[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yesterday, I felt like that. It was one of those days where, yeaah, he was looking downfield, but he was really just waiting to throw it underneath. Hey, look coach, I'm looking downfield. Oh, there's the underneath throw. Oh, what'd you see downfield? Oh, it was a little hairy. Okay, Drew, sure. And then he gets the five yard completion. That's cool. But, uh, yeaah, I just don't know if that's going to be


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Realistic against good playoff football teams as we get farther down the road here in the season.


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[Assistant] I mean, with that defense, you know, just that front four, Tillery, Ingram, Lindvell, Joseph, Bosa, all those guys, you would think they could close the football game out. You know, you really would, but, you know, big plays, that's the story.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Of the comeback. I think more than anything. You know, whether it's, hey, it's 24 to 3. They're in trouble. You know, you let up a 55-yard touchdown run to Phillip Lindsay to get him jump-started, to get a minute 28, minute 28 drive.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] After that, and then go on a two-place 75-yard drive, where they rip off again another big run, and then he hits a wide open to Sean Hamilton in the middle of the field.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, again, it's not that I'm, um, it's not that, hey yeaah, they came back and did all that, but to let them off the hook with quickscores and the ability to get 14 points just on those two drives.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know what? I can't really say that they did. I can't.


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[Assistant] It was Drew Locke showing great patience, nickel and dining them down the field, and then of course getting the big pass interference call, which, man, is a tough call.


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[Assistant] The defender had outside leverage. The wide, or the tight end in this case is trying to run an outside breaking route.


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[Assistant] Now the problem is Faison doesn't really get his head around. I understand that.


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[Assistant] So that's where he's going to be in trouble. That's where in my notes I just wrote, can we just, can DB start playing the ball and stop this like, we're going to play the hands of the receiver when his hands go up. I mean that never works. They never break the pass up. And if they do, it's pass interference.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right, so, uh, that was a big call. I'd like to see that not called, because like I said, the defense won. He wasn't going to fit that in there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The ball, the guy was gonna catch the ball out of bounds, regardless, but nonetheless, they called it, I get it, that's the way it's called this day in Aging the NFL, and then the next play is a touchdown.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But just don't push him. And that's where I think he got it, is he didn't look.


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[Assistant] And then his body contact kind of rode the tight end out of bounds, and I think that's what the referee saw, and that was it. And then the next play, great little creative sprint right option play by the Denver Broncos, right? They got, you know, KJ Hamler, who comes from the opposite side.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And he comes in a little quick motion set hut, uh, I mean that doesn't even come in quick motion. He's set off to the left. They do a fake little play action and he comes behind the line of scrimmage.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And really the chargers do a pretty good job of covering it. But the guy covering KJ Amler now realizes, wait.


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[Assistant] Drew Locke can run in the end zone. And he knows he's got somebody behind him to help him, so he attacks the quarterback, and the guy behind him just can't pick up the coverage in time quick enough before Drew Locke gets it there. Touchdown, game over, and uh, sorry Chargers.


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[Assistant] Well, he's, like, power throws is where he's making his money right now.


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[Assistant] It's those type of 15, 20, 25 yard throws that yeah, we're seeing some inconsistencies here and there, bad decision, a little off throw here or there.


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[Assistant] But he's making up with it, with explosive plays on the pass game. And I think that's probably the best thing he's got going for him. I mean, yeaah. It's not perfect. You know, and their offense isn't perfect too. It's not all about him.


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[Assistant] The fact that he kind of hung in there in the football game, and then, hey, just hung around enough to give themselves a chance, and then he'd make a few plays, he's got talent. You know, I really still like the young nucleus they have there. Let's not, you know,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, jump off the ship quite yet just because we had a bad last two games of Drew Locke. I still think there's a lot of positives to build on.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's, uh, it's, I don't even know. This is a tough one. I need more time to evaluate this one. I mean, Herbert has made more big time plays as far as


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Highlight, bombs down the field. Oh my gosh, look at that throw.


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[Assistant] You know, now they have some talent at receiver and he's got better pass protection than Joe Burrow too. So that's been able to at least make that happen. But man, I don't know if I can do that. I mean, we're going to talk Cincinnati in a few minutes. Joe Burrow is, he's freaking good.


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[Assistant] Right. It might not be his eye popping, whoa, laser beams through the air and things like that. But holy crap, does he make his share of unbelievable plays? Uh, just does it in a different, different fashion.


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[Assistant] You know, and again, yesterday wasn't about like, oh, it wasn't a 400 yard day and all that type of stuff. The thing that continues to amaze me with Joe Burrow is, and this is what I, you know, this is a big part of my grading of quarterback.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Or, can you actually make a play and do something when nothing's there to be had? And that's what Joe Burrow constantly does. I mean, he has so many good plays, I feel like it's a little like Patrick Mahomes early in his career, but I went, that's lucky. That's lucky.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think that it is probably that just extending the play, playmaking ability.


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[Assistant] To where I look at it and just go, man, okay, oh gosh, the pocket broke down, he scrambles for five when he should have got sacked for a five yard loss.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, nobody's open, now he's gotta get out of the pocket, try to buy some time so people can get open. Oh, first down, 12 yard throw, great job. Hey, nobody's open, and the pass protection's horrible. Okay, he dances around and makes a play that way. I mean, yesterday, you know, at one point, the game was, I believe at this point, it's 10 to 7.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's a fourth in four they have. Kind of a no man's land, the Bangos.


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[Assistant] They call a pass play with Joe Burrow. Nobody's helping.


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[Assistant] He runs around, buys time, and throws like a 25-30 yard throw down the middle of the field to T Higgins for a first down. It just constantly plays like that. It's constantly, let alone like unbelievable pinpoint accuracy and things like that just in the normal drop back pass game that have all been really impressive.


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[Assistant] Downfield and he threw that like four or five yards short or three yards short. There was a little of that.


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[Assistant] But last week, I talked about it on the podcast at one moment. I said, I think there's a, I think that Joe Burrow has made a little adjustment with his mechanics a little. And the, you know, in this last Cleveland game where they lost,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, the one thing I noticed and I talked about it is his motion. He was very vertical to start the year. He's kind of a vertical thrower. It goes from this side down to the opposite pocket.


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[Assistant] But, as you've heard me say a million times, Paulie, you watch Mahomes, Rodgers, Brady, it's across the body. And I see more and more throws where Joe Burroughs ending up like this instead of like that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And it has allowed him to drive the ball into some tighter windows. So, you know, again, he's talented. His arm's not gonna be Mahomes or Roger or like that. But it's damn good enough to make every throw possible and still be an awesome, awesome quarterback and, uh, blown away by everything about Joe Burrow so far.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Hey, the old saying in football is like, don't let the same team beat you twice, right?


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[Assistant] You lose that big football game and you kind of like, you know, why, you know, just self pity all week. Oh, how did we lose that? How did we lose that? You're still thinking about it Thursday. And then all of a sudden you don't realize that it's starting to affect that week's week of practice. So I think between


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Then they get down there the next drive and they're on fringe territory again as far as a fuel goal.


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[Assistant] And they go for it. Or no, they punt it, excuse me. They're on like the 38 yard line and they punt it because it's a windy day. They don't want to kick another long field goal with Goskowski. They want to do that. They punt it away. Well,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Damn, damn bangles took that drive and went down the field and scored. So, uh, just a sloppy game, didn't take care of, take advantage of some of the opportunities they had. And I think the other thing too, again, we've said this every week of the Titans, you know, their, their defense, it's, it's worrisome. They can't rush the passer.


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[Assistant] They can't rush the passer. They can't play man to man. And in the passing NFL world, that's a tough combo. That means teams are going to be able to move the ball and score points on a weekly basis.


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[Assistant] Since the great Christopher Davidson's.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, yeah, Pete said you were still verifying great. Yes, that was spoken from the Chris Sims himself. Yes, great. But, uh, man, that kind of hurt. I wanted to see my record stand. I still wanted to be the last lefty to win their star.


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[Assistant] Yep, that's right. They are. And two will look good though. I mean, again, we don't know how good. Yeah, good enough.


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[Assistant] You know, that's exciting, but the big story was Brian Flores, that defense exposed Sean McVay and Jared Goff. Big time. Big time.


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[Assistant] They go into, ooh, can you beat us this other way? I mean, they really, that's a big question mark for them.


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[Assistant] I mean, when the boots aren't there, and the play action pass isn't there, and the McVeigh screens aren't there,


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[Assistant] You know, they have a hard time moving the football at all. I mean, we saw the 49ers took those things away and now Brian Flores, who spent two weeks of preparation preparing for this team in the Super Bowl two years ago in Super Bowl 53 and held in the three points when he was the D coordinator of the New England Patriots, he knows what it takes.


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[Assistant] Was just some of the passing situations, obvious third down passing situations. He exposed.


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[Assistant] Either the protection scheme or Jared Goff's knowledge of the protection scheme.


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[Assistant] On all four turnovers, really. By rushing how many? By rushing six and Jared Gothnot recognizing that, hey, you, you have five blockers and all six are coming. One's gonna be there. So on three of the four turnovers,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] That was, that was the issue. To where Goff's gotta get the ball out of his hands, change the play, do something.


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[Assistant] But he was hit like he wasn't even expecting to be outnumbered by the Blitz. I think that's where I'm confused. I really am. But Flores, yeah, called all the right plays and defense all day long to make things real, real tough on the Rams.


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[Assistant] Yeaah. No, I had to come out of the game. I hurt my throwing shoulder bad. I really did. I got planted into the ground.


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[Assistant] Uh, right as I was throwing the football one time, I came out on fire. First two drives of the game, we went right down the field. I was playing great. I got blindsided and hurt my shoulder and couldn't play for four or five weeks. So my first NFL start wasn't that great of an experience.


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[Assistant] First time starting right tackle in there against the late great Will Smith, rest in peace, right? You know Will Smith, remember the Saints who got shot and killed in the stupid traffic?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, Josh Jacobs is, he's a complete NFL running back. You know, again, a guy where when I say complete, I mean complete because yeah, he's really good, but there's no weakness to his football game in any area.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Oh, fourth and two, you need him to smash it up in there and get tough yards, no problem. Oh, it's first and ten and he's on the edge, can he make some people miss and get extra yards? No problem. He can break your ankles or can just beat you with straight acceleration around the corner.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, and yesterday, the Raiders rode him hard. John Gruden had the old saying of like, pound the rock. He used to say that a lot to us in Tampa Bay, which means like, he's gonna run the ball.


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[Assistant] He's gonna let his offensive lineman come off the ball, impose their physical will, let the running backs run downhill to give some toughness to the offensive side of the ball. And the Raiders are tough.


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[Assistant] Even though they're young and they might not be the most talented team in football, the one thing they've been through the John Gruden era is tough. And they brought it right at Cleveland yesterday. The Raiders offensive line's really good.


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[Assistant] I was worried about them getting gashed in the run game themselves. Now I picked the Raiders to win this football game.


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[Assistant] Because I really thought Paulie Gunther and them will go, wait, this Browns pass offense isn't that great? We got pretty good cover corners. Let's put our guys in some man-to-man situations, but let's sell out to stop the run.


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[Assistant] And let's see if the pass game can beat us. And especially on a windy day, that was the right approach for sure. So Paul Gunther does deserve a lot of credit there. Again, even for that side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, they're not super talented, but they play tough every week and they play hard. So one thing I really respect about the Raiders football team, and that was a big, gritty win for them on the road, you know.


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[Assistant] Middle America, cold windy day, not, uh, not an environment the Raiders have typically thrived in usually.


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[Assistant] I could throw them right into that category, a little bit of the Rams that we just talked about, even the Cleveland Browns, you know.


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[Assistant] If they can't run the ball, I'm not sure their drop back pass offense can win them football games. And I definitely have that question about Jimmy Garoppolo. I certainly do. And Seattle looked like they took that approach yesterday. Crowding the line of scrimmage.


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[Assistant] And weren't gonna let, like, the 49ers dictate the day with Shanahan's creative run schemes and all that. Now, it hurt they didn't have Debo Samuel. And I haven't watched this film yet. I wanna go back and see exactly what they did. You know, the 49ers kinda moved the ball early. Had a chance to take a lead early in the football game.


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[Assistant] You know, moved the ball the first time, ended up having to punt it away. Second drive, they drive down there, and that's when Garoppolo throws the interception.


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[Assistant] You know, that was, uh, and then of course Russell Wilson and everybody answered that way. But yeah, I was surprised not only one that they couldn't run the ball, but two, you know, I thought the 49ers defense would slow down Russell Wilson and company too, and that did not happen.


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[Assistant] I mean, again, I don't know exactly the specifics to what they did. I want to look at, you know, like I said, all I can really speak to what I'm watching on a TV and all that was like a lot of people, the line of scrimmage and just shooting gaps and getting upfield.


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[Assistant] Uh, but when I do Wednesday with my What the F*** Happened podcast and we get into that, I'll give some more specifics about what they did to really kind of, uh, take away the Shanahan run game.


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[Assistant] We just see where there's games where if they can't, if they can't dominate with their run game and the play actions and all that be a viable option.


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[Assistant] I worry about Jimmy G and his ability to make the appropriate throws and carry the team that way. I definitely do.


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[Assistant] I, I, I, I, I would tread, tread lightly. I would. I don't know where this goes either. I really don't. I'll be excited or interested to see what my buddy Kyle Shanahan does. But I think, I still think this second half of the year,


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[Assistant] You know, what would lend us to believe they wouldn't do that again, right? So that's where I will be intrigued and I think Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have to finish somewhat strong. Unlike the guy on the other side, okay, who is Enfuego. And they got back to Russell to DK.


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[Assistant] They must have been pissed off about what I talked about on Wednesday last week. How did we let Arizona play man to man on DK like that and not take advantage of it more often? And yesterday it was like they were going to prove a point. They were like, oh.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You're playing man to man? We're gonna throw out with them. We're gonna throw out with them. Yeah, right. And they should. They should wear that out until somebody starts to double cover DK Metcalf. And then it's just gonna make their offense that much better and that much more dangerous. And, uh, hopefully they learn their lesson.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeaah, it's Russell Wilson. It is. But I think DK Metcalf, and I don't know if you saw this part of the show yesterday, or today at least, I think he's taken the lead on, I think he's the best receiver in football. I do.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Thank you. You know, I think the big thing is, is I just, if you gave me one guy and you go, hey Chris, you're a quarterback of a team right now, here's your first pick at wide receiver, I think I'd have to go with DKMedCat.


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[Assistant] What can he do? Short passes? Touchdown. Jump balls? Touchdown. Intermediate passes? What? Across the field? Turn the corner?


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[Assistant] Tight rope? Touchdown? What? Like, everybody in football goes out of bounds there. Except for maybe him and Tyree Kill. Except he turns the corner and scores. And uh, yeaah, I just think he's a really, really special player.


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[Assistant] Well, listen, I liked Nick Mullins, except for just what I saw a few weeks ago in that Eagles Sunday Night Football game that scarred me. To where...


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[Assistant] So that means he must have aggravated it pretty good. And I think there was about two or three times yesterday where he did aggravate it. So I, I, we shouldn't be shocked that we saw this, but, uh, that's, that's big news. And then it's just the 49ers. That's the, that kind of just wraps up their whole year. Guys injured just constantly and them having to battle through it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, well, I think, you know, yeaah, he's not, he's not one of the six best quarterbacks in football right now. You know, I will echo what you just said. You know, there's not there much there to help him.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, again, you know, I like Boston Scott, but Boston Scott's a backup running back for every team in football. Maybe the third running back. And he's their feature guy.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And then you talk about lack of weapons, the banged up offensive line. So I am a defender of Carson Wentz, cause he makes a lot of unbelievable plays when he's talented. He does. But how can you defend some of the things he did last night?


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[Assistant] And you know, first off, just the two fumbles last night, they were the ones that bothered me more than anything. Just zero awareness of who was around him and what was there so focused on down the field that not even paying attention to what's around you and that, that, that's, that's, you know, I just,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It's indefensible. I don't know what else to say about that. You know, in the interceptions, hey, there was the deep post, okay, maybe the wind got it, but the other one throwing it into the end zone over there, you're playing the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] I'm not so sure if you took the defense off the field, they're going to be able to score a touchdown.


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[Assistant] You know, just be conservative, play the game the right way, realize that you have the better team on the field. There's just too many instances of this all year long where, whether it's the Washington game week one, where you go, you're dominating and then he throws two picks to jumpstart and get them going.


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[Assistant] There's the, the Rams game. They get back into that. And here it is. It's there to be had. They might take the lead. He throws a stupid interception there in the wrong moment. You know, there's just too many moments of where he tries to do too much and it costs them.


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[Assistant] I don't feel like I'm going to say that yet. I'd like to see one more stretch of a healthy offense around Carson Wentz. I really would. You know, let's see if we can get Deshaun Rager


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[Assistant] There's just too many plays that it's like, it's old Deshaun Watson. Every play is the last play of the game. Oh yeaah. And it just, it's living on the edge too much.


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[Assistant] I don't know what to say. They're in deep crap. They really are. You know, George Kittle.


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[Assistant] Other than Nick Bosa, it's the best, they're the two best players on the team. Kittle is so amazing for the pass game.


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[Assistant] He's amazing for the run game, and then he's amazing of course when they tie that all together in the play action pass and all that. And he is that, like,


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[Assistant] I mean, the way they're, they're tied with Tennessee, tied with Tennessee in the AFC South. Exactly. Sitting there at five and two, you know, I know they had the bye week, so we didn't talk about them a whole lot or anything like that.


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[Assistant] You know, still a lot of really impressive parts to that football team.


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[Assistant] And again, it's still like in the infancy stages here of the football team.


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[Assistant] But I think they've gotten better through the first half of the year, definitely. And you can see, they can win games in different styles. They've won games with their pass game, they've won games with their run game, they've won games with their defense.


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[Assistant] And that to me is why I keep looking at them, just going, uh, watch out for them. Because they got a lot of things that we talk about complete football teams.


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[Assistant] You know, they're one of those teams that it's hard to find a glaring weakness about their team other than will Philip Rivers take care of the ball in the fourth quarter, right? That's probably the only concern we got, but you have to go back.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, they're winning, they look like the better of the team, but Matt Stafford's made a few plays. What do they do?


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[Assistant] You know, oh Darius Leonard bust through the middle, strip sack fumble. They cause a turnover. They go down and get a touchdown. It's 28 14. Then.


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[Assistant] Next drive, pick six. Kenny Moore catches it from Stafford. 35-14 game over. But it just shows you, the defense can go through moments of dominating a football game. And you saw their offense go through moments of that game dominating a football game too. So, you know, the Colts.


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[Assistant] They might be the best team in the AFC South. We'll see. Either way, I know the Colts are a playoff caliber football team. I do know that.


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[Assistant] I guess the next thing going forward is, can they make a jump to be in that Super Bowl caliber team in the AFC? I'm not sure about that yet.


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[Assistant] It, it speaks to, yes, it's the jets and they stink and we know that, but it's just like, yes, right? I mean, it just speaks to the, I guess the expectation level of what we think of. Patrick Mahomes now, right? To where it's just like, oh, we expect these.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It is. And I think the, you know, again, Mahomes was amazing yesterday. He made some throws that were just like, what? Are you kidding me? I mean, the big post he had down the middle of the Tyree kill, anybody here at NBC Sports yesterday, they probably heard me yell.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, he threw a 45 yard missile that was like 6 feet off the ground the whole way and it just was like...


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[Assistant] You know, Tyree kills run and just hit him in the face. Like, oh, touchdown. I mean, it's just, he's unbelievable that way. And I think the thing that's really cool about the Chiefs, again, we've talked about it a lot.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But they've really shown some versatility in how they can play here as of late.


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[Assistant] And that's where I'm really excited. That's why I think they're the best team in football. I'm still picking them to win the Super Bowl. I am. They got playmakers, they got scheme, they got toughness, they got belief.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And we've seen in, you know, yesterday, okay, the air show, the Broncos game, it was special teams and defensive touchdowns. The week before that against Buffalo, they ran the ball down the Bill's throat. So I think they're actually expanding.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, their football wealth as far as a football team and how they can beat you throughout this as well, to where they're still getting better. And I think that's what's scary about the Chiefs.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm taking them and I think actually they're not, they're a tough matchup for Pittsburgh. I think they match up very well because Kansas City can pass protect. The Steelers can't play man to man.


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[Assistant] And that usually lends to either Mahomes throwing rifles into your zone coverage or just extending the play and then manipulating your zone coverage and then throwing the rifle.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And that's where that would be a little scary to me. And then of course, you know, hey, the Chiefs defense, we don't talk about it enough, but they, they can shut people out and they're physical and tough and cause plays. Um, so yeah, I still think they're the best team in all of football, in my opinion.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You believe that? The big fucker turns 65 tomorrow. 65. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] You're right, there is some gag. He doesn't want gag gifts though. I think last year I got him some basketball sneakers. You know, he loves to like... Does he play hoops? No, but he loves to, I'll come over in some sneakers and oh man, those are great looking. I really like those. I really like those. And then...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So I try, oh man, these are amazing. Oh my gosh. Who makes these? And I only wear Nike, so I'm like, these are Nike. And oh man, these are great. I'll get you some, dad. Okay, okay. And you know, that's usually how it works out. And then I end up buying some basketball sneakers to wear around.


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[Assistant] Of course, yes. We might be going to his house. I don't even sure what our plans are yet. I gotta figure this out. I don't know.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well I'm going bucks. Uh, I, I, yeaah. Alright, how much?


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[Assistant] You know, something right in that range, but you know, that's the greatness of the Bucks too. First off, Brady can throw it through the wind, just like we talked about with some of the other quarterbacks earlier. He's not going to have issues there. And then the Bucks can run the ball when they need to and have enough of other ways to move the ball too. Uh, I'll still stand by to what I said last week.


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[Assistant] I think the Bucs are the best team in the NFC. I know they got two losses right now, but I just think it's going this way and they're, they're probably going to be the most complete team when it's all said and done in the NFC.


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[Assistant] You could be right in that range though. You might see a lot of like giants drive to the 30 yard line and then fizzle out and he kicks. I wouldn't be shocked to see at least three or four field goal attempts. You might get close on this one.


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[Assistant] Okay, no problem. Glad I gave you the hope. I hope it actually happens.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, yep, I hope it does. You're back with me on Wednesday. Just get your test so you can come sit here with me, okay? Alright.


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[Assistant] I don't want to be sitting next to you if you're the carrier monkey. All right. I don't want to deal with that. All right. All right. I'll be from here. Yes. Okay. That's it. Chris Sims on button. Paulie, you the man. Good show. Way to drive the ship as always. And we will be back Wednesday for what happened. Our usual podcast breakdown. And I think this Wednesday for sure.


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[Assistant] 100%, we've had, he's had troubles on his end, we've had troubles on our end here because of COVID and all that. I think Big Phil will be on the podcast on Wednesday, ready to go. So we'll be able to heckle him and call him a 65 year old man. That should be fun.


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[Assistant] There's the addition of PFTPM during football season. That means it's a joint edition of PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button, presented by our friends at Verizon. With that,


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[Assistant] I turned the microphone over to Christopher David Sims because he barely, thanks to what ultimately was the fluke 70 yard touchdown pass from Trace McSorley to Hollywood Brown, he beat me against the spread and also secured the right to drive the bus.


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[Assistant] Because, but for that touchdown we would have had a tie across the board and I would have won the right to drive the bus because I would have been closer to the total points scored. But no, Trace McSorley and Hollywood Brown, you had to screw up my day.


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[Assistant] I was 2049 a couple of weeks ago, and it was a run-based offense for the New Orleans Saints in Taysom Hills, first ever start. So many questions about whether or not he would be able to get it done. He did get it done. And we talked earlier on PFT live that, hey, the Falcons this time around,


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[Assistant] Probably gonna load up to stop the run, force Taysom Hill to pass. But you know what? Until the Falcons can figure out the suffocating Saints defense, which is becoming more and more confident every week, it's not gonna matter. So pick your poison, Falcons defense, Falcons offense,


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[Assistant] No poison to pick. You're done. It's over. I think the Saints defense more than good enough to secure another victory. Saints moving toward the number one seed in the NFC. Saints win 23.


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[Assistant] The 43-6 win by the Falcons last week over the Raiders, I think, is a big factor. Right. In people thinking that the Falcons have figured something out, even if it was just the Raiders having a letdown and walking into a buzzsaw.


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[Assistant] In light of its overall talent, this is a team that achieved exactly what it was supposed to, getting its butt kicked by a better Green Bay Packers team. So I believe in the interim head coach bump, the artificial interim head coach bump, the, hey, we better play well for the interim coach and hope he gets the job because we don't want some new guys showing up and telling us all to hit the road.


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[Assistant] You throw on top of it that element, as I mentioned earlier today, of Ding Dong the Witch is Dead. I think the Lions win this game. I like the Lions, even though they're out of their dome, even though they're in Chicago, I like the Lions to win this game. 20 to 17, and Daryl Bevel.


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[Assistant] Starts his interim head coaching career 1-0, moving the Lions to 5-7.


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[Assistant] I just think that this is one of those games where the Lions avoid it because they've got that lift. The Darryl Bevel lift. I don't know which is dead lift, and we'll see.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but no Will Fuller who had 171 yards and two touchdowns against the Lions. I feel like that was the Super Bowl. That was the crowning moment for the Houston Texans. I find it hard to think they're going to sustain that momentum.


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[Assistant] into this week, especially against a Colts team that is desperate to reestablish itself after getting bullied by the Tennessee Titans. When I talked to Ryan Tannehill after the Tennessee win, I said, you know, how weird is it to play a team


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[Assistant] Nothing close to what the Titans have. That's right. That makes it easier for the Colts. And I think they'll have an easier time defending against Deshaun Watson. And look, I agree with you. Deshaun Watson doesn't get nearly enough credit for what he's done this year.


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[Assistant] But there are some games that they're just not gonna be able to ride Deshaun Watson to victory in. They need something more. And without Fuller and Kenny Stills is now gone. They released him within the past week. They just don't have...


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[Assistant] The weapons around Deshaun Watson and this is too much for him to do it on his own. I've got, let me make sure I have this right. I've got 27 cults, 20


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[Assistant] Flores said on Thursday morning that they're not going to name their starter until Sunday. See, he's playing the game. He's taking full advantage of the tuatanga vailoa injury or as the case may be.


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[Assistant] Injury. I think it's gonna be Ryan Fitzpatrick. The Bengals, one of the first teams Fitzpatrick played for. Actually, it was the second team he ever played for. He was traded by the Rams to the Bengals and he found out that he had been traded


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[Assistant] The Dolphins continue their push toward the playoffs, 30-17, I've got Miami winning.


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[Assistant] Too much also, I got the Vikings 31-23. Look, the Vikings have a long shot opportunity to get to the postseason. If they blow this one to the 1-10 Jaguars, it's over. It's done. It's finito.


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[Assistant] As Pat Shermer once said. So Vikings win. It'll be a close game. The Jaguars keep it close. Mike Glennon getting another start. He almost beat the Browns over the weekend.


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[Assistant] 31-23, Vikings do enough to get it done, and then, and then the plug gets pulled on their season next week when the Buccaneers blow them off the field with two weeks to get ready. But at least for now they're still alive and they get to 6-6 with a 31-23 victory.


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[Assistant] This is one of those where my knee-jerk reaction, because we were so sure last week that the Raiders would go to Atlanta and win and they get blown out, this is where we have a residual degree of being pissed off. Sorry London.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I still, I think that this is the ultimate litmus test for whether or not the Raiders are gonna find a way to scrape something positive out of this season. Whichever Raiders team shows up, Jekyll or Hyde, either one should beat the Jets. Yes. I'm going to assume that


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[Assistant] Raiders players have seen a healthy dose of Mr. Hyde all week in the form of John Gruden. And, uh, as you've said, playing the game is a respite from having to listen to him. 34 to 13, Raiders beat the Jets.


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[Assistant] I can't pick the Browns to beat a great team until they prove to us that they can beat a great team. It's that simple. I win all in.


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[Assistant] With the Browns against the Steelers and what happened. So I've learned the hard way and I'm willing to be wrong. Browns proved me wrong. Good, good, good for you. Good for your fans. If you beat the Titans, I'm not going to believe it until I see it happen. I've got Titans 34, Browns 20.


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[Assistant] Because I think they are going to steamroll the Browns the way they steamrolled the Colts. It's just going to happen that way. And the Browns will still be eight and four.


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[Assistant] They'll still be on track for the postseason. Everything will be fine. They actually have a chance to beat the Ravens the way the Ravens have been limping lately. And they'll be on a short week coming in to play the Browns next week. So give me the Titans in this one, easily covering 34 to 20.


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[Assistant] And I hope I'm wrong. I wanna see the Browns be successful. It's long overdue for the Browns to be a contending team. It's been 18 years since they've been to the playoffs. I hope they make it, but they gotta beat a great team before I think they'll beat a great team.


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[Assistant] We're gonna finish out the Sunday games, including the Sunday night game, because we got multiple prime time games to talk about on Monday and Tuesday. So we'll wrap up the rest of the Sunday slate with this joint edition of BFDPM and Chris Sims on Button, presented by Verizon, continues right after this.


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[Assistant] There's your weekday lineup on the NBC Sports Channel on the excellent Peacock streaming service. Begin your day with PFT Live and...


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[Assistant] Then continue for Dan Patrick, Rich Eisen, brother from another PFTPM Mondays, it's the Safety Blitz, and Tuesdays through Fridays, an hour of The Dude with the Chia Pet hair in the lower right hand corner.


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[Assistant] Spent more than a few nights sleeping outside. Oh thank you.


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[Assistant] In your lawn chair after retox. Oh yeaah. And then detox, you've done a lot of detox since that photo, that's all I'll say about that. Alright, take us through the rest of the Sunday games.


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[Assistant] I'm amazed by all of a sudden this tenuous relationship between Sean McVay and Jared Goff. McVay calls out Goff on Sunday for not taking care of the football. Then Monday he's asked a very simple question, did you consider benching Jared Goff? And instead of saying,


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[Assistant] Get outta here's our franchise quarterback. He launches into this long answer, legitimizes the question. On Wednesday, Goff said, hey, I'm a big boy, I can take it as it relates to the criticism.


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[Assistant] One of the hardest things for me to do is to abandon one of my darling teams and the Cardinals had been


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[Assistant] One of my darling teams, but they've lost it. It's over. They've fallen off the bicycle. The Hail Murray made them think they won a championship when they were a long way from even getting to the postseason. I think that this is the weekend where it implodes for the Cardinals. I think the Rams win. I think the Rams cover and I think the Cardinals


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[Assistant] I've got it close, Rams 24, Cardinals 20, but I think it won't feel as close. I think that we're going to see further suffocation of the Arizona offense and we're going to come away from the game when you look at


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[Assistant] The Seattle game, the Patriots game, and this game, we're gonna be saying, alright, maybe next year for the Arizona Card.


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[Assistant] When we locked in, it was five, so it didn't affect my pick of the Seahawks covering last week, but


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[Assistant] But, uh, yeaah, no Daniel Jones, I agree with you on that. Colt McCoy, even though he may be the fourth best quarterback in the division, all due respect to Carson Wentz, not good enough to keep it close against the Seahawks. Not with the Seahawks, sensing division title, sensing still a possibility of the 1C.


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[Assistant] I think that it will not be a good day for the Philadelphia Eagles, it will only continue the consternation. Now it's an opportunity to change the narrative, to end all the talk about Doug Peterson's job security and how high up the ladder do the problems go and is there a disconnect between the front office and the coaching staff, but the Packers


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[Assistant] What impressed me about Green Bay this past weekend


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[Assistant] Was their ability to get started with energy. They had struggled at home and they finally had a small smattering of fans. 500 family and friends. And at least having someone in the stands was enough to get them started early. And I think there's every reason to think they can start early again. They can score some points.


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[Assistant] Where's my final score here? 34 Green Bay, 21 Philadelphia. So I've got the Packers covering. I've got them winning easily. I don't know that it's going to be a best bet, but uh, you know, the Eagles are in the process of slowly disintegrating and that process is going to continue on Sunday.


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[Assistant] How close, how close for you to picking the upset? You don't want to risk losing a game to me in the straight up race. You're going with the chalk, you've got the big lead, and you're just trying to ease the car into the


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[Assistant] Oh, and Belichick also went on and on about the one man wrecking crew known as Joey Bosa, but Bosa didn't practice on Wednesday with a shin problem. He's always a little banged up. He's always on that edge of not being healthy. But the, the Patriots have figured something out and it's,


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[Assistant] Just do what you have to do to score more points than the other team. It's resilience, it's grit, it's determination.


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[Assistant] It may not be enough to get to the playoffs, but they win this game, they get the 500. Can you believe it? As bad as they were not that long ago, the idea of being 6 and 6 going into the stretch run, they've got the two games back to back in LA. I'd be very nervous about playing them on Thursday night if I were the Rams, especially if they beat the Chargers.


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[Assistant] The thing about the chargers, the one consistent thing they have other than Justin Herbert, who's been consistently good,


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[Assistant] They've just consistently lost close games, and I think this is just a game the Patriots win. 23-17, however it happens, may not be pretty, it won't matter. 6-6 is in the offing for the Patriots as they try to get


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[Assistant] But will they? They can. The question is will the Chiefs be in a mode where they can be slowed down? Will they be the team that we saw after they had the great first half?


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[Assistant] Against the Buccaneers. Will they be fully locked in and focused? We haven't seen a lot of Chiefs in prime time recently. Maybe just that mere fact that they'll be on for everyone to watch will be reason for them to find the gas pedal and have a big game. I just can never trust the Chiefs to show up against a team


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[Assistant] That isn't a great team. That doesn't get them fully and completely focused and locked in. That's where I'm concerned. I'm also concerned though on the other side of the coin.


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[Assistant] About the Broncos, you know, we, we've heard a lot of public comments about what happened last week with the no quarterbacks and I almost feel like Vic Fangio has gone too far in criticizing his quarterbacks because I think privately,


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[Assistant] The Broncos understand what happened last week and aren't nearly as upset as Fangio would seem to be. And I just wonder whether that affects the locker room at all. Whether or not you've got guys who, who maybe aren't as committed now.


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[Assistant] I just, I just wonder about the overall dynamics within the organization after the ugliness of the last week. I'm gonna go 42-21, Chiefs over Broncos, just because I think the Chiefs will be sufficiently awake for this game, because it's in prime time, it's at home.


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[Assistant] Uh, and the Broncos have some dysfunction on top of the fact that they aren't that good right now. So 42-21, probably not a best bet. Uh, but, but definitely a game that I feel semi-good about. Definitely the Chiefs win. Yeaah. The question is by how many?


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[Assistant] We've got three primetime games, Monday and Tuesday. We'll pick those when PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button continues right after.


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[Assistant] Three Primetime Games, Monday and Tuesday. Our analysis of those games here on PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button, presented by Verizon. Chris, take us through the action.


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[Assistant] In his four minute press conference after the game. I wouldn't want to be in that room.


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[Assistant] When Tomlin unloads on all the various players in every phase of the game who screw things up for the Steelers. But they're 11-0. They're on the way to 12-0.


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[Assistant] You know what's gonna happen, there's gonna be another garbage time touchdown like, like Wednesday, and they're not gonna cover. But for now I'm gonna say Steelers 27, Washington 16, Steelers cover, I have very little confidence in the Steelers covering the spread.


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[Assistant] High confidence in the Steero's getting to 12 and 0. So, uh, we'll see what happens.


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[Assistant] Well, to me, this is as simple as who can run, who can't, who can stop the run, and who can't. And I think that 49ers running game, we've seen it before against the Patriots, how it just bedevils the defense. And all year long, that Bill's rush defense has been a liability.


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[Assistant] And, and I, the move to Arizona, look, these are professionals, and they're gonna be locked in, they're gonna be focused, all they're gonna be doing is studying their playbooks and playing video games, and they're gonna be ready to go, and they'll take out their aggression, and I think Kyle Shanahan will be very good at channeling their aggression toward the opponent.


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[Assistant] And, uh, I think the 49ers will win this game. And, and since they're a one point underdog, I don't have to make it a huge margin. I can go 49ers 21, Bills 20. That's what I'm picking. I think the 49ers win and they continue to make a late push for a spot in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Lamar Jackson should be back Sunday, Monday at the latest. I don't know how much practice he'll actually have. How much does he actually need though? The Cowboys were so bad on Thanksgiving. They've been so bad all year long. I've got Ravens 28, Cowboys 20. I think that Dez Bryant factor


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[Assistant] If nothing else, and regardless of what his production is, I think it gives the Ravens a little bit of a, of a, of a goose. It gives them a little something to, to get their mind off of the COVID issues, cause Dez is gonna be so emotional about playing the Cowboys. And this is it for the Ravens. They're six and five. They have to win this game, or they are going to be potentially done.


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[Assistant] For, uh, any consideration to get to the postseason. They've got to, and they've got games left that they should be able to win. You look at the rest of their schedule, they should be able to go on a run here and at least get to 10 wins, but they have to beat the Cowboys to start that process. 28-20, I've got the Ravens.


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[Assistant] Alright, best bets for week 13 when we wrap up this Thursday edition of EFPM with Chris Simms presented by Barack.


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[Assistant] Eat into the big lead that Chris has built straight up because we only disagree on one game this week. The Chicago Detroit game. One of the more boring games of the week, but at least it's a little more interesting for our purposes. Now it's time to get to the money.


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[Assistant] Not literally, but as close as possible. If you're looking for some information, some insights, some ideas for your own wagering, where legal or otherwise, here are our best bets for the week. Chris, you get to go first this week. Okay.


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[Assistant] My first best bet, New Orleans Saints giving two and a half to the Falcons. It was a little fluky last week for the Falcons to beat the Raiders the way they did. The Saints have the Falcons number. The Saints have a great defense. They have a diverse offense that is finding its footing with Taysom Hill. Maybe the Falcons will force Taysom Hill to throw, and maybe he will.


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[Assistant] The Raiders, after getting embarrassed by the Atlanta Falcons, will not let that happen again. This is a huge bounce back game, and it's against the Jets. Seven and a half, not nearly enough. Take the Raiders, giving the points, and uh, that's number two for me. What's number three for you?


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[Assistant] And I have just a little more faith in the Patriots because the window is open for them, they've been winning, the Chargers always find a way to lose, and I think the Chargers, when Anthony Lynn says to the Chargers, playoffs probably aren't in the cards this year,


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[Assistant] That's the indication. It doesn't matter anymore. Well, it matters for the Patriots. Patriots are my pick.


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[Assistant] That's it for PFTPM and Chris Sims on Button, presented by Verizon. We'll see you next time. See ya.


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[Assistant] Man, you are, you're, you've been brutal on the Raiders lately. Brutal on Gruden. So what are you trying to do? Get like a little bit of a like a last second kiss up session here before the regular season ends? No. Okay, this is trolling. Alright.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright. We'll deal with that. You're obviously trolling him. I mean, you tried to start like a, you know, a ride in the streets to get the guy, you know, on the hot seat last few weeks.


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[Assistant] Well listen, I stated all along, I'm pissed off you're winning in any category, okay? And it ain't over yet. I'm gonna catch you. I'm gonna catch you in best bets before we get to the Super Bowl. I'm just telling you. But, it'll be tough. I don't know how we're gonna do it.


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[Assistant] I'm only five games back in the win column. That's not, we can do that. We can, we can make that up. I'm, I'm still, I'm not giving up hope yet. I did go into the year with the goal of beating you in best bets in the straight up. That was the thing that was most important to me. But yeah, you're doing awesome, man. You really are. You gotta, as I've said since we started working,


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[Assistant] Your spaghetti and meatballs gut is very impressive. I've always thought that you continue to always have a good feel for the most part of the right game to bet on. And that's where I'm stupid. I just can never pick that right game.


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[Assistant] Well yeah, I mean that, and you know, let's also not forget that really the Jets outplayed them the first time. I mean, the Patriots had to come back and play almost perfect football in the second half of a game.


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[Assistant] To squeak out a win against the New York Jets. I don't think it's gonna be a whole lot different this time either though. I think we're gonna get a close, you know, physical low scoring football game. I expect that. You know, I think both teams, even though there's nothing on the line,


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[Assistant] You know, I, I do think that both teams want to end the year on a positive note. The Jets have won two in a row. It'd be great for them. And I think Adam Gase, who knows he's probably gonna get fired to end off beating Belichick and them. I also think Belichick and company are gonna want to end the year on the right, you know, foot too.


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[Assistant] And go into the off season with a little bit of a positive vibe. I'm going to go with the Patriots and a close football game. I don't.


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[Assistant] Feel great about this, I'm going Patriots 17-14 in a defensive run game slugfest.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, I mean it's a tough call because you don't know really what to expect.


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[Assistant] I mean, I do think that he could quite possibly just, you know, when you go through Wednesday and Thursday and you're saying you're still not sure, that means your first team offense and defense are still practicing.


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[Assistant] And they're getting prepared for the game. It's not like he's made the decision to, hey, you guys rest and now we're going to get the backups practicing and doing all that. You know, we've talked about the aspect of, you know, if I'm Buffalo, my biggest goal this weekend is just to avoid Baltimore in the wild card round.


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[Assistant] I gotta think there is some sort of scoreboard watching or worry about that to a degree. At least I would be worrying about it. I know you can't like totally control it there. Also to your point, you know, you got a chance to knock out a division rival and a division rival too,


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[Assistant] That matches up pretty well with you. That's where I would be scared.


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[Assistant] You know, that's, oh, that great secondary and that defense who doesn't allow a lot of points and those cover corners and they cause turnovers and all those things.


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[Assistant] Do you really, you know, wanna have to deal with the Dolphins at some point either? Either way, I'm going at it as Buffalo's going to play their starters for the majority of the game.


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[Assistant] And I think they're gonna win the game. I'm gonna go 30 to 20, Buffalo. Hey, all those out there who are thinking about betting this game, of course, pay attention to what they say and do that as we get closer to the game. But I'm going into it approaching is Josh Allen. They're hot.


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[Assistant] Pedal to the metal. They had a late week, a late season bye week this year. They should be pretty fresh. They're rolling. I wouldn't want to break that momentum. 30 to 20 bills.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well of course I'm going with the Ravens. I am. I mean, I respect the Bengals for how tough they're playing. Zach Taylor, you know, the way his team's played for him.


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[Assistant] Tough football, competing, defense still plays with intensity, all that. You know, trying to instill a little bit of a winning culture that can maybe carry over to 2021. I don't think they're going to fall asleep at the wheel, but I think


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[Assistant] You know, you just said it, like Baltimore is going in the right direction for, for me. I mean, it's going this way. We've seen it the last few weeks. It's getting scary. That, that Monday night.


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[Assistant] Magical game against the Browns, I-I do think catapulted them a little bit and, you know, gave them a little bit of a confidence, whatever, you know, second gasp of air, but the way the running game's working against this Cincinnati defense, who can't really stop the run,


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[Assistant] Yeah, I just, I worry about that. And the Bengals offense, it's been better lately. We've seen it make plays, definitely. Receivers are scary, running game going a little bit.


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[Assistant] Just like the Ravens offense, Baltimore's defense is starting to really peak too.


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[Assistant] They've, they've gotten back to where they're pretty healthy on the defensive side of the ball. And I think they're going into week 17 and into the playoffs, you know, playing about as good football as they can play. And I'm going to go with Baltimore to dominate this game, Mike, 34 to 17 Baltimore wins.


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[Assistant] I, you know, it is, I saw the 10 points at first and I went, whoa, that's a lot. And then, you know, I.


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[Assistant] Uh, wrote down my score after thinking about it, and I was like, okay, I can see it being around that range.


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[Assistant] You know, I originally wrote down 27-17 and then looked at the spread and went, oh man, I'm right there on it. And I went Brown's 28-17. That's what I'm going to do for the football game. I am a little scared about that though, as far as the spread covering part.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't know. I guess there's a part of me that thinks Cleveland could play a little tight in the football game, even though the Steelers will be playing backups. You know, they're still the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Okay, and the Browns, we know it's not, it is about their run game and things like that to where, okay, the Steelers, even with their backups, their physical football team, they're going to be in there worried about the run too. But I think ultimately where I really just go, okay, I just think with the Browns being desperate, the Steelers on a week off basically.


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[Assistant] And, you know, that run game, everything like that, and ultimately Mason Rudolph, quarterbacking an offense that hasn't been great altogether anyways.


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[Assistant] I just, I gotta go with the Browns here. I mean, of course, I'm going Browns 28-17. I just can't see the Steelers mustering up enough offense on that side of the ball. And I think with the way they throw and all that all the time too, that just plays into the Browns' hands, their pass rush, everything like that. This is a different Browns team than the first matchup, Browns 28-17.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like, you're right. Who cares, right? Okay, and you know, okay, there's that aspect. I expect there to be a lot of offense in this football game. I do. I mean, neither defense is good. I mean, we think Matthew Stafford's gonna play, right? I mean...


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[Assistant] That's what I'm... He did not practice yesterday. He's got rib, ankle, and thumb injury. Man, yeah. Well, that's, that's a game changer to me because, I mean, of course, if, if it's Chase Daniel, take


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[Assistant] 14 points off the board. Take 10 points off the board. Who knows? I don't know. But that's really, I mean, at least that.


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[Assistant] Now Matthew Stafford's worth that, and especially against the Vikings, who we know are, you know, capable of letting up a lot of big plays.


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[Assistant] So Matthew Stafford is a huge aspect of this game. But I don't care, even if he plays or doesn't, I'm picking the Vikings. You know, the Vikings won, yea, there's no Dalvin Cook, but we know they're gonna, they're gonna be able to run the football. I'm not gonna have any doubt about that. I just think the Kirk Cousins, Mike Zimmer, you know,


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[Assistant] The Vikings are going to have a little more pride to want to finish the season out the right way. I do think that they'll want to be looking more at seven and nine instead of six and ten. Where Detroit, it's over. That thing's getting blown up.


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[Assistant] This is a close one. I think the New York Giants really match up well with the Dallas Cowboys. I really do, in a lot of ways. You know, I do wish Daniel Jones was a little healthier and could move and run a little bit.


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[Assistant] You know, that would be big in this game because the Cowboys have the worst run defense in football. The Giants do have an overpowering offensive line at times. You know, but there's just not a lot of lot other things to worry about in that Giants offense. And that allows teams to, you know, put all their eggs into the stop the run game basket.


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[Assistant] But they should be able to get some one-on-one matchups with Darius Slayton, who tore them up the last time. You know, I know Dallas is playing better. There's no doubt. If I'm the New York Giants...


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[Assistant] My, the big thing to me, and this is why I'm gonna take the Giants to win this football game, Mike. I just, I don't know, Sunday, NFC East, out here in New York, I don't, I'm just, I think they match up well, and the biggest reason I'm going to take them is because of their D-line.


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[Assistant] I could see them using a similar type of game plan that they did with the Seattle Seahawks, which was basically don't let Russell Wilson and DK Metcalf beat us. That's the, gotta be the approach to me with the Dallas Cowboys. It's don't let these receivers beat us. So play too deep.


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[Assistant] Play too deep, play too deep, and let your giants, like literally and figuratively, your giants on the D line.


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[Assistant] Stop the run game. It's not an overly impressive run game by the Cowboys. I'm gonna play that Patrick Graham comes up with something special.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, I'm going to take the Buccaneers to win the football game. I mean, I think they're playing really good football, but I don't think this is going to be just like some like landslide.


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[Assistant] You know, again, Atlanta, no matter how crushing the defeat is the week before, they always come back and play competitive. I got, that's where I, you know, Matt Ryan, Raheem Morris, that group there, I mean, they come to compete.


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[Assistant] And you know, Al played the Chiefs in a lot of ways last week and lost that football game. I think they'll compete again. I think they'll make plays on the offensive side of the ball and score a few points and, and keep the game competitive throughout. I just think ultimately Brady and the Buccaneers' offense is, is too good. I think it's one of those games where, you know, the Buccaneers are always controlling it, but,


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[Assistant] You know, you just feel like, ooh, if they make one mistake, Atlanta's gonna be in this and maybe could pull it off. I'm gonna go 3124 bucks in this one.


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[Assistant] You know, this is one, I mean, no meaning in the game, right? So eh, you gotta go into just like what you think. I try to put myself in, you know, the shoes of back in the day, maybe when I was in these type of positions and everything like that. Both teams are gonna wanna end on a positive note, no doubt about that.


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[Assistant] You know, I think ultimately though, I think it's gonna be more important to the Raiders. I do. You know, the fact, the Broncos already got 5 and 10. I do think there's a thing in football with double-digit, you know, losses. You know, as far as a team doesn't want to be 6 and 10, they'd rather be 7 and 9. You know, and then, okay.


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[Assistant] I'd rather be eight and eight rather than seven nine. Cause you could say I was 500 one year. All right. And you have.


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[Assistant] You know, eviscerated John Groot in the last few weeks and his, and his record with the Raiders and everything like that. Wait, wait. I know. He has eviscerated himself. You're right. I have just noticed the entrails laying on the floor. I know. When no one else will. I'm just giving you a hard time. But either way,


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[Assistant] What you've said is the reality of the situation and you've made it a little bit more of a public thing to where I think the Raiders and Derek Carr and everybody are going to be a little aware of that. And I think they're going to want to end the season at 8-8 and to be able to say they're 500. I'm going to go with them. I don't totally trust Drew Locke and company there yet.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go Raiders 28-24. I think there'll be a lot of fun, explosive plays on the offensive side of the ball, but I'm gonna go the Raiders.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I do think they will. A little of the same logic I just said. You know, again, I think Anthony Lin, who hasn't been given the notice that he's gonna get fired, I think he's gonna look at it and go seven and nine's gonna look a lot better than six and ten. That's gonna be important to them. And I think the Chiefs, they're worn out.


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[Assistant] They're worn out, like you've said a million times, the bullseye's been on their chest all year long. They're taking the week off. Mahomes has been hit so much the last few weeks.


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[Assistant] I really think, if I could put myself, I would think Andy Reid is taking this week as the bye week in a lot of ways for his players to where next week,


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[Assistant] He can have some real practices so they don't lose their form and kind of can get into top form by the time a divisional round comes around. So I think this is a total like...


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[Assistant] Chill out, pina colada week for the Chiefs. And the Chargers think they have something to salvage here as far as their jobs. Chargers 2720.


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[Assistant] Well, I like Tennessee. It is a little scary, in my opinion. You know, I mean, again.


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[Assistant] You know, Houston's offense, they, they can make plays. Deshaun Watson's still one of the best quarterbacks in football. You know, and against this crappy defense in Tennessee with no pass rush and inability to cover people. You know, it's a little like you saw with Rogers last week. It's just, it's a game that allows a really great, talented quarterback to take over.


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[Assistant] And that's kind of what he did in the first meeting and kept it close that way. He took over. Their team wasn't as good as the Titans. But because there was no pass rush and they can't cover, he just scrambled and made plays and made great throws. And you know, so I'm going to take the Titans, but only because the Texas defense is


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[Assistant] Crappy. I mean, they are sucky ducky. And I, you know.


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[Assistant] He could get 2,000 yards this week, uh, Derek Henry, as far as he could get. What does he need? 223 yards to get there, right, Mike? Yes. I, I, I really think he'll flirt with that. I do. Uh, but I think Watson will make some plays too. I'm going Titans 38 28, but I think it'll be a fun little bit of a scary game for the Titans as we go.


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[Assistant] Yes, they will, but I'm gonna say barely. I mean, the Jacksonville offense, again, they're another unit they've shown. They can move the ball on just about anybody. They really have. Jay Gruden's done a great job there. Doesn't matter who's a quarterback. And I think we got Glennon again this week, right?


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[Assistant] You know? Yeah, and even without James Robinson, they were able to run the ball a little last week too, but I, you know, with the situation, the way it is, the Colts having to win to get in and need some help and all that, uh, I think they finished the business here and I think they win 35 to 20, so I got them barely covering.


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[Assistant] Uh, 13 is where I got it. You know, I mean, hey, the Panthers have played tough all year long. Uh, I do think the Saints got their mojo back last week. Another game under Drew Brees' belt. He looked good. You know, I think a lot of things are, uh, I'm gonna sneeze, so hold on.


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[Assistant] Excuse me, thank you. God bless you. Thank you very much. I knew it was coming, but I found a lot of last week, you know, the run game of course was great. Hey, you know, the defense, I still think is really awesome there in New Orleans. And the other thing that excited me about last week was Drew Brees' stat line. You know, it was...


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[Assistant] Not a lot of completions for a good amount of yards. And to me, I don't give a damn about 70% and all that stuff all the time. The league has changed. It's about...


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[Assistant] Big plays and things like that. And Breeze had 19 completions for 311 yards. That's a dangerous offense. That's what I like to see. I'm gonna go Saints 30 to 17. I think they're gonna try to win and hopefully to get this three-way tie and something like that and at least go into the playoffs hot. Uh, I think they dominate.


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[Assistant] Well, I like Seattle, but I'm scared. I am scared a little bit. There's no doubt. Uhm...


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[Assistant] The 49ers, I think, you know, first off, last week you heard, like, Kyle Shanahan talk about it a little bit. You know, them coming, ending the year on a positive note.


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[Assistant] And letting the NFC West and the NFC know, like, hey, we'll be back next year. And all that. I think that's a real thing. And again, this is another team that's 6 and 9.


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[Assistant] You know, 6 and 10 looks a lot different than 7 and 9 when it's all said and done.


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[Assistant] To where I think they're gonna, they're gonna play good football. But ultimately, I think with what's on the line for the Seahawks, the Seahawks defense, the way it's played, I don't know if I totally trust C.J. Beathard, you know, coming out here and this is the, the first time he started in a long time, right, or I know he started last week, uh, but,


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[Assistant] I guess all those things, I worry about it just a little. I think Seattle squeaks this out. I don't think this is easy. I'm going to go 24, 21 Seattle.


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[Assistant] It's been damn good. I think they're gonna pose some problems for that Green Bay defense. I do.


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[Assistant] You know, Trubisky in the run game in the boots and things like that. We've seen Minnesota beat Green Bay that way with that formula right there.


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[Assistant] So I, I, I, I would expect them to move the ball. Uh, not that I think they're gonna score 30 points or anything like that, but I expect them to move the ball and have some success.


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[Assistant] You know, on the other side of the ball, that's where it's gonna be interesting. To me, the big question is the Bears defense in this game. Bears defense, as I said on the show, have been leaking oil a little bit here lately. People have been running the ball, people have been moving, scoring points, doing all of that. Green Bay scored 40 on them.


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[Assistant] You know, the last time. That's what I'm really worried about. And listen, I can't believe I'm about to say this, Mike, but you know what?


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[Assistant] Green Bay, I mean the Bears, they gotta stop something in this game. The first time around, they tried to like, oh, we'll try to stop a little of the run and a little of the pass, and they stopped nothing. It was just, it was just run for 10, throw for 30, run for 10, throw for 30. They did nothing.


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[Assistant] At some point you gotta go, we are going to stop this and take our chances with that. And for me right now, if they wanna win this game...


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[Assistant] You got to stop Green Bay's run offense. You got to. You got to stop that.


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[Assistant] They're running the ball right now at a clip where I just go, you better, they're dominant. You better be careful. And I know that's crazy. I'm saying that cause it's Aaron Rodgers and everything there. I get that. But here's my logic. If you let them run the ball,


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[Assistant] And they've run the ball at all with a little success. You're done. Then Rogers in the play action pass and his boots and all that. He's going to tear your ass up. I mean, that's what he's going to do.


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[Assistant] So I would rather play, let's stop the run. And maybe that makes the play action of boots a little less effective. And Green Bay's drop back pass game is not like the most creative thing I've ever seen in the world. And I would go, okay, we're going to stop the run and I'm going to take my chances on my game planning.


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[Assistant] And things like that to say I can stop a little of the pass in just some big moments and we'll see where it goes from there. But I am taking Green Bay 27 to 24. I think it's gonna be a close game.


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[Assistant] I, I, I, I, I'm with you. And you know, just, I, I feel like you're gonna pick the Rams to win the game. Just like what I heard you say even with Green Bay Chicago. You said Chicago might back into the playoffs, even lose it. So I think you tipped your hand there. Uh, uh, but, but I agree with you. And what you just said at least, I don't know where you're gonna pick.


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[Assistant] The Rams, yes, they still have McVeigh in an effective offensive formula.


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[Assistant] I, just by the way they talk, I feel like they expect Cam Acres to play. We don't know that, but I'm just speculating. Yeah, then if not, they might have to rely on some rookie running back. Okay, that's a little scary, but you know, as we've seen, there's a lot of running backs in this league that can, you know, move the chains and get first downs, whether we know them or not.


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[Assistant] Really matches up well with Arizona and this spread offense and all that stuff, you know, and then you're going to talk to me, Russell, I mean, uh, Kyler Murray not be, might not be able to run full speed. He can't run away or make a play against them when he is at full speed. I think he'll have a really hard time if he's not at a hundred percent.


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[Assistant] They have Jalen Ramsey to shut down DeAndre Hopkins, Floyd and Donald to chase down Kyler Murray. I just think they match up too well, and their defense really dominated Arizona's offense the first time around. I'm gonna go 2017 Rams, Mike, even with Walford.


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[Assistant] Here we go Giants, here we go. Yep, that's right. I'm picking Philadelphia to beat Washington. I am, I mean, listen, this is a tough one to call. Washington plays close against everybody. You know, I mean, I really, I think we could bring a high school team out to play Washington and they'd find a way to win the game 17 to 14. I mean, that's just what they do.


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[Assistant] So, you know, you can never just sit here and go, oh, Washington wins no matter what.


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[Assistant] You know, Taylor Heinecke, I like what he can do, but he could easily, a guy who hasn't played a lot, mess the game up too. You know, from that standpoint. I'm expecting Alex Smith.


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[Assistant] You know, we'll see Antonio Gibson, you said on the show today, still battling this turf toe injury. That's a, that's a real thing.


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[Assistant] Terry McClure and it doesn't look good for him. He was in a walking boot. He's the best player on their offense. He's the scariest weapon. You know, and I think without all the weapons to worry about in the pass game and not a real crazy pass game to begin with, with the football team.


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[Assistant] That I think Philadelphia will be able to stop the run game. And then I think with Jalen Hurts like we've seen...


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[Assistant] You know, he's taken care of the ball for the most part, since he's been a starting quarterback. Last week he threw an interception, I know, it was a desperate situation where he had to make a play, and he threw a pick. I'm gonna go with the Eagles, ruining the party,


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[Assistant] Jim Schwartz talking about no hats game, right? He doesn't want to see division champ hats after the game, all that. And I think the Eagles with the pressure of the whole year are finally playing in a game where there's no pressure. I think they're actually gonna thrive in it. I'm going Eagles 20 to 17. Big Blue gets in the playoffs. Same page.


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[Assistant] Bangle's been playing better football, but this isn't the right matchup for them right now. And the Ravens, I think, are hitting on all cylinders. Offensively, defensively, their run game is kicking butt.


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[Assistant] The Bengals have a really bad run defense. David Johnson and the Houston Texans ran for over a hundred yards. Houston Texans can't run the ball. That's not good when Lamar and people are coming into town. So yeaah, I'm throwing Ravens 34-17 and a blowout and I think it could be worse than that.


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[Assistant] Okay, I, I, I'm be interested. That one's, I mean, I could see it going down that way, but man, the Falcons, I, I thought they were going to give up like six different times this year and they continue to be resilient and fight back. So we'll see. Uh, I think it'll be a little closer than you do.


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[Assistant] My turn, right? Sorry. What's your next one? My next one? I'm going to Saints over the Panthers.


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[Assistant] I just, the Saints to me, clearly the better football team. It's been a nice year for the Carolina Panthers and everything like that, no doubt. But I think the Saints got back on track last week.


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[Assistant] There's, and their defense, you know, again, you know, I think a lot of it there. Offensively, I think they're clicking in all phases. Drew Brees feeling comfortable, everything like that. The chance it's still the one seed, still viable there, everything. They're going to want to go into playoffs, you know, uh, peaking at the right time. I got Saints 30-17. I'm going with them.


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[Assistant] That game, you got a lot of guts for going there. I mean, I wanna pick that game. I've got it starred here. I don't know what it is, I'm a little scared of it.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the titans and the seven and a half. And let me just say in full transparency, I'm scared. I-I-I think that...


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[Assistant] You know, I wouldn't be shocked if Deshaun Watson made it close and the Titans win by three points, but I also can sit here and go, I think Tennessee could win by 25 points and just smash them into, you know, into oblivion with the run game and all that. So I'm going to go with the Titans that they bounce back and get things straight. I got them winning by 10. I'm going to go with them. I've got the Packers at Soldier Field giving


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[Assistant] New Orleans over the Carolina Panthers. There's no way they lose to the Panthers. No way.


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[Assistant] Hi, I'm Mike Tirico and thanks for watching. Make sure to hit subscribe for the latest news and highlights from NBC Sports.


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[Assistant] Can't believe that went so fast. My heart hurts that I gotta leave here and go to work. I didn't have that. I was kinda like, alright, let's go to work. Let's do this.


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[Assistant] Tag time, right? Let's do it, tag time. Is that what's going on? Yep, franchise tags. I think we might have got a few questions from some fans we're going to hit on today.


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[Assistant] We could be flirting with that, certainly. Yeah, I do. I'm gonna set the over-under at 10. I'm gonna, well, we'll see where we get, cause I didn't even count to where I am on my list here as we go through some of these names in different positions, but, you know, the one thing that jumps out to me, yes, I know the salary cap's gonna be somewhere between 100 and 185 million.


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[Assistant] But because of that too, and some of the names we're gonna talk about,


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[Assistant] The franchise tag numbers are not gigantic this year, uh, you know, and then, and also I think, you know, some of the players we're going to talk about


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[Assistant] Yeah, players hate the franchise tag. I mean, that's the general consensus. You know, again... Because? Well, there's no long-term security. It's one more year of rolling the dice. Yeah, sure, I'm gonna get a big paycheck. Yeah, great.


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[Assistant] Okay, a quarterback, Dak Prescott, maybe he can get away with...


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[Assistant] You know, we'll see. You know, we'll talk about Bud Dupree in a minute. He's in that kind of situation with the Pittsburgh Steelers. It's going to be interesting. But yes, at the end of the day, everybody wants a little bit of long-term security. Right. And more than that, just one year cash grab to go forward. So between the fifth year option,


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[Assistant] And if you're a first-rounder in the franchise tag, some of those guys can go...


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[Assistant] You know, two things. Pretty serious injury, alright. I know what he is.


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[Assistant] Okay, but what we don't really know is what Dak Prescott's commanding and asking for.


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[Assistant] You know, and from everything we hear, it's, he wants to be paid like Deshaun Watson. Which is how much a year? Like basically, you know, 40, 39 and change.


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[Assistant] I'll always say this, Dak Prescott when healthy is a top ten quarterback. He is not a top five quarterback. And I think Jerry Jones kind of made that clear last year a few times. You know, when they lost that Seattle Seahawks game early in the year, he kind of made some cryptic


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[Assistant] Talk messages, and Pete will probably remember, where he talked about, I'd like one of those quarterbacks who can make things happen and run around. Dak's not one of those.


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[Assistant] So I think that shows you where they view him. Now last year I think it was all about the fourth and the fifth year conversation.


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[Assistant] And I know people tried to rebut- rebut me on social media, like, you know, Ian Rappaport, who probably talks to Dak Prescott's agent, tried to come out on social media and say, I was wrong. He didn't tell me where I was wrong or anything that was wrong. He just listened to the agent and said, hey, can you put a tweet out to tell Chris Simms he's wrong? Okay, bullcrap. I don't think I was wrong. I think I'm pretty damn right. Uhm, but, anyways, uh,


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[Assistant] That to me is the biggest thing. I just don't know what he's asking for or what he's expecting. I don't know if it's more about the years, the guaranteed money. He certainly should be paid like one of the six, seven best quarterbacks in the game. I have no problem with that. But if I'm Dallas right now and you're not getting to that, you're franchise tagging.


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[Assistant] Showy, sexy movement, but it's a lot of, okay, I'm stepping up in the pocket and okay, now I'm kind of in pressure and I'm moving, I'm running, I'm throwing a 20 yard crossing route. And then of course they will run the ball with them on read options and things like that.


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[Assistant] Franchise, no doubt about it, buy yourself some time. If you get to a point where now it's May, June, and you start to go...


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[Assistant] Hey, he looks good. Like, he's gonna be really close to 100% when the season starts. I mean, I would hope that they could get a deal done. You would think so. What else is out there? Who's gonna be better that you're gonna get than him?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I think that's fair. I would take that right now. I mean, for what he is, looking into the future.


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[Assistant] You know, and again, let me, let me, like, we pull up top salaries for quarterbacks in football right now.


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[Assistant] You know, let's just hit it real quick why we're here. We might as well. I mean, of course, here's my homes at a 45 million dollar a year average. But, it's a team friendly 45 million. Let's not be, let's not be crazy here. A lot of that is bullsh-t numbers that are way down the road.


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[Assistant] Is Dak Prescott willing to do something like that? I don't know. But here we got Mahomes at 45, Watson at 39, Russell Wilson at 35. Now where the market's messed up is Big Ben's at 34. And he's gonna take a pay cut or do something to adjust that this year.


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[Assistant] But where the market is for this point and everything like that, I would hope maybe Dak Prescott, being smart, being who he is, you know, could maybe find out a contract or figure out a contract to where it's not a huge blow to the team maybe this year because of the salary cap and maybe not next year.


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[Assistant] Is Jerry Jones willing to do that at this point of his life? Throw out a franchise quarterback who you know can be


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[Assistant] The chances are, hey, they liked Johnny Manziel. They liked Paxton Lynch. Let's not forget about that. I mean, if they, if Denver didn't get Paxton Lynch, they wanted him. So I'm not necessarily about to go all in on Dallas and their quarterback eye either. So that to me, yes, is risky and I would not know.


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[Assistant] That's the best! I would! Their defense ain't going anywhere! It's only gonna get better!


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[Assistant] They got a pretty good offensive line. You know, they got Terry McCorran. I think Antonio Gibson's damn good.


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[Assistant] I probably would've too. I don't understand that at all. Uhm, but yes, I mean, Washington's the team I look at to go, if they can just figure out that position, and I know that's a big if, we'll see. You know, some of these dominoes gotta fall here to figure out what the hell's gonna happen at quarterback, but, uh, Washington's the one where I go, whoa, that's totally being...


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[Assistant] So right away, like, let's just, Will Fuller's not getting franchise tag. There's no way. I mean, he's, I like Will Fuller, the talent. Come on. He can't even, he can't stay on the field. Then he, then he did PEDs last year. I mean, so I'm not cool with that. I just, no, no way.


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[Assistant] Definitely not. He is a, he is a home run hitter, takes the top off the defense type of guy. So he is last of that list right there. My number one will be Kenny Gallade.


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[Assistant] Yes, I know you probably weren't expecting that, but listen to my reasons first, okay? Yes. Golladay is really good, well-rounded receiver.


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[Assistant] I mean, certainly again, there's, there's 20 top 10 receivers in football, like we've talked about. But I think he is legitimately hovering around that top 10 for sure. He can do everything. He can beat you deep. Even if he doesn't beat you deep, he's the kind of guy you can kind of throw it up to and he can 50-50 ball it.


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[Assistant] He can go over the middle and do kind of the physical routes too. I'm a big fan of Kenny Golliday on your team. Plus, you just traded for Jared Goff.


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[Assistant] You wanna make that, you wanna sell that to your fan base a little bit. So there is no way I'm letting him out of town. Marvin Jones is a free agent.


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[Assistant] Kenny Golliday for me is, out of all these guys, the number one guy to tag just because of those reasons. I'm not saying he's necessarily better than all these guys. Right, right. But I think just the importance of the team and where they're at, they'd be crazy to let him hit the free agent market. I agree. I mean if they let him in the free agent market, they're gonna have to


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[Assistant] So that, that to me is the number one guy I would out of this list. And that doesn't necessarily mean I think he's better than number two. Sure. To his team. Yes, to his team. To the situation. Yes. Now Alan Robinson is awesome. That's who I'm gonna make number two. Okay. Right? And Alan Robinson of course is


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[Assistant] Super talented, really very similar to Kenny Galladay. I mean very. Where I would say Kenny Galladay, Kenny Galladay has more of a deep threat possibility than Alan Robinson. Alan Robinson's awesome, he's like Gumby adjusting to the football, he's 50-50 guy, over the middle stuff we just talked about with Galladay, Alan Robinson's the same way.


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[Assistant] He's all they got kind of. Let me just, so this is where I make him number two. One, I don't think they're a team that's wide receiver dependent. Like as far as,


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[Assistant] Wide receiver play doesn't make their offense. I don't think their offense is good enough to really utilize the receivers the right way in a lot of ways. That says a lot right there. Well yes, I know, but so, but here's the other aspect of this.


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[Assistant] They got a good young receiver, and Darryl Mooney, who I really like. They got a guy like Anthony Miller, who's a pretty damn good receiver too. I don't look at them as like, totally depleted at that position. Now, and then you got Cole Comeda, tight end, and all of that.


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[Assistant] You know, I guess the other thing that I'm taking into account here is...


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[Assistant] I don't know if Alan Robinson really wants to be there. That's the other thing. I mean, if you really pay attention to Alan...


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[Assistant] And then also, you know, if you look at his social media and things about him that he said there, he's got a sense of cryptic messages out there about...


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[Assistant] The team in general and maybe him not wanting to be there.


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[Assistant] I would. So, and, uh, you know, the Chicago Bears, let me just hit on this too.


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[Assistant] You know, as far as salary cap, things like that, it's not like the greatest position right now. They need to clear a million dollars or two million dollars basically in their cap space just to get under right now. Alright, so they got issues there.


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[Assistant] To me, the thing I'm looking for with Alan Robinson and why I also make it number two, yeaah, I don't think it's maybe imperative for him to be on the football team in general, it's where as I just go, oh, if they don't have him, it can't work. I don't look at it because I don't think, you know, they're that type of team like I was explaining to you.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I think that the big thing is off of that too.


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[Assistant] I could see a tag in trade with Alan Robinson.