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[Assistant] You know, the other thing they did is, like I said, you know, disguise, we're gonna blitz, we're gonna play this coverage, set hut, oh, it's a different, it's not a blitz, it's a different coverage, they did all of that. To start the game, they started


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[Assistant] The game doing what New England did to the Chiefs last year in the AFC Championship game. Which is? Where they played man to man with a single safety deep.


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[Assistant] And they basically said, hey, single safety deep, you double Julian Edelman. And we're not even gonna have a safety back there, because we don't think they're gonna throw it to deep to anybody, and we like our matchups.


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[Assistant] It's the offensive line more than Brady. Definitely. You know, it is. The offensive line...


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[Assistant] They're just, the fights being taken to them every week and they're getting their butt swept. Like Chris Jones and Alkafore and Nandi yesterday, number 91 for the Chiefs, they pushed the shit out of.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know, whether it was win the left tackle, cannon the right tackle.


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[Assistant] Shaq Mason, where I don't know what the hell's happened to him this year. He's been one of the better guards in football the last few years. You know, this year, I don't know if he could block you and me man to man. I don't know. It's just that, that's. Wow. So there's a disaster there. And then it's filtering over to a quarterback who's 42 years old and does not want to be hit the same way he did when he was 35 years old.


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[Assistant] I look at it as Winspagnolo and Tom Brady together. Winspagnolo for realizing you got a 42 year old quarterback who doesn't really want to be hit. If there's a weakness to him right now, it's that. And his follow through, if you really know his follow through. Listen, I know. Showed that. Showed exactly what you're saying. Without a doubt. He was more worried about


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[Assistant] Tom Brady, two years ago, three years ago, stands there and goes, fuck it, I'm gonna throw a bullseye and you can just crush me and I'll deal with it.


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[Assistant] Tom Brady right now is going, ooh, I don't want to take this hit. Let me try to throw a bullseye. There's a difference in the way he's approaching that right now. And that definitely jumped out to me. There's no doubt that's exactly what I mean. I don't know if I wrote that in my notes or not, but that is definitely one that jumped out to me.


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[Assistant] Right, yeaah. I think it's a, uh, a real thing. And again, it's not easy to play quarterback when you're under duress like Tom Brady is. Right. But I've seen Tom Brady under duress before not flinch in some of the moments he's flinching right now. And to me, yeaah, I just saw inklings of it towards the end of last year. I've seen it again this year. Doesn't mean he's still not really good.


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[Assistant] Doesn't mean you still can't win the Super Bowl with him. He can make big time throws, but with an offense that's struggling...


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[Assistant] And you're not one of the, you know, you're not high octane right now as far as that. Those little plays start to magnify now.


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[Assistant] Because, you know, last year he would get away with it, maybe on the third and seven, and then, oh, fourth and seven, oh, we dialed up another great play, there's Gronk down the middle, BAM, let me just throw it to Gronk, he's covered, not covered, doesn't matter, I'm just gonna throw it to him, first down, and then we'd all forget that he was kind of flinchy on third down. Right. But they got the first down, so who cares, oh, it's all good, it's Tom Brady, blah, blah, blah, and we just moved on.


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[Assistant] And that's all I was trying to say in the offseason, that I saw some of that that was a little concerning. And now that there are even less around him right now, it's being magnified in certain moments. Hey listen, the last play of the game.


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[Assistant] He fell down. Nobody touched him. He threw the corner out to Julian Elman. He fell down. What'd you think of that play? Well...


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[Assistant] Uhm, gutsy call by Spagnolo, all out, blitzing there. They brought eight? Brought eight. They said they were gonna bring it to Brady. They were gonna bring it. They were gonna make him make the throw.


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[Assistant] You know, that's why I had a problem with the, uh, the George Kittle play against the Gardner Johnson in New Orleans. He came off the blind, he punched Gardner Johnson, he pushed him, and then Gardner Johnson, as he's getting pushed back, holds his shoulder because he's getting bowled over, and they call pass interference on him.


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[Assistant] And I'm not gonna let Brady sit back there and pat and go through and make the right decision and then throw some laser in there. Right. I'm gonna make him a decision right now and make him make it.


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[Assistant] Wait, wait, one more thing I wanted to make a point of, just with the Patriots offense. You know, the Patriots, we talked about the Chiefs really good game plan, but to me, yesterday showed a little bit of the Patriots have a little disbelief in their offense too. I mean, the two trick plays, they always have trick plays, but to me,


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[Assistant] They were their two biggest plays, that's what I mean. And then the other thing, the other thing that I just thought was a little telling, Sammy Watkins catches that ball for a first down, and Belichick challenged it, which then not allowed him to challenge the Nikhil Harry stepping out of bounds. Like to me,


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[Assistant] See, Belichick is, moments are being magnified right now and every inch is mattering a little bit because he's going, oh man, you know, we need to get off the field here and I don't know if my offense can score points and do things like that where he's worried about them.


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[Assistant] So he's almost over-managing a few situations. They're just little clues. That's all I'm saying. That's all I'm saying. Alright, that's it. I'm done.


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[Assistant] Yeah, tentative, I think he, you know, you wanna talk about seeing ghosts? Man, did he leave the pocket a bunch when I went, there's nobody near you.


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[Assistant] He's been, he's in a little bit of bad habit lately especially. Backpedaling and throwing off his back foot. No doubt. There's no doubt. That's not, that's not new. It's, it's not new, I think it's becoming


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[Assistant] More consistent though, to where, yes he always did it, but he did it within the right rhyme and reason, to where I'm like, oh yea, there's a little pressure, you're supposed to back up here.


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[Assistant] No, right now he does not. He does not. Exactly right. That's what I want to be. And there was a number of plays and throws during the game where I want to go, just stand there. There's a guy coming across your face right now. If you just stand there, you're going to hit him and he's going to be running and you're going to get a first down. But you know, I think,


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[Assistant] With his history against the, the Patriots, the Patriots intercepting him early on.


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[Assistant] He became really careful, and then the beauty of the Patriots, again, is just getting back to what they do with the line of scrimmage. As a quarterback, you never feel good, you know, oh, it's four coming, but wait, did we pick up the right four? And you're looking around, and that can lead to you not seeing the rest of the field clearly too.


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[Assistant] I think that was, uh, certainly another issue there. This game was crazy from the sense of this.


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[Assistant] At one point, I'm sitting there going, the Chiefs are about to blow them out of this stadium. Felt like it, didn't it? I mean, it's 23 to 3 and they got the ball at the 45 yard line and I'm going, holy shit.


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[Assistant] If they can just put a drive together. Oh, they go three and out, the punt gets popped. What? Now it's 23, 23, uh, 23, what was it? 23-10 after that? Or did it went to 23-13? You're right. Then the next drive. Okay, here they go. They're moving the ball. Travis Kelsey runs backwards on a third and two and then fumbles the ball. And then all of a sudden you go, shit, it's 23-16. Here we go. We're at a game.


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[Assistant] And then, and then the referee screw the Patriots over to where you go, oh, maybe they should be winning now.


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[Assistant] Not once the offense. I know. It's a different year. It is a different year. Uhm, so either way, and you've heard me say this, I still think the Chiefs are tinkering with their new plan of attack. And I do like it. I think it's going to make them better in playoff football. Underneath the center more.


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[Assistant] Some little more play action, little more diversified drop back pass game. They have more ways to attack you in the shorter part of the field when they drop back to pass. Not everything's just vertical. You go this way, cross, you go deep post, cross, all that. They've stopped doing that a little to me, which is going to make them more effective against the good teams in the playoffs. Definitely.


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[Assistant] Uh, I do think they'll find their stride. What's scary about them is, you know, they don't even need to be playing good football and they're still dangerous because of 15 and 10. Because of what he can do.


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[Assistant] Well yeaah, you're right. There's, you know, there's not a lot of teams that do it, that just go, oh, you know, a lot of teams would have just gone, alright.


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[Assistant] It's third and 19, you're exactly right. They play a two deep zone, the New England Patriots. He kind of floats to his left, bam, throws it in there, in cut, first down, you're going, whoa, okay. Then, the crazy thing is, two plays later, it's second and 25.


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[Assistant] And what do they do? They don't go, oh, let's get half of the back. They go, let's get the whole thing right now. And they catch the Patriots and man to man. McCole Hardman basically runs like he's in the slot and


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[Assistant] You know, they almost try to make it, it's, it's, he's running like a, like a post.


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[Assistant] And there's a guy gonna run an in-cut outside of him, but as he starts to get to the post, he bows back out to the corner. And Mahomes throws the ball out there nice and soft and just lets him catch it. And then McColl-Hardman, you know, like Tyree Kill, his start-stop-start ability is like unmatched.


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[Assistant] So guys are sitting there like, oh which way is he gonna break? Oh gosh, he's already ran away from me. It's over. And touchdown and all of a sudden, that was a game changing moment. Your 30-19 that you brought up. Definitely.


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[Assistant] Well they're playing, they're playing 3, they're playing a 3D zone. So his job is to steal the seam. Brady should have thrown the slant route to Edelman. He's open. Brady kinda preconceived the play I think.


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[Assistant] If Julian Edelman stops, I still have to st- watch number two, cause if number two goes vertical, it's my job to then try to cover him, because a buzzing linebacker or safety's gonna go underneath to cover the window of a Julian Edelman. That's how they play their cover three.


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[Assistant] But I think Brady saw Breland impressed at the snap. He was close to the line of scrimmage and he thought, ooh, I think this guy will just sneak by him. But Breland at set hut, he backed off because he's playing zone and he kind of just watched the play develop. And then Brady kind of threw like a lob chain jump. He didn't throw a clean ball and it was an easy interception for Breland.


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[Assistant] Yeah, come off that way. No, I think he might have been fooled that he thought it was man to man or whatever. Yes.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yeaah, I think we hit it all there though. Uhm...


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[Assistant] Yes. At 8 and 5. And they play the Houston Texans twice, the Tennessee Tigers down the stretch. So that will settle itself. And then also, this week on Sunday Night Football, we got the 5-6 matchup. The Buffalo Bills are Pittsburgh Steelers. So that's going to clear some things out there as well.


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[Assistant] You know, I think in my heart of hearts, I still think the Patriots are going to be the number two seed. You know, they're really the only game they have left is Buffalo. Buffalo might be able to beat them. I don't doubt that. Every game is going to be close to the Patriots. Their offense isn't good enough to blow anybody out at this point. They're not. You know, maybe they blow out the Dolphins late in the year.


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[Assistant] I would not be shocked. I would not be shocked. Now listen, if a team like the Houston Texans or the Kansas City Chiefs roll into town in a divisional playoff game though, that is going to make New England nervous.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, just big bad mo foes, that's what they are. And they got great cover guys, and I promise you Josh Allen was the soreest man in the NFL this morning. It was just an assault on him, the whole game. Uh, and yes, they won the game by basically, you know, you know,


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[Assistant] Putting a stalemate on the Buffalo Bills offense in the first half, really going into the third quarter. You know, they got a strip sack fumble that gave the offense a short field, I think, to put them up 10-0 early on. And, uh, yeaah, it's just too much to overcome against. That Baltimore defense has got size, a great secondary.


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[Assistant] And one of the best D coordinators in the game. As I talk about like a guy like Sean Payton or McDaniels or Shanahan on offense.


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[Assistant] They're gonna double a certain guy in a situation, or they're gonna find a way to expose your protection. That was the thing I think that jumped out for me. There was a few times during the game where they realized like, oh, they're gonna slide this way, we'll show the blitz over here, and then we'll drop out and bring the blitz over here, and now they're sliding to a bunch of no-ones, and we got them outnumbered on the other side.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think that's something that's jumped out to me a lot is, you know, just listen to the post-game press conference, the way the guys interact with him after touchdowns. You know, he's uhm. It's a cool scene. Yeah, it's a cool scene. And I think he's got, you know, I got to talk to him on the podcast when he was coming out on the draft. Got a great way about him.


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[Assistant] He doesn't take himself too seriously, yet you know, he comes off that he loves football and he wants to be great.


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[Assistant] And he was willing to open up and, you know, be funny and whatever else. I think he's, he's refreshing and I think he's, what it's showing to me is he's refreshing to the team. You know, this kind of happened to me a little bit with like,


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[Assistant] And not to say you have to be this way, so I'm not knocking quarterbacks who are a little bit more straight arrow, but like I took over for a guy like Brad Johnson, who was like, he was just always business, it's business, it's business, it's business, right? And, you know, so I got to take over my second year and, and, and, uh, become the starting quarterback.


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[Assistant] And that was the one thing, like, the coaches kept, hey, we love your energy in the huddle, we love it, you know, in the locker room, guys are coming up to us and saying, you know, I don't know, I'm just being me. But you know me, I'm getting in the huddle like, hey, mother, let's go, you stupid.


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[Assistant] You know, and I'm joking around like that, to where, you know, it can just be a good change up that way every now and then. And, you know, then I'm asin' some razzin' and talkin' some crap in the locker room and...


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[Assistant] You know, just little things like that during a long season can give the team a little energy at different moments. And that's what I see from Drew Locke, let alone the talent he has. I mean, he's got a special arm.


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[Assistant] I just don't know what to think of the Texans. You know, the Texans, that's where it's just, first off, you know, who didn't play yesterday?


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[Assistant] Will Fuller, right? They're a different team without Will Fuller. They need him because they're not creative enough on offense. They play matchup football.


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[Assistant] So they need that extra matchup to be like, oh, you wanna play as man to man here? I don't think you're gonna cover all three of these studs, right? So they need that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and then, you know, again, some guys in the secondary didn't play yesterday, so they're banged up there, and they got torched that way. That's been the concern with me all year, is just they're secondary more than anything. Uh, if they can have a healthy secondary and a healthy Wolf Fuller, they're a different football team.


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[Assistant] You know, the score of that game is a little misleading. It is a little misleading, and I don't want to take it away from the Broncos, but I just want to make sure I get this right. You know, it's 7-0, great drive by the Broncos. Then the Texans are driving, and it's a 70-yard fumble return by Kareem Jackson, right? Then the Texans get the ball, they go three and out, and


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[Assistant] The Broncos put another good drive together, so they go up 21, now that's the NFL, you know, so I mean, I don't, you know, again, you make one big mistake, it's gonna put you behind the eight ball in a big way. They go down, they drive and get a field goal.


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[Assistant] Alright, the Broncos go and get a field goal now. It's 24-23. The Texans go for it.


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[Assistant] On the fourth down in their own territory, cause they're down by three points, three touchdowns in the second quarter. Fourth down pass, the ball gets tipped at the line of scrimmage, Broncos go down and score again, and all of a sudden the game's over. It's 31-3, it's over. And it was closer than the score, I guess is what I'm trying to say, but even though that's embarrassing to lose that way at home to the Denver Broncos.


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[Assistant] I mean, he's a phenomenal athlete. Yeaah. And he, you know, there's a reason he was recruited as a Division 1 wide receiver to Texas A&M. And started as a receiver. And started, exactly right. So he is special that way. Uhm, but yeaah, that is like, as you would know, right? That's gonna endear you to the team. Oh yeaah.


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[Assistant] The team's gonna love you when you do that. Cause you know, then you go from no longer being a quarterback to they start to look at you as a football player. And that's when you like go up another notch in the locker room.


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[Assistant] Ooh, that's a good question. That's a really good question. Let me see about that. You might be right. They are up there as far as dangerous because they're one of the few teams in the AFC that's really well-rounded. Like, it's a good offense, a good defense, they can beat you with a pass and the run game, they can do a little everything. Yeah, I would say right now,


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[Assistant] They are one of the hottest teams in the AFC and, and definitely dangerous. Like, I have a different feeling about them this year. This year I'm actually kind of rooting for them to get into playoffs. Years past I've been like, oh please don't let the Titans get in. Come on.


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[Assistant] Yeah, is this real? Titans are gonna be eight and eight or nine and seven. Right, they're gonna just like, yeah, okay, geez. No, but now with Tannahill, I think we all go damn. And Henry. They can maybe make a run here in the, in the playoffs to where, you know, you wouldn't be shocked if they won one game or two games because Dean Pease, variable, they're gonna coach the defense up and you're right, Derek Henry and Tannahill are on fire. Nice combination. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uhm, Joe Hayden, you know, gets the two picks.


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[Assistant] Uhm, where do I want to start with this game? You know, the Steelers defense is the story of the game.


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[Assistant] Again, it's 10-0, and this is just another example of like, they just need to play clean football on offense and special teams, and they're gonna almost be able to beat everybody in football, because they have a Super Bowl defense.


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[Assistant] They're up 10-0 and Benny Snell fumbles and kinda gets the Arizona jump-started to where I believe they got a field goal to make it 10-3 and that kinda gave them momentum and all of a sudden you look up and you go it's 10-10. Duck Hodges made a few nice throws again, uh, look at that.


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[Assistant] But then their defense just come, defense and special teams. I mean, Deontay Johnson has a punt return for a touchdown. And then defense not only harassed Kyler Murray all day, but you know, gets an interception in the end zone by TJ Watt.


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[Assistant] Uh, 32, uh, turnovers on the defensive side of the ball right now. They've 18 interceptions, 14 interceptions.


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[Assistant] I know. It's average. They need Juju back. You know, they probably need even a little more than what they're getting from Duck Hodges right now. Right. And they need James Connor back. They need to be at full strength. And then maybe they can upset some teams in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] 2017. Or 2320. But yea, it's like right now, if Pittsburgh played like New England or Baltimore,


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[Assistant] I don't know if there's enough offense. I think they lose 20 to 10. Right. Or something like that. Where it's a really ugly game and, you know, maybe it's 10 to 10 in the fourth quarter and then Brady drives them down to get an ugly field goal and then they get one more touchdown at the end of the game because, you know, I think it'd be one of those type of games. They definitely need a little bit more offense going down the street.


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[Assistant] No, I, I, I understand it. I get it. I, you know, and I think specifically you're talking about Baker Mayfield after the game throwing his training staff under the bus. Who does that? Yeah, right. You know, I think again, he's young.


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[Assistant] I like his brashness, his honesty a lot of the time. Does he need to measure his words and thoughts a little bit better? Yea, I mean definitely. To me, what he did here, and you tell me if you think I'm wrong.


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[Assistant] To me, what I think he really did is he overcompensated to try to stick up for Odell Beckham Jr. And within doing that- Which is admirable, but- Yes, but you can say it different ways, better ways. You don't need to throw the training staff under the bus to do that.


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[Assistant] No, no, no. And again, I think he's very conscious that they haven't got the ball to Odell. He wants Odell to feel like, hey, you're important to us. So he's trying to kind of make a statement publicly to go like, there's issues there. You know what I mean?


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[Assistant] But he doesn't have to do that. And that's, that's where, yeaah, I get you, and, you know, that's where I think a lot of people are questioning Freddie Kitchens, whether he's got the right approach and handle on this team, on these personalities.


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[Assistant] Uhm, no, it's debatable. It's debatable. I'm not so, you know, as the years go on, I just go, yeah, they might need a little bit more of a


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[Assistant] Old school proven commodity to teach them how to be a little bit more professional, how to deal with certain situations on and off the field, situational football on and off the field.


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[Assistant] And go from there. And, you know, again, I like a lot of what Freddie Kitchens can do on the offensive side of the ball. I think it's just some of the overall management stuff of the whole team itself that's maybe been a little bit of a flaw for him this year.


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[Assistant] I mean- It's not your dad. I know, okay, I was gonna say, he might have a few in his day. Uh, gosh, you gotta go to somebody that throws a lot. I would wanna say Dan Marino. Somebody tell him? Is that off the top of your head? Yeah, it's off the top of my head.


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[Assistant] More than times or not, you're gonna have some games like that. Wow, Eli's got four of them. I know. Uhm, George Blanda with a reference there. Yeah. Man, George Blanda. Look at that. Philip Rivers is in there. Boomer.


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[Assistant] Man, Len Dawson went 3-0. That tells you how good his teams were. That he could throw three interceptions and still win and be 3-0. That tells you the CHs are really good.


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[Assistant] Yeah, right, right. Yeah, you're right. Chilled out and smoked some Marlboro's. Yeah, I have. It's classic. It really is. But yeah, that's the frustrating thing about Jameis Winston. I mean, all three of the interceptions were bad.


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[Assistant] The pick six, two to Darius Leonard, another one down the middle to one of the safeties. I can't remember who it was, but yeaah, they were bad. Like you're going, what the hell? Like how do you do that? But then some of the throws he made to bring them back and win the football game, you just go, man, I mean, that's top notch. That's cream of the crop type of stuff.


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[Assistant] Uh, and that's what's gonna be tough on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the offseason.


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. He's like a, a new sensation ever since his Thanksgiving night on-site kicks that were the best we've seen so far. Right. So that, and then what, he had the fumble recovery yesterday?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's pretty awesome. Football player. Yeah, football player. Yeah, not exactly. Not yet, okay? Not yet. Uh, but it is funny to see, you know, recover a fumble, get up, you know, go all crazy, the team be happy for them, laugh, all that.


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[Assistant] And eh, the Falcons, you know, the Panthers have fallen apart, the Falcons continue to fight, I give them a lot of credit and Dan Quinn credit down there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yeaah, that was a game there. It's 13-10 in the third quarter. Kyle Allen and the Panthers are kind of moving the ball and Vic Beasley stripsack, fumbles sacks him from behind.


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[Assistant] You know, uh, yeah, Eckler is not only the type of guy you give him a seam in the run game, he can rip off a big run, but as we saw where he got all his passing yards for,


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[Assistant] We're a screen pass, you know, to the right side. It's an all out blitz for the Jacksonville Jaguars. They dial up the exact right play. He's lined up a receiver outside on the right. Everybody blitzes. Rivers throws it off to him.


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[Assistant] He just has to make one guy miss and he's gone for an 80-something yard touchdown and that's all there is to it. Hey, the Chiefs, I mean the Chiefs, the Chargers are going to ruin some people's playoff lives here at the end of the season.


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[Assistant] You know, they only lose when Philip Rivers goes to like Dumbville USA and starts to throw interceptions all over the field.


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[Assistant] And I think the other thing too is, and I just want to check, I mean, this is the shocking thing that I don't think people realize with the Chargers. Their defense is fourth in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Right. In total D. In total D. Wow. They're special. So, the Minnesota Vikings coming to town this week, oof, they better watch out. They're not walking into the normal, like, 4-8 football team here. This is a team, like you said, I mean, Rivers is dangerous, he's got some weapons, they're running the ball decently, and then they play defense, I mean, that's, that's prime Upsetville right there.


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[Assistant] I just don't love the call there, in that it's, it's in slow motion, yeaah, it's past interference. In real time, it's bam bam, it wasn't called for a reason, and now a guy, you know, a few miles down the road at 345 Park Ave is gonna decide to jump in and go, nah, I think it was past interference from where I'm sitting here in my TV room. That's my issue with that.


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[Assistant] Oh, don't worry. I've had a lot of incidents over the years. A lot of incidents. Yeaah. Yeaah. I need to stop it though. I'm 39, like you said. I need to be a father. A father and a grown up.


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[Assistant] Uhm, woah, Pete Dimalidolitis. I need six and a half. You need six and a half? Yea.


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[Assistant] Okay. What's the actual spread? I was gonna say it's probably somewhere around there, but we'll hear it. I mean six and a half, I'll give you that right now. It's nine and a half.


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[Assistant] Wow, you'll take it a six and a half? I'll give you seven. You mind just making it seven? We'll make it seven, okay? Because since you're being gutsy and going with Eli and the Giants, uh, I would love to see the Giants upset them, but my brain is telling me that that's not going to happen. Alright, I bet. Oh, I don't know where your hands are at. Let's just do that.


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[Assistant] Alright everybody, that's it. Paulie, you the man. Good to see you. Thanks as always, great seeing you. Everybody out there, have a good week. You know, get at me on social media, uh, at CSimsQB on Twitter, at SimsOnButton on Instagram, and uh, you know what's coming up Wednesday.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Simms Unbuttoned Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] You said through text, like, let's do a, let's do a dinner on Friday night. And I was like, oh, I don't know. We'll see about that. I got to make a game kind of decision.


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[Assistant] Oh baby, shots fired, shots fired. Well, just so everybody knows out there, one, Mike decided he didn't want to do dinner that night either. We were both tired and we ended up going to bed, just so we know that. Just so you know, oddly enough,


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[Assistant] I did order two orders of french fries and chicken fingers. 100% downed most of it except for a few leftover fries.


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[Assistant] Man, and it killed me. It killed me to be in California and not have a wet towel and open up the window. I really wanted to. I kept thinking we were going to pass a dispensary and I was going to make everybody pull over while I went inside and got some of the good stuff. But you know, I just never got a chance to do it. So.


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[Assistant] Uhm, next time you come up to my house, I'll hotbox you then and we're gonna have some fun, okay?


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[Assistant] Okay, so the first time you come over, that's what'll happen. You're right. You know, I intended to have you over on a Saturday night, but you know, NBC works me so damn hard. I just, when I got a Saturday night off and I hadn't seen my family, I just said screw for you. I want to sit on the couch for myself. So you can understand that. You get it.


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[Assistant] But we'll figure it out. We got it. Cause I do like you and I do want to hang out with you and I definitely want to hotbox you. That would be amazing.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it was, uh, and I still owe you a steak, so that'll come at some point for the first time, last time, whatever it is, but we're gonna hang out.


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[Assistant] I can't remember either. I know. I can't remember either. That's your fault. You probably won and you just can't remember. You're old and you forgot. Okay. So, you know, you know what's coming, baby. It's the picks podcast, PFTPM, Chris Sims on button, joint collaboration. It's conference championship game picks.


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[Assistant] I'm so pumped for this Sunday. Certainly it's about over everybody. Mike wins against the spread. That's done. Uh, Mike won best bets. That's over. I really, I think this is my worst year of picking games in any capacity that I've ever had. I'm really, oh,


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[Assistant] And, like, legitimately, I believed him. I mean, he- he sat on him and his wife, right? They were all over it. And, uh, yeaah, I- I- I was shocked when they knew who we were once, and he was calling my name, and I was like, is Young MC talking to me? Like, did he just say Chris Sims? I had a double take.


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[Assistant] So that was cool. And Roger Goodell is a great guy. He really is. Uh, and I always enjoy seeing him in person. All right. So you won your


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[Assistant] Full suck up mode. You think that was a full suck up mode. All right, let's do it. AFC championship Sunday. That's the first game we got. We got the red hot Tennessee Titans. Can anybody stop Derek Henry and the run game?


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[Assistant] They're coming off huge, huge road upsets. The Kansas City Chiefs gotta be flying high, being down 24, nothing, then going on a 51 to 7 run. I mean, come on, get out of town.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I'm like truly pumped for this game. You got like smash mouth football on one side and the air show on the other side.


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[Assistant] Mike, what do you want to do here? So chiefs are favored by seven and a half over under at 52.5. You want to lead this one off or you want me to lead this one off?


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[Assistant] All I need is the game copy. I get you. No, there's a lot to be taken away from the game copy. I understand that, but I do get a kick out of that. We had to push back the podcast 15 minutes of taping because you were watching that. So that was fun.


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[Assistant] I'm with you. I got some of the same thoughts about that football game too. I mean, you're right. The first matchup, you know, it's 10-0 early on.


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[Assistant] Could have very easily been 14-0. There was a penalty that called back a touchdown on the Chiefs. Suspect there. Could have been 14-0. It was 10-0. The Chiefs had the ball at midfield, a 10-0. And Patrick Mahomes missed.


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[Assistant] A slam dunk like you don't see him miss this throw touchdown down the middle of the field, the Tyree kill. And then two plays later missed a wide open Sammy Watkins were two Titans defenders. The play where he beat backpedals, backpedals, backpedals and was nobody around Watkins. Nobody around. And to me, like that's where I'm with you where to go.


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[Assistant] No, that was Patrick Mahomes after three weeks of not playing football. He's not going to miss those plays this time around. He's not.


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[Assistant] Exactly right. Yeah, you're right. Yeah. 13 10, but you're exactly right. So within that, I think we're both seeing the same thing we saw. Yeah. Titans team that was winning 13 to 10.


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[Assistant] But I think the majority of the plays you watch, you go, well, no, the Chiefs won that play. Oh, the Chiefs won that play. Oh, the Chiefs won that play. The Chiefs. I mean, they can set. They really controlled the flow of the football game. Added to the fact like we talk about my homes and his rustiness for that game.


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[Assistant] You know, hey, laughter last week and what we saw. I mean, certainly they're going to be flying high, feeling confident, hitting at all cylinders on the offensive side of the ball. But the biggest difference is their defense too.


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[Assistant] I mean, their defense is just not the same. That was the start of the new Kansas City defense from there on out, really.


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[Assistant] That's where they changed and they became certainly more stout on the, uh, on the front seven as far as stopping the run.


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[Assistant] They became more sound and creative in the back end and pass coverage. This is one of the better pass defenses in football. And I give a lot, a lot of credit, not only to the talent being better and Brett Veach getting more talent in the secondary, but Steve Spagnolo, he knows how to specific game plan.


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[Assistant] For certain teams. He doubles guys. He does certain zone coverages. They dabble in man. They do it all. They're well coached.


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[Assistant] So I look from that, and then I look at the team like the Titans. And again, this running game's on fire right now.


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[Assistant] But I look at like two teams that kind of slowed the running game down towards the end of the year. All right. The Saints game against Tennessee where the Saints beat Tennessee in Tennessee.


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[Assistant] There's also the Houston Texans game the week before that, right? Where Houston won, I believe like 24-21. It was a very close football game, but they held Derrick Henry under 100 yards.


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[Assistant] And I think there are some similarities between those defenses too and what Kansas City does. Kansas City's got a nice blend of size.


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[Assistant] Size and power along with pretty good athleticism.


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[Assistant] You got guys like Frank Clark and and sugs on the edge, but yet if they want to get real big, they can put a bunch of 300 pounders in there on the inside and still have those guys on the edge.


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[Assistant] With a good blend of middle linebackers behind that too. With Wilson 54 and Hitchens 53, pretty athletic, pretty stout, can play the thumper game too.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I just look at that and go, this is a different Chiefs football team. And I worry about the Titans pass game. Hey, listen, we saw it last week. You know, hey Lamar Jackson, I know he threw two interceptions.


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[Assistant] You were watching the game. I watched the game. Those two interceptions, the receivers were open both times. He just threw bad throws. There was plenty of receivers open in that game last week against the Tennessee Titans. I really worry about their secondary, you know, and it's hard right now. I think with Kansas City kind of rolling on that side of the ball, you know, what do you do as a defense of your Tennessee?


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[Assistant] It's really hard to play zone defense against Patrick Mahomes in Kansas City because yeah, you could play the right zone defense, but they pass protect so well that Mahomes will just buy time and he'll wait for Kelsey or Hill to find a hole in the zone and they'll expose it that way. Whether the play works or not, they make it work.


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[Assistant] And then man-to-man, yeaah, that might be your best chance, but as we saw last week, they finally said, alright, hey, the hell with you guys, you're gonna play man-to-man, we're gonna start attacking. And they started attacking and they got plays down the field and pass interference calls and everything like that.


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[Assistant] And I-I'm with you, Mike. I just don't see it. You know, as much as, uh, you know, I respect the Tennessee Titans, they can't play the same way they played the first time. Do you agree with that? Like, I agree with something you said yesterday. The Titans gotta take the air out of the football, I think, in this matchup. They gotta look to go Colts early in the year.


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[Assistant] Uh, who else we missing that the Houston Texans early in the year, how they beat Kansas City, run the ball, make it slow, keep my homes by the Gatorade bottles over in the sidelines. I think there's that's their only chance to win. So I'm with you. I'm going chiefs 31 20. I think they win by 11 points, but


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[Assistant] Uh, I think it's kinda close and they just pull away late cause there's just too much firepower.


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[Assistant] And six of those were by their defense, you know, right?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's right. I mean, listen, at no point did Tennessee stop them in the first matchup.


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[Assistant] They're at no point, 530 yards total offense, 28 first downs. I mean, 38 minutes of possession of the clock. They ran the ball and threw the ball effectively and still didn't capitalize on all that was there to be had. But I'm glad Ring Ding Dong brought this up because I think it's a very real thing.


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[Assistant] And this is where I think it'll come into play. Yes, the mobility is going to be a factor. It is. Mahomes is amazing. He's got great feel in the pocket from when nothing's open, where to move, where to float to and make the appropriate throw.


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[Assistant] And by that time, if nothing's there, so that's where his mobility comes into play. And I think a very real factor here once again, and we saw it last week with this, is when you do play man to man.


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[Assistant] And everybody's backs turned and you're chasing Tyree Kill and Sammy Watkins down the field and all that.


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[Assistant] I think Patrick Mahomes a light went on last week, like wait.


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[Assistant] If they're gonna do this and be so aggressive, worrying about our past game and our deep shots and playing man to man and all that, man, if the Red Sea parts just take off because


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[Assistant] That they'll maybe be one guy there. If not, there'll be nobody there and he can rip off some yards running the football. And I think that'll be a huge weapon for them in this football game. And I think that handicaps the Titans even more having to see that last week. Now they go, okay, yeah, we might have won a double Travis Kelsey on third and five.


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[Assistant] Shit, we can't double him because if we double him, then we leave him open to run for a first down. And now we have no one to spy. They're going to have to find some creative ways to keep him within the pocket. Uh, because yes, he makes a number of plays that way. That's a good question by Ring Ding Dong.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and uh, it will surprise me if the Titans win. I just, I don't see, I mean Mike, to what you were saying, yeaah, I picked the Chiefs 31-20. I was very close to picking it 40-20.


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[Assistant] I thought, you know, oh man, you know, maybe I, you know, again, just because the Titans beat the Ravens doesn't mean that correlates to, oh, we're going to beat the Chiefs now. Well, guess what? The Chiefs have beat the Ravens twice in the last two years. You know, the Chiefs are a tough matchup for the way the Titans play.


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[Assistant] And they certainly can take advantage of the weakness of the Titans, unlike the Ravens could.


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[Assistant] You know, so I look at it there and again, yeah, there's a weakness to the Chiefs that is their run defense, but that that weakness hasn't shown since week 10 when they first played.


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[Assistant] So, I just think the Chiefs have gotten a lot better in their weak area, and I don't know if I necessarily feel like the Titans have gotten a lot better in their weak area. I don't.


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[Assistant] And I think there's going to be some things that Andy Reed can steal from Sean Payton's game plan offensively because it's the same West Coast system.


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[Assistant] And I think there'll be even things he steals from Deshaun Watson and Fuller and everybody when Houston Texans went into Tennessee to win that football game. Plus, I think there's some correlation to the way the Chiefs play defense compared to those two defenses as well, who slowed down Derek Henry. So.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I guess the big thing is this. Do you think, what do you think, man? Do you think Derek Henry?


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[Assistant] What's your, like, your yardage output? What do you think, like, if you're picking 34-20, what do you think ultimately Derrick Henry will end up with in the running game?


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. Yeah, I mean, I'm with you. I mean, and I know that the Tennessee Titans have an unbelievable record, right? What are they now? 13 and 0 over the last three years when Derrick Henry rushes for over 100 yards. I mean, that's an impressive stat. I get that.


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[Assistant] That really is. Now, you know, yeaah, he ran for 100 yards their first matchup.


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[Assistant] And they had to have four Shime Rocks up their ass to win that one. So it doesn't always mean just you're definitely going to win the football game that way. And I think this is one of those games where, yeah, I think Derek Henry will run for a hundred yards in a losing effort. I do. I think this will break the record. I just, because even to what you're saying, like,


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[Assistant] If Kansas City's up, you know, big or somewhat like, you know, 14, 20 points, something like that. I think Tennessee will still run the ball from time to time. I could see also see him like ripping off some cheap run for like 40 yards while the Chiefs are playing some prevent defense and worried about the passing game while they're up.


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[Assistant] Uh, so, uh, I do think this is a week that's, uh, yeaah, could be 100 yards and a loss for the Titans, but either way, we both like the Chiefs and I'm not shocked by that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and the Chiefs are used to it. They live there. They're, they're not going to be like, oh gosh, we're not used to hitting in this weather. They'll be, they'll be ready to go. And I'll say this too, Mike, just last thing. I know we're going to the Chiefs are, you know, yeah, we think about them as a throwing passing game or throwing team and all that, but


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[Assistant] Their defense, they throw their bodies around. They are physical. So they ain't afraid to hit. I don't think you'll see too many people shine away from Derrick Henry in this one.


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[Assistant] I may change my mind a couple of times while we talk about it. Yup. It's Green Bay at San Francisco. Green Bay hasn't lost since the 49ers game in week 12. 49ers are favored by seven and a half over under at 45.


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[Assistant] Uh, it's all Aaron Rodgers versus my buddy Kyle Shanahan. Uh, I, I am, uh, this is a tough one. I'm torn too. There's a lot of things playing a factor here. You know, yes, the 49ers dominated the first matchup. There's a lot of coaching.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know, similarities between LeFleur being, you know, on the staff in Green Bay and having worked with Shanahan. Of course, Mike Petten worked with Shanahan in Cleveland and all that stuff. Go ahead, Mike. What do you think? How do you see, how do you think this one unfolds?


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, well first off, you're right. I mean, Aaron Rodgers, I, you know, I don't expect him to fumble and be surprised by, you know, the pass rush this time around. I think Green Bay plays a great advantage. The fact that they've seen this front four once before played in this stadium, all of those things, you know, all the points you made are right. There's no doubt.


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[Assistant] You know, yeaah, 49ers were playing better, but the score was, or the game was closer than the score indicated. You know, I can, Geronimo Allison dropped the ball over the middle on a third down, one of the, maybe the second drive of the game. You know, people go, oh, well, so what? That wasn't that big of a play. No, those, those plays are big in games like that.


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[Assistant] You know, especially early when you're trying to survive like the, you know, momentum rush of a home team who just had a strip sack fumble and an easy touchdown and all those things. So you're right. The Packers did some things to shoot themselves in the foot.


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[Assistant] So not play their best football game either. Now, either way, I think the 49ers were the better team in that game altogether. I think that the Packers


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[Assistant] Have the advantage of this, uh, as we've talked about all week, because fear is gonna drive them all week. Fear is gonna wake them up in the morning.


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[Assistant] Oh gosh, we got killed by this team. Oh gosh. I hope we can show up one more time here. You know, oh gosh, we play like we did last time. We're going home. The season's over. So the human psychosis part of it definitely is in the favor.


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[Assistant] Of the Green Bay Packers. Now the Green Bay Packers have gotten, they're a much better team than where they were at that point as well.


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[Assistant] You know, that's one thing for sure. They're run defense and defense in general.


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[Assistant] Got a whole lot better after that game. Now saying that they also haven't played a whole lot of great offenses to go with it. They certainly hadn't played an offense during this winning streak that is as balanced as the San Francisco 49ers or as creative.


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[Assistant] Uh, so that's something I do worry about, you know, and the Packers run defense has been better, you know, and we talked about this. Shanahan is the master of exploiting coverages, exploiting tendencies, and exploiting the middle of the field in the pass game. Mike Peddon.


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[Assistant] He's got to have curve balls. Oh, if I play this coverage versus this personnel set and formation, you better do something different this week because Kyle Shanahan is going to break the matrix. If you play the same defenses versus the same formations and things like that, when he does, when you do that, you're done.


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[Assistant] So Patton's gotta learn from his mistakes, throw curveballs, and I think really flood the middle of the field. Like flood it.


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[Assistant] Jimmy Garoppolo and the 49ers don't want to throw the ball outside the numbers. They don't do it. They don't want to.


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[Assistant] They're the best in football throwing the ball down the middle of the field. Take that away. Make them show you they can beat you in some other way within the passing game. They're obviously going to be revved up in the running game. They got to stop that first, but in those passing situations or down where they think they might.


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[Assistant] You know, throw a play action, slant over the middle or something like that. They gotta be really disciplined at the second level to not overreact.


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[Assistant] And get back underneath those passing lanes and Patton's gonna have his work cut out from there, being creative with that, but I do think that's one angle that can be a real pain in the butt for Shanahan and Garoppolo.


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[Assistant] Very real point, Mike. No doubt about that. And we saw, and we did a little tape right earlier this morning on PFT, the Packers had a lot of issues with passing off stunts, right? The defensive tackle, the defense end cross, and they were really having their issues kind of sorting it all out.


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[Assistant] Hey again, they're going to know what to expect. They're going to understand the monster in which they're dealing with not only the crowd noise,


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[Assistant] The speed and explosiveness that this front seven has, it really will help you to the fact that, oh, I've seen them once.


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[Assistant] So this will not be as jarring for the first time. Anyway, I gotta, I gotta tweet. That's a really interesting, good question from International Touch. Okay. Do you think the Green Bay offense will go no-hutter early with quick passes versus the 49ers? Similar to Brady playing the 10 Steelers to stymie the pass rush.


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[Assistant] Two, yes, they better have screens. Rogers is the best quarterback I've ever seen as well with throwing those quick wide receiver screens, right? Mike, you've seen it a million times. He gets the shotgun snap and deals it out there real quick to Devonte Adams. Nobody can get it in and out of their hand faster than Aaron Rodgers in the history of the NFL.


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[Assistant] So those are things too, that they should use. One, why? Yes, to what you're saying. Get it out of his hands, make the pass rush slow down, think a little, right? They're gonna start a field and go, whoa, I gotta redirect over here to stop Devonte Adams.


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[Assistant] You gotta feel comfortable about your defense on the other side of the ball too.


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[Assistant] And feel like, okay, I'm not gonna put them in a position where...


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[Assistant] They're gonna get dominated, like, you know, okay, we try to come out, hurry up offense, go three and out and it doesn't work. And now our defense, you know, lets up a touchdown drive.


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[Assistant] Do you really want to come out and do no huddle again and risk going three and out and having your defense right back out there?


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[Assistant] So there's gonna have to be, uh, whether you're gonna have the belief in your attack on offense and the belief in your attack on defense that it can all work out as a team and be cohesive that way, I think is gonna be, you know, the big thing, but it's something to watch for. I would not be shocked if Rogers came out and said, you know what?


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[Assistant] Like you said, move the pocket, screens, quick screens, quick passes out of my hands. Hey, get up in the, get at the line of scrimmage, set hud, set hud, do it all again and make them kind of lose their intensity. I, I, I've thought about it and I think it's real. Would you do it is the question. Would you do it, Mike? Do you think it's risky?


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[Assistant] Gosh, I feel like if we're in a two or three point game at the end of the game, then, you know, I'd probably want to ride with Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] Uh, even though Garoppolo's been very good in those moments. And, you know, I'm gonna, I wanna read another, another tweet by, from Justin Sandhu, alright? He says, do you think the 49ers DBs can have success playing man against the Packers wide receivers? I think that's another element to look at here.


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[Assistant] You know, one, the 49ers don't wanna play a ton of man to man. And Mike, you've heard me say this, right?


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[Assistant] I think if you're going to attack the 49ers, they play single safety almost all game. I mean, 90% of the game you can attack outside.


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[Assistant] Because whether it's man or three deep zone, they kind of play the same way in the 49ers scheme. And I do think you can work them, especially if it's Devonte Adams. And added to that, you know,


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[Assistant] Well, oh, that great one, Aaron Rodgers, he utilizes the whole field. Yes, Rodgers is one of the best in the sport of throwing the ball outside the numbers. So that would be a thing to where I'd go, you know, Hey, you know, you've said we worry about that pass rush.


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[Assistant] If I'm the Packers too, don't be afraid of like, keeping a tight end or two into block every now and then. You know, keep them into block.


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[Assistant] You know, we talk about the quick passing game, the screens, all those things. Hurry up, hurry up, hurry up, hurry up.


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[Assistant] And then okay, yeah, you've got a lot of quick passes, but every now and then you need some chunk plays. You need some 15, 20, 25 yard gains.


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[Assistant] That's where I'd like to see Green Bay let go. Okay, we're keeping six or seven guys in to protect.


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[Assistant] And it's Devonte Adams vs. Mosley or Devonte Adams vs. Richard Sherman. And I like Rodgers and Adams chances to just work whatever they want to work and deem necessary on the outside and just simplify and say, hey, screw the other 10 guys.


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[Assistant] We know our guys better than him. You beat him one on one and our quarterback and throw strikes all day long, and we'll just do that. I think there has to be some element there.


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[Assistant] It does, and that's another way you can wear out that pa- you know, that pass rush a little bit, and Rodgers can drop back and feel good and be aggressive, and not have to worry about, ooh, is Bosa coming, is D. Ford coming, whatever it may be. Uh, I think that's a real thing. And conversely to that, Mike, just to play devil's advocate on my own thought,


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, I'm going to stay out of his ear this week. He doesn't need to hear from me, but third and five plus double Devante Adams, like double him.


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[Assistant] Make Green Bay beat you with somebody other than Devonte Adams. I mean, last week, what did we see? Every big moment. Who did number 12 look for?


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[Assistant] Davante Adams. He was looking for him in every big moment. Oh, it's 21-10. The Seahawks are coming back. Zoom. Whoa, where's Davante Adams? Oh, touchdown. Davante Adams. Oh, the game's on the line. The big third 10. Whoa, there's Davante Adams down the sidelines. That's who he's looking for. Take him away. Uh, but I think that's something to look for in the game either way.


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[Assistant] I mean, hey, whether they just kick a field goal there or convert that, you're gonna go, huh, we're in a game. But they screwed that up.


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[Assistant] And of course, yeaah, that led to issues with them all together. So, uh, it's very interesting. It really is.


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[Assistant] I think Rogers is gonna be on his a game and feeling his hot hand, especially with the way he threw the ball last week. And I know he made some comments like I saw NFL films and things like that, like and pregame. And I saw his post game press conference where he


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[Assistant] He felt it early, like he knew he had the feel and like, ooh, I got it going today. And he's going to have it this week, San Francisco. He's going to have it. It's big time, primetime football. Aaron Rodgers ain't going anywhere. He's going to be ready.


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[Assistant] Uh, and I'm, I'm pumped for that. I really am. There's going to be a lot. This game goes to two or three points in the fourth quarter. Like you've said, the pressure is going to go to the 49ers. It's going to be on them. They're at home. They're the one seed.


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[Assistant] You know, it's Shanahan's first conference championship. Jimmy Garoppolo has never been in these moments. We're expecting them to win. They're sitting there thinking, wait, what happened? We blew them out last time. How has this changed? Uh, and, and, uh, that'll be a very real factor too. All right. You ready?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's right. Well, that would mean that would be an awesome Super Bowl. We got cheated out of that matchup this year earlier without Rogers and Mahomes both being on the same field. So, I mean, that's, that's a win win. I'd be certainly excited to watch that one. I'd be tuned in. I just can't do it.


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[Assistant] I just can't do it just because I just think clearly the 49ers are the better fo- better football team. Now I think a lot, you know, the points you've raised and the things we've talked about, they're real.


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[Assistant] You know, I think if there is an upset to happen this weekend, this is the game I look at. I do, because I think Garoppolo, like we saw last week, is capable of, you know, shitting down his leg. I do, for lack of a better phrase. I mean, he could have, he should have. While in bed. While in bed.


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[Assistant] Simultaneously. Simultaneously. Well, I mean, last week, you know, he could have easily thrown four interceptions. He easily could have. I think he can get away with throwing one interception in this game and they can win. If it goes to more than that.


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[Assistant] They're gonna lose the game. If it's like, oh, he's thrown two and somebody else fumbled or they messed something else up, they're gonna lose that game. The Packers need something like that to happen, in my opinion, to win this one. I just think the 49ers are too well rounded of a football team. Having been there last week, that fan base is rabid. That stadium is crazy.


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[Assistant] And I just think it'll be a little too much to overcome for Aaron Rodgers just to do it that way. So I'm going 49ers 24 to 17 and they will go to the Super Bowl and play Patrick Mahomes down there in Miami.


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[Assistant] Well, that's where I like, you know, I think to the other factor into that, and I think your, your points real there is just like, how's the 49ers run game doing, right? Last week.


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[Assistant] Jimmy's trying to lose this football game. Well, the good thing is they were dominating the line of scrimmage in the run game, so they didn't have to worry about, like, kind of indoctrinating Jimmy back into the game plan or having to rely on him.


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[Assistant] So that'll be a huge thing. This Packers defense has been much, much better against the run down the stretch. It definitely has. Now, the thing I just don't know about, okay, is they haven't played a real great run offense down the stretch either. So for me to really dictate where they are at.


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[Assistant] You know, the Seahawks, yes, they were one of the better ones all season, but not down the stretch with some of the injuries on the O-line in the running back position. So that didn't correlate either. Uh, but I do have some faith that they're going to be better than they were the first time around and that Matt LaFleur and company will have a better plan of attack and we'll be shocked


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[Assistant] If the result was like the first time around where the 49ers blew them out.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna read, uh, one more tweet here, cause I think this is an interesting one. Gum Gum Junior. You want gum gum? You're dumb dumb. You know what movie that is?


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[Assistant] Uhm, uh, it's the movie where the dinosaurs come alive and night that the...


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[Assistant] How do you walk this line? Well, first off, listen, you don't hear me say that, alright? Uh, his mechanics, even when they're bad, there's a lot of things that he does the right way. And, you know, Rodgers, like my homes, they kind of want to throw the ball.


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[Assistant] I think some of those throws that we go, oh, that's crazy. They're going to come in handy this week like they did last week because some of the ones last week were insane with some of the positions he was in and things like that with people around his feet and he's going to have some people around his feet this week in San Francisco and he's going to have to make some magic.


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[Assistant] Over. I am. Over. Yeaah. Over. I, I, I just, you know, with the Titans secondary, the state of my homes and where their pass offense with, I mean they're hitting it all cylinders. I mean Sammy Watkins is healthy.


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[Assistant] I mean, again, even last week, maybe that game doesn't even start out the way it starts out. If the receivers didn't drop balls and things like that, right? And there's a block pun. I mean, so I had no point last week. Did I really think the Texans stopped the chiefs? And I don't think that the Titans will stop the chiefs either.


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[Assistant] What Tyree kill this week? I am. I think on some of the major downs.


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[Assistant] My home's is more like more likely to look for Travis Kelsey. I think the Tennessee Titans are going to see that, and I think that some big downs, they're going to really go out of their way to take Kelsey out of my home's thoughts and reads. I think this is a week where Tyree kill.


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[Assistant] Goes off, and we know he went off the first time around, and, yeaah, I just don't know how much, you can't double everybody on this offense, I-I-I'd be interested to see what they do, but I'm gonna go Tyree Kill.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go under. I'm going to say he gets to 100, but it's going to be somewhere between 100 and 100. I think it's going to be like a 23 rushes for 105 yards type of day. That's, that's what I'm looking at. You know, somewhere, somewhere in that range. Um, yeah, I mean,


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[Assistant] You know, I just think that Kansas City 1 is better up front, and I think they can live with 100 yards. I think it's where you gotta worry about is if it gets to 150, 180, that's when they're in deep trouble. Uh, I expect them to break a run at some point, but I don't think they're just gonna physically bludgeon this Kansas City front 7.


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[Assistant] I'll go over with him. I mean, he hasn't done anything for us to say that he would go over here in the playoffs, but I just think because of the


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[Assistant] You know, I do expect Tennessee to be down. I think just like you're saying, you know, and I think there's gonna be a lot of extra bright lights on the run game that it'll lead to AJ Brown getting some favorable moments and some favorable looks off a play action to where I say he gets somewhere in the, you know, 75 to 85 range as far as receiving.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I, I gotta go Aaron Rodgers. I do. I just, I just have a hard time thinking that the Green Bay running game is gonna be the reason they win this game. I mean, we talked about, you know,


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[Assistant] There's always people in the line of scrimmage for the 49ers. They play that Seattle scheme. There's always seven or eight guys down by the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, they're very talented, fast. I think if Green Bay wins this game, it's going to be because of Roger's right arm and his ability to throw the ball one on one outside versus these corners. So, uh, yeah, I'm going to go Aaron Rodgers here.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go over here, but like barely. I'm not picking like, I don't think this is gonna be a hundred yard day by Aaron Jones or anything like that, but.


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[Assistant] I could see him dancing around 75 to 80 yards. You know, at some point, the 49ers getting so concerned with Rogers and everybody throwing the ball.


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[Assistant] That Aaron Jones maybe gets a run where he rips off 2030 yards. You know, they'll they'll stay with the run game just for attempts purposes, I think. But ultimately,


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[Assistant] I think they're going to have a hard time running the ball, uh, and it's going to be won by that passing game. But I think that he gets over 64.5, but not by a whole lot.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go Adams. When it comes to receptions, I'm definitely going to go Adams. I mean, I think Green Bay is going to find a way to get the ball to Devante Adams without a doubt.


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[Assistant] I mean, he's there, you know, between the two Aarons and Devante, that's who makes this offense go.


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[Assistant] 49ers are not a defense as we talked about who doubles people and does things like that.


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[Assistant] So I think they'll continue to find ways to get them cheap perceptions too, like we talked about.


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[Assistant] Screen game, quick throws out to the outside. Let's get the ball out of our hands. Let's make those D linemen redirect and go chase that way and do all of that. So I could see George Hittle having a good game, certainly, but I think Devontae Adams will be a focal point for Green Bay and they get him lots of touches.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with Emmanuel this week. I mean, I think Devo has become more of the go to guy. I think that the Green Bay's focus will be more on stopping him on certain downs and situations and


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[Assistant] Goes into more of what I talk about so much. I mean, show me a Deebo Samuel highlight where he's got the ball outside the numbers. I mean, every one of the highlights we've shown over the last 10 weeks are Deebo Samuel across the middle play action across the middle on a short crosser across the middle of the deep crosser. Another play action.


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[Assistant] Guests wait for it up across the middle. So I think my pet is too smart. I think he's gonna have people in the middle of the field to take away some of that stuff. I'm gonna go with Emmanuel Sanders to have more yards than Debo Samuels in this one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, we do. We work too much together. That's what happens. I mean, you're my work wife, and this is what happens.


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[Assistant] Yes, you do. Right now, I'm just fighting for a tie. That's all it is. I'll take it. I'll take it. A tie is better than a loss. Wise man once said, if you ain't first, you're last. Alright? So, I'm listening to that wise man. I'll take a tie. I'll take a tie for first.


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[Assistant] Alright, best bets time. Oh, we got this. Oh, I got another tweet.


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[Assistant] Well, okay. All right. So this is lemons and coconuts. Okay. Lemons and coconuts watching PFT right now. Why do you guys talk about butts so much every day? I don't talk about butts. Yeah, I do. That's right.


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[Assistant] It's peculiar for a guy that's got, you know, lemons and coconuts as his handle to be worried about butt so much. Okay. All right. But either way, I talk about it because


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[Assistant] Find me a good player that doesn't have impressive legs and a butt. That's why. Like when you scout a football player and you just want to look at like, okay, let's be basic primitive factors of what makes a guy good.


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[Assistant] You look at his legs and ass and I can probably see tell you both. That's all you want to know why he's really fast. You see that?


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[Assistant] Have you looked at Kahlil Mack? Have you looked at Saquon Barkley? Have you looked at Christian McCaffrey? I mean, I could just go on down the road because that's the number one thing my dad taught me at a long, long time ago. I remember like the first person he ever talked about was like,


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[Assistant] You know, Lawrence Taylor, I think was the first guy. I mean, have you ever looked at Lawrence's legs and how he's put together Christopher? I mean, that's why I can get around the edge. That's why he's so strong. That's why you can bend like this with a three. And I was like, damn, yeah, he's right. Those are some legs there on there. Then you just start to look at all the great players throughout time. Barry Sanders. Well, great legs and ass. Reggie white, great legs and ass. I mean, that's just the name of the game. So that's why we talk about it. Coconuts and lemons.


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[Assistant] Alright, we just got one best bet, right? We're just going one here. Alright, one best bet, Mike. Here we go. Which one you gonna go with? You've been loving the over and unders lately.


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[Assistant] I know, I know I can. I know. Do you want to go first or do you want me to lead this off?


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[Assistant] You know, I'm gonna go with the under. I'm gonna go with the under just to be different here. You've already beat me in best bets. I think I believe in that more.


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[Assistant] Where I'm gonna go because I, I got 24-17. I really wouldn't be shocked if this is like a 20 to 17 type football game or something like that either. I'm gonna go with the under in the Packers 49ers game. I think we're gonna see more of a defensive struggle in this one.


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[Assistant] I don't think it's going to be points galore. So, uh, I'll go there. I'm going to go, I'm going to go Packers 49ers. I'm taking the under a 45 points. I think this will be a defensive low scoring football game.


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[Assistant] Over under Titans Chiefs. I would have gone over. You would have gone over with that game. You would have stayed both there. Okay, yep. I probably would have gone with your bet if I had to make another one where I just would have picked the Chiefs to cover.


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[Assistant] I certainly would, but we'll see. All right. Well, at least I have a chance to tie in the straight up in our straight up picks. I'm done with best bets and I've been obliterated with the against the spread. Sorry, everybody. I hope everybody listens to our information.


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[Assistant] Our information is good. Nobody covers football like Mike Florio and Chris Sims. I mean, we're obsessed with it. We live it. I mean, that's what we do.


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[Assistant] Uh, Mike's picks are good, you're right. Mine aren't good. Mine is an underwhelming year. I'm very disappointed in my- I'm the clea-


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[Assistant] Exactly right, that's the way to put it there, that way. But that's it for the PFTPM joint collaboration with Chris Simms on Button. Mike, you the man. Monday, I'm gonna be doing my championship game recap podcast with Ahmed Fareed. What you got going on? You got, you got PFTPM Monday? I'll do, what I'll do Friday.


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[Assistant] Alright, and then, uh, tomorrow on PFT, if anybody's listening to this on a Thursday night, Friday morning, it'll be me, Mike, and Big Cat. It'll be a threesome in the morning at 7am, 7 to 9, threesome, three way. Here we go, Trust Tree, Circle of Trust. Peace out. Thank you, Florio. We're outta here.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Sims on Button Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] Does that give you a clue of where they might go as a quarterback? You kinda touched on it a little bit? Yeaah.


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[Assistant] He already has. I know, but I get you, I get you, I thank you, I know, but yeaah, you're right, I said that very stupidly, I didn't mean to say it like that actually.


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[Assistant] I got to watch a lot of film yesterday without people bothering me. I enjoyed that.


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[Assistant] Work. Okay. That's what we do. And speaking of a daddy at work, what up? It's Chris Sims on button. Ahmed Farid is here in his man cave decorated in Detroit lion decor.


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[Assistant] And, and he brought home a microphone from the office. Very impressive.


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[Assistant] We'll see how that goes. Yes, it can screw things up in a hurry as I learned, uh, the other day. They were all, my little girl was streaming videos. My little boy was playing Fortnite. There's your kids in the background. I hear them. I like it. It's perfect. But yeah, it was messy. I was trying to shoot videos at home and I couldn't like


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[Assistant] Kristen, who's in the control room right now, directing, directing us.


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[Assistant] She's like, well, your picture's choppy today. So Mike heard me yell at my kids to get off of all the damn computers so I could have the bandwidth, but what's up?


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[Assistant] It's weird. It is. I'm very happy to be in the office. And uhm, I, you know, I've been probably smoking more pot than I should be when I get out of here at night. Yes, I've been definitely doing that.


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[Assistant] Uh, I probably will binge drink tomorrow night. I've been catching up on Curb Your Enthusiasm, alright, which I really love. The new season's great, so I'm doing that. And then, ultimately, as I was telling you before we started here, I'm gonna go get tested, I think for Corona tomorrow.


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[Assistant] You know, as we know, I had the, the abdominal pains, I was throwing up aggressively. There's been a lot of people that, uh, reported, you know, in the studies that that's a common side effect that people are coming into hospitals saying.


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[Assistant] And I'm just, I've been hoping with my no spleen, it would take some stress off me, but, uh, I dunno, maybe I'm not that lucky and I just still need to stay stressed out.


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[Assistant] No, no, you're right. We're not. So the hell with that. We can't figure it out. We're here to bring the entertainment and let's do it, baby. You're all over Twitter. You're all over social media. What's going on? Go ahead. You leave the ship from here. Go ahead.


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[Assistant] You won, you're right. I forgot all about our bet. So I owe you a burger and some fries or whatever you want to do. I'm down for that. We're due to make some lunch anyways. Now I don't know, you know, I think I deserve some of the credit since I'm kind of the guy that broke the story that said it's going to be New England or Tampa Bay. Yes.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, I think that's like, just to start there, that's my number one concern. You know, I like a lot of the other aspects of why it works. And I'll get into that. But yes, you know, as I, you've heard me state it many times.


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[Assistant] Okay, yes, that's my only issue with Brady right now. It's my only issue when I look at his game. It's just that little reluctancy.


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[Assistant] To hold on the ball to say, hey, there's a guy coming open 25 yards downfield. You know, yes, I'm going to have to take the hit, but it's going to be a big play. I saw, I thought I saw, you know, and you heard me say it throughout the year, a number of games last year in situations where I just felt like,


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[Assistant] Oh, the guy's gonna be open. I need to take a big hit. Oh, let me just get it out to the short receiver and just get the ball out hit out of my hand and not take the hit. Now.


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[Assistant] You know, so that's a concern. And just so you know, just to...


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[Assistant] Because I look for justification sometimes in those things. You know, some guys can see film a different. I had a number of people throughout this Brady process.


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[Assistant] When they evaluated Brady or were watching free agents on the Patriots or whatever it may be, you know, they had heard me say that and they thought, ooh, you know, I had coaches basically what I'm telling you in the NFL go. I think you're right. I think it's the number one issue with Brady right now. Now.


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[Assistant] Do I think he can get better at that? I do. I do. First off, when you go to a new team, right Ahmed or a new team, you know, you're just going to a new team here in NBC, right? I'm kind of new here too. You want to prove your worth and you know, I'm good and I'll do all those little things and I'm going to prove to you that you made the right decision.


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[Assistant] You know, a guy like Bruce Arians has tremendous people skills. You know, Byron Lefwich is a great dude.


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[Assistant] Brady's gonna wanna prove he's worth the money and I'm Tom Brady to where I think those little things can make you


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[Assistant] Puffer in the pocket, let's say. You know, to where he's gonna go, damn, coach is telling me to hang in there and throw the ball down the field and I really like this coach and I want to please him. And I do think he can be better there. And it's not like unrealistic to think that he can improve in that compared to what I saw this past season.


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[Assistant] Right, they, I mean, they're, they're one of those teams, regardless if they had Brady or not, I would have put an asterisk next to it to say, watch out for the Bucs next year. Now, of course, that goes up to a bigger asterisk now with, with Tom Brady there, but like,


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[Assistant] You know, you, you said it Ahmed, he's got weapons around him, like real weapons. Like Mike Evans is, you know, annually one of the most underrated quarter, uh, receivers in football. I mean, gosh, there's not many people on planet earth that are 6'5 and 2'30 and run 4'3, 7'.


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[Assistant] You know, that's what kind of freak he is. Chris Godwin, a beast. They got two really good tight ends. I mean, Cameron Braith is really good. O.J. Howard has the physical potential to be a superstar. So, that alone has got to make Brady feel good. And you're right about what you said with Arians throwing the ball down the field. And this is why I like it too, because


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[Assistant] Birdie's arm is still top notch. I mean, I know we talked about that a lot during the year too. And he's still got the 100 mile per hour fastball. So he is physically going to be able to deliver on the things that


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[Assistant] Uh, Bruce Arians and Byron Lefwich ask of him in that offense when they want him to throw a 50-yard post or a 25-yard outroute or whatever it may be. Brady's gonna have no problem with that. So that's a good thing too. And then, you know, Ahmed, like,


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[Assistant] I don't know if you've ever had a job where you feel like you were underappreciated there or maybe, but like...


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[Assistant] He's gonna get that whole aspect too. He's gonna have like, he's gonna feel rejuvenated. You know, that organization, the Glaziers are a great family. They're a great, one of the great owners in the league. I love them.


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[Assistant] We just talked about Bruce Arians, the way he is. Jason Light, the GM's got a great way about him. These are guys you would want to hang out with and have a beer with, right?


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[Assistant] And, uh, there, he's gonna get that aspect of like, damn, my coach is actually caring about me, he's bullshitting with me, we're joking. He's gonna have a whole new, you know, look at football, uh, as compared to the way things are done in New England, where sometimes, you know, it feels a little cold, uh, to say the least.


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[Assistant] No, me neither. I mean, good for him. I never would have thought it would have been the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I really wouldn't have. You know, even though I know I brought it up. And even when I said, when I had found out


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[Assistant] You know, I had been told in very early that there was no way he was gonna go to the west coast unless it was for the 49ers. Other than that, I had been told it didn't think it would happen.


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[Assistant] And, uh, you know, I just still, even when it came down to Tampa, New England, I really thought New England was going to swoop in at the last second.


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[Assistant] And just give him enough money to where he said, okay, this is great. Let's do it one more shot, but didn't happen. He's in Tampa. It's really cool. And, uh, I'm, I'm, I'm pumped because I have a, you know, a special place in my heart for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for sure.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, you know, again, even though he's Tom Brady and he's amazing and, you know, I like the guy and he's still got a strong arm.


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[Assistant] You know, I think, you know, one, people saw, you know, a little bit of a, a slope down as far as his play is concerned. Two, you know, when you sign a guy like Tom Brady,


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[Assistant] You know, there's just, you're, you're, you're asking for a media frenzy. I mean, that's all Tampa's going to talk about in their locker room for the next year. I mean, that's every, every guy in the locker room, that's all it's going to be talked about. The coaches, all of that.


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[Assistant] Plus, he is 43 years old. So there's the risk of that going, him going, okay, that's it. Man, I took a beating this year. I'm done. I'm done. And then you're back in the same boat.


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[Assistant] Again, next year. And then one other thing too, that I just think is interesting. I had a coach say this to me over the weekend.


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[Assistant] That he thought a lot of teams were scared of Brady because Brady.


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[Assistant] Has seen how things are done in New England for so long that...


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[Assistant] That this coach thought that teams would scare away because they're afraid they'll be exposed by Brady. He's going to go in and be like, what? You do it like this? What coaches you're, you're leaving now. You're, you're going home. What?


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[Assistant] Belichick would be sleeping here. Well, we wouldn't do it like, you know, and I think there was a little bit of a fear factor out there with that too. So I think all those angles, you know, played into this whole story.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I hear you. I guess I would probably favor Buffalo a little bit. I probably would.


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[Assistant] But that doesn't mean to say like, I'm feeling really confident and I'm going to go to the casino and drop 10 grand on it and go, bills are one of the AFCs. I mean, you're.


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[Assistant] New England went 11-5 with a quarterback that didn't play college football. Alright? So, and I understand the team was really good at that time, and I understand that. But still.


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[Assistant] You know, this is still a defense that's special. The best secondary. Right? So, I'm not gonna sit here and say they're gonna fall off earth. Plus, we know that some of these young receivers they had last year that underperformed, they're going to be better.


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[Assistant] You know, they signed a Damir Bird, who I think is a really good signing for them. A wide receiver from the Arizona Cardinals. Uh, so yeaah, I think New England will still be very much in the mix, but I am going to give Buffalo the edge right now. NFC South. Oh baby.


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[Assistant] No, I don't, I'm not gonna, I'm not, the, the bucks, you know, again, I, I'm certainly, like, we talked about to start the show here, like, I, I'm aware, I'm looking at it going, damn, there's potential, there's potential.


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[Assistant] I gotta see a little bit of the product first before I'm gonna just make some jump like that and say that, you know. And again, like yes, the quarterback play is gonna be more steady. There's no doubt about that. That's awesome. I get that. But.


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[Assistant] You know, also, this is a quarterback at 43 adjusting to a new life, a new team, a new system.


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[Assistant] It is a good division. The Falcons are gonna be better. Okay, Carolina. Yeah, I'm not expecting a lot. I think they're gonna be a pain in the butt. And then New Orleans, to me, is still in the cream of the crop at the NFC. They're not going anywhere here.


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[Assistant] So yeaah, I'm not giving them the advantage over that right now. Plus, this is the other thing we gotta take into account. I like, I love the Bucs. They send JPP back, they franchise Shaquille Barrett, all good. The Bucs pass defense sucked last year.


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[Assistant] You know, so again, you got Tom Brady and that's all that. Let me just check because I want to see exactly where they were ranked in past evens. I think it was towards the body. Yeah, it's 30th in football. So.


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[Assistant] You know, also, I gotta see that improve a little bit before I sit here and start going. NFC Championship game for the Bucks. Certainly improved. I feel more confident about them, no doubt. But I'm not ready to sit here and say like, oh, they're definitely in the cream of the crop in the NFC quite yet. So here's the real question.


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[Assistant] I, I think I'm going to go with the New England Patriots. I would too. I am. Now, the biggest reason, the Bucs schedule is the real, it's the real deal. You know, they gotta play the AFC West, they gotta play the NFC North, where we could argue that was, you know, one of the better divisions in football last year. You know, the Bears were the third best team and...


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[Assistant] And almost made the playoffs. And it was a down year for them, right? And then, of course, we just hit it on it. The NFC South is no joke either. Uh, so I just look at it from, from that aspect. And yes, I know it's Tom Brady, but...


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[Assistant] There's more in place in New England and a formula that has proven and I like where, hey, I see the potential in Tampa, but I'm just not ready to say that yet. I can't do it. I mean, the Dolphins might be better. Yeah, the Bills will be better. Jets will be better. You think the Jets will be better too? I do. I think it's going to be a better division, certainly.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't, I'm not gonna sit here and just go, oh man, the New England's screwed, cause Tom Brady's gone. I just, I'm not, I don't believe that.


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[Assistant] No, I have not. No, I have not done that at all yet. So that's cool. I'm down for that.


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[Assistant] Probably not, but it's okay. It's not easy, you know, especially in these first few days of free agency because so many teams really do positive things at this time to where you just go, oh man, that team got better. Oh, this team, you know, it is not easy, but I have a top five.


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[Assistant] Okay, so not allowed. Let's start right there. Give me your one honorable mention, your top honorable mention. I have one honorable mention. I tried to, I did the same thing. This is a team I had written down. I had a few honorable mentions, but I'm going to give one the shout out. Do you have one for your shout out?


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[Assistant] I'm with you. They were on my list. I'm not going to give them my honorable mention award, but I do hear you. You know, a lot of people have a lot of negativity about all we traded before is Buckner away.


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[Assistant] Listen, you can't pay everybody. You know, George Kittle, like you just said, is gonna command the richest contract in the history of tight ends. So you can't do that.


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[Assistant] You know, you're already paying Dee Ford. You know, you gotta think about Nick Bosa's only two years away. You know, were you really gonna be able to sign DeForest Buckner to be 21, 22 million dollars a year?


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[Assistant] No, probably not. And, you know, again, you know, I'm happy for the Colts and all that too, but what I would say to that, I mean, yeah, you're right. The 49ers, the team that won the Superbowl has the 13th pick in the draft. I mean, along with the 31st pick in the draft.


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[Assistant] Well, you, yeaah, and you, well you can make moves to get into the top 10 when you have those type of assets. They can get, you know, they can really do something drastic if they want to. You know, they could trade down and just accumulate picks. But, uh, I think, uh, I'm with you. People are missing that one. You just can't pay everybody this day and age. There's only so many assets you can have at one position.


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[Assistant] And I think they were smart to, uh, move on there from DeForest Buckner. I don't think DeForest Buckner is as good as Grady Jarrett.


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[Assistant] But I just felt like there were some other strong ones. Uhm, I guess one of the re- like listen, I love Austin Hooper at tight end.