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[Assistant] You get caught up in that moment of, we just won a Super Bowl, Matthew Stafford's walking around with a giant bottle of 1942, and come on, we gotta do it again, we gotta do it again, and you forget how hard it is to get to that point.


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[Assistant] And Chris, they never expected Kaderius Tony to contribute so quickly. It was a long-term play. It was a favorable contract. They didn't have to give up much up to get him. I think it closes the door on OBJ, frankly, if Tony keeps doing what he did. I thought it did originally. First career touchdown. Yeah, right.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And see, my point is, when they got Tony, the thinking was, he's a long-term play, the door is still open on a short-term play. Now, the short-term guy wants a longer-term thing, and their longer-term guy is filling the short-term void, and that may take them out of the equation.


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[Assistant] You know, and if, and if, let me just throw this out here, since I'm influenced by my attire. If I'm OBJ and I'm not getting


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[Assistant] I mean, he's got, you know, Justin Jefferson, the LSU connection, Patrick Peterson. At what point does he say, I'll just, you know, I'll go.


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[Assistant] Finish out the string with this team. Take what I can get.


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[Assistant] Help them get, you know. I know. He's not regarded as one of the...


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[Assistant] Potential, or they're not regarded as one of the potential destinations. Just, it's, it's, something's gonna happen soon.


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[Assistant] Your heart still tells you Buffalo, maybe, or no? I had been hearing Buffalo, but I don't know right now. You know, that's the thing. Every set of games gives you another major data


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[Assistant] There's only 17 games. Every week gives you another, whether it's an injury, whether it's a good vibe, whether it's a negative vibe. Clarence Hill of the Fort Worth Star Telegram was saying last week that Beckham doesn't want to play in a cold weather city, which


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[Assistant] If that was true, you would think we would have heard it at some point before last week when the cowboys start sniffing around.


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[Assistant] And I think the cowboys are going to want to, uh, get him on the cheap.


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[Assistant] They're gonna wanna say, you can come to Dallas and make a bunch of other money, you don't need our money. Like they tried to do with Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Ali. But anyway, that's something that we're gonna be talking about sooner than later. By the end of the month, he supposedly wants to make his decision.


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[Assistant] And that's what's amazing to me, I'm looking at these notes that Pete gave us, 35 carries for Saquon Barkley career high, Leonard Williams, team high 9 tackles, force fumble, half sack, Daniel Jones, career high 153.3 passer rating, and it's only 2416. It's kinda what you were saying last week, cause you were, you know, you were talking about


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[Assistant] Another first year coach. This is the kind of thing that gets guys fired. When Mike McDaniel gets it done. When Kevin O'Connell gets it done. When Brian Dable gets it done. You don't need three or four years to prove that you got it. You got it or you don't. Nathaniel Hackett? No. Josh McDaniels? Trouble.


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[Assistant] You've got, you've got just these three alone. Amazing what they're doing. And John's got the Eagles twice. They got the Cowboys again.


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[Assistant] They got the Vikings, they got some good games coming up. They definitely do. Some good, some good regular season games, and the playoffs in the NFC this year, wow, really in both, I mean, this,


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[Assistant] I think there are teams in the AFC capable, we're getting toward that time of the year where there's going to be a team around 500 that starts figuring it out and they're going to be a problem down the stretch. And you know, we've already flagged the Ravens as a team that could just send them all home.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, the Chiefs are separating kinda by default because the Bills have fallen off a little bit, but the Jets are still there, and the Patriots, the longer the Patriots lurk, the more of a problem they can do this. It's, yeaah, it's gonna be a good, it's gonna be a good, fun race to the finish and postseason.


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[Assistant] There would be headlines that don't really match the story or the headline was stupid. The people who write the story don't write the headline.


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[Assistant] He doesn't really mean it. And, uh, so, that would be a hell of a dinner party though. That's the one thing I noticed yesterday.


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[Assistant] How much of this is Mike McDaniel though? And how much of it is, like, and I don't want to...


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[Assistant] And Jeff Wilson, two games in, he's already overtaken Raheem Mostert as the guy in the backfield. And, you know, what Coach Dungey says is, let's see what they do when they're out in the elements in January in Buffalo or in Kansas City or somewhere like that. Will it travel? Will it translate? Will it work in the postseason?


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[Assistant] Well, look, they're in first place in division right now. I think the key is going to be getting home games in the postseason. And if you can avoid having, it's like the, it's like the SEC mentality. If you can avoid ever having to play a high stakes game,


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[Assistant] In cold weather, and where do you go? You play playoff games at home, and you go to Arizona for the Super Bowl. You never have to deal with that.


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[Assistant] Next year's gonna be their year. Because I assume Aaron Rodgers will be gone, and you know, the Vikings will no longer be pulling shamrocks out of their asses. The Lions will still be the Lions, and the Bears will have an opportunity with the cap space, cash, draft picks, to be dramatically improved.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the Lions very much alive winning two in a row in the division after being left for dead at one and six. They still got a lot of work to do to get themselves back into, but they keep winning football games and everything else will take care of themselves.


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[Assistant] And look, even after they blew that lead, Justin Fields had another phenomenal run and it never looks like he's running full speed.


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[Assistant] And I don't know if he got shamed into it, but you know, everything you said last week was said also by Nathaniel Hackett. Also, crowd noise is a factor too. It makes it easier to get the play communicated, so. And it wasn't a blowout, they were ahead for a while.


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[Assistant] It just, you gotta muster more than 10 points. You got to. Their defense keeps getting it done, but if you're only going to score 10 points or less, you're not going to win football.


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[Assistant] There's nothing about the Titans that gets people's attention. There's nothing about the Titans that gets people excited. Every week I've noticed the betting line.


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[Assistant] Uh, I like your next segment. You like this very fitting. Yes. And good selection of the games.


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[Assistant] Aha, you mean one of the two games on which we disagreed this week.


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[Assistant] Every once in a while, I get it right. Yeah. Steelers had two weeks to get ready, all hands on deck, gotta do whatever it takes to win. They lit enough of a fire on Denaji Harris' ass by talking about the possibility of him being benched for Jalen Warren, or at a minimum, Warren getting more touches. Harris had a big game. The Saints reeling from


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[Assistant] Ass kicking, they took on Monday night. Short week for them and travel. 14 days for the Steelers. It just, it was kinda like screaming out to me. And weren't the Saints slight favorites for that game?


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[Assistant] Uhm, and it just, it just made too much sense for the Steelers to win that game. Steelers at home, this is, that's pasta and meatballs day. Steelers at home anytime is pasta and meatballs day, but under those circumstances where the Saints just...


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[Assistant] They're way too inconsistent, and the Steelers are consistent in that mindset. They get TJ Watt back. I was nervous on Saturday when they lost Mika Fitzpatrick with an appendectomy. Right.


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[Assistant] Especially when your starting quarterback is Andy Dalton. It's not like you're putting Joe Montana and his prime on the sideline for a driver. To put this guy out there, give defenses something to think about. I don't get it. And you know what? I do get it. Gets back to what I said before the season. Sean Payton's gone.


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[Assistant] And there isn't another Sean Payton in the building. All due respect to Pete Carmichael and Dennis Allen and everyone else.


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[Assistant] There's no other guy in there holding up the world on his shoulders like Sean Payton did, and I think with each passing week we're finding out what Payton meant to the team. There's no doubt. And, and, I don't, I, you know, maybe I should ask for a percentage of Payton's next contract.


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[Assistant] The teams that are thinking about changing coaches should be lining up now. Whatever the Saints want, whatever he wants, the impact of a coach like that is


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm not ready to give up on him. I picked him to win the division. I'm not ready to give up. Okay.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they really do at this point. And it's the price for the Super Bowl win coming due.


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[Assistant] Quicker than anyone expected. We talked earlier about Aaron Donald, maybe regretting retiring. Nobody expected them to go into the shitter.


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[Assistant] I thought they were going to beat the Bills week one. I thought they weren't going to miss a beat. I thought they were, yeah, we got to replace this guy. Okay. You know, have faith in the mindset. I think that's where the depth hurts them. All the years we talked about it. Right. If you're going to give up the picks, you're going to put all that money into a handful of guys, you better hope that you hit


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[Assistant] If you can't pay those guys, yea, if you can't pay those, you can't. You can't pay everybody. Guys are gonna move on. Period.


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[Assistant] This Cooper Cup injury too, it's the same ankle that he injured a couple of weeks ago, and there was a report last night that


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[Assistant] Well, but the eagles have the incentive now. They got the giants breathing down their necks, and they've got, and really the giants.


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[Assistant] The Giants control their fate because...


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[Assistant] They play the Eagles twice, and they're two games behind. They win the rest of their game.


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[Assistant] There's a way they can look at last week and say, Hey, you know, we gave the Vikings everything they could handle. We were up 10 points. We could, we could compete in this one as well, or they could let one loss become two and just be down in the dumps and feel like that's it. We're done. Right. But you know, it's prime time. Like this is it.


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[Assistant] Minus 110. Yeah, I like that. I'm surprised it's not lower than minus 110. I figured it'd be minus 150 or something.


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[Assistant] Also, do you think there's a certain element of AJ Brown and Jalen Hurts saw what Kirk Cousins and Justin Jefferson did yesterday and they want to go put on a show? Well, a little element of that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I saw those eyes. I should have looked you off. No, we weren't trying to hit you in the face. We were trying to give you, you know, that birthday celebration. Much, much, thank you. It's funny, if you just heard all that and you're not watching any of that, you're like, I gotta go check out that video. Cakes, guns.


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[Assistant] I'm just joking, you don't have to make it. But I do have a hat that I bought, and uh, I can also make hats.


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[Assistant] Would you wear a mesh hat with the Chris Simms on button logo on it? Or is that like dorky to wear your own logo?


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[Assistant] You never just said the equal number because it's always .5. You can't even do that. Um, but we got more stuff today. We got NFL cut down news. Uh, we've got some over unders for the NFC. We'll do the whole NFC side and then the playoff predictions and we'll whittle it down. The bracket will be revealed. The answer key to what will happen in the playoffs this year. That's right.


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[Assistant] Picked up 4,000 since Monday. I credit us. I credit Mike Florio. I do credit Matthew Barry. I think the fantasy news has helped the page as well.


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[Assistant] Until we know for sure, right? Until we know for sure, then we will, we will take them off. So if, uh, if you haven't signed up, please do so. If your friends, uh, are interested in football, fantasy, real stuff, uh, tell them to subscribe to the page. Cause it is all football, no premier league, which I will be on in about three hours from now. Wow.


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[Assistant] We got five games today. Okay, forget it. Our featured game Liverpool Newcastle. Okay, okay. Coming off their 9-0 victory that got a coach fired. Liverpool? Liverpool won 9-0 last week. Liverpool's got an off


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[Assistant] No, no, the opposite. That was her first win. They had a couple draws, they had a loss, and then they just boom, busted out, and then Bournemouth fired their coach. So this is the crazy thing.


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[Assistant] The Premier League is crazy when it comes to managers and firings, because they have 38 weeks, the whole season. We're four weeks in, gone. One guy's already gone. And it's not highly unusual that that happens.


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[Assistant] If a guy lasts two years, that's a long time.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but that's neither here nor there. Let's talk about some NFL news. That's not real football.


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[Assistant] Is there anything that happened when you were playing around cut down day that just stands out to you?


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[Assistant] I think that's one of the parts of, you know, you think of an athlete and a glamorous life and all that stuff. That's a small percentage of professional athletes, right? For most, they're year to year. More than you'd think.


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[Assistant] That's really interesting to hear all that stuff. It kind of humanizes the whole thing. And since you brought up Jimmy Garoppolo, we talked a lot about him last time.


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[Assistant] And this is from Robert Babcock. Says, you got your wish for Jimmy G. Was that a birthday present from your pal Kyle? So you talked about exactly


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[Assistant] Then he becomes a starter. Now he's breathing down the neck of Trey Lance. It's like happening all over again here, different circumstances though. Uh, you talked about this a little bit with Mike Florio the other day. Um, but, but let's kind of, this sets up an


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[Assistant] A strange situation, but as you laid out, it makes perfect sense for a 49ers team that might not be totally sold on Tray Lance and what they've seen so far. And they have a roster that's ready to win right now. You have Jimmy Garoppolo, who's won on this roster, taking them to a Superbowl. It's just going to be fascinating how it all plays out. And I think the key thing is how many bad games does Tray Lance get?


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[Assistant] I'm sorry to interrupt, but he's been real to himself, too. I mean, about himself, and like, this is an embarrassing situation for the 49ers. Really, when you look at it, two first round picks, you trade up for a guy who is not quite ready yet here.


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[Assistant] Uhm, that's embarrassing for a lot of teams. And a lot of teams would just try to push through and not admit a mistake. They're not admitting a total mistake yet, but they've, they've, they've said that there's issues here. They need to be.


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[Assistant] It'll be beneficial for Trey Lance if he sees this as a little fire. You know, I've got to step up my game. You talked about that with Mike and that can happen where it could be bad for him.


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[Assistant] Is not, not if he can't handle that, I think, but if, you know, some of these young quarterbacks, where's the next step going to come from? Where's that jump? Where's that progression? You know, mistake, mistake, bad game, bad game. Ooh, it was game number five or it was game number six where he turned a corner. It's, is he going to get as many opportunities as another young quarterback? Right? That's where, that's where it could hurt. You're right.


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[Assistant] It's gonna be fascinating to see how that works out there. You were not that high on Trey Lance coming out of college in the draft rankings. You were higher on a previous quarterback, Kellen Mond, who was just cut by the Minnesota Vikings. Benny Isajet says, Chris, had Kellen Mond ranked pretty high. Are you surprised the Vikings cut him so soon?


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[Assistant] We don't know. So, Pete notes here, they cut six of their 11 draft picks from the 2021 draft yesterday. So, I mean, this is 2021 draft. I mean, they just cut half those guys yesterday, which is crazy. And we don't know. We don't know Kellen Mond. All I do know, and you don't want to take too much away from


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[Assistant] A little bit. There were some excuses. There seems to be a chip. It was a placing of blame. Placing of blame where it was not upon himself, right? He was blaming others for not seeing his good qualities. Right.


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[Assistant] Right, I hear you. And not that it was like, the only reason I bring it up is because it was noteworthy to me at the time. I agree.


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[Assistant] We'll see where he catches on here because another team will give him a shot out there in the NFL. Another young quarterback that is impressed is Malik Willis and he is in our segment called time for buy or sell. It's a segment called time for buy or sell.


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[Assistant] Or just buy or sell? Or is it time for buy or sell? From this point forward, that's what we're going to have to call it. Malik Willis, you've liked what you've seen a lot. He was your number two ranked quarterback coming out of college this past year.


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[Assistant] He has flashed some of that ability in the, uh, in the preseason. So buy or sell Malik Willis will start games this year in Tennessee.


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[Assistant] The way you talk about him and the fact that you say he's probably not gonna start this year and the way you talk about Trey Lance and he is the starter this year. I know.


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[Assistant] That's, I mean, it seems like you have more confidence in Malik Willis long term than Traylor.


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[Assistant] This was a segment we like to call Time for Buy or Sell presented by eBay Motors. You might not have the biggest garage, but with eBay Motors, you always have 122 million parts for your car right at your fingertips, ebaymotors.com. Let's ride. Let's ride, baby.


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[Assistant] Yeah, touché, right? We're all, we're all, uh, we're all bad here. Uh, alright, let's, a couple more quick hitters here, and then we'll move on to our over-under win totals. We got a trade.


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[Assistant] The Eagles traded with the Saints for defensive back Chauncey Gardner Johnson. Uh, Philadelphia gets him in a 2025 seventh round pick. New Orleans gets a 2023 round five pick and a 2024 round six pick. What do you make?


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[Assistant] To my, uh, my playoff teams in the NFC. It could factor in here. We'll see. Uh, one more before we get to that. Talking about the Steelers quarterback situation here. And this is from Aaron Crepple. I don't think that's the case. I don't.


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[Assistant] Screw this quarterback talk. Let's get into NFC win total talk. Okay. Now we'll go through every division here. We'll take a look at who's favorite and then when we'll look at the over under and we'll see if Chris thinks it's over or under and then I will wait to the end and I will give you my playoff teams and then Chris will pick a Super Bowl champion. Yes. At the end.


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[Assistant] I will too. I'll do that too. I'm gonna put my neck on a line or the line as we talked about last time. Either one. I'll start in the NFC East. I like this part too. We look at the odds of who Vegas thinks right now is the favorite and Vegas believes


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[Assistant] In both the Cowboys and the Eagles equally. They're both plus 145. You got the Commanders there at plus 600. The Giants at plus 700. So let's start at the Cowboys cause they, they had 12 wins last year. They were actually projected to get more wins.


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[Assistant] So I guess these books have to talk to each other if they have the same odds to win the division title, but yet the Cowboys are at 10.5. Had 12 wins last year. They were the three seed in the NFC, 10.5 over under.


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[Assistant] Under on the 10.5, so I have a feeling here, and we've already talked a little bit about the rosters, excluding the quarterback last time, you're gonna be high on the Eagles. So they're 9.5, they had 9 wins last year, they just squeaked into the playoffs, and then once they got into the playoffs, they had wished they had not gotten into the playoffs, because the Bucs just destroyed them.


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[Assistant] But it's a new year, got some, uh, great draft picks, some big dudes up front. 9.5 for the Eagles. Over, over, over, over, over, over. Confidently over.


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[Assistant] It is good to look at the schedule too because, you know, you look at some of these divisions and you play each team in your division twice. A lot of these divisions, you go, wow, that's a well-rounded division. Wow, that's a well-rounded division.


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[Assistant] This division, you just mentioned the commanders and the giants. You know, trying to make that next step, I don't know if they're quite


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[Assistant] Their ex-quarterback is over in Washington now. Carson Wentz trying to lead the commanders into the playoffs. They're over under is 7.5. They were 7 and 10 last year. 7.5 for the commanders.


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[Assistant] Like you say, there are things that you like about the football team, right? The talents there. They found ways to win last year with Taylor Heinecke. Uh, maybe who knows how much he'll play. You never know if the backup quarterback will get in there. He's still around there. Is he the backup still?


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[Assistant] And now we get to your New York Giants. 7.5 is the over-under here. They won four games last year. Pete, is that, that's the real over-under here. 7.5?


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[Assistant] Yeah, is that not just Pete wishful thinking here? It's just like, I think we got seven and a half in us. Yeah, Pete inflation. Yeah, Pete flation's going on here with a giant 7.5. Well, that's easy. That's an easy under.


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[Assistant] Under with your Giants there. So you got under for the Cowboys, over for the Eagles, under for the Commanders, under for the Giants. As we keep track here, make sure it all checks out mathematically. Gotta check out mathematically here. Moving on to the NFC North now.


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[Assistant] My Detroit Lions division, uh, that has been dominated by the Packers in recent history and, and not even just so recent history. Uh, they won 13 games last year, so let's check out the odds. I'm sure they are the heavy favorite. They might be the heaviest favorite.


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[Assistant] Oh, we don't have the odds for that one right now. Okay. All right. Hold on. Hey, hold your horses. Hey, we'll wait for it. Do we just sit here in silence? Uh, Pete, the Packers are the favorite though, right? You can tell me that they are the favorite heavy favorite here. Um, we're efforting the odds for them. So they won 13 games last year where the top seed in the NFC, uh, got to the playoffs. We all saw how that went though.


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[Assistant] 11 and a half. 11 and a half is their win total. Uhm, they won 13 games the last, what, three years in a row. We got the odds. They are back. I filibuster there long enough. Not that I needed to. Uh, Packers minus 160, Vikings plus 225, Lions plus 900, Bears plus 1500. So yep.


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[Assistant] Packer's overwhelming favorite. The question is, will they win more than 11 and a half games?


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[Assistant] Tell you right now, they're only underdogs in two other games. Yes. Right now. Right. Week three at Tampa, week eight at Buffalo. They're favored in every other game.


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[Assistant] See, everything comes back. We get the odds eventually. The lights will come back on. This is great.


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[Assistant] So in that discussion, you mentioned the Minnesota Vikings, the new regime coming in here and they are a team that did pop up a few times when.


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[Assistant] I was doing the, the whole roster thing, best roster, some of those position groups on defense, linebacker, it's like, ah, it's pretty good, Vikings, running back, ah, it's pretty good. Um, and so they do have some talent on that team in Minnesota. They won eight games last year, they were eight and nine.


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[Assistant] 9.5 is the over-under for the Minnesota Vikings.


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[Assistant] Uh, six and a half. Is there over-under? That's a little aggressive. That's doubling their win total and then some to go the over. It should be better. I hope you're gonna say over. But I don't know.


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[Assistant] Alright, so that made my day right there. You took the over on the Lions. The only way my day could get better is if you take the under on the Chicago Bears, my most hated franchise. Six and eleven last year.


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[Assistant] Uh, Justin Fields, look good. You like Justin Fields. You worry that he doesn't have enough help around him in 2022. 6.5 over under for the Bears.


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[Assistant] And they don't get their buy until week 14, which I don't really look at the buys all that often, but...


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[Assistant] For a team that might be struggling, you might need that buy a little earlier.


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[Assistant] That's right. Good memory. So I'm sure they are favored though to win the division this year. They got the roster to do it. There it is. The odds minus 210. So heavy favorites to win the NFC South are the Buccaneers, the Saints. Second choice at plus 275.


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[Assistant] Panthers plus 900, Falcons way back there at plus 3000, even though I do think they might give some people some trouble this year. Falcons maybe a step in the right direction. We'll see if Chris agrees here in a second, but we'll start at the top.


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[Assistant] Buccaneers, you said they had the number two roster in the NFL. They had 13 wins last year. They are favored in every game except to pick them in week 14 at San Francisco right now. Uh, 11 and a half is the number for the Buccaneers.


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[Assistant] Transition at the head coaching position too, with Bruce Arians. Still around the football team, but Todd Bowles is in charge now, so it's different. There are a lot of things that are different with this Buccaneers team for as much as stayed the same there.


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[Assistant] Super Bowl. Yep, yep, that all makes sense even though the under does surprise me a little bit here. I know. Uh, the Saints though, 8 and a half, they had 9 wins last year. The way we have talked about the Saints, I feel like this is an easy over for you.


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[Assistant] Don't forget that. Don't give away anything that could be in your playoff bracket. We'll get to that here in just a second. So the rest of the NFC South, uh, the Panthers, great start last year. Terrible finish ended up five and 12. They're over under is 6.5 with Baker Mayfield at the helm now. Defense was good last year, fell off at the end of the year.


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[Assistant] 6.5 for the Panthers in a must win year. Maybe a must playoff year for, uh, might be.


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[Assistant] So under for the Panthers, over for the Saints, under for the Buccaneers, we rounded out with the Falcons, who I said could be better this year, I mean they won seven games last year.


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[Assistant] Because Pete's noting here that they are not favored in a single game this year. Yeaah. They got a couple pick'ems in there, but they won seven games last year. Their over-under is down at 4.5. So everyone is seeing what you saw there.


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[Assistant] Other than Jim Harbaugh and the Michigan Wolverines, I don't. That's true. That's the one. Uh, NFC West, the final division here. A very interesting division. Rams won it last year. Took it all the way to the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Sure. The Stafford thing is worrying, right? Although when he has thrown, he's thrown pretty well and he's looked pretty good. They are managing it. And if he can't last the whole year, like a lot of teams, right? If the starting quarterback is not there at the end of the year, they have issues. But the 49ers,


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[Assistant] Uh, who knows who's going to be the starting quarterback at the end of the year for them. They are 10.5 as they're over under. They had a very good team last year, but only won 10 games last year. Getting into the playoffs is the number six seed. So 10.5 for the team that has the number one roster excluding quarterbacks in the mind of Chris Sims.


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[Assistant] 49ers may be something to prove this year. The Cardinals have to prove that what they did last year was not a fluke. They had 11 wins, a great start last year. And I feel bad for Cliff.


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[Assistant] Under with the Seahawks, which brings us to the bracket, the answer key. We did the AFC last time, so if you want the answer key to the AFC.


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[Assistant] Is that the first time you busted that out? It's been a while. I like that. Yes, thank you. Uh, alright, so let's give your seven playoff teams. Yeah. Division winners. Who gets the bye?


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[Assistant] My division winners are the Eagles, the Packers, and the North. I got the Bucks winning the South.


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[Assistant] And I got the Rams winning the West. Oh, you're going with the Rams. Okay. Okay. Going the Rams. You didn't trust that quarterback situation. Exactly. Yeah. Okay. So much so that I don't even have the 49ers in the playoffs. I do not have them in the, it's just, to your point, it's a little weird. They've got a great roster. The rest of the roster is awesome. We both agree there.


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[Assistant] But, it's just so weird, I think, I can see a bad start, Trey Lance, then you think, okay, Jimmy comes in, saves the day, what if he doesn't save the day? What if it, what if it doesn't go as well as it has in the past few years?


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[Assistant] I think the wheels could come off. Alright, alright, interesting. They are not in the playoffs. I'm not saying I'm right. I don't think you're crazy to have that thought. I've got the, I just think it's in the realm of possibility, right? Do I think the likelihood is high? Maybe not, but I think it could happen. I gotcha. Uhm, Saints I got in the playoffs. Okay. I've got the Vikings in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] And, I've got your Panthers in the playoffs. Ooh, look at you, big guy. So, to your point, right? Maybe top heavy in the, uh, although you think the 49ers are part of that top heavy part.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna give him one more shot. With Baker Mayfield, the swagger of Baker, I'm gonna give him one more shot. Good, good for you. I like it. Alright, so let's play it out. Let's play it out. You wanna play out yours? Okay. Alright, so my first round matchup. I didn't play out mine, but. You didn't play it out? I'll just give the...


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[Assistant] Your hatred of Jalen Hurts does not prevent you from- No, but I mean, that speaks to- I mean, you're not high on Jalen Hurts, but you are high on Nick Sariani, and you are high on the things that Jalen Hurts does well.


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[Assistant] 49ers go to the Super Bowl. 49ers go to the Super Bowl. Your boy Kyle Shanahan gets you tickets, right? Yep.


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[Assistant] Which would have, it would have happened actually. Yeah, we'll skip past your Browns pick there. Uh, it would have happened too if they had the overtime rules that they have now. Might have. There's no question. You're right. So I'm taking a win last year. Yeah, you should take the win. It was better than mine. That's for sure. My AFC game is the Bills. They're back there against the Chargers. Victory Chargers. Victory Chargers.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the LA Chargers from missing the playoffs barely to making a run with an improved defense and a quarterback that's ready to win right now. And all those fourth downs they go for, they work out this year and they're your Super Bowl winner.


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[Assistant] You can weigh in. Pete has done this again on your, uh, Twitter page, which I love this. This is a great idea. So you can go on there. There's like a Google forms sheet that you can fill out. You can fill out your division winners, your wild card teams. You play it all the way to the Superbowl, right Pete?


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[Assistant] Uhm, and so, yep, just like we did. So you go to Chris's Twitter to find that. Click on the link and just fill it all out. Put your name there too. Put your email address so we can contact you later when you get it exactly right. We've already had 300 responses so far. Yep.


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[Assistant] And the most popular Super Bowl winner, the Bills, with 35% of the vote. That's a lot. That is. Leads me to believe you have a lot of Bills fans who follow you. Your love of Josh Allen. I think so. You're right. I think they've jumped on the banner.


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[Assistant] Yeah. Ram 17% from the homies. Yup. Bucks at 16% and Bills at 16%. So not, so wow. So Bucks are in the game 16% of the time. Yeah. Not many people have them winning it because the 49ers are at 8% winners. They're the third choice. So the homies, the homies are not high in the Bucks here. You are not high in the Bucks.


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[Assistant] Put your thoughts on paper and record them and so now we can see if we're right.


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[Assistant] I'm not a big predictions guy anyway, right? You couldn't get me to seed the teams and play off a matchup, so that's good. And Mike gets into it.


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[Assistant] No, it's going to be a good year. I'm excited about it. So next time I'm with you, we'll be after week one. We'll have one game left, the Monday night game. And so we'll talk about all the games that happen, including the Thursday game maybe, although we do often kind of forget about that one. But maybe this will make an exception this year.


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[Assistant] I don't want that either. Yeah. Oh yeah. Chris has to not swear for an entire year.


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[Assistant] If they make the playoffs, you'll kiss my feet. We already did that last year. I will do it again. Okay? If they make the playoffs.


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[Assistant] If you chug it, it might be the end. Uh, yeaah. No, we should do that. We'll pick a team. Alright, let's do that next week. We'll pick a team. Kissing feet is out. Because when I brought that up, I immediately regretted it. I was like, no, I don't want that. You don't want that.


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[Assistant] We need to do it. Okay. Okay, next, next pod will, will solidify these bets and Pete says maybe there's a charity element involved and Pete also says maybe there's a t-shirt involved too, so you know there's still in the works.


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[Assistant] I actually, I don't want it to seem like I don't swear. Okay. I do swear. I don't really hear you say it. I've sworn in this building. I don't do it very often. Yeah. But I haven't on air ever in my life. Right. I gotcha. So yeah, I don't want to pretend I haven't heard you ever say it.


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[Assistant] Uh, Chiefs and Bills, but this is, yeah, Treasure Hunters. We look for things that maybe we didn't see the first time. You look deeper. We're looking for hidden treasures, things that surprise us, things that didn't, uh, appear to us or weren't obvious when we watched the game on Sunday, but now we're smarter for seeing it.


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[Assistant] Chiefs, Bills, we got Falcons, 49ers, Jets, Packers, Patriots, Browns, Ravens, Giants, and more. We're gonna look at some stats and see which


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[Assistant] Okay, I will, once you start talking. Alright, let's get into our first one here, the game of the week. What else can we learn from this game, and what else did we learn from this game? I think we should start...


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[Assistant] With the defensive side. Yeaah. Because this is like one of those games where it's like you got Superman and you got to look at another Superman or Spiderman pointing at the other Spiderman. Right. And so who better to figure out a way to stop the other team than the other team. It's like if you have Josh Allen you might know how to stop a Josh Allen type or a Patrick Mahomes type and vice versa.


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[Assistant] Defensively, and what these two teams have figured out because it wasn't the 45-45 game that I think some people thought maybe we could see. The defenses held their own.


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[Assistant] How did they do that? What was their game plan? And how did they hold Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen to lower than 35?


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[Assistant] Let's start with Bills D. Because they won this game ultimately. And you noted in your notes that this might be the first time that you have seen the Bills do this specific thing against anybody or just against Patrick Mahomes.


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[Assistant] That's interesting. Alright, so let's take a look at James. I think we have a graphic on the Bills and when they blitzed and when they did not blitz and how Patrick Mahomes handled that in this game because I want to


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[Assistant] Identify what they did with the Blitz because it worked against Patrick Mahomes and a lot of times you've said against Patrick Mahomes against Josh Allen.


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[Assistant] Because you know that they don't have to blitz to get pressure. They don't have to do it against the Chiefs, at least in this game, and...


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[Assistant] You were impressed with how they played some man to man early here, and you were impressed with Kayer Elam too, with the interception. He popped when you watched him.


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[Assistant] Yeah, on the flip side, you noted that the Chiefs were not afraid to let their corners be in some tough man-to-man situations in this game. They had some trust with those guys. And you said for the most part, they had a pretty good game against Josh Allen. Held them down to 17 points until the final minute of the game. So let's flip it over to the other side here.


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[Assistant] You've already told us that you learned about the Chiefs defense. They have to be a little more active. They have to try to do, they're just not, they can't just play base against Josh Allen.


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[Assistant] We noted there was a late fourth and three where they confused Josh Allen and so some of the stuff was working. Let's take a look at the graphic on how the Blitz worked against Josh Allen. Similar thing that we did with Patrick Mahomes. So he was 20 at 24 when not Blitz. So that speaks to your point of they needed to do something. They had to. They could not.


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[Assistant] So he was 7 of 16 when he was Blitz, so that's better if you're the Chiefs, but he did have two touchdowns also against the Blitz. I know.


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[Assistant] They were kind of ready for it too, and I think you noted it was in that drive that they had seven blockers for the seven rushers at the time.


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[Assistant] Yeah, scored there, and then scored the first possession of the second half, I think, and so yeah, and then they were off and running, but still had to come back and score late. A special tip of the cap to the offensive line, you said they were able to run the ball early, and a tip of the cap to the center, Mitch Morse. You liked him on tape.


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[Assistant] So you've seen this tape now. They've seen the tape. What do you anticipate the next time they play?


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[Assistant] Them taking away from this game. Both teams, offense-defense.


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[Assistant] It's like this game was going to happen. It wasn't going to affect who we thought. I mean, they're both playoff teams. We think they're both going to get to the point. They're probably favored to do that right now.


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[Assistant] But what's gonna be different about that game? What did they learn? You know, home field advantage could be huge, so that's why it was important that the Bills got this win, but it's probably more important how each team adjusts the next time they play each other, which probably will be the playoffs, we would think, at the end of this year.


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[Assistant] Uh, alright, cool. So we thought the 49ers were going to be maybe a playoff team. They still could be. Got a ton of injuries right now. A ton. You wanted to take a closer look at their game with the Atlanta Falcons. What was the main reason you wanted to take a closer look at this game? What did you want to find out?


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[Assistant] Alright, so let's start with Falcons good. Let's start with the positive here, because we have the offensive ranks this year for the Atlanta Falcons, and they actually are, are very good. Uhm, we always gotta look at the competition, because stats can lie, we'll talk about that later. But rushing attempts per game, they're second in the NFL, so they wanna commit to the run, but they've been very good at it. Rushing yards per game, they're third.


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[Assistant] Yards per rush, they're still top ten there. Third down conversions, they're able to do that in the top five. Red zone converting into touchdowns.


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[Assistant] They're in the top 5, they're 5th there, so this offense has been able to do it. Against the competition.


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[Assistant] Alright, and we noted the injuries for the 49ers, right? Of course. I mean, a lot. They got a lot. I mean, Bosa. And you got Mosley, who's been out. And Ward, who's out. And then you got, who else was out? Armstead was out. Right. Uhm, so yeaah, they're on some second stringers. It's a key spot.


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[Assistant] So that's huge. Warner's still in there, Greenlaw's still in there, but that's huge. But, I don't want to take anything away from the Falcons because they've done this multiple times now. And so you looked at it, you looked at this game, how did they do it? What were they able to do that made life so hard on the 49ers?


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[Assistant] And there was a key point in the game. It was tied 14-14. It was 3rd and 13. Mario to scrambles right there.


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[Assistant] 49ers, you noted, they had the momentum, and it was, they were starting to take over the game, but it was Marcus Mariota making a play in a key spot, which I think if you were to pull people before the game, who's gonna be the team, which team is gonna make that big play in a key spot? You'd think the 49ers would figure out a way to do it, but it was the Falcons who did.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go to the other side there, because you mentioned it with Jimmy Garoppolo, and I think it's pretty in vogue to, whenever the 49ers struggle offensively being like, oh, here's Jimmy, the tide has turned on Jimmy a little bit here. They've caught up to what you were saying maybe three years ago about Jimmy Garoppolo, because I think,


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[Assistant] What'd you make at the end of the game? Remember we had the homie that tweeted in and was like, how come Kyle wasn't doing more hurria at the end of the game? They had an 8 minute drive when they were down 14.


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[Assistant] Right, ended up not scoring on that one, uh, turnover on, on downs, but uhm, but yeaah, the, the 49ers go down, they, they gotta get healthy, so, so they got the Chiefs coming up next here. Uh, I, I don't know what, I don't know what their health is gonna be and who's gonna be available for them, but do they have, do they have any chance?


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[Assistant] Trent Williams could be back, Pete says. And the tight end that you were trying to think of, Charlie Werner. Charlie Werner, that's who it is. Let's never forget him again. Okay, number 89, Charlie Werner. 89 Charlie Werner. His name was Charlie Werner.


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[Assistant] Uh, alright, so that's gonna be tough for the 49ers. Falcons at the Bengals!


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[Assistant] Alright, so that Falcons win over the 49ers was an upset in the NFL, but wasn't maybe as shocking when you take into consideration all the injuries. Our next game we're going to talk about was shocking to me. Maybe the most shocking in the NFL this week.


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[Assistant] Also because of injuries, but it was the team that won that had the most significant injuries. We're talking Buccaneers against the Steelers. Steelers win, uh, by two in this one, even though they lost their starting quarterback. And even though, and I was talking to Tony Dungy before the game, I was like, isn't that crazy? They didn't have Minka Fitzpatrick and they beat Tom Brady.


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[Assistant] And he goes, they didn't have a kello. He goes, they didn't have basically their whole starting secondary. And I looked at it again and, and yeah, they had a lot of guys that were, that were out.


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[Assistant] In the defense of secondary. So you're like of all teams to have to go against. Here's Tom Brady. They're throwing the ball once again. He threw for 350 yards the last couple of games. Uhm, what in the world happened? That's why we put you on this game. Will Caldwell.


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[Assistant] Says, was the story of the Bucks offense and the Steelers defense more about the O's struggles or the defense stepping up and executing?


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[Assistant] Yeah, but what'd you think? Cause you noted, got a key, struggled. But overall, did you feel like Tom needed to be that jumpy? Did he need to be that quick?


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[Assistant] It's making Tom Brady yell at his offensive lineman. It's like, you know, the dad that's like, I don't want to have to do this, but you're making me have to yell at you.


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[Assistant] Uh, we saw it again. He's been, he's been very frustrated throwing tablets. Go Longhorns 45 says, you think there's any locker room tension in Tampa with Tom Brady getting Wednesdays off and taking off for Kraft's wedding while the rest of the team is prepping for a game? And I just mentioned he's yelling at guys still. I do wonder about that. You know, we talked about it, I think on Sunday. You think there are bad vibes in Tampa right now?


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[Assistant] Well, he's never going to retire now because he's like, man, everything sucks right now. I might as well just keep playing football. Uhm, but yeah, they're three and three right now.


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[Assistant] And I don't think that this instilled a whole lot of confidence now on the flip side.


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[Assistant] You saw a good play design on the Najee Harris touchdown. You saw some interesting things. You've been critical of the Steelers and their creativity a little bit at times. But you saw maybe at least a couple good things.


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[Assistant] I think it's interesting you mentioned that they're blitzing on that play against the Pittsburgh Steelers with a rookie quarterback. Um, I think we have a graphic for that, Gabby and James back there. It is the quarterback pressure rate on plays without blitzes.


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[Assistant] Uh, the past three years for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers it was back in 2020.


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[Assistant] They blitzed on what? 39% or they got pressure on 39% of their plays without blitzes that was 4th in the NFL. Alright, so that's what it is. 4th in the NFL, they were getting pressure without having to blitz. Last season they were down to 14th in the NFL on being effective without blitzing. This year so far, they're 20th.


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[Assistant] In the NFL, they're not getting pressure unless they blitz. Exactly right. Was that apparent in this film?


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[Assistant] Is that the, is that just what the doctor ordered for the Bucks and Todd Bowles and Tom Brady?


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[Assistant] You know, hard on Brady and company. We get to see the Steelers on Sunday Night Football. They're in Miami taking on the Dolphins. Tua's supposed to be back in that one. That'll be awesome to see.


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[Assistant] We don't know if Kenny Pickett will play or not. I hope so. He had to leave this game because of a concussion. Right. If he doesn't though, Mitchell Trubisky. Yes. He was great at the end of the game. He was great. I mean, you almost can make the, you know, argument that maybe, I don't know, maybe they don't win that game.


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[Assistant] Without Mitch, uh, without Mitch and Trubisky at the end there.


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[Assistant] Do you want a chance to win free SNF gear? Why not? Who wouldn't? You can sign up for the Sunday Night Football Inside SMS program so you can be the first to know about the giveaways. Text SWAG to 763622 to sign up today. That is SWAG at 763622.


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[Assistant] Participation is optional. You're not going to be forced to do this. Chris will not show up at your home and commandeer your phone and text that in, uh, but message and data rates do apply. We want to let you know that so you can get free gear.


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[Assistant] Yep, offensively on defense. Colombo streaming on Peacock, which we reminded you last time. We'll take a little break from the deep dive, the treasure hunters to go big butt of the week awards time.


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[Assistant] Give some love to these big guys. Some tushes. Not, uh, not on Tampa. You know, we're not, you know, they're not showing it right now. They've not, they've not earned it at this point. So we're going to start


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[Assistant] With our edge big butt of the week award. And these are both players, by the way, that we've talked about already. It was almost too obvious, but hey. Sometimes you gotta go with it. Give credit where credit is due. Even if we talked about them on Monday.


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[Assistant] The edge big butt of the week award goes to the Vikings edge guy linebackers that Darius Smith had a couple sacks, four quarterback hits, double digit pressures in the game. That's insane. Double digit pressures. So the two players ranked in the top three in tackles for losses and pressures this season.


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[Assistant] One is Zedaria Smith and the other is Micah Parsons. Wow. The only two that are in the top three of both of those.


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[Assistant] That has stepped up. I mean, they got a lot of veterans, kind of a fun team, because there's guys that have been there for a while, and maybe they're all playing a little bit better this year.


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[Assistant] Maybe the Jets will be a playoff team and they've got a big butt of the week award winner in their defensive tackle in Quinn and Williams led the Jets with eight solo tackles. He had 14 in total in the game, couple sacks, the force fumble, the block kick. He's got five sacks this season, most among defensive tackles.


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[Assistant] Pro Football Focus had him ranked as the 14th ranked defensive tackle this week. I disagree with that. 14th ranked defensive tackle this week? Yea, I disagree with that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Pete is listing them all in our ear right now, but yeaah, whatever. We can look into that even deeper. We disagree here on the Chris Simms on Button podcast, but here's what we do agree with most people. The Jets played well last week, and so you want to take a closer look at the Jets, specifically that defense and how they shut down Aaron Rodgers. So let's do that, and I'll tell you what.


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[Assistant] Defenses that have young guys who you believe in that in


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[Assistant] Five years, they might be the best and maybe even less than that. Maybe the best of their position. You talked already about Quinn and Williams, but you got Sauce Gardner out there. You've got some really good young players on this Jets defense.


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[Assistant] Uh, you took a closer look at them again for the second week in a row. You said they looked really, really fast last week. Did they look as fast or faster this week? Faster.


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[Assistant] You said Quincy Williams, that linebacker, C.J. Mosley, Quan Alexander, they can all fly. I mean, you basically...


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[Assistant] You know, on the other side now, I'm almost going to feel bad ripping on the Packers offense, because, I mean, it's legit defense, and a lot of offenses are going to have, even the best offenses out there, you'd think, are going to have problems with this Jets defense. Well, especially when you play the way the Packers do. Alright, so here we go.


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[Assistant] I think I know where you're going here. Well, we've talked about it on this pod multiple times, just Aaron Rodgers and not pushing the ball down the field, not taking the chances that they need, always looking to pass around the line of scrimmage. So we have a graphic on the throws behind the line of scrimmage in the NFL this season.


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[Assistant] And they have the most attempts of any team behind the line of scrimmage. They do have the most completions, so that's good. Uh, they have the second most passing yards. Uh, they have the 14th.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's try to figure out what's going on here, because after the game, Aaron Rodgers said some things, and then on Monday, Matt LaFleur said some things in response, so I think we have that soundbite right now, let's take a listen.


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[Assistant] I think he mentioned, what was that Pete that, that he di- he likes, uh, yeaah, without motion you can have more tempo, is what he said.


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[Assistant] That's what we always say. You can learn about the NFL by watching the Chris Simpson button podcast and learn maybe a week or two early about what everyone else is going to be saying. That's right. Because everyone else is getting on that Packers offense right now. They got the commanders coming up next. Maybe they'll be able to carve up that defense. We'll have to see.


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[Assistant] You like the quarterback. I don't get it. You like the other team too. The Jets at the Broncos. That'll be, uh, the overrunner on that game will be three and a half. It's gonna be three points. A field goal could win it. Seriously.


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[Assistant] Alright, we want to take a look at the Patriots, we want to take a look at the Browns, a little bit of the Ravens too, uh, and the Giants, so we got still a lot to do, so we gotta move through as we get to the Peter


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[Assistant] Pete's Peter Peter Peter Awards. The pun awards. It is, uh, he went through 124 puns this week. Looked at every one of them. 123 of them were all playing for the chance at second place here because the Vikings punter Ryan Wright


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[Assistant] You know, that's why I like this segment. You learn things about how the viking is doing it. That's a significant reason why the vikings are doing it.


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[Assistant] Bad field position for the other team, so congratulations to Ryan Wright.


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[Assistant] Flyer of the week, there was no contest on this one. You saw the game on Monday. Chargers corner, Jasir Taylor, a sixth round rookie out of Wake Forest, was blocking a man into the returner who had called a fair game. It was like one of the smartest plays of the weekend.


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[Assistant] And it was on Monday. Very aware. Very aware. Caused a fumble. Right. And it was, uh, recovered by the Chargers, and that was the ballgame in overtime.


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[Assistant] Yeah, you wanna block me right there? Who's fault is that? Who needs to be yelling Peter, Peter, Peter to get everyone away from the returner? The returner. The returner needs it. The returner needs it. But he's about, he's trying to fair catch it.


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[Assistant] Honorable mention was the Packers corner, KaShawn Nixon, who got knocked into two Packers coaches on their first punt, then bounced back to make an open field tackle on the next punt. Never give up. Never give up. A bold move of the week. Pete is giving to the Patriots rookie safety flyer, Brendan Schooler.


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[Assistant] You recovered a muff punt and presents it to Bill Belichick. Did you see that?


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[Assistant] We have Ben Volver tweeting it out and he goes, here, Bill, take the ball. And then there are people that come up to him and they're like, Hey, don't do that. Bill doesn't want the ball right now. It was in the middle of the game. That's a.


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[Assistant] Right? It's like, uh, what are you a, uh, why do today what you can put off until tomorrow type of person? Cause you gotta either go for two, the first touchdown or the second touchdown. Okay!


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[Assistant] So that is always your point, is that you feel like, if you make it a one possession game, that the other team will feel a little bit more, they'll play differently. Definitely. And worse.


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[Assistant] But it could be the reverse. You're like, oh, let's do the reverse play. Oh crap, why'd we do that? Fumble, boom, took it the other way. It could be the opposite, right? You play a little loose, play a little too loose, maybe, if you're the Patriots.


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[Assistant] So this is how they're playing. Let's take a look at their rushing game log this season, week one through all the way through week six. Week one against the Panthers, they had 39 attempts. They had 217 yards. They're like, yeah, we're a rushing team. Against the Jets, week two, look at that, 184 yards. Jets defense looking pretty good right now, so that's a pretty good, and 37 attempts, and they had 38 attempts, and they had 35 attempts.


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[Assistant] Week 5 against the Chargers, 31 attempts. And then, this week against the Patriots, 18 attempts. Now was that a function of them falling behind early? I forget exactly the game flow of this game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, a lot of good things for the, the Patriots here, but one more thing on the Browns.


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[Assistant] So one more thing, so Jacoby Brissett, we were very positive about Brissett earlier in the year, he was doing some good things, making some plays, making some plays where you're like, oh, if Deshaun Watson was doing this, everyone would be like, see, this is why they got him.


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[Assistant] Jacoby Bursette did not look so good in this game. Was not good against the Blitz. Only 3 for 11 for 29 yards. And a couple interceptions here. Uh, is, is he taking a step back from what you saw in this game?


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[Assistant] So full credit though to the Patriots who were able to move the ball and move the ball with a third string rookie quarterback in Bailey Zappi. He did it again. I think we have a graphic of him versus the Blitz and his play action stuff. It was all very good for Bailey Zappi in this game versus the Blitz. He had 186 yards against the Blitz that led the NFL


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[Assistant] In week 6 against a Blitz, and then play action he was very good as well. 165 yards, which also led the NFL in week 6.


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[Assistant] They didn't think Bailey Zappi and the Patriots offense could do this through the air.


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[Assistant] Now they got the Bears on Monday Night Football. Alright. Yup. Chance to move to four and three. Alright. Here come the Patriots.


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[Assistant] I have a feeling you're going to pick the Patriots. I am. To win this game easily on Monday. One more game to talk about. You did the deep dive, the treasure hunters, the what the F happened with the Ravens and the Giants. Okay. Of course you wanted to look at this game. You wanted to see it. You wanted to relive it. You wanted to relive what the Giants did.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I think it's, uh, it's most notable. You know, this game was close late. Tell me what jumped out to you. This game was close late. The Ravens probably should have won the game, right? Let's just go to that last play. The Interception by Lamar.


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[Assistant] Uhm, because you reminded me of something how they're just sending guys and they were doing something that the Jets were doing, sending guys into the gap and just trying to muck things up. Yes. Right? And they were doing that too. Now the Ravens did break some runs, some long runs. They all look kind of similar too. They did. Uhm, but what about that strategy for the Giants?


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[Assistant] We got a question about the pass game coming up here, but yes, the Ravens did run for 211 yards in this game. Four teams ran for 200 and more yards this past week in the NFL. All of them lost. Ravens, Jaguars, Saints, and Bears. I guess it's not all about just hitting that 200 mark.


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[Assistant] Ooh yeaah, Kel Craig asked you something that you just started to answer there. What specific differences has Brian Dayball brought to the Giants offense? So he's transformed, he's rewired.


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[Assistant] Jahad Ward on the defensive side, you wanted to give a shout out to him.


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[Assistant] And then you, you do what, uh, what I try not to do, but I do often times. You take one mistake and then you make it into two mistakes.


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[Assistant] Great time to be in New York right now. We'll end with this, our bet MGM week six lines, the giants and jets, the Roland right now, but they are both road underdogs against teams with two and four records this week.


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[Assistant] So at first glance here, we got the Giants at the Jaguars. Jaguars favored by minus three. Right. Uh, the Jets at the Broncos. The Broncos favored by two.


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[Assistant] The over-under in both those games, very low, 42 in the Jaguars and Giants game and 39.5 in the Jets-Brancos game. I wasn't that far off saying it would be a 3.5 over-under. No, 39.5. I don't know if I've seen one that low.


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[Assistant] Yes, games are lower scoring this season. That is something we should talk about. I know. I saw some stats somewhere where it's like fantasy football stats, which is basically just all the offense. It's like the lowest scoring in 13 years.


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[Assistant] That's great. Simply download the BetMGM app today or go to betmgm.com. Enter the bonus code Sims to make your first wager risk free up to $1,000. We've run out of time for these. Do stats tell truths or lies? We'll save that for next time.


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[Assistant] So let's do that. Maybe next Wednesday, let's give you a break. You know, I do know you like to look at these films anyway.


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[Assistant] I wouldn't be mad at you there. Maybe we'll have you deep dive two games next Wednesday. Right. And then we'll do a bunch of this other stuff too. Because yea, that's a big picture thought on the offenses. I would like to get into that discussion.


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[Assistant] Oh yeah, that's right. We like big butts and we cannot lie. Okay. That's what we do like. Yes. The Eagles defensive front. We're going to hit that today for sure.


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[Assistant] Then the normal white person, right? That's for sure. Like when I get fitted for clothes or a suit or pants every now and then, they're always like, whoa.


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[Assistant] Oh, your thighs are kind of big and your butt, and I'm like very proud of that. They go, you're white, right? I am actually. I am, I am. I have been called white chocolate before though. So maybe that's what it is. Uh, yeah. So, uh, yes, I have already.


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. Well, I get that. We get that a lot. I do get that a lot. Especially, I feel like with


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[Assistant] No, the rules have changed compared to when we were growing up. I mean, with social media and everything, like most kids are, uh, yeah, they're very aware of things that they shouldn't be at the age of 10. I'm like, what? You know that you've seen that already.


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[Assistant] I do. I do. Well, this is maybe not my best here just because I'm, I'm trying to get through work and watch film so I'm not hate, I'm trying to kind of, you know, write it quick so I can watch the next play and do all that. So it's not my perfect, but I get a lot of compliments from both of you guys, okay?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I just can't even believe that. No more good sword fighters in the world.


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[Assistant] It was, it was a bad game. It was. The Bengals are definitely one of those teams we can put a little mark next to and go, didn't play in the preseason. It definitely showed, especially on the offensive side of the ball. Steelers defense played a little in the preseason.


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[Assistant] Steelers defense brought the fight to that offensive line. That offensive line was not ready for a fight. They were ready to, for practice and preseason mode. And then it was like, you know, one of those like, wow, we got smacked in the face here and we don't know how to react at first.


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[Assistant] Burrow definitely showed that he didn't play either. And, uh, you know, the four interceptions like you talked about, I would say three of them were pretty horrible. I really would. And, you know, and having said that, the three were horrible and yet, you know,


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[Assistant] He still made so many unbelievable throws and plays and did so many good things. And this is where I really admire him because, you know, he was getting hit and killed a lot of the game too. And he's never flustered. So that's the good thing about it. But it started this way right from the get go. I mean, you saw my notes. I really literally went,


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[Assistant] You know, I have a pretty good feel for this offense and Zach Taylor and what he does. He was in Tampa with me at one point, uh, as a young quarterback.


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[Assistant] He, you know, worked for McVeigh, where McVeigh, of course, came from Gruden and Tampa and all that too. So I know a lot of their rules, like right away, so I see the plays. The first play of the game, Burl worked the wrong side of the field, there's the coverage. He had one concept to the right, one concept to the left.


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[Assistant] He should have worked to the left. He went to the right and then he tried to flip back over, but I was like, oh gosh, I mean, this is kind of a simple play and.


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[Assistant] Pixix was hor- the first one, the second play of the game, was horrible.


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[Assistant] You know, they had a concept where they had the under route on the outside. Five yards come right down the line of scrimmage. The inside slot, he runs 12 yards and runs an out route. It's made for cover two, right? So if that corner doesn't follow the guy or come down aggressively on that underneath under route, you should have the over the top route.


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[Assistant] Right? Well, the corner didn't move much, but the first read is to look at the under. He's got the under wide open, blah, blah, blah. But for some reason he tries to force it. Minka Fitzpatrick is very wide and waiting for the outrout, let alone he throws a bad ball altogether. So that was bad, certainly. Pick number three.


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[Assistant] Was the ball down the middle, which is another theme of this game. He was a little late to recognize, and I think you saw this in my notes, the cover too.


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[Assistant] Pittsburgh very creative and oh wait, there's gonna be some crazy coverage. What is this? What is this?


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[Assistant] Oh, it's a cool way to get to cover 2. Oh, it's a cool way to get to cover 2. Oh, it's a cool way to get to Tampa 2.


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[Assistant] 100%. 100%. That's why, you know, we talked about it on Monday. It's the team you don't want to play them week one because it's just like, gosh, damn, I haven't played much and I got to deal with them and the crazy crap they do. So there was that. The fourth interception was


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[Assistant] Just a little slot curl route. It was a, I believe that was a fourth down, if I remember correctly. He just stared the guy down. Just stared him down. It wasn't necessarily like,


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[Assistant] When he sees a three step drop, he goes up, I'm not going to get to the quarterback. So let me just stop. And if he throws to my side, I'm going to bat that ball down or try to catch it. And he's, he's like his brother was his brother and his prime was just like that. Very, very special eyes into the backfield talent that they have.


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[Assistant] And that's where you do talk about like, you know, sometimes with great defensive players and you've heard us in the draft where their ability to see the play behind the line of scrimmage. They're not just like, oh wait, you're blocking me and I'm only looking at you.


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[Assistant] You know, they're, they're getting blocked and looking in the backfield going, wait, where's the ball? Where's the quarterback? And they're able to diagnose some things as that's going on and he's got a special talent that way.


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[Assistant] Oh, yes. Thank you for bringing me there. Well, I mean, again, we're in the era of protect the quarterback and I would challenge anybody to go back and watch the replay of the game or anything like that. So he throws the pick six. Now he's going to turn and run to go try to chase the guy to the pylon.


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[Assistant] TJ Watt, who was behind him, got pushed by him in the pass rush, now is behind him, so when Joe Burrow takes off to go get him,


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[Assistant] There's an illegal crack back block, right? You're not allowed to go towards your own end zone line and clean somebody out that way.


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[Assistant] You would think of all the people they'd worry about as the quarterbacks of the league of that happening. He got crushed. Crushed to the point where he did a barrel roll in the air. And he's tough as hell, so he gets up.


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[Assistant] But I just, yeah, that was, you know, again, that's where I want to go. If that was Brady or somebody like that, they're going to call that cause they're going to be like, Oh, he's old. How can you do that to him? But like it's Joe burrow. I feel like the young whippersnappers of the world.


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[Assistant] The, the Mahomes, the Allens, and, and those other guys, they're young and tough, who cares? Uh, yea, but that was, that was, you know, just nitpicky. I don't really give a shit about that rule, but it's called too much in my opinion anyways, and then we're not gonna call it in that instance, that's just weird to me.


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[Assistant] Know the animal you're playing. Like, didn't we say Monday? Like, read the room a little bit. You're playing the Steelers. They can rush the Kegel quarterback. You can't sit back there and go, oh I'm gonna bake a cake and now put some icing on it and throw some sprinkles on it.


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[Assistant] You just, you gotta make a decision, get your eyes on like what's going around and around me. Okay, wait, I got a little time. Let me get to number two. And then you might just have to take off, especially early in the game. And especially when you know the other team's offense isn't very good.


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[Assistant] There's no point in, you know, spinning around and trying to make a move and do all that. It's only going to lead to a disaster. And yes, it led to some almost even worse disasters. And of course he got strip sack fumbled one time too.


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[Assistant] Everybody except right guard Alec Kappa pretty much got their ass whooped throughout the game. Throughout the game. And I don't mean just like one play or two plays, I mean like consistently, where you're like,


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[Assistant] Damn. Oh, ooh, damn. Jonah Williams probably took the worst of it.


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[Assistant] I mean, Alex Highsmith of course had an unbelievable day.


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[Assistant] Lyle Collins, he showed that, yeaah, he didn't practice a ton in training camp and all that. He certainly struggled. Uhm, yeaah, the left guard, the, the Volson kid, who's a younger football player, right? Uh, Cordell Volson, right? He's a, he's a, is he North Dakota State, if I remember correctly? Uhm, but either way,


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[Assistant] He struggled, I mean, hey, him against Cam Hayward? Yea, you like Cam Hayward in that matchup more times than not. Uhm, so that was, uh, definitely an issue for them. I, I don't, they have a better look. They do.


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[Assistant] You know, again, I think this is a little bit of a, again, just not playing. Burrow not playing. And another team that came in with a mission and also knowing like, wait, we have to play really good today if we want to win. And they have those kind of alpha males on that side of the ball to get that done.


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[Assistant] No, you're right. That's why I'm not. Yeah, yeah, you're exactly right. And please, yeah, put that in the, you're right. This is one where there might be a lot of teams. If Highsmith can rush the quarterback like that, we know Cam Hayward's going to be a beast. We know Watt will be a beast when he comes back.


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[Assistant] You know, Larry Ogunjobi was impressive as well. He was disruptive. You know, they still got Tyson in that Lu Lu. Uh, so there, there's, yeah, to your point, they're a beast and they give you some crazy looks and all that. And that was another thing I was disappointed too, too, especially in some obvious passing situations.


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[Assistant] Find some ways to stress out their coverages. And, you know, what I mean by that is don't let them disguise and do all this crap. When you're stagnant, it allows them to really play with your mind as a quarterback.


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[Assistant] You know, if you're, they're trying to disguise and do all that and you shift to another formation and then motion, sometimes they kinda go, I have to check out and show their hand and do things like that. I thought they let Pittsburgh be a little too comfortable throughout the football game.


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[Assistant] Right, right. Well, I think the thing I would have done, and I think I wrote this, I'm pretty sure I wrote this in my notes, I had a game plan of going


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[Assistant] We're gonna call a cover two play. A play for cover two, that's our first thing.


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[Assistant] And if it's not covered too, it's gonna be, of course, a single safety defense, which more times than not leads to a pressure, alright? And if it's not a pressure, it's, it's, you know, some sort of man-to-man coverage.


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[Assistant] I would have kind of called the game that way, like here's a cover two play, we'll get five eligibles out, you know, hopefully the back can help on a watt and then get out or something like that.


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[Assistant] Oh wait, you think the blitz is coming? Hey, check, check, check. Tight end, stay in. Alright?


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[Assistant] Let's have an extra guy into block, even if they don't blitz, who gives a damn? Because we're going to call something kind of aggressive down the field versus man to man coverage or the single safety coverage and attack it that way. Like their long touchdown pass against the Rams and the Super Bowl. That's what they did. It was something that if you remember back after the Super Bowl, I asked for a lot. Like, can they do more of that?


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[Assistant] You know, but that would have been more of the plan I would have liked to see. Uhm, you know, so they were a little late to adjust all together, but, but overall, you know, I, again, I think you said it.


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[Assistant] I'm not overly, I'm not concerned with the Bengals. Even with all this we're talking about, the Bengals should have won the game.


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[Assistant] They should have. I mean their defense was phenomenal throughout and they had plenty of chances on the offensive side of the ball and of course they just have a long snapper. I do believe they make the extra point and the game is going to be over. They win that whole game.


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[Assistant] It's, you know, I'm not going to say it's Tyree Kill, but it's, it's rivaling it. It's as close as I see in football to catch the ball, go-go after Burners, and full speed, and like, everyone's like, you can tell as soon as he catches the ball too, everybody's like, oh gosh, he's got it! Let me chase after him. I mean, he's, he's amazing. He really is.


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[Assistant] It's, he split, and I don't, I didn't look at play count, I don't look at that stuff. Just to my eye?


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[Assistant] It seemed like in a lot of big situations they went with Robert Spillane.


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[Assistant] But I, it felt like it was like a 50-50 game. Like there was a legitimate like, hey, we're going to let you have three series and now we're going to let you have three series. So he obviously hasn't separated himself. The best linebacker on their team is Miles Jack. That's for sure. And he's, he's a really damn good football player. Uh, but it does seem like they're still kind of in the midst of.


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[Assistant] Figuring out who to play in that situation. I will say, I mean, he doesn't pop to me. I don't sit there and go, oh, oh gosh, there goes Bush again. Oh gosh. There goes Bush again. Not like that. Not like he did it early in his first year before he heard his ACL. When I was saying that it's crazy that it's kind of falling off this way.


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[Assistant] It was sloppy. It's about as tough as it gets as far as conditions for a football team and for a quarterback to throw.


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[Assistant] And it got even, you know, unfortunately for the 49ers.


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[Assistant] You know, it was sloppy early, then it kind of stopped.


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[Assistant] And the bears came back and got ahead and all of a sudden it was like, football gods will favor the bears. And it started raining so hard that it was actually comical watching on film. You were like, holy, I mean, I was sitting there going, oh my gosh, it's like worse than it looked on TV. You're like, I just can't even believe it's raining like this.


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[Assistant] Hey, you know the concerns about throwing? Yes. It's well documented. I'm not the only one out there that has it. Does he make some throws that you go, wow? Yes. You know, he threw a deep cross, uh, early in the game where you go, whoo.


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[Assistant] That's a throw there. You know, through a deep cross later in the game. He's more comfortable with throwing the ball down the field. That's one thing I will say to sh- if you like Shanahan listening.


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[Assistant] You know, ball down the field, ball outside the numbers, he looks more comfortable, he's more consistent throwing those type of throws than he is the, like you said, the short to intermediate passes where accuracy and precision are more important. There's less room for error on those. I know people think, oh, it's a shorter pass.


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[Assistant] There's, it's usually in a tight hole, a tight window. You know, the receiver's got a little bit of alligator arms that he's looking at, so you gotta put it all in the right place there. Outside the numbers, things like that, throw it out high and outside, hey, it's not that bad. Throw it low and outside, hey, it's not that bad. I mean, so there's some room or error there with that one. And that's what bothers me. You know, he missed some place. And I think my biggest concern


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[Assistant] Cause I, again, the rain hurt the 49ers more than the Bears. It definitely did. Slowed them down. Slowed them down without a doubt. Deebo, Ayuk, all of those were all slowed down. Trey Lance even running that way.


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[Assistant] And also too, this is why the 49ers are special and why we had them as one of our best rosters is not only are they one of the fastest teams in football, they're kind of one of the biggest teams in football and overpowering up front too. And I think that, that, the slop and their inability to get footing hurt them a little bit as well.


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[Assistant] But back to my point with Lance, the thing that I think bothers me the most is the lack of feel in the pocket, right? Like there's a play on the third drive of the football game, and I know you saw the notes here.


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[Assistant] Where he's got Debo on a little slot out route to the right.


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[Assistant] And, you know, they probably want to run that play against cover two. It's like an option out. He could probably like sit up in a hole. They got a guy that's running a corner over the top of him. And, and he looks out there, and I want to go...


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[Assistant] So he looks over there to throw it, but I do think he's a little scared to make some of these shorter intermediate throws. He doesn't have the confidence to pull the trigger. So he looks there, but then he comes back to the other side and he's got a little concept that, you know, you saw me draw where there's, it's a guy that runs a straight go.


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[Assistant] And, and 15, uhm, who is it, is that McCloud or I can't, I forget who 15 is, I'm, I'm still getting my numbers straight in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Uh, but either way, he's got a number, like a release where he goes outside of the guy that was in front of him and then he comes back underneath him like a slant route, right? It's wide open.


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[Assistant] Now, that's Jennings, right. So Jennings there, thank you Pete. He looks to the right, he gets to the left. Now, it's, the look is there for Jennings. And he really should have been there from the start. He's got a little pressure and he's gotta move.


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[Assistant] And he just doesn't have great feel for like, again, you know, better quarterbacks in football can...


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[Assistant] Oh wait, this is the look I want. Okay, wait, I gotta feel, let me just find a little soft spot, subtle slide here and try, but he gets into like running back mode, right? He doesn't stay in a throwing position. He has no feel for the soft part of the, the, the pocket.


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[Assistant] And then the other thing to Ahmed is, you know, and this is where again, he's still raw and learning. And I do question whether it'll get there. I do. I'm not going to lie. Um, but as a quarterback,


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[Assistant] You'll get a plate called sometimes and you're getting up behind the center and you're going, Oh my gosh.


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[Assistant] The play, it should be here against this coverage, right? Let me, oh man. So you get a little pressure and okay, I got a move in the pocket, but wait, this is the coverage. I know that I, we're going to have something here. Let me just find a little spot so I can just set up real quick and throw it in a spot to where he can get it. And we're going to get the play. But again, the eyes go down and.


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[Assistant] The eyes go down, the ball goes almost into a running back position, and he doesn't even give himself a chance there. That's what bothers me a little bit more than anything. So uhm, you know, those are the flaws I saw. And of course the interception, yes, he just stared it down. Plain and simple. And Eddie Jackson's a hell of a football player and saw it and made the play.


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[Assistant] Yeah, please, sometimes I don't even know my themes as I write these down, so when you have tidbits like that, throw them out there. You're right. The eyes in general are a problem of having the feel for weight, the play is gonna work against this coverage, let me keep my eyes downfield, and then the eyes go down to the pass rush way too much. You know, there's, I'm not mad if you look at the pass rush.


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[Assistant] Like Justin Fields, or an Allen, or a Holmes, and again, I know that's, but Justin Fields is doing it already, where he drops back, he looks downfield, then he might look down real quick and assess what's around him, and then tries to get him back up again, right? Lances go down, and it's just like, I'm gonna run, and he doesn't ever get him back up, and that's where you, you're gonna leave some plays on the field if that continues.


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[Assistant] Yes, 100%. He just, he's gotta learn to protect himself a little bit. And even when he scrambles and does that, it's just, there's, hey, we don't, it doesn't need to be second and two and you get killed. It's okay if it's second and five and you just got the five. That's where he's gotta learn to just drop down, slide a hair quicker, or protect his body just a little bit more.


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[Assistant] I mean, his ability to stop and cut back against the grain, he is such a natural running back. It's really scary. Like, he's up there.


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[Assistant] I'm not gonna say he's Saquon Barkley or Jonathan Taylor or that, but it ain't that far off. It's not. And...


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[Assistant] They fed him the ball a lot. And then, you know, he can put his shoulder down because he's such a thick human being that he can run people over. I mean, ask poor Kyler Gordon on the Bears.


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[Assistant] When Debo ran that one touchdown in on the right side, I think he thought, well, I'll man him up and hit him. He's a receiver. And he got his ass ran over. And I'm not trying to disrespect Kyle LaGordon. Debo Samuel run, you know, of course us over and a lot of people over.


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[Assistant] So, uh, yeah, he is really good and I, hey, they paid him.


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[Assistant] Definitely. He just got a, he's got a running back body like we talk about a lot. You know, he's one of those receivers in football where you go, man, you know, I think 25 years ago he'd have been a college running back, but you know, the kids, the kids are getting smarter and going, wait the hell with that. My career only lasts five or six years. Let me play a receiver. He's, he's kind of that guy.


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[Assistant] I'd be worried. I'd be worried. I will. If he does it's another performance like that. And again, I'm not expecting like 140 quarterback rating and four touchdowns or anything like that. I'm just, you know me, I just, hey, the plays that are there, let's take advantage of them. And then hopefully you can make a few plays outside the realm of the playbook here and there.


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[Assistant] I'm not looking and having, trying to have unreal expectations that we're gonna see, you know, a game here that's 30 for 35 for 380. That's not gonna happen right now.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know, again, I think on their, their home field, hopefully it won't be sloppy, a fast track, you know, they'll be able to create some plays. My only concern with this is, and obviously they're better than Seattle, and it's really probably a good thing Seattle won, because they won't be as edgy now, but is, is, Pete Carroll has shown a pretty good propensity, I believe I used that the right way,


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[Assistant] He's one of the few guys in football I go, mmm, he gives Kyle some problems. They did sweep the 49ers last year, which is crazy to say.


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[Assistant] He's got, I think, some of Kyle's tricks down a little bit and knows how to defend it.


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[Assistant] And, you know, early in their matchup career, it was not that way, right? I used to go, oh, I literally used to like say to Kyle when he was a young offensive player, I'd be like, Pete's scared of you. Like when you guys play Pete, he looks over at the other sideline like,


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[Assistant] It was, it was, and it bothered me. And you know what, again, I'm gonna say it right now, I don't think, I don't like, I don't think they can be nearly as successful if he doesn't take more chances this year.


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[Assistant] You know, okay, had some, you know, more veteran receivers and Devonte Adams and company and Devonte of course created attention that could allow other people's to be open. You know, there was more of an ability to be surgical because of that.


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[Assistant] And he didn't maybe have to take chances, because he'd go, hey, you know, it's second down, and alright, as long as, hey, we're in third and five, that's cool, because I'll get us in the right play on third down, and I got Adams, and if I get the right matchup there, I'll go to it, and if not, they'll have to overplay their hand there, and I'll get to the right play on the other side, right?


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[Assistant] First off, I don't think any of these receivers are in the trust tree. So I don't think he really trusts them all the way. And the run game is good. I don't look at their run game and go, oh wow, is this a handful to figure out and stop. It's not like Shanahan and Company. It's not that. It's nowhere near that.


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[Assistant] It's solid, don't get me wrong, I'm not trying to disrespect it, but I don't think it's something that the defenses are going to go, oh my gosh, if we don't stop the Packers run game.


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[Assistant] It's the, the throws that he doesn't make that bother me. And to me, that's the problem.


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[Assistant] You know, and again, there's a few of them where you go, hey, he got a five yard throw here, great, blah, blah, blah, but I will, ehh, there's, there's 20 yards here.


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[Assistant] What are we doing? Are we worried about our quarterback rating? Are we worried about our completion percentage? I don't know what it is there. But yeah, there was a few too many of that for my liking. You know, had a play one time where, you know, he's looking to the left.


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[Assistant] Come back to the middle, you got a crosser, he's going to be wide open, it's going to be a 15-20 yard gain, and he just gets it back out to the back out on a swing route for like no gain. And I just want to go, you know, it's those plays, you might get away with that against


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[Assistant] You know, the Bears this week are some lesser teams, and I don't mean to say that to the Bears, but lesser teams, but it's not going to get it done against the NFC elite, and that did bother me.