this week anyways, because


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[Assistant] I can promise you, you know, probably in a Monday walkthrough, Wednesday practice that


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[Assistant] Blitz pickup and what to do against the Blitz was a main focus by the Jets offense and they're going to have a few tricks up their sleeves in case the Jaguars do want to break that out this week. So you got to be careful, but that's not really what the Jaguars do. They're kind of, they're that Seattle scheme we talk about. This is what we play. This is what we do and deal with it. Uhm, the Jets on the other side, you know, I will say this,


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[Assistant] I think the Jets defense, you know, will give the Jaguars some problems at times here and there, but I do like the Jaguars offense. I mean, it's pretty balanced.


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[Assistant] Whether it's Minshew or Foles, they can hurt you in the past game. Now they can hurt you more with Foles. Uh, and I, I'm going to be interested to see if they dangle him out there and put him out there this week or if they're just giving him a week of practice before he comes back next week.


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[Assistant] I have the Jaguar scoring 24 points just like you.


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[Assistant] I just think the Jets will score a few more than what you think.


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[Assistant] Because of the embarrassment of Monday night, Sam Darnold being a little more on his P's and Q's and all over the game plan and Adam Gase wanted to silence some of the critics from last week. I got the Jaguars winning 24 to 20. Clearly the better team, clearly control the game, but I think the Jets kind of hang around or are a pain in their ass for the most of the day.


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[Assistant] Yeah, don't worry. Don't, don't switch to the jets. I wouldn't, I wouldn't advise that to you as a, as your friend. Okay. You know where we're going to next.


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[Assistant] We're going to London! You sound like y'all from London! You sound like y'all from London! Bangles, Bangles, Rams. Rams favored by 13 in London. Over, under 48 and a half. It's the Sean McVay.


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[Assistant] Versace Taylor Bowl. They know each other so well they could be inside each other's brains. Who wins this one? Florian.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uhm, uh, I mean, I'm with you. Come on, let's not spend a lot of time here. You're right. The wankers suck, okay? There's nothing else to say. They're horrible. I'm really, you know, especially the offensive side of the ball. I'm looking up what the word means. What does it mean? Go ahead.


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[Assistant] I just worry about like the Rams going over to London and like enjoying London too much. London is one of these like weird places where the games never quite seem to unfold the way you expect them to be.


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[Assistant] Now I'm hoping the rams are staying focused here and all that, but


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[Assistant] You know, we've heard plenty of stories of teams going over there and I know guys can't control themselves because they're like, I've never been here before. And then they act like stupid wankers and then they're tired for the game. Okay. All right. But I'm, I'm with you. I'm going Rams 38 to 17. I think they dominate clearly.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yup. I think we're gonna be, uh, I think I might break that out on Monday. I don't think you can stop me now. Alright, Cardinal Saints.


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[Assistant] Cardinals kind of winning some football games, although it's against some really bad football teams, at least they're winning. The saints are on fire. They're favored by 10 and a half at home. Breeze, Bridgewater, Bridgewater, Breeze, extra thumb exercises are going on this week. Oh my gosh. It's an exercise. Thumb mania, New Orleans.


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[Assistant] Uh, over and under at 48 and a half. How do you see it unfolding, Mike?


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, I mean, I'm with you as well. Uh, go ahead. Let me hear your score. What are they going to win? But how big are they going to win?


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[Assistant] 31-13, if I didn't already say it, and there's a chance I didn't already say it. 31-13. Okay, alright, so you did say it. I did say it. So, uh, either way...


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[Assistant] Uh, I'm with you. This is the toughest environment the Cardinals have had to play against. This is the best team the Cardinals had to play against. You know, on the road, Saints defense dominant as we're seeing, uh, on a weekly basis right now.


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[Assistant] I think they're going to pose a lot of problems for the Cliff Kingsbury, Kyler Murray offense. And then really ultimately is the other side of the ball that I'm really worried about. You know, the Cardinals defense is not good and they're not good in run defense or pass defense. So that's an issue.


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[Assistant] And the Saints, they're, they're going to run the ball. We know that. And I think this is the kind of game that yes, Sean Payton will dial up a few in the lab play action passes to screw them over off of that.


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[Assistant] Uh, I have a very similar score to you. I'm 31 to 16, so I gave the, I gave the Cardinals an extra field goal late in the game. But clearly seeing the Saints dominate either way with Bridgewater or Breeze doesn't matter. I honestly think they dominate more


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[Assistant] If Bridgewater plays, and that's not a slap in the face or disrespect to Jurbreeze. I'm just saying he hasn't played in a while. I could see him like, you know, knocking some rust off early.


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[Assistant] To where, if it was Bridgewater and the Saints and all that, I feel like that's kind of a well-oiled machine right now. And I understand Breeze gives them a much greater chance as the scenes move on. I'm just talking about right now as it pertains to this Sunday. But clearly, like the Saints, we're both on, uh, on par there together. Alright, last game of the one o' clocks.


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[Assistant] The Buccaneers, the Saints, Mariota vs. Winston, Titans, oh wait, uh, yes.


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[Assistant] Mariotta vs. Oh wait, no, it's Tannenhill vs. James Winston. Titans favored by two and a half. At home in Tennessee, over under 45 and a half. Buccaneers coming off the bye week from their London loss to the Carolina Panthers.


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[Assistant] Marcus Mariota has been playing Jameis Winston on the scout team. I'm sure he's enjoying that this week, right? Uh, but go ahead, Mike, what do you think goes down in this one?


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[Assistant] It is a dangerous one. It's a tough one to pick. Certainly.


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[Assistant] Uh, I guess I worry the Titans defense is good. I think that's the first thing I want to say, but we know the Tampa Bay offense can be dangerous and they can move the ball. And if you play too much man to man on them, Jamis Winston and Bruce Arians and Byron Lefvitch,


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[Assistant] They'll find ways to make big plays down the field with Mike Evans and company. So that's a very real thing and Chris Godwin, who's of course been extremely good this year as well. I do like


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[Assistant] What I've seen from the Titans though with Ryan Tannehill at quarterback. You know, I said that all week. Uh, I, I thought just from what I saw last week against the Chargers, the quarterback play was improved. Uh, the Titans are at home and,


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[Assistant] The Titans, even though, you know, not a great, great offense, and I don't know exactly what they're always trying to get accomplished on that side of the ball too, they at least will stay patient with the run game. You know, their pass game.


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[Assistant] You know, pretty, it's somewhat creative and it's a Buccaneers defense that's still not very good. And ultimately I'm going with the Titans at home because I think that Tannenhill will give them enough advantage to make


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[Assistant] Make plays against that Buccaneers not so good pass defense. And I think Vrabel and DMPs will come up with enough creative defenses to give Jameis Winston and company a trouble. Uh, I go 27-20 Titans, but I do think it's dangerous like you. It's, it's not, it's not an easy one.


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[Assistant] Yep. I gotcha. I'm with you. Okay. Panthers 49ers. This is another one under the radar. Really good game.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know what, I gotta read. I gotta read. I gotta do this. I'm sorry to go to Carolina. Ah, don't worry about it.


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[Assistant] If you're a highly paid NFL quarterback going through some midseason struggles, do I have the podcast for you?


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[Assistant] Download it now, cause Floreo loves the cousins and the Minnesota Vikings. But really, no, your podcast is cool and you deep dive into a lot of different subjects. You're all over the NFL. While being an asshole, you do it somewhat charismatically. It's an amazing combination. I don't know how you do it. Thank you. Uh, but onto the Panthers and Saints now.


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[Assistant] I mean, I am excited about this one. 49ers, Slopfest, Redskins, Panthers, extra time off because they had the London game against the Buccaneers. Panthers at 49ers. 49ers are the second best team in football. We both agree with that. They are favored by five and a half over under at 42. How do you see it shaking down there, Michael?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've made a promise to myself that I will not be picking against the 49ers really for the rest of the year. Now I don't know if that'll hold up true, but I'm certainly not going to start this week. Okay. This is the best team the Carolina Panthers have had a play. This is definitely the best defense that, uh, that, that Kyle Allen has had to go against, uh, in his short career to this point. And this defense is for real, like you're saying.


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[Assistant] And they have the front four to, you know, allow themselves to be conservative in the back end if they want to because they can let their front four just do its thing. Hey, front four, stop the run. We're not going to load the box, do things like that. Tremendous team speed.


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[Assistant] Have linebackers I think that can at least slow down the Christian McCaffrey, uh, attack there.


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[Assistant] And on the other side of the ball, I respect this Carolina Panthers defense a whole lot.


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[Assistant] Now, uh, I, uh, but, but the, the 49ers offense, I think is, is, is pretty damn special. I do, and it starts with their run game, and if there's one little weakness to the Panthers, it is their run defense. And I don't like that aspect of it. I think that'll really be the key to the game more or not.


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[Assistant] Can the Panthers just slow down the run game of the 49ers enough to where they're gonna have to make Jimmy Garoppolo beat them with their pass game and do all that? We've yet to see that.


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[Assistant] And as much as I like this Panthers defense, I'm gonna say no, that they can't slow it down to the point where they're gonna make the 49ers and Garoppolo beat them. You know, I don't, I don't think the 49ers are gonna run for 200 yards or anything like that.


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[Assistant] But I think it's gonna be effective enough that it's gonna keep the Carolina Panthers off balance. And because of that, in the 49ers day, I'm gonna go 49ers 23 to 13 at home. You know, one of those where...


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[Assistant] It might be 16-13 with 8 minutes left in the game and the 49ers go down and score a game winning touchdown or it's 20-13 and they kick a late field goal to kind of put it away. I kind of envision it being, uh, that overall, but I do like the 49ers and I think they go to 7-0.


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[Assistant] Yes, this would up my level of confidence in them to a degree where it has not been all year and just would further my, my, you know, belief that as much as I love Cam Newton, that you stick with Kyle Allen while you ride this wave out. You just can't. If they go into San Francisco this week and pull off a win and Kyle Allen plays,


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[Assistant] You know, if I'm Ron Rivera, I'm not messing with the formula right now and everything that's going on there. And the Panthers...


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[Assistant] They got a lot of things to like about their football team. They really do. I just think they're playing a team, uh, this week that's just a little bit better than really well coached and, and again, a post some problems for them. All right, Johnny Gruden, he'd go into Houston to see Deshaun Watson.


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[Assistant] Who he is, uh, self-said that is the greatest human on the planet, Deshaun Watson. And if you don't like him, you're crazy. Texans coming off the loss against the Colts. Raiders had the bye week, uhm, or no, not the bye week, excuse me, got their butts whooped against the Green Bay Packers in the Derek Carr fumble game.


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[Assistant] Texan's favored by six and a half. At home. Okay? What do you think's gonna go on here?


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[Assistant] Uhm, he has done some good things this year. He's done a pretty good job, for the most part, taking care of the ball, other than last week, which was, you know, some really stupid moments, definitely.


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[Assistant] I, I, I like the formula the Raiders have on the offensive side of the ball. You know, we've talked about it a lot. They're going to run the ball. They want to keep running with Josh Jacobs, who's showing himself to be pretty special. Now the Texans have a great run defense. They do. Um, but John Gruden, I think will stay patient enough. And I think they're good enough upfront to where


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[Assistant] They can run the ball well enough on the Houston Texans to where they have to go. Ooh.


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[Assistant] You know, we got to compromise some of our pass coverage to stop this run game. And then I don't love the Texans pass defense, as you've heard me say, and we saw that again last week with Jacoby Percet kind of tearing them up.


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[Assistant] So that, that bothers me a little. Uh, now the other side of the ball with Houston, you know, the Raiders defense is not good. Houston can run the ball. They will stay patient enough to stay balanced that way. And I know I said this to you on PFT live today. You know, these are the kind of games just like we saw Aaron Rodgers last week against the Raiders defense.


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[Assistant] I think Deshaun Watson can just physically take over this game in the moments that are tough. I do. I just don't think the Raiders have enough talent, just sheer raw talent and especially not up front.


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[Assistant] To contain a guy like the Sean Watson to where even if the Texans aren't playing their best football on a day like Sunday, he's going to be good enough and too great for them to overcome. I think this game's close. I'm going 31-28.


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[Assistant] Texans, but I think ultimately I'm going with the Deshaun Watson. He makes enough magic happen and makes enough plays to DeAndre Hopkins and Kenny Stills to get them over the hump.


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[Assistant] I don't care, I just want the team that I picked to win, win first. The only ones I care about the damn spread, and that's why I was saying that, I don't give a damn about my record against the spread, because a lot of these games I would not ever bet or pick against the spread, because a lot of these games that I don't bet on, I think come down to luck more times than not.


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[Assistant] Or a guy being injured. Things that you can't quantify in figuring out these games. So, I just want to beat your ass, like I said, in the straight up and the bets department. That's all I'm going for. And uhm, we're both on the Texans and a close one there. Now,


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[Assistant] No, and to your point, here's the schedule. I mean, you got the Patriots this week and then they got at the Broncos, the Bills, which will be tough, but then Steelers, Dolphins, Steelers, Bengals, Cardinals.


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[Assistant] Then Ravens and Bangos. So you're right. There is still a chance for them to make a late season run where they can win maybe.


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[Assistant] 8 out of their last 10 or something like that. I mean that, that is very real a possibility. There's certainly nothing daunting on that schedule and


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[Assistant] They've already beat the Ravens and I think we all sit here and go, yeah, the Bills are six and one, but we know they kind of play an ugly style of football where they barely win against whoever they play to where they could win that game too. So it's not over. I'm certainly not picking the Browns to win this game this week. I mean, I'm not that


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[Assistant] Okay? It's New England. I get that. They're the best team in the game. I do think...


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[Assistant] Cleveland poses some problems for New England. Okay, just as least as their defense is the best offense the Patriots will play so far this year. Just because, hey, we know Cleveland can run the ball with Nick Chubb and they got some guys on the outside where the Patriots will have to rethink about how they want to cover starting with Odell Beckham Jr. and what they want to do there. So,


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[Assistant] That poses some problems. I also think the Browns, you know, talented, yes, and this is one of those games I look at a little bit like the Ravens or the Rams, where I'm gonna go, they're gonna be shit scared of being embarrassed, so they're gonna be on their Ps and Qs for this one.


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[Assistant] I think the Patriots win, but I think the Browns hang around and make it interesting for a little while. I'm only going Patriots 24 to 16 on this one. Uh, I think they get the win, but, uh, they're annoyed by the Browns consistently through the day.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, so, uh, Packers Chiefs, Sunday Night Football Showdown, we're pumped, you know, I'm pumped, regardless, it's Aaron Rodgers against a team that's good in the AFC. Of course, I want to see Patrick Mahomes play.


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[Assistant] I think there's maybe a 10% chance that happens, at least with him going out there a little for practice, but I still think at the end of the day, we will see Matt Moore. Packers, we know we're on fire right now.


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[Assistant] Their defense is reeling. I worry about their defense. I know you've heard me say that a little bit over the last few weeks. And the Chiefs, I think, listened to us a little bit last week.


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[Assistant] After that first drive, the Chiefs stopped this slow death football, or the slow death defense. They blitzed a tremendous amount.


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[Assistant] And did things that I have not seen them do all year on the defensive side of the ball, which I think was encouraging. You can't have a quick strike off, quick strike offense and a slow death defense. That doesn't make sense. And it doesn't make a cohesive, complimentary football team that way.


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[Assistant] The Chief's new formula on defense does scare me. It creates a little advantage because, like, the Packers are gonna go, wait, we've only seen one game of this. Like, what else can we expect here as they continue to play this style as far as if Steve Spagnola continues this creativity, blitz packages, things like that. I'd be interested.


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[Assistant] I do worry about the Packers defense, like you said.


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[Assistant] I think ultimately, even if Mahomes is playing, I think I would pick the Packers to win a really close one. I'm picking it as of right now where he's not playing, and I'm going to take the Packers 31 to 21 on the road against the Matt Moore Chiefs. Now if Patrick Mahomes plays,


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[Assistant] I would like to change my score to like 31-28, 31-30. I think it'll be that type of football game. Almost like whoever has the ball last out of these two QBs, they're going to pull the magic show.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know, this is one where, again, like I talked about last week, with not a great pass rush and great upfront,


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[Assistant] And a healthy Aaron Rodgers, these are the kind of defenses he can take over single-handedly in. And like you said, he's kind of on fire right now. And I would worry about that if I'm the chief. So I got the 10 point victory for now, but we'll see how it goes with my homes. All right. Here's the thing. Yeah, sorry.


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[Assistant] Alright, alright. Dolphins, Steelers, Monday Night Football. Dolphins on the road in Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh coming off the bye week. Steelers 14 and a half point favorites over under at 43. Uhm, I know we're both picking the Steelers. How much do you have them winning by?


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[Assistant] He's the guy. Okay, so you got Mason Rudolph, uh,


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[Assistant] You know, the Dolphins defense is like game plan wise, they can be a little annoying. They're not going to like totally be horrible. We've seen, you know, against the Redskins last week against the Buffalo Bills.


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[Assistant] They're, they're somewhat well coached. They're just not that talented right now. Now the offense is pitiful and that's where I worry about them. I think the Dolphins kind of hang around for a little while.


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[Assistant] And make it like somewhat of a game for maybe three quarters, but eventually the Patriots wear, I mean the Steelers wear them out. I just think the Steelers defense is going to be too much for the Dolphins offense. They will just overwhelm them. I think upfront in the run game and pass protection.


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[Assistant] Maybe cause some turnovers that way. I'm going Steelers 21 to 13. So I got the Dolphins covering, but kind of an ugly, unimpressive cover is kind of how I look at it.


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[Assistant] Okay, so let's move on now to best bets time, where I really wanna kick Mike Florio's ass.


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[Assistant] Okay, I got four games that I'm want to do best bets with here. So this is the, this is actually tough. I got to cancel them out. I've starred four games that make sense to me. Um, but let's get into it. We'll pick all three. I'll give, I'll tell you who my fourth is. I left out, but, uh, go ahead, Mike lead it off. What's your first best bet of the, of the week?


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay. I mean, I'm gonna pick that too. Uh, I'm going in the Rams as well. I-I-I-I'm with you. I'm uh, you know, there-there's...


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[Assistant] And maybe Zach Taylor's familiarity.


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[Assistant] With the Rams a little bit, but ultimately, I think all the points you made are right. The Rams are just more talented. They're better coached. I think they realize that there's not a lot of more room for error for them in the NFC. They'll be a very focused unit. And yeah, I'm picking them 38-17. So okay, we both got that. Now go to bet number two, Michael Floria.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, screw you or not. So thank you. Wish another time. Go rub another genie's bottle, alright? Let's go. Keep it going.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, damn, you're going strong. I didn't have the guts to go that one. My second bet will be the New Orleans Saints. The New Orleans Saints, yes, favored by 10 and a half. I'm riding that wave. I am. Their defense is phenomenal.


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[Assistant] You know, the Arizona Cardinals, yeah, they've won three in a row, but it's, it's not against teams that are even in the same atmosphere, the same stratosphere as the New Orleans Saints who will be at home.


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[Assistant] Kyle Murray and Cliff Kingsbury have yet to be in an environment like this, like you said earlier. That's very real.


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[Assistant] Cardinals defense not good enough to stop the very well balanced.


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[Assistant] Offensive attack of Sean Payton, Teddy Bridgewater, Breeze. It just doesn't matter. I think the Saints are playing phenomenal football. And I'm going with them to be my second best. I got them 31-16, so that's a 15 point victory. Uh, and I just like the way they're playing. So there's my, my second one. Go to your third one, Floria.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, that's my third bet as well. I agree. I'm going Seahawks too. 35-21 is how I see it playing out. Uh, it could be worse than that if Matt Ryan's not in the football game. So, uh, yeah, this one did not make sense to me. Uh, so I get it.


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[Assistant] Uh, I, I just think the Seahawks are clearly the better team, gonna be motivated, the Falcons are going in the wrong direction, and realize the inevitability that there's gonna be a whole new staff there next year. Alright, so, the three bets. Florio's got the Patriots.


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[Assistant] Florio's got the Rams. Florio's got the Seahawks. Sim's got the Saints. Sim's got the Rams. Sim's got the Seahawks. Okay, there's our three. I like it. You know, we're similar. I'm rooting for Cleveland just to keep that close so you don't win that. Uh,


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[Assistant] I'll say this. Who was your fourth one? You had a fourth one. My fourth one was the Lions. I think the Lions will win by more than seven points against the New York Giants. But because of the Quandre digs thing,


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[Assistant] And because the Lions, I just don't trust them 100%. I don't like betting on bad teams or even mediocre teams. And I don't think they're a middle class team. I don't think they're mediocre. They're, they're like upper middle class, the Detroit Lions.


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[Assistant] I guess that's just scaring me a little bit why I didn't make them the other three. I have full confidence in the Rams, Satans, and Seahawks that they'll be the teams I expect them to be.


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[Assistant] Well, that's why you don't pick them then, because if you're scared if they're gonna lose, then that's, that's good by you. Uhm, okay, let's, let's, everybody out there, let's root for me to continue to kick Florio's ass. I know that's what everybody wants. Mike, you the man. You're not kicking my ass by much. I know, but I'm just- I mean, you had one good week. I'm kicking your ass right now!


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[Assistant] But I can't wait to see you Sunday so I can really kick your ass in person and punch you and grab you and do all the things I like to do.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Simms Unbuttoned Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] Yes, right. Review. You know it. Joint P F T P M. Chris Sims on button, please. Uh, again, we are not expert gamblers, but we follow the league as close as anybody there is in the business and take our advice. Listen to things we say. Not that we are always right with our bets in our picks, but I do think we can add knowledge to the listener.


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[Assistant] Uh, the viewer, whatever, which way you digest this podcast, because we will bring up some interesting facts about certain matchups and, uh, why we see it that way. And, you know, sometimes I listened to my, my, I listened back to the pod every now and then, or I go on Pia, you know, pro football talk and I see our little thing about the breakdown of the games and I go,


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[Assistant] Man, like my pick didn't match up to what I said in the breakdown of the game. Like I should have picked the other team. So, uh, I'm, I'm relying on a listener to use their knowledge of what we're saying and make sense of it. Um, okay. Last week,


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[Assistant] You were nine and seven. I was 13 and three. We disagreed on games and I just swept, swept that


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[Assistant] I took the Titans. Cry me a river. Justin Timberlake. Okay. We don't want to hear it. I'm not Jessica Beale. You can't make up for your mistakes that you've made recently, like flirting with other women. Um, that's another topic. All right. Wait a minute. You're not talking


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[Assistant] You didn't know that? I'm all, I'm all football all the time. Apparently you're not. Yeah, no. Sometimes I actually do just look at the world for a second. And, uh, yeah, he, Justin Timberlake was holding hands with some girl and she was touching him on his leg. He's married to Jessica Biel. That's where that came from.


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[Assistant] Alright, Joe Buck, it's good to know your second favorite website's TMZ.com. No, it's, it's not that either. It's actually Yahoo! That's where I usually get that kind of stuff from when I just want to kind of catch up on an overall world perspective. But I was 13-3, you were 9-7.


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[Assistant] I lost Seattle as well, and Houston. I mean, I got drubbed in Houston. And you see that? Look at that little Christmas ornament. Somebody tweeted this into us yesterday.


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[Assistant] It is a Christmas ornament, and he actually has it hanging on his Christmas tree, which I am like, look at that. I mean, I really am like,


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[Assistant] Absolutely, absolutely honored at the official BrideW to do that, to have that. I don't know who made that Christmas ornament. I'm sure whatever company did has lost money, but either way, that is really cool and I appreciate them putting me on their Christmas tree during the holidays.


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[Assistant] Always care about it. I've been very transparent about that all year, and we need to get an updated picture of Mike Florio on there. I mean, just come on. What is that? 12 years ago?


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[Assistant] Holy cow, and can, you know, I mean, can somebody make a Christmas ornament of you? I'd like to see that. Uhm, okay, you ready? You ready to do this?


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[Assistant] I'm ready. Alright, Thursday Night Football, last one of the year, Jets, Ravens. Jets got a pretty good run defense. Ravens, Lamar Jackson beat up Mike. Uhm, how much are you gonna pick the Ravens to win this game by?


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, I, I, I can't say I disagree with the spread much.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I hear you on the Lamar Jackson thing. I do that. That's somewhat of a worry there.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think the Ravens enjoy stomping whoever it is into the turf, no matter what the, uh, the moment of the game or the whoever the team is, they're playing any of that. I guess my big thing here is


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[Assistant] You know, the Jets defense, a lot of talk about, oh, it's, you know, the second best run defense in all of football, or maybe it's the best, but either way, it's right up there.


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[Assistant] You know, the thing I posed you today on our PFT show this morning was, yeah, the Jets, the run defense is really good.


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[Assistant] So that scares me for the Jets. And then the Jets offense. Listen.


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[Assistant] It's just not that good. I mean, there's a reason they are the 31st offense in football.


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[Assistant] I know, I know they've played some good defenses. Uhm, when they, other than the Cowboys, you know, though they've really kind of feasted on the poor as far as their offense is concerned. They, they rack up points and numbers against bad defenses. And then when it's a good defense, they don't show up. Uhm,


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[Assistant] I think the Ravens handle this one. Like, I think they're gonna win. I put, I'm going 27 to 6. I just don't think, it might not be pretty and sexy and an air show and everything like that, but I think they're just gonna slowly beat the Jets into the ground.


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[Assistant] And uh, that's where I, that's where I come up with that score. But either way, I will be tuned in and watching. Anything else you want to say to that before we move on?


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[Assistant] We'll see. All right. Seahawks, Panthers, Seahawks going across country Carolina. 1 p.m. Eastern time zone start. Always tough on the West Coast team. Seahawks coming off of.


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[Assistant] What I would say was their worst performance of the year, uh, on Sunday Night Football last week. That was not pretty. Panthers are, of course, in shambles at this point. Seahawks favored by six over under at 48 and a half. Mike, lead us off.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I see the game very similar to you that way. I do. I think that the Panthers hang around and are a pain in the butt for a little while just because


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[Assistant] The Seahawks pass defense is concerning and you know, the Panthers do have some weapons on the offensive side of the ball. I mean, DJ Morris, he's coming up as one of the best receivers in the game, you know, and you said McCaffrey is a handful there too. He'll be a handful I think in the pass game this week to go along with it.


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[Assistant] You know, the Panthers defense, certainly nothing to write home about either. And they're not good against the run. And when you're playing a team like the Seahawks, they want to run the ball first.


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[Assistant] And I think they will have enough success to where it's going to compromise the Carolina's defense the rest of the way. So I'm with you. Very similar score. I'm going 30 to 21 Seahawks. Don't think they blow them out, but I think it's a game they kind of control.


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[Assistant] From start to end, where Carolina kinda just makes it somewhat fun to watch for a little while, but eventually the Seahawks pull away and get the victory. Uhm, alright, let's move on to the next one.


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[Assistant] We got Patriots, Spygate 2, Scandal. They're favored by nine and a half at Cincinnati. Bengals, uhm, coming off their, was that last week when they got their first win? I can't even remember what the hell. No, no, that was two weeks ago. Sorry. Yes. They lost to the Browns. That's right. Uhm, over under at 40 and a half.


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[Assistant] Uh, Patriots coming off that loss against the Kansas City Chiefs where they did get screwed over by the referees as well.


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[Assistant] Mike, do you think there is any possibility the Bengals can stay within 9.5 points?


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[Assistant] Wow, 34 to 13. I'm actually surprised to hear you go that strong. I am. Uhm.


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[Assistant] Agree with you that the Pats dominate this game. I still don't know if the Pats can just


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[Assistant] Their offense can dominate any defense to the way which you're explaining there. So that's where I question. Uhm, you know,


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[Assistant] I think the Pats defense will be dominant against the Bengals. You know, there are some weapons there to where, hey, I mean, if the Pats play too much man to man,


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[Assistant] Joe Mixon out of the backfield. Uh, you know, the receiving core for the Bengals is not bad to where they might be able to make a few plays. But ultimately, yeah, I think the Patriots are gonna dominate this football game. I just think it's gonna be a different way of dominating. I'm going 23 to 9.


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[Assistant] You know, again, I just got to see the pass offense kind of click before I can say they get into thirties or anything like that. And the other thing I'll say about, you know, the bangles, their past events is not horrible and they do have some good corner play.


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[Assistant] So where they can make things interesting that way, but, uh, not interesting. I mean, just being kind of a thorn in their side, but we see it the same way. You're going to blow out and that might be one of your best bets is, uh, what I'm starting to see there. Uh, there's a chance that that may happen. Yup. I get it. I do get it. Um, okay.


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[Assistant] Let's go on to Bucks Lions. Bucks on fire lately, won four to their last five, uh, going to Detroit, who's kind of going the other direction. I mean, they're playing their third, third string quarterback. It's not easy. Buccaneers favored by three and a half without Mike Evans, I might add.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think you kind of said it all right there. Um, it does hurt that they have, you know, Mike Evans definitely takes away an explosive element of their team. But, uh, I mean, hey, it's Chris Godwin's at a thousand yards. I mean, you know, I got to look at this. I mean, the last time I checked, they were the number two and number three in yards and football.


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[Assistant] Godwin at 1212 yards, Mike Evans at 1157 yards. Uh, so he obviously is a big part of their offense, but, uh, I'm with you. I think the bucks still have enough firepower to win this football game and that the Lions have checked it checked in. Plus the Lions on defense.


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[Assistant] You know, there's just not enough talent, difference makers. Uh, I do think they play too much man-to-man and I don't think that bodes well against a team like Bruce Arians and Byron Lefitch who are aggressive throwing the ball down the field. I'll say this much. I'm picking the Bucks to win 34-21 if Jamis Winston plays.


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[Assistant] If he doesn't play, I'm going to say 27-21. All right. Not that that matters. They cover the spread either way, but that's kind of just how I see it. I think James Winston is worth at least a touchdown in this game if he is playing.


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[Assistant] His good is, is absurdly great, actually. It really, it's that good. But his bad is absurdly bad. And, uh, he's, there's just no middle ground with the guy.


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[Assistant] I agree there, totally. I mean, yeaah, you know, I've been advocating for like a two year deal that they could get out of after one year if they wanted to, uh, to where it wouldn't be much of a penalty on the salary cap that second year, you know, something


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[Assistant] Kind of different than what the Jaguars did with Blake Bortles is what I'm saying. A little more safe on the second year end of it to where money doesn't get wasted in your bottom line for the salary cap.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I hear you there and the transition tag I think would be something they do think about. All right. Hey, let's go to one of the under the radar games of the day, in my opinion. Bears and Packers. Not a lot of people talking about this one.


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[Assistant] Bears have a little mojo going extra days because they played on Thursday night. The Packers still winning football games, although they might not be that impressive. They're favored by four and a half at home on over under at 40 and a half Mike.


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[Assistant] Uhm, do you think there's any way that the Bears can go into Green Bay and pull off an upset?


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[Assistant] Yeah, this is, uh, this is a dangerous game for Green Bay. There's no doubt about that. And L. Aaron Rodgers is always scary. That's, that's a guy where


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[Assistant] Even if you like the Bears, you go, oh, well, it's him and he might, he's worth three or four plays that maybe other quarterbacks can't make to get them over the hump to win a football game like that.


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[Assistant] I do think the bear's offense has found its mojo.


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[Assistant] I do. I just like the play calling flow of what I've seen from Matt Nagy, uh, and without getting too technical there, just tying plays together.


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[Assistant] Uh, and, you know, again, I go back to the Green Bay thing, like,


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[Assistant] Who is Green Bay really beat this year? That's like one of the big questions I posed. You know, really, their first two wins of the year might be their best wins of the year. You know, I know we thought beating Dallas was a big deal, but no, it wasn't. We were seeing. And then, you know, you know, when they play teams with elite units, they struggle.


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[Assistant] And I do worry about them in this matchup. This Bears defense is still legit. It's one of the best in football as we saw again last Thursday night. I mean that that score and what they did was way better than the bottom line. The Cowboys got a ton of bullshit yards at the end of the game and bullshit points when the game was over.


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[Assistant] I mean, what was that game at one point? 31 to 9, am I right? Somewhere in there, right? So.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I know you love that. But, uh, yeah, I am. I'm gonna go with the Bears defense, slowing down the Packers who have not been able to put teams away. I just don't think they have enough firepower.


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[Assistant] And I don't trust the Packers defense. I think the Bears kind of got their mojo going. I'm going to go with them in the upset and really throwing a loop into all the NFC standings and everything like that.


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[Assistant] That's true. You do have your sources. You, uh, you're right. I don't, I don't know that. Uhm, okay. Another good one here. Uhm, but for the restraining order, I would be testing. Yeah, that's the only thing stopping you there. Uhm, alright, let's get back to it here. Broncos Chiefs.


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[Assistant] Broncos defense reel. Looking good with Drew Lockett quarterback. Going to Kansas City. Mahomes and company coming off the big win.


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[Assistant] Chiefs favored by nine and a half. I was a little surprised to see that high of a spread over under at forty six and a half, Mike. Uhm, do you think there's any way the Broncos can pull this off?


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[Assistant] I'm not far off from you in a score there. Uhm, the Broncos, as we've talked about during the week, I really like some of the things that's going on with that team.


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[Assistant] Like they have a bright future. The defense is good. It's not going anywhere. Let's not forget.


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[Assistant] You know, arguably their best player on their team is not playing this year in Bradley Chubb. He'll be back next year. You know, how can you not be excited about Philip Blinsey, Drew Locke, Noah Fant, Cortland's son Sutlin, you know, Tim Patrick and Deshaun Hamilton, man.


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[Assistant] You got a bunch of guys there that are no, no farther past their second year in the NFL. So there's a little young core there to be really excited about.


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[Assistant] My big thing is, I like what the Chiefs have been doing on the defensive side of the ball. I know I've said it a lot lately, but that's my big thing there.


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[Assistant] I do think that, you know, Patrick Mahomes and company, uh, will be able to move the ball just enough against this Broncos defense, make plays that way. You know, I think the, I really, after watching the chief's Patriots film last week,


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[Assistant] Patrick Mahomes played one of his worst games of the year last week. You know, there was some throws and other plays to be had there where


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[Assistant] I feel like Mahomes kinda played chicken in the game, for lack of a better way to say it, where he was a little bit like,


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[Assistant] Oh gosh, we're up 23 to 7. Oh, get the ball. Here, catch it. I'm afraid to make a throw down the field. Even some of the completions he made down the field were not great throws because I felt like he was a little careful and I know he had his banged up hand, but I'm going 27-17.


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[Assistant] Chiefs win this game. I do like the Chiefs defense. Spagnolo is creative, and I just don't think that the Broncos are quite ready for this type of matchup quite yet.


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[Assistant] Yeah, there's no doubt. I mean, the Broncos are one of those teams to watch out for here because it's a player here and a player there and they could become a very special football team. Okay, here we go.


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[Assistant] We don't really know the quarterback situation. It's looking like Daniel Jones is gonna start, right Mike? No, no.


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[Assistant] Well, I disagree. If Daniel Jones can play, you got to play him. He's still got things to work on. You want to send him in the off season with a positive note too. And listen, I just don't give a damn about Eli anymore. That was great the other night. All that. Did you watch the second half? Man, that was pitiful. I don't know what else to say.


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[Assistant] Yeah, because he couldn't complete a pass or do anything. I mean, it was 30 yards in the second half. I know he's getting paid. He got paid a million dollars a year for each yard. He did in that game. Great. I mean, a million dollars a yard in the second half. Um, so I, yeah, I don't care. I'm making 30 million this year. Oh, I know he's making less than that. Okay. Dolphins giants. What was your score?


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[Assistant] 2117 Giants. 2117 Giants. I'm going to go with the Dolphins. They are still fighting.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think that the Dolphins defense is formidable. I don't think they're gonna let the Giants throw a slant route and just a straight go route and be stupid like the Eagles did. The Eagles finally adjusted in the second half.


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[Assistant] And then I think Ryan Fitzpatrick and company are just going to be a pain in the ass for a shitty John Stevens. I think that Monday night game.


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[Assistant] We'll be one of the, it's the season's over for the Giants. Like it's been over, but I think now that's like, I don't even want to practice anymore. I think that's what it's going to be. And Janoris Jenkins tweeting during practice yesterday and doing all that shit. I'm going Dolphins.


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[Assistant] To kick a last second field goal and reverse the score from last week and win 22-21.


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[Assistant] I hope so. That's exactly what I'm hoping for. 22-21, I'm going with the Dolphins to pull off the upset there. Okay, that's enough on that game.


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[Assistant] Alright, Texans, Titans, AFC South battle, huge implications. Texans all over the place don't know what to think about them anymore. Titans, we do know. They have become Johnny consistency, uh, which is shocking because they have been inconsistent for the last four to five years.


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[Assistant] Uh, Mike Vrabel is obviously paying attention to your power rankings, which I get a great kick out of. He's watching the show. Hey Mike, turn on the podcast. It's the PFTPM Chris Sims on button joint collaboration. If you need some more knowledge.


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[Assistant] I know, but I get you, I get you, I thank you, I know, but yeaah, you're right, I said that very stupidly, I didn't mean to say it like that actually.


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[Assistant] Uhm, okay, Titan's favored by two and a half at home, over under at fifty and a half. It's the highest over under of the week in the NFL, Mike. How do you think this plays out?


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[Assistant] I would not be surprised either. I think this is going to be a fun game to watch. I do. I think it will be, you know, around that 50 point mark just because both secondaries let up a lot of big plays. And these are two teams that like to dial up big plays in the pass offense and both quarterbacks, man.


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[Assistant] Can they throw down the field and put it on the money? Uh, there is no doubt about that.


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[Assistant] The Texans defense, okay, now, let's not everybody get, like, everyone's gonna go, the Texans defense has issues. And people are gonna go, well, what, what they did to the Patriots. But don't forget, that whole coaching staff came from New England. They have great knowledge of the Patriots. So that's a little bit of an outlier that way.


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[Assistant] You know, everybody else every week, there is mistakes in the, the, the Texans secondary every single week where they mess up little details, blown coverage or something like that. Somebody's wide open.


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[Assistant] It's constant. It's hard for me to trust that side of them. Now on the offensive side of ball, let's ask the weekly question.


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[Assistant] Is Will Fuller playing? What is the status of Will Fuller and his hamstring? Willy Hamstring Fuller.


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[Assistant] That's what I'm gonna start calling him. That should be his new nickname. Willie Hamstring.


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[Assistant] What I saw last week was unbelievable quarterback play from Ryan Tannehill. It's been unbelievable all the way, but what was different about last week against the Oakland Raiders, they actually went Ryan Tannehill past game and then went to Derek Henry run game. That was the first time I saw that in this Ryan Tannehill six or seven game span where they basically said,


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[Assistant] We're gonna let you throw it. And then after you scare them with a throw, we'll get to the run. And that is a sign of a dangerous offense to me. I'm going with the Titans to win this game too. They're at home.


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[Assistant] Uh, their secondary is better, their defense is better in general, and, uh, I think their offense has the mojo going right now. I'm gonna go Titans 28-24, so I got them just going over the over as well, but I think they are gonna win this little ballgame.


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[Assistant] They are scary right now, the way they are playing, 100% agreed there. Okay, uhm, let's go to the next one, and uhm, it's the Eagles, the Redskins. The Eagles looked like shit the other night, but Gutsy, Gutsy win.


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[Assistant] Uh, favored by three and a half at the Redskins, who are offensively challenged. Their defense is still a pain in the ass, as we saw last week. I'm a big fan of Greg Mineski and what he does on that side of the ball. Over under at 39 and a half, Mike, uh, you think that the Redskins can keep it that close to a three and a half point type of game?


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[Assistant] I'm with you. I'm not going to spend a lot of time on this. The Redskins offenses challenge in the passing game. The Eagles can stop the run as long as Jim Schwartz and company don't play man to man and let Dwayne Haskins just throw a ball up to Terry McLaurin or anything like they did with Eli Manning. They, they should have trouble.


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[Assistant] You know, find some zones. It doesn't mean you can't like crowd the line of scrimmage and stop the run because you know, the Redskins, they want to run the ball. Uh, there's no Darius guys. So, so that hurts them there. Uh, Adrian Peterson is still very good. The Redskins D like I've always said is really well coached and they have a front four.


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[Assistant] That is really under the radar, great.


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[Assistant] Deron Payne, Jonathan Allen at the interior D line. They, they mess a lot of plays up.


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[Assistant] And Ryan Kerrigan and Montez Sweat on the outside, along with some other guys who come in behind them. It is a very interesting group there. You know, the Redskins, that's going to be a job that's going to be secretly, I think, very coveted because they got a good O line and a good D line and people.


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[Assistant] That, that I do agree with. You're exactly right. That, he, he is kind of the key to all of that. I'm gonna pick the Eagles 20-9.


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[Assistant] Ugly, just slow beat down of the Redskins. I think you'll see a lot of like what you said last week. Carson Wentz jamming and throws to who knows who the hell they are guys for five and eight and 10 yards at a time, and they'll slowly execute down the field and where the Redskins down. I think the Eagles defense basically wins this game for them. All right. That's it. You ready?


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[Assistant] Alright, it's the Heisman Showdown, Mayfield, uh, Murray.


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[Assistant] You know, it's Clif Kingsbury who benched Baker Mayfield at Texas Tech and then he transfers because of course he had Patrick Mahomes coming in. Let's not forget Steve Wilkes was


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[Assistant] The head coach of the Arizona Cardinals last year, too, and he's the D coordinator of the Browns now, too. So there's a lot of little interesting personal angles of this game. Browns favored by two and a half on the road over under at 48 and a half Mike


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[Assistant] How do you see the Heisman Showdown going?


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[Assistant] I think that's really all it comes down to. The Browns are a better team. The Browns have a formidable defense. And I think Steve Wilkes will want to shit on his old team, the Arizona Cardinals.


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[Assistant] So that's going to give them some extra motivation. And I think the big thing with me is more than anything, the Cardinals defense is not good. They're not good at anything and that's not good against the Browns because the Browns are pretty good at both things on the offensive side of the ball. They can run the ball and of course they got weapons in the pass game. So I think it is kind of an entertaining game.


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[Assistant] Browns in this one, uh, and man, I mean, I just didn't fi- realize they were gonna only be favored by two and a half. That makes me want to put them on the radar for best bets. Uh, so we'll see. That- that is definitely on my radar. I'm not sure what I'm gonna do there yet. Alright.


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[Assistant] Yeah, this is, it's a dangerous matchup for the Minnesota Vikings who clearly have played more consistent football all year long. There's no doubt about that. You know, I just, I, again, I just don't think people realize how good this Chargers defense is. That's where I, you know, and I don't expect them to get like,


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[Assistant] National coverage or anything like that. I mean, they're five and eight and I get that, but it really is a formidable force. Uh, they got good corner play. They got a phenomenal front four. They got some depth there. Derwin James is back in the lineup. You know, and the other thing I've liked


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[Assistant] Since they made the offensive coordinator changes, they do run the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, Minnesota's gonna have to have some tricks or just some things to break out offensively in this game.


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[Assistant] Uh, schematically, because if they just run the bootleg and think they're gonna run the ball and do that against the Chargers, I don't think they can win the game that way. Now, Adam Thiel, and I know he was practicing a little bit. Are we expecting him to play Mr. Minnesota Viking?


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, that would be a big difference. There's no doubt about it. They need everything they can get to move the ball on the Chargers who are...


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[Assistant] We saw Xavier Rhodes on the field less, which I think is the right thing to do. I know it's hard to do when you're paying a guy that much money, but do you want to win games or not? You know, that's all there is to it. You know, having said all that, there's no pressure on the Chargers. I'm going to go with the Chargers in the upset here. I am.


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[Assistant] I was feeling this all week and I'm not going to chicken out when it comes time to make the pick.


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[Assistant] I'm going Chargers 24-21 to pull off the victory and really make things interesting for this number six spot in the NFC. Uhm, you know, this is a coin flip game in my opinion. Totally. It's a great matchup.


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[Assistant] Uh, I, I'm just gonna go with that Chargers defense and a little more weaponry on offense with no pressure to win the game. Uh, just a gut feeling and I will not be making that my best bet or anything. I could say that right now because I think it's that even, but, uh, I'm going Chargers in the upset.


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[Assistant] Yep, well I know you're a Vikings fan and that's why our backgrounds are purple because this is your show and your set and you like the Vikings.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, this is where the Florio job comes in. You're picking them to win and they'll find a way to lose and put you right back in your Minnesota fandom place. Here we go. That, that phrase has been copyrighted. You're not allowed


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[Assistant] Yes. Yes, that one. Florio job has been coined. I owe you 75 cents. Florio job has been coined. A pure dollar. Now a dollar. I don't, I don't.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They're telling me to move on. I don't have change. So I had to make it an even dollar just to give you the pure paper there. Okay. Okay. Jaguars Raiders last game in the Oakland Coliseum.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, gonna really actually be sad for any football fan. They should be sad. That's been a special place for the Raiders and a lot of great NFL moments. Jaguars have fallen apart. Raiders are favored by six and a half, of course, at home over under at 45.5.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Mike, do you think the Raiders send the Raiders fans off with a positive vibe when they leave town here?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I guess, I think the Raiders are gonna win this game too. The Jaguars, I mean the way the Raiders can run the ball, that's not good for the Jaguars who can't stop the run at all. And, you know, the Jaguars have packed it in. Now I do think that


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Jaguars removed the ball a little bit. I'm going Raiders 27-21 without making this too long, but I think it'll be like a...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Pretty fairly convincing 27-21. I wouldn't be shocked if it's really like 27-14, something like that, and Jaguar score a touchdown with a minute five left in the game to make it 27-21. That's kinda how I envision it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, but I'm surely rooting for the Raiders in this one. I want to see the Raiders fans get a victory one last time there and kind of want to see the celebration with the players and the coaches and all that. So that would be cool. Uhm, okay.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] One of the doozies of the day. Rams, Cowboys. Uh, Rams kind of got their mojo back. Favored by one and a half on the road versus the Dallas Cowboys. Dallas Cowboys are reeling right now. Uhm, over under at 48 and a half. Do you think the Cowboys can win this game and get back on track?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, it's hard to have faith in the Cowboys. I mean, come on, they've lost four to their last five. And I, you know, again, I don't think they went and beat the Detroit Lions of Matthew Stafford plays that game there. They couldn't lose all five. They got lucky with an injury really for that. So, uh, it's hard right now, you know,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The Rams defense is really good. They're multiple. They do a lot of different things. They're going to pose problems for the Cowboys offense. So yeah, I give advantage Rams defense and that part of it. And then you flip it around and yeah, the Cowboys defense is good, but not great.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And the biggest thing, Mike, as you've heard me say 95 million times, is they don't do anything different on defense. And the big thing is...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Last year in the divisional playoff game, Sean McVeigh cracked the code, you know, and he did it a little last week against the Seattle Seahawks who run the same defense as the Dallas Cowboys. So this is going to be one interesting thing to me too. Is Dallas going to watch the game from last week and go, Oh,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They did to Seattle what they kinda did to us in the divisional playoff game. And for like all those out there when you might go, what did they do?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They ran to the shade nose almost every running play the whole game.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So they ran the play they wanted to against the look they wanted to the whole game because the Seahawks and Cowboys don't adjust. All they ever do is play harder, hit harder, and it just doesn't work in 2019. Sorry.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So, you know, last year, what happened is the Cowboys would set up and, oh, the strength those over here to the right side that the Rams would break the huddle and two tight ends would be to the right strength to the right.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And then they would have more guys on that side of the ball than the Cowboys can handle without getting too technically there and just continue to gash them. And that's what they did to the Seahawks last week. And that's scary when you play the Rams because when they start to run the ball like that, the bootleg, the screens, the play actions, everything start to look amazing and unstoppable.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And you're screwed over that way. I'm going Rams too. 24-20. I think they get the win and the Cowboys, uh, will still be reeling. Alright. You good? Anything else you want to say?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uhm, alright, Falcons at 40 Niners, the Kyle Shanahan Bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, he's gonna get to play against Dan Quinn and Matt Ryan, the old team there, the team that kind of threw him under the bus after the Super Bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, basically let everybody just blame Kyle and said nothing. It still pisses me off. It really does. You know I'm Kyle's friend.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But that would piss me off if it wasn't my friend. I mean, that's just, that's bullshit. It really is.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Who called the play? Kyle Shannon called the plays. That's great. I mean, I, I've never heard us, I never heard us blame Josh McDaniels for management of a game. I've never heard any office coordinator get involved for management of the game. That's the head coach's job. What do you do? Dan Quinn wasn't coaching the defense at the time. He must've just been standing there eating popcorn and watching the game.