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[Assistant] No, no, I, you know, I don't know how much you saw us in Football Night in America, but one of the things I said is like, he is their team. I mean, they can't, they don't run the ball, they're not that good at defense, right? They're better, we know that.


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[Assistant] It's all about him and the ability to digest all of Kevin O'Connell's offense and all the things they do it every week. And for him to dice you up in the passing game. And he was having one of those days once again. Total control of the football game.


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[Assistant] I'd be shocked if he didn't tear his Achilles. I mean, I'm not sitting here to, you know, I'm not Dr. Sims here. Yeah, that's what they think. But I've been around football my whole life. It was one of those as soon as I saw it, I went, oh.


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[Assistant] That's his Achilles. Like it had that Rogers look where the leg wanted to stop, but the pressure of it and all of a sudden you see this jerk of like the heel goes down farther than it should in that moment. So yes, that's...


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[Assistant] You know, a huge moment for their football team. It is. And I don't know what they're gonna do here going forward. Like I've told you, I think they're better than last year. They're 4-4. But, you know, who's out there to get?


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[Assistant] You know, I know Colt McCoy's out there, with the Titans traitor Ryan Tannahill.


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[Assistant] You know, where are they gonna go? How many, how much assets of the future are they gonna...


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[Assistant] You know, trade to go, oh, let's try to make a run still here this year. I mean, we all know the Vikings aren't going to the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Right? So, they have to decide how all in they want to go. Uh, but either way, yeaah, it's devastating. Cause like you said, he's, he's a phenomenal football player and been playing great really the last two years. Yea, Jaren Hall is the rookie that came in out of BYU. Not gonna get it done with him. Not gonna get it done.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's what I mean. It had to be somebody like that, right? It had to be, yea, or Ryan Tannehill or somebody. You know, Ryan Tannehill's not as good as Kirk Cousins, I know that. But I'm just saying, at least he's proven it and we know he can play a little still and make some big throws here. But even within all that, you gotta learn the new offense, right? In week nine of the NFL season. Man, that's not easy either.


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[Assistant] Right? There's no, oh hey, we run the ball really good, so it'll give you some time to break in. They don't do that.


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[Assistant] It's, it's, it's, it's, you know, as much as a season-ender as I can remember here by a football team. Unfortunate, because it kind of seemed like they were kind of hitting a stride here, where you went, oh, the Vikings, watch out for them. They're kind of getting it going here after the win last week, the way they look today, right?


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[Assistant] 34 yards. They haven't been able to run the ball like they thought they were going to be able to to kind of break Jordan Love in. And they can't throw the ball that well either. And you can't trust him to throw the ball. That's exactly right.


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[Assistant] You know, the stats themselves, 24 for 41, 229, right? You know, they have the training wheels on there. And a lot of those are end of the game kind of BS stats anyways. You know, they went in the half with 69 yards passing. You know, that's not enough. That's not.


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[Assistant] You know, and, and, you know, within this today, their defense hasn't been good enough either.


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[Assistant] The Vikings, they missed a short field goal early on in the football game, too, where they drove the ball down the field. So, yeah, the Green Bays, they're in trouble. I don't see it like turning around. I don't. I want to know is, I'm interested is how long are they going to ride with Jordan Love? I think that's where we're getting to at least


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[Assistant] It's time to question this. Not that it was bad, it's just not that good. And you could tell by the play calling that they don't trust them with a lot of things.


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[Assistant] So they're trying to manage the game while managing him, and they're not good enough to do that right now. We talked about Sean Clifford and how awesome he was, right, in the preseason, the backup quarterback. He was phenomenal.


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[Assistant] Jordan loves interception today. I do, I will say for this, it was not a bad throw.


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[Assistant] Uh, Jayden Reed should have caught it. Mattelis did an unbelievable job, kind of take it out of his hands, made a great return. Next play Jordan Addison, touchdown. See you later Packers. That kind of is all she wrote in that football game. But yeaah, they're, they're, they have to be concerned with the way Jordan Love looks right now. They have to.


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[Assistant] It needed some more work throwing the football. Like if the arm was strong, but it was still like, I'd go, I don't know how you missed that throw, right? You heard me say that. Or a little, two times, a little mechanical.


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[Assistant] Right? And just, or not the appropriate ball. Or there were some throws where you were just like, wait, you played too many games to throw a ball into that coverage. I think those are the things that concerned me. I saw the high end physical talent. It's just whether I felt like he could, you know, play the position at a consistent enough level, and that's what I doubted, but damn, today will go a long way


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[Assistant] Cause it was, it's big plays down the field. That to me was the impressive thing.


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[Assistant] You know, we know they can run the ball and do that. I wasn't sure, like, did they trust him to push the ball down the field or is this going to be like, you know, back shoulder, we throw a fade every now and then, throw a slam, we're going to be real conservative of them. They, they kind of dialed up some home run shots and, you know, he showed his ability to, to move and


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[Assistant] Push the ball with ease. I mean, one, the first throw to the Andre Hopkins was really good. It was offensive pass interference. It was. I mean, blatant. Yea. Like, if that doesn't get called offensive pass interference, then nothing's gonna. But that throw was like, that was like a blimp throw. He threw it really high. It might have hit it. And he, that to me is the best deep ball throwers. Throw it high, let your guys go get it.


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[Assistant] DB's are DB's because they usually don't know how to play the ball, right? So, he, Hopkins, fighting, doing whatever, pulling the guys head off, right? Then he goes and gets it. That, that play, you know, hit Hopkins on the shallow cross, kept it accurate on the run, got a touchdown there. And then they had the in-cut and go for the other big one.


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[Assistant] Right? Where, kinda like, quarters, hey, we've thrown the backside in, cut a lot, they get the safety to kinda jump up on it, Hopkins looks like he's gonna break across, and then he straightens up up the field. Boom! That was what, a 61 yard touchdown? The most impressive though, was the last one of the day. When he rolled to the right,


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[Assistant] I know one of the leaders in the NSC South. Their defense has been great. That's why I was kind of shocked to see Tennessee move the ball the way they did today. But, you know what I want to say? You think it's...


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[Assistant] Heinecke time. I don't know how they don't have the conversation.


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[Assistant] They kind of, it was kind of one of those, like, are you hurt? And you're like, no, you're hurt, you're hurt, huh, huh? You're hurt, huh? You're a little banged up, we can see it a little. Hold on, Hanuki, you get it. You're hurt, you're hurt. You didn't get a concussion? I think you did. I'm overruling the doctor. It felt like they were looking for a reason to go, okay, now's our time, let's make a change, okay?


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[Assistant] Now I know Desmond Ritter's done some good things, we know that, but got strip sacked early, right? That led to a short field touchdown. That led to the second Hopkins touchdown pass. Uhm, but my big point is not necessarily what Ritter looked like, but what it looked like with Heineken.


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[Assistant] Heinecke in their offense looked, I thought, as good as I've seen it look the whole year.


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[Assistant] You know, as far as just efficiency in the past game, marrying it all together, uh, so that's where I kinda like the look. And again, I don't, I'm not gonna sit here and, but, you know, hey,


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[Assistant] Ritter played the whole first half, three points, and some of the third quarter, three points. Heinecke got in for a quarter and a half, twenty points. I don't know.


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[Assistant] There's a little bit better there, and I just, I trust him to run the offense. I'm not saying he give up on Desmond Ritter forever.


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[Assistant] We have been saying, it kind of feels like they've been winning in spite of Desmond Ritter. And I think Heineken plays better quarterback. I'm not saying he's got better pure potential, but I think right now he's the best fit for this Dockens offense.


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[Assistant] Five or six of them were like, ehh. Right? So yea, if you make that switch, you can't go like two games and then go back to Riddr. That's for sure. Now you kinda gotta go, hey, we're gonna let this play out and let him get his feet underneath them a little bit and see where we can go.


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[Assistant] I just feel like they're a better than 4-4 football team and they're better than like what you just said. Their offense should score more points, there's more talent there. They haven't run the ball the same because they can't back anybody off in the pass game.


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[Assistant] And we saw, like Robinson with that one, he had the one, uh, big run today, today for the touchdown. I mean, he's special. But everybody's planning to stop the run when they play the Falcons.


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[Assistant] No matter who played a quarterback. I think Frable is one of the best coaches in football. And I, because I don't think Tennessee is nearly all that talented. And they kind of hang in every game and every team that they're supposed to beat, they beat. And teams that are better than them, they hang around and make it close and I'm just a fan of him.


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[Assistant] The shop is open. The presses are printing. Okay, the saints defeat the cults. Yea, but we don't have headlines. We need the headlines. Oh, okay, hold on. I feel the need. The need for Shaheed. I love that one. Woo woo woo woo. I feel like if we used that before, I'm not sure. I'm sure we have.


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[Assistant] One of the best big play receivers in football. He really, every week, he's the number one guy you gotta be scared of at that receiving court. I mean, he is special. He really is. Size, speed, you know. He can do damage.


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[Assistant] One of those catches, okay, I want everybody to look this up at some point. The ball was intercepted.


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[Assistant] They deemed he caught the ball even though he hadn't gotten to the ground and survived the ground. The guy stole the ball before that. A little loophole in the rules there, which I've known before and I've said this before, but if the pass isn't completed until you survive the ground and now you haven't survived the ground and somebody steals the ball out of your hand before that,


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[Assistant] That's an incomplete pass and the ball is still alive. You haven't completed the process. So that is weird to me. That was a weird moment of the game. But when are you down?


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[Assistant] Yeah, if you're touched and you're on the ground. That's what I gotta go look, right? If he's touched or whatever, yeah, but are they counting that? So now he survived the catch. It's a little bit of a loophole. I need to look at it and reassess it in my own brain.


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[Assistant] I mean, there's gotta be something there. You still have the ball. We'll talk about that on Wednesday and maybe try to create a controversy. The big thing is, this was the first game I felt like the Saints offense met my expectations, right?


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[Assistant] Where you went, damn, okay, run the ball, big plays in the pass game, Derek Carr let it fly a few times, they got creative with some of the things they did in the run game, I mean, I know they've been creative with like, you know,


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[Assistant] 19 completions for over 300 yards, right? Kinda just tells you the day they were having. When they were completing the ball, it was for big plays. And, you know, they had some runs too where they gashed them as well. Uh, but I think that was about as good as I've seen the Saints offense look all year.


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[Assistant] Totally falling apart. It's all become their offense here as of late. You know, but what I was impressed with this one, 17 to 7.


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[Assistant] Cults, right? They strip sack Derek Carr, and you're going, wow. You know, the Cults are running the ball. You know, Minshew, we know, has done some good things and playing right. And I'm going, they're gonna control this football game. And from that point on,


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[Assistant] You know, the Saints bounce right back, go on a long drive, Taysom Hill gets the touchdown run in the Wildcat, and then get the ball back after, I want to say it was the, maybe the Minshew interception, it might have not been, it might have been a series earlier.


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[Assistant] I would say more dangerous than anybody else in the NFC South just because of the offensive potential we've talked about, right? The defense is good. I don't think it's as good as statistically it's ranked.


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[Assistant] You know, I kind of said this last week. I don't think they've played a lot of great offenses. Uh, you know, cause we saw the Jaguars move the ball on them and all that. But yeah, the Saints can be dangerous. Uh, that's the one thing to watch here. Can they keep this offense hot?


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[Assistant] He made a few plays throughout the day where I went, damn that was a throw there. He is slick.


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[Assistant] His ability to kind of move and shuffle and throw sidearms, find windows. He made one throw down the field at one point where he was kind of backpedaling and had somebody bearing down on him and threw like a corner route to the left. And I was, it was the first time all year I went.


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[Assistant] Whoa! I can't believe his arm got it there with his body in that position, right? I didn't... Bryson Dong is not always like, whoa strong arm guy, right?


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[Assistant] He can make all the throws. I am impressed with his ability and his strength in his arm when he's in awkward positions. That's where I think he really jumps out to me. But, yeah, good job by him.


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[Assistant] You know, it was pretty consistent through the day, that last drive of the game where we give it a damn okay by ya boi Varnie, right? The big fourth down completion to Adam Thielen, that was a huge moment in the game, certainly. And then I think the other thing that would be fair in this game, the Panthers defense. The Panthers defense is a handful.


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[Assistant] You know, they're another team, we talk about it a lot, are better than their statistical output because their offense has struggled, they've kind of...


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[Assistant] You know, the dam is broke towards the end of some football games there today. But CJ Stroud never looked comfortable in the game. And their run game for the Texans really not, never got going either. Uh, it was about as arbitrary as that Texans offense had to look all year.


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[Assistant] Yeah, good for Frank, right? To get off the Schneid there, off the bye week. Uhm, yeah, good job by Carolina. Carolina, they're gonna be a pain in the butt. They're gonna win a few more as we go down the stretch here. That defense is too good. As Bryce Young gets comfortable, I think he'll make more and more plays.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well, it got a little too uncomfortably close at the end of the football game. That was another game of like, yeah, 24-18, but it felt like the Bills should have been up by three scores late in the football game, right?


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[Assistant] Uh, you know, whether it's turnovers, missed opportunities down inside the 5 or 10 yard line and going forward on fourth down, uh, I think the most impressive thing


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[Assistant] Hey, their defense looked good. You know, I know it let up some plays and some yards later in the football game. But, the other thing is...


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[Assistant] Maybe we're onto something. Can we spread the ball like we did in, in, in Buffalo? You know, it was the first game I felt like the first ten passes of the game weren't to go to Stefan Diggs. It wasn't like, alright, pass number one, Diggs is the first read. Pass number two, Diggs is the first read. Pass number three, Diggs is the first read. Pass number four,


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[Assistant] We fake it to digs and throw a screen to somebody else, right? I mean, no, it was, it actually felt like they came out and were like, no, we're going to give Gabe Davis the number one read play and you know, Shakira will get a play and, and it all seemed to work the right way. Uh, spreading it around to where defense can't just hone in on digs and stop Alan Magic.


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[Assistant] And, you know, I think they found a little semblance of a short passing game like we talked about. I think it's too late for them to become a real good running team, but maybe they can do like we talked about with Joe Burrow and the Bengals, where they can carve you up short pass game, and then Josh will find a few plays every game to throw a bomb or a laser down the field.


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[Assistant] We gotta start putting some of these guys in the middle in the same capacity. Vita Vea is a game wrecker.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen would not have as much time throwing the ball if Vita Vea was in the game, nor would have James Cook ran through some of the holes he ran if Vita Vea was in the game. Some of these D tackles are, we undervalue their importance to a football game there. That was a big one. Not on this podcast.


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[Assistant] You're right, when the big butts are out, we need to note that. People need to talk about that.


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[Assistant] Yeah. You think it'll happen? I definitely do. I think the Raiders are in a big bind on their defensive side versus your offense. You've heard me say the Raiders don't have enough difference makers up front.


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[Assistant] So I worry about them being able to stop the run, and then, okay, now we're gonna load up on the run, and I would think Jared Goff and company have a field day throwing the ball too, right? Now the only thing I'll say that's a little scary for you guys, where I just go give the Raiders a hope, Jimmy Garoppolo's playing, you guys don't play a ton of man to man, like we've been talking about and all that,


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[Assistant] And that's where McDaniels, Garoppolo, Devontae Adams pick you apart for 7 and 8 and 10 and 12. I can see them moving the ball on you guys a little bit, but I don't think they're going to be able to keep pace. I think ultimately your Lions win comfortably. Well, we will watch.


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[Assistant] Yeaah. Full slate of games? 23 games it felt like. Full slate of games? Omid was out partying all last night? I mean, he was buying shots at the bar for everybody? No, I was not doing that. I know you're not. I was accepting them.


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[Assistant] I think that would have been the right thing. Like I said, that's hard to do. It is. Uh, but damn, I'm smart. That was a good tweet by me right there. That was good.


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[Assistant] Check it out. See what else he's doing. Check his search history. Check if he's acting accordingly at work, okay? Alright everybody, be good. You know where to find us. Keep sending them the questions. We're gonna start hitting more of the Ask Me Anything stuff on Wednesday. We want to get the listeners more involved, but you know where to find us.


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[Assistant] PG-13 version on Wednesday. What the f*** happened? Our version on Wednesday. Alright, check us out. Keep sending it in. Peace out. Subscribe, rate, review. Ahmed, thanks for driving the ship. As always, clap it up.


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what up homies, thanks for watching. Remember, subscribe to Chris Sims on Button.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but who the Dolphins beat? I mean, yeah, they're good, but they're beating up on, you know, these bad teams in the NFL.


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[Assistant] And I was going to make a comment about saying podcast and I screwed up picks before I could make a comment about saying podcast, which is a different kind of show, one of which Chris would be. I'd be the star of that one. I'd be good at that one.


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[Assistant] Here it is, Chris Simpson's Unbuttoned PFTPM Joint Megapix Podcast. I'm fighting through the COVID.


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[Assistant] The COVID finally got me after three and a half years. Right. The over under was three and a half. See? And it hit right on three and a half.


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[Assistant] My wife watched PFT live today when I came downstairs with my mask on trying not to infect her, although I've already exposed her to it. She's just trying to be as careful as she can. She said, it sure sounds like you got it at Chris's house on Saturday night. Listen to what he had to say. I think you got it from him on Saturday.


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[Assistant] Well, our big concern continues to be her parents because they had it a couple years ago. My father-in-law had a rough time with it hospitalized twice, so we're gonna make sure they're tested and tested and if...


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[Assistant] Anything happens, we'll make sure that he gets all the proper care that he needs. I'm told that the first two years.


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[Assistant] Much more problematic than what the virus has become the last year and a half. Hopefully that's true. Hopefully that holds. There are still a lot of people who get hospitalized and die from it, but not like it was at first. So, with that happy news, we get into, I might have gotten it from the duck that bit me. Maybe, maybe it's duck born.


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[Assistant] And your duck that bit me gave it to me. Maybe that's right.


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[Assistant] God, I completely screwed that up. We're even straight up last week at 10 and 6. I was going for 11 and 5 and you would have been 9 and 7. That didn't work and it would have extended my lead to 3 games straight up. Against the spread, I beat you by 2 games. I don't pay as much attention to the spreads.


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[Assistant] And how the spreads affect the outcome as we go through the week. I just look at the final scores and I want to be right in the straight up picks.


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[Assistant] Best bets you were two in one, I was one in two, that sucks. So far...


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[Assistant] Narrow edge do I hold in two of the categories, and we are even in best bets, which are not our best bets. They're not very good. Four and five, not good at all. That's where we are so far. And you can play along with us every week this season. DraftKings has set up the free $1,000 Florio and Sims Pick'em Pulls.


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[Assistant] Pick every game against the spread for a chance at a $1000 prize pool every week.


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[Assistant] Just like us, you've got to enter all your picks before kickoff of the Thursday night game and all odds are provided by DraftKings Sportsbook. As we go through these games, one at a time, we begin with the most compelling


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[Assistant] I got 2320, but not the Lions. I got the Packers winning this one.


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[Assistant] And I heard his voice on the phone after they came back and beat the Saints.


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[Assistant] He really does want to shut up all the doubters and the haters and this is his chance with a prime time audience watching him play against the Lions team that the organization would very much like to beat


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[Assistant] After the Lions came into Lambeau Field and knocked them out of the playoffs last year, this one could go either way. I agree, it's not a best bet for me, but I will take the Packers.


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[Assistant] The Jaguars hosting the Falcons. The Jaguars playing consecutive games, two in a row, in London.


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[Assistant] Hosting the Falcons, then visiting, air quotes, visiting the Buffalo Bills. The Jaguars are three point favorites. Over Under is 43. Who do you like? Well,


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[Assistant] Last year it was the loss to the Broncos in London that provided the wake up call for Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars. So I'm a little nervous about this one because I feel like maybe it's going to be the same thing. They're going to lose one or two of these games in London and the wake up call comes after. But I think last week's embarrassment


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[Assistant] At home to the Texans, the lowly dysfunctional Texans, to lose by 20 to them.


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[Assistant] To never really creating the sense that they were in it. Now they made it close before the long touchdown return on the kickoff by Andrew Beck.


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[Assistant] But it still never felt like the Jaguars were gonna erase that deficit and win that game, and they ultimately lose by 20. So that was the wake-up call. I don't know what they're gonna do with the Bills next week, but I know for now they beat the Falcons, and I'll go 24-20, so we both have the Jaguars winning.


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[Assistant] We both had the Jaguars covering the game from London that starts Sunday morning. Next up!


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[Assistant] What I'm gonna do, and I agree with you and everything that you're saying, and this is a big game and it feels like...


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[Assistant] They're destined to meet a third time this year, just like last year. Yeah. One way or the other, however, it shakes out if they both get into the playoffs. And remember,


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[Assistant] AFC East, given that very difficult schedule, it may be that only one team gets in, but if they both get in, I just feel like they're going to find a way to play each other to settle this the third time. So the Bills, in my mind, win the one in Buffalo. The Dolphins win the one in Miami and to be determined as to what happens in the postseason. So I'm going to give the Bills this one. This is a close one.


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[Assistant] I don't have a strong feeling about it, it's not gonna be a best bet.


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[Assistant] And I'm also gonna thread the needle here. I'm going 24-23 bills. So dolphins cover, bills win. I think it will be close, and I think it could be within that two and a half point window. I know I'm really cutting it tight, but I'm also hedging in the event that the dolphins win outright. I'll at least get half a loaf.


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[Assistant] I just don't, I don't pay attention to it. Once we make the picks, I just ignore it until the next week. I'll look and see how our straight up picks did, but I never go back and tabulate, oh, how did we do against the spread?


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[Assistant] It's kind of a surprise for me on Thursday and today it was a pleasant surprise because I was eight and eight and you were six and ten. Suck it! Alright, Vikings at the Panthers. Vikings four and a half point favorites. Vikings haven't started 0-5 since 1962 and if they lose this one they'll be 0-4.


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[Assistant] And a home loss against the Chiefs away from matching their worst start ever.


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[Assistant] Panthers at home, 45.5 over, under, and according to DraftKings, 83% of the handle is on Minnesota. Chris, are we going to be blowing the horn finally, even though I'm probably going to be here because of the COVID that you gave me? Are we going to be blowing the horn for a Vikings victory on Sunday?


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[Assistant] By dropping the ball repeatedly. I, I think that this is one the Vikings know they need. They are desperate. Now, would I be surprised if they pissed down their leg? I would not be surprised because there's something dysfunctional happening between Kirk Cousins and Kevin O'Connell. That tick, tick, tick, tick, tick. First and goal from the five.


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[Assistant] Cousins isn't willing to go up and spike the ball. He's trying to listen to O'Connell. Why does he need O'Connell to tell him go up and spike the frickin' ball and we get three cracks at the end zone? It just felt rushed. It felt awkward. It felt stupid.


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[Assistant] And I just wonder what's up with those two, but still I'll go 27 17 Vikings getting to one and three before they fall to one and four losing at home next weekend to the Kansas city chief. So the Vikings at least get their win and we'll see where they go from there. Next up.


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[Assistant] Another game featuring a pair of winless 0-3 teams. The Denver Broncos going to shot Peyton's hometown of Chicago to take on the Bears. Another over-under of 45.5. The Broncos 3.5 point favorites. And again, DraftKings has 83% of the handle on Denver.


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[Assistant] Peyton spoke yesterday about how important it is for them to just get a win, but he understands it's important for the Bears as well. Both were embarrassed last week. Who gets the win in this one?


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[Assistant] He and the coaching staff and the players got from people they know via text message and


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[Assistant] You know, he's being pragmatic. That's what we said on Monday. You just gotta be pragmatic. You lost a game. That's it.


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[Assistant] Another game is coming. You gotta do what you can to try to win that one and get that win and get on the board. And for the Bears, it'll be three and 18 for Matt Eberfluss, who I think is moving dangerously toward the, the time to move on.


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[Assistant] They, they, they blew a chance to beat the Colts. And the Browns were just dominant last week. You can tell where I'm leaning, Chris. Where are you going? Well, go ahead. Finish it off then. Go ahead. You give me your, your synopsis. Let's hear it.


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[Assistant] They should have won the Monday night game in Pittsburgh, but


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[Assistant] It was one of those nights in Pittsburgh. It was just one of those games in Pittsburgh. It was a pasta and meatballs game. It was a terrible towel game. It was, they played renegade and it sparked the touchdown in the fourth quarter that allowed the Steelers to overcome a deficit even though they gained a minus seven yards in the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] The Browns should have won that game. They gave the Steelers 14 points.


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[Assistant] The offense was better last week, even without Nick Chubb. Deshaun Watson is moving toward being the guy that he was. The defense is amazing. They're gonna swarm.


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[Assistant] They're gonna harass, and they're gonna slow down the Ravens offense, and I think the Browns are gonna win this one. I've got a score of 21 to 17, so I like the Browns to win. I like the Browns to cover barely 21-17 Cleveland.


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[Assistant] So you've got the Ravens with the slim cover, thread the needle there because the Browns are three point favorites. Should be a great game though. Old school, grinded out. One thing to keep an eye on though, Deshaun Watson limited yesterday with a shoulder injury, right shoulder, throwing shoulder. Other than that, you know, it's,


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[Assistant] We don't have very complete injury information for Sunday games because we've got one day of injury reports to go on and all we know is whether or not a guy practiced, but limited for Watson with a right shoulder injury. So that is definitely something to watch. Steelers!


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[Assistant] With some travel issues coming home from Las Vegas. It took them about seven, eight, nine hours longer than it was supposed to. They get back to Pittsburgh. Now they go to Houston where the Steelers are two and a half point favorites over under a 42.5. The Steelers a surprising two and one.


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[Assistant] They look pretty good on Sunday night against the Raiders before they allowed the Raiders to get back into it and make it interesting. Do they get another win to run the winning streak, uh, streak to three and to keep the Texans from building the momentum that they found last week with a 20 point win over Jacksonville?


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[Assistant] I got 26-20 and I agree with you. It's a grinded out game for the Steelers. It's one of those where they'll make a play at the right time. But Stroud has been great. Whoever was trying to get him.


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[Assistant] In the hopes that they would fall. The ultimate Machiavellian example of football personnel evaluation and manipulation. We want a guy so badly we're willing to spread a bunch of crap about him. Which is what someone was doing. The Texans to their credit.


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[Assistant] We're not deterred by it at all, but still, I think the Steelers just kind of have that. They've got that vibe right now.


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[Assistant] Carol Rosenblum owned the Colts. They traded the franchises 51 years ago. They get together in Indianapolis. Rams are one point favorites. Colts surprisingly two in one. Gardner Minshew getting it done with Anthony Richardson can cuss, although Richardson was back fully participating in practice on Wednesday. Looks like he'll be good to go.


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[Assistant] Can the cults get to three and one? Something no one would have expected, Chris. Yeaah.


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[Assistant] I've got the Colts 20-17. I think that the Monday night game, Matthew Stafford got banged around so much, we're gonna start to see the deterioration of his play relative to how great it was in the first two weeks of the season.


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[Assistant] On fourth and five with six oh nine to play. I really do think at some level, Sean McVay just didn't want the final score to look that bad. He doesn't want to have a bunch of demoralizing final scores. It's just a weird vibe right now for the LA Rams. And I think the Colts, you know, at home, you've got the Rams coming off the short week.


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[Assistant] After playing the Bengals, guys getting banged around.


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[Assistant] I feel like the Colts can pull it off with Richardson or Gardner-Minshew. I assume it's going to be Richardson, but I just think the Colts can pull it off. Twenty to seventeen, Colts win the game and the Rams fall to one and three after getting that week one unlikely win over the Seattle Seahawks to start the season. Buccaneers at the Saints.


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[Assistant] Derek Carr or Jameis Winston will be the quarterback on Sunday. Now, people expect Derek Carr to miss time with that shoulder injury he suffered when he crashed into the Lambeau Field unfrozen tundra on Sunday. If it's not him, it will be Jameis Winston. The Saints are three point favorites either way with an over-under of 40.5.


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[Assistant] This was a great game, a great matchup when it was Tom Brady on the Buccaneers. This is the first time post Tom Brady they get together. Who do you think wins it?


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[Assistant] Good, good, because we needed a disagreement. We hadn't disagreed on any of the Sunday games. I just think the Buccaneers win this one. This is pasta and meatballs territory. Baker Mayfield has been gritty and tough. They


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[Assistant] They got outclassed by the Eagles on Sunday or on Monday night, excuse me, but they did win their first two games of the season.


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[Assistant] I don't have a whole lot of faith in Jameis Winston if Derek Carr doesn't play. I'm making the bet that Carr's not gonna play and it's gonna be Winston. And it's just gonna be too much for the Saints, even with Alvin Camaro back. 27-23, the Buccaneers get it rolling, Mike Evans motivated to


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[Assistant] Show that he can get it done even against Marshawn Latimore who has constantly bedeviled him and frustrated him.


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[Assistant] Evans just seems to be operating on a higher level. He had that great catch on Monday night. He was the shining spot in that offense. Give me the bucks to win. Commanders and Eagles!


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[Assistant] It looks like it should be a good game when you see commanders 2 and 1, eagles 3 and 0.


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[Assistant] But the Eagles are 8 point favorites and that doesn't feel like enough. 43 and a half over under. Who do you have in this one? I think you can tell.


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[Assistant] And the Eagles defense is better than the Buffalo defense. So give me the Eagles 31 to 10. Last game in the one o'clock window. Bengals at the Titans. Cincinnati two and a half point favorite. Joe Burrow questions about whether or not he will be good to go. He played on Monday night. Seemed to not aggravate the calf injury. The Titans look like shit.


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[Assistant] Against the Cleveland Browns, 27-3 loss that stunned, I think, both of us. Do the Titans find a way?


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[Assistant] To beat the Bengals or do the Bengals get their second win of the season?


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[Assistant] You're threading the needle. I'm not going to thread the needle. I'll go Bengals 24-21. And I'm not sure the Titans can even score 21 points against the Cincinnati defense. I'm just trying to be nice. Uh, Joe Burrow did fully participate in practice yesterday. So the calf, better than it was last week, came out of that Monday night game.


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[Assistant] In a position where he's tracking in the right direction for that thing to begin and continue its healing process. So I feel even better about this. Bengals, what did I say?


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[Assistant] Alright, next, we're gonna take a break. We're gonna do the four o'clock game. I'm sorry, my COVID is catching up to me. We're gonna do the four o'clock game. When this joint edition of Chris Simms Unbuttoned at PFTPM, Megapix Podcast continues right after this.


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[Assistant] DraftKings Sportsbook is an official sports betting partner of the NFL and new customers can bet $5 and get $200 in bonus bets instantly. Download the app and use promo code PFTLIVE when you sign up. DraftKings Sportsbook The Crown is yours. 4 o'clock games.


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[Assistant] Raiders at the Chargers. Raiders looking not good of late. Chargers getting the win in Minnesota, but losing Mike Williams for the season. More opportunities for Quentin Johnson, their first round picket receiver. Chargers five and a half point favorites over under a 48.5. Chris, who do you got? Yeah, I mean, you know,


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[Assistant] I'll go charges 30 to 20. We don't know if Jimmy Garoppolo is going to play. He's in the concussion protocol and did not practice on Wednesday. That doesn't mean he won't be cleared by Sunday. That definitely throws a curve ball into what the Raiders offense will do.


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[Assistant] The Raiders just haven't looked good and I think their, their bad luck continues in 2023 with a loss to the Chargers. I have them losing by 1030 to 20. Alright, next up.


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[Assistant] This is the big late afternoon game. The New England Patriots going to Dallas to take on the Cowboys, bringing Ezekiel Elliott with them. The Cowboys are nearly a touchdown favorite at 6.5 points over under of 43. Patriots got the win, their first win of the season against the Jets.


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[Assistant] If the Cowboys had won last week in Arizona, I would think the Patriots would win this game. And it would be if the Patriots didn't lose still within the spread. I think the Cowboys got their wake up call. And I think the Cowboys will take care of business here. I've got 28-20 as the final score.


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[Assistant] And it could be worse than that. I'm showing the Patriots some respect here. I just feel like the Cowboys will...


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[Assistant] Well, we'll be in a better position to deploy their formula, you know, get an early score.


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[Assistant] Make it hard for the Patriots to get back into the game and then maybe get another score and then the Patriots are just chasing them all game long and never can quite get there.


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[Assistant] I just feel like after what happened last week, that embarrassment of the Cowboys by the Cardinals is just going to be enough to get them focused and then they'll build up again. They'll build up again and everybody will say how great they are and they'll see how great they are and they'll think they're greater than they are and then they'll fall up again like they did against the Cardinals. Dak Prescott basically acknowledged that.


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[Assistant] That, that we put them on a pedestal, we as the media, and they see that and they believe it, and then they call up again. Anyway, that's that one. 2820 for me.


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[Assistant] Cowboys over the Patriots. The last game in the 4 o'clock window. Cardinals at the 49ers. Cardinals facing a team that has gotten some extra rest after the Thursday night thrashing of the Giants. Only double digit spread of the week. 49ers, 14 point favorites over the Cardinals. How about some respect for the Cardinals? Sportsbooks? Over under a 44.


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[Assistant] I assume you're gonna pick the 49ers to win. I am. You're gonna pick the Cardinals to cover.


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[Assistant] I got 30 to 17. The 49ers have scored 30 points in each of their three games. Why not make it four for four? 30 to 17, Cardinals come up. Gosh, damn. And the 49ers, the 49ers kinda...


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[Assistant] I think ease off a bit because they wanna be ready to go the following week when it's a showdown on Sunday Night Football with the Dallas Cowboys. So I think that they're gonna call off the dogs late in the game, although Kyle Shanahan, very nervous about the possibility of


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[Assistant] Of having happened to the 49ers is what happened to them that, that week one game a couple of years ago in Detroit where the Lions almost came back after the 49ers called off the dogs. There's reason to rest your guys because you got a big game coming against the Cowboys. Alright, we're gonna take a break. Prime time games!


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[Assistant] The Jets. Dysfunctional Jets. Have Patrick Holmes and Taylor Swift coming to town. We'll get you ready for that one with our picks and the rest of the games.


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[Assistant] There's only one Monday night game this week, so it's only one other game. So it's a Sunday night and a Monday night game for a change. We'll do those next year on PFT.


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[Assistant] You gave me COVID. You wait till I come up there and let you bang your large fist repeatedly into my head.


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[Assistant] Ninety-five percent of the handle is on Kansas City. Why don't they change the spread? If that many people are betting on the Chiefs, there are going to be a lot of Jets fans working at the DraftKings Sportsbook this weekend. Chris?


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[Assistant] Surely you're gonna pick the Chiefs to win, or you're gonna pick the Chiefs to cover. Yeaah, I mean yeaah.


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[Assistant] So, Chief's covering barely. Look, the Jets aren't horrible, and maybe they muster something. I don't know, maybe Aaron Rodgers shows up and goes into the locker room and starts throwing stuff around it. I don't know.


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[Assistant] I just think the Chiefs are too good. They're not going to piss down their leg after losing in prime time opening night.


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[Assistant] They're too good. That, that game against the Bears, they embarrassed the Bears. Uh, and uh, they're not gonna necessarily embarrass the Jets, but they win, they cover 31-21, and uh, the Chiefs keep rolling and the Jets get ready to try to go beat the Broncos the following weekend. Alright, last game of the week!


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[Assistant] The Seahawks at the Giants. Giants getting extra, extra rest. That happens a few times already this year where you play Thursday and you play the following Monday. That is an extra little bump. Giants will be ready. They need a win. They're one point favorites against a very good Seahawks team.


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[Assistant] I got 2420. Same reasoning. Seahawks rolling, clicking, working a little bit better. The Giants just kind of seemed lost against the 49ers. And look, watch, they'll turn around and win the game. I mean, it is a prime time game at home, but I just feel like


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[Assistant] You know, you see teams that get off to a great start. It's happening to the Vikings. You see the correction. Great start with a new coach, new regime, get to the playoffs, and the backslide comes the next year. And we're seeing the backslide from the Giants, and I think it continues on Monday night. Alright, that's it for...


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[Assistant] The games, we're gonna take a break when we come back to Chris Simms on Button DFTPM. We'll give you the best bets on our Folsom Prison Blues pick. We'll do that next.


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[Assistant] Chris Sims on Button, PFTPM, Joint Megapix Podcast. We have two disagreements straight up, but six disagreements against the spread. We actually have time in the final segment. Usually we don't leave much time because Pete doesn't tell us to shut up. It's always his fault, not ours, for talking too much.


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[Assistant] I'm talking too much and eating into the time we have left. Best bet's time. Chris, give me one.


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[Assistant] I got the Eagles as well. It reminds me of the years where it feels like a slot machine and we're landing on the same square. Give me the Eagles. I'm going back to my habit of taking


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[Assistant] Fairly significant home favorites, and I think the Eagles are better than 8 points, better than the Commander.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go with the Chargers giving only five and a half to the Raiders. Look, the Raiders to me are quietly becoming a hot mess. The Devonte Adams comments this week, Jimmy Garoppolo may not play. It just feels like they can't get anything going. They've got the Chandler Jones thing hovering over them.


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[Assistant] I think the Chargers should be able to win this game by more than five and a half points even as Raiders fans in Southern California presumably take over SoFi Stadium. Alright, one more, what do you got?


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[Assistant] Too much dysfunction with the Jets this week and it shows up. One loss becomes two. Two losses become three. They won't turn it around until next week in Denver. If then, I'm with you on the Chiefs. Alright, our Folsom Prison Blues pick. We never have time to explain what this is. It speaks to a great scene in the film Walk the Line where


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[Assistant] Producer says to Johnny Cash, I want to hear the one song you would play if you were laying, dying in the gutter. The one song. So who's the one team?


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[Assistant] I'll take the 49ers. They'll be on high alert for what the Cardinals could potentially do and they're rested and they're just one of the best teams in all of football.


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[Assistant] That's it! Enjoy the games! We'll see you Friday for a new edition of PFT Live.


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[Assistant] I'm into it. I feed off of people. I like, you know, and, and I get a loud mouth. And when I'm at work, I just, I don't know, it's like one of those things where as I get out of the car, I'm like, all right, it's go time. Here we go. Right. And, and uh, yeah, I have a passion for this. I like working with you.


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[Assistant] Uh, I'm a big idiot from northern New Jersey. So like I always say, it all, it all works well that way. But yeah, you're not going to match my energy. Are you kidding me? That's why most of my friends like forever have gone, it's a good thing you've never tried cocaine Chris or done any of that in your life. You don't need it. And I'm like, yeah, you're probably right. I don't need it.


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[Assistant] No, we don't know. We're taping. Yes. This is from last week. Yep. This is from last week. That's why we're wearing the same clothes we were on the Wednesday pod. I've gotten a haircut, actually. Damn, you're good.


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[Assistant] I should be hopefully interviewing Patrick Mahomes around this time in Kansas City and, uh, kinda just waiting to hear exact timing and when this is all gonna go down. But I'm looking, uh, of course, you know, very much looking forward to this. I've met Mahomes a few times, right? Mahomes is...


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[Assistant] One of my big jump-offs of my career, right? He knows that. He knows, he's very aware that I was always like, hey, this guy right here, and you know. So, uh, I'm hoping to have a good bonding experience with him and talk about some ball and talk about quarterbacking a little.


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[Assistant] And I'm going to also like to add to you too, I'm going to be like, Hey man, kick the shit out of the lions for don't let Omid Farid have any hope this year.


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[Assistant] We've been saying this all year, right? I mean, we talked about it. There's, okay, we can cancel out the Houston Texans.


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[Assistant] The Raiders, I'm a little bit like, ehh, they have maybe the longest shot of all, in my opinion. But it's not like crazy. I don't look at them and go, oh, they're about to be 3 and 14 or nothing like that.


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[Assistant] No! I mean, we said a month ago, right? We were kinda talking about, like, there's gonna be a team that doesn't make the playoffs this year that we're gonna be in December going, they could win the Super Bowl, and they're not gonna make the freakin' playoffs. That's how good the AFC is. That's what's crazy. Right? This could be a year where...


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[Assistant] The number six seed goes to the Super Bowl, right? Just because, oh, the number one seed was only a game or two better than them.


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[Assistant] Right? It could be. We could be all jumbled up and it's just about timing and health and who kind of hits their stride at the important part of the season. So in a conference that is stacked.


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[Assistant] I definitely do. Yeah, because, you know, one...


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[Assistant] You know, like you said, the, the Patriots, alright, where we all look at them as the bottom team, there's still a lot of positives about their football team. And like we said, the last pod coaching and all that and game plans. And then, yeah, the Jets, the worst team in the division last year. I mean, come on, they got Aaron Rodgers and, you know,


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[Assistant] What we just said the other day, they're gonna, you know, definitely the top two rosters in this division, I think. I mean, them and the Dolphins, them and the Dolphins of the, so, yeaah, this, this is, there's, this is gonna be settled on the field here.


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[Assistant] The Bills, you know my thoughts on their quarterback. He's a Hall of Fame talent. He's a superstar. He's one of the best in the game.


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[Assistant] We've talked a million times about is there enough blue chip, cream of the crop players on the roster. I still say no. Right? We talk about all the time. Is there too much on Josh Allen's shoulders? Of course there is. I mean, I know.


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[Assistant] I know whether it was talking to people who played the Bills or talking to people who played on the Bills, they say they knew they are not going to win games unless Josh Allen is a baller and carries the team.


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[Assistant] So that's where I get scared of the Bills. I get scared of the Bills that, you know, it's, they miss their window already. That they haven't turned over the team quite enough.


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[Assistant] And are still holding on to, wait, that team, we went to the AFC Championship game three years ago, right? I get worried about that, you know? So, and then, did they do something, anybody, new players, to bring in a freshness, a new vibe to the football team, any of that?


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[Assistant] I-I worry about that. I do. So, like, I guess what I'm- Sorry. Yeah, go ahead. Having said that- Yeah.


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[Assistant] You know, I haven't been in love with the way they looked in neither preseason game. I haven't, yea. You know, I, I uhm...


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[Assistant] The middle linebacker, you know, having no Tremaine Edmonds. You know, Von Miller might not have him early on in the year.


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[Assistant] You hear me talk about all the time, do they got, you know, studs who can make a play in a clutch situation to help them win those games? You know, Jordan Poyer, a year older, Michael Hyde, a year older. What's Trudevius White gonna look like? Cause it was not good when he came back last year.


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[Assistant] Kazir White, is, is he gonna start? Are they gonna start somebody else? I don't know. I mean, I mean, uh, yea, Kazir White, right. No, not Kazir White, uh, uh, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um, um,


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[Assistant] But I don't, I'm gonna go like 10. I'm thinking 10 and 7 for the, the Buffalo Bills. Now, the thing I do, I will say. Starts off with a shock. I know. Trust me, it shocked me too. Now, like early on,


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[Assistant] You know, the schedule isn't horrible. They could catch the Jets in week one. Like, still figuring themselves out, right? I don't think they're as good as the Jets on paper. Of course I don't.


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[Assistant] You know, but I think if like, the Jets and Rodgers are kinda like, got their stuff together on the offensive line and the offensive side of the ball, like, yeah, I think the Jets can, they'll beat the Bills. You know, the Raiders, okay, they're better than them. The Commanders,


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[Assistant] As we said during the NFC breakdown, they're good. They got a lot of things on their roster that will give the Bills problems. But they might still be finding themselves too early on in the season.


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[Assistant] So, you know, that's, that's where they could, they could catch some breaks early on in the year where they get, you know, two of their first three games or teams are kind of still figuring out how they want to play football. But the schedule is brutal, you know, and again, I'm not into the rest of the late season schedule and all that, but like, here's one that I will throw in that I am into this one because like other than the bucks in week eight, right?


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[Assistant] I don't care about what any of these other teams are. Like, they're gonna have to have significant injuries. There's too much talent on these teams from week 9 to 18 and the coaching is good enough to where I go, even if they're not as good as we think they are, they're not, they're gonna be tough games to win. Regardless, right?


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go under. Wow. You know, I'm picking them to be in the playoffs. I'm gonna do that. I'm gonna say that.


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[Assistant] But here's like the last piece of the thing too, cause I wrote in my notes, like...


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[Assistant] Now again, I know injuries are really part of it, but you go to week 11 on.


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[Assistant] And I have no problem saying this, you know, I don't like the, but week 11 on where it's the Jets and then the Eagles and then the Chiefs and the Cowboys and the Chargers and the Patriots and the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] They are the lesser team in the field. No doubt about it. If teams are relatively healthy,


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[Assistant] Denying that. I only worry about one thing. And that's there. I mean, they might have the first, the toughest first eight games in football.


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[Assistant] That's the real problem. For a team where, wait, Dwayne Brown just got off the Pup, we'd like Makai Bekton to be the right tackle, but it's an adjustment. Aaron Rodgers is still getting used to Jett's life and some of the new weapons and all of that. I mean, you see that schedule right there, right Amon?


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[Assistant] That's kind of insane. That's, that is kind of insane. It really is. That's, I would put that up there with anybody in football for the first nine weeks. Right? So, you know, this is where, this is crazy, right?


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[Assistant] This, I mean, they're, they're kinda right in my range, we're at nine and a half.


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[Assistant] Oh, is he listening? From the top step. I'm gonna like, I am, if you're gonna, I'm, I'm gonna go under. Yeah. He did that. I'm gonna go under. Once he found out you were up there, he went under. The hell with these Jets fans.


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[Assistant] But, I'm gonna go under. Now, I just wanna, like, I just wanna qualify again here a little bit.


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[Assistant] I certainly think they could be a 9-8 playoff football team and then be like dangerous as hell in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] You know, I could be, I wouldn't be shocked if we saw, hmmm, they look okay, and they're, oh, they have moments here and there, a little like the seven and five Tom Brady bucks did the year he went there, and then they ran the table at the end of the year, and then we went, hmmm, they went on the playoffs kind of hot, and then we went, hmmm, damn.


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[Assistant] They kind of match up against every team in football. In fact, now the offense guy going, are they the best team in football? Holy crap. Like I wouldn't be shocked if all those things happened with the jets to a degree, right?


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[Assistant] So, you know, I'm, I'm going to pick under, I don't think it's going to be 6 and 11, 6 and 11 or anything like that. I just, if you made me bet it's going to be 9 and 8 or 10 and 7 and I'm going to go with


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[Assistant] That I, I would not be shocked if we got into week 16 and like you just said, there's 10 teams still in the playoff hunt and nobody's really separated them. I could see that being this kind of the year in the AFC.


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[Assistant] They, I mean, you said, we know, I have them as a top five roster in football. You did too, right? You had a number five, right? I had them three maybe.


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[Assistant] So, they're extremely talented. It's another year in the system, right? You know, two is health. We know that's a real big part of this whole conversation, but if he stays healthy, I mean, you know, watch out. I mean, they're gonna be dangerous. Here's my only trepidation with them. I'm picking over here, alright? I'm picking over. I just, they're too damn good.


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[Assistant] But here's my one thing that makes me want to pump the brakes just a little. That...


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[Assistant] They play some good, smart defenses early. That's my only thing there, right?


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[Assistant] Those two teams had answers for them last year. Remember the Chargers? They beat them on the Sunday night football game and the Dolphins couldn't quite figure it out, right? We know the Patriots. The Broncos are going to have a good D. The Bills have seen this offense a little bit and they're pretty smart on that side of the ball. The Giants and Wink Martindale, right?


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[Assistant] So even though I think they're more talented than all those teams there, that's just the one thing that scares me. That they get some like, whoa, wait, nobody's ever did this to us and it's early in the year and you're still trying to figure out like, wait, teams are doing this to us. That would be my only thing, but I still think they're too damn good and I'm going to take the over here.


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[Assistant] It's part of the calculation. It's a big part of it. That plays into the other question of the offensive line and does that take another step forward? Right.


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[Assistant] Not totally healthy left tackle. You know, we hit, I think last week we talked to Austin Jackson. He's got to come through as a first rounder and be a good right tackle.


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[Assistant] You know, some of their interior guys, Lee Eichenberg, he's got to make the next step in his early young career to become better. You know, so, and that of course plays into can they run the ball and protect too, uh, and you know, play the right way to where he doesn't have to expose himself too much.


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[Assistant] Again, early season schedule. I mean, the first half is tough. It is tough. Eagles, Dolphins, Jets, Cowboys. So three of our top five, four of my top five rosters, they're playing.


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[Assistant] That's crazy. I don't want to take the over though.


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[Assistant] I do. I mean, I'm taking the over. I am. Now, again, this is one, again, where, like, well, I'll qualify with the other ones and how I didn't do it with the Dolphins. I don't think it's going to be significantly over. This is one where, yeah, I'm going to go over too, but like, here's what I like about the Patriots. The offense is going to be better. We know that. We know that.


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[Assistant] The defense was a top 10 defense even with that shitty offense last year. I think their defense has a chance to be really, really damn good. I do. I think they're a little better than people are giving them credit for. And I'm going to take the over as well. Again, I don't know if that translates to playoffs.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, 6 and 11? I don't see that. Alright? I guess, my long story short is like, the floor to me is 7 and 10. That's kinda how I look at it. Or the absolute worst floor is 6 and 11, and I'm just betting that not gonna happen.


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[Assistant] Too many people I know connected with the situation, life and football, where


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[Assistant] It's one, two more years. I don't think he's gonna hang around just to beat Don Shula's record, right? I think he'd like to beat it, but if it doesn't happen, okay, he's gonna hold up his six Super Bowl rings and go, well, I beat you in this department, right? Uhm, but yeaah, I think we're, we're definitely


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[Assistant] Down to the last year or two of the Bill Belichick era in New England.


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[Assistant] The bangles are good. They're damn good. Like...


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[Assistant] I don't, again, they were, without the quarterbacks and our roster breakdown and all that, they were in the running for a top five roster in football, right? You know, I'd like to see the O-line get a little bit better, right? They got some guys in the secondary, a little unproven, so I'd like to see that there.


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[Assistant] No, but you're right, a hundred percent it did. And you would think with that talent and the group they have there that it will continue to get better.


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[Assistant] I look at those early season schedule in the first six weeks, I go, you know, they're clearly, they're, they're better than four out of the six teams for sure. You know, the Ravens in week two, we know that'll be tough. The Seahawks in week six.


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[Assistant] They get a lot of talent too, but it's at home. So I give them the edge there. I feel like if it was Joe Burrow was a hundred percent healthy and going in training camp, I'd be going, they're going to start five and one.


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[Assistant] Right? They're gonna start, you know, no worse than, it'll be tough for them to start four and two. Somebody's gonna have to do something miraculous to make that happen.


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[Assistant] The burrow injury is what really is annoying me, right? Cause I'm, I worry a little bit like last year. He missed training camp and the first few weeks of the year he's trying to get his feel back and timing and rhythm and all that. And they started 0-2 last year. Five interceptions week one versus the Steelers. Right, right. It gets the Steelers. Exactly right.


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[Assistant] I'm still gonna go over. I'm just, just barely.


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[Assistant] But I'm gonna go, you know, 11 and 6. That's the, you know, 11 and 6, 12 and 5-ish right there. I don't know. I just feel like 10 and 7 is just a few too many losses for that football team. And even with this and the Joe Burrow thing, I'm just, I'm gonna bet, I'm gonna bet with him, uh, cause I just don't feel comfortable betting against him.


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[Assistant] Perhaps a little bit. You draft Zay Flowers, and then everybody starts gushing about, oh my gosh, Zay Flowers is a human joystick, and there's 9 million videos of him breaking ankles all summer, and then you saw what he did on Monday night.


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[Assistant] I'm just tellin' you, Zay Flowers is gonna be the best receiver of the group. I mean, I don't know. I mean, if that didn't look like a Jalen Waddle, Tyreek Hill type of guy the other night, then I don't know, you gotta get your eyes checked.


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[Assistant] It's insane. 10 and a half. They're, they're like, there is, I'm gonna go over here too!


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[Assistant] Barely! But yeaah, I'm a believer on these first two teams, the Bengals and the Ravens. I am!


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[Assistant] Now, with the ravens, what did I write here? I wrote, one of the things I wrote down is the ravens I just wrote other than the bangles in week two.


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[Assistant] They're better than their first eight opponents. They're better. I'm not saying breaking news here.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, they're better than the Texans, the Colts, the Browns, the Steelers, the Titans, and I think your Lions and Cardinals. Yeaah, when you just take it roster for roster, yeaah, I think that. Now we, the offense, what it's gonna look like, all that, sure, Marlon Humphrey, you know, coming back.


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[Assistant] And, you know, we didn't hit this. The AFC North is playing the NFC West and the AFC South, just so everybody has it. Which I think is still...


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[Assistant] Pretty favorable. AFC South, I don't think we're expecting anything big. And we just talked about, you know, the NFC West has got two teams in the 49ers and the Seahawks, but the Rams and the Cardinals are not gonna be good. We picked way under when we picked that one. I'm picking over here. But again, it's jumbled up tight over one here.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna say 11 and 6. Might come down to a tiebreaker and who wins the division between them and the Bengals. So we've got 4 over.


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[Assistant] This is what it is, okay? It really is. It's torture.


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[Assistant] New brand of football, right? It sounds like they want to throw the ball, justify Deshaun Watson's contract. You know, new defense coordinator on that side of the ball. I'm gonna go under here. I am. I don't, you know, they're scary. I know that. And of course if Deshaun Watson is


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[Assistant] You know, back to what he is, he's, he's a game changer. And maybe that'll change some of these things here. But, but the Browns I think are one of those where, you know, like we've said, I gotta see a little bit to believe it. I gotta see what this offense is gonna look like. You know?


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[Assistant] What are they going to do? I just, I have a bad feeling they're going to err on throwing the ball too much just to justify the contract. And then the defense with Schwartz and like we talked about, you know,


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[Assistant] Are there enough difference makers? I just don't know. I, I don't know about that yet either. And they have a pretty tough start, start of their season to where, yeah, I'm not going to just anoint them, right? Like, yeah, the Bengals, week one.


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[Assistant] Pittsburgh week two. That's his even showdown and it's at Pittsburgh. You know? And then, you know, you know I have respect for the Titans and then it's the Ravens and then it's the 49ers. I mean, so there's some things here to where if they're going through growing pains, it's gonna be more pains than growing. Uh, and that's why I'm gonna go under.


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[Assistant] Yep, J. Okay, he's gonna be down there. He's looking good. He added some weight. I know that. Is it Darius? Can he stay healthy? That's gonna be the question there too. But no, no, that's what I mean. I mean, this is tough.


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[Assistant] It really is. I don't know any other way to say it. There's going to be a lot of himing and hawing from me here with some of these guys. The AFC North is like the AFC East. It's like, you sit there and you go, wait, could all four teams go?


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[Assistant] I have no problem going, yeah, they're, they're, they're right, you know, they could beat the Browns at home. They can, the Raiders we just talked about, or we looked at them as one of the lesser teams in the whole conference. And then the Texans as the least team in the whole conference. So.


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[Assistant] You know, there's a team that could build some confidence and kind of get it going there. You know I've loved the way they've looked.


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[Assistant] I don't know what I wanted. To me they're 8 and 9 or 9 and 8, right? That's where they are. Well, if you're, if you're... I'm gonna go 9 and 8. I'm gonna go with the over. I am. I'm going with the over here. So, have I, have I picked...


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[Assistant] Oh my gosh, this is crazy. We might be getting into the part of the math where it goes, actually it doesn't make sense now. Alright, five and three. Okay, good, I'm good.


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[Assistant] Right. And it just, you know, they're one of those teams that I'm going to go by. I know it's preseason, but we hit on it last week where I just said, sometimes the preseason's real and it carries over and what you see. And to me, they've been one of the more impressive teams so far this year and I'm going to, I'm going to ride that wave a little bit. Except they just look terrible in preseason


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[Assistant] Clearly, clearly the class of division, you know, the, the AFC South in general, just for everybody out there, they play the NFC South and the AFC North.


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[Assistant] I look at them too and go, other than the Chiefs in week two, you look at the first four weeks,


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[Assistant] I could really say the first five weeks and I feel comfortable that their roster is better than those teams. And the Bills are one of those teams there. And then they have the Colts in week seven and I, you know, they have them in week one as well. So I could see them getting off to a really good start.


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[Assistant] I can. And then, you know, they hit a lull in the middle of their season there where again, I don't care what happens here, like the 49ers, Titans, there's the Bengals, there's the Ravens in that area, the Browns, they're gonna be tough games no matter what.


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[Assistant] Even if those teams aren't as good as we think they're going to be. But I'm gonna go over here with the Jacksonville Jaguars. I am. I'm gonna take the over. Again, I don't think any of these teams are shattering the overs because it's just too hard in the conference. The fact that they gotta play the AFC North, uh, yeaah, the AFC North, right?


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[Assistant] You know, that's gonna be tough marching through that. Yeaah, they got a favorable NFC South on their own division, but, uh, still.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take the over here. I am, uh, you know, 10 and 7, 11 and 6 maybe.


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[Assistant] Because he's gonna manage the game and have a game plan that's exactly right and they're gonna run the ball and control the clock and not turn the ball over and if you make a mistake all of a sudden you're going damn we feel like we're kinda better than them but we're down by seven with two minutes left in the fourth quarter here.


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[Assistant] Their schedule, like, you know, just looking at that, you know, again, it's got some tough parts. I didn't see, like, one spot where I went, ooh man, there's a stretch there that's like a real brutal stretch. Okay?


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go, but again, I'm feeling like eight and nine type of year. Eight and nine over. But it's right in that range of eight and nine, seven and ten. I think it's right there. I can't...


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[Assistant] I can't say it's going to be too much better than that, but I can't see them being a 5-12, 6-11 football team.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, they got the Texans and the Rams two out of the first four weeks, right? To where you could sit there and go, oh, they, you know, you could certainly make a case. They could be two and two.


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[Assistant] Like, there's parts of me that, uh, you've heard me all off-season, don't sleep on the Colts. Their defense is still good. It is. You know, the offense, and with Anthony Richardson and Shane Steichen coaching, they're gonna put some problems into you. Or, or, and you know, give, give your defense some problems. But, I guess the Jonathan Taylor thing, rookie quarterback, you know,


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[Assistant] You know, as much as I love Gus Bradley and the defense there, you know, we've had some questions about, one, who's somebody else on their D-line other than DeForest Buckner that'll show up, right?


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[Assistant] We've had the injury to the middle linebacker and his health status and Shaq Leonard. There's no Gilmore there.


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[Assistant] You know, their secondary doesn't blow me out of the water anyways. I'm going under. I think it's like a...


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[Assistant] Really tough competitive football team, right? That hangs around in a lot of football games. But, yeaah, I think, I think 6 and 11 is where I see it. 7 and 10 maybe, right? But I guess if you're gonna make me bet, I'm gonna go under here.


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[Assistant] What I worry about is they can look good, look good, look good, and then, hey, he just, he tries to, he's falling backwards and he tries to throw a 40 yard laser up the sideline, right? And it's, oh man, this was a tight


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[Assistant] One score game, and now they're down by two. I just think things like that could happen to them this year. Plus, the old line, the way it played last year, and then the Jonathan Taylor drama, I think has kind of taken some luster off of it.


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[Assistant] Just, I always try to give, you know, both sides of the story. Their own line, if it can get healthier before the start of the season, they could do some things. And then, if...


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[Assistant] If D'Amico, Ryan and company could bring the D and to be respectable, could they maybe win some low scoring, we're gonna run the ball and make the game ugly, maybe early in the year and win a few? Maybe. But I'm going under when it's all said and done. I just, they're just not enough there.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't think they have enough weapons to help out CJ Stroud.


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[Assistant] The run game, I expect it to be good, but because of the lack of weapons and a rookie quarterback and all that stuff, you know, I still think teams are gonna be like, hey, we gotta stop the run. And yeah, I don't think the defense is ready for prime time yet, so I'm going under with the Houston Texans.


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[Assistant] You know, he, this year they made him put on some weight.


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[Assistant] Right? And he had to play and do some things that weren't really conducive to him.


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[Assistant] There's one thing that jumps out. He's definitely slimmer than he was in college. And he has definitely learned how to get off the ball better. And he has popped. And you know me. I'll be the first one to tell you when he starts to kick ass and I was wrong. I don't care. I know I'm not gonna be right about everything.


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[Assistant] Uh, I raised my concerns at the time. We'll see where it goes and see how it develops, but he's looked damn good in both preseason games. Let me just even it out though.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, they could still make it happen. And work that out. That's where I see it. Like I don't know if I see 14 and 3 again. That was, you know, that was a special year.


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[Assistant] Right? You know, the, the AFC West, not only is their division better this year, they play the NSC North, which we know is gonna be a little bit better, and the AFC East, which we talked about, all four teams can go to the damn playoffs.


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[Assistant] But I do look at like, you know, they're the Chiefs. They're gonna hit the ground running early on in the season.


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[Assistant] I do expect that, you know, they have some teams that I look at that I go, I think they're clearly better in that first half of the schedule, let alone I think they're really damn good anyways. I'm going over, but yeah, I don't think it's going to be


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[Assistant] Whoa, okay, Chiefs, Bengals, and Bills are in a different class than everybody else. I think this year, everybody's gonna be in that class. The Chiefs, of course, being towards the top of it, but not, like, by so much that, you know, there's a month left in the season where, like, they got the number one seed locked up. That, that, not, not at all.


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[Assistant] This is, this is where, this, this is, this is where you start to get, you know, in the brutal category of the AFC. Cause you start to go, wait.


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[Assistant] Bills, Jets, Dolphins have really good rosters. And you go, whoa, Bangos and Ravens, man, they got really good rosters and damn but yet the Steelers and Browns are there and they got a lot of good things too.


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[Assistant] And then, whoa, we know the Jaguars, they're going to win the division there. And you start to run out of fingers and you're like, holy shit, wait, seven are taken up because I've now got the Chiefs and what, how does this all shake out? And the Chargers are a team that has a top 10 roster.


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[Assistant] Their early season schedule is very tough. That's, that's the first thing I'll say. I know.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know, we, we, the Dolphins of course is gonna be tough. The Titans at Tennessee, and you're the Chargers and haven't been able to stop the run game, we've made fun of them the last few years, and of course it's Mike Vrabel and, and all of that too. I mean, not easy. Add the Vikings ain't gonna be easy, even though I, I know the Chargers are better than that. I do.


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[Assistant] I'm not gonna go over, I'm sorry. I'm taking it out of the way. I'm gonna go under here. I'm gonna go nine and eight. I don't know why. I just feel, there's just a part of me that...


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[Assistant] Gosh, I like their roster. I get it though. There's just something I don't trust about them. Is there, am I wrong to say that? Am I wrong to feel that? No. I don't know what it is. They're just, I guess it is, like Pete said in my ear, it's the Charger's Mystique, and I think there's something to that that, you know, does make me be a little cautious.


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[Assistant] It might just not happen with this current. They got the talent for it. I know, it seems like they got the talent for it, but there's just something about them that we miss on a week to week basis, whether it's injuries or they mess up some situation or whatever, we've kind of seen it all through two years.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm gonna go under there, but man, that might have been the hardest one to pick of all, as I sit here through the whole AFC. That might be the one that I feel the least confident about.


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[Assistant] And I look at like their first four games, and you look at it and go, other than the Dolphins Week 3, I mean, they're manageable there. I think their roster is better than the Raiders. I think it's better than the Bears. And the Commanders is close, and they got them at home. You know, they got those first two at home.


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[Assistant] I think they're gonna be definitely a better football team. There's no doubt about that. Right?


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[Assistant] I think I'm gonna take the under here though too. I think I'm gonna go, again, this is like, them and the chargers, it's like,


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[Assistant] It's eight wins. You know, they're at eight and a half. I think I look at it and go, yeah, I think they're eight and nine, nine and eight football team. And if I have to assess this whole thing and the AFC West who has to play the AFC East.


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[Assistant] I guess I believe in the AFC East a little bit more than the AFC West in totality, and I'm leaning on them a little bit more here. So I'm gonna go the Broncos with the Under.


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[Assistant] Pick. It could be, and then just with the way the schedule plays out, and again, you know, there's parts of the schedule, hey, where you get to week five there, it's Jets, Chiefs, Packers, Chiefs, Bills.


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[Assistant] Vikings, Browns, that's gonna be for the Broncos and where they are as a football team. That's gonna be a very tough stretch and I think we'll dictate a lot about what we're, or if we're talking about them in December. One more team, the Raiders.


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[Assistant] Josh Jacobs, if he comes back, we know he's awesome, but I like, again, I look at that and go, he's not gonna be totally himself. There's no way. There's just no way. And then, defensively,


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[Assistant] Is there enough there yet, right? I think that's where I look at it, and I think I have to go under here. I know, I don't, there are another one where I don't think like seven and ten or eight and nine is out of the realm here. But, you know, I think between the Jacobs thing, can Garoppolo stay healthy?


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[Assistant] And then I think more than anything, just other than the two pass rushers, and we haven't seen Tyree Wilson yet because he's still dealing with this foot thing, their top ten drop pick out of Texas Tech, I just don't know if there's enough on defense. I can't say that I think they're coaching, which I have so much respect for, you know that.


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[Assistant] Can just overcome a roster that's still in the process of being turned over to what they want. So...


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm gonna go, I'm gonna go wonder.


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[Assistant] You didn't mean to do that. I didn't need, I didn't mean to do that, and it could've...


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[Assistant] Easily not been even. If I, cause if I hemmed and hawed on the, you know, the Broncos and the Chargers and, you know, the Titans a little bit and holy crap, Ola.


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[Assistant] So we'll see, but you know, yeah, it's a little bit of a preclude here to what we'll do for the playoffs. I don't know if that's a real word. Preclude? I don't think so.


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[Assistant] Something pre-prelude, bro. That's what I was looking for. See? I was, I don't even know if that's the word either. I'm not sure. But either way, it's a little early gleam into where I might be thinking in the playoff conversation. But yeah, man, the AFC, holy crap. Between the Steelers, the Patriots, the Chargers,


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[Assistant] And the Broncos, that was really the, the four that I looked at to go, wow, that's hard. Cause again, their teams aren't that bad. And there's a lot, there's some things to look at. And then, you know, as we talked about in the last podcast coaching.


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[Assistant] How they can cover up holes and how they can evaluate their own team to go, wait, we're not good at this or that or this, but we can put our eggs in this one area and make things harder on the team. And that's where, I just can't wait to see how the AFC plays out this year.


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[Assistant] We'll be out there. That's right. You know, I won't be Monday PFT, but you know, I'll be on there Tuesday. I think I got Wednesday as well.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and we'll get my thoughts out there about the preseason games. And then we got, you know, pods coming up before week one and all that too to where we'll be able to dissect and unpack some of the things that happened late in the preseason that concern me or excite me or whatever. So don't you worry. All your football answers will be right here at Unbuttoned because Ahmed Farid is here and I


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[Assistant] You know, cause I have a tendency to combine things, right? Read between the tea leaves and all, you know, all those kind of, the leader house.


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[Assistant] Let's stay on top of all the football news. You know where to find me. I hope you enjoyed the Over and Under podcast, AFC, NFC last week. And then you'll see my, my home's interview. It's going to drop here soon. I'm hoping it'll drop Wednesday. We'll see, but somewhere around then it'll be out there. Hope everybody's good. Be safe.


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[Assistant] Football is around the corner. Real football. Here it is. Yes. We can't wait. Clap.


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[Assistant] Yo, yo, thanks for watching homies. I appreciate it. As always, the NFL season is right around the corner. So now it's your turn to hit subscribe to Chris Sims on Button. If you want to get all the training camp battles, preseason film review, playoff predictions, and much, much more, you know where to find it. It's right here. Chris Sims on Button. Please subscribe. Thanks again for watching. Peace out, homies. See you soon.


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[Assistant] Thank you. Just delete it. Right. Well, uh, you know, I took a few chances last week, right? I don't feel bad about it. Oh, I'd say you did. Yeaah. You know, the one I'm like, the most- Raiders? Over the Bills?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that was a chance. And then the Jaguars over the Chiefs. Those were two where...


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[Assistant] I like, I kicked myself watching the game going, why? Why would you, why would you do that? Right? So those ones bothered me. You know, the Steelers one, I can deal with that. Right? Uh, the Colts.


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[Assistant] You know, that matchup last weekend, yeaah, I took a little chance, the Texans being at home, I thought the defense looked good week one.


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[Assistant] So I took my lumps, but I have people all the time come up to me and go, you're pretty good at picking games, but you stink against the spread. So, I'm gonna try to improve that here, uh, so they can be, so I can be a little more reba- reliable for the people out there.


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[Assistant] Download the DraftKings app, click on the pools tab and enter free $1,000 Florio and Sims Pick'em pool to make your picks or visit draftkings.com slash pools.


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[Assistant] Uh, yeaah, you're laying it out, right? You know, there's a great history between the Giants and 49ers. Both teams were 10-0. Both teams lost the week before they were gonna play each other. I believe the Niners lost to the Rams and the Giants lost to the Eagles. That set them both up for being 10-1 in that showdown. It was a tough, hard-hitting football game. But no, my dad broke his foot.


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[Assistant] I believe it was two weeks later against the Buffalo Bills and Bruce Smith kind of fell on the back of it and that was the end of his season.


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[Assistant] It was Leonard Marshall, and I remember Pat Summerall going, and the report from the bench on Montana is, everything hurts.


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[Assistant] That's what he said. I can still remember going, I never heard one like that. That was a, that was a good one. Uh, but yeah, he got killed. He avoided Lawrence Taylor, I believe. And then as he set up the throw, he didn't realize Leonard Marshall had about a 20 yard running head start and destroyed him is right. Destroyed.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I, I, I, you know, I debated it a little bit, like, do I wanna, is 10 and a half too much? But the more I thought about it,


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[Assistant] The more I started to feel like, eh, not really. I don't think so. Uh, this 49er football team we know is extremely good. It's their home opener. The crowd's gonna be crazy.


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[Assistant] The Giants, those injuries bother me. Yes, Saquon Barkley bothers me, but like I told you earlier, the two injuries on the offensive line bother me more than, than maybe even Saquon, especially against this 49er D line. Uh, so there's that, you know, and then not having Ojolari, this is a team that,


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[Assistant] Get after the quarterback right now. They got no pass rusher. That is a real threat.


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[Assistant] And I could argue that really he's their best pass rusher. So him not being available, a young secondary.


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[Assistant] I just think it sets up for, you know, I think this would be a total blowout if it was a full week. But since it's like a four day preparation and I think that kind of handicapped Shanahan because of his creativity, he doesn't get those extra few days. I think the Giants might hang around a little bit, but I'm taking 49ers 30 to 17, Mike.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I, I, I look at, you know, it's a shame it doesn't seem like we're gonna see Anthony Richardson.


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[Assistant] The, the Colts have some banged up people on their offensive line that worry me a little bit here going forward.


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[Assistant] Right? So those are things that scare me. This Ravens defense has played very good the first two weeks. And I do think if the Colts had Anthony Richardson in that quarterback design run game behind Shane Steichen.


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[Assistant] Would have been a real element of concern or schematical advantage for the Colts to a degree, but now we're going to get back into, Hey, drop back pass offense and we're going to have to win that way with Gardner Minshew. And I don't think the Colts are built to do that right now.


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[Assistant] So that, that's where I worry about it. The Colts defense, I got respect for them. I do. They're, they're stingy against the run.