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[Assistant] And then this season Ritter has six turnovers in the red zone, three fumbles and three interceptions. He is tied for the third most turnovers in the NFL with 16.


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[Assistant] It was funny when you talked about Josh Allen that way, not so funny when you're talking about Desiree that way, cause that team is losing because of him. You can talk about the defense if you want, but I think.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Baker Mayfields, they feel like a team you don't want to face either if you end up getting them in the, uh, in the o-tunament, as Hootie Johnson used to call it.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Oh, you missed another layup yet again in the breach VP portion of the conversation. You could have gone with giants.


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[Assistant] You know, the Giants punter who had to kick a field goal because fat Randy Bullock pulled his hammy on a kickoff again. He had to limp off the field. He came back and they let Gillum kick. Uh, he smoked a 40 yarder.


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[Assistant] I think I'll win the, uh, the pick six kickoff. If we do punt pass kick, I think I would, I would beat you in both punting and field goals.


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[Assistant] All right, my, uh, Wilson VP, it's going to be a three headed monster and I'm going to go back a few days because I had to sit here like a a-hole and watch this stupid game unfold. It has to be everybody's third round pick, Gardner Minchew, Trace Thurman.


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[Assistant] Uh, Gardner mentioned he was a tidy, uh, 18 to 28, but he did have three passing touchdowns and they absolutely decimated that sorry excuse for a Steelers defense in their defense. They were hurt. Uh, they should have made Mr. Biscay play nose tackle by the way, by the end of that game, but it didn't happen. What do you think about Mike Tomlin to the chargers?


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[Assistant] Shout out to the Colts. Jesus. Uh, I would encourage you to Google Mike Tomlin USC and see his comments on that. And that'll give you the answer to Mike Tomlin, to the Chargers. Uhm, no, Mike Tomlin.


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[Assistant] No, it is not time. He would, I'll put you this way, he'll be out of work for 8 seconds.


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[Assistant] His contract's up in 2024, we'll see. But, uh, for now, that's a wrap.


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[Assistant] Make a trade. Put together an offense that scores less than three points a game. That'd be fun to watch.


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[Assistant] Alright, that's it y'all, that's a wrap on week 15, Sunday Night Super Friends.


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[Assistant] But don't worry, you can check out the Fixix podcast all week on YouTube at NFL on CBS. Brenton will be back on Monday. Breach and I'll be back with Brenton and Prisco on Tuesday. Check out the podcast wherever you get it. In the meantime, thanks all you guys who hung out with us. We appreciate you for Brenton, for Breach, for producer Harry. I'm Ryan Wilson. See you guys later.


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[Assistant] I think I, I think since I switched from picking five, which I was just doing basically because of like this, you know, the circle of millions and, and you know, the super contest, like that's the format. Ever since I switched to picking six, I've gone three and three every single week.


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[Assistant] No, I was just going to say, this was a prime spot for a teaser for sure. I mean, like you're looking at a home team, low totals, not much scoring. You can add, you know, call six on there and you're getting, you get eight and a half. You've got so much wiggle room there. And I, I sort of think.


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[Assistant] Jason Rudolph was his number one QB and actually he ended up not being as wrong as, you know, maybe it seemed like at the time.


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[Assistant] But uhm, I think that you can, you know, I think you can make the case that Mason Rudolph might be a little more aggressive down the field. George Pickens has been under fire this week for being a lazy blocker. He should come out motivated. You know, he's had some big games and capable of getting downfield. So you get, you get.


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[Assistant] But this Pittsburgh defense, you get one or one deep shot down the field of Mason Rudolph for, I mean, to, uh, from Mason Rudolph to George Pickens. And all of a sudden you just sort of force, you know, Cincinnati to try and, like, I don't think Cincinnati is going to blow them out of the water here. And so I like that as a teaser, like for sure.


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[Assistant] I always forget, it's always like the first one I forget that I'm not doing it, but it is the Buffalo Bills.


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[Assistant] At the Los Angeles Chargers, the bill's now up to 12 and a half. This line opened, I think at 14.


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[Assistant] Fell all the way down to 11 and a half, has climbed back up to 12 and a half now. Buffalo, you know, playing nice and stick here. Total of 43 and a half has ticked up. Well, it looks like it might tick up, you know, juice a little bit to the over. Man, I think this is a.


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[Assistant] I don't think this is a difficult spot to handicap in the sense that to me it all comes down to.


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[Assistant] Whether or not the bills are going to be.


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[Assistant] Or buffalo after winning these two games against Kansas city and then blowing out Dallas at home, like.


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[Assistant] And I don't think there is because you see Josh Allen only third for 94 yards. He says, yeah, I feel like the guy on the, you know, the kid who didn't do any work and the class project that gets an A.


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[Assistant] He needs to come and play and this should be a Buffalo home game. I think it'll be plenty of Bill's fans out in LA that'll want to go check this game out and Chargers fans. Why would they show up? They've already fired the coach. Eastern stick is quarterbacking. So I think Buffalo shows up here, but it is a lot of points.


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[Assistant] So like I'm, I'm fully, I fully understand like that. I think that this is after a 94 yard outing against just a team that.


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[Assistant] Is, you know, they've had, they've had a long time to prep because of the, the, the bar. It feels like years ago, the state is fired.


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[Assistant] And I think it is a possible like Josh Allen explosion. If you're going, and I think you should to bet Josh Allen to win the MVP.


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[Assistant] Still 12 to 1, you can find it like 12, 15 to 1 range.


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[Assistant] But if Lamar Jackson and Brock Purdy lay eggs on, the defenses play really well on Christmas night and Brock Purdy and Lamar Jackson don't have huge games and Josh Allen explodes in this Island spot against a bad Chargers defense. And all of a sudden the Bills are really the talk and like the Dolphins lose and the Bills are really the talk.


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[Assistant] Also, let's just point out that Brock Pardee is just sort of the default MVP. You know, nobody really wants to give it to you.


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[Assistant] Yeah. I mean the, the, look, the Falcons, you Taylor Heinecke, Logan Whiteside.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Desmond Ritter, whatever you want to do. Like the, there's this offense. Um, I saw a, I saw Connor Allen tweeted it out and I apologize for the analytics person who didn't, who put it together and I can't remember his name, but it's basically.


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[Assistant] Using like the data and trying to determine who are the best and worst play callers and in a graphical form.


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[Assistant] And Arthur Smith was like the worst play caller, like double in terms of like the, the value given the negative value given assigned to him.


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[Assistant] Like double what Bill O'Brien was as the second worst play caller and like the top two guys, it was like Kyle Shanahan and Andy Reed and like, and then like Mike McDaniel, Mike McCarthy, like it passes, the analytics passed the eye test and it's just hard to see a situation where


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[Assistant] We get anything resembling a good offensive game plan from the Falcons in this spot, even with Arthur Smith's seat heating up, he got the dreaded better confidence from Arthur Blank.


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[Assistant] I think Indy with a full John the Taylor fully, uh, I think they gave like an estimate on Wednesday, Wednesday practice where he's like full practice and then Michael Pittman limited. Both guys should play. It's hard not to like the Colts in this spot.


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[Assistant] What, uhm, yeaah, speaking of fantasy teams, and Katie, I was gonna like jokingly say this is not, this is not a personal fantasy advice podcast. Uh, so for my fantasy-


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean, I asked about my dad's all the time. Uh, he ended up being, he lost in the semi-finals for those, those, uh, for my, for, I'm in the finals trying to be back to back champion of my home league. Um, really shoving it in everybody's face that I do this for a living.


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[Assistant] And, uh, and with some money, I've got to decide, I think between Aaron Jones and Michael Pittman, assuming both are healthy. Would you go, which one would you guys go with? Dude, Pittman.


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[Assistant] I narrowly won in the semifinals in Pittman, like Pittman going out. I mean, like he was on pace, like Gordon Menchie was locking in on him and he, he looks like he could like, is ready for another blow up spot. I'm a little worried about, I got Jonathan Taylor on that team too, if that matters.


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[Assistant] Okay, cool. Speaking of Aaron Jones, he and hopefully not AJ Dylan, no offense, AJ Dylan love you as a person. Don't care about you as a player. I mean, don't need you as a player this week are going to Carolina where they are four and a half point favorites. And I have this as a best bet.


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[Assistant] You guys remember last week when I went on that rant about how nobody was going to be at the Falcons and the Panthers game in, in, in Charlotte because nobody cares about the Panthers in Charlotte right now because they're terrible and the weather is going to be awful. And then it was the worst weather game maybe of the year so far, tons of wind. Although it's not like.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like they weren't going to score anyway and the wind and the rain kept it down, submerged those totals.


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[Assistant] It is going to be dead silent in that stadium. You think a bunch of people are going to drag their families out on Christmas Eve to go watch the Panthers get their asses kicked by the, by the Packers? Maybe if there's some better Packers fans might fill up that stadium for all we know. It is not going to be jammed.


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[Assistant] It's going to be sunny, like 60 degrees, a little crisp breeze out in the air, perfect Christmas Eve weather. The last thing you want to do, I mean, I guess maybe the people will go, they're not going to cheer for the Panthers. Packers are going to light them up.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's probably a good look. I would also say too, well, I was going to say too that Adam Thielen receptions over is probably a pretty good look. Uh, Joe Berry been criticized all week for playing that soft zone, especially on like third and short. And he's probably going to run it out again and Adam Thielen should eat up a ton underneath on those, on those zone coverages.


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[Assistant] Yeah. Uh, this line was Texans favored when it looked like CJ Stroud or like come at the opening line, Texans are favored because we assume CJ Stroud was going to play. He's now, I don't think, I don't know if he's been ruled out, but I mean, it looks like he's, he's not, he's not going to play. I mean, so Casey Keenum again. Yeah. I mean, look, you're getting, you're getting,


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[Assistant] You get in case Keenum against the Browns defense, it's really, really good. Um, if Joe Flacco doesn't make some just dumb, dumb mistakes and questionable weather against the Bears, I think the Browns blow out the Bears. Bears are a much better team, um, offensively than, than case Keenum, I think. Um, and you know.


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[Assistant] I just, in my opinion, we see something similar to what we saw with the Tex, with the Titans, except Joe Flacco is better than Will Levis and the Browns get a lead and just keep the Texans from coming through the back door or winning. I think.


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[Assistant] Cleveland is like legit live for the number one seat too, by the way, RJ.


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[Assistant] Headed on the road to the Minnesota Vikings. This is a game with some pretty massive playoff potential. I mean, the Lions can clinch the division with a win.


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[Assistant] Uh, Lions could actually clinch a playoff spot with a, even if they lose, worth noting, I suppose, Minnesota needs to get back in the, needs to stay in the mix. I mean, they are, they're definitely, they're, they're certainly, you know, still, um, in the playoffs.


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[Assistant] But with Green Bay losing and they gotta play the Packers next week.


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[Assistant] Everything is on the line here for the Vikings to try and make a push with Nick Mullins as a quarterback. I like the Lions in this spot. Indoor game.


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[Assistant] You're going to have, of course, a rowdy crowd in Minnesota, but Jared golf indoors. They smashed the Packers outdoors, but it was earlier in the year when it wasn't that cold. And they know that if they go on the road and beat the snot out of a Vikings defense.


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[Assistant] That is really, really aggressive and you have a great offensive lineup front. You have these weapons that can eat underneath and I'm on St. Brown and San La Porta.


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[Assistant] So you can just, if you protect and get them, like take care of those blitzes, you have a really good chance for Jerry golf to have a nice game. You get the Vikings on their heels. You get downhill with David Montgomery.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And you can, you know, double off the Jameer Gibbs if you need to as well. I think the Lions smashed the Vikings in this spot. They got right against the Broncos. Extra day to rest and recover and get ready. Like the Lions is the best bet here.


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[Assistant] Uh, okay. So as I get, I'm on the free internet. That's probably why I'm delayed.


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[Assistant] I'm sorry. My apologies. The, uh, the chiefs are a good choice. I like the chiefs. He said filibustering to try and get to the page with all the bets. Chiefs minus 500. We'll toss that in the parlay. Uh, I mean,


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[Assistant] Where the, you know, there's like 10 people left now and one dude is simply refusing to chop.


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[Assistant] Apparently like some people have the Eagles and some people have the 49ers and like the people with the Eagles like, well, we don't want to chop because you know, cause you have to play a Christmas day game.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Little nervous about the Eagles. Uhm, however, so you know what? I'm just gonna take the bills. The bills are, the bills might not cover, but the bills are going to win.


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[Assistant] Because they know they need to win out to win the division potentially and take down those dastardly dolphins. Um, he said trolling Harry, I will take the bill minus seven 70 and that will put, uh, Alex on the clock here.


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[Assistant] I like how this sets up though. So we've got the, we got those three teams in, I guess it's to minus one 95. That's obviously a lot of juice. You wouldn't want to lay it, but RJ, who is not afraid to be aggressive and take a dog.


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[Assistant] All right. I love it. That is a, uh, that's a spicy one. Doesn't feel like the way just Denver plays too. They're so slow. Six and a half is a lot of points.


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[Assistant] You'll love to see it. This pick six parlay segment has been brought to you by fan dual sports book. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] Yeah. And, um, the reasoning is pretty simple. I don't know if you guys, eh, PFT Commodore.


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[Assistant] Who is very, a very funny human being, um, did an incredible breakdown of, of this sequence of events at the, at the end of Washington's game against the ramps, who I believe I had as a best bet as well.


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[Assistant] By the, by the commanders that you will ever see.


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[Assistant] When they should be trying, Romero didn't want to get, he don't want to get fired, but I think he knows he's getting fired. I think everybody that building knows they're getting fired. They traded away their pass rushers.


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[Assistant] What I'll call Bahamas bowl mode. They did say dudes are planning vacations. Like they, they, they know it's time to go like to Nassau and they don't want to deal with going up to New York and playing on that turf.


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[Assistant] Let's see, I mean, ridiculous. I think, I think they're actually bringing the guy back who they cut because there was a big fuffle about that. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Yeah. I mean, dude, like Rogers, you're taking the guys cash just so you can practice getting real, man. Um, but I just think, I think Zach Wilson and the jets come out and sling the ball around and.


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[Assistant] Play pretty well in offense because the Washington defense is terrible and we see the Jets roll the commanders here.


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[Assistant] Northwestern's finest, Trevor Simeon. Thank you very much.


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[Assistant] Speaking of games that might not feature a bunch of points, the Seahawks are playing the Titans in Nash Vegas on Sunday with a line that has creeped up to Seattle minus three. Um, I believe


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[Assistant] Just for the record, we locked these at one o'clock eastern time, and I believe the line was Seattle minus two and a half and less. RJ, you're, uh, you're, uh, going against your own rules and policies here.


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[Assistant] The one concern I would have about the Rashad White thing, and I, you're right, like Jacksonville's run defense much better than his past defense. Trevor Lawrence on Thursday, not spotted at practice dealing with that concussion in concussion protocol, which leads me to my bucks best bet, um, a two and a half's fine. I like the bucks minus one and a half.


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[Assistant] I'm on a bunch of road chalk this week. What could possibly go wrong with that? Uhm, shout out to my old


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[Assistant] Has had, has had an awesome year, caught a touchdown, but was fairly limited last week. I think this is a blow up spot with like throwing deep shots to Mike Evans against this bad defense. And like, I agree with you 73 and a half. That's a huge number for a, for a, for a rushing total, even for a guy with the workload that white gets. The one concern I would have is if Jacksonville is running out CJ Beathard and


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[Assistant] They can't score. Does, does white get a bunch of carries? So, but, but to your point prop, I mean, like it's, they might just throw to win and just get a lead and dump off to, to Chris Goblin underneath or Knotton. But I think big spot for Baker probably playing some DFS. Uh, RJ liked the Buccaneers a lot here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's a, that's a, that's a good look with the Colts too. Uh, real quickly RJ, I'm curious, do you think the Buccaneers minus 178 to win the division? They still have Carolina. Um, does that seem like a, uh, uh, uh, is that too much juice to lay that divisional bet?


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[Assistant] You know what, I almost did a very Brinson thing and asked everybody where you would go if you, what year you would go to if you had a time machine. But instead, Katie, why don't you ask us about the Arizona Cardinals and Chicago Bears.


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[Assistant] You said my crappy earphones, I didn't hear foot on the throat, proverbial foot on the throat. I was like.


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[Assistant] You know, I'm not going to tell you what I thought I heard, but it was, I was like, that's not what, that's not what you do. RJ, any thoughts on, uh, Cardinals and Bears? I'm sort of agnostic here, but Tyndaleen, who is taking the points.


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[Assistant] The holidays are here and the NFL and CBS is gifting us some great matchups, including the Browns taking on the Texans beginning at noon Eastern with the NFL today, then on Christmas day.


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[Assistant] And one Eastern unwrap more fantastic football when the Raiders face the Chiefs. Happy holidays. The NFL is on CBS and streaming on Paramount Plus.


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[Assistant] Cowboys. Ken, who's gonna win the Fraud Bowl between the Cowboys and the Dolphins? We'll tell you next!


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[Assistant] Cowboys on the road in Miami. Chris perceive. Will Harry, producer Harry, will he get coal? Will he get?


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[Assistant] Will you get, uh, Cowboys themed cola to stocking? Or some Landshark beer courtesy of?


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[Assistant] Dolphins owner, Jimmy Buffett, RIP to the great Jimmy Buffett. Uhm, this is the Fraud Bowl for me.


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[Assistant] Cowboys can't win on the road, haven't beaten, haven't, don't have a good road win. They have two road wins. They blew up the Giants in week one and they beat the Panthers in Carolina. Like what do you want? A freaking golf clap? Like you went at home, congratulations, you know, but you can't do anything on the road. Lose the Cardinals, lose any good team they play.


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[Assistant] Meanwhile, the Dolphins can't beat a good team. They don't have a single good win on the season. It's crazy. They are own three against teams above 500 and only score 17 points in those games. So RJ, I ask you.


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[Assistant] Which team is the bigger fraud? The Cowboys or the Dolphins?


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[Assistant] Yeah, and the other thing too is that Denver, Denver plays really, really slowly. So, you're talking about...


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[Assistant] Patriots, like, if you get, if they get going with Zeke, as RG talks about in the run game, and Ramon J. Stevenson comes back, ton of pounding the football, ton of extended, long, clock-killing drives, and Denver is happy to reciprocate. So I'm Peyton and Bill Belichick. I've messed up plenty of times. I don't think Peyton will do anything too silly to try and, uh,


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[Assistant] Try and be aggressive here. Who will happily burn clock? Let's get to the Christmas day games right at set the cheese. As we mentioned on CBS chiefs minus 10 over under 41 and a half. I think this line is creeped up a little bit. RJ the consensus. Probably people want to take the, uh, the,


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[Assistant] The points here because the Chiefs can't blow anybody out, but the Chiefs, the Chiefs did just blow out the Raiders and this game is in Arrowhead on Christmas Day. Maybe a get right spot for Patrick Mahomes.


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[Assistant] Uh, sorry, uh, Giants at the Eagles, Eagles minus 11 and a half over under 42 and a half. Oh, hey, now 13 and a half. That number has spiked. Wow. That is a big, big jump. I originally was thinking I would take the Giants in the spot.


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[Assistant] Alex, the professor was talking about it. It really is just a absolute get right spot for the Eagles near Jalen hurts talks about commitment post game. It's, you know, I was like, um,


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[Assistant] I had, uh, when I left earlier, I had to mute it because Ryan Clark was yelling in my ear, but, um, on the TV, you know, like es sports center. Yeah. ESPN was running like Jalen Hurts first comment since commitment. Da da da da da like.


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[Assistant] Everybody's criticizing the Eagles. AJ Brown has been going on tweet storms left and right. That's a really high total for him. 70 something receiving yards considering how just muted his production has been.


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[Assistant] Does feel like an absolute blow up spot for an Eagles offense that has been criticized. The Eagles defense comes to play against Tommy DeVito who will happily take 10 sacks in this game. Eagles defense definitely the best.


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[Assistant] You remember Alvin Kamara scored six rushing touchdowns one year for Christmas. We're going to get, it's either going to be AJ Brown or Christian McCaffrey.


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[Assistant] One of those two dudes, one of those two dudes is gonna, and like, I can already picture, uh, my cousin Aaron is playing my dad in the, in the insanity fantasy finals. She's going to be at our, my parents' house on Christmas night, drinking my dad's good red wine and giggling.


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[Assistant] As her Christian McCaffrey plunges into the end zone over and over again on the TV in my parents kitchen and my dad's like, get out of my house. Like, you know, it's, it's going to be a whole debacle. So, uh, yeah, I think, uh, I liked the Ravens in the spot.


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[Assistant] Just cause it's five and a half, but the Niners can blow anybody out at any point in time. First team since 2009 to win six straight games by 12 points or more. And I agree with you guys. Team total love the Niners team, but let's just all take the Niners team total over is the best bet.


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[Assistant] Green Bay minus four and a half. Cleveland minus two and a half. Detroit minus three. The Jets minus three and Tampa Bay minus one and a half. Add the 49ers team total to my over to my best bets as well in the spirit of moxmas.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uh, Monday, Monday night recap. We will be with you on Christmas. Come join us as we throw it in Jesus' face by working on Christmas night.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome back to the Pick 6 Podcast. Today we're looking at week 15.


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[Assistant] of the NFL season. Uh, Katie Mox here joined by Will Brinson and sports science finest, RJ White and Alex Selznick, aka Propstars. For everyone watching on the YouTube channel, Propstars ordered the 49ers gear. It is on his way. Fret not.


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[Assistant] At some point on this show, he will, uh, don some special


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[Assistant] Talking Bill Belichick's long goodbye, ooh, and drafting a fantasy team, uhm, of only playoff players. So go ahead and check that out on our YouTube channel or anywhere that you get your podcasts. Uh, let's start things off with a recap of week 14. See how everybody did. Uh, for instance, a crop broke even.


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[Assistant] RJ and I, uhm, had about two wins, uh, four wins, I guess, between us. Still above 500, though. Well, it looks like everyb- Wow. Rinse and dipped.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yeah, it is. It is all pretty close. Uh, what is it, RJ, to be considered an expert? It's 53%, 56?


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[Assistant] Alright, good to know. Uh, we'll get into week 15 here. Please note guys that lines and odds are subject to change all the way up until kickoff. We're hitting these lines about 2 PM on Thursday, so check with your book before you tail anything and see if you got.


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[Assistant] Any good or bad line shifts then? Uh, one thing I wanted to talk about, I was reading on, uh, over with our friends at Action Network. Week 15 is a massive slate for preseason win totals. Six teams can go over their win total. That's San Francisco, Baltimore, Detroit.


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[Assistant] Miami, Tampa Bay, and the Rams. A few of these teams have already hit their over. Indy, Houston, and Dallas. And three teams can go under their win total. Kansas City, Buffalo, New Orleans.


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[Assistant] That they would hit their under. RJ, any thoughts on these season win totals? Are things working out the way you thought they would? I mean, we've had a lot of injuries, especially with quarterbacks.


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[Assistant] Yeah, people who went heavy on Jets futures like me are crying in the corner, but we knew that week one it would be like this.


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[Assistant] Charters play tonight too, which is going to be ugly. They got no Kenan Allen, no Justin Herbert. We got Easton Stick. Uh, but we're not here to talk about Thursday night. Say it again.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Alright, uh, this week starts the week of, of Saturday games, right? We've got three Saturday games, uhm, this week and then of course a Sunday slate as well.


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[Assistant] Starting with the Minnesota Vikings at the Cincinnati Bengals. Bengals like two and a half this total.


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[Assistant] 40 and a half. Uhm, I gotta take the bangles here. I'm gonna lay the two and a half. It actually went down. It was three earlier this week, so I like getting this under a field goal. I mean, the Dobbs fairy tale is over. The Rock of Man seems to have come back down to earth. He got pulled for


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[Assistant] Nick Mullins, I'm a 49ers gal, so I know all about Nick Mullins. Uhm, and I just feel like all the hype right now is on Tommy DeVito and his family and, you know, Tommy Cutlets Mania and nobody really cares about Dobbs anymore. Jake Browning on the other hand.


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[Assistant] I don't think that it's a fluke with him since he has dropped 34 points in each of his last two starts. I feel like the Bengal should win by a touchdown. So I will go ahead and lay this at two and a half.


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[Assistant] Points. RJ, you like Minnesota's team total over 19 and a half.


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[Assistant] At casual, I'm the best team in the league drop.


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[Assistant] Alright, moving on, Denver Broncos at the Detroit Lions, Lions laying four, this total 47 and a half. Oh, it's gone up to four and a half there.


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[Assistant] Ooh, well then give me the Broncos plus the four and a half. I had it, uhm, at four. You know, the Lions have been in a bit of a free fall recently. They have.


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[Assistant] In two straight games. Uhm, Broncos have won six of their last seven and they have covered in five of those games. And Russell Wilson has looked pretty good, especially paired with Courtland Sutton, who's had 10 touchdowns this season. So I'll go ahead and grab the points. Uhm, oh, did you say it went down to one and a half?


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[Assistant] Sorry, I thought I, I can't always see the smalls, the small things on the, uh, on the screen, so I, I rely on the rundown here. But, uh, but yeaah, that's what I'm gonna take. Uh, Alex, what are you looking at?


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[Assistant] I mean, it sounds, it sounds like a quarterback in his first year of starting though, really, when you, when you boil it all back, it's like the highs and lows of a first year quarterback. First year as a starter.


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[Assistant] Alright, good nuggets there. Moving on. The New York Giants. Tommy Cutlets, baby! Uh, at the Saints. Saints are laying 6, this total 39 and a half. I'm taking the points with the G-Men, and I wish it was because of Tommy Cutlets, but it's not. Uhm, this Saints offense is just a mess.


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[Assistant] Last week they allowed Caroline and actually even Detroit before that over 200 rush yards in both of those matchups. They're allowing over five yards per carry in the last three games.


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[Assistant] The New York game plan should be really simple. Just feed your big, big dog, Saquon Barkley. When I looked props, I didn't see any props for Saquon. I would have hammered a lot of these overs, but I will go ahead and take the six points with the Giants. And RJ, we're on the same side here.


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[Assistant] It's the pick six parlay. Much like the Panthers, we can't seem to win, but we're going to keep pounding when pick six returns next.


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[Assistant] Welcome back. Time now for the pick six parlay where we each select a game for a four leg money line parlay. There are some rules. The person with the best record the previous week, which I was for two weeks and I am no longer in that spot gets to go first. The second is second and so on and so on.


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[Assistant] By the end, there has to be at least one plus money pick in there. That's right, there must be a dog.


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[Assistant] The Pick Six Parlay segment is brought to you by Fandel Sportsbook. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think we gotta start getting crafty here, uh, a little bit. So last week we had the Niners, Dolphins, Ravens, Raiders, Niners and Ravens got it done, uh, the Raiders didn't score, um, and the Dolphins gave them a 14 point lead within three minutes, uh, Prop Star.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go, let's go, let's go a little Tommy Cutlet's magic here and give the Giants Moneyline.


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[Assistant] Alright, I feel really good about that one. Let's move on to more picks for week 15. Houston Texans at the Tennessee Titans.


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[Assistant] Titan's laying three now. This line has changed a little bit. Was two and a half earlier. This total still 37 and a half. Brinson, you're tightening up.


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[Assistant] Heard it first from Fortnite. Uh, alright, Chicago Bears at the Cleveland Browns. Browns laying a field goal here. This total 38 and a half. We've got, as they will say on the Early Edge podcast, a showdown. RJ versus Brinson. RJ, I'll give you the floor first. You're taking the points for Chicago.


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[Assistant] Lay, okay, this says three. It is eight and a half. Uhm, this total 37. Brinson, you're in the under for this one.


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[Assistant] CBS SportsHQ, anywhere, anytime, all the time.


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[Assistant] Last week, it's hitting every game except for their three game losing streak and then by the hook last week. So I'm just staying on this train, but I'm understanding if people aren't hopping on with me because 30 and a half is a high total. Anyone else have any thoughts on this game before we move on?


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[Assistant] Yeah, I would love, uhm, the bills to win this one too, just cause I'm a Josh Allen apologist. I can't seem to quit him and for the NFC.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and look, yeaah, these are two potentially potent offenses, but it just seems really high for both teams coming off of very big wins, maybe their biggest win of the season. Obviously the Bills defeated Kansas City.


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[Assistant] In Kansas City, uhm, and then Dallas, of course, taking down Philly, which was huge for them to tie things up in the NFC. You know, the boys held the Eagles to just 13 points last week. The Bills held the Chiefs to just 17. To me, I don't see how we're getting over 50 in this one. Uhm, again, both coming off of pretty emotional wins. So I will lock in that under 50 and a half. Baltimore Raven.


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[Assistant] I like it. Alright, Monday Night Football. The Eagles laying three and a half at the Seattle Seahawks, this total 47.


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[Assistant] And a half, uh, Eagles fans, y'all think I'm the biggest hater in the world, but I'm taking the Eagles for a double result that's winning in the first half, and the second half you can catch that at even money.


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[Assistant] Basically dropped out of the playoff race at this point. Four straight losses. Philly of course losing two pretty emotional games to San Francisco and Dallas.


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[Assistant] The Eagles have a zero margin, uh, for error if they want to compete for the number one seed in the NFC. They're 3-1-1 against the spread as a road favorite this season. I gotta give the edge.


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[Assistant] To Sirianni, uhm, and the Eagles here having just the DNA of being fighters, uhm, I think he's gonna have them ready for a big bounce back on Monday Night Football. So I'll take the Eagles to win in the first half and the second half at even money. Prop stars.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think it's good value. Cause when I was looking at it, I think, look, I think the Eagles are going to come out really strong. They'll be leading in the first half. They know that this whole trailing into the second half thing is not working. They're working on their ball protection. Give me the Eagles even money. They're, they're going to, they're not, they're going to, not going to.


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[Assistant] Wow. And uh, two letter names. Okay. We're going to close the show now, guys. Let's do a recap of our picks. Brinson, what you got?


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[Assistant] Yes, take the Bengals minus two and a half. Denver plus four, although that has changed to four and a half. But when Harry did this graphic, it was still four. The Giants plus six San Francisco team total. We're just riding this train until the wheels fall off, baby. Taking the under in Dallas and Buffalo and a double was result for Philadelphia Eagles at even money RJ.


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[Assistant] Alright, that is gonna do it for our show. Make sure you tune in with the superfans on Sunday for their recap show of this week. Make sure that you like, comment, and subscribe on the YouTube page if you're listening to the audio version only.


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[Assistant] So it just kind of depends. That's the number. If you're only bending minus 110 lines, uh, your breakeven point, you want to be 52.4% to be profitable.


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[Assistant] Yeah, some yes, some no. I mean, I went in big on the Kansas City over just because it just seemed like how could that miss? And now they need to run the board for it not to miss. I think they could still do that. Uhm, but that's going to be a sweat the rest of the way.


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[Assistant] Hopefully, hopefully it's not over, you know, in a week or two. Um, but yeah, the other ones are interesting. I mean, the Chargers always hit under, they're always an overrated team. So I guess we should put that in our minds for next year and just smash their under as soon as we can.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they have been playing well before this two game stretch where they couldn't score anything. They scored 19 plus in 10 straight before scoring 13 combined in their last two. I think this matchup gets them to 20. The Cincinnati defense is not good. They showed up versus Indy, but I just can't expect back to back good games from a defense that's ranked 31st in yards per play on the season.


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[Assistant] Offense did look better in that brief time that Mullens was in the game. Uh, both of his drives went into Vegas territory where only one of eight adopts drives went into Vegas territory.


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[Assistant] I think he can move the ball with his arm a little better. I think he fits the Kurt Cousins style of offense better. So we'll see if they come out and better offensively. I'm glad that they have Justin. It looks like Justin Jefferson is trending toward playing, so that's big.


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[Assistant] I think the line is fair to be under three with Mullins as the starter, because I think he's an upgrade on Dobbs. Uhm, and Cincinnati doesn't have a great home field advantage. So, Mylene is still a little bit to Minnesota on this line. I think it could go down a little bit more.


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[Assistant] But uhm, definitely get three if you're looking at it in the market. But my play here is the Minnesota team total going over 19 and a half just because they typically score this amount of points, uhm, no matter who's quarterback up until these last couple weeks and I think Melissa's getting a boost.


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[Assistant] Crazy in a 14 league. You haven't won in five years. I think it's actually 14. It's actually 14. Wow.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and, and you mentioned, uh, elimination game. I mean, every team is seven and six, it looks like. So, I mean, it's, it's going to be a lot of weird stuff happening the last four weeks and see how the tiebreakers work out to see who makes the playoffs. Indie was on an unbelievable four game win streak and it's unbelievable how bad they played with how low.


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[Assistant] How they've looked recently at the Incensee game. They're only two and four straight up at home.


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[Assistant] Easier matchup than last week for Pittsburgh though, so maybe they do score points. I think Indy's offense can create points for both teams. Skarner mentioned you can turn the ball over. I think there'll be points in this game, uh, indoors in Indy. I would lean over on 42 and a half for a play. I think the spread is about right. It's been coming down. It was two and a half early in the week.


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[Assistant] Yeah, this line doesn't know where it wants to be. It was four early in the week, then it went to five and a half, then it went down to four, then now it's four and a half. So it's just bouncing back and forth with, with, I guess, uh, different sharps.


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[Assistant] Taking positions in this market now, it's not a surprise that it would bounce back and forth erratically around 5 because 5 isn't a key number. You know, you don't see a lot of games end on 5, so you'll see a lot of movement there that you wouldn't see between like 2.5 and 3.5 back and forth.


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[Assistant] So that, that level of it makes sense. My worry about Detroit is how banged up they are on the offensive line. Frank Ragnow suffered that injury at center that really affects the run game. He was able to practice in a limited fashion early in the week. We'll see if he can go. But now Taylor Decker, that left tackle, is hurt. That would be a major loss for them.


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[Assistant] Um, so I'm a little, I was at this number, I think the line should be five and a half. I think it is, it could get right back for Detroit. I would lean Detroit. But with these injuries, I need to see the offensive line injuries because if it stays at four and a half and some guys get ruled out, I'll probably flip to the other way and be on Katie's side.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so I think that they'll have enough to get it done there. Uh, the defense for Green Bay was run all over by the Giants, but the Giants came out with, you know, a more quarterback, run-centric focus.


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[Assistant] In their game planning and Tampa Bay can't replicate that with Baker Mayfield. So I think just that traditional Tampa Bay rush offense, it's pretty bad on the season. They're not going to play up to that level and it's a bounce back spot for this Green Bay defense. Green Bay should get three and a half for home field, especially late in the season. They're one of the best home fields in the league.


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[Assistant] Fatigue could be at play here for this team, they're very banged up, they're very injured.


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[Assistant] But even fatigue, just all this travel with ba- with, I think it's three back-to-back road sessions mixed in with those two home games. So they just keep having these two game road stretches and this is the last one of the three. So I don't know. I think it has some blowout potential here. I would make this line probably around six and a half, seven. So I think there's a lot of value here.


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[Assistant] The reality is they've won three straight games, and so this team's playing well.


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[Assistant] They're finding ways to win. They have a great coaching staff that that's maximizing the quarterback that is on the field. They're playing good defense, which wasn't the case early in the season.


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[Assistant] And uhm, this Saints team is b-bad at scoring in the red zone. Typically did not deserve the blowout win against Carolina. Just 4.0 yards per play. Had one play over 15 yards in that game.


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[Assistant] But they blew him out because Carolina can't move the ball. So they got to start drives, you know, on, on their own, on Carolina's side of the field and some of the time.


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[Assistant] And have these short touchdown drives. So I don't think that, that this final score last week was representative of who the Saints are. I think it's tough for them to win any game by margin. And 6 just seems like a little bit of a gift here, especially with that versatile rush attack with Saquon and Novito, um, that, that they'll have to defend here. So yeah, I like Giants plus 6. I think this should come down, probably be around the 4 range. I think we're getting good behind.


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[Assistant] There isn't much offense anyway with these teams. Atlanta on the road against a Carolina defense that I keep saying, playing pretty well, uhm, just kind of getting sold out by how bad their offense is, putting them in bad situations.


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[Assistant] Holding Saints to 4.0 yards for play, they continue to have some solid numbers there, um, 207 yards against the Saints. Should not have been a blow out there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and then Atlanta, they just can't go on the road and play well. Uhm, you know, Desmond Ritter is going to turn the ball over some, and especially if it's bad conditions, and you're going to see an ugly game. I took the under at 35, I didn't want to give it away as a best bet at under 34.


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[Assistant] But you put the conditions together with, uh, with these two offenses. I mean, this game could be just like that Vikings Raiders game last week where first, first team to three wins. So, uhm, it's gonna be a, it's gonna be a fun one to watch if you, uh, like playing the unders on, on props and totals and everything.


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[Assistant] For instance, let me ask you something. So obviously they're not going to have a chance to get one of these top quarterbacks in this draft. So the teams that don't have access to them either, let's say they're picking 8th, 10th, 12th, whatever, and they're not enthused with the quarterbacks that are left.


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[Assistant] You think Carolina is so sour on Bryce Young that they would just trade him for one of those picks and go get, you know, the second tier of quarterbacks and let somebody that might, that says, Hey, we had Bryce Young graded way over these guys last year. Let's just go and take Bryce Young. And we, you know, we've seen the flaws, we know what we're getting and we can fix them. So.


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[Assistant] You can do what you want. I had a favorite and a dog prepared. The dog was the Bears, but you already put a big dog in. Uhm, so I'm still thinking about that, but let's just throw the favorite in there. Let's go Packers minus 184. Line should be much higher. As I said earlier, I expect them to be focused after a prime time upset, so I think we're getting good value on this money line because I think they win this game by a decent margin.


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[Assistant] So we'll see how he does there. Um, Stroud, like you said, unlikely to get cleared. Houston might not have Collins at receiver.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so you could throw all over Tennessee, but you know, are you going to have the personnel to be able to do that? I don't think so in this game. Not sure they get to 20 points. My lean would be to the Titans. If you can get two and a half, great. I think it's mostly three in the market right now. Uhm, but uh, I also got it in on SportsCenter two and a half.


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[Assistant] I believe yesterday because it seemed like it was going to trend that way. Uhm, but, but yeaah. So if you can get two and a half in PIGS competitions or anything like that, I'd play the two and a half at three. It's probably just a lean.


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[Assistant] Frankly, they should have won, considering how big they were up. So yeaah, we'll see if Tyree can play. That's obviously affecting the line. What's also affecting the line in my eyes is the weather. It's expected to be 20 mph, sustained winds. It's probably going to be some rain too. We see this total all the way down to 37.5. It's a crazy number for a Miami game.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Jack's defense off their incredible game, just 2.6 yards for play allowed to Houston. Only one of 13 drives allowed had over 25 yards. So if they're the one of the few units that could limit Miami anyway, and then you throw some weather in there, you throw some


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[Assistant] So Tyree kill, not 100%. You can see this game going a little bit lower than people expect, which is why the spread and the total are dropping. So I've teased it now that it's down to eight and a half. I'm teasing it down to two and a half because it's right in that perfect teaser number. Love being able to tease a game without a significant injury that we know a guy's going to miss. That was 13 and a half on a look ahead down to two and a half now. So Miami is going to be the first leg of my teaser here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, love Chicago in this game. I believe they are the better team. I know Joe Flacco coming off a big game. That was against a terrible Jacksonville defense. Gonna be much tougher to beat this improved Chicago defense. It's up to 13th in yards for play. After holding the Lions to 4.2 yards for play, completely dominating the second half, shut them out.


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[Assistant] They would, they should have, you know, excelled at home last week. And even though they gave up not that many yards for Clayton Jackson, but they gave up a lot of points. They're dealing with a lot of injuries on both sides of the ball on Cleveland back in the, on the defensive end. And then especially on the offensive line where you had a center injury to the tackle injuries that have already happened. Now their top three tackles are out for the year.


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[Assistant] Don't expect them to lose to the Patriots. So a low total game, that should probably be the strategy here would be a great team to put into a teaser. Uhm, you know, I didn't do it for this team. I have another team I like more. Chiefs I think should have won that game against Buffalo. Won the yards for play 5.6 to 4.5. Caught some bad breaks in there.


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[Assistant] Played well enough to get the win, so I don't think that they're a declining team by any.


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[Assistant] Means and then this, this New England defense great against the run. They're fourth in yards for play overall, but they're just 14th in yards for pass.


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[Assistant] So that's where the Chiefs should be expected to have success, especially with Chaco out.


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[Assistant] Zappi had some big plays early against Pittsburgh. Couldn't sustain in the second half. He's facing a much better defense here. I don't know how New England scores points at all in this game. So I get where the under is coming from here. I would not be on the Patriots here. Just, I think this game could easily be a 13-3 type of game, even if the Patriots defense plays well.


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[Assistant] So yeaah, the Rams defense probably not as good as the metrics say. They've been exposed a little bit. Their offense was excellent at Baltimore, put up 5.6 yards for play against the number one defense in the league in yards for play. They now rank top 10 in that metric, and they can win them with both the run and the pass. And the latter should be a field day in this matchup versus this awful Washington pass defense that can't stop anyone.


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[Assistant] If you like the over, you should have been on it early in the week. So kudos to anybody that grabbed it early, um, because it should only go up from here as people look at these teams and say, there's gotta be a ton of points here. I mean, the Rams defense struggled against the Baltimore offense.


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[Assistant] I know Washington's not as impressive, but they do have the weapons. They can't, I'm not really out of backdoor cover here, so I don't want to play the Rams because I could see the commanders.


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[Assistant] Busting through the back door in the fourth quarter here. Wouldn't honestly be surprised by any final score. I mean, it could be 38, 40, 34 rams. It could be 38, 10 rams. It could be, it could be, you know, the commanders win by 10 out of nowhere, just off the buy. So I think if you want to play it, you take the points and if not, just stay away.


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[Assistant] Buffalo won that tough game, like I mentioned, a little fortunate, minus 1.1 yards for play differential. Allen threw only the one awful pick, but we know he can throw 3, 4, 5 awful passes in a game that have a chance of being intercepted in Dallas as the team that.


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[Assistant] Intercepts everything, you know, they, and they get a lot of pick sixes and they get a lot of pressure on the quarterback. Uhm, so they, they domi- Dallas dominated Philly on the surface, they over outgained though.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but their whole field is not great, so I understand why this line came down from two and a half. I thought it should be closer to pick them anyway, and I'm still getting a good value here on the one and a half, but if it gets down to one, obviously don't tease Dallas unless you're making it a six and a half point teaser, but I'm putting Dallas and Miami together as my teaser this week.


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[Assistant] No, this is the game that got to Sunday Night Football. Uhm, and this is, uh, the reason it's so low is because it is a weather game. Sustained winds expected to be over 20 miles per hour. Probably gonna get a little bit of rain, but not that much, but that could affect the passing game. Uhm, I think it doesn't affect


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[Assistant] the Baltimore Ravens as m Mar Jackson at quarterbac make some plays. So I stil that they are going to sco over 23.5 team total fo best bet in this game. J going to happen on the Ja they scored the 27, which


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[Assistant] So the line, you know, it does feel a little high if you just go based on power ratings, but I think Baltimore has some decent blowout potential here. I think they're going to score and we'll see if Jacksonville can keep up. So I'm playing Baltimore's over.


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[Assistant] I have a teaser of Miami down to minus two and a half and Dallas up to plus seven and a half. And then the Bears plus three and Baltimore going over their team total of 23 and a half.


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[Assistant] It was an interesting week. Uhm, some weird stuff happened. The, you know, I thought that there was going to be some, some bounce back from the underdogs cause the week before, it was a huge week for favorites. And so the line's inflated a bit and then that sun hit did not happen. Just favorites rolled again for the most part. And, and, and really needed the Jaguars on my teaser to stay three and three.


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[Assistant] Either one of these weeks the dogs are going to roll or just these bad teams are going to give up because they're just going to look at the draft. So, so we'll see what, what, uh, what moves first here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, this is, looks like it's going to be the worst weather game probably of Sunday. Uhm, and when you get those windy conditions and bad rain, I think that obviously is going to help the better running team. And you talk about Lamar Jackson losing, using his legs, he's probably going to do a lot more of that.


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[Assistant] Toughest test though since giving up 43 points in Dallas. I don't know that Baltimore is going to score 43 with these bad conditions. I do think they'll probably cover your number. I'm teasing it down to one and a half.


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[Assistant] Is the clear move here, especially since there's another great teaser game on the board. So I tease Baltimore down to one and a half.


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[Assistant] I also am taking best bet Kyron Williams over 17 and a half receiving yards. In these bad conditions, I expect Stafford to do more short throws, more dumping off to Williams in questionable weather. And I could see him blowing by this number pretty easily. I mean, he, since he came from the back from the IR, he had a 60 yard game and I think a 24 yard game. Um, and so it seems pretty likely he's going to top this number.


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[Assistant] Yeah, speaking of Zach Moss, I have him to score a touchdown, just assuming he plays. If he doesn't, this better be null, but if he does play, I mean, this since he...


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[Assistant] Defense has given up a ton of touchdowns to teams. I believe nine of the last 11 games are running back has scored a touchdown.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Zach Moss has scored a touchdown for the Colts in 9 of 11 games.


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[Assistant] That tells you the weather's clearing up here. So I'm Jake Browning. We'll have a chance to throw it around in these weapons a little bit. Might be a little more scoring than initially expected. And I think Zach Moss is pretty clearly going to get in the end zone here if he plays.


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[Assistant] Uh, so you saw the total creep up in the, in the Bengals game because of that. This one is starting to creep up. It's 31 and a half now at Vandal. It was 30 and a half earlier in the day. Uhm, you know, I don't know how, how they're going to be much scoring in this game considering the quarterbacks involved. And it's interesting that I don't think the Browns have announced who's going to play quarterback.


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[Assistant] In bad weather, I would assume Torian, Dorian Thompson Robinson would be a better look there, uhm, because he's not going to give you much in the past game anyway. He can run around with his mobility, pick up some first downs.


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[Assistant] If the weather's fine, which it looks like it's trending that way, you get Joe Flackwinder to throw all over this.


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[Assistant] So, I think maybe they were looking at how the weather was going to be and then they're going to decide who the quarterback is. If that is the case, very savvy move by the coaching staff there to determine their game plan based on.


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[Assistant] How the weather outlook is and, uh, since it is clearing up, I think it'll be Flacco. I think the Browns probably win. Don't have a lot of expectation for this Jaguars team with Lawrence out.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the line came down. I think there's professional money came in on Tampa Bay, uh, at two and a half to knock it down to one and a half. I'm a little bit against that. I thought the line should be three in the first place. I think it's because there's defensive injuries for Atlanta that we're looking at and monitoring seeing.


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[Assistant] Who's gonna, what's gonna happen AJ Terrell dealing with the concussion being one of them and the Buccaneers getting Levante David back at linebackers is a big thing for them.


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[Assistant] I think Atlanta's offense either way is going to have an easier time at home than they did last week against the Jets where they averaged 3.0 yards per play.


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[Assistant] And this Tampa defense still missing a bunch of guys on the backhand even with David back.


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[Assistant] Cracks in the armor of the run defense though, which Atlanta wants to lean on here. Atlanta's defense quietly solid across the board. It's not just one guy doing it. Top 10 versus the pass and the run, second on third down, first in the red zone.


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[Assistant] I think it's going to take an explosive play from Mike Evans, uh, to reach the end zone here, and if they don't get it, I'm not sure they do, so.


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[Assistant] I think Atlanta wins one of these classic Falcons home games, uh, you know, a, uh, 21, 20 to 16 type of game and a cover and wins by three or four points. So because it's come down just a little bit and we get that two and play, I like Atlanta minus one and a half is the best bet. I think it should be three.


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[Assistant] You think it'll go up? Yeah, I think take it now if you like it. Okay.


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[Assistant] So my, my choices here come down to the Raiders at home, plus 138, the Broncos in LA, which doesn't have a home field advantage anyway, a plus 126.


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[Assistant] Then maybe the Bears at plus 144. So of those three teams, a little bit more confident in the Raiders. I think that line got way out of whack, which we'll talk about in a little bit. So I'm going to throw them in there at plus 138 to win at home against Minnesota.


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[Assistant] Detroit's defense just 21st in yards per play, 30th in red zone rate, or even the bad Sains red zone offense went 4 for 4.


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[Assistant] Last week with their injury issues. So I think the bears can score some points here. Obviously we know the Lions can score some points, but the Chicago defense also improving with better health.


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[Assistant] Bring second in yards per rush and improving against the past two.


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[Assistant] If this was a bad weather game, I would look to fade golf, obviously outdoors. I think if you can get the three and a half, it's smart to get that. And it might still rise up to three and a half because I think this line should probably be around the two range. I got a look ahead here at the book down here in Florida at five and a half. So.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's an interesting game. Houston's offense gave up five sacks with Titus Howard's sideline and lost Hank Dell. So I don't know how great their offense is going to be, especially in.


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[Assistant] Jets defense can limit scoring if they show up. They've had some trouble with that because they're just hopeless on offense. Um, so you could see them, you know, kind of fade in the second half of games when it's just not it. It's interesting this line move two points with Zach Wilson won three weeks ago. We were all like, get Zach Wilson out of there. He should never play professional football again. And now he's, he's out here to save the Jets and moving the line two points. I thought that was interesting.


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[Assistant] So Houston's defense actually stepping up pretty, pretty, uh, impressively in the Jets offense, as we know, and it has no hope where the quarterback is. I think the only way to look at this game, even with the low total is to go under or even just the Jets under. I just can't back either team on the spread at this number. Um, but if I'm playing the game, it's probably going to be Jets under, but I would consider that the full game.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the, the jets, uhm, not only do they, are they, do they allow the fewest amount of yard receiving yards to receivers? It's like by 300 yards. It's like not even close. They're so good. If they barely, receivers barely get a hundred yards per game on them. It's something like 103.


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[Assistant] So I was looking at that too. Uhm, I was going to put that in as a best bet for this podcast at 79 and a half, but when I thought it was 79 and a half on Fandl, either it moved.


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[Assistant] Or uhm, or I misread it because it said 73 when I went back to look at it. And as you see, it's 70 now, so I think it's just dropping. Uhm, I wanted to get into that, that much better number thinking that the Chess were going to do a pretty good job of limiting him. Didn't want to really play it at the 70 number.


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[Assistant] So I mean, it's, it's hard to take Seattle when you look at those numbers. It's hard to take the under when you look at that because you know how many points San Francisco can score. So I get that just with that rematch of a divisional game, it could get a little weird. Wanted to put the over in as a best bet, but I'm going to just lay off with that divisional angle.


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[Assistant] I love the Raiders in this spot, and I'm surprised it might even get to three and a half. I'd be shocked if that happens. In the last game before the bye, Vegas put up 6.2 yards per play against an elite Chiefs defense. Ultimately could not stop Mahomes in the long run. This Vikings offense is not like the Chiefs offense, does not have a Mahomes at quarterback.


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[Assistant] Before the bye, even with Justin Jefferson back, I mean, he has not played in the game environment with Josh Dobbs. I don't respect him just rolling here and throw up 150 yards out of nowhere. Uhm, and Aidan O'Connell talk about, he's faced some tough defenses since taking over at quarterback. Hasn't been awful. Even two weeks to prepare. I think they can come out with a, a, a, a game plan here to have some success.


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[Assistant] This line is just way too high. Minnesota laid four and a half in Carolina and they laid three in Chicago with Kurt Cousins and they only covered both of those games with defensive scores. Taking this team on the road when Kurt Cousins is not the quarterback, laying three against a Raiders team that the power ratings must, for the market, must have this team in the tank.


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[Assistant] the Panthers, and that's not the team that I've seen come out here and compete with the interim coach. I think that 3 is way too high for this game. I would make it close to pick, which is why it was in the, in the, uh, the parlay for me and, uh, plus 3 is a pass bet for me easily.


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[Assistant] In this game, you know, you guys talk about how the chargers are creating. I will remind you that they won and covered last week, you know.


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[Assistant] It was 6-0 against an awful Patriots offense in bad weather.


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[Assistant] And even with that performance, they ranked 28th and yards per play on defense still and facing a solid offense. Do not trust them at all, especially with Joey Bosa hurt. Uhm, Denver's offense had a rare turnover issue against Houston. They're still 17th and yards per play, 17 plus points in all but one game.


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[Assistant] Since week one, I believe that they are going to score points here against this defense and the Denver defense kept the team in the game versus Houston. Everything was going wrong for them. Minus three turnover margin, um, offense was struggling and the defense only two to 12 drives were over 40 yards for Houston against a very explosive Houston offense.


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[Assistant] So good things about Denver's defense there. Uhm, we'll have to monitor the certain injury. He picked up an injury in that game.


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[Assistant] We'll see how he practices. If he plays, I think he's gonna do a pretty good job limiting a banged up Keenan Allen. You talked about the struggling Eckler. I don't know how this offense picks up a lot of points. And the Chargers wins this season. It was a coin flipping game against Minnesota early on.


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[Assistant] And then they beat Aiden O'Connell in his first start, Tyson Vagent.


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[Assistant] Good luck for that defense. Uhm, I like the, uh, the pick that, that Katie's gonna give out here, but at the number of two and a half just made too much sense to pair it with Baltimore in my teaser, teasing Denver up to plus eight and a half with Baltimore minus one and a half.


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[Assistant] I don't know, I think Tennessee lost their first round game.


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[Assistant] The first time they played, not first round obviously, but I don't think the Titans made the conference championship that year.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the pro, the pros were on the bills early in the week at two and a half. That's why it dropped down to one and a half. I think they're reacting to Buffalo's defense getting healthier. Uhm, but obviously they still don't have Trey White, Matt Bolano, Daquan Jones still missing in several key pieces of that defense.


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[Assistant] And the Chiefs defense, you know, has been shaky in the last two, but they did hold Miami and Philly under 300 yards at home in two games prior. This is a spot where I think they can show up. They are dealing with injury issues themselves at linebacker. We'll see if Nick Bolton can return for this game. If not, Drew Tranquil is also banged up. So if they're missing both guys in the middle,


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[Assistant] I feel the Chiefs are a tier above the Bills and the Chiefs get a point and a half for home field at least. So I don't think these teams are even. I think the Chiefs should be probably laying three points here. So I made Chiefs minus one and a half a best bet.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Dallas does have the better defense in this game ranking 4th in your entry play to Philly's 24th. They also have the better offense 7th versus 13th in that metric.


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[Assistant] Philly's offense ranks 21st and Sacre 22nd in interception rate while Dallas' defense thrives on getting pressure and generating turnovers and they can score themselves as we have seen.


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[Assistant] The Eagles defense is having trouble getting off the field on third down, ranking 32nd in success rate while Dallas's offense is second. So I expected Philly defense.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and I just think the Cowboys are going to score points. I'm not going to take the three and a half. You know, at three, I like the Cowboys. Uhm, so I wanted to make an argument for the Eagles catching the hook. I couldn't do it. I think Dallas has to have this win to stay in the division race, obviously, and they're just going to score a bunch of points. I love getting the over at 27 and a half if you have that available.


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[Assistant] Uhm, it's interesting with Tennessee's defense losing Jeffrey Simmons to an injury. I don't know how they can stop him rushing or passing at that point. Uhm, so I think it was like Miami can do whatever it wants and Titans have to score to keep up, which they're 30th on third down and in the red zone. So I don't know if they're equipped to go blow for close. So I would lead to the Dolphins there too.


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[Assistant] In that other game, I'm a little bit worried that we're inflating the Packers, um, rating at this point. Obviously they're, they're on a great run. Um, no turnovers last three games. Jordan Love looks like the real deal. The next Aaron Rodgers, the next Brett Favre, next in the line of succession there.


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[Assistant] Seems like this number is getting a little bit too high here. It might get to seven in some spots at seven. I think you want to look to the giants as ugly as they look.


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[Assistant] Also have Zach Moss to score a touchdown anytime. Uhm, you can either get plus 100 or minus 105 depending on the books you're looking at at this point.


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[Assistant] Out there. There are two colossal beings.


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[Assistant] Both forces of nature in their own regard.


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[Assistant] But in here, as soon as the chute bursts open, the duality of man and beast begins to fade.


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[Assistant] What's up, everybody? Welcome to the big six podcast. CBS Sports NFL podcast. I'm Will Benson. I'm your host. Got a post Christmas pick them special. Join me. Katie mocks under the weather. We're holding the fort down. We're all wearing black t-shirts or


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[Assistant] I've got a collar on mine. Not that it makes it fancier. Shout out Wolfpack.


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[Assistant] I'm a lord of the weather as well, fighting through, we'll call it my flu game.


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[Assistant] Joining me to do it, RJ White, Alex Selsnick, AHA Propstars. What's up fellas, how we doing? Hope you had a Merry Christmas and happy.


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[Assistant] Absolutely. Anything, uh, send out to you guys in terms of.


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[Assistant] The holiday slate. I got to tell you, I'm not a big fan of Christmas on a Monday. I don't think that was a, that resulted in, um, that just.


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[Assistant] You have the, you know, you have the Monday Christmas night and the three games and now where it's Thursday for us and it's weird for like the jobs that we do, right? I mean, it's not like a normal job. Um, but.


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[Assistant] Like Monday, like if you're like Wednesday, Christmas.


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[Assistant] Or like Wednesday, Christmas Eve, you feel like everybody's on board with no nothing going on that week. Right. And then you roll through the weekend and you get your football.


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[Assistant] It was just very, it was very odd to have three games, Monday night, Christmas night, and sort of the disappointment of 49ers and Ravens in terms of how competitive it was.


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[Assistant] I don't know, it felt like it was very abrupt and sudden and sort of a let down in terms of the holiday football slate and, and having like, I don't know, post holiday anxiety or whatever the hell it would be called.


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[Assistant] I don't know. I sort of wanted like one last, like I almost would have preferred a Tuesday NFL game.


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[Assistant] Like, like just tell us how a single, and uh, we don't want to want that, but I just wanted like the single game on Tuesday. I like the, uh, anyway, maybe I'm.


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[Assistant] Before, by the way, if you like winning picks, make sure and sign up for sportsline.com. Use promo code pick. Get your first month for a dollar. This episode of pick six is presented by fan dual sports book. Make every moment more. And she got me Brady and dues talking about Russell Wilson, getting bench was just crazy. Um, rock is going to.


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[Assistant] Choke down $85 million in dead cash or $95 million in dead cap space next year, apparently, um, virtual breakup with the Broncos. Might even be writing about that later.


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[Assistant] Let's recap what happened in week 16. Nothing super special.


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[Assistant] Alex, the only one above 500 with a three and two record to get to exactly 500. If you could bet on me going three and three, you should do that because I've done it every week for the last six weeks ever since I switched to giving out six picks. It's hilarious. Uh, I will say that I'm annoyed by the Jets not covering. That's ridiculous. Um, and, uh, Packers probably should have covered two.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's a lot of road chalk that I was eating, but whatever Katie goes two and four is now one game under 500 RJ is 51 51 and three after going three, three, uh, the, the, the year, the backup quarterback really showing out.


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[Assistant] 500 records for everybody in terms of our best bets. I hope let's, let's all, let's all take the next two weeks and get above 500.


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[Assistant] Maybe get way above 500, get hot to close out the season. Obviously lines and odds are subject to change. Record this at 2 PM on Thursday. So make sure and check with your book before tailing, especially this week and especially next week when you've got week 18 lines are going to move all over the place. Of course we've got, um,


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[Assistant] You know a couple games here where we've seen massive line movements and we will get to those.


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[Assistant] Notably with the bills in Washington. Let's start with an incredible.


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[Assistant] Struggles offensively to really close, you know, finish drives. You have a, you know, Tony Pollard pulled down to the one inch line. Awesome. If you're starting Pollard and Dak and.


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[Assistant] Against the Dolphins defensive in your fantasy championship. Sweet. Congrats, Leaguer.


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[Assistant] Detroit wins their division title first time since 93 on the road against a division rival and now has to go play the team that's been the best home team in football this season. Dallas undefeated at home. RJ, I got the Cowboys as the best bet here, how about you?


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[Assistant] Worth noting too, uh, Alex that on the injury report,


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[Assistant] Um, Rico Dowdell, the, and this may be interesting for, for Taylor, for Tony Pollard props, but, uh, Dowdell, uh, was limited Tuesday, did not practice Wednesday. We also got.


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[Assistant] Zach Martin limited Tuesday did not practice Wednesday, which is just a weird shift. Usually you would see him ramp up, but they were limited. Maybe it was sort of a.


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[Assistant] Frank Ragnall, full practice, Penaisul, full practice and Taylor Decker, limited practice Tuesday, did not practice Wednesday. Just again, that offensive line for Jared Goff, I think with Micah Parsons and


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[Assistant] Dexter Lawrence there, that's pretty key as well. So keep it. I think, I think this is definitely one. I like the cow. I love the cowboy still, but the, the, I, if you see this line moving, don't, don't think it's some sharp hammering one side. It may just be these offensive line injuries, which matter a ton.


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[Assistant] There's no even injuries listed for the Cowboys yet. Uh, they are, they are listed for, for the Lions. It looks better for the Lions right now. Still like the Cowboys thought that the offensive line did a pretty good job against a stout Miami defense, uh, relative to all the injuries that they were dealing with. Speaking of the Dolphins, the winners of the fraud ball.


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[Assistant] It's a bingo. Head to D, head to Detroit, head to Baltimore, head to D, Charm City, where they face the Baltimore Ravens, Baltimore coming off a Christmas night.


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[Assistant] Bay down of the San Francisco 49ers. Miami squeaks out a win against the Cowboys with a very impressive final drive there by the Miami offense. Total here are 46.5. The Ravens favored by 3.5.


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[Assistant] The dolphins do enough for you to say they can beat a good team.


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[Assistant] And go on the road and beat the Ravens were pretty healthy and playing some really good football. My gut says, no, I was tempted to make this Baltimore best bet at three and a half, but the it's a, it's a, they've just been so good against quality teams at home. It's just a lot of points for a Miami team that is fighting, you know, I think still alive for the one seat.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's crazy. Uh, 76% chance to win the division for the Dolphins. If they beat the Ravens, they lock up the division. Um, oh no, excuse me. Yeah.


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[Assistant] Even if the Bills beat them, I don't think that's right. Anyway, you get the point. They need, if they beat the Ravens, they lock up the division.


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[Assistant] And two would be in the MVP race. I think it's just interesting because.


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[Assistant] Josh Allen is still right there for MVP, but the problem is if Lamar beats the Dolphins, Lamar probably submits it. And if.


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[Assistant] The Dolphins beat the Ravens, then Josh Allen can't win the division when he plays the Dolphins, so it might not matter. Uh, so there's RIP to those Josh Allen tickets, potentially. Speaking of the Bills, they are hosting the Patriots as a Row-Bust.


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[Assistant] If you look at last week, they go to the chargers on a short week playing on Saturday.


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[Assistant] Uh, a defense that had, was re-energized and was motivated after basically not winning their Super Bowl, but beating the Chiefs coming off this huge win. And.


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[Assistant] Then going on the road for the second week in a row, all the way across the country.


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[Assistant] And in that letdown spot on a short week against a team that shouldn't have been high jumpable was because they were on a 10 day mini by after firing their coach. So really bad spot in hindsight for the bills against the chargers should have been more obvious. I think this is a really good spot for the bills against the Patriots to Patriots team. That's just not very good.


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[Assistant] They are struggling on offense. I know that they've beat Denver, but that doesn't impress me that much. Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Sean McDermott in particular, they lost earlier this year, this year. So there's a little bit of a revenge factor. I think they know this is probably Bill Belichick's last game against the Bills in New England. Would love to send him out with an L.


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[Assistant] You can, they have taken a, they've had a habit and a proclivity of beating down really like divisional opponents late in the season when they are getting going and the Bills are getting going right now. Alex.


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[Assistant] Stephon Diggs had a very quiet game against the Chargers. Do you think he can get going here?


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[Assistant] All right. I like Buffalo. Buffalo is going to trounce him. Buffalo Rams Superbowl. Bill's Rams Superbowl. Stafford versus Josh Allen.


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[Assistant] Nevermind, moving on. See, everybody's got a little holiday hangover. Falcons at the Bears, Bears minus three over under 37 and a half. The Bears in the Cardinals game really flew under the radar, just like on the whole week. Uh, the Bears smoked the Cardinals at Kyler Murray and now they get Taylor, Heinecke, um,


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[Assistant] Man, it is, uh, pretty difficult to see a ton of points here. Although I thought Heineken, it's weird how some of these coaches behave. Arthur Smith, Taylor Heineken, clearly an upgrade over Desmond Ritter and.


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[Assistant] You know, Jacoby Percet, clearly an upgrade over Sam Howell. Not just because of where they went to school. It's surprising that it takes these guys so long to figure it out.


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[Assistant] RJ, you got anything on this game in terms of a best bet? I, this isn't, I hope this game's on Fox cause it's unwatchable.


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[Assistant] You know, it's hilarious on a tankathon.com, which is tracks.


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[Assistant] Every sport who's like hurtling towards the first overall pick. Um, if you go to like a team schedule on Tankathon.


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[Assistant] I don't know why this makes me laugh so much, but like the Bears play the Panthers, right? And the Bears beat the Panthers. The W next to it is in red as if it's a loss because it's, you know, cause you're, you're going away from the number one overall pick and all the, uh, all the L's are in green. I find that just incredibly, um, amusing.


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[Assistant] That's just my thought on the, but the bears, the bears ice cold, according to Tankathon four and two in their last six games. Granted, not exactly playing a murders row, but they didn't fight with Detroit. I agree with you. I think they're, they're an underrated team and.


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[Assistant] They're going to play themselves. They're going to play themselves out of a top 10 pick. Fortunately for them, Carolina is Trish. Although maybe the Panthers can.


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[Assistant] Steal something in terms of sliding out of that one spot. We will see Titans at the Texans Texans minus five and a half. A total of 40.


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[Assistant] Three and a half. The Texans, the last time the Titans played coming into that game, Derek Henry had rushed for 115 yards per game against Houston in his career.


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[Assistant] That is outrageous! I think it's like 10 games, 12 touchdowns, just destroying them. Average of like 70 odd to carry. And D'Amico Ryan's, and this is why I think if you're a Texas fan, you have to be thrilled, not just about


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[Assistant] The surprisingly impressive season you've gotten from CJ Stroud, but also like D'Amico Ryan comes up with a plan to completely stifle Derek Henry, who is a Texans killer.


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[Assistant] CJ Stroud should be back for this game. Hence the high spread. Any interest in laying anything here? RJ with this AFC South matchup.


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[Assistant] Yeah, not a whole lot to love about this particular game. Raiders at the Colts.


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[Assistant] It's actually, the line is kind of surprising given how well the Raiders have played. I guess the Colts do have, if they get Michael Pittman back, Jonathan Taylor back, they've clearly got a little more ammunition expected that Josh Jacobs is going to miss this game.


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[Assistant] Aiden O'Connell, you know, they beat the Chiefs without Aiden O'Connell completing a pass for the final three quarters.


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[Assistant] It's a, it's a tough, it's a, it's a tough spot because I feel like the Raiders should be, shouldn't be getting the three and a half, but there's something that is stinky about, about the line. Like the Colts could absolutely blow them out. Alex, any thoughts on this match up here and how Michael Pittman's possible return would affect props and whatnot?


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[Assistant] Let's take a break, but when we come back more games and the pick six par lay, we'll tell you about it next.


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[Assistant] All right, welcome back. Time for the pick six parlay. We select a game for a four leg money line parlay. The rules by now. Everyone should be familiar with it. The person with the best record the previous week gets to pick first.


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[Assistant] Second place, second, so on and so on by the end, we have to have at least one plus money picks. So three can be three favorites of the dog, but we got to have a dog in the parlay.


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[Assistant] On Christmas. Is it Christmas Eve? It was Christmas Eve, right? Christmas Eve. Yeah. Christmas Eve. Santa drops a two and a half.


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[Assistant] Plus 235 miracle with the Pats beating the Broncos on the road on Christmas Eve.


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[Assistant] Well, actually, we'll talk, we'll talk to the Patriots in a second. Let's just get through the parlay. I was going to point out that


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[Assistant] The Broncos cost a lot of people a lot of money in the survive in the circus survivor.


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[Assistant] And that's a tough, that's a tough L because like your Christmas Eve, you've got, so I think, uh, there were 10 people left. Six of them took the Broncos. One guy took the Rams, a couple, two of the bears and one had the Packers. They're like,


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[Assistant] Bears are the bears are the easiest sweat. Rams are the easiest sweat cause you ran on Thursday and you have to worry about it going into Christmas. Uh, and then of course the, the Packers, um, you know, all like this is a whole lot of, you know, um, anyway.


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[Assistant] We lost to the freaking chiefs. The chiefs lose to the Raiders at home as massive minus 500 favorites. And that cost us the parlay as that is so crappy, like brutal man, but we will be back at it.


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[Assistant] She's pitiful. Christmas performance did us in Alex. You get the nod first up.


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[Assistant] I gotta be honest. I don't know if I love the, I mean, like I'm too, I don't blame you. Like you're either 10 and a half point favorites, like perfectly fine with it. I don't, I don't, I think the Cardinals.


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[Assistant] Can keep things a little frisky here. Arizona got smug. I just think the chiefs, I mean, excuse me, the, uh, the bears and the, um, 49ers defenses.


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[Assistant] The Eagles defense just isn't playing well right now, but yes, they should be able to score enough. And I like took the Cardinals as well. Anyway, RJ, you are up with the second pick.


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[Assistant] So I'm left to pick a dog for Katie as well as, let's do a, let's do a group. Let's find a dog as a group. I think that's the best way to do it. Who's your favorite?


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[Assistant] I think the bills are the, the pick to be the favorite. I mean, I say 50 is a ton.


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[Assistant] I mean, San Francisco, I think is in a good bounce back spot, but a little spooky. Uh, yeah, I think the bill's at home.


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[Assistant] Divisional matchup. I mean, you know, they're, they're in a very good spot to make the playoffs, but they still need to, they still need to like win this game. Like you can't f around and find out when it comes to this game. So.


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[Assistant] We'll go bills minus eight 50. That gives us minus one or four already on the parlay. So we're almost at plus money anyway, thanks to the Cowboys just being minus two 10. I like the three favorite picks here. Got to find an underdog.


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[Assistant] Oh, I'm down for that. I'm actually shocked by this line.


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[Assistant] Yeah. And I think too, when you look at this game, it's a situation where if you're a Broncos player and you know that you're still alive for the playoffs and they're benching, you're benching your quote unquote franchise quarterback.


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[Assistant] You have to kind of think that like they're, they're folding up shop and playing for 2024 or even 2025 to like rebuild this team, just the way that things are structured. Like you're hearing the buzz about the cap, the, the salary cap stuff and how much it's going to affect next year. If you can't trade him, which you very won't be likely to do that. Um, meanwhile, the chargers.


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[Assistant] Uh, what's a GIF? What's GIF? GIF Smith? What's his last name? GIF? Yea, Smith. GIF Smith?


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[Assistant] And then we have eagles minus 520, cowboys minus 210.


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[Assistant] With the, uh, for the pick six par podcast parlay, which we are due to hit at some point soon. Let's get that cash this week.


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[Assistant] This Pixix podcast, this Pixix parlay segment has been brought to you by FanDuel Sportsbook. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] Los Angeles Rams headed to the New York Giants.


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[Assistant] Play Tyrod Taylor. I was about to say it's a Tyrod Taylor revenge game, but now he played for the other LA team, played for a bunch of football teams. Rams are minus five and a half in this spot with a total of 44 and a half kind of a sneaky high total there for a game between


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[Assistant] I think two teams that people aren't that interested in, I would point out that Matthew Stafford, as Don Wink Martindale said this today, playing at a hall of fame level, hello, and an MVP level, he and Lamar, the two guys that Wink said are playing at the MVP level, Matthew Stafford third on my MVP ballot, if I had one.


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[Assistant] The ones we do for CBSsports.com. He's playing awesome football. He's locked in. He's healthy. And as long as he's healthy, this, this Ramsey, I swear I could hang with anybody in the NFL.


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[Assistant] The 49ers and the Ravens obviously would be favorite of them.


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[Assistant] Several teams would, but the Rams can hang with anybody. And Stafford, I'll tell you, Stafford, Stafford Josh Allen, Super Bowl matchup. Not that crazy. Give me the Rams as a best bet.


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[Assistant] Credit to the Giants coaching staff for keeping this team going and keeping the effort is there every week. They're trying, they battle back against Philly in a really difficult spot of Christmas day. Tyron Taylor is a huge upgrade over Tommy DeVito.