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[Assistant] You tell your offensive coordinator, hey, I want you to run the ball here. Hey, I want to run it again here. You know, those are, that's what a head coach does.


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[Assistant] So, you know, that's bullshit. And then Matt Ryan made it worse when he was walking out the door too. So I think Kyle's going to want to get their ass back. I really do. The 49ers are favored by 10 and a half over under 47 and a half 49ers coming off the big win. Falcons got a good win last week against, uh,


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[Assistant] Carolina Panthers, Mike, how much do you have the 49ers winning this one by?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I like a little pay, uh, payback. Shanahan style there. Uh, I, I too, you know, I think this is a bad matchup for the Falcons.


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[Assistant] You know, the Falcons against this front of the 49ers, I think they're going to be all over Matt Ryan. They still not a great pass protecting team that way. So that even takes their ability to throw the ball down the field away, which is one of their greatest strengths. I think they're hurt there. And then the Falcons defense, it's just, Hey, it's, it's not that great.


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[Assistant] Uh, again, predictable as you know, and I do think Kyle and company will be motivated. I think last week's wins to kind of win too, that makes them think like, you know, stick out your chest a little bit, like.


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[Assistant] Yeah, we are awesome and we're gonna like, we're gonna pound everybody's ass into the ground here from here on out. Uhm, I'm going 49ers, 34 to 14. They just got too much firepower overall, uh, for the Atlanta Falcons and I think they clearly cover this one and I think they will blow out the Falcons, uh, all the way.


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[Assistant] The falcons. Yep, I agree. I agree. Alright, uh, I know you have to read something here, so you're up there, slugger. Kid can't even read! What is it?


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[Assistant] Yeah, well said. I think you hit all the major points. And within that, don't text and drive either because that same stuff Mike talked about could happen too. Alright. Sunday Night Football. We'll be there. Well, we won't be there, but we'll be here in Connecticut for the Football Night in America.


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[Assistant] That would be awesome, actually, if that was real. That we all went to West Virginia and stayed at Chateau de Florio for the night. Hey, you're welcome. I'd be fine with me. I know it would be. I know. You're very welcoming that way. Uhm, alright. We got a good one, though.


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[Assistant] Like I'm actually really excited and yeah, it's going to be defense. It's going to be hard hitting. It's going to be about managing the game for the head coaches.


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[Assistant] Bills at Steelers. Steelers favored by one and a half over under at thirty six and a half.


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[Assistant] I have a feeling you're going Steelers here. Am I correct?


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah. I don't want to go to Tennessee. I don't want to go to any of them. That's the problem. Well, no, I know. I guess I'd rather go there, but yeaah, you're right. Nothing's that pretty right now. Uh, you went with the under at 36 and a half, and I am going with the under in this one too.


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[Assistant] This is gonna be a defensive hard-hitting football game. This is the number three defense in football versus the, I just want to make sure I got this number five defense in football.


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[Assistant] Both are very impressive, well coached.


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[Assistant] Pittsburgh does a lot of crazy things on the defensive side of the ball.


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[Assistant] I do worry about Buffalo's ability to protect Josh Allen. As we saw last week, Baltimore blitzed Josh Allen and man, he took a beating. Uh, I worry about that aspect a little bit, but you don't have to flip it around too. I don't think the Steelers offense is going to be able to move the ball much on the, on, on the, uh, Buffalo Bills either.


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[Assistant] I mean, you're so right about the Steelers and Primetime and all of that. And when they're home, they seem to always have the magic to pull it off.


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[Assistant] But I am going Buffalo Bills. You know, I'm basically looking at it like going, it's a push with the defenses.


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[Assistant] And I'm just gonna go with Josh Allen and the Bills just to do a little bit more on the offensive side of the ball than Devlin Duck Hodges and the Pittsburgh Steelers. Juju Smith-Schuster, is he back this week, Mike?


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[Assistant] Uh, I-I think there's a chance he will be back. Right. Yes. Okay, well, uh, either way, I'm going Bill's 1917.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I'm going to pick them to do it. I do. I think this Bill's team is tough and well coached and, uh, this is the kind of style of football game. I think they're actually made to play in right now. So I'm going with them, but, uh, I'm not going to make that my best bet. I could tell you that much. This game's a coin flip game in my opinion. Um, okay.


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[Assistant] Colts-Saints, Monday Night Football. I think a little bit of a scary matchup for the Saints. Saints coming off a tough loss, as we know. Uhm, Colts are kind of reeling. There's no doubt about that. Saints favored by 8.5, over under 46.5. Mike, what say you?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's right. And you know, I'm picking the Saints to win too. I am. And I think they will be the number two seed when it's all said and done by the end of this weekend, because I got the Bears beating the Packers. I just don't think the Packers are a one or a two seed. And I think reality hits them a little bit this year, uh, this week. But, uh, I'm with you. You know, I do think that


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[Assistant] The Colts post some problems. Hey, listen, it really hurts the Saints with no Marcus Davenport, no Sheldon Rankins. We know the Colts offensive line is still really good and special. They might be able to run the ball, control the clock a little that way. They are aggressive throwing the ball down the field when they do drop back to pass.


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[Assistant] Which scares me versus Saints a little, because if you can protect and do all that, like I said, Marcus Latimore is the only true cover guy they got in the back end. Eli Apple and PJ Williams can't cover anybody. And uhm, you know, I guess the other thing that just, and again, I'm picking the Saints doing, the other thing that's just scary about the Colts is, is their, their linebacker play.


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[Assistant] Well, the wall is always scary because they can control a game, but their linebacker play.


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[Assistant] We'll pose, I think, some problems for the Alvin Kamara, Michael Thomas underneath passing game at times. But ultimately, you know, I think the Colts are reeling right now. I think the Saints are clearly a better football team. I'm not going to have them cover the spread.


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[Assistant] I'm, I got them winning 30 to 24. Uh, they win the football game, but like you said, they haven't been blowing anybody out that way.


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[Assistant] And I think there's enough firepower on this Colts offense still with that offensive line that they'll make their share of plays against this Saints defense, but the Saints get the win.


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[Assistant] We disagree on four games, I like. Which four? Which four? Bears Packers, Dolphins Giants, Vikings Chargers, Bills Steelers. Alright.


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[Assistant] And I took the underdog and all four of them cause somebody's gotta have guts here and it might as well be me.


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[Assistant] It absolutely will not. I will have my broom right here next to me once again cause I'm gonna sweep that shit up again.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, so now it's time for best bets where you have a two game lead on me for the year. Uhm, go ahead, Mike, you wanna lead off the first one or would you like me to lead off?


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[Assistant] Alright, I mean, I would not be shocked if that happens. I don't feel as confident as you. I think they're gonna win the game and just not, I'm not going with you on that one as far as covering. I'm going with tonight.


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[Assistant] I'm sorry, I hate to do Thursday night and do that. I hate when you do Thursday night. Alright, would you rather me not? No, no, go ahead, go ahead. I just don't have enough faith in the Jets.


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[Assistant] Uh, offense against this Ravens defense. And, you know, without Jamal Adams and Quinnen Williams, they're just, you know, I don't think the Jets defense is as good as the statistics say.


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[Assistant] I think the Ravens will slowly beat them into the ground tonight and suffocate them. I picked it to be 27 to six. I wouldn't be shocked if it's 20 to three, something like that. Uh, but yeah, I clearly think they're going to cover. I'm going to go with that one all the way there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yep, I'm going Ravens. So go ahead, Mike. What's your second one?


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[Assistant] Cause I have the Rams covering too. I just don't have the guts to pick them for the best bet here. I don't know why. I guess I'm just, there's a part of me still that thinks, well the Cowboys had extra time and...


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[Assistant] Maybe they'll get it together, so I'm chickening out there even though this was on my radar for best bets, definitely. My next one is I'm going with the Bears.


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[Assistant] I am. Yes, as I said earlier, I think the Bears are going to win the game outright, 23-20. I think if they lose the game, they don't lose by more than a field goal.


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[Assistant] And I'm getting four and a half points. So that extra one and a half really makes me feel cozy. I just can't see the Packers blowing the Bears out in any way, shape or form. And I think the Bears offense has it going. I'm with Big Cat. I think the Bears are back.


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[Assistant] I think they're a pain in the butt right now, and I think they're gonna pull off the upset going up to Green Bay. I think they got a little mojo going right now, and they had the extra time, and I just haven't liked the way the Packers have looked as of late.


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[Assistant] I know they've won, but every time I turn on the film, uh, there's just flaws there that I don't like. And as I mentioned before, who have the Packers really beat this year? Their best win against the Chiefs and Patrick Mahomes wasn't playing. So I am going Bears there.


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[Assistant] Alright, number three. Alright. Number three, I'm torn. I'm torn. There's two games that I'm torn between. I know, you're torn between the Patriots and the Bengals and what, the 49ers and the Falcons? Correct. Yes. Correct. Me too. I'm exactly with you right here. So let's talk this out. What are you gonna do? What are you thinking here?


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[Assistant] I'm scared to go with the Patriots. I'm scared to just because I'm afraid their offense might lay an egg. And then like, you know, the Bengals score a late touchdown to where the game's like 20 to 13, even though the Patriots dominated the whole game. You know what I mean?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm going there too. I am. I was hoping you were going to take the Patriots there. I really was. I'm going to 49ers too. I just don't trust the Patriots offense enough to cover the nine and a half. Like I said, I think they can.


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[Assistant] Totally capitalized that 49ers really don't have many weaknesses and you hit on all the other big points that I think motivate a team and Shanahan wanted to get them ready and all those type of things as well.


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[Assistant] Uh, and I also think the players there know, will know that Kyle wants to kick the shit out of the Atlanta Falcons. I do. Uhm, so I'm going with the 49ers as well there. I will say this, I did think about the Browns in that matchup too.


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[Assistant] They were on the radar just as another team too, uh, but I'm going with the proven commodity of the San Francisco 49ers. Uhm, alright, that's it. I also, I also gave serious


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[Assistant] Well, there you go. Mike's got the Rams covering. He's got the Oakland Raiders covering the six and a half and the 49ers covering the 10 and a half. I as well have the 49ers covering the 10 and a half and then have Chicago.


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[Assistant] Covering the spread against Green Bay, I think they're going to win the game outright. And I think Baltimore will slowly beat the Jets into the ground tonight and cover there as well. I picked it to be 27 to six. Uh, so J E T.


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[Assistant] I know. Thursday night games have burned me this year in our bet segments. They have burned me. Oh, I think almost every time I've picked them. Hey, at least, at least you've made up for it on Sunday nights. Yeah. No, I have not exactly.


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[Assistant] I'm in my own head with Sunday Night Football. I can't even pick it. I'm, I'm, I'm really, I'm really in my own head. I am totally. Uhm, Mike, always fun.


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[Assistant] Uh, hope you enjoyed it as much as I did. Uh, that's it for us. Chris Sims on button, PFTPM joint collaboration, the picks podcast. Please get at us as a social media. You know where to find me. You know where to find Mike. Mike, you doing a podcast or anything else? You got it tomorrow. You got a PFTPM coming tomorrow.


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[Assistant] Probably a PFTPM tomorrow. Okay. Alright, cool. Mike, uh, safe travels. I'll see you here Sunday morning. I can't wait to grab you and make you feel uncomfortable Sunday morning in the studio.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Simms Unbuttoned Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] Let's do it. I'm good. So I just got done. We've been doing Rugby World Cup here. Yeah. You feeling good? My voice is going, yeah. I was, like I'm jet lagged. So the tournament's in Japan.


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[Assistant] And we've been doing it from here in Connecticut, but still we're on Japan time. So I haven't left Connecticut, but I'm jet lagged. So it's like I can't fall asleep. My voice is like, I don't know if it made my voice worse or better, but we'll find out.


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[Assistant] The two, the two deep dives of Rams, uh, 49ers, which I have a lot of thoughts on, Texans, Chiefs as well. Uhm, but you want to start out with, uh, Eagles and Cowboys, both those teams that go down. Uh, they're facing upcoming here.


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[Assistant] This week, yeaah. I was not aware of this, but we were told by our producer, Pete, that Doug Peterson's coming out throwing some fire. That's what he does. Let's hear it.


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[Assistant] Woah. Woah. We're gonna go out and win that football game. Yeah, I mean, what do you think? That wasn't even the question. It wasn't like, well, do you think you can go out and win? Yeah, we think we can win. He was that, he went out of his way to guarantee that he's gonna go and win that football game.


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[Assistant] Clearly to me what that indicates is this team needs something like that right now. Right. They need their head coach to go out there and breathe some fire and motivate them. Uhm, I don't know that they were unmotivated against the Vikings, I just think they played a really good game beating them 38 to 20, but he seems to feel like his team needs a little fire right now.


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[Assistant] So let's talk about the Eagles real quick. What, what, what concerns you the most about them? I think Carson Wentz looked actually pretty good against the Vikings. They gave up 300 plus yards passing for the fourth time this season. They gave up 100 yards rushing for the first time this year. That's against Cook and the Vikings. So that's, I mean, a lot of teams do.


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[Assistant] On that 51 yard touchdown to Diggs, there was 4 yards of separation at the time of throw between Douglas and Diggs.


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[Assistant] Do you feel better about the Vikings now? Obviously it's two games in a row. Yeaah. It's like squeaky wheel. Yeaah. Gets the grease for two games in a row. Yeaah, both of them. Yeaah. Feeling week one, or this past week and then, uh, digs just on Sunday. 167 yards, three touchdowns for digs and Cousins threw the ball deep. They threw the ball deeper than any team in the NFL in week


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's interesting when you look at the, the downfield game with Sam Darnold as opposed to not having him. I was looking it up, the total air yards, which is the amount of time the air travels through the air for the first, you know, they've had a bye, but in the NFL, the Jets before this game,


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[Assistant] Didn't get the two point conversion. Uh, Jamal Adams came through untouched there. Greg Williams, I think, good play call by him.


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[Assistant] Yeah, one guy who can for the Cowboys. Amari Cooper got hurt early in the game. Yeah, that's big.


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[Assistant] Can I guess first? Okay. Uh, most aggressive. Most aggressive throwing into tight windows.


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[Assistant] Yes, well, you know, I just loved his game. I just think it was really fun. I mean, the 92-yard touchdown, uh, Robbie Anderson was a well thrown ball.


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[Assistant] You have to celebrate the victories. Right. And so we're going to celebrate a victory. Washington and Miami. This is what you said before the game.


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[Assistant] And we cut it off too when you say Rosen will be pulled, Fitz will come in, they'll drive down the field. This is two point conversion. I said all of those.


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[Assistant] It's not much better. What do you want to pull out of this Washington Miami game real quick? They benched Rosen, although Flores says that Rosen's still the starter, he just took him out because he wasn't playing very well.


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[Assistant] Coming into the week, Josh Rosen had the highest percentage of dropped passes in the NFL. There you go. At 9.5%. However, he also had the second highest percentage of poor throws in the NFL according to some guy who watches a game and writes them down.


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[Assistant] We give every- even if you're un- you know, unwinned. Yeah. Even if you're unwinned. Unwind. Not undefeated, unwinned. Unwind. We'll talk about you. I like that.


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[Assistant] So let's go deep dive, your first deep dive, and this is the first deep dive we've had all year where you've gone three pages. I know, right? So you normally go two. Yeah. We have three pages of rams versus 49ers.


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[Assistant] Obviously that's some him. Yeah, okay. Probably some offensive line. Yeah, a lot of. No Todd Gurley, that didn't help either. Right. So what, what did you see? What are the main things afflicting the Rams offense right now when you go to the deep dive?


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[Assistant] He's been, he's been hurt a little bit. He's had some injuries that he said he dealt with last year. But the thing is, last year in 12 of the 16 games, he played 89% of the snaps in 12 of the 16 games.


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[Assistant] This year, he's played over 50% of snaps just one time. He has not been on the field a whole lot. I haven't needed him, but he really, he was a big free agent sign. He hasn't been 100% and the defense still dominates.


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[Assistant] He really is. Yeah, you have Bossa here and you have Ford and you say that the, uh, the O line for the Rams was worried about the speed rush susceptible to the power rush.


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[Assistant] Are we good there with the 49ers D? Yea, I think we hit it all, yup. Right. So let's go over to the 49ers O, Rams D.


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[Assistant] Uh, 49ers did enough, you know, George Kittle was a star again, eight catches, 103 yards. That running game didn't go off like it did against the Browns, but still was able to kind of control something. Offensively, they weren't.


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[Assistant] They weren't great. There's no numbers that jump out at you. They do have injuries there on the offensive line. Yes, that's an issue. High use check was out. Those are big. That's going to hurt them.


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[Assistant] He was wide open. I tweeted out, Jimmy G period. There are concerns. And I got a lot of responses from people saying, no, he's not the problem. That was a bad, you know, Tevin Coleman should have caught that ball. He turned the wrong way. He's been great. He's been carrying them on this drive, which some of that might be true, but


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[Assistant] Do seem, but when I'm watching Jimmy Garoppolo, there are concerns for me. But what do you think?


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[Assistant] Uh, okay, and your big, uh, you have three stars by it, and you said it already. Yeah. Kyle Shanahan is just more creative than Sean McVay. So in the coaching rankings right now, you would put Kyle Shanahan above Sean McVay.


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[Assistant] Your pressure was not great. Tied for the second worst quarterback rating of any quarterback under pressure this week.


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[Assistant] Yeah, exactly. No, thank you. Right. Okay, alright, that was good. The deep, the deep dive. The deep dive. Let's go through, let's go through a couple other games. Yeah, let's do it. I'll give you a headline for some of these games. Okay. I like it. That I looked at. And let's go to the Seahawks, because...


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[Assistant] Because they're in the division with the uh, with the 49ers. And you said that the 49ers might be the class of the NFC. My headline for the Seahawks' victory over the Browns.


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[Assistant] And you're doing this without two of your, uh, your starters on the offensive line, the Seahawks were. Right. And they're running the ball still. Yeah. 24 for 124 for Chris Carson, who I found out, came into the week.


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[Assistant] Uh, with the second most rushing first downs of any running back. So as good as Russell Wilson's been, they've used Chris Carson to move the change more than basically any other back in the NFL. The more I looked at it, the more I was like,


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[Assistant] Yes. Uuuh, there's some issues. I mean, he looks so good at the end of last year, kind of a head-scratcher.


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[Assistant] He looks like it. I mean, and I think all these years of, of learning the offense, learning what defenses do, and it just seems like it's automatic. It's become automatic for Russell Wilson.


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[Assistant] Go Hawks. Go Hawks. Uh, and because you brought up the Saints, and because I think they are in the conversation. They are. For NFC's best team. Sure. Uh, they got the win over the Jaguars. 13-6 was the final score. Right. Uh, Teddy Bridgewater.


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[Assistant] Wins his fourth straight start, but my headline for this one would be same as it ever was because they started the year last year, 5-1. This year, no Drew Brees, no difference, 5-1.


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[Assistant] Dave stopped being aggressive everywhere because I was looking at this stat. Blitz is in the NFL. Uh, Saints came into the week with the fewest blitzes in the NFL.


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[Assistant] You were undefeated in your picks. Guess who else was undefeated in his pick in this game?


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[Assistant] The Pope. Pope Francis. Did you see that? The Pope is a nice guy. So here's what he did. He tweeted, he tweeted about, uh, about the new saints. We were reading it, uh, if you're watching on YouTube here today, we give thanks to the Lord for our new hashtag saints. And then you get the little saints logo there. What is it?


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[Assistant] Yes. I don't think he meant to do that, but. But now the NFL, everybody knows him. He's a good omen. Yeaah. And they, and they won. And Teddy Bridgewater, game manager, doing exactly what they want him to do. Second lowest bad throw percentage in the NFL according to Pro Football Reference.


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[Assistant] One more headline before we get to our second deep dive. Headliner! Texans and Chiefs.


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[Assistant] And, uh, this headline for Panthers Buccaneers. What do you think of this?


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[Assistant] Uh, Panthers won 37-26. My headline for this game, Panthers D makes Kyle Allen the story once again. So, you know, because the defense is so good, Kyle Allen winning his fourth straight start, just like Teddy Bridgewater, was the story because that defense is so good.


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[Assistant] Gerald McCoy had two and a half sacks himself, calling out what they do, he was helping them, he was scouting to, uhm, Panther's aggressive defense came into the week with the most blitzes in the NFL, they just get after, they get after, so it's a, Jameis Winston did not have a good game, not a lot of quarterbacks are gonna have a good game against that defense.


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[Assistant] A jury's still out. I mean, maybe, maybe it's not a match. Because, you know, you've talked about, uh, about Bruce Arians and how the quarterbacks make it hit. I mean, he's been hit more than any other quarterback in the league.


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[Assistant] He's had the, he has the second longest depth of target in the NFL. There you go, so he's being asked to throw big passes down the field a lot. Hold onto it long, throw it deep down field, that's what they're asking him to do, and it's, it's, there's been some big games for him, but there's also been games like we saw yesterday.


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[Assistant] You can say, I like it, or that was dumb. You're the judge of the headline. Okay, good, I like that. You wanna go deep dive? Yeah, you wanna get into it? Okay, let's go deep dive. But first, before we get into it, let's hear from the quarterbacks. We got Texas Chiefs, we got Deshaun Watson versus Patrick Mahomes. Here's what they were saying afterwards.


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[Assistant] Deep Dive, Chiefs Texans, so you heard Patrick Mahomes, you wanna start with the Chiefs O versus the Texans D then?


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's a good look. You pull back the hat a little bit so you can see the waves on the hairline. Yeah, that's a good call. And Patrick Mahomes too. I don't know, I mean like my voice is a little weird today. It feels like his voice is different this year than it was last year. Remember how everyone made a big deal about his voice? Like Kermit the Frog voice? Yeah, I feel like it's not that voice.


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[Assistant] Maybe I'm just more used to it, but I feel like he talks less Kermit the Frog. He's less Kermit-y this year. Go back to the way you were. Less Kermit-y, more hobbly though, because he does have that ankle injury. He doesn't think it's been affecting him. He threw three more touchdowns here, but he's clearly not as mobile as he would be if he didn't have that injury.


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[Assistant] He's really good. I mean, like, you think about it, and you think about, okay, he's a burner, right? He can just get separation, and the dude has a vertical leap that's insane on that first touchdown. Oh, you think he can dunk? Yeah, with his head made.


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[Assistant] Justin Reid was there. He was sitting there. He was in perfect position and Tyreek just jumped over him and took the ball from him. Uhm, so he obviously, I mean, it's one of those things we're talking about with the Cowboys, it's like, when you don't have them, of course you're going to be a little, uh, a little rough offensively. You're going to struggle to make plays.


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[Assistant] Deshaun Watson, good again. He had a couple TDs on the ground, 280 yards, one touchdown. Uh, this was kind of interesting when he got the ball out quick.


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[Assistant] Uh, two and a half seconds or less, he was 23-25. So it was like boom, boom, getting the ball out quick, making a lot of short passes, some intermediate areas. Uhm, so the numbers look pretty good for Watson here in the Texans. What did the film look like?


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[Assistant] Oh, that would be it. That would be him. Is that really what he did? Just to, like, before the game, like, hey guys, we're into it. I've got no teeth.


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[Assistant] Is for the Ravens, it's about to get real. So I think you win the game here, as a Bengals team you're supposed to be. You look good, Lamar was good, you know, 100 yard rushing game for him. Uh, fantastic. Fantastic. But they've got Seattle by New England, Cincinnati, but then Houston, Rams, San Francisco. Yes, so we're gonna know what they are. Gauntlet. Yeah.


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[Assistant] The Bengals look like a mess. Joe Mixon, 8 carries, 10 yards. Andy Dalton had 39 passes but still just only 235 yards. Wasn't like they were lighting it up.


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[Assistant] Devin Bush, that was all your offense you need. Yeah. Uh, he had, uh, he's been involved, there's been 14 turnovers this year.


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[Assistant] Uh, two interceptions this year, uh, four fumble recoveries, he's been good. Really good. They just, very surprising, the Chargers, how, how they just, it seemed like came out


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[Assistant] Yeah, the illegal gamble-izing, although they're going to make it legal gamble-izing throughout most of the country. Yes, I'm sure they will, because it's money. My second, uh, damn, okay, from this game is, uh, TJ Watt, brother of Derek Watt. We all know him. Half a sack, four quarterback hits, knocked down pass.


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[Assistant] Damn, okay, I like it. Uh, two more games real quick. Yeah. Cardinals beat the Falcons, 33 or 34-33. Yeah. Uh, my headline, Dan Quinn took over play calling duties on defense, may want to reevaluate. That's my headline. It's a long headline, but that's what I think.


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[Assistant] On Cardinal's Falcons, although 60, yeah, that probably hit the over at that.


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[Assistant] Belkins to me are kinda like uhm, a guy who's been at the same job for like 30 years and is just kinda clocking in now. It kinda feels like they get into work and they're just like, hey how's it going? You know, you show up, you play the game, you go home, it's more about the weekend now for you. You know what I mean? It kinda seems like


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[Assistant] You go from a couple of really bad defenses to our final game to talk about. That is, uh, one of the best defenses in the league with the Broncos. They shut out the Titans 16 to nothing. My headline? Four and two Broncos improved to two and four. So I think they, uh, lost by two points.


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[Assistant] Mike Grable, they got, uh, they got the Chargers.


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[Assistant] Uh, coming to Tennessee. Yep. If you had to choose A, to start Marcus Mariota. Yep. B, Ryan Tannehill. Yes. Or C, none of the above. It doesn't matter. No. What would you pick? I'm going Tannehill. They can beat...


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[Assistant] We need to make a pick. Yup. And, uh, even though I am, uh, in my upper 30s, and the Lions... How old are you? 39. Okay, I'm 39 too. And the Lions have never won in Green Bay in my lifetime. That's not true, but it just seems like that. They won last year, I'm pretty sure. Uhm, I'm gonna go with Detroit.


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[Assistant] You want to do some, uh, what, some hits for Premier League? Some rugby updates. It's fun to do the early game highlights. Oh, you got a lot of good games. Yeah. Yeah. Good. Okay. Cool. Yeah. All right. Crystal actually, Chris sits in the big room and very studious.


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[Assistant] Shanahan, he's been good almost every single game in Colin plays. Right. You've been way out in front of this one.


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[Assistant] The way it went down yesterday, the amount of creativity, the amount of different kind of run plays and pass plays and uh, trickery. Do you think it was because of necessity? Because he knew, I gotta empty it all out to have a chance of beating this guy in this building? Or was it some showmanship in that I'm up against another guy who might be the best play caller in the game and I'm gonna outdo him?


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[Assistant] I normally think of creative with past formations and the kind of plays, but


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[Assistant] The run game creativity was there as well yesterday. Which one do you think made a bigger difference in the win?


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[Assistant] But in that building against that defense, 16 carries for 123 yards. Yeaah. That's big time. Who else is gonna go down there and do that?


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[Assistant] And I think that the numbers of the top two receivers reflect that. If you look at what the Saints do, and we'll get into their office more, it's much more conservative.


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[Assistant] They often will get less than 10 yards on a completion and that's good. That's what they're looking for. You look at the top two receivers for San Francisco, Sanders and I'm drawing a point. Debo Samuel. Yes. Well over 12, 13 yards per catch.


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[Assistant] I did think in comparing the two that the Saints were more aggressive. Yeaah. They more often would have 5-6 guys on the line. You're like, I don't know who's coming. 100%.


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[Assistant] You, you, you kind of brought us to a great jumping off point though. You talk about the games now in the forties. Right. Uh, we're, we're talking about the fourth quarter. Yep. Let's get into the fourth down play. Perhaps, I mean, definitely the biggest play of the game. Sure. Maybe that the signature play of the entire NFL season so far. Fourth down and two, the big conversion, I think 39 yards from Garoppolo to Kittle.


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[Assistant] While I was watching that play for maybe the uh, 14th or 15th time. Right. This morning and watching you draw it up there. Yeaah. It's a little bit like deja vu that this is the second time in the last month we've been talking about NSC game. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] Fourth down, critical moment late in the game, with someone lined up to the inside.


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[Assistant] You're going with a guy running an out breaking route. Who's a professional?


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[Assistant] Under the heading of, people were willing to pat him on the back. Hey, your team's playing well, but it's because of your defense. I need to see, and I'm kind of paraphrasing what I hear from people.


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[Assistant] I need to see more from you. Right. I don't quite, I don't not trust you, but I don't totally trust you either. Right. So it was a giant moment for him. Not only the end of the game, but really the entire four quarters. Agreed. And you walked away thinking what?


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[Assistant] I feel like you like Shanahan's game a little bit more than Garoppolo's. Yeah, I think that's fair. I watched just with that in mind one time this morning, uh, three observations. See if you agree or not. Number one, and I'm thinking about things that he does.


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[Assistant] In addition, or I guess to enhance what Kyle Shanahan does as a play caller. Uh, number one, his accuracy on the in-breaking routes from 518 yards, not just yesterday, but the last two or three weeks has been right on.


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[Assistant] So I think that's been really good. Uh, number two, he's made a couple of plays outside the scheme. Yeah, rolling out to his left, thrown back across his body for the touchdown. Come on. I've heard in too late in the game running. So he's done a little bit more.


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[Assistant] Uh, but with the number of things they do in the run game, with the quick pitches and the fakes, I think this ball handling...


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[Assistant] I'm giving me head quarter. I'll take it with the movie airplane. Yes. Yes, I do. Yes. There was some scene in there where they're going to go get Ted striker. Right. I was talking about because he's a guy who always felt a little too much on the inside and I don't think Jimmy Garoppolo is a guy. You'd say he's feeling too much on the inside. He's got just


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[Assistant] Saints offense? Yep. Alright. So, 46 points, they lose, and this image I have in my mind recently of the Niners defense, I mean think about what Aaron Rodgers looked like against them. Right. I mean it was, it was complete mismatch. Complete mismatch. No chance. Right. Even though the Seahawks beat them, it was so difficult for Russell Wilson, that was an MVP kind of performance just to


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[Assistant] It has at times seemed almost impossible for a quarterback in an offense to look good for four quarters against this defense. So the Saints go with 46 points and when you think about what they want to do and their identity, it looked exactly like New Orleans.


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[Assistant] The way they've always done it. My point is the Niners didn't throw them off really at all for a large part of that game. Why?


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[Assistant] Right. He was, he was well over 70% and around 12 yards for completion, which for the Saints offense means they're clicking along very, very well. No other team has had this kind of consistent success against the Niners defense throughout the game. So you know that like the Seahawks play them in week 17.


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[Assistant] The teams they have coming up, they're going to watch. We don't have Drew Brees, we don't have Sean Payton, but we're going to learn from this. We're going to see what went well. What can another team pluck and put into their game?


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[Assistant] One concern I do have, uh, Kamara, 17 touches, 43 yards. Yeah. Aberration or reason to be like, you know what? This guy's not as effective.


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[Assistant] NFC playoff contenders. Let's take a peek if you're watching on YouTube with us. If not, we will, uh, we'll just say what we're looking at. First seed right now, the Niners at 11 and 2. How about the Packers out there to the second seed? Crazy. At the 10 and 3 record. The Saints drop down to number 3. The Cowboys


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[Assistant] Six and seven are down at four and Seattle has the fifth spot right now. Minnesota the sixth spot at nine and four.


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[Assistant] And we are gonna get to the Packers in a little bit. But you saw the Rams there on the list. Back from the dead at 8 and 5. Couple of straight wins after that debacle against the Ravens. Is everything fixed now?


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[Assistant] I'm free to move on, yes. Yes. You're allowed to move on. Elsewhere in the NFC, Packers 20, Redskins 15. Yeah. How about this for a headline? Packers ride, Aaron, dot, dot, dot. The other one. Jones. Yeah.


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[Assistant] And before we get into our deep dive number two, which gets us to the AFC and the Chiefs 23 Patriots 16, uh, let's check out some Twitter response. Best word to describe the Patriots right now. We got a lot of reactions here and I know you tweeted this one out. Yeah, because I mean, frauds.


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[Assistant] It's getting to be a bigger sample size. Ever since the calendar turned to November. Right.


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[Assistant] Two and three of the last five games. And whether it's last night against Kansas City, Chris, or two weeks ago against Dallas, or a month ago in Philadelphia.


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[Assistant] Yeah, we saw it from you, and you know it. What? You don't have a plan for it? How dare you? So Steve Spagnolo had a good game plan. Yes. Uh, in the back end, the Chiefs, uh, no surprise, liked their matchups and won the matchups. And they got to be easy against past catchers. Yes, they do. Right. So next biggest problem that you saw yesterday, this can also go to the bigger problem New England's been having, like we talked about since November started. Right. Is it Tom Brady? Yeah. Or is it the offensive line?


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[Assistant] Which brings me to one of the key plays. Yeaah. I'm counting on you knowing this game pretty well. Yeaah, I got it. I know you do. Got it, yeaah. Okay, fourth down and seven. Yeaah. Twenty-seven. It's, it's late in the game in the second half. Yeaah. Kansas City's winning. Slot safety. Yeaah. Who's over Edelman.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna say he was two or three yards open. Yeah. Brady had to stand in against that free.


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[Assistant] Blitzer. Right. And make a good throw. Right. Didn't do it. Didn't do it. Now that's, it's a really high standard because he had a guy in his face. Yeah. He had a full head of steam coming at him. Right. But he just flat out missed the throw. Yes. Is that when Spagnolo, great defense, way to go or Tom Brady, you missed that one. And it's example of him not wanting to get hit and not as good as he used to be.


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[Assistant] And he didn't say it and hide behind it. He said it a couple times and he came back to it later in the game too.


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[Assistant] The main story there about that sequence, the Patriots had first and goal from the five and didn't score. Right. Yea, right. And how often do we ever see that? Right? Right. It's very rare. And the opposing defensive coordinator coming back and kind of wrapping it all together, what you talked about with Steve Spagnolo, was willing to say, I'm going to play one on one with these three receivers and I'm going to win.


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[Assistant] He threw a 25 yard in route. Yes. And, I mean, it's amazing that he has the ability to do that, but I mean, I watched that over and over and I'm like, I think a 25 yard in route is open because nobody else does it.


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[Assistant] Right, the third and 19, the second and 25, and then we're getting back to the Patriots offense, but then Brady threw the pick on the next play.


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[Assistant] Somehow the corner ended up, I mean, I want to say he accidentally ended up.


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[Assistant] Texans, ehh, kinda game yesterday. 8-5, they're the fourth seed.


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[Assistant] Buffalo has the fifth spot and Pittsburgh the final wild card position with Tennessee, Cleveland, Oakland, and Indy kind of lurking behind Tennessee in the best position there.


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[Assistant] Which is something that you've talked about all season. Finding a way to confuse the quarterback. That little bit of hesitation with the offensive line in the QB as well. Broncos 38, Texans 24. How's this for headline? Lock and roll. Lock and roll, baby!


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[Assistant] It's been a nightmare season for them. Right. If you have that kind of young talent and a young quarterback with that kind of talent with a strong December. Definitely.


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[Assistant] Watch out. Before we move on, Texans. They've been so good recently. Luke's really poor yesterday. Yeah.


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[Assistant] How much concern are you gonna get in the past? Or are you like, boy.


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[Assistant] Hey, next three weeks, Texans play the Titans two times. Yeaah. As long as we're talking Titans, they win again. Yeaah. Double up on the Raiders, huge second half, they win 42-21. Uh, Ryan Tannehill, we'll talk about how he's playing in a moment. Yeaah. Did you see his hit on the interception?


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[Assistant] Rodney Harrison was like, Can't you relate to being just so pissed off and getting like 30 yards downfield and just laying somebody out?


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[Assistant] Yeah. Most dangerous team outside of Baltimore in the AFC.


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[Assistant] I wonder how sustainable it is. I know. Now we're parrying it down to the best team in the AFC. Right. And you could run through it, even though the Patriots have issues, there's reasons to be worried about, can we beat that team? Yeaah. Tennessee, we just talked about them. I just wonder if Pittsburgh can win in January with an offense that's that.


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[Assistant] Bangles 19, I should say elsewhere in the AFC North. Headline, Browns win vs. Bangles lose vs. Drama. Say what you want about Cleveland. This is team number one. You're sick of them, huh?


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[Assistant] So tired of this team. Yeah, right. Tired of the drama. Yep. Tired of the BS. Right. So I mean, go ahead and talk about the Cleveland offense or any drama, but I'm tired of these guys.


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[Assistant] It's always an interesting thing to keep your eyes on. No matter who they're playing, how many wins they have. Right. He's, his good is great.


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[Assistant] His good is like, as good as anybody you're gonna find in football. Okay, as long as you're talking, uh, great. Yeah. Pop quiz here. Who has the most all-time games? 300 passing yards, three touchdowns, and three picks.


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[Assistant] Yeaah. Alright, best two weeks for a kicker that involve non-kicking related activities. Yeaah. Young Hoku.


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[Assistant] We could very easily, a couple times coming up, go 25 out of 30 for 350 and four touches. No doubt about it.


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[Assistant] Were you? Yeaah. Then let's go with that $5 bet again. How many points you giving me?


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[Assistant] What do you mean next time? Next time implies that there's ever been a time that I've been there. And I'd like to rewind to June, July, August. I'm sure we have the receipts here. Oh, we're gonna get together this year on some Saturday nights. I'm gonna have you come over to the house. We'll hang out, we'll have fun.


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[Assistant] I didn't get a single invitation the entire season. Not one invitation. So there is no next time. There was no first time. There can't be a next if there wasn't a first.


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[Assistant] The restaurant in Greenwich that has the 16 inch New York strip with the bone in. I want to go back and get that with, they bring it out, the nice presentation. They put the plate up, they put a little plate under it so it's tilted and it's all pre-cut. That thing was awesome.


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[Assistant] Story to tell, inspired by the photo, the evil Roger Goodell photo. Who do we see in Santa Clara? Who do we see? We see Roger Goodell. And Chris is like, Oh, hello, Mr. Goodell. Nice to see you. And it's like, what the hell, Mr. Goodell? Hey Roger, how are you? So we start talking and Chris is like, Hey, Hey, we use a picture of me.


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[Assistant] Like, like, he's got time to hang out and hear Chris's story. We use a picture of me, and it kinda looks like you. And we say that I'm Roger Goodell's evil twin.


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[Assistant] His evil twin, it's you with that crazy photo we've used all year.


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[Assistant] You know, we talked earlier about one of us going first for one game and the other one going first. I don't care about that. You know your picks. I know my picks. I've been leading off all year. Okay. And here's what I did between the end of PFT live and the start of our taping of the PFT PM Christmas on button joint mega picks podcast.


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[Assistant] I went back and I watched all of the 49ers Packers game from week 12. The NFL game pass, excellent. You can watch a whole game in 30 to 45 minutes and you really have, you know, you gotta, for me it's hard.


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[Assistant] I gotta turn off the phone, I gotta eliminate the distractions, and I watched it, I took notes, I thought about it, and I understand what happened in that game, and we'll talk about that game later. I didn't have to watch all


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[Assistant] of the Titans Chiefs game. I believe based upon the first half of that game


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[Assistant] That the Chiefs are gonna win this game, and the Chiefs are gonna cover the spread, because Patrick Mahomes was not Patrick Mahomes in that game.


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[Assistant] Because he was just coming back from that dislocated knee. He wasn't moving in that game like he moved against the Texans.


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[Assistant] on Sunday. He's at home this week. They've got confidence. They erased that 24-0 deficit. I think they should have blown out the Titans the first time around. It's a little play here, a little play there. You don't appreciate it until you watch the full game and understand the moments that keep a game close, that cause a game to go one way or the other.


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[Assistant] I just think the mere fact that Patrick Mahomes has his full physical abilities is enough of a difference. Cause Derek, Henry still had 188 rushing yards back in week 10.


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[Assistant] And the Titans won by only three points. You give Mahomes his full capacity.


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[Assistant] This is a game the Chiefs win by 10, 34 to 24. So much, the cushion, it wasn't the whole game, but sometimes the cushion that was given to the Chiefs receivers was glaring. If you give them that cushion this time around, Patrick Holm's gonna take it.


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[Assistant] And if you don't give them the cushion, guys are going to be running right by the Titans defensive backs. I think they're going to be ready for anything. They're going to be ready for everything. And Andy Reid and company are going to be ready to roll. And I think they're going to win this as much as I like the story of the Titans with Derek Henry and Ryan Tanejo and Mike Vrabel. I just don't think they're good enough to hang with this Chiefs team.


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[Assistant] You know, the arm or the helmet on the football, Damian Williams, the ball pops out. Exactly. The guy picks it up in full stride and he's gone and it's 14-10 Tennessee. Exactly right.


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[Assistant] And what happened in the first half of that, of that prior meeting, week 10, the Chiefs had the long sustained drives where it was work the ball, work the ball, work the ball. You know, the Titans had 13 points in the first half and they only had 13 snaps.


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[Assistant] You know, being patient, even if the titans are taking long, uh,


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[Assistant] Better than he did last time and based on what we saw against the Texans, he can move much better than he was moving.


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[Assistant] That first game back from the dislocated knee and the ankle is now healed. I think that will be a huge difference. I think he'll be even better. He won't miss those wide open guys. And even with the limited mobility, Chris, there were two different stretches in that game by the middle of the third quarter where he completed nine passes in a row.


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[Assistant] And I also think, and let's psychoanalyze Patrick Holmes for a moment, he's on the front end of his career. Yep.


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[Assistant] Last year lost in overtime to the Patriots in the AFC Championship game and he had to stand on the sidelines and watch it happen in overtime. I think the combination of that desire to get it done with the ball in his hands


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[Assistant] And it'll be fine. And I think he's, he's anxious for that chance to prove that he can do it. Just like he was anxious to prove that can come back from down 24-0. He's anxious to prove that starting at 0-0 against the Titans, the Chiefs can just blow the doors off of them. And who knows, maybe it'll be worse.


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[Assistant] These are the Chiefs. And the Chiefs are a cut above what the Titans beat in New England. And I think it was a little fluky on Saturday night in Baltimore. I think the Ravens got a little freaked out.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they got freaked out, they were rusty, and they took that early punch, it was the Buster Douglas game, they took that early punch, it knocked them down, and they couldn't recover from it. I don't think the Chiefs are gonna fall victim to that, they've got the playoff experience, they've got the desire, everything is lining up in their favor, and uh, I'm, you know, it won't surprise me if the Titans win,


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[Assistant] But I think all the indications are the Chiefs of the Better Team and Patrick Mahomes will lead them to victory.


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[Assistant] I think he's gonna be between 100 and 125 because I think at some point the Chiefs are gonna pull away or begin to pull away and the Titans are gonna have to abandon the run.


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[Assistant] Or if the Chiefs do the, the, the defense that forces things to a head, if the Titans are taking up too much time on the clock and, and they take risks and maybe he pops one through as they put a bunch of guys at the line of scrimmage, then that's a possibility also. The weather is, uh, not going to be a factor. Dry, clear and cold, high teens at kickoff, but the wind, eh, it looks like it's going to be in the neighborhood of,


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[Assistant] 10 miles an hour. Nothing that should affect the game, but it is going to be cold. It is going to be cold.


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[Assistant] And it hurts a little bit more when you hit in the cold, but that's going to affect both teams. But, uh, you know, trying to chop down Derek Henry, you may have some guys that aren't willing to dive in, uh, and go at it. Uh, so maybe, I don't know, maybe the cold favors the Titans just a little bit, but as long as the wind isn't an issue.


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[Assistant] You ready? On to the big one. On to the big one. I don't think I'm ready. I don't know. I may change my mind a couple times.


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[Assistant] Well, you know, I had been wanting to go back and watch that game from start to finish, or at least start to the point where I think I understand what went on.


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[Assistant] A, a, a, a bullying of the Packers by the 49ers. A couple of moments early on that helped lay the foundation for the hole that the Packers found themselves in. First drive of the game.


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[Assistant] Packers are moving, Devontae Adams gets a first down, and he gets into it with a 49ers defensive back, gets called for unnecessary roughness, 15 yard penalty, that took the steam out of that drive. They still had the first down, but instead of the 40, they're at the 25. And it was on that drive, third and 10, the walls close in on Aaron Rodgers, the ball comes out,


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[Assistant] The 49ers get on the 5, first play Tevin Coleman scores a touchdown at 7-0 just like that. Right. And then, and then later they started to play the field position game.


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[Assistant] There was a weird fumble by Jimmy Garoppolo and the ball like squirts out into the backfield. Anything can happen when, when something like that transpires. 49ers got lucky. They recovered it. Then there was a third and five where


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[Assistant] There was a, I think a sack by Adrian Amos. All illegal use of hands, hands to the face on Kevin King extends the drive that ultimately becomes a field goal for the 49ers and makes it 10-0 when the Packers are in position to get the ball back and maybe not have


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[Assistant] Bad field position cause they were losing that field position battle at the time. So you know, you take away some of that stuff and I think, I think the Packers had horrendous clock management at the end of the half when it was 20 to nothing. They got the ball back with less than a minute.


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[Assistant] Uh, Jamal Williams runs out of bounds with a screen pass. Aaron Rodgers misses Devonte Adams. There's a sack. 49ers take their time out. They get right down the field. It's 23-0. I mean, there's a huge psychological difference between 20-0 and 23-0 in my mind. And then, second half. Packers go down and score. It's 23-8.


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[Assistant] And the 49ers like bang, bang, gone. It just makes me wonder what kind of adjustments Kyle Shanahan made at halftime to exploit that defense because they found George Kittle over the top.


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[Assistant] And it was 30 to 8 like that, and that's when the game was over. At that point, you're done. It's over, it's midway, or close to the end of the third quarter, 22 point lead, it's done at that point. And I think you take away a few of those moments. And also, also,


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[Assistant] You know, Aaron Rodgers wasn't as on as he was Sunday against the Seahawks. If he's that guy, if he's that guy on Sunday against the Seahawks, uh, that he was on Sunday against the Seahawks, this Sunday against the 49ers, there was a long throw to Devontae Adams.


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[Assistant] That Akila Witherspoon was in position to kind of keep from hitting because it was overthrown. Jimmy Graham.


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[Assistant] Yeah, if Aaron Rodgers is the guy he was on Sunday, the 49ers need to worry about this one. Right. They need to worry. Let me get your initial thought before I tell you my pick. Don't make your pick, just give me your initial thought.


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[Assistant] And then there's the Garoppolo-Rogers duel, and I don't think anybody would say Garoppolo is even close to the stratosphere that Aaron Rodgers occupies. And as we said multiple times during today's PFT Live, the idea that Aaron Rodgers is keenly aware that this may be it for him. That these opportunities don't come very often.


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[Assistant] He was so dialed in last week, and I know that things can change dramatically from one week to the next. Just ask the Vikings how they played in New Orleans versus how they played in San Francisco. But I feel like Aaron Rodgers


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[Assistant] Has that, that will, that desire, and you put it with the abilities. Here's one thing I think the Packers need to do too, Chris. They need to get Aaron Rodgers out of the pocket quicker. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Because the times he had trouble was when he tried to linger in the pocket too long. He needs to escape faster like a Russell Wilson does. Because he's got the ability


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[Assistant] That ability when you're standing on the sideline in the middle of this crucible with thousands and thousands and thousands of people and all kinds of stuff going on.


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[Assistant] Do you have that ability to slow the world down and say, now is the time, I'm gonna make this


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[Assistant] Calm, dispassionate decision. Now is the time to drop the hammer and get it into no huddle. But I think that's when I would use it. I wouldn't come out of the gates with it. I would wait until I feel like my offense is starting to get them worn down, starting to get them on the ropes.


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[Assistant] Boom. No huddle. And that's how I would use it. I wouldn't use it all game. I don't think they need to use it all game. They just need to avoid some of the shit that screwed them up the last time early if they can withstand the early blows from the 49ers.


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[Assistant] Garoppolo far more likely to self-urinate himself than Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay, here we are. Here we are. We're at the moment. Oh, I got one more thing to say too. Yeah, go ahead. And we talked earlier about


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[Assistant] Which guy is most likely to be our coach this weekend? It was one of the what's more likely topics on PFT live and we both said Matt LaFleur. There was one moment.


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[Assistant] Think about it. Think about it. Think about it. Yeah, here's my pick. And the thing about Aaron Rodgers, as I said, keenly aware of his football mortality, coming home to Northern California to play the team that passed over him in 2005, his first year without Mike McCarthy,


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[Assistant] And an opportunity to show everyone that maybe he would have been in the Super Bowl a few more times over the past decade if there were different circumstances in Green Bay. But this is all lining up.


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[Assistant] And I understand 49ers fans are gonna lose their shit over this. Oh, you hate the 49ers. No, I'm trying to be right.


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[Assistant] I believe, and no one's ever accused me of being in the Aaron Rodgers fan club by the way. No. But I believe based on what we saw from Aaron Rodgers this past weekend, and what we saw in that game week 12,


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[Assistant] And I really do put more of what happened on Saturday on the Vikings than I do on the 49ers. I think it could have been a closer game. Jimmy Garoppolo.


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[Assistant] That maybe the Packers aren't going to be as charitable as the Vikings about and they'll grab that ball and they'll do something with it. But if the Packers can avoid the kind of screw ups that punctuated the first half of that game and allowed San Francisco to get that 23 to nothing lead, the Packers can keep it close.


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[Assistant] And if they keep it close, because of that 37 to 8 outcome in week 12, it favors the Packers down the stretch. I see the Packers stealing this one, Chris Sims, 24.


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[Assistant] Andy Reid taking on the Packers in the Super Bowl in Miami. That's what I see. Chiefs Packers Super Bowl 54. And, uh, uh, I don't know how confident I am about it, but at some point you gotta take your hand off the checker.


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[Assistant] 14-7 in the first half and Jimmy Garoppolo serves up an interception deep in his own end. Aaron Rodgers will not settle for a field goal, right? I agree with that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean that's what I keep coming back to. I know. Kirk Cousins vs. Jimmy Garoppolo is basically that meme of the two Spider-Men pointing at each other. Right. Aaron Rodgers...


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[Assistant] Uh, versus Jimmy Garoppolo is, uh, something else that I can't think of anything good to say, but it's a, it's a mismatch. It's a mismatch. And I think that's going to be the difference. And that's going to freak out Jimmy Garoppolo the same way he was freaked out last week, but got away with it. He's going to be freaked out again. And this time it's going to make the 49ers pay.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I agree with you completely, and he is a lot like my homes in that he can make what they call the funny body throw, where your feet aren't planted. You don't have...


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[Assistant] The right mechanics. Your body's moving. Your arm's at weird angles. You're flipping. You know a lot of that, yea, that's the sidearm stuff. Watch Aaron Rodgers closely. He's the original Patrick Mahomes. That's right. It just, it just got a lot sexier with Mahomes because of the no look throw and the left handed throw. But Rodgers does a lot of the same things. Yup. And I, I say move that platform.


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[Assistant] Move that platform to get away from those beasts that are going to be chasing them around.


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[Assistant] And that's a way to tire those guys out. Think about the contrast.


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[Assistant] For the front four of the San Francisco 49ers. Last week, you got, you got a statue standing there in Kirk Cousins. All you gotta do is go up and give him a shove and he's on the ground. This week, you're rocky.


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[Assistant] Yeah, alright, next one, more receiving yards, Travis Kelsey or Tyree Kill.


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[Assistant] Kelsey's a little banged up from last week. Tyree Kill had not a great performance last year in the FC Championship game. The Patriots did a good job of bottling him up. He had that one long catch. Uh, the three catches for 41 yards against the Texans. He's going to be extra motivated and I think they're going to find ways to get the ball to him. I agree with you. I think he's going to have.


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[Assistant] More yardage than Travis Kelsey. Derek Henry, Titans running back over under 109.5 rushing yards.


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[Assistant] And I really do think that the Titans are going to get forced away from the running game at some point and that's going to limit his yardage. I'll go under with you on that one as well. All right, AJ Brown, Titans receiver, great rookie from Mississippi, teammate of DK Metcalf over under 61 and a half receiving yards.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and, and, you know, in that first game, we saw the play action.


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[Assistant] Uh, the long throw to Kaleef Raymond, initially was ruled a touchdown, but it was brought back to about the 20. I mean, I, I don't know that I want to do that if I'm the Titans though. I don't know the play action helps me. I don't want to strike quickly against the Chiefs. I don't want their offense back on the field, but you know, the opportunities may be there, especially if Derrick Henry starts, uh,


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[Assistant] The opportunity for Raymond or Brown or someone else to get over the top. So I'll go over on that one as well.


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[Assistant] Alright, you got some for the Green Bay San Fran game? Yeaah, here we go. More passing yards versus a simple one. Jimmy Garoppolo or Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] I agree with you on that. And I just think that Jimmy Garoppolo win or lose. I don't think Jimmy Garoppolo is going to have huge numbers. I think it's going to come from that running game and from that fear that Kyle Shanahan surely has that if he tries to put the thing on Jimmy Garoppolo's shoulders, it's not going to work out for the 49ers. Packers running back Aaron Jones over under 64 and a half rushing yards.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I agree with you on that. I think he's a key to this. I think having him just, just sometimes you just have to run the ball just as a change of pace. You can't be in shotgun formation. You can't be passing the ball every down, every down, every down. I think the defense gets into a groove that way where they get more comfortable defending you. You have to mix it up.


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[Assistant] Just for the purposes of keeping the defense a little bit off balance. So they think there's a chance it's going to be a running play when you, uh, when you do decide to throw it. All right, more receptions. Avante Adams of the Packers or George Kittle of the 49ers.


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[Assistant] I'm going Adams too. We're agreeing on all these damn things, but you're right. I think Adams is going to be a key to the offense. He's a guy that they have a hard time stopping. And if the Packers win, it's going to be in part because Devontae Adams had a big day like we saw him have with 160 yards.


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[Assistant] A postseason Packers record against the Seahawks. More receiving yards in the game. This is the two 49ers top receivers, Emmanuel Sanders and Deebo Samuel. Who has more?


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[Assistant] And Samuel had the 42 yard catch and run that made the score ultimately with the extra point 20 to nothing back in week 12. I think that the Packers would rather have Emmanuel Sanders chew them up with shorter catches than, than to allow themselves to get caught.


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[Assistant] And you know, the kind of play that would give Jimmy Garoppolo the confidence that he's not going to piss and or shit down his leg. That's the kind of thing that gets him locked in and makes him feel good about himself. You don't want to give up a garbage long touchdown to Debo Samuel. So I think they're going to look to take him away, which makes Sanders more likely to have more receiving yardage. So we agree on way too many of those.


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[Assistant] But, but, but, you know, we agree on the Packers covering the spread. You took, you took San Fran to win by seven. So, you've got the Packers covering by a half point with their seven and a half. But, uh, you know, and now that we disagree on only one game straight up,


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[Assistant] You need the 49ers to win, and then you need us to disagree, and you need to be right on the Super Bowl pick, or I clinch the straight up competition.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I have nothing to say. I have nothing to say because I don't talk about it like you do. Alright, on to best bets, Chris. Get us started.


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[Assistant] I wanted to go with one of the over-unders, but I have to have a feeling that it's going to go one way or the other. I have to have a strong feeling before I'll do it. And neither of them gives me that strong feeling. So I think the Chiefs are going to cover the seven and a half point spread.


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[Assistant] That's the easy one for me. The harder one is what's gonna happen in San Francisco and Green Bay. Uh, so, uh, Chiefs, minus 7.5 to cover. Best bet.


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[Assistant] And I got 2421, so it's right on the number. That's one of the reasons why I didn't mess with it. And with, you know, the Chiefs Titans number is so high, I don't, I don't know. I mean, if it's a blowout...


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[Assistant] You're going to have a hard time getting to the 52. Uh, unless, I mean, now the Chief scored 51 points alone last week. It's kind of weird to see 52 or thereabouts as the number 52.5 when the Chiefs are coming off of 51, but I didn't want to mess with it. I'm going to go Kansas City to cover and, uh, you've got Green Bay.


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[Assistant] Friday is, uh, answer any and all questions people have and then Tuesday we'll do the conference championship award with MDS. Right.


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[Assistant] I'm with Andrew from Bridgeport, West Virginia, Mike's house. Hey, two years ago, I knew that Patrick Mahomes was going to be the real deal. He showed that thing when he was a Texas Tech. He'd sit on one knee and throw the ball 50 yards.


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[Assistant] I'm going for a Johnny Cash thing, you know, one of my favorite lines of the Walk the Line movie, which is like 14 years old now, when River, what's his name, Joaquin Phoenix, who plays Johnny Cash in the movie, in All Black, somebody says, what's with the black, looks like you're going to a funeral, and he says, maybe I am.


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[Assistant] We had the broom thing ready to go in reverse so I could do that, your little carrot top trick from last week. You got lucky with the bills.


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[Assistant] They're good, and they impressed us unexpectedly last week by beating the Titans in Nashville. But I think the Texans have too much on the line in this one, and I think that they have too much firepower. And without Mike Evans and Chris Goblin, I just don't think Jameis Winston can have the same kind of game that we've seen from him in the recent past. So I'm gonna go.


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[Assistant] In week four, and I'm waiting for, as we talked about earlier today on PFT Live, Josh Allen being unleashed as a runner. I just don't think they're ready to do it yet because even if they would beat the Patriots on Saturday,


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[Assistant] It doesn't mean they win the division. The Patriots would still have to lose to the Dolphins next weekend in order for the Bills to have a shot at toppling the Patriots and ending that decade long hammerlock on the AFC East. So I don't think they unleashed Josh Allen as a runner in this game, especially after what the Patriots did to Allen when he was running the ball.


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[Assistant] Understand the stakes who recognize that they don't want to play wild card weekend. This is more than just not winning the division. They don't want to have to host a team. You don't want to host a team on wild card weekend. The last time they did that, they got shredded by the Ravens after the 2009 regular season. So I think the Patriots win 17 to 10. I'm going to cause


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[Assistant] them to cover by a half point with my prediction. And, and I think it will be under that man. That may be one of my best bets. The, the Bill's Patriots under even at 36 and a half. I think this will be a low scoring game. So I've got 17 to 10, one more point for the Patriots than the last time around. Same point production from the Bill's Patriots win and win the division.


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[Assistant] They did their Wednesday report on Tuesday since they placed Saturday. Their Wednesday report, which would be the equivalent of the Thursday report, it had him on there with a thumb injury, fully participating in practice.


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[Assistant] I really, we weren't impressed by either team last week, but I think the 49ers should be able to do this. They understand that they cannot limp into week 17 at Seattle. They cannot limp into the postseason or they won't last very long.


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[Assistant] Then keep Caldwell too. I'm a fun believer in equal accountability. Both stay or both go. Cause you get on the New York Jets track and it feels like the Jets have been on this track


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[Assistant] Ravens fans get upset, and they still give it to you. Oh no, the Browns organization did not move to Baltimore. The names and the record stayed behind. The Browns just went into hiatus for a couple of years. The Browns didn't move to Baltimore. A football team moved from Cleveland to Baltimore, but it was not the Browns.


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[Assistant] Can also not deny the fact that the Browns somehow beat the Ravens back in Week 4. Chris, I know that you believe there are concerns there from a matchup standpoint. Can they stop Nick Chubb? Yada yada.


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[Assistant] I enjoy college football less generally because I believe the players are being grossly exploited and it gets worse each and every year as the game gets bigger and bigger and the players don't get compensated fairly for the risks they take, their sacrifices, their efforts, etc.


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[Assistant] There was so much hype about Will Greer as an NFL prospect. He's gonna play this week. Look, I think the Panthers are in not so subtle tank mode. I think this was an ownership call.


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[Assistant] Better than the Panthers. This one could get ugly. I like the Colts and I've only gone a 10 point spread here. My pick is 27-17.


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[Assistant] I think it could be worse than that, and I think Will Greer is gonna find out that there are fundamental differences between Big 12 and NFL defenses, and he's gonna find it out quickly.


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[Assistant] Yeah, let me tell you something. You are incredibly incorrect on that. That is fake news. That is not true at all. And I give you Super Bowl IX as Exhibit A as to what my true feelings are about the Pittsburgh Steelers, although I am accused all the time of being a Steelers fan. Well, Super Bowl IX was Viking Steelers, right? Exactly. And who won that game?


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[Assistant] I've been partial to the Seahawks the past couple of years because I'm one of the few that's been saying they aren't rebuilding, they're reloading, watch them get back in the Super Bowl before you know it. So you want to be right so you kind of root for that outcome.


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[Assistant] I like the Steelers to win this game. I don't know why, it's like every other week, and maybe I should have learned last week, but what do the Jets really have that can compete with the Steelers? And I know Jamal Adams may be back, which would be a huge potential difference for Duck Hodges, but the Steelers are still alive for a playoff berth.


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[Assistant] And, and I think even, even though this is a dangerous game for the Steelers and Le'Veon Bell is going to be determined to try to get a little revenge on Pittsburgh, I think Pittsburgh wins the game 23 to 17. I don't feel incredibly strongly about it. I do feel somewhat strongly that it's going to be a low scoring game, but other than that, I, I, uh, I like the Steelers to win the game.


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[Assistant] And I think that attitude is going to permeate through to his players. I think Dean Pease is going to do enough with the defense to slow down that offense. You're taking them outside.


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[Assistant] And that's when they stun you. 24-21, Titans win the game and keep alive their, their playoff hopes. And maybe if they get lucky and the Buccaneers beat the Texans, it comes down to week 17, Tennessee at Houston for the division title.


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[Assistant] Yeah, look, Washington's played well in recent weeks, and they gave the Eagles everything they could handle, and they had won a couple of games in a row, and, and, uh, I, I...


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[Assistant] I just don't, you know, yeaah, I know the Giants got the win over the Dolphins, but that was more the Eli Manning sendoff. I feel like it was a sendoff for the season for the Giants, and they're just not going to care about the last two games. I could see some Giants players making business decisions in this game, uh, really not playing as hard as possible. And there may be some guys in the Washington locker room that think there's a chance they could


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[Assistant] Uh, that, well, there's a lure by the presence of the interim coach to get the current players to bust their asses because they want the interim coach to get the job. They don't want some stranger to come in and change everything.


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[Assistant] Uh, we need to do the NHTSA read that reminds everyone during the holiday season to not get behind the wheel of any vehicle or any aircraft or any boat or anything else where your judgment and faculties are necessary if you have been consuming alcohol or if you have been


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[Assistant] They, they, they give us a script, but I don't care about the script. And they renewed it for this week apparently because they prefer the ad lib to the script. But I'm just gonna ad lib and say anyone out there.


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[Assistant] Way too often, too many people have their lives ended either while driving the vehicle or while being on the wrong end of the person who is driving it. It is a horrible thing that happens any time of the year. It makes it even more horrible at the holidays. Be smart, be careful, do not drive drunk.


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[Assistant] That's what you should hope for, is you merely get arrested for DUI, not get into an accident that could injure or kill you, someone you care about who's in the car with you, or some stranger who's out there in another car or walking down the street minding his or her own business. So be smart, don't be stupid, don't drive drunk, and that's that.


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[Assistant] Look, I don't know what the Lions are really playing for here. Matt Patricia's already gotten his free pass for next year. I don't know how the players feel about that. I mean, that's part of the culture change that they're trying to engineer.


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[Assistant] Frankly, in Detroit where they have guys there who actually would be happy to know that Matt Patricia is staying and play hard for him down the stretch. I think the Broncos win this game. They're not going to have a non-losing record. They already got their ninth loss of the season.


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[Assistant] He's now two and one as a starter. They should be able to beat the Lions. A bunch of injuries. Matthew Stafford on IR. He won't be back this year. Obviously David Blau.


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[Assistant] I don't think he'll be back with the Chargers next year. This is the last game after their three years stint in that ridiculous 27,000 seat stadium, which surely will be overrun by


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[Assistant] LA Raiders fans, Raiders fans who still live in the LA area. You don't need to bring them in from Oakland or Las Vegas. There are plenty of Raiders fans still in LA who will be at that game. The charger you use to that.


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[Assistant] For what happened last week. And I think the reaction by the Raiders fans, that may stick with some of these guys. I just feel like they are going to be a little shell shocked after what happened.


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[Assistant] He will play a home game for the Chargers and he knows it in his heart. He's got a better sense of moment and drama than the entire Raiders organization did last week. I think Rivers delivers in his last game at home with the Chargers and they win 30 to 20.


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[Assistant] Yeah, this is one where I should make you go first, cause I don't know what I'm gonna do. Wait, wait, wait, let me just say this. I put out a question on Twitter. No, I don't want to do my pick based upon your pick. I don't want to do the safe thing and just mirror what you do. I put out a question on Twitter, cause I really am torn about this one. Cowboys or Eagles?


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[Assistant] I'm concerned about Dak Prescott's shoulder. I don't know what to think about that and I don't know how it's going to affect the Cowboys and just because the Cowboys looked really good and it all clicked for one day, one moment in time against the


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[Assistant] Rams on Sunday. I don't know that that fixes the deeper issues with the Cowboys. I believe


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[Assistant] That even though the Eagles have not been overly impressive in their last two victories, they beat the Giants after being down 17-3 at the half. They won it over time obviously. And then they had the game against the Washington franchise where they had the backdoor cover and won by 10. It was a much closer game than that. 37-27 was the final score. I uh,


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[Assistant] This is, this is for all the times the Cowboys have burned me this year. This is up yours, Jerry Jones. I'm ta- I don't mean that literally, or figuratively, I'm just having fun.


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[Assistant] I like the Eagles in this one. I feel like this is the kind of game where the Cowboys are gonna trip over their own shoelaces and the Eagles are gonna find a way to win and the Cowboys are gonna have to hope that the Eagles lose to the Giants Week 17 or the Cowboys aren't getting in the playoffs. I just feel like there's been this presumption the Cowboys are gonna win that division and I think that's gonna help the Eagles and this dates back to


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[Assistant] They will not urinate or defecate down their leg and while getting into bed in this one, 31 to 17, the Seahawks win over the Cardinals setting the stage for that one slash two or five seed game the following weekend against the 49ers.


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[Assistant] So this is one of those where I am damn sure the Chiefs are gonna win. I probably should pick the Bears. But the Bears are done. The Bears had their shot. The Bears were back.


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[Assistant] Until they blew it to the Packers, and damn they still could have forced overtime that ridiculous play at the end of the game.


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[Assistant] Uh, and they had the chance. It was right there. The flip to Alan Robinson would have maybe put the game into overtime if they had converted the two pointer, but it wasn't to be. I think the Chiefs are just too good. 28-13 is my score. And I think that Andy Reid is going to be able to solve Matt Nagy and Chuck Pagano. Uh, I, I, oh boy, it's shades of that.


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[Assistant] I think Andy still remembers a little bit of that. So he's got even extra incentive and also the Chiefs quietly in position to maybe pill for a bye week. They're not going to blow this one. And the one thing Patrick Mahomes told me last week after they beat the Broncos.


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[Assistant] Playoff atmosphere, Chiefs win 28-13 and continue to build momentum, get to five wins in a row and point it toward


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[Assistant] A playoff run that could end up vaulting them back into the Super Bowl 50 years after they were last there.


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[Assistant] Let me check one thing before we move on. Uh, Sunday, no snow in Chicago. Uh, Patrick Mahomes will be upset. High of 39, low of 30, around kickoff it'll be mid thirties, so no snow.


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[Assistant] Clear, uh, so that we won't get to see another, uh, another instance of Mahomes flinging the ball around in the white stuff. But, but still I like the, I like the Chiefs.


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[Assistant] This is Kirk Cousins opportunity and we've seen him in two different occasions, one with Washington and one with the Vikings and the Vikings game happened last year where you go into a week 17 matchup and if you win you're in, if you lose you're out. Well, he gets two cracks at it this year, assuming the Rams are still alive by Monday night, which may be a big assumption.


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[Assistant] A play, a playoff play in game for the, for the Vikings. And you know, do I trust Kirk Cousins? I don't know. I, I, I think the Vikings have enough though, defensively.


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[Assistant] And they have enough, not just the running game, but it's the offensive line. You know, if you have a great offensive line, there's a lot of guys you can put in there who are going to be good running backs. And Dalvin Cook may kind of be a product of a great offensive line this year. Amir Abdullah looked good last week after Cook went out. Mike Boone does well.


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[Assistant] I think the Vikings will be okay, and I think they'll win this game. I got 27 to 20, home game, big game.


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[Assistant] You know, and potential opportunity to clinch a playoff berth if they haven't clinched it already, but either way, they understand the importance of winning these games. They understand the, they still have a chance to win the division. They beat the Packers, and if the Packers stub their toe the following week at Detroit, the Vikings can win the division.


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[Assistant] This year, but I like him to win this game and, uh, and, and to move to the playoffs and still hold out hope for a potential division title.


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[Assistant] Uh, home or away. So, uh, you know, they're kind of a wild card in all of this that I think is getting overlooked.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm not, I'm not shocked by that. I just, I feel like the Texans are so unpredictable at times that I'm not gonna put my faith in them, uh, because we've seen them step into that trap.


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[Assistant] A week after we see them play well and we think everything is pointing in the right direction. For example, losing to the Broncos at home a week after beating the New England Patriots. My first one is Sunday night football. And yes, it is the night game, the Kansas City Chiefs and the Chicago Bears. I like the Chiefs to cover. I like the Chiefs to win easily.


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[Assistant] I like Andy Reid understanding exactly what Matt Nagy will try to do. I think Andy Reid has a habit of keeping very close mental notes as to the habits and the...


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[Assistant] Alright, I am going with the Will Greer No Confidence bet.


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[Assistant] To rebound from a disappointing and deflating 30-47 loss to the Saints on Monday night football. This is not the kind of thing that Frank Reich, the head coach of the Colts is going to stand for. And I think the Colts are better than what we saw on Monday night and the Panthers with Wilgrier third round pick.


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[Assistant] What the hell? What's the difference between seven, uh, what, seven and nine and five and eleven? Let's just go ahead and lose the last two or not go out of our way to try to win it. And if we end up five and eleven, get a higher draft pick, we're a better team sooner rather than later.


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[Assistant] I'm going to have to get myself an Eagles zip up on rush delivery and get it here in time for the game on Sunday because I am going to be openly rooting in the press box or in the viewing room for the Eagles. Although it's one of those late afternoon starts. So by then we're into full blown prepare for football night in America mode, but I'll be watching that whenever I can.


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[Assistant] Hoping that the eagles can make you look like an idiot. My last pic, this was a tough one for me. I went in a bunch of different directions. I, you know, with the over-unders, for me, it just has to, it has to just like grab me and be like, are you kidding? They set that where they did. And there is, and I don't want to force it.


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[Assistant] The last game they'll play in that rinky-dink soccer stadium, Philip Rivers' final home game with the Chargers. I think they're gonna try to atone for some of the things that have gone wrong this season.


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[Assistant] We, we, you know, every year we're used to it happening. I hope it doesn't happen to them, but I have a feeling that it could. And I don't know that winning on Sunday will make a difference, but hey, it can't hurt.


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[Assistant] I think Philip Rivers gets his act together. I think the guys who screwed up last week find a way. The last time they'll ever play a game in that stadium after three seasons there. And I don't care that it's going to be overrun by Raiders fans. Hell, it's always overrun by fans of the opposing team. 30 to 20, Chargers win, cover the spread, and I sweep the best bets for this weekend.


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[Assistant] This one's actually recording audio though. So that's the cool thing about this microphone. And if you can hear, I do have a five year old and now a four year old today. She just turned four. So we have a five and a four year old.


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[Assistant] They're upstairs making a whole bunch of noise. I already told them no internet, but we'll see how that, that goes.


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[Assistant] Are you doing good? I'm doing good. I mean, we're getting through it like everyone else is getting through it right now. It's just, it's, it's so, so weird and so different. I was talking to you just before we started here and I have, I literally have not left the house, uh, since last Friday. So it's been almost, almost a week here, just all cooped up with a couple of young kids, but


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[Assistant] I feel like right now it's the best thing to do out there. You know, I know the building there in Stamford's pretty empty. It's like a ghost town in there. So we're all just taking it super careful right now.


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[Assistant] So, and, and I, and I officially gave up energy drinks once again. Like this whole thing is like freaked me out so much that I'm like, I'm going to get rid of all the non-clean living stuff that I do in my life. I'm going to be totally immune 100% here. Um, so I've been scrolling Twitter like everyone else looking for the latest update. It's been miserable.


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[Assistant] So, you owe me a dinner. You owe me a lunch or a dinner because we made the bet.


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[Assistant] That uh, Tom Brady would go to a different team, I didn't have any idea what team it would be, and I would never have guessed the box, but I'm right.


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[Assistant] And I went back to Chris and I did cause I remember I was like, man, Chris has talked about Tampa Bay the last couple of times he brought up Brady. And I looked back at a couple of our podcasts and you would always throw out Tampa Bay as one of those possible destinations. Even after you said,


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[Assistant] You know, he's looking to go to a team that can contend this year, which I don't think the Bucs can't contend this year. I think you think the same thing.


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[Assistant] You did keep bringing up the Bucks and so I will give you credit there that they were always kind of one of those teams on the outside that you were talking about. But one thing that I, I'm kind of curious to ask you about and we, we talked about it before with Bruce Arians and you've talked a lot with Mike about, about the Brady,


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[Assistant] Situation and you've covered a lot of the topics. I don't know that I've heard you.


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[Assistant] You know, cause Arian's offense, the quarterback is expected to stand in the pocket. And you've brought up, that's the one thing that you don't know that Brady has the ability, uh, capability to do anymore and didn't last year in New England. So how, the fit with him in that situation with this offense.