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[Assistant] I understand that you can solve a lot of things with money, but that doesn't solve skill.


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[Assistant] Right, and that's the thing is, and maybe, like the NFL product is so palatable that


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[Assistant] You can create a whole other league that's branded with the NFL and the football doesn't have to be that great because you've got other leagues in the USFL and XFL that have guys who want to play or out there trying to play.


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[Assistant] Maybe there's enough to support that. Now again, the degree of football might not be quite as good, but if you can sport, if you can support the business model with the gambling revenue that it's now become a part of it with all sorts of international money that we've seen now get involved in plenty of other sports in a big way. Golf, baseball in particular off the top of my head.


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[Assistant] Uh, maybe there is a future there, you know, but it does call into question, uhm,


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[Assistant] You know, again, you want to grow and broaden your fan base and grow your brand, but...


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[Assistant] At the same time, there also is a question of like, well, what happens to the smaller markets at home? What happens to... What's the end game?


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's taking away those games from, you know, the smaller markets that you'd, you know, normally, that's what they thrive on, you know, throughout the course of the year. They're obviously have an NFL team, but still like that, that's huge economic stimulus when they're there, when they're not, they feel it big time.


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[Assistant] But that's, that's a selfish thing like it, but I think most people are like, hey man, like everyone's got to deal with that. That's on early in the mornings and it's how the day unfolds. So that's not very well thought out. I get it. You, you build a stadium there and you clearly need to continue to keep generating revenue.


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[Assistant] For everything that's going on there, but Miami put money into their Hard Rock Stadium, like Dave, and they got rewarded one Superbowl, but it's a great destination. We've seen through COVID too.


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[Assistant] That's a little bit recent, but you know, I just Tampa Bay they had during COVID. I think that's the other thing that I look at when I look out and say,


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[Assistant] If there is a concern over a pandemic something else, like,


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[Assistant] The NFL pushed forward, there was only one place that really opened it up. So I'm sure they have contingencies built in, but it was a stark contrast from California and LA in particular, and then South Florida. So I just, I find it kind of interesting though, they keep


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[Assistant] So this is for the rest of the regular season, huh? You should probably take Joe Flacco. I'm going with Lamar Jackson. I like that.


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[Assistant] I know what this next draft is, please do not do that to me. Uhm, alright, hold on. I gotta look for a running back now.


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[Assistant] That is true, that is true. And Justin Jefferson's coming back, but I don't know, cause he, I mean, I'll take Tyree Kale obviously, cause...


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[Assistant] Uhm, ah, this could be a mistake, but maybe not. I'm gonna go with Travis Kelsey.


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[Assistant] I know, I know. You subliminally put it in the back of my head and then I couldn't get over it. I was like alright.


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[Assistant] This is a tough one because I feel like there's a number of, uh, places I could go. I wanna go wide receiver next though. I wanted to take Justin Jefferson. Because you took CD Lamb already, right?


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, that's not the biggest issue. It's like, is Nick Bowen going to be able to get into football?


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[Assistant] Okay, now I have to go with running backs. Travis ETN.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah, what's up? What's up? What's up? Uhm, and then, I'm gonna stay on the same team and go Rashad White.


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[Assistant] Uh, for defense, this is tough because you have to like factor in, I think, who they play. We're going for the rest of the regular season, right?


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[Assistant] I mean, look at this way, I maybe have the MVP in Lamar Jackson, a quarterback who obviously is going to impact the passing game and running the football.


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[Assistant] ETN Rashad White, both impactful, running the football, catching the football.


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[Assistant] Tyre kill might go over 2,000 yards this year. The ankle, little bit of concern.


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[Assistant] AJ Brown's one of the top, you know, producing wide receivers. Justin Jefferson can be, and probably will be, if he's back healthy.


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[Assistant] Kelsey is the only thing that makes the Chiefs offense go. Evans has been ridiculously productive this year, kind of flown in the radar. Aubrey's yet to miss a field goal and the Browns look at the rest of their schedule. That defense has been lights out.


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[Assistant] So here's some of the thought process too in picking running backs is look at the schedule, for example, that, uh, Raheem Mostert has the rest of the season. So the Jets defense, the Cowboys defense at Baltimore versus Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Can I make the case though that they never should have benched Doropoulos in the first place?


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[Assistant] He was always your best chance of winning. Like I, I'm sorry. It was actually the same thing with the whole Zach Wilson deal.


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[Assistant] Gotta be careful. If you got in a little late, you might have missed some stuff.


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[Assistant] I keep explaining to people, man, that's how much these owners are making. When you see this much turnover at a head coaching position.


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[Assistant] There's two issues with it. One, the owners are making so much, they can handle all the, all the payouts and dealing with all that, the turnover.


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[Assistant] Two, there needs to be safeguards or some way of


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[Assistant] Putting some mechanisms in to keep them from doing this and hurting themselves. I mean, obviously it's, it's great if you can get that golden parachute, right? Like, awesome. But the reality is it's terrible for player development. It's terrible for the league. I think it creates a lack of parody.


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[Assistant] If the owners really cared about parity in this league, they would find a way of...


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[Assistant] Creating mechanisms to not allow them to do what they do when they move on from coach after coach after coach.


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[Assistant] There's some sort of penalty, there's something put in place that doesn't, that forces them to seek...


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[Assistant] It makes it difficult to think for a lot of different reasons, a lot of different ways. So I don't know. I look at it from that standpoint, just think like, I wish there was more, uh,


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[Assistant] I think they're getting paid so well as coordinators.


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[Assistant] That helps, right? And obviously if you're doing one off to be a head coaching candidate,


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[Assistant] You know, you're going to continue to kind of maybe be in that cycle. At least you'd assume so. I mean, there's times when you get guys who obviously are candidates one year and then like you never hear about them again.


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[Assistant] But, you know, that, that's a risk that I think you have to be willing to take. And that's something that, you know, you can go take the golden parachute and go be a head coach in an organization you may have reservations about, but you may never get the shot of doing it again. And then that's the hard part is then that how does that impact you?


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[Assistant] As a coordinator moving forward, your long-term value as a coach in the league, um, you know, maybe it helps.


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[Assistant] And he's young, you know, and he's young, but like the two chances he had, like neither of which worked out well or felt like it was somewhat of a disaster.


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[Assistant] Well, look, in regards to this game, I'm curious about Easton Stick, if he's gonna be the guy to not only remain as a, you know, backup, but also just remain the league. Like, here's his shot, here's his opportunity.


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[Assistant] Uhm, you know, Kellen Moore, like what can he do with him to see schematically? Obviously the Raiders have struggled. And for Aiden O'Connell, there is pressure on him to have other guys coming back behind him.


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[Assistant] You know, what, how, how much he can, how far he can come along as a rookie with this group.


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[Assistant] Uhm, it's, like, it's tough to, like, want to sell it on what exactly is going to happen in this game. I don't know that these teams are that, that far apart. It's a three point spread.


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[Assistant] Welcome to the Pick Six Podcast. Today, we'll talk about whether the number one seeded Ravens and 49ers should rest their starters in the final week of the regular season. We'll also talk billionaire owners throwing temper tantrums and drinks at people. What planet are we living on?


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[Assistant] And we'll make sense of the playoff picture, especially in Pittsburgh BMAC. Somehow there appears to be a quarterback controversy on what planet again, are we living on where three backups are having quarterback controversy. We'll talk about that. I'm Ryan Wilson. That's Brian McFadden. That's Lijay Duzable. Two long time NFL players and me. How we doing guys?


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[Assistant] Alright, before we get to that BMAC, we'll save that to keep people interested, but I wanna talk, I wanna talk, start with this. You're a proud Florida State alum. Keep your face straight now. How do you overcome...


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[Assistant] By the way, if that score had been reversed...


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[Assistant] Oh, let me ask, I was going to set that up. So BMAC, you guys get DJ Uwe Ungle like coming from Oregon State by way of Clemson. And then you can follow it up, Lijay, with, uh, the Arkansas kid, KJ Jefferson coming over to UCF. So BMAC, BMAC, you start and Lijay.


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[Assistant] I'll say this, like I know the transfer portal causes a lot of headaches for people in the colleges and coaches. I love it in terms of, cause it's just like Madden in terms of you getting your favorite player with some crazy trade or some dude with NIL money can get that guy there. So, all right. I'm glad we could end on a happy note.


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[Assistant] Given how things ended for the Seminoles and Danny Cannell will keep us updated on any future Cummins and goings VMAX so we can rest assured about that. All right. Let's move to the NFL.


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[Assistant] Both you guys played long time in the NFL and.


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[Assistant] I'll ask you BMAC because I know, let's see, the 2005 team had to make a comeback, that sealers team, they had to go through the wild card.


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[Assistant] I don't know if you ever, the 2018, did you guys get a bye? Yes, sir. Okay. So what was the thought process? I'll ask you in that final week of the season. I don't know if you needed to play that final week, but what was Tomlin's thinking as you prepared to get ready for the playoffs, knowing that you were almost certainly going to have a chance to rest?


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[Assistant] Yeah. So, so they were 14 and two, they played BMAC Steelers and they won with RG3 versus Duck Hodges and they didn't play a lot of dudes and then they were dead in the water when they played the Titans. Go ahead.


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[Assistant] Did you have any fear about being rusty BMAC after sitting down for a couple weeks?


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[Assistant] You know, the other side of that story is, uh, that's sort of funny. It also involves the Ravens back. I remember this too, back in 2003, the Steelers, that's the last time they had a losing season. I mean, Tommy Maddox was playing, uh, they had not drafted Ben Roethlisberger in the final game of the season against Baltimore.


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[Assistant] Or you can stick it to them later. But the point is that, and by the way, the Ravens the next week in the playoffs, they lost the home to the Titans in that year too. So I guess the good news is the Titans ain't in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] But yeaah, so it's always, always fun to see how the AFC North in particular shakes out. BMAC, uhm.


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[Assistant] You guys hate the Ravens more than anybody else or did it depend on the year?


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[Assistant] Lige, when you were playing for Rex Ryan, was it, uh, was it the Patriots?


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[Assistant] No, absolutely. They were easy to hate as a Steelers fan and BMAC knows this. I mean, 04, the Steelers beat the Patriots. 05, I think you lost at the end of that game at Hinesfield. I think that was a close game. I think Antoine Randall may had a fumble or something. I can't believe I remember that. Um, and then that 07 game when Anthony Smith was talking before the game, that didn't work out too good. I think that was 07.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's move on to another man who probably should, uh, do less talking or even being seen. Panthers owner David Tepper. I want to talk about this because...


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[Assistant] We shall ask you first, like as a player, I mean, he's the boss. He's a dude writing the checks. And when you see that video, and I think producer Harry's going to show it, you also see Scott Fitter, the GM standing there and he might as well be a statue because he doesn't know what to do. He's like, I'm not making a face. I'm not even moving until a dude leaves. And then I'll figure this out.


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[Assistant] I don't know how you, I was talking to Rick about this as well in the podcast, Rick Spielman, and he's like, there's nothing you can do because I feel terrible for Scott Fitter, but that's the dude writing the checks. Is there anything, like are you talking about it with your dudes in the locker room? Like how do you sort of take all this in and make sense of it?


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[Assistant] And when you do the math, it literally is like charging someone who makes $100,000 25 cents. A quarter. That's what the fine is.


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[Assistant] Scott Fowler, who, who covers the Panthers for the Charlotte Observer wrote about this the other day. He said, and this is no surprise, that Tepper has fired basically all the people that will tell him no. So when you're surrounded by people that will only tell you what you want to hear, you're going to get in these situations where the GM, it just acts like you're invisible because he doesn't, he doesn't know what to do either.


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[Assistant] That is, that is conspiracy theory. And I'll say this, and Rick pointed this out too.


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[Assistant] If you're Ben Johnson, you want to come coach here?


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[Assistant] Right, that's the, I mean, you know, there are only 32 organizations, only 32 owners, only 32 jobs, but that's not the one you may want.


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[Assistant] I mean, Jim Harbaugh would last four hours at that place, given the way he likes to do things and the way things.


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[Assistant] Sorry, alright, that was Crazy Town USA number one. Crazy Town USA number two.


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[Assistant] Hey BMAC, let me ask you BMAC this, and LeJay you can follow up too, but does it make sense for the Lions to try to confuse the defense? Because the official has to come over and tell you guys anyway who's eligible, so. Thank you. Yes, it doesn't make sense.


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[Assistant] Let me ask you this as a follow up though. So Skipper had been eligible earlier in the game throughout, never had it been Decker. Would that be a confusion point for you guys if you thought it was usually going to be Skipper?


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[Assistant] Here's what I, let me tell you, get what you thought, your thoughts are, Lee Jay. It felt like to me after that all went haywire and they kept going forward on, uh, forked down or whatever it was and kept getting farther away from the, both of you guys shaking your head. Here's what I said. And I said this to Rick too. I said, it felt like.


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[Assistant] Dan Campbell was saying, listen, it's us against them in this one game. We're going to be the third seat or whatever. So we're just going to keep going and prove ourselves. And Rick said, if that was a playoffs, it'd have been different. Facts.


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[Assistant] Nope. And by the way, uh, and we'll go take a break here in a second. They bailed out Mike McCarthy because he was starting to leak oil down the stretch there.


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[Assistant] So look, uh, one word answer and then we'll take a quick break and come back and talk about the playoffs in a second here. But, uh, BMAC, if the Cowboys lose in the first round is Mike McCarthy, the coach in March. Yes. Oh, Leger.


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[Assistant] I, I sorta lean that way too. Alright, you mentioned the playoffs, LeeJay. I like that, uh, lead in there. We're going to take a quick break when we come back. We're going to tell you who's in and who's out in the playoffs right after this.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's start with an easy one. Let's go to the Miami Dolphins, Producer Harry's team.


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[Assistant] They've clenched the playoffs. That Bills game is going to be huge and BMAC, they move to the Sunday night. So Steelers fans going to have to wait a long, long 28 hours or so because they play on Saturday. Steelers need to win that game, which is the most likely scenario.


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[Assistant] Does Buffalo make the playoffs, which means they got to beat the, the Dolphins and that's going to make them the division champs as well. Let's start there. What do you think, LeeJay?


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[Assistant] Alright BMAC, uhm, I'll ask you this. So are the Bills gonna beat the Dolphins to get in? And then you can circle down and tell me what your Steelers are gonna do too.


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[Assistant] It is funny how the Dolphins struggle against good teams and it's hard to put your finger on why because that offense is so explosive, but unlike the Ravens, which that offense travels and that defense travels, it feels like the Dolphins somehow hit a rough patch when they would go up against teams that are just a little better.


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[Assistant] Um, and I'll say this too. We talk about that 2019 Ravens team sitting starters. You don't want to be the John Harbaugh who plays Lamar and he gets hurt either. That's the issue. So you got to be careful. All right, let's go to the AFC South. Every one of these teams, Jacksonville, Houston, Indy can still win the division. Houston, Houston faces Indy and Jacksonville faces the David Teppers. Uh, Lee Jay, who wins the division?


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[Assistant] BMAC, let me set it up for you. Over the last month of the season, the team with the most sacks in the NFL, Houston, Texas, I got 21. Number one. Number two.


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[Assistant] No one on planet earth has once mentioned, Hey man, why did the Texas trade number three to get Will Anderson Jr.? No one cares. That turned out to be a grand slam of a trade. So that works out as well. So BMAC, what do you think of the AFC South in terms of who wins and who gets in?


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[Assistant] Alright, let's run through these real quick so we can get back and talk about the Steelers quarterback controversy. So we all agree Dallas is going to win it. Yep. NFC East.


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[Assistant] That's the thing. He might, he might get, Jerry Jones might give him the David Tepper treatment and throw a drink in his face before he's out into the street. All right. So, uh, the NFC North, we know about the Lions there. I feel like Green Bay's next man up.


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[Assistant] People that play for him like him, like they say he's a good coach, but you know, at the end of the day, it's about wins and losses. And finally,


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[Assistant] Alright, let's take a quick break and we're going to quickly talk about the Steelers quarterback controversy on the other side right after this.


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[Assistant] Alright BMAC, when you were in Pittsburgh, there was no QB controversy because it was Big Ben's team. We saw, you know, Charlie Batch played, we saw Byron Lefwich play, we saw some dudes come through there, but it was always Big Ben's team. Things have changed now since he retired, they drafted Kenny Pickett.


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[Assistant] Uh, he was the starter last year for most of last year and most of this year prior to injuries. I'll just say this. Joe Flacco has returned since November 20th, 13 touchdowns. The last few years, Kenny Pickett, 13 touchdowns. So it ain't like even setting the world on fire. You've talked up Mason Rudolph starting for a few weeks now and he's looked pretty good.


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[Assistant] Now, Kenny Pickett had to come out and say, I didn't even know this was a storyline. Someone on Twitter said that he was...


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[Assistant] Said he wasn't going to be number two. He had to come out and tell the media that he never said that.


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[Assistant] Cam Hayward has his own podcast, had to come out and say that sounds crazy to him, but he didn't, he had no knowledge of the actual comings and goings, but it didn't feel like a Kenny Pickett thing. Did you ever have any sort of controversy in the locker room that Mike T had to handle? Because it feels like that's something he would squash pretty quickly.


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[Assistant] So Mason Rudolph not only did not have an opportunity to set his feet, I thought he was going to throw the speed out to Dion underneath. I said, throw it deep. And he said, I gotcha. And he threw it deep. I mean, that's a big boy play.


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[Assistant] You go draft the quarterback. Like if you're picking 15th, then they get in the playoff, so it won't be packed picking 15th.


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[Assistant] But man, I'm telling you, if there's Michael Pinnix Jr. sitting there, or somehow you find yourself with Jaden Daniels, and you don't take him,


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[Assistant] You will regret it because Kenny Pickett came out of that draft class where all those quarterbacks weren't any good anyway.


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[Assistant] And what are we doing? You gotta, the thing like, obviously I'm a huge Steelers guy and I love Mike Tomlin, but I, I, the stubbornness, you gotta admit your mistakes and move on. And if Kenny Pickett ain't that dude, like with Matt Canada, come on.


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[Assistant] Took too long. Alright, let's get out of here, cause uh,


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[Assistant] LeeJay's got more important things to do. Oh boy. All right. So look, that's a wrap. Thanks to LeeJay and BMAC for joining us. Thanks to Harry for producing the course. Thanks all you guys for watching. Listen, make sure to join us tomorrow for more NFL coverage and while you're at it, give us a little thumbs up on the YouTubes. And if you're listening to the audio version, make sure you download, follow and watch the review. Thank you folks. We'll see you later.


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[Assistant] That is indeed correct, Princeton. Yeaah. So I have my first prop that I like is Jalen Warren over seven and a half rushing attempts. I feel like this is a couple clicks too low here. We've seen Warren really come on strong over the second half.


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[Assistant] on that ground game. Jalen Warren's advanced metrics, uh, certainly is the more explosive option compared to Najah Harris, who has quietly been pretty solid in his own right, but this to me looks like a game environment


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[Assistant] We're both back. They're gonna get plenty of work. I'd frankly be surprised if we don't see Jalen Warren get double digit carries here. The only game he's failed to over the last eight games was against New England.


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[Assistant] Who obviously ran up a pretty big lead, which was obviously surprising in that game. And he still finished with seven rushing attempts there. So this number is way closer to his floor. In my opinion, I expect this to ultimately close probably at nine and a half or maybe even 10 and a half.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I've been successfully, or one of my more profitable betting angles over the past four to five weeks has been this Denver defense and fading, uh, ultimately totals, uh, that Denver's involved in. So yeah, I like the under here. You can get this number at 48.


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[Assistant] Denver's offense just wants to run the football. I feel like this game will, will go quick, even though it'll be slow. There just won't be a lot of plays from scrimmage in this spot. So I'm just going to continue to hammer the under in these Denver matchups. Cause in my opinion, it's a, it's more reflective of Denver's defense early on in the season when they were historically bad and it made


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[Assistant] Not necessarily massive improvements, but they're a respectable defense at this stage. They've also done a good job of limiting deep plays down the field, keeping everything in front of them. So, uh, yeah, I just ultimately think this game will be competitive and it'll be of the lower scoring variety and 48 is a bit too high here.


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[Assistant] Just wanted to add to RJ's point, this is a potentially massive spike or ceiling potential game.


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[Assistant] Uh, because he's targeted more than any receiver in the splash zone a few weeks ago and we saw him have the best game of his career. Christian Watson also receives a ton of targets in that portion of the field. So he's able to get back on the field. This is definitely a game I'd look to back him potentially, uh, his alt totals as well because his ceiling will be huge.


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[Assistant] So I view him as a boom bust option as far as fantasy is concerned. If I were trailing in a matchup or I were projected to lose by 20 to 30 points and I needed potentially a huge spike game from my flex spot, that's where I'd consider Christian Watson. Without Watson on the field, I'd look at Jayden Reed.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I would tend to agree with both of you here, guys. If you were to blindfold me and to withhold that information that it was New Orleans who had negative four passing yards, for instance, and asked me what team it was, I would certainly guess them as the most likely candidate there. I'd also mention that Chris Olave appears to be legitimately


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[Assistant] Derek Carr. So yeah, it's unfortunate, but yeah, his miss would be a significant downgrade to New Orleans, and I couldn't agree more. The six points just seems too much, especially if Olave is inactive. I think they'll have a really hard time moving the football.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm gonna go with an angry Patrick Mahomes playing against, uh, the New England Patriots. Give me, uh, yeaah, the Kansas City Moneyline. I'm not sure of the exact number. I believe it's pretty...


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[Assistant] Minus 375. I will take, uh, yeah, uh, my homes coming off of two straight losses. Uhm.


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[Assistant] 186 and a half passing yards for Justin Fields.


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[Assistant] status as we head into this game, but yeah, I just think it's a tough spot for particularly in the passing game, uh, and Justin Field. So I am going to fade him under 186 passing yards.


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[Assistant] There is a running back in this game who has a higher combined rushing and receiving yard combination line than Christian McCaffrey. Wow. Kyron Williams? Kyron Williams combo line is 118 and a half yards in this game.


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[Assistant] I would, it'd be over or nothing for me if it was McCaffrey.


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[Assistant] Passing yards, particularly in this matchup I like quite a bit. This Jacksonville defense is a significant pass funnel. They are much stronger defending their run than they are defending the pass. They give up a lot of the plays.


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[Assistant] I've really been impressed with the strides that Lamar has made, uh, as a passer this season as well.


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[Assistant] Uh, just running a lot of routes down the field as well, picking up big chunk plays. And I think that Jacksonville, there are some game environments where they are able to push Baltimore a little bit as well. So for all those reasons, I think Lamar goes over 215 passing yards.


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[Assistant] Very poor. They've had trouble, uh, defending the perimeters in particular. We saw AJ Brown just locked up with Stephon Gilmore. That was quite the battle last week. Gonna be much easier for AJ Brown, who looks to be highly, highly motivated in this matchup, which looks to be a great matchup.


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[Assistant] on paper. So give me A. J. Brown over 80 and a half receiving yards getting a nice little discount on his receiving total as well.


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[Assistant] And I've got Jalen Warren over eight and a half rushing attempts. I believe I said seven and a half earlier when I gave the play outs. Just wanted to clarify that number is eight and a half. I also played a nine and a half for the record. Then I'm going under.


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[Assistant] In the Detroit Denver game under 48 points, then we're going to go under 186 and a half passing yards for Justin Fields versus that.


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[Assistant] Uh, you know what? Tuesday and Wednesday during the NFL season is really just sort of this like.


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[Assistant] Of like whatever, you know, cause it's like.


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[Assistant] Aaron Rodgers, who else would we talk about Aaron Rodgers? The Jets officially activated his 21 day practice window to return from the injured reserve. What this means is that he has 21 days to practice. It's pretty self-explanatory, but just in case people don't know.


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[Assistant] He can be evaluated by the Jets over the next 21 days and practice with the team. Um, it still count as an IR guy, which is key.


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[Assistant] And at any point in that 21 days, if the jets and they have to do it by what? Saturday at midnight, maybe.


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[Assistant] Yep. Saturday at midnight, they can activate him and usually it's around Saturday afternoon. If they do it, you saw that with Jonathan Taylor recently, you'll see it with Justin Jefferson next week, but they can activate him at any point and he can play for them. Meaning Aaron Rogers could in fact,


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[Assistant] Come back this year on a scale of one to 10 dues as our resident jets expert.


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[Assistant] Uhm, how likely, how likely do you think it is that Aaron Rodgers comes back?


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[Assistant] Ten being like, he's, he's like, he's starting this week and a one being, this is all facade designed to give Aaron Rogers attention and try to motivate the defense to play well enough to steal a game or two and keep them in the playoff race.


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[Assistant] Have you watched a last stop Laramie on HBO? It's a, uh,


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[Assistant] My mother, the Reverend Ann Brinson over Thanksgiving. My parents were in Indonesia. As you guys know, they came back.


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[Assistant] And they were like, you know, it's like a 48 hour travel window and they were loopy as hell. And like my mom, like got on this thing where she was like roasting everybody. It was just like uncorking. She was like,


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[Assistant] The point being is Last Stop Laramie is a documentary on HBO about a, it's a town in Australia that has 11 people living.


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[Assistant] This, this was a, like a Wednesday night and my parents wanted to watch something. They wouldn't, they wouldn't watch the NBA. Sorry. Um, they were like, Hey, do you guys want to watch some action? Like, no, pick a movie, dude.


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[Assistant] Exactly, but there's no body just disappears. It's actually a really interesting, highly recommend you check it out. Uh, and this has nothing to do with Aaron Rodgers except.


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[Assistant] Have you ever seen the one where, uh, what kind of animal is it that's chased by like thousands of snakes up the, up the, uh, like across the, it's the...


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[Assistant] It's like so anxiety filled. Um, anyway, uh, I think it's cool that Rogers might come back and, um, and play, but, uh, I think the bigger concern is like, what if he, what if he comes back again?


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[Assistant] I think that's so underrated. I think that's so underrated like how, like, how long these injuries are going to be like. Brady, you and I have talked about this, like you have, like, I mean, I mean, I know it's, I, I just don't, I don't think that like the average football fan is thinking about how like an ankle injury, like you're dealing with it, what, like, Brady, your lisp-rank surgery you had, that you had,


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[Assistant] Um, I like when people say, how's it going? You're like, I can't complain. Not that anybody would care if I did, you know, like, you know, I mean, who cares? You can play what you want. Work hard. I just tried to be open that all fantastic.


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[Assistant] Couldn't be better. Alright, exactly. How's the weather? Sure is sunny out, ain't it? Awful chilly out today, isn't it?


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[Assistant] Uh, turf monster. Let's talk about the turf in general. Let's keep talking about that. It was certainly a role in the injuries, but like how, um.


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[Assistant] Do you, how do you guys feel about the turst? Like to me, I mean, I think, I guess, I guess it's sort of like, I think it's kind of.


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[Assistant] Under-reported how the NFL, and even frankly, the NFL, PA. Okay. Go ahead.


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[Assistant] Well, and I would point out too, like the one thing that Nike was doing for a long time in the early 2010s was pushing Flyknit as something that they wanted, uh, to be like the future of the, of the sport because it was, you know, it was so light. It was light, breathable. You were faster on your feet.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like he blew out a shoe. And if you, yeah, if you go to Nike.com slash find it, you have Nike find it for running. Now it makes total sense for running because you're, you know, you're, you're lateral, you're, you're not cutting.


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[Assistant] They've been reinforced completely differently on the outside, which I think is about the lateral cuts and all that because they were having issues. I think Kobe was had an issue too. I think Kobe's knee injury.


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[Assistant] When we got fixed to Germany, that was a, that was a, he was wearing a flyknit when that happened. Um, and then you have a flyknit for soccer. Makes total sense. Cause you need a light breathable shoe. You know, you do need to cut, but you're.


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[Assistant] Nothing for football anymore, which I think is interesting. They got rid of it for, I pretty, it's not, it's not available for football because the football cleat needs to be sturdier because you're just, the impact is completely different.


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[Assistant] All right. Let's move to the Minnesota Vikings because we had.


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[Assistant] Kevin O'Connell, Vikings head coach, come out and say this, uh, after the, after the loss. By the way, a lot of teams, six teams a week, 13 buys.


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[Assistant] Well, remember when, uh, remember when, uh, the, the Cowboys had a buy for the playoffs and Tony, our colleague, Tony river and Jason Whitten. And at that time Tony river was dating Jessica Simpson and they went down to like the Caribbean.


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[Assistant] All right. So anyway, I, I derailed that with two, like the bye week at the stuff talk, but like the Vikings are on their buy and Josh jobs is, um.


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[Assistant] I think Brady froze up there a little bit, but, uh, he was saying that the, the comfort in terms of the, uh, like running the office. I also think too, when you look at like the bears defense, sorry, Brady, we lost you there for a second, but the bears defense has been playing pretty well. The last couple of weeks about the sweat. Nice addition. Uh, they've gotten a much better rushing the passer. They've been good against the run for most of the year.


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[Assistant] So just to put a bow on that conversation, we started about Josh. I agree with you. I said before the season, tomorrow handle was like minus three 50 to win. Come back clear the year award. And like, I understand the sentiment, but he doesn't play.


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[Assistant] Like he got out there as almost sort of a, I don't want to call it ceremonial, but it was like, you know, I mean, he came, he came back from. Yeah, literally.


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[Assistant] Rivers won it in 2013 because he had like a bunch of picks in 2012. It's not, it's not from injury necessarily.


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[Assistant] Um, okay. Yeah, I mean, I think it's gonna be close. They got a tough schedule. All right, let's, uh, we'll play follow radio. Yeah, we'll play follow later because we got looking just looking at the time. I got distracted by your dazzling shirt.


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[Assistant] He's in the a leading in the NFC where he most are leading the AFC.


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[Assistant] We don't have a clear cut MVP and I think Jalen Hurts is like, probably going to get it because a combination of last year and this year, but like, what if it, well, what if we get the end of the year and there's no clear cut quarterback who's MVP and you have a Tyree Hill and Chris McCaffrey are both like worthy of the offensive player of the year. You might just give one of them MVP.


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[Assistant] It's like the time, uh, Aaron Rodgers won MVP and we were backstage, um,


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[Assistant] Doing, uh, like reporting, being journalists and, uh, you know, writing stories about the awards at the NFL honors and taking photographs and all that. And Olivia Munn was back there with Aaron Rodgers. It was very like, oh.


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[Assistant] I watched it the other day. It's hilarious. We tried to make my dad watch it. He's like, no, I'm good now. Like, oh, I forgot about that part.


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[Assistant] Will he finish with the most interceptions in the league? He has seven, Gino Stone with six, Paul Sudden Adabo has four, along with Jesse Bates, who, uh, had a pick six on Sunday, Cam Taylor, Jordan Whitehead, also with four. Does Daron Bland win the interception crown?


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[Assistant] But like several of the, several of the interceptions, I know I really do have the Cowboys, Stevenson, like fantasy, a ton of leagues and like several of these picks of the Panthers pick the, um, and the, and the commander's pick, it was like the game was over.


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[Assistant] He's got Princeton colon. He's got moves.


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[Assistant] Back on offense. Receiving yards. Lots of players vying for the title in the AFC. Of course, Tyree Kill.


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[Assistant] 1324 behind him, Keenan Allen at 11 at 17. And then the AFC, NFC side of things, excuse me. You have CD Lam at 1066, AJ Brown at 1050 and DJ Moore at 1003. I'm on St. Brown.


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[Assistant] Stefan is probably too far back to make a run on Tire and Kill there. I mean.


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[Assistant] Pretty sure it's going to be Terry Hill, but he's been a little dinged up. I could guess you could make a case.


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[Assistant] Dude, but those, the Dolphins, the Dolphins and the Bills defenses and the Lions defenses, like the Cowboys are going to win some people, some fantasy leagues with 15 weeks, 15, 16, 17 Bills, Dolphins and Lions. Those are scoring team. They're like, those teams will score on you and you're going to have to score on them. So I see all those big time shootouts.


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[Assistant] Potentially catch Terry kill, but unlikely with the lead he's got. Uhm, and they got the commanders and the Titans the next two weeks.


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[Assistant] So I think Phillies, Phillies likely to sit guys in week 18, especially with Hertz being banged up. And you know, they saw it like they would have loved to do it last year. They couldn't AJ Brown. So he's probably sitting. And then if you watch what Miami's done, they've been really cautious about pulling guys out.


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[Assistant] Sit in Devon at A Chan, um, you know, Jalen Phillips gets hurt. So now you, you really want to be cautious about that. So would not be surprised at all if they were, if they sat guys in week, if they were clinched the two, three or if they were locked into the three or four spot.


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[Assistant] And it didn't matter whether they were going to be three or four. Maybe they considered doing it. Cause at that point you really have to hose. You have to get to the championship game to, to, to even get a right. If you're the three seed, three versus four seed.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm just, I'm saying that like if you, yeah, if you, if you're the one seed, that's huge because you have home field advantage throughout the playoffs. You're gonna buy. Obviously the two seed is huge too, because you are going to have home field advantage except for the conference championship game. But the three versus the four is, is, is not, is that negligible, but it is. It's negligible. Is it negligible?


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[Assistant] Exactly. Unless Tyreke was like going for, unless he was going for the receiving record, then you might roll around there.


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[Assistant] You guys will love us again, so that's like five more. Uh, come on.


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[Assistant] When we get back, we'll cruise, we'll mosey on down to Jerry's world. We'll drink some blue Johnny Walker blue. We'll talk about mosquito circumcisions.


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[Assistant] So dudes looked at me like I was insane when I suggested talking about mosquito circumcisions with Jerry Jones. Uh, but that reminds me that you can actually go back and read the article I wrote in 2016, um, when Tony Romo was still on the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] And Jerry Jones appeared on 105.3 the fan in Dallas and was asked about what's the plan.


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[Assistant] What's the plan for Tony Ramo to put them on injury reserve or to, you know, what were they going to do? And Jerry Jones said.


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[Assistant] Uh, let's see, what is the full quote? Yes. He said there is no use circumcising the mosquito on this. There's no one good enough to take the last roster spot. That is apparently in a Tex Tex Arcana style, Texas style saying circumcising the mosquito.


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[Assistant] Well, Stephen Jones is probably involved, I assume he's just gonna take Jerry's place and, um, you know, William Clay does like, I mean, like they, you know, is William Clay is the guy, right? Uh, he's basically like GM, but he doesn't give me the credit. It's kind of hilarious.


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[Assistant] I think, as you said, it's a little low on those. Based on my tilted glasses, I think you can see I'm an academic, Brady. Um, the, uh, no, I think that, um,


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[Assistant] You know, uh, premier league franchise is worth more than the Cowboys and sound like an idiot. Oh yeah. I mean, like it's, I think you probably sell for like $10 billion and.


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[Assistant] And their proprietary algorithm for determining the value net worth of franchises, which is mostly based on their list from the previous year.


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[Assistant] Anyway, the Cowboys and the Seahawks are playing on Thursday night. Both teams of course played on Thanksgiving. So, uh, the NFL has been good about that.


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[Assistant] If you play, they try to match up these teams that played on Thanksgiving on that Thursday. So somebody's not getting completely screwed by having a short week in, and then the other team had to do an okay job with it.


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[Assistant] Of course, yeaah, they're gonna get screwed at some point. Right, right, right, right, yeaah. Uhm, Seahawks got absolutely...


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[Assistant] Yeah. And the Cowboys feasted on the commanders. Shoddy defense. Uh, Rams are sitting there trying to steal a playoff spot from the, uh, the Seahawks. Is this a must win game Brady for the Seahawks?


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[Assistant] Rams actually have a higher percentage chance to make the playoffs than the Seahawks, despite the Seahawks having a better record dues.


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[Assistant] One team, one team in the industry is going to give it like $7,000, $7,000.


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[Assistant] I mean, basically drop, like, I mean, although you can't, you look at the, you look at the games that they drop, they got swept by the Rams. Of course. That's what's going to, they need


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[Assistant] They need to split with the Rams. I mean, you know, you split with the Rams, the division opponent that happens. Um, they, they need to win that. They got, they got a weakened Joe burrow. They should have beaten the Bengals then. I mean, it's just, you know, stuff.


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[Assistant] They will only be, they will be favored in all but two of those games and they will be favored in all but one of those games that the Niners sit near the starters. All right. So at fandel.com sports smoked up fandel.com Cowboys minus nine over under 47 and a half who you got.


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[Assistant] Good stuff fellas, as always, uh, make sure and hit the like button, subscribe on YouTube.


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[Assistant] Give us a five star rating if you're listening on any of your podcast platforms where you might be checking this podcast out. We're back tomorrow with our best bets.


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[Assistant] For uh, for week 13, I went 6-0 on the non-thanksgiving slate. Thank you very much. Don't ask for you. Don't ask you about the Thanksgiving slate. For Brady, for News, I'm Brenton. We'll see you guys later. Have a good one.


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[Assistant] What is up? You were listening to the call, and uh, I was trying to listen while we were waiting for you.


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[Assistant] Well, we were waiting for me because this computer was updating. And I don't have a Microsoft computer anymore, but it was updating. It spends about an hour to update, so.


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[Assistant] You know, it's a great story. I don't, I don't know how good he is. I mean, you know, we, we tend to get a little too excited over backup quarterbacks. Uhm, I think when you look at


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] What he's done, it's a great story though. I mean, he lives at home with his family. They go to the games, they're sitting there, they're making, the pregame spread is unreal. I mean, it just touches my heart as an Italian to see that. I'm telling you, I love every minute of it. Love it! And it reminds me of like,


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[Assistant] I don't know what the Vito means, but I just love the whole spread. The chicken cutlets. That's fair. You know, because most people have no idea what chicken cutlets are. They just don't.


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[Assistant] No, but you gotta pound it, you gotta beat it down to like a tiny little thin thing and then you bread it and do the whole thing.


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[Assistant] Which are both delicious, by the way. Homemade lasagna is number one.


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[Assistant] Well you gotta cook, you gotta cook the meatballs in the sauce.


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[Assistant] You fry them up, you cook them in the sauce, yeaah. Uhm, boy, I'll tell you what, the desserts count because cannoli is still number two.


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[Assistant] Naples style pizza, you're talking about the oven kind with the just, yeah, it's different than Italian. I actually, this is going to sound awful, and I've never been to Italy, but I've had a lot of good Italian pizza. I think American pizza is better.


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[Assistant] Thin crust, right? I prefer thin crust. I don't mind Sicilian thick crust pizza.


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[Assistant] I like plain cutlets too. I just, if you can give me a plain cutlet, I could eat probably like four of those just sliced. They're so thin.


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[Assistant] Like, there's some Italian food like linguini, uh, linguini with clam sauce I do not like.


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[Assistant] How about, uh, fratiavolo, like lobster fratiavolo. Do you like spicy? You like spicy, right Pete? It's spicy, but yeaah, it's not bad.


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[Assistant] Dandelion flowers, it's the dandelion flowers.


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[Assistant] Baseball, uh, pick up baseball game and my grandfather, somebody goes, Hey, your grandfather's out in right field. I go, what the hell is he doing out there?


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[Assistant] And he was picking dandelion flowers because what you do with the dandelion flowers, you fry it up almost like an eggplant parmesan and they bread it and put eggs on it and the whole deal and it becomes like a delicacy. I'm telling you. I've had dandelion.


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[Assistant] But each of the, you know, what should have been the game winning touchdown. So you'd be thinking differently of them. And I think they still have a legitimate shot to be a playoff team. It's probably going to be between them and the Rams, maybe for the last spot, don't you think?


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[Assistant] Well, the Rams and Packers both have really easy schedules.


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[Assistant] I mean, the Chiefs lost, the Lions lost, uhm, I mean, the Ravens probably should have lost. Chiefs got robbed.


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[Assistant] If you don't know the hell, if Tyree kills not in the game, the Browns win that game. I agree 100% on that. Yeah. Miami look lost without him.


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[Assistant] And that's, that's the concern for Miami. They have no offensive linemen.


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[Assistant] Uhm, do they, uh, their schedule is tough and they have in danger of losing the division? Because Buffalo is not. Yes, absolutely.


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[Assistant] Let me just flip. Miami's automatic. This team's like, Chiefs are going to roll through this. It's just Detroit. Look at the Lions. They're great. It's all flipped over.


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[Assistant] Your, uh, your, uh, breach is calling Mike McDaniel a late, late season joker.


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[Assistant] By the way, after watching the Bills live, nobody wants them in.


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[Assistant] The, the bottom line is, is that, that defense surprisingly is getting a little bit better because they get guys back. Like, Benford back is big.


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[Assistant] I just think a desperation was more at play than a team playing for a seed. That usually plays out that way. If a team is playing for its life against a team that's probably going to get in and is playing for seeding, the desperate team usually finds a way to win those games.


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[Assistant] I covered the 96 Jaguars. They were three and six and ended up winning every game on the way out and went to the playoffs and ended up in the championship game and probably should have gone to the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] And everybody says by the way, one quick thing on that, everybody says it was a huge upset and it was a huge upset, uh, but they didn't punt after the, after the first quarter.


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[Assistant] I agree. I agree. I agree. But Mike McCarthy's been to NFC title games and he won a Super Bowl, so.


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[Assistant] I'd probably vote, I'd probably bet on Mike McCarthy being coach of the year.


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[Assistant] Then Josh Allen maybe for now? And then, who am I leaving out? I'm leaving somebody else? Lamar?


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[Assistant] And look, Jacksonville's defense stinks. We've seen that the last two weeks. So it's hard to gauge that, but Joe Flacco looks comfortable. He had good, he had good throws against the Rams when he played them a couple of weeks ago. So yeah, I, look, Cleveland's going to be a playoff team.


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[Assistant] You are who you are. It always plays out that way. There are exceptions to the rule, Tom Brady being one of them, but most of the time you are what you are. And, you know, Jake Browning has been good the last two games. Well, now we have game number three coming and usually in game number four, they start showing who they really are. So we'll see. Uh, he's getting bad aim, so.


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[Assistant] It's not warranted and uh, uh, he hasn't, Justin Herbert has not been any better this year. In fact, he's been worse.


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[Assistant] Yes, he could win a Super Bowl. Absolutely. He won in L.A.? Yes. But so could a lot of people if you give them the right coach.


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[Assistant] Here's the other thing, his offensive system isn't, is kind of outdated the way teams play now. So I don't think Herbert needs that. The problem is, where do you get the offensive coaches?


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[Assistant] There's not a lot of great offensive coaches out there. And here's the problem with that. You don't hire a head coach based on his ability to lead an offense. You're based on his ability to lead a team.


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[Assistant] That's where teams always get into problems. Hire a good guy who can lead people and then let him hire his staff.


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[Assistant] I used to think that the GM and coach should be the same guy. Or could be the same guy. What do you mean? They could do both jobs.


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[Assistant] Just like I don't think the GM should have the duties of executive VP. So if you're GM, my GM, if this is my organization, my


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[Assistant] Top dog would be the executive VP. He would handle all the crap.


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[Assistant] You know, have some input into football but not make any decisions. The GM would make the football decisions. He'd be my football guy. He would work in, in, you know, concert with the coach, but the GM would make the decisions.


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[Assistant] And hire good, if you're a defensive minded guy, like D'Amico Ryan, go out and hire a guy from the 49er system to, and let him run it. So that's how I would build my organization.


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[Assistant] What's the second one above Rosen? Just orange. Yeah. Yeah. That's, it's probably an orange. Yeah. For me. Okay.


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[Assistant] And I, and I'll be honest with you. I didn't love him coming out cause he's too little. Really? Wait, I haven't heard the story. Tell me. He's tiny.


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[Assistant] We don't know what those other guys are gonna be. A year ago, you would have said, oh my god, Bryce Young's gonna be the end-all be-all. You know what I mean? And he hasn't been. You have no idea. So no. You can't go...rosin' on.


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[Assistant] Look, I get it, you're making a lot of excuses for the guy, but take a look at Will Leves's offensive line.


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[Assistant] I think Caleb Williams has questions too. He doesn't throw on time ever, almost never.


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[Assistant] That's right. Drake May hasn't looked great. Uh, you know, looks the part, but that didn't look great. And Jake Daniels looked the best of all of them.


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[Assistant] Yes. Is it okay if I draft your replacement?


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[Assistant] Rosen? Yeah, no, oh yeah, they're at Rosen.


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[Assistant] I think they're in yellow too.


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[Assistant] Marvin Harrison and add him to that offense. They have two young tackles that are pretty good players.


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[Assistant] So I agree with you. I think, to be honest with you, I'd probably take Herbert over Trevor.


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[Assistant] Yes. And then who was the last one? Peyton Hill was at his with the Browns. Yeah. Yeah. Wow. Good stuff.


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[Assistant] But you know what, if he was in a grouping, if he was in a grouping like with some of the greats of all time, it'd be tough to, you know, where do you place them? I, yeah, the most unappreciated.


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[Assistant] What's that? Curtis Martin or Fred Taylor? Come on, please don't even ask me that. That's, that's an insult to Fred Taylor. That's ridiculous. Go look at their numbers. The guy barely averaged over four yards of carry. He just piled up stats because he played a lot of games. He's not, they're not even the same sentence.


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[Assistant] He, he doesn't, OJ is one of the most underappreciated runners who ever played.


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[Assistant] What about, uh, but like, uh, I'm trying to think of other guys that don't get the due deserve. Dickerson never got the due deserve for being a great black.


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[Assistant] Marcus Allen or Fred Taylor? Marcus Allen is better all around back.


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[Assistant] But Breach, ask the players who was better, Corey Dillard or Fred Taylor. I guarantee they would say Fred Taylor.


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[Assistant] Hello, like Priest Holmes had those, what do you have, like two good years or whatever, three good years?


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[Assistant] Alright. Look at his average per game. That's, that's one of the main, an average per rush. Those are the two numbers you look at. Uhm.


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[Assistant] In the rear view mirror. What's up, Katie? Hope you're doing well. Feeling a little under the weather. And yeah, I'm excited. We've reached week 17. Uh, lots of interesting storylines. We've got teams making their final pushes for the playoffs. It's a fantasy championships in a lot of leagues. So yeah, no shortage of, uh, really interesting things to chat about.


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[Assistant] I would agree. I felt like we had a weird cadence. Week 16 had just a weird cadence to it. And, uh, it's a much better way to feel off. Yeah, for sure. But, uh, yeah, I think week 17 looks a little bit better. I'm still not sure how I feel about Saturday football, but, uh, hopefully we get some good matchups and yeah.


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[Assistant] Absolutely. That would make a significant, deep downgrade for the run game and I think it would trickle down to the amount of time the DAC would have to throw.


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[Assistant] be efficient, spread the ball around doing so without Mark Andrews continues to be very impressive, especially looking at the running back depth chart as well. So it's just like another spot for Lamar to continue to rely on his legs and spread the ball around and I like Baltimore in the spot.


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[Assistant] I've just been impressed with the Colts resiliency, regardless of who's at quarterback, obviously, or even playing wide receiver or running back. Uh, they've just been pretty effective almost all year long. Uh, certainly.


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[Assistant] I just continue to be imp Williams. Last week we ta how his combo line was om Christian McCaffrey as wel even higher Christian Mc is playing against the Wa


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[Assistant] I like this spot for Seattle. I know that, uh, I've been a Seattle apologist. RJ and I have been back in the imprints and you like them as well, uh, all season. But yeah, this looks like a really good spot at home against Pittsburgh. I still have confidence that Seattle, uh, has a good chance to squeak into the playoffs. So certainly, uh, playing for,


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[Assistant] Playing for something here as well. I just think Pittsburgh being undermanned, having to travel across the country against the Seattle passing attack, which should have some success against a kind of slow Pittsburgh pass defense. It's been vulnerable on the back end. I've been impressed with the ascension of Jackson Smith and Jigba, DK Metcalfe having a really nice season as well.


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[Assistant] So I expect Seattle to be able to move the ball. I also like them actually to cover the three and a half here and win comfortably. So if I could Harry, I'd love to add Seattle minus three and a half as a best bet.


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[Assistant] For instance, if there's ever a get right spot for Travis Kelsey, it is right here against Cincinnati Bengals. Watching the Bengals, if we look at a lot of the advanced underlying metrics, this is the worst defense in the league when it comes to covering tight ends. As you mentioned, it's been a struggle for


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[Assistant] Travis Kelsey, still probably the best pass catching tight end, but that gap is narrowing only 960 yards through this.


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[Assistant] I like Ty Chandler in this matchup. Both of you guys mentioned how poor Green Bay's defense has been. They've been a massive run funnel.


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[Assistant] And I've got Stefan Diggs to go over five and a half. Receptions, Chris Olave to have at least 67 receiving yards. Seattle minus three and a half. Shout out to producer Harry.


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[Assistant] up in the recap, very well done, Harry. He is an excellent producer. And last but not least, we've got Travis Kelsey over 62 and a half receiving yards. That is my favorite prop of the week so far, I might add as well.


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[Assistant] I would agree with that. I would also be curious if these teams played on a neutral site, who would be favored? And I honestly believe that Kansas City would be favored versus all these teams.


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[Assistant] Agreed. And on a neutral site, I really think the Chiefs would be favored against all of those teams.


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[Assistant] I ultimately think, uh, that will be the difference, but yeah, it's going to be tough sledding even for Jalen Warren and Najah Harris who are playing very well right now against this New England defense.


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[Assistant] I think seven and a half is a lot of points. Listen, this Rams team with Kyron Williams has looked completely different than they have without him.


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[Assistant] They've scored at least 23 points in six of eight games that Kyron has been active and healthy. Back to back game scoring at least 36 points. He adds just a completely additional dimension.


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[Assistant] Uh, to this Rams offense, we see them running the ball very effectively. And then they obviously have three wide outs when they're healthy, who are all very effective, uh, to being Cooper and Puka Nakua being, uh, just excellent route runners there. But yeah, I just think this Rams offense is humming right now. If they're healthy, I think seven and a half points is too much as well personally.


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[Assistant] It closed at 47, unfortunately, but it did stay under and it was an official play of mine, so.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I, I've got, uh, I have a hard time wrapping my head around the Chargers as favorites over any team, really, besides maybe New England or the Giants, but, uh, yeah, I've got, I'm surprised to see the Chargers as three-point favorites, if I'm not mistaken, over the Denver Broncos.


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[Assistant] Uh, I believe that this line will end up closing at close to a Pickham or maybe, uh, the Denver at plus one here. I know Denver obviously lost yesterday against the Houston.


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[Assistant] Texans but just watching their team I still feel like they're fairly balanced.


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[Assistant] Offensively, Rust is playing pretty well. They're able to run the ball. A lot more positives that I can take away.


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[Assistant] from watching Denver than I can watching the Chargers who don't really have a home field advantage either. So I think, uh, Denver ultimately wins this game outright and I think it closes at close to a pick up.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, again, a lot comes down to what the number is, what we're looking at. Watching Justin Fields this year, I can tell he's playing a little more hesitant. I think the Bears offensively want to protect him, not put him at nearly as much risk as he was out last year.


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[Assistant] Uh, he was very reckless, I mean, it was part of what made the Bears dangerous and made the field so dangerous, but just sustained way too many hits, uh, and just long-term that was gonna just shorten his career, so it makes sense that he's more conservative.


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[Assistant] You know, uh, maintain his health or his longevity in the long term. So I'd look at him, but not necessarily something I'm, you know, got circled with a ton of anticipation for, I guess.


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[Assistant] And Nico Collins is absolutely ballin' out. Doesn't matter what wide receivers are available. Unfortunately, it looks like Tank Del potentially suffered a season, or he did suffer a season ending, uh, Fractured Fibula was having an absolutely outstanding


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[Assistant] Seattle's defense has really created, got off to a very good start, particularly their run defense, but uh, yeaah, has really struggled down the stretch. Interestingly enough, it was after they acquired Leonard Williams, obviously just one player, but you would think that would have had a positive effect on the run defense, but uh, Seattle's defense is just not


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[Assistant] Might see a quarterback change, uh, for the Vikings here, the, could see Nick Mullins under center, or, or the rookie Hall. Also, Justin Jefferson, I believe, is, uh, slated to return for this game, which will be a big boost for whoever's under center, uh, for Minnesota, so.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that was my anticipation play. I don't, I think the wrong team is frankly favored here. I don't have a lot of confidence watching this Chargers team not able to score a touchdown against New England. I know New England's defense is playing well, but


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[Assistant] Denver's balanced right now. Uh, the off, Russ is playing well, frankly. They're moving the ball, they're running the ball. Uh, so yeah, I think Denver is just a more complete football team.


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[Assistant] potentially to the under here, just a low scoring game environment in general. Uh, we saw Kansas City just leaning heavily on Pacheco. I think we'll see a lot of James Cook in this matchup. I think the weakness of this Kansas City defense is up the middle. So yeah, I could see both these teams running the football, trying to keep each quarterback


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[Assistant] Yeah, so I can see Dax playing at a really high level right now.


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[Assistant] Top one, they have a case as a top one team in the league. Uhm, are we talking the NFC or just the, or the, or the entire? Dealers choice.


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[Assistant] Well, the best team in the AFC is the Chiefs, and they beat the Chiefs in week one. The Eagles are of course the best team, excuse me, in the NFC, but the Eagles have a much more difficult schedule. They get the Chiefs on Monday night.


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[Assistant] Away, then they have the bills at home and the 49ers at home.


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[Assistant] Whereas the lions get the Packers on Thanksgiving in Detroit. Then they go at New Orleans and at Chicago. Like the lions could easily be 11 and two when that three game stretches over and it wouldn't be shocking if the Eagles went one and two in those games. No shade to the Eagles whatsoever. Those are just difficult games. By the way, NFL teams entering week 11.


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[Assistant] Down 10 plus points in the final five minutes of regulation.


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[Assistant] We're oh and 84 this year. Lion's the first team to pull out that win. Uh, the, the bears kicked to Kyra centers, kicked a field goal to go up. Um,


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[Assistant] Uh, what? 26, 14 with four minutes and 15 seconds left. And then Jared golf who had been absolute dookie the entire day through three picks looked way off. It looked like an RJ White had mentioned this in the picture. Like it looked like the lions might've been looking ahead breach.


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[Assistant] To the Packers on Thanksgiving thinking, all right, we got the Bay. I mean, it's hard to overlook a division opponent with Justin Fields is coming back, but the Lions just weren't like, um,


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[Assistant] They weren't like crisp like they usually are. They weren't, they weren't, um, they were making a ton of mistakes golf.


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[Assistant] Yeah, a little unlucky in terms of the picks, but just wasn't playing very well and credit to Chicago for coming out strong. But man, Detroit turned it on late. Golf hit Jameson Williams for a 34 yard touchdown. I think maybe 32 yard touchdown and then set up that final score for David Montgomery. And actually they scored it on a safety a little while later, but


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[Assistant] In general, they look great down the stretch after a really sluggish start.


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[Assistant] And I think it's interesting that to win that way.


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[Assistant] After you're involved in a shootout with the Chargers and we've seen a beat down some teams to like the Lions to me can win in a ton of different ways. They're very complete across the board and I think they have a case. I picked him to win the Super Bowl at mid season and I think they have a case to be called one of the.


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[Assistant] Three or four best teams in the league and maybe even the best team in the league when everything's cooking for them.


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[Assistant] Can anyone name who their defensive coordinator was in 1962 for the Detroit Lions? Pete Prisco. Did you read the research packet? Is it Pete Prisco? It's Don Shula.


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[Assistant] Oh, good old Don Sula. Don Sula right before he got hired by Baltimore in his first head coaching job, they would go into Miami obviously and win super bowls there, but pretty fat. Like that's how long it's been since the Lions were eight and two. Don Sula hadn't been a head coach yet.


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[Assistant] I will say that like, I mean, I was, I wrote about the lions, uh, a little bit in my, whatever my Sunday pieces. I don't think they call it sorting Sunday pile mouth. Well, I don't really care either way. Um, but just whatever they turned it, I forgot to turn it in on time too. Um, uh, very, very sick. I had a very snotty child all weekend. Um, but the,


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[Assistant] I was like thinking, I was like, am I obsessed with the Lions? I think I'm obsessed with the Lions. They're my favorite team. They're my favorite team in sports right now.


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[Assistant] Blue Brinson, you're wearing like lion's blue. Get out of here. Yeah. I wish I should just change this to like, I might buy some lion swag. I mean like Jared golf, you know, like I'm a huge Matthew Stafford fan, obviously. Wait, what?


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[Assistant] So in Stafford left the lions and it was like golf came in. I was like, um, but man, I got to tell you, I might buy a chair. I might buy, go to homage.com and buy a Jared golf, almond, almond raw state Brown, uh, NFL jam t-shirt too. That's it. That's what I'm going to do.


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[Assistant] Yeah. I mean, if the, like the lions should, so the lions are again, home again, three bay at new Orleans at Chicago versus Denver. Denver looks pretty good right now. The at Vikings at Dallas versus the Vikings.


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[Assistant] And then like two and two would be a disastrous close to that, to that run too, knowing that like Josh jobs is, is, is the quarterback. Dobbs has been fun as hell, but I mean, he's still, you know, not Kirk cousins. And so even then like total worst case, you have four and three down the stretch and you still finish. Well, I mean, what, uh,


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[Assistant] 12 and five, which is a great season for a lot of NFL teams and a really good season for Detroit. I think, I think there was a really, really strong chance that the Detroit Lions end up as the number one seed in the NFC.


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[Assistant] So, um, the, one of the cool things about the upshot at the New York times and their playoff predictor is that you can actually select number one overall seed. Like what are the chances of the lions get the number one overall seed and currently 16%.


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[Assistant] Win their next three games. It's all the way up to like 40%. It's still like, seems a little too low frankly for like just how good.


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[Assistant] Like, I guess I'm confused why it's, it's so low, but obviously if the, you know, if the 49ers beat the Eagles and then, I mean, it basically becomes a coin flip at the 49ers go one and two and the Eagles go, I mean, the Lions go three and over the next three games.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but I mean, for sure, there's definitely been three, like,


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[Assistant] Okay, Seattle at home, and in that fashion, the Baltimore's had beat down.


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[Assistant] Uh, back channel, like get the word out about his house not being his fault type of guy.


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[Assistant] Pretty wild, uh, graphic up here by the way. Uh, Brown's best 10 game starts since they came back to the NFL back to Cleveland in 1999.


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[Assistant] Five times they've gone six and four or better. Seven and three this year, of course. Seven and three in 2020. And they lost in the divisional round. That was the year they beat, uh, your Pittsburgh Steelers and the bloated courts of Ben Roethlisberger with Baker Mayfield.


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[Assistant] Uh, six and four in 2014, they missed the playoffs six and four. That was a, that was a year that was when, um, Alex Mack broke his leg. Brian Hoyer, like that, that team was dominating. Kyle Shanahan was the offensive coordinator. Uh, fun fact, Kevin O'Connell.


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[Assistant] Current Vikings coach was on that staff in 2014 and now Mike Patton, that head coach is a assistant head coach on the Vikings who played on Sunday night. Twenty two thousand seven was Brady Quinn. It was a Brady Quinn was on that team. Derek Anderson started. I believe they missed the playoffs started six or four twenty two thousand one six and four missed the playoffs. So I don't know.


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[Assistant] That I would pencil the Browns in to definitely make the playoffs. I mean, it's like the AFC. Yeah.


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[Assistant] It's probably, it's like 89% according to the upshot, so.


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[Assistant] Couple of teams back there. Like, I mean, I know Buffalo is not good. We don't like the bill.


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[Assistant] First, your Trevor Lawrence has still never seen snow, uh, versus the diverse of the bears when at the Texans versus the Jets and at the bagels eating the bagels.


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[Assistant] I think they go one and two over the next three and then close by going to two. So let's say that happens and that means that's three and four 10 and seven is 100% in.


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[Assistant] And the running game still functions, but they lost to Shawn Watson, Nick Chubb, and they're starting left tackle and starting right tackle.


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[Assistant] At Broncos, at Rams, Jaguars. I don't think those are like, I think they could go in three. I think you're three, you know, one and two to one. Any of those things are possible with the way that this Brown's team plays. If they were to lose all three games, the playoff percentages would drop to 53% according to the upshot. Whereas with a win over the Broncos this week, it would be 96% playoff percentage. Those are called breach odds. All right.


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[Assistant] Would you, would you, would you, don't you think, don't you still think Drake May would be the second overall pick and you would trade out of the spot or would you take more?


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[Assistant] Devin Singletary back-to-back 100 drive rushing games for the first time in his career. Tank Dell, Tank Dell is awesome. You know it's all Tank Dell is.


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[Assistant] Uh, he's listed as five ten on the Texans website, but he was five eight at the combine. So.


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[Assistant] Nah, I'm probably taller than Tankdale. But he plays like he's 6'4". He's awesome. Producer Harry is as tall as Tankdale.


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[Assistant] He's only a torso. I'm guessing Harry doesn't get that reference. Uh, Nico Collins, seven targets, uh, 65 yards as well in this game, a nice performance. Dalton, so it's called a touchdown. I am not worried about CJ Stroud. I think the one thing to be concerned with and Texas are six and four. They're currently tracking like a playoff team as well. I think the one thing


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[Assistant] And the Broncos and the jets. Okay. Oh yeah.


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[Assistant] They were three and anyway, I don't want to jump to the Jaguars, but like the Jaguars are three and seven in week 10 last year and then went on a heater. So I would not rule out the Jaguars. Um, if the Texas were to lose the Jaguars or Broncos, their playoff odds dropped to 27%. I mean,


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[Assistant] There's sort of, I'm just saying like every team is at this time of the year, but the Texans were a team that we didn't, we thought could be frisky in the AFC South and now like,


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[Assistant] I mean, credit, like I thought Kyler Murray and they win those two games 91% by the way. I just think that the, the Texans defense.


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[Assistant] Seven points scored in the entire second half. This is 21-10 at halftime. And the Texans basically held, Texans didn't score in the second half, which is concerning, but they held, uh, them to just one Kyler Murray, uh, touchdown and actually six points in the second half. So.


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[Assistant] I think the Texas defense can step up and they have a bunch of varied weapons. I'm a little worried about CJ shroud hitting a rookie wall, the proverbial rookie wall that price young ran into in week one.


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[Assistant] You know, I just sort of like, that's maybe my only concern, but he still played well despite the three interceptions.


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[Assistant] Well, and you could see it too, like, and the broadcast was highlighting it. Like this Texas offensive line can run block pretty well and like pass block pretty well. They had the weapons in place where it's not, you know, you don't have a, you know, you don't have your Stefan digs. You don't have your.


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[Assistant] Devante Adams. And there's no like true, like alpha alpha receiver, but the combo like Nico and tank and then Dalton Schultz.


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[Assistant] He's enough to actually function and Bobby slow is a great play caller. So.


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[Assistant] I think the Texas make the playoffs. It's just these two games are going to be critical. Like if all of a sudden you lose these two games in your.


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[Assistant] Six and six and like if you lose the Jaguars and you lose the Broncos, there's no shade in that. They're in that same category as the Texans. You lose to both of those. Then, you know, it becomes very tenuous.


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[Assistant] Given that he threw three interceptions and his, uh, MVP odds were 20 to one, I believe.


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[Assistant] Actually, they went there at 18 to 1. What do you think they're at right now?


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[Assistant] They didn't budge. 18 to 1 still, and offensive rookie of the year went from minus 1,000 to minus 2,500.


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[Assistant] I think it's with this point that that it would be a shocking twist of events for someone else to steal that award.


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[Assistant] To you like just sort of like the way he like moves and like he's just slower. It's really weird.


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[Assistant] We talked about that, but then they're at Houston at the Chargers and that's never really an away game, but you're still bouncing around the country. And then at the lions, three straight road games in December.


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[Assistant] Is tough, even if all three of those are indoors and you want it to deal with the conditions per se to close with the Patriots chargers and at the Raiders. So.


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[Assistant] I think the playoffs are not out of the question, but I don't think it's likely when you start gazing at that schedule.


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[Assistant] By the way, I just want to point out to you that, um, and this is tangentially related to the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] No, in the, in the, in the post game with, uh, Melissa Stark, um, Russell was asked, like, he's like, you know, what would tell you to talk about this game? And he's like, look, our defense has just been incredible. He goes ever since.


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[Assistant] That game or like he's raised in some way. He was referring to the 70 bomb that the dolphins dropped on the Broncos, but he like didn't want to say ever since we got 70 points scored on us. Yeah. I mean, I think, um, but to the point about Miami, they are.


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[Assistant] I don't know, man. I like, I, you watched them played. You're like, this team could score at any moment on anybody. You're like, and by the way, how do you feel at home?


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[Assistant] Incredible lowest production at home this year, week eight against New England, 112 yards and a touchdown. He had 10 catches, 146 yards and a score, which means that for the season now.


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[Assistant] Against old AFC West divisional opponents, the Broncos chargers and Raiders Tyreek Hill is going to finish with 30 catches.


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[Assistant] If they have 30 catches for 518 yards and four touchdowns in three games, that is outrageous. What he's done against those, those old opponents.


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[Assistant] He got a little banged up. David Devon Atchan came back and he got banged up as well. He had one carry and I believe a catch for four yards didn't do much. They were obviously going to be careful with him after that IR stint. I'm not going to read too much into the defense.


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[Assistant] Holding Aiden O'Connell to 13 points. They didn't give up, you know, a huge bomb to, uh, Devontae Adams, 46 yards. Great throw from O'Connell early in that game. I do believe that.


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[Assistant] Maybe sort of similar to Brian Flores in Minnesota, where there was an adjustment period to a totally new defense for a frankly, a bunch of guys, you know, Bradley Chubb came over last year, mid season via trade. Jalen Ramsey acquired this off season. You have a lot of stars being incorporated there. There's a ton of talent on this defense. Um,


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[Assistant] I think they can get, I think that it's possible that they play really good defense down the stretch because they're getting used to Vic Fangio's defense. They get Jalen Ramsey back and that this Dolphins team, uh, is a threat potentially to,


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[Assistant] I don't know if it's a threat to get the number one seat because they have that loss against the chiefs and the bills, but the jets commanders tightens jets again, Cowboys, Ravens and bills to close. I don't see why the dolphins won't finish with 11 plus wins.


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[Assistant] Like, and I don't know if this is related to an inability to run the ball because Josh Jacobs had 14 carries for 39 yards, 2.8 yards per carry. Not good.


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[Assistant] But I mean, the last two weeks against the Jets and the Giants, they were like, we're giving Josh Jacobs, I mean, just like 30 carries a game. And this week they really got away from it. Aiden O'Connell passed the ball 41 times. Like if Aiden O'Connell is throwing the football 41 times, your defense is going to look really, really good.


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[Assistant] So like that's, that's why like I don't, I think everything about.


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[Assistant] Vic Fangio, Jalen Ramsey, my boy Bradley Chubb, like Jalen Phillips had a great game. Like they were swarming Aiden O'Connell. Everything about it makes sense that this defense could be really, really good, but I just have a hard time.


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[Assistant] How many yards, how many yards per pass attempt did, uh, did you lock average in his little stint in this game? I believe the answer. I believe the answer is 0.5.


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[Assistant] Well, Kenneth Walker got hurt too, and Zach Charbonneau had to come in, and that definitely hurt things for the Seahawks.


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[Assistant] Okay, I'm curious just real quickly on the Seahawks. When, when Aaron Donald hit Geno Smith, what was your first thought?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Ouch. My shoulder was dislocated.


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[Assistant] My first immediate thought was, I need to Google that YouTube clip from week one where he's like, OH MY GOD!


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[Assistant] I also was like, man, Gina Smith might be dead. Like if that's the end for Eugene, if that's the end for Eugene, Cheryl Smith, the third, I'm very sad. Don't write them off. Matthew Stafford took a big hit as well in this game. Um, was stayed down for a little bit, came back in.


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[Assistant] I mean, like you can say whatever you want about Matthew Stafford. Dude is tough as nails. Like he might be the toughest player in the NFL. I've never seen anybody like deal with, like deal with it, like the level of injury that he deals with, um, and not say a word about it only to leak it out after the season's over, uh, more than, than Matthew Stafford does. And I think it's actually show much better at least it out. Nevertheless, uh,


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[Assistant] I have a koozie back here that says, keep calm and rip shirt.


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[Assistant] That's my buddy Zeke who, uh, who's notorious for actually ripping his shirt off.


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[Assistant] Absolutely. Right. Why would the Rams not be? I mean, the Rams are the.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] The, the FC is wide open at the bottom. The Rams are four and six.


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[Assistant] Vikings just fell to six and five. The Rams have a sweep. So they have the tiebreaker over Seattle who's at six and four, just two games up on them. And they have what I wouldn't call an easy schedule.


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[Assistant] But it's not an impossible schedule. Cardinals next week at Arizona. Obviously a must win game. Get to five and six. The other Browns at home. They're going to be starting during Thompson DTR, right? Isn't it too tough games? Why don't you?


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[Assistant] At Baltimore, that's probably a loss. The Washington, Washington, the saints, the giants.


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[Assistant] That's great. Those are four games they should win. You steal against Cleveland and you hope San Francisco is resting their players at the end.


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[Assistant] I mean, they might be, they might be six and seven. I think they'll win one of the 49ers games just because it's like divisional battle. Um, it's at Dallas too.


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[Assistant] Like I think two and two is a two and two is a.


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[Assistant] Can you name the only team in NFL history?


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[Assistant] To lose to Tyra Taylor and Tommy Devito in the same season.


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[Assistant] Yeah, like c'mon. Dude, Ron Rivera is about to be the first coach to ever be fired by two consecutive owners, new owners following an ownership scandal where the owner was forced to sell. It's, but they won't, I don't think they'll do it mid season.


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[Assistant] Ron Rivera came into the season knowing that he was, had to make the playoffs, he was gonna get fired.


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[Assistant] I think and now he's four and seven. He's one game up on the Giants have to be swept by the Giants again. Tyron Taylor and an undrafted free agent. Tommy DeVito, arguably the worst quarterback in football right now. Um, Sam Howell is still throwing a bunch of back breaking picks.


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[Assistant] Look, look, when you pay multiple billions of dollars for professional sports franchise, you're allowed to move on from the coach and Ron Rivera is not giving Josh Taylor. Wow. Isn't anything to be worried about.


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[Assistant] I think he was, I would be stunned if the guy, the guys who took over for Dan Snyder fired a coach mid-season in their first year. No, not mid-season, but let me ask you something. Come January 15th, he should coach the commandos.


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[Assistant] I mean, what's, what's black? Whatever Black Monday is, Ron Rivera's is getting, is getting, it's the eight a.m. press release special. Like, like fire the emergency podcast right now. Good. Harry, create the stream yard link for the eight a.m. Ron Rivera's fired Monday morning emergency podcast. It's happening.


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[Assistant] Don't you think it's like a weird thing to fire?


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[Assistant] Wait, wait, wait. David Tepper gave Ron Rivera a year and then fired him midway, midway through the season his second year, right? Adam, David Tepper fires and hires so many people it's hard to keep up.


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[Assistant] I just think, I just think you're like, you're replacing Dan Snyder and you are going to be able to have like, this is an attractive job now, this off season, because it's Washington, you're going to have a high pick. Uh, it's a great market. There's rumors about Bill Belichick. You don't want to like fire a guy like Ron Rivera, who's notoriously like a good person in the middle of the season.


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[Assistant] If you fire somebody mid-season, it, it can turn candidates off. Okay.


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[Assistant] Going 27 of 40 for 322 yards, two touchdowns, no picks and a 108.5 passer rating. Despite generally looking like one of the worst quarterbacks, starting quarterbacks in the NFL over the previous month. Uh, just curious your thoughts on that, Brandon.


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[Assistant] Erin, Erin Jones got hurt. Jordan Love has been awful for weeks.


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[Assistant] It's inexplicable. Justin Herbert is the Chargers leading rusher. Well, Eckler.


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[Assistant] Chargers are at 11% on the upshots, uh, odds. Those are four and six. They play the Ravens next. Yeah.


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[Assistant] I said that new ownership in their first year, it would be unusual. Brandon Staley, not as unusual.


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[Assistant] Now, interestingly, they have the Ravens first. I agree with that too. I think that the Spanish are too cheap.