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[Assistant] Right? Where we saw early in the game, Baker Mayfield get caught off guard a few times, and I was like, damn, how could Baker miss that? Then I watch film, and I go, well, I see how they missed that. Like, that came out of nowhere. The quarterback had no clues. Aaron Glenn's very good at that, let alone the interception at the end of the game kind of did the same thing.


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[Assistant] So, that's where I get into, right, we talk about teams, hey, this is what brought us here, we can't leave that, the 49ers, you know, running the football, Christian McCaffrey, but damn, you've heard me talk about it all year, the Lions, one, are really good at stopping the run, and big up front, and two,


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[Assistant] We'll go all in on situations, which you've heard me talk about a lot, right, Mike? Where if you get in a run set, they go.


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[Assistant] You know, like you've heard me say, if it's third and one, they go all in to stop that. If it's third and four, they go all in to stop the four yard pass. That's what they do. That could be dangerous against Shanahan, though. That could be. That's where you gotta work. Shanahan's the ultimate. Zig, when you zag, you do this? Well, I got this to screw you over this week. You better watch out.


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[Assistant] And, you know, typically the Lions match up against, you know, that personnel set, like you heard me say. If you go two backs, one tight end, two receivers, they go, bring in the big boys. We got to stop the run.


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[Assistant] But the 49ers in those sets can go, hey, hey, hey, you got the big boys in, now we're gonna be in shotgun. McCaffrey against one of your big run-stopping linebackers. McCaffrey's like a legit slot receiver.


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[Assistant] Use checks like a really good tight end. Kittle, Deebo, IU. That's where it can pose some problems for the Lions and I'll be interested to see their approach. Cause I would bet you that's what Shanahan wants to do. What are they going to do when I go two backs, one tight end and then he's going to kind of base the game off of that.


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[Assistant] Alright, but so you're saying though in that, you would error if you're the Lions on, don't let him run, bring it, and let me see if Brock Purdy can beat, beat us, right? That's kind of what you're saying, right? Okay. Right. Yes.


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[Assistant] You know, it's funny, right? The matchups, right? It's like the NFC is more team oriented. You know, the AFC were like, give the ball to the quarterbacks and they'll figure it out and those defenses won't want to mess with them. And the NFC were like, put all the pressure on the quarterbacks. I'm not sure they could deliver. It is funny.


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[Assistant] I'm going Niners as well. Uh, I, I think the Niners have been in a class of their own in the NFC all year long. I'm not going to abandon them now. And I think last week in a lot of ways,


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[Assistant] Like, would be a wake-up call. Now, hey, it's certainly fair to question. The 49ers peaked too early this year. I don't know. This week I'll answer that a little bit. But, last week's the kind of win where the coach can be really pissed off, we won, and the players are scared going, oh gosh, if we play like that again, we're going home.


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[Assistant] I'm taking the Niners 30-20 at home and we get Ravens, Ravens 49ers, you know, rematch in the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] I'm riding the 49ers. I got them winning 30 to 20. It's where I feel the most comfortable here. I mean again, it's a 7 point spread.


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[Assistant] I don't feel great about it, right? I mean, this is scary. Both of these matchups are close. The scores I picked were kind of right on the over and under line. I didn't feel comfortable there.


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[Assistant] I just feel like, hey, if there's one thing I like this weekend, I think the 49ers in totality are a better football team. They're at home. I think they'll be motivated by the way they played last week. I'm going to ride them and take them to cover the spread.


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[Assistant] I can see both offenses cracking the code there, right? I don't think you're crazy there. Now I can see the opposite too. That was where I got a little scared with that, you know, cause I had, I played with scores that were similar to like what you were talking about.


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[Assistant] And then I went back to like, wait, these are two of the best defenses all year and they're creative and do that. So I'll be interested to see how it goes, Mike, because we know there's certainly not a lot of firepower on offense to hit the over. That's for sure.


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[Assistant] Baltimore! He's picking the Chiefs! He doesn't believe in you!


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[Assistant] Yo yo, what up homies, thanks for watching. Remember, subscribe to Chris Sims on Button.


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[Assistant] Happy Chris is pre-gamed. Well, it's pre-gamed, you know, one in Rome. Okay. And I'm in Vegas and we're just going in. Here we go.


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[Assistant] Next, uh, Stephen Sawyer. Wow. And, uh, AKA, he has a nickname, it's called Super Bowl Jacket.


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[Assistant] That's it, Super Bowl Jacket Guy is in the house. Super Bowl Jacket Guy is here and also we got a couple folks from Birmingham, Alabama here. We're gonna get him up, we'll definitely get him up. So he's right, he said his favorite team is the 1986 Giants.


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[Assistant] That I left them out of the conversation. It's like leaving one of the all time greats out there, the second biggest city in England.


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[Assistant] And I forgot to- I think you've cracked off a couple Sorry Manchester's. I think you have. Sorry Manchester's a bunch, and that's what our couple is telling us here, that they're like, you say Manchester, and you never say Birmingham.


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[Assistant] Betting on the Chiefs to win, the big money people are in on the Niners. I think that's the bottom line of the situation, right? That's where it is. Because I've yet to really...


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[Assistant] I'm not gonna, I don't know if I've really talked to anybody yet that totally can talk themselves into believing the San Francisco 49ers can win the game this weekend. Like does, do any of you, does anybody here think that the 49ers can win the game this weekend? Does anybody?


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[Assistant] Okay. We got some 49ers fans. Okay. Alright. What about the Chiefs? She believes in the Chiefs. So how about the Chiefs? What do we got here? Yeah.


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[Assistant] I mean, I feel like most football people I talk to, this is no disrespect to the 49ers. You guys know, if you know me, I love the 49ers. I'm rooting for the 49ers, alright? It's out there. I am rooting for the 49ers.


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[Assistant] I don't talk to a football person, a player we had on the show yet, anything, where they go.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think the 49ers are going to win the game, right? I don't, I haven't, we haven't


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[Assistant] Just to, like, for conversation sake, right?


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[Assistant] I think you heard me say this in the last few days. I will say to our people out here who are rooting for the 49ers, right?


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[Assistant] The 49ers at their best are better than the Chiefs at their best. That I do know. You didn't go on a rant.


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[Assistant] I'm just saying, but that's my point with this. Can the 49ers get back to that? I don't know.


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[Assistant] Hasn't looked good so far, right? The last two weeks, they haven't played very good. They got outplayed by the Packers, really. Jordan Love made two dumb interceptions. They missed the easy field goal, right? Last week, the Lions, right? Dan Campbell, that was stupid decisions, period.


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[Assistant] In my opinion, that's not how you win NFC championship game football. And the 49ers for the most part were on the ropes most of the night. So that's where it's a little weird. Can they regain that in a two week period?


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[Assistant] I look at it exactly that same way. It's still amazing to me. You know, you've heard me say that. The fact that...


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[Assistant] My, my only thing that I even look at negatively of the Chiefs at all possible in this game is that maybe they take it a hair lightly. Honestly, right? The Chiefs are not going to be in awe of the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] So, that would be my only fear of Kansas City slipping mentally. Something we say all the time about the Chiefs. They tend to play with their boot. They get complacent. They think that it's going to be easy.


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[Assistant] Really, everything football-wise, as far as perception for Shanahan, is on the line in this game.


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[Assistant] And that's where I get nervous for my friend who I think is one of the best coaches in football. And yet, you know, sometimes it's like,


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[Assistant] I grew up in an era like that with Joe Montana and I hated Joe Montana for that for a lot of my childhood.


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[Assistant] You give them a little rest. They're, they, they got, uh, like, like the 49ers, they have the scouting eye for, uhm,


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[Assistant] Right? They got crazy dudes that will put it on the line. They will.


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[Assistant] They're just doing what they did to the chargers, right? So we lost, you know, that was one, but I guess it was late 90s maybe.


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[Assistant] And this is where the game is scary to my opinion is I don't know if it's gonna be, it could be high scoring or low scoring.


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[Assistant] Like, watching everything on TV and drinking some beers while he's doing it a little bit. That seems like what Mahomes is a little. That's who he is. He's obsessed with it.


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[Assistant] And I think he embraces it to a way where it's almost, it gives him no pressure. And that's where I think he's special, right? We've never seen anybody come into the league and the team just goes, carry us.


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[Assistant] I still think it's like, oh, we win by three, we win by four, right? I mean, that's, that's all we're talking about. And Mahomes and the Chiefs, as you talk about with playing with your food or whatever else, hey,


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[Assistant] They had, they did have dumb shit disease for a while this year, right? I mean, they were doing like every week. I mean, every week it was like, are you kidding me? Did you, you can't catch, you can't line up right. Stupid penalty.


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[Assistant] No, they're trying to keep Tony away. They're like, please like don't blow up the situation, but stay over there and just like, maybe you'll play. Just be quiet. That's what they're trying to do with Tony right now.


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[Assistant] I'm just checking, but I'm damn nervous about it. I've been like flipping and flopping and everywhere on it. I really have the fact that like I learned that I did that. Right. Not long ago.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs, everything scares me to death. Scares me for my friend, like I've been telling you all week.


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[Assistant] Larry Brown. Larry Brown. Larry Brown. Like that. Ligeria Snead gets two pinks. Chris Jones gets three sacks and a strip sack and maybe a few batted passes. When's the last time


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[Assistant] 50, well done, last time. Don't ask me to drive, but when I'm football stuff, I'm all over that shit.


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[Assistant] No, you're just stating facts. What's gone wrong with that group? Listen, I'm a sucker for, uhm, like bottom line talent at times, right?


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[Assistant] And that's where Zach Wilson really jumped off the screen to me.


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[Assistant] Tell them on board, Justin Fields 5, Trey Lance 6, right? So give me some credit for Trey Lance and Justin Fields, right? You know what I mean? Like that's where I always start to tell people too, but at the same time, no. You know, that's where hype


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[Assistant] BES, it was at the time, I remember even saying, it's a hard class to brank, right? Because there was things where I was like, they do this great, but they do this where I'm like, ehh, right? And that's, you know, that's where it's tough in this business. But I don't care.


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[Assistant] I'm gonna take my cuts. I've seen a lot of these people. I've called passes from John Elway and Dan Marino and Tom Brady and all these people and seen them in person to where, you know, I've seen it.


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[Assistant] And sometimes I'm going to be wrong too, and that's okay, but I just, you know, I definitely was wrong about a few of those and maybe right about a little.


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[Assistant] Their problem with the Chiefs is something Mike has brought up about the great Andy Reid and his game planning. And they play, they're based in the Seattle scheme to a degree. And there's a little bit of, this is what we do in certain adjustments.


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[Assistant] And Andy Reid's able to know that, and be smart enough to know that, to go, wait.


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[Assistant] Patrick Mahomes, right? He's gotta prove that to us. Kyle Shanahan we know is kind of the man.


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[Assistant] The Packers do, the Bears do too though. You guys got actually got a division that's on the... And the Lions. I mean, I can't remember.


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[Assistant] I don't remember more than two. Eighties had the Bears and the Vikings a little bit, like both competing, but no, you know, only the Bears were great. You guys were kind of hanger honors.


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[Assistant] He's an elite athlete. He's one of the greatest athletes in football. He's the best running quarterback in football right now. His throwing is not elite, but it's good.


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[Assistant] And it's good enough to where would, if you trade, you keep him maybe trade down in the draft, do whatever and accumulate more picks and really do this the right way, which Ryan Poles and Eberfluss so far have showed me they can coach and scout a little bit.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's where, hey, the North, like we were just saying, the North can get interesting. There's some young talent and, and some good things going on there.


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[Assistant] See I would probably go with kiddo, right? I would be shocked if Ayuk doesn't have a legerious need on him like glue all night long. Damn.


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[Assistant] There he is, Brian Mitchell. Come on up, come on up, let everybody see you. Come on Kevin.


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[Assistant] Linebackers, off the play action, things like that, where Sneed and the Chiefs are so good at disguising, playing man and zone, and really making it hard on a receiver on the outside like that. Where, yea, I don't think you can depend on IUK on a consistent basis to win throughout the night. I don't think so.


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[Assistant] They, like I've always said, they threw for $350, they should have thrown for $600, really, with how they played in that football game.


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[Assistant] You're gonna do what Bill Belichick wants. All of that, I think Bill, like, right, the way he's treated people a little bit over the last 10 to 12 years, the media, right, when it started to slip up,


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[Assistant] Yeah, I know, no. I'm not even trying to be a jerk. Like, it's, it's a little bit about because...


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[Assistant] I learn things as the process goes too, right? I'm usually one of the first people to put my rankings out, and I just go, right? And...


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[Assistant] I'm not a big tweaker on the, on the usual and, but I do learn things about the guy a little bit as we go through the process that would definitely, if you gave me another five weeks or six weeks, I feel like would help me tweak my ranking a little bit, right?


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[Assistant] Right, right. I'm usually first, but we'll see. But that's the only difference. But also, there's a part of me that likes just being like, hey, this is what I see on film.


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[Assistant] They had lots of throws, let it go, do all that, but they would play some teams that were smart enough, where you've heard me say sometimes that offense is very predictable, right?


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[Assistant] I would go, oh my gosh, he still made so many good plays in the tight coverage, not good pass protection, holy cow, off his back foot, doing something like that. They might have lost by 20 still, right?


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[Assistant] And you go, what? He lost 48-28. How good can he be? And it'd be like, they would have lost 48-nothing if it wasn't for him. Right? It was a game for three quarters because of Patrick Mahomes. And I think sometimes people get lost in that. And that's where it's not fair to evaluate some of these guys.


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[Assistant] But, uh, I do agree with what you're, what you're talking about. First off, you had no salary cap. The 49ers were who they were because there was no salary cap in the 80s and Eddie DiBartolo was a, was, excuse me.


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[Assistant] Willing to be more like George Steinbrenner.


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[Assistant] And the Yankees. Even after there was a salary cap, allegedly. So, uh, there's no doubt about that. And then, yes, with the past interference and the, I touched the quarterback with my pinky nail BS crap, right?


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[Assistant] You gotta pay him. You gotta, you gotta pay him, but you're right. What are you gonna pay him? I don't know. That's what we talk about all the time. Teams gotta start to draw a line in the sand, alright, and go, I'm not gonna pay you this, right?


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[Assistant] This is good money, but I'm not gonna pay you this. We've gotten out of hand with like, just Joe Schmo as a new contract. He's one of the highest paid ever. It's like, that never happened before. Do people forget that?


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[Assistant] You know, it's the, like I said, to me, in my football brain, it's the great dilemma. It's one team that is


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[Assistant] Capable of really being an incredible great team in a lot of ways. And the San Francisco 49ers, the offense, the coaching, the team itself, all of that.


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[Assistant] And when they showed their best, like I said earlier, I think they're the, they were the best team in football that I saw this year at their best. But they haven't been that in six weeks, right?


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[Assistant] Never enamored by the big moment and continue to knock down barriers that I just go, I can't believe it.


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[Assistant] I too am gonna go with the Chiefs to win the whole game. Oh baby, I'm telling Kyle. I am telling Kyle. My heart will be on the line for the San Francisco 49ers. It's an emotional hedge. You accuse me of that all the time with the Vikings. I will probably be crying if the 49ers lose the football. I'm a crier anyways. That's who I am, right?


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[Assistant] Yeah, and enjoy Taylor Swift too. I mean, come on, get over it. What? She's cool. Like she's nice as freaking girl I've seen in the world. So what? She likes a guy and everybody's like, I can't watch the game anymore. 20 seconds of the game is Taylor Swift. And we can't, now she's ruining the greatest thing on TV. Come on, get out of here.


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[Assistant] Yo, yo, yo, thanks for watching homies. I appreciate it as always. Super Bowl 58 is around the corner. That's right.


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[Assistant] Vegas, baby. Vegas, baby. We'll be out there all week, alright? Hit subscribe to get all your coverage as we head to Vegas. We have all the game breakdowns, predictions. We got a laundry list of awesome guests throughout the week, right? On Radio Row, straight from the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] Tune in and find us again. Thanks for watching. Remember to subscribe. You the man. Peace out, homies. See you at the Super Bowl. Vegas, baby.


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[Assistant] Alright, we got a lot to do in this, in this podcast because of course we do have...


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[Assistant] Treasure Hunters, aka What the F happened, aka let's just look at the film review. But we also want to do some mid-season awards.


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[Assistant] And we wanted some real mid-season awards, you know, like who's the mid-season MVP, rookie of the year, all that stuff. But we also wanted the homies to come up with their creative mid-season awards. And they did a great job with that because we have like the best listeners and viewers out there. We have the best homies of all homies. So let's get right into it. We're going to start with the mid-season awards.


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[Assistant] Let's start with the basic ones, we'll save the creative ones for a little bit down the road here. Uh, let's look at the draft king's odds right now for MVP. So here we are, smack dab in the middle of the season, and this is according to them,


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[Assistant] A three-person race, potentially a five-person race here. So the favorites are all at plus 350, and they're three co-favorites. Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hertz, and Patrick Mahomes, all at plus 350, and they're just a little bit behind.


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[Assistant] You have Tua at plus 650, and then you have Joe Burrow, probably creeping up here. I'm sure he wasn't plus 700 just a couple weeks ago, maybe even last week. And then a little bit longer shots, you have Christian McCaffrey, Josh Allen, and Trevor Lawrence, but still in that upper echelon. So as we sit here right now,


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[Assistant] Who would you declare as your mid-season MVP?


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[Assistant] Where quarterbacks don't get all the love for MVP. Because Pete mentions in my ear, and he makes a good point, and the point is that it's the most important position in all of football. If you don't have the quarterback playing at a high level, you're probably not going to be a championship team that year. Maybe you won't even be a playoff team. And so it's like the reason that we do give them all the love for MVP is without that key piece, because without Tyreek Hill, I mean I guess you could make the case without Tyreek Hill, the Dolphins


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[Assistant] This is interesting, Tyreek Hill is plus 4,000 to win the MVP. AJ Brown is plus 7,500, so he's even a bigger value there, and he is affecting that offense in similar ways.


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[Assistant] Last year though, his final 8 games, 606 yards. Now, they did have quarterback injuries. Yeah, right. Uhm, but are we worried? Change things. And we did see this past week. Yeah. Chiefs had a pretty good plan.


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[Assistant] Even the last nine weeks, you gotta just win the Super Bowl. That's the only way you can win the championship. Defensive Player of the Year. Let's take a look at the DraftKings Defensive Player of the Year odds as they sit right now. This one clearly looks like a three-man race. We got Micah Parsons, the slight favorite right now. Miles Garrett just below him. And then TJ Watt just below him. And then you got a group.


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[Assistant] My guy Aiden Hutchinson plus 2000, Max Crosby, Nick Bosa. Surprising to see him so far down the list, but he really hasn't popped.


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[Assistant] His teammate Fred Warner is right there with him at plus 3500 and then Chris Jones at plus 3500. First of all, what do you think of the odds?


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[Assistant] In the PFF grade? I'll look at it. Uhm, actually they have him...


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[Assistant] Number two behind Demarcus Lawrence this year as far as a run defender. And here's the thing that I love about Max Crosby. He has almost 600 snaps this year. He has 594. The second most is DeNeil Hunter with 527. So he has like 70 more than the next closest guy.


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[Assistant] He played like 83 snaps against the Lions the week before. It's just like, he would, he would be my guy. And I get your point, like he's not on a winning team, big good defense, but I love the way he plays.


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[Assistant] The boss is being really good. It's just not great. That's all I would say. And then TJ Watt I think succumbs to the fact that we're just like over.


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[Assistant] First overall pick now, finally. How many years has he been in the league here? I'm looking at it. One, two, three, four, five, six, seven. He's been good obviously, but might be the best that we've seen Miles Garrett here. Seven years in.


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[Assistant] For some of the homies awards here. I like this. And someone suggested the Victory Lap Awards for the best prediction here. So before we get into it. Yeah, okay. Let's hear the song.


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[Assistant] It's a real NFL Films version of that song. It's a great one, yes.


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[Assistant] Or anything, like something that you called or had a feeling about in the offseason and it's come to fruition, what would that be?


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[Assistant] Uh, he says, the Chris Sims man crush award, CJ Stroud. So yeah, that would apply as well. Yes. Uh, Malcolm Johnson says, I love the pod guys, offensive rookie award. CJ Stroud gets my vote. Does he get yours? I don't think there's any doubt right now, right? No one else, right? Maybe his teammate, which would be one of my victory laps.


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[Assistant] Says to us the biggest L of the season so far award is the S2 test. So the S2 test takes a big L.


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[Assistant] Because that was the test that CJ Stroud struggled with, and I will say this, historically, and you brought this up on the podcast, like that test did indicate that if you did poorly on that test, there was a lot of players that did pretty bad in the NFL.


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[Assistant] We'll give you the self-scout thyself. What predictions or calls are you feeling bad about?


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[Assistant] If you're listening out there and you know you're part of the crew there, you can feel this pain with Chris right now.


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[Assistant] Here's myself, ScoutThyself. Um, I had the Giants not making the playoffs. I shouldn't have done that to you. Because knowing the season that the Giants were about to have, you didn't need that. You didn't need that at the beginning of the year. And so that's myself, ScoutThyself, putting you in a bad mood before you needed to be put in a bad mood.


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[Assistant] Okay, let's go to something we feel a little more comfortable about. The damn okay song.


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[Assistant] So these are all in the realm of head-turning players, guys who have popped this year, guys who are like, okay, if you're new to the show, you look at the guy and you're like, oh damn, okay, that was pretty good. I'm surprised.


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[Assistant] I think some of the homies suggested here the, uh, are you not entertained award for the most entertaining player on a losing team. Oh, that was a good award. That homie did not give an answer, right? He just wanted to hear what Chris thought. Okay, so yea, are you not entertained award. So the most entertaining player on a losing team.


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[Assistant] We're still trying to figure out why he, I mean I guess we know why he slipped in the draft, but it seemed like you had talked to enough people and known enough people with Jalen Carter where they were like, I don't know, I'm still surprised he went night in the draft.


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[Assistant] So, we have a couple numbers here. Jalen Carter is a favorite, odds on favorite, minus 200 to win, defensive rookie of the year. Devin Witherspoon, not too far behind, he's plus 200, he's had some big plays there too. Uhm, alright, my damn okay, I'm all jacked up right now.


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[Assistant] I'm going to go with the same one that Evan Edmondson went with. Most entertaining player award, period for him, is Sam Howell. I'm not sure how good he is, but he sure is a blast to watch. He takes a lot of sacks, so that's kind of exciting for if you're watching against him in your defense.


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[Assistant] Uh, Colts, he said, putting up points on good defenses. So six of the Colts, nine games have gone over the, over under total.


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[Assistant] That's tied with the Bears for the highest percentage of the season. I would agree. I think I didn't know how... 100%. Well, here's the thing. If you told me the Colts are going to be exciting this year, I'd be like, okay, that makes sense because Anthony Richardson is going to be super fun to watch. Right, right. He hasn't played hardly at all and he's out for the rest of the year and they're still exciting to watch with a coach that I know you think is a rising star in the game.


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[Assistant] Sure, they can't be a playoff team. Or in that conversation. They're not out of it yet.


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[Assistant] I love this next award. Thanks to Eleven Jordan Cole. He goes, the Cheeks to Freaks award. So this is someone who was Cheeks. Who was booty cheeks.


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[Assistant] And that's a little harsh. Maybe they've just improved. I don't want to say that any of these people were that. But they've improved and now they're popping and maybe in the past you just thought they were a guy. And now they're a guy. He suggests Alex Anzolone from my Detroit Lions. I hear you there. I hear you there. You heard me.


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[Assistant] Yeaah. I don't know if you're as high on him as I might be, but it seems like at times he's like, that could be a number one receiver in the league. I don't disagree with you there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, this is more of a discussion Pete notes here than an award. So if you go, this is not an award, so this shouldn't be in this section, we know that. Alright, so don't email us. As Nick Saban would say, quit asking about it. Uhm, so let's go through the teams here, pull up the teams. Like who do you think has a real shot?


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[Assistant] No, I really don't. So you would say that all the non-playoff teams right now, you'd be very, very surprised, if not downright shocked, if they made the Super Bowl. And that includes, currently, at the moment, the Buffalo Bills.


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[Assistant] There's a couple of graphics here that kind of tell the story. So last year at this time, through week 9, here were the records of the teams who eventually made the playoffs. This is really informative because


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[Assistant] There were only two with a losing record, which may be more than you would even think at this point. The Jaguars were three and six. Of course, helped a little bit by the division there. They get into the playoffs and win a game. They got hot at the end of the year, right? The Buccaneers were four and five. They get into the playoffs, but again, that's, that's the division.


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[Assistant] So for the most part, unless you're in a crap division, you better have a winning record at this point. The 49ers were 4-4 and then started playing a whole lot better after that and getting a whole lot more wins. But a lot of 6-2s...


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[Assistant] Seven and ones, six and threes, eight and oh. You gotta be, you gotta be good at this point. It's starting to, it's starting to become clear.


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[Assistant] A shock to maybe no one out there who has been watching the Lions all season long and watching the rest of the division struggle, although the Vikings playing better lately. They are the favorite of all favorites to win their division, minus 1100.


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[Assistant] I think those are the ones, I just think the Jaguars are a little more underrated than they should be. Yeah, I agree. The top three, I mean no one's catching the Chiefs out in the West either.


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[Assistant] Don't forget on Draft King's Sportsbook this season, new customers can bet $5 and pocket $200 in bonus bets instantly.


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[Assistant] And my guy, according to DraftKings right now, Dan Campbell, so if they win the division, which they are the most likely division winners we just said, I think it's a slam dunk. I honestly think the Detroit Lions winning the division, which that hasn't happened, I don't know, since the 90s, I think, I honestly think he should be more of a favorite.


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[Assistant] You gotta look at there, for sure. I would, I think that's plus 180, so you're still getting some...


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[Assistant] I mean, I don't gamble, as you know. I'm not a gambler. But this is one where I feel like, as Pete said in my ear, it's like they were expected to win. And often times this award goes to the team that makes a huge jump that wasn't expected to. But I think the story of the Lions for so long.


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[Assistant] That's a favorite right now. I do think Tomiko Ryan's the third choice right now. They're 4-4. If CJ Stroud continues this upward trajectory and they somehow win that division and look like a solid playoff team.


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[Assistant] Kevin O'Connell, perhaps, if they can, you know, somehow, somehow win the division. So still yet to be determined there. The Ahmads Red, wait, this is from Ahmads Red Pants. There's a Twitter out there that's called Ahmads Reds Pants. Yes, there is. Ah, homie for sure. We love ya.


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[Assistant] The how the F do we have a winning record award goes to Mike Tomlin. And that's really the travesty of this whole thing, cause you know how much I like Mike Tomlin. And I think it's, it's outrageous that he has never won a coach of the year award. And if he gets him in the playoffs this year, even I will be the one that's like, no, still it's Dan Campbell's award. It's, it's pretty crazy.


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[Assistant] So let's rip through a couple of these other awards here that I think are interesting. The uh, top pick power ranking awards. We used to do that. Who was, you know, in the leader house to get the number one pick here and get perhaps Caleb Williams or Drake May, who I think is going to get a lot of love maybe as we get closer to the draft season. Uh, Kyle Vert 53 calls this the


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[Assistant] How about the damn not okay award? I'd give that to the Giants. Right now have the fourth worst record and would have the number four pick in the draft right now. The Bears would have number two and three via their trade with Carolina last year. The Cardinals would have that number one pick right now, although that could change if Kyler Murray plays and starts balling out.


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[Assistant] Pete just wants to hear these words. The giant select Caleb Williams with the number one pick in the draft.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think the age thing is 25. The age and injury thing is hurting him? Yeah, maybe a little bit, but yeah, I don't know. It's gonna be fun. It's a tease for our March podcast. Subscribe right now, leave a comment if you would.


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[Assistant] Let's go fast through these. Other homies awards that they, uh, gave us, creative awards that we liked. Andy McDonald said the I'm glad I called that guy award from Billy Madison. That's a line from Billy Madison. Oh, I know. I'm assuming. I'm glad I called that guy. Antonio Pierce for the Raiders, who seems to have instantly changed the culture and the attitude.


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[Assistant] And the results on the field too. Yep. How would you say this next name here?


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[Assistant] Uh, zero actual championship hopes despite impressively legit Super Bowl off-season nomination, the New York Jets. Yes, that sounds like a bitter Jets fans. Welcome to the podcast. Although I do think like in this alternate reality where Aaron Rodgers doesn't get hurt, there is a, I don't know, I would put it at a,


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[Assistant] Likely chance? Over 50% chance? There's a lot of similar struggles on that offense. Agreed.


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[Assistant] Mehmet305 says the one swallow does not make a summer award. Goes to Gino Smith. He's struggling really bad so far and having, after having a great season last year.


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[Assistant] And cheese curd 19 says the rudderless award for the offense or defense that's drifting around without a good plan. I nominate the Packers offense.


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[Assistant] Magnet24QB says, who wins the Omids Red Pants Award for the best rookie big butt so far? Great segue. Let's hit the song. Boom.


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[Assistant] I might have to go with Will Anderson with what he's done on the edge for Houston. Out of the rookies, yeaah. Out of the rookies, yeaah. Out of the rookies so far. Yeaah. He's been a surprise to us. I think that's fair to say.


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[Assistant] But for this week, Defensive Tackle Big Butt of the Week Award for week number nine. I'm going with the Colts to Forrest Buckner. Five pressures, had a sack, a quarterback hit, led all defensive tackles with two batted passes. And most of the game, he did it while being double-teamed. He had a monster, monster game versus Carolina.


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[Assistant] Chris Buckner and Alex Highsmith, Week 9, Kristen has given us the butts for both of these fine young gentlemen.


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[Assistant] You're from England. That's exactly right. It was appropriate. It was a mess up that actually worked out. Uhm, it was a one touchdown game, but for most of the game, the Dolphins could get nothing going offensively here. So, we start out with the most basic question from your deep dive into the film study. How did the Chiefs slow down the greatest show on English turf?


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[Assistant] And I think that's where they were really good. Let's show that because I think that's a very interesting graphic. So Miami is top three in almost every offensive category. They're just like lights out. But they are 17th in third down conversion rate this year at 39.6%. Yes.


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[Assistant] Uh, Miami had one third and short all game long. They just had one all game long and so they struggled again in that category. So that's, that's interesting. A key is first and second down.


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[Assistant] Yeah, per PFF, Kansas City uses the defensive back blitz on 20% of their plays this season. That is third most in the NFL. The Vikings do it a lot. I saw this graphic on Brian Flores is like sending six man pressures at a 30% clip or something like that this year.


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[Assistant] The Kansas City Chiefs blitzed their defensive back, and so they really amped it up in the fourth quarter as this game went on. And I think we have some screenshots of this, too, for two especially. I think this was, what, five minutes to go in the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] Pete, do we have these screenshots? Okay, yep. Hold on, okay. We'll play elevator music. Oh, there it is. Oh, and we've boxed in the people. Well done. Well done here. Here, Pete, Kristen, Gabby, and crew. Yes.


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[Assistant] That, I mean, there's so many fascinating things here and I know we gotta move on to the next one, but another one that you've pointed out already a couple times is the physicality that they chose to... No doubt. ...use on the wide receivers for the Dolphins.


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[Assistant] I love it. It's why I love when these good teams face off against the other good teams, because you really see. You see the flaws, the strengths. Exactly.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs and Dolphins both on a buy, so maybe Mike McDaniel's gotta get back into the lab and figure out an adjustment now that some of these good teams have figured some things out. Uh, Cowboys and Eagles, another one of those matchups where it was a good team versus good team. You took a look at the Cowboys defense against the Eagles offense, cause I think there's,


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[Assistant] Two sides of this coin too. I think there are some things that you did not like with what the Dallas Cowboys do in this game and you'll get to those, but it also did feel like they had some success against Philadelphia holding them to under 300 yards. The fewest that the Eagles have had in the game since week one against a New England Patriots team.


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[Assistant] I kinda think we're getting to a point where, yea, if you're even a good defense, you need to do things to make the Eagles uncomfortable, cause they're almost the most dominant force, like the time of possession you noted in your notes here, I think they're third in the NFL right now. Exactly. They can quick strike long bond.


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[Assistant] Perhaps a bad scheme by the Cowboys. What are you doing? You can't keep up with him like that. So here's the numbers on this play, and this was awesome too. Air distance, according to Next Gen stats, 50 yards through the air. Sideline distance was .5, so that means he was a half a yard from the sideline was Devontae Smith.


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[Assistant] They calculated the completion probability on this play, 17%. They said just 17% of the time that's a completed pass. It was here and Hertz now has thrown a league high 16 touchdown passes when targeting go routes since 2022.


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[Assistant] The Eagles are on a bye this week. Man, no one's playing. Who's playing in the NFL this week? Oh, the Cowboys are playing. They take on your Giants. Yikes. Uh, Pete wonders if we should- Don't tune in. If we should pray for Tommy DeVito.


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[Assistant] We need to pray for him and his health. The cowboys, you come away from this game, and you liked what Dak Prescott did on the offensive side of the ball, even though you didn't do a deep dive there. And the cowboys, if they take some more chances, they can play with the Eagles.


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[Assistant] Luan Aromo, you have a lot of respect for him too. Between him and Spags, who would you


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[Assistant] So they blitz just 13% of the time versus the Buffalo Bills in their game this past Sunday. And they limited that deep passing game. So a lot of those coverages and it's like, we're not going to let you do what you do best.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen, 20 yards or more down the field. You're like, that's a bread and butter. Just get it out there. Exactly. Use his arm. He was one for three, had the touchdown, uh, but also had the interception on his deep throws. Just three deep throws.


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[Assistant] Cause you did it in your notes. You thought DJ Reader and BJ Hill were too much to handle up front. They just held their own.


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[Assistant] And a lot of times in your notes, you'll, you'll say one guy who popped and showed a lot of speed out there. You might show two guys like these guys fly around the field. You listed like five numbers in the defensive secondary for the Bengals here. I'll go through them if you want me to. Dax Hill, DJ Turner, Nick Scott is one of them too. Mike Hilton was also one of them. Cam Taylor.


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[Assistant] That was one more thing brought to you by Columbo, which is streaming right now on Peacock. If you're watching this on Peacock right now, you can, once you're done with this, you just go and stream some Columbo. I love that show. Uh, before we go.


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[Assistant] I want, I want you to give some love to your guy. Yeah, let's do it. CJ Stroud. Right. Because you went back and I was like, you're grinding all these defenses. We made you look at three defenses. How dare you. I was like, let's give you a treat at the end of it. Go look at CJ Stroud and maybe look and you know, we saw those great plays at the end. Tanked out. Awesome. I mean, he's just carving them up at the end of the game.


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[Assistant] But look at the tape, was it really as good? Were there more bad plays in there that were glossing over because the finish was so good? So when you looked at the game tape for CJ's Trout, were you as impressed as you were on Sunday?


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[Assistant] It could be one of the more interesting games this week. Texans at Cincinnati, Lou Anaromo. We just talked about him. What will he do to try to confuse or slow down CJ Stroud and will it work? We will be watching that.


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[Assistant] This weekend and now we close the book on film review, mid-season awards. That was a giant pod. That was meaty. That was fun. I really enjoyed that. I'm glad you did.


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[Assistant] You should have an affinity for the West Virginia High School quarterback. Apparently you don't. I do. In Tyson Bagent. I believe in Tyson Bagent. He belongs, and the Chargers are kaka.


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[Assistant] Well, you know what? I saved everyone on the Football Night in America crew from the ultimate embarrassment of a clean sweep for the Chargers because as we know, cosmically, karmically, if


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[Assistant] We had all taken the Chargers. The Bears would have won that game. I took the Bears. Bears lost. You're welcome. Everybody gets a win. I get the L. I don't care. Good. I didn't want to set us up to become a Chargers slash Bears meme. So you're, you are welcome. And, uh, I wish I had taken


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[Assistant] The charges to beat the Bears in hindsight. In hindsight, I wish I'd been selfish.


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[Assistant] We were even in two of the categories last week against the spread in best bets. We continue to be horrible in best bets, but I did win the straight up competition 11 to 5.


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[Assistant] To 10-6, my lead is now up to two games once again. We disagreed on three of the contests, including Chargers Bears. I would have been 2-0 against you straight up if I had just gone with the Chargers. Oh well, that's life. We move on to


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[Assistant] Week 9. And I was happy that we both were on the right side of 500. We had a rough week. I had a rough week. Last week I was 6 and 7 with 13 games. I'll take 11 and 5 with 16 games this week. 14 games. And this week,


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[Assistant] We're gonna get to all the picks one at a time. That's what we do here on the Chris Sims Unbuttoned PFTPM Joint Megapix Podcast. This week was a little difficult.


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[Assistant] This week, this week I was not looking forward to. Anyway. It's always a coin flip.


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[Assistant] If you're not going to accept it, bring it back. Bring it back like the fur coat that they bought after they, they, uh, pulled the Lufthansa heist. Bring it back. Bring it back. I'll take it back. I'm going to sell it for a pink Cadillac. That's what I'm going to do.


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[Assistant] Johnny Rose Beef! Didn't turn out well for Johnny Rose Beef and Mrs. Rose Beef. That's for damn sure. Spoiler alert. It didn't turn out well for most of the people involved in the Lestanzah heist. By the way,


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[Assistant] Speaking of heists, every week this season you can play along with us. DraftKings has s- I don't know that DraftKings would appreciate being-


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[Assistant] You've got the free $1,000 Florio and Sims pick'em pool. Pick every game against the spread for a chance at a $1,000 prize pool every week. Did I mention it's free?


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[Assistant] And just like us, you must enter all of your picks before kickoff on the Thursday night game. What's wrong with me? I got a doctor's appointment coming up. I should be grim, not laughing.


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[Assistant] I'm just, I don't know, I'm in a good mood for some reason. I don't know why I'm in a good mood. This extra hour of work and I gotta pick games and set myself up for f***ing ridicule. This is the worst hour of the week, but let's have some fun. Let's get to it!


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[Assistant] I gotta root for my pick. Monday night, you know, I kinda like to see the Raiders beat the Lions, but I picked the Lions to win and cover. I gotta root for my pick. F*** that. Alright, Thursday Night Football, here we go.


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[Assistant] Titans at the Steelers. Steelers are three point favorites over under 37. They will play Renegade in the fourth quarter. Will the Steelers prevail, Chris?


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[Assistant] Ooh, oh mama, I mean, fear for my life, for the long arm of the law, here comes Christopher. Look, I think you gotta come down to a field goal.


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[Assistant] Cause I wanted to do 16-13. I think the final score will be 16-13.


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[Assistant] The spread is 3, so as we always do, we either make it 2 or 4. Right. When we land on a 3 point spread. So, alright, fine. We'll go Titans cover barely. It's a tight needle to thread. Missed field goal. End of the game. Steelers win 16-14. But, I'm concerned Will Lovis is going to light them up.


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[Assistant] I'm concerned they're not going to be ready for Will Levis. I think Will Levis is going to be pretty damn good. I said earlier today on PFT Live, I spoke to somebody high up with one of the teams saying he's going to get a lot of people fired because people are going to be saying, why was this guy around at the top of round two? I hear you.


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[Assistant] In round one. So, uh, and it definitely will be him. Ryan Tannehill's out. Patrick's out for the Steelers. Cameron Hayward is back.


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[Assistant] He's been out since week one. TJ Watt never went anywhere. That's the guy that Will Lovis is gonna have to deal with. But it should be a really good game. It should be an old school hard fought game. I wish it was gonna rain or something tonight. I wish the weather tonight


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[Assistant] Was like it was on Sunday for the Jaguars Steelers game, but as best I can tell, it's gonna be cold. It's gonna be cold, right? I don't think there's gonna be any weather at all.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's 35 in Pittsburgh currently and it's gonna be sunny all day and tonight it looks like around kickoff it will be, you know, between 35 and 40 degrees. Alright. So, uh, weather shouldn't be a factor, but we'll see that, you know, the steam


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[Assistant] Coming out of the player's face masks. It's one of those nights. Should be a great game. Alright, let's get to Sunday. And Sunday morning. You better get up early for this.


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[Assistant] I can understand if you don't get up early for some of the other early morning games. This is the one.


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[Assistant] Of all the games the NFL has sent to other countries, this is the one to not miss. NFL Network only. Dolphins versus the Chiefs in Germany.


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[Assistant] Ooh baby! This one, same idea, but the Chiefs get a late touchdown from Mahomes to Travis Kelsey to make the final score 31 to 28. This was the key for me.


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[Assistant] I thought back to last year after Peter King attended the Buccaneers Seahawks game that was played in Germany. He said it felt like


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[Assistant] This may be too big of a stage for the Dolphins. This may be too big of a game. They might not be ready.


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[Assistant] For how this one is gonna feel. For the Chiefs, it's gonna bring back memories, it's gonna be old hat they got embarrassed last week. You don't think that was a wake up call for the Kansas City Chiefs? You don't think Patrick Mahomes took that personally? You don't think he's determined to stick it to anyone they play this week, especially Tyree Kill, who got out and said all that stuff?


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[Assistant] You know, initially he didn't say anything. And then he goes on his podcast and he talks about how Tua is the most accurate quarterback in the NFL and he's taking these slaps at Patrick Mahomes and Mahomes takes it in stride. You know.


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[Assistant] You know he's writing it down like Ryan Howard with the goatee when he, when he got


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I haven't seen the injury report from yesterday, but...


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[Assistant] Obviously there's a question mark as to whether or not Howard will be available and it's one of those we're going to have to track and watch as we get all the way towards Sunday morning. But don't miss that one.


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[Assistant] Falcon's favorite by four and a half. Wouldn't have been that way if a cuckoo cousins hadn't suffered the torn Achilles tendon on Sunday over under of 37 and a half. It's Taylor Heinecke against Jaren Hall with Josh Dobbs in a supportive role, whatever that means. Chris?


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[Assistant] As you might recall, back when the Vikings were looking for a replacement to Mike Zimmer, I was all in on the idea of Chris' good friend Jim Harbaugh being hired in Minnesota. I thought he could come in and make an impact right away as he did in San Francisco. I was lukewarm at best about Kevin O'Connell when he first arrived. However, as time has passed and I've seen what he can do, and more importantly,


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[Assistant] I've heard what he says. I've watched him during games. He has a great way about him and the thing that really sold me on O'Connell happened on Monday


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[Assistant] When he said at his press conference, this isn't a challenge, this isn't a hurdle, this is an opportunity for everyone.


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[Assistant] To step up for everyone to put in the effort and do what's necessary. He gets that connection with Jaren Hall. Hall has the whole week to get ready to go. They liked Hall coming out of BYU. They made him a fifth round pick. You go back and watch his highlights. He's got a lot of mobility. He's gutsy. He's not very tall, but you reconfigure the offense a little bit and who knows?


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[Assistant] I look at that defense. The defense has been forgotten in all this. As you've said Chris, regardless of what the record is issued, they're better than they were last year defensively. Far better than they were defensively. Not that it was going to take much to be better than they were last year. Last year, kaka. Clearly. For the Vikings defense. But, you know, when


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[Assistant] Cousins went out and the Vikings offense was stuck in neutral.


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[Assistant] The defense kept answering the bell. The defense kept making plays. The defense is in the position to become the heart and soul of this team down the stretch. And I guarantee you, Brian Flores spent the week telling his defenders, we have the opportunity to carry this team. We have the opportunity to lift it into the playoffs.


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[Assistant] Look at what happened last year. It was all offense. This year the defense is going to take over.


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[Assistant] That's where I think the Vikings are going to prevail on Sunday, 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] Vikings win the game. Don't ask me how they're going to score points on offense. I think they will. The key is they're going to hold the Falcons in check because they're going to take it as their own personal mission to step up and replace what the team is missing without Kirk Cousins.


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[Assistant] I think we're gonna agree on this one because the Seahawks are the team that has settled into what you were saying earlier about the Dolphins. They win the games they're supposed to win, and then they enter the arena against a great team, and they're just not ready.


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[Assistant] I think that it's too much to ask the Seahawks to go to Baltimore to face this Ravens team that is getting better each week, that is ready to separate from the pack, at least in the division, if not in the rest of the conference.


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[Assistant] Losing this one if you're Seattle. Seattle's already exceeded expectations this year. We're gonna learn a lot about them this month and into next month. I keep talking about that four game stretch that starts Thanksgiving night. That's just three weeks away. 49ers.


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[Assistant] Cowboys, 49ers, Eagles. Holy shit, Batman, for the Seattle Seahawks later this month. But it's, holy shit, for now, having to take on Lamar Jackson and company. I just don't think they're gonna be able to handle it. There's no shame in it, like I said. What's my score for this one? 28-20, Ravens over the Seahawks.


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[Assistant] Too much on offense, too much on defense, Seahawks good, not good enough to go in and steal this win.


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[Assistant] Alright, so we agree on that one, both as to the winner and as to the cover by the Baltimore Ravens, and that's one frankly I'm considering very seriously for a best bet, which means Seahawks will win straight up. Cardinals at the Browns!


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[Assistant] The Browns, great defense. Offensively, who knows what's going on. Deshaun Watson was limited in practice on Wednesday. The Browns are favored by eight.


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[Assistant] Clayton Toon apparently starting this weekend. Kyler Murray fully participated in practice on Wednesday for whatever reason. They are keeping him on ice for now. Browns again favored by eight over under 37 and a half. Chris, do the Browns get their fifth win of the season?


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[Assistant] 24-13 Browns. I'll take 4 points off the board for the Cardinals and even that may be too much. The Browns need to win games like this if they want to be competitive. They can't fall down against a team like the Cardinals or they're done. This is a disqualifying game if they lose it.


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[Assistant] They don't get considered for the playoffs. They don't get taken seriously if they lose at home to the Arizona Cardinals at a time when the Browns really need to get a win. So we agree on this one as well.


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[Assistant] Uh, we both have the Browns covering, we both have the Browns winning, and we move on to the Rams at the Packers. Not long ago, playoff game, Matthew Stafford, before that Jared Goff, Aaron Rodgers, yada yada. Stafford likely won't be playing with that thumb injury.


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[Assistant] Jordan Love, not yet proving himself to be worthy of being the next standard bearer behind Brett Favre and Aaron Rodgers, but the Packers are still favored by three and a half in this one. That tells you what the oddsmakers think about Brett Rippon. 38 and a half over under. Chris, who do you got?


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[Assistant] I've got, and, uh, let's see, I closed it, now I'm gonna open, I got 2117 packers.


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[Assistant] I think that this is just one of those all hands on deck red alert moments the Packers have to win this game. Otherwise the whole season is going to be a disaster. They're playing a backup quarterback who


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[Assistant] Is overmatched, frankly, if they can't pull it together and win this one. It's a pride game for the pack.


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[Assistant] Matt LaFleur will be beside himself even more than he was beside himself at half time in that Thursday night game a few weeks back when they were getting stomped by the Lions. This is one they have to win. This is one they need to get the most out of Jordan Love. This is one at home. They just can't have this. It can't happen. Also, we've got the LaFleur brothers.


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[Assistant] Packers and Mike, the offensive coordinator now of the Rams. Last year it was Mike when he was with the Jets. They came in.


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[Assistant] To Green Bay and the Jets won that game. I just don't see Mike stealing another one from Matt. 21-17 Packers. Alright, fucking ears.


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[Assistant] Remember last week when the Rams were getting ready to play the Cowboys and you picked the Rams to cover in that game and one of the factors we both were considering is this idea


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[Assistant] I don't think Baker Mayfield gets the credit he deserves for what he's done this year. I think he was spectacular last Thursday night against the Bills.


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[Assistant] He tried to will that team to victory. If they had 11 Baker Mayfields on offense last night, or last Thursday night, and 11 Baker Mayfields on defense, the way he was playing, the effort he was giving, they would have won that game easily. He was


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[Assistant] More impressive to me in defeat last Thursday night than he'd ever been to me in victory.


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[Assistant] With a couple extra days, understanding the stakes here. They lose a fourth in a row.


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[Assistant] And they start slipping out of the conversation in the NFC South. They can still win that division. They're still arguably the best team on paper in that division. This is a gotta have it game. Baker Mayfield going back to Texas. 23-20. Buccaneers win.


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[Assistant] Commanders at the Patriots. The Patriots. How are the Patriots favorite at home? Well, they're playing the Commanders, who apparently have folded the tents on this year as they prepare to scrap the current operation and Josh Harris, the new owner,


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[Assistant] 24-20, same score I have. This is one that the Patriots, who are the worst team right now in the AFC, this is one that if they can't win this, they may not win another one at all. They're getting the commanders at a time when everything is feeling kind of wobbly. And you know, the players are saying all the right things, because they still want to go out and win. They want to go out and play for pride.


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[Assistant] They're, they're hamstrung now without Montez Sweatt and Chase Young both gone like that on Tuesday.


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[Assistant] I think it's just a matter of time before Rivera is fired and Eric Biennimi gets a chance to audition for the job next year. Why not let him be a head coach for four, five, six games?


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[Assistant] Just to see, just to evaluate what kind of a coach he could be gives the ownership something to think about as they move forward with a new coach in 24. I think that's coming and it's probably coming sooner than later, especially if, as we both believe, the Patriots win 24-20. Alright, the last game in the one o'clock window.


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[Assistant] Bears at the Saints. Saints favored by 8.5 with an over-under of 41. The Saints surprised us both by going to Indy and winning. The Bears did not look very good on Sunday night against the Chargers. Biggest spread of the week at 8.5 points. Chris, who do you got?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'll go 28-21 Saints. I, I think that the Bears aren't as bad as the team we saw on Sunday night. The game got away from them early, starting with the Darnell Mooney catch and he wasn't down and all that weirdness.


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[Assistant] I know they had the issue this week with the running backs coach leaving abruptly, but I think that they'll keep it close.


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[Assistant] The Saints, if they don't win this one, it's just like if the Browns can't beat the Cardinals at home, the Browns aren't to be taken seriously. If the Saints can't beat the Bears at home right now, the Saints are not to be taken seriously. The Saints, I think, win, and I don't think they cover, I'm with you.


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[Assistant] Uh, so that's it for the one o'clock games and the Thursday night game and the early Sunday game. We take a break when we return the late afternoon games headlined by the first of two games this year between the Cowboys and the Eagles. More PFTPM and Chris Sims unbuttoned right after this.


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[Assistant] Do not forget on DraftGang Sportsbook this season, new customers can bet $5 and pocket $200 in bonus bets instantly.


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[Assistant] All customers can get a no sweat, same game parlay every single day. Download the app and use the promo code PFTLIVE when you sign up. DraftKings Sportsbook. The crown is yours. The crown is yours. Alright. Sunday afternoon. Colts at Panthers.


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[Assistant] Good thing they aren't playing this at one o'clock. No one would pay attention to it at one. Guess what? No one's paying attention to it at four either. The Colts favored by three. The Panthers got the win!


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[Assistant] Last week, there were a lot of road favorites last week. The Colts, one of just two road favorites this week. Do you like the Panthers to get two in a row? Do you like the Colts to turn things around over under 44?


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[Assistant] Taking the Panthers to cover. Look, I'm gonna take the Panthers to win. 16-13.


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[Assistant] I agree with you that Frank Reich is going to be extra driven to stick it up Jim Ursay's butt sideways.


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[Assistant] You turn one win into two. It would have been great if Anthony Richardson could play. We could have seen Bryce Young go against in consecutive weeks the two quarterbacks that the Panthers could have had instead of him.


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[Assistant] Gardner Minshew is my concern, and we're both Gardner Minshew fans, and I thought, hey, this is great, this is an opportunity for Minshew to lay the foundation and go be a starter somewhere else, and he played well earlier in the year. Hasn't played well the past couple of weeks. Yea, too loose. Not good at Jacksonville. Yea. Not good at home against the Saints.


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[Assistant] I think the Panthers are going to pull this one off. 16-13. Yeah, so it's unfortunate. I thought the Colts could hold it together.


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[Assistant] Alas, it was not to be. Not like the Panthers are gonna put themselves in playoff contention, but a little momentum.


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[Assistant] It's up to you, man. It's up to you. I thought your hand was off the checker. Yeah, that's okay, I'll leave it. Hands off the checker. Alright, Giants at the Raiders. Somehow the Raiders are favored by a point and a half after a short week, turmoil, coach fired, GM fired,


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[Assistant] My camera, something just happened there. My return froze up, but I guess we're okay. Anyway. Anyway. We can see you, unfortunately. Raiders are favored by one and a half. Yeah, f*** you. Over under is 37. Sorry. Sorry, uh, sorry. They're gonna have to bleep a bunch of bad language today. Who do you like in this one? Like,


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[Assistant] Yeah, I got the same thing. I feel like it's a trap. I know. I got 2720. I think it's gonna be a little looser, a little higher scoring, but...


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[Assistant] What does Vegas know? What do the oddsmakers know? What does DraftKings know that we don't know that would make the Raiders favorite in this game by a point and a half? It makes no sense. It's too much turmoil. Wasn't it?


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[Assistant] Wasn't it the Jets, or excuse me, the Colts last year with Jeff Saturday, didn't they beat the Raiders in the first game for Saturday? See, the problem is,


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[Assistant] The Raiders don't get to play the Raiders. If the Raiders were playing the Raiders, then they could win this game. But they're not having a team that's gonna walk in there and just kinda hand it.


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[Assistant] To the Raiders. I mean, the Giants aren't far from what the Raiders were last year, but I think the Giants hold it together, Daniel Jones back, get a win, stay on the fringes of contention in the NFC. Alright, the big game at 4.25pm Eastern on Sunday.


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[Assistant] The Eagles. The Eagles. Best record in the NFL is 7-1. They're favored by three. The over-under is 47. Chris, who do you like in round one of this home and home series in the NFC East?


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[Assistant] 30-24 is my score in this one, and look, if they were playing in Dallas, I'd pick the Cowboys. Point we made during PFT Live, Jason Garrett has been mentioning this all year, you get the Cowboys.


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[Assistant] Out of AT&T Stadium, off of that fast track, they're a different team. They're gonna be on grass, in Philly, hostile environment, and for the Cowboys, the formula is, get up by two scores early, and then just go crazy. Just, just...


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[Assistant] Go nuts. Let the defense, when the offense becomes one dimensional because they need to score points because they're down double digits, just go after them and it gets worse and it gets worse and it gets worse. I think that's what would happen potentially if they were playing this game in Dallas. In Philly, closer game, Eagles prevail, 30 to 24.


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[Assistant] And move to eight and one, and we'll continue to have the best record in all of football. Let's take a break. When we return, Primetime Games, headlined by Bills, Bengals, Sunday Night Football, ooh baby. We'll talk about that next on Chris Sims Unbuttoned and PFTPM.


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[Assistant] Cincinnati! Hello, Sunday Night Football. The Bills at the Bengals. And remember, starting last week, the Bills have every game until week 17 in a big spot. Primetime or standalone or 425 Eastern.


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[Assistant] This is round two. They barely held off the Buccaneers last week. The Bucs made a late effort to try to steal the game. This week they go to Cincinnati. The Bengals blew out the 49ers 31 to 17. Bengals favored by two in this one. Only two points. 49 and a half over under. Only two points.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I am as well, and I think the Bengals cover, I've got a little closer 28-24. Joe Burrow is 100%.


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[Assistant] Joe Burrow is back to being Joe Burrow. These are the moments he thrives.


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[Assistant] These are the moments where he steps up and plays well and elevates the team around him. This is their opportunity to put everyone on notice that they are going to be a factor down the stretch. And hey Chiefs, you better watch out because we're coming at you again.


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[Assistant] So yeah, I think that the Bengals, I'm surprised it's only two points. I think the Bengals win at least by three, if not by more. And also, we haven't talked about Josh Allen. He didn't practice on Wednesday. He's got a shoulder injury. He's banged up.


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[Assistant] And we go back to these issues with the Bills offense. They didn't do anything on that side of the ball to beef up at the trade deadline. They have added Rasul Douglas. Lin-Val Joseph signed earlier today. That's not gonna be enough to make a difference in a game like this.


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[Assistant] The bills are just barely hanging on, and they're a couple losses away from this thing falling apart, and one of those losses is coming on Sunday night. We both agree on that one. Monday Night Football.


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[Assistant] The Chargers at the Jets. The Jets, are they fresh out of Shamrocks up their ass? I don't know. The Chargers are favored by 3.5 points in this one, but over under a 40. Chris, who do you have?


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[Assistant] A 3-3 wash to make sure that one of us prevails this weekend.


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[Assistant] I will take the Jets. It's not the reason I was gonna take the Jets. I was gonna take them anyway, but it makes me feel even better about it. I went back and forth with this one. I want one of us to win. I want one of us to lose. The Jets are becoming kinda like the Steelers.


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[Assistant] Hang around, hang around, hang around, find a way. And they found a way against the giant somehow.


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[Assistant] I think moments like that just give them more confidence. That's the thing about football. As the season goes along, I say it all the time, who you are at the end of the year is going to be far different from who you were at the beginning of the year. And one of the reasons that you become better is you become confident. You get a win that you shouldn't have won, you become confident. You get another win that maybe you shouldn't have gotten, you get more confident.


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[Assistant] I think the Jets are gonna have that quiet conference. Look at what they did Monday night back in week one. Somehow beating the Bills on the night that Aaron Rodgers suffered the torn Achilles tendon. And then, at MetLife Stadium last week, taking out the Giants when they had no business winning that game. Here they come, back to the same place, in prime time. There's just something about it.


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[Assistant] There's something about the Jets right now where they're finding ways to keep winning games while they wait for Daddy to come home and take over and push them as far as they can go into the postseason if they get there. 24-23 Jets win late field goal by Greg Zerlin and we're going to be talking about it on Tuesday saying how in the hell did the Jets do it? That's my prediction.


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[Assistant] All right, let's take a break. When we return best bets or as it applies to us this year, worst bets and our Folsom Prism Blues selections. When we wrap up Chris Sims Unbuttoned and PFTPM joint megapix podcast next.


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[Assistant] Chris Sims on button PFTPM joint mega picks podcast. We disagree on seven games straight up. We only disagree on three against the spread. So time for best bets. We each pick three. We have been kaka so far this year. We try to be uncaka today. Chris, you're up first. No, you're up first.


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[Assistant] I am going to focus, I'm telling you now, spoiler alert, we got four great games in four separate windows on Sunday. My best bets come from those four games.


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[Assistant] With the nightcap. Okay. Give me the Bengals. Given two points to the Bills. I don't know why the hell the spread's only two. I think the Bengals win that game by at least three, maybe seven, maybe ten. The Bengals ready to make a statement in prime time, Chris.


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[Assistant] Working my way backward. The Eagles only giving three to the Cowboys. This is a bad spot for Dallas. They're not gonna blow out the Eagles. The Eagles are gonna keep it close throughout and they're gonna find a way to win. I got 30 to 24. The Eagles only giving three. If the Cowboys were at home, I'd feel differently. I like the Eagles to win this one and cover.


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[Assistant] Now I'm gonna go to 9.30 a.m. on Sunday with the Chiefs favorite by only one and a half. Give me the Chiefs. Tyree Kill gonna get a dose from Patrick Mahomes. The Chiefs are gonna step up and vindicate themselves for last week's embarrassment in Denver. Damn. Chiefs win the game and cover.


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[Assistant] So Deshaun Watson's gonna undergo season ending surgery, but I want to know, was he mad that Schefter broke the news then, or did he get the tweet out before Schefter, or did he learn it from Schefter?


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[Assistant] Yeah, now they've lost Deshaun Watson. They've lost Nick Chubb earlier. They lost Jack Conklin. So on the offensive side, certainly the injuries have piled up here. So even whoever replaces Deshaun Watson is going in with a depleted offensive staff. So what was a difficult task is even more difficult for these guys. And you mentioned the two.


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[Assistant] P.J. Walker, Dorian Thompson Robinson, I think we have their numbers for the season. We'll find out more as the day goes on and perhaps when you're listening to this they've made a decision on who they'll go with, but uhm, I don't know, if you were Kevin Stefanski,


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[Assistant] You don't want a quarterback's throwing shoulder hurt either. And so who knows? Broken bone seems better than maybe ligaments up there, but I'm not a doctor, I have no idea.


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[Assistant] What else was it, Pete? A third and two fourths. So yea, it was a lot. It was a lot. And the money then. Exactly right. And changing the game. And getting other owners to hate you. You gave up a lot. They did a lot. Exactly right. So now where did the Browns sit? Draft Kings.


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[Assistant] comes to the rescue for us, to show us what the odds for the Browns were before this news broke and what the odds are now.


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[Assistant] Looking ahead to this week's game versus the Steelers, they were a four point favorite before, now they're a two point favorite, so they still think they're going to beat the Steelers. But the playoff odds have changed drastically here.


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[Assistant] To win the AFC North, they've almost gotten twice as bad, plus 230 to plus 450, uh, to win the AFC, they've all gotten significantly worse. I wouldn't think they would.


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[Assistant] We'll see if they can do it. Uh, our betting guru Jay Croucher says that this makes Miles Garrett's MVP chances even better. Oh, that's an interesting angle. I can see that. If Browns win that division, all credit will go to him. He's currently plus 18,000 on DraftKings right now to win the MVP.


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[Assistant] I want to remind you not to forget on the DraftKings Sportsbook this season, new customers can bet $5 in pocket, $150 in bonus bets instantly. Plus all customers can get a no sweat, same game parlay every day. You can download the app and use the promo code unbuttoned when you sign up.


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[Assistant] And, uh, you know, uh, there, there are a lot of comments out there that the Browns could use a guy like Joshua Dobbs. And Pete knows that too. A guy they had. They had Joshua Dobbs. And they traded him, uh, in a, in a, him and a...


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[Assistant] Seventh rounder for a fifth rounder. To Arizona, right? To Arizona, and Patriot Cody Wyatt says it would cost something pretty significant, but I think the Giants might be willing to part with Tommy DeVito for the right price. So, you know, I know we're past the trade deadline, but maybe that's more of an off-season thing. But, uh, yeah, Josh Dobbs would, I mean, that would be a good fit for them right now.


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[Assistant] We're also gonna talk about offensive and defensive coordinators, because the homies, we wanted the homies to chime in with who their favorite coordinators were, and maybe not the best, but it's like who you respect out there, and who does all this stuff.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and we kinda talked about this because there's some news that happened in Buffalo. Yes. And I think we gotta talk about that too. Yes we do.


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[Assistant] There's trouble in Buffalo and there's trouble with Josh. Uh, first of all, they, they lost to the Broncos on Monday night. I'm sure you guys are all well aware. 24 to 22 is the final score, which was the craziest ending to a game that I think neither team deserved to win at the end of that game. I was just like, you should just walk off the field and just pretend this game never happened.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but Ken Dorsey got fired, the offensive coordinator for the Bills.


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[Assistant] You've had a chance to talk about this with, uh, with Mike. Yeah. Uh, for those that have not seen your comments on this, and you do see on the internet somewhere, people are like, actually you look at the numbers for the Bills offense.


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[Assistant] You look at the numbers for Josh Allen outside of the interceptions, it's like this is a highly productive offense. That you look at the numbers, they're not that dissimilar from when Brian Dayball was there and we all praised Brian Dayball and got him a head coaching gig and so was Ken Dorsey the problem or what's going on here? Uhm, your reaction to the news that they fired their offensive coordinator for the Bills.


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[Assistant] This would be my argument if I was Ken Dorsey. I would be like, I've been listening to the Chris Sims on Button podcast for the last two years and Chris has got it exactly right outside of


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[Assistant] Stefan Diggs and Josh Allen, we just don't have much. We just don't have much talent. And so for us to still be up there as far as ranks in the NFL is like, yeah, that's Josh Allen. He's a superhuman, but I've done as well as I could with what talent I have.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that would be the concern your quarterback is taking a step back because at the end of that game and throughout the game for, for Josh Allen, he's just got to, he does have to do so much. He had the interception in the first quarter, interception in the second quarter, third quarter fumble.


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[Assistant] And he didn't catch it, right? NextGenStats says that with all the turnovers, they lost almost 20 expected points and 45% win probability. And so making the mistake and eventually Sean McDermott says it's over. That's it. Here's the question though. There's five and five. They're a game and a half back of the Dolphins in the division. Joe Brady is now.


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[Assistant] Leading the charge. Do you think it gets better, worse, or no different with Joe Brady?


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[Assistant] Yeah, maybe Alan responds better to when it's not like that, because we've talked about Aaron Rodgers and Nathaniel Hackett. That's a close, close relationship, but maybe they still have the dynamic where he can yell at Aaron and Aaron respects that. Yeah, that's interesting.


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[Assistant] Now part of me though thought, and this is the last thing I'll say on this one, before we move on to the top coordinators in the


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[Assistant] National football league. At the end of that game, it's like, I would have blamed the special teams coordinator. You've got 12 guys in the field, right? And I would have blamed maybe the defensive coordinator, Sean McDermott, leading the charge there because they all out blitz two plays in a row. And obviously it worked the first time, but two times in a row. That's questionable. Homie two cents says, hi Chris, Amid Morgan, Pete Courtney.


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[Assistant] If the Bills decide to move on from Sean McDermott, what do you think of Brian Johnson as the Bills head coach? Uh, would be great for.


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[Assistant] That's what I'm trying to throw him off. Get Brian Johnson. Get Brian. Leave Brian Johnson alone. Of course not. Brian Johnson. Uh, yea, Lions offensive coordinator Ben Johnson. Uh, yea, I mean that's a two parter basically. Do you think that Sean McDermott is feeling a little pressure? If this goes south, could Sean McDermott be done in Buffalo?


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[Assistant] Ben Johnson or Brian Johnson. There's going to be no Johnson that will help them out as we transition over to your question that you asked the homies here. You said going to be talking offensive and defensive coordinators on tomorrow's pod. Who is your favorite NFL coordinator and why? So, uh, let's just start with scarecrow boat.


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[Assistant] This said, I just woke up from a six hour nap. My favorite coordinator is Ken Dorsey. Time to take a big sip of coffee and check the ESPN ticker. First of all, don't check the ESPN ticker. Go to NBCSports.com. The Peacock ticker. Or go to Mike Florio's tweets. Uhm, yeaah, I'm sorry, but who knows? Maybe he'll go, he actually probably will find another job somewhere, right?


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[Assistant] I think you're going to agree with a lot of these names that the homies are throwing out here. And so we'll, we'll, we'll let the homies have their, have their time and then you'll kind of piggyback on what they say here and what they like. Cause I think a lot of these names and you may add a few more, but


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[Assistant] Our homies are diverse. They have a lot of different coordinators that they like and this is a fun time because I do think that there are a lot of coordinators that


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[Assistant] Offensive line. He is 100% a head coach in 2024, hopefully in Buffalo. So a lot of people are trying to manifest that to happen, uh, in Buffalo. But, but you have said this before, was specifically about Ben Johnson. Like if we can maybe pick


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[Assistant] One thing that we respect the most out of these guys, what would be your one thing on Ben Johnson?


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[Assistant] He echoes those sentiments. Bobby Slowick is getting a lot of buzz as a potential head coach candidate. Do you think he is ready for that?


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's his first year as an NFL offensive coordinator. He was the 49ers.


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[Assistant] Passing game coordinator last year, pass game specialist the year prior. And I think part of it is like kind of, why do we think like this too? Because there are people who, it's two different jobs, right? I don't think, you know, Dan Campbell's my favorite head coach in the NFL right now.


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[Assistant] Would I want him as like an offensive or defensive coordinator? I mean, not necessarily. I think his skill set is perfectly suited to being the head coach. The leader, the manager. The leader, yea.


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[Assistant] Right? I mean, are we sure that just be, I mean, that's the case made against Josh McDaniels all the time, right? Elite. Hall of Fame coordinator. He should be in the Hall of Fame as a coordinator, but as a head coach, he's been a failed


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[Assistant] Let me do a couple more offensive coordinators here, and then I want to get your favorite ones. I think maybe you've already talked about them a little bit here, but uh, this is Task Force L, says Shane Waldron, Seahawks offensive coordinator, because he evolved the Hawks offense to a more modern O. That's not a name that I necessarily anticipated hearing, because I don't think that they've


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[Assistant] With the skill position players they have, the receivers they have, and Geno's taking a step back, but uhm, yeah, I'm not ready to go there.


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[Assistant] Eric B. Enemy getting some love from TX Chiefs. So Texas Chiefs has continued his love of Eric B. Enemy over with the Commanders right now. Eric B., he says, uh, or she.


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[Assistant] He has made, uh, mad Sam Howell. He has made Sam Howell and the Commander so watchable as a Chiefs fan. I feel jealous because that's the offense that we had. So, he's waxing poetic.


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[Assistant] Interesting, because DSHSV99 says Kansas City's offense has been down this year. I know it's Andy's offense, but Matt Nagy is responsible for the game plans.


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[Assistant] You said on the pod that defenses quickly figure out the Kansas City attacks and the offensive coordinator was the only big change from 2022. Could he be the reason for the struggles? I think there's something to that there.


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[Assistant] He's gotta be an offensive coordinator. You can't take Mike McDaniel. You can't take Kyle Shanahan.


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[Assistant] The love and hate list. Yeah. Every, what does he do that? Thursdays or Wednesdays I guess maybe? Let's do the Chris Sims love, love list for defensive coordinators because you've been talking up some guys here lately. Let's, let's just go through your love in the game right now, defensive coordinators that you think are doing it right. I love Mike McDonald.


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[Assistant] So hold on, before you go to Jim Schwartz, Mr. Jenkins goes Spags is my favorite D coordinator. His coaching has made the defense so fun to watch. And Big Chiefs 92 goes Spags with three exclamation points.


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[Assistant] Uh, his exotic coverages and willingness to risk things. I think he always had a crazy scheme, but to take it back to 2019 when you said Kansas City can't be a slow death D. That's right. Since mid season that year they have been anything but that. They have been anything but that. Look, look at you.


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[Assistant] Uh, well against the best teams, especially later in the year in the playoffs, great at halftime adjustments and homage red pants. My pants have chimed in.


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[Assistant] Both the Bengals coordinators, he says, or she says. It seems like they get gashed on D and are too simplistic on O every year to start the season, come out of the buy with answers for everything except for Chris's man crush, he says. So, uh, is that, uh, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes?


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[Assistant] McDaniel's the play caller, gets the credit for the offense, but I could say the same thing about Shanahan when Mike McDaniel was the OC in San Francisco, so it's probably different depending on which team you're at, but how much credit do you give OCs in situations like that?


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[Assistant] Organized chaos movement from the D-line and linebackers reminds me of Zimmer's heyday as coach, but even more creative. So two names.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'm gonna have you pick your defensive coordinator, but is there any other names that you want to give some love to?


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[Assistant] Alright, so you're running on the field, you're there, MetLife Stadium, facing Joe Burrow in the Bengals first game. You got Ben Johnson to one side. Who's calling your defense? Who are you picking? Be one man to be your defensive coordinator.


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[Assistant] Uh, but the sideline edition, not the booth edition is his favorite defensive coordinator. Why? He said the 49ers defense looked like the 49ers defense. He pulled some Sala.


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[Assistant] Ryan's energy, which does lead us to film review week 10, AKA what the F happened, AKA treasure hunters edition. We wanted to look at how different this 49ers defense was with one. Yes. Steve Wilkes moving all around now on the sideline and they got chase young. They've got.


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[Assistant] One of the highest ranked and highest drafted defensive ends ever has not lived up to that potential, but perhaps now he can start to realize it after the trade. So you looked at this D, what could specifically be different on that front part of the defense, the defensive line.


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[Assistant] And so just what stood out to you from turning on the tape and watching their domination over the Jacksonville Jaguars?


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[Assistant] Cause you noted later in the game, you said they never broke their zone, like they didn't break at all. No, they really didn't. Like later in the game, some third and long situations, three man rush, zone defense, Jacksonville had no answers for that either. No answers, exactly right.


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[Assistant] The play that resulted in Nick Bosa batting down a pass late in the first quarter. I think we have a picture of this. So you have the diagram. If you're watching on Peacock and YouTube, you don't need to tell, or I don't need to tell you that you're seeing this right now because you are. If you're listening, this is what you're missing out on. Uh, so Chris, what are we looking at here specifically?


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[Assistant] And if you're reading those notes and you were able to decipher the curse of writing, Chris noted, maybe the headline of this, when they infuse this into their game plan, wow, they are tough. And so the 49ers did make it very tough on the Jaguars.


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[Assistant] So I don't know which one this one is. This one's end of the third quarter. 28 seconds left. Pete, do we have these pictures? Uh, hold on. Yep. Okay, cool. I like to see this. Yeah, this is uh, everyone's up at the line. Here we go.


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[Assistant] Okay, so, so hold on. So, we'll give you a look at a different play just to see if you guys at home are paying attention. Here's the one at the end of the third quarter, 28 seconds.


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[Assistant] So let me go to the headline here. So moving forward, this is what 49er fans want to know. A combination of more creative