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[Assistant] Of course, anytime you get a 39 year old guy, there's going to be risks. Particularly, you know, when you're a guy, yeaah, he takes care of his body, he's in good shape, but that quarterback position is so, you know, dangerous and tenuous and you can hurt yourself doing anything.


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[Assistant] You know, they can blame the turf all they want, but age could be a factor as well. Here's the other thing, the Packers kind of lose in this situation because now they no longer get a first round pick.


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[Assistant] This quarterback looked really good, which is why I picked Green Bay to win the division. I like the Packers all along and I thought Jordan Love had the it factor and the fire in the belly I always talk about and he played very well in opening day.


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[Assistant] Let's just slow down the roll on everything. It's one game. I mean really, two is going to throw for 9,000 yards and they're going to score 800 points and everybody's the greatest in the world and every rookie who played well is going to be good and every rookie quarterback who didn't is going to, it's ridiculous. The overreaction is crazy.


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[Assistant] Well that defense is really good, but it better be the 2000 Baltimore Ravens if they're going to make the playoffs. I mean, that's high praise too because that's the best scoring defense of all time.


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[Assistant] Uh, they made the playoffs, won the Super Bowl and, and won it with Trent Dilford because that defense was so good. I don't think this defense is that. If this defense was that, it wouldn't allow them to go down the field and get game tying field goals. So it's a good defense. I don't know if it's a great, great all time, great defense, but it better be if they're going to get to the postseason. As for Zach Wilson,


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[Assistant] Quit scrambling 40 yards behind the line of scrimmage. You can throw it away. Get the ball out. You know, he does so many things that make you go, oh my gosh. Now maybe some of Aaron Rodgers will rub off on him being around him and watching how he works and doing the reads the same way and go through his progressions. Maybe that'll help him.


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[Assistant] Last night was not a good indicator, but it's unfair to him because he didn't take the reps with the one.


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[Assistant] I mean, they played great, they're good, really dominant defense, but if you're gonna be in the conversation for greatest of all time, you better, or one of the greats of all time, and it has to be that to get to the Super Bowl now, you can't let them go get that field goal. Three points in the second half.


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[Assistant] The first turnover, the first interception was, didn't matter, it was like a punt. That was nothing. He was third down, he's throwing it out, up in the air, it was like a punt.


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[Assistant] The second one was a stupid throw. The third one was a sophomoric throw. How do you not read that through and throw that into the honey hole gets covered too and then safety is over the top. You can't do that.


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[Assistant] And so I, I think, and here's the problem with Josh Allen, and I'm gonna get to that in a sec, is the fact that


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[Assistant] He, he doesn't, he tries to do too much. Hero ball has to stop. Don't quit giving up your body. You can't run over people. Don't, like when he, the fumble. Fall on it. You don't need to pick it up. Fall on it and live for the next play. That's always been his problem and it's something he's got to get out of him.


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[Assistant] Matt Ryan can win them a Super Bowl, and he could win one.


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[Assistant] Mitch Traba- well, yeah, you get, uh, I mean, if you want to get a backup, hey, Joe Flacco still wants to be involved.


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[Assistant] He has skills of eroded. Andy Dalton was a better quarterback than people give him credit for in his heyday, but he has skills of eroded.


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[Assistant] Why, so I can throw interceptions, change uniforms and throw them for the Jets? No.


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[Assistant] I saw it. It'd take him a month and a half to learn how to learn the offense. No. RG3, when he could move around and run around was fine. When he couldn't move anymore, not any good. So, and nobody will sit there and say it. I saw that clip. They were raving, oh you were so great before your injury and then he got hurt and he wasn't the same.


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[Assistant] I'd stick with Stafford as well. I think he has more upside than the other options and, uh, yeah.


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[Assistant] If Carden give up the red zone touches to Taysom Hill, I'd feel more comfortable starting him, but. Good point, good point. High leverage touches go to Taysom Hill in that offense.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no prop lines out yet in this game. I just think because of the uncertainty as far as Cleveland's quarterback is concerned. Uh, yeah, just this should be, I feel like a lot of defense in this game. Uh, Brown's defense has been very stout this year. So yeah, just kind of waiting for lines to open up.


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[Assistant] Be focused on Saquon Barkley and he's just a threat to rip off a big play every time he touches the ball and just has a sort of running style.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, and I'm gonna fade Rashad White once again. I love this spot to fade him. Under 73 and a half combined rushing and receiving yards. Rashad White has been brutally inefficient this season. Talked about it a lot. NFL's least efficient starting running back.


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[Assistant] Last week, the Bucks looked to go away from him as well. Kishon Vaughn had one fewer carry than, uh,


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[Assistant] One guy I did want to bring up really quickly just coming off that fantastic week last week is Drake London, career best, 12 targets, had 125 yards. Finally, uh, Desmond Ritter is obviously back to back, 300 yard passing games, has the number one receiver in Drake London who looks really good. I think this also is a really good matchup.


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[Assistant] Uh, like the spot Pittsburgh flying across the country. Obviously Rams look really good. The offense, especially, I just have a hard time seeing.


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[Assistant] Uh, Kenny Pickett let offense keep up with Matt Stafford and these three very good wide receivers, even with the running back, uh, depth problem for the Rams. I think they're going to throw it all over the Steelers, uh, past defense. So give me the Rams. I think they're a really solid lock to win this week.


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[Assistant] I've got a best bet for this. It's okay. Uh, it's Mark Andrews over 53 and a half.


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[Assistant] So this looks like a potential ceiling game for Mark Andrew. That's why I like him to go over 53 and a half receiving yards.


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[Assistant] I would argue though as far as Kyron Williams is concerned, his situation is elite, but as far as a lot of efficiency metrics, he's actually performed really poorly. So I actually think they'll be able to handle, uh, our offset, the, you know, missing him or he's been solid, but yeah, just.


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[Assistant] Some negative game scripts, so this is probably my favorite prop so far on the board is Keonte Ingram under 38 and a half rushing yards.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I've got the best bet on Josh Palmer over 47 and a half receiving yards. Palmer played a team high 98% of the snaps last week, even more than Kian Allen. So he's on the field for every single Justin Herbert drop back.


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[Assistant] Uh, he's had at least seven targets and three consecutive games. He's an every down player, Sands, Mike Williams. He is definitely the most reliable wide receiver outside of Keenan Allen in this offense. Quentin Johnson, the rookie first round pick, just totally raw, unpolished, playing less than 50% of the snaps. Justin Herbert trusts.


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[Assistant] Josh Palmer who is on the field, like I mentioned, as much as any player.


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[Assistant] You would want him to have a lot of turnover-worthy plays because he should be taking shots, uh, down the field, but his A-dot is very shallow. And yeah, the Kellenmore effect has been pretty minimal. Uh, you guys really just not attacking downfield whatsoever.


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[Assistant] Will definitely be a big benefit to the Packers and also Jordan Love. So I like this.


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[Assistant] And, uh, they're down, they're down 43-17 and Sean McPay's like, yeah, I'm gonna kick a field goal here. You know, who cares? And, uh, and ruined a six and oh, so yeah.


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[Assistant] No, I lean toward you with the Chiefs. I mean, the Dolphins coming off, defense coming off a great game against New England, 218 yards, 109 on third down. You have Jalen Ramsey back, which obviously makes a huge deal that he came back as early as he did. But this defense did struggle to contain Philly, Buffalo, and the Chargers, and the Chiefs should be similar. I know we didn't see that last week with the Mahomes illness game.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but I can't take much away from their offense in that you expect they're going to be completely different moving forward. That was just a random thing that happened for them. Their defense is great against the past. We've seen Miami pivot to a run focused attack in some of those situations where they have a team that's good against the past. So we'll see if they can do that here.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I wonder if Mahomes won't be at his best because you put that illness together with an international trip. You know, he's probably, is he back 100% by this point? I hope so, because then you gotta get on a flight and go 9 hours, 10 hours, whatever it is.


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[Assistant] But the reason I like the Chiefs is they're ultimately Miami's offensive line just got banged up in that last game. Just guys dropping left and right. And I don't think you want to be banged up against this Chiefs front. So I think that Chiefs defensive line might dictate what happens in this game.


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[Assistant] And uh, the Chiefs can pull out a win here. Probably won't be as many points as people expect, but I think the Chiefs get the win.


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[Assistant] But the Rams defense is fading a little bit. They've allowed 23 points in four of their last five. They really need the offense to keep them in the game. And if Stafford's out, I don't know that you can count on that because that offense remember last year was a complete train wreck. I know Blake Baker Mayfield had that one 51 point game on Christmas, but other than that, it was, it was very rough.


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[Assistant] So they could be able to carry them in this game and win a very low scoring game


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[Assistant] Five weeks, uhm, and you would think that getting a backup quarterback like Brett Ripon.


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[Assistant] On that, those first 15 plays that tend to be scheduled, getting them in rhythm, they'll be able to do that in the first quarter and then into the second quarter and then the Rams might be able to hang around and then good luck after halftime, uh, when he has to improvise. So uhm, if you like the Rams playing in the first half, if you like the Packers, try to get three. Uhm, I think I'm a lean on Packers at the moment.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I have the Buccaneers plus three here as a best bet. These teams are basically the same team. You could call them the Houston Buccaneers and the Tampa Bay Texans. They, uh, both coming up disappointing offensive days.


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[Assistant] Houston's offense, I think people would say slightly better here, but Tampa Bay's defense, 30 second on third down, but first in the red zone. Houston's defense, very similar, not to those extremes.


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[Assistant] Houston's offense, seventh on third down, but 26 in the red zone. Tampa Bay's offense, very similar, good on third down, struggles in the red zone.


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[Assistant] And both defenses great versus the run. Both offenses can't run, but they're solid passing the ball.


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[Assistant] It's a very, very similar matchup. I think getting Tampa Bay with the three on extended rest, their offense.


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[Assistant] Improved a little bit last week, I thought, against Buffalo. I think that's the way to go here. I don't think that if Houston wins this game, it's going to be by more than three. So don't play the two and a half, but definitely find the three and play it at Tampa Bay plus three.


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[Assistant] On Sportsline last week, 3-0 on player props, which typically I am not very good at. Alex is going to test too. Did give out two player props on Sportsline today, one of them from this game, so go check it out.


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[Assistant] Oh, it better be. I think nobody else had a Dolphins, Dolphins sheep pick. And I know Katie loves that game. So that's probably right front and center with the early nine 30 game. You're going to see Katie mox's face.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I have Washington, I like Washington, but you gotta get the three and a half, um, which three and a halfs in the market after those that trade, um, those trades happen on trade deadline day.


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[Assistant] And I think getting them a plus three and a half is a great value because we're doing this line at three.


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[Assistant] Uhm, my best bet for this game is Washington's team total over 19 and a half points. Uhm, so first on the line, I know Washington's D, they lost those two pass rushers, so you know, downgrade them. They were even awful anyway. I don't know that you have to downgrade them. It's not like...


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[Assistant] Uhm, Howell though, coming off his best game, uhm, only got sacked once against an elite defensive line. They did some different things on the offensive line. He seems to get the ball out quicker. They can be that offense going forward. I think they're going to score a lot of points.


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[Assistant] I think they can go down and score some touchdowns here in this game. New England, I don't know if they can take advantage of this Washington pass defense being awful because they're 26th in yards for play. They're under 201 passing yards.


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[Assistant] In seven of their last eight, they don't have Kendrick Warren. Uh, DeMario Douglas, the sixth rounder, might be their number one receiver moving forward.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I don't think that's, that's great for, for scoring a ton of points for them. This line is telling you New England's definitely the better team. I think these teams are even at best. So if you can get plus three and a half and even get over the field, we'll love it. Uhm, but if not, go ahead and take this Washington team total over. They're going to score at least 20 points in this game.


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[Assistant] I think a lot of people are going to go to England because they feel its value. My power ratings have the line at one, so I still think Washington is the play there.


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[Assistant] Shaheed on those plays. Their offense is improving. 7.7 yards for play against Indy. Carr looking great going downfield, which, which we haven't been able to say much all year. Uhm, and I know they've struggled in the red zone a lot of the year, but it doesn't matter if you can score from 30, 40, 50 yards out. Uhm, New Orleans defense wasn't great in that game. They're still 6 and yards for play. They are struggling against the run. And if Chicago is going to have any success, it's got to be running the ball because Patience.


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[Assistant] Looks brutal as a passer. Chicago's past defense had been making strides the last few weeks completely fell apart against the Chargers. I think the Saints are capable of taking advantage. I like, I love the Saints 7 early in the week. We got that on sports line at New Orleans minus 7.


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[Assistant] Um, at eight and a half now, I'm just, it's a, it's a easy teaser, the easiest teaser leg of the week. So I'm teasing New Orleans down to minus two and a half. And if, if you, I still like your pick because I have this line at nine on my power ratings. And if New Orleans gets up by 10, I'm not worried about a backdoor cover from this passing offense. So I think they're going to win by double digits.


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[Assistant] He was one of our, we, we did a bunch of previews before the season on all the awards and stuff. And he, him and Waddle were my picks for offensive player of the year. Somebody in that offense is going to go and get a massive, they were, they were split between like 1700 yards and 1300 yards last year. If there was any like waiting either way or the other, like that guy was going to get 2000 yards and I was going to be a lock to get it. Did you bet it? Did you bet that in Vegas when you went out there?


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[Assistant] Yeah, so I feel bad. I, I ruined the parlay last week. I didn't know which Patrick Holmes would get sick. I had a great week, ATS, great week on my record, but I was not able to predict that. So I also feel bad. I don't think Katie should have to pick the underdog and be forced to pick last because.


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[Assistant] Stepping up and taking the underdog here, I am taking Brinson and I's from last week, Panthers, again. Let's go!


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[Assistant] Plus 116. Panther's pass offense played better than the numbers suggest. It was Bryce Young's best day. He was throwing the ball downfield a lot. Now he's going against this indie defense that's falling apart. Just gave up a ton of downfield work.


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[Assistant] Panthers plus 116 is a great value for a money line pick here, so I wanted to make sure that was an underdog that got on the card, and that's my best money line pick of the week. So, Panthers plus 116 is the first pick here.


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[Assistant] You can pick a winner. I mean- I'm not taking the Browns against the spread, by the way. I'm taking the Browns money line.


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[Assistant] Yeah, if, if, going back to that last segment with the Moneyline parlay, if I didn't take the Saints at number one, say I was number two or three. Think about Falcons. Falcons. Yeah, I mean, just Jaren Hall on the road first start. Can't expect a lot there. Um, Atlanta has a strong defense.


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[Assistant] They did lose Grady Jared. We saw that affect them in that last game last week. Uhm, we'll see how the pass rush responds here.


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[Assistant] I just can't expect anything from the Minnesota offense. No run game to fall back on without Kurt Cousins. Can't expect much from Jaron Hall. Probably will run around a little bit, but I don't think they'll get a lot of points. Minnesota's defense, up to 10th in yards for play, they are better versus the run. Atlanta's offense dealing with some injuries. Drake London had a groin injury last week. We don't know how Taylor Heinecke is going to perform here. Probably better than Desmond Ritter, but not a ton better. I know it's a super low total. I think I would


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[Assistant] Probably look to the under. My power ratings make this line Atlanta minus six, so I want to lean to Atlanta.


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[Assistant] But uhm, it just, it's too much for an Atlanta team that just does not like to win games by margin. So if this got to six, I'd probably want to fade and take the Vikings even with Jaren Hall in there. So probably going to be a stay away from me, but at four and a half, if it gets to four, I might look to the Falcons.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I love Seattle. Uhm, I know Alex loves Seattle too. They are better than the market is giving them credit for. Get this at six if you're playing it in the market because sixes are available right now. Our odds are five and a half and I'm still locking it as a best bet because I love Seattle. They were somewhat lucky to win last week, but 6.6 yards to play against Cleveland is very strong. I don't care who.


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[Assistant] Who is, is performing, you know, in that game, uhm, and even though they didn't, those points didn't quite match it, especially not until the end. Uh, I think they had a great game there. Offense now 7th in yards per play. Seattle's defense is 5th in yards per play. They should be on a 6 game winning streak. They, they lost to Cincinnati. They completely outplayed Cincinnati in that game.


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[Assistant] In Cincinnati, uhm, lost 17 to 13, uh, turn it over on downs twice at the end of the game. Kick field goes there, you win. Uhm, or, you know, score some, some more touchdowns and there you win. Don't throw it back, making the interception, you win. I, I really think...


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[Assistant] This team, if they were on a six game winning streak, people would be respecting them a lot more and this line would be closer to three. It might be three and a half, it might be four.


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[Assistant] You know, a lot of faith in. And uhm, so I think the argument people can make against Seattle is they really haven't been tested.


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[Assistant] They both played Cincinnati, um, Baltimore won that game, Seattle didn't, but they should have won. And then the rest of the schedule there, it's like Baltimore plays Houston in CJ Stroud's first game, like that might be their next best opponent, but, um, Seattle gets a fully healthy Rams team in that week one before they were completely settled and they suffered a lot of injuries in that game. I think these teams are a lot closer than this line.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and you say the Cleveland defense best in the league, they just give up 6.8 yards for play to Indy and 6.6 yards for play to Seattle. This is not a defense that's playing great at this point. And they seem a little beatable to me.


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[Assistant] Then I think either of these teams have, have played lately and I think they may be improving defensively under Jonathan Gannon. Just too many points for me to lay with Cleveland offense, even if Deshaun Watson was out there because he's had one good game since he's come back. So my lean is eight and a half. The only reason I haven't put it in yet is I want to see if this line goes up quite in tune.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I was digging into this before the show. Wednesday, he has been practicing. He wasn't even on the practice reports even though he showed up as doubtful. Uhm, it seems like in the media portion of the practice he was only working with the practice squad and it was Driscoll in tune working with the actual 53-man roster, the active roster.


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[Assistant] But that's why it's key with that Saturday thing, like I was saying, like if it ends up being Kyler Murray activated and like he's not going to start, but just in case, you know, he's there, you know, just in case that happens, the turn in curtains could turn into you're playing after halftime if Clayton tune doesn't look great. So.


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[Assistant] So what if you read the text on air and it turns out that it was a quote from a player that was completely made up? What would you do in that situation?


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[Assistant] At first glance last week, the Carolyn offense was no better, but it was a failure by the run offense. Bryce Young had his best yards per attempt of the year, best quarterback rating by a mile.


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[Assistant] Saks were a big issue in that game. We'll see if they can get that figured out. NDD just got burned by New Orleans downfield. I think this is a Bryce Young breakout. I'm playing him over two hundred twenty one and a half passing yards. Uhm, I would play it.


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[Assistant] Even higher than that, probably up to 240 or so. Uhm, I just think that it's going to be a big game for him. Carolina's defense, eighth on third down, solid interception rate. They can get the turnovers that Gardner mentioned.


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[Assistant] Best bet Cowboys plus three. Uh, it was another game where Dallas D carries their team to a big early lead. It seems like they can do that 25 to 30 to 40% of the time. Uhm, just with how good that defense is.


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[Assistant] But unlike earlier in the season where the offense didn't have to do much, Dak was fantastic last week. Four touchdowns, just incredible. And Philadelphia's defense struggling to stop the pass. We saw what they did against Sam Howell last week.


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[Assistant] Philly has lost the turnover battle in four straight. They are 24th in interception rate on offense where Dallas of course is first because they know how to generate these interceptions over and over. Despite the record between these two teams, I trust Dallas more, not just on the defensive side of the ball, but on the offensive side of the ball right now.


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[Assistant] That's why I think getting plus three is great. It looks like this is shaded toward, toward Philly right now on Fandle. So if you think you're going to get three and a half, wait to get the three and a half. I think it should be going the other way. I like Dallas plus three as a best bet.


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[Assistant] Very proud of Princeton for this pick. This is definitely the right side here, especially Darren Waller out. Giants offense throw out that Arizona game where they rallied late.


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[Assistant] Darren Waller, I spec Vegas to rally around Antonio Pierce, getting his first big shot here to prove, um, you know, that he can be a head coach in this league. I think they'll beat a bad Giants team at home. So I think this is the right side.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I like the Bill side, especially when it was up at three. Look ahead was Buffalo minus one. You have to adjust Cincinnati all the way up to where I had them. You would have them preseason because Joe Burrow looked completely healthy, looked completely back.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so this team is a contender. Uhm, but the Buffalos often slip back in form against Tampa. They're 30 yards per play, second and third down, second in the red zone.


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[Assistant] Buffalo's defense also burst in SAC rate. They have to get the pressure on Joe Burrow to win. They've shown they could do that this year. So then get some pass rush here.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and, and, and Jocelyne Burrow, I bet I think they can win this game still, but it's gonna be close. It's anybody's game, really. I would just take the points here.


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[Assistant] I have Tampa Bay plus three. I have Washington's team total go over 19 and a half points. My teaser is New Orleans minus two and a half and Carolina plus eight and a half. I have Seattle plus five and a half. I have Bryce Young to go over 221 and a half pass yards. And then I have the Cowboys plus three.


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[Assistant] I mean, I don't know if this feels like the Bills. It feels more like Jacksonville where you had a playoff run with Blake Bortles, then you decide you're tie yourself to him. I gave him a contract and that was the overreaction. And that's exactly what the giants are doing. This dug their own grave because now they're tied to Danny Dimes or at least two more seasons.


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[Assistant] Well, if they haven't left yet, then they're doing the end of the week thing, so.


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[Assistant] Yikes. And he also fumbled twice and threw an interception.


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[Assistant] What if the 49ers win 41-7? How far do you drop the Cowboys?


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[Assistant] Well, Brent, since we know, I don't read the rundown, but as you know, I am an AFC North expert, self-proclaimed. So yes, obviously I have a question. Pete, do you think the Ravens are actually for real? I mean, you're talking about a team that you look at, they beat the Bengals in week two with a hobble Joe Burrow out there. Six of the Beach Power rankings, by the way.


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[Assistant] They beat the Browns who were starting a rookie quarterback. They lost to the Indianapolis Colts. Uh, so, you know, it's hard to make anything of their wins and you have them six overall. Are you convinced that they are a top six team?


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[Assistant] If they lose to the Cardinals, that's a problem. Are they done? Yes or no? Not a problem. Are they done?


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[Assistant] No, if they win one of their next two games and get to the buy at two and four and borrow is two weeks ago, I think they'll be okay.


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[Assistant] It just gives you a chance to kind of reconfigure your offense. I mean, look, we saw last year when they lost Jamar Chase the first game without him. They got blown out of the water by the Browns in prime time.


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[Assistant] They spent the week, kind of figure out the offense, what it needed to look like without Jamar Chase. And then boom, they won almost every game for the rest of the season. So they just need to rewire. They'll be fine. I think you came in adventures. I can tell in your face. You don't believe.


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[Assistant] No, absolutely, I still think they should have rested them before even the Rams game. They should have rested them up into the bye.


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[Assistant] Uh, I thought that was their best bet. They didn't do it. But now they have to win one of their next two games. That's really what it comes down to.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, I think they either should have rested him from training camp until mid September until it was absolutely 100% and there was no issues. So don't even start the season with him. But once they started the season with him, then I thought after week two that they should have said, all right, let's set him until the bye. When it became clear that he couldn't run the offense that they need to run.


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[Assistant] Right, and to me, so it's only worth it if you get two.


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[Assistant] So, because a backup quarterback could have maybe lucked into one win. One in three during the four weeks burrows out is not okay.


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[Assistant] One thing I'll say about the Texans, real quick, it just, it reminds me of 2012 Colts with Andrew Luck, his rookie year, where you just had such a bad team the year before, no one thought the quarterback, I mean, Luck was obviously a generational prospect and people thought he would make the Colts a little better, but even most people didn't expect they would get the playoffs in his rookie year.


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[Assistant] And now that's what it looks like. Man, Strahd might get this team to the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Falcons have named score two touchdowns in the last two games combined.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] As the CBS Sports picks leader, uh, I think 14 points feels like a good prediction.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, the last, yeah, 31 teams over two and a half years.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Same team. Instead of Joshua Dobbs.


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[Assistant] Well, no, yeah, I don't think, and Brenton, the picture I shared with you, this wasn't me saying that I thought he said that. I think it was more a, I think it was a celebration thing, but you can't celebrate like that because that would have been an all-time coaching gap if Samuel went down because he thought his coach told him to go down, but his coach wasn't telling him to go down. He was just celebrating interception with some crazy.


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[Assistant] Los Angeles Rams are going to go up. I think they are sneaky. You're a garbage human being for taking my Rams. I think they are sneaky good this year. I think they might beat the Eagles on Sunday and then you look at their schedule. They got the Cardinals after that. They have the Steelers


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] A lot of winnable games there and Philadelphia, Philadelphia is to fly across the country. Uh, not going to be an easy game and the Eagles secondary hasn't been great this year. They've given up the third most touchdown passes in the NFL through four weeks. I think Stafford might pick them apart and Cooper Cup might be back.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, Stafford's whole career has been banged up. He's made a...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Wait, real quick on the Saints, uh, you mentioned Kamara 13 catches for 33 yards before Sunday's game. The record for fewest yards on 13 or more catches was 71.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Pete, who would be at the top of your Jones ranking where you have to pick a quarterback named Jones to bench? It would be Max Jones or Daniel Jones?


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[Assistant] You went 0 and 13 against the spread. You know how hard that is?


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[Assistant] It was, it was bad. It's a bit across the board. All I ever heard, all I heard was people complaining about it and how tough it is. I mean, it was hot, but going on. Okay. I think I was like five in.


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[Assistant] It's almost, you can't do it. It's almost impossible. You couldn't do it if you tried to do it, I can tell you that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm usually hanging around the vicinity and I don't win it because I choked down the stretch, I think, but.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm not even, I'm awful. I mean, I feel so bad. I feel, I gave my picks out and I'm, I'm embarrassed to do it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] By the way, uh, I looked to see if Ryan Wilson was close in any of his picks. Seattle, they got a late field goal, you would have covered that one. Seattle needed a stand better.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] If Seattle had not got a first down late in the game, you wouldn't have covered that. You would have covered that one.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and then what was the other one? Uhm. Yea, but I'm begging for Brown's Colts. Brown's Colts. Brown's Colts.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, I used to like the, like a vulgar costume or something.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, we used to have fun with it, but you know, now somebody takes a picture of you and they go, Oh, what's wrong with that kid? You know, I don't know. I just.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, they are the same thing, but he's, he comes up with devious ways to kill. So it's kinda like...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I kind of, you know, like if a guy does something, then you kill him with a different, something that he wouldn't want you to kill. You put him in a room. The Saw movies are all of them, and I've kind of stumbled onto those. And, okay, you say he's...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You say you're a serial killer cat lover. Well, I have cats and I have, I read a lot of books about serial killers and I've actually watched a lot of.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Documentaries on serial killers, so you could lump me into that category if you want.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, but when you used to go to the bar dressed up as Halloween, that was fun.


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[Assistant] Not in that, the way, oh, it's gonna take over somebody, I don't believe it.


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[Assistant] You know what movie scared me back in the day?


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[Assistant] Look, the 49ers, back to back road games is always tough.


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[Assistant] Back to back road games when you're playing on Monday night are always tough. And I'm saying this now, I should have picked the Vikings to cover and I didn't, but, uh,


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[Assistant] You know, they're missing guys on offense. The surprising thing about the 49ers on Monday was how bad their defense was. Where the hell was the pass rush? They're supposed to be this vaunted pass rush with all these pass rushers. They didn't, they didn't get them down. Think about that. They did not get them down. Where's Bosa?


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[Assistant] Do you, do you have questions about Purdy in the late in the game? Is that worry you?


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[Assistant] Well, go back and look, Ryan, or Breach, because you have a computer in front of you. How many? Look at the number of interceptions he threw at Iowa State.


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[Assistant] Right. And so it's a concern. Sometimes you are what you are. And he's fine.


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[Assistant] He's better than what he, he's better than his draft slot, but he ain't close to Joe Montana either. Well no, no. Well people were rushing that though.


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[Assistant] That's on him. That was on him. It wasn't getting in the middle of the field. He anticipated, he wasn't getting there.


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[Assistant] Cause the chiefs are better than the eagles. Woo! Alright, well that's easy.


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[Assistant] I mean, you know, everybody just discounts the Chiefs defense. They played well this year.


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[Assistant] And now the offense has started to look like the offense again.


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[Assistant] I mean they, they, what did Mahomes throw for $4.50 the other day? That's back. We hadn't done that all year.


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[Assistant] By the way, Kellen Moore hasn't made the offense any better either. They're scoring fewer points somehow.


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[Assistant] You knew it was going to take time to get the offense going. By the way, they had no business losing to, probably to either game. Uh, they should have beat the Steelers. A lot. Gave that game away. Had to let, what, have seven drops in that game. Five of them in the end zone. See those numbers? 357, four, none. That's what we've been waiting for for Lamar Jackson in that Todd Monk in offense. It's taken them a little time. They've, they're healthier now, but here's the thing that people aren't paying attention to. They're the number one scoring defense in the league right now. Number one. So you look at that team.


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[Assistant] What are they giving up? 13 points a game? Is that right? Am I right about that?


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[Assistant] You could go through everybody's schedule and say who have they defeated? Who have they beaten? And so the reality is, uhm, the Chiefs are the best team. If you had to play a game in...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The middle of Alabama, between the Chiefs and whoever. And the Ravens. And the Chiefs are winning that game. Now? Would they? Yea, they would.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Chiefs. And we'll know in a couple weeks as they play on a neutral field, Germany.


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[Assistant] Hey, you know when you talk about Miami, going out on the road three times,


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[Assistant] And the offense being stifled three times, not a good look.


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[Assistant] In fairness to them, they were missing three offensive linemen on Sunday.


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[Assistant] And then when they played New England, they beat New England and they slowed them that day and then they, Buffalo totally slowed them down.


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[Assistant] If you ever get caught playing man coverage with no safety over the top against Tyreek Hill, your defensive coordinator should be fired on the spot.


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[Assistant] Well, look at the teams, look at the teams around them and look what they've done.


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[Assistant] They beat the Bravens. As ugly as it was, they did beat them.


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[Assistant] But then he started playing well, Pickett. I think that's a good sign for them going forward.


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[Assistant] There's a lot of crap teams in the NFL, by the way. Somebody's gotta... Is it crap teams, or is it just like, parody, as the NFL likes to say? It's crap.


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[Assistant] Again, Jake Moody missed a kick. By the way, Pittsburgh Jacksonville this week is a good game.


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[Assistant] 270, I think against a great Steelers defense, which is amazing. Zebrunel in 2000? Yea.


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[Assistant] Jim Miller, you know, he works in the media, Jim Miller. Jacksonville claimed him after Pittsburgh caught him the week of the Steelers game.


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[Assistant] And the Steelers took offense to it thinking that they're going to pick their brain and everything. So Greg Lloyd.


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[Assistant] After the game, Greg Lloyd, think about this virally now, how it would go. Greg Lloyd came out and said that Keenan called his house the week of the game and said stuff to his wife. What? Yeah.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But the theory was that the Steelers told Greg Lloyd and some others, take out that on forgetting Jim Miller for that.


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[Assistant] That's how, that's how the league used to be. Like the other day I said, somebody asked me,


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[Assistant] What, what would the pile be like, you know, the, the push, push, push back in the day, they would have taken the quarterback's leg and wrenched it in the pile back in the day. They would have, they'd just give it a, give it a little one. You're not going to run this play again.


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[Assistant] Well, they have, uh, assets invested in it. I mean, you got a lot of money in BOSA, you got a lot of money in Buckner. I mean, Armstead, not Buckner. It should have kept Buckner. Armstead. Uh, so.


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[Assistant] No, they're top heavy. Their roster has a lot of top heavy, you can't, they're not in a position to go get guys.


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[Assistant] No, but I, cause Jacksonville would have been in on Denny O'Hunner I think.


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[Assistant] Jacksonville should be a fire to go get a pass rusher. They need to go get a pass rusher. And I would call the commanders for Chase Young, because he should be moved, because they're not going to be able to keep him.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, cause they got good guys down. They're, they're one of the better run defenses in the league. No, they need an edge. You know why they need an edge rusher? Cause they drafted Trayvon Walker first overall. That's why.


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[Assistant] He has no pass rush moves. Put 20 pounds on him, make him Kaleus Campbell 2.0. That's what they should do. They need an edge guy. Imagine if you put Campbell, you put him inside and added DeNeil Hunter or Chase Young to Josh Allen, who's playing out of his mind.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They lost, you know, Daquan Jones and they lost, uh, Ed Oliver's down now. That would be an interesting move for the Bills. Then you got two 60 year olds on your defensive line to go with Vaughn Miller.


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[Assistant] They should, they should look. That defense is decimated. They should look for, for help on, at defensive interior. They should look for help at corner if they can find some.


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[Assistant] Well, you've, you've also drafted the tight end in the first round who had a good game. Kincaid had a good game last week. He finally got going. So that's important.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Shakira had a good game the other day. Didn't he have like four or five catches too?


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[Assistant] Osayesh Torrance had a really good start to the season and last week he was bad.


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[Assistant] Wait, because they made Mac Jones actually look like a real quarterback and you know that's not true.


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[Assistant] You gave up, you gave up on him already, so you can't come back.


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[Assistant] Is it, did Cam Akers show a little bit of juice on Monday night? I mean, they're everywhere. Just find one and pitch him the ball and he'll make plays. I mean, it's not that complicated.


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[Assistant] Shawn Watson just needs to play better and stay on the damn field.


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[Assistant] I mean, it's not, it's not playing at UCLA, it's the NFL, it's a big step, one game, one game and you're already out on them?


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[Assistant] He threw a sideline pass the other day, I'm like, oh my god, it took so long to get there. It was complete, but it took a long time to get there.


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[Assistant] Well, Titan, take a look at the types on it. Henry could be on the market.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah. Buyer. Yeah. Buyer got sent to Philly. Which is a good trade for the Eagles, by the way.


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[Assistant] Uh, that's my theory on it, but you know, somebody out there might say, oh, like if the cowboy said, I can get Henry into this offense and start running over people. I think about it for fourth or fifth. Yeah. Not, not a third or second.


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[Assistant] The word out of, by the way, the word out of, uh, Tennessee is that, uh, Mr. Levis might be starting this week.


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[Assistant] Did you see the other day when Tannehill was in the game, before he got hurt, it was 2 point something per throw, seconds per throw. When Willis was in the game, it was 3.1. He holds the ball.


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[Assistant] And they were so conservative in the first half. When they fell behind, did he not look 10 times better when he played up, loose, freer? He looked much better.


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[Assistant] So I don't understand what LaFleur did the other day.


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[Assistant] But he also made some good throws though. You go back and watch that. He made some good throws.


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[Assistant] Where's Christian Watson? That's the mystery to me. I don't know.


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[Assistant] Because I think you can get something, some good value for them and you're gonna have a hard time bringing it back.


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[Assistant] Uh, how could you trade a young corner like that? I don't get it. What are you going to replace them with? That's the thing. It's the same with berms. If you trade berms, what are you replacing them with? You got to get one of those.


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[Assistant] Well you're gonna have to, you're gonna get a pass rusher, you're gonna get, you're not gonna get the same player.


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[Assistant] Old guys you can trade, young guys you can't trade if they're good players. That's why.


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[Assistant] Yeah, because I think everything is new there and you can have that fire show, but I wouldn't, Surtan should be part of the building block, not a, not somebody you get rid of.


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[Assistant] He's a, what is he, 25 or 24 and he's a top tier corner. You don't get rid of that.


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[Assistant] You might draft a cornerback next year to replace him. That's the same age.


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[Assistant] The Seattle Seahawks old blue uniforms, the Kurt Warner blue. Oh yeaah, those are nice. I thought, I would have said to myself, oh darn, I might have put them at number two and switched the bucks down a little bit, but, cause those uniforms were actually good.


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[Assistant] Don't you agree though that the old Bengals, the Bengals, uh, uniforms were better back in the day? What's changed?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I like the traditional Giants traditional uniform.


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[Assistant] You're talking about the uhm, old 60's. The 60's. The YA Tittle Helmet. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] They were awful. When I was a kid, they were terrible for a lot of those years. They were good, then they were terrible.


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[Assistant] Black pants, white shirts, best unicorn. What about the turquoise ones?


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[Assistant] I was there for mini camp or training camp and they showed us those for the first time. I go, ugh, those are so gross. That other helmet is ten times better looking!


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[Assistant] I had a bad week. My theories didn't play out, so I had a bad week. Conspiracy theories, be clear.


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[Assistant] He wasn't great the other day though, I haven't watched the tape yet, but the TV tape didn't look great.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome to the Pick Six Podcast. Katie Mox and Will Brinson here, joined with our pick show squad, Alex Selznick and Emory Hunt of Sportsline.


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[Assistant] I'm pretty, I'm doing pretty good today, guys, after them, uh, Sunday night football game, but the last episode, the super friends dug into week five of the NFL season. Breach, Wilson and Brinson, Brinson diagnosed DAC as Dallas's problem and applauded the Jags for really getting this London thing. Um, seems to be that that's.


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[Assistant] The only place they can win. You can watch that episode on our YouTube channel or the audio version wherever you get your podcasts. And uh, feel free while you're there to like, comment and subscribe.


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[Assistant] And uhm, guys we're gonna take a look at early leans for a week, I feel like we're in week 6 now of the NFL.


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[Assistant] Well, I'm wearing my general just NFL league t-shirt today. I'm like Rob Lowe.


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[Assistant] Brynston is doing that at Prop Stars. How are we feeling at this point in the season?


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[Assistant] Five here. Favorite. Six and six against the spread. Away team. Seven and five against the spread. Away dogs. Uh, four and three. And unders went four and eight. Uhm, Emery. Home field advantage.


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[Assistant] Alright, well let's, uh, let's, on that note, get into some early leans for a week. Good, good tea up there, Brinson.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, so you got Broncos at Chiefs. Chiefs playing 10 and a half. This total 51 and a half.


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[Assistant] Uh, Broncos are 1 and 4, but they're 0 and 4 against the spread. Chiefs traditionally are not that great at covering, but when you look at them last year, they went 2 and 2 as double-digit favorites at home. This season, they've been double-digit favorite once and they have covered


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[Assistant] I don't like to lay 10 points, but I don't know how you can back the Broncos' defense against anyone, but certainly not the Chiefs. But, uh, what do you think, Emory?


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[Assistant] I tried to say that on top this weekend and I totally messed it up. I'm not.


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[Assistant] I'm talking about we've been on shows together and you took the points with the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, you look at these defenses, uhm, in terms of opponent points per game, San Francisco number one, allowing 13.6, Cleveland, uh, is tied with Baltimore at number two with 15.


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[Assistant] Let's not forget that Cleveland offense did give up 28, uhm, or defense, excuse me, in their last game. But look, I've been riding the Niners team total every single week. It's not even, they don't even know what to do with it yet. I went on FanDuel and I'm looking around and there is no Niners team total that is posted yet, but uhm,


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[Assistant] Well, you gotta think maybe there's a little let down game. Are we factoring that into? Cause we've seen these, these teams that have these really high scoring outputs, like what's happened to the Dolphins, it happened to the Bills, you know, they have these crazy emotional wins and then they kind of come back to, and Christian McCaffrey got.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm still taking over on that. Alright, moving on. Commanders at Falcons. Falcons!


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[Assistant] That was like one of my best bets last week. It was to fade the Falcons defense coming back from, uh, London, which was God. I mean, they looked really, really good.


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[Assistant] C.J. Srow didn't get a touch down there until the very, uhm, end. But, uh, okay, Commander's at Falcons, Falcons laying two and a half, total 40.


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[Assistant] Two, um, commanders are two and three on the season and also against the spread, Falcons three and two, but one and four against the spread, although this is a very, um, short number. What are we thinking from a scouting endpoint, uh, input Emory?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Welcome back to Pick 6. Uh, alright, Panthers at Dolphins. Dolphins laying 2 touchdowns, minus 14, total 47 and a half. Uh, Panthers are the sole 0 and 5 team at this point. Uhm, Dolphins are 4 and 1.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Two touchdowns is a lot, but this Panther's offense just can't seem to get going at all. That's polite.


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[Assistant] Do you think, well, Emory, you were on sports, not sports, on I guess, primetime pregame, uhm, last week during that Bears game, and you were convincing Kyle Long.


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[Assistant] To stay on the Justin Fields train, and I know we're in Princeton, we're going to talk about this game next, but if you're the Bears, are you tanking for Caleb Williams or do you still believe in Justin Fields?


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[Assistant] Alright, moving on. Colts at the Jags. Jags laying four and a half, total 45 and a half. Uhm, Anthony Richardson, unfortunately, AC joint sprain could be out for a month or more. He's getting an MRI today, so that's uhm, a big bummer. But in terms of backup quarterbacks, you know, Gardner-Minshew is probably one of the best and they were still able to win.


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[Assistant] Their game yesterday, Jags coming back from London, winning two games, uhm, in London. Can Minshew keep this up, Emery?


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[Assistant] Yes. Prop stars, you know, Jonathan Taylor comes back.


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[Assistant] Doesn't really have too big of an output there. Zach Moss, two touchdowns. Do you, how do you see this shaking out? Cause you gotta think that Jonathan Taylor is going to be better moving forward.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Alright, next up, Saints, uh, minus two and a half at the Texans. This total 40 and a half.


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[Assistant] The Saints offense couldn't get anything going and then all of a sudden they dropped 34.


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[Assistant] On the Patriots, which should be a pretty good defense, uh, but they've been completely blown out two weeks in a row, which I think hasn't happened since like the 1970s for them to lose by 30 plus points two weeks in a row. Prop stars, uhm, do you believe more in Derek Carr now?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I-I-I lean toward taking the, uh, the Seahawks.


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[Assistant] Half moon pics in the chat, Seattle 2-1-0 on the road, 3-1 against the spread. I like Seattle on the spot.


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[Assistant] I might bet the Raiders right now, minus the two and a half.


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[Assistant] Tonight is a revenge game for Devonte Adams. You got Jimmy G coming back. I think that they could.


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[Assistant] Even if they don't win this game, what is that, a two point spread? They can do enough that would make you think to take the Raiders at under a field goal here.


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[Assistant] We'll have to see how that goes. All right, we're going to take a quick break here. When we return, we're talking lions at bucks. Maker Mayfield. Maker Mayfield. Maker Mayfield. Have a great night.


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[Assistant] Alright, Lions minus three at Buccaneers, total 46. That little headline was Lions minus two and a half. Obviously it opened at three, so we've seen this line jump around a little bit with that half point. Lions are four and one on the season and against the spread, and the Bucs are three and one.


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[Assistant] Uh, the same way Baker Mayfield has had quite, um, I think a much better season than people thought he was going to have. Obviously he's been very efficient, but he has incredible pass catchers there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] What do you think of this game, uhm, and what it says about the winner, Emery?


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[Assistant] Alright, let's head to the NFC West. Cardinals at Rams. Rams minus 6. This total 46.5. Cooper Cup.


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[Assistant] Making his debut this last week and a lot of people were wondering what is this offense gonna look like with Puka?


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[Assistant] And with Cup, uhm, and I think that was settled pretty easily. Both of those guys got touchdowns. Cooper Cup obviously came out the gate really, really hot. Didn't see him for a while and then kind of showed back up there towards the end. Ram's coming off a loss, uhm, to the Eagles and a loss to my pocketbook because I took them plus the four and a half.


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[Assistant] And this Cardinals team, um, has been one, just a fun team to watch. We, we said they're not going to win a lot of games, but they're definitely frisky and they're going to make it hard on people. But James Connor, uh, you know, went down with the knee and that's really their focal point of the offense. Props are, what do they do now?


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[Assistant] How many interceptions do you guys think Zach Wilson throws? Two? Three?


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[Assistant] Giants don't want any more prime time games. Giants fans are pleading with the NFL to please take them. Yes, yes, that too, that too.


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[Assistant] You couldn't pay me to. Not only would I not spend my own money, you couldn't pay me to back Daniel Jones in this spot. You know, bills obviously.


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[Assistant] Coming off a pretty low offensive output, uhm, in London, of course, again.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but yeaah, Bills did not cover the five and a half, so I think we see a bounce back, uhm, from them. The Giants just can't seem to get anything going on offense. You see how not having Saquon Barkley really, really hurts them and that O-line is just crumbling and not that Daniel Jones is great, but


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[Assistant] He's been, he's been getting sacked a lot and, uh, you're going against the bills and you got Von Miller that's, you know, you dipped his toe in and he's getting back to it. So, uh, I think Daniel Jones is in danger. I think he's going to have a lot of interceptions. I think he's going to be sacked a lot.


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[Assistant] And I will go ahead. I'm not going to lay the 14 and a half. I might look to Bill's first half because they may take their foot off the gas a little bit later.


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[Assistant] Which, which those primetime games are lower scoring, uhm. Either way.


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[Assistant] The Giants are this year's Broncos, although the Broncos are still the Broncos, they're just not in prime time, thank god.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, is that gonna do it for our show? It is. Thank you for joining us today. Make sure you join us all week long for more NFL coverage. Tomorrow Brinson, Breach, and Wilson are joined by Pete Prisco.


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[Assistant] One last reminder everybody, please hit that like button, comment and subscribe on the YouTube page. If you're listening to audio only download, leave a five star review and tell your friends to listen and watch the pod.


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[Assistant] We will catch y'all on Thursday for our Thursday Pick Show, but Brinson will be on tomorrow. Peace.


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[Assistant] Or you guys could just listen to me cause I told y'all take the Ravens and the Philadelphia Eagles. The reason why I was all over the Ravens against the Lions.


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[Assistant] Right, I'm a bird guy, right, uh, due to the fact that Jared golf versus pressure is still a thing.


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[Assistant] And not pressure the situation. Nah, I'm talking about physical pressure. He's not someone that's going to be able to evade pressure and Baltimore is going to tee off on him. Regardless of...


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[Assistant] The Lions offensive line, um, and to be quite honest, the Lions.


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[Assistant] With their first drive, right? Just that. So, if they have to play up Timbal, they can.


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[Assistant] Nah, I think the Eagles, if, that's, giving credit to the stands and to the stadium is like saying the Eagles won because they wore Kelly Green. I would believe that more than anything, right? Right, it was a dope uniform combination out there, aesthetically looked beautiful, uh, but I just feel like,


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[Assistant] It's truly match up based because...


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[Assistant] Offensively, uhm, so I just feel like I'm always going to be on the side of home in a way not mattering in the NFL at least cause I know what college you could travel only 65 uhm, on road games while the home team.


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[Assistant] No, that's a great question, uh, Katie, because when you think about


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[Assistant] What happened in Tampa, the Falcons defense was getting after Bacon Mayfield. They were getting after, uh, the run game a little bit. Buffalo has the potential to do the same thing.


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[Assistant] And Tampa has potential to do the same things that we saw New England do to Buffalo. I definitely would lean under with this game.


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[Assistant] But I also like the bucks plus seven and a half. I feel like because we're seeing a sputtering offense from Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and because Baker Mayfield still hasn't found.


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[Assistant] Think about how many deep balls he's missed, uh, in the last couple of games. You know, big play opportunities. They could have beaten.


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[Assistant] The Lions had he connected on three of the five deep balls, right? You know, so I feel like this game.


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[Assistant] It's going to be a defensive battle. Buffalo now is in a situation where they're pressing.


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[Assistant] Oh yea, that's a, that's a, boy, that's probably like plus a thousand, right?


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[Assistant] I got burned last week, so I'm staying away from the bills, uh, you know, like, I feel like everybody


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[Assistant] That's, that's the matchup. That's the key in this game. You know, how many sacks can Sam Howell take? He's got 40 this year!


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[Assistant] That's insane, man. Like, and he's an athlete. Like at some point, you know, you gotta get out, you gotta help your own, you gotta help yourself, man. Um, but it's going to be tough. I also have a question. Like how healthy is Jalen Hurts?


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[Assistant] You know, he was limping a little bit last night. Then we tried to take off sometimes. He had a little gimpy gait.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think he came out after the half with a brace on it. I couldn't really see, but I'm pretty sure he had something on that knee.


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[Assistant] Oh, so there, there you go. So there, you know, so now you wonder how much will that change the offense? Will they lay more in their run game? Um, yeah, I would say lay the points with Philly on the strength of their defensive line, their defense creating havoc against Washington.


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[Assistant] Both teams start off slow offensively for whatever reason, despite the Jags having better personnel offensively, we know why Pittsburgh starts slow. Picky doesn't show up to the game until like...


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[Assistant] You know, fourth quarter somehow, uhm, and start hitting every girl.


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[Assistant] It's so insane and Jacksonville on paper, you're like, okay, this team should average 30 points. So you trust that they can get it going. I do like that over as well, Katie, because you think about.


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[Assistant] Uhm, how can you challenge Pittsburgh? You spread them out and you, you know.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I don't advocate for this, but we kind of all been in this situation where you're driving and you're distracted, whether you're texting or replying or scrolling on Twitter or whatnot. And you just end up at your destination like, yo, how the hell did I get here? Like, I don't remember nothing about this drive.


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[Assistant] And I was like, how did this game end up tied? Like the things felt like they were down 48 nothing. Next thing you know, it's a game winning drive or game tying drive. You like, how did this happen? And I look at this matchup and I feel like the Colts.


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[Assistant] In my opinion, because I don't know when Gardner Minshew plays like Gardner Minshew and not Minshew Mania.


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[Assistant] You know, be loose with the football, be a little bit cavalier with how you move it in the pocket, took some sacks, put the ball on the ground, stay away from this game completely.


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[Assistant] Better quarterback right now, um, better offense, better coach.


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[Assistant] Where are the Panthers better? You know, granted, you know, they pay.


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[Assistant] So I just, I just feel like this, this game is, um, I'm shocked there's only three. So I'm, I'm thinking, I'm, I'm gonna leave these points right now, uh, with Texans convincing.


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[Assistant] I like the overt, uhm, more than anything, because of a lot of what you talked about. The Rams, their passing game is short to intermediate, and they kill you at the intermediate level of the field.


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[Assistant] And if you're going to kill somebody at the intermediate level of the field, I mean your defense has to be elite at communicating.


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[Assistant] Second area of Dallas does not communicate well. We saw this against San Francisco. How many times guys are going to run wide open, right? That's a communication problem.


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[Assistant] Um, and so the Rams going to take full advantage of that with elite talent at wide receiver as well. And on the other side, I think what we saw versus the Chargers with the Cowboys is more of a sign of things are coming out of an anomaly. Dak Prescott passing the ball vertically is where they need to be. They can't run the ball. Um, all those people that thought.


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[Assistant] Tony Pollard was going to be, you know, Eric Dickerson is, is, is wrong. Um, so they can't lean on their run game. They need Dak.


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[Assistant] Uh, to, to kinda lead from the front. And I think he will because that's where their personnel is. They have great receivers, very good tight end play.


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[Assistant] I see this, uh, Ravens-Cartinals game. Right now Ravens minus eight and a half. I don't know why that is. Maybe they feel like the Ravens on the road, all that stuff like that, right? But they're flying to another nest out there in Arizona. So, uhm, no weather conditions they gotta deal with. I feel like by the time we get to game day, this will be


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[Assistant] Um, the record still says what it is and I feel like the Ravens offensively are playing lights out and defensively they are really getting after the quarterback. Um, I still don't trust their secondary. Uh, but I trust their front seven and I think this one will jump significantly as the week goes on.


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[Assistant] Skype him in right now, cause I want, I need to laugh.


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[Assistant] It doesn't get better because of the, the defense that they're going to face in Atlanta. The problem is can Desmond Riddle and his Falcons offense get out of their own way? Like the fumble on the one yard line going in under center. Then the second fumble as you're crossing the goal line, the touchback, like,


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[Assistant] He played actually really well throwing the ball, um, has some great tight window throws. So right now, when everything is clean, they look a lot like how Tennessee looked under Arthur Smith.


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[Assistant] And Tennessee coming off this bye week, I know defensively they'll be game. They'll be able to frustrate Desmond Ritter.


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[Assistant] Well, I'm about to get by Ryan Wilson on it because I was going to take the under. But I still will take the under because of.


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[Assistant] The inconsistent offense we see for Atlanta and the uncertainty of Tennessee. Plus I'ma lay these points with the Falcons, so I think they win.


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[Assistant] Or Daniel Jones is gonna get the start, right? Because if Taylor does, that gives him a chance to win. If Jones does, that gives them a chance to lose.


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[Assistant] You know, if this, this game could definitely end 17-14. So I'm strongly taking the under here because of the Jets defense, the Giants defense starting to figure it out now and really pressure the ball on the back end.


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[Assistant] Combined with what those dudes do up front. So yeah, this game will be about the running backs, Bryce Hall and Saquon Barkley. I like this undergoing easily.


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[Assistant] How much of the Patriots offense do you think will show up though? Like what we saw.


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[Assistant] Last in that game, you know, the fourth quarter, they, I thought they moved the ball pretty efficiently, you know, up tempo too many, or maybe that's the way they should go. I would Mac Jones, you know, dolphins was getting pressure against Philly low key.


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[Assistant] Uhm, they were flying out all over the field in the secondary, outside of Kader Kahul, who's a solid player, was playing out of position.


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[Assistant] I'm kind of with you guys. I would lay these points with the dolphins. I'm scared of the over because it could be all dolphins, you know, and.


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[Assistant] At what point do they pull the breaks off? You know, uh, you know, starters out can be 35-3.


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[Assistant] I like the Packers defense more than anything. So I'm going to take, I'm going to lay the points with the Packers.


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[Assistant] I feel like their defense can really, again, get after the quarterback. There's no threat.


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[Assistant] A run threat coming from the Minnesota Vikings. So it'll be Kirk Cousins under pressure all throughout the game and trying to find those.


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[Assistant] Uh, short to intermediate passing windows on offense. I just feel like at some point, you know, Jordan Love has to really play.


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[Assistant] Calm with his lower body in terms of the pocket. He's always bouncing around, hopping around, throwing follow ways.


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[Assistant] Um, the run game is there potentially for Green Bay. Maybe this is the game they.


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[Assistant] I'm thinking under that Brown's defense, despite the 30 points that we saw play really well, you know, they got, uh, after they scored.


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[Assistant] But there are often sputters in between the, the, the, what, the 10, the 10, 10 minutes to of the end of the first half to the beginning of the second half.


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[Assistant] They struggle to protect. Gino has been under the rest. Then we turn around and hand the ball off to, um, you know, uh,


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[Assistant] People are crying for him to go out there and play. He told y'all, I can't throw. He goes out there. You saw from the screen he tried to throw that he had to put all his bite into throwing. That's why those interceptions also followed. And then, then he compounds that by getting hurt. So the problem also lies with PJ Walker, who's fun.


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[Assistant] Shaky to me right now, they haven't played a great game offensively yet.


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[Assistant] I feel like when we look at the bingles, we only talk about...


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[Assistant] They're passing attack, right? And in this game, that's, oh yeah, you could definitely throw against San Francisco. Problem is...


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[Assistant] You know, you gotta block and you gotta also, uh,


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[Assistant] You know, get to their, their quarterback and stop the run. So you gotta have great point of attack play. I don't know if we're there yet.


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[Assistant] With Cincinnati, which is why they struggle versus the Browns, which is why they tend to struggle versus Baltimore when Baltimore has their head in the game.


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[Assistant] Um, and which is why the sailors tend to give them problems too, from a defensive perspective. But I see San Francisco being able to do that with.


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[Assistant] How they play upfront on both sides of the ball. So, you know, this line makes sense.


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[Assistant] I'm probably what are going to lean under too, because I don't see Cincinnati having enough consistency offensively.


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[Assistant] To be able to, uh, you know, go score for score with San Francisco and San Francisco can live in a world where they can just really run outside zone, left outside zone, right, all game long against the defense of the Bengals.


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[Assistant] What was lost in this is the fact that they did play two weeks ago, right? So now what adjustments do you make? What was held back in that first week? Because we know we're going to see this team.


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[Assistant] In two weeks. So we may see a different playbook for both teams on both sides, but was lost in that 19 to eight score. How well that Broncos defense play was lost since


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[Assistant] Uh, the Jets game, let's say, is how well this Broncos defense has played. So they are doing a solid job making corrections on that side of the ball. Plus.


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[Assistant] Russell Wilson is playing. Well, maybe Sean Payton calls a better game offensively. This time around. Remember last game, this was a 10 and a half point spread.


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[Assistant] And we all jumped on that and then they had that late backdoor, uh, cover, uh, situation in Kansas City. Yes. So this is going to be fun to watch. I think the under is really strong play here, uh, because of how well Denver has finally caught up on defense and their run game is starting to pop a little bit.


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[Assistant] Let's run through the checklist. Uh, charters have better quarterback, running backs, receivers.


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[Assistant] Offensive line, defensive line, and pass rush. Uh, athletic linebackers, they got them there. Secondary, they have the Bears there. Bears are starting a rookie quarterback that, uhm,


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[Assistant] Yeah, he too. But he played well, but I know Bears fans and Bears, uh, bloggers are, oh, the offense looks better on the Beijing. Well, hey, 5.6 yards to 10.


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[Assistant] Stop it. You know, so charges are going to win easily in this one. Lay these points with the charges. They can't screw this up because there's no threats on the other side of the field for them to screw it up.


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[Assistant] Um, and I feel like the Chargers will, you know, get everybody back in the wagon. This is the type of game where people will start to say Justin Herbert is the top three quarterback because he'll, he'll fill up the stat sheet. Um, and he won't have a clutch moment to throw a interception in the fourth quarter. So they'll win this game. It'll look good in doing so. And everybody will be back on that Herbert wagon.


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[Assistant] Which ad will she be sporting this with? Who, who has, who buys a Buffalo Wild Wings hat? Like who, who has, you know what I'm saying, like,


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[Assistant] Of course, that speeds to the conspiracy.


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[Assistant] Well, I'll say first of all, if this was a measuring stick game, the 49ers took the measuring stick, broke over the Cowboys' head, and then beat them with it. I mean, that's what kind of game this was. And if you're a Cowboys fan,


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[Assistant] Brock Purdy, and we're talking about a quarterback and, and Dak who's been there since 2016, but as someone,


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[Assistant] You see a ceiling where Dak can get this team to the playoffs. Can he get them?


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[Assistant] Jerry Jones, and I want to win a Super Bowl in my lifetime. I'm not sure I can do it with Dak. That doesn't mean that you should get rid of him because he can get them to the playoffs every year. But if I want that Super Bowl, I'm not sure I can do it with Dak.


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[Assistant] Breachbot says no. Oh god. I know, I've turned, I've turned on, I've malfunctioned.


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[Assistant] Turn on the Cowboys. But you know what, if you're the Cowboys though, you're thinking being the second best team in the NFC East isn't the worst thing. You get the five seed again, you play an NFC South team in the first round of the playoffs, you get your playoff win, you lose the divisional round and call it a year.


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[Assistant] They'll struggle with all those teams. They might win one of those, but I think they can beat the rest of the NFC teams on their schedule. I think they can split with the Eagles. So by no means are they done. They're going to get 11 or 12 wins and make the playoffs. I just don't think they have a shot at getting the Superbowl and I picked them and get the Superbowl. I'm off the Superbowl bandwagon.


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[Assistant] Uh, if they get that 5-C, you can get to play an NFC South team in the wild card round. Uh, I like their chances. Doesn't mean they will. Uh, but... Cowboys box 7.0? Like, like...


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[Assistant] I don't know why any team at this point is flying into London on Friday morning when you have a 5-hour time difference from the East Coast. You need at least the first 2 days to adjust, and by the time you wake up Sunday, you're still dead! You don't, the, the, the, the,


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[Assistant] But it is, like Ryan said, it looked like Buffalo had just gotten off the plane. The first three quarters, it looked like they were playing with cement weights on their feet. I mean, it was just that bad. So, I, I, like, I give Jacksonville all the credit for winning this game. I don't really, you know, I'm not going to look at the bills and say, oh, they're bad because they lost the Jacksonville. But to answer your first question,


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[Assistant] Are they a team that could become the number one seed as our friend Will Brinton predicted at the beginning of the season? I mean, you have to feel a little bit better about it. I still don't think they're going to get there. I just, there's too many good teams and the Chiefs are still good. So yeah, I don't think they're going to be number one overall, but I think they'll make the playoffs.


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[Assistant] The good news for the Bills is they will not need their defense for the next two games because they play the Giants and the Patriots.


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[Assistant] Get to the buy. And also, as Brenton mentioned in Slack earlier, all my picks suck this week. The only team that came through for me was the Cincinnati Bengals, who I said would dominate this game. And Joe Burrow finally looked like Joe Burrow. I mean, that was the thing is that, look,


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[Assistant] Number one, he can't throw the deep pass. He had not been able to do it all season. He was two for 22 through four weeks. Uh, he couldn't put a bunch of weight on the cap to throw the deep ball. Well, guess what? He threw an absolute dime, uh, on a 63 RT Jamar Chase. It was huge to see that.


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[Assistant] That's back in play. And then the touchdown pass you're talking out was him kind of dancing around in the pocket and moving around and evading the pass rush and then throwing for a score. That also wasn't there the first four weeks. So this is absolutely the closest Joe Burrow has looked to being Joe Burrow. And here's the thing is that look,


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[Assistant] A lot of doom and gloom with the bangles through the first four weeks we had it on this podcast. Are the bangles done? It was a nightmare four weeks, but the end of the day we're through five weeks. What's your record?


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[Assistant] Burrow looks better and the Bengals are one game out of first place. If you would have told a Bengals fan after week two with Burrow's calf and their 0-2 that they'd be one game out of first place going after week five, any fan would have taken it.


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[Assistant] Well, I'll say two things to that real quick. Is number one, the Rams game where they won 1916. That wasn't a Joe Burrow was back game. He still couldn't throw downfield. He was dinking and dunking the entire time. The defense won that game.


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[Assistant] Uh, I feel, they're 0-2 in the division, so that's not ideal, and that's probably why they're so low. But again, they're a game out of first place, and if Borough's healthy, they feel like the best team in the North.


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[Assistant] They got their first, first half touchdown of the year in this game. It took five weeks for them to score a touchdown in the first half.


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[Assistant] And real quick, shout out to Jamar Chase who set the franchise record with 15 receptions. Broke the record held by Carl Pickens.


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[Assistant] Well, let me ask you guys this real quick. Well, let me ask you first, since your team is in first place, do you think your Steelers finish, stay in first place, and who do you think wins the division if not?


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[Assistant] You know what Kenny Pickett didn't do on Sunday against the Steelers? He didn't turn the ball over twice in the fourth quarter. Uh, cause you mentioned Lamar's interception, but he also lost a fumble, uh, the next possession. And then that set up a Steelers field goal, which essentially iced the game. So, I mean, you can't, you cannot, you can't turn the ball over twice in the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] The AFC's version of the Cowboys where I'm not sure we know how good they are because of, yes, they went into this game with a 3-1 record, but they're,


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[Assistant] The first game of the season, they beat a rookie quarterback making his first career start. That was CJ Shroud. Week two, they beat the Bengals. Joe Burrow has one calf. Their other win was against the Browns when Sean Watson decided he couldn't play before the game. So you have another rookie quarterback making his first career start. So you've beaten two rookies making their first start ever and a quarterback with one calf. So what do we know?


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[Assistant] Even if the Patriots get the number one overall pick and take Caleb Williams, do you think Belichick really wants to stick around for that kind of rebuild?


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[Assistant] I think that, I mean, Brinton's question was, will he be the coach?


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[Assistant] Well, real quick, if he goes 4-13, there's no guarantee he sets the record next season. It's gonna have to be a thing where...


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, I think he leaves. I think he leaves, and I think this is like, uh, a mutual- Phil Jackson, Phil Jackson's situation is what I, all I could think of where he won six titles with the Bulls. Then when Jordan was gone, although this wasn't like he got pushed out where-


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[Assistant] And then Jackson stayed with the Bulls for two more seasons after Jordan left and was like, yeah, this isn't working. I gotta go find some talent and that's how I'm gonna win. And that's what it feels like, uh, Belichick's gonna do. And I see-


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[Assistant] You're in that you know bell checks old he's gonna wanna win now there is he signed a three year deal and he says i'm gonna want to super old and one of these three years i'm just done like that's it that's all that's that's my terms agree with it and i think he's probably the first one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think that is the ultimate point here, is that even if the Eagles aren't winning,


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[Assistant] If the wins aren't as impressive, 5-0 is still 5-0 and I think that is the bottom line here.


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[Assistant] And sure, you look at their schedule and you're like, eh, Patriots, eh, Vikings. And, and I thought this was probably their most impressive win of the season. They just kind of had, you had the Rams have.


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[Assistant] That's it. They just kind of punch you and then they hit you with the jab a bunch of times until you want to quit and it's working.


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[Assistant] I'll just say real quick, because Brinton just covered the lines a lot, is that every week I get more concerned with Bryce Young. The guy looks like he's in over his head, he had two ugly interceptions in the first half, and he, he,


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[Assistant] You're right. No, and so when you're looking at the rest of the quarterbacks taken, uh, you're the Colts and you're like, well, Anthony Richardson can stay healthy. We feel good about it. If you're the Texans, you're like, oh, we feel really good about CJ shroud. If you're the Panthers, you're like, oh my God, did we blow it with the number one overall pick? And it's only five weeks and nobody's jumping to conclusions, but you can't be thrilled with what you have seen.


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[Assistant] And real quick, one commenter said, Carolina's offense looks pretty good when Andy Dalton was in, and that is not my burner count, that is our friend Al Bundy, who once scored four touchdowns in a game for Volcott.


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[Assistant] Yes, that is, the Chiefs tease us every year with some bad star. Everybody writes them.


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[Assistant] No, no, not this year specifically, but the offense is the same conversation we had with the Eagles where the offense doesn't look as high powered.


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[Assistant] And so it's like, uh, have they lost something? Is this, did everything finally catch up to them? When they lost Tyree kill was can they rebound? Oh, well they did cause they won super bowl and this year it's a little different because they don't have


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[Assistant] The, the receiving talent that they've had, they lost, I think, what, Juju Smith-Shuster was their leading receiver last year?


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[Assistant] Right. That's where I'm going with this year though. I'm saying that now you have even less receiving talent than you had last year.


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[Assistant] But that was not my ultimate point. My ultimate point though is that the big shuffle came this year on the offensive line. And I feel like that part of it has kind of slowed things down because the unit has not been as good this year as it was last year. So if they do have an issue, that's their issue. And a lot of times offensive line, they kind of just build chemistry as the year goes and they get better.


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[Assistant] Theoretically, the Chiefs will get better and you won't have to worry about this, but that is the definitely what you want to keep your eye on, especially since Juwan Taylor just doesn't even know how to stay on sides. Didn't have any issues today, but did, uh, for two different games. So I think the O-line is what you keep your eye on, but right now it seems like the Chiefs are fine.


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[Assistant] I'm not concerned though, I'm not concerned, just if I had to pick one of those two teams.


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[Assistant] Could you even imagine Brinson announcer looking into the tunnel and be like, oh, here comes the Dolphins mascot, a drug running speedboat. That would be insane. I don't hate it though. I like the idea.


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[Assistant] Even better. But to your point, uh, I did the math real quick for you and after this game,


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[Assistant] HN is now averaging 12.1 yards per carry, which is an absolutely absurd number in the NFL. Like I don't think Brinson Wilson or I could average that if we're playing in a game against toddlers. Like that is how ridiculous that number is.


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[Assistant] And so what he's done, you just don't see rookie, especially rookie running backs kind of take the NFL by storm.


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[Assistant] And so, I don't think it is that crazy to look at him as the early favorite board, not just offensive rookie of the year, but offensive player of the year. Uhm, you know, the one thing about this game is that the Dolphins,


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[Assistant] I think one of the worries is always, well, what if Tua plays one of these bad games? Well, he had his first kind of shaky game.


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[Assistant] Well, first of all, it's quite the compliment. I got to be the offensive coordinator for the NFL MVP a few years. Uh, and now I got to get revenge on Sean Payton.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I'm just kidding. That wasn't nice calling Nathaniel Hacker this pocket. But you know what? Nathaniel Hacker has to be loving wife right now. Uh, because what Sean Payton said in July didn't make any sense. You never hear a head coach railroad, somebody else in the coaching profession like Payton did.


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[Assistant] And so I'm sure Hackett, he was dabbing all his teammates after this game. He was clearly thrilled. Got a game ball. They won, got a game ball. But you know what?


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[Assistant] Hackett finally did the smart thing. He said, I'm not even gonna trust Zach Wilson. I'm just gonna let Breece Hall do everything. And that's essentially what happened in this game. Breece Hall with 177 yards.


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[Assistant] And a touchdown, and look, that's how the Jets have to win games. It is, you play defense, you give the ball to Breesall, and then you pray that Zach Wilson doesn't mess things up. And that is what they did today. And it's a recipe that could work. I don't think it will, but at this point the Jets don't have any other choice.


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[Assistant] I don't think calling 9 and 8 is the best case is ridiculous. But worst case is 4 and 13.


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[Assistant] I don't know what you do because their biggest problem in this game felt like it was the defense. I mean, you're giving up 234 yards rushing.


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[Assistant] That's a huge problem. Their other big problem is they can't hold a halftime lead.


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[Assistant] Uh, if you're watching on YouTube, you can see the stat up here that the Broncos have lost 10 consecutive games that they were leading at the half.


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[Assistant] Which is an NFL record. It was their own record. The previous record was 9 held by them. It is now 10 held by them. They were winning this game 13-8 at the half and then just got their doors blown off in the second half. And the thing is,


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[Assistant] It feels like these games are, will come down to the wire sometimes, and you see Russell Wilson make a dumb play in the fourth quarter, and you automatically want to blame him for the loss. In this case, it was losing a fumble that got recovered and returned for a touchdown. Uh, but, it's just- It feels like Sean Payton is actually