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[Assistant] Right, Pete in my ear is going surgicality, and that's right. He's no longer into wait, I'm always looking for the big play, the magical play. After last week, making a few mistakes, played it by the book this game. And I can't lie, this is like one of those games where


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[Assistant] I gotta go back and watch it a little bit, because it just felt like Kansas City controlled the game.


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[Assistant] And he, he referenced right, well the unforced errors the Chiefs made. Yea, the Chiefs are an unforced error type of team. This is the one thing that's scary about them. You know, they can kind of...


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[Assistant] They, they moved, they would move the ball and they felt like, Oh, they're on fringe field goal range. And I'd be watching another game and go, Oh damn, they didn't get the first down. They got a punt.


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[Assistant] You know, so they did a lot of that, but then I think between the Pacheco fumble and then they were driving when Juju Smith Schuster fumbled that went through a long review, and those led to two touchdown drives for the Texans. And yea, some bad penalties to go along with it.


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[Assistant] So that's where the Chiefs can be a little sloppy. They can be undisciplined. They can turn the ball over because they're such a playmaking crew. But yea, it's still one where I'd like to go back, I know the two turnovers, but it still even felt with the two turnovers, I kept like thinking like,


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[Assistant] They should be up by more. Like, what's going on? Did I miss something? And I feel like it was just drives that fizzled out. And then you talk about a missed extra point and a missed fuel goal.


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[Assistant] And you turn the ball over twice like that, well that's how games get really close and, uh, I think people are sleepwalking when they play the Texans a little here as of lately.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they, I mean, they were off early. It almost felt like the cold and wind of Chicago kind of like threw them off their game a little. Especially Jalen Hurts early in the game. Eagles should be built for that. Well, I know. I don't know what it was and it just, it's like it affected their passing game or his feel in the passing game early. He missed some...


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[Assistant] And he threw two bad interceptions that we haven't seen him really throw like, throw like that all year. He missed a AJ Brown early for like a wide open touchdown, where I go, oh man, we usually see him always give the guy a chance. So he was off his game a little bit early. They controlled the game, but like to your point, and like we talked about this a little bit before the podcast, like,


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[Assistant] You can control the game against the Bears, but not being in control because of this Justin Fields. It's amazing. He's like, I'm done. I will never bet against. I took the Eagles to cover the spread in this one.


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[Assistant] And I kept going, oh, I feel good. It's every big moment. Hey, it's 3rd and 14. They got him. They're up. They're up by 11. They're gonna get the ball back here and then they're gonna blow him away. And then it's 3rd and 14 and he f-


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[Assistant] You know, uh, 57, I'm blanking on his name, the middle linebacker for the Eagles, Darius Slay here, uh, he's, he's in the mid, they're, they're all over him. And he's just like, oh wait, hold on, stop, go outside of him.


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[Assistant] Boom, who's 57? TJ Edwards. TJ Edwards. Excuse me, who's an athletic linebacker out of Wisconsin? Like, it's not like the Eagles are a slow defense.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's, that was the amazing, them being off, the amazement of him, uh, I think that, that led to the game being a little closer than Ego's family.


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[Assistant] But he's just not my MVP. Like I said, I just, you know, again, I'm, and I understand how the award goes. It goes to a lot of the times the top team in football and that quarterback. I just, yes, again, he's done a great job. He certainly deserves to be in the conversation. I agree with that.


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[Assistant] But, I just look at teams like the Chiefs and the Bills and go...


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[Assistant] Those teams would not even be where they are with the guys they got at quarterback. So that's where it's just a little different. He is more of a supporting cast, and there's nothing wrong with that.


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[Assistant] But it is my job to think, talk about what I think with MVP, and I do know a lot about football, and I don't, like, I'm not gonna discredit myself because of a fan base thinks I'm, I'm wrong. And again, too, the game could not be made easier. I mean, again, just think about the plays and throws we saw yesterday. Just throw it up, and my guy catches it.


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[Assistant] Once I saw SportsCenter put it on Instagram on Thursday night, I was sitting there at dinner with my family and I went, oh shit, here we go. Like I knew it was about to, the flood of comments and then Friday.


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[Assistant] Big win though, big win. And, you know, the other part of the game too, where I forgot, not only the interceptions, but I forgot, you know, Miles Sanders fumbled at one point, backed up, you know, and gave the Bears a short field. Uh, so they, they made some mistakes in this football game that we haven't seen them make, and that allowed the Bears to kind of hang around.


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[Assistant] No, no. It's a weird one because like, it doesn't, didn't necessarily seem like it was great high level play as far as the comeback either. Nor, I think the other problem with it is it's like,


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[Assistant] It was their mistakes in the first half and the Colts didn't really drive the ball ever in the first half other than maybe one drive, right? It was all just the turnovers and everything like that to set up the short field.


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[Assistant] Pretty much. They, I mean they really were to a degree. You, you saw that. They just kept shooting themselves in the foot in just about all areas of the, of the game there. And that was the issue. So that's where it was like, it wasn't like Houston-Buffalo back in 1992 playoffs where I could still sit there and remember just going, wait no.


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[Assistant] Houston dominated the first half and the early 30, third quarter and then.


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[Assistant] Like, Buffalo truly dominated the second half, so there was like no mistakes, it was just one team got hot and outplayed the other. This was like...


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[Assistant] And then in the second half, they just started to play to their capabilities, and then the other team started to do dumb shit that you go, oh wait, this is a guy that was working at ESPN for a few weeks, er, for a few years, and now he's coaching the team. And the way they handled the second half, I thought was pretty horrible as well.


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[Assistant] I mean, so, and then, what other thing that drove me crazy here?


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[Assistant] Is, the refs got too involved in my opinion. This is one of the worst ref games I can ever remember watching.


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[Assistant] Everything, the personal fouls on four straight. It's like the game, the Colts got up and they were like, we're going to start calling penalties on the Colts.


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[Assistant] Right? It was. And Pete texts me, he's like, I feel like this game's like NFL Blitz now.


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[Assistant] Where NFL blitz, the video game, you used to get up by like 14 points and you can never get up by more than that. That your guy was gonna fumble if you're gonna go up for three touchdowns. He was gonna fumble. You're gonna throw an interception somehow. Even if the guy was wide open. Right? So. Computer assist. Right. It felt like that a little bit.


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[Assistant] I mean, come on, some of the personal foul calls, they called them the Colts.


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[Assistant] Ridiculous. Ridiculous. The guy one time got called for a personal foul, he hit him with the back of his nameplate. He tried to take his head out of the play, so they called him for a personal foul. You know, a bad decision by Kirk Cousins on a five yard pass to Justin Jefferson. And he throws in the double coverage.


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[Assistant] I guess we're at the point where the defenders literally aren't allowed to tackle the receivers anymore like that. They just have to let them catch it and run for a few more yards and then they rally and tackle. I don't know what you're supposed to do. So that bothered me too. But there were some calls that went against the Vikings. Then there were some calls in the end, yes, where you started to go, holy shit, they're fucking Vikings here.


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[Assistant] Uh, it was just an unbelievable, and I found the game more annoying than enjoyable. Is that weird?


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[Assistant] That's where it's, I don't think this game will ever get the credit for the fact that it was like 33 point game because of the cults being stupid and the referees being annoying.


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[Assistant] And it just didn't feel like it was dominant. I guess, I don't know, I guess I'm, maybe I'm off, maybe I'm up.


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[Assistant] In the NFL, 17 point leads are just nothing anymore. It's nothing. I mean, between teams going forward too much and forward down...


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[Assistant] The way the refs call the game when one team gets up too much, it's like 17 point lead is, it's, it's just, it's, it's just amazing. The whole year, forget the Vikings, we see them everywhere. Every weekend we have two or three games where 17 point leads are gone in a matter of quarter.


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[Assistant] And it's hard to kind of put your finger on it, but yeaah, they're scary. Because once the Vikings kind of get the green light, they're like, we're going to drop back and we're going to start forcing the issue to Justin Jefferson and company. That's kind of when they get on their game. But here's the other thing too. We gotta hit this. Quarterback sneak.


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[Assistant] With the frailest, weakest quarterback in football, don't love the call. Okay. Also don't love that they stop forward progress. I've never seen a quarterback sneak forward progress stop that quickly. And then again, I could show you six quarterback sneaks yesterday where the same thing happened and they let the pile be pushed for another five seconds and the, and the quarterback got a four yard gain.


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[Assistant] And this one, they literally stopped it, like, as soon as he got into the scrum, which, that was weird.


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[Assistant] I would say the second thing is kick the freaking field goal and go up by two scores with the long field goal. And I understand that's a debatable one, but here was my other issue in the second half. I know they didn't overthrow in the second half.


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[Assistant] It's the sequencing of how they did it was the problem. They threw the ball too much on first down.


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[Assistant] That would be my problem. You know, and sometimes, hey, that's good. You try to catch them off guard because they think we're going to run it. But there was too many first down throws that now led to the defense going, well, they got to run it here on second down because they're not going to throw a three straight plays. So they can now play, wait, they're going to run the ball here because they got nothing on the first down in completion.


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[Assistant] So now they run it, and the defense plays a run defense, and they get no gain, and then they get the third down again, they gotta throw it again. And it'll be incomplete. They, they shot themselves in the foot and left so much more time on the clock than it needed to be, and I really thought the game was pretty poorly managed in the second half by the Colts and Jeff Saturday. So much for not spending too much time on the clock.


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[Assistant] Exactly, that's just how I feel. I'm not going to disagree with that comment. To your point too where you just said they played in the three best, you know why they played in the three best games ever? Because it's like their defense isn't dominant and they rely on one guy to just play with his ass and hair on fire and make the game happen for the team. You know, the, the, the bills are just, they're not a


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[Assistant] Dominant, physical, physically gifted team. They're not as physically gifted as the Miami Dolphins. You saw that. And again, this is what worries me about the Bills. I know they can get to the Super Bowl, but it's just, man, it's hard because it's on one guy to make just magic happen all the time. All the time.


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[Assistant] And, uh, yeaah, I don't know, but this game was a lot of fun. It had a great look, it really was. Uhm, I, I mean, them staring down the barrel of being down 8 points late, that clutch drive to score, get the 2 point conversion, it was just Josh Allen at his finest, it really was.


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[Assistant] For me, that's why he's, him and my home's kinda stand above. And then I'd put Borough third and Hertz fourth as far as how I would kinda look at the MVP right now.


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[Assistant] No, here's the other thing too that I think is good for the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] Uh, I really think there is a silver lining for the Dolphins to go, I mean, we shot ourselves in the foot and left plays out on the field against the 49ers. The Chargers had a good game plan and played well and we still had chances to win the football game and didn't play our best.


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[Assistant] And then they're going to be able to say the same thing about this one. And I think they answer the questions of like, hey, we can go up and play in the cold and not worry about it and still be explosive and a dangerous offense.


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[Assistant] So I think from that standpoint, you know, I think this can be still a positive for the Dolphins going forward. I really look at it and go, I think it's just all gonna come down to them versus the Jets in week 18. And that's gonna be awesome. I do. And Sunday night football. I mean, it could be. That could end up being the Sunday night game.


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[Assistant] But I look at their schedule, Packers, Patriots, and Dolphins, and I clearly think they're better than both of those football teams. I expect them to win.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and you know, that Jets game will be dicey, but I'm a believer in the Dolphins, and I'm a believer still that if they get in the playoffs, they can be one of those teams that can upset.


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[Assistant] You know, the apple cart to a degree, and we might not get our Borough, Allens, Mahomes matchups in the, because of a team like this. They just, they put the pressure on you in every phase of the game.


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[Assistant] And you saw that even with their defense. It's just their playmakers, they were all over Josh Allen. There they are once again with no running game. We got to rely on Josh Allen. It's too Josh Allen centric. It is.


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[Assistant] And that's where the Von Miller thing also comes back to hurt them too. Cause he was one guy that could, hey, I can make a few sacks or plays at the end of the game to take the pressure off Josh. So he doesn't always have to drive us down on a 15 play, 90 yard drive to win the game.


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[Assistant] So that's, that's where I get concerned about Buffalo. Uhm, it's just, it's one guy and then there they were playing a team that's got


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[Assistant] A lot more than one guy, and somehow they won the football game. But it was a great game.


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[Assistant] They need Lamar, he's a big part of what they do, right? Their defense, to answer the question, is not a Super Bowl defense, no. They've been better, they're good, uh, but they need, yeaah, they need the offense to be better. And yeaah, you're missing your best player on your football team, definitely. Right? And, no, that game,


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[Assistant] I wasn't disappointed with the Ravens in that game. I think that game unfolded just how the Ravens kind of wanted to play it. I mean, we can boil it down to really, to me, two things.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, it's 6-3, Justin Tu- I think the most shocking thing of the whole weekend, more than the Vikings coming back at the Colts, was Justin Tucker missing a 20-something yard field goal before the end of the first half. Wait, what? Yeaah. He missed a chip shot. Field goal.


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[Assistant] To tie the game at 6 at the end of the first half.


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[Assistant] It was like, it was unbelievable. It was one of those Ahmed where I was literally like picking off the snacks off my table in my family room going, all right, here's the half. He's going to knock it in.


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[Assistant] Let me bring these out to the kitchen and halftime, let me go get another drink or whatever else. And I heard them go, no good! And I was like, what?


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[Assistant] And I had a run back in there. So that wasn't a chip shot. What was it? It was a 48 yard full bullet time. It was a chip shot for him. I did think it was closer than that, I'm not gonna lie. Uh, okay, so I was a little wrong there. But I was shocked by it nonetheless. He missed a 48 yarder and then later in the game had a 50 yarder blocked.


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[Assistant] Right, so that was a big moment, but okay, so missing that field goal, and sorry I overstated that a little bit, okay, so maybe my drink was affecting my thought of where they were on the field.


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[Assistant] They played this game to win 13-10, 16-13, right Amit? That's how you, didn't you think that's how that game would be if they were going to win the game? So there they go, they go on an 8 minute drive to start the third quarter. They get down there inside the 5.


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[Assistant] Interception to Denzel Ward? I mean, so there's, there's six, ten points left off the board in a game where we know it was gonna be a kind of a field goal fest.


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[Assistant] You know, that's where they drop the ball in that game and, uh, they need Lamar back to your point. Yeah, when is he coming back?


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[Assistant] No, it's not. It's kind of like, hey, we hope we'll be back in a few weeks, but here we are a few weeks later and it's like


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[Assistant] Still doesn't sound like it's coming around the corner here. So, uh, we'll see. But the other good thing is, you did see the run game a little again.


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[Assistant] Right? That's, that's the encouraging thing. That I think the run game is starting to really get going for them and hopefully they can get Lamar back before the playoffs here to get the pass game, you know, going in the right direction as well to where it can all kind of gel together for a


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[Assistant] That game is why I couldn't pick the Panthers, even though I felt like, hey, they got a little momentum. I just go, wait, we're gonna...


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[Assistant] Play run the ball and tough defense? Like that's just, that game's made for Pittsburgh. That's what they want to do. So it was, you know, a good win for them. The defense was awesome pretty much throughout the day. Run game was good.


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[Assistant] And Churbisky took care of the ball, unlike last week, and made some plays in the passing game. Just a good, well-rounded, tough physical football game by the Pittsburgh Steelers, and, uh, I give them credit for the way they play week in and week out.


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[Assistant] It's the one thing Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh got very good within the short passing game, run for three, run for two, short pass, run for four. I mean, oh, here's a speed sweep to give us a run for eight or 10. You know, they, they have their little formula for, they know what their team is and yeah, they just.


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[Assistant] You know, beat the Panthers in a style of football where they're like, hey, you guys are just learning how to play this way. We've been doing this for a long time.


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[Assistant] We're the Pittsburgh Steelers. We'll show you how it's done. And that's kind of just how the game felt. And Carolina not being able to capitalize a few times when they were down there close, having to settle for field goals, not kick touchdowns inside the, you know, five and 10 yard line a few times. Pittsburgh's defense stingy. It's, it's, it's,


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[Assistant] You know, it's, it's where last week I was a little surprised that Baltimore ran the ball on Pittsburgh. This is what I was expecting to see last week, but yeah, good for Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh just doesn't die and that's because of the leadership of Mike Tomlin and the toughness and energy he brings to that organization on a daily basis.


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[Assistant] I know. Oddly enough, the guy he reminds me of that used to do this a little bit was Brandon Marshall. The first time I threw a short route to Brandon Marshall, I was like,


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[Assistant] What's this guy doing? Cause he turned around and he was like, I'm just gonna bash whatever DB comes at me and just throw their head into the ground. And uh, he's amazing that way. He really is. He's physical, he's tough, and uh, he really fits the mantra.


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[Assistant] But here's a conversation just real quick, like go off of this, like, this is what's weird to me.


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[Assistant] About the NFL draft, right? And just to hit on this, cause we're hitting on Najee Harris.


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[Assistant] Like, what's the difference between Brian Robinson and Najee Harris?


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[Assistant] This is where my, like my whole thing, I know I was a little lower on Najee than most people. And I would think I was higher on Bryan Robinson. But this is what craze, kills me about the NFL draft. It's like, Najee had all this hype out of Alabama, so he's a first round pick.


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[Assistant] Brian Robinson didn't. He's got the same skill set and is maybe faster and better in the open field. He's just as big.


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[Assistant] But he's a third round pick. I just, I don't understand it sometimes. It's just interesting to me. Cause I'm sitting there watching those games yesterday going...


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[Assistant] Like, Brian Robinson's every bit as good as Najee Harris, but for some reason he was viewed as a third-rounder. And it's just, it's the hype of situations sometimes that drive me crazy. Sorry, that was just a little food for thought.


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[Assistant] The need for Shaheed. They needed him. Long touchdown. Oh, he's a big play. All year long he's been one of the big play players for the New Orleans Saints. Like a pleasant surprise. A little, you know, nice addition to Chris Olavi and the group they got there in New Orleans.


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[Assistant] I think if you just had to like, sum up the game. I mean, Andy Dalton, Taysom Hill, excuse me. Big plays on the pass game, early.


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[Assistant] Got them going. Got the lead going. It seemed like they were in total control of the game. But in typical Falcons fashion, all of a sudden, like third quarter, the run game started to just absolutely dominate. And every time I'm looking over there, I'm going,


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[Assistant] There goes, there goes Algier for 10 yards. There goes Cordero for 7 yards. There goes Algier for 8 yards. And I'm going, they couldn't run the ball at all in the first half, it didn't seem like. And now they're just going up and down the field.


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[Assistant] And then Desmond Ritter got a little confidence and made a few plays and all of a sudden you're going, holy crap, are they really going to go drive down the field here and kick a game tying field goal? It just felt like New Orleans was in control of the football game.


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[Assistant] But, uh, Atlanta's, yeaah, they don't ever die either. And, uh, it got unfortunate. Desmond Ritter threw a nice ball to Drake London, London fumbled.


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[Assistant] Definitely, it's, you know, quarterback plays him a good, tough situation, gotta go into New Orleans, play that defense, it does a lot of different stuff. Yeaah, he missed some throws.


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[Assistant] He definitely looked a little, you know, on edge in the pocket. Got unlucky. I mean, man, Allante Taylor dropped a 95 yard interception return that hit him in the chest. He dropped another one to start the third quarter where he didn't get his feet down.


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[Assistant] So, yeaah, it was, it was a little, a little all over the place and, you know, the one aspect I forgot too, the Saints were kind of controlling the game and David Johnson fumbled as they were going into score one time. That kind of gave Atlanta a second breath of fresh air, uh, that, that kind of kept them in the game and maybe halted the blowout.


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[Assistant] I mean, Russ must have been sitting there on the sideline going, I mean, we haven't today. We're going to run the ball like at will on this team. Like, Oh, I don't play now. We're now the game's going to become easy and we're going to dominate the run game. He must have been over there. Like what the


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[Assistant] Like I, I would have, I would have had a big day today with play action pass and some of the stuff that Arizona was being aggressive in the line of scrimmage trying to stop the run and they were still gashing them. Uhm, ugly football game and


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[Assistant] Felt like it was over once Colt McCoy got hurt. You were just like, ah, I don't think they're going to be able to hang in there.


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[Assistant] I didn't feel like they were going to be able to orchestrate enough offense. It was tough already with Colt McCoy against that good Denver defense. Uhm, and then once he went out, yeaah. And that's a tough spot for McSorley to get thrown into. He hasn't played all year and you gotta play that defense in Denver.


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[Assistant] That's it. I mean, there's three games left in the year and the whole league's still available to make the playoffs. Except for what? Three teams? Four teams?


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[Assistant] Yeah, playoffs and beyond. Yeah, they're definitely one of these teams that it's going to be an interesting offseason to see what they're going to do. I mean, it's a, it's a, it's a team that has been built around the offense and the coach and the quarterback and the offense is underwhelmed and big moments the last few years. That's just plain and simple, you know?


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[Assistant] When their early season tricks or a few new wrinkles they have get caught onto at the end of the year or whatever. We've seen that all, you know, be an issue and they can't win games late in the year. This year they never got it going. You know, they are a lot of money on the offense and the defense is clearly the best unit on the team.


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[Assistant] Uh, that's where it's, it's, it is a little concerning. I'd be interested to see what they do. And then now you add in this whole Steve Kime


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[Assistant] Sean Kugler thing where, you know, the offensive line coach, he got fired for allegedly groping somebody in Mexico City, and now there's these rumors that maybe they mistaken.


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[Assistant] You know, dysfunction of the Cardinals and what they've had going on here the last year.


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[Assistant] So that's where I just look at it and we know that, you know, the Packers kind of conservative. I am excited. Maybe they'll be different tonight.


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[Assistant] You know, off of bye week and it sounds like Dobbs and Watson are both going to be in the lineup or receiver. So that's going to be the first time all year. We're going to kind of get to see that element.


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[Assistant] You know, Watson clearly showing like he's one of the most explosive people in football. Dobbs is really good before he got hurt. Uh, I'm excited to see that. And then the Baker Mayfield element here.


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[Assistant] You know, hey, yeaah, he's had 11 days. He'll be, he was in the, this is an offense again, as I tried to explain the four wheel last week or a little bit is just, he's, this, the terminology and the rules of the offense, he's been in this offense his whole career. He's just got to learn to switch some words over. Oh, McVeigh calls it this. My old coach called it that.


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[Assistant] And he's just gotta learn that process, but, uh, I would think that...


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[Assistant] You know, they can make a few plays tonight on the Packers defense, but I expect the Packers in the cold at home to kinda gut it out and win a tough game. Would be pretty cool though.


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[Assistant] Oh, is he crazy? I mean, last Thursday night was crazy enough. If he does this here, holy cow, he'll become a legend.


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[Assistant] So say you bet $100 on Aaron Jones to score the first TD tonight, which is the most popular bet on MGM right now. If you win, you'll get $550. But if you lose, you'll still get $100 worth of free Brett's, Ahmed. Okay, Brett's? Brett's. Brett's and Brett's. Brett's Farbs against his old team. Ah, don't bring up Brett Farbs.


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[Assistant] Don't go crazy. Just make enough to make the game interesting and make you a little nervous. Don't go beyond that. Don't go beyond that. Let's not go to the point where we're, you know, slugging down a bottle of whiskey because we're like, oh gosh, I might lose my house. Don't look like Chris on Saturday.


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[Assistant] You'll like that. Lots of things. That was it. We did it. Wow. We did it. Full slate. Full slate. All we got is full slates from here on out, slugger.


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[Assistant] I mean, Decemberfest continues. I love it. I really do. This week, Saturday, more games, right? I mean, get to sit on the couch on Christmas Eve, watch games, do the same thing I did last week. Except more Christmas festivities are going to be going on. And you'll be working on Christmas? I will be working on Christmas, which absolutely sucks. There's no way around that.


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[Assistant] Especially when there's going to be another game going on during your pre-game show. That kind of stinks. But either way, we'll be here to bring the Christmas joy to the fans. Wednesday, check us out. You know it. Ahmed Sims will be back in effect. Treasure Hunter.


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[Assistant] Right? We'll dive deep into a few of these games that I think deserve a little...


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[Assistant] You know, more investigating, a little more digging. Sure. We'll do that and, uh,


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[Assistant] I'm sure Ahmed will have a few creative, snarky things to bring to the table on Wednesday as always. Two. I'm planning on two. Two things. That's it. Just two. Alright. Peace out everybody. Enjoy the Monday Night Football game. Again, enjoy happy holidays to everybody out there. Enjoy the week. It's a great week. Family, friends, be happy, be merry. Clap it up.


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] Have you ever drinking out of a ravine? Have you ever done it? Drinking? Drinking? Have I ever been drinking? Have you ever been dumb enough to be drinking out of a ravine? I've never drank out of a ravine. I have. I have not. I have. I have not.


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[Assistant] I didn't get drunk, but I drank some water out of a ravine in New Jersey once. I did. I don't know. I'm here. I don't know. It could have affected me. Certainly.


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[Assistant] It's New Jersey. There's a bunch of like testosterone and like some HGH and some steroids and some hair gel.


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[Assistant] See, you might have been getting a guy from Jersey who might have actually known. So he might have been like, no, no, I was part of that construction group. Then he's in the old place. He's in the old stadium. Maybe they're really telling you something there.


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[Assistant] But either way, that helped you win the straight up. That's actually from my high school days right there. That's the old, uhm, the, yes, the, the Bergen record athlete of the week award I got, uh, in high school game playing old topan high school. I had a good day that day, Mike, you know, it was like,


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[Assistant] You know, through three or four touchdown passes. I think I ran one in that day too. So if you won athlete of the week.


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[Assistant] It was a really big deal in New Jersey. The Bergen Records, the biggest local newspaper up there along with the Star Ledger. And you go into their building and they draw a picture of you. And then when it comes Tuesday of that week, they release this for the athlete of the week. So it was, uh, cool. And, uh, I don't know where these guys found that, but thank you.


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[Assistant] Uh, well, you know, it's, it's not horrible. Um, but, but yeah, I got some teams like that too. I'm going to go with the Falcons tonight. I am. I just


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[Assistant] You know, I don't know, last week kind of felt like this from me, just from the pasta and meatballs outside looking in 10,000 feet above whatever view. I could see last week kind of being the...


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[Assistant] Alright, we're officially kind of a beaten puppy from the Carolina Panthers, or a beaten, you know, kitty cat, I should say, if we want to keep it within the right animal family here, okay? They lost their roar, now it's just a little meow. That was a butt whoopin' they got last week, and I do worry about that, and the way their run defense looks,


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[Assistant] You know, Atlanta, again, we know can run the football. I don't expect it to be a shootout like we saw the first game where fourth quarter, it kind of just went all over the place. But I just have more faith in Atlanta as a football team. And again, I'm still not, you know,


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[Assistant] Thrilled with the Carolina offense, of course doubt what's there to be thrilled about. I have more faith in Atlanta's defense, stopping the run and doing that. And of course I have faith in Arthur Smith and his ability to run the football on that side with Marcus Mariota. So I'm taking Falcons 24 17 tonight.


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[Assistant] That's right. We know. Yeah, you said it right. We know they can, they can lose anybody, but they got a stretch coming up to where you look at it and you go, well, they're not like outclassed here by any of these teams on the, on the, on the schedule to where they might be able to make a big run. I give them a lot of credit. There's some toughness to that football team.


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[Assistant] And I do think just, you know, ultimately that run game will, will punish.


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[Assistant] Uh, a Carolina defense that lacks big people other than Derrick Brown. You know, that's the one thing I think is I look more like with Matt Ruhl and how he built the team a little bit, maybe a too little bit of a college-y speed length type of team to where there's not enough


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[Assistant] Big people to stop some of the last week Joe mixing up the middle, you know, constantly. And that's, that's an issue for, for the Carolina defense.


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[Assistant] Wait, first off, I got a comment on, so they're not going to, so it's actually that distance and they're both flying the same direction.


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[Assistant] I did not understand that at first, okay, when reading it. I thought that they were going to go over the Pacific and it wasn't that much of a difference. So just because they're out to the northern part of the globe there, that's why. Okay, I got it. Thank you. Using my big brain.


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[Assistant] Yup, using my big brain there. But uhm, one, you know, I'm excited about this football game.


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[Assistant] Two, yes, I think this is somewhat of a favorable or a good matchup for the Bucs. This is a game they can win closely and I'm going to pick them to win it closely. I am.


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[Assistant] I haven't picked the Seattle Seahawks to win all year and I can't start here. I'm not going to start today.


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[Assistant] Uh, I'm not, even though, you know, I should have picked him. I know that, but Tampa's defense, I think with them being healthy, I think they're going to give this Seattle offense problems. And then Seattle's defense, even though it's not as bad as in years past, again, I don't know if I look at it to go, Ooh, it's dominant enough to really


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[Assistant] Give problems to this Tampa offense. I mean, I know nothing's easy for Tampa's offense here. I get that, but I don't think they're going to be overwhelmed by Seattle here. So I think this is a game that's going to come down to the very end and I'm going to go with the team that


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[Assistant] I think with the quarterback and the team that's, you know, battle tested, I'm going to go with Tampa Bay here, 23-20.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I'm, I'm interested in this game. I mean, here's the thing, like, do we think the Vikings are going to be able to run the ball, you know, on the Bills, like we've seen the Jets last week and, and the, you know, the Packers at the end of that game before that, you know, what do you, what's your thoughts there? You think they're going to be able to pull that off and run the ball down this Bills defense?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I know. And I'm gonna take the bills to win no matter what. I am. Now...


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[Assistant] I'm gonna play a little bit of the desperation thing here, you know, not playing well last week, the way their defense was, you know, run on late in the football game, that they're gonna kind of buck up and do something here.


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[Assistant] You know, uh, I do worry about, uh, you know, kind of what you brought up. If the Vikings do have some success in running the ball, the, the Bills are in big trouble because then it is going to be the play action, Justin Jefferson and Thielen and Hawkinson and it'll be too much for them to stop. And we've seen that formula hurt Buffalo before and years past.


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[Assistant] That's why they got killed by the Colts last year, and the year before that, barely beat them in the playoffs, because there was a little of like, whoa, we can't stop their power run game, and now it opens up all this other stuff. And I do, but I'm gonna still go with what I've thought all year, that this is a different Bills football team, you know, and, and, and that


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[Assistant] Yeaah. You know, the one thing I didn't check is Matt Milano's status to the football game. Is he gonna be back? Is he still out? Do we know that for sure?


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[Assistant] Uhm. Don't know. You know, that'll make a difference. Especially, you know, going sideline to sideline of Dalvin Cook and all that. Yeaah, so he was at practice. I don't know, there's a part of me in my heart of hearts that thinks Josh Allen will play.


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[Assistant] If I had to say Josh Allen's in a play, I'm gonna go like Bill's 28, Viking's 20. If he doesn't play,


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go, I would like to go like Bill's 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Something like that. That's kinda like how I look at it. You gotta pick one. I know. You gotta pick one. I know. So I'm gonna take, I'm gonna take them to cover the spread no matter what. I'm just gonna go 2420 here at Bills.


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[Assistant] And, uh, I think they're gonna win. Even if Josh Allen's not there, I think Case Keenan will execute the passing offense enough and the defense will keep him in it till they'll get it done.


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[Assistant] Well, I wouldn't, I could see this, you know, being a shootout. I really could. I mean, I think we're going to see a.


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[Assistant] Uh, the Bears, it, it, their struggles build on defense right now. Let alone, we know the Lions are good enough in the passing game to where you just can't disregard it.


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[Assistant] And then the, the, the, the other thing or one of the coolest stories in football is just the emergence of this quarterback design run, uh, by the Chicago Bears and what it's done for Justin Fields and their offense. It's changed them. I mean,


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[Assistant] The first four or five, six weeks of the year, we were literally like, I don't know, can Chicago get to 17 today? Can they get to 20?


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[Assistant] And then they score what? 33 against New England and then 29 against the Cowboys and then 32 last week against the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] I just have a hard time thinking they're not going to move the ball up and down the field on Detroit. You know, and then with the fact of it being in Chicago, I'm going to go with the Bears here to win the football game 31-24.


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[Assistant] I mean, of course I like the Chiefs. I do. But...


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[Assistant] The Jags, I think, posed some problems here for the Chiefs. They can do a little bit of everything on the defensive side of the ball.


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[Assistant] Like Tennessee, there's a little bit of that, you know, game plan specific defense going in.


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[Assistant] I look at the Jaguars too. I think one of the good things for them will be the fact that they're going to see the Kansas City offense and what they did to Tampa Bay.


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[Assistant] Let alone, Mike, like we talk about with, you know, Mahomes or Allen or any of these great quarterbacks, I do think they have a front four like Tennessee last week where they don't have the blitz much. They can sit back and play that style of football and manage some of what Mahomes and Kelsey can do to them. And then on the other side of the ball,


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[Assistant] You know, the Jaguars, they can kind of do it all. The only thing that they miss in their game is explosive plays in the pass game. And we saw a little bit of that last week, but they can run the ball.


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[Assistant] There's balance here with them. I think they're gonna pose problems. I think they're gonna hang around in this one. I'm gonna go Chiefs 27-23, but I don't think it'll be easy.


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[Assistant] Well, it's an interesting matchup. I mean, obviously Miami's a better football team as, as a whole. But as we discuss all the time, you know, it, it, it is a, it's a matchup league. It is. And where I look at it to be, like, there's two things here where I think Cleveland can kind of


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[Assistant] Keep things close or in their favor and maybe if they get a lucky, you know, bounce to the ball or whatever, that they could maybe pull off an upset. But, one,


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[Assistant] I don't think, you know, again, Miami is not a great run stopping defense. They're not. I think, I think Cleveland's going to be able to run the ball on them.


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[Assistant] And, of course, they give you some opportunities to make some plays in the pass game because of how aggressive they are, to where, I mean, Amari Cooper's gonna get some one-on-one looks on an island.


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[Assistant] So that's one area I look at to go, okay, you know, I'm not going to say it's an advantage Browns, but certainly something good for them. And then the other aspect, I think that's, you know, helps them out here because I'm going to pick the Dolphins to win the game.


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[Assistant] Joe Woods, he's been with Mike McDaniel. He's been with Shanahan there. He knows some of the rules of this offense. Let alone, you've heard me say all year with Cleveland. My biggest problem with them is big people. They're a small defense, but they're fast. They're fast as hell.


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[Assistant] And that's where I could see them maybe corralling Miami a little bit here. I'm going Miami to win the game, like I said, but 24-21. I think Cleveland kind of hangs around in this one and this is maybe their last ditch effort to kind of try to save their season.


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[Assistant] You know, somewhat of a pain in the butt here for the Giants for one reason, a little bit like we saw last week.


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[Assistant] And the fact that their running game is real and the Giants are not that good at, you know, stopping the run. It's an issue for them.


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[Assistant] So that's where I could see Damian Pierce and Davis Mills, efficient completions, few long drives, one for a touchdown, maybe two other long ones for field goals, stuff like that. And the game's not that long with the way they play, let alone I think the Giants approach is going to be very similar.


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[Assistant] The Giants are going to be able to run the ball in Houston, Texas. I mean, the Houston Texans run defense stinks. If I remember correctly, and I think I do, it's the worst run defense in football. So that, that, that to me does not bode well against the Giants where we know with Saquon and Daniel Jones, that's an issue for sure.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the Giants here, but like, I don't think this is gonna be just like a blowout or anything. I think they're gonna, uh, Houston will hang around. I mean, that's for sure. And I'm gonna go 2316 Giants here in this one.


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[Assistant] Those were the kind of game I kind of look at it to be. I wouldn't be shocked if it's 16-16 with six minutes left in the fourth quarter and the Giants got to go down and score a touchdown. So that's where I was kind of hemming and hawing about, you know, where it could be there. But uhm, yeaah, I got the Giants covering.


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[Assistant] Alright, that's good for you. I'm going Saints here. I'm gonna go with this. I just don't think it's a good matchup for the Steelers here.


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[Assistant] I know, but he can't stop everything. And, and you know, again, I don't, they're not, their run defense is okay. I think statistically is better than what it really is because they didn't play some good running teams. And I think teams look at Pittsburgh and they go,


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[Assistant] We're gonna, we're gonna throw the ball on them. Like the hell with running on them. It's so easy to throw it on them. Why would we do that?


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[Assistant] I don't think this is a good matchup for Pittsburgh. I don't. And, you know, yeaah, the Saints didn't play a very good game last week again, but they played a team that's a better version of what they do, and it just wasn't the right matchup for them there.


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[Assistant] I, I just look at Pittsburgh, and I think it's interesting about the Najee Harris thing. It really is. It was the thing that bothered me coming out of college and people just absolutely eviscerated me when I was like, yeah, but he never goes anywhere. It's always like this and this and four yards and this and this and four yards. Now I want to push back and go, there's no holes there.


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[Assistant] It's just funny that and I don't think they're going to have a lot of success against this defense.


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[Assistant] I don't, I don't think this is the formula to beat New Orleans. Oh, a team that can't run the ball and now we have to throw at every play. And Dennis Allen's pretty creative with those covers. You saw the other night, it wasn't very easy for Baltimore to score anything.


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[Assistant] I mean, the first two touchdowns were just Lamar making shit happen and some cool design plays that you can only do with a Lamar. So that's where I'm going to go with it, Mike. And, uh, trust me, I'm scared because of the things you say. Steelers always scare me that way, but I'm going 2420 Saints.


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[Assistant] Uhm, yeaah, I mean I'm, I'm expecting low scoring here, for sure. Now...


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[Assistant] I don't know what to expect with Brian Tannehill. I don't think he did anything again yesterday. It was very limited, right? If I remember right, yeaah. So.


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[Assistant] Again, I don't know. It's not about the Titans and their, their, their offense necessarily. It's about great defense, chewing the clock, and running the ball. And, you know, Seattle, I mean the Seattle, Denver,


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[Assistant] So I don't care if it's Malik Willis or not. The only thing I want to see from Tennessee Titans a little differently compared to last week is I think they need a few more quarterback design runs to go along with Malik Willis. I don't think there was enough last week.


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[Assistant] And that would have helped them have some more answers, but I just think the Titans defense has got it going and I can't picture the Broncos doing a whole lot. I'm going to go Titans 1916 and that might be too many points.


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[Assistant] At home. If you have any hope whatsoever. That's right. At home. Let's take a break. Okay, sorry. I was going to say at home, they got a great run defense, so they're not, the Broncos aren't going to be able to rely on that. And then the Titans pass defense the last few weeks has been arguably the best in football. So I don't think this is the week Russell Wilson gets back on track.


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[Assistant] No, no, I don't think they can. I mean, can they be competitive in this football game? I do think that.


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[Assistant] You know, first off, I think a lot of the Colts defense, I do. I mean, look what they did last week. It was a damn good showing against the Patriots. I think the Patriots were probably a little conservative on that side of the ball, knowing the Colts were never going to move the football.


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[Assistant] I think they're going to give the Raiders and that offense issues.


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[Assistant] You know, again, of the Raiders, it's lack of, lack of big plays, or lack of tricks.


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[Assistant] Err, lack of explosive pass plays as the game goes on. It's like early on, once McDaniels runs out of a few tricks, they don't have enough there or enough of a deep threat to take the top off the defense that way.


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[Assistant] And on the Colts, their front's good. They're good at limiting big plays. So I see that. Now, the Raiders defense is not good, but the Colts offense is horrible.


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[Assistant] And it's been really horrible with Sam Ellinger. So I mean, I'm going to go with the Raiders here, but it's an ugly one.


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[Assistant] You know, I was like 20 to 9. I, I, I'll tell you, gonna go 20 to 12 Raiders. I was 20 to 9. I gave the Colts one extra field goal where they just were able to maybe run the ball and make a few plays in the pass game to get down and get one extra field goal. But that's as far as I see this one going.


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[Assistant] Now, do I think the Packers will keep it close? I do. I do that too. I think the Packers defense is going to be able to manage Dak Prescott in the run game a little bit.


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[Assistant] I do. I have too much respect for them on that side of the ball. It is a really good defense. So I can see them, you know, giving them some issues on the other side of the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, I don't think Dallas is going to get a chance to cause, create any turnovers, especially a week after Aaron Rodgers through three interceptions. He's going to be extra careful with the ball this week.


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[Assistant] And if there's one little issue with Dallas that we've seen is you can run on them a little bit with some of their speed up front and they do some crazy stuff and they kind of can get caught out of position a little bit.


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[Assistant] So I, you know, I think this is a game where I kind of look at it and go, we're going to watch the game and go, clearly Dallas is better.


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[Assistant] But the style and kind of the efficiency in which Green Bay plays with, I think will allow them to hang around and make the game look a little closer than it actually is. But I'm going to go green, uh, not Green Bay Cowboys 23 to 17. Am I seeing?


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[Assistant] Yeah, no, they got issues and this is, you know, again, this offense and how they play.


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[Assistant] Uh, it just, I can't see them, you know, scoring a whole lot of points. It's gonna be hard. It's gonna be rely on the run game. It's gonna be little short passes. And, uh, yeaah, Dallas is a different class in my opinion than Green Bay. They're gonna win this one.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm with you there. I just, again, I think it's, both teams are.


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[Assistant] Defenses are the star of the show. Offenses are less than, you know, they're, they're, I mean, underwhelming as being nice. I mean, the freaking Rams are the 31st offense in football. Who would have ever thought that going into the year, right?


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[Assistant] You know, even after all that, I think you said it right. The Rams defense, they have the formula. They know how to stop Kyler Murray in this Cliff Kingsbury offense. They do. And I'm just going to go with the, and these type of games, just like last week, the Rams, we could say all they want there.


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[Assistant] They are gritty. They got a grittiness about them. Like they were comfortable in, oh, the 16-13 game last week. We're being outplayed by the Bucs and we've really only made two or three plays on the offensive side of the ball. But here we are. You got to drive down the field to beat us at the end of the football game. You know, they're, they're used to that style.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go with them here. I mean, I am just, I think their offense will just gut it out somehow, some way. And yeah, they know how to stop that offense. So I'm going Rams 1917 here.


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[Assistant] I definitely like them to win. There's no doubt. And I definitely like them to cover.


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[Assistant] This is definitely in the running for best bet material for me here.


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[Assistant] I'm interested to see what the Chargers can do to stop the 49ers and their offense. I am.


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[Assistant] You know, that's the big thing there. The Chargers, as we've discussed, like almost every week, it's horrible run defense, right? And now you gotta deal with the team that's, what, healthy and had some extra time to play around with the Debo Samuel, Curtis, I mean, Christian McCaffrey.


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[Assistant] Let alone, physically, you have an issue there at a mismatch and that you don't have enough big people and your team is a little bit speed oriented there.


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[Assistant] I don't have much faith in the Chargers defense to stop the 49ers. That's the big problem. And honestly, on the other side of the ball, I don't have a ton of faith either for their offense.


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[Assistant] 49ers defense has been number one in football and they've been missing like what? Three out of the five best players in their defense for the majority of the year? It's really remarkable. It really is. The number one defense in football has been missing some of their best players for the majority of the year and they're going to be back.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm going 49ers here. I don't think this is a good matchup. And if Justin Herbert thinks, if they think they're going to just dink and dunk and throw their five yard passes down the field against this group, I just, I don't see that happening. I don't. I'm going 49ers 31-20.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna go with the commanders here. I mean, one, I'm gonna, the commanders I feel like had a lot of the right answers the first time they played Philadelphia. They did.


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[Assistant] Now, they might have been a hair too aggressive, and I remember us talking about this maybe a few weeks after that matchup. Hair too aggressive to wear.


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[Assistant] The game was really Jalen Hurst got to throw some one-on-one jump balls to his receivers and they made plays. But they did a pretty good job of slowing down the rushing attack of the Philadelphia Eagles and that. And you know, Washington's offense, it's not great. We know that.


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[Assistant] You know, I think this is a game they kind of hang around in. I don't, certainly don't look at them as the same class.


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[Assistant] As, uh, the Philadelphia Eagles, but Washington's defense is good enough to kind of hang in there against anybody. Like you saw, like you said last week, I mean, it was the first drive of the game for Minnesota and then we didn't hear from the offense again until what was it? Five minutes left in the fourth quarter, right Mike? So they're capable of doing that type of


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[Assistant] 49ers. That's the first one. That's, that's the one I


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[Assistant] I feel best about, I really feel like the only way the Chargers keep that close or, or even maybe have a threat to win the game is Herbert will have to play like one of the games of his life. He's going to have to be extremely efficient and they're going to have to be explosive in the past game, which they haven't shown to be. So I'm going to 49ers there.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I hear, I mean, I, I hear you all the way. And if Ryan Tannehill was playing, I hear you all the way to that Broncos defense is damn good though. We can't forget that.


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[Assistant] Right, right. Alright, well, alright, so just so everybody knows, uh, yeaah, you said it, 7 points to 49 is your favorite, I had them winning by 11. The next one I'm going to is the other big spread of the day, but I'm going the other way.


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[Assistant] I'm taking the Jaguars. I am. I think the Jaguars match up very nicely with the Kansas City Chiefs. The Chiefs favored by nine and a half points. I just think it's too much. I think this is a game where


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[Assistant] Jaguars will be able to move the ball on them. And I think their defense will be able to at least slow down the Mahomes and company all slot. I think they got the guys there. So I think this is like a field goal win, four point win for the Chiefs. I'm going Jaguars is my second best bet.


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[Assistant] Hire me, hire me, and I'm bringing you down there with Jackson DeVille so you guys can change out the litter all the time and all that stuff that you do.


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[Assistant] No, I, I, I hear you there, and uh, you know, you've given me some incentive there a little bit for the Texans to keep it close. Alright, my last one, I'm going to one that I think


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[Assistant] You're, you're totally the opposite of me, but screw you. Okay. Florio screw you. I'm going with the commanders. 11 points too much for me.


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[Assistant] It's just too much. I think their D is real. I think they know how to stop it and slow down the Eagles offense. And I got trust in Heineken just to make enough plays to keep them close. I'm going commanders covering that 11 point spread.


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[Assistant] Raiders, meet the cults. Raiders, meet the cults. See ya! Bye!


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[Assistant] Thanks for watching, homies. Hit subscribe to see all my Unbuttoned videos. You get to see me, Ahmed Fareed, all the big player breakdowns, game breakdowns, player interviews, and my film analysis. So please subscribe. Chris Sims, Unbuttoned. Peace out.


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[Assistant] I've never seen you really do that. That was shocking. It really was.


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[Assistant] It is amazing. It is. I don't know. I seem to do it quite often though. I've had a few of these over the last few years. I thread the needle too much, like you say. I think that's the problem.


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[Assistant] How do you like your arm angle on that ornament? It's okay. Let's bring that up again though. Cause I mean, if we talk about it, but, but, but I've made more money for the people this year. I've made more. They're happier to hear my betting advice.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's good. Pretty impressive. I can't believe it. I can't believe it. I know. That's really well done. But I'm gonna win that best bet category. That's the one I'm gonna win.


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[Assistant] That's where sometimes I think I need to be a little bit more like that. I almost think about it too much. I got, I let last week's, you know, me watching film, I'm Ron Jaworski on Monday and Tuesday. It gets in my brain too much. I really do. I got to reassess how I go about picking the games when the season's over. Um, but I'm going to beat you in best bets. I am.


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[Assistant] And I'm glad you're wearing your regular Thursday shirt. We didn't get to talk about that today on the show. So it's good you're back in.


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[Assistant] You know, you really should thank me for that. You know that? That you get to wear that shirt.


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[Assistant] You know, you should. Why? Because I, I, I, I, I broke it down. I changed it. Remember when I first got here, you wanted to be Johnny blazer every time we did a show and I was like, Oh my gosh, am I going to have to wear a blazer to work every day? Is that what I'm going to be that guy?


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[Assistant] Exactly, exactly. Good, good. I'm glad we're glad we're in it. We can look presentable. And I mean, I got a nice sweater on. It's not like I'm sitting here looking like a hobo. I'm not asking for Jimmy Haslam cash handout and a Johnny Manziel pick on the side here.


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[Assistant] So, so go ahead. I mean, you just gave a little breakdown on that and all that.


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[Assistant] Hey, I'm interested in what you said too. Is we're going to hit a point where the Rams finally give up. I've never seen them do that in the Sean McVay era.


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[Assistant] Uh, and their defense is still damn good. Your question about Baker Mayfield is, is real. It's weird. It's odd. I mean, you know, I mean, oh, John Walford hurt.


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[Assistant] But maybe they look at it to go, Hey, Bryce Perkins, so raw that Baker Mayfield just knowing some of the basics of the offense is, is really just the same. So let's throw them out there. I don't know. I'm definitely interested to see where that goes there, but you hit it right with the Raiders and the Raiders.


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[Assistant] You know, they got a Roland. McDaniels, McDaniels, this to me is where he's always been special.


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[Assistant] I see it kind of every game where, you know, first few drives might not work out that well or whatever, but then he starts to get a feel like, oh, they're playing us like this today. And then all of a sudden it's like boom, boom, boom, boom, hand off this way, that way, that way. And all of a sudden they become like, they're driving the ball down the field every play, every series now.


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[Assistant] And they had that a little bit last week. It took them a little while to figure out the Chargers and how they were being attacked. But once they figured it out, the Chargers couldn't stop them. And you, you said it too. I mean, the balance is what's impressive. The run game and Josh Jacobs is in that combo for best running back in football and car and Adams.


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[Assistant] I mean, McDaniel's amazing at organizing plays to get him the ball. And then that Raiders defense has become more aggressive. They don't play it by the book. I'm going Raiders 27-17.


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[Assistant] I don't know. There's a part of me that wouldn't be shocked because of the Rams defense a little bit if they hung around a little bit. Uh, but clearly think the Raiders win the football game.


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[Assistant] Do the Bills win? Do the Bills cover? Right, I mean seven and five and loss to the, the Jets, right? You know, a month ago, four or five games ago.


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[Assistant] With a different quarterback. Yeaah, I know. You know, and Zach Wilson played really good in that game. I, I like the Bills.


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[Assistant] I like them to cover actually. It's like to me a scary cover. The Bills are scary. I mean, the Bills are one of those teams, Mike, like we know you, they could be up by four or six with like seven minutes in the game. And all of a sudden you look up and you go, damn, they won by 20. So that's where, you know, it could be a 10 point victory and the game be somewhat close throughout.


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[Assistant] But I think here's the things, you know, one, you heard me say today, you know, Buffalo's offense.


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[Assistant] I don't know, the run game might be something here. It really might be.


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[Assistant] To where they, they have like something now where, you know, six weeks ago, but they go, eh, it's kind of a fake run game. They gotta go into the point here, a little bit like Kansas City, where I go, no, you can't just brush it, you know, aside and go, well, they don't really want to run. That's become a little bit part of their DNA here.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen, we know, he's so special, I think he's gonna be pissed off about how he played. He lost the game the first time around for the Jets. They outplayed them.


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[Assistant] And then, you know, at home, you set it longer week.


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[Assistant] Jets come off an emotional loss. And here's the last thing that I just liked the Bills and I'm going Bills 2717. It's just that.


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[Assistant] The Jets, they're, I don't think their run game is good enough. So they're not going to be able to rely on that. And to me.


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[Assistant] The Jets are a little too predictable in the past game. That'd be the other thing I say. I mean, they lead the league and throw in the swing route to the running back, or the guy they fake the reverse out, throw it out there, or


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[Assistant] A slant over the middle. It's kind of like the basis of their pass offense. And usually when you're kind of like that, McDermott and Leslie Frazier tear you apart. Bills, 2717.


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[Assistant] No, I don't expect that either. Again, I can see him throwing an interception or two, certainly. But yeaah, I don't see a disaster happening. He's been playing good.


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[Assistant] There's no, there's no doubt about that. But yeaah, you know Mike, I think your, your one point about


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[Assistant] The fact that they're the number one seed right now and that the Chiefs slipped up, I think that is a huge motivational factor for them to be like, oh shit, here we go. We just hold court here, hold serve.


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[Assistant] They're, they're coming to us. And that's what they've talked about all year long, ever since they lost last year to the Kansas City Chiefs in Kansas City. So I like that point from you. I think that is real there.


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[Assistant] You know, one, I think the big thing is, yeaah, Deshaun Watson, it's still too early on to think that he's gonna kinda get going here. And the Bengals' defense is playing at an elite level. They are.


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[Assistant] I know we've hit on it and with DJ Reader back, it just changes their football team. He's the, you know, maybe the best one stopping D tackle in football.


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[Assistant] So that's where I, I don't see Cleveland being able to dominate the line of scrimmage in the run game and have those issues. And then when you couple that with an offensive pass game, that's not necessarily the most creative in the world and a quarterback who's


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[Assistant] The Bengals got it. They got it going. You said it right now, Mike. I mean, the O-line, it's kind of amazing, the turn and the positive direction they've made over the last five or six weeks. There we are, last week, the Chiefs, they always get pressure on people and cause a few, ooh, almost trip sack fumbles. They couldn't get close to Joe Burrow.


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[Assistant] They're running the ball a little bit. Chase is back healthy. I think they make a point to show who's the king of Ohio here. And I think they're going to make a point because they've been hearing this shit all week that they can't beat the Browns. And I'm going to go Bra-Bangos 28-17.


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[Assistant] Just the running attack of the Houston Texans, which hasn't really been all that special here as of late.


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[Assistant] So where, but that, I just worry about that. Not that it's going to like take over the game and maybe help them win, but you know, two long drives and you go down and get a feel or a touchdown and they ran the ball and did all that.


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[Assistant] You know, all of a sudden then, in the end, there's not much left, left in the game. It's hard to win by more than 16 or 17 points when, when that kind of stuff happens. So that scares me, but I don't see any area that you can look at with the Texas and think that, oh, they have an advantage there.


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[Assistant] Just maybe their size up front with their O line compared to that Cowboys D line, but Cowboys are going to be like, so what? They're going to put everybody at the line of scrimmage, cause chaos, and they're know they can cover this Texans pass game. Cowboys 31 14.


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[Assistant] And I do think this game will be close, but I'm not going to doubt them on this one. I'm going to still take the Vikings in this football game. I am. Wow. Yeah. It's a little scary. My pick. It's a, yeah, it's a little scary. I mean, there's no question. And I even wrote down like maybe switch. Uh, I've thought about that. Like we discussed a little today.


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[Assistant] You know, I think really the biggest difference in the game is just the Vikings already know how to win and they got a lot of guys that have been in the playoffs and veteran type players where Detroit's just figured it out the last two or three weeks.


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[Assistant] So, uh, and then the other thing I look at is, I mean, we know the Lions, the Lions offense is damn good. I mean, it's damn good. And Jared Goff is having the best year of his career and they have balance there, but I,


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[Assistant] I guess I'm, I'm sick of being proven wrong with the Vikings and the Vikings, they're, you know, they're pretty good on third downs and they don't let you score touchdowns.


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[Assistant] And that I just look at that and go, I don't know. I've been burned by it so many times. I'm going to have faith in that formula happens once again here. And then within the Vikings too. Hey, the Lions defense has been playing better.


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[Assistant] But I'm not so sure they've played an offense like this with this quite balanced, you know, down the, in the last five, six weeks. Not to where you go, wait, they could.


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[Assistant] They could hand the ball off and go over 80 or they could throw a bomb over the top on us on 80. I'm going to go with the Vikings gutting it out and winning a close one 27-24, but I don't feel real comfortable about it.


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[Assistant] It's crazy. It's crazy one teams five and seven and the other ones, you know, two losses on the year. They're both have the worst two defenses in football. It's just that's, you know, that's where when people are shocked by the spread.


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[Assistant] You know, that's where, like we talked about it. You know, you go, you go through the team a little bit and you go, Oh damn, yeah, maybe I would take a few more lions than I thought. And then there, so, uh, yeah, this is a very, very interesting football game, but I'm going to go with your damn Vikings because they seem to pull these games out all the time.


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[Assistant] I don't think either one. I don't look at a cover or a win. I just think the Eagles are just too much. I don't think it's a good matchup for the Giants. And then the way the Giants like to play...


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[Assistant] That's just scary too. One, I mean, the Eagles, we know the run game and all of that. The Giants aren't always great at stopping the run. They let up way too many big plays for the amount of big people they have, but they're trying to create chaos and do some things to help out for their lack of talent, and that caused them to get burned. And that's just


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[Assistant] Here it's just, yeaah, they're not, they're gonna have to do stuff that's, you know, risky and take chances if they want to win the football game, and this is just a team that's got answers and everything for it, let alone the players.


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[Assistant] They're going to be able to run and then the Giants like to play man to man as it is already. You don't want to play man to man against this crew, but I don't think they have a choice.


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[Assistant] And then you flip it around the other side, it's just, I don't think there's enough for the Giants to defend. I don't believe that the Giants can sit here and run the ball.


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[Assistant] You know, at a big time successful rate, like we've seen them in most games they've won. I don't see that. I mean, Daniel Jones and Saquon, they might rip off one run, two runs here and there, but I don't think it's going to be like, Oh, we come away from the day and go Saquon ran for 90 and Daniel Jones ran for 70 as well. I don't see that happening.


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[Assistant] This Eagles defense is playing some good ball right now and they've settled down in that run defense department. 31-20 Eagles.


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[Assistant] That's it, Mike. That's right. Right. You know, you, you guys, at least the Vikings got those guys you can depend on on big moments, right? It's like, Oh, all right. Well, damn, everybody's covered, but here's Justin Jefferson. Let's just throw it up. Thielen, Cook, you guys got some individual players, even defensively, even though the defense isn't great.


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[Assistant] We see, you know, Daniel Hunter, Zedaria Smith, Patrick Peterson, Harrison Smith.


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[Assistant] Every week we go, oh, one of those guys makes kind of an awesome play during the game. So that is, I think you're spot on and that's the difference of the football team. But yeah, I think.


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[Assistant] Really, the reality of the Giants of what we kind of, you know, it's already been a win year for the Giants. They won! It's, I don't give a shit what happens here and now. Of course I want them to go to the playoffs and I'm rooting for them, I'm a Giants fan.


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[Assistant] Like this has already greatly exceeded my expectations. Uh, you know, Giants fans before the years were all just going, man, if we could just be, you know, in the race in November, that'd be great. We're in it.


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[Assistant] You know, now we're going to play some real teams down the, you know, down the home stretch here. And I don't think we're, you know, in that caliber or in that class of team right now.


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[Assistant] I don't know if you're influencing me or not. I don't know. I really don't, but it just feels like this is, this is going to be a Pittsburgh win. Just the way two teams are going here and it's in Pittsburgh and they always do unexpected shit.


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[Assistant] You know, when their backs are against the wall. You've said it always. I mean, you got a great feel for it. And I think this is one where it's like, yeah, unexpected shit. Plus they're kind of playing good and the Ravens aren't playing good.


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[Assistant] And that's where I look at it to be an issue. And I think it plays into, I just feel like when the Raiders know, and the Ravens can't run the ball very good, so when they know they can kind of go all in on one thing, and with this they don't have to worry about


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[Assistant] A big time passing game here. So they can put their eggs into, let's stop Greg Roman and all that stuff, let alone it's not executing all that well itself, the run game there. And then not sexy, but you know, you've talked about it. The Steelers offense has it going as good as we've seen here this year.


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[Assistant] You know, it's, it's not explosive plays, but it is, can he pick it efficient? Picking you apart, you know, makes a scramble for eight or 10 every now and then. The run game's going a little bit. Steelers, I'm taking them. 1917. I think it'll be a close one, but I think they win it.


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[Assistant] I'm just, it's no wonder I'm losing in the spread department. Holy shit. Uhm.


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[Assistant] I'm not going to do it again. I'm not. I do think it's a scary one. I mean, the Titans, again, we know they're not really a blowout, anybody type football team. That's not what they do. So, and then you take a team that, you know, last week, Jacksonville wasn't bad at stopping the run. It was the pass game that tore them apart.


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[Assistant] And, I don't know, can Tennessee's passing game tear them apart? I don't know if they can.


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[Assistant] I gotta think the Jaguars are gonna answer the bell a little bit and be pissed off by their performance, but not as pissed off as the Tennessee Titans and the Titans are a better football team.


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[Assistant] So I have a hard time thinking Jacksonville is going to be able to consistently move the ball on Tennessee. That's where I look at it. Uh, I think the Titans get back on track here, win a tough physical football game, 21 to 16.


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[Assistant] They're gonna need more than that. They're gonna have to, like, give, uh, the chief some, uh, secret Denver stash weed brownies in their breakfast that morning if they want to pull this shit off, okay? They're gonna make it. Mahomes, hey, we gave him an ounce of weed and a brownie. Oh, yeah, well, he looks a little off today. Yeah, he's off.


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[Assistant] I mean, really. Again, the Broncos, how can you expect anything from that offense?


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[Assistant] You know, I, again, I, you know, you know it. We talk about it every week. I hate always saying it. The defense is good. They're going to have a little bit of a blueprint of things of what the Rams did to the Chiefs and be able to play off of that. E.J. Everose from LA, the Rams, that coaching staff. So we saw that.


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[Assistant] So I could see them, you know, I could see it being one of those games where the Chiefs aren't totally motivated or kind of moving up and down the field and


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[Assistant] You know, then somebody misses a wide open touchdown and, you know, then, oh gosh, they had to set over a field goal. And it's like one of those, I'm going to go 27, 13 victories where it's like, it feels like they should have won 40 to 10.


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[Assistant] No, I think it's, I do, I'm gonna of course take the Seahawks, not anything shocking there. Uhm, I do think it's maybe a little scarier than it looks, like just, you know.


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[Assistant] Base level and the fact that Panthers defense been pretty good lately. You know, we've talked about, they got some players over there that can be disruptive. There's no doubt about that, but then I think.


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[Assistant] The part that scares me just a little is the Seahawks defense versus the Panthers run game, which has become a real force here. Where you just go, damn, they just, they're kind of running the ball on everybody.


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[Assistant] So that's where I look at it a little bit to be, hey, they could control the clock and, you know, make things interesting that way.


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[Assistant] That's where I worry. The Seahawks defense, as we know, it's not very good. I think what might play in their favor is it's not a great passing offense, but you gotta be careful about being too aggressive against Carolina because a guy like DJ Moore can run by anybody.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but I'm still gonna take the Seahawks. I just think the Seahawks...


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[Assistant] Their offense has too much right now. Kenneth Murray, Kenneth Walker, excuse me. He would maybe change my thought about how much they win by. They're, they're a different team when he's on the football field. They're not a great running team. He's just a great talent. So he gets a lot of runs where you go, well, that should have been about a three yard game. You go, man.


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[Assistant] That guy's a magician and an unbelievable explosive athlete. He got 15 on that run. Like he had nowhere to go.


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[Assistant] So I just think, you know, that does play into the, maybe the final score factor for those to watch that injury report there. But the way Gino, the way they throw the football, you know, they don't ever give up on the run. I'm going to go Seahawks 30 to 20 in this one.


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[Assistant] Or at least just go to somewhere to be that high-end backup to where they go, wait, you're good and we're a good team and if we lose our quarterback, we don't feel as bad about ourselves. So, you know, that's the positive. And you said it right about Seattle.


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[Assistant] This is a must win in a lot of ways. You know, they're kinda sitting comfortable right now, but they gotta watch it. Their schedule after this is brutal. I mean, 49ers, Chiefs, Jets, Rams. You know, I know the Rams, we saw the Rams not apply them, but those other three games, crap.


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[Assistant] They certainly could lose all three of those and be sitting in a must-win situation to go to the playoffs. Uh, so this is one they need to take for sure.


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[Assistant] And you wanna make the game closer just because of that. But...


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[Assistant] I, I, you gotta, I, I, I, I at least was like, you gotta get over that. That doesn't mean anything. Brady is not the Brady we think. Yeah, if it's the last drive of the game and okay, it's like that, then I'd be a little scared. I get that.


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[Assistant] You know, it's, it's, he's not in the trust tree right now, as far as high level football play. And they can't protect them that well. And you got this crew coming to town and Eric Armstead's got another game under his belt.


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[Assistant] And they played their worst game on defense that I've ever seen them play in the Shanahan era. As I said to you last week, I've never seen a team do that to San Francisco.


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[Assistant] The Tampa is not capable of that. They're not a good running football team and they don't do that type of stuff. And then Brady doesn't want to hold the ball if there's pressure around them. And that's scary against San Francisco and the Bucs as much as I want their defense to turn around. Yeah. They might have a little advantage of.


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[Assistant] You know the, the, the pass offense might not be as extensive with Brock Purdy.


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[Assistant] But I think that the 49ers run game has gotten going here and Purdy's good enough. I'm going to go 49ers 23 to 13.


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[Assistant] I just think they're a much better football team. And I think this is one where we could see Brady and the offense off kilter and ANSI throughout the football game.


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[Assistant] Well, he's got, again, I don't think the talent level is too dramatically different here. And Purdy's ability to run is actually better than Garoppolo too.


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[Assistant] Uh, his arm, like I said to earlier today, it's, it's, it's no stronger or weaker. It's the same as Garoppolo's. That is. You know, yeah, it's just whether you can trust them to maybe read more of the intricate plays within the offense. But I think Shanahan will.


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[Assistant] You know, manage it appropriately. And you know, you said it, we've all kind of waited for the Bucs defense to turn around because it's Brady, but I think the proof is in the pudding at this point.


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[Assistant] I mean, it's just, it ain't gonna happen. It's not. And I just look at it, the 49ers with them being pissed off, them, you know, the bucks on a short week.


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[Assistant] The, the Bucks not protecting well. The Bucks can't run the ball well.


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[Assistant] And then it's a team in San Francisco that has a formula on defense that gave Brady problems when he was in the prime of his career, which is they can get to you with four and they don't need to blitz or do anything like that. And then they can do their good zone coverages behind it. So, uh, there's just too many things here where, yeah,


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[Assistant] The Purdy Brady thing I think is going to scare betters and make the line sway Tampa's way just a little bit, but I think that's just a headline. I just don't think that's going to be the meat and potatoes of this matchup.


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[Assistant] Well, they might not, but then they, you know, it's Arizona, Carolina and the Falcons. And you know, I think the point we're, we're both saying is.


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[Assistant] I mean, yeah, I don't know. I think the Bucks could maybe lose every game the rest of the year and they're still going to win the division. That's just the amazing thing right now. The South is that bad. I know it is. You're right. It's only going to be one or two wins needed, I think, for them to get over the hump and win the division.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but, but either way, yeaah, let's see if they can fight, beat, you know, fight and claw, be close in the football game to where maybe they can, you know, fake, make themselves believe in the playoffs that they belong and, and, uh, can beat one of these teams that's


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[Assistant] We don't disagree, we disagree on, right? Oh, which one? Well, I took the Ravens, the thread, the needle there, like Pittsburgh to win, but the, the .5, right? I think that's the only one where we're off on the spread. Yes, correct. You went 13-9, I went 19-17. Right, that's the only, we picked the same winner, just a little bit different on the spread.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I hear you. I mean, it's hard. It is hard. I will say, I think they match up somewhat good with the Miami Dolphins. They're not as good, like you said.


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[Assistant] I mean, this is a Dolphins team that we knew had talent before the year. We weren't sure about Tua and Mike McDaniel, and that's just absolutely exploded.


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[Assistant] And McDaniel is showing he's one of the best offensive minds in the game and two was playing great. So that's all working. You know, people are insane if they don't think that the Miami Dolphins would be good if Justin Herbert was on that team, but that's another conversation for another day. All right. But yeah, the Dolphins are it last week's loss to the 49ers.


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[Assistant] Made me feel better about the Dolphins. When I watched that film back, I went, the Dolphins are one of the best teams in football.


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[Assistant] And so I, I know where to hold them in the hierarchy and to see Miami and go, Oh, they're every bit as talented as the 49ers and.


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[Assistant] You know, they're dangerous and can make plays and do all that. Tua was off last week. He was off. Like I said, I've never seen him miss that many throws. I've never seen anybody this year miss that many open throws.


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[Assistant] Where he left a lot of plays on the field. I think he'll bounce back.


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[Assistant] The rest of the year has showed me he's playing good football. I'm not going to make that game be the determination.


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[Assistant] You know, yeaah, there's just too much. Now where I will say it's a little scary to me.


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[Assistant] You know, can Brandon Staley, a team that we've talked about is made to stop the pass and Patrick Mahomes. So can they slow it down? And here's the other thing that just a little bit, and this is where maybe the over comes into play. I do think the Dolphins aggressive style of play.


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[Assistant] It's not the best for Justin Herbert and the Chargers, I mean for the Dolphins, but I think it plays in, hey, Herbert and them, they might get a few opportunities to make some plays down the field, or oh wait, here comes the Blitz, I got this pick-play dialed up off a little audible or a signal to my receivers out there, whatever.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so I could see that happening. But the other thing that scares me, Mike, is...


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[Assistant] The Chargers pass protection is getting worse. It's got, like last week the Raiders were all over Justin Herbert. And this is a team that plays a similar style and more, even with more talent. I'm going to go Dolphins 31-28. I'm going to take the Chargers to hang around, but I don't feel comfortable about that or them. Oh damn, it's the three point spread. Yes. I'll go 32-28. All right. 32-28 Dolphins. I'll take the Dolphins to cover.


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[Assistant] Right, it's the Cardinals. But these aren't the Cardinals. Yeah, I hear what you're saying there. Yeah, you're talking about, like, they blow games against teams that are quality, that are as good as them or better. They can't ever seem to pull it out there. Yeah, the Cardinals are


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[Assistant] You know, one of the more dysfunctional teams in the league right now. And yeah, oh, they pulled that one up. Yeah. Whoop-de-doo. I hear what you're saying. I do. Um, it'd be interesting though. I do think the Chargers, I think a lot of people think that the Miami Dolphins are just going to blow them away. And I just think too much of Herbert and Lombardi that they'll have a few answers from that aggressive.


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[Assistant] Dolphins offense and be able to make a few plays, you know, here and there. Um, but, but yeah, this is, uh, that's a good one, but the dolphins to me are, are certainly an elite class in football and one of the best teams in the game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm gonna go Patriots 2420. I think you're, you know, your base thoughts are on the money there. And I think you're right. I mean, they have problems with the running quarterbacks, but


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[Assistant] You know, the problem is, I don't think they'll have a problem, like you just kind of said, breaking down the rest of the offense to where they'll figure out how to play it and all that. I will say I worry about the Patriots offense a little in this one. I do, I still have, you know, respect for Arizona, the scheme, how they play it and.


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[Assistant] Oh, it seems like when teams kind of play exotic type stuff on defense, that's not by the book.