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[Assistant] Yeaah, the bill, I mean the, the patrons definitely have to adjust their approach a little bit as far as what happened the first time around. Uh, you, you heard me say a little today.


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[Assistant] You know, there was too many plays of where they let Josh Allen out of the pocket and he made magic happen. That's gotta be at the forefront of what the Patriots wanna do here and the fact that, wait, you know, when we kept him in the pocket and did that,


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[Assistant] The results were, let's say 50-50. When he got outside the pocket, the results were 90-10.


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[Assistant] And Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills favor. That's the first thing I look at to where they gotta change it a little bit. And then the second thing within that, they had problems, the Patriots, the first time around.


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[Assistant] Stopping crossing routes from the Buffalo Bills. They, they...


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[Assistant] They had issues with that in man to man and a lot of times where


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[Assistant] Like the Patriots have guys usually to help out. Hey, it's a man to man from a corner.


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[Assistant] Right? And the guy runs that shallow cross of that crossing route. He knows where he's going. The corner's not only gotta follow him, but usually fight through traffic to keep up with him. Do you know, avoid linebackers, avoid this guy, avoid that guy, try to get there to do that. And usually there's really no corners on earth that can like, that can overcome that.


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[Assistant] Usually the Patriots have some guy there to help out in those situations. I think because of Josh Allen's running ability and they dabbled in some other defenses the first time around, where they didn't have that.


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[Assistant] So they gotta find a way, in my opinion, to change the plan a little bit. And my biggest thing would be, need to play a little bit more man to man. And what really worked for them is when they played man to man, Mike, and did the things that we've talked about a lot with successful defenses. Man to man.


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[Assistant] Looks like they're gonna blitz. Ends up only really being a four man rush. Two guys drop out. They're looking for crossers or anything like that coming their way. That helps out the corner who's chasing and all that. When they did stuff like that, they won the place.


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[Assistant] They did that. And to me, that's what I think they gotta change a little bit more here. It's not a scary receiving group with Buffalo. There's only one guy to be scared about, that's Diggs. They should be able to trust JC Jackson on him to a degree. And then, the other guys, matchup.


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[Assistant] Play some of the system things that I talk about, you know, but the Patriots played a few too many zones, in my opinion, the first time around. Zones! With a three man rush, where...


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[Assistant] You know, he was patient enough to dance back there Josh out and go, okay, it's three men. I'm going to wait. And they're playing zone and I'll look a little over here and get everybody over there and then zoom. I'll hit it to where they moved away from and get that. And he just, he's too good to play that kind of defense. So that's where, uh, I'll be interested to see the, to see where this goes.


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[Assistant] I do, but as long as it's not too much as expected of them. You know, again, if it gets to the kind of game where you go, wait.


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[Assistant] The Bills are moving the ball, Josh Allen's making plays.


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[Assistant] And the Patriots gotta score points to keep up. I don't like that for the, the Patriots. If it comes to a point where we go where, wow, Mack Jones is, he's gonna have to, you know, complete somewhere around 30 passes today and they need to throw for 350 yards. I, I don't feel comfortable with saying the Patriots are gonna win with that type of formula.


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[Assistant] You know, it, it's, it's gonna still have to be through the run game. To me, that's still their greatest advantage as a football team. And we know that's where you can take advantage of the Bills a little bit. You know, the Bills were better in that second matchup. You know, they certainly were keyed in to some of the things that burned them the first time around.


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[Assistant] But you know the Patriots are going to have a few things off of that now to make the Bills have to second guess some of that approach. You know that.


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[Assistant] That to me is really still the key to the game.


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[Assistant] Can the Bills slow down the Patriots' run game? And like, slow it down to where, yeah, Damien Harris can run for a hundred.


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[Assistant] They just can't go off for 250 as a total team. That, that can't happen. That means they're controlling the clock, Josh Allen's on the sidelines, and things aren't going in their direction.


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[Assistant] You know, if they can just manage the run game a little bit, I think you see results like you saw the second game, where...


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[Assistant] Yeah, you know, the Bills pass rush won the war in the first mashup matchup. The Bills secondary can cover these Patriot receivers who are not that explosive man to man and give them issues, let alone with some cool ideas from McDermott. So to answer your question, I would say, no, they can't expect him to carry the squad and just go off in this game.


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[Assistant] Maybe a safety on Josh Allen from Bruce Smith or something like that. Hey listen, this is scary too. I'm with you. This game can go either way. There's no doubt. I will say this.


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[Assistant] The Patriots in the second game were too predictable. They lost on first and second down too much. They were 1 for 10 on third downs and because of the predictability, that was the issue.


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[Assistant] Too many like, hey we're in a running formation on first down and we're gonna run the ball. And then of course they ran the ball and got no yards. There was too much of that. They gotta zig when they zag a little bit.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the Bills here. I think the Bills are a little bit more of the desperate, chippy team right now. They expected to be on the king of the hill here for a little longer. They're not ready to relinquish it yet. I'm not trusting a rookie on the road in the playoff game. Bills, 28-20, taking the victory.


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[Assistant] Which is surprising. That makes no sense, right?


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[Assistant] That one should have gone the other way. Yeah, right. That's where I don't understand the logic of that one at all. You know, where the team that...


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[Assistant] It relies on the passing game more. The bad elements increase their chance to win the game. I don't, I don't, I don't see that.


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[Assistant] I-I-I hear you there though. There is. You know, you got a quarterback who's kind of a scrappy playmaker and Jalen Hurts there. There's no doubt. I think you said it right. I mean, that's-that's where we gotta start.


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[Assistant] The Eagles offense is nowhere near the same as it was early on in this season, in week six. In fact, it was about two, three weeks after that, I believe it was the Lions game, where they started, I think, finally realized, like, wait, are quarterbacks not Drew Brees or Phillip Rivers or anything? He's not gonna be that.


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[Assistant] Right? So let's get back to what's the best thing about our team. Oh wait, our O line is one of the five best in football. Oh wait, our quarterback is really athletic and probably one of the most, five most athletic quarterbacks in football.


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[Assistant] Let's do that and then play off of that. And that to me is where they took off as a football team. I mean, I know you, you think the same thing. They're dominant that way. So yeah, when you watch the first matchup, there's not a lot that holds water as far as looking at it and going, Oh, the Bucks had issues with this. The Bucks had issues with that.


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[Assistant] You know, the one thing we've seen is we haven't really seen many teams run the ball on the Bucs team when they're at full strength. That's been very rare.


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[Assistant] And it's not, it sounds like they're going to be at full strength to the football game, maybe other than Levante David. So that is going to be the marquee matchup. Those big dudes on the Eagles offensive line versus those big dudes on that Tampa Bay D line, let alone a guy like Devin White who can fly around in the back end and make things happen.


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[Assistant] The, the, the Eagles running offense is the key to the game. I mean, I know that sounds obvious, but for, for what we talk about with PFT, right, Mike? I mean, the Eagles offense to me is the best defense versus Tom Brady in that offense too. Stay on the field, chew up the clock.


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[Assistant] You know, keep the Buccaneers offense at a rhythm and we're not in there and we can't get it going that way. To me, that is going to be the key to the game for the Eagles. Can they chew up some clock, get first downs, kind of play that style of football and, uh, move the ball in this Bucs defense through the run. If they can, it'll get scary.


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[Assistant] Because they can win some one on one matchups with those receivers on the outside. Sorry to talk so long, but you know.


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[Assistant] Agreed, agreed. To me, some of the losses this year, that's when Brady, yes, he gets a try. It's stare at Rob Gronkowski. You know, as he's pat the ball, you're like, dude, you've pat the ball seven times now. Move to somebody else. They got him.


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[Assistant] He can definitely fall into that trap a little bit. Let alone, we know you get a little pressure on him and things like that. He gets jumpy. That's by far his biggest weakness right now at the age of 44. But...


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[Assistant] I don't know if the Eagles can do that. I don't know if the Eagles can do any of this stuff to make him feel uncomfortable.


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[Assistant] Okay, but they have feasted on the weak here at the end of the season.


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[Assistant] Feasted on the week. The quarterbacks they have played, it's Schittsville, and then it's Shitville, and then it's Shitville, and it's Shitville. It's all a bunch of crappy quarterbacks and crappy offenses. When they play a team that's got a quarterback with a little bit of a system, they get their asses torn up.


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[Assistant] Pete, I know, we'll cut off one of the other games. Relax, I know we gotta go to the next game.


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[Assistant] That, that to me is where it's gonna be, gonna be dicey for the, I don't see how the Eagles stop Tampa on offense. The weather could be a gift, a blessing in disguise, no doubt about it. But I can't get behind it, and I'm picking the Bucs 31-20 to win this football game.


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[Assistant] I think it's Shanahan. I do. You know, again, of course I favor Shanahan. I think Shanahan's brilliant. He's as smart as, as good at outside the box thinker when it comes to offensive football as there is in the sport.


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[Assistant] You know, and I think he's going to have a good feel. Dan Quinn who's, you know, his defense is more versatile than it was in Atlanta, but not incredibly versatile. It's still, it's not going to like take like a genius to figure out how they play you and what they do. You know, again, they're going to play a ton of man to man.


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[Assistant] Which, I'm not sure how that works yet. I'm not sure. Listen, there can be aspects of that where you go, that could be good. Trevon Diggs, maybe right on. Debo Samuel. You make Jimmy G. Have to throw the ball in the tight windows.


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[Assistant] You know, instead of, hey, we're playing zone and they did some play action fake and our linebackers up in the hole trying to stop the run. And then there's this Devo Samuel running down the middle because there's a huge awesome hole from the fake Shanahan created.


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[Assistant] You know, that to me is where I go a little bit back and forth, but also with the man-to-man and as much as they play it, I worry about Shanahan coming up with a lot of ways to like,


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[Assistant] Cross them up and screw them over that way too. You know, hey, I got a guy man to man on George Kittle.


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[Assistant] Also, I'm responsible for the D-gap in the run game. Oh wait, Shanahan did a fake run at the D-gap. I'm responsible for it. Let me run up there and make the tackle. Oh wait, Jimmy kept the ball. Oh no, I have Kittle. He ran that way, but I was here to stop the run. That's where I worry about it.


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[Assistant] So, I don't know where that goes. I favor Shanahan obviously there. To me, the biggest thing is...


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[Assistant] Can the Dallas D line screw the game up for the 49ers? Can they, can they do that? I, I do think they have that potential. I do. I mean, that's a special group up there with Demarcus Lawrence and Gregory, you know, and Michael Parsons and all the ways they move him. So that's where that's an intriguing matchup on that side to me, Mike.


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[Assistant] That's right. You know, you're right about the point about Shanahan. Shanahan is the kind of guy that he'll even remember things he told other coaches and use that against them. Like, hey, I know he remembers I told him that.


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[Assistant] So he'll over-defend that and I'll be ready for that. He's very good at that.


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[Assistant] Let alone not letting everybody know his tricks when they leave the building and go coach somewhere else. He's like, Hey, you know, some of them, but I kept the best ones in my pocket here. You don't know all of them. He definitely aware of that. There's no doubt, Mike. And it's a great point by you had the other side of the ball. You know, the Cowboys offense, it's overrated. They're all lines overrated. Uh, but


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[Assistant] You know, as far as what we've talked about with the 49ers, you want to move the ball on them. We know their corners aren't good. Can the Cowboys throw the ball outside the numbers and attack them there in that capacity?


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[Assistant] You know, the 49ers are also a defense that will a little bit play like, they'll go, we'll play cover two, and we'll protect our corners. And we'll call your bluff, and we'll see if you can actually run against our six-man fronts. Yea, you might have us outnumbered, but we got a great D-line and great linebackers, and we're gonna just kinda trust them. And we're not gonna let you burn our corners on the outside.


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[Assistant] So Dallas is gonna have to run the ball to a degree. Because I can't imagine San Francisco just coming in and going, Hey!


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[Assistant] Hey Dak, here's good looks for you to throw to Cooper and CD Lamb outside against our below average corners. I would think they're first going to play. Let's protect those guys and let's actually see if this, in my opinion, like you've heard me say, overrated Cowboys offensive line can actually push the 49ers front seven around.


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[Assistant] I know, right, which is scary. And they're not going to want to see them come to town. I'm going to San Francisco as well. I'm going 28, 24, uh, very similar to you. I'm just taking a field all the way for the Dallas Cowboys. I think the 49ers are the better team. I do. And yeah, I just don't trust the Cowboys the way it looked a little bit on the offensive side of the ball down the stretch. Definitely don't.


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[Assistant] Okay, I will. Alright, we are focused. We are supported by Under Armour and just like us, Under Armour wants to give you an edge. They are focused on performing better and taking their game to the next level. Everything from running shoes to propel you forward to hoop shoes that give you insane grip.


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[Assistant] They even make hoodies that reflect energy. No, they don't reflect Floreo, just other energies. We're not just about the end results, winning or glory. Under Armour is about the hard work, the dedication, the cycle of training, competing, and recovering. We give you advantages, but not shortcuts. The only way is through. We must protect this house. Good catch.


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[Assistant] I'm picking the Chiefs. I think the biggest thing I just look at is I just don't know what can really change about the game from the first time.


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[Assistant] I don't know if the Steelers got the horses this year to make some drastic change and totally change the outcome, you know, compared to the first matchup.


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[Assistant] The Steelers defense was too simple the first time around. You can't do that against the Chiefs and just think you're gonna be simple.


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[Assistant] You know, first off, when they are simple and they play those two deep coverages, the Chiefs showed, hey, we'll run the ball. In fact, I don't think they did it enough. And I would say if they're going to do that, Chiefs run the ball. You got a good offensive line and it's a crappy run stopping defense by the Steelers.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs can protect the passer. That chops away a huge leg of advantage for the Steelers defense that way.


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[Assistant] So that, that to me is, they play basic zone coverages. Something drastic has to change for the Steelers on defense. For me to think they're going to stop Mahomes and company. And on the other side of the ball, yeaah, they want to run the ball. They're not going to run the ball against the Chiefs in this D-line. They're not going to get dink and dunk passes.


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[Assistant] You know, can Big Ben and them scare the Chiefs a little bit and take some shots down the field and make a few plays?


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[Assistant] Can T.J. Watt get a strip sack fumble? Can they get a punt return? That's the type of thing I think the only way they keep it close or maybe pull off an upset. But because of that, yeaah, there's no way I'm taking the Steelers in this football game. I'm taking the Chiefs and I'm taking them to cover the spread. 34 to 20.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, this is the game that I'm, I'm definitely the most uncertain about. And, and really like, to look at where, where is the advantages schematically? Or what are the things that concern me either, this way?


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[Assistant] You know, I just, that's where I don't know where to go with this one. I don't. I've gone back and forth both ways here. You know, the one thing I think I come back to is, is this. Arizona, both offenses moved the ball on the other team's defense in both football games.


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[Assistant] Arizona though, in both games, kinda did whatever they wanted. Uh, that's what bothers me a little bit. And Kyler Murray was able to run in both games. The first game I told you, it was screens and short passes in the run game. The second game, it was more down the field, explosive pass plays that way.


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[Assistant] I'm going to Cardinals on this one. They're on the road. I think the loss last week by the Rams, a little bit of a let down. The Cardinals coming into town. And honestly, I trust Kyler Murray a little bit more than I do Matthew Stafford right now.


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[Assistant] And I just don't know if the Ramso line is good enough to pass protect when they really need it against this group here. I'm going to Cardinals, 27-24.


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[Assistant] 49ers over cowboys, 49ers over cowboys, bam. And then I'm going, screw your pasta and meatballs, alright? Screw it. I'm going with the Chiefs at the best bet. That's right. They're gonna win by more than 12 and a half. Screw your terrible towel, screw your pasta and meatballs.


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[Assistant] Hi, I'm Mike Tirico and thanks for watching. Make sure to hit subscribe for the latest news and highlights from NBC Sports.


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[Assistant] I'm not, I'm not worried about it. And wait, like, this isn't the last week. Are we, are we not doing the show anymore during the playoffs? I mean, I'm a playoff. Don't we reset? I'm, wait a minute. I thought we, but look at you, you sandbagging son of a bitch over here. No, we got more football to play.


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[Assistant] We're in the playoffs here, baby. You're not done yet. Stop trying to cut the season short so you can just win right now.


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[Assistant] If I take the lead this weekend, we'll cut it off and we'll start off fresh for the playoffs next week.


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[Assistant] Pretty good. That's not bad. You're right. You know, it's, it's all, none of it's that bad. I mean, I'm disappointed in my straight up picks, but you know.


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[Assistant] I'm disappointed at all of it. I feel like I could be better. And I just want to beat you now and that's all that matters.


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[Assistant] You know, I, I, I'm torn between whether I want, I think they're gonna cover or not.


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[Assistant] I do think, you know, this could be a, Hey, Vic Fangio, I expect him to be back with the Broncos. You know, so it's not like it's like, Hey, the, the, the coach here is not going to be here. So the team's totally dead.


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[Assistant] I think there's still something about, hey, trying to win a game, looking into the future.


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[Assistant] You know, Drew Locke, he could certainly benefit from playing good in this football game. The Chiefs, it's not like, yes, they can get the one seed. Like you said, it's not really all that realistic that they can get it. I mean, they got to have some things fall their way that I just don't imagine happening.


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[Assistant] So because of that, I think, again, this is a week where it's pasta and meatballs or steak and mashed potatoes, gut feelings, psychological evaluations of these teams. I'm going to have the Broncos cover the spread here. I'm going to go Chiefs 28-20 and that the Broncos kind of put just a good effort together to stay, stay in this thing.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I don't disagree with that. You're right. It's definitely a rebound game, but...


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[Assistant] Where, you know, where do you draw the line? You know you're gonna be one of the top four seeds. You know you're gonna have a home game.


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[Assistant] You're, you're totally relying on Houston to beat the Tennessee Titans, right? That's, that's the only way you can end up being the number one seed basically. And, uh, yeah, I don't know. I'm going to go with Denver at home making one last ditch effort. So it'd be good. This is a good start off to our weekend right here. I like this.


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[Assistant] Well yeaah, I, I, like Dallas again, it's, it's, it's a little interesting is just, where do you draw the line again here too? I expect them to win the football game, I do.


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[Assistant] But covering the spread to me is, is dicey. It doesn't sound like the Eagles are going to play some people. At least that's what I thought I read yesterday at some point. But I mean, how, how all in does Dallas want to go here too? That's where I do. Again, you gotta look at the, the, the broader picture here to where.


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[Assistant] You know, okay, well, you're going to sacrifice the health of the team and things like that just to.


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[Assistant] Just to get to, you know, what, maybe one seed better and you don't even know if that really helps you as far as matchups are concerned. I'm again, I'm going to go, I'm going the opposite direction with you here. I'm going to, I'm going to have the Eagles cover in the spread. I don't even know if we're going to see Jalen hurts. We'll see Gardner Minshew if that's the case.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna have a 21-17 Dallas win, alright, and Philadelphia covering the spread in this one because


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[Assistant] Okay, I just, I don't, neither one's got a lot to play for. And I'm not sure how all in Dallas is going to go. If it's a third quarter and okay, maybe they're controlling the game and they know they can't be a one seed. So what? At some point you got to like call the dogs off and get ready for the next game.


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[Assistant] As we've talked about, like, there's no great team in football this year. There's no great teams.


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[Assistant] I can't just sit here and go, Oh, I think this team's going to go to the Super Bowl. I'm going to see how these matchups kind of end up as far as the playoff bracket and then go from there.


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[Assistant] Like, I know there's some teams I favor over others, but again, I think there's some teams where I go, well, this team against that team would change my thought. That's not a good matchup for them. I just wonder how many of these teams are actually thinking of that type of stuff here in week 17 too. Uh, because I just feel like it's a more prevailing thought this year than normal.


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[Assistant] Yes, I do. You know, and again, if you see me like looking at my phone, I'm looking at, cause I got like a chart here of like how it shakes out. All right. Just a little bit to like, just so I keep track of all of it because there are, there are some crazy outcomes here as far as where teams are seated. But at this one, it doesn't matter necessarily to me.


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[Assistant] You know, yeaah, the Ravens have an outside chance of still, you know, making the playoffs. So you're gonna get a good effort from them. And I think added on to the, you know, facts that you just explained. They don't like the Steelers. I think they're better than the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Sugs being there, the crowd, everything that way, gonna be on their side.


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[Assistant] I'm going the Ravens to win this football game and cover the spread. There's no doubt about that. I'm going to go 28-17 Ravens. I don't care who it is at quarterback. You know, it doesn't matter if it's Lamar or Huntley to me in this one. Uh, I think the Ravens kind of dominate this game or at least control the game, I should say.


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[Assistant] I think it's highly unlikely that, you know, Denver beats Kansas City and Houston beats Tennessee.


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[Assistant] So, you know, again, big picture thought here. Just be ready to go at a home wild card game the next week. So I think that's where it's smart. The Browns, I think your team are going to have a little motivation to end the year off on somewhat of a positive note. I do think Kevin Stavansky is going to try to, you know, instill a little bit of, you know, out of motivation.


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[Assistant] To end it off the right way to get to the next season. Case Keenum gonna play. Alright, that's not a big difference. It might be better than Baker Mayfield. I'm gonna take Cleveland to win this football game. Like you said, Bengals are gonna be checked out and totally thinking about their playoffs. Browns.


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[Assistant] I think would want to just end the game, end the year on a winning note in front of their home crowd. So I'll go Browns 2820 in this one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I agree. I agree with the approach. I think three weeks off is just too much.


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[Assistant] And I do, I think you're really being, you know, in a year where yes, you're the best team in the NFC, but you know, again, we've talked about, I don't know if there's any great team where you just clear cut go, Oh my gosh, the Packers are so much better than everybody else. Wow. No.


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[Assistant] They're definitely going to be in danger of just about anybody coming into town to go, at least in my eyes, like keeping the game close in a divisional round.


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[Assistant] So, uh, I expect them to win the football game. I like that aspect and you never know anyways. I mean, last year, wasn't it Bakhtiari got hurt in practice, right? You just, you can't always figure these type of things out. They're the better football team. There's no pressure. It's going to be about execution.


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[Assistant] The Lions will hang around a little, but I'm not the Packers covering the spread. I'm going to go 27-20 Packers.


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[Assistant] That's right. I don't remember any really great teams in the history like taking a break in the last game of the year.


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[Assistant] You know, I always go into WWBD. What would Belichick do? I mean, we never saw him rest starters when he knew he was going to be the one or two seed back in the day where the one and two seed got to buy. Never. They played the game out.


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[Assistant] Well, to, to your point, you know, you want to stay in shape, football shape, you know, go through the routine, all of the things you mentioned, no doubt about it, and continue to work on execution and playing better if you want to win the Superbowl. So I agree with Matt Lavor's approach here all the way.


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[Assistant] Yeah, you, you heard me talk like, like, right? And today you brought it up on the show. I mean, they whooped the shit out of the Texans the first time around. They just messed the game up and Tannahill, the rain, they made some stupid interceptions and just turnovers. It wasn't like they were outplayed where you went, Ooh, this is a little scary. The Texans are actually, you know, doing good things. Uh, I think Titans number one seed, you know, playing good football and you add the fact that


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[Assistant] Derek Henry is practicing this week. That adds energy and life to a football team.


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[Assistant] Because now they see it and go, oh my gosh, he's, he legitimately is gonna be back. Like, it looks like he's definitely gonna be back.


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[Assistant] And if we just have to win two games at home, with as good as we are, and now he's back at tailback, holy shit, we can go to the Super Bowl, Batman. And I think that's gonna add them all the energy and life they need. I'm gonna go 31-13, Titans.


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[Assistant] They're gonna win. I'm gonna, I'm certainly gonna say that. I'm gonna have them not covering the spread. I am. I'm just, I don't know. I'm gonna play the fact that, man, the Jaguars


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[Assistant] Pull out some trick plays, do something. I mean, they, they gotta, uh, just, you know, again, I know Darryl Bevel's not gonna be there.


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[Assistant] Again, I'm just gonna, I'm gonna play the angle here. I'm not getting into X's and O's. Obviously the Colts are the better team. They should be able to run the ball in the Jaguars. Carson Wentz is still scary to a degree in my opinion. He is.


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[Assistant] And I'm going to play that the Colts feel a little that pressure and the Jaguars are going to enjoy kind of being a, a spoiler to a degree. I'm still having the Colts control the football game and win easy. I'm going to go 30 to 17. I just couldn't go with the 15 and a half. So, uh, I'm, I might be wrong there because I'm seeing your score there and you're, you're going to go, Oh, I don't know. Maybe I'm wrong.


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[Assistant] Well, why don't you lead it off in the memorial of Kirk Cousins' last game as a Vikings quarterback. Go ahead.


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[Assistant] I got the same score as you. Yeah, I got the same score as you. I do. I think, you know, I'm going to play, you know, you're right, I think the writing's on the wall a little for Zimmer. I don't know, it just feels like that's come to an end. I don't know why I get the sense that, like,


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[Assistant] I don't know, Matt McGee might think he's still alive here to be the coach. And I think the fact that Justin Fields, you know, is playing, I do, that would be my reason for keeping it close at least, but I am going to go with the Vikings 24-21, uh, at home. I think cousins will be good enough just to, for them to move the ball and score enough points to win that one.


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[Assistant] No, I am 100%. And the Giants, it's just become a disaster. You can't trust what you're going to see on the field right now. You can't. I mean, Washington, they're, they're still fighting. They are. And Ron Rivera, of course, knows he's a completely secure. He's trying to build something here for the future. So 24-14 for me, uh, with Washington winning this one.


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[Assistant] I do, yes. I mean, the Seahawks are dangerous. It is Russell Wilson. You know, the Seahawks always play hard. That's where I can't imagine them just, you know.


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[Assistant] The Cardinals defense, you know, the one thing I'll say that scares me, that with Rashad Penny running the football, a little. But I just think there's too much on the line for the Cardinals. And I just think ultimately Cardinals offense just got a little too much talent.


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[Assistant] I understand your concerns about the Cardinals, you know, I, I, I do think they're going to win the football game, but yeah, I, I do question about how far of a run they can make in the NFC playoffs. I do. Uh, I understand your thought there. Um, again, I think, yeah, there's certain matchups that are going to be an issue for them. There's still a lot of talent, you know, there is some things


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[Assistant] Offensively that I still don't love about their team.


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[Assistant] They are, you know, again, I hate when they're in the shotgun and it's four wide receivers. To me, that's when they're at their absolute worst.


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[Assistant] Uh, last week a lot of their big plays came from, hey, two tight ends are on the field and shiftings and motions and play actions and their great screen game off of that.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but, you know, we don't see enough consistency in my opinion on that side of the ball. That's what scares me a little bit. But, but I hear your thoughts there and it's, it is a scary one. No doubt. Cause the Seahawks are just, they're always playing hard.


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[Assistant] I think, you know, they're going to learn a lot from how the Falcons approached that game the first time around. If you remember the Falcons did a lot of no huddle stuff for like the first half.


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[Assistant] So, the Saints couldn't maybe make all the crazy calls they wanted on defense. They'll be ready for that this time around. I don't know, Pitts pulled his hamstring last week, right?


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't even know exactly what his status is here sitting here doing this on Thursday, where he's going to go with it. I think the Saints defense is going to suffocate, you know, uh, the, the, the Falcons for most of the day. Now listen, Matt Ryan, he's still damn good and he's going to make some plays. Uh, but I think, you know, with Taysom Hill, a quarterback.


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[Assistant] Their run game, he'll make enough plays in the pass game. I'm going to go 24 17 saints, uh, getting the cover in the wind. And so do you.


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[Assistant] Well, that, that's where, exactly, that's where it's interesting. There, there's, there's no question. I mean, I don't know if there's a scenario where they can play them in the first round, as far as play the Bucs in the first round. Uh, I don't think that can happen.


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[Assistant] Yes, I mean, that's where they're dangerous. Like you said, it's a great coach. They got a team that has the capability to run the ball and run out the clock and then the defenses.


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[Assistant] We see. It can be legit. I mean, it is legit. It can really shut offenses down to where I wouldn't be shocked if they won a game in the playoffs that they got in. I would not. Not at all. Uhm, so I'm with you there. I think that motivation will be real. And of course, the motivation has to be real not only for themselves, but to also know, like,


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[Assistant] Damn, the 49ers can definitely lose to the Rams in LA.


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[Assistant] It's really like you explained it the right way and something I've kind of been banging on the table about the last two weeks and even in my podcast. The Rams got everything going.


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[Assistant] You know, that's what you're seeing. Everything's going at a high level except the one damn person. And that's Matthew Stafford.


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[Assistant] You know, it just feels like the pressure of expectations have got to Matthew Stafford a little bit. Like what I, wait, I'm supposed to win this game. And what if I throw interceptions? Like, Whoa, people are actually going to care because I'm not on the lions out. Like that's what it seems to me.


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[Assistant] I think he'll right the ship in this one. I think the fact that, you know, they have been beaten by the 49ers and they kind of have their number right now. I think that will play into the motivation of this. And then of course the quarterback situation for the 49ers scares me a little bit too.


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[Assistant] If Trey Lance is playing, I don't think they win the football game. I think you gotta be able to drop back pass and throw the ball a little bit to beat the Rams if you're the 49ers. They're not gonna just be able to rely on the run game.


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[Assistant] And even if Jimmy Garoppolo plays, gives him a better chance, but.


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[Assistant] I think they're going to win. I'm going to have them cover in the spread too, but not maybe as dominant as you. I do feel like the Antonio Brown crap is going to distract their football team to a degree. I mean there's no way.


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[Assistant] Those guys in the locker room today aren't talking about Antonio Brown's Instagram and he's taking shots of Brady and Alex Carrera. That's, that's the number one talk in that building right now. It's not about the Carolina Panthers. Hundred percent.


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[Assistant] Players are listening to Coach of the Meanings. Yeaah, that's great. As soon as they're getting out in the locker room for a break, they're talking about this again.


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[Assistant] Uh, that, that, I just, that's where I look at it. I'm gonna have him covering, uh, what did I have? 27-17, yes, no doubt about it. Uh, but I was gonna say something else. Oh, the other thing too that plays into the bucks, this last thing, sorry. It's just, you know, you lose the game and you're the three seed.


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[Assistant] You, you get in danger of having the 49ers to come to town if the 49ers get in the playoffs. And to me, that would be a scary matchup for the Bucs. That would be, that's one of the few wild card matches I look at to go, uuuh. That's not a great matchup for their football team. Uh, but, but it's clearly think they're going to win the game and cover.


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[Assistant] You're not one of their friends until you start losing in picks and then they're going to make you one of the friends. Okay. I haven't given them the green light until you're losing. Then you get the free gear. Okay.


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[Assistant] Alright, so that's it. Under Armour's still here. They complete me, okay? We are supported by Under Armour, and just like us, Under Armour wants to give you an edge. They are focused on performing better and taking their game to the next level.


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[Assistant] Everything, from running shoes that propel you forward, to hoop shoes that give you insane grip.


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[Assistant] They even make hoodies that reflect energy. We're not just about the end results, winning, or glory. Under Armor is about the hard work, the dedication, the cycle of training, competing, and recovering. We give you advantages, but not shortcuts.


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[Assistant] The only way is through. We must protect this house. Click-clack.


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[Assistant] I feel like that's where I remember. I guess the tighty, the tight shirts, the tight, you know, dry fit shirts, spandex shirts, and yea, the cleats. I think that's where I remember it too. And I even said, like, I might wear some under armor cleats during my podcast.


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[Assistant] I do. I like the Bills in all areas. This is an important game for them. You know, they haven't even won the AFC East yet. They don't want to be on the road in the wild card. You're going up Buffalo, cold weather.


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[Assistant] Motivated team. I do love the Jets and the way they've been kinda playing and fighting lately. There's no doubt. Zach Wilson's been really damn good the last four or five weeks. But, still.


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[Assistant] You know, I just don't know if there's enough to go around it. This bill's defense, I, I, I, you know, I don't look at them again as like the steel curtain.


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[Assistant] But for these type of matchups, this is to me where, you know, they're a pain in the butt.


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[Assistant] It's not, you know, an overly complicated pass offense. The Jets are a good run team, but not a great. So they don't have to totally worry about being like dominated in that area. And I just think Josh Allen and company are going to be on fire and ready to go in this one. I'm going to have them cover in the spread. I'm going 31 14.


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[Assistant] I think the Dolphins will hang around. You know, again, the Dolphins heavy on the Patriots, you know, ex coaches, coaching staff, right? There's a lot of them there. There's some knowledge.


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[Assistant] They're going to love, you know, the aspect of, you know, maybe just sending the, the Patriots into the playoffs with a nice, nice loss. But I think ultimately what I come down to is just, I just can't imagine the Dolphins offense doing a whole lot against the Patriots defense. That's where, just like we saw last week, you know, it's, it's,


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[Assistant] The, the RPOs, the little, let me fake a run here and throw the ball three feet in the flat. You heard me say this last week against the, the, the, the Titans. I just, good coaches like Raible or Belichick, they're, they're not gonna like be fooled by that stuff.


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[Assistant] They're gonna have enough people to stop the runs and they're gonna go, wait, he only throws a fade down the sideline like once every 30 passes a jump ball. Everything's in this little area.


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[Assistant] He will be back? No. No way. No way. It's over. Last week was the nail in the coffin. Just showed, you know, again, big games, physical teams, any weather element at all to a can't play in it. He can't play it.


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[Assistant] You know, all the highlight shows and everything tried to hide his bad plays last week because they're still hoping. I know they all hid them. They all hid them. Nobody showed the interception.


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[Assistant] Yeah, just smile and enjoy. Sit back and enjoy the ride. That's right. You know, and maybe the Dolphins Media will put me on their Twitter account again. Uh, screw you guys, too. Dolphins Media account. And, so, yes, Deshaun Watson will be the quarterback there next year, and I'm going, uh, Patriots 2414.


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[Assistant] This is one, hey, it's a tough one. There's no doubt about it. I guess I just look at it a little bit like, uhm, I'm sorry, I'm pulling something up here. I do think the Chargers are the better team. I do.


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[Assistant] I respect what the Raiders have done, certainly. They're at home, fighting, you know, fighting there. And I, I do think that gives them a little bit of an advantage. I do look at the, the Raiders, and you've heard me say this a little, their run game has gotten going here a little bit, where you, you gotta respect it. You do. They're opening up holes for Josh Jacobs. It's not great, but it's good enough.


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[Assistant] But, I don't think it's good enough, in my opinion, to where I just go, ooh, it sways me in the fact that


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[Assistant] I think they're going to dominate the Chargers, you know, to the extent in the run game that it keeps Justin Herbert off the field or opens up these unbelievable passing lanes in the pass game.


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[Assistant] I always, like you've heard me say, Brandon Staley I think is amazing in the pass game as far as figuring out ways to take away certain elements of your offense. That's where he's special. Uh, I look at that.


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[Assistant] You know, the pass rush for the Chargers, you know, like I said, I think if we sit here and it's the first half and they go, Oh my gosh, like Josh Jacobs in the running game are absolutely dominating. Then I'm going to be in panic mode and go, Oh no, the Raiders are going to win this football game, but I'm going to bet that that doesn't happen and that the Chargers just have


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[Assistant] First off, the Raiders defense plays hard. We know that. They put a lot of people at the line of scrimmage. It's the Seattle scheme. There's always seven or eight guys at the line of scrimmage.


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[Assistant] I don't think their pass rush is going to be able to do much against the Chargers. Their pass offense, or their pass protection is great. And they have enough of a system and understanding of that Seattle scheme of how to kind of pick it apart. So because of that, I'm going to have them winning a close football game. I'm going to go late field goal, 23-21 Chargers victory.


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[Assistant] I'm going with the Ravens as my first one. I mean, five and a half, I think they're clearly gonna win the game by more than that. I wouldn't be surprised if they won by seventeen.


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[Assistant] End Big Ben, and still get a chance to get the playoffs. End Big Ben's career the way they all want to. T-Sugs, T-Sizzle back in town.


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[Assistant] You know, the not great passing offense by the Steelers added to a not great, yeah, we like to run the ball, but you're not going to run it against Baltimore. That's not going to happen. Uh, yeah, I'm going with the Ravens is my first one here.


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[Assistant] I-I hear you there. I-I do. I guess I'm a little scared just because of the AB stuff, the way they looked last week.


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[Assistant] Matt Ruhl's ass is so on fire right now, he's gonna- I had it starred as like one of my possibilities, but I'm gonna chicken out on that one. I'm gonna go with the Green Bay Packers.


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[Assistant] And the fact that they're gonna play, you know, they're gonna go out there. The Lions, you know, the season's over. It was a great effort. I get that. But I, I honestly, I don't know what it is. I just feel like the Packers, no pressure in this type of game.


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[Assistant] You know, just the energy of knowing that the number one seed and I think they'll see it through. I'm going to pick them to win the game. Uh, I think they win the game 27 20. I wouldn't be shocked if it's by more than that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I get you there. I do. I do. I mean, I guess I'm a little chicken just because of the Miami history there. That's the only thing that's keeping me back from taking that one as well. Uhm, my last one, I'm gonna go with the Titans. I'm gonna go with the Titans, riding the train of, whoa, Derrick Henry's back, we're the number one seed, and we're gonna get payback on the Houston Texans.


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[Assistant] Hi, I'm Mike Tirico and thanks for watching. Make sure to hit subscribe for the latest news and highlights from NBC Sports.


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[Assistant] He can go out there and just say, I'm going to show off and show you my ass today. Right. Right. Yeah. That's where you go. Oh, okay.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah, that's right. It's time to show your ass on the Wednesday podcast. I gotta show mine. People questioning my quarter, I mean, my wide receiver rankings. How dare they?


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[Assistant] And I'm here with Ahmed Fareed who loves to show his ass all the time. It's a quiet little secret here at NBC. Before the show. Before the show. It really does. It really does. People have come to accept it and embrace it. Red hoodie today? I like that. I don't think I've seen that. So can we match it up with the red pants at one point? Nah, that might be too much red.


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[Assistant] Thank you, wife, for not making one for me yet. Uhm, yep, the guy that's the show, but don't worry about me, Mrs. Fareed.


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[Assistant] Shit, it's my t-shirt and I should give it one for free. I will buy it for three bucks. Okay? Thirty? I will buy it. I will buy it. Thirty? I will not. Chris Sims ain't worth that. But.


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[Assistant] At the end of things, I say you demand a lot, and I've been made fun of on PFT a few times.


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[Assistant] I've gotten a few, really from the public is the only one I've gotten real pushback from, right? You know, I've got a few from like friends that are like, dude, good for you giving, making Watson number two.


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[Assistant] Again, it's early and I haven't talked to a ton of people about this.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and you know, I'm not going to be swayed with this. It's a position that I feel very comfortable evaluating. I've got a pretty good history. I'm not perfect. I understand that. I get that. Certainly could argue I made a mistake last year having Diyami Brown in front of Jalen Watto. The way it looks last year, that was wrong.


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[Assistant] You know, we'll see how it plays out this year. So, uh, I get that, but, you know, I...


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[Assistant] I've grown up around it. I've gotten to throw to wide receivers. I've been fortunate to be around some special ones in my life.


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[Assistant] And I think within this too, this is not easy ranking these guys. There's legitimately seven, eight, nine, first round kind of guys that you can go, well, yeah, I could see them going to the first round.


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[Assistant] So, you know, I look at it a little bit maybe differently than other guys do too. I put a little more value into the pure raw physical ability explosiveness.


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[Assistant] I'm not into the, you know, I don't value the polish or whatever that to me. Again, you know, the polish, the route running, that's all good. It's a little overrated. I think there's only some teams that are really going to value it or really know how to even use it.


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[Assistant] So we'll see where this goes. But let me just say this too. Here's the thing. Like I said to Pete this morning. Made Watson number two.


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[Assistant] You know, in the rankings. And I, again, over the last 48 hours, I feel like now I've seen three mock drafts where all of a sudden he's in the first round, or he's being drafted in the 20s.


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[Assistant] Right, oh, the Kansas City Chiefs might take Watson. So yeaah, he's already climbing the ranks. There is no deny, I am extremely confident in the fact that as more evaluators in the NFL and coaches watch this, they're gonna go, wait, this Watson kid's freaky. And I, I really feel like that'll happen with Alec Pierce too.


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[Assistant] And not only just freaky, but can run routes and do everything else you want too.


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[Assistant] So again, not saying I'm right. We'll see where this goes. And it's not an indictment on Olave or Garrett Wilson or some of these other guys that I really like as receivers. Like sign me up, put them on my team. It's just hard here.


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[Assistant] And there's a lot of different ways to look at these receivers. There's a lot of different types and body types and physical skills. These were the five that were my favorite and I think maybe.


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[Assistant] What do I want to say? Translate to the most offensive possible, right?


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[Assistant] No, I understand some teams are gonna, I'm gonna, if you made me rank, okay, wait, this team has a need for a receiver. Let's rank their need and how you would rank. I would go, well, I might rank the receivers as far as how I see it for them differently. They might already have a big receiver. They might already have a Traylon Burt.


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[Assistant] So then all of a sudden they go, well, maybe now, maybe the little lobbies and the dot, you know, the, uh, Jamar dot, uh, the, the, uh, Penn State kid Dotson, right? Dotson. Yeah. Jahan Dotson. Jahan. Jahan. Sorry. I wanted to say Jamar. Jahan. Maybe that's where they get involved in these conversations. So again, I'm trying to take the five that I just think are most foolproof.


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[Assistant] And fit anywhere. These were the five I came up with. We'll see how it goes.


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[Assistant] Ran 4-4-1-ish, right around there, I believe. Listen, you're right.


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[Assistant] I think so too. I do look at him that way. Again, this is another guy that I would throw in that list there with Olavi and some of them where I go, I'm not going to be shocked if this guy goes first round. I know he's not in my top five, but you know, there's, there's a part, of course he's made for the NFL.


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[Assistant] You know, hey, 5'11", a little small, and again, you know, the NFL, if you're not freaky freaky fast, it's just, it's a big person league.


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[Assistant] Alright, you gotta be freaky freaky fast. The thing I would say with Datsun is this, a little bit. There's two things, like, tough, runs routes really good, no doubt about it. Don't think he's like,


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[Assistant] Quite as fast as his 40 time. I think we got a lot of guys this year that I came away with, even a corner.


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[Assistant] That I would go, they mastered the 40. I'm not sure they really play to that speed. Okay.


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[Assistant] Inches, steps, anything you need, they got it broken down to where that's where we're seeing these better numbers. That's interesting. More and more on a yearly basis. But again, still really talented football player. We talked about the route running. Good. Other thing I love about the kid, tough as hell.


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[Assistant] Now, the one thing I would say is, do I think he can win on the outside consistently, consistently, you know, at his size, and what I would say, not like, oh wow speed, that's gonna back off like the premier corners in football. No, I guess I have some reservations about that aspect of it too, and to me, I also had a little bit of a reservation of


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[Assistant] You know, the play strength when getting bumped on the outside versus corners and stuff like that, it was a little less than I would have liked. And then, I didn't think, I wasn't overly impressed with the Yak.


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[Assistant] If there's a seam and he can run through it, good, we know he can run and he can go and make it happen.


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[Assistant] I look at Yak though, I don't look at Yak and just go, oh, he got the ball in his hands and he scored. Like I tried to explain on Monday, there's different versions of Yak. I try to look at Yak through the realistic version of the NFL.


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[Assistant] So, I tried to look at it that way, and that to me is where I thought he was a little less than in that department. Okay. Realistic NFL yack.


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[Assistant] You know, like I said, cruel route. You know, that guy's behind him, he's gotta shake him, it's arm tackle, gotta break it and go up the field for 15 more yards.


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[Assistant] That to me would be where I just knocked him a little bit. No matter what you say, I still like him. I still like that guy. Good, you should. You know who I actually said, who he actually reminded me of a little bit? I said, I said, this is a little bit of a bigger Amon Ras Saint Brown, that's from the


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[Assistant] I think Van was a second round pick by the Rams. So he's one of, uhm, I don't know, 8, 10 receivers that I feel like I rode down can be picked somewhere between 25 and 50. Like that's where it could go depending on how the draft falls and all that.


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[Assistant] Along with Sky Moore. Sky Moore is another one that I...


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[Assistant] Yes, he does. He's got more than just to be a reliable starter. This kid's, there's a little something to this kid all together here. You know, first, uhm, he's one of, was one of my favorite, you know, like, again, not that I made him my number one.


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[Assistant] He's one of my favorite watches. He's one of my wide receiver man crushes, where I just go, oh I-


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[Assistant] Love this kid. I want him on my team. I want him to play slot receiver. His breakdown is right in a lot of ways. He is twitchy as hell. He is an unbelievable route runner. He is fearless over the middle.


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[Assistant] Our man here, what was that, Jake Scanlon? Jake, you're right, snatches the ball out of the air. That's something I've learned to value a little bit more, and I described this on Monday too. And it's something where I would say, I don't think the Ohio State kids are as good as this kid at this part. You know, it's funny you say that.


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[Assistant] He's better, he's better with his hands. In front of his body. He is. He's better with his hands. Olavi would be the one I would probably go as a little bit more of a body catcher. Now, I'll get into Olavi and Garrett Wilson in a second. Before we go, I just want to finish Sky more. Yes.


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[Assistant] But, but my point was, and this is something I learned from Shanahan like four years ago.


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[Assistant] With the snatching the ball out of the air. We're talking receivers. He brought it up. And I was like, man, you put a lot of value on that. And I was like, why? And then he explained it to me. And I was like, that's why. That makes total sense. You know? And it's what you see at a Debo Samuel. It's the fact that he can run 100 miles per hour, 100% effort.


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[Assistant] Catch the ball, still be running a hundred miles per hour, a hundred percent effort, and take it, rip it out of the air, tuck it away, and there's never a gather step, a slow down, let me tuck it away, wait, let me see where I am, and that was the other thing that I loved about Sky More.


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[Assistant] So not only did I think he was one of the best route runners, you know, he goes over the middle, he's tough, snatches the ball out of the air. The acceleration off the ball is as good as anybody in the draft. His quickness in all areas.


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[Assistant] Is off the charts good, so let alone here's a guy that I go, wait, slot jitterbug extreme, right? I mean supreme, he's the man there. And then because of his speed and acceleration and his play strength,


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[Assistant] I go, even though he's 5'10", he's 195, right, so he's a little rocked up and thicker, 17 pounds heavier than Dotson, where I'd go, his acceleration's better, his yards after the catch are better, he breaks more tackles, and because the acceleration's better and the strength, the play strength's better, he is more outside value to me than the Dotson.


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[Assistant] And then I go also with that, you know, Yak ability and what he does. I go, he's a weapon. You can do the speed sweeps, the reverses, all that stuff. So Sky Moore is one of those guys that was right there in the running for the Ohio state guys. And I would not be shocked to see him go at the end of the first round.


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[Assistant] No, he's more that. He's more that. I don't even think, listen, I don't think he's as physical as Deebo and Tyreek. I don't think he's as explosive as them. I will say that off the bat, alright? Those to me, first off, Deebo Samuel's 220 pounds.


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[Assistant] He's a different human being. There's very few people like that. In the NFL, coming out in this draft.


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[Assistant] So right off the bat. Tyre Kill, again, is a different speed. To compare Chris Olave to Tyre Kill, you're disrespecting Tyre Kill. I'm sorry. It's just not the same. You know, Olave, to me, is just made for the NFL to be the slot receiver.


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[Assistant] The thing I liked about him more than Wilson is I thought he played through contact better, like as far as being bumped.


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[Assistant] Not letting it affect his speed, running a route, not, you know, okay, wait, you knocked me off, but I got back on track. I still caught the ball. My concentrations there. I thought he was good. And of course he's one of the most elite route runners in the, in the, in the draft. There's no doubt about that too.


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[Assistant] Do I look at the film and go, oh, this is 438, oh my gosh, wow? No, I don't. First off, when he lines up on the outside, he doesn't just blow by people, alright? That's what I would go, guys that run 438 and it's also on the field, I would go, no, they can line up outside and just go, see ya, I'm outta here.


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[Assistant] You don't see that a lot from him. And when you do see it, it's usually like an all out blitz, and the corner's eight yards off, and he's sitting there going, wait, we're all out blitz, they gotta throw it fast, right? And he's sitting there flat footed, and he gets to run a post over the top, and you go, some of his big plays in that, I go, are just the most premier looks in the world.


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[Assistant] You know, I know people, I had somebody I saw comment like, did you, you obviously didn't watch the Minnesota game and some of the plays he made after the catch there. I want to go, I saw it. It was, I get it. I, the kid's awesome. He's a first round guy, but I didn't go, oh my gosh, he caught a 20 yard crossing route with nobody in the screen and then ran up the sidelines and then stopped


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[Assistant] To me, gonna be a little less of a big play guy in the NFL, and a little bit more of a true technician, route runner, tear your ass up that way, okay? And people might not like my comparison to, uhm, Chris Olavi. You need to say something nice about Ohio State.


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[Assistant] I got it. But damn, I like Justin Fields and I like these guys too. You know, come on, Ohio State, nobody roots for you more than me because I hate Michigan and Jim Harbaugh. So nobody, I'm just telling you, I love Ohio State. Love it. O-H-I-O. I tell it, I say that to people in the airport all the time.


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[Assistant] Olavi. Really good. And I just want to make sure that I got it everything.


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[Assistant] Uhm, that I hit on here, just to make sure. You know, a ball in his hands, I wrote. He can make more people miss than Garrett Wilson. I had a little comparison there.


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[Assistant] I said to me, to me, he's just a better version of Sterling Shepard, who came out. And again, I know most people are gonna go, oh wow, that's not that great. Well, Sterling Shepard's been in some shitty offenses. He's a, he's a good player. Right, he's had some injuries and all that.


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[Assistant] Sterling Shepard though, to me it's that similar guy. Yes, there's some big playability, but we're not gonna be going, oh wow, we're so scared of him every week.


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[Assistant] You're going to be more like, man, what a route for 10 yards over the middle.


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[Assistant] Wait, great job, 10 yards over the middle, caught it, got 10 more yards and got a 20 yard gain. To me, that's what Olave's gonna be. With the occasional, oh man, they played cover two and he busted it down the middle and, you know, beat a linebacker or a nickel black for a 40, 50 yard game down that way. But it's not gonna be like,


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[Assistant] Speed sweep, reverse, break somebody's ankle, ankles, take off and then explode by everybody like Tyree, Killer D, Bosema. To me there's a difference there.


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[Assistant] They're all good. They're all good. That's why this receiving class is deep. Like I've said, I think maybe some of the headline names at the top here are a little overrated, as you heard me say on Monday and maybe last week. But Dan, when you just talk about the amount of guys that can help a football team and be ready to play this year, it's, it's, the less


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[Assistant] Love Calvin Austin. This would be my number one man crush out of all receivers. You might like the players not in your top five as much as


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[Assistant] Lightning fast. And then you turn it on and you go, oh my gosh, he's lightning fast. This, well, we gotta see where this goes from here. And then you go, oh my gosh, his quickness is through the roof and I don't know if there's anybody as quick as him in the whole NFL draft.


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[Assistant] So yeah, this is, this is like, and I want to read some of his numbers, but you know, the, the exceptional route runner.


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[Assistant] The numbers are real. Like, his ability to start, stop, reaccelerate, it's just the best in anybody in the draft. It really is.


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[Assistant] How does he fall short then? Well, of course he's very small. That's it. I mean, he's very small. But, like, play's tough.


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[Assistant] I didn't work. It's not as a slam dunk as me, just as the other guys. But like, I think this guy could go in the second round. But size isn't going to be an issue. And there's a number of teams in football that are going to look at his size and just go, we can't do it. We'd refuse to go that small.


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[Assistant] There's some GM's that are going to do, it's just a size league. And hey, offense coordinator, if, if, you know, if we can get them the second round, you think you can get them open. Oh, hey, I'm all for it. But I don't know if I want that guy to be our go-to big time guy. Wait, we're going to put them out. It's a third and five and we got to go to him.


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[Assistant] You know, there's gonna be some GMs that are gonna go, well damn, if Marlon Humphrey or Jalen Ramsey are on them, I really worry about that. Uhm, but, I'm just gonna like,


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[Assistant] Out of all the small receivers, his speed and quicks were at a different level.


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[Assistant] So you add that to his quickness and pretty good technique as far as getting off the jam and I go, there's actually a little value here as an outside receiver and he can run by you even though that's not what he's gonna do. But I thought he, along with Jameson Williams and Christian Watson,


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[Assistant] Had another gear that the rest of the guys in the draft don't have.


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[Assistant] Like to me, they have a gear where the ball's in the air or when their ball's in their hand and they go, wait, somebody's, I gotta turn the corner here, that they can tap into that nobody else in this draft has. You know, the route running, the body language, all of that. I mean, it's, it's off the charts good. Start stop ability, double moves. It's better than anybody in the draft. So yes, he is to me, like, you know, uh, it,


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[Assistant] I wouldn't be shocked if we were sitting here a few years from now and going, this is Tyler Lockett. He's just a little smaller. But he's Tyler Lockett. Got it. I think he could be that guy. And Tyler Lockett had some of those concerns too coming out. Where people were like, he's small. And I know he's really fast and he's a good round runner, but he's small. I don't trust it. Right? And I think he got drafted in the third round.


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[Assistant] Uhm, this is a guy that has that and maybe Tyler Lockett can ease the stress of the size there when you see the guy move and the releases and all that. You okay over there? Just so it's noted.


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[Assistant] And you know, like I said, small guys like this usually don't play outside. Memphis did not seem to have any problem with it, which gives me a little bit again. I'm not going to say all college coaches are brilliant and all that.


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[Assistant] They obviously felt like the guy can win outside, we're not worried about it. Uhm, I, I, I loved him, like I said, and I think he is that kind of guy, Tyler Lockett-ish, you know, Yakeem Grant, but a better receiver and football player, that kind of guy.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I really like him. Tolbert's a guy I look at to go, he could be a first round guy too. I would not be, the way he runs around his size and then what he can do with the ball in his hands. I mean, he's, he's kind of special that way.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, had the injury. Not gonna wow you with pure raw explosiveness or any of that. Mechi, sorry.


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[Assistant] Is made for the NFL. I think he's probably going to be a mid-round pick, but he's going to be a mid-round pick by a team that goes, wait, I know how to use slot receivers. And this guy is a machine running routes, just knows how to play football. Like he'd be that guy that.


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[Assistant] I feel like I'm guarding him pretty good, but he's got 32 points. How did that happen?


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[Assistant] You know, he just understands how to attack people, how to run the routes the right way, very smart that way, yes. Mid-round pick, but not gonna be like an explosive superstar. Uh, Valis Jones, Tennessee.


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[Assistant] Got some love at the combine. He deserves some love. Billis Jones to me is just a poor man sky more. He's sky more, but just not quite the route runner, a little bit more stiff.


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[Assistant] But a guy I look at to go, slot receiver, and then the way, how strong he is, cause he's kinda one of those guys that's built like a running back, can play outside.


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[Assistant] And at the very least, as he learns to run routes a little bit better, cause like I said, he's stiff, everything's square, right? He's no like wiggle the hips or this or that. It's like, wait, I'm going to go this way. So I have to turn my body that way and then run that way. And then I have to go the other way. So I have to turn my, you know, there's a little of that, right? I'm over emphasizing to make the point, but he has some weapon ability too, to where, you know, again, some of these guys, we, all the evaluators got to stop like,


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[Assistant] It's there. Like, I don't think it's gonna go first round. Not with the injury, the limited amount of play.


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[Assistant] A guy that I look at to go, do I see him somewhere between 40 and 60? And do I see that he could be one of those guys like two years from now where we go, he's a thousand yards here, you know, and he's dependable. Yeah. He's got size.


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[Assistant] He can run routes and stick his foot in the ground and he can run by you when he's healthy. So I don't think he's going to go first round.


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[Assistant] Just because there's so many, I think, you know, for sure things here at wide receiver, where yea, the injury is going to hurt him a little bit, that offense hurts him a little bit, you know, it's been a long time to your point to where you've seen like, oh wait, that's, that's the guy we want to draft and that sometimes hurts you. Should have gone pro after his freshman year.


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[Assistant] Definitely. Definitely. To me, that's where I'm really impressed with the group, is that. Like I said, I-


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[Assistant] I guess I had a little bit higher expectations thinking the way everybody was talking about this is I was gonna turn it on and it was gonna be like Sammy Watkins and Odell Beckham Jr. and Brandon Cooks and it was gonna be like, oh my gosh, this is the most unbelievable thing. I guess that department was maybe a little less for me, but the overall depth, you know, having a, any,


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[Assistant] You know, size, shape, color, flavor, whatever. They got it all in the draft. That's I think the cool thing in the value of this position. Pete wants to know if we hit on Danny Gray.


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[Assistant] He shouldn't be that. He's not that, that's for sure. He's not the 200th pick of the draft. I mean, yes. First off, he has something elite about his football game. And that's, he's, he can fly. I mean, he can fly.


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[Assistant] So elite trades like we talk about, they're gonna get you drafted no matter what. He's ran 4-3-3 and he plays to that. So that's the issue. Now here's some of the other issues. His hands are not great. I think that's gonna hurt him a little bit. You know, there's just some drops, right?


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[Assistant] He doesn't rip it out of the air like we talk about. There's slants where he catches it and you know, it's okay. There's a process of putting it away and you go, damn.


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[Assistant] You know, you got tackled now. If you could just rip it and go, you'd have gone. I've been in a 60 yard touchdown, right? The route running is not always consistent or great. Like, I think you can...


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[Assistant] Not only is it not perfect, but also I would go, man, there's some place he comes off the ball and I go.


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[Assistant] They're screwed. He's, he's, they're scared and they're running back. But then there's four or five plays where I go, oh, he's kinda just striding off the ball. And it's not the same. And of course it doesn't attack the corner the same. So there's inconsistencies there. The guy I wrote that I, he really reminds me of. And, and I, I like this player a lot.


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[Assistant] Darnell Mooney with the Bears, right? It's that kind of guy. Yea, you can throw a shallow cross and he might turn the corner and run 60 yards, he can run the post down the middle 60 yards, you know.


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[Assistant] Some of the other routes we need some work on. He was a sleeper too. Big time sleeper. Right. He's that kind of guy to me. Mike Wallace, right? Remember him from the Pittsburgh Steelers? It's that. It's track, straight liner.


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[Assistant] Like not gonna get all the intricate details maybe you want from a receiver, at least not right away. So that's how I look at him, but dangerous.


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[Assistant] Gabriel Shoemaker, that's good. I get it. It just, it means absolutely nothing. Why did the coaches not say it? I don't know. I mean, it's also the same coaching staff that saw Dwayne Haskins is better than Joe Burrow. So what do you want me to say about that? Is Dwayne Haskins better? Cause at Ohio State, Dwayne Haskins won


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[Assistant] Not even close. The guy that had all those stats that justify he's better, he's the one that has 0-0-0. And the other guy's about to get, you know, going to be the highest paid quarterback in the history of football and changing the league around.


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[Assistant] So that's not proof of anything. Guys continue to grow. Politics happen in college. You mature.


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[Assistant] Uh, there, there could be other guys might have had a similar skill set, so now we're looking for a different guy, right? Oh, we're not going to put you there because we had another receiver that was like Jameson Williams. I don't know. You know, again, I don't know what to tell you there, but that does not mean that he is better just because of that, certainly.


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[Assistant] You know, again, I'd love to watch film with Gabriel Shoemaker and just go, listen, I really like, you know, Garrett Wilson. I do, but here's 30 plays that Garrett Wilson can't do, didn't do, and Jameson Williams did.


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[Assistant] I knew this was going to come up. I kind of referred to it a little on Monday because I knew people were going to go, well wait. And I'm just like...


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[Assistant] On a week to week basis, Ohio State outclasses the Big Ten more than Alabama does. Alabama's coach better, alright? They're the greatest coach team in the history of football, alright? No, no disrespect to Ryan Day, who's hell of a player and all that. The SEC, team by team,


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[Assistant] It can match up better with Alabama than the Big Ten team by team matching up with Ohio State.


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[Assistant] Again, all you gotta do is look at the draft, how many corners, receivers, defensive tackles, all those things. How many more from the SEC than the Big Ten? I mean, it's a pretty big number. And then, yeaah, you get through the Big Ten, there's not a lot of teams with great corners. There's not. I mean, you get through Ohio State and Michigan,


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[Assistant] The occasional Michigan State guy. Occasional.


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[Assistant] And you go, okay, and then the occasional Penn State guy, that's it. Like you can't talk about really speed or skill guys from a lot of the other teams in the division on a consistent basis. I know that doesn't hold proof all the way through. And then here's the other aspect too. Because of that, like,


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[Assistant] Listen, we know, we know, okay, Alabama's gonna beat LSU this past year by 30 points or whatever.


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[Assistant] They do that. It's a different way in where Ohio State is gonna beat some other team in the Big 10 by 30 points, right? Like LSU can get beat.


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[Assistant] And they don't have to go, we have to play defenses we've never played in our life if we have a chance here. They still play normal defenses. This is what I'm trying to explain on Monday a little bit. Ohio State, you see some teams, but they play defenses where you go, they're screwed.


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[Assistant] Like they have no chance of stopping anything here. They've gotten the ball running down their throat because they're getting dominated by the running backs in the Ohio State offensive line. It's 10 yards, it's 15 yards, it's 10 yards. And now they're going, damn, we're just, they're just gonna kill us. We gotta play a defense to stop the run.


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[Assistant] And yeaah, we don't have the DBs to stop these guys, but we gotta do something. We have no choice. We have no choice. And now they go, oh, our DBs and this guy is never gonna be in the NFL, we have to put him on Wilson.


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[Assistant] Wilson, if you give him the straight line and all that, yeaah, he's gonna go. But the stuff I talked about before, first off, I don't think he's as good a route runner as Jamison Williams, right? I didn't think he was as good a route runner as Olave. He doesn't, to me, play through contact all that well either.


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[Assistant] If he gets five yards down the field and somebody puts their hands on him or pushes him a little bit, it really affects his route and where he goes from there after that. And then like I said, some of the stuff after that is just not quite there that way. So listen, Garrett Wilson, really good. Garrett, really good.


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[Assistant] And he's the one I'm probably most scared about cause listen, I've had the NFL people that I told you I text about.


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[Assistant] You know, everybody was so impressed with the pro day with the Ohio State kids. The Ohio State kids are schooled, they're polished, they love football, they're ready to go. They're gonna look awesome in all those environments. I never doubt that. That's what they are. But that doesn't mean I think that they're gonna be that on the field necessarily. So maybe part of the evaluation


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[Assistant] The SEC is a different animal right now, and I don't mean, you know, Ohio State I know was in that class of being the greatest team in college football, I get that.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, I think the competition like you brought up is a thing, certainly. Yeah, you'd like to see more, but like here's one where I'd go, wait, I'd want to see more because it would help my evaluation with Christian, you know, or, uh, or Trey Lance. And you want to see more because he didn't have a lot put on his shoulders. You know, with Watson, I would almost argue, well, the offense


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[Assistant] It's him. It's screwed him. He's open all the time. I mean he's blowing by people all the time. He gets classified under...


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[Assistant] Why didn't they give them the ball more? It's almost like the DK Metcalf with Ole Miss thing where you're just like, I'm not sure sometimes. I think they're trying to throw the game. I mean, it really, it's so, but those, that's a real question. I get it. Yes. I'd like to see a little bit more of a route tree.


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[Assistant] I'd like to see him a little bit more against top tier competition. Definitely. You'd like to see, yes, the pressure beyond him to be the go-to guy a little bit more because the offense has to throw when they have to go to him. Yeah, I'd like to see that.


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[Assistant] But apart, it's not part of this, you know, equation here, and that's where you gotta kinda put it, piece it together. And I think between that, you know,


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[Assistant] And, and what I see, and then of course just evaluating the talent and the, the physical exposure in there on the field, uh, I, I was blown away by it. But, but understand those questions, I do.


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[Assistant] He's not as good at the jump balls and things like that. I think that's what people are referring to. And there's a few jump balls where you'd go, damn, you'd like you to come down with that and it bounces off his hands. Or he misplays it in the air a little bit. Definitely some of the weaknesses there.


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[Assistant] But then you get into physical of like, when people try to reroute him, I mean, it does, it does nothing to him. He's like the bionic man. I mean, he just shrugs him off. Or you talk about when the ball's in his head, I mean, he tries to just run over people.


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[Assistant] So that's, I've heard like the tough thing be a little bit, but yet I go, well wait, here's a slant. The guy ripped it out of the air, he lowered his shoulder, ran somebody over, I get it. You know, and to me I think people are judging it a little too...


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[Assistant] Dicey on the guy overall. You watch the senior bowl in the practices, those guys could not cover him.


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[Assistant] You talk about, yes, taller guys, the ones I think you're trying to talk about that maybe fail or don't, they usually are not near, this is a guy that's explosive like a guy like Odell Beckham, like 5'11", 190, that's where it's different.


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[Assistant] Well, yes, that could be that too. Those guys, yea, I understand. I think you're talking about that, you know, you're talking about the right thing. That guy who's tall,


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[Assistant] But not overly explosive, can't create separation all the time, do all that, but this is a guy that has a different speed and to me, acceleration and burst that guys his size usually don't have.


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[Assistant] There's no, I got no excuse there. There's nothing to be said there. You know, again, I was wrong. There's no doubt. You know, again, where I'm gonna be wrong too is...


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[Assistant] Off the field issues, and I'd like to, you know, I don't get to see these guys all the time. You know, even with the...


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[Assistant] I just like to be able to see him in a workout. And I'd go, I won't miss if that's the case. Why? Why a workout? Just because once I've seen the film and now I can go, oh wait, he is this big in person. Ooh, the way his body looks.


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[Assistant] In person. Ooh, I've seen this kind of body before. When they're built like this, this...


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[Assistant] This usually translate, you know, you know, just in person can give you that extra little bit of like, man, it's, it's, it's actually faster in person.


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[Assistant] Oh, it's, he's actually a little bit bigger and stronger than he looks on film and all that. That's where I feel like it would help me. I was wrong about the running back thing. And I know I was, you know, low on Najee. So that's a good shot by you at beam, Elliot. I get you. You know, I also could come back with a bunch where I'd go, I had things like that and go, I was right. You know, so we'll see. The Pierce thing, I understand. Pierce is one though that,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, I'm not, I'm not gonna back down from Pierce. Like it's, it's, it pops off the screen. I mean it pops.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, like I said, really what I want people to do is like, turn on the Alabama game, watch Snap for Snap. I think he only has two catches. Doesn't matter.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] His route running is professional level good. It is. So, you know, those are those things. Again, the offense, the quarterback, all those, it's a little bit like we talked about. I just go, I don't, I don't get it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, they, they, in the Alabama game, they, they left 100 yards receiving on the field. Cincinnati team. He was, he was there to be had. The game should have been closer. He was open a bunch. Uhm, so we'll see. We'll see. I know that's a tough one. And, uh, at beam Elliott, if I end up being bad, come back with a crafty little comment like this one next year.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] No, no, I know, you're right, you're right. Let's see, it just, it becomes, you know...


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Just easy food for the, the consumer, the people who pay attention. And then of course they get emotionally attached and to certain players from their school. And I get that. I understand that too, you know. So we'll see. And again, I, you know, I don't know, but I was blown away by Pierce and I would be shocked.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, if I'm wrong about this one, I'm not saying I might, you know, he might not end up being the third best guy in this group, but I would be shocked if he doesn't work out to where he's a really awesome NFL receiver for a long time.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Just with another gear. Another gear that Jordy didn't have, so.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Freakish number one slam dunk superstar running back either. But damn good, I'm not gonna lie.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It would, it would ease pain for teams, I think, a little that way. I don't know if it would change a whole lot. You know, the thing I would say, like I talked about a little on Monday too is,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The name that, you know, I think about sometimes with a guy like this is like T Higgins. Cause T Higgins weren't sure about his route running and like how sudden he was. But then I remember when I'm coming out in the draft that you're going, man, when he catches the ball, he's sudden. It's in there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So it's in there, we just gotta work on it in the route running department. There to me with Traylon Burke, like, you see feet


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And moments of going, damn, that was a pretty good route. I talked about some of the down the field routes because when he gets going full speed, cause he's big and thick, can be a little clunky, but I think he can work on that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But I think where people are going to fall, it's the teams that value size and what he can do with the ball in his hands. And that's where he is. He's not going to be like just a slam dunk route running machine to carve up an outside corner in the NFL like Devontae Adams. He's not going to be that. Outside, slam,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Run a go, maybe runs by the guy, but it's not going to be like he blows by him. Oh, most likely we throw a back shoulder. He catches it cause it's not 50 50 with him. And then we just find ways to get him the ball a little bit.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, like I said, wide receiver screen, play action, quick post over the middle. When he's got the ball in his hand, he has another gear. He can break tackles. He can make people miss. He's just a football player who, yeah, needs a little bit more work.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] We've seen in the NFL here, he can run by people for a 50-yard touchdown. He can catch an in-cut and turn it up field and, you know, run for a 60-yard touchdown or Moss, Jalen Ramsey, and maybe push off and catch a touchdown at the Super Bowl. You know, uh, but the size is very similar that way.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I would say Drake London's a better route runner than T. Higgins coming out.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Now what you didn't see, there are almost a little opposites that way. Where it was like T Higgins, you were going, man, I wish we saw more routes. I wish it was a better route runner. Right? Drake London, I know that part.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, and then with T Higgins, I went, man, when he gets the ball in his hands, I kind of like it. He gets up the ball, he gets up the field quick, he can outrun some people, break some tackles. That's the part that's missing in Drake London. There's really none of that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] There's, there's, there's really not. He doesn't break tackles. He doesn't really outrun anybody. He's a little bit more of a build up speed than a, uh, T Higgins.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think, you know, the size, the 50 50, the back shoulders are insane as good as anybody I've ever seen ever. And then his feet and route running is really special, but he's not going to win and get a separation with just as pure physical explosion. He's not, it's going to be size and it's going to be crisp route running to just get a little separation and go from there.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I think so, I think so, yea. Drake London, I feel like I know what he is, and then I just hope we can get more yak. Yea. T Higgins, it was like, man, the guy's big and can go, and it looks like he can run routes, and of course it translated. So, how about Tiers here?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So that's the thing, it's, it's really, it's really, uh, uh, this is a year I feel like you could classify, here's your slots, your jitterbugs, here's your giants, and then here's, let's get everybody in between.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I don't, I mean, it is, and I actually thought about that in this process of like, kind of like, maybe I should rank them, like, 6-3 and above receivers, who's the best one? You know, 6-2 to 5-11, here's the best one.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Five, ten and under, let's rank them that way. I really did. More work. Well, I know, and ultimately I said no, I don't want to do that.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, but he wa- the tier, the tier ways- Yeah, of your top five or six, so. Yeah. I mean, to me, it's, Jameson Williams, boom, by himself. Tier alone. Tier alone.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Then 2-3 I think are a tier alone for me. Where I'd go, that's where I'd get into Watson and Pierce. Yep. So you'd put them together. I would. In another tier. Okay.