[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think there's issues at quarterback. There is. There's issues on offense. Yup. They're gonna, they're going to a quarterback because of the way it looks right now. They're making a significant run. Of all the teams, they've made the biggest leap here. The biggest jump here. That's a good jump for the Jaguars.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, but number one still sound like the Jets. Of course it is. And it's, it's, it's not all that close still. I don't think it is either, yes. Uhm, will it get closer? I don't, I hope so. To add a little intrigue into this whole thing, but.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] As of right now, the Jets are solid number one. So that means the Falcons were not in there. Right.


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[Assistant] I still don't trust Matt Ryan and Julio. How dare they be clutching explosives. Not to be good.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Vikings, I didn't move in. You can't move in on a bye. You know, it's like you can't get the starting job after an injury. Right. After a bye, no, you can't move in. Uh, and the Bengals I didn't want to put in too because Joe Burroughs is too scary. Yeaah. Like I think Joe Burroughs is going to win a couple games just by himself. He is. He definitely is. Yeaah, they got it going a little bit there. And the football team? Yeaah. Defense is too good.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's a, that's a red flag in this. You can't have a top five defense and be in these rankings. No, I'm not allowing that.


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[Assistant] Yes. Really good, too. Yeah, really an under the radar kind of guy, but he's looking like one of the best rookie, rookie running backs out there. Alright, final segment of the show is where we create the super team.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He says his criminals were showing the, uh, offense and defense there. And I had a couple people say that. That they questioned why I would have Darien, uh, Darius Slayton on his team.


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[Assistant] We wanted to give some love to him because he's under the radar. And there was difference of opinion. This is from Chris Green says, that would be the most talented team in football. It's a bad division, but let's not get too crazy now. While Rick Mick 44 says they'd go 6 and 10.


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[Assistant] We do, but we did both agree that they might go 12-4 and they could possibly be bounced in the playoffs. It wasn't as impressive as we were expecting. It's not a guarantee that team is going to win the Super Bowl.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, so this is, uhm, this team should win the Super Bowl then. Cause we're about to do the NFC West. Okay, you ready? Yeah. Uh, cause this came from Chip Lang and he said a division that needs four rosters to make up maybe one playoff team.


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[Assistant] Speaks volumes, try this with any other division and you'll come up with much better. So we're gonna do that. Yeah. We're gonna take your suggestion chip and we're gonna do that. So here's the NFC West offense. We'll see what you disagree with.


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[Assistant] Russell Wilson's our quarterback, right? No doubt. Running back, I went with Chris Carson.


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[Assistant] Right end George Kittle. That was the easiest one I've done. Offensive line here.


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[Assistant] Ben Garland. Center for the 49ers. Alright. Wasn't really one that stood out.


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[Assistant] Tackles are amazing. Like, we almost should move a tackle to guard, but that's- we can't do that. No, we're trying to stay real here. Trent Williams, right, I'm going with, and Andrew Whitworth. I don't- Dwayne Brown. Close. I know.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So I do have it. Pro Football Focus has Trent Williams the number three tackle in all of football. They have Whitworth as number four, so right behind him. Okay, so he's that high.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He was more for leadership. I needed like a leader on that defense. Trent Williams and Whitworth are good leaders.


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[Assistant] So there's the offense on the defensive side. Defensive tackle. I'm going to go with Aaron Donald. I'm going to put him on this team. I'm going to put him here. The other defensive tackle was kind of hard to find one. I ended up going with former Longhorn.


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[Assistant] He has, he has. That's the most egregious one you've seen so far.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Eric Armstead is my edge guy. Yes. And I've also got, uh, Cary Hyder is my edge guy.


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[Assistant] I gave the other team the three corners. I gave this team three linebackers. I don't know where they're going to play necessarily. That's the coach's job. I just fill up the team. We're going Fred Warner. We're going Bobby Wagner. We're going KJ Wright.


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[Assistant] The guy who's having the best year of any of the corners, number four in football according to Pro Football Focus, Jason Verrett, for the 49ers. I put him on there and I really didn't see where, I mean like who else really knocks you down?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Free safety Buddha Baker. Yeah, that's slam dunk. Those are easy. Slam dunk. So I'm looking at it. I had one


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Cardinal on defense, Buda Baker, one on offense, DeAndre Hopkins.


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[Assistant] I had only a couple Rams on defense, Ramsey and Donald. Yeaah. And I had only Whitworth.


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[Assistant] Everyone else was either a Seahawk or a 49er and a couple of the ones that you quibbled with was between a Seahawk and a 49er. Yea, it was. At least with Greenlaw. It was. So here's the team. Here's my team right here. Yea, pretty good. That's an all-star team from the best conference in football.


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[Assistant] I might have to dip into another corner here. Yeah. So it'll be interesting. Like I wonder, like we all think this is the best division in football. I wonder if this will be the best team though. It seems like offensively it's


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Alright, good one. That was a lot of meat on the bone. A lot of meat. We ate it and then we put the bone in her mouth and got the rest of the meat off that way.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So I'm wearing the red shirt. And today, for the first time all year, I'm wearing the glasses. I was just saying, yeah, glasses are different, right? So I want to be, you know, smarter on the podcast, and I figured I can do two things.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Research more. Right. Or wear glasses. Alright. And so research more takes time. So you just look at the glasses, okay. I just wear glasses. And now when people just click on, like if they haven't heard this part of it, they go, wow, I'm actually pretty smart. Looks pretty smart. Looks like he knows what he's talking about.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Glasses are no glasses, we're gonna get through every game. We're gonna talk about every game, which is getting easier now, because games are dropping off of the schedule each week, but we will be able to do that. We got two deep dives today. You watched the film.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Right on, we've got self-scout thyself, my favorite part of the show, where we look at things that you may have gotten wrong in the past. Sure, I'm glad you like that. Yeaah, it seems to affect, you don't like that. Like as much as you like to say you like to self-scout yourself, that does seem to bother you.


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[Assistant] Very excited to get that on the list every day. Uh, so we got, we got that with all the games, but, um, and the top pick, uh, power rankings for Trevor Lawrence. Time permitting, as always, if we have time.


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[Assistant] Let's get into film, deep dive number one. Yep. We got Raiders and Chiefs. Wow. Wow. Guy John Gruden. Yeah. Doing it with the Raiders here. They get the win. They outscored the Chiefs. You don't see a whole lot of teams do that. Very rare. 40 to 32 was the final score.


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[Assistant] Uh, so this was 13 straight wins for the Chiefs, including the playoffs. That's gone now. Yep. Uh, they had won their last seven home games versus the Raiders. Gone. Uh, Mahomes was 12 and 1 in his career versus the AFC West. Gone. Well then too, now that one's gone.


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[Assistant] Uh, and in 36 career starts, Mahomes never lost by more than 7 points.


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[Assistant] So all that is gone now. So I'm going to ask you. That is amazing. All of it. It just shows you the Chief's greatness while I'm trying to crush him here. So let's talk about the Raider Zo first.


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[Assistant] Chiefs D, and I'm gonna give you three elements to the Raiders offense here, and I want you to tell me which one was most impactful. Okay, cool. Was it Henry Ruggs III, back on the field, giving them a deep threat? Right. Was it that Raiders running game that was able to fritter away the clock at the end of the game to keep the Chiefs offense off the field? Yep. Or was it Derek Carr,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Hard time stopping any team on the ground, let alone a team that can run with the offensive line like the Raiders here. So Kansas City now has allowed 140 or more rushing yards in four straight games. They got 158 rush yards allowed per game, fifth most in the NFL.


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[Assistant] So this is a problem for them that they're gonna need to try to figure out. Yeaah. Because it wasn't just the Raiders, this has been happening.


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[Assistant] They beat Charvarius Ward on that. He's a third year guy at a middle Tennessee state, playing more this season than ever before. Yes. About 80% of snaps. Right.


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[Assistant] Listening to you talk about the Raiders offense here, your boy John Gruden's, he's doing some stuff. He is. Like he's, he's figured some stuff out.


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[Assistant] Not only that, I mean they were super excited to get rugs. You can tell that. They thought that that might be a missing piece that could open up other parts of their office. They love them. Uhm, and the fact that they were able to throw deep in this game, and I heard you talking with Florio, and Florio was kind of making the impression that Gruden's been dying to get Derek Carr to throw deep for a while now.


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[Assistant] And uh, is that the case or was that just the way this offense was designed and the plays he was calling and now last game was a game where they just opened things up together him and Karr.


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[Assistant] Jacob's probably still a little underrated. Uhm, cause you think about him cause he's a good pass catcher out of the backfield. Yeaah. And a lot of those, you're like, okay, good scat back kinda, you know, good on third downs.


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[Assistant] No one spent less time behind the line of scrimmage. Oh, I was gonna say, he had no holes all day. He was boom, trying to, you know, he was attacking the line of scrimmage. Yes. Uhm, and I'm thinking specifically of that touchdown early in the fourth quarter. Right. Where Chris Jones had an arm tackle on him, blew right through that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and then just ran over Juan Thornhill to get over the goal line. So, I mean, Josh Jacobs has got a good pass catcher, good shifty back. He's got a ton of power. Definitely.


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[Assistant] Can we shift over to the Chiefs O? Okay, Chiefs O here because, I mean, there is a correlation. You think of Mahomes and the Chiefs being that deep throwing team. Car passes over 20 yards, 4 of 6, 219 yards, two touchdowns. You've already established that. But Mahomes and the Chiefs.


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[Assistant] Three of ten, eighty-six yards, no touchdowns, one interception. And really, if you go back to their first win, first game of the NFL season against the Houston Texans, that was a dink and dunk offense. They've been dink and dunk, uhm, a couple of times. Yes, they have. This year so far. They have. This game included, they were not able to throw it deep successfully.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Here's a lot of numbers to back up what you just said. Tyree Kale, 78 yards in the first half, none in the second half. And per Pro Football Focus, Las Vegas had five total blitzes.


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[Assistant] Three in quarter one, one in the second quarter, and just one in the fourth quarter. Yeah. The Holmes, four for four, 94 yards versus the Blitz. There you go. So they didn't, they wasn't successful. Well thank you.


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[Assistant] And probably some of it too is knowing that your offense can score against them, right? If you thought like, man,


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[Assistant] We can't, we need to make stuff happen. They might break it on us deep here, but if we don't get some turnovers and don't try to make something happen, then we have no chance. Right. It's like, no, we actually can probably keep scoring on them. So let's just play back and if this game shortens up, that's probably good.


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[Assistant] Alright, so we still think the Chiefs are going to win the Division, right? But if the Chiefs win this game, we're probably thinking there's a 100% chance they're going to win the Division. They lose this game. What percent chance would you give the Raiders of somehow figuring out a way to win this Division?


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[Assistant] Okay, so Victory Lap, this is where Chris gets to, uh, bask in the glow of being correct. Because you are correct, a lot of times. People only remember the times that you're wrong. Oh, of course. I'd like to remind you of that.


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[Assistant] Backup quarterback in all of football and, you know, unfortunately, he's had to be thrust into the starting lineup here with the injury to Dak Prescott, who once everyone saw that injury, it was just like,


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[Assistant] Man, this sucks, you know. For that one moment, you're like, man, football sucks. Uhm, so best to Dak, got the surgery, hopefully it doesn't affect anything long-term in his career. Uhm, but now the reality is Andy Dalton is there. The Cowboys signed him for, uh, for just this type of situation. You never know in the game of football.


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[Assistant] He was 9 of 11, 111 yards, uh, did have a fumble of a snap, um, so there were some rough moments there for Andy Dalton, but the Cowboys


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. That's what I worry about. That's what I worry about. Yep. Because it's not like he's, you know, mobile, mobile, but he certainly uses his legs and uses his power. That's a very big thing. Powerful quarterback.


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[Assistant] So Giants, a lot of credit, but let's show the uh, we've got the next-gen Dots. I'm a big fan of the Dots. I know you like these Dots. Here you go. We got the Dots here. This is Michael Gallup.


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[Assistant] One-on-one, which on this podcast, it was probably last week or maybe two weeks ago, I said my favorite Dallas Cowboy receiver is Michael Gallup, Victory Lap Ahmed. Uhm, but he made some nice play. He's just a good recie- I like him a lot.


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[Assistant] I thought when I saw Dak go down, I was like, you know, that sucks for Dallas. But the question for the Cowboys was always going to be, can that defense step up, right? Whether without Dak, if that defense doesn't step up, they're not going anywhere. You know, if they make the playoffs, they're not going. Right, right. Exactly right. It was always going to be about the defense for this team and it still is.


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[Assistant] And watching Joe Judge on the sideline, uhm, I saw, I saw a guy with a mask on and it came to, I was like, I don't really know what he looks like.


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[Assistant] Pete wants to know, will the Joe Judge era last long enough for us to see his face? I think it will. I don't think... Again.


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[Assistant] That was their, uhm. We'll see, yes. That was one of their, just Pete, you know, Pete as a Giants fan is angry.


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[Assistant] I'm still running, hold on. You get this weekly on this player, DK Metcalf. As the Seahawks beat the Vikings. I'm lapped out. What I'm gonna nominate as the game of the year so far. Now, I don't have as good a memory as you.


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[Assistant] But then Kirk comes back and he redeems himself. And then it was just, what a great game. Great game. We're giving you the victory lap on DK Metcalf.


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[Assistant] Once again, this is Adam Alberti says, I just think you should take another couple victory laps on DK and Chase Claypool, who we'll get to in a second here.


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[Assistant] Diogo Mendez also said that with DK and Chase Claypool. Uhm, so. Thank you guys. So, DK, you can throw it up to him. He can make an adjustment on the ball as he did on that last drive. And then he can.


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[Assistant] Catch one inches from the ground, uhm, like you did on the game winning touchdown.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I was gonna ask you about that. So fourth and one from the six. Tough one. You can get one yard. Game is over. Yeah. You just gotta pick it up. Game is over.


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[Assistant] Blame them for going for it. I don't either. Uhm, cause if you kick it, what, it's a six or eight point, uh, eight point game. So you, I mean, that is a pretty safe lead too, but also if you get one yard, half a yard, you, you win the game and they had the one thing I will say.


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[Assistant] I wonder if they could have just quarterback sneak again and picked it up instead of handing it off three yards in the backfield.


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[Assistant] Yeah, here is the, uh, we have the win probability chart. And so this is what it was throughout the game. It's the roller coaster. You're like, oh, Vikings are good. Mike Florio celebrating. He's having another shot of whiskey, but now he's having a bunch of shots because Seattle just took a significant lead. Oh, now they're back. That's amazing. Whoa. And now it's back down again.


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[Assistant] Although I feel like our percentages are going to be changing next year because I feel like multiple teams have come back. Yea, with these type of numbers, right? With a 2% chance to win. I feel like these numbers are going to be.


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[Assistant] Pretty cool though. Big day for the big guy. So he had four touchdowns. Could have had a fifth, although if he doesn't, if he scores that one, he probably doesn't get the last one.


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[Assistant] So I was glad to see that later in the game he got that touchdown, uh, back. He deserved it. First stealer with a four touchdown game.


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[Assistant] Since Roy Jefferson in 1968. So it's been a while. And you were high on Chase Claypool. This is what you said pre-giraffe. You had T Higgins number five. Yeaah. But you said it was a close call between him, Jerry Judy, and Chase Claypool. And we're showing your tweet. You said, damn, don't be shocked if Chase Claypool becomes DK Metcalf or Vincent Jackson.


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[Assistant] Uh, this was in April of this year. And so you've always been high on him because you thought he was big, you thought he was strong, and you've kind of become the wide receiver guru here. You're known as the quarterback guy.


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[Assistant] You have been maybe sleeping on one receiver who is in this game. Mehmet305's Travis Fulgham. 152 yards and a touchdown is pretty damn okay for a receiver who is claimed off waiver.


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[Assistant] Shout out Old Dominion 2 for Fulgham. He went to ODU, played for Bobby Wilder there. I covered that program. Did you? Yeaah. Yeaah. That was a good guy, Bobby Wilder. He's not there anymore, but. Old Dominion's what, like navy blue and white? Is that their colors? Yeaah. Yeaah. They just started their football program like a decade ago. Right. And they've been pretty good. Yeaah. Uhm, okay, so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We've got one more, where you're gonna take a victory lap. Oh, another one. I'm like pre-fontaine today. There you go, we're gonna have to bring you immediately back to earth. Uh, Patrick Queen.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You were high on Patrick Queen. Ravens linebacker out of LSU. Ravens crushed the Bengals 27-3. Uh, crushed his former teammate in Burrow did Patrick Queen with a sack, strip sack, nine tackles, two fumble recoveries.


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[Assistant] Here's what you said about him. He was your number two linebacker.


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[Assistant] You said, oh another twitchy explosive physical freak from LSU. It's like they have a tree there that grows linebackers.


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[Assistant] Raven's defense is forced to turn over for an 18th straight game now, so they are active in getting the ball from the other, other team. Longest active streak in the NFL.


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[Assistant] And Queen, uhm, oh I had something to say on Queen and now I lost it. You lost it? Well think about it, come on. Queen... What was it? Queen...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uuuh, yeah, yeah, blame it on me. Oh, no, this is what I'll say. Yeah. It's good that the Ravens fans have Queen. Right. Because I do think this kind of a season for the Ravens is the worst for a fan.


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[Assistant] It's all about the postseason. It's like you have a regular season where it seems like


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[Assistant] Nothing mattered. You know what I mean? It's just like, okay, you beat the Bengals, 27-3, whoop-de-doo. I mean, it's fun to watch your team play. Don't get me wrong. Trust me, as a LoL fan who's struggled through bad years, it's a rough, regular season for a team that's expected to do well, but it all comes down to how you do in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] I hope they can this year because I think they're a fun team and I like John Harbaugh.


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[Assistant] Okay, I'm gonna bet against you here. Self-scout thyself. Uh, we got two for self-scout thyself before we get into our second deep dive of Browns and Colts. First one is 49ers as a contender. Now, everyone.


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[Assistant] And maybe it's Kyle that has to self-scout thyself because Steve Merez, too, says, Chris, for the love of God, man, tell Kyle to switch back to the Red Truckers hat. Please. I will.


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[Assistant] Even with a healthy Jimmy Garoppolo, they're not putting up 44 points against the Dolphins. You know what I mean? So it really is about what they gave up defensively.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, it's a good hairstyle for you. I've thought, cause I...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The hairstyle now, it's like I've had this hairstyle for probably 15 years now. I just flip it up in the front and keep it short around everywhere else. Like a helmet almost. Yea, you see the kids now, they're growing it out, right? And it's all kinda like messy around. You got bangs that are messy and you got things like that. Could we pull that off?


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[Assistant] Uhm, since we're, since we're on the hair topic right here, this flow is perfect. This is called a segue right here. This is a perfect segue. We're gonna go right into, uh, head and shoulders that we do from time to time.


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[Assistant] It is a time to take it up to a hundred presented by Head and Shoulders, which if I do decide to grow my hair out and have a midlife crisis and try to look like the teenagers out there, I'm going to use Head and Shoulders. Uhm, so who took it up to a hundred? Let's talk about the Panthers, and specifically Robbie Anderson.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Who took it past 100, 112 yards on 13 targets, 8 receptions for a Panthers team that's 3-0 since Christian McCaffrey went down. It's crazy.


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[Assistant] Robbie Anderson didn't sign until April 1st. That was a couple of weeks after Free Agency opened up. Uh, and now he's third in the NFL behind DeAndre Hopkins and DK Metcalf with 489 yards receiving. And we should mention the Falcons fire their coach and their GM.


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[Assistant] Well, a side note to this game, they're looking for new guys at the top of the organization.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Jake Matthews, Dante Fowler Jr. also making some money.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay, right, right. And you know, I mean, this was always going to be the end of the window, right? And so I guess you're just saying, hey, this is the end of an era. Matt Ryan at end of career, basically Julio Jones, who knows how much more he has. It's just like, it's, it's a new era. Let's just clean slate, rip the bandaid off and.


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[Assistant] And if you're Atlanta next year, you're looking at the NFL draft. Are you taking a quarterback? Are you saying, you know what? We got rid of our GM, our head coach.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Alright, we took that way past 100 at that time. That is Take It Up To 100 presented by Head & Shoulders, which is available at Walmart.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So if I start growing out my hair, I'm gonna use head and shoulders. Good. As always. Do it. Uh, film deep dive number two. Alright, let's do it. We've put it off long enough. Here was the voting. And this is always chosen by the homies. Deep dive number two, always chosen by you guys out there. And it was Brown's Twitter. 31%.


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[Assistant] Voting for the deep dive of this game. Just edging out, what was it? Dolphins 49ers, which is what I'll... Oh, we know what you wanted.


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[Assistant] Matt Casey, our other producer, very down on that game, but I wanted to see what you thought about it. We did see that, but you didn't look at the film. Maybe you will Wednesday. Uhm, so Colton Browns, let's start here, Chris. Yep. With Browns O. Is your ear thing still? No, it's still


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[Assistant] Pete or Kristen, if you try to talk to me, I can't hear you. Okay.


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[Assistant] Keep this in the pod because this, this peels back the curtain here. This shows how, how difficult it is. People are like, you just talk sports for a living. That's really easy. Yeah. And if you have an injury, this is our version of an injury and you're playing through it right now. I'm playing through it. I'm playing tough. Let's start with Brown's offense here.


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[Assistant] Because it was dynamic. We've seen this offense be dynamic, Chris, up to this point. They can run the ball. They've had 300-yard rushing game. We've seen Baker-Maffia play action, rollout, bootleg successfully. Kevin Stefanski seems to be doing that. And we've seen him unleash Odell Beckham last game.


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[Assistant] Uh, Cleveland Sports News though. Yeaah. Yeaah, these Cleveland Browns fans have been rough on you the past week. Yeaah. Uhm, he goes, Chris finally shows the Browns some love this week, so he did acknowledge that. And then he goes, then picks the Colts to win convincingly.


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[Assistant] Didn't think they were ready. Bad matchup. Best defense in football. How's that for a best bet? In your defense, you were 2-1.


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[Assistant] On your best bets, but this one was the one that you got wrong as we continue to scout thyself to you. But it's because the Browns did stuff like that and surprised you against a Colts defense that had been pretty good. And Baker Mayfield, from what I saw, tell me if I'm wrong here.


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[Assistant] He seems to be doing a good job of feeling where the pressure is. Definitely. Like a lot better than most quarterbacks, right? Feeling the pressure, stepping up in the pocket, or scrambling outside the


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Spread the ball around, you know, 10 targets to Austin Hooper, 9 to Odell, 9 to Jarvis Landry.


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[Assistant] The story in the first half was that Brown's offense. Yeah. Kevin Stefanski. Right. What about your story in the second half?


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[Assistant] I understand that. Why? 12 carries all game for Jonathan Taylor. Right. Three for Heinz.


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[Assistant] They could have signed uh, Cam Newton too there, in Indianapolis. Remember that? He was still out there. Yeah, he was, yep.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and, and you drafted Jonathan Taylor to use Jonathan Taylor. He was used a lot in college. He can probably handle more than 12 carries, uh, in a game. And he, he's, I mean, when he's gotten those opportunities, he's been one of the fastest, most powerful running backs in football.


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[Assistant] He's the third player in the next-gen era to do this. So we're talking next-gen era here. Which is how I like to define periods of time in my life. Since pre-next-gen and post-next-gen. Uhm, do you know who the other two are? Alright, so it's five plus pressures for a more straight game.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yeaah, they, they, they have been. So Miles Garrett. Yeaah. Very complimentary of him there. Your early leader for Defensive Player of the Year. I know how much you love Aaron Donnell.


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[Assistant] Pete has confirmed you picked Aaron Donald. I picked Joey Bosa. I don't think I'm going to do that. You're screwed.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Pop Quiz. So this is a stat from Florio. From 2015 to 2017, the Browns were 4-44. So far this year, they're 4-1. Pop Quiz, who was the head coach the last time the Browns were 4-1?


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[Assistant] And that makes it really tough. And that can make it tough for the running game too. And it makes it tough for that whole, that whole football team. So certainly something to watch there. Deep Dive number two in the books. It's time for Dam Okay.


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[Assistant] You don't know when the music stops. I don't. I'm letting you lead the charge here. Uh, we got a damn okay for Alex Smith. Rams beat Washington 30 to 10. Another good victory for the Rams, but just getting in this game, playing this game and carrying Aaron Donald.


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[Assistant] Unlike your second snap in two years on your back, that deserves a damn okay in an obvious way. It definitely does.


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[Assistant] I was reading pro football focus on them. They have run play action, at least heading into that game. 49% of snaps for Jared Goff, since they've been tracking it, like last eight years. Blows anybody away. Blows anyone away. Yeaah. I think the next highest was 43. Right. One year. And so they're just, it's like almost every pass is play action. There's some motion in it.


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[Assistant] I was reading on NextGen. I did a lot of reading here. Uhm, Robert Wood since 2018.


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[Assistant] Uh, most snaps in motion of any wide receiver out there. Second most receiving yards of a receiver who is in motion. Third most rushing yards for a receiver in motion. Uh, most scrimmage yards. So it's like he is always moving around the field and that was the case for his 56 yard touchdown.


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[Assistant] I'm buying the Rams right here. They're having a good year. Another damn okay to Lebron. He won another title.


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[Assistant] White Castle Road tweeted you and said, Chris go crazy and break down Heat Lakers. LeBron deserves a damn okay.


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[Assistant] Like that's one of those things. We leave COVID-19 in 2020, and we leave whether Lebron was better than Jordan.


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[Assistant] Let's go back to football. That's Basketball Talk with Chris Sims. Now, it's time for...


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[Assistant] Give me the headlines presented by Hyundai. We got our final two games here. You know, if you're in the, the, the end of the show, we got, uh, we got some newspaper clippings that we can, we can get to you. We may have a headline from your game. And our first game is Texans versus Jaguars. Texans won 30 to 14.


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[Assistant] They got their first win of the year. Chris, what is your headline?


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[Assistant] Kansas City, Baltimore, Pittsburgh, Minnesota. Yeaah. And Minnesota looked really good like.


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[Assistant] There was a moment in this game where Watson threw a pick. Yeaah. The Jaguars picked it off. They were running it back. Watson ended up making the tackle. Right. And it was, I want to point out, a perfect opportunity for a team to start doing rugby in football. You should teach a defense right now.


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[Assistant] Especially when you have five offensive linemen on the field after a turnover, defenses should practice the rugby return. Right. Laterals.


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[Assistant] Return it for every time. Yeah, it was another missed opportunity for a team to do my rugby lateral.


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[Assistant] Right, we gotta hold, let's kneel, let's kneel on the ground. Give me the headline for Cardinals 30-10 over the Jets. Red Go Green Stop.


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[Assistant] What's going on with Kenyon Drake? I drafted him in fantasy and it's really troubling. He is, uh, worst in the NFL with negative 30 yards, 35 yards over expected. So they look at what you should have got against those dots out there in next gen and what you actually got. Uhm, he's just not cutting it.


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[Assistant] Which now brings us to the final part of our show, which is yet to pick up a sponsor, but maybe one day. Oh, it's coming. Right? It's coming. Right, right.


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[Assistant] He's gonna get a look at that and be like, we're questioning our decision here. Especially a car company, they might really question it. Ahmed Fareed's, Trevor Lawrence, top pick power rankings here.


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[Assistant] One team falling out. We only have one team falling out from last week. I had the Dolphins at 5. Yes. And you just can't stay in scoring 43 against the 49ers on the road.


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[Assistant] Their first win, it's like, okay, you've got me intrigued. You've got me intrigued now. I consider the Falcons here? You thought I would put them back in?


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[Assistant] I think Arthur Blank wants me to put him back in here. Yeah. But I need to see, I need to see more. Like, tell me that Matt Ryan's not playing and Julio's done for the year. Maybe I'll consider you back in there, but not quite yet. Okay. Giants go, fall a spot to four.


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[Assistant] Too close to Dallas. Little concerning there. Offense looked okay. Yeah. Could have been just the Cowboys defense. And so I'm going to give them a little bit of a pass there. Right. But that was a little concerning, so I dropped them down one.


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[Assistant] Uh, moved up one. Another team from the NFC East. Football team. They move up one here. Cause we got drama.


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[Assistant] And whenever you have drama, especially at the quarterback position, I like that.


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[Assistant] And so, football team goes, we don't know what's going on with DeWayne Haskins, was not even at the facility, right? So it's like, we're moving them up to three. Lions remain two in the bye, because even though they didn't play, there's a lot of chatter coming from Michigan about what's going on with Patricia. You see two coaches already getting fired, so.


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[Assistant] You know, more dramas brewing in Detroit, so I'm fairly confident and certain in their number two ranking up to this point. But, uh, number one is the Jets, because they lost to a team that you said I have concerns about.


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[Assistant] 30 to 10 in a game that probably they were never gonna lose. Uh, they are, if they are, they're doing so well right now.


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[Assistant] Don't sleep on the lions. Don't sleep on the lions though. Nope. They can still make a case.


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[Assistant] I'm still shocked you don't have the Falcons in there. I am. No Falcons. And once again, this is not necessarily the team that's going to take Trevor Lawrence, but we think they're most likely to have the option two.


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[Assistant] Yeah, take Trevor Lawrence, although all those teams could, that I just mentioned right there, could take him and could use, maybe not the Giants. I think the Giants like Daniel Jones, but.


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[Assistant] Every, uh, other team there could consider them. Well, yeaah, they definitely could. You're right. Before we go, I'm gonna show one tweet that I had here. I'm active on Twitter, Chris. You follow me. You retweeted this, I believe. I did.


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[Assistant] And I will stand by that. Although there were some homies out there who tweeted back and showed some teams that were 4-1 and ended up finishing like 5-11. So good memories out there to the homies. Uhm, so as we end this, Pete wanted me to rank the teams that I don't like from the Lions division.


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[Assistant] And, uh, because- Oh, that's right. Because a lot- you were getting all the heat on, uh, the Browns. Right. And I got some heat from Bears fans, and I said, I don't care because I genuinely dislike the Bears. Like, you don't j- dislike the Browns.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you just were tough on them. I genuinely dislike Chicago.


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[Assistant] So here's the teams that I hate the most in the Lions division. Starting with the least hated, Minnesota Vikings, because I can respect them. You know, they've been good for a long time, and they don't get the recognition I think they deserve for being as good as they've been.


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[Assistant] Absolutely. That's not like they have a ton going on out there, so I don't hate them as much as I hate the Packers, but I still don't hate the Packers. Really. Like, Aaron Rodgers, how do you hate greatness like that? The only reason I would put them above the Vikings is because I do hate playing at Lambeau Field.


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[Assistant] Little more than the Vikings. Little bit more. But then there's a wide gap.


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[Assistant] Because the Bears, I feel like, have been good, but not really, they're not really good. Right. They just win these games, and then, you know, you like, win enough games, you have a big ego, and you're like, oh, we're way better than you. And I'm like, you're not that much better than the Lions. I know record-wise, it looks like you've been significantly better than us for many years, but you're not that good. It's like the guy in high school, you're like, come on.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's like you are better than us, but not as much as like you think. Yeah. So that's why I don't like, but it's not just the Bears, it's the Bulls, it's every Chicago team. Oh, is it, is it, they all bother you? They all bother me. Cubs or White Sox fans worse.


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[Assistant] Uhm, well there aren't many White Sox fans. So that's hard, that's hard to say. Uhm, and Cubs fans, yea Cubs fans got the same thing as the Bears. They haven't won enough. Right. To puff out their chest the way they do?


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[Assistant] Another Monday in the books. And my, always my goal for Kristen to get her out of here, did it under two hours. Wow, good job.


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[Assistant] Yup. Yup, I like the Saints, sorry. I'd love to see the Chargers win this game. Oh, me too. I think it'd be cool if the Chargers win this game. I just want a good game, that's all I care about. I'm gonna pick the Chargers in this one.


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[Assistant] Thursday edition of PFTPM, the joint production, Chris Sims on button, PFTPM presented by Verizon, the Megapix podcast. This is already number 14, Christopher, and because


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[Assistant] I beat you last week and that is a rarity this year. I was better in the straight up by one game. I got 11 right. You got 10. I was better in the best bets. I get to drive the bus this week. It's been a while since I've driven the bus. You've been kicking my butt all over the place this year.


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[Assistant] We were talking about this before the podcast, I'm 14 games behind you in the straight up competition, and I'm not gonna start just picking the opposite of every game you pick in an effort to get back into it, because 14's gonna quickly become 30 if that happens. What in the world is this Christmas version?


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[Assistant] All the flavor, none of the spleen. There it is. Buccaneers. Buckwiser 2. Uh, ready to go on your Christmas tree. But for the season, look, you're doing really well straight up.


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[Assistant] Against the spread, I'm two games behind you. Best bets, I've got a four game kind of lead. Four and a half, four and two halves, I don't know. I've got three ties, you've got one. But, uh, last week I, I got the victory. So off we go. Week 14, Megapix podcast.


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[Assistant] The first game of the week, one of the toughest ones for me. I know I went back and forth and back and forth and back and forth at Patriots on Thursday night, taking on the Rams. The second game in LA at SoFi Stadium in just four days for the Patriots. They beat the Chargers 45, did nothing.


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[Assistant] Both teams have changed. The Patriots have changed more dramatically because they don't have Tom Brady. Go ahead, you lead it off. Who do you like tonight? I have my pick locked in. I'm not going to change it based on your-


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[Assistant] You get the Patriots covering the Rams winning. I, uh, and again, I said, I'm not going to just pick the opposite of you for the sake of picking the opposite. I'm trying to pick the teams that I think will win. And I have faith in the Patriots. You know, the Rams are this team this year and we've, we've seen enough games where we can develop a sense of trends. Every time I start to buy into the Rams, that's when they, they lose.


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[Assistant] And I'm not going to buy into the Rams just because they beat the Cardinals this past weekend. We picked the Rams, we both did to pick the Cardinals, but we both thought the Patriots would beat


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[Assistant] The Chargers, and I, I, I feel like the Patriots backed against the wall. They're in that desperation mode. They have to win every game if they want to get to the postseason most likely. Nine and seven is not going to get it done this year. I just think the Patriots finished their little mini trip to LA.


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[Assistant] Keeping their hope alive. It's not gonna get any easier with the dolphins and the bills still on the horizon.


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[Assistant] But, I think that they at least take care of the first of their Final Four games.


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[Assistant] Beating the Rams, 20 to 17. I'm giving the Rams 14 more points than they scored in Super Bowl 53. I think the Patriots have the grit, the determination, and they have the coach in Bill Belichick.


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[Assistant] Super Bowl rematch from not that long ago. Super Bowl 50, the Broncos at the Panthers. This one doesn't feel like a Super Bowl rematch because both teams aren't very good this year. The Carolina Panthers, remember, they played


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[Assistant] The first regular season game after the Super Bowl, and it was a great game down to the wire. A field goal missed by Graham Ganow that would have won the game for the Panthers. Brawcos won this time around.


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[Assistant] The Panthers coming off of their bye week, late bye, three and a half point favorite, Christian McCaffrey is back, Chris, who wins and why.


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[Assistant] But in my mind, that's all overcome by the return of Christian McCaffrey. We've seen how good he can be. And when we witness guys like Derek Henry and Dalvin Cook and Alvin Kamara earning the contracts, they got


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[Assistant] In the 2020 offseason, McCaffrey hasn't earned his yet because he had an ankle injury promptly followed by a shoulder injury. He's going to want to come back and these are pride games and he's going to want to show that he still has it, that he still is one of the best running backs in the NFL with all this talk about


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[Assistant] Derrick Henry and Dalvin Cook. He wants people to remember that he still has it. So that's enough for me.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go Panthers here and again. I'm not picking opposite you just for the sake of trying to carve into your 14 game lead. I already had Panthers down 27-20. I am concerned about the guys on the COVID-19 reserve list, but I'll go Panthers 27-20.


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[Assistant] Well, it's interesting in another way because word is just broken of the Chicago Bears closing down the facility today and shutting down practice because of a COVID positive. But the Texans giving one at Chicago, Mitchell Trubisky versus Deshaun Watson, the guy on whom the Bears passed, if you haven't heard along with Patrick Mahomes.


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[Assistant] The Texans losing last week a game they could have and should have won over the Colts, the Bears.


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[Assistant] I've got 24 to 20 for the same reasons that you are suggesting. I think that folks in Chicago are getting very nervous right now. The people in the organization. There hasn't been any type of vote of confidence or assurance given that people are gonna be back next year. And they're just caught in a vortex they can't get out of.


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[Assistant] Cowboys at Bengals. On the surface, not a great game. One team is 2-9-1, the other one is 3-9, but it's Andy Dalton.


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[Assistant] Coming back to Cincinnati as the starting quarterback and his opportunity to stick it to the Bengals. And look, it's not all that hard to stick it to the Bengals this year, especially without Joe Burrow on the field. Chris, who do you like and why?


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[Assistant] Yeah, the spread in this one is three and a half over under forty two and a half. Uh, cowboys are the favorites. I've got the cowboys twenty three to sixteen. And if the cowboys lose this one.


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[Assistant] My goodness, they've got problems in Dallas because this is a Bengals team that is a shell of what it was earlier this year when it was still struggling to win games. No Joe Mixon, No Joe Burrow.


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[Assistant] No chance for the Bengals to win this game. And if they do...


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[Assistant] Then the Cowboys have to do some serious soul searching for 2021. Alright, Tennessee giving seven and a half at Jacksonville. The Jaguars won in week one. They gave the Titans everything they could handle in week two, a close game that went down to the wire. The Jaguars


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[Assistant] I've got Titans 28, Jaguars 20. Look, the Titans lost a game last week in embarrassing fashion. And yes, they, they were good in the second half and they didn't give up. They made the game a lot closer than it was in the first half, but they've got to win here. They've got to turn it around. And if they can't beat the Jaguars,


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[Assistant] They may not make it to the playoffs, so I like the Titans 2820 and a big day from Derrick Henry. Alright, one of the big games of the one o'clock eastern time window. This game feels like it should be more of a showcase game.


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[Assistant] And we will be paying close attention to it. The Kansas City Chiefs going to Miami to take on the Dolphins. Chiefs seven point favorites over under 49 and a half.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs, when it's not a great team, are ripe to be upset or at a minimum to have the underdog cover. Chris, what's your score in this one and why?


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[Assistant] The Chiefs can only be beaten if you can outscore them. They're going to score their points. I was stunned they only scored 22 last week. A lot of field goals instead of touchdowns from Harrison Butker.


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[Assistant] That may be a little high for the Chiefs, but I still think they cover.


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[Assistant] They win. The Dolphins still very much alive for the postseason, but this is a team that I think is clearly better than the Dolphins, and I think the Dolphins are good enough that the Chiefs won't get caught napping.


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[Assistant] Even as they are one week away from one of the great games of the season, Kansas City Chiefs at New Orleans Saints. But I like the Chiefs in this one. 31-21. Alright, a game that


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[Assistant] A few weeks ago we would have said, ugh, who cares? The Cardinals clinging to their postseason chances, a one and a half point favorite on the road at MetLife Stadium against the Giants who are five and seven and technically in first place in the NFC East by virtue of the tiebreaker over Washington. Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] They need this one badly. And, and as we discussed on PFT Live today, the fact that the Giants beat the Seahawks means the Cardinals aren't gonna walk into this one thinking, oh, these are the Giants. No, the Cardinals are gonna take it seriously.


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[Assistant] They're gonna take it very seriously. They're gonna take the remaining game seriously. They're battle tested from playing these teams in the NFC West. Yeaah. Even though the Giants beat the Seahawks, I think the Cardinals will have enough. And Kyler Murray's now three weeks removed.


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[Assistant] from the shoulder injury that has impaired him, but I just think that they're going, this is a find away game.


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[Assistant] For the Arizona Cardinals, I've got them 24 to 21, beating the Giants and covering the spread just barely. Alright.


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[Assistant] Another one o'clock game on Sunday and this is weird to see the Tampa Bay Buccaneers at one o'clock Eastern time.


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[Assistant] We're so used to 425, primetime, Monday night, Sunday night, Thursday night, the showcase team this year because of the Presidents have had, uh, the Presidents, excuse me, of hashtag Tommy. They are six and a half point favorites coming out of their bye week at home against the Vikings, an old NFC central reunion. Chris, who do you like in this?


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[Assistant] This is a matchup league and I think this is a bad matchup for the Vikings on both sides of the ball. The Buccaneers can stop the run and we've seen time and again when the Vikings can't run the ball, they can't throw the ball. We see guys in Kirk Cousins' face when he tries to do the bootlegs and the play action and he doesn't have the time to find the guys down the field.


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[Assistant] You suggested earlier today that the Buccaneers will sell out to stop the run. I think the Vikings' best chance is to do play action early and try to hit some balls down the field to Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen and get it into a shootout. Force it into a shootout and see if the Buccaneers can match them. I just think that


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[Assistant] The Buccaneers can and will match them. The Vikings have never beaten Tom Brady. I know there was a close game in New England not that long ago, but that was a diminished Patriots team that the Vikings played tougher than expected. This is, I think, gonna be a long day for the Vikings. It's the end of the road for them. They'll fall to six and seven and they'll be done.


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[Assistant] 28-20 and I'm being charitable. Buccaneers win, Buccaneers cover. It could be worse than that. It could get flat out ugly. This could be a take out your frustrations game for a Buccaneers team that has been slumping lately. That doesn't mean that they have going, have, have solved all their problems.


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[Assistant] But it will look like they've solved all their problems because they're getting a good matchup where I think they can, they can really make some noise and convince some people that they may be a factor in the postseason, Chris. Yeah, I, I, I certainly did.


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[Assistant] You can take on the Saints, one of the best defenses in the NFL in your first game ever. We'll talk about that in the other late afternoon games when PFTPM and Chris Sims on button presented by Verizon continues right after this.


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[Assistant] There's your weekday lineup on the NBC Sports Channel on Peacock, starting day every weekday at 7 a.m. Eastern with PFT Live. Alright, let's get to the 4 o'clock Eastern games on the 14th Sunday of the 2020 regular season, all odds courtesy of points bet. And how about the Indianapolis Colts?


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[Assistant] Make a point away or add one. 24 to 20 cults. You got the cults with the cover. I agree with you. Cults 30 to 21. I, I just think the Raiders are reeling a little bit right now, and yes they got the victory that they shouldn't have gotten, but they know they shouldn't have gotten it. They know they lost that game.


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[Assistant] So, I just think it's gonna be difficult for them to get it all together for a team that is, is as desperate, if not more desperate than the Raiders, because at least the cults can...


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[Assistant] Can objectively say, we deserve to be in the playoff conversation. With the Raiders? Yea, hey, they've beaten the top two teams in the PFT power rankings, and I get reminded that all the time by Raiders fans. Hey, why aren't they higher? They beat the Chiefs, they beat the Saints. Well, okay.


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[Assistant] Don't get blown out by the Falcons if you want those wins to mean something. It seems like for every good win they have, they have multiple losses to offset them.


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[Assistant] So I think the Colts, with that wall that they built years ago, and with that defensive wall that they have now to complement it, I think it's more than enough for the Colts to win the game. And I like the fact that Philip Rivers, the old Chargers quarterback,


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[Assistant] 13 and a half point favorites with a 46 and a half over under.


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[Assistant] Against the windless and hapless New York Jets. Chris, will the Seahawks


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[Assistant] Score that I've picked, 34-17, Seahawks win. I like this Jamal Adams angle. I think that gives the Seahawks even more of a lift. He's going to be emotional, maybe too emotional. They need to watch him, make sure he doesn't do anything to get himself.


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[Assistant] Pete Carroll had some comments yesterday that could be characterized as Bruce Arians style as it relates to


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[Assistant] Potential criticism, a little passive aggressive criticism of Russell Wilson saying that they need to get the ball downfield and that the protection from the offensive line was good against the Giants. That means the quarterback isn't pulling the trigger. And you know, I do a weekly spot on KJR and apparently there's a lot of talk in Seattle that


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[Assistant] But it is kind of odd. In a season where they were ready to hand the MVP trophy to Russell Wilson, and by they I mean we as well, after five or six weeks, how it's fallen off. I don't get it. There's gotta be some explanation for it. There's gotta be some story behind the story. It is getting kind of glaring to see how Wilson's performance has fallen off, Chris.


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[Assistant] Green Bay Packers back at Ford Field for their annual game against the Lions. Five years removed from the Hail Mary that scraped the Rafters almost at Ford Field. Packers seven and a half point favorites against the Lions who got that big win last week over the Chicago Bears down ten points, came back and got the victory. Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] Look, great. Congratulations. You got a win with Darryl Bevel, Detroit Lions. That doesn't mean you're ready to compete with the Green Bay Packers. We saw what happened earlier this year in Green Bay. No reason to think the same thing won't happen again. The Packers offense is firing on all cylinders and they're making their run at maybe.


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[Assistant] Possibly getting that, that, that one per conference buy in the NFC. Alright, the Atlanta Falcons wrote favorites at LA against the Chargers. Two and a half points the Falcons are favored by. Will the Falcons win? Will the Falcons cover Chris?


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[Assistant] I've got 2417 falcons over the chargers. I think the chargers are just gradually collapsing if not, if not faster than gradually. The comments from


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[Assistant] Anthony Lynn, a guy that we both have a ton of respect for, he, he was comparing the situation to Pearl Harbor, which is just a little over the top to say the least, and saying we're down and out but we're not dead yet. Uh, you are dead. You're, you're mathematically eliminated. You're, you're, you're playing for nothing other than maybe continued employment, which I think that ship has sailed.


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[Assistant] as well so i think that the falcons still trying to get raheem morris the job in atlanta beyond this season right the chargers i don't know what they're trying to do at this point i think it's over i think it's done and i think that the falcons put another nail in that coffin alright


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[Assistant] One of the more intriguing games of the day because Jalen Hurts will be making his debut as the starting quarterback. Yes, he got in last week, but he hasn't started. He will this weekend for the Eagles. When the Saints come to town, the Saints six and a half point favorites on the road. And for good reason, they've won nine games in a row. They've clinched a playoff berth. They're trying to nail down.


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[Assistant] The division championship, the magic number is one. They surely will win that division at some point. Will they clinch the division with a victory over Philly on Sunday?


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[Assistant] I agree with you. I think the Saints is a superior team. I think Jalen Hurts is not going to be any better than Carson Wentz because as Jason Kelsey, the Eagle Center said yesterday, this is a total failure across the board of players and coaches and you're not going to get it right.


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[Assistant] With the Saints coming to town, and we've seen how the Saints approach their seasons. It's been the same thing the last four years. Start slowly, find your groove, and just continue to be good, and win, and keep going, and they're not even gonna fall into the trap of peeking past this one.


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[Assistant] For the Chiefs game coming up next weekend. They know what's at stake and this is their opportunity to stick it to the Eagles and I think


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[Assistant] They, they will, and they will. Fairly convincingly, I'm not gonna go as lopsided as you, but I've got Saints 27, Eagles 20. That accomplishes the cover. Uh, and uh, you know, I think it may be even more little, a little more lopsided than that. Alright, the last late afternoon game. Washington at San Francisco.


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[Assistant] 49ers only a three point favorite. Washington with the same record right now as the 49ers and Washington in position to get to the postseason. As you said earlier, the 49ers, if they win out and go nine and seven, maybe, maybe they can. Maybe they can make it to the playoffs. Who do you like in this one and why?


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[Assistant] Yeah, you know, I agree with you. I've got 27, 21 49ers and the 49ers have shown us that they can rebound.


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[Assistant] From a loss that hurts them. That's one of the good traits of Kyle Shanahan to get his team to forget about.


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[Assistant] What happened? And you look at Washington. They're on the road in Pittsburgh on Monday. They gotta fly home and now they gotta go to San Francisco.


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[Assistant] That may take a toll on the short week. You're right, Arizona. Still, the other side of the country. Uh, technically at San Francisco, but actually in Glendale, Arizona. And, uh, I had forgotten that already. It's amazing. We had so much happen in the NFL that, uh, something that was a big deal.


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[Assistant] My heart says Washington, cause I want them to win the division. I want them to get the playoffs. I'm rooting for Ron Rivera and Alex Smith. Not this week. Maybe next week, maybe the week after, maybe the week after that, but not this week. San Francisco, 27-21. All right, let's take a break. When we return, it's time for prime time. Only two.


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[Assistant] Sunday and Monday prime time game this week. So far, we'll talk about Steelers, Bills, and Ravens-Browns when this joint edition of PFTPM and Chris Simpson presented by Verizon continues after.


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[Assistant] Alright, it's time for Primetime Games. PFTPM. Christians Unbuttoned. The Primetime Games. Presented by Verizon. Sunday Night Football. A great game. Pittsburgh Steelers at the Buffalo Bills. Steelers coming off their first loss.


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[Assistant] On early Monday evening, late Monday afternoon and the Bills with an impressive ninth win of the season over the San Francisco 49ers in Arizona on Monday night.


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[Assistant] Bill's only favored by two and a half points. That, that is the Vegas doesn't know what's gonna happen line. Right, Chris? Home team two and a half point favorite. They don't know what the hell is gonna happen. Over-under is 46 and a half. What do you think is gonna happen?


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[Assistant] While we were two for two on disagreements right out of the gates, we've agreed on everything since, and we agree on this one.


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[Assistant] The Steelers offense really is concerning from the drop passes to the no running game to your perception that Ben Roethlisberger is changing a lot of running plays to passing plays at the line of scrimmage. They do get James Connor back, which is huge, if they use him.


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[Assistant] And if he can be effective when they do use him. I just think in a spot like this, and look, this is where


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[Assistant] Big Ben's ego potentially takes over. Here's this young punk who's an MVP candidate higher on the stack than me, and everybody's smitten with Josh Allen. I'm gonna show him I was Josh Allen before Josh Allen was even born.


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[Assistant] Not so fast. And I think if they give into that temptation...


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[Assistant] Worked against the 49ers defense and I think a similar outcome is in order with Josh Allen buying time when he needs to. The absence of Bud Dupree, Stephon Diggs getting open. Other guys like Gabriel Davis and Cole Beasley getting open. I think that we're gonna see another


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[Assistant] Great performance from Josh Allen and the Bills are going to move to 10 and 3. First time they'll have consecutive double digit win season since 1998 and 1999. I've got the Bills 27, Steelers 23, Chris.


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[Assistant] You know, quite often when we get to this stage of the season, the Monday night game is a stinker because it looked good on paper when it was scheduled, but by the time you play out the first 13 or 14 weeks of the season, it's not good anymore. This is one that actually has gotten better.


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[Assistant] Because the Browns, much better than we thought they were going to be. And the Ravens, not the dominant force they were last year. Week 1, Ravens won 38-6 in Baltimore. Week 14, Primetime, Monday Night Football.


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[Assistant] The Ravens are a one point favorite, just a one point favorite after winning by 32 at Cleveland over under 46 and a half. Chris, who do you like?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've got 2317 Ravens for a lot of the same reasons, and one of the things that, and it hurts me to pick against the Browns after seeing what they did to the Titans, but the Titans don't have the pass rush that the Ravens do.


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[Assistant] And that's my concern for Baker Mayfield. You get guys in his face and he's not gonna be nearly as effective as he was last weekend. Maybe he'll chase that great performance against the Titans with another great one on Monday night in prime time. Maybe he will. And if he does, I'll be the first one in line to applaud him. But I gotta call it like I see it. I don't think he's gonna be able to do it against the Ravens.


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[Assistant] And even though it won't be the same kind of game it was in week one and it was a play here and a play there and Jarvis Landry told me a couple of weeks ago after one of their victories that, you know, they didn't have a chance to really get to know the new offense because of no off season workouts and the Ravens had much more continuity and


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[Assistant] And this will be a different game. It was a long time ago that they played the first, uh, the first match, but still I think the Ravens, desperate enough.


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[Assistant] Good enough to get the victory. The Browns are still gonna make it to the playoffs, and I know they hold out hope of overcoming the Steelers in the AFC North. I think that dream ends on Monday night. They're still gonna make it to the postseason. They're gonna make it closer than it was in week one. They have everything to be proud of, but I think the Ravens end up winning the game. Alright, we need to take a break.


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[Assistant] Alright, time now for our best bets for the week. Plus we have a new feature, better late than never. We're gonna start picking after our best bets.


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[Assistant] One team that we believe will win no matter what, regardless of spread, survivor pick style, one game that we feel great about as that team will win. Let's start with best bets though, Chris. You get to go first. Give me one of the teams that you believe will cover the spread, uh, this weekend.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go out of order. Usually I pick the game about which I feel the strongest first, but I'm curious to see if we can pull off the slot machine match this week. Cause I got Packers also on my list. So it's Packers Packers so far. What's your next one?


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[Assistant] You know that feeling at the slot machine when you get the first one locked in, you think, okay, then the second one, you go, ooh, well, it's time to go, ooh, because I got the saints also. What's the third one? Well, the third one,


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[Assistant] No, no. You pick whoever. You pick whoever. Well I got the Seahawks also. I got the Seahawks also. After what happened to the Jets last week, anyone would beat them. That's it. We'll see you next time. See ya.


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[Assistant] You know, it's too hard. I don't look at the spreads before we pick these games. I pick them, I write a score, I sit there as I pick the games and I look at information about the matchups, and I pick a score.


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[Assistant] Unfortunately, I-I might have a job in Vegas to where I could be a line setter. I'm always right around that.


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[Assistant] And I know I gotta do something about that. I'm sitting here now going, I got a few needlers here today. Again, I'll say this, like I've said on the podcast of my other podcasts when I'm not with you. I'm not Johnny the shark Vegas. All right. Listen to my information.


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[Assistant] I usually could tell you who's gonna win or lose and some good tidbits of the game. You others out there who are listening, I'll steer you in some directions with my information to where you make the bets. You guys know how to bet better than I am not a professional gambler. That's all I will say about that.


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[Assistant] Chris, who do you like and why? Well, I, I, I'm going with the Colts. 23 to 20, right off the bat. And, you know, the big thing is here, I just, I don't trust, I don't trust the Tennessee defense. I really don't.


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[Assistant] You know, there, there's really no advantage I can look at here with the Titans offense versus the Colts, I mean, Titans defense versus the Colts offense.


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[Assistant] To where I can sit here and go, oh, in this area, Tennessee's got the advantage. The only thing I see going for them here at all is the fact that, okay, maybe the Colts can't scare you deep down the field.


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[Assistant] But it doesn't matter. Other than that, they have a short passing game. They can run the ball solid. You have to respect it.


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[Assistant] And they have enough ways for rivers to hit you at 10 and 15 and 20 yard passes to where that worries me about the titans.


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[Assistant] You know, we talked about in the show today, the Titans run game has not been as dominant lately. It has not, you know, Taylor, little one being out and they've had to play some really good defenses and this might be the best defense they've played yet. They don't let anybody run on them. The Indianapolis Colts, they don't.


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[Assistant] So I think from that aspect, I just look at it and go, they're gonna be a close football game, certainly.


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[Assistant] But I think there's just a few more spots that are advantageous to the Colts football team than the Titans won in this. So now that's why I'm going to go with them by a field goal.


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[Assistant] No, I think you're right though. The intangibles probably do favor Tennessee here. They do in a lot of ways. Uhm, yeaah. I just don't trust it. And you know what? I'm going a little with Thursday Night Football. It's just always a curveball thrown at us. And that's part of my gut feeling too. So we'll see where that goes.


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[Assistant] You know, the, the Panthers offense, it's good. They got weapons, Bridgewater's playing solid, efficient football. You know, I'll still stick by the old saying, I always say with him, he's not going to win you football games and he ain't going to win, lose you them either. He's not necessarily going to make those plays to push you over the hump and those close football games. I mean, I think we've seen that. You know, my big thing here is.


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[Assistant] Carolina's just an okay running football team. They're just okay. And the Bucks are, of course, one of the better run-stopping defenses in football. I just think that'll make them, Carolina, two one-dimensional.


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[Assistant] I think it'll allow Tampa to play more coverage because they'll be able to trust their front to stop the run and do those things. So I think from that aspect, they have an advantage. And then on the other side of the ball, you know, the, the, the Panthers,


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[Assistant] Are not good at stopping the run. Now in past defense, they're solid. They don't let up a lot of big plays.


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[Assistant] But between what Bruce Arians said this week with like, doesn't want to play three receivers and do all that.


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[Assistant] I think we're gonna see the Bucks get back to what made them good and really dominant, you know, a few weeks ago, which is balance, running the football, the tight ends, the two tight ends. And I think because of that, they'll have a little success against Carolina and that'll lead to big plays in the pass game, even though Carolina is not one to let up those a whole lot.


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[Assistant] And I think the Bucks get back on, on track here. 24-20, I don't think it's easy, but I'm taking them to win the football game.


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[Assistant] Well, the win does scare me a little bit. It scares me more though, in this, for instance, with the Houston Texans. Because the Houston Texans are the ones that's gonna have to rely on the pass game.


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[Assistant] I mean, that, that's, you know, the bottom line, that's just the facts of the matter. You know, Cleveland is decent at stopping the run and the Texans are not a good running football team. So there's, there's not, they're going to win it through the pass if they are going to win it. And I expect them to be able to move the ball.


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[Assistant] On the Cleveland Browns defense all day long. I really do.


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[Assistant] You know, Cleveland's got issues there, and yeaah, they got Miles Garrett.


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[Assistant] But it's not like an overwhelmingly good pass rush. So when it's not overwhelmingly good across the board, this is where Deshaun Watson, even though Miles Garrett might get to him a few times, he's gonna make magic and there's gonna be holes downfield and they can't match up with them man to man with all those guys. Not a good, not a good enough cover guys on Cleveland. But the flip side is,


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[Assistant] Houston's defense is stinky, it's crappy, I don't know what other way to say it, and they can't stop the run. And that to me is ultimately why I'm gonna go with the Browns, I think it'll be a close game. In fact,


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[Assistant] So let me fix that score so we don't have a push for the purpose of this, and I'll go 3127. The Texans missed that extra point, alright? So, but, I think Cleveland's run game ultimately will be too much of them holding the ball, dominating the line of scrimmage, and when they can run like that,


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[Assistant] I-I-I like that, and you know, hey listen, your thought about the wind and all those things, you're right, the Browns are used to it, and then people might go, well they lost though the last time, it's alright, that was a different matchup. You know, the Raiders are a team that they didn't have to throw the ball either, all they did was run the ball all game long. Houston can't do that. So that's where it does play advantage Cleveland there.


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[Assistant] And really, I mean, DarkSky, I mean, I think we need to make them, you need to call them up, see if they're going to sponsor us at some point with all the love you give them. Uh, but yeah, that wind will make me think to where, I don't know, maybe I would have pushed the Browns in a little bit more of a lead than just four points, uh, if I realized it was going to be that aggressive there by the mistake by the lake.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, I can't pick Washington. I can't. Why not? I have no faith in their offense. I know they have a good defense, yes. But, you know, this is an offense with Matt Stafford that's got some balance to it. And I just think, you know, eventually they'll kind of...


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[Assistant] You know, and, and Alex Smith, you know, he's gonna have to make some throws in this game. Detroit's not, even though they're not a great run defense, they're not just gonna let you sit, let's sit back and like die a slow death with the run game. At some point here, they're gonna go, wait, it's Alex Smith and they're gonna crowd the box and they're gonna take their chances.


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[Assistant] So I'm gonna go with the Lions, 24-17. I don't think it's a pretty game. I don't think anything like that. But I just think between the desperation and the better quarterback and a few more weapons on offense, I'm just gonna go with them to win the football game.


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[Assistant] I, I mean, I don't think it will just because I don't think the Jaguars will be able to deliver that upset win in this one. Like, you know, those ones where we do that, it's usually like, you know, it's Tampa, New Orleans. It's as fairly even, but we all kind of just, oh, whatever. We're going to go with like, this is, this is not favorable.


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[Assistant] Do I think that Jacksonville can make some plays with their offense and maybe put some points on the board and things like that? They do have some balance? Yes, but ultimately their defense, there's just no freaking way you can pick them to keep this game close against this guy at quarterback.


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[Assistant] There's just no way. And Ja- and then Jackson's not good at anything. Run, pass, defense, none of it.


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[Assistant] So, defense, right. Offense, I love James Robinson, the un-grafted rookie. I think they'll be able to move it. I'm with you. I think so. I'm gonna go Packers 34-20. You know, because I do. I think Jake Luden and some of those guys, they'll make enough plays, but I don't think it's ever gonna be enough to where we're gonna feel like, ooh, Green Bay's in trouble losing this game. They will control it throughout.


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[Assistant] Well, I, I like the Philadelphia Eagles. I do. I don't like it though. Like love, love, love. Like, oh, I feel so great about it. I think yes, they're going to do just enough to win the football game. Kind of like what they did the first time around. Hopefully Carson Wentz will still start going, wait, when I play these teams, like the giants and the Cowboys, maybe I should stop doing stupid stuff.


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[Assistant] You know, but the big thing I think more than anything is the Giants...


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[Assistant] Can be nickel and dimed in the pass game. And I just think that suits Carson Wentz and the Eagles very well. That's kind of the way they play.


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[Assistant] So I think between that and then the Eagles defense being good.


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[Assistant] And Daniel Jones and the Giants offense being a little bit all over the place at times. I'm gonna go the Eagles just to win an ugly 23-16 game. The Giants there might have the ball late in the game to go down and tie something like that.


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[Assistant] Uh, but I, I just think the Eagles are a little bit better, they got the better quarterback, they're a little bit more battle tested, and I just think they pull it out.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, interesting. You know, first off, I look at that like, you know, my, this is like where my, my, my degenerate friends gamblers, they always go, oh, the two and a half, two and a half point spread line, right? That's that they always tell me that when they see two and a half points, that means Vegas doesn't know who they think is going to win.


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[Assistant] It's like, that's their defacto number they go to. It's very evenly matched football game. Definitely. Yeah. I'm going to go with the Bills. I am, you know that for the spirit of our bet, but I think it's close in the game. And really, I think the biggest thing I'm just going to go with here.


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[Assistant] Is I'm gonna put more faith in McDermott and Brian Dayball than I am in Vance Joseph and Cliff Kingsbury in the matchup. When I look at it on the field and go, ooh, it's even, I just like the fact that I think


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[Assistant] Buffalo's defense changed last week. A little healthier. I felt like McDermott seemed like he got involved in the schematics.


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[Assistant] You know, they played a quarterback in Russell Wilson who can move around and do some dangerous things. I think that's going to help them prepare for Kyla Murray and nothing can totally prepare you for Kyla Murray and some of those quarterback design runs and things like that.


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[Assistant] But I think between their health and the way their defense looked last week, I like that little aspect. And then, you know, again, Bill's offense versus Cardinal's defense.


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[Assistant] Now the Cardinals defense is certainly nothing special. There's no great pass rusher, which leads me to think...


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[Assistant] I mean, you know, listen, we both realize they have flaws, you know. Yea, we're having fun here with this game. Arizona, I agree with you though. I mean, just in the bigger conversation, it's hard to get a feel for them.


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[Assistant] If they didn't beat Seattle in that overtime game, their schedule would look a lot different.


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[Assistant] And you'd be going, man, they're wins. It's really not against any good football teams and their losses. They beat the 49ers in week one. They did. They did. I know. And you know, we've talked about that. That's week one too. So that's always a little bit of a toss up type thing.


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[Assistant] But yeaah, I just, to echo your point, I'm not sure about the damn Cardinals either. And I think it's gonna come down to quarterbacks making plays, and I was going with McDermott and Dayball to have just a little bit better of a game plan and you're gonna go the other way. So that's good. It's good for our spirit of our bet.


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[Assistant] You know what's crazy, Mike? When he's under center, it's a bright light for something tricky's happening. When he's under center, they're gonna do a...


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[Assistant] You know, a fake run reverse or a play action pass or a bootleg all of a sudden, things that are not normal within their normal routine of their offense. And it's like, yeah, I mean, I wish they'd get underneath the center more altogether to add to their inventory of the offense in general.


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[Assistant] The Broncos offense is so spotty. You know, that, that's the first thing. It's not very consistent running the ball. I like Drew Lock and his talent. I do.


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[Assistant] But at the same time, I think one of the things that bothers me a little about him right now, or he needs to learn and get better, just every throw can't be a 25 yard completion.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's the biggest issue I see with him right now. You know, throw it underneath every now and then. Take the five yard completion. Not everything needs to be on a highlight reel. That's one thing he has to get better at. And that's why you see inconsistencies in their offensive times and things like that. Lack of running game, him being a little over aggressive with all that too.


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[Assistant] You know, ultimately, I just think this is a good matchup. Because of those offensive issues there that we talk about with the Broncos, you know, I don't know if they're gonna be able to take advantage of some of the issues the Raiders have on defense.


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[Assistant] But, and then the ultimate, the other side of it is, yeaah, I have a lot of faith in this Raiders offense. They can do everything they, you need to do to be a successful offense. They really can.


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[Assistant] They can short passes, pick you apart. They got enough of a deep pass game to scare you now. And of course, they're one of the better running teams in football. And because of that, I think that's going to compromise the Broncos. Between that run, which the Broncos aren't great at stopping the run,


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[Assistant] I think that's gonna put Vic Fangio and company in some tough spots where he's gonna go, I gotta bring a guy up. I gotta be a little more aggressive. And that's when Gruden has you by the proverbial kahunas because that's when he dials up Henry rugs and things like that. And you go, damn, we just can't stop it. So I'm going Raiders 2824.


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[Assistant] So, I can get Vegas to cover there. Watch I get all these wrong this week. I changed it too. Watch I get them wrong. It's the week I should have stayed as the Needler.


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[Assistant] You know, this is a really even, close football game. I think of Seattle going to LA, they haven't traditionally been that great when they've had a go there.


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[Assistant] Now this Rams defense, I do think matches up pretty damn well with Russell Wilson and the Seattle Seahawks. I would just be shocked.


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[Assistant] You know, the Rams don't blitz a lot. They have a front four that can handle running type quarterbacks with Floyd and Donald, uh, and Brockers and, you know, so they're athletic up there. Even their linebackers are. I look at that. You know, when they want to, when they do want to play man to man, which they don't a lot, you know,


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[Assistant] They're okay, they're good at it. They're at their best when you heard me what I said this morning.


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[Assistant] When they kind of put Jaylen Ramsey in one guy and then they play all these different coverages to everything else. That to me is when I go, man, Rams, you're paying Jaylen Ramsey $20 million a year. I like it. Go for it. I think he'll be able to match up with DK Metcalf enough to where they'll be able to take some chances and not get torched.


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[Assistant] You know, DK will get his, I'm sure, but not to like, oh, it's five for 170 or five for 130. I would be shocked if that happened. You know, the other side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, Seattle, the defense, it's always about stopping the run. We know the Rams are about the run and all that. They're not a great drop back pass game. But I gotta think with, you know, the Rams will have a few wrinkles up their sleeve here. They've had a bye week.


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[Assistant] And, I'm gonna go with the Rams. I mean, yeah, I'm gonna go with the Rams to win this football game. I'm gonna go 24-21. I just think they match up well with this football team and the issues that the Seahawks have. And, uh, it's kind of one of those gut ones there that I like. So, Rams 24-21 for me, Mike.


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[Assistant] No I don't think we do either. It's scary. I think the Rams have the ability to be a more complete football team.


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[Assistant] Yeah, there's that great aspect of like what you're saying with Seattle. Their ability to bounce back and then the Russell Wilson and the offense and how special they are. That is what's scary. You're right. I mean, I think the Rams are going to win, but I'm not going to make it a best bet because it does scare the, I mean, number three scares the crap out of me. It's hard to bet against it.


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[Assistant] No, it's not. And you know, I can see because again, you know, as we've, we've talked about it a lot this year, it's not about like always who's better. This team's got a better record and this team's got a worse record. And that means automatically the team with the better record wins. No, it's a matchup league.


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[Assistant] And you know, when you see it, you look at Vegas, and it's only two and a half, and then you start to think about it, you go, well, I understand it a little bit, and you know, the more you think about it.


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[Assistant] You know, first off, we talked about last week the Dolphins. It was a simple formula for Tua. Bootleg screens, one-on-one, go route. I don't think that's gonna happen against Gus Bradley in the Chargers this week. I would be shocked. You know, one, hey, where's, do we know, Joey Bosa, I know, had a little concussion last week. I don't know where he's at in being able to play.


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, so I picked it as if he is gonna play, but I just think the boots and things like that will not be there this week.


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[Assistant] Nor will the one-on-one jump ball type of thing either.


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[Assistant] So, uh, because of that, it scares me a little bit with the Dolphins offense. No, no, uh, Parker, right? Or not, not to Bondi Parker, Preston Williams. So that's scary, you know, and then when you go to the other side of the ball, I like a lot of what Miami does, but I don't know if it fits against Justin Herbert and his damn great talents.


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[Assistant] First off, you know, they'll design a few quarterback runs like we saw Kyler Murray do to the Dolphins last week. So that's scary. Justin Herbert's phenomenal against the Blitz. The Dolphins like the Blitz and do that. I would say negative Ghost Rider. Don't do that against this guy. Cause you'll be, you'll be running after guys for touchdowns. He's amazing against the Blitz. So I think between those two things,


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[Assistant] I-I'm going with the Chargers, and I-I can't believe I'm saying it. I am, but I'm gonna go 21-20, I mean...


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[Assistant] You know, knowing the Chargers, they'll be up 21-20 and kick the ball off and everybody will fall down and the other team will return it for a touchdown to win the game. Who knows?


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[Assistant] But I do think they match up well, and it's one of those, I'm going Florio-gut here. That I just feel like it lines up, Dolphin's thinking they're great, 2-uh, everything, and here come the Chargers, you know, dying to win a game here, and I think it just, it'll end up that way this week.


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[Assistant] I am. I am. I mean, there's, you know, my guy is only, he's only capable of so much. I mean, he can't overcome the greatest injury, you know, injury report in the history of football. They just can't do it. And not against the Saints team who I do think, you know, we've seen this from them.


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[Assistant] Oh, not look so good. All of a sudden they have a big win and here we go. Here go the Saints. They figured it out. They know how do they want to play the confidence. Everything's there to where I just, I don't see any way the 49ers can win this football game. I really don't.


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[Assistant] You know, too many weapons on offense for the Saints, too balanced on offense with their ability to run the pass game, everything like that. You know, the Taysom Hill factor and...


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[Assistant] You know, with, with the 49ers, we know Shanahan, the run game, all those things, but it's different when you have no worries of the drop back pass game. And this is a great front seven.


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[Assistant] A great front seven for the New Orleans Saints. I mean, are we going to see Quan Alexander this week for them too? I just wondered that cause that adds to the matchup a little bit. Um, but yeah, I, I don't, I don't know. I mean, he'll be able to play because of COVID, but we'll have to


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[Assistant] I like Pittsburgh, I do, but I think there's some things about this matchup that


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[Assistant] You know, are intriguing for Cincinnati to make this game interesting. I do. I mean, first off,


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, Joe Burrow, their passing attack, their, his ability to get the ball out of his hand quickly, you know, that's going to take the pass rush out of the game. So, you know, from that aspect, I think they could stay on the field a little bit against the Steelers defense where we've seen, you know, you can move the ball at times on the Steelers.


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[Assistant] It's just, can you avoid making the big mistake where they turn it over or do something like that?


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[Assistant] You know, I think Burrow and Company will, you know, be able to move the ball and do that. Now, the other side of the ball, the Bengals defense, not great, obviously, but the Pittsburgh offense, not either. I mean, there's no one area you can look at with Pittsburgh's offense and just go, oh, that's awesome right there. I mean, that's, that's what they do great.


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[Assistant] You know, and the fact that they can't run the ball great, I don't know if that can take advantage of that serious weakness the Bengals have in that area. So I think the Bengals hang around. I'm not gonna pick them to win the game, but I'm gonna go Steelers 27-21 in this one.


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[Assistant] Yes, that's, that's very convenient of you. Way to, way to compartmentalize that, you know. It's the truth. It's the truth. No loose situation for you. Sounds good. Exactly.


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[Assistant] I don't think so on either one of those ones. I don't think they can, you know, they might be able to hang in there within seven for a majority of the game.


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[Assistant] But I, I, I mean, eventually I think the damn breaks. You know, I'll go back a little, I mean, Mike, we've talked about this so much, right? I mean, the first thing is...


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[Assistant] The Patriots defense, secondary, great. Yeaah, they'll be able to match up with those receivers, play man to man, and load the box. So what?