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[Assistant] There's going to be a point coming up soon here. We get to November, Chris, where we're going to kind of forget what people's records or what their stumbles were. And we're going to put a lot more on, okay, it's mid November looking ahead. Who are we most scared of? It's amazing in the AFC right now, over half the teams


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[Assistant] Are either three and three or four and two. Yeah. Think about that. I know. So they're all either good or maybe really good. Yeah, right. And Kansas City's in that mix. Definitely. If they get a little better defensively, you gotta think they'll have more games from the homes like you're just talking about. No doubt. Than not.


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[Assistant] Alright, a couple of teams that they are chasing or right there with in the AFC West, the Raiders and the Broncos. I want to go more with the quarterbacks here because we have two QBs here, really on opposite sides of it on Sunday. I think the positive should lead the way. Derek Carr, really good once again, back on track, 18 out of 27 for 341.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go second and ten now. We're going to the next Raiders offense here.


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[Assistant] Take it back to the snap again, Chris. I want to tie together some of the things you talked about. First of all, they only rush five. Only rush five. Which is tough to pull off. And go right back to the snap. How much confusion is there in the box as to who's coming? No, exactly right. There's none.


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[Assistant] He's upset about the Patriots result still, a few days later. Yeah, well that's alright, that's alright.


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[Assistant] We saw the Raiders succeed against third and short. Second to last play. Let's go third and long now. Third down and 12. Third quarter.


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[Assistant] It's a lot of soft man coverage too. I mean, these guys are 10 yards off the receivers.


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[Assistant] So Derek Carr with a home run of a day there on Sunday. Other side you had Teddy Bridgewater, uh, playing small ball and it just, uh, I mean it was a long day from start to finish.


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[Assistant] Yeah, through three interceptions, Carr didn't throw in. He would take a look at the numbers right now. First three games, I mean, that really forced you to look at it and say, hey, maybe, maybe Teddy Bridgewater is going to be really good.


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[Assistant] And don't, yeaah, don't overlook the yards per attempt being down too, cause that was one of the knocks on him last year too. It was just kind of a conservative approach.


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[Assistant] So we're back to the game now. This is third down and five early second quarter.


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[Assistant] And we've got one more teddy here, halfway through the third quarter, on a first and ten. And the first two were missed, missed opportunities on open guys. Might be more of the same. No, it is.


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[Assistant] It said he threw it 49 times to get 334 yards. Car was 18 out of 27 like I mentioned, Chris. 22 less passes to get 7 more yards. Think about that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, one quarterback throws three picks and the other has 19 yards per completion. That's a pretty good story there. Pretty good story is right. The game. Late Sunday afternoon, Cowboys. Boom. Patriots. So many big plays from that game. Kind of stamped on our minds here. Uh, looks like you want to start out with the Cowboys defense as they won an overtime 35-29.


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[Assistant] He, I mean, he, I know as you pointed out, he wasn't set up for success here, but when the ball's in the air and he takes off for it, he should make that play 9 times out of 10, right? Who are you talking about? The, the safety? The deep safety, yeaah.


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[Assistant] Cause if he's watching the ball, he has his pick of trying to pick it off, trying to knock it down, or trying to lay out the receiver.


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[Assistant] I want to look at one more game here in the AFC. Let's remember back, Krista, when Indy was 0-3. Things looked pretty bad. They've won two of the last three. Kind of hanging around, and Carson Wentz in that time looking pretty good. Definitely gotten better.


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[Assistant] Pretty, it looked like a pretty easy win Sunday, 31-3 against the Texans. Wentz didn't have to throw a lot, just 11 out of 20, but had some big plays mixed in there.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go to early second quarter now. Colts offense off and running second down eight.


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[Assistant] And we've got one more here for you on the Colts offense.


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[Assistant] Mo Ali Cox, I called his basketball games back in the old eighties.


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[Assistant] That, that, that Penn State win feels like a long time ago. Yep. I don't even remember it anymore. Back it up to the Colts one time though. What a 180 though when they were 0-3. The next three games, one loss and no picks. Yeah. I mean, that's, that's quite a turn there. And I think there's, there's some reason to believe that November might be pretty good for you.


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[Assistant] It's the joint MegaPix podcast collaboration. We do it every Thursday. You saw the Chris Sims Unbuttoned logo. It's also PFTPM. Chris Sims Unbuttoned presented by Under Armour.


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[Assistant] Look at that baby. Look at the yellow. The yellow is good. And I am in the yellow 5 out of 6 categories. And we are tied on the category I care about the most. Best bets for the season at 10 and 8. I finally caught you after I had a horrible performance week 3 and 4 or thereabouts.


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[Assistant] But yea, we disagreed on two games last week, and those two games fell my way. Not happy with my performance against the spread, we're both underwater there.


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[Assistant] Straight up, we were, well I was 9-0 through the 1 o'clock Eastern games on Sunday. But it all fell apart thanks to the Browns, thanks to the Broncos, and ultimately thanks to the Bills. That's where my three losses came from.


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[Assistant] Well we got 12 weeks left and maybe you shouldn't be in the weed when you're making your picks. I don't.


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[Assistant] I think the challenge is, and I go through this every week, it's finding kind of a sweet


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[Assistant] Winning and they'd be banned from betting. They'd have to use third parties to place their bets because the casinos would want nothing to do with them. As it stands, a sport


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[Assistant] It's very hard to win, although the short term victories feel pretty good. I feel pretty good. I'll tolerate.


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[Assistant] The long-term losses if I get the short-term victory and I got it this week and we'll see if we can continue it and let's get right to it. Thursday night things get started with a game that


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[Assistant] When the schedule came out, I kind of was like, oh man, the Browns are just gonna kill the Broncos week 7 Thursday night, but the Browns banged up, no Baker Mayfield, Case Keenum gets the start lot of injuries for Cleveland. The Broncos started 3-0, lost 3 in a row.


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[Assistant] Browns are only two point favorites at home with an over-under of 41. That's the lowest of the week. It opened at 44, but it dropped due to injuries. Chris, who do you have?


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[Assistant] This will debut later in the day, but this is one of those you want to take it right up to 90 minutes before kickoff when they say who's active and who isn't, because the Broncos will be facing an offense and Cleveland has a lot of questionable guys. If the tackles don't play,


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[Assistant] I like the Broncos to pull off what would be an upset and to send


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[Assistant] The Cleveland Browns 2, 3, and 4, which would set off alarm bells all throughout Northeast Ohio.


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[Assistant] Cause I talked earlier about finding that sweet spot and not overthinking it. I'm changing my pick. Okay. I think the Browns are gonna win. Okay. I'm gonna flip it 24-21 Browns. Flip me over, Pete. Give me Browns 24-21. Okay, I like that. I don't, I just, I gotta trust that feeling and when it comes along, you just gotta take it and it just came to me.


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[Assistant] When I said that the Browns would lose their fourth game,


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[Assistant] I just think that they're going to muster everything they possibly can to avoid losing this one because they've got the Steelers and Bengals the next two. And if they lose this one, they're screwed, I think. And I think that desperation factor


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[Assistant] That can permeate the entire organization from the coach all the way down, the urgency that Kevin Stefanski will bring to the table. I think that's the difference maker. I think they need this one more than the Broncos. Because the Broncos didn't come into the season with the weight of expectations. The Browns did. And this is national TV.


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[Assistant] And I don't care who plays and who doesn't play. This is gut check time for the Cleveland Browns. And I think that...


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[Assistant] It just kinda came to me as we were talking about it. I think the Browns will not blow it in this circumstance. I may be wrong.


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[Assistant] And if, but if I am wrong and the Browns lose, they, they, uh, they're screwed. Alright, uh, let's move to Sunday afternoon, one o'clock Eastern, the Cincinnati Bengals or the Bengals, if you're Chris Sims, play the Baltimore Ravens in Baltimore. Ravens are six point favorites over under a 47.


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[Assistant] Chris, the Ravens seem to be moving in the right direction. They dominated the Chargers. They beat the Bengals last year in Baltimore 27-3 before Joe Burrow got injured. What do you think happens this time around?


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[Assistant] I'm in the same mindset that you are. I've got 27 17. I just think right now the Ravens are at a point where


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[Assistant] They are on the front end of a run of dominance, and they're capable of it. We saw what they did to the Los Angeles Chargers last week. And as I said earlier today on PFT Live, I feel like they waste


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[Assistant] Some of these thrilling wins they've had if they let the Bengals come in there and beat them and even the records at five and two through seven games with the Bengals technically in first place. I just think that


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[Assistant] Both sides of the ball, the Ravens a little bit better. The coaching, the clear edge to Baltimore, John Harbaugh, Wink Martindale, Greg Roman and company. I just think this is one where the Ravens win, kind of in methodical fashion, even though


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[Assistant] They may see some things from Joe Burrow and Jamar Chase that make them concerned about the future in the division. For now, I think the division still belongs to the Ravens.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think we're on the same page. They're unlike Thursday night's game. Washington and Green Bay at Lambeau Field. Packers with their awesome throwback uniforms where they peel off the G's, they peel off the stripes, they go green on green. Washington coming to town.


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[Assistant] Limping into Lambeau as seven and a half point underdogs, 49 point over under.


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[Assistant] Chris, I'm going to take the first word on this one. I've been riding the Packers, I've been riding the Packers, and I'll tell you right now it's going to be one of my best bets. I'm riding the Packers until they cool off, because they're beating the spread every week. I don't know what Vegas is thinking, maybe somebody there is smoking crack as you've suggested in the past, but these lines


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[Assistant] Are, are, are too low. The Packers are better than what these spreads suggest. Four and a half last week against the Bears, too low. Seven and a half this week at home against the Washington football team, too low. 31-17.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I got a little nervous last week, late in that game, and I think it wasn't until the


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[Assistant] I own you, I bleeping own you moment that it finally fell Green Bay's way and they covered and they didn't look back. So we're on the same page with that one as well. Let's move on to Miami where the Dolphins not wanting a bye week after playing in London. They had that hard fought game that they lost to the Jaguars.


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[Assistant] And play a game the following Sunday against the Falcons team that had week six off after playing in London in week five. The Falcons are two and a half point favorites.


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[Assistant] The reports linking the Dolphins again to Deshaun Watson. We know what that did to Tua back in late August, early September. And now on top of everything else.


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[Assistant] He's got to process that, that this is all starting up again, and the news breaks on a Wednesday afternoon, he likely saw something about it last night or Thursday morning, and that throws another wrench into any efforts to turn this thing around.


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[Assistant] A week where they just got back from London. Yeaah. Lost to the Jaguars in London. It's just too much. I think the Falcons go in and the Falcons win. 2720 is my score. What was your score? 2820. Alright.


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[Assistant] Alright, we're almost, uh, we're almost twinsies. We spent too much, too much time together.


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[Assistant] Jets at the Patriots. Jets coming off of the bye after losing to the Falcons in London. The Patriots at home where they are 0-4 this season.


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[Assistant] They're in danger of falling out of contention altogether. Now this is one they should win easily. They dismantled the Jets back in week two. Do you see anything different happening this week with the Patriots as seven and a half point home favorites, 42 and a half point over under. I suspect this is a rare occasion where a team is 0 and 4 at home.


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[Assistant] And a favorite by more than a touchdown. That just shows you how bad the Jets are. Who do you like in this one and why?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, Davis Mills had 312 yards and three touchdowns against the Patriots a couple of weeks ago. That was in Houston. And I think that was also, yeah, that was the game.


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[Assistant] And that was also the game right after that very emotional game against Tom Brady and company, and it was probably a game the Patriots thought they could show up and win, and they almost got shocked. I mean, they aren't all that far away from being 1-5.


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[Assistant] But I think the, the Patriots, the hatred of the Jets that is held by Bill Belichick is still incredibly strong. They need this one badly, or they're done. They lose this one to the Jets. I got 34 to 13. I think the Patriots cover. I think they roll up on them. They take the wins they can get while they can get them and try to build some confidence as they move deeper into their schedule.


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[Assistant] Carolina Panthers started 3-0, now 3-3. Giants showed some promise early in the year. They're falling apart. Carolina is a 3-point favorite at MetLife Stadium. It's the Dave Gettleman Bowl with an over-under of 43. Who do you like?


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[Assistant] Alligator this way, if the Panthers don't win this one, they are done. It is put a fork in them time. Lose to a 1-5 team and fall to 3-4 in that


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[Assistant] Alright, the last game in the one o'clock eastern window for week seven. The Kansas City Chiefs. Five and a half point road favorites against the Titans team that just took down the Bills. How about some respect for the Titans? Five and a half point home dogs after taking down the Bills on Monday Night Football.


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[Assistant] 57 and a half over under, that's the highest of the season so far. Bill's Chiefs a couple of weeks ago was the previous high at 56 and a half. What do you think about this one Chris?


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[Assistant] You have 40 to 31. I've got 31, 21. You are going way over at 71 total points. I got 62. We both like the over. I like the Chiefs by 10. You like them by 9. We are in agreement on every game in the 1 o'clock window on Sunday. Our only disagreement so far


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[Assistant] Thanks to me changing my mind on the fly is the Thursday night game. Let's take a break when we resume.


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[Assistant] The four o'clock Eastern games from week seven Sunday, including Matthew Stafford with potential revenge against the Lions. At the same time, Jared Goff has potential revenge against the Rams. We'll be back with more PFTPM and Chris Sims on button presented by Under Armour right after this.


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[Assistant] PFTPM, Chris Simpson Button, presented by Under Armour, Joint Megapix Podcast, Week 7, already Week 7, you can say that every week, I can't believe it's Week 7, I can't believe it's Week 8, I can't believe it's not Butter, alright, let's get into it. The Lions at the Rams.


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[Assistant] I remember that commercial. 15 points. And I do too. I'm thinking, do they still even make that stuff? 15 points. Cause it used to be, don't eat butter. Then it was don't eat margarine. Now I guess just don't eat anything yellow and congealed. I guess that's the best approach, even though I love butter. Me too.


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[Assistant] Uh, 15 point favorites. How the hell we got there? 15 point favorites against the Lions over under a 50 and a half.


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[Assistant] I think that this is going to be a complete and total dismantling and splattering and embarrassment of the Lions. The Lions are winless. The Rams are dominant.


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[Assistant] The Rams should be 6-0. I still don't know what happened to them, what rake they stepped on to lose to the Cardinals, especially given the way they've dominated the Cardinals in recent years. But this is Sean McVey.


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[Assistant] Who has internalized all of his angst about Jared Goff and has done everything he can to not say anything bad about Jared Goff. Because really, if you acknowledge that Jared Goff was as bad as you believed he was, why in the hell did you give him $33.5 million a year? But this is the opportunity, the fair opportunity to go out there


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[Assistant] Everything that makes Goff tick. What he does well, what he doesn't do well, how to confuse him, how to confound him, how to defeat him, how to destroy him. And they're gonna be looking to do that. And then you throw on top of it the intense desire by Matthew Stafford to stick it to the Lions for wasting more than a decade of the best years of his career by putting a bunch of


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[Assistant] Completely and totally obliterate the Lions. Take the Rams. Give the points.


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[Assistant] 15 is not nearly enough. Not nearly enough. I like the Rams. I love the Rams in this one. And as you can tell, it's going to be one of my best bets.


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[Assistant] It's a lot when it's the Lions, but it's not a lot when it's the Lions and the Rams and we have these other tentacles at play with McVeigh on Goff and Stafford on the Rams or the Lions rather. I think it's going to be. Man, you got me thinking. I wasn't going to make it a best bet, but you got me thinking. That's for sure.


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[Assistant] Well, don't change your mind. Stick with, stick with it not being one of your best bets so I can get another game up on you because we're tied at 10-8.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I had a hard time with this one, cause I still don't know how the dust is settling.


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[Assistant] Last weekend it's possible the Broncos took them lightly assuming that they were in dysfunction and disarray and the Raiders managed to pull it together. Can they hold it together? We don't know and the only way you do know is to be inside that organization as to how it's really materializing. You know, somebody suggested


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[Assistant] Earlier this week that Derek Carr may be better off without John Gruden.


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[Assistant] We talked so much about how they were basically morphing into the same person, but as you said in the past,


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[Assistant] You enjoyed playing games when you played for Gruden because you didn't have to listen to him constantly chirping at you in practice. Well now Carr is able to go forward with the freedom of never having to deal with John Gruden. No doubt. Never having to hear from him. Never having to listen to him.


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[Assistant] I just wonder if that's creating a boost. I just don't know if what happened last week is sustainable. That's why I'm concerned because if it is, they win easily. I'm just not sure. These are non-football dynamics that are affecting the football analysis and assessment. I'm going Raiders 2420.


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[Assistant] Just as a close your eyes and throw a dart cause I really don't know. I don't know what to think of the Eagles. They beat the Panthers and then they hang tough with the Buccaneers but got dominated for so long.


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[Assistant] I don't think Jalen Hurts is the answer. And he's not. And hey, hey, this whole Deshaun Watson thing. Yeah.


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[Assistant] I think the Eagles are paying close attention. I think the Eagles are not necessarily at the table, but I think they're, they're in the conversation.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and that may, that may be a factor as the team gets ready for this game because those guys are hearing this chatter. I just, I gotta go 2420, but I don't feel very strongly about it. I guarantee you it will not be one of my best bets.


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[Assistant] The biggest spread of the week at 17 and a half. The Texans won in week one and have not won since then. The Cardinals have not lost this year and I've been picking them to lose pretty consistently the past few weeks. They just keep winning over under 47 and a half. J.J. Watt getting a shot at the team that he played for for a decade.


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[Assistant] I assume you like the Cardinals, do you like the Cardinals to cover a gigantic and massive spread?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've, uh, I've got 34-17, or 41-17, excuse me, 41-17, so I have one more touchdown from the Cardinals. This would be the time for them to step in a trap, because they have the Packers on a short week. But J.J. Watt's presence, I think, makes a difference, and I think the goal here is gonna be, ideally, get out to a big lead,


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[Assistant] Get some of the starters off the field and, and save them. Get them ready for the Thursday night test with the Packers. The good news is you don't have to travel anywhere. The Packers are coming to them. So they're home. They stay home.


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[Assistant] Get their guys some rest, get the lead, get them out of the game, and get ready for Thursday night, which should be one of the great games of the, of the, uh, season. 41-14 is my score, Pete. 41-14. 41-17. Let me see, let me double check here. 41-14 is my score. Uh, and you've got 34-14, so basically it's the same thing. Okay.


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[Assistant] Bears, Bucks, Battlestar Galactica, twelve and a half point favorite is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at home over the Bears who are still, what are they, the three and three? The three and three, they're at five hundred.


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[Assistant] Uh, 47 point over under. I think the Bucs win. I'm sure you think the Bucs win. The question is, do the Bucs cover that 12.5 point spread?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've got 34-17. Same idea. I just think the Bucks at home with all those weapons, it's just too much. It's just too overpowering. And it's the biggest age difference ever, by the way. Crazy. Between the starting quarterbacks. From, uh, Tom Brady to Justin Fields. I think we just had the biggest age difference a couple of weeks ago. Yeah, with Mac Jones. When it was Tom Brady and Mac Jones. Right. So, uh, and probably next year,


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[Assistant] There will be another biggest age difference ever as Tom Brady keeps going and a new


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[Assistant] Alright, I've got 34-17. Similar reasoning as you, it could get uglier than that. I just think the Bucs this year are, they're finding their groove.


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[Assistant] They're dismayed by the fact that they've lost a game. They think they should be undefeated and they're gonna keep rolling maybe up until they host the Bills in Week 14. They may not lose again until then. Let's take a break. The Primetime Games for Week 7.


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[Assistant] Colts 49ers, Saints Seahawks. We'll tell you who we think are going to win those two games when PFTPM and Kristen Zumbutten presented by Under Armour continue right after this.


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[Assistant] PFTPM, Chris Sims Unbuttoned, the Joint Megapix Podcast, we do it every Thursday, and Chris, your podcast, unlike mine, is presented by Under Armour, and you have a message for us. You know it, yea, keep watching.


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[Assistant] You got your shoes at Pickway. Somebody out there may remember Pickway shoes. Pickway, I don't know that. That was the cheap, do a little research. I think Payless ended up buying Pickway. Oh, here we go. Back in my day! There's the piano.


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[Assistant] The Colts at the 49ers. Both teams a little desperate. You know, the Colts I think were getting excited Monday night. They think, oh, the Titans lose and maybe we get striking distance. Oh, the Titans won. They're two and four.


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[Assistant] The 49ers are 2 and 3. A little desperation time for the 49ers. They may not make the playoffs, Chris. They lose this one. Hoo boy. They're in trouble. 4 point favorites are the 49ers at home. 44 point over-under. Who do you got?


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[Assistant] The 49ers still have the quarterback question marks. Jimmy Garoppolo was limited on Wednesday with his calf. Did not practice with Trey Lance with that knee injury that he injured in their last game and didn't know it until that night. So, you know, I think the wild card in this one.


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[Assistant] We haven't mentioned his name, DeForest Buckner. Yeah, you're right. That's why I lean cults. I think Buckner justifiably salty about the 49ers not paying him, trading him. Now he got the money he wanted, but this is a homecoming that I think is going to go largely overlooked.


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[Assistant] Buckner has the potential to F up the play on any given play. The 49ers have had so many injuries. Their offense has underperformed this year in large part because of the injuries. The defense hasn't been great. Not nearly as good as we thought it would be. I just think that the 49ers aren't as good as we think.


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[Assistant] And we're still intoxicated a bit by what they did in 2019 when they were wire to wire great and were within 7 minutes of winning the Super Bowl with a 10 point lead that they blew. I just don't think they're as good as we think they are. And on national TV, it's going to be the, the, uh,


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[Assistant] Kind of what happened to him the last time we saw him on Sunday Night Football. They were down 17-0 and they almost pulled it off.


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[Assistant] On the graphic on Sunday night when we do the picks. I hope everybody else is on the 49ers. Cause I'm on the Colts. And see that's the thing. For everybody else, we don't know what their picks are gonna be until Sunday night. Right. So we can't play that game.


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[Assistant] But, uh, you know, everybody else knows our picks if they even care, cause we lock in on Thursday, but I'm locking in. I'm taking the hand off the checker. Give me the Colts 2420.


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[Assistant] I can't remember who said this or I would give them credit because I'm all about giving people credit, but I saw somebody on Twitter say that Jonathan Taylor is becoming what Saquon Barkley was supposed to be. And that's not


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[Assistant] An inaccurate assessment of where Jonathan Taylor is. He had 144 yards and two touchdowns last week against the Texans.


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[Assistant] You know, he could run wild against the 49ers as well. And you know, this is an opportunity for the Colts to get a little redemption for their prime time game from two weeks ago where they ultimately urinated down their leg. Alright, Monday Night Football.


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[Assistant] The Saints coming off their bye, four and a half point favorites at Seattle over under a 42 and a half. Another Geno Smith game. Jameis Winston, Geno Smith, a little taste some hill, assuming he's healthy and good to go. Uh, who do you like and why?


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[Assistant] I got 28-20 Saints for a lot of the same reasons you think, and I think the Saints were at a point where they gotta start stringing some wins together. They got on the right side of it with their most recent game, but it's been win-loss, win-loss, win, week off, time to get a win, time to keep moving in the right direction, Seahawks gonna fall to two and five, and at some point, at some point, at some point,


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[Assistant] People are going to start wondering whether or not Pete Carroll is inching toward the hot seat in Seattle because that team is falling apart and I know they don't have Russell Wilson but they don't have much around.


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[Assistant] Russell Wilson either, and it's, it's being exposed now that Wilson isn't playing. Let's take a break. Did I say 28-20? I did. You did. I did. Did I say 28-20? Alright. You did. Uh, our best bets and our Folsom Prison Blues pick when


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[Assistant] PFTPM and Chris Sims unbuttoned presented by Under Armour continues right after this.


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[Assistant] PFTPM, Chris Simms on Button presented by Under Armour, my favorite segment of the show, Best Bets and Folsom Prison Blues, where the money is made.


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[Assistant] Unless it isn't. Chris, you're up first with your best bet. Give me your first one.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Green Bay Packers. I've been riding the Packers recently. I think the lines for whatever reason have been too low. It's just one of those.


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[Assistant] Gut feeling, I see it and I say, that's not enough. The Packers are.


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[Assistant] Far more than seven and a half points, better than the Washington football team. The Packers, I think, are going to try to do what the Cardinals are going to do. Roll up a big lead, get some guys from the starting lineup some rest because they got the big trip to Arizona coming up on a short week. So I love the Packers, given seven and a half.


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[Assistant] Rams given 15 to the Lions. It is going to be ugly. It is going to be messy. It is going to be a destruction by the Rams of the Detroit Lions. So I have no hesitation given 15.


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[Assistant] Last one for me, and this one just came to me as we were doing our last segment, and I saw the over-under for the Monday night game at 42 and a half, and we only got 13 games this week, and there really isn't anything else that is screaming out at me. I'm going the over. I think 42 and a half's too low. These primetime games have been nutty with a lot of points.


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[Assistant] I think it's gonna go over 42 and a half on Monday night. Alright, Folsom Prison Blues.


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[Assistant] I'll go Cardinals. Who's your pick? I'll go Cardinals. I'll go Rams. Okay. I'll go Rams. Easy one this week. Go Texans!


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[Assistant] Go Texans. Go Lions. They can give you a double whammy. Come on. Please bet responsibly and don't listen to the man with the little head. See ya. See ya next time.


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[Assistant] Yo, yo, what's up? Come on, man. Subscribe on YouTube to Chris Simms Unbuttoned Podcast. I need you. Please hit the subscribe button, please.


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[Assistant] Hi, I'm Mike Tirico and thanks for watching. Make sure to hit subscribe for the latest news and highlights from NBC Sports.


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[Assistant] Oh, that's right. To each his own. Every house is different. I don't know. My house seems to be a little crazier than others, apparently. Very, very apparently. What's up, everybody? It's Chris Sims on Button, presented by Under Armour. Paulie Burmeister is in the building today. He is going to be driving the ship. How you doing, big guy?


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[Assistant] Right. What were we talking about there with the heads chopped off? That was what, uh,


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[Assistant] 300, right. That was 300. Yeah, yeah, yeah. You can watch that. Okay. You'll be alright.


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[Assistant] Oh man. Alrighty. Alrighty. Alrighty. Well, you know what time it is. It's the what the happened podcast. We're going to break it all today. I mean, break it all down today. We're going to break down Kansas city's offense, Patrick Mahomes, big play bangles. That's what I've been calling them really the last two weeks.


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[Assistant] Bears and Panthers. Well, I mean, you know, listen, there's too much talk around Justin Fields and his development. Is he a bust or is he a star? I mean, we gotta make this judgment. It's week seven. We gotta figure out what he is forever right now. We'll break into that.


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[Assistant] The Panthers Offensive Struggles and we got the NBC Medical Expert Mike Ryan coming in a little bit, ex Giants trainer, Jacksonville Jaguars trainer. We're going to talk about Baker, Dak, all of that. So that's exciting. Anything else I'm missing?


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[Assistant] Please help me with my hip. It's a serious problem. I mean, it is, but it's actually getting a lot better. Thank you for asking. I'm okay. Uhm, alright, so that's what we got coming up. You know we're gonna break some plays down here, but first...


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[Assistant] I gotta tell you how awesome Under Armour is. Okay. I need to do that. And that's where we are supported by Under Armour. Just like us, Under Armour wants to give you an edge. And that's what we're doing on this podcast today. Edge and football knowledge. We're going to break down some stuff so you can go back with your friends and be smarter.


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[Assistant] Under Armour is focused on performing better and taking their game to the next level. Everything from running shoes that propel you forward to hoop shoes that give you insane grip. They can even make hoodies that reflect energy.


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[Assistant] We're not just about the end result in Under Armour. Winning or glory. Under Armour is about the hard work, the dedication, the cycle of training, competing and recovering. That's right. That's what it's all about. It's about doing your work. Gotta do work, gotta film study if you wanna be able to host a podcast and break things down, alright? That's what I do.


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[Assistant] Hard work, competing, recovering. We give you advantages, but not shortcuts. The only way is through.


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[Assistant] I don't, oh, so like, uh, well, when I get home, I, when I, yeaah, it's more when I get in the car. And there's just like that moment of like...


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[Assistant] Uh, no, she, at first, when I first really got into the business and was becoming really busy, she would always be like, what's wrong? You okay? Yeah. And I'd, you know, I would be like, I'm


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[Assistant] I'm exhausted. I just can't talk anymore. I'm sorry. Right. You know, and, and she's realizing now, and luckily she's had some friends that are like, man, Chris talks a lot during the week. He must, he must not want to talk when he gets home. Right. And she's like, actually he doesn't. I find it affects work.


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[Assistant] Oh, well, if I got a big yes, see I don't have to see her in the morning. So that's, that's, that's, she's still asleep when I'm leaving for PFT. So, but you're right. I'm, I'm kind of that way. I would be that way too if I did have to see her. Like on Monday when I do the podcast, we'll have breakfast together.


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[Assistant] And I probably don't hear seven words she says because I'm thinking about the games and what I might want to say in the pod. And I'm just, I'm lost in my own thoughts. Yes. Um, and when I drive into work, usually on the days for PFT, like I don't want to, I don't listen to the radio, nothing. I don't want to hear anything.


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[Assistant] I'm locked in and I just, I'm like, I'm about to talk and raise my energy up, so I'm saving up for, for whatever we gotta do here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. Well, I mean, listen, it's, it's an amazement. I mean, of course, it's the first time ever we've seen that happen. And we know Mahomes has not been his best this year. There's no doubt about that. We've broken a few plays down a few different spots throughout the year where you just go, ooh, you know, stay in the pocket, stay true to your reads. I think like,


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[Assistant] The perfect storm of both of those came together in this game, okay, as far as him being undisciplined at the quarterback position. And listen, I'm still in shock when I say it out loud. I'm like, am I really talking about Patrick Mahomes, who I think is already in like the greatest quarterbacks ever conversation. And we're saying that.


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[Assistant] You know, I wish I had something to tell you to go. It was some masterful defensive game plan. Like, whoa.


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[Assistant] They dropped seven or eight into coverage and they didn't let up the big play, right? It'll, I can't sit here and go, whoa, they play deep fences that I've never seen before. No, they mixed it up. There was a lot of, you know, deep zones of cover four, you know, cover four to one side, cover two to the other side, deep cover three


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[Assistant] Type of things where, you know, again, they know where to look at as far as the formations and what to expect from Kansas City, but I can't sit here and tell you that this was like, you know, the 2018 AFC championship game, Patriots Chiefs, where the Patriots brought out a defense that I'd never seen in the history of football. No, it's nothing like that.


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[Assistant] Baltimore was actually pretty good for the most part. They had their moments for sure. And then they had mistakes at the end of the game on that one. Yeaah. And it seems like really from that point on, it got a little crazy. Like, because then the Chargers game was the next week where they lost that home against, uh, Los Angeles. And that was I think the first time we broke down some plays where we were like,


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[Assistant] Listen, I don't know, Mahomes was just off. He missed some plays, and of course they rebounded to Philadelphia. Buffalo the next week was a little bit of everything. I'm not just going to put it all on Mahomes, but we saw, yeaah.


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[Assistant] Exactly right. It wasn't the same performance we've seen from this team or been accustomed to. But then they went to Washington. We're great. And we're great. And other than the stupid, you know, fumbled snap interception, Mahomes played the best game of the year and I went, oh, okay, here we go.


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[Assistant] Kansas City's got it, he's gonna be back disciplined, playing the right way, but then last week it makes me question everything.


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[Assistant] I think so. I think so. And again, hey, listen, again, they're the number three offense in football, but not doing it when they need to be the number three offense in football. That's the point. And it's about what's there to be had sometimes. And they, as I've always said, they leave some plays and some moments where you go, what, what's going on there?


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[Assistant] And uhm, yeaah, it just hasn't been as consistent. And then added to that, their defenses...


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[Assistant] Back to like it was in 18 and 2017 where they're letting up a lot of big plays and not very good. So that's putting a little bit more pressure on the offense on that side of the ball. And again, I always go into this when you're evaluating teams. It's on Kansas City's offense to fix the problem here. That's where the team is built.


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[Assistant] I mean, I don't know, I haven't looked it up, but their left guard and left tackle, I would bet you that's the most expensive left side of the offensive line in football.


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[Assistant] What? Top 3 highest paid tight ends. Tyree kills top 3 or 4 wide receivers. Mahomes is the highest. It is on them.


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[Assistant] It's towards the bottom 10 in football, but you don't know because the Cowboys offense is constantly executing and playing at such a high level, the defense isn't putting many tough spots.


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[Assistant] Yeah, second down nine, okay, and I'm gonna stand up right off the bat here. Okay, and...


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[Assistant] What have we talked about all year with Mahomes? More than anything, not staying true to reads, and I know I've said at least four or five times, like,


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[Assistant] Just not staying in the pocket. Like, where are we going? Why are we going here? What's going on here? Alright?


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[Assistant] We've talked about also, nothing to do with Kansas City, but like,


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[Assistant] Quarter's coverage has come up every week, right? It's more popular in football right now than I think it's been in the last 8-10 years, for a lot of different reasons. But, quarter's coverage is a big play coverage. You can crush it with certain round combinations, and we've seen that. I mean, how many times have we shown at least 2-3 plays every week?


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[Assistant] Right, alright, so here we go, right off the bat, here I'm just gonna draw the play to start it. We got boom, post route, okay? I think that's uh, I believe that's McCole Hardman, and he's gonna be open, okay? So just take my word for it. We're gonna have a deep crossing route.


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[Assistant] Uhm, he's gonna be open. Just take my word for it. Out here is, uhm, our big Josh Gordon. I believe that's Josh Gordon. He's gonna run an in-cut.


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[Assistant] He's gonna be wide open, alright? It's a one, two, three read. It's one...


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[Assistant] Two. Three. Okay, that's a bad three. And then whatever, the back on the check down or whoever's gonna be underneath. Alright? But either way, it's the perfect play against the perfect defense. Alright? And, here's what I wanna watch. Okay, this side, Harold Landry. Gonna get some pressure. Alright? So here we go, let's start it off. Watch it a little bit.


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[Assistant] Here comes Harold Landry around the edge. If you look at it quickly, you just go, well yeaah, he's under pressure. He had a move, right? He had a move. Absolutely freaking not.


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[Assistant] Absolutely freaking not. And I can promise you this is what he's being coached right now. Hey, this is the NFL, first off. This isn't high school football or college football where you do stuff like this. Alright? And this is where I go, he needs to start watching some like Brady


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[Assistant] Dan Marino, Joe Burrow film to watch how to manipulate the pocket like a master. Okay, first off, I want to get to the top of the screen with Nicole Harmon. Here, look, what do we got?


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[Assistant] Flat footed safety. Alright, in this play, we're not going to be able to show it all. We don't have all 22 film.


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[Assistant] He's gonna be open, running the post wrap. You see here, coming across, I believe that's Tyreek, alright? He's, right now, you can already tell once he clears this guy, there's gonna be space over here in this region. Let alone, Josh Gordon run the end cut behind him, there's more space. It's the perfect play.


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[Assistant] It's the perfect play. And to this picture right here.


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[Assistant] Okay? This is great protection! Look at the damn pocket!


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[Assistant] First off, you're never gonna be protected, right? Exactly. Step up. You're exactly right. You're never gonna be protected, alright? The ball's here.


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[Assistant] You're never going to be protected when you're 10 yards deep. Again, those are things that...


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[Assistant] You know, not all teams talk about it all the time, but I gotta think Andy Reid talks about this. I know with some of the good coordinators I was with through my career, they always talked about like,


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[Assistant] It, uh, it just, it doesn't get any more of like the perfect pocket. He should just step up, stay in his throwing position right there. Look at this. Got a freaking wall here. He's got nothing.


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[Assistant] He's got nothing. Look at Tyree Kill. At the very least, you can see like, oh yea, he's gonna be open. Chris Sims is right. I'm just telling you, with Patrick Mahomes and McCole Hardman, he's got him beat by a step or two, and I've seen him do this nine million times where he hits that throw.


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[Assistant] It's a great question, and I think it's both. I think it's a little bit of both. I think last year created some bad habits for him.


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[Assistant] You know, Florio brought up a point this week that's like the toe because he knows he's not quite as fast and explosive and he's just a little off. Is he looking to gain that advantage to get out just a hair quicker? I don't know. Again, I've told you, I've got some info that there is some concern about his toe that is not totally 100%. But either way,


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[Assistant] I think your point is real of the fact that bad habits from last year, cause again, I challenge anybody to go back and watch this last seven or eight games of last year, it was pressure every play.


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[Assistant] So that caused some bad habits, and then to your point, you're exactly, I mean, he's been magical moving. So I think he's a little bit like, well, I'll just get out of the move, and I'm patting my homes, and I'm gonna make it happen. Big deal, right?


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[Assistant] You know, there's too many plays being left on the board right now, and my man who is my man, okay, I mean this is my guy, this is, I'm here at NBC because of proclamations like Patrick Mahomes coming out in the draft, alright.


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[Assistant] So I, I love talking about Patty Mahomes, but my man here is too damn good to do this. And my man here right now, Patty Mahomes, is watching the dr- watching the rush too much. He's watching it. He is. And I'm gonna show some other plays here in a second where you just go,


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[Assistant] Uh, protection is concerned. And man, he's making life hard on the man Orlando Brown. He's doing him no help at all. Alright, let's see if we can just glean anything else here as far as, you know, the, the play itself. I don't think so. I think we, you know, we're going to see about what we're going to see here. But here's my point too. Again, look, we just saw, we just saw


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[Assistant] At the very least, he is wide open. I'm just telling you, Patty Mahomes, the first two or three years, hits that for a touchdown. And that's concerning. Okay, so it's 7-0. It should be first and 10, 7-7. Now it's third and whatever, and they don't get the first down and they punt it. And guess what happens?


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[Assistant] Derek Henry and company go 96 yards to our touchdown. Now you're down 14-nothing. The game in the NFL is that fickle. That's where people are like, whoa, they got their ass kicked. And it's just like, yeah, they got their ass kicked because they didn't execute them five plays and it changed the game.


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[Assistant] That's what I mean. Or like, like I would tell you, I know people, you gotta go back and look if you got NFL game pass or anything like that. He's got the post route to McColl-Hardman too. So the point is, they should at least have a first down and be in field goal range right off the bat. Instead, they're not gonna get anything and it's gonna be punt. What is there to be had? That was something that was there to be had. He left it on the field.


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[Assistant] Little things. And again, I could have shown, as Pete Dimmel little lightest could show, I could have shown 8 plays here. Lots of them. I could have shown 8. I mean, maybe 9. Just to go whatever. I mean, again. Alright, this one is not like he missed a huge play downfield, okay? This one though, 14-0, end of the first quarter.


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[Assistant] Let's, let's put ourselves in some good positions. Let's get some momentum here, alright?


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[Assistant] They run a simple play, probably because they're like, man, Patty's not seeing the field real well, so let's do something simple and get them in rhythm. He's just going to run a six yard hitch route, what they call. Six yard curl route for those listening, alright. Six yards turnaround.


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[Assistant] Alright, six yards, turn around up top by Demarcus Robinson. Travis Kelsey, six yard, he's got maybe an option, turn around of his zone, whatever. That, that's the play. There it is.


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[Assistant] And again, this is not going to be so much about pocket awareness, but this is going to be about like, something is off in his head with the mental clock right now. And I want everybody to watch down here. This is the first read, of course. He's wide open.


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[Assistant] He's gonna be wide open. He- Patty doesn't even let him get to the top of the route and turns and throw- and looks over here.


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[Assistant] Like, like he had already predetermined that they'll cover Tyreek.


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[Assistant] So I'm just gonna get up here, I'm gonna give it a quick look and get up here. And that's where, you know, you have to play the game. You gotta do what the defense tells you to do. You can't do, oh I think the defense is gonna do this, cause that's when you get yourself in trouble.


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[Assistant] And you leave plays on the field. So look at the bottom of anybody here. Look at the bottom of the screen. It's backing off right now. You're just going, Oh my gosh. Okay. I'm going to get a guaranteed six, eight yards from.


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[Assistant] He's w- he's got no chance. Yeah. And this doesn't even do- I mean listen, the ball's gonna be boom right there. He's got no chance of making that play. None. Right. Nor is he looking.


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[Assistant] He's already gotten off it. I mean, look, look how he looks at it here, and I'm gonna play it in slow-mo. He looks, Tyreek Hill is not even at the top of his route. He's already off of it. And he comes over here. Tennessee has rolled down to a cover three little coverage here to bracket him. Alright? And there's nothing. And what's it end up?


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[Assistant] Because he like pre- I mean, listen, I don't know what he did. But all I know is right now he's off.


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[Assistant] And having played the position a little at a very low level, but being around it my whole life, sometimes you get into little funks like this where you're going like, they can't really do that against Tyree, kill, like, and play that, like, it's not gonna be that easy, just throw to them, oh, so I'll look there real quick and then Kelsey will be open over here. I don't know what else to say, but it's pretty, pretty apparent here, as you say,


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[Assistant] Here's the top of the route. Tyree Kill has seven yards of space. Seven!


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[Assistant] I mean, at the very least, even if he can't make one more yards, you're gonna be in second and fourth. But we know that's not gonna be the case. This guy's got one, two, three rockets up his ass, okay? And he's gonna catch the ball and get a first down, or who knows, make the guy miss and run up the sidelines for 20 yards?


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[Assistant] Now it's second and ten, and I can't remember exactly off the top of my head, but it ends up being, uh, they end up punting two plays later. It becomes third and eleven. They run the ball next play, if I remember correctly, and then they have to punt the ball after that.


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[Assistant] That was the easiest read in our playbook. So now you're scared. You're going, I don't know what to call.


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[Assistant] So that's where that's scary, and I can't believe we're saying that. And of course the game is easy for him usually, compared to you and me.


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[Assistant] This one, the guys aren't as egregiously open as all the other plays we've shown so far. But again, we're talking about Patrick Mahomes here.


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[Assistant] All time great already. I don't need to see much more football unless he just continues to play like he has here a few times this year and then he won't be an all time great. But I have a hard time believing he'll stay in this funk forever. Here's the play.


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[Assistant] It's right up here. Tyree kill. I think, uh, Kelsey runs some sort of short route right here. We got a crosser. And then we got an in-cut. Similar to the play we just, the first play we showed, right? But instead of the post over the top, they're gonna try to get him doing a go route down the sideline.


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[Assistant] Tyreekill, alright, and again, I'm not gonna, you're not gonna be able to see all of this. He's in a release. This guy, it's cover three, is gonna get back here, as you're gonna see. But when they get back around here, it's even to Tyreekill's opponent away. And I wanna go...


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[Assistant] Why wouldn't we throw it to the fastest receiver maybe in the history of football when he's even? And of course, they're great at this.


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[Assistant] And then we're gonna see again here, it's gonna be good protection.


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[Assistant] But, I wanna see if anybody can realize, like, or see what I see. It's hard, you know, with these angles. Of course, we're watching, this is the TV angle. But, he, he does, he never looks up field.


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[Assistant] You're gonna, just, I, I, like, everybody, like, if, you know, you're watching here, watch Mahomes, tell me if you think he ever really looks upfield. Like, to me, it looks like he's watching the rush around him right now.


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[Assistant] And this, this one doesn't do as much justice as like an end zone copy of the all 22 film right there, so you can't really tell, alright. But for my, for my money,


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[Assistant] And again, just my experience is, he's got his eyes on these guys, and he's not even looking at, at Tyree kill down the field. Okay? And again, I've seen him make way harder degree of difficulty throws than making completion. He's, it's a straight go route. It's just throw it out there 60 yards, and you're gonna get a 60 yard gain and maybe a touchdown.


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[Assistant] Now, let's, let's continue with the play here. You know.


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[Assistant] Just never, I mean, never gets eyes on anybody, okay? And the crossing route is not open, no, okay? But the end cut I talked about over here is wide open.


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[Assistant] But I don't know if he ever looks at anybody, let alone he could just throw right here and throw the check down to Travis Kelce. It is first and 10. It's first and 10. So like you could do that, fine. But my point to he's not looking down the field and he's watching the rush, to me is the real thing. To me, from what I saw, and again it's a little harder to see here,


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[Assistant] It was always down the middle. And again, there aren't people down the middle, but for my money, I don't think he's really looking at him. I think he's looking at these two guys and what's around him. Alright? And here he is, like again, I'm just saying, if I was in New England or Josh McDaniels or John Gruden,


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[Assistant] And it was Tom Brady playing quarterback or Kyle Orton playing quarterback when I was in Denver. If I was with Brian Greasy or Brad Johnson in Tampa, they'd be going, hey, big guy. You know, Gruden would be going, hey, big guy. Or, you know, Josh Montana's like, stay in the pocket, go through your reeds.


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[Assistant] It's, we got the play, we got it, we got, okay, it's the third read's gonna be open, you got enough time to get to the third read here, there's no reason to do this. And again, boom, throws the ball, like,


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[Assistant] I'm not, the interception he gets a little unlucky with from this standpoint, the defender is not even looking, so that's why he throws it.


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[Assistant] Okay, he throws it for that reason, but David Long gets his hand up at the last second with his back turned and it pops in the air. But the point again is,


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[Assistant] You know, you can't turn down completions and think, well, I'll get another one here later in the play. And that's to me where it's just off right now. It's really off and, uh, like I said, I could show another four or five plays of this type of stuff right here.


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[Assistant] Definitely, definitely in that game for sure. In that one game. Yea, and I think we can go back to the Chargers game and I could probably say the same thing for that game. Yea. Has the league caught on to their offense to a degree? Yea, we've talked about it. Yes, they have, for sure. Definitely.


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[Assistant] If they just stay true to form and he's patient like, like we saw last week against Washington or other games this year, it's still, they're still unstoppable.


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[Assistant] But, I've never seen him do some of the stuff he's doing right there, and uh, yeaah, he's in a little bit of a funk for sure, and we're gonna see if he bounces back this time.


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[Assistant] That game, yeaah, is gonna be sneaky. Yeaah, it's a tough game. I think it's a sneaky Monday night game. Yeaah. Because the Giants defense is well coached. They're gonna be able to break down some of the things they do schematically. I don't know if they can get pressure on Mahomes consistently and affect them that way. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] They're gonna know the scheme and have a plan similar to Vrabel and the other ones to go, like, you're not gonna get these big plays. And then the Giants, if they're healthy on offense, which it's sounding like they might be, I mean, of course they're gonna be able to move the ball in Kansas City. Everybody can. Greenwich High School can move the ball on Chief's defense. So that's where, yeah, we'll see where that goes.


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[Assistant] So Hattie, stay true to the offense. Let's, let's go back to your, you know, year two and his first year plan of just getting back to the basics here. That would be what I would say. Let's not try to be Magic Mahomes and I know all those things have made you so great.


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[Assistant] But right now, he's leaving plays in yards within the normal rhythm of the offense on the field way too much. You know, even for...


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[Assistant] You know, like again, I'm not sitting here proud to say this about the guy that I think


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, first off, you know, I hope people heard me last week. The Bengals aren't going anywhere. I didn't know if they would win or beat the Bravens last week. I didn't know that, but they're a good team. They're here to stay.


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[Assistant] I think the defense is talented and well coached. Alright, so just on that side of the ball. They got big people up front.


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[Assistant] Pretty good pass rushers. They got three linebackers who are athletic and don't have to come off the field a whole lot, so that helps them. And they're secondary, I'm a big fan of their secondary. Offensively, I think is what you asked me about, and sorry I didn't get to this point right away.


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[Assistant] They can do a little bit of it all. They do, yeaah. I'm not going to sit here and go, oh, I'm just amazed by the offense. But what they do do every week is find out like two or three ways to create a big play.


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[Assistant] Or, it's just one on one, and oh, you're going one on one on Jamar Chase on this play? Okay, we'll just take it. He's better than your guy, and Joe's gonna put it on the money, and they'll do that. And that's where they got a good blend. Let alone, Joe will just make a play scramble or two. So it's like,


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[Assistant] Often the line has gotten better. I think that's the thing. We've kinda seen it get better week by week. And then you got a tight end that's pretty damn good. You got three receivers who are pretty damn good. Really four receivers that are pretty damn good.


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[Assistant] And then the big guy, Tate, in the number 19. He's another one. He's a great fourth receiver to have. And then you've got Joe Mixon, who's a star running back. A star running back. And so that's why they're here to stay. And, uh, they had answers for Baltimore in this game, and I think that's the coolest thing about it.


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[Assistant] And, and, and the run game in ways that you can't really quantify by just going, do we take the big franchise Hall of Fame left tackle or the Hall of Fame, you know, wide receiver? You know, I, I understand the thought there and everything like that. And it's easy to say right now, Hey, it's easy cause Penny Sue hasn't been great. And Jamar chase is already one of the five best receivers in football.


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[Assistant] So, yes, but, uh, yeaah, I'm with you with that conversation.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no doubt about it. And, you know, the, the big thing is here is, you know, again, like I said, they got a little bit of everything. Here's a three tight end set with the wide receiver, Joe Mixon, you know, and they do a good job of like every week just having like two or three


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[Assistant] He's uh, unlike Mahomes, like right now, like we're talking about.


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[Assistant] He plays true to form on his reads every play. He is as good in the pocket as anybody in football. I mean, he's a master in the pocket. He is, I always call him, he's some slippery son, son of a bitch. That's what I always call him. I mean, that's what he is. Alright, so uhm, let's, let me look at this here.


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[Assistant] What down was it? First and ten. First and ten, great. Time to three. Alright, so here we go. Let me just see if I can get to the point I really want to get here and pause this the right way. Okay, alright, so here it is.


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[Assistant] You're gonna see the little fake to speed sweep, right? It's gonna fake to Joe Mixon. He's gonna roll out just a little bit. It's a controlled roll out, not like a bootleg. And then you're gonna have a crossing route.


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[Assistant] And then with that, here's Izoma, who's a very good player. Usually with this type of play, the tight end runs a corner route. That's usually how it goes, right? I mean, you've had this play in your offense in some capacity in every level almost.


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[Assistant] Exactly right, three levels, right? So he's just gonna go, it's usually one, two, and then whoever. It could be the back in the flat, or I think it's this guy in the flat here, or actually it might be the speed sweep guy in the flat, excuse me. But you're right, three level throw.


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[Assistant] Alright, Baltimore is playing man to man. You're, you're seeing he's gonna go across, here goes a corner with him.


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[Assistant] Like, they're living up, giving up a lot of big plays, we go, wait, you can't ask this guy to play man to man on the tight end, and then also be responsible for the C or D gap in the run game. Because there's gonna be things that, it's just not gonna be fair and realistic to ask him to do, right? So we just said it's man to man, and,


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[Assistant] Here's Queen, who's a really good athletic player. He's got him man to man. But Wink Martindale...


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[Assistant] Is like a smart guy, and the fact that, like, wait, I can't ask him...


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[Assistant] You know, to cover him man to man, and if they run some play action fake right at him, of course he's gonna run up and fill his gap that he has to fill up. And now we're gonna ask him to chase the guy down field, right? That's not fair. That's not realistic. You're not setting up yourself for success on defense when people do that.


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[Assistant] What they asked to do here, cause Wink is smart.


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[Assistant] But Zach Taylor was smarter in this one to go, wait, I think if we get in this formation, I might be able to screw them over. So instead of Azoma running the corner route like we always see, he's gonna run the post route. And you go, well why would he do that with a single safety there? Well they know.


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[Assistant] So they ask the safety to cut the crosser is what we would call it, alright?


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[Assistant] Little bit of, it's a cool idea. It's gonna work most of the time.


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[Assistant] Like I said, right now it's looking just like we said, right? I mean it's three levels. There's the guy on the short. Here comes the crosser. Oh look, he's gonna run this.


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[Assistant] They look good, and look, you can see the safety is coming down, cause he's going, wait, this is my rule here, because Patrick Queen, he doesn't, he can't be right there, he's gotta be worried about Joe Mixon, who's damn good, so he's going after him.


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[Assistant] Look at Leguzoma, he's kinda looking here, he's leaning, he's leaning Marlon Humphrey. As usual, they put Marlon Humphrey in the toughest position there is possible, which is what he does, and that's why he's way better than any numbers grading system or what people realize, they always put him in the toughest spot.


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[Assistant] He's gonna go boom and boom, alright, because that safety is left center field to cut this guy off as a crosser, because that's what he's been coached to do.


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[Assistant] And meanwhile, up here at the top, we got Joe B, who's coming out, alright, and he's going, wait, there's a guy coming off the edge here, and he's just great at, oh wait, let me stop, let me get back over here.


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[Assistant] Where there's a little more protection because I got Braven's defense screwed and I just need to buy myself a half a second so I can throw this ball up to Izoma. Izoma, Izoma, I mess that up all the time.


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[Assistant] Great play, great throw as you can see, right on the money, but like, that, that all goes to, to Zach Taylor and the offensive coordinator just knowing exactly what they're going to do and then Boro Nizuma finishing it off with a great play.


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[Assistant] Right, right. They got one over. They self-scouted themselves, that's right. Baltimore had self-scouted them and said, wait, this is what they always do.


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[Assistant] Right, right. Exactly right. We're gonna have to safety cut the crosser. There'll be nothing there. We've seen this on film. I'm gonna, I bet you Cincinnati's run that concept.


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[Assistant] The way we first showed it, I bet you a handful of times already the whole year. Maybe more than that. So, yes, they're thinking, Baltimore's thinking, we got them screwed over. Right. And Cincinnati gone, oh yeah, sure you do.


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[Assistant] Yep, alright. And I mean, listen, last week we talked about it like all the time, right? Just as far as like managing the weird looks of Baltimore.


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[Assistant] How you gonna do it? And this to me was one of the keys to the game and it's just a great example to show it, first off. Yeaah, I mean, with them, Baltimore here, I mean, it's six guys at the line of scrimmage. You just, you don't know. You're like, I don't know who's coming, who's dropping, is this guy gonna come and he gonna cover him? There's just so many different ways they can do it.


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[Assistant] Exactly right, because now what they do with the tight end, this is why I wanted to point this out. He's in this A gap between the right guard and the center, so now, and I don't know if everybody can see it, but the two A gap guys in the middle here, right?


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[Assistant] Now the center can take one, the guard can take the down lineman, the left tackle can take the other down lineman, Uzoma can take the other agap blitzer if he comes, and now they got two lineman on two lineman, so they got six guys.


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[Assistant] You got the back? Just in case. And some of the other crazy stuff. Hey, just look at, you know, whatever, secondary guys. If you see some crazy safety bullets, hey, we'd like you to help out. Do all that. They were great at this all day.


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[Assistant] It's, it's, it's, when they got the double A looks, and they got similar formations, yes. It's kinda becoming the new thing to stop the double A thing in the NFL with the offenses. It's like, stop trying to figure out and guess all this crap. Let's just put him here.


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[Assistant] Then we can move our alignment over there. And then you'll see, I think P Ryan gets out here eventually after he checks and goes, okay, wait, we got bodies on bodies. We're good. And then, hey, at the top of the screen, of course we got


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[Assistant] You know, Mr. Invincible right now, and Jamar Chase, who's just gonna, I mean he's almost, I'm just telling you, to this point, I don't care who you are in football anymore. I don't care.


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[Assistant] There's no corner in football that can cover this guy one on one. Nobody. Nobody. He gives a little shake. He comes inside. He breaks on the in-cut. Joe B is protected. And now it's 10-10.


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[Assistant] I mean, Joe's not, and Joe never flinches in the pocket as to like some of the things we've talked about. I mean, Joe, look, I mean, he doesn't look, he's not even looking at the rush. I mean, that's part of the reason why he got hurt last year. Cause he's just like, I'll just stand here all day. And if I feel like I got to move, I'll move. Joe throws a freaking dime.


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[Assistant] Okay, which is important for guys like Jamar Chase, because they don't ever have to slow down. And here we go, it's the Jamar Chase, eeew, eeew, beep, beep, beep. I mean, that's what he does. Yeah. And all of a sudden it becomes, I don't know what it ended up being, a 30 yard gain or whatever, but here they are. There it is. I mean, he is...


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[Assistant] So fun to watch. He's my man crush in football right now.


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[Assistant] But, Jamar. Jamar. I love Joe too. You might like them both. I like Joe a lot too. I do. But man, Jamar is something else.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no doubt about it. Hey, I think there's, you know, there's a few things at play here. You know, hey, Chargers didn't play their best. There's no doubt about that. We know that.


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[Assistant] I think there's more of a run game to worry about when you play Cincinnati, so that makes things harder on Baltimore to a degree too.


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[Assistant] And then ultimately the biggest thing is experience and they, they've, they know Baltimore.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, Zach Taylor, this is year three for him, right? Year three, right? Yeah, year three. So they got some clues on what they do in certain formations and what blitzes they bring in certain personnel sets to where that helps. And now with Talon and Joe Burrow being the second year, and they got three interior offensive linemen who are some big


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[Assistant] That even for a team like Baltimore, they can't move them, and the tackles are playing okay, but yeaah. They, you know, again, you're always worried about your division, your teams and your division. So they're building their team, worrying about like, oh, we gotta be Pittsburgh and Baltimore, we gotta figure this out. And of course, they've done their due diligence on figuring out how to pick up some of these crazy blitzes and defenses things they do.


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[Assistant] Baltimore's not a great running team. They got some really good concepts that I like. They're not as, and I mean this statistically, I don't know where they are. They're probably top five. When I'm talking about running, first off, it can't be Lamar Jackson amazing scrambles. That's not running the ball. They had a few good quarterback design runs in this game that helped, but like, I don't know


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[Assistant] If this is a year where even against the great defenses like years past, you can still go, well, they can just give it to the running back and they're still going to get yards. I don't know if they're not that as good as upfront as they, they've been in years past. And then of course, Cincinnati is good too. And Cincinnati with DJ Reader and Ogunjobi in the middle, they're, they're, they're,


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[Assistant] Tough. Oganjobi's big and pretty athletic. DJ Reader is a space eater. You can't move him.


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[Assistant] And then they got two defense ends and Hubbard and Hendrickson who can do everything kind of good. We can play the run good. We rushed the passer pretty good. So that's really what helps them out on that side of the ball. But they squashed the running back run game from Baltimore and that made Baltimore have to go.


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[Assistant] We're not going to be able to run the ball other than maybe a little more Jackson play here and there. Yeah.


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[Assistant] They forced Baltimore into a total pass game for the most part.


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[Assistant] I think he realized the same thing I'm saying, where he's just going, I don't know if they got a plan here.


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[Assistant] Second half, I might dial up these a few times because I didn't like, I liked what I saw. I don't...


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[Assistant] I don't necessarily know if they know exactly what they want to do in those situations. And that's what I want to point out. You know, hey, Lamar made some great throws in this game. He missed a few reads in that. I'm not going to say he played perfect. I'm not sitting here going to defend everything he did.


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[Assistant] He made a lot of great levels, great throws. I would say there's two reads he missed that could have come in like, whoa, they could have maybe got a 20, 30 yard gain here, definitely. But again,


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[Assistant] What I want to say to people too, sometimes, because the thing is, is Mark going to be able to carry them? With his, you know, right arm and all that? Uh, yeaah, to a degree, but like,


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[Assistant] Don't expect it to be like an air show and they're gonna be like the chiefs of 2019. That's not what they are. I mean that's like going, well the chiefs...


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[Assistant] Chiefs aren't throwing the ball good, why can't they run it like Baltimore then? They're playing past Stevens, they should just run it every play and dominate them. No, Baltimore was built to run the ball. That's what they're built to do.


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[Assistant] They're not, their ace of the hole is not, we're gonna drop back and beat you 50 times a game with a pass. They need some element of the run game to help out their pass offense a little bit. They didn't get that. But here we go, let's show it.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, and, you know, here, hey, I'd like to see, I don't know what Lamar is exactly looking at, but you're getting all out blitz here from the Bengals. One, two, three, four, five, six, seven guys, right? Seven guys. This guy kinda just went in to get a guy, you know, get a blocker to pay attention to him and then get out.


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[Assistant] I, you know, there was no plan. Lamar was a little off on this, whatever. Hey, you see, he could throw it right here. I don't know why he doesn't. All right. And then he's got a guy over here as well. But this is one of the things all game long where, yeah, okay, maybe he could have got the ball out of his hands here quick. And Baltimore does a pretty good job of sorting all this out and like kind of protecting him.


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[Assistant] This happens, I'm gonna say, five times in the second half, where it just seems Lamar and the offense weren't exactly sure where to go with the football, right? And I don't know if it's


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[Assistant] Whatever, he's not coached enough to go, like, we want to go here with the football.


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[Assistant] Or, if it's just not enough plan altogether.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't know, I think what scared him here at the top of the screen, cause you can see he's looking at it. I think he's open, what he's looking at. He is open, I think he just, I don't know if he gets scared with this guy in his face, and this is a corner and a tight end, and he's a little scared that he's gonna make a break on the ball, I don't know.


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[Assistant] Uh, either way, yeaah, he doesn't make the great play. I'm not going to sit here and try to defend Lamar here all the way. No, definitely not.


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[Assistant] Exactly, exactly right. You might not be able to see it clearly, you're going, wait I saw, the last frame he might see is like,


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[Assistant] Just a little of what we're here, like look at 21 at the top of the screen. He might just be going, man, he looks like he's already breaking out a little bit. And I, I couldn't see it clearly and I just didn't want to pull the trigger. So now he's on that side and now it's like, oh crap, there's a lot of people around me and he's gonna try to look for something else.


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[Assistant] The point being, still the same. There just was a lot of this in the second half. Baltimore's gonna see this until they start to answer it. Right? Like I would be shocked and Baltimore's gonna buy this week, but Minnesota the next week, I would think they're gonna dial up some of these plays and just go, I don't know, let's see if they have answers for this type of defense.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no doubt, there is. After this, and I think this was, you know, maybe the second or third of the game.


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[Assistant] The next series, they bring it like three or four times on that series alone. And Baltimore really has no success on any of them. One time he's about to throw to somebody, I think the ball gets batted down or whatever. But for the most part, it was a little like, whoa, this has flustered Baltimore and they don't know exactly what to do.


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[Assistant] I don't see big picture concern. I don't, I'm not gonna say that. You know, again, I just think they're one of those teams in the AFC like I say with a lot of the top AFC teams. I got questions about a little. The defense is not as dominant as years past. You know, like we talked about last week, I think Wink Martindale has figured out


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[Assistant] Against a lot of offenses, how to kind of put some band-aids on some things. You know, offensive line.


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[Assistant] Yeah, hey, Orlando Brown's not there from last year, Bonnie Stanley's hurt again, right? They got some issues there, so they're not as dominant that way. I know they're 5-2, they're good, they're probably gonna be in the playoffs, I don't doubt that, I just don't know if they're like,


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[Assistant] Well listen, he needs to play better, there's no doubt about that. Does he hold the ball a little too long at times? Certainly, yes. You know, he made a few errant throws, there's no doubt. I mean, you know my questions about him still. He's been good, I've been very positive with him, I like


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[Assistant] The ball in the 32 yard line going into score for the first touchdown. Two plays, 32 yards. Touchdown, 7-0. The next drive, 6 plays, 40 yards. Touchdown. Next drive, 5 plays, 35 yards. Touchdown.


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[Assistant] Okay, then they have a 75 yard driver touchdown and then a 10 play 48 yard drive. They scored 4 touchdowns where they got the ball in Chicago's territory.


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[Assistant] Justin Fields, yea, everybody asks me about him every week, because I didn't rank him the number one or two quarterback, so I'm a hater. So everybody, wherever I go, I go to my kids football park and say, Justin Fields!


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[Assistant] Yeah, manageable third down, third and five. I mean, hey, the first thing I want to say is the play itself, okay? I mean...


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[Assistant] It's just, you know, when you look at it right here, like where do you want him to throw the ball?


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[Assistant] Well, I don't like any of it. I mean, it's just, to me, this always goes back to like what I talk about with Chicago. It's just too basic.


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[Assistant] I mean, I know it looks like he's open right now. That's Dicey. And that's Devon White, who has two rockets up his ass as a middle linebacker. And then another receiver, and you can see Ross Cockrell's breaking down on him.


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[Assistant] You know, here, he got pretty tight coverage. Okay, oh, maybe he could fit it into the perfect throw ever and got four yards. And maybe he could have got four yards jamming it in here while also decapitating his wide receiver.


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[Assistant] Alright, they give him no schematical advantages.


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[Assistant] Look, so he's going across the board. I mean, like I said, look how it plays, you know, again, look how it plays out here with these three. They're all going through the next guy. They've passed it off. Who, if he tried to fit it into any of those, it's going to be an interception or decapitation.


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[Assistant] Right, so now, okay, here's the other theme we need to hit on, you know, Lechevia Simmons, the right tackle who had a start because of the COVID issues that he mentioned, he's on JPP. They leave him on an island all game long, like he's just like,


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[Assistant] This is the top five pick of the draft. We don't have to protect this guy ever. They don't do anything for him. The whole game.


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[Assistant] Like what? Okay, so he pumps fakes. Now he's gotta scramble. Of course he does. Nobody's open. What the hell is he gonna do? And then he ends up


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[Assistant] He ends up throwing an interception. So, you know, because here comes, uhm, Alan Robinson across the screen. All right. And he's just trying to play football. And there, I mean, there, he tripped and falls a little bit. Here he is. Yeah, he made a bad throw. I mean, he made a bad throw. He's about to get killed, of course.


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[Assistant] When you're playing, like, playing, running for your life football, eh, okay, yeaah, he missed the throw either way, but, I mean, that's just a disaster of a play from all angles, and that's why, I mean, in my opinion, Chicago has the worst offense in football.


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[Assistant] Yep, another third and five, here we go, here we go. I'm in.


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[Assistant] Well, what's the first thing we're gonna look at here? I mean, first off...


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[Assistant] Like, we're just gonna leave Lechavia Simmons. Never, first game ever starting. First game ever. Ever!


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[Assistant] Yeah. Just let him go. Who cares? He'll block him. Oh, okay. That's right. Great. He blocked him on the whiteboard during the week, coach. He, he on the whiteboard during the week, they went, look, he's protected. We're good.


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[Assistant] Never even looks. Never even looks. Never even looks. And I don't know. Maybe he's a rookie. Maybe he did mess up. I don't know. But I never saw all game him do it. So it makes me think that that was never coached up. Alright, so here we go. Four man pressure. And listen.


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[Assistant] Just take my word for it, okay? I mean first off, it's like


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[Assistant] They might as well told Todd Bowles, just like, hey, we're gonna run this play. He knew what they were gonna run.


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[Assistant] You know, you know me, I'm always into like, when they dropped in the zones, they just always seemed to drop where they wanted to throw the ball. I mean, look, there's three guys over here in a bunch. There's already a defense end drop, and this guy's here, this guy's here, he's looking over here. I mean, they got it covered, it's glue.


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[Assistant] I mean again, oh yea, better ball security, Justin Fields. Great. I mean help out your rookie. I don't know what else to say. I don't.


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[Assistant] And they just do nothing and I've yet to see a really a quarterback design run package. Why did we draft Justin Fields if we're never gonna do it? I don't understand it.


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[Assistant] No, and I'm not saying you gotta sit here and kill the quarterback and run him 25 times. I'm saying if you give...


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[Assistant] I know, and they haven't seen the right, the right tackle has been dominating to this point, so don't adjust now. Don't do that now.


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[Assistant] I mean, holy crap-ola Batman. So here they are dropping a guy out. It's a four man rush. Hey, we've talked about this every week. This is the new thing in NFL. Just, we're still rushing four, alright, but...


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[Assistant] You know, we're gonna, we're gonna make it look like a blitz and you just don't know where they're gonna come from.


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[Assistant] What? I mean, he knows, he's like, oh, they told me the route they're gonna run, I'm just gonna get to there, to the right. Now first, I mean, again, you see the right tackle at the top of the screen? I mean, he's got no chance.


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[Assistant] Like, Sayonara. You're gone. Okay. I mean, JPP's missing fingers and he's got a hurt hand and he's still going around them. Alright? You know, again.


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[Assistant] This is the other thing too. They give defensive secondaries and coordinators nothing to think about or ever scare them. You know, again, here we're gonna, they're gonna ask you, and there's a guy I believe out here, it doesn't matter, look at all, there's two buck players here, a buck player here, a buck player here, I believe there's one out here, it's just like, oh.


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[Assistant] Right, the most aggressive defense in football gets to play aggressive and come downhill.


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[Assistant] Like don't ever scare them, just let them come down and just act like they're playing


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[Assistant] The Franklin Lakes Pee Wee football team all the time and never have fear. They never did anything to back them off all game long. And here it is again. Hey, you know, Justin, can you jam it in here for a four yard game? Like whoop-dee-doo coach, thanks. And like if I'm off target by three inches, the ball gets tipped in the air and we get an interception.


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[Assistant] I mean it's just, I just, I don't know what else to say. I hate their offense. I hate it.


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[Assistant] You know, again, I'll stay to what I've always said, and we've seen it in some other games, and even in this game, they had a little success running the ball. Like in the first half, not when the game was over.


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[Assistant] To where I want to go like, well, we just came into the game just going, well, I mean, Tampa's run defense is good and we're just not even going to give it a chance. Like, you know, I understand maybe the Cowboys doing that. They just go, well, we got awesome receivers. We got Dak Prescott. Of course we're going to throw it. Screw it. We don't even want to mess with it.


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[Assistant] They don't have that luxury. You have to do that a little bit to me to play that game and I'll go back. I mean, to me it should be Cleveland Browns run the ball, eye formations, boots, view Lamar Jackson quarterback design runs.


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[Assistant] You know, if you play action passes, take the shot down the field. Simple, but makes the defense defend the whole field. You play to your strengths. You help your rookie quarterback out. They got two receivers. You could beat one on one. Their offensive line is good at run blocking, not so good at pass blocking. I mean, literally sometimes I go into the games with Chicago and go,


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[Assistant] Are they trying to win? Or are they trying to, like, look as bad as possible? I don't understand that game plan at all. Sorry.


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[Assistant] Great funny question, no doubt about that. Uh, but no, I'm not going to be the GM of the 49ers. Hey, Shanahan is the GM of the 49ers.


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[Assistant] He's the GM. He's got the last call on all of these. I'm not trying to disrespect John Lynch. Of course, he has the title and is doing a lot of heavy lifting and, and of course, you know, supplying Shanahan with a lot of information and giving him his opinions and all that. But at the end of the day, Kyle is calling the shots on


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[Assistant] Players through free agency, the draft, it's his call. There's no doubt about that.


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[Assistant] You know, during the season, I don't talk to Kyle much. I know people think like we're nothing. I haven't talked to Kyle since, I don't, like I said, I think early summer. It's the last time I've had a discussion with him, other than a few texts here and there. He's got a lot of other things taking up his time. Definitely. Figuring up the quarterback situation. No doubt about it.


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[Assistant] I do. I think it is the right call. Like I said, again, I think Trey Lance, hey, we know he's shown some high-end talent, yes, but it's just, it's raw. It's, it was all over the place in the game we saw with throws, decisions, you know, leaving the pocket.


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[Assistant] Endangering himself a little bit like we talked about. So that's where you gotta be careful. They've invested in a lot in him.


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[Assistant] So they ca- they can't just go, oh well we invested a lot and man the pressure's on us from the fans and we just gotta throw you out there. No!


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[Assistant] You know, that's when you, he does get hurt, and now he misses next year, and now it's even worse. So it just, they need to be careful, and again, without Raheem Moster and their tailbacks being totally 100% what they are, I think they need an element of the past game.