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[Assistant] So are they 39 and 10? I keep seeing 39 and 9. You were 13 and 4 last year?


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[Assistant] 13 games every year. Open up at Minnesota, Chicago at home, at Tampa Bay, New England at home, play the Giants in London at Hotspah. The Jets at home. They might start


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] 5, 6 and 0, 5 and 1, 4 and 2, I mean 4 and 2 would be a miserable start for them. You lose at Minnesota at Tampa, I guess.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] They're at the Bills later at, at the, I mean, they own the Lions. You get the Cowboys at home, the Titans at home, at the Eagles, at the Bears, Rams at home after a late buy at Miami, Minnesota and Detroit at home to close out.


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[Assistant] You know, this is a different approach they're taking this year. They want to really run the football and play great defense.


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[Assistant] But I still think the passing game will be perfectly fine with Aaron Rodgers. They have enough weapons.


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[Assistant] He's not going to fall off. Like he, he, you know, we've had plenty of motivation.


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[Assistant] For Aaron Rodgers the last few years in the form of Jordan Love. Now the motivation is people questioning Aaron Rodgers without Devonte Adams. I think he's gonna have a big year. I think he'll be fine. I'm not worried about Aaron Rodgers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I don't think I would take the over 11 because that's just a lot of wins, but I would not take the under this for sure.


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[Assistant] Minnesota Vikings. Oh, it's just one, one, one division. A lot of times, a lot of times you feel a certain way about it, you know, a certain way about two teams in a division, it goes lockstep with the other ones. Uh, Minnesota Vikings over, under nine wins. Sort of annoying that they're not moving this to like nine. I mean, a lot of, a lot of push opportunities here, but whatever.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, over 9 minus 135 under 9 plus 115. I would have a very strong lean, I believe, towards the over here. I'm very bullish on the Vikings offense with new head coach, Kevin O'Connell.


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[Assistant] You know, we saw with Mike Zimmer running things that this offense could be explosive, but it was almost accident or almost only explosive when it needed to be instead of being aggressively explosive and then allowing, you know, Davin Koch and Alexander Madison and some of the younger backs they've got now to close out the game by running the ball.


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[Assistant] So I think that Kevin O'Connell will sort of reverse engineer what Mike Zimmer did.


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[Assistant] If they do that, there's no reason this team shouldn't score plenty of points. The question becomes, can the defense be as good as it was when Zimmer had things rolling? I would guess no, only because I think that


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[Assistant] Zimmer is a really good defensive coach, but there's enough talent here where this team can be a average to above average defensive team.


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[Assistant] Tuesday's podcast when we were talking about the, uh, the cut deadline, the Vikings actually did trade for Jalen Rager.


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[Assistant] And the Seahawks did end up re-signing J-Jaw to their practice squad forcing both guys to sit next to.


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[Assistant] Open up with the Packers at home. They can tell. I mean, obviously they can win that game. It's a very, it's a close line. I think Green Bay gets it. But with a lot of it, it would be hard to say with a lot of adjustments being made the then they're at the Eagles Lions at home at the Saints Bears at home at the Dolphins sort of up and down crazy schedule.


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[Assistant] They had, they had, man, they had the jets and the giants at home and the cult at the lions on the backend.


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[Assistant] Vikings over 9-1. I reserve the right to take that out. We'll list our full best bets at the end. That's on my list.


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[Assistant] Alright, the Detroit Lions over under six and a half. The over I believe is minus 155.


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[Assistant] Uhm, the lions are like the offseason darlings.


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[Assistant] Uh, minus one 40 now it's way down. So over six and a half minus one 40 under six and a half plus one 18, the fighting Dan Campbell's getting a lot of love because of just sort of.


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[Assistant] The way they approach you off-season, they're on hard knocks, they fought so hard, they're, they're very lovable. For once in a long time, the Lions are very lovable. Are you lovable?


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[Assistant] Everybody can talk about their tough losses last year. They went 313 and won the Pythag, you know, their expected point, their expected win total based on their points, four points against, um, 5.1. So it's like, I mean, they definitely underachieve, but not like so drastically that you would definitely have to take the over here. I was a pass for me.


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[Assistant] I would think I would take the under at six and a half. I think it's probably a market inflation, but I don't want to bet against the Lions because I do kind of like them. Team. I will definitely bet against the Chicago Bears. They are, they have one of the easiest schedules in football this year.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] But it doesn't matter when you have one of the worst rosters in football, and that's what the Bears have. The rubber under has dropped down to six.


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[Assistant] It was six and a half, which was an absolute slam dunk. It is now six minus 115 to the under minus 105 to the over. Look, you look at this roster and there's just not much there.


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[Assistant] I mean, Justin Fields is probably a blue chip prospect. I mean, like you're, you could build around it, but I don't know if this current regime wants to his receiving core is Darnell Mooney, Equiname, St. Brown, Byron Pringle, Vilas Jones Jr, Dante Pettis, and then he has Cole Comet, Ryan Griffin and Trevon Wesco at tight end. So I don't see how this offense does much of anything.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, maybe Luke gets, he's a mastermind in, you know, he certainly has the chops, uh, you know.


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[Assistant] To suggest that he could be a good offensive coordinator, but we haven't seen it yet.


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[Assistant] There's like nobody on defense. And they have Roquan Smith is a stud. Robert Quinn is, is, is played really well last year, but it's extremely old. And Jalen Johnson is a stud.


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[Assistant] Eddie Jackson's had some good runs. They've got some decent second round players that they picked up this past year, but they lost Akeem Hicks and Khalil Mack. Their run defense is going to be horrendous. No offense to my boy Justin Jones. Giving the under is a stone cold block.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Yep. Under is on my best bets list right now. What else is on my best, best, best bets list? Best bets list. We will tell you next coming up or we'll tell you after coming up after the break.


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[Assistant] I hate the fact that they have Ryan and Matt as their new head coach or GM and head coach.


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[Assistant] Cause there's the album, it's just confusing. I think there's a decent chance that Ryan Pauls and Matt Dibroflos want to blow this whole thing up.


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[Assistant] I don't know if it's quietly. I think it's just like, hey, we suck. Don't worry about it.


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[Assistant] The Buccaneers lead the way in the AFC or the NFC South, excuse me. They are, they're over under is 11 and a half.


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[Assistant] The under heavily juiced minus 140, my goodness, the over plus 118.


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[Assistant] I am not taking the under on Tom Brady team and a fairly weak division, but that 11 and a half is so high.


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[Assistant] It feels like the books would much rather move this down to 11, but don't want to offer up that the possibility. So I mean, like this is what this is the new normal for sports books, by the way, they're not going to move the number. They do this with the draft too. They're just going to move the juice.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] So like they don't want you betting on the under the bucks. They're just going to move the juice to where it's like, it's not like very bettable.


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[Assistant] Any new head coach who's done it before, but like, Todd Bowles is not exactly like Bruce. I don't think Todd Bowles is going to, I guess Todd Bowles won't have total.


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[Assistant] I mean, you might not even have a final say on like what offense they're going to run, but I mean, it's just not going to be as like wide open as Bruce Jarrett was. I would be shocked.


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[Assistant] Let's say even if you get through that 2 and 2, which is totally possible, but I mean, man, Packers and Chiefs at home and that, at Cowboys and Saints. Alright, let's say hypothetically they start 0 and 4. They beat the Falcons at home. They beat the Steelers.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And panthers on the road that are now three and four, but then they lose it home to the Ravens and the Rams before beating the Seahawks in Germany.


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[Assistant] I mean like that's not an unreasonable like way to start before the buy, right? No, that's not. So you'd be, you'd be four and six going into the buy. And maybe that over under is dead. You'd have to win. It's dead.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I mean, I think the under would be the play here, but I don't really want to take it.


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[Assistant] Cause I mean, it's not, it's not outrageous that they beat the Cowboys, beat the Saints and then hold serve at home and they're 4-0. You know what I'm saying?


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[Assistant] I would probably lean under, but again, like they could start 5-0 and you're toast on that under because they're winning 12 or 13 games.


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[Assistant] Also, I have, I'm not going to make this a bet because I have a bunch of bucks futures.


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[Assistant] To win the division, which is now concerning because of that schedule because of all these injuries and because suddenly the New Orleans Saints look like an interesting team at.


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[Assistant] Okay, I missed the IRR designation there, sorry. Uhm, I was looking on the depth chart, I was like, uhm.


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[Assistant] We're missing somebody. They have Chris D'Alavi as well. Michael Thomas back.


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[Assistant] Kamara doesn't look like he's gonna be suspended. They added Mark Ingram. Man, I mean.


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[Assistant] The offense, if Jamis Winston, if Pete Carmichael can do what, yeah.


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[Assistant] 70% of, you know, let's say 80% of Sean Payton in terms of play calling, which I guess is not out of control, then


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[Assistant] This is a very interesting offense. The offensive line looks like it can be more than competent.


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[Assistant] And defensively, they do have a plenty of pieces. You know, it's really interesting about the steam breach.


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[Assistant] They added, uh, I don't know if you heard of this guy. The honey badger this off season, but they also added Jarvis Landry. Like those are two of the biggest like LSU guys in recent memories. I think they're going to be juiced up to play in this, in this, uh, in these, in the saints uniforms every single week.


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[Assistant] I was sort of down on it before, but I mean, unless James is just, uh,


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[Assistant] I'm talking myself. I'm talking myself out of the box. It's so easy to talk yourself out of the box and into like the Saints of the Panthers. Um, I think the over is definitely a play here.


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[Assistant] Mainly because it's like you look at this roster and it's just a lot better roster than you sort of thought about because of some of the attrition they had. I just think the vibes that man Tyra Mathieu being back in New Orleans, Jarvis Landry there. This team is going to come out amped up every single week. If a lot of is great. Michael Thomas is finally back and like in a good headspace. The man I know is Kamara suspension. Steam is interesting.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'll put it on the short list. Over under six and a half. Panthers have dramatically shifted in terms of how people


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[Assistant] Look at them over the last few weeks, months, whatever it is since Baker Mayfield got there and understandable. The over under has sort of settled in at six and a half minus one 10 on both sides. I think you like the Panthers over. We had a weird talk about that during the course of.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm not, I'm not going to love it because I think there's a couple, like it wouldn't, it would take one or two things going wrong for this to just a dramatic, like drastically.


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[Assistant] I don't think that's, I think the 49ers game and then the Rams game.


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[Assistant] Or not. So they, they start, let's say they start three and one. I think that's reasonable, right? Okay. You start three and one.


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[Assistant] You lose the 49ers, lose at the Rams, lose at the Buccaneers. So you're three and four.


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[Assistant] They got, they got some weapons with Robbie Moore or Robbie Anderson, DJ Moore. No doubt about it. Falcons over under five.


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[Assistant] Uh, by the way, this, uh, Nick Underhill just tweeted that the St. Safety Mayor was arrested this morning for aggravated assault with a firearm.


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[Assistant] Falcon's over under five under minus one forty five over plus one twenty two. I mean, look, um.


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[Assistant] We've talked about the Falcons on here before. By the way, Pixix Podcast loves the Falcons. They did our, uh, snakes, rattlesnakes, uh, landmine thing that I came up with, not Ryan Wilson.


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[Assistant] Pieces on the offensive line, but Jake Matthews is a 2014 pick. Lindstrom McGarry didn't pan out. Kyle Pitts is a monster. Drake London could be great. I hope Marcus Marietta has a renaissance under Arthur Smith. Uhm, in, in like,


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[Assistant] You know, but it's just, there ain't much on defense here and there ain't just, I mean.


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[Assistant] I think they ended up playing Desmond Ritter playing to see what they have. AJ Terrell's great. Grady Jarrett's fantastic, but he's definitely obviously older. I don't see how, I don't see, I don't see a path to over here.


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[Assistant] That's probably not going to happen. Rams over under 10 and a half. Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams. Of course they lost.


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[Assistant] Von Miller, and maybe more importantly, uhm.


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[Assistant] They added Alan Robinson this all season. Still have, I mean, they still have a loaded team.


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[Assistant] Yeah. And he's like such a great compliment to Cooper Cup too.


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[Assistant] San Francisco at home, at Tampa, Arizona at home, at New Orleans, at KC, sheesh. Seattle, Vegas, and at home, at Green Bay, Denver at home, at the Chargers, and at Seattle.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, I just think the Cardinals, I don't think the Cardinals are going to be start as hot as they did last year. I think the Seahawks are not going to be very good and you know, I mean.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Major injury concerns. I do buy it like he has elbow soreness. That dude will play through anything. So.


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[Assistant] I will take the over here, but I'm not gonna, I would not be one of my best bets just because it's a bigger number.


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[Assistant] The 49ers, San Francisco 49ers over under 10, minus 110 on each side. I feel like a pretty similar team.


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[Assistant] It's basically, do you believe in Trey? Like what, what concerns you more Matthew Stafford's elbow or trailer or trailer? It's his ability to play. I mean, I believe in Trey Lance. I believe in Kyle Shanahan. I believe in this defense. I believe in the offensive weapons. They have. I think this over is a very good bet at 10. I don't, I don't think this is a nine.


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[Assistant] I think the fact that they have Jimmy as kind of a fail safe makes me feel a lot better about the over here.


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[Assistant] And if they have to go to Jimmy, yes, it's a problem for the, for the regime that they, that the trade line thing isn't working out, but it's not a problem for your over under if they have to go to him because


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, you have a chance to catch it. They start at Chicago, Seattle at home at Denver, LA at home.


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[Assistant] Four wins right there. I think they split with the Rams. They play the Chiefs at home. So let's say they lose at Denver. Split with the Rams. And lose to the Chiefs. You're still one, two.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I just think that that half a game matters a ton to me.


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[Assistant] Cause I mean like, you know, you go 10 and 7 and you push. You go 10 to 7 with the Rams and you lose your entire bet. This is such a massive difference. So I'll take the over.


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[Assistant] 40, the ogre plus 118. Clearly, uh, there's a belief that the Cardinals are prepared to take a step back and believe it. So eight and eight, eight and eight and one last year.


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[Assistant] So what's a Ubreach? Arizona Cardinals.


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[Assistant] Remember, remember this team is Cliff Kingsbury and Kyler Murray notoriously.


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[Assistant] Come out hot and then fade down the stretch, but now they don't have Deandre Hopkins to start and their schedule is outside of the at Carolina in week four.


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[Assistant] And then Seattle at Seattle in week six. So like their schedule is very difficult to start.


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[Assistant] And it's the back half of their schedule after their buy hats at home at Denver.


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[Assistant] Bucks at home at Atlanta at San Francisco. Like that reeks of a cliff Kingsbury collapse.


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[Assistant] Stu in the chat points out Kingsbury gets canned this year. I don't know. I mean, I don't see how. He just got a contract extension. Kyler got a contract extension. Like I don't see how you blow it up after.


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[Assistant] Uhm, alright, finally in the interstate, the Seattle Seahawks.


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[Assistant] Of course the 49th, excuse me, the Seahawks traded Russell Wilson this offseason.


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[Assistant] It appears as if they're trying to be the 2010, 2011 Seahawks where they like try to steal their way to seven, eight, nine wins. Um, Denver.


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[Assistant] To open at home the Russell Wilson revenge game and they're at the 49ers. Atlanta at home at Detroit at New Orleans, Arizona at home to start at at the Chargers, the Giants at home. It's like.


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[Assistant] If they're gonna get to seven wins, or eight, or if they're gonna get above six wins, you have to beat Atlanta.


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[Assistant] So the games you have to win, if you are the Seahawks, I think you have the Atlanta at home, Arizona at home, the Giants at home, Raiders at home, Panthers at home and Jets at home. Does that seem fair? Yeah, I'm not the Raider. I think


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[Assistant] Pete, Pete, there's nothing that Pete Carroll would love more than taking out Russell Wilson. His first game is like, like that is, this is like Pete Seattle Super Bowl. Exactly. This is like three and a half. It's really stinky.


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[Assistant] Just keep it close against the Niners on the road. If they beat them, if they beat the Broncos and 49ers to start the season.


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[Assistant] And for and just like just slow possessions, run the ball a tongue.


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[Assistant] Maybe takes you take some shots on the field when, when you get the opportunity, don't turn the ball over and then force every team they play to be hyper efficient on offense.


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[Assistant] And if the defense is a lot better than anybody's expecting, all of a sudden there's just a formula there where you can have a bunch of close games. And if, if, if a couple of them go your way, all of a sudden you win eight games and people were given like, like if Pete Carroll wins nine or 10 games, he's coach of the year.


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[Assistant] There we go, reach for close out. It's not gonna be a best bet, but that's, uh, that's gonna be, um,


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[Assistant] That's gonna be, it's not gonna be a best bet, but I will take the, the overrun out. All right. So what are your, I have my list. Do you want me to go first or do you want?


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[Assistant] Either three unders and two overs or I'm trying to decide on the last one. You go first then.


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[Assistant] These are our best bets. This is recapping our five, we each have five, right?


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[Assistant] Yes. Our five best bets. We're going to start with our three over best bets for the NFC win totals regular season win totals this year.


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[Assistant] Alright, so the, uh, the other one I was flopping between.


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[Assistant] Is the Cardinals under or the 49ers over? I think I'm gonna take the 49ers over instead. So I've got the Eagles, Vikings, and Niners overs.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] As my three overs and then you have the Eagles Vikings and Panthers overs. What are your.


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[Assistant] If you want, if you're watching on YouTube or you're listening, you will tweet us, send us your best, uh, list your three to five best bets for the NFC. What are your two unders that you've got Breach?


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[Assistant] It's interesting too, because when you do it, when you have five of them, you inherently have to correlate them. You have to correlate at least one. Uh, only what you have to that are correlated the night. No, no, no. You have the.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Buccaneers and Panthers are correlated, which is not, um, if the Panthers beat the Bucs once, that is a massive boost.


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[Assistant] Uhm, my two unders are the lowest unders I believe on the board. The Bears under 6 and the Falcons under 5. Uhm, you can get to 5 wins, like NFL teams can stumble into 5 or 6 wins sometimes just randomly. Just the way that like,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Football works as an oblong oblong shape, you know, leather ball inflated with a bunch of air and about takes funny bounces. Uhm, but those two rosters to me just do not look like.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Great stuff, Breach. Those are our NFC best bets. We'll be back tomorrow or Monday, depending on when you're listening or watching with the AFC.


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[Assistant] Best bet win turtles for breach. I'm Brenton. Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. We'll see you guys.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I will literally give, I will Venmo you the money the second the game is over and I will Venmo you double whatever the tattoo costs so that you can buy a camera and take pictures of yourself to send all of us.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] He has Ryan Finley's stat line from the game, tattooed on his body. So I think that counts because let's be fair, we can't ask this man to have Ryan Finley's face on his body for the rest of his life. But he did get the stat line, so I think that counts as Ryan Finley.


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[Assistant] Well, you know what's funny about the video that we opened, uh, the show with, which was back from December 2020.


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[Assistant] So we need to find a listener who has a July 13th, 1984. Say that to the tattoos dedicated to that person. Then also find the person in the world who has that Snoopy tattoo that did the original design and you should go out to dinner.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And I'm more of like a s just staring at the tattoo for Wilson. Uh, because at his arm. I'm sure if in that hotel lobby, they is going on there? Why are


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Uh, butt cheeks so you can show it to Wilson or Brenton and laugh at him.


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[Assistant] And so he can have Wilson on radio. And finally, Jason, we've all done his radio show over the past 20 months. And literally we think we're going on the show to talk about football.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Like that. No, remember the Brinson toupee on top of the microphone?


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[Assistant] That's the money maker. That's what we're doing.


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[Assistant] So this tattoo, people are going to see it when you're out in public.


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[Assistant] And if they ask, hey man, why'd you get that tattoo? Are you going to give the full story or are you going to have like the, uh, long story short version?


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And I think it's worth pointing out that Brenton and I were literally on two podcasts together last week, and we spent half of those podcasts making fun of Wilson because we said there was no way he'd switch his flight, there was no way he'd book a tattoo appointment, and there was no way he'd actually get a tattoo, and here we are. We should literally have to like write words down.


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[Assistant] Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday, something like that. So you change it less than a week before the trip.


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[Assistant] In Nashville. Where do I win? In Nashville. Thank you.


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[Assistant] You know. And that's another part of it is that yes, his numbers looked great, but he's out there playing against the bottom of Seattle's roster.


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[Assistant] You think there's any way Pickett could still win the job? I think that's where I'm going.


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[Assistant] Oh, he was so amazing. He played decently, but then that's the Druach story where- Right.


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[Assistant] I mean, everyone that was drafted, Christian Watson, Jameson, Williams, Chris Allave, there's a lot of guys.


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[Assistant] I mean, Sky Moore in Kansas City's offense, he could put up some big numbers.


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[Assistant] is a mastermind and how m how many times he had to r the course of his coaching


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[Assistant] NFC title games. I think one year, Freddie Mitchell was the leading receiver. So you're talking about, I think this is a challenge.


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[Assistant] Well the one thing about the Rookie of the Year that kind of throws a wrench into it is that like, you can play on a bad team and still win Rookie of the Year. So, you know, when we're talking about MVP,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] It was who? Tom Brady? It was, what was, uh, by Jay Manuel's year? 2013. 2013.


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[Assistant] I'm not changing the commander. That's what I decided. I like the commander's name. I don't hate it, but Washington football team is just meh.


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[Assistant] That I had very low expectations coming to this month. There is nothing guaranteed after 2020.


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[Assistant] I thought he played better than the expectations I had for him.


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[Assistant] No, I'm just saying Belichick usually has that veteran and that's why he kept Twitter last year because you have a rookie quarterback. I don't know that he's gonna put...


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[Assistant] Well, and one thing with Willis though is that he refuses to slide. That guy was just taking hits left and right, which you cannot do if you are a starting quarterback. And then the other part of it, and I think Mike Brable actually mentioned this after that game, is that he just, uh,


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[Assistant] Wasn't finishing his reads. The first read wasn't there. He was just tucking the ball down and taking off.


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[Assistant] But overall, it's your first start ever. You're gonna make mistakes, uh, and I thought you look pretty good.


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[Assistant] Oh yea, good call. Oh yea, that was, I mean, look, the whole thing was...


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[Assistant] Can he replicate this in the NFL? The NFL football is a little bit different than a college football. And for him to come out on his first preseason punt and just smash an 82 yard punt that goes 75, more than 75 yards in the air. And I know that


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[Assistant] Team doesn't care about finesse because you're flipping the field. That is a 62 yard net, I think.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's a 62 yard net, and I think the leading net yardage in the NFL last year was like 44 yards. So 44 is great. He got 62 yards net on that punt.


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[Assistant] All of these, it might have been from the line of scrimmage, but when we actually pointed it, it went, I think 78.


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[Assistant] When you come to the king, you best not miss that what you're saying? Why? No, I'm not saying that.


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[Assistant] He could be, I don't know. So, uh, now I lost my, no, so he held on Tyler Bass's game-winning field goal. And the poor thing there is like, you can't replicate that kind of pressure in practice when you're holding. Cause that's the hardest thing you can do is hold on a game-winning field goal and you got a perfect hold-down, fascinating field with the Bills. That's good. Um, Preston loves it.


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[Assistant] Alright, so that's sort of theirs. What? I think if they have a losing record and Sean Payton wants the job, it's possible. What a 8-9. That's a losing record. It's closer. Closer to a winning record.


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[Assistant] Peyton said he, the report was that Peyton either wants the Chargers job, the Cowboys job, or the Dolphins job.


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[Assistant] You know what? Well, we have two cars. The car I drove, I'm actually gonna give these guys a ride to the hotel. No, we're gonna get an Uber. You should get an Uber, cause you're not gonna fit. It is a Mitsubishi Mirage.


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[Assistant] It's our backup car. What's, what's the main car? Uh, a Nissan Road.


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[Assistant] Ohhh. That was a layup. That was a layup. I missed layups before, Wilson.


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[Assistant] What's up, everybody? Welcome to the Pixix Podcast, CBS Sports Daily NFL Podcast. I'm Will Brinson. I'm your host. It is basically Monday, September 26, and this is the week three recap show as we break down all the action from Sunday. Joining me to do so as they do.


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[Assistant] I've been a lot often every week now for three years.


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[Assistant] Okay, uhm, first Ryan, how many Rihanna songs can you name?


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[Assistant] Okay, uh, Breach. Everyone, everyone is fully aware. Breach, by the way. If you answer this, you will be cheating, but go ahead and see.


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[Assistant] The bigger question is if, is would, if Billy had asked us this question before he took the job, but he still had taken the job and we collectively had known one Rihanna song between the three of us.


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[Assistant] Okay, okay, first of all, this is not my wheelhouse, okay? Pop music, not my wheelhouse.


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[Assistant] Great. I like the, um, but don't cater, don't cater to old funny daddies like me cater to the cool kids.


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[Assistant] Uh, 30 teams have at least one win through the first three weeks for the second time since 2002, joining the 2012 season with 30 of 32 had them. It also marks the fifth time that since 1970, there were only two winless teams with the first three weeks of a season joining 88, 89, 90 and 2012.


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[Assistant] No you definitely don't. By the way, do you know who won the 2012 Super Bowl?


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[Assistant] RG31 Offensive Rookie of the Year. Kinkley, Division Rookie of the Year. Adrian Peterson, Offensive Player of the Year. Why are you doing 2012?


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[Assistant] This is the last time that the we had like the win. It was.


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[Assistant] It feels like an extreme situation of parody where everybody's gotta win and if you look at the points spread coming up for week four.


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[Assistant] It's very clear that there is, this NFL season, I'm just sort of doing a big picture thing before we dive into games.


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[Assistant] I'm being called a hater in the, oh, the hater of the Dolphins. Yeah, I mean, like, whatever. Uhm, the, uh, this NFL season feels like it's going to be extremely muddled.


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[Assistant] Okay, technically they have the best record in the AFC. And they beat the team that most people would consider the best team in the AFC, the Bills, but the Bills without their safeties, we'll get to that in just a second. Point being is that


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[Assistant] That is, that's crazy. That's a good point.


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[Assistant] What is Super Bowl? By the way, that was uhm, the Super Bowl where Beyonce.


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[Assistant] It's all coming full circle and breach actually killed the power in the superdome. So we could still control the live blog and get hired to do this job. And now 10 years later, here I am still here. We're all still here.


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[Assistant] Uh, for whatever reason, people are debating what my degree is in in the comments.


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[Assistant] It was pretty, I've said it like a million times. Did anyone guess physics? They did not.


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[Assistant] We're talking about, first of all, my undergraduate, not my, my masters. Not your PhD. Not your doctorate. Not my doctorate.


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[Assistant] I have a degree in English. In school there's like 99% engineering. It's like the worst possible school to go to English for.


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[Assistant] Uhm, technically actually with one game left to be completed, there have been seven, 18 games decided by three points or fewer this season because I'm adding in 49ers and Broncos. The most such games for the first three weeks of a season in NFL history.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and again, just sort of, this is a, I think it's a global trend.


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[Assistant] That is worth noting because we don't see team. I don't see a lot of teams that are just going to separate because of the various weaknesses they have. And I think that this is what the NFL wants and has been working to get for years. They want close games. They were crazy comebacks. They want the.


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[Assistant] That's, look, that feels like recency bias to suggest that. I feel like the first three weeks of the season have been a lot.


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[Assistant] I mean, we, we said, at least on the picture, it was like, this game feels like an under, you know, both teams really rely on.


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[Assistant] I mean, but like both teams feel like defensive based teams, they sort of change their identity based on.


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[Assistant] Uh, attrition at the, at the wide receiver position for, for Green Bay and injury and suspension for Tampa Bay. And so they, they can't really attack.


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[Assistant] as aggressively as they would like to be. We heard rumblings that the Packers wanted to be a running defense team this year, a little more tougher, a little less reliant on Aaron Rodgers. Uh, and I think, and I think we got that. Now,


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[Assistant] This probably should have been an easier win for Green Bay than it needed to be, but Tom Brady is Tom Brady and he marched the Bucks down.


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[Assistant] Uh, were it not for a delay of gain penalty on the two point conversion, maybe it takes this thing to overtime.


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[Assistant] Well, particularly when, and I think maybe that's a Bruce Harries factor. It's like, you should definitely have your, I mean, if, if it's, it was 14 to six.


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[Assistant] If you're driving down the field, you know, Byron Leftwich has to have a two point conversion play call ready to get in there.


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[Assistant] Well, you know, probably cost them a, you know, they're two in one. They're fine. Packages are two in one as well. Um, yeah, I think, but I mean.


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[Assistant] Now, we have the head-to-head graphic up here on YouTube, youtube.com slash pick six. If you're, if you're watching by the way, alive on YouTube, hit the like button, turn on smash subscribe and turn on alerts.


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[Assistant] Uh, nine, you know, fairly even numbers for Rodgers and Tom Brady. Uh, Roger Brady three wins to Rodgers two.


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[Assistant] I think there's a pretty good chance that we could see these guys again in the playoffs. Both teams feel like.


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[Assistant] Fairly good bets to, to win their respective divisions given what we've seen through three weeks.


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[Assistant] They host the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football this coming week. They are two and a half point underdogs at home. They'll be getting Mike Evans back, but then they have a stretch of.


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[Assistant] Falcons at home at Steelers at Panthers where.


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[Assistant] You know, I think three in one is most certainly most certainly viable. Uh, you know, they're with that.


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[Assistant] Uh, look, the Bucks are 2-1. They haven't played the Panthers or the Falcons yet. They're in pretty good shape. Let's move on. It really was a boring game.


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[Assistant] What was more enjoyable for you, the butt punt or the Dorsey meltdown? Cause I would actually vote the Dorsey meltdown.


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[Assistant] Somebody, either Devo or Billy, put a poll up in the chat. What was more entertaining, Dorsey Meltdown or ButtPunt?


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[Assistant] His anger that got him in front of the camera and blocked it or whether it was someone who was like, oh my God, this guy didn't know he's on camera and stuffed their hand down there, but a hand covered it like halfway through the meltdown.


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[Assistant] Do, do we think, and maybe he's talking about, but do we think that he was upset about, um, was he upset about, uh, the fact?


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[Assistant] Either way, don't, don't try and be a hero. Just get, just get down.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's what I would do. If I was, I would be throwing a tantrum like crazy. Uh, the, uh, the Bills had 285 more yards than the Dolphins in this game and still lost. They also ran.


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[Assistant] I'm going to double check this and look at it to make sure I do say the numbers correctly because it sounds insane when you say it.


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[Assistant] The Dolphins ran 39 plays. Josh Allen attempted 63 passes.


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[Assistant] And I get that a lot of times the passing your passing attempts, you know, when it's up that high, um, could absolutely, you know, you know, uh, it like leads to the fact that you're probably not winning.


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[Assistant] The AFLPA has already lost an investigation.


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[Assistant] I was, I was in the car on the way home, but I know that you threw out a comparison to me in a high level of inebriation.


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[Assistant] So, you saw it breach? Specifically South Beach Super Bowl. Let's not get specific.


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[Assistant] Concussion protocol, the spotter calls in is like, get, go get him checked out.


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[Assistant] Yep, at Cincinnati, they are three point dogs to the Bengals.


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[Assistant] Look, let's take a moment here and note that Tua is, I saw that at NFL and CBS tweeted this out, he ranks first in the NFL and wins, which, okay, that's whatever.


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[Assistant] Uh, quarterback rating the second, pass yards second, pass touchdowns tie for third.


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[Assistant] Okay, what, and I'm going to try and not, I'm curious what you guys think about the Dolphins and Tua and what their upside is for the 2022 season.


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[Assistant] And, and, and like, I, because I think Mike Medina has done a fantastic job as the coach. He's opened up the offense much more. I mean, you know, they didn't score a ton of points. And I do think that a couple, like, it wouldn't be shocking if they were two and one instead of three and O given how these games are played out, but they are three and O and they are in first place in the AFC East.


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[Assistant] What, what do you, if you rub your little crystal ball, Breach, where you, uh, where you, where do you have the dolphins finishing?


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[Assistant] Are you saying for this game, this week, this week? Yeah. Oh, sorry, sorry, sorry.


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[Assistant] He also lost seven consecutive one score games. That's crazy, man. That's the stat, right? Oh, it's seven. Um, and if you don't, I mean, again, this is not, if you told somebody I'm not throwing shade at the Dolphins, clearly they're the Dolphins with three and oh, I'm taking it on the chin. It's fine.


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[Assistant] If you told somebody the bills had 31 first downs and the Dolphins 15.


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[Assistant] The bill's converted 61% of their third downs.


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[Assistant] And that they had 497 yards to the Dolphins 212 and that the yards per player were about even the like.


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[Assistant] The score that the, you told the score that you got back from the person you told this information to would be like 41 10 Buffalo, right?


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[Assistant] The bottom line is they won, they won without a great offensive game. They won without Tyree Hill having a massive game.


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[Assistant] Look, this has been the bears. We, we saw this with the, with the chiefs last year when Mahomes struggled early on, and this is what people have been doing to the bills is forcing them to be patient.


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[Assistant] And forcing Josh Allen to take what he can get underneath and you get it, you end up with a ton of yards, you throw the ball a bunch and Miami would get after him when they needed to. And the other thing about Buffalo, you know, Jordan Poirier didn't play in this game. He was, he was inactive. Uh, he could be back next week, but Micah Hyde is done for the season. Like, I think that's a huge deal for Buffalo until like those safeties are sort of.


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[Assistant] That's kind of sort of the identity and the fulcrum, I think, of that defense. And I worry a little, I mean, their offense is going to be fine for the defense.


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[Assistant] They're at the Bengals on Thursday. You know, they could, they could definitely win that game.


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[Assistant] The Bengals have not played well enough to say that the Dolphins can't win the game. It's a three point game.


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[Assistant] Then they're at the Jets, Vikings at home, Steelers at home, at the Lions, at the Bears, Browns at home, Texans at home. That is a schedule of a team that is going through the playoffs. I mean.


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[Assistant] I think, I think when the Dolphins, I think when the Dolphins go to their week 11 buy, they will be...


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[Assistant] Broncos 11, 49ers 10. Alright, next game.


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[Assistant] Uh, the big winner in this game is Dan Orlovsky, because, uh, he actually stepped out of the end zone with both feet, which is very difficult to do.


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[Assistant] I mean, do you guys, does anyone want to revise the 49ers upgraded with trailer that's getting hurt take?


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[Assistant] The Broncos are in first place in the AFC West by some miracle of the football gods at 2-1. They haven't scored 20 points.


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[Assistant] They, they're, I mean, Daniel Hackett is like one of the big storylines in the NFL. Russell Wilson has been horrible. Like I am.


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[Assistant] I mean, I would be, I am concerned about the Broncos moving forward because Russ doesn't look like himself and I don't know if it's an offensive thing. Like he hadn't been good, really good for close to a year now.


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[Assistant] I've been saying this point for three months. It's the point I made. It was Matthew Stafford. When he switched teams, everything was all set up for it.


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[Assistant] I thought you were going to bust out like, Russell looked at Nathaniel Hackett on the beach and said, there were only one set of footprints because I carried you this far.


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[Assistant] It was a, it was the Jack Doe Rio team that went to the playoffs, but Derek Harburger's leg at Christmas.


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[Assistant] Preacher, obviously you say the Broncos because you picked the well, yeah, you have to say and I'm a Kyle Shanahan. I'll say, but it's not pretty. All right, we're gonna take a break when we come back more Sunday recap next.


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[Assistant] The Ravens moved to two and one with a victory. I believe I saw that it's the first ever.


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[Assistant] Lovar Jackson became the second player in NFL history to record at least four touchdown passes, a hundred rushing yards, a rushing touchdown in a single game, joining Randall Cunningham.


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[Assistant] So he's the first player in the Super Bowl era to record at least three touchdown passes and a hundred or more rushing yards in consecutive games.


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[Assistant] Just talk about the Ravens for a second while I try to figure out.


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[Assistant] If he plays like this the whole season and they just lose in the first round of the playoffs, that doesn't make things interesting. He's getting whatever he wants.


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[Assistant] He said, give me this. The Raven said, no, we want to give you this. He said, no.


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[Assistant] And they said, I'm going to bet on myself like the guy Joe Flacco did 10 years ago.


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[Assistant] And he's, he's performing at a level that is going to force him to pay him. If they lose in the first round of the playoffs, then it's not going to just...


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[Assistant] And he has an MVP caliber season, it's not going to can the idea that he has to get all this money.


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[Assistant] Alright, I'll give you a quick, because we don't want you to sit here and waste guest time. Kenny Maine!


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[Assistant] Can you imagine? He played, we actually, you talked about, you talked about, I think he played with Randall, but it's hard to get exact stats from the early 80s.


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[Assistant] It was a good podcast, check it out. Uhm, Lamar Jackson actually has like better rushing stats, better maybe total stats that he did in 2019. Who's the MVP right now? Lamar Jackson or uh, Jalen Hurts? Ooh, that's a good one.


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[Assistant] Or, oh yeaah, uhm, actually we should point out that, uh. There we go.


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[Assistant] Uh, there you go. Jalen Hurston, Lamar Jackson, 7 to 1. Josh Allen, 3 to 1. Patrick Wilholms, 5 and a half to 1. Uhm, so.


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[Assistant] I definitely think that the Ravens are the best team in that division, but the Ravens do also have serious weaknesses that could open the door for, I would think, maybe the Browns because I don't think so. We talked about it on Thursday, but probably more likely the Bengals.


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[Assistant] Who started to put things together. I don't think it's just, if the Ravens can fix their defense, they are a real problem, but right now the defense is a real problem.


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[Assistant] I mean, the Pats hung 26 on them. The Pats are not very good and the Pats are going to be worse because Mack Jones, High Ankle Sprain, I know Tom Curran of, um, CSN New England posted a picture where it looked like, uh,


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[Assistant] Mac was in extreme pain heading back to the locker room.


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[Assistant] So you, you, you would, you would, you would write off the Patriots completely this year? Uh, yeah. Have you seen them play? I haven't seen it.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Mr. Sea Otters, put that, put that comment up. This is great. We need a clip that breeches finding their way together.


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[Assistant] It's just hard to find a path to the playoffs for the Patriots. 28 to 1 to win the division. That is wild, man.


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[Assistant] No, it's not, if you've watched them play. I mean, they're... I have, I have watched them play. I'm saying it's just wild to consider that a Belichick team three weeks into the season is 30 to 1 to win the division.


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[Assistant] Then they're at the Giants, Browns at home, at Buccaneers, at Saints. You know, I would expect, I just think Baltimore is a very good team that has to figure out how to fix some stuff on defense and we don't know.


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[Assistant] Patriot or Toast, Ravens or Contender? I have some question marks. Toast? Time for a little patent on the back. Cause the Jacksonville Jaguars.


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[Assistant] Out of the Chargers 38 to 10 is their largest. Excuse me. It's their third largest road win in franchise history. It snapped a 10 game road losing streak. Trevor Lawrence.


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[Assistant] Six touchdowns, one interception through his first three games of the season. And while his first week, which you guys criticize aggressively,


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[Assistant] Was not great. His last two weeks have been the best two games of his professional career and he looks like he is.


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[Assistant] A franchise, I'm not trying to jump this far ahead, but Trevor Lawrence is appears to be the guy that we.


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[Assistant] Thought Trevor Lawrence would be thanks to not Urban Meyer being around.


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[Assistant] Oh, by the way, speaking of the social media team. Hey.


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[Assistant] If you're gonna steal my tweets. Whaaat? That's an accusation, Brinton. Wrong accusation. Or put the tweet in the photo. I work for, we work for the same company.


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[Assistant] There's literally no one else who thought Doug Marrone, I mean Doug, God, twice now. Doug Peterson is now tied for fifth with Urban Meyer from most wins in Jaguar franchise history. Like no one else is thinking that.


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[Assistant] After the, I know he was in down three touchdowns, they took him out after that, right?


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[Assistant] Dolphins, they gave you Justin Herbert because of what they took to it, but it's fine too, it looks good now, but you have Justin Herbert.


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[Assistant] Coach, it's unbelievable. It's like all you needed was just not Urban Meyer. No, not Urban Meyer. Uh, Jen Sylvius in the chat asked, semi-related, should I buy tickets to Chargers Chiefs in November? Would it be LA, LA that weekend? Yeah, just to go see the stadium and Chargers Chiefs. You got Herbert in my home. You should absolutely buy tickets to that. Okay.


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[Assistant] I mean, yeah, let's move on to another matchup in the AFC South. The Colts beat the Chiefs 20 to 17.


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[Assistant] It was almost like, how did that loss happen? It was, it was one of those where a clearly superior team.


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[Assistant] It's on the road and just makes just enough mistakes where.


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[Assistant] They allowed the, the team that was trailing to hang around and you just give a little bit of hope.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Matt Ryan drove down the field, scored a touchdown, and then they picked off Patrick Mahone since September. Like, they took it.


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[Assistant] You want to, you want to, do you have a, you want to take that upstairs to the, uh, HR complain about with CBS? Cause that's CBS. That was Nancy Roma.


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[Assistant] So please drug test breach. Actually his contract, he can't be drug tested or charged with any felonies for work related activities.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Jimmy G stepped out of the back of the end zone. So like, I don't know what to do.


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[Assistant] All right, Breach, you want to just, you just want to tip your cap and we'll move on from this question because it's very obvious. Like are you, you can right now live or die.


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[Assistant] You gotta pick the winner. You gotta pick the winner. Who finishes higher in the AFC West? The Chiefs or the Broncos? I'm gonna go with who I picked in the preseason. The Chiefs. Why would I switch? Oh, see, he can't even tell. He told him himself. Classic Breach. He's like, you're bolder than the Wild Cards, so he can also get the Chiefs right. That is so you. Thank you.


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[Assistant] I do agree with that. I mean, like it, it, the, the chiefs allowed the Colts to hang around.


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[Assistant] The Chiefs struggled a little bit last year too, like they are integrating a bunch of new parts. What's weird is that it was against a Gus Bradley defense after Patrick Mahomes had absolutely shredded Gus Bradley defenses every time they played for the last three years.


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[Assistant] We're losers. Titans are, they're 1 and 2. What are we talking about? Raiders are 0 and 3.


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[Assistant] Obviously the Titans are more likely the team to make a playoff run than the Raiders. Well, yeah, the Raiders is done.


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[Assistant] I mean, just like the 49ers, you go, if you go one of double digits on third down, you're not winning a football game and they still, they still both teams still have to look. The thing about the Titans is if they can, like Derek Henry looked like Derek Henry today.


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[Assistant] And they got him involved in the passing game early, which I thought was really smart, threw off the Raiders and their defensive game plan. If you can get a lead, if the Titans could get a lead.


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[Assistant] They can win, I think they can beat just about anybody, with a few exceptions.


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[Assistant] They're better than the Colts though. Any, any team in that division could win the division. I wouldn't be entirely sure. Not sure. I mean, probably not the Texans and a hundred percent sure.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I mean. But yea, the other three, sure. The Texas are 35 to 1 to win the division.


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[Assistant] Yeah. Colts are still the favorite to win the division. I don't, I mean. Nah, don't, don't throw your money around that.


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[Assistant] I mean, Matt Ryan, you know, I know he wanted, he came back, but like it, it doesn't, it doesn't.


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[Assistant] The AFC West, I mean, excuse me, the AFC South has, like none of those teams feel, even the Jaguars, these don't feel like very dangerous.


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[Assistant] I mean, you're under, if you're Devonte Adams, you're under the impression that you came to Las Vegas to play with Derek Carr for at minimum three years.


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[Assistant] They're the Broncos at home, at Chiefs, Texans at home, at Saints. That is a, uh, and then at Jaguars and Colts at home. That is a, I mean, they're not firing Josh McDonough in his first year.


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[Assistant] I do think Breach's questions are going there because it's like, what do you do with this?


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[Assistant] I got blocked by the reason the Carr family hates me is because I said that when John Gruden got hired,


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[Assistant] Derek Carr's contract was structured such that it felt obvious that Gruden was going to move on after one or two years, maybe three, if he couldn't find somebody in the draft. And now, I mean, he has.


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[Assistant] Okay, let's say, let's say that the Raiders bottom out and have a terrible season. And that's not, it's not crazy because, and the reason it will happen is because the, the Mike Mayock, John Gruden regime missed on so many draft picks and it's left them in really bad.


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[Assistant] That's what I'm saying. If they, if there's a CJ shroud or a Bryce young or somebody.


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[Assistant] I, I, I spent, I told you, I didn't go, I didn't go to the state, I missed the state home game for the first time in a long time. And my voice is just for the people.


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[Assistant] Vikings 28, Lions 24. By the way, smash the like button if you're in the chat. You can also write, uh, what was our muso tag?


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[Assistant] I got sent a Kevin Costner autograph. He's probably got hundreds of those sitting around.


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[Assistant] Alright, Vikings 28, Lions 24. Just for that, we might not talk about the Bears. Uhm, thank you.


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[Assistant] Tough, uh, big win for many, uh, and somebody asked in the chat, Yellowstone, the show or the park, Yellowstone, the show. The show, yeah, that's right. I've never actually seen, I only see one episode of it. Yeah, you're down on it. That's good.


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[Assistant] Uh, anyway, the Vikings stole, if this felt like last year's Vikings team.


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[Assistant] Yeah. And last year's lions team. Yeah. Out of nowhere, just sort of stole it. And the lions had so many chances to, to take, to take care of this. And they did.


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[Assistant] It's just like, like, ah man, if this Lions team wants to be the frisky underdog, the plucky, you know, fun story of the season, uhm, they gotta close games like this. And I know it's tough for that defense, but.


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[Assistant] They had, they had the Vikings on completely on the ropes. I mean, 24 to 14.


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[Assistant] In the fourth quarter, David Cook is ruled out.


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[Assistant] And they just, there was just a couple of moments where they just couldn't do it. And eventually Kirk Cousins somehow, because it was one o'clock goes down there. Touchdown pass to KJ Osborne.


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[Assistant] Wins the game, 9-13 for 125 yards and a touchdown in the fourth quarter, 125.5 pass rating after a miserable first three quarters. Uh, Justin Jefferson actually only had 12 more yards than Jalen Rager, which is awkward.


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[Assistant] Yeah, for sure. I mean, this Lions team.


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[Assistant] This could be a playoff team in this muddled NFL season.


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[Assistant] I mean, that's true. That is true. Like if you're, I don't know, I was just curious how Lions fans feel about this, but like I would feel enthusiastic about the direction.


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[Assistant] Yeah, but it does feel like they are building something that is potentially concrete and sustainable.


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[Assistant] Well, and then the question becomes like, if they lose games like this all the time.


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[Assistant] That was pretty funny. It was a little disappointing that Brady didn't know.


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[Assistant] That's what I'm saying, the lions had a failed fourth and one.


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[Assistant] On the possession before and then they went for the long field goal, probably because he was nervous about having not already gotten, you know, they missed the fourth down and he reactionarily went for the field goal.


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[Assistant] And it's like, you don't trust your demons. It's a tough spot.


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[Assistant] Yeah, those are the, those are the, the thin margins for these games. Um, uh, uh, more likely to like, I think the Vikings are two and one. I don't know how I feel about it.


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[Assistant] Like they had a dominant weak one win against a Packers team that just didn't, just doesn't show up.


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[Assistant] Right, but I'm saying that the three game sample size we have this Kevin O'Connell start is like hard to wrap your head around what the... Let me ask you this.


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[Assistant] Uhm, I would take the Vikings over the Broncos. Uh, 10 times out of 10.


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[Assistant] You would take the Vikings, right? I would take the Vikings. Yeah, yeah, yeah. I'd trust the Vikings more.


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[Assistant] Oh, what could have been? Actually, it would have been terrible because I would have lost my survivor pool, but the Bengals beat the Jets 27 to 12. No real sweat in the breach household in this one.


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[Assistant] Uh, Joe burrow much, much better in reminding me breach a little bit of last year in the sense that.


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[Assistant] Only sacked twice after 13 sacks in his first two games.


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[Assistant] They scored 27 points after averaging 18.5 in the first two.


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[Assistant] No interceptions, three touchdowns, and Jamar Chase wasn't even...


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[Assistant] Involved that much. Uhm, I think this was about as good an outing as you could hope for as a bingles fan, right?


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[Assistant] I don't believe that the Jets actually made it into the red zone until their next to last possession, uh, when they were down two scores and just sort of.


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[Assistant] You know, you know, I guess at the end of the game, they're sort of winging it, you know, just moving it. And uhm, then Flacco got a strip sack. Trey Hedrickson was great in this game.


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[Assistant] They just, they can't do anything on offense and, and that's fine. Uhm. Sounds like the Steelers. Alright, what's next? Would you, would you take the Steelers in Survivor?


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[Assistant] There's only two spreads I think that are more than like six point or like six point, more than three points or something like that.


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[Assistant] Bengals won a must-get-right game in New York against a bad Jets team. That's a good sign for the Bengals moving forward. Jets are in hot water. Eagles! Power Eagles. My Eagles. Dibo. Dibo out.


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[Assistant] Eight, Jalen Hurts very well could be the MVP through three games after I got berated for saying he could potentially take an elite this year. Like just a small leap. Maybe a big one. Passing your game. 55 rushing yards. Who berated you?


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[Assistant] Yeah, uhm, this is, this is a good Eagles team. I think, are the Eagles the best team in the NFC?


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[Assistant] Uh, oh my God. I hear the, here the, okay, this is kind of weird. Here are the current playoff teams by seed number in the NFC.


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[Assistant] I would, if you, if you gave me, if you're like, I'll give you a thousand dollars to put the top seven and I recovered the NFL for a living.


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[Assistant] Give me the top seven seeds in the NFC. I would, there's no chance I would have gotten it. One, the Eagles. Two, the Rams. You would have gotten that one. You're smart. I would have gotten the Eagles. Three, the Vikings. Four, Tampa Bay. Five, the Giants. Six, Green Bay. And seven, Chicago.


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[Assistant] Uh, Billy, where we at on the Eagles after this dominating performance against the Washington team that I don't believe scored until like a weird safety late garbage time touchdown. You're muted by the way, just so you know.


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[Assistant] Yeaah, it's always a shame to see Crash and Win's getting smashed into the... D.Va's still... D.Va's still on here on audio. D.Va, do you wanna say something about this game?


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[Assistant] If the Eagles and the Vikings play in the interstate championship game, who will you root for? Stop.


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[Assistant] I don't know if it's karmic or like, uh, it's just, like.


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[Assistant] The Eagles stomp the crap out of Carson Wentz, like, on the final, like, week that Diva's on the, like, the final show that Diva's on the podcast.


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[Assistant] Uh, people in the chat are wondering where Devo's going. Uh, Devo, we don't really know. Um, I think it's like a, uh,


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[Assistant] Find your, you know, find your, you know, find yourself. Is he, is he staying at CBS?


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[Assistant] Maybe he's being tricked into thinking he's promoted, he's about to get fired, who knows.


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[Assistant] One thing on Devante Smith, I thought it was really impressive how physical he was on some of those big catches. You mean, not a big guy.


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[Assistant] This Eagles team has, man, I mean, they're fun. I like them.


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[Assistant] I said week one, week when they were big against the Lions. I have a little worried about maybe Sirianni's like cycle, like the game plan with the lack of scoring because it, their defense is good enough, but I think they feel like they can shut teams down. This is clearly like just, let's just burn clock and get out of here. Yeah.


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[Assistant] The Eagles did score more than the Broncos have scored all season long. That's true.


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[Assistant] Kyler apparently, um, had some words for his receivers about, he said, when you're playing with me.


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[Assistant] You can't go to sleep on a play. You need to understand that anything could happen and you need to be ready at any time because he was upset about the drops involved in the uhm. That's it. That's something he should be saying. Sure. I feel like.


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[Assistant] Marques Brown, 17 targets, 14 catches, 140 yards.


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[Assistant] Kyle Murray now one and seven against the Rams his worst.


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[Assistant] Record in his career, seven touchdowns, eight interceptions, Sean McVey.


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[Assistant] Um, well last year it was like, ooh, could four teams from the AMC West make the playoffs? Cause you know, the Seahawks have Ross, et cetera. Um, I think the Rams are in stacking wins mode and the Cardinals and the 49ers and the Seahawks are more in figuring out our identity mode.


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[Assistant] Like I think we say Philly is the best team. I'm fine with saying the Rams are the second best team and then maybe Tampa Bay or Green Bay. Like those four teams. I would say Green Bay and Tampa Bay over LA.


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[Assistant] I would take LA over Tampa Bay is currently constructed, but maybe in a couple of weeks or months. Yes.


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[Assistant] Did they announce that there was a barista for Clif Kingsbury in like Texan?


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[Assistant] I'm fine with the, I don't want to, I'm fine with the Packers are better than the Rams. That's totally cool with me. But I think, I think there's very clearly right now, if you were, if you could get any kind of, could you get plus money on Eagles, Rams, Packers, Bucks winning the division? Because that's a pretty good parlay if you can bet it, right?


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[Assistant] Anyway, the ramps are figuring out, the ramps are fine. Four to one would be what that parlor would pay, by the way. Bears, 23, Texas, 20.


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[Assistant] Oh my God, I had a parlay. It was Jaguars, Texans, Titans, and Packers. And the freaking Texan. Davis Mills throws that pick with like what?


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[Assistant] 45 seconds left or something like that, 25 seconds left, and the Bears are just in field goal range, and Justin Fields did not look good in this game.


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[Assistant] Look at the years on this graphic, by the way. They've attempted 45 passes.


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[Assistant] It's the, the few, the only, the only teams that are fewer are the 74 bills, the 82 Patriots, the 72 Bears, the 72 Falcons and the 73 Rams.


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[Assistant] This is two, look, the bears stole one from the 49ers in a, in a, like a extremely


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[Assistant] They got smoked by the Packers and then they just beat a bad Texas team at home.


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[Assistant] Now unfortunately they do have the giants and the vikings on the road, then the commanders and hats on the road. Commanders at home, hats on the road. So like, ehh.


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[Assistant] Four? Five and a half, I think. Maybe. Hold the holding horses. I don't know. They've got the giants, the commanders.


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[Assistant] That's, that's excellent. I don't think it's, I think that here's my prediction. At some point in the month of November, one of the three of us will throw out the Bears as like a


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[Assistant] You've got a wild card sleeper. You can like steal that seventh seed. That's my prediction. That ain't me. Alright, what's next?


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[Assistant] Uhm, I, uh, it was, uh, the Panthers scored first on a fumble recovery when Alvin Kamara fumbled.


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[Assistant] First touchdown, the first points from the saints came with 12.35 to go in the fourth quarter.


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[Assistant] And Mark Ingram plunged in. Here's how the, here's how the saints started.


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[Assistant] Missed field goal, punt, touchdown, interception, punt, touchdown, interception. Uh, you know, it was garbage time.


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[Assistant] The Saints, yeaah, he didn't, um, it was basically all on that Blavisco touchdown.


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[Assistant] No, I mean, he's, he's an upgrade, but only, but they were feeding Chris McCaffrey a ton. Um, DJ Moore has been a little.


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[Assistant] Pretty disappointing. Baker was not good, but the Panthers defense is good, I think. And that's the key here. That's what's going to keep them maybe hanging around that


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[Assistant] Bears sleeper wild card position is that just the Panthers defense is going to keep them in games.


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[Assistant] They need to steal that week one game against the Browns. They didn't, uh, now they are wanting to, and it feels like a little bit of pressure being let out of Matt rules thing here. Uh, but the, the saints man, I'm telling you that their offense is a disaster.


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[Assistant] Coming out of it, which is a, I mean, if you lose those two guys, this offense is sayonara.


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[Assistant] But most of the stuff was like, again, in garbage time. I mean, the Panthers defense just shut this team down. Uhm, and somehow the Saints, I think, had like a, were potentially going to have a look to try to win the game. Falcons, 27, Seahawks, 23.


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[Assistant] The Falcons wanted to... I can't do the math, sorry.


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[Assistant] Seahawks also 1 and 2. Which 1 and 2 NFC bird would you feel more comfortable taking to make a shocking playoff run?


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[Assistant] Sort of, sort of remind me of the Lions Vikings game in the sense that the Seahawks...


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[Assistant] And so I think Seattle obviously probably in trouble. Mariota interesting. Arthur Smith was hanging out after the game signing. He gave away his hat to a fan of Falcons in the Seahawks Stadium. He was signing on the jersey.


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[Assistant] I will be curious to see how these two teams fare over the next few weeks because they have had, you know, the Seahawks, uh, beat the Broncos. It was a big emotional game. They got blown out by the 49ers and then this game. And then the Falcons had, uh,


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[Assistant] You know, they had the saints on the ropes and coughed it up and then...


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[Assistant] Really, we're getting blown out by the Rams, but then play this game, like, is this...


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[Assistant] Are these teams going to be lingering or they're going to sort of like get deflated? I'm impressed with the Falcons efforts so far through three weeks and the Seahawks too. Yep. I agree.


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[Assistant] Alright, uh, Wilson, you said you had a list of 17 winners and losers that you want to go through. Uh, what do you got?


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[Assistant] In the meantime, we're going to leave. Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. Smash the like button, hit subscribe, turn on alerts.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome to the Pixix Podcast. CBS Sports Daily. NFL Podcast. I'm Orvince and I'm your host. It is Friday, August the 5th.


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[Assistant] We're also on YouTube, youtube.com slash pick six. If you're watching live on YouTube, it is Thursday, August the fourth.


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[Assistant] And we are going to break down some of the news from Deshaun Watson, plus get to NFC South burning questions and call out our colleague Ryan Wilson for his latest chicanery and joining me to do all of that back from a lengthy


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[Assistant] Vacation to Parts Unknown. John Breach, what's up buddy?


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[Assistant] Let's not, let's, let's need to be clarified. He's not refusing to show up. So everyone who listens or watches this podcast, um, knows


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[Assistant] That uh, Ryan Wilson is supposed to have a tattoo supposed to get a tattoo because Ryan Finley.


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[Assistant] And the Bengals on Monday night beat the Steelers like two years ago.


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[Assistant] Was this even, was this pre-pandemic? Was it during the 2020 season? Maybe like maybe before the pandemic. Like that's, that's how long he's been just waffling on this bet. Went through the entire 2021 season. Pathetic, really. Oh yeah, it was 2020 because Joe Burrow got hurt.


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[Assistant] Yeah, December's 2020. I mean, it's, we are, I mean, we're closing in on


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[Assistant] Two years since it happened that he hasn't, that he's welched on this bet. He's tried to pawn it off on Breach because Breach didn't get the artwork done.


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[Assistant] And then he tried to pawn it off for me. Like I didn't Venmo him enough money. Like I like I'll just pay you for the tattoo when you get the tattoo. Like just get it done. I'll pay for it. Like I have to Venmo him ahead of time. He's been waffling.


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[Assistant] And now there's no one left to pawn it off on.


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[Assistant] And he's agreed to get the tattoo done in Nashville in two weeks when we go.


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[Assistant] But Breach and I have noticed some more subtle shenanigans.


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[Assistant] For instance, we are supposed to go there on Tuesday.


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[Assistant] The 16th. We have stuff to do for work on Tuesday and Wednesday of that week, the 16th and the 17th.


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[Assistant] Hopefully we'll be doing live shows from Nashville. We'll let you know based on the timing. Most people.


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[Assistant] Not everybody. For instance, Chip Patterson is going to be there as well. I was texting with Chip today and he's going to be there. Now Chip is flying in.


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[Assistant] Early on Tuesday morning. He's leaving Raleigh early on Tuesday morning. Chip has a brand new kit.


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[Assistant] Like he can't and another young kid, he can't just leave for on a whim, right? Like he's got to hang around the house. Wilson is completely unafraid to abandon his family.


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[Assistant] For work related activities, like in excess, like he'll drive to Stanford, Connecticut and spend an extra night during the season. But.


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[Assistant] He has booked his flight breach for Tuesday instead of Monday. Why do you think that is? Cause I have a theory.


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[Assistant] He who is very paranoid about being late for things and would not want to arrive late for a work function because his flight was delayed and he's got to take it. He's got to do a layover is coming in Tuesday. Breach my theory.


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[Assistant] Is that Wilson has taken, has booked flights as close to as humanly possible the beginning and the end of the work related functions in order to then say there's no time.


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[Assistant] While we're in Nashville for him to get a tattoo and to continue to push this back like an absolute coward. Your thoughts.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think that we can find a way to squeeze it in. He's going to try and welch. We're going to, we need to get, we need to lock down a tattoo parlor close to the hotel.


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[Assistant] And just telling like, dude, like you're not, you're not getting out of this. Like it's, that's just how it's going to work. You need to pay, like you lost the bet. I mean, you know, pay up. Um, so if you want to help encourage Ryan Wilson to get that tattoo.


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[Assistant] And accuse him of scheduling his flights so that way he can avoid, just call him, call him a coward, call him, go do whatever you need to do.


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[Assistant] Of trying to sque- of trying to weasel his way out of it knowing he probably won't see us again until maybe like the Super Bowl.


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[Assistant] As we suggested on the emergency podcast and as we suggested on yesterday's podcast with Sully.


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[Assistant] Is appealing to Sean Watson 6 game suspension. Uhm, in hilarious fashion.


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[Assistant] It's like the NFL is appealing the suspension or appealing the punishment to the NFL. It's like the NFL is appealing the NFL's ruling to the NFL so the NFL can make a different ruling.


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[Assistant] Uh, Roger Goodell is not going to hear the appeal. He's gonna have a designee, which like,


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[Assistant] Of at least one year and a potential monetary fine.


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[Assistant] Breach. How do you see this playing out? I know you also may have written. I don't know if you wrote something about it or not, but you had a, uh, somebody had a theory on the site that


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[Assistant] Uh, and there's some more other like sort of timing theories about this as well, but, um, the appeal is official. The NFL has announced it.


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[Assistant] Alright, so a couple of things, uhm, on this. One, that's really interesting that they don't want him playing in Houston, or allegedly don't want him playing in Houston.


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[Assistant] Do, I mean, is it just like, they don't, like, just the optics are terrible? I mean, is that,


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[Assistant] Probably don't, I mean, look, I mean, I'm not speaking for anybody at CBS, but that game is scheduled to be on CBS. And I would think that even though it's a one o'clock game and.


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[Assistant] It's Cleveland at Houston and it might not be, it's not, it's not likely going to be Nance and Romo calling Tracy Wilson calling the game. Uhm, it is still probably.


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[Assistant] Like, you know, if you're, if you're, if you are, if you're doing the broadcast, like even if it was like Fox, I would say, you know, I would say this for whoever it is. It's like the broadcast partners probably like, look, I mean, we don't really want to have Deshaun Watson in Houston.


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[Assistant] Like there's going to be like, you're going to get protest. I mean, you're going to, you're just going to get a lot, a lot can come into play. And so I would think the end of both the NFL and you know, CBI, the broadcast rights holder would not want.


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[Assistant] Watson playing in that game or would not want him active for that game, but I want to near that game. So that does make a lot of sense. Uhm, two on the fine thing.


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[Assistant] Just cause I know people have been, uh, you know, even with my, um, you know, even with my like friend group text.


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[Assistant] The eight million dollars that they wanted to find him and whatever they are going to find him now.


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[Assistant] The fact that Deshaun Watson and his agent and the Cleveland Browns structured his contract so that he only makes $1 million this year.


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[Assistant] The design of that was almost entirely to avoid.


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[Assistant] Knowing that he would be suspended to some length and to avoid paying a lot of money.


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[Assistant] In terms of his game check. So I would guess that if we did the math and you chop up this year and next year salary and then prorated over like, you know, they're just trying to they're trying to find and they'll probably find the Browns too. I mean, they already did.


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[Assistant] But they don't want Just Home Watson to get away with just losing X percent of $1 million or just $1 million because they, because they circumvented.


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[Assistant] You know, a normal contract structure, uh, it, it's just, it's not surprising at all.


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[Assistant] On the on the settlement talks with the 12 games. Could the NFL then say here's what we here's here's the thing. If you've ever, uh, you know, you don't even have to be involved in a lawsuit.


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[Assistant] If you've ever like made a trade or bartered with somebody with something.


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[Assistant] And you come to the table and offer what you think is a fair, like.


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[Assistant] You have all the control over the situation. Do you know what you're not going to do? Breach? You're not going to give that middle of the road offer back.


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[Assistant] That, that your offer is rejected and you're going to hammer the person. And that's why I think it's a, like a no brainer that Goodell's designee and that matter who it is can be.


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[Assistant] Godger Rodel. I mean, like, you know, just a Roger Dell with a mustache. You roll out Troy Vincent. I know Jeff passion there. Doesn't matter. Like whoever it is is going to be rolling with. He's going to be operating under Goodell's orders.


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[Assistant] They are going to probably go for a full year suspension for Deshaun Watson. And that's you can just expect that to happen. And I would guess a full year suspension and $12,000,000, um, $12,000,000 fine, something like that. Uh, Josh Dooley in the chat asked, um,


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[Assistant] Can the P, but the PA can will sue in federal court, tied up longer than he could to start


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[Assistant] Tie it up longer than he could start playing the year and suspension suspension could come in year. Yes. In theory, that could happen. Here's the problem though. The


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[Assistant] The third party arbiter has already issued the six game suspension.


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[Assistant] So, and the, and the PAs agreed to not, um, appeal that.


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[Assistant] So no matter what, Deshaun Watson is going to be suspended six games at the bare minimum. Like the, trying to get an injunction would only theoretically


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] And look, the court could operate differently and say you need the injunction now. I would guess they would not grant an injunction until after 6 weeks had passed.


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[Assistant] Are not eager to grant injunctions to and look, I know that in, you know, to professional athletes, a particularly professional athlete with this sort of.


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[Assistant] You know, you've settled these cases. The third party arbiter has said.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, the arbitrator has said this is, you know, like you look, like you read Judge Sue Robinson's ruling. If a federal, like that's going to be part of whatever is sent to the federal court on the initial proceedings. And when they, when the court reads that, they're going to be like, look, I mean, we're not giving you an injunction.


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[Assistant] Like, you can't be irreparably harmed by missing games, bro. Like, you've got a six game suspension, and any damage to your reputation has already been done.


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[Assistant] So I think it would be, I think it would be pretty surprising if.


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[Assistant] If they got the injunction to start the season, that's just, that's just my thought on that. Additionally,


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[Assistant] And like the Tom Brady thing is totally different too, because you're talking about like.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] You know, this is a personal conduct policy situation. Tom Brady's thing is like an on, it was an on field integrity of the game, integrity of the game. And it's like,


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[Assistant] You know, you know, there was just a matter like it was, uh, anyway, like the deflating, like we're talking about, we're apples and oranges here, but the Sean Watson's base salary next year is $46 million. He also has, um, is it where he gets his, or he already got a signing bonus, but it's purred over the top of that. So $46 million divided by 17.


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[Assistant] And let's say he's just been to six games, gets an injunction, plays seven games.


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[Assistant] He plays the rest of the season, I guess. I mean, that's probably what would happen if they gave him an injunction. Um, so, uh, let's say he, yeah, he plays, let's see, he plays 11 games. So then the NFL rolls his suspension over 11 games into the following season. And frankly,


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] At that point, the NFL may just suspend him the entirety of 2023. And then you lose $46 million. Like I would, I think if I'm Watson, I am probably taking the L.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] I'm, alright, well I'm just saying like, I mean that would be, anyway, the 11 games would be 28 million, 28 million dollars. Like, you're just, I guess I can, I guess I can open up my copy of the CDA again. Why don't you talk about something, Breach, while I look for...


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[Assistant] I mean, if you're suspended for something you do on the field, you don't get paid for those games. I don't think you, I think you lose the money. That's why they're finding it.


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[Assistant] Like if he didn't lose the money, the Browns wouldn't have structured a contract that way. You know, if it's just told, the Browns wouldn't have done it one of-


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Um, I hadn't thought about that. I mean, but I wouldn't. Yeah. Anyway, the, um, yeah, the NFL.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Okay, I derailed. That's, that's the Sean Watson situation. That's where we stand. The, I would think that it will be next week. So.


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[Assistant] Here's the other thing too, Sully and I talked about this a little bit. If Roger, if Roger Goodell, whoever Roger Goodell's appointee is, designee is, is gonna hammer Watson, like the NFL considers this good news.


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[Assistant] You know what I mean? Like they were like, haha, look at us. We are standing up for bad guy standing up against bad guy.


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[Assistant] And so I think that the news will actually come out earlier in the week and will not be like a Friday 4 PM news.


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[Assistant] You have to file, you have to file your actual like documents.


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[Assistant] So the NFL, the NFL has put in its appeal, like its physical appeal.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so you're probably having to hear your, I don't know if there's an actual hearing. Maybe there probably is a hearing. You go, you file your documents, you go and have the hearing and on let's say Monday and then Wednesday or Thursday, maybe we get the the ruling, but they'll, they will make, they will want it to be.


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[Assistant] They will not want it to be something that bleeds into the weekend. Trust me, the NFL. I mean, it could be Friday at 4 30 just because sometimes that's how the timing works. But the NFL would prefer this news to come out.


[User] Please transcribe this text

[Assistant] Unquestionably. Alright, so that's sort of where we're at with Deshaun Watson. We have clearly have much more coming down the pipe in terms of that as we await news on the Deshaun Watson front. You almost played for two teams in the NSC South breach.


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[Assistant] NFC South, burning questions, I'm trying to see who wrote the article.


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[Assistant] There you go. Uhm. Yeah, that's 2021. You just linked this breach. What?


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[Assistant] Yeah, that's last. No. Oh my god. Good thing you're in charge of this and not me.


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[Assistant] Uh, so Patrick Walker wrote this and we start with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.


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[Assistant] Oh, fun for us. He actually did one question for each team.


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[Assistant] Give me a link. This is really doing a great job here. We're falling apart. We're falling apart. Absolutely melting down. We need Wilson.


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[Assistant] I see, I see the multiple on the, on the, on the, no, no, I see those demo that you're currently grabbing from the sheet. I see those. I'm just saying the article I clicked on only had one. Anyway, the number one question for the bucks. Can Tom Brady do it again?


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[Assistant] Uhm, yes, I think you're right. I think it probably means can he win a Super Bowl again?


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[Assistant] And the answer is yes. Although I would say I'm a lot less convinced that Tom Brady is going to win the super bowl.


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[Assistant] And it frankly, it mostly involves Ryan Jensen getting hurt and sort of looking like the receivers at Chris Goblin, maybe not being ready to start the season. I know they added Julio Jones, but.