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[Assistant] Indianapolis defense is just not ready yet. They're still a little beat up and they gotta get some things going together and they hustle, but they play, you know, very conservative.


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[Assistant] So, but I thought it was just, that was like the highlight of all my film watching and I watched it. It was just so well done, so well designed.


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[Assistant] That, and I can't wait to see New England, their defense, my last thought.


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[Assistant] But the creativity on the defensive side, the little nuances of what they do.


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[Assistant] It's unbelievable, and I think it's what will Buffalo do against them?


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[Assistant] Oh, well, you know, the old, I don't know who's standing where, that one which we see, but they have such a...


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[Assistant] You know, and I'm actually going to show some of it on Sunday, but Jamie Collins, he left New England, of course, and let him go to Cleveland.


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[Assistant] He's bigger, faster, and it seems like they're making him the focal point of a lot of stuff.


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[Assistant] One guy hits the inside right shoulder of the left guard, so think of that.


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[Assistant] And they got the, and then there's Jamie Collins outside and he loops around and I mean you could drive a truck through it and he ran over Luke Falk before he could even see who was coming. I mean it was, and I thought, but you see it all over the film.


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[Assistant] The little thing that they hit the right spot on the guy, they weren't trying to sack the quarterback, they were just, what's blitzing about? Two things. Spacing and timing.


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[Assistant] And then the last thing, Michael Bennett, he's the pass rusher, right?


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[Assistant] And Ben Michael Bennett looks like he picked up weight too. Right.


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[Assistant] Maybe he was a little beat up, but he only, it seemed like he only played a few plays in the whole game, but just everything about him, you know, just all the years they played safe, been, but don't break. Well, this is not the defense this year. This is just go out there and let's knock them out. That's what they're doing.


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[Assistant] They're secondary, without question, we know it's good, they're the best tackling secondary in the NFL too.


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[Assistant] And that's saying something because buffalo is pretty good themselves.


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[Assistant] Well, you know, they all have the same technique. They- Christopher, you would know more than me.


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[Assistant] They must talk about it constantly, don't they go?


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[Assistant] I was watching a lot of TV and a lot of sports, but I don't have a good memory and so I don't remember a whole lot of that either.


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[Assistant] You guys picked on Twitter the two that you wanted Chris to look at. Game film of number one was 49ers Panthers. Number two we'll do a little bit later on is Packers Chiefs, which we saw on Sunday Night Football, which we were kind of bummed that


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[Assistant] So before we get into Panthers and 49ers, let's do a couple, uh, give me the headlines here. Okay. So let's start with, uh, Saints who improved to 7 and 1. Yeah. Beat the Cardinals, 31 to 9.


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[Assistant] Who ran for 102 yards, 21 carries a touchdown, had 9 catches, 12 targets for Latavious Murray. Amazing. Drew Brees went in and was like, hey, hey, uhm, uh, Alvin, let's do this. He's like, no, I'm not him right now. It's like, oh, whatever.


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[Assistant] Uhm, threw it to him 12 times. That was the most targets that Latavius Maria has ever had in his career. His previous high was 7. So he was good, but yes, it was a breeze for Drew Brees coming back. He looked sharp.


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[Assistant] And you, you, you were really hard with Mike. I was listening to you guys talk about. You were really hard on Cliff for going for that. I'm, uh, you know, I, I'm hard on the play call. Yea, yea, right, right. I'm not as hard for them going for it. Yea, it was your own 30. It doesn't seem to make a whole lot of sense. Yea, I know.


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[Assistant] You do make a good point too because I'm a baseball guy and analytics have taken over baseball. Yeaah. And every GM now is basically a data scientist and not a scouting director. Uhm, but there was a team, I don't remember if it was the Yankees or the Dodgers, but a very analytical team.


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[Assistant] Little bit of give and take both sides. How about, before we get to the undefeated.


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[Assistant] Uh, 49ers, let's do the undefeated New England Patriots. And my headline, they beat the Browns. The Browns now fall to 2-5, 27-13. Uh, my headline for 8th week in a row.


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[Assistant] That averages out to less than two wins per team they have played this year.


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[Assistant] The schedule obviously has been, they don't play in a very strong division, the schedule has been easy, they take on a Browns team that we thought maybe was going to be good, and they're turning out that they're not very good, and so.


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[Assistant] The dominance continues for the Patriots, although I don't know that we know anything more about them this week than we did last week.


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[Assistant] It's insane. Do you know, uh, the next, uh, the next best? Ooh, okay, I'm not. Without looking it up. Yep, no, I'm not gonna look it up. Because you say I'm looking, I'm just looking at the team.


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[Assistant] What about the number? So they're plus 17 in England. There's a bunch of teams below them tied. Where do you think they're at? Plus what? Plus 8 maybe? Plus 7.


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[Assistant] Those are at plus seven. Plus seven, excuse me. They're all at plus seven. And New England's at plus seventeen this year. Uh, shout out to, uh, to Patriots linebacker Jamie Collins. Twelve solo tackles, most this week in the NFL. One and a half sacks.


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[Assistant] So let's go to the, uh, the other team that will be in the Superbowl taking on the Patriots in a couple months from now. Yep, I mean nothing's changed my opinion from that yesterday. We're going deep dive into Panthers versus 49ers.


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[Assistant] We thought, okay, the 49ers, similar to the Patriots, have had some easy games and the schedule hasn't taxed them as much as maybe some other teams out there. Sure. So we thought, okay, this is good. This is a good test for that running game against the Carolina defense.


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[Assistant] We'll see. The Carolina offense has been okay. Yep. Without Cam. And so we'll see how they handle a elite defense in the 49ers. And the answer was not well. No. They didn't handle.


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[Assistant] So I wanted to give props to the wide receiver coach, Jim Hostler. Way to go. His first year in Carolina. Yeaah. It was just a cool play to see, you know, the wide receivers you think all the time. And you do see sometimes when the plays not come in their way or if it's a running play, they're just jogging off into the distance. Those are three wide receivers that were making key blocks on that play.


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[Assistant] 49ers defense is good. Last year they had the worst interception rate in the NFL. This year they're second to go along with the best sack, uh, per pass rate in the NFL right now.


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[Assistant] And there was a time there where Eric Armstead, there was worries, oh dude, they take him too high, is he not gonna pan out to be as high as we drafted him? But he's been so good. Yeah, so good. Making a big step. Yep. Uh, is that it? Pantherzo? I think so, I don't know.


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[Assistant] Uh, had 11 carries, 105 yards, 2 catches, 13 yards, another touchdown there. He faced an 8-man box more than any other running back this week, 64% of the time, didn't matter. No. Uh, he, he was, uh, he was amazing once again and


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[Assistant] And that's a really good way, an easy way to get yards. Utilizing all the weapons. They utilized George Kittle once again. Six catches, 86 yards. Had a touchdown that was called back on a block. But he had seven targets. Emmanuel Sanders had five. Who do you think has more targets moving forward on the 49ers? Kittle or Sanders?


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[Assistant] 49ers off to their best start since 1990 when they won their first 10 games of the season. Uh, Carolina had won four in a row. So what do you think about the Carolina Panthers D? We thought they were pretty good defense coming in. Yeah. And this is a defense that might finally slow down this 49ers offense, this run game, but they did not.


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[Assistant] Jimmy Garoppolo didn't have to do a ton. No. 18 to 22, so just four incomplete passes, 175 yards. One of those incomplete passes was an interception but did throw two touchdowns.


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[Assistant] We did, we got it? We got it. I think we hit it all. That was a good one.


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[Assistant] I like that one. We got into the X's and L's. Let's go through a few more headlines here. Let's go over to the Rams. We'll stay out, uh, out West. They defeat, uh, the Bengals. Well, actually they were really East, right? Out West and East London. If you fly far enough West, you'll eventually get there. You'll eventually hit it. Yes, you will. Uhm, so they, uh, they improved to 5 and 3. The 24, uh, 10 win. My headline? Yeah.


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[Assistant] Cup runneth after the catch. I like it. I like it. The Cooper Cup was amazing. Amazing. 20 yards, one touchdown on just seven catches.


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[Assistant] Uh, he had that reverse flea flicker 65 yard touchdown where he got the handoff. He pitched it to BW, or no, he pitched it. Yeaah. He made BW Web fall down before he even caught it. Right. Caught it and then scored a touchdown.


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[Assistant] You think he's comfortably a top 15 quarterback in the NFL?


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[Assistant] That's all I'm trying to say. Yes, that's all I'm trying to say. One more stat on Cooper Cup. He has more yards after the catch. 404.


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[Assistant] Then Brandon Cooks has total receiving yards this year at 402. Wow. Wow. So yeaah. Yeaah. Well it speaks to I think his size and physicality. He's 6'2". Yeah. Cooper Cupp. He's 6'2". I would have lost a lot of money thinking he was like 5'11".


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[Assistant] Uh, so Rams get a win as do the Seahawks with, uh, taking on the 1-7 Atlanta Falcons. Beat them by a touchdown. Really, it was not as close as the score indicated. It was 27-11 with 5 minutes to go here. Uhm, my headline?


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[Assistant] Passing yards rendered meaningless, because Matt Schaub threw for 460. Yes. Yeaah, yeaah. They don't mean anything anymore. No. When there's two, it's like it just, they lost all meaning.


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[Assistant] Talking to reporters, saying we got no plans on making any changes right now. He said we have a lot of intelligence on the coaching staff, which they do. I mean, Dan Quinn's been to a Super Bowl. You got Dirk Cutter there. You have Mike Malarkey. You have Raheem Morris. You got all these former head coaches at the NFL.


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[Assistant] Seems like with experience, you'd have a pretty good staff, but something's just not working there for the Falcons, and obviously not having Matt Ryan hurt, but then your quarterback comes in and throws for 460, so, good on them.


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[Assistant] Sorry, Jonal. Sorry about that. Sorry, Jonal McDonald. Staff believes in staff. Oh. So the coaching staff believes in Matt Stafford.


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[Assistant] Uh, because they were up, what was it, five, with 12 minutes to go, and some teams, you know, fourth quarter, you're like, okay, let's just run the ball, let's do, let's not do anything dumb here. Darrell Bevel said, no, we're gonna do something dumb.


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[Assistant] Turned out not to be dumb at all. Flea Flicker to a wide open Kenny Galladay, who beat Antoine Bethea. Matt Patricia said after the game, I was holding my breath on that one, but they went for it and I gave them a lot of credit because it was a tie.


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[Assistant] Or, or when we're on the field, just win the game. Yeah, or do that, that would help too.


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[Assistant] Gosh. Uh, they lose by a point 17-16, uh, to the Chargers. A last second 41 yard field goal goes just left. So my headline, Matt Nagy shows confidence in kicker, holder, and long snapper.


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[Assistant] They got pros too. Uh, Joey Bosa is one of those pros for the Chargers, had four tackles for a loss most this week in the NFL, three quarterback hits, two sacks. So right when you were about to pass the torch from one Bosa to the other, they both had a good day.


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[Assistant] And with the Bears, one positive for the Bears that I hope doesn't get overlooked, you know, their special teams coach is Chris Taber.


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[Assistant] Uh, and yeaah, you look at the kick and you're like, ah, that's how you lost the game. I was like, the one thing they do have, their best offense, is their special teams. Tariq Cohen, uh, Cordero Patterson. Number one in yards per kickoff return. Number one in yards per punt return in the NFL. Where would they be without that?


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[Assistant] Bears fall to three and four. Time to talk about the Packers.


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[Assistant] So let's go deep dive, go into it. So we'll start with the Packers offense versus the Chiefs D. If I had to do a headline for this one, I would say running Aarons. Because it was a couple running Aarons, scrambling Aaron Rodgers, and then Aaron Jones who had 67 yards rushing, 159 yards receiving, and two touchdowns for him.


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[Assistant] You know, people thought this game was going to be maybe more of a blowout. Chiefs defense has not been world beaters by any means, has been a little more aggressive lately, which has been good to see. So it took a while for that Packers offense to kick into gear, but you did the deep dive on the Packers though, and Aaron Rodgers, what'd you see?


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[Assistant] So there's a graphic on that too, because you've talked about this on the podcast. Okay. So I think we have the numbers for it. Uh, weeks one through six, this is the pressures and the blitz for the Kansas City Chiefs, week one through six.


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[Assistant] They were 20th in blitz rank in the NFL, 18th in pressure rank. And then, yeaah. They listened to Chris Sims on button. Yep. Before week 7. And they're now 8th in those two weeks in blitz percentage and 6th in pressure percentage. So they, exactly like you said, and it seems like they've embraced it now.


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[Assistant] We, we're not, we don't have a good defense, not great, right? We have a great offense, a lead offense, even without, you know, uhm, Patrick Mahomes, we can score some points. So let's try to make stuff happen, especially against one of the best quarterbacks.


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[Assistant] So, the Rodgers play that's on all the highlight reel is the one to Jamal Williams in the back of the end zone, right? Where he's scrambling all around. I looked at the play, I put on my Chris Sims hat.


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't like it for Aaron Rodgers. I don't like it. I think it's a good play for him.


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[Assistant] Within the first second. Right. Aaron, uhm, or uh, Aaron Jones. Yes. Is standing wide open on the goal line with no one around him.


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[Assistant] He didn't even need to have that highlight Rio play. It's kinda like in baseball when the center fielder dives because he slowed down, didn't run for it. He didn't need the highlight Rio play. Chris is pulling it up on the flat to see if I'm right.


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[Assistant] So he could have had the easy touchdown, but yet Alex to go with this Hall of Fame scrambling play. You see?


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[Assistant] And I, I looked at it last year, first and 10. I was like, what do they do on first and 10? Because Matt LaFleur came in and they talked about they wanted to establish a run game, take some of the pressure off Aaron Rodgers. I was like, man, it seems like he's throwing quite a bit. Uhm, but on first and 10 this year, they're throwing 51% of the time.


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[Assistant] Last year is 64% of the time. There you go. So they are. They're trying to take, even if they don't always run successfully,


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[Assistant] They're doing it well too, running up the middle, they're 5.78 yards per play up the middle, per run up the middle, third best in the NFL.


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[Assistant] Can we go over to, uh, the Green Bay D and Chief So? We can. Because here's the thing, I think 7-1 Packers, you'll look at it and be like, okay, Packers, elite team. Mhm.


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[Assistant] Defensively, there's some potential issues. There's some issues. What did you see on film from the Packers defense? Because here you're going against the Chiefs though, and Andy Reid, yea okay good, but no Patrick Mahomes, Matt Moore looked really good.


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[Assistant] Packers, uh, the defense will be the, uh, the issue giving up 6 yards per play, 23rd in the NFL. Where they have excelled though, Chris is in the red zone.


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[Assistant] Uhm, okay, we're gonna go through the final games, but we're gonna do it, a little bit of mix of headlines, and the newest favorite song that I have, the biggest sensation. But you don't listen to music, so.


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[Assistant] This is not by Dr. Dre. This is, uh, damn, okay.


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[Assistant] Legal gamble-izing. Yay. Legal gamble-izing. You better be careful. Soon to be legal gamble-izing everywhere. Yep. That's coming. That's coming, that's right. Uh, so Mike, can I give you a damn okay? Of course. How about...


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[Assistant] I think we've done him before, and you're not totally on the Gardner Minshew train yet. No, but yesterday deserves it. Damn okay! Yes, it does! Came back, bounced back, and there were a couple times where he was very Aaron Rodgers-esque.


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[Assistant] He made some big time plays. Uhm, so there was a 70 yard touchdown to Chris Conley. Right. Where the, the jet safety Jamal Adams, if you look at the play, should have had his first sack of the year. He was sent on a blitz. Leonard Fornette just basically whiffs. Right.


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[Assistant] But Minshew was able to get around him, a lewd. And then you have that play late in the game where he throws it right in between two defensive players and finds, uhm, I forget who it was in the, uh, Chark and Minshew.


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[Assistant] So what? I mean, it was, it was above and beyond. Yes. For, for Gardner Minshew. And so it's, I mean, it's interesting. He was the 10th of 11 quarterbacks taken in the draft this past year.


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[Assistant] And it does go to show, you know, I was kind of thinking about the Daniel Jones situation where, you know, Daniel Jones is a good quarterback and a talented quarterback.


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[Assistant] But, but the, I think the idea of the mistake taking him that high is that there were opportunities to get a Jarrett Stidham in the fourth round, a Drew, a Drew Locke in the second round, obviously a Gardner Minchew in the sixth round. We didn't know how they'd turn out.


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[Assistant] But there are some opportunities to get these guys that might have equal value to Daniel Jones five years from now.


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[Assistant] If you're the head coach who's quarterback in the last few games of the regular season, once Nick Foles is back healthy, who's at the quarterback?


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[Assistant] There's ways to walk away from these contracts, but not, um, Texans and Raiders, Texans get the win. My headline for that one though, if we go to headlines, uh, Watt now. Just too unfortunate that JJ Watt lost for the season once again.


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[Assistant] Deshaun Watson was great, but my concern with the Texans in looking at the numbers is that even with them, they had the 21st defense in yards per play, 28th in passing yards given up, 24th in saccharate, so even with JJ Watt, that defense was not good.


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[Assistant] Every team in this division got a win. Texans get a win. Colts get a win. They beat the Broncos. 15 to 13, another close loss for the, uh, the Broncos. My headline for that is catching flak.


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[Assistant] So Joe Flacco said we're now a 2-6 football team and we're afraid to go for it in the 2-minute drill. Just feels like we're kind of afraid to lose a game. Why can't we be aggressive in some of these situations? It almost seemed like he thought he was talking to Vic Fangio, but he was actually talking to the media at that time. So they had the ball, they had the lead by a point. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] And they had what, it was like a fourth and three? Yeah, I thought it was even a fourth and five. From the cold, 43 with 155 left. Right. It's like we're sitting here at two and five. Let's go for it, I agree with him.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and now he's hurt. We got breaking news, herniated disc for Joe Flacco.


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[Assistant] Misses an extra point, misses a field goal, and still makes a 51 yarder. Steps up when he needs to. As long as we're doing breaking news, might as well do the other real quick breaking news. Yeah. Uh, Jets traded their defensive lineman Leonard Williams to the Giants for a third round pick this year and a fifth round pick next year. Wow. Your initial, your quick thought? Well, I'm a little surprised.


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[Assistant] I was going to say, I can't remember one. Never happened before. No. No. Uh, first one, Leonard Williams, that trivia answer. Also another trade. Yeah. Uh, Miami traded the running back, Kenyon Drake to the Cardinals for a sixth round pick. Yeah. They got David Johnson with an injury. Right. Chase Edmonds who left the game last week.


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[Assistant] Uh, the trade deadline is Tuesday. I'm gonna give you three names. Who do you think goes? Who do you think stays? Oh. AJ Green, wide receiver, Cincinnati. Chris Harris Jr., corner, Denver. Washington left tackle, Trent Williams. Who stays? Who goes? Who gets traded? Chris Harris Jr. gets traded. I think he will get traded.


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[Assistant] I wanna give a damn okay to Mike Evans, 11 catches, 198 yards, 2 touchdowns in a loss. Yeaah, I mean, one of the best receivers in football.


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[Assistant] And we've been talking a lot about Chris Godwin, uh, about, uh, him and, uh, Jameis. So, uh, the Bucks have four turnovers. They were all from Jameis Winston, two fumbles, two interceptions. I think it's, I think it's time to turn a new leaf. I think we're almost there for the Buccaneers.


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[Assistant] You believe that? We saved the best for last. Uh, the Eagles were not looking like a playoff team when they lost to Dallas 37-10 last week. Come back and they beat up on a really good Bills team, giving them their second loss of the year 31-13. When asked about it after the game, uh, Lane Johnson said four and four looks like we're average.


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[Assistant] So they have, uh, they, they, they see there's still work to do, but it was good. If you're gonna give a damn okay in this game, Miles Sanders, 65 yard touchdown.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, 31 points against them. Jordan Howard had a good game too, 90 yards. Uh, which got hit.


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[Assistant] Are they? Yeaah, I had David Johnson in one league. Okay, well that hurts.


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[Assistant] Uh, what's your record right now in there? Three and five. Three and five.


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[Assistant] Man, Kristen's not gonna be happy about that. You're already pissing off Kristen, who's gonna have to some way blur that out. Uhm, I took an ass-whooping. Uh, there's no doubt about that. I can't deny it. You need to send a gift basket, alright, to Jadevion Clowney for saving you in that one, alright?


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[Assistant] The only one I'm really disappointed in there, okay? Uh, the, the, the Ram Steelers one. I legitimately lost that. That was a great call by you. All the other ones were down to the wire. I'm not even counting the Lions one. If Matthew Stafford plays, they win. Uh, but damn, I can't believe Owen five.


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[Assistant] Florio, 8 and 5, straight up this week. I was 3 and 10. Florio was 9 and 4 against the spread. I was 5 and 8 against the spread.


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[Assistant] And then Florio won his best bets of Baltimore and Green Bay and then lost the Dallas Cowboys. Man, I forgot you had Green Bay as a best bet. Damn, I wish they would have scored at the end of the game, the Carolina Panthers.


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[Assistant] Uhm, then my best bets, I won the Cardinals Tampa Bay over and then I lost the Rams in Kansas City. I still can't believe I lost the Kansas City one. They were up by five, kicking a field goal to go up by eight with under a minute and 40 left. That's unreal. I'm pissed at the world.


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[Assistant] For the season, Florio's got a 7 game lead on me. He's 89, 58 and 1 straight up. I'm 82, 65 and 1. And then against the spread, you're 76 and 70 and 2. That's really good that you're above 500 against the spread. I'm, I actually am very impressed there. And then against the spread, I am 65, 74 and 9.


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[Assistant] Best bets, I'm 16 and 11. Best bets, you're 17 and 10. So you're a game up on me on best bets and seven games up on me on straight up. Like I've always said, that's the only one I care about. Uh, is there anything else you'd like to say? Dr. Asshole from West Virginia.


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[Assistant] I did do my picks and I'm not going to lie when I got done with them, I said, should I do the opposite? But I didn't, I didn't. Okay. Let's start off Thursday night football. We're both excited for this Steelers Browns Browns desperate. They almost are at, we have to run the table category.


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[Assistant] Steelers have a little wiggle room, are on fire lately. Uh, Mike, how you see us shaking out?


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[Assistant] Okay, alright, that's, I feel like that's a little too many points, but either way, that's fine. I got a slot of the same thoughts. Uhm, I do think the Browns posed some problems a little differently. Like, I almost look at it and go,


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[Assistant] You know, the Browns matchup wise, I would say other than the 49ers or one of the tougher matchups, the Pittsburgh Steelers have had a deal with this year. And you said some of them, I mean, Odell and Jarvis and the run game and all that. But I do think the Steelers defense is special. I also do, you know, I gotta say, um, you know, Mason wrote off.


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[Assistant] You know, he knows how to manage the game to a degree. He does. And I do think James Connor being back and the fact that they have, you know, put a lot more eggs in to run the ball basket. The Browns are not a great run defense. I think the game is going to be close. I do. And I do think there's a chance the Browns could win.


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[Assistant] If the Steelers don't give the, if the Browns don't give the Steelers the short field or have a pick six or a strip sack fumble for a touchdown, something like that. But nonetheless, I am going Steelers 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Uh, on the road, and uhm, we didn't, I didn't say this. The over-under is at 41 there in this one. But we're both on the Steelers, you're on them. What'd you say was yours? 27-21?


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[Assistant] I can picture you so stressed. How many, did you have to like, how many times did you swear and go crazy, uh, over the last hour? Were you going crazy pacing around the house?


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[Assistant] Yes, well, I know. Once you get me talking about football, I can't shut up. All right. Premier one o'clock game of the day.


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[Assistant] Easily my favorite on the schedule. It is, it should be anybody's favorite. It's Texans at Ravens. It's Lamar versus Sean. And you know they're becoming stars when it's, you can only say one, you can say one name. You know, you don't, you don't have to say the full name. We know who you're talking about. That's when you know you've hit superstardom.


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[Assistant] Ravens favored by four and a half at home over under 49. Lead us off, Mike.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, it's a fascinating game. I think, uh, if I just look at it from the Ravens offensive part side of the, the, the coin there.


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[Assistant] The Texans can play some run defense now. So I do think they got enough big people to slow down that aspect. I'm still worried about the Texans past defense. Does Lamar Jackson and company have enough in their past offense to take advantage of a not so good


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[Assistant] And I'm just gonna, you know, again, you're right, like the Ravens defense hasn't been as dominant in years past, but man, do they have a good secondary. Will Fuller still kind of dealing with a hamstring issue, so I doubt he's gonna be 100%.


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[Assistant] Uh, I do think, uh, Don Wink Martindale on the, on the defensive coordinator for the Ravens is pretty good and creative. So again, I'm like you.


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[Assistant] I'm scared, I'm not betting on this game, I'm saying that right now.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go Ravens 23-20. I think it'll be a little lower scoring than we think, but, uh, I am scared of this one because I also say this, the Ravens are not fast up front.


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[Assistant] And that does worry me with Deshaun Watson, where he might be able to buy some time on some plays and make some magic happen when he gets outside of the pocket. But regardless, with the Ravens being at home and kind of hot right now, uh, I'm going with them 23-20. Anything else you want to say or you want to move on?


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[Assistant] Let's move on. Alright, let's go. Let's move on or move out. Alright, Falcons and Panthers. Uh, Panthers favored by five and a half. Over under 49 and a half. Panthers lost a bad one last week. I mean, not a bad one, just it hurt. Falcons surprisingly whooped the crap out of the Saints. Uhm, go ahead, Mike.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think the Panthers are still a good football team. Think they outplayed the Packers last week. Uh, they have weapons. We know they're balanced.


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[Assistant] Uh, they, I think actually they can pose a few more problems for the Falcons defense than maybe the Saints offense could pose against the Falcons in general. I mean, DJ Moore and Curtis Samuel, Greg Olson, you know, there's still, you still have to worry about that passing game and, and those guys can, can push it down the field. And Kyle Allen's pretty aggressive too as a quarterback.


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[Assistant] Uh, of course we know they can run the ball. Now, like I look at the Falcons and go, yeah, I think they can move the ball on the Panthers as well.


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[Assistant] But the way, the best way teams have moved the ball on the Panthers is through the run game.


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[Assistant] And I'm not going to sit here yet and tell you that I'm sold on the Falcons run game. I know they had a decent day last week against the Saints, had some good wrinkles that got them out in the edge and all that, but I'm certainly not ready to like hang my hat on. Oh, the Falcons run game is fixed or anything like that.


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[Assistant] I think this is a close one. I think the Falcons, uh, you know, make some plays on the offensive side of the ball just because it's Julio and Matt Ryan and Calvin Ridley. But ultimately I'm with you. I'm going to go with the Panthers. I'm going 27-24 and they keep their playoff hopes alive.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, definitely. Didn't think they would win, that's for sure. Yeah, I think the Falcons will keep this close. I do like the Falcons.


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[Assistant] And you heard me say this on the show. They threw a few curve balls into their defense last week and you made, you brought it up today where you said maybe Raheem Morris was part of that.


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[Assistant] And I, I don't doubt that. I don't have any knowledge of that, but I was with Raheem, you know, in Tampa with Mike Tomlin and Rod Marinelli and all them. Raheem's a pretty smart defensive guy and I would not be shocked if he threw some of those things out there. Uh, but nonetheless, I think the Panthers do win the game. All right, Cowboys Lions.


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[Assistant] Cowboys reeling, four and a half point favorites on the road against the Lions over under 49. I have to ask you first, what's the latest on Matthew Stafford?


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[Assistant] Now, I know, Matthew Stafford is a big deal to me, because you know that I...


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[Assistant] I do think the Dallas defense doesn't do enough, so that's scary. But I think ultimately, you know, you kind of hit on it.


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[Assistant] You know, the, the, the, the, I mean, uh, the, the Cowboys are clearly the more talented football team. And I don't trust the Lions defense versus these type of offenses. This is a balanced offense that can do it all. And I don't know if everybody out there realizes that the number one offense in football is the Dallas Cowboys.


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[Assistant] They can, they can throw it. You know, most weeks they can run it. Uh, I'm a little disappointed with their lack of ability to dominate the line of scrimmage, maybe to the extent I would like. And I, you know, you've heard my concerns with Zeke Elliott, but I'm with you. I'm going Cowboys 34-24 and I'm picking it to be 34-24.


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[Assistant] With Matthew Stafford playing. I am. I'm going like, uhm, that's, I'm going with that. So I obviously have the Cowboys covering the spread in a big way, and uh, that quite possibly could be my bet of the week. Uh, I'm not sure, but it's, it's certainly on my radar here as we go, keep going. Anything else you wanna add? No. Alright.


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[Assistant] Nick Foles, Frank Reich, Jaguars, Colts. Jaguars at the Colts. Colts favored by three and a half. Over under forty three and a half. Jacoby Versets back. Nick Foles is back. So both teams are going to be their true self here. Uhm, who you got Mike?


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[Assistant] Yeaah, uh, definitely. I mean, it is interesting here. Uhm, I do think that Colts would have won the last two weeks if Jacoby Percett's playing, and I just don't think he would have made some of the mistakes we saw Brian Hoyer make. That's just how I feel. Of course, I do think Nick Foles is better than Gardner Minshew as well, and I'm with you with all those. Now, the thing that I think, I, I wanted to go Jaguars. I did.


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[Assistant] But I think the only thing that stopped me, and I'm going Colts 2420, is just that Nick Foles hasn't played in nine weeks. And again, that just scares me. I just think it's a little hard to come back and think, oh,


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[Assistant] You know, I'm going to execute at a really high level, you know, without playing in real game live action in a long, long time. And that's what makes me lean that way. I'm going Colts. I think this game will be very close. You know, I'm not, I would not be shocked if


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[Assistant] Uh, the Jaguars pulled it off, but because the Colts are at home and because Jacoby Percet was only out for a short period of time, I think it'll be easier for him to jump back in and play at a high level than Nick Foles and that's why I go Colts 24-20 at home. Okay.


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[Assistant] Yeah, yeah, I hear you. Uhm, you know, the other thing that I feel like jumps out to me a little bit lately, and I don't know how healthy he is. The last thing I'll say about this game where I move on.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I, I don't think the Colts O line has been quite as dominant this year as I would have thought, but they're still really awesome. They're still in the conversation of the best in football, but I think the one thing that has jumped out to me is,


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[Assistant] I'd like to see the Colts get a difference maker back, like a true superstar. Marlon Mack is good.


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[Assistant] I don't think I want Marlon Mac as being my star. They're not maximizing what their O-line has, I don't think. And, uh, if I am them, I'm this offseason, whether it's draft or free agency, I think they need to get a stud running back to take advantage of all that's there to be had at the running back position. Okay.


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[Assistant] Bills! Dolphins! Dolphins playin' good football lately. Bills!


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[Assistant] You know, they're kind of all over the place, inconsistent, defense reeling just a little bit. You never know with Josh Allen, it seems like every game the Bills play is close. And the Dolphins seem quite comfortable in that kind of scenario as well. Bills are favored by five and a half.


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[Assistant] I think the Dolphins are going to do a tough task as well. Now, I'm not going to go to crazyville and pick them to win the game. I know that. I'm not. But I might go to crazyville and bet on them in best bet. Hey, crazyville may have saved your ass last week. Well, why?


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, you know, again, I like what the Dolphins are doing. I definitely do. Uhm, but, you know, the Jets were a dumpster fire. The Brian Hoyer was a dumpster fire last week.


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[Assistant] And even though Josh Allen can be careless, I don't think he's gonna go to dumpster fire land. You know, he might have a dumb turnover, but I don't know if he'll go that far. Now the Dolphins are...


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[Assistant] 5-0 in their last five against the spread. Just to throw that out there to you, okay? Uhm, Pete dim-a-little-lite-a-lite-a-little-a-lis said that to me in my ear. Uhm, so, now, the...


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[Assistant] Yes, I'm gonna pick the bills just to win a close one. I'm going 16-14.


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[Assistant] I just don't know if the Dolphins will be able to manage enough offense and I don't think their defense is going to create enough turnovers maybe like they did last week to win the football game in general. But I do like them to cover and I'm not going to lie. I might pick them as my bet. One of my best bets. No joke.


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[Assistant] And of course, there's the common knowledge here in this game between Brian Dayball and Chad O'Shea and all the New England guys down in Miami. Uh, you know, there's going to be some common knowledge about what offenses are trying to do in this game in general. Uh, and I think that's kind of fascinating too, but


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[Assistant] In Minnesota, Vikings favored by ten and a half, are you?


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[Assistant] Are you kidding me? Holy shit. Well, it is Brandon Allen starting at a quarterback. I don't know why I'm so shocked by that. And then it's over under at 40 and a half. Uhm, what do you say about your favorite team on the face of the planet? The Purple People Eaters, the Kirk Cousins Killers. What do you think's gonna happen?


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay. I think it's going to be one of those kind of games that you're talking about. I don't know, with Vic Fangio, as good as a defensive coach he is, I do think he'll be over, you know, the formula of the Vikings that you mentioned that I like.


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[Assistant] But it's not overly complicated. And I do think a defensive coordinator in that 3-4 scheme can pose some problems for the Vikings offense.


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[Assistant] To not let them score too many points. Now, I don't think the Broncos are going to be able to move the ball very much against the Minnesota defense either. So, you know, those are those are issues to me. I think this is going to be a low scoring one.


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[Assistant] Uh, I think it's gonna be a lot like you just said, that Rescues Thursday Night game. I'm going to go Vikings 20 to 13, uh, where it's probably like,


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[Assistant] 20 to 7, it might, you know, I kinda look at it like it's gonna be 10, nothing. And then it's gonna be like 17, 3.


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[Assistant] And then it's going to be like 20 to, you know, 20 to three and then maybe a 20 to 10 late and then a 20 to 13 one more late time late in the game to kick like a garbage time field goal. That's how I kind of see it playing out.


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[Assistant] Uh, that's dangerous to me, the 10 and a half point spread with this Broncos defense. It is still very good. It's the fourth best defense in football. They're only letting up 18.9 points per game.


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[Assistant] You know, their pass defense is good. Their run defense, you're right, is not the best, which you would expect out of a top five, uh, defense. Let me just see exactly where they're ranked. They're 17th in football at 107 yards.


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[Assistant] So that's a little scary. You're right. Uh, but there is no Adam Thielen. Uhm, but either way, I think we both see the Vikings winning this game. Uhm, alright, anything you want to say about your favorite team on Earth?


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[Assistant] Yep. Well, we couldn't hear you. Your FaceTime broke up. What'd you say? You liked who?


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[Assistant] Alright, you said Real Madrid, I think, didn't you? Alright. Yes. Saints. Bucks.


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[Assistant] Let's move on, let's move on. Saints, Bucks. Saints five and a half point favorites at the Yucaneers over under at 50.


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[Assistant] Interesting. Scary game for the Saints, I think. Uh, how do you think it shakes out?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I-I-I agree. And now they're-they're woken up now and they're gonna be pissed off, uh, seriously. They're shooken up. You're right, shooken up. You know, they're shooken up. And I, uhm...


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[Assistant] The Saints, you know, they go down to Tampa and usually don't play all that well either.


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[Assistant] I don't know what the reason is there. Uh, the Buccaneers, and, you know, again, they lost earlier in the year, I think, what, 31-24 in the Superdome. You know, the one thing the Buccaneers, they have a big offensive line to slow down the overpowering defensive line in the Saints.


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[Assistant] I do think that the Buccaneers defensive line can somewhat make the Saints one dimensional and have to pass the football.


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[Assistant] But ultimately, the big issue is the Buccaneers pass defense sucks. I mean, they suck. I don't know any other way to say it. All right. That's just all there is to it. And because that, and I got to even look, I mean, it's almost-


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[Assistant] No, I don't understand that, but you know, and I, you know what, I want to go back and look at maybe the plays to see where he, he didn't hustle and all that. I didn't watch the Buccaneers film from last week.


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[Assistant] But the Buccaneers are dead last in football and past defense, 298 yards per game. And I think Drew Brees and Sean Payton will bounce back and find enough ways to screw them over. But I do think it'll be close.


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[Assistant] And I'm with you. I'm going 24-21 Saints. Uh, I think they pulled it off and get back on track, but I think Jameis Winston and company will be a pain in their ass. Alright. The worst game of the day. Jets Redskins.


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[Assistant] Okay. All right. Jets 17, Redskins 13. I don't know. I don't, the Redskins I think can slow down that Jets attack to where it can at least low scoring. That's it. You're right. That game. Let's move on.


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[Assistant] Okay, Cardinals 49ers. Cardinals, hey, they looked like they were in trouble two Thursday nights, you know, ago against, uh, it was 28-14, and I went, oh gosh, here we go, the 49ers, they're gonna blow them out, and the Cardinals hung tough, and Kyla Murray's a superstar, everybody.


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[Assistant] He's a superstar. Thank God they cut Josh Rosen and drafted Kyla Murray. That's all I can say. Well done, Cliff Kingsbury and Steve Keim. Way to have the nuts, the kahunas, the balls, the guts to do that. That was a phenomenal pick as you said throughout the drafting process.


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[Assistant] Kyler Murray looks like a generational type quarterback, and I think you're spot on, Mike Flora. Macy, shut up, okay? We're doing a podcast. Uh, but, uh, how do you see this shaking out, Mike?


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[Assistant] I mean, I agree with a lot of what you said there. I think, you know, the things that jump out to me, first off, just like we were just talking about a little, you know, the 49ers are gonna be pissed off, definitely.


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[Assistant] I guess what I'm a little worried about is they gonna be, are they gonna be a little worn out from a five quarter game, most physical game we've seen in football this year on Monday night. That does scare me a little bit. I also think the other angle I got here is just like


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[Assistant] This is the first time Clif Kingsbury is going against the same team for the second time in a year, right? This is his first time doing this. I believe in his coaching career. I don't think he ever had a double matchup at Texas Tech.


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[Assistant] That chess match, I always think that is hard for a coach the first time because you can't just go, oh, this is what we did the first time. Are you going to be smart enough to kind of see one step ahead to go?


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[Assistant] Wait, I think they'll adjust this way next time and I have to do this now. That to me is going to be an interesting dynamic. I do. Uh, but nonetheless, again, I liked what I saw from Jimmy Garoppolo for the most part of that game.


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[Assistant] I do. The interception he threw was not his fault. I think what clouded our judgment a little when I watched the film yesterday was the end of the game, as you've mentioned during the week. Should have thrown two interceptions on the last drive of the game.


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[Assistant] Missed an open Dante Pettis in overtime. Missed an open Deebo Samuel down the right sideline for a huge gain on their second or third possession of overtime. So, or the second possession of overtime.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I, I do look at that and of course, Kyla Murray is the kind of guy that's scary and he can make plays that I don't give a shit who the fuck your defense is. He can run around and throw fucking rifles and run and do shit like that, that you could have the greatest defense ever.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't, the 85 Bears would have had a hard time containing Kyler Murray sometimes and all that. So that's always scary. But I'm going with the 49ers to cover the spread. I'm going 31-16. I think they get back on track and I like them to do that. I still think.


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[Assistant] Uhm, at Oakland. Oakland's ten and a half point favorite. Wow. This is, uh, this is new to me. I'm just looking at these as we go here. Over, under at forty eight and a half.


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[Assistant] Bangles suck, they are definitely the worst team in football, and the Raiders are kind of riding high right now. Go ahead, Mike.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they're gonna win. There's no doubt about that. I don't even like, I'm not thinking twice about that. All people have to know out there. Now, whether they cover this bet, I expect them to cover it. I don't have it quite as aggressively cover as you do. I'm going 28 to 17 Raiders just because


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[Assistant] The Raiders pass offense is very conservative, and I just don't know if they're the type of team that's gonna throw up 40 points, but...


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[Assistant] Where I could be wrong and where I'm not wrong and nobody and you're not wrong as far as picking the raiders is for one reason.


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[Assistant] I mean that's all I can really say about it. It is a disgrace. They're letting up 173 yards per game


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[Assistant] On the ground. Are you kidding me? And the Raiders are eighth in football running it. We've talked a lot about how big and overpowering and hulking their offensive line is. Trent Brown, Gabe Jackson, Rodney Hudson, Richie Incognito has been great for them and all of that. So I'm going Raiders 28 to 17.


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[Assistant] I have him covering just by a half a point. You got him covering big time, so that might be one of your bets of the week. I have an important update. Yeah.


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[Assistant] My power's back on. Oh, great. Good job.


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[Assistant] Also, I worked hard at it. Good job. I'm sure you did. Good job, Jill. Way to go. Way to figure it out.


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[Assistant] Wait to be the handy woman of the house. Also, I did notice when we go to your lot, your full screen shot, can we go to that Kristen for a second? Wow, man, you can't hide money. I see that kiss pinball machine back there. Whoa, there's a terrace. There's a bar. Gosh, how much shit, how much money do you have? Damn.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, because I don't want to, like, get on, you know, a plane and take a seven-hour car ride and do all that shit to get there, okay? No, maybe one of these days I'll come. I still have to take you out-


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[Assistant] I have to take you on your steak dinner, too. I haven't done that. So that's coming up as soon as this Notre Dame schedule is over, alright? I promise.


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[Assistant] Eagles kind of got it rolling before the buy. I think they're healthy. I think they're dangerous. Patriots, of course, got their butts whooped against the Ravens, but are still the Patriots. They're favored by three and a half on the road, over under 44 and a half. Mike, what do you think should have happened?


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[Assistant] You know, I have the same thoughts as you. I am, uh, this game could go either way. It really can. I think the Eagles actually match up really good against the New England Patriots. I do.


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[Assistant] The no, the Eagles with a, with a full strength Fletcher Cox and the corners back healthy. Uh, their offensive line, you know, Jason Peters, I know he's not going to be out there, but they still got Andre Dillard, their first round left tackle. Who's, who's good and going to be really good player.


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[Assistant] You know, they can do some of the things we saw the Ravens do to the Patriots. I always worry if Doug Peterson will stay patient with the run game.


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[Assistant] I do. I'm hoping he's realized through the bye week that damn, when we get underneath the center and run downhill, we're a really good football team.


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[Assistant] And I hope he brings that element to it. I hope Jim Schwartz doesn't blitz too much. He doesn't need to. I think their defensive line can overpower the Patriots in a lot of ways, uh, without having to blitz and send extra people at Brady who's not gonna get tricked or surprised and he'll gash it if you blitz him too much.


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[Assistant] I'm wussying out here. There's no other way to say it. Like, there's so many things that tell me to pick the Eagles in the football game.


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[Assistant] But it's just New England and the two weeks and Belichick. And I know you said the Super Bowl. Yeah, it didn't work out that well. Well, that year that defense wasn't this defense in New England right now. This is still a very special defense that way.


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[Assistant] And I'm with you. I'm just, I'm gonna go the Patriots. I'm going 24-21. Uh,


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[Assistant] Yeah, so I'm, I'm trying to, but I don't try to what I'm really starting to realize is I think I should be a Las Vegas line setter. Uh, as I start to go through these every week, I'm threading the needle, needle, not deliberately.


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[Assistant] Which means I'm seeing eye to eye with Vegas. Now if I can only f***ing pick these things the right way, I'm very good at setting the line, I just can't f***ing pick them. It's driving me crazy. Alright.


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[Assistant] But I'm with you. I'm going with the Patriots just because they're the Patriots. And they'll find some way to win. I don't know if I necessarily think they're gonna be the better team on the field on Sunday. And you know, Philadelphia is gonna be rabid down there.


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[Assistant] On the grass field, those fans are gonna be crazy. The courtroom is gonna have extra people flowing through it in the basement on Sunday. I guarantee that.


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[Assistant] Because I hope there's no Patriots fans going down there. I really, I mean, they should put an advisory out to any New England fans who decide to go to Philadelphia. Just don't wear Patriots colors or anything because


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[Assistant] No, no, you're right. It is every game, but it's extra. And New England fans are very similar to Philadelphia and where they like to mouth off and say stuff like that anyway. So that's just not a good match. They're going to be outnumbered in this crowd. That's the only reason I say that. All right. You done? You want to say anything else about that one? That is awesome game.


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[Assistant] Okay, good. Macy also chimed in on one earlier when I was all over Kyler Murray and I don't know if she meant like I don't agree with Kyler Murray can take over or she was saying Kyler Murray is, is awesome. You're right, Chris. So she barked twice.


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[Assistant] Okay, so she's singing Nick Bosa and company are gonna get after Kyler Murray's ass. Alright, I'm with you Macy, I'm with you. Alright.


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[Assistant] Sunday night football, Bears, Rams, I mean, defense is struggle here. Rams favored by six and a half at home over under 40. Uhm, both teams are just clinging, uh, to their playoff life here right now. Mike, what do you think will happen?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm, I'm with you there. I don't think either team's gonna make it. I do think it's an elimination game that in the fact that who does lose is officially eliminated. But you're right. I think ultimately neither one is going to make it this year. And, uh, hey, we know both defenses are great.


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[Assistant] Uhm, both offenses are in, it's almost, they're almost mirror images of each, of each other. I mean, both offenses have been figured out. They have issues. They can't run the ball. Uh, I do want to see Sean McVeigh reinvent himself a little bit.


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[Assistant] But I think, uh, I, I think this is going to be low scoring. I think that's how I really look at it. Now I, you know, I don't know if I would make this my bet of the week, but I'm going Rams, 19, 19 to 16, uh,


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[Assistant] And where I get really scared and no, the reason I won't make it a better the week or anything like that is, you know, I think both defenses could


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[Assistant] Messed the game up one way or the other, where, you know, I could see that Khalil Mack and company just steamrolling the Rams offensive line and causing a strip sack fumble or pick six or something like that. Also could see it the other way. Uh, but either way, I think the Rams went a tough physical football game, 1916 at home and get the win. All right. Monday Night Football, Mexico City.


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[Assistant] I think this is another awesome game. Chiefs at Chargers. Chiefs favored by three and a half.


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[Assistant] The Chargers come off a bad loss really due to Phillip Rivers' play. There's no other way to say it. And the Chargers have been running the ball lately, which is a concern, because we've seen the Chiefs last week get burnt by the run.


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[Assistant] And, you know, just before you started off, Mike, we saw the Chargers last year. Their defense gave, gave the Chiefs a tough time in that game in Kansas City.


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[Assistant] And of course, ultimately the chargers came back to win that game. Chiefs favored by three and a half, uh, in Mexico City over under 52 and a half. Mike, lead us off. What do you think?


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay, uhm. Yeah, you make a lot of good points. I am scared of the Chief's defense.


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[Assistant] I do think the Chargers defense could give this Chiefs offense a lot of issues. I do. You know, they're one of those teams, again, like we talk about with any great quarterback.


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[Assistant] You know, can you get there with your front four alone and the chargers fall into that category with the two freaks they got on the outside. You know, and, and there's, there's, so there's that, you know, also, you know,


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[Assistant] The charger secondary is not bad and plus they don't play a ton of man to man. They like to play zones and let you throw it underneath if you want. And they're going to rally and tackle and do that out of all the defenses that play the Seattle scheme, right? The chargers are the best at it. And that's because Gus Bradley is the guy who invented it.


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[Assistant] He is the guy that invented the Seattle scheme that caught fire across the league.


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[Assistant] And he is very good at stopping the certain plays that expose it. They have a great knowledge of what we call Seattle beaters. As far as the plays that are stressful to their defense, they are very well coached on those plays are stressful to our defense. So they're always alert for them.


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[Assistant] I think this is a really close game. Like I think the Chiefs are going to have to drive down late to kick a game winning field goal, uh, or the Chargers got the ball late and Phillip Rivers throws another interception, something like that. I think the Chargers will find a way to


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[Assistant] But I'm going the Chiefs, just because of Patrick Mahomes, really. That's the only reason I'll say. And again,


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[Assistant] The Chiefs defense, I'm still not, I know it's never gonna, so I know I talk about it a lot because I know it's really the weakness of their team, but I still had things in the game last week that I really liked about it. Now they adjusted wrong a few times on the run game that really led to that big run by Derek Henry and a few other ones.


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[Assistant] Man, the Titans really didn't do crap passing the ball until the last drive of the game. And so there's things that are, it's an improvement, but I don't know where it goes. And they're always iffy, but I do think the Chiefs won a close one. That's that. We got all our picks in. Now comes time for the, what did you say, Pete? Demoletta, let us. Oh, my score is 24, 23 Chiefs.


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[Assistant] Alright, so let's lead it off, Mike. Go ahead, start us. What's your- I'm really interested. I have no feel for where you're going on your best bets of the week here. Uh, hit-


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[Assistant] I don't either, and I got burned by this last week. I'm scared. So I don't know what to do here. I have a lot of stars next to the cowboy. I'm staying away from it. I'm not gonna do it. I'm scared. I really am.


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[Assistant] So my first one is I'm going with the under and Broncos Vikings. That's going to be my first one of the day. It's 40.


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[Assistant] I know, I know, but even in the other weeks leading up to that, the games where I said I liked the over-under, I've been right.


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[Assistant] And I gave another over under last week too, where I said this one jumps out to me and I believe that was right as well. I just can't remember what it was.


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[Assistant] So I'm going over under. I think 40 and a half is too much for this game.


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[Assistant] I'm going Vikings 20 to 13 in this one. And yeah, I just can't see it being that type of game with either one of these defenses. So that's why I do that. I'm going the Vikings win, but I'm taking the under on this one. That's my first bet. Now go to number two, Michael. What do you got?


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[Assistant] I like it, I like it a lot, cause I'm going across the bay to San Francisco even though they're


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[Assistant] Yeah, right. Thank you, Kristen. There's another middle finger for you to blur out. Yup. Uhm, but I'm going down there, yes, to wherever the Silicon Valley, wherever the hell they are. Uhm, I'm going with the 49ers with a bounce back. And for the reasons I said, first of all, I think that the better team,


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[Assistant] Last year, last time, I think they kind of fell asleep at the wheel when they got the lead against the Cardinals and thought they were just going to roll them. I don't think that happens this time around. You talk, you know, I know Richard Sherman after that game talked about them messing up some things on defense. I think they'll be refocused, mad, angry. And then I do think


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[Assistant] The fact that it's Cliff Kingsbury's first time in his career having to face the team twice in a season.


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[Assistant] There's, there's something to that and some, some nuances to be learned there. And I think Shanahan will be better at that than the Cardinals. And that's why I'm going to go.


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[Assistant] With the 49ers covering that 11 and a half point spread, I'm saying 31 to 16, but I originally wrote down 38 to 16 and crossed it out. So I feel good about that. We'll see where it all goes, but I am going 49ers.


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[Assistant] That was when the NFC started to show that it was so clearly better than the AFC in all facets, that it was like, almost like, let's not even put the AFC in the Superbowl for the next 10 years, let's just let the NFC playoffs figure it out. Uhm, okay, now, third bet Mike, where you wanna go?


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[Assistant] I'm going to- I'm going crazyville here, alright? I'm going Dolphins. I think the Dolphins are gonna cover the spread. I do. And the Bills favored by five and a half. The Bills are not a type of team that beats anybody by more than five and a half.


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[Assistant] 16 to 14. Yup, I just, I, because one, I wouldn't be surprised if the Dolphins won the game. And I know you're picking the Dolphins to win, right?


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[Assistant] Yes, but I just, I have, I just cannot see them winning by more than five. I can't, I don't, I think if the Bills win a game, it's, it's by no more than a field goal would not be shocked. I really envisioned them being down 1413 and having to drive late to kick a field goal to win the game. So.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the Miami Dolphins to cover the spread against the Bills. Now, I'm just gonna throw some other ones out there that I just like that I, in case anybody wants to listen to me, I like the over-


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[Assistant] No, I know, I'm just saying, I'm just saying I like over under for the Texans Ravens. I think 49 is a little high. That's all I'm saying there. I'm just gonna give some other tidbits. Yeah, I like the under.


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[Assistant] Yes, I like the under there, totally. And what was it? I had one more, you know, where I'm starting to just choke in general is just like which ones to pick that I actually like. Oh, and the Steelers tonight, the Browns are favored by two and a half.


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[Assistant] And I think the Steelers can win the game. I, you know, I think they're going to win the game. Uhm, but I guess I just don't trust their offense to pick it nonetheless. And there's this weird stat, and I'd almost like,


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[Assistant] And I don't have, I should have looked this up, but like something when the line is at two and a half.


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[Assistant] For the home team, it basically means that, like, they don't trust the game. Like, there's this weird thing, and I can't remember, because my gambling degenerate friends always tell me about it, about that, and I don't know if Pete Dimalytus can look that up in the back end. Hey Macy, what's up? How you doing?


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[Assistant] And here's the best bets. Florio's got Dallas covering the four and a half. He's got the Raiders covering the 10 and a half. He's got the Kansas City Chiefs with the three and a half spread. I got the under and Denver Vikings.


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[Assistant] I got the 49ers going over the 11.5 points spread there. I'm taking the 49ers to cover the 11.5 and then I'm taking the Miami Dolphins, even though I think they'll lose, I don't think they're gonna lose by more than 5.5 points.


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[Assistant] If you have faith in them, pick them to win. No, I'm not picking them to win. Definitely not. I am not. I don't think the bills are the better team, but I think they will fight and be physical.


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[Assistant] And I think it'll be very close. Uh, and that was another game I looked at with the over under and went man, 41 points. I don't know if these neither one of these teams could do that. If we took the defenses off the field, I think they might find a way to not score 41 points. So, um,


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[Assistant] That's that. Florio, f**k you. I hope you lose every game this week that we disagreed on. Uh, and subscribe, rate, review, both the PFTPM. Damn, Kristen, he is killing you today. And no, she doesn't have to blur that one. We're not even sure it's your middle finger. It's so close to the... And subscribe, rate, review.


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[Assistant] Chris Sims unbuttoned. Monday, I will have the week 11 recap with Ahmed Fareed. Mike, I'll see you Sunday. Peace out. I'm glad the power's back on in Chateau de Florio. Peace. See ya. Later.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what's up? Come on man, subscribe on YouTube to Chris Sims on Button Podcast. I need you, please hit the subscribe button, please!


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[Assistant] Yeah, you know, uh, gosh, I'm such an asshole sometimes. I don't know what other, what else I could say. What's up, Chris Sims of Button? I'm here, Paul Burmeister's here, I dig the hoodie, you're looking good, you're stylish.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright everybody, rate, review, you know, do all that social media shit, tell me how good this podcast is, we need the help, alright? Don't say how bad it is. Uhm, alright, and then, uh, we got a little different schedule this week. It's Thanksgiving week, alright, I cannot wait, I got Thursday and Friday and Saturday off. Wow.


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[Assistant] During the season, three days is like three weeks. I'm gonna be, I mean I'm gonna be a mess. You're gonna be what? A mess. Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday night. Right.


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[Assistant] Alright, but, uh, either way, it's gonna be a little different schedule. We're not gonna do the Wednesday What the F*** Happened podcast, okay? I'm just gonna do the, the, the week 12, uh, picks with Floriel. We'll do that. I will do some...


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[Assistant] That is the week, uh, and uh, I hope everybody will be cool with that, but there we have that. And then...


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[Assistant] Today, we got two deep dives. Packers 49ers and then Cowboys Patriots. The two games of the day yesterday as far as the, the big, big matchups that everybody wanted to talk about. I mean the game of the day I think


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[Assistant] Yeah, well I agree with that. I don't think they're, I don't think the Packers are in the cream of the crop in the NFC. You know, again, I think if you, if we dove into the Packers' schedule and what they've done, you know, over the last month or so, they win, yes.


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[Assistant] But I'm not gonna sit here and go, ooh, I've just been so impressed with this Packers team week after week. No, they have found ways to win, and in games they've been outplayed. I mean, hey, they beat the Carolina Panthers, we both talked about it. I mean, it was there to be had, the Carolina Panthers. They got dominated by the Chargers. Alright? The Chiefs game.


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[Assistant] I mean, I don't think if they don't have Aaron Rodgers as a quarterback, we've heard dad talk about it. I don't think they win that game. They were outplayed as a team.


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[Assistant] I hear you, I hear you, you're right, you're right. They were right there on the cusp of that. I mean, you know, again, even the Oakland Raiders game, let's not forget, they did some special things as far as big plays in the past game.


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[Assistant] You know, we talked about it that week. They never really stopped the Raiders the whole day. That was a Derek Carr fumble at the goal line. It was Josh Jacobs fumbling at the goal line. You know, they had another interception in the red zone by Derek Carr with a wide open Darren Waller down the middle. So there's been cracks in the armor as far as the way they play.


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[Assistant] And of course, they met a team that is in the cream of the crop in the NFL last night. And this is something, you know, I know you don't listen to everything I say and pro football talk and all that crap though, but I thought this was a very tough matchup.


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[Assistant] For the Green Bay Packers. Why? Well, because they don't have a good defensive line, they don't have a good interior defensive line, and they're playing one of the better run offenses in all of football.


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[Assistant] The defense or the Packers has just, you know, slowly been falling apart. They went into the weakest, the 28th defense in football. And then of course, you know, the offense being good, but not world-beating. They have a nice little formula as what's worked for them to this point.


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[Assistant] But the 49ers D is world-beating. It's special.


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[Assistant] On third down. Yeah, one for fifteen. Aaron Rodgers on his tw-


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[Assistant] Personnel not as good. Yeah, the Chargers personnel is not as good. But still a front four that can get to the quarterback. They can drop seven. A lot of similarities to that. I would say the 49ers are a bit more creative than the Chargers on the defensive side of the ball too. But sorry, I didn't mean to cut you off. Three things.


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[Assistant] Yeah, okay, I'm gonna go with the defense. At one. Yep. The game plan. And then I'm gonna go Rodgers three. Right. And now, you know, the game plan and Rodgers together, that's maybe a little bit of a close one.


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[Assistant] You know, just to hit on Rodgers real quick and what happened. I didn't come away looking at the film going, oh man, he missed people all over the field. Were there two or three plays during the game where I went,


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[Assistant] Oh, he threw a double move up the left sideline to Devontae Adams. I wish he would have played the concept on the right side where there was some people open. You know, there was another max protection, uh, pass where, you know, I even drew it in my notes. I don't know if you saw it. There was kind of an in-cut, uh, uh, and Rogers, he looked to his right to Devontae Adams. He came out of a play action. Devontae Adams ran it out and up and then a comeback.


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[Assistant] You know, the 49ers defense, again, it is doing special, special things this year. I mean special.


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[Assistant] It's not like overly creative. They're doing it with, like you've already mentioned, a great front four. I mean a really great front four. And Buckner, Armstead, Bosa.


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[Assistant] You know, DJ Jones, uh, one of their other defensive tackles is kind of one of their under the radar stars of their football team, number 93, who creates havoc all the time.


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[Assistant] So, they have that, they have a really fast linebacking corps. 54, my goodness. Yes, he is Fred Warner, this is year two, and he was like this last year, you know, and now he's just getting smarter and understands what he's doing. The big thing that I like with them, like you said, they're not reinventing the wheel scheme wise, it's not like the New England Patriots.


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[Assistant] They out-hit everybody. That's the biggest thing. They haven't played a game yet where they're not the out-hitting, you know, maybe that's Seahawks game where they can match their craziness and physicality, but that's really the special thing they're doing.


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[Assistant] It's ferocious, right? Yeah, it's ferocious. It really is. I think that's what you, that's how you say it. And I agree with you. You know, uhm, the one thing I've always taken away from Kyle Shanahan, when we do talk about defensive players in the draft and things like that, he always comes back to one thing, especially when it comes to front seven people. No hesitation, right?


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[Assistant] On the defensive side of the ball. Yeaah. That have no regard for their body. And they throw their body around and they don't want to tackle you, they want to hurt you.


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[Assistant] I need eleven angry men. It's eleven angry men. And, you know, it really was like, they were pining fast forward, and, you know, the Green Bay Packers were pining in regular speed, and it just was like, man, it just doesn't look like they're gonna be able to do anything all night long.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they have, they have found the group and that's a, that's a testament to Shanahan, John Lynch. You know, again, you can say all those things you're saying, like you gotta play like it's lost now, but you gotta find the guys that are really willing to do it, lay their body on the line.


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[Assistant] And, you know, you see Robert Salla out there, he looks like he's ready to go tackle somebody.


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[Assistant] You know, so you get him, and Linches got a head made of concrete, and then you got Kyle who's crazy, and yes, they do a great job of finding that type of talent on the defensive side of the ball. And really, there's not a lot of X's and O's to talk about. Listen, I don't know what the, the Packers could've done game plan wise.


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[Assistant] I talked about like 93 DJ Jones. He's, he's a killer up front. So they have guys like that, let alone like we talk about a few creative blitzes and things like that.


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[Assistant] Right, well the two safeties are phenomenal when you get into Jaquaski Tart and Jimmy Ward. 20 and 29 are really good. Richard Sherman, I still think he's the weak link there. And I don't know why they didn't do attack, but still good. Exactly right.


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[Assistant] You know, uh, a kilo with a spoon and 41, uh, Wesley, or yeah, Wesley, I think it's Wesley. They're good on the other side. And then they got K1 Williams who's a crazy nickelback who blitzes and throws his body around. So, you know, they just have the right blend. And, and just to put it all in perspective right now, you know, again,


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[Assistant] The Patriots defense is really special. Yards per game the 49ers are beating them right now. Alright? And then pass yards per game.


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[Assistant] The San Francisco 49ers are setting up to be the greatest pass defense in the history of the NFL right now. 136.9 yards per game. In the passing era.


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[Assistant] Force in football right now as far as one unit. Yeah, I don't, you know, and again, I'm, I'm up to be challenged and this is, you know, you were talking about this and I'm just right off the top of my head, right? Yeah, I, I would say


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[Assistant] Though, you know, I would think it's really that. It's the 49ers D-lines, the most dominant unit in football, followed by the Patriots secondaries being the second most dominant unit in football. Yeah, I think that's probably where we're at.


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[Assistant] It's not like we got a bunch of slappies out there where we're like, oh, I mean, if it weren't for the front four, they'd be getting torn apart. No, to your point, you're exactly right. They're well coached, they play tough, they just have enough creativity on a week to week basis to keep you off balance.


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[Assistant] Let's not, you know, again, we went through this like, oh, they played two close games to the Arizona Cardinals and, you know, they lost to the Seahawks. Okay, the Seahawks are real. We know that. And the Cardinals have some things about them that matches up well.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, right, cause of the quarterback, and Cliff Kingsbury knows how to get a lot of quick passes out of his hands, so the front forward gets kind of negated when you do that. You know, so they had a few weapons there that were a pain in the ass for the 49ers, but still, just an amazing defense and an amazing defense performance.


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[Assistant] Yes, they did. It was really, it was a six man pressure. And, you know, they, they fooled Rogers a little bit, and I don't think he thought he's, I don't think he saw the six man come off the edge. So I think he thought it was five on five, and I'm gonna be okay.


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[Assistant] And then Fred Warner came as well. Fred Warner is the one that ultimately knocks him and gives him that last hit to make him fumble. But to me,


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[Assistant] The, the, the beauty of the play was DeForest Buckner who's arguably


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[Assistant] You know, one of the best defensive players in football this year. He absolutely dominated Jenkins, 74, the left guard of the Green Bay Packers. So that started it. Then on the other side, Armstead, you know, and I call these guys the tree trunks or Morgan, right? Uh, he dominates the right tackle, right guard, Billy Turner.


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[Assistant] And then, yeaah, like I said, Warner does the finishing blow, but there's, it's a five, it's a six man pressure, there's only five blocks, blockers. Rogers does have to get it out there.


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[Assistant] And, you know, I think when he finally realized that he wanted to get it out, Aaron Jones was over the middle as a check down, but he had so many people around him, I think he was afraid to raise his arm because he knew it might just become a sack fumble, but then they ended up hitting him hard enough to where he fumbled anyways.


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[Assistant] It was the defensive line in a great disguise. Because it was K-1 Williams who comes off the slot. And as anybody out there in football world, when you see a slot corner blitz, usually


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[Assistant] It's somebody over the top of him because he's gonna blitz and the guy over the top of him now is gonna cover the guy he was acting like he might cover, right? They didn't do that.


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[Assistant] So they didn't show like they were gonna do it. So Aaron Rodgers who's, this ain't his first rodeo, this was probably a game plan thing.


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[Assistant] Where Kyle Shanahan probably got with Robert Salah. He's like, hey listen, you can't show this blitz. He's gonna tear us apart. He'll get the ball out. We gotta do something a little different in this situation. And that's the beauty. That's what I mean. Game plan specific, game planning. You gotta have a few things in.


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[Assistant] To beat elite players or elite units from time to time and that's what they did and that gets you off to a 7-0 lead and Green Bay is going, oh shit, here we go, we're down 7-0 and we gotta play this defense and we're already in the hole and that's just, you know, not what you're trying to go for on a Sunday Night Football game.


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[Assistant] That's why it's so important and that's why it'll be important for San Francisco if they want to beat, you know, Tom Brady in the Super Bowl or Drew Brees in the NFC Championship game because you can't just think you're going to line up and bring ordinary


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[Assistant] You know, everyday blitzes against those type of quarterbacks and offenses. They're too well-schooled either way. It was just too much work. Hey, Green Bay offensively, it goes back to something we started off the year with, alright?


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[Assistant] There's not a lot that scares you personnel wise, alright? And when they can't really run the ball, their play action game loses its effect.


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[Assistant] And that's really the biggest issue. And when you get overwhelmed like they did up front, yeaah, you lose the rest of your offense there. And that was really the big thing. I mean, hey, their scoring drive...


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[Assistant] It was 13 plays for 65 yards. And they had two, at least two shamrocks up their ass type plays where you're just, they got lucky to extend the drive and whatever else. So it was so much work for them to get eight points. Uh, and that just again speaks to the greatness of that day.


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[Assistant] Right now, not only is Shanahan really creative, so you get scared of, gosh, if we put all our eggs into the, let's stop George Kittle basket, all of a sudden Devo Sanmos is wide open, or the run game exposes you, or Emmanuel Sanders.


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[Assistant] And the greatness of this play is Kyle Shanahan got into 13 personnel, one back, three tight ends. Alright, he had a wide receiver to the right.


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[Assistant] To Shanahan, you know, outside zone scheme to the right. Offensive line sold it so well. They sell it well. This is where they're beautiful and this is where Kyle Shanahan will kill you. So, you know, you snap the ball, Garoppolo goes to his right, Mozart goes to his right. As they're going to the right, the receiver on the right


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[Assistant] George Kittle and these type of plays usually runs a corner route and then the backside tight end is going to run the short crossing route. That's usually how it's played.


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[Assistant] And Green Bay has seen this through their film study. And they were probably playing George Kitolo run to the corner in this type of play. Well Kyle Shanahan's probably seen them play this set up before. They kind of catch them in a quarter's coverage.


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[Assistant] Really what happens is Kevin King, number 20, the corner, who's covering George Kittle, okay, and you can see him there.


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[Assistant] And the ba- anybody watching on, uh, YouTube or anything here, he's got outside leverage on Kittle. Alright, so he's ready. He thinks, oh, I'm in a great spot if they run the corner boom here, right? Well, Jimmy Garoppolo fakes to the right, he rolls to the left, he sets up.


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[Assistant] But now the middle of the field's wide open, and Jimmy Garoppolo throws an absolute dime to George Kittle, who's the best tight end in all of football. And there you have it, and that was game over, because you went, oh, it's 23-8. You know, they make a stop, and maybe Rodgers can make some magic, maybe they can get back in it, and that was it, and there was no...


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[Assistant] There was no, nothing more to add, uh, but that's what I talk about with Kyle Shanahan cracking the code. If he starts to figure out how you line up against a certain personnel set or certain formation,


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[Assistant] Watch out, because he's as good and as creative as there is in the NFL, dialing up those type of plays. I hope everybody enjoyed that. That was the best of week 12 presented by Verizon.


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[Assistant] You know, everybody, like you said, has that play and there's a great way


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[Assistant] Where you keep everybody off some of your bread and butter plays because now the next team that has to play the 49ers, they'll probably go back to the basic way again and it'll be open because they're going to spend all week going, oh crap, well they have this other player, they run to the post and that's what great offensive coordinators do. You build off your inventory of plays and just continue to have an inventory of


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[Assistant] Okay, well we did this and now we're gonna do this off of that and now we're gonna do that off of this and then we're gonna do this off of that and it just continues to grow and that's what Josh McDaniels and Kyle Shanahan and Sean Payton do as the year goes on and it's just basically a mental job for the defensive coordinators who have to think about it.


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[Assistant] I do, I feel the same way. And I kind of said it in the pre-game show last night in, uh, Football Night in America, yeaah. Kittle...


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[Assistant] Kittle, you know, and again, Kelsey's awesome. Kittle is definitely a better run blocker. Kittle is a special run blocker, which is crazy because he's like, he's got to eat probably like 12,000 calories a day to be 245 pounds, but he's a crazy, like crazy, crazy dude, like a pro wrestler, like Kyle Shanahan's called him.


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[Assistant] His will and want to and fight on running plays is phenomenal. And then the other thing is, when he catches the ball,


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[Assistant] He's looking to score. I mean, he's looking to punish. You know, like a, you know, not a big physical guy like Gronk, but Gronk was that way too. When he caught it, he was looking like, I'm not going down. I'm going to run through you and run through you and stiff arm you. And that's what George Kittle does.


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[Assistant] And of course that puts a lot of, lot of pressure on a defense. Hey, they were missing him the last three weeks. Let's not forget that. And when you have him and Devo Samuel and Emmanuel Sanders with Shanahan's creativity and then the run game to go along with it.


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[Assistant] You know, good luck and back to our AA Ron comment. You would think they'd be keyed on. It's hard to key on people in this offense because Shanahan's creativity and they got a lot of talent around it.


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[Assistant] 100%. That's why Debo Samuel is really, and Emmanuel Sanders is also fearless over the middle, but that's why Debo Samuel


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[Assistant] Was drafted by the 49ers. And then, and I talked to Kyle before the draft about Devo Samuel. He was a guy we kind of, like, I was like, man, I like this Devo Samuel because he was in the SEC going over the middle fearless. And the SEC is full of NFL safeties and linebackers. And if you show you're fearless in that conference, you're going to be fearless in any conference or in any league. And yeaah.


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[Assistant] I, I, I really, I thought Garoppolo played really well. I mean, I don't think there was really one questionable decision. I don't know if I can really, you know, I'm just trying to think back about the film. I don't know if there was one throw that I look at and I go, ooh, that was stupid. You know, uhm, I thought it was really a, a really pretty clean performance by him, didn't you?


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[Assistant] You know, I also think he understood, like, and I'm sure Kyle gets in his ear about these things during the week, like, hey, we got their offense. You know, we don't need to, we don't need you to, like, squeeze a ball into triple coverage.


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[Assistant] Right? Right. So he could play it that way. He played smart. They scored 10 points in the last 58 seconds of the second quarter. And, you know, just last thing about this game and we'll move on. You know, the Packers, they're handicapped.


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[Assistant] Their biggest issue, and you've heard me say this, I'm gonna say it one more time, is the interior part of their defense. They don't have great interior D linemen. They don't have great inside linebackers.


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[Assistant] They're compromised because they gotta play a lot of 5-man fronts, because they're worried about stopping the run, and of course that leaves you compromised in the pass game, and that to me is one of their biggest issues. And then what happens is, oh man, they're gashing us with some of those passes we just talked about with Deebo and Emmanuel Sanders, then they get into 4-man fronts,


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[Assistant] And the 49ers run it right down their throat. And that's really, that was the key to the game. You know, oh, okay, five man front? You know, we'll try to run it a little, but we're really gonna gash you with a pass. Oh, four man front? Oh, we'll go right back to the run.


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[Assistant] Boom, and it's five and it's eight and it's 10 yards. And then all of a sudden Mike Petten's like, well crap, what do I do? I'm in deep crap. And that's ultimately the biggest problem with that Packers defense.


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[Assistant] You know, gosh, there's so many headlines I can go here. Like first off, thank God the Saints won or the referees might have been murdered after the game, right? I mean, because of that, you know, I will say again,


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[Assistant] You know, again, I just, I don't get it. I don't get it. You know, why do people not watch what New England Patriots do? You know, there is a last drive of the game. Make Drew Brees in the Saints beat you with somebody other than Michael Thomas.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I just don't understand that aspect of it. I mean, if I'm playing the Saints and they're in an obvious passing situation, I'm gonna have a handful of plays during the game where I'm gonna go,


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[Assistant] I'm gonna make somebody, I'm, Ted Gidd's gonna have to catch this. Michael Thomas will not do it. And they leave Michael Thomas one on one with Bradbury, who jumped on a little double move, uh, so that, you know,


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[Assistant] It was a really exciting game. I will say this. I have a little concern with the way the Saints have looked the last three weeks. It just hasn't been real impressive. Now maybe they're going through a lull like we talked about with the 49ers from the past three weeks. But, you know, you take the Atlanta Falcons game where they kind of got their butts whooped. You know, the Buccaneers game, yea, they won 34-17, but the game was a little closer than that.


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[Assistant] It really was, that, that final pick six made it look better than it really was. So, uh, and then yesterday, you know, again,


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[Assistant] No more Sean Lattimore, I, I understand that, uh, but just their, their defenses, the people are moving the ball on them here.


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[Assistant] No, no, I think they are. I think they are. I still really believe in the Saints. I do. Uh, I think two things. The defense is going through a little lull. I think without Marshall and Latimore, they are a different defense. They have a hard time matching up and playing man to man without him in there. And I would have argued early in the year,


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[Assistant] You know, they play too much man to man. Now I'm almost to the point of going, well, it might be a hair too much zone. They need to mix in just a little man here and there, but I think they're scared because I don't think Eli Apple and PJ Williams can cover man to man. So that's a little handicapping them that way.