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[Assistant] Definitely, definitely. He's showing why he was the number one pick, and he's starting to have moments of like, you know, as we talked about two weeks ago, like, hey, I'll carry you guys here through this moment, no problem. Uh, big win for them. Good job, Jacksonville. And Tennessee, here's the other area I'm a little worried about. The D-line, you know, the D-line's still really good.


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[Assistant] And I understand they played the Eagles last week, but I guess it's lack of plays by the D-line that's a little concerning. You know, I know they didn't run the ball on them yesterday, but...


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[Assistant] Trevor seemed pretty comfortable throughout the day. And maybe I'm wrong. You know, again, I'm trying to watch seven games at one o'clock, but I never felt like...


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[Assistant] And yeaah, I'm sitting here looking at this, Tennessee got zero sacks. I never felt like Trevor was in, you know, under stress or duress during the game, and was shocked a little bit about the big plays in the pass game that the Titans let up. I mean, this is a team, again, you heard me a few weeks ago going, their pass defense and all the things they do, it's so great.


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[Assistant] I can understand the Eagles tearing them apart because they got into, wait, we're just going to play man and we have to stop this run game. So that wasn't like necessarily breakdowns. I was just like, no, their players are better than yours. Yesterday seemed like their actual zone coverages and schemes were exposed a little bit. And that's where I'm kind of interested to go back and watch that.


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[Assistant] No, no, I'm gonna, you know me, I'm gonna stay true to it, but let me just throw some things out for food for thought of why this could be scary for the New England Patriots. One, we know New England's offense is nothing special. Correct. Arizona's got some playmakers and they're creative.


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[Assistant] Uh, I can see them giving the pa- the Patriots off on some issues. To me, the- the Patriots-


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[Assistant] If they can't run the ball, then they're gonna be in trouble. They gotta run the ball. Because if they have to drop back against this crew, they have a lot of creative blitzes, and they're pretty good at coverage. Where I think, against this bland pass offense they got in New England, that's gonna be scary. Here's the other thing that's just a little scary with New England too. You know, again, you know, New England,


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[Assistant] Play man-to-man, yes. They don't play as much man-to-man as years past. Arizona can throw quick game and, you know, be effective against zone and I think they're going to spread them out and...


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[Assistant] Is there enough speed on that Patriots front to contain Kyler Murray? And again, I'll talk about Uche again. We saw him. Uche is the guy that I look at is going to have to make some plays tonight and corral Kyler as he's just about to break the corner and have a big game. There's some of that, but that does scare me a little bit as far as this. And then even the man to man.


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[Assistant] Theondre Hopkins is almost uncoverable man to man, cause he just, even when he's blanketed, he still catches the ball. Uhm, so those are just some food for thought. I don't feel real confident about this. I think this is very much a coin flip game. I know it's New England, and we're all, but I don't know if New England's as good as we think.


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[Assistant] And Arizona still has some elements about them that are dangerous. And that's where I think it could be a fun watch for us tonight.


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[Assistant] It's actually pretty significant this year. I hear you. That was, and I think in a moment of the year where your defense was really struggling, they kind of had it working in the run game a little bit.


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[Assistant] You made some stupid mistakes in that game. That was a fourth down to start the game, remember? Give Bailey Zappi the ball, a 45 yard line. And then Jared Goff went down the field and threw an interception the very next drive as they drove down, right? Little misleading the scorer, but yeaah, I know. You know, they've, they've,


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[Assistant] Bills though might have locked up that one seed. That could be. Or they might have to still be playing to win to make sure they get the one seed, right? Uh, but, but that, that to me is definitely something to watch. I mean, so you, you think New England's gonna make it? I don't know. I just feel like they, uh,


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[Assistant] Well, you said the top three teams in the AFC, Buffalo, Kansas City, Cincinnati. Baltimore and Tennessee are going to win their divisions, or you know, maybe Cincinnati wins that over Baltimore when they play head to head.


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[Assistant] I was still gonna ride with Miami getting in the playoffs. And that just leaves one spot left for the Chargers, Jets, and the Patriots. And I, I feel like...


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[Assistant] I would definitely lean Chargers or Jets over the Patriots at this point.


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[Assistant] So say you bet $100 on DeAndre Hopkins to score the first TD tonight. Okay. And that's the most popular bet on MGM from the game so far. Who is right? When they get close, they're throwing to him. I could tell you that if you win, you'll get $750. Okay. But if you lose, you'll still get $100.


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[Assistant] Might have to get on that DeAndre Hopkins bet MGM parlay preview right there.


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[Assistant] Sometimes Coca Cola's the best drink out there. Oh, and it's not though. Pepsi's better. I do like Pepsi. Pepsi's pretty good.


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[Assistant] That's a great t-shirt too. Great t-shirt. Damn. Your wife's making more t-shirts, huh?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's what we are. We're dumb men and that's what we like to do. Alright everybody, you know the deal. That's it. We hit em all. I'm Ed, you the man. Thanks for driving the ship as always. Thanks for dealing with me being late on a Monday as always. And thanks for


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[Assistant] Listening to me, talk too much, as always. Thank you very much. Alright, you know we're back Wednesday. Treasure Hunters are here.


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching, homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] Focus back on me. That's about it. Okay, so your focus is on me. Focus is on you. Okay, good. I like that. I like to hear that. Is your focus on me. You complete me. And this podcast. You complete me.


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[Assistant] National Football League. You can't make that play in the National Football League. Although I feel like that's gone out of style a little bit lately. I don't hear that quite as much.


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[Assistant] We gotta remember that though. Cause I'm gonna, I'm gonna wish that around Christmas time too. We hope you have a Christmas. Hope you have a Christmas. Hope you have a New Year. Thank you. Hope you have a Valentine's. Just have it. Hope you have a life. Doesn't need to be good. Yeah, hope you have a life out there. No, it was fun watching the Lions on Thanksgiving. Cause for the first time in a long time, I was actually kinda nervous.


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[Assistant] I love Thanksgiving. It's just a total football, which I guess Christmas will be a total football holiday this year.


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[Assistant] That's a little appetizer to the main feast. So we're gonna go through every game. That's our pledge to the homies out there. We'll start with the biggest games, the biggest stories. And I don't know that we've ever done this before. I think this is the first time in podcast history.


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[Assistant] Uh, so our demo cam, we're gonna start with the game that we had on Sunday night, because it was awesome. We're gonna quickly get into also, our next game is gonna be the Jets game, which I think you're gonna have to recuse yourself from. I don't know that you can talk about that team, or that situation.


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[Assistant] You're gonna sit out that one, we're gonna bring Morgan in. Morgan's gonna sit here, we're gonna go over the Jets game. When we get to that, that's second though, because we start with our game on Sunday Night Football. We've had a good run of games here on Sunday Night, some close games. This one was awesome, because there were some storylines going in, this was Eagles and Packers that


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[Assistant] Aaron Rodgers got the broken thumb. He's all banged up. And this is, if they're out of the playoffs, could this be the last time we see Aaron Rodgers on a Sunday night in a Green Bay uniform? That's not crazy to think at this point. So we'll get to all that stuff, but let's give props to the Eagles who are back. It was a close game.


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[Assistant] I think at the end of the game people were kind of saying it was like, oh they flexed their muscle and it was a blowout. Wasn't a blowout.


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[Assistant] Definitely wasn't a blowout. They had some misfires on defense. Right. Had some mistakes. Had some mistakes.


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[Assistant] Aaron Rodgers too, that 11 yard pass from Randall Cobb. You're like, wow, man, this is looking like, there he is again. Uh, so some big plays, but it was the Eagles. Our damn okay goes to Jalen Hertz, a career high, 157 rushing yards, 103 of that was in the first quarter. So that was the quarter we were like,


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[Assistant] I think we have some dots on Jalen Hertz's 42 yard run. It was the most on a scramble this season.


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[Assistant] And no defender got within 4 yards of hertz after he crossed the line of scrimmage until he got to the 10 yard line. So to your point, there's just no one there.


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[Assistant] I do worry about the Eagles defense a little bit. Uh, he's just so laid back as Jalen Hurst, fourth quarterback in NFL history with 150 or more passing yards and 150 or more rushing yards in a single game. Michael Vick did it. Colin Kaepernick did it. Lamar Jackson did it. Now Jalen Hurst.


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[Assistant] Yeah, probably not every game they're going to run for 363 yards, which is the most in the franchise history since 1948. And we all know how good that team was in 1948 running football. I mean, how could you forget the 48 yards?


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[Assistant] Yeah, the brotherly love bruisers. I think they were called back in the day. They're just the bruisers. They didn't run over everyone. They won the championship that year, Pete says. He's a historian.


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[Assistant] Aaron Rodgers has looked very hard for them, so we want to talk about him before we move on to our next game here. So Aaron Rodgers, uh, Coach Magnet has tweeted into you and says, thoughts on Jordan Love's performance. I know it's a small sample size, but it was promising, seemed to give the team a bit of energy. So it looks like, I mean, Aaron Rodgers, we don't know for sure. He looked in some pain.


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[Assistant] I'd be more interested in that. I'd be more interested in watching the Green Bay Packers play with Jordan Love the rest of the year. Yea, would you? Let's see what they have. They look pretty good from the small sample we saw. Let's see what they have the rest of the way.


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[Assistant] It always gives us something to talk about when the backup quarterback plays maybe better than the starting quarterback, which is what happened with the Jets and Bears. Right. Not for the Bears. Look at you grinning over here. So we're gonna ask you to stand up and leave for probably 10 to 15 minutes. Morgan's gonna come in here and talk about this game.


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[Assistant] He was, he was good right back in the day. So was Chad Pennington. How dare you. Okay, alright, they were good. Uhm. Damn Lions fans giggling at the Jets over here. So he was good and I'm sure...


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[Assistant] I didn't, I didn't dare go in there. You've been a staunch supporter of Zach Wilson. You know, it's, it's been tough defenses that they've played, which is true. Uh, it's an offense that hasn't really clicked and there's not a whole, whole lot of talent around it, which is very true. But Mike White went in there against a Bears defense.


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[Assistant] And looked really good and made all the throws and made the plays. Maybe it wasn't the greatest defense out there, but he made the plays out there and Jets fans are loving it right now. Your honest and fair assessment of what you saw from Mike White on Sunday.


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[Assistant] So here's a question from Derbio Bochter, kind of along those lines. He goes, damn okay, Jets offense, the contrast between the ineffectiveness of the Wilson led offense and the way the offense hummed with White at quarterback was obvious. Now, given the performance and the reported preference for him in the locker room, do you think we will see a switch back at quarterback anytime soon?


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[Assistant] His passing chart right here. He didn't throw the ball that far down the field. His average depth of target was 5.8 yards down the field, the third lowest of any quarterback this week. But this is what I'll say too. And we've talked about this before. If you're a high draft pick, you get the benefit of the doubt and you get a little more run than maybe even you should. You get a little longer leash, right?


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[Assistant] And so Zach Wilson does have the benefit of that. Here's Mike White, 27 year old, spent a couple years at South Florida, three years at Western Kentucky, was drafted in the fifth round. He's getting some run now. And no, he didn't have to face those tough defenses that Zach Wilson had to face, but he also didn't have the opportunity to play against those and maybe impress, right?


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[Assistant] This is his chance, right? And not a whole lot of fifth round picks, 27 year old quarterbacks get that chance. So I think a lot of Jets fans out there are like, this is his chance. He's earned it. He deserves it. Zach Wilson hasn't blown the doors off with anything. And so let's.


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[Assistant] Let's see, let's ride him until he messes up. Sure. And looks like Zach Wilson out there. Right. And so I think there's a part of me that's happy to see a fifth round guy.


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[Assistant] Maybe, right. Which, which is part of the job. Yeah. Right? I mean, you know as an NFL quarterback. 100%. Those are your weapons. You can't, you can't discard those guys and bring in guys you get along with better. It's like, it's your job, right? Yeah. Am I wrong there? It's your job to get along with them.


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[Assistant] The defense is going to keep them in games, right? And so that's the, if Mike White can hold onto the ball and not make the big turnover, which Zach Wilson actually did a pretty good job of in a lot of those games that they won. Just the two losses, right? The Jets have held six of their last seven opponents to 17 points or fewer out there. So if you're the Detroit Lions, you go, Hey,


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[Assistant] We'll give you, Jets, a second round pick. All you gotta do is give us Zach Wilson. I do think it's kind of interesting, cause there were a lot of teams.


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[Assistant] That you know of, that liked Zach Wilson going into the draft, that probably still could use a quarterback in their future franchise quarterback. So if they feel like you do, like a little bit of a messy situation, he wasn't as bad as it looked, they're in a tough spot because they're a playoff team now, I don't know. I mean, I'd be interested too.


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[Assistant] Uh, Morgan, thank you for that. Uh, you can go sit down. Chris comes back in here. Um, one more thing I want to say about this. That's right. I knew there was one more thing. I pulled the Colombo. I pulled the Colombo this time. There are some people out there now saying that


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[Assistant] Compass Traveler says, I know Mike White was versus the Bears defense, but watching him and Geno Smith makes me think, is there real value for a young quarterback to learn a system and develop on the practice field instead of the pressure of being a starter right away?


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[Assistant] It all comes full circle. Who knows what's gonna happen this offseason. But we're in the middle of this season right here. So big win for the Jets there, although that was expected. Big win for the Eagles, although that was expected. This next one, I think might have been the best win of any team.


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[Assistant] The Bengals defeat the Titans, the big play Bengals, 20 to 16, a gutty win. We're going to give the damn okay to Mike Hilton, seven tackles, four, which stopped Derek Henry for one yard or no gain in this one.


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[Assistant] Uh, Derrick Henry, he had that one long pass reception where he fumbled and then Traylon Burks.


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[Assistant] Uh, recovered it in the end zone, but you take a look at, uh, what he has done. Those of you watching on Peacock and YouTube, if you're listening, I'll describe it to you. Rushes per game, the first, uh, 11 weeks, 23. He had 17 this last week and on the ground, just 38 yards against the Bengals. So they bottled them up.


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[Assistant] They protected Joe Burrow on the offensive side, and so an offense without Joe Mixon, without Jamar Chase, good enough, and contain Derek Henner.


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[Assistant] So they are the only team to beat the Titans three or more times and remain undefeated against them since Mike Frable was hiding.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're 5-0 are the Bengals this season when allowing two sacks or fewer, just allowed one sack yesterday against a team that they allowed nine sacks to in the divisional round last season, a game in which the Bengals still won. Yes. They can even win when not protecting Joe Burrow, but that seems to be something they've shored up. Yeah, they've shored it up. I feel like they're protecting him a whole lot better.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, they did have the error, the mental error by Kevin Strong at the end of the game, the Tennessee defensive tackle. Yeaah, it was just shocking to see that. Hit the long snap around the field goal. Yeaah, I was dying to see. They still would have needed to come back. I know, I wanted to see, you know,


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[Assistant] Here come the Cincinnati Bengals. Here they come. The big play Bengals now at 7 and 4. Over in the NFC, here come the San Francisco 49ers. Yes sir. They've been coming for a while now. Damn okay. We're gonna give it to a coach. D'Amico Ryan. I love it.


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[Assistant] For the 49ers, the defensive coordinator, they shut out the Saints. 13-0 was the final score. It is their sixth win this season by 10 or more points, most in the NFL. They don't have a great offense. It's a lot due to that defense.


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[Assistant] They have outscored opponents 57 to nothing in the second half during their four game win streak. So they have not given up a point in the second half in the last four games.


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[Assistant] They're doing it all. And they're even doing it all, Chris. A little bit short.


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[Assistant] Yeah, McCaffrey was a little dinged up in the game, too. 11 carries, 32 yards. Elijah Mitchell ran the ball pretty hard out there at the end of the game, so got him some key yards to melt away. But he got hurt again, I think here. I think he hurt his knee. Right. So what's been the key for Jimmy Garoppolo here? I mean, is it just a matter of him playing better? Is he clicking with Kyle in the offense? What do you think it is?


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[Assistant] Yes, Rocky Menichetti said Jimmy needed a guy like CMC.


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[Assistant] First time, actually the Saints had the longest shutout streak.


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[Assistant] Of not being shut out in the NFL. It went back 332 games. Wow. All the way back to 2001 was the last time they were shut out. 2001. And the team that shut them out then? I'm going to say the Bucs. The 49ers. Was it really? It's happened again. Wow.


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[Assistant] Time is a flat circle. Everything repeats. Uh, so yeaah, over, over two decades ago, so it's happened again at The Saints. Not a whole lot to talk about with New Orleans now. They're 4 and 8. They had maybe, I mean...


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[Assistant] The division's so bad, it's just like, just win a couple of these games, but 49er's a better team, clearly.


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[Assistant] That division's bad. It is bad. There's a division that's a whole lot better. Yeaah. Right now. Still in the NFC, we're going east.


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[Assistant] The NFC East, if the playoffs were to start today, we'd be scrambling because we're not ready for that, right? We'd have to get people places and set up a broadcast team. Uh, but every team in the NFC East would be in the playoffs. They would make the playoffs. That includes the Washington commanders, our final damn okay to give out. We're going to give it to Daron Payne.


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[Assistant] So he had the big tip at the end of the game, got his big mitt on that Marcus Mardiotta pass that ended up in the arms of Kendall Fuller for the game's ceiling interception. Uh, earlier it was Payne who


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[Assistant] Uh, stopped Patterson on a fourth and short. Fourth and short, right. Near midfield. And so, that defense that still doesn't have Chase Young, could see him back, uh, next game. Didn't need him in this one. They looked, uh, pretty good against a Falcons offense that has done some things throughout the year. 19-13, the final score. Payne had six tackles, two tackles for a loss. Um, they win ugly.


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[Assistant] The Washington, Washington commanders, are, are you feeling, they're similar to Atlanta, except they just


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[Assistant] He had a receiving touchdown. He had his first career 100 yard rushing game. And after the game, he was celebrating in the locker room. I don't know if you saw this. A giant hat. Oh, I saw it. So apparently this is not a Photoshop. If you're watching on Peacock or YouTube, you can see Brian Robinson said his friend has a big hat company. They make these big hats.


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[Assistant] You know, you've seen the turnover chain, right, and all those things, and Kurt Cousin wearing the chains. I like the big hat. I hope that catches on. Well, I kind of made fun of it pretty hard last night. On the show? And I feel bad now that it's his friend. You did it on football.


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[Assistant] So here was, I did the, I did the show with Matthew Barry yesterday, the fantasy football show. And so he's a noted commander fan, Matthew. And so here, if you're watching here, we're our, this is photoshopped. I don't know if you could tell or not, but I would have wondered if we did have them.


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[Assistant] Uh, but look at what we're doing. You're doing shots? It's a whole thing about drinking. That whole thing is about drinking. You weren't really doing shots. On the air. There's no way. On peacock. Look it. Look at that. We have a video. Look it.


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[Assistant] No shit. Nooo. But in my cup there, my Applebee's cup. You had liquor in there. Energy drink. Oh, energy drink. That's as hard as I'll go. We know you had that.


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[Assistant] Uh, so those are our demo case, and now we move into the analytics portion.


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[Assistant] of our show. My favorite part, the bold two point conversions. It is my favorite part. Uh, these are some good close, I love these. What a great day.


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[Assistant] Per Elias, Jacksonville's record when trailing by 7 or more points in the final minute of regulation was 0 and 175 before yesterday. So they needed a guy like Trevor Lawrence to have his signature moment, which you brought up on the Peacock show. You said you were waiting. You said you were waiting for it. You think yesterday was it.


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[Assistant] So they're tied atop the division still. They're 7 and 4. The Bengals are 7 and 4. So the two top teams in the AFC North.


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[Assistant] You know what's worse than giving up big leads? What? As a lifelong Lions fan? Yeah. Never having big leads. You know, like honestly, you know, it's like, I think the big narrative with the Ravens right now is that, wow, what's going on? What's wrong? It has been bad, right? They've been double digit leads. It was nine yesterday.


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[Assistant] And if anything, when they get into the playoffs and they have a 10 point lead, they're going to focus a little bit more. They've been through it a little bit at this point. Also in this game, we don't want to leave it without talking about Mike Florio's old nemesis. Oh no. Jackson Deville. Oh baby. He was in the news. He was hot yesterday. So apparently in the past.


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[Assistant] I mean, the, the, the yellow suit, I didn't realize how skin tight it is. So actually, actually Jackson DeVille is pretty well jacked. He's a, he's a fit, he's a fit man.


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[Assistant] Arue811 says, please, please take a moment to discuss the Jags mascot. So many questions. Now, I guess in the past, he has worn a Speedo in the past. Oh. Right, Morgan? We've seen him with a Speedo in the past. She confirms that news. Glad you guys are all over that. So now that the, like you said before, you know, it's Jacksonville they're not really talked about. Now they're actually getting a little bit better. Now we get some headlines here.


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[Assistant] Do you think he should adopt that as his permanent outfit? No, please don't.


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[Assistant] That went for too late and came back and beat the Cardinals 25-24. Uh, fourth win this season after trailing in the fourth quarter for the Chargers. We've seen so many times they blow those leads. They don't win those games. They've won a few of them this year. Let me just start with that too, because it was the same thing last game. I love the fact that teams and coaches are going for two.


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[Assistant] To win the game? I don't mind this either. To win at the end of the game. Because I always felt like, or I do feel like now, if you're playing for overtime, you're just delaying losing. You're delaying the outcome.


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[Assistant] He had a team high 38 yards rushing, 274 passing Austin Eckler, uh, the recipient of a lot of those passes. So it is Eckler and it is Herbert basically carrying, uh, that offense and this one we do have the.


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[Assistant] Passing chart had to do a little bit differently. We know he has that huge arm throwing down the field. This one he spread the ball out left and right down the middle of the field, not the deep passes, but, uh, but it was effective enough against this Cardinals defense.


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[Assistant] An overtime win, David and Joku. Man, I saw that David and Joku 4th and 10 catch. Wasn't that amazing? And I was like, man, that might be the best catch I've ever seen. And I was like, wait, we do that every week. We're just like, oh, that's the best catch I've ever seen, Justin Jefferson. But we've seen a lot of really good one-handed catches in crucial moments too. It's not just like, oh wow, middle of the game. That was cool. It was like, without that, they lose this game.


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[Assistant] Uh, they came back and won, did the Browns, give credit to Jacoby Briceppe.


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[Assistant] Let's start with his soundbite. Because he beat Tom Brady. He played with Tom Brady. He knows Tom Brady. He channeled his inner Chris Sims after the game in case you haven't heard. This is what Jacoby Brissett said after their walk-off overtime win.


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[Assistant] You had to be like a proud papa, even though I don't know why you'd be a papa to Jacobi. I'm always glad to see somebody swear in front of the microphone. It always makes me proud. Good for him. Good for this offense. Good for Nick Chubb, who they leaned on at the end of this game. Uhm, good for, good for the Browns winning a game that we've seen them fritter away many times. Definitely.


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[Assistant] And the Buccaneers offense just not scoring enough points, so it's putting a lot of pressure on that defense. Seven straight games for the Bucs with 22 or fewer for the first time since 2014, 2015. And now Tom Brady has the most losses in a season for him since 2009 and they're not done.


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[Assistant] They're not done losing games this year. Uh, it just seems like everything is, everything is so difficult offensively for the Buccaneers too. It is. It's just, it is out.


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[Assistant] A half game ahead of Atlanta. I don't know what to think of them anymore.


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[Assistant] Some people might say, oh, watch out though once they get to the playoffs, but it's very hard to see how it would be dangerous to anyone.


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[Assistant] And don't write off the Browns yet because they now have the Rally Skunk. They have the Rally Skunk. You saw it in the stands there. Multiple fans. Like this was not just one fan. Like multiple fans were taking videos of this skunk and like walking up to it and putting their face in it. I was like, why?


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[Assistant] Cause part of me was thinking like maybe these fans know he's out of spray. And that's why they're going up there. I don't think they're that intelligent there. Sorry.


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[Assistant] So Pete says skunks can spray up to six times per what? Per what?


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[Assistant] Yeah. We just learned how skunks work. That was pretty cool. I'm gonna show that to my kids later on.


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[Assistant] Don't write them off yet. No, you can probably write them off, but man, that was a fun game against the Seahawks, who now find themselves.


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[Assistant] Let's try to jockey for a playoff spot here. Thought maybe it was going to be a little easier for them. Uh, there's six and five now. Overtime win for the Raiders. And the story of this one is Josh Jacobs, of course, the first player with 300 or more scrimmage yards since Julio Jones did it in 2000.


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[Assistant] 16. Wow. He got the long one in overtime, in an overtime where the Raiders missed a long kick and it was like, all right, Seattle just needs to get into field goal range here at 20, 30 yards or something like that. Couldn't do it.


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[Assistant] Josh Jacobs with a walk off winner and now they got an interesting decision. I bet they wish they would have exercised that fifth year option on Josh Jacobs now cause he'll be a free agent and you need him running back out there. You could do worse.


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[Assistant] Still did some good things offensively, although that running game didn't get going. No. They had to rely on Gino in the passing game.


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[Assistant] The win there, Seahawks still in the playoff mix in conversation, gotta play a little bit better defensively.


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[Assistant] The final three games. Boom. Thanks to give me the headlines presented by Hyundai. So three games. These weren't the most intriguing games out there, but there are storylines in all of them. And our first game is dolphins beating the Texans 30 to 15.


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[Assistant] Uh, we did not come up with a headline before this. We put you on the spot here. Chris, you go put me on the spot.


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[Assistant] Well, yeah, a couple of things there. Miami scored on five of their first six possessions, not all touchdowns. They outgained Houston, 287 yards to 32 in the first half. Tua during the five game winning streak, 11 touchdowns, no turnovers. And so yes, it all adds up to an eight and three record.


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[Assistant] The best start for the Dolphins since 2001. And I think you just mentioned Mike McDaniel. I think he's coach of the year.


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[Assistant] Like first year, which I think as an added difficulty level. Agreed. Right. Set the culture first year, go in there, learn everything, hit the ground running first year. Take nothing away from Nick Sirianni, who I love. I think he's awesome. I love all the emotion he shows out there, but what second year for him. They added in the off season. We all thought they'd be pretty good and they are.


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[Assistant] I mean, I think he's the favorite Nick Sirianni right now, if I'm not mistaken, by Bet MGM. Yea, I think he is the favorite, you're right.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they had scoring drives, did the Chiefs of 90 yards, 83 yards, 71 yards. A lot of those ended in field goals, unfortunately for that offense. Ligeria Snead on the defensive side, seven tackles.


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[Assistant] Uh, one tackle for a loss and interception, two passes defense. So he stood out, but so did some of those rookies on that defensive side, which I think is a story going forward, right? That rookie season, the second half of a rookie season, Trent Mcduffey had a couple of past deflections, George Karlaftas, a big sack early in the game. Sky Moore's coming on and Pacheco continues to look like the real deal in the backfield.


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[Assistant] I will not be calling the big effort, the big effort to his face. That was the bet. Remember, that was the bet. If the Rams made the playoffs, I would have to swear.


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[Assistant] At your father. You're safe. Still mathematically alive though. Yeaah, but realistically not.


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[Assistant] Like you remember when Fabio got hit by that bird on the roller coaster? Oh yea, that was a bad moment. After that he goes, he goes, that would have killed a lesser man. I think Sean McVeigh can say that. Remember that? Did Fabio say that? Yea, he does. He goes, that would have killed a lesser man. That's amazing. That bird exploded.


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[Assistant] Couple sacks in this game. He's got a sack streak going, I believe.


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[Assistant] Right. So he's got his arms out turning around. He's like, yep, look at me. It's what Russ does before the game with his headphones on as he's meditating. I guess so. Why would you make fun of someone meditating? He's getting power from God to start the game. So, so then there was more that happened on the field here too, right? Cause it was another bad game for Russell 19 to 35.


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[Assistant] Uh, but, uh, his own teammates for Russell are starting to yell at him and snip at him, which we've seen in the past. The Seahawks would get into it from time to time, but Mike Purcell, I think we have the video yelling at Russell Wilson as he's coming off the field, which happens, right? Russ kind of definitely backed down. Like Russ was not into that fight.


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[Assistant] So Pete says that this was after Purcell got called for an unnecessary roughness on a field goal. And so maybe field goal attempt, so maybe Russ said something to him, like, come on man, can't have that. And Purcell was like, we can't have what you've done the whole season. I don't know.


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[Assistant] Oh for sure. 100%. Don't need context. Being a Denver Bronco fan might be the worst of any NFL fan base right now. Like it's bad times. It's bad times.


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[Assistant] His, uh, fourth coach of the year, or, I'm sorry, fourth win with another coach. Wait, let me, let me start that again.


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[Assistant] We're over at, we're over at hour 30 here, this is what happens. Sam Darnold gets a win with the fourth coach of his career. Yeah. Can you name the four coaches? That says something. So Steve Welks for sure. Yeah. Gase.


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[Assistant] Todd Bowles drafted him. Todd Bowles and then Matt Ruehl. Oh duh, Matt Ruehl, yea. Who was the coach here before. So yea. I mean that, that sounds a lot.


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[Assistant] And that was Give Me the Headlines presented by Hyundai.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's get out of here before I screw up anything else, cause we're getting to that point. Uh, bet MGM Parlay preview, one more game to talk about, Monday Night Football, Steelers at Colts, Thursday Chris, or I guess this was Wednesday Chris. It was Wednesday Chris. Wednesday Chris said that the Colts would win by 4, 20 to 16.


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[Assistant] Uh, Colts are favored by two and a half, so you have them covering. I do. And you have the under hitting, because the over under is 39 and a half. Uhm, was uh, Wednesday Chris high on stuffing that he was gonna eat the next day.


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[Assistant] ESPN is loving that. They're just playing that on repeat for everyone out there. It's going to be a struggle. Offenses are going to be bad. No one's going to be able to run the ball. Tune in tonight. Joe Buck, Troy Aikman.


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[Assistant] Saturday wants the Colts in the playoffs, I think. No, I don't either, you're right. Even Matt Ryan's like, I'm old.


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[Assistant] He's a 2x? Wow. Wow, I've tried 2x. Man. That's so fast. Yeah, that's, that's, I don't know. I feel like we talk fast too, so I don't know if you can handle 2x on us, but let's know. Well, the homies will chime in. Alright, let us know. Let us know. We'll do a play.


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[Assistant] Join Megapix podcast. PFTPM, Chris Sims unbuttoned. Week 11, already week 11. I know how lame that sounds, but it's true. It's amazing. Snap your fingers and here we are. I remember doing the one that started the season.


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[Assistant] 10 weeks ago. And we're starting to get a sense of who's good and who's not good, but any given Sunday or Monday or Thursday. And this Thursday, you know, this is the one constant this season, me kicking your butt.


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[Assistant] Straight up. I've picked up another two games, Chris. I've got a 12 game lead. Oh, get out of here with that. Just get out of here with that. Oh my gosh.


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[Assistant] Just take that down. Take that down or I'm getting up and leaving. You got five seconds, four, three, thank you. So I've got a 12 game lead with eight weeks left.


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[Assistant] Last week wasn't good though. Straight up 8 and 6. And I got lucky. I picked the Vikings to beat the Bills because I assumed Case Keenan was playing instead of Josh Allen. I figured I was gonna lose that one. And I didn't. I felt good about the Steelers beating the Saints. That was the other one on which we disagree.


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[Assistant] Man, you, do not go to Vegas, Chris. Wherever you take a vacation next. And I know you like to shut it down the week after the Super Bowl, which is good because I did too last year, which was kinda nice. 3-11 against the spread. Holy shit.


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[Assistant] You don't, but you should. That's the problem. I-I am-


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[Assistant] Very content with the fact that I'm 41 games over 500 straight up. The fact that I'm somehow 9 games over 500 against the spread is astounding.


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[Assistant] It's astounding and it's not typical cause usually, usually I'm underwater against the spread. And what, what is it, Pete? How far over this, over 500 do you have to be against the spread to be making money? Do you have to be like,


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[Assistant] The only problem, the only problem is best bets. 12 and 18 is bad. But I'm still leading you.


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[Assistant] Well, we'll see. We'll see. First, we have to have disagreements. That's the problem. You can only gain...


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[Assistant] If we disagree, and then you gotta be right when we disagree. Obviously, or it just stays where it is. Let's get to this week. All odds provided by Bet, MGM, Thursday Night Football, the Tennessee Titans.


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[Assistant] At the Green Bay Packers, an old school slugfest, running the ball, stopping the run, both teams coming off of impressive wins in week 10, although I don't know how impressive it is to beat the Broncos at home.


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[Assistant] When you were down 10 points. I guess that part's impressive, but it was the Broncos. I had somebody argue with me because we made Ron Rivera coach of the week. Why not Mike Vrabel? Slightly more impressive to go into Philly and beat the unbeaten Eagles than it is to barely beat a woeful Broncos team at home. So tonight, the Titans trying to get to 7-3, the Packers trying to


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[Assistant] Turn a one-win streak into two. It's not a streak if it's only one, but ye-ye-ye. Uh, who do you like tonight?


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[Assistant] Three points. The Packers. And the Titans continue to be disrespected by Vegas. How are the Packers three point favorites in this game?


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[Assistant] I've gone back and forth and back and forth and back and forth and I'd consider making this a best bet, but you know how I feel about Thursday night best bets. I like to push them all to Sunday or Monday so we can have more time to let it percolate and let it build. But I do like the Titans to win this one. 23 to 17 is the score that I've selected. I don't know that you gave us a score. 20 to 17 is what I'll go with.


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[Assistant] Even though the Packers have regained a little shine, a little gleam after beating the Cowboys, these are the Titans, and this is Mike Vrabel, and he knows how to get his guys ready, and it is gonna be rough and tumble, and it's not gonna be high scoring. I'm a little nervous about 23-17, the over-under is 41, so I'm just on.


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[Assistant] Just on the under, and I think it will be under. But I do think that the titans will keep it close. That's why this three point margin.


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[Assistant] Uh, betting line is weird to me, but, but I also think the Titans will, will win the game and end the Packers run of success at one game and then they go to Philadelphia.


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[Assistant] We're done with Thursday night. We move on to Sunday. First game up Chicago Bears at the Atlanta Falcons. The Falcons despite that woeful Thursday night performance that we saw.


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[Assistant] Our three point favorites. One of the reasons is even though the Bears can run the ball like no one else, five straight games of 225 plus rushing yards, first team ever to do that, they're one in four.


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[Assistant] In those five games with the only win coming in New England on a Monday night, 33 to 14. So Chris, can the Bears finally put together


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[Assistant] A Justin Fields great rushing performance in the town where Mike Vick got his start because Justin Fields is kind of the best running quarterback we've seen since Mike Vick. All due respect to Lamar Jackson. Can the Bears get it done against the Falcons?


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[Assistant] I got 2824 bears, I'm looking at that over under a 49.5 because last week I was considering


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[Assistant] Making the over in Bears Lions a best bet, and it sailed over. I think it was 45.5, they scored 61 points. I think 49.5, still a little low for this. Indoors, fast track, Justin Fields continuing to do Justin Fields things. The Falcons a little extra time to rebound from that embarrassment that they suffered, maybe a little.


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[Assistant] This is a game, if the Falcons want to stay in the race in the NFC South, they need this one, but I still think the Bears, who aren't dead yet.


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[Assistant] In the race for a wild card berth, I just think the Bears, it's time. It's time. They're playing too well to keep losing these games. It's time for them to get a win. 28-24 Chicago wins. Although this one won't be a best bet for me because I could see it going either way. I worry about the Falcons being pissed off extra days.


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[Assistant] The Carolina Panthers who beat the Falcons last Thursday night have lost their latest starting quarterback PJ Walker to a high ankle sprain so Baker Mayfield is back. The Panthers go to Baltimore where the Ravens are 13 point favorites with an over-under of 41.5. It's weird to have that low of an over-under and that big of a spread.


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[Assistant] To go to Baltimore and keep pace with a team that seems to be moving in the direction of high-end contender. They were off last week, so we've kind of forgotten about them, but the last time we saw them, they were dismantling the New Orleans Saints, Chris, and you said it yourself. Once they added Roaquin Smith, this is a team to watch in the AFC.


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[Assistant] 3521. This one reminds me a lot of the Panthers game from a couple of weeks ago where they went to Cincinnati.


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[Assistant] They got stomped on early and then garbage time. Baker Mayfield, 21 garbage time points for the Carolina Panthers. So I can see the Ravens getting out to a big lead and then in the second half maybe the Panthers scoring a few touchdowns. Yeaah. I'm looking at that 41 and a half over under and I'm thinking


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[Assistant] I don't know why that number isn't higher. So I've got 56 total points in this one and it won't surprise me if there's even more than that. Alright, Browns at Bills because we don't know that the game will be played


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[Assistant] Buffalo with the snowstorm that is impending up to 70 inches of snow. They better make a decision soon.


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[Assistant] They wait until Friday to make a decision. The bills may not be able to get out.


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[Assistant] They may be playing this game on Madden by the time it's all said and done. So, this one's tough to pick. The Bills are 8 point favorites for the game that's currently set for their home stadium. We don't know if it's going to be played there. It could be played in Detroit. It could be played in Philly.


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[Assistant] Could be played in D.C. Those are the three closest stadiums, maybe even Cincinnati. And they aren't going to go to Cleveland because that creates an unfair advantage for the Browns. They were supposed to have a road game in Buffalo, now they get a home game against the Bills.


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[Assistant] Most likely won't happen. So for now, based upon the information we currently have, played in Buffalo, 8 point favorites are the Bills, 42 and a half over or under, who do you like?


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[Assistant] No, no, no. Because the Bill's Pass game will work. Because Josh Allen will fire piss missiles through the snow.


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[Assistant] Oh, oh, well no, I feel better about the bills. The bills need to reestablish themselves and I think the best way to do it is with an old school snow game played at home. Now it probably won't be snowing during the game but who the hell knows.


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[Assistant] But I just feel like the Bills need a home game, they need to get the Bills' mafia fired up, they just need to reestablish, keep it simple against a punching bag type of a team that they know they can beat. If they lose this one, they got a problem in Buffalo. But I think that, that


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[Assistant] I think they're better off at home, they're more likely to cover at home, they're more likely to recapture that vibe that they had earlier this season at home, even if it is snowing during the game. They'll keep the field covered, no matter how much it snows. Yea, that's right. As long as it's not actively snowing during the game, the field will be fine, but I think the Bills are far better off at home.


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[Assistant] I've got Buffalo 31-20 and it's just an awkward time for the Browns with Deshaun Watson back with the team at practice but not playing yet. It's just kind of a weird vibe. And they've got two difficult games, Bills and Buccaneers, before they get Deshaun Watson fully back week 13 at the Houston Texans.


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[Assistant] The Washington commanders are taking on the Houston Texans this week at NRG Stadium. I think it's still called that. Is that it? I think it is. Is it? It's not reliant.


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[Assistant] The thing that tipped it for me because I was on upset alert with this one until we did our matchup draft that we do every Thursday and I put so much time and effort into preparing for that. I look at all the different tables and analytics and, uh, anyway.


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[Assistant] That Lovey Smith fired Ron Rivera. Back in 2006, Rivera was


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[Assistant] Of being a playoff team. Right? They're writing that conversation in the NFC. Clean sweep. Two years after they were ready to disband the NFC East. The NFC East could send every team to the postseason, which would just be beautiful if it happens. I know. I think the commanders win this one 21 to 14. And, and, and hey.


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[Assistant] It's this one, and it's the Falcons, and then it becomes much more difficult. Giants, bi-week giants, 49ers, Browns, Cowboys, the commanders have their work cut out for them down the stretch.


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[Assistant] The team that lost on Monday night at home, the Philadelphia Eagles picking up their first defeat of the season, go to Indianapolis for Jeff Saturday's


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[Assistant] Home debut as coach of the team, they'll welcome him back with open arms in large part because he beat the Raiders in Las Vegas and Josh McDaniels, the guy who spurned the Colts several years ago.


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[Assistant] Opening the door for Frank Reich, which yada, yada, yada leads to Jeff Saturday. The Eagles are six and a half point favorites on the road in this one with an over under of 44. Do the Colts


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[Assistant] There's an item on the athletics website about the imprint that Jeff Saturday put on the offensive line right out of the gates, calling them out in meetings, calling them out in practice, working and working and working to get them


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[Assistant] Offensive line, defensive line. That's the key to having a winning team. And when the offensive line is playing well, the running backs, the receivers, and the quarterbacks do so well that we lose sight of the fact that it was all brought to you by


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[Assistant] The five guys up front who had the poker applied to their ass and got it done. Alright, uh, yeah, I like the Eagles in this one, and, and I'm with you.


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[Assistant] I've got the needle thread, kind of. Six and a half points is not really a needle thread. It's a little, it's a little bigger. It's a little bigger, a little easier to get that thread through. I'm going 20 to 16. Eagles win, but the Colts don't embarrass themselves and, and stay in the conversation in the AFC. And if they pull this one off, holy shit.


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[Assistant] If the Colts go 6 and 2, I've already committed to making a $10,000 donation to the charity of Jim Ursay's Choice. If they go 6 and 2 under Jeff Saturday. And if they go 8 and 0 under Jeff Saturday, I'm getting a Colts logo tattooed on my ass. So for now, go Colts.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna get nervous here pretty soon if they don't start losing some football games. Okay.


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[Assistant] Jets at the Patriots. Patriots in last place in the AFC East, but would be in the playoffs if the season ended today. I always hate that. If the season ended today, that would mean something really bad happened and they probably wouldn't be playing the playoffs anyway.


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[Assistant] I digress. The Patriots coming off of their bye. They beat the Jets 22 to 17 a few weeks ago and made Zach Wilson, the second year quarterback of the Jets, look not very good in the process. The Patriots are three point favorites with an over under of 38 and a half. Chris, do the Patriots get to six and four and drop the Jets to six and four?


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[Assistant] Yeah, gutsy. I think that the Patriots with two weeks to get ready generally are going to be very hard to beat. They've already beaten the Jets in New York. They haven't lost to the Jets since late in the 2015 season.


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[Assistant] This is not the way the Patriots kick off a stretch of three games in 12 days when they've got Jets at Vikings on Thanksgiving night and then the following Thursday night a visit from the Bills. I think the Patriots win this one. My score is 23 to 17.


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[Assistant] And you know, it's, it's, it's not going to be an easy game and the Patriots offense is a far cry from what it was back in the heyday of Tom Brady and Randy Moss and Wes Welker and later Julian Edelman. But, but they, the defense is the key here. And look at what they did the last time we saw them do the Colts. They got Frank Reich fired. They made the Colts


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[Assistant] Look horrible. They made Zach Wilson look like he never should have been the second overall pick in the draft, even though it was just a handful of plays.


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[Assistant] That's the thing, Belichick knows the game comes down to a handful of plays and he finds a way to make those plays go his team's way. I think he'll do it on Sunday. And I think the Patriots get to six and four and get out of the basement in the AFC East. All right, let's move on to another uninspiring game. I said this earlier, it just reminds me of the old NFC West.


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[Assistant] When the Rams and the Saints were in it together and they both were horrible. You wonder why the 49ers were so good for so long. They had the Falcons, the Rams, and the Saints as the other three teams they had to worry about in their division.


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[Assistant] So it's a, it's an NFC West Bad Days reunion game. Rams at the Saints. And for a while it was a hell of a rivalry. Greatest show on turf, and the Saints beat them in the playoffs I think, and they, you know, I think in 2000 the Saints knocked them off in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] This once was a good rivalry, but not now. You're right, it was.


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[Assistant] They go to the Superdom with Andy Dalton still the starting quarterback.


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[Assistant] Documented very thoroughly how you feel about that. The Saints are somehow three-point favorites in this one with an over-under of 39. Do the Saints get a win after looking not so good in Pittsburgh last week and very bad the previous Monday against the Ravens? Do the Rams finally turn things around? Who do you like?


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[Assistant] And I've already sent the photo to the text chain as proof that I also had 20 to 17 written down. That was when the spread was three and a half. So we both were taking the Rams to cover, the Saints to win. We got a problem now.


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[Assistant] Because the spread is three. I see that, yes. So, so, what are we gonna do? I'll let you go first. We both have 20 to 17. Saints winning. Who are we gonna give that extra point to?


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[Assistant] In the interest of making it interesting, I'll go 21-17.


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[Assistant] Good news, Matthew Stafford's back. Bad news, Cooper Cup's gone. Who the hell's he gonna throw the football to?


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[Assistant] You can never really get a feel for where they're gonna be. They could come out and win this game 28 to 3.


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[Assistant] Or they could lose this game 30 to 10. So I think that just because they've had two bad performances,


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[Assistant] And they're coming home and the Rams are so down and I feel like Sean McKay's probably having a hell of a time holding everything together right now. This is the team that's still on its extended victory lap from the Super Bowl. They kind of know they ain't going back this year. They're not getting to the playoffs. I think it's going to be hard for them to make that flight.


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[Assistant] Do the Giants get to 8 and 2? Who would have ever imagined the Giants would even have a chance to get to 8 and 2? Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] I've got giant, well it's three points though. Oh damn.


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[Assistant] Okay, Giants by 4, you have the Giants covering, I've got Giants 2417 covering, I just-


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[Assistant] Hey look, kudos to the Lions, they've won two in a row. But they've beaten divisional opponents. And there's a different mindset, there's a different vibe, you know them better. Going to New York, and it's kind of on house money now, they've saved Dan Campbell, there was talk about whether or not he was going to get fired, I just think this is going to be tough to do because the Giants really are


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[Assistant] A better team than anyone could have envisioned. Kudos to Brian Dayball and Joe Shane, the coach and GM respectively, for taking a team that wasn't very good.


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[Assistant] And making it into something that has become a borderline juggernaut. And they're not about to fall down against a team that they should beat. And I think they will cover. And I'm surprised it's only a three point spread, which has me considering this one for a best bet. Let's go ahead and take a break.


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[Assistant] Late afternoon, Sunday, week 11 as we roll through all of the picks on this joint MegaPix podcast, Chris Sims on button and PFTPM. The Raiders at the Broncos, the somebody's gotta win game as Nathaniel Hackett, the coach.


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[Assistant] In Denver put it, he didn't mean it that way, but it's very easy to interpret it that way. The Raiders won the first time around in Las Vegas, now they go to Denver. Broncos are 2.5 points favorites with an over-under of 41.5. Do the Broncos pick up win number 4 on the season? Chris?


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[Assistant] And this is one we're gonna disagree on because I just think the Broncos, even though both teams are failing,


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[Assistant] It feels like the Broncos are at least united and cohesive in their failure, if that makes any sense. Because the Raiders stink and on top of it you get mixed signals and mixed messages and are people really buying in? That was the comment.


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[Assistant] Essentially that Davante Adams made earlier this week, Derek Carr, similar remarks, Josh McDaniels, I don't know what they're talking about. So there's a disconnect there. But still, the Broncos, I had this vision. They're like the car that's stuck in the mud and the only


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[Assistant] Alternative is to just give it more gas, and it's just not working. No matter what the Broncos do, it feels like it's not working, but it should work this weekend against a Raiders team that, with everything that's gone on, it just


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[Assistant] It just feels like a dysfunctional mess. And Mark Davis isn't going to fire Josh McDaniels because he doesn't want to have to pay the buyout. They're just going to get through this season. I think Derek Carr may not be back next year the way this thing's currently going. I just feel like the Broncos have a better chance to get everything pointed in the right direction for one day.


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[Assistant] Then the Raiders do, so I'll take the Broncos 16 to 13 in that one, in the someone's gotta win game, which may be a recipe for a tie between the Raiders and the Broncos by the time it's all said.


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[Assistant] And we've, we've argued about this in the past, but if they're trying to build something long term, you don't go out and trade for Devontae Adams. You don't sign Chandler Jones. You don't create the impression you're trying to build on the playoff team from last year. So they made some mistakes from a personnel standpoint that created an unrealistic expectation. Next game.


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[Assistant] Cowboys at the Vikings, somehow the Dallas Cowboys are favored by a point and a half. They are 3 and 0 all time at US Bank Stadium. Do they get to 4 and 0 in Minnesota's new stadium, which they may call that Jerry World before it's all said and done. I'm astounded that the Cowboys are favored. Chris, I think you know where I'm leaning on this one.


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[Assistant] And that was the game that really drove the wedge. There was already the wedge. That one blew it open between Mike Zimmer and Kirk Cousins because Zimmer was exasperated that Cousins was being too careful. Hey, I don't have to, I don't want to go for it in these moments because they've got Cooper Rush. We should be able to beat them. And the irony is that


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[Assistant] Cousins is now letting it fly. He's letting it fly like never before. It's just the right environment. Everything is lined up perfectly. And, you know, the Vikings defense, I've got 30-27 because the Vikings defense,


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[Assistant] We've called defenses bend, but don't break. The Vikings are like break, but don't lose because you got a horseshoe up your ass. That's too long to put on a t-shirt, but that's kind of how it is.


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[Assistant] They, they, they, they just, you said it against the Bills, up and down the field, up and down the field, but oh, pick six in the end zone, up and down the field, up and down the field, pick six in the end zone, up and down the field.


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[Assistant] It just feels to me, and it's all subject to change, there's a long way to go, they may be peeking too soon, but that win on Sunday.


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[Assistant] We move on to the next game, the Cincinnati Bengals in the all-white Snow Tiger uniforms at Pittsburgh. A game that was going to be Sunday Night Football until


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[Assistant] I got 2017 Cincinnati. The pasta and meatballs will not lead me to do something foolish this week.


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[Assistant] The Bengals, I'm sure vividly recall what happened week one. They should have beaten the Steelers seven different ways, and I just think the Steelers can only do so much this year. The Spirit is willing, the Flesh is weak, and I know it's a division rival, and I know they want to build on what they did, and they're still alive for not just a wild card birth, but the division.


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[Assistant] When PFTPM and Chris Sims unbuttoned continues, including the latest showdown between Pat Mahone and Justin Herbert.


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[Assistant] PFTPM, Chris Sims unbuttoned, primetime games for week 11. Sunday Night Football, the game that was flexed into the spot previously held by the Bengals and the Steelers. The Chiefs at the Chargers, two straight weeks for the Chargers in primetime. Chiefs are six point favorites in this one with a 51 point over under the highest of the week. They had a great game back in week two, exciting.


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[Assistant] That's when Justin Herbert had the rib injury, gutted through it, almost won the game. What happens on Sunday night, Chris, between Kansas City and L.A.?


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[Assistant] That the Chargers five and four record is deceptive. They're not as good as the mark would suggest. I think the Chiefs complete the sweep and they don't have anybody to worry about in the division. The question is can they be the one seed in the AFC? That's what they're striving for now and they're currently in the driver's seat. Thanks to the Bills losing two in a row, the Chiefs just keep.


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[Assistant] I got 2813, I think they will cover. Look, between Christian McCaffrey and Debo Samo, it's just a matter of getting a little more time, making it click, making it work. I think the Cardinals...


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[Assistant] I know they're 4 and 6, but they don't, they don't feel like a 4 and 6 team. They feel like they're worse than that. And if Kyle Murray plays...


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[Assistant] I just think the 49ers recognize it's time to put the pedal to the metal and start showing that they're the team that they're capable of being.


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[Assistant] For that, I'm very grateful, but it gives Kyle Shanahan the ammunition he needs to really put the Red Hot Poker on the 49ers players' rear ends. We need to take a break. When we return, best bets and Folsom Prison Blues pick for week 11. More PFTPM and Chris Sims on button right after.


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[Assistant] Alright, here we go, final segment. We disagree on three games straight up. Five against the spread. Let's see what the best bets may be. Chris, you are up. We pick three each, either against the spread or over-under. What do you got?


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[Assistant] Recently I've had these little pasta and meatball flashes with some of these over-unders. I feel like the numbers are getting lower because so many of the games early this year went under, so they've, they've dropped them down. I'm taking the over in that game. 41 and a half.


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[Assistant] They're gonna go over that, the Ravens and the Panthers. Even if it is Ravens get a big lead, Panthers score some garbage time points, I think they're gonna go over 41 and a half. Alright, what do you got else? Uh, uh. What else do you got?


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[Assistant] I like your New York Giants. I told my son that if it's John's Vikings, the NFC championship, you'll be there with us. He liked the text, which apparently means it's okay with him. That's how people communicate. Now they don't even respond. They just like it. Like, okay, I guess that means it's okay.


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[Assistant] I got the Giants giving three to the Lions. I think they'll at least win by a touchdown. What's your last one?


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[Assistant] Sorry. Ravens and Ravens. We actually finished with time to say goodbye. Wow. Usually we're like running out the door. See ya. With the final pick. Enjoy the game. Go Cowboys!


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[Assistant] This is great. This is next level. This is, you know, all I need is a toilet and my wife can kick me out of the house. And even then, you know, you just walk down to the ravine and do your business there. Wow, that's great. Don't drink out of that ravine.


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[Assistant] You gotta worry about, you gotta worry about far more than anything I might put into the ravine if you're, if you're downstream, uh, in New Jersey. When I was delivering newspapers when I was a kid, there was a house that had a, a spring


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[Assistant] And it had this, this great stone setup where they had a cup and the water was constantly coming into it and it was the best water


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[Assistant] I'd probably go with the hamburger off the floor because I'd find a spot, I'd find a spot that didn't touch the ground.


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[Assistant] If I have to finish the burger, it depends on where the ravine is. I really would want to consider what's upstream of the ravine.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they buried it, they buried it next to Jimmy Hoffa.


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[Assistant] And I, and I had, and I had, that, we talked about that on Monday when, when you were asleep.


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[Assistant] I made the joke on Twitter of when they took that broken Skycam down, they can bury it next to Jimmy Hoffa, and I had a bunch of people correct me that that's not the stadium anymore. As if I'm serious, they're gonna dig a hole and put the Skycam in it.


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[Assistant] There was that Scorsese movie that was like two hours too long from a couple of years ago that I was very excited to see and was a major disappointment. The Irishman. Yea, it didn't look good. And the book, and the book on which that movie was based. Right.


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[Assistant] I don't want to throw all of last week in the garbage. I'm happy that I beat you straight up. It has been so close every week. The past couple of weeks we've disagreed on three games and they've all come down to some sort of a fluky weird. What is that?


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[Assistant] Uhm, well done, and uh, yeaah, you beat me against the spread by one, and you beat me straight up, or no, best bets by one, I got you straight up by one, and, and just to be clear, for the season, I am now up by ten games!


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[Assistant] With nine weeks left, straight up. I am up by eight games against the spread. And I'm up by a half game. Clinging to a half game lead in best bet.


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[Assistant] Despite my horrendous start to the season in best bats, I am ahead by a half game. This week, Patriots, Jets, Ravens, Bengals are off. There are 14 games, all odds provided by BetMGM. Let's get to it. We spent some time talking today about that scintillating


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[Assistant] Thursday night match up. Al Michaels will be very pleased to be calling this one the Falcons at the Carolina Panthers. Just 11 days after they got together in a barn burner in Atlanta.


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[Assistant] Doesn't have that same vibe tonight, but who knows? Panthers breaking out the black helmets. Maybe there'll be some magic in there that helps the Panthers dig deep. 42 and a half is the over-under. The Falcons are 2 and a half.


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[Assistant] By the way, we are opposed in all ways to the imposition of physical violence on kitty cats or any type of feline or any animal for that matter. We do not condone that.


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[Assistant] That backyard zoo onto it when the flood comes due to the ever rising, uh, sea levels, ocean levels due to global warming. You're ready. You're ready to go. We're hitting all the positive spots. I like the Falcons in this one. So I'm reversing my trend. You cannot say next week.


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[Assistant] That I've picked the Falcons to lose every single week. I like the Falcons to win this one.


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[Assistant] 27-20. They are in that fight for first place in the NFC South. We considered their schedule earlier today. They have plenty of games that they could win. Not that they should win or will win, but there are games.


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[Assistant] An overabundance of, oh shit, they're screwed games on that schedule.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay in Munich, Germany. A note from Greg Allman of The Athletic.


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[Assistant] Even though Seattle and Tampa are in opposite corners of the country, 2500 miles apart,


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[Assistant] The distance to Munich is nearly comparable. 4,996 miles from Tampa, 5283 from Seattle. It's about a half hour difference in the air. Cause I was saying earlier this week, maybe Seattle should just go the other way, go across the Pacific. Maybe it's faster, but not much of a difference.


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[Assistant] Hey, short week is a practical matter when you throw in travel and everything else. Seattle did it a few years ago. A lot of different players since then. The Bucs have done it before in London.


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[Assistant] Now they're going to Germany. It's going to have a super bowl feel to it. I think that helps the Bucks, Chris, because Tom Brady has.


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[Assistant] Played in high stakes games. This is going to be a big deal. Three million ticket requests. I've been saying two million. It was actually three million. Slight difference. The Bucks are three point favorites. The Seahawks have the better record. Do you like Tom Brady to show up and continue to build all the momentum that we saw late in the game against the Rams?


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[Assistant] I've got 22-17, we always take the conventional score, 22, you gotta, you gotta get there the hard way, uh, with either mixed extra points or a lot of field goals or a safety or whatever, but what the hell, 22-17, I like the Bucs to win, I like the Bucs to cover, you need a different score.


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[Assistant] You're taking the Seahawks to cover. You're splitting the baby. You're threading the needle. I got the bucks to win and the bucks to cover. I really do believe that atmosphere will benefit the bucks. And even though


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[Assistant] The Seahawks played in London. I was looking at their roster. Most of the players weren't on the team in 2018 when they went to London. Even though they've learned, you know, the travel schedule, the practice schedule. Are they there yet? From a coaching standpoint, I think they are. I don't know. I think they are. Cause that would be the biggest disappointment.


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[Assistant] Maybe I'll be alive for it. Maybe I won't. A division in Europe with two teams in London and maybe two teams in Germany. One in Munich and one in a different city. Two London teams. That's not out of the question. The commissioner hinted at that.


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[Assistant] Earlier this year, so big deal for the NFL to go and play a game in Germany and big deal for Tom Brady to be there. And, and I think this is, this is going to be the thing that maybe revitalizes the Buccaneers, but we'll see. One o'clock, the big game of the afternoon.


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[Assistant] The 7 in 1 Minnesota Vikings visiting the 6 in 2 Bills. I've been telling my son.


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[Assistant] Who is overly invested in the Vikings this year. Over the top. Unbelievable. Worse than I was when I was his age. I've been telling him, get ready, it's coming. Enjoy the wins while you can. The ass whipping is coming in Buffalo. However!


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[Assistant] I don't think Josh Allen's gonna play, Chris, and I'm gonna go first on this. You always make me go first on the Vikings game. I'm taking Minnesota to win this because I don't think Josh Allen's gonna play. And even though the Case, Keenum, Stephon, Diggs, Bizarro, Minneapolis miracle angle is fascinating, I think the Vikings


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[Assistant] They have gradually built confidence, and that confidence leads to more confidence, leads to more confidence, and I think they believe they can go in there, especially if they don't have to face Josh Allen and win that game. I've got Minnesota 24-20, a more conventional score.


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[Assistant] Then, then the one that I picked for Buck Seahawks. So I, I just, eh, this is pasta and meatballs. And I'm actually going against what I want to do. What I want to do is say the Vikings are going to lose because I think they're on the front end of a tough stretch. They've got the Bills, the Cowboys, the Patriots and the Jets the next four games.


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[Assistant] They're getting lucky. They got the shamrock up their ass as you say. They're facing another team that, that I believe won't have a starting quarterback. So I think they pull it off and get to eight and one somehow.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, the Vikings have been balanced this year, and there was something, you know, Dalvin Cook, if he stays healthy,


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[Assistant] What I saw from him late in that game, there was a level of determination. He made a great catch to help tie the game up. After that interception, he grabs his helmet. I mean, he's got, you know, he's got an extra burst.


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[Assistant] I mean, you know, he, he's, he's in year, what, five now? Right. He's getting closer to the end than the beginning. Five or six? I think it's six. 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22. It's year six. Yeah. Uh, year six. The fingers, the fingers always come in handy in moments like this.


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[Assistant] You know, how much does he have left? And how is his younger brothers in the league? You know, I think he realizes all the things he wants to accomplish. There aren't many chances left and he's really got an extra level. And Alexander Madison, when he gets chances, he gets it done. And you see Justin Jefferson getting the ball in his hands and TJ Hawkinson has made a difference in the run game.


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[Assistant] And the pass game, you get him blocking some, you get him catching passes, nine targets, nine catches when he had four days to get ready.


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[Assistant] This is a team that I think understands they have an opportunity to go for it. And the defense has gotten better on the fly. And you know, Chris, with all those injuries on the back end for the Bills defense.


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[Assistant] You got Justin Jefferson, you got Adam Thielen, you got T.J. Hawkinson. I, I, I just, you know, again, I don't think it's gonna be, you know, a 35 point explosion by the Vikings, but I think they can hold their own and score enough points. And without Josh Allen, you're not gonna need to score as many points.


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[Assistant] Lions-Bears get together at Soldier Field a week after a barn burner between Miami and Chicago. The Bears are three point favorites with an over-under of 48 and a half. I really loved the over last week. I was worried about the win though, so I didn't make it a best bet. In hindsight, I wish I had. They scored 67 points. Who do you like in this one? Again, Bears are three point favorites if I haven't said that already.


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[Assistant] And you know, the Bears are very much alive for the last spot in the NFC field. I think the Cowboys and the Giants will get two of the wild card berths, but that last one,


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[Assistant] Uh, is up for grabs. I'm looking at the, at the forecast for Sunday. High of 37. The wind is gonna be the key. Cause that was, the wind is gonna be manageable this week. It looks like it's gonna be, uh, under 10 miles per hour. So that's not an issue. I, I got 28, 24.


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[Assistant] High scoring game, and I'm thinking about Lions-Bears over as a best bet. We'll see. I didn't have the guts to do it last week. We'll see if I have the guts to do it this week. Jaguars Chiefs in Kansas City. Chiefs not impressive against the Titans, but they got it done.


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[Assistant] Patrick Mahomes through 68 passes, too short of the attempts record for a single game. 43 completions, too short of the completion record for a single game. They are 9.5 point favorites, 50.5 over-under. That's the highest of the week. Jaguars Chiefs, who do you like?


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[Assistant] I think the Chiefs are better than what we saw on Sunday night. The Titans are better than the Jaguars. And for the Jaguars, they've been inconsistent this year. Every time they make you think they're good, then they shit the bed. And I feel like they gotta win.


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[Assistant] And, you know, that carries you for a couple of weeks. And I think the Chiefs are going to want to come out and show that they can be.


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[Assistant] One of the best teams in the conference. They can be the one seed. They can't screw around with teams like the Titans. They have to come out and deliver the knockout punch. I think it's gonna be 35-17. I think we're gonna see the Chiefs firing on all cylinders against the Jaguars. This is just gonna be one of those games where the Chiefs really do.


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[Assistant] Strengthen their position. And hey, if I'm right about the Chiefs and the Bills losing, the Chiefs will be the one seed by the time we get to the end of the day.


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[Assistant] On Sunday, they will overcome the one game deficit and overcome the tiebreaker the Bills hold by virtue of beating the Chiefs. So I, this is a pasta and meatballs game for me. I like the Chiefs to roll 35 to 17. Alright, Browns at the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] Dolphins have won three in a row since Tua came back. They won their first three with Tua.


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[Assistant] Favorite by three and a half Miami is over Cleveland, which is coming off of its bye week over under a 48 and a half.


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[Assistant] I still think that the Browns are going to be alive after this one win or lose. They've had two weeks to get ready, one day short of that because we saw them on Monday night thumping the Cincinnati Bengals. They're getting closer to the point at which Deshaun Watson is able to play for them. They have three more games, including this one before he's back.


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[Assistant] I just think the Dolphins are finding their groove and yes, they barely beat the Bears and there was a non-call late in the game of past interference that


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[Assistant] Could have changed everything and the Dolphins could have lost that game, but they're, they're developing confidence and as long as Tua stays healthy, he's distributing the football.


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[Assistant] To Tyreek Hill and Jalen Waddle. The run game gets a boost with Jeff Wilson Jr., who had more touches than Raheem Mostert last week and could be de facto the number one guy before too long. They got a lot of weapons.


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[Assistant] And I don't know what the temperature is going to be in Miami, but it's a lot hotter than Cleveland. That's another thing that we've...


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[Assistant] 82, 82, which means it'll be 125 on the field. That's kind of how it usually goes in those games when you get out the big thermometer. But I just like the Dolphins in this one, 31 to 24. You know, the Browns have been too inconsistent. And every time we see that good game,


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[Assistant] It doesn't last. Their formula is run the ball and then...


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[Assistant] Open up the passing game to Omari Cooper. You get good defense with Myles Garrett. I just think the Dolphins throw that all into disarray. I think the Dolphins build a lead and you got the Browns playing from behind and that formula doesn't work. I like the Dolphins to win this one and cover 31-24. Texans at the Giants. Chris, you've picked the Texans to lose every week this season. They have obliged.


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[Assistant] In most weeks, Giants had two weeks to get ready for it. The Giants are five point favorites with a low over under of 41. Do your Giants avoid a trap?


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[Assistant] You got the giants to cover. I do. I mean, I got 24-14. We're not all that different. I mean, that was a hell of a windup to get to the same place I'm at.


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[Assistant] Hemming and hawing, hemming and hawing, I think we've done that. We have before, right. We've been working together long enough that we've looped back around, uh, yeaah. Do you think I corrected myself? Come on. Saints and Steelers.


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[Assistant] The Saints looked not good on Monday night against the Ravens. They now go to Pittsburgh where the Saints are one and a half point road favorites against a Pittsburgh team that's had two weeks to get ready. That is


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[Assistant] Not as bad as 2 and 6 would suggest. They've been competitive. They beat the Bengals in Cincinnati, beat the Buccaneers earlier this year. They had, you know, a couple of blowouts that did not look good, especially in Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Or use the red hot poker on Najee Harris. They're going to use Jaylen Warren more. Warren runs between the tackles and, and just hits the hole and doesn't dance. They become disillusioned with Najee delaying the moment of getting to the point where the ball needs to, you know, to go. And, and I, you know, chase Claypool.


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[Assistant] Was a distraction, I've heard and I'm told and addition by subtraction and moving on from him.


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[Assistant] Plus the two weeks to get ready. You've got everyone on alert, full urgency. They've got to get this win. They've got to win. Two and seven versus three and six. A gigantic difference if you want to have any hope. And the Steelers will never, ever, ever consider


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[Assistant] And they're getting the Saints on a short week for them. Think about that. This is a great litmus test of some of the competitive disadvantages that get baked into the schedule. Fourteen days for the Steelers, six days for the Saints. Saints go on the road.


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[Assistant] With that, it's just, it's not really fair to the Saints. And I think they're stepping into a trap here. I think the Steelers win. The score I have is 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] And the thing about Nadja Harris and Jaylen Warren, as simple as this, they're behind the same offensive line. Harris is averaging 3.3 yards per attempt.


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[Assistant] Warren is averaging 5.3. You said it right. We're going to see a lot more of Jalen Warren starting this week. Last game in the 1 o'clock window on Sunday, Broncos at the Titans. Tennessee only favored by 2.5 against a Broncos team that's had extra time to get ready, but their offense has been


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[Assistant] Subject to criticism for good reason so far this year, the over-under 36.5. It is the lowest over-under of the entire season, 36.5. Chris, do the Titans get back on the right track knowing they've got a short week trip to Green Bay?


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[Assistant] 24-14 Tennessee Titans. Derek Henry keeps doing Derek Henry things. And we're going to be reminded of why Nathaniel Hackett was potentially going to be fired if he had lost.


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[Assistant] the Jaguars, that offense, even with the two weeks and they've got a chance to fix some of their things. Look, we talked about it earlier. Some of the stubbornness from Russell Wilson in Seattle is now rearing its ugly head in Denver where there's no one to push back against whatever it is that he wants to do or doesn't want to do, like not wear a wristband. I just think that the Titans


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[Assistant] Who want to continue to stake their claim to be one of the best teams in the conference. They've got to win this one at home. Right. You've got to win this one at home. At home. If you have any hope whatsoever. That's right. At home. A second break.


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[Assistant] The week 10 late afternoon games when PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button continues right after this.


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[Assistant] Kristen's Unbuttoned, PFTPM, Joint Megapix Podcast, Week 10.


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[Assistant] The late afternoon games begin with the story of the week. The Indianapolis Colts going to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders where Josh McDaniels in his second head coaching stint is not doing well. McDaniels, a guy who


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[Assistant] Left the Colts at the Alder, opening the door for Frank Reich. Frank Reich was kicked out that door this week. Jeff Saturday is now the head coach of the Colts. Somehow, someway, he's in charge. The Raiders are 6-point favorites in this one with an over-under of 42.5. Chris, can the Colts?


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[Assistant] I mean, this has been the ultimate distraction team turned upside down. Can they make chicken salad out of this chicken shit week?


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[Assistant] 24-13 is my score. If the Raiders blow this one, oh my god. It's the low point for that franchise since moving to Las Vegas and


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[Assistant] Look, I, I don't know if Josh McDaniels gets a second year. I can't imagine him being fired during his first season by the guy who hired him. But Mark Davis has to be having regrets now about not giving Rich Passaccia a chance, because it has not worked so far, and it's on McDaniels.


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[Assistant] To turn it around quickly and this is a golden opportunity. The first crack at the Jeff Saturday Colts.


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[Assistant] Fired former Packers coach who took them to their only Super Bowl since 1996.


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[Assistant] He's back in town. They got a street named after him. He's back in town as coach of the Cowboys. Cowboys coming off of a bye. They're six and two. They're five point favorites over under a 43. Chris, did the Cowboys go into Lambeau Field and extend that losing streak of the Packers to six?


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[Assistant] So you've got them covering by one point. Five point favorite. Okay.


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[Assistant] The game last week broke the Packers. And I don't know that they can fix it this soon. And, you know, I put a lot of stock in


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[Assistant] What guys say when they're in that moment or not far removed from it. And when Aaron Rodgers was asked the question on Sunday about, you know, you know, you've continued to express hope, but how do you still have any hope of turning it around after losing to this team, the Lions?


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[Assistant] And he paused for 13 seconds, put his head down, gathering his thoughts, and he recited some of the same old bullcrap.


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[Assistant] Clichés, guys gotta dig deep, we're gonna be counted out.


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[Assistant] I think he's, he's a guy who has tried everything in his power.


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[Assistant] To will this team to be better than it is, and it hasn't worked, and he knows it hasn't worked, and, and maybe, you know, I'm talking myself out of it now, because he seemed very loose and relaxed on Wednesday, maybe he's worked his way through anger, denial, bargaining, depression, and acceptance, and he just realized, hey, you know what, it's a shit year, and here we are.


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[Assistant] I still don't think it's going to be enough to win this game. And I think that the Cowboys will relish this. I think they want everyone to understand that they're good. I think they're trying to...


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[Assistant] To attract OBJ, let's go out and kick some ass and make OBJ pick us. Hey OBJ, you wanna win a Super Bowl? Hey, look at us, look what we did to Green Bay!


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[Assistant] 3117, you better join us and not the Buffalo Bills. That, that's...


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[Assistant] Knocking around in this mindset here, but I think...


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[Assistant] McCarthy's desire to go back up there and shove it up Green Bay's ass. What was that chant? Shove the...


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[Assistant] F and cheese up your ass, the Giants fans in London. McCarthy's going to want to do it to the Packers at 31-17. And, uh, hey, eh, you know what? If you're, if you're feeling counted out, Packers, it's your own damn fault for losing five in a row, culminating in a loss to the Jordan line.


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[Assistant] Final game in the late afternoon window, the Cardinals at the Rams. The Rams are only favored by one and a half with an over under 41 and a half. Matthew Stafford in the concussion protocol. Kyler Murray didn't practice on Wednesday with a hamstring. That's kind of a red flag.


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[Assistant] The Rams have already beaten the Cardinals in Arizona, and the Rams have gotten beyond the point of desperate. If the Rams don't win this one, they are done done. They're already done, they're done done.


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[Assistant] If they lose this one to the Arizona Cardinals, uh, I'll go first since I'm already talking about it. I think the Rams win 26-20, whether it's Matthew Stafford or John Wolford, whether it's Kyler Murray or Colt McCoy. I think the Rams know how to defend Kyler Murray. I think the Cardinals are in the process of falling apart. They already have fallen apart.


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[Assistant] The Rams are close to joining them. I just can't imagine the Rams blowing this one. They're returning to the site at that playoff game.


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[Assistant] Where the Rams completely dismantled the Cardinals last year. I just, I think the Rams, this is a gotta have it.


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[Assistant] What did you say earlier this week? A gotta moment have it? Gotta moment have it. Gotta moment have it. You better have it. This is a gotta moment have it for the Rams 2620.


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[Assistant] material as well. I mean, if you think the Rams are gonna win, whether they're gonna win by one point, you get that cover pretty quickly. Alright, let's take a break. The primetime games, including Jimmy Garoppolo spotting Justin Herbert, seven points. Are you kidding me? 49ers Chargers plus Commander's Eagles. We'll talk about those next here on Chris Simms Unbuttoned and PFTPM.