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[Assistant] But they just don't have a ton of talent on the offensive side of the ball right now in terms of the skill position guys. I think the Rams can limit them.


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[Assistant] Less needs a tremendous job building the talent around the superstars. Give me the Rams is the best bet minus five and a half on the road.


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[Assistant] He is a hall of hammer. He's going to, well, he's not going to win MVP. He's going to get MVP vote. If we did, if we did that instead, by the way, it would be a plus five 46. I think the bills are much more, I think road game across the country.


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[Assistant] On that crappy field versus bills at home, I feel much more comfortable about the bills.


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[Assistant] Yeah, no doubt about it. He, uh, if he had, if he did one of your championship last week, he's going to do is you want to be starting him this week. You mentioned Christian McCaffrey. He is going on the road along with the San Francisco 49ers, licking their wounds to play the.


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[Assistant] Washington commanders, after getting, they just got beat down. I'm sorry, they got beat down on Sunday night, on Monday night, on Christmas night. And now they're going to Washington as a huge favorite, minus 12 and a half, total here 49 and a half.


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[Assistant] I got a best bet on this one. I'm gonna take Washington. I think if you like, I had the Jets last week and I'm furious the Jets didn't cover.


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[Assistant] They just can't cover three. They were up there blowing out Washington. It was an absolute beat down. Ron Rivera decides to put in Jacoby Berset in the fourth quarter and Jacoby Berset just engineers touchdown drive after touchdown drive. It's because he's competent and he's a veteran who's been in the league for a long time. And Sam Howell is a younger guy who's essentially like,


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[Assistant] Starting is like what amounts to, you know, being a fifth round rookie after they made him sit behind Carson wins. He's holding the ball a ton. He takes tons of sacks. Jacoby's more, a little more effectively mobile and just a smarter player. And I think that you're going to see Washington.


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[Assistant] Able to move the ball against, like the Niners are going to, are going to be, I'm a little concerned here because this is Kyle Shanahan hates, hates Washington.


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[Assistant] But Dan Snyder's not the only, he doesn't in the owner anymore.


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[Assistant] I'm going to take Washington with, with the fighting GKB presets to cover this big number. It's not going to be fun. It's not going to be easy.


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[Assistant] Uh, do we give Katie the diners team turtle over as an honorary honor?


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[Assistant] That's right. Uhm, trying to see what the totals say.


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[Assistant] 31.5 is a lot of points. I mean, that's a lot of points for a team total, especially on the road when you're banged up. And I mean, like, look, will this game also with this game?


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[Assistant] This game's gotta be at one o'clock, right? Or is this game at four o'clock? Yes, one o'clock. Okay, so one o'clock. Okay. Oh, but the Lions and Cowboys play on Saturday. So the Cowboys win.


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[Assistant] San Francisco is, feels really good about it. Like he's not, you know what I mean? Like there's a, I'm just wondering like, well, San Francisco potentially be sort of like not, not, not sleep. I mean like if the lions win, doesn't that the lions.


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[Assistant] Panthers at the Jaguars, 19, mid nineties expansion team, Superbowl here, Carolina headed down to Jacksonville to take on a reeling Jacksonville Jaguars team Jacksonville.


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[Assistant] Losers of four straight at home against the bingles of that Monday night game with Trevor Lawrence got hurt at the Browns home against the Ravens and at the Buccaneers. They have lost the last two by double digits granted table playing. Well, that games on the road and in Baltimore, a really tough matchup.


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[Assistant] Jaguars are teetering here in terms of their viability as a playoff team. Once thought this was a possible super bowl sleeper by some idiots.


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[Assistant] Jaguars now 74% to get in the playoffs, 60% to win the division. But if you lose this game at home to the Panthers, you drop down below 50% to make the playoffs when you're up to 84% RJ.


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[Assistant] Panthers have been frisky, defense is playing well, interim coach has got them one second year in a row. Everybody's been talking about the Panthers doing this all season because the interim coach got them going at the end of the season. Anything, um, anything you like here?


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[Assistant] Tend to agree. Alright, next up. Unless you got anything you're dying to talk about there. Prop. Arizona Cardinals at the Philadelphia Eagles.


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[Assistant] I can't help but like the Cardinals here. I gotta miss a best bet. Arizona catching double digits. I was like,


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[Assistant] Watching the Cardinals and maybe the plays Arizona first half, but watching the Cardinals early against the Bears and then early against the, um,


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[Assistant] The, uh, sorry, props just disappeared. He'll be back in a second early against the Bears. Then early against.


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[Assistant] The 49ers the week before, RJ, I kind of felt like the Cardinals were hanging around and...


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[Assistant] You know, moving the ball, maybe it's descriptive plays early on that they're succeeding at, but it did feel like they were.


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[Assistant] In the games early on, then you go look and you're like, wow, they got blown out in both of those games. So I'm not entirely sure if I should be leaning towards the first half here at Arizona or.


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[Assistant] I think my thought process is that the Eagles defense playing poorly short week, they're, they're just struggling as a team to really find their entire identity. You know, they, they barely, I mean the giants, they, they had the giants down for most of the game, but the giants got right back in that one. And I kind of like the Cardinals here.


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[Assistant] Yep. Same thing. All right. Let's take a break. But first.


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[Assistant] Sunday, it's an NFL and CBS New Year's Eve doubleheader featuring two matchups that will shape the playoff race beginning with the Dolphins taking on the Ravens. Later, the Bengals try to keep their postseason hopes alive when they face the Chiefs get set for kickoff beginning at noon Eastern with the NFL today.


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[Assistant] Happy Holidays! The NFL is on CBS and streaming on Paramount+. Up next!


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[Assistant] Saints and Buccaneers, massive game in the NFC South. We'll tell you about it next.


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[Assistant] Okay, Saints and Buccaneers. Two man show here. Myself and, uh, RJ White breaking down these final games. Uh, Profstar's had some internet issues. We got his pics and if he pops back in, we'll be good to go. But Saints at Buccaneers, RJ Baker Mayfield. I mean, I'm not going to suggest that Baker Mayfield should be in the MVP race.


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[Assistant] But Baker Mayfield's playing some really good football. Best football, I mean, what's this, the 2020 Brown season? Maybe the second half of his rookie year. I mean, maybe the, maybe the best football is career. Dealing with Mike Evans, Chris Galvin's getting involved. Bucks offense. I mean.


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[Assistant] This is not a terrible Bucks team. I think if you're, if you're, if you're the Cowboys or likely the Cowboys, maybe the Eagles, whoever is that five seed, I think you'd much rather see New Orleans or Atlanta than Tampa Bay in this spot. Thought about Tampa Bay as a best bet. You actually have this best bet.


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[Assistant] I think it's also possible we see, uh, Mike Evans come out here and just with no Marshawn Latimore, just bananas on the, uh, on the saints defense. Cause Latimore not expected return, uh, for this game. And you look at the injury report, St. George report a lot bigger than the bucks bucks are actually getting healthy. I tell you, they.


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[Assistant] Box, give me under slight underdogs, like three and a half points or something like that in a playoff game at home in January, then wild card weekend. And I'm, I am thrilled to take the buck in years in that spot. We also have one play from Al.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I would agree with that as well, especially you saw it, you know, a lot of a banged up plays on Thursday anyway.


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[Assistant] Has a really nice game, I think 130 receiving yards or something like that. Uhm, and then.


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[Assistant] Now it's 10 days to get healthier. Derek Carr is some time to get healthier. Bucks are a pass funnel as a dog on the road. You expect him to be throwing and a lot of eight certainly gets the lion's share of those targets. So it makes a ton of sense. Steelers at the Seahawks, Seahawks minus three and a half over under 41 and a half. Really tough game. I think to handicap here, RJ Pittsburgh. I mean, we saw him on Saturday. Mason Rudolph looked incredible.


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[Assistant] And think that it's time to take the Steelers who were at eight and seven, you know, salvage the season, have to win one more game to guarantee.


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[Assistant] Uh, Mike Tomlin, a winning season, probably going to come out Baltimore when the Ravens bench everybody in week 18. But nevertheless, you know, this is a winnable game. Even with the last few games of the season on the road, four o'clock.


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[Assistant] Uh, Alex, we did get your Chris Olave bet in on the saints. I think, or RJ and I both agree with it. Low enough number 66 and a half where guys should see a ton of targets with the bucks. Any thoughts on, um, Steelers and Seahawks here?


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[Assistant] Seattle, uh, Harry can add a post factor if he doesn't feel like doing any Photoshop work on the, on the graphic that he already has loaded into, uh, into StreamGuard.


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[Assistant] The bingles at the Chiefs, Chiefs minus seven. That's a, and that's a, that's Harry. Don't worry about it. Uh, she's minus seven over under 44 and a half, uh, props. I was looking right back to you. You like, uh, Travis Kelsey in a bounce back spot here after a sort of struggle, an embarrassing loss on Christmas day and, and really struggling in the second half of the season.


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[Assistant] Chargers at the Broncos, Broncos minus three and a half.


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[Assistant] Uh, and uh, yeah, no, I'm with you. Yeah. Sean Perry, not Sean Perry, who said I'm not chopping in the best gambling in the world, knocked out with the Broncos. So at least that part was a nice little Christmas surprise for everybody. RJ, you've got the chargers plus three and a half here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the dra- the drop-off is pretty significant there and, and so, uh, I...


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[Assistant] Like that as well. Finally, the Green Bay Packers at the Vikings Vikings minus two over under a 46 and a half. This is actually back to Packers minus one and a half on the news that Geron Hall, the rookie is going to start for the Vikings. I guess that was already baked in because the line didn't really move or as it moved elsewhere and just not at.


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[Assistant] Fando, I see it down a little bit elsewhere, but yeah, still one and a half on Fando. I actually put this in, I was putting this in us. Um, yeah, hadn't moved tons.


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[Assistant] Okay, I'm going to take the Packers at plus one and a half. I agree. Uh, I think that the injuries are a problem, but you, you, I would be surprised to ask in plays. We know Hawkinson won't play. Think Green Bay will have enough guys. The Green Bay defense is just pathetic, but if there's, I mean,


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[Assistant] Stop. I mean, that's why I would just play Nick Mullins. He's going to move the ball against Green Bay defense pretty easily, but I think we can see a shootout. I'll take the Packers here. Anything for you, Prof. Sars.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's go to the recap of the week I've got.


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[Assistant] Dallas Cowboys minus four and a half. Buffalo Bills minus 13 and a half. The Rams minus five and a half. Washington plus 12 and a half. Arizona plus 10 and a half and Green Bay plus two or plus one and a half. Quite the eclectic collection of six. That's it for me. Miss Mox is out sick today. RJ, what you on?


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[Assistant] All right. I love it. That'll do it for us for the week 17 NFL pick show. Hard to believe.


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[Assistant] We only got two weeks left of this, but then the playoffs, exciting stuff, very close races on all the, I guess the spread bets for. Cross stars for RJ.


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[Assistant] I'm Brinson, for Producer Harry. I'm Brinson. Thanks for watching, thanks for listening. We will see you guys later.


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[Assistant] We need your sports news anywhere. We've got breaking news to bring you. Then get your sports anytime you want them. Big trade news overnight to discuss. Because we know you need sports all the time. A lot of movement in the rankings this week. A legend adds to their legacy. We're bringing you that breaking news right here on HQ. CBS Sports HQ, anywhere, anytime, all the time.


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[Assistant] What's up? Sunday's 11 games late. 12, we had the three Thanksgiving games. We have the one Black Friday game. That's four. You get 11 on Sunday and one on Monday. So.


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[Assistant] No, I did not put the Cowboys in. I'm, I'm, I was on the Lions minus seven and a half. We'll see if that pushes me up to, uh, to even better number by the time you're listening to this. Cause when Brinson gave my stats, it was prior to the Thursday game. So we'll see if that affects anything.


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[Assistant] Coach like Bill Belichick this, this year and re frankly the last few years. Uhm, and the Giants offense showed life thanks to playing a horrendous defense last week. New England's defense 31st in Sacrate. So it's not like they're another 7th in yards per play. They're actually pretty solid. Uhm, so maybe the Giants don't score a ton of points, but if they're not putting pressure on Devito,


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[Assistant] So I'm at least a little optimistic the Giants can move the ball. I am not optimistic the Patriots are going to go on the road and move the ball with that offense. I don't think you can fix that during the bye. Maybe the healthier offensive line could help. Maybe Bailey Zappi under quarterback would help.


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[Assistant] But, uh, in the unfriendly confines here at MetLife Stadium, I just don't think a two and eight team that's one of the leagues where it should be laying three and a half on the road to anybody, even a Giants team starting Tommy DeVito. So I have the Giants as a best bet at plus three and a half.


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[Assistant] One or pick them, uh, for some of these games in the market and they throw one and a halfs out there, which allows you to bring the teaser into play when you tease this team.


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[Assistant] Up from one and a half to plus seven and a half. It's a great teaser number, especially in a low total game like this one where we don't expect a lot of scoring with the total just 34 and a half. So that's what I'm doing.


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[Assistant] The Bengals are the first half of my teaser at plus seven and a half. I don't want to play them to win here. Their defense looks solid for a stretch, but they even have 400 plus yards in half of their games. They're 31st in yards per play and yards per rush. Uh, Pittsburgh can't pass, but they're 12th in yards per rush. At least Jalen Warren can create some plays, um, that offense did not play well outside of his long run last week.


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[Assistant] So with Browning, I just can't expect them to be effective moving the ball, but we kind of don't know what we're getting with Browning, so maybe they can put together another 13 to 10 type of game like the Steelers had last week in this game.


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[Assistant] Uhm, against this Pittsburgh team that, that the red, the defense is solid in the red zone. Uhm, they've allowed just under 16 points per game in the last six. So if you wanna lay it with the Steelers, I get it.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I think it's the perception of the defense is not being as good, but the Carolina defense actually improving allowed just 4.6 yards for play despite the final score in that Cowboys game, playing pretty well over the last four games since the bye.


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[Assistant] Their offense, of course, you mentioned, horrendous. 30 seconds in yards for play now. Pass offenses, 30 seconds in yards per pass at 4.61 yards per pass play. And that's in a league with the Jets doing whatever the Jets are doing at quarterback, even though you got to 5.


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[Assistant] Yards per pass and Carolina can't get there. So I don't expect any success through the year, even against the Titans defense that struggles against defending the pass. Tennessee's defense, 18 yards per rush. Uhm, so any competent pass offense, you know, they can't generate interceptions would light them up, but this is not a competent pass offense at this point. Tennessee's offense coming off a three game in a row stretch on the road.


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[Assistant] They struggle during that stretch. They're going to come back home. They're not going to put Will Leves in a position where he has to do too much. You're going to feed Derrick Henry and keep, keep this, uh, close low scoring game where, uhm, Leves isn't exposed to this, uh,


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[Assistant] Quietly, pretty solid Carolina defense. So I have under 37 as a best bet. You know, these totals are getting lower and lower because the quarterback play and the injuries are piling up here. Um, and quarterback play has not been great in the league. So you're seeing a lot of totals here under 40, but even at 37, I'm like, I don't see how this game gets over 37. So I'm taking under on 37.


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[Assistant] Play caller offensive outlook there, and I think that's Bobby Slowick here with Houston, considering the work that they've done with CJ Strout. So I would lean to Houston here, but at this number, because we're getting the one and a half, like I mentioned earlier, I think it's actually one and a half in a lot of places.


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[Assistant] Uhm, gotta tease this one up. So this would be, uhm, you know, my teaser with the, the Lions is like my big teaser this week. Uhm, but obviously that was a Thursday and we can't put that here.


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[Assistant] I expect a lot of explosive plays from Houston. You know, they did give up some big plays versus Tennessee. I know that they rolled in that game, but Tennessee got some explosive plays there and I expect Houston to do a lot more of the same. It was really impressive Tuesday's throughout first awful game with turnover still managed to.


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[Assistant] Get 6.3 yards for playing that game and go out with the win and with these young quarterbacks, if they're having that turnover game like he had, wouldn't expect him to win the game, but he was able to do that. So impressed by this Houston team. I think they come out here, have a good chance of winning the game.


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[Assistant] You have it on the site at 46 and a half. I got it in super early because I knew people were just going to bet it up and I wanted to get it in ahead of that key number of 47. So if people are signed up to sports line, have the alerts on and got that pick and ran out and got it at 46 and a half, you know, they're in with a great number because it's not going down from, from where it is right now.


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[Assistant] Uhm, New Orleans defense fourth interception rate, 17 yards for pass, but they lost Lashon, Marshawn Lattimore, uh, likely out with a high ankle sprain. That really matters for this matchup. It's going to be easier for Drake Linden to get what he needs to do there. The Atlanta offense was awful with Taylor Heinecke before the bye.


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[Assistant] Ritter had some solid games when not turning it over, especially at home, so I think he can have some success here. This New Orleans offense, 30th in yards per rush. Atlanta's defense solid across the board, 8th in yards per play.


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[Assistant] Fourth on third down, sixth in the red zone with no Michael Thomas. I think it's going to be tougher in New Orleans to score points here. I would lean to Atlanta because I ranked them, they ranked slightly higher than New Orleans in yards for play on both offense and defense, but in a lot of places this line was


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[Assistant] New Orleans minus one or pick them and it just seems like Atlanta is probably a little bit better team and they have the home field advantage here. So I would go with Atlanta in this spot, but my one and a half isn't a great number in the market as we talk. So if you can go get it like a pick them, you know, I might go with Atlanta at that point.


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[Assistant] Well, I don't think we should do a consensus pick for Katie because we know there's one team she actually likes and that's, uh, Texans plus one and a half close enough to me to throw that as her leg of the parlay. So I would, I would petition to put that in as her leg. Um, and I know you're going to hate that because you're on the Jaguars.


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[Assistant] But uhm, I think that represents her picks well. On my picks, I'm in between a few things. You know, it's a very tough week for money. There's not a lot of easy money line parlays. The funny money line picks to throw in this parlay, the Chiefs have that big spread, but I don't know how much you want to trust them on the road, considering how that offense looks.


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[Assistant] I'm going to bypass them. I'm looking at either the Broncos, which we'll get into. I think that line is way off. I think they're going to beat the Browns at home. So that's a nice leg there, but I'm going to skip them and fade the Chargers once again by taking the Ravens, one of the best teams in the league.


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[Assistant] Uh, so I'm probably stealing a pick there, but at less than minus 200 on, um, on Moneyline Parley, I think that line should be like 6. So I think we're getting good value there for them and the Chargers don't have a good home field advantage. So first leg of the parley is going to be the Ravens at minus 196.


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[Assistant] No, I just don't think there's a ton of value with it, uhm, because I think the line, I would take the Raiders in that game, which we'll talk about, uhm, just, it's tough.


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[Assistant] With the Chiefs, how they're playing and they don't cover these big lines, especially on the road, you know, all that often. So uhm, in terms of the odds that we're getting and adding to it, I would prefer something a little riskier. Uhm, even if it gives us less of a chance to win, it gives us better odds and I think those odds kind of add up, but you know.


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[Assistant] Not my pick, so I didn't, that's why I didn't want to take the number one. I wanted to go with something I really believe in, which is the Ravens, uhm, since I think that line should be two, two and a half points higher.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay pass funnel coming off a brutal game against San Francisco, coming off a game where several guys got hurt.


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[Assistant] And coming off a stretch where they, this is their fourth road game in their last five weeks. It's a very tough stretch for Tampa Bay and Indy coming off there by. So, so complete.


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[Assistant] Rust, Rust disparity here. Uhm, if you just look at matchups, I can make the case for Tampa. They played a tough schedule. They lost to Philly and Detroit at home. They lost at San Francisco and at Buffalo, and they had two close losses to Atlanta and Houston. None of those teams are bad, per se. Uhm, so I think that they might be a little bit underrated by the market in this spot, but I just cannot play them.


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[Assistant] In with this rest disparity here, uhm, so we'll see if Minshew can take advantage.


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[Assistant] Of the injuries that the Buccaneers, uh, defense has, uhm, has had. He's only really had one legit good start, but came against


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[Assistant] Cleveland of all teams, uhm, so this is a much easier matchup than that. I think he can have success here. So at the beginning of the week I was leading Tampa.


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[Assistant] That spot thing after Larry kind of talked me into it, I kind of leaning indie. I think they're a sneaky survivor team and a sneaky money line team as well.


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[Assistant] You also got something Trammell, I think there was some guy named Trammell who was catching passage of them last week, if I remember right. No idea who that was.


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[Assistant] Uhm, but great job by him. Arizona 1-7 including the playoff straight up against the Rams with Calamari at quarterback 1-6-1 against the spread. He has struggled against this team. Game feels winnable for the Rams. They did just have 4.5 yards to play and that cup injury is massive if he's unavailable here.


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[Assistant] I know that they survived without him before, and this is an Arizona team that is pretty beatable in dealing with injuries on the defensive side as well.


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[Assistant] So total dropped in this game. I'm with you. I can't see why you would have Arizona favorite in this matchup. So the value is probably to the Rams, but if it was pick on my probably leaned Arizona. So I don't know. I'm just kind of a stay away here.


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[Assistant] DTR proved anything in that game last week at 3.5 yards for play against a mediocre Pittsburgh defense. I know that we think of the Steelers as a very good defense, but all year they have been mediocre in terms of yards for play. They can get some sacks. Longest play that Cleveland had was 18 yards. I think the Denver defense, which still ranks 32nd.


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[Assistant] Uhm, still not playing well on this season. Has been a lot better since getting embarrassed by the Jets during this win streak here. Uhm, they've actually played pretty solid, so I think they're gonna handle their business here.


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[Assistant] Even this elite Cleveland defense, second in yards per play, they are vulnerable on the ground where the Broncos can have some success at 15.3 yards per rush. Just 24th in red zone rates so Broncos can get some touchdowns if they get into the red zone.


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[Assistant] And we think of this Cleveland defense as kind of unshakeable and super elite. They have a lot about 10 yards per play, 10 points per game at home.


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[Assistant] And about 30 points per game on the road. And that's at Pittsburgh, Indy, Seattle, and Baltimore. So it's not like they're playing this monster run of teams that, you know, some, I came or which team, but they played like Philly, KC, Buffalo on the road. That's not what this is. And, and they're still allowing points, especially when we talk about the Gardner Minshew game earlier. I don't know what happened there.


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[Assistant] Uhm, so I think Denver can have success with this game. Russ had a good game against a good Minnesota defense playing well. Uhm, they just need to get some touchdowns instead of field goals and I don't see Cleveland scoring. So I think this line should not only be on the other side of three, but well on the other side of three. Uhm, so minus one and a half is an easy best bet for me.


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[Assistant] 17 yards for play, they feel untrustworthy in the passing game when, uh, Moam's doing everything he can and they can't move the ball in those late game situations because the receivers are not threatening the defense as they're dropping passes left and right.


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[Assistant] So you have to attack this Chiefs defense on the ground, but Vegas can't really run the ball either. I think it's going to be a struggle for them to score consistently. So I would play this under. I just don't think the Chiefs are going to get out to this massive point total in this game. So I would lean to Vegas and lean to the under here.


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[Assistant] Yeah, Alex, I want to ask you about the Raiders offense, actually. What have you seen from Aidan O'Connell? Has he given you any, any, any, any, uh,


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[Assistant] Has he given you any reason to believe in him that he can support some of these receivers and get them over totals, or have you been looking to play unders in Raiders games at this point?


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[Assistant] Yeaah, and I know the Chiefs defense did a lot of the, the beating themselves, or the Chiefs offense did a lot of beating themselves with the drops there, but I thought the Eagles defense played a lot better in that game.


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[Assistant] They're down to 12,000 yards per rush because they still couldn't stop the run here.


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[Assistant] And maybe when you get the tape there, that might get Buffalo an excuse to run more, which I don't think is good for this Buffalo offense. They're designed to win with the pass. So I could see the new offensive coordinator there, John McDermott getting in his ear, wanting him to run the ball in this matchup.


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[Assistant] Because the Eagles have been struggling against the run a little bit recently, uhm, and I don't think that's great. Buffalo's defense coming off a massive day, uhm, all they needed to get it, it's, it, back on track was getting to play an awful offense at home in, in Orchard Park. And they can do that every week and they'll be great, but neither of those apply this week. They're playing a very good Philly offense.


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[Assistant] And they hit the road to it, to do it. And the Buffalo offense, you know, ton of points, 32 points, had that long Shakir touchdown. You take that away.


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[Assistant] Even though they started two drives inside the Jets 25, uhm, in that, and they could only come away with 16 points total in the first half. They really did not play that well in the first half. And then the Jets kind of, the defense was just done with his team, I think, in the second half.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Philly's offense broke through late in their game. Easier match up here. I have them a tier above Buffalo. I actually have Philly right there with San Fran is the best teams in the league and Buffalo well below it. Uhm, so I would put this line at five right now. I think at a neutral field three makes sense, but I have Philly as a best bet at minus three. Think it's a great number.


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[Assistant] What do you think they do? Is it going to be more looks to Odell Beckham? I know he had a big start there. Uhm, is it going to be Isaiah Lightly? I think he struggled when he's played a little bit this year, even though he had a couple good games last year without Mark Andrews. So kind of curious whether you want to attack the overs on Lightly or if you're looking more to these receivers to step up now.


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[Assistant] Yeah, and I wonder if Keaton Mitchell gets a little more work in the passing game because you know how explosive he can be. So get him in the intermediate 5 to 10 yards away and see if he can take it to the house because he's so talented. That Baltimore offense, I mean, Andrews got hurt right at the beginning of that game. They still had 6.8 yards per play in a huge primetime rivalry game. They're now 15 yards per play on the year, top 4 in yards per pass, yards per rush.


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[Assistant] And the Ravens have an offense that can be explosive and just rack up yards here. So I think they're going to do a lot of scoring in this game. So can the Chargers offense keep up? I mean, they have kept them in a lot of games. Saw that 41-38 game.


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[Assistant] Against Detroit, but Baltimore's defense is first in yards for play and first in yards for pass. They're very tough to have success against. And this Chargers offense doesn't have a ton of receiving threats beyond Keenan Allen.


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[Assistant] He's still been able to do work in the matchups that he's had. I think Baltimore's defense will give him a little more trouble and he has been playing a little bit injured in this game, you know, the last few weeks too. So I think they're going to limit the scoring for the Chargers. They're going to score a ton.


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[Assistant] I have the Giants plus three and a half Carolina and Tennessee to go under 37 points. Denver minus one and a half, Philly minus three, Baltimore minus three and a half. And my teaser is Houston plus seven and a half and since C plus seven and a half.


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[Assistant] And to Pete's point, what if you bring in a new coach and that new coach is like, yes, I'll embrace this RPOs. We will run the RPOs of Bryce Young and Bryce Young still bad. Then the coach is just, uh, left hanging out the drive. He's going to get fired after one year and then you're back in square one.


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[Assistant] You know what's crazy? I was talking to a former Broncos player at, uh, the Super Bowl one year.


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[Assistant] Man, they said it was almost difficult to practice because Tebow was so bad at throwing the football.


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[Assistant] Alright Pete, speaking of quarterbacks who may not have a future, uh, with their current team.


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[Assistant] Let's look at the Chicago Bears. They won last night despite two fumbles from Justin Fields. If you Pete are the general manager of the Chicago Bears, are you keeping Justin Fields? Are you sticking with them for 2024? Uh, or are you hoping that you're gonna use that Panthers number one pick to take quarterback?


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[Assistant] I was just gonna say, I mean, it doesn't help the fact that, uh, Jared Goff has been turning the ball over like crazy. Yeah, what's that? Pete, you are Mr. You just gave your whole rant about how you are what we thought you were and Jared Goff is starting to look like Mr. uh, 2018, 2019. Sean McVeigh doesn't want him anymore, Jared Goff.


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[Assistant] What's wrong with that line? They're not playing that well. Yeah, but if the line's bad, you can't just give up fumbles to the other team. You take the sack, go down, whatever, but you can't be fumbling at the other team, which golf did what multiple times against the Packers.


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[Assistant] All of them, because Prisco pins them in a corner and says you put Tiller in or else. Peter Kane?


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[Assistant] You don't need to put 10 returners in the Hall of Fame, but if you're the best returner, you should be in the Hall of Fame.


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[Assistant] But, Ray Guy totally revamped the position. He modernized the position. So I, I do get why he was the best of his era and that's what we talk about. Like how do you compare eras? How do you compare receivers?


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[Assistant] Just because, uh, I mean, for one, he finished with more career receiving yards and it's like, oh, is that such a big deal?


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[Assistant] It is when you consider that Torrey Holt played in The Greatest Show on Turf. Andre Johnson caught passes from David Carr, Matt Schaub, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Sage Rosenfels, Tony Banks, Dave Ragone, Matt Weiner, TJ Yates, and still managed to be at most TV guards in every guy on that list.


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[Assistant] And let's not forget, while he was at Kent State, when Pete talked him out of basketball, uh, he led the Golden Flashes to the elite eight in 2002. Yeah, that's where I was there.


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[Assistant] I can think for myself, for instance, I don't have to steal Prisco's ballot like you did.


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[Assistant] And the Bengals have the bad luck with quarterbacks. Start with Greg Cook. Then you had Carson Palmer's knee. Now you have Joe Burrow's wrist.


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[Assistant] Uh, alright, next up, Pete, I think you know this one. Uhm, it is San Diego Superchargers! San Diego Superchargers! Five! That's over!


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[Assistant] I always put up 60 points in the craft fight hunger ball at AT&T park in 2012.


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[Assistant] Breach gets a free pass for getting bombed at the game on Monday night.


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[Assistant] So somebody had those free tickets and actually had to sit with the entire Breach family? Sounds like hell on earth, right?


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[Assistant] But everybody in, uh, last night I sent out a couple tweets and Jacksonville got all angry at me. About what?


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[Assistant] Didn't there used to be an X-rated cat way back in the day? There did. Look it up. I think it was Felix the cat.


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[Assistant] There was, there was an x-rated, if I remember correctly, there was an x-rated cartoon with a cat. And, and, and I, it's, it's demented, but I think it's true.


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[Assistant] They were x-rated, x-rated cartoons, somehow, someway, I have no idea.


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[Assistant] Felix the cat had the song, Felix the cat, the wonderful, wonderful cat, whenever he gets into a fixie, Felix the cat. That's, I'm telling you, that's the song I remember from when I was a kid.


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[Assistant] Uh, Hobbs. Hobbs is a good one. Calvin Hobbs. Did you have that? You know, I actually named my cat Montecore.


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[Assistant] When was that? Like in the 70s? It had to be in the 70s. It was probably, uh, it was the 70s.


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[Assistant] Old day at the drive in, you used to try and sneak into the drive in.


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[Assistant] And we snuck, I think we were 12 years old and we snuck in.


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[Assistant] Uh, I don't, that was a great game plan by, other than two plays, the stupid reverses he called, Zach Taylor called a great game.


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[Assistant] He had, Jacksonville's defense is a problem, but he had him off balance the entire game.


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[Assistant] That makes it look good. And so did Chase Brown. He ran the ball well.


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[Assistant] I mean, and it took the pressure off Browning and Browning played well. You have to give it to them. And here they are at six and six. They had the Colts this week, right? They get the Colts this week.


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[Assistant] Yeah, they, they could, but they could, they gotta play that way. I mean, I don't think their defense is very good.


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[Assistant] So it's not a good look for their defense. And now with Trevor Lawrence hurt, I mean, my gosh, CJ Beathard isn't very good.


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[Assistant] But they, they have the tiebreakers over the Colts and the Texans. They don't have a quarterback. No. Here's the other thing about, you know, when Kirk went out, you go back to the play that Trevor Lawrence got injured on.


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[Assistant] Trevor Lawrence, you remember he double clutched the ball because the rookie receiver wasn't looking.


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[Assistant] He didn't get into his route. He was ready to throw there and that's why he double clutched it and then he got, so it's like one thing led to an, it was anything and everything that could possibly go wrong for that team went wrong. They thought they were going to get, leave the night with the number one overall seed control their own destiny. The defense, which had taken the ball away and got a bunch of sacks and looked good.


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[Assistant] Looked awful and then you lose your quarterback and your wide receiver on the very first series. And so here's the other thing. The center can't block. He plays way too high. He's six foot five.


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[Assistant] They need to make a change there and get no push. You saw all those short yardage situations, they got nothing. And ETN's hurt.


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[Assistant] They'd have a chance to still get there with him not playing.


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[Assistant] Look at that schedule. Now they play Cleveland on the road and Baltimore at home.


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[Assistant] And then they get what? Tampa, Carolina, and Tennessee. All winnable. So even without them. So those are the, the schedule doesn't help them any.


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[Assistant] You know, and I wrote about this at the top. When I went there in the summer, you know how I felt about that team. And I wasn't sure about him coming out. But after watching him.


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[Assistant] And talking to him and talking to his teammates about him during that practice, Jordan love turned his back on.


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[Assistant] Play action fake and threw a shot in the middle of the field that he never saw the linebacker just kicked off and Jair Alexander.


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[Assistant] Scream some of the nastiest stuff ever at him.


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[Assistant] I asked Alexander about it afterward and he said, look, we love him. We just got to stay on him because we know how good he can be. Then I asked Christian Watson about him and then I asked Jordan love about himself.


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[Assistant] And I left there thinking, this kid has it. He has it.


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[Assistant] And so when he started slowly, I'm like, well, maybe I was wrong. Maybe he doesn't have it. Maybe I just got caught up in the moment, but you know what?


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[Assistant] What he didn't have early in the season was the whole offensive group together. And he still does it because he doesn't have Aaron Jones, but they had problems on the offensive line.


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[Assistant] They had receivers going in and out. They were all young receivers. You couldn't get any continuity with them. Well now, everybody's growing together.


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[Assistant] Those young guys are all coming around together to understand him and he's playing with so much more confidence now. You can see it. And that team is dangerous and they will be a playoff team by the way. They will be a playoff team.


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[Assistant] I think the combined records is 20 and 40 of the teams they play that's left.


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[Assistant] You're playing, you're playing the Panthers who stank, they're terrible. You're playing a backup quarterback, maybe the third team quarterback with the Vikings.


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[Assistant] True, that's concerning, but they also haven't had the Musgrave, the Titan. The other craft is starting to play well, the other rookie.


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[Assistant] Miami can't score in the road. They can't beat any good teams and then they go explode against commanders who aren't a good team, but.


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[Assistant] You know, Dallas' defense looked like crap against Seattle. The Eagles can't stop anybody all of a sudden. I mean, it just changes, the narrative change. Josh Allen can't play early in the season, remember?


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[Assistant] Now he's an MVP candidate carrying a team and maybe can take him to the playoffs. There's so many things Brock Purdy can't come up in big games. So many narratives get flipped and switched from week to week in the NFL. Just the way it is.


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[Assistant] He's hard on Kenny Pickett because he didn't like him coming out. So you know how Ryan is. If Ryan likes a guy, he's going to find everything to make him look better. And if he doesn't like a guy, he's going to find everything to rip him.


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[Assistant] They didn't play well last week. The whole team. It was a bad team effort. They were flat.


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[Assistant] And then the rain didn't help them, all the lightning and everything, they just, it was not a good situation.


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[Assistant] Uh, you could, Ryan will defend Bryce Young to no end and rip Kenny Pickett now. Come on. Something, something right.


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[Assistant] But yeaah, I don't think it's Kenny Pickett, I just think they didn't play very well. So, so basically he doesn't think there's any difference with Trevisky.


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[Assistant] Yeah, well not only that, Texas was ahead of them too, if you look at it. You know, nobody says anything about that. Texas was ahead of Florida State too.


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[Assistant] Look, it's why the National Football League is king. And it's not close, okay?


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[Assistant] That's what's wrong with I hated it. I think Florida


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[Assistant] Well, and Oklahoma, who stinks, beat, beat, uh, Texas. Didn't South Alabama beat Oklahoma? Am I wrong about that? Right, who beat Alabama? Who did South Alabama beat somebody? Thrash them. South Alabama? Yeah, I think so. I'm not mistaken.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I'm doing team, you know, cause you bring up that fourth and 31. Oh, that team, Auburn lost in New Mexico state at home, by the way. Yeah. Put that one out there.


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[Assistant] And I think the SEC was seven and nine against the power five out of the conference, so.


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[Assistant] The whole argument that the SEC was the power conference didn't really go there this year. You know, people say, oh, Mississippi, Mississippi wasn't any good. And they're like 11th, aren't they?


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[Assistant] Yeah, you would not, I tell you what, Chuck, in the playoffs, a team that nobody wants in the postseason is Buffalo. Yeah, sure. This is a big week for Buffalo, by the way.


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[Assistant] Is five better than, is five better than three? Yes.


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[Assistant] Okay, if you're the three seed, let's see right now how it would be. You'd be the three seed. If you're, you're, uh, right now it would be either Detroit or San Francisco, right?


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[Assistant] Well you're not, you're not automatically on the road because if, let's say five, six, and seven, one, seven would go play one, six would


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[Assistant] Right? Six, how would that work out? That would be. One would play seven and six would play five at five. You could be home. Right? Five, six and seven, all one.


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[Assistant] Playoff scenario, spots in both, all the spots in both leagues, both conferences.


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[Assistant] You think I'm crazy? Their defense can't cover anybody and I know they got their lettered.


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[Assistant] And Slay has not played very well and they miss Avante Maddox in the worst way.


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[Assistant] And getting better by the week. Here's the other thing. The offensive line.


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[Assistant] Lark Jackson's played well at left tackle. You know, the right side's been good, you know, and the center's played well. The line has played well, and that's, I think, one of the surprising parts of it.


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[Assistant] Oh yeaah, so Rams, Seahawks, and Vikings playing for the last spot.


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[Assistant] Right. If they do, and they go four and one, they're in.


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[Assistant] They could be Dallas at home. Yeah. And then, then they have two softies before Miami, right?


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[Assistant] And that's what Curtis used to do too. They were, they're crazy. He's, uh, great.


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[Assistant] We need your sports news anywhere. We've got breaking news to bring you. Then get your sports anytime you want them. Big trade news overnight to discuss. Because we know you need sports all the time.


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[Assistant] Pete, was your nickname ever, uh, Pistol Pete Priscovich? Yes, it was. Really? Really?


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[Assistant] They're ranked 1A, 1B and 1C and they know where they fall. I don't say it. I got one for Pete. I got a brother. What Pete?


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[Assistant] Well I mean that's stupid if you have a brother who is 8 years older, uh, they can, you know, buy you things that you can't buy yourself when you're under the age of 21.


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[Assistant] Give me your headphones. Hassle doesn't, Hassle doesn't do, you don't want to get Hassle on because Hassle doesn't do local media and he doesn't do the Pixar podcast.


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[Assistant] It's crazy though how far he's fallen as far as, uh, I mean.


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[Assistant] So two first round picks, so I'd move back to the Steelers, say 13th spot, and then one first round pick on top of that.


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[Assistant] Pete, I was gonna say that too. I feel, uh, Wilson's over here saying, let's throw the ball more. Let's, let's let Kenny Pickett throw the ball more on the flip side. I would call 50 runs per game and only let Kenny Pickett throw it five times.


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[Assistant] The Bengals can't stop the run. The Steelers should not throw a single pass on Sunday. Run the wing tee. You don't even have to have Kenny Pickett in the game. You just run the ball 47 times and you'll win. Alright, I'm willing to try that.


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[Assistant] You know what? Let's, you know what is complicated? Trying to figure out who's going to be the starting quarterback for the New York Jets. Uh, we saw this week that Zach Wilson finally got benched, demoted all the way down to third string. They're now starting Tim Boyle, who I'm pretty sure is only on the team because he is friends with Aaron Rodgers, uh,


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[Assistant] Did you guys feel like Travis Kelce had kind of like negative body language last- I- I know that is-


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[Assistant] Is it crazy? I came out of that game thinking I didn't think either one of those two teams are going to end up winning the Super Bowl. I'm okay with that.


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[Assistant] Alright, let's start with, you're so mean, the Cincinnati Bengals. We're just going around the horn real quick in like one sentence on whether this team gets in or not.


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[Assistant] The Colts have the third easiest remaining schedule in the AFC. The Bills have the fourth most difficult in the entire NFL. Uh, yep. Well, here I go, Pete. I'll give you this. Who's winning Colts Buccaneers?


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[Assistant] When the Texas could have a playoff spot wrapped up, nothing to play for. Let's put it this way, they better win this week or they're done.


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[Assistant] They still have to play the Browns and Ravens, but they also have the Giants, Cardinals, Commanders.


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[Assistant] First time since 1984. Oh, it happened before? I thought it never happened.


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[Assistant] Okay, I haven't looked at it yet. Uh, Brenton definitely looks, he always looks at the rundown.


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[Assistant] You go first with the, with the stuff. I'll follow you. Uh, you know what? I'm going to throw Brenton off because I think he has looked at the rundown. So I'm going to go completely off the book and we're going to throw out


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[Assistant] Sweet potatoes, that's the first one. Wait a second, let me clarify.


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[Assistant] I will say that Harry took, I added the sweet potatoes on a whim so you wouldn't know. Harry took one thing off the list that Princeton doesn't know what that is. This is gonna throw a wrench and a whole thing. This is great. Go Wilson.


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[Assistant] You're muted. Uh oh, we can't hear you. Wilson, you gotta unmute, buddy.


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[Assistant] Stuffing is pretty divisive, cause I am anti-stuffing. I don't, I don't hate it, it's like a styrofoam to me.


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[Assistant] My goodness. Alright, number. So we got one and two, so there's only three spots left here. Uh, Brinton only has three, four, five. He doesn't know what's coming up next. Number three is. Hold on, hold on.


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[Assistant] So the Brinson family eats stuffing and green bean castle for Thanksgiving. Now I don't want to go over to your house.


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[Assistant] And I don't, I watch football inside. You told us about that like four years ago when Wilson and I almost quit the podcast because you ate oysters and Sean ate Brussels sprouts for Thanksgiving. That's right. And we are ready to just walk off. I don't remember that. I blocked that out. It was so bad. Yeah. I tried to block it out, but I, oh, I thought we


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[Assistant] Welcome back to the Pick Six Podcast and we are looking at week 11 of the NFL season today. Katie Mox and Will Brinson here as always joined by Sportsline's finest


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[Assistant] R.J. White and Alex Silsnack, aka Prop Stars.


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[Assistant] This episode of Pick Six is presented by FanDuel Sportsbook. Make every moment more.


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[Assistant] If you like winning picks, make sure that you sign up at sportsline.com and use the promo code PICK to get your first month for just $1.


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[Assistant] Last episode in the feed, Brinson, Brady and Ligier discussed the Deshawn Watson injury and predicted the division winners. Check it out on our YouTube channel or anywhere that you get your podcasts.


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[Assistant] Alright, so let's start by looking back at last week, uh, in a, in a change of events, fellas. I was the only one with a winning record. It hasn't exactly helped my overall record, K25 and 32, but how about a winning week for Mox? Come on. Thank you.


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[Assistant] I needed it. Any, any key takeaways from last week, RJ?


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[Assistant] That all lines are subject to change and odds as well. This is about Thursday at 2 PM. So even right now, guys, shop around the lines that we're even saying because there is some discrepancies by a hook or so on a lot of different books on here. So we're obviously using all FanDuel odds because this show is sponsored by FanDuel. Make every moment more. Let's start.


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[Assistant] And a half, uh, Brinson, you know, a while ago, you would, you would never not bet on the Packers at home, but that's not this season, huh?


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[Assistant] Alright, taking on the Miami Dolphins. Dolphins length 12 and a half. We talked about this on our Monday early leans, our early odds show.


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[Assistant] I believe this was like nine and a half or ten. We told you to go ahead and lay that then and this line would move. It has Brinson.


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[Assistant] You, I believe, I think it's just at the line that we, well, Brenton, you weren't on Monday, actually. I wasn't on Monday. Here he was, I think.


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[Assistant] Harriet said this, he thought this one would get up to 12 and a half and look where it is, right? Where prediction. Uhm, but you're going to lay these points. I mean, I don't see why you wouldn't.


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[Assistant] We saw it with the Cowboys last week. The Niners have gone up two points too. Like it's, people are just hammering these double digits spreads, which is crazy because the last few weeks there was a lot of really tight spreads, you know, under a field goal. Now we've got all these double digits.


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[Assistant] You should see this spread. I'm sure. Shout out to our friend, uh, Jane Slater, who is the team reporter for the NFL Network for the Cowboys. And every year she posts the Thanksgiving spread that Jerry Jones does for the media. And it is spectacular. So yes.


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[Assistant] Uh, alright, well, uh, one team that was really fun and frisky in the beginning and then kind of dropped off it now is fun and frisky again, Arizona Cardinals.


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[Assistant] At the Houston Texans, Texans laying four and a half on FanDuel. You could still grab fives out in the market. So, you know, as always, make sure that you're shopping around for the best lines. This total 48 and a half. Uhm, I'm gonna go ahead and take the points.


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[Assistant] With the Cardinals. This just feels like a classic letdown spot for the Texans coming off two monster wins. The Beat the Bengals is seven point dogs. I know that line closed I think at five and a half, but at one point it was seven and a half.


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[Assistant] And I just keep thinking back to this Kyler Murray two minute drill at the end of the game. It was so impressive with both his legs and his arm. You got James Connor back. Uhm, and it just seems to me that the Texans have been going so strong. I still think they win this game, but I'm going to go ahead and give the points.


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[Assistant] Excuse me, take the points with the Cardinals and then also prop stars. We talked about this on Monday, Trey McBride.


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[Assistant] You reeled in eight of nine targets, 131 yards in that, uhm, 25 to 23 victory over the Falcons. No Irts still. And we know that, uh, Kyler Murray relies on tight end. So I think you said it, Prop Stars, keep hammering this guy as long as, uh, Murray is the quarterback.


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[Assistant] I love it. Alright guys, we're gonna take a quick break here and we come back. More games plus the pick six parlay. We were cheated last week. Find out why when we get back.


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[Assistant] It's time for the Pig Six Parlay, where we each select a game for a four-leg, money-lying parlay, but there are some rules first.


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[Assistant] The person with the best record, Hello Mox this week for the first time ever since we started this game, gets to add the first leg, second place the second, and so on. Ties are broken by season record. Second, by the end we have to have at least one plus money pick in there. That's right, there must be one dog. The big six parlay.


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[Assistant] Segment is brought to you by Fandle Sportsbook. Make every moment more. Last week, without


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[Assistant] We're gonna win one of these and it starts in week 11.


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[Assistant] That's what I decided. I get to pick first, so oh my gosh, shocker, Katie's picking the 49ers, minus 670 here.


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[Assistant] I keep seeing Harry type it into our doc and then erasing it cause you say it out loud.


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[Assistant] I love it. This segment has been brought to you by Fandal Sportsbook. Make every moment more. Week 11, this hits.


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[Assistant] I love that. I'm taking the under. It's at 32 and a half. It's gross. It's so low. But like you said, RJ, who is scoring in this game? The last star that the DTR had, didn't have no


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[Assistant] Passing touchdowns and three interceptions and you got Kenny Pickett who


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[Assistant] Can't seem to run this offense, uh, to say I tried to look to see if I could get both quarterbacks to throw an interception and parlay them, but they weren't available.


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[Assistant] Uhm, quite yeaah. This is gonna be a game of turnovers, a game of defense, uh, defense, low scoring, so I will take that under 32 and a half. Uhm, I think you can still grab 33s out there if you are sick like me and wanna take an under.


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[Assistant] Yeah, I do like that. Vandal, listen up. Uhm, alright, moving on. The Giants. This is one...


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[Assistant] Interesting one that you brought up about the Thanksgiving Day games Giants at the commanders nine and a half This total thirty six and a half. Is that still there? Giants


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[Assistant] Sometimes on books, too, you can bet the over or under on the amount of punts made. This may be one where you take an over on a pun. There's a lot of interesting things you could do with this game besides take a side. Alright, Giants at nine and a half. You could still find it at ten. I like the Giants plus the ten.


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[Assistant] Uh, and look, I fated the Giants last week and actually cached Tommy DeVito.


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[Assistant] Pride of New Jersey hasn't really done much. I don't necessarily think they can keep this close, but of a total of 37 or 36 and a half to have a nine and a half point or 10 point.


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[Assistant] Uhm, favorite, that's just too many points for such a low total. And if you think about Sam Howell, I mean, he gets sacked more than anyone else, and you're up against Wink Martindale, who's just gonna blitz the living daylights out of them, uhm, make it hard for him. So I think this one's gonna be as ugly as you expect.


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[Assistant] Lower scoring, but I can't lay that many points with the commanders with this total so low, so give me the giants.


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[Assistant] I thought you were going with, uh, coach rules when you're like, have you checked out? I'm like, oh, we, uh.


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[Assistant] Tampa Bay Buccaneers at the 49ers. Niners laying 11 and a half. This total 41 and a half. Um, fun fact about this game.


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[Assistant] Do you guys know that after last week, Purdy has now started for a full season of NFL starts. That was his 17th game. And do you remember who his very first start was last year? It was the Tampa Bay Buccaneers when he took on Tom Brady.


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[Assistant] Yeah, so a lot, a lot of little fun facts going on, uh, in this game and y'all know me, I never lay the points with the 49ers. I look at their team total, um, cash in the first five weeks, obviously during that losing streak, uh, they did not score over 17. It was 23 and a half last week. That was something that cash for us this week, 26.


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[Assistant] And a half, and look, the thought behind this is all of Purdy's weapons are healthy, and when that happens, it's just very confusing for defenses. It's very hard to contain them.


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[Assistant] And right, Felisa, it's exactly what I deserve. It is exactly what I deserve. Uhm, but I do think the Niners get over, uh, this team total, but it's very interesting what you brought up about the Thanksgiving game. Obviously, the Seahawks Niners Thanksgiving game is something that means a lot to these teams, uhm, and these, and bases. So the 11 and a half


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[Assistant] Is probably a lot, uhm, but scoring really hasn't been a problem with the 49ers, uh, once they are clicking, which they appear to be clicking again.


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[Assistant] I think it's a positive thing for the team. I don't care about Steve Wilkes. I think it's good for the team.


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[Assistant] I do. Uhm, I just think the bills are in a little bit of disarray right now. Josh Allen kind of going through some stuff like you said, turn the ball over a lot and just seems to be that the Jets.


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[Assistant] Really show up to play the Bills every time that they meet. This defense is going to make it very tough on Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Uhm, and of course we know that, uh, Zach Wilson can't do a lot offensively. So I like this under, uhm, 40. I think it's going to be a lower scoring game.


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[Assistant] That is so toxic. If I were, I'd be like, stay out of it. I wouldn't want my brother doing that.


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[Assistant] Chat keeps asking about the weather and if there will be snow. Uhm, according to like weather.com, high of 44, partly cloudy, so it doesn't appear to have any snow.


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[Assistant] In this game. Alright, moving on. Seahawks at this one. This is a game that I kind of don't want to touch, but y'all have a lot of picks on this one. Seahawks at the Rams. Rams coming off a bye. Seahawks laying one virtual pick on this total 46 and a half. This just feels like it could go either way, but Brinson, you're back in that step.


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[Assistant] Also, I feel like, uhm, Russell Wilson's been using his legs a lot. He was running a lot. Uh, what was it? Monday night was the last game that they played. It was a Monday night.


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[Assistant] Right. August? Monday night? Yes, Monday night. So I would take over on his rushing.


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[Assistant] Prop. Alright, we're getting into Monday Night Football, uh, which we realize that we haven't done on this show before. We almost leave out Monday Night Football every week, but not this week. It is the Super Bowl, uhm,


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[Assistant] Rematch, if you will. The Philadelphia Eagles at the Kansas City Chiefs. Chiefs playing two and a half. This total 45 and a half. Uhm, I checked Taylor Swift is in Rio de Janeiro. She has a concert that night. So no Taylor Swift there, which we know can move the line. I saw the chat chattering about that a little bit. Uhm,


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[Assistant] I think if we learned anything from the Super Bowl, you hammer the Chiefs here minus the two and a half. Uhm, but I'd also be curious if I set the line at how many times the broadcast shows Mama Kelsey at five and a half, would y'all go over or under?


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[Assistant] Way over. You think more than six times? With the Swift parents there?


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[Assistant] Oh, okay. Alright, yes, way over. Also- I didn't know what Taylor Swift's parents looked like. Even more. I didn't- okay, whoa. I didn't realize that. But, Brenton, you also like the Chiefs.


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[Assistant] The Swift parents are traveling. I would make more sense if this was in Philadelphia considering I think they're below, uh, they're from somewhere outside of Philadelphia, but they're going to travel to Kansas City without their daughter.


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[Assistant] They were Eagles fans, but Swift's dad was wearing a Chiefs lanyard. We gotta stop talking about this. People are probably like up in arms listening to us talk about Taylor Swift so much, but uhm, okay, very interesting.


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[Assistant] All right, that is going to do it for our show. We're two and two on Monday football. We'll see.


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[Assistant] Alright, uhm, alright, so let's take a look and recap our best bets. Brynson, I believe you are first.


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[Assistant] Under, that should be under 32 and a half and then the Giants plus the nine and a half San Francisco over their team total of 26 and a half and then, uh, New Jersey and Buffalo.


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[Assistant] Under 40, uhm, and then I also have KC minus two and a half.


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[Assistant] Alright, very spicy. That is our show. Make sure you join on Sunday as the Super Friends.


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[Assistant] Go through and recap week 11 of the NFL. Remember to like, comment, and subscribe on the YouTube page if you're listening to the audio version only. Do the same and we will see you next time. Good luck on your bets.


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[Assistant] What's up everybody? Welcome to the Pixix Podcast. CBS Sports, NFL Podcast. I'm Wilbur, and I'm your host. Joined by the super friends, Ryan Wilson and John Breach. Plus, the purveyor of the power ranks, Pete Briscoe. Pete, what's up buddy? What is up guys? Ryan, John, long time no talk.


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[Assistant] Watch it on YouTube, hit the like button, subscribe while you're at it. If you're listening on the various podcast platforms, make sure you give us a five star review. Lots of stuff in the feed. We'll get to it later. We got a short time with Pete cause some technical difficulties. That's why I'm talking so fast, but we're going to go over Aaron Rodgers injury run through Pete's.


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[Assistant] Host or actually we'll hit his power rankings after Pete goes to do spotlight HQ and we'll talk about possible Aaron Rodgers replacements Pete. Is this the most like.


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[Assistant] Devastating NFL injury, you can recall covering just based on the height, the trade, the expectations, everything involved in Aaron Rodgers and the Jets.


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[Assistant] Fair. Uhm, do you think, I wrote about this last night and I was trying not to be like, haha, I told you so, cause it sucks. This, this injury sucks. Like it's awful for the NFL. It's awful for Jets fans as a long suffering NC State fan. Like I get it. Like I understand the feeling that you're going through with this happening, but it's also like we talked about this a little bit.


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[Assistant] 39 year old quarterback playing behind a bad offensive line and he was pressured on three of it on all three of his drop backs and he's played on this wet field turf that Ryan Wilson likes to complain about. I mean, this is part of the risk by trading for Aaron Rodgers.


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[Assistant] So you're saying all those things are fact. That's what you believe? No, I don't believe it on the internet.


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[Assistant] Well, I mean, what do you think? I mean, what do you, we'll get to the actual replacements in a second, but like, what do you think this does for the Jets chances? I know you're hyping up, you know, Zach Wilson taking second overall. And that's, that's awesome. Like he did, they, you do get a chance. It is a huge redemption chance for Zach Wilson at the same time.


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[Assistant] Where do you fall? So like the sports line model or projection system has them going from 9.6 wins like, and now it's like, I think it's like 6.5 because they won last night. Still like a.


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[Assistant] 10, 20% chance maybe to make the playoffs with the win last night was like 5%. Where do you fall on how the Jets will end up with Zach Wilson this year?


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[Assistant] Would he then be, would you then rank him above Matthew Stafford? I rank him above Matthew Stafford right now. You don't. I do. I know. I love, I love Matt Ryan. I'm a big Matt Ryan fan. Uh, our colleague, Matt Ryan. And he also like when he, when he joined up with CBS, he literally tweeted, this is not a retirement post.


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[Assistant] Right, he wants to play. Do you think he wise to call him? Can he play behind that offensive line?


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[Assistant] But like, I mean, Andrew, Andy Dalton is notoriously stinks behind a bad offensive line. Like the second that, that Whitworth, Andrew Whitworth left for the Rams, he like collapsed and has been a lifetime backup since then.


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[Assistant] Uh, how about, how about a guy who didn't say he wants to play for the jets, but kind of said he wants to play for the jets on get up on a, on Tuesday morning. RG three said, like, did you see that clip?


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[Assistant] The, the, the faces that Foxworth and Graziano made, uh, when he said that were pretty incredible. All right. Pete has to go to CBS Sports HQ Spotlight. Matt Ryan. Matt Ryan is the answer. Clip and save it. Put it on social. Pete, thanks for hanging out. We're going to go to a break and when we come back, we will rip apart in Pete's power rankings. Next!


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[Assistant] All right. Welcome back to the pick six podcast. We'll bring it along with Ryan Wilson and John breach. Pete Prisco had to bounce. We had some technical issues, but man, great job by our excellent production crew in the background. Sam nada.


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[Assistant] New guy, Harry, taking care of business and getting that, getting that, like getting that, and everybody at the studio as well, uh, getting that handled and getting, getting us some Pete action to read. Cause Pete, like Prisco reacting to Aaron Rodgers and then reacting to like a list of names about possible Aaron Rodgers replacements. Just wow.


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[Assistant] Dynamic. So great job everyone on that. Let's get to Pete's power rankings though guys and we'll get to rip him apart without Pete being able to respond, which is kind of fun. I'm a little miffed. I'm a little bummed actually because


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[Assistant] I think this is actually a good week to shred Pete, because he says, and his whole thing is like, don't overreact, don't overreact, don't overreact, and then like...


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[Assistant] He kind of overreacts in a pretty aggressive way to these power rankings. The biggest risers on Pete's list, actually the biggest riser on Pete's list.


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[Assistant] My Los Angeles Rams up 11 spots to number 20. I would actually argue that.


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[Assistant] That's not that huge of an overreaction. 11 spots is a ton. I just think the Rams were too low at 31 before Pete. What were you thinking? The Rams are just better than that. Everybody knows that. Do they know? I do. People who know ball. Do you know ball?


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[Assistant] We'll have to check the tape here. Okay. Uh, I mean, clearly I'm higher on the Rams and then the consensus out there, but, um, do you think the Rams at 20 too high, too low? Uh, was that, and we talked about on Sunday nights recap show. If you haven't watched that mixture and check it out every Sunday night, me, Wilson and breach live.


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[Assistant] After the Sunday football show on YouTube, youtube.com slash pick six or youtube.com slash NFL and CBS, I think.


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[Assistant] Well, you can still type in pixex and it redirects. Uh, you can also, if you go to that channel and subscribe.


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[Assistant] You can watch with the first pick Ryan Wilson, the draft show that Ryan Wilson host with former Vikings GM Rick Spielman. Uh, how would you guys feel? What do you guys think about the Rams at 20? Um,


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[Assistant] To at least some degree. It's just hard. It's hard to be alone because you look at the weapons, Cooper cups on IR. He's going to miss the first four games and you're like, how could this team possibly be good? Aaron Donald may just be that good.


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[Assistant] Like he may just take over every game this season and there's nothing that the offenses can do about it. And he, I mean, he's that good of a defensive player where that could be the case.


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[Assistant] I don't know if you guys have gone back and watched the game, but Matthew Stafford made some pretty insane throws. Where would you have them?


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[Assistant] I mean, I would have them above, I would have them above the Falcon Steelers, Buccaneers, and I would move the command. I think the commanders are 14 or too high, so I would have them right about 15, the Rams at 15. I think they're, I think they look like they've got Sean McVay, they got Matthew Stafford, they got Aaron Donald, man. Like all three guys.


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[Assistant] Yeah, the offensive line like protected a lot better. Seattle was banged up. I'm not saying they're going to roll through the season or anything, but I think San Francisco, Pete's number one team. I mean, clearly the best team in the division, like they're not going to challenge for that. Um, but I think I just think they're a bet. I think.


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[Assistant] I think week one, I feel like my prior was that the Rams will be better than people think. And we sort of got there early on. All right. Pete's two biggest fallers.


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[Assistant] Two teams tied for being down nine spots. The Bills down from...


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[Assistant] You can do math apparently, uh, three to 12 and the bangles down from four to 13 breach.


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[Assistant] The bingles, the 13th best team in the NFL after one piece, like never ever react. Don't ever react. You can't ever react. Whatever you do, you don't ever react. Um, that was a specific.


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[Assistant] Do we think that the, which defense do we, I mean, do you, maybe the Brown's defense is no good. Yeah. Everything's good as the Jets.


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[Assistant] So like, if you had to, if you were like, um, like,


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[Assistant] The bill, let me, the bill is awesome. It's really, really bad. Who finishes with a better record? Would that be the bet? Yeah, maybe so. But also like you can, you know, for the, we make the case, it's like,


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[Assistant] The Bengals have started slow the past like three years, basically with Joe burrow for, you know, Joe burrow got hurt and they sort of started slow. The office didn't get rolling.


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[Assistant] And then they started cooking about a quarter of season in, whereas the bills have been really good. And then this year or last year, excuse me, you know, Josh Allen has all these turnovers.


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[Assistant] And everybody's complaining like, I don't know, Josh Allen was dad Prescott. He'd be getting roasted on Fox Sports 1 or whatever. Um, and maybe they're right, but like.


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[Assistant] The turnovers coming back into this season and then week one gets done at Josh Allen's the same bleep, different day. Like that is, that's the big red flag.


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[Assistant] Uhm, two more risers really quickly just to, just to tack them on. The 40, what's, uh, what do you feel more confident about? The 49ers at one or the Cowboys at five?


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[Assistant] And yeah, Drake London, Drake London, Drake Jackson, both USC guys are very reasonable.


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[Assistant] We totally missed that. It's a little aggressive moving the Jags ahead of the Chiefs. Uhm, the week of the Jaguars. Or the week of the Jaguars.


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[Assistant] I mean, I'm not disagreeing, I'm just saying, it's like, it's, I mean, I'm, I'm, I'm agreeing with the, I'm not disagreeing. I said that happened at five. I think Pete at three is a little high and it is, um, it is certainly a talking point that will probably generate some buzz. I would imagine.


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[Assistant] I would move the Cowboys, I would move the Chiefs up to three and like, I'm not writing off the Chiefs already. That's the overreaction is like, you're like, oh, well, the Chiefs are worse than the Jaguars.


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[Assistant] I would move the Chiefs and Cowboys above the Jaguars and have the Jaguars at five. I would probably slide the Dolphins up to six. Brown's still at seven.


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[Assistant] Actually, maybe I'm with the Lions to seven, Browns eight, uh, Ravens nine, Packers 10, I think is what I would do. Yeah, that's, that's pretty rich. That's a good catch. Yeah, that's a good call.


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[Assistant] Uhm, okay. What about the ranking? Actually, you know what? Since we just, since...


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[Assistant] Since somebody who's not hosting the show went rogue and brought up the top 10 and we broke that down in a separate part of the rundown. We will now take another break. And when we come back, we will talk about which ranking of Pete's is most likely to look stupid in two weeks. Next.


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[Assistant] Alright, welcome back to the Pixix Podcast Show here on, how was it, CBS Sports HQ. I don't know why I would do that. We're not. We have been.


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[Assistant] Yeah, it's just a force of habit. Wilbur is joined by Ryan Wilson and John Breach. This is The Power Ranking Show. Ordinarily, Pete Prisco will be with us for this entire show. Uh, we had some technical difficulties and as such, Pete is doing CBS Sports HQ Spotlight. Highly recommend you check it out on CBS Sports Network. Uhm, I got my face kicked in.


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[Assistant] By, uh, one and four on my first week of the picks against the coach. They did some fancy graphics and I've since seen the graphics where they update them with the record and that's an unfortunate situation for me. So I got to tighten that up a little bit every Thursday at.


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[Assistant] Podcast platforms. Leave us a five star review. If you're watching on YouTube has smashed that like button and hit subscribe. Get notified when we go live as we do on Sunday nights after Sunday night football. All right. Which ranking of Pete's Wilson?


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[Assistant] Actually, you took my favorite choice for this. Which ranking of Pete's is most likely out of all his 32 rankings, most likely look stupid two weeks from now.


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[Assistant] So it's like, it's, it's Dolphins and then that Cowboys. So Dolphins and that Jets. I mean, that's, I mean, look, I, I agree with you. Like the Dolphins is obviously problematic, but if that defense is as good as it looked against Philadelphia, and I think it looked a lot better, like the Eagles really should have scored, um, doing the quick math, like what, 11 points? I mean, they were gifted two


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[Assistant] Yeah, they were basically gifted two touchdowns. They had a 21-yard drive because Zeke Elliott fumbled and then they had to pick six. And like, obviously there's points still count, but it wouldn't have been like that shocking. Like the Patriots defense did a really good job of limiting the Eagles offense.


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[Assistant] If they can do that against the Dolphins, and I think it's a lot, I think it's harder depending on the weather and what the Dolphins bring, you know, it's just, it's just harder in a different way, right? The Eagles are going to run the ball and they do have two vertical wide receivers, but man, you kind of.


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[Assistant] And that, and that jets, by the way, that jets, uh, just Patriots over under is going to be like 28 and Belichick has owned the jets, you know, for, for a large, for a long period of time. So I don't think it's crazy to suggest the Patriots are two in one with two division wins. And that, and.


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[Assistant] Pete does look stupid for having a 27 when they really should be like 15 or 13 or something like that.


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[Assistant] Which, which of these teams right now are you taking over the, stop me when you like, stop me when I find a team you want over the Patriots. Broncos.


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[Assistant] I mean, I've got one, I've got one that sort of correlates to that, by the way. Uh, I think he's a little stupid in two weeks. How about the jets at 11?


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[Assistant] The Jets are really likely to be one and two, even if they bring in our colleague, Matt Ryan. Um, Aaron Rodgers could be healthy and like one and two wouldn't be off the table against the Cowboys. And then even at home against the Patriots. So like, I just don't understand how.


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[Assistant] I'm moving the Zach Wilson led Jets down out of the top 15 very easily. Like congrats on the win, but sorry. I mean, like you lost Aaron Rodgers. Like the Jets would sign in blood. Every single member of the Jets would accept Zach Wilson would sign in blood to lose that game against the Bills if Aaron Rodgers is completely healthy coming out.


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[Assistant] You got one, a ranking that will look dumb in the next two weeks.


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[Assistant] I would say it's like 75% that they go two and one and, and, uh, 25% they go three and a. What do you think? You like those numbers preach?


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[Assistant] Yeah. Yeah. I think they're more like, I mean, I just think it's like, is it the Titans on the road or Titans at home?


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[Assistant] I got two more, two more teams I'm going to float out there and they're actually play each other. So this, this is why I didn't go with either one of them. Um, the Falcons are at, are at 19.


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[Assistant] I watched the whole Falcons game, whole Falcons Carolina game. I think the Falcons defense is a lot better than people think. They get the Packers at home Sunday at one o'clock and green Bay look good. Don't get me wrong, but I think Atlanta can definitely win that game. And then the week after they're at, uh, they're at Detroit. So.


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[Assistant] I like, and Detroit was going to be the other one because they get Seattle and then Atlanta at home back to back games. Like Detroit at 10 could look way too low if they beat the Seahawks and Falcons at home and they'll be favored by three plus points in both of those games. Um, so it really came down to like, who do you think wins Atlanta at Detroit?


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[Assistant] I still think Atlanta at 19 is way too low regardless, but in two weeks I'm not with Packers and Lions on deck. I wasn't entirely confident. Like they could be one and two and it wouldn't be that shocking, but I think there'll be at least two in one. And so 19 will feel too low. I think Detroit at 10.


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[Assistant] Like, I think they'll be top, if they go to, if they're 3-0, they'll obviously be top 5 in two weeks.


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[Assistant] That's what I'm saying. Yeah, I think, I think, yeah, there's just not, with the Falcons, there's a lot of room for like when one of those games, when both of those games and like you go from 19 to 10, like there's just not a ton of room to move up if you're in the top 10.


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[Assistant] Commander commander's offensive line as Pete notes in the power rankings had major issues. Like that's same how I can run around. He's, he's actually like way underrated in terms of his mobility, but I mean, that's, I agree with you. I think commanders at 14 is a bit like, I would trust the Patriots to get to two and one.


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[Assistant] Like I would, I would, I would prefer the Patriots and Falcons to the commanders for sure. Right now.


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[Assistant] Uhm, Steelers too high or too low at 18. The fact that they made the rankings is a moral victory.


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[Assistant] 30. They're way too high. Way too high. Should be behind the Texans. Cardinals.


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[Assistant] I mean, you can make the case the Bears are 32nd right now and they can give throw the Cardinals a bone and move them up one. The Cardinals played better than the Bears there.


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[Assistant] I think the Panthers could be a little low at 28. Yeah. I mean, why we're nitpicking here, I guess. Okay. We got close enough to the appropriate time for covering the show. Great job, everybody today. Unusual conditions.


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[Assistant] And yet we weathered the storm of Pete, Pete Prisco and his power ranks.


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[Assistant] That'll do it for us. If you're watching on YouTube again, hit the subscribe button, press the like button, leave a comment. Tell us which team you think is ranked too high, too low or just right. However you want to do it. If you're listening on the audio version, however you get your podcast, give us a five star review. For Wilson, for Breach, I'm Brenton. Thanks for watching. Thanks for listening. We'll be back tomorrow.


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[Assistant] Yeah. Well, it was a, it was a, it was a tough week. Uh, Anders, what tenants are like Anders hit like crazy.


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[Assistant] Uh, I feel like dogs were, had a really good week in general, or maybe, maybe it's kind of even, but like, you know, the, the, like the dominant performances we thought we'd get from San Francisco and Philadelphia obviously didn't show up. They both all was outright. Um, and, uh, I think too, like,


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[Assistant] We were going into that week, Katie, sort of like be like, well, we can't stay hot forever. It's like, like, I mean, I'm like, I'm.


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[Assistant] RJ's, RJ's so much more technically sound as a, as a gambler than I am that like, I'm like, when I'm like hot, it's like, I'll, I'll know that I'm hot and like, or like warm. And I'm like, it's my undoing and like my unnerving. Whereas RJ's like, ah, my formula is locked in and now you're all screwed. Right, RJ?


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[Assistant] This is a tough, I think this is a really hard week to pick games against the spread. A lot of quarterback injuries, a lot of just like, you know, like


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[Assistant] Lions, like, I don't know, look at the gays, there's just like a lot of like...


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[Assistant] Like big numbers in weird spots. The totals are all really low, so you kind of want to take the dog. But then you start to look at, you know, like, what's the total in New England? You're like, well, I should take the Patriots, but I've taken them six straight weeks. One five is just bad. I just can't take it anymore. I mean, sort of stuff like that.


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[Assistant] Can I ask, can I ask, can I ask a selfish fantasy question of what, what do you guys, the three of y'all think before, um, before we move on, just because it's for Thursday Night Football, so I'll make it quick. I have Matthew Stafford in my starting lineup.


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[Assistant] Right now, uh, Dak Prescott on by quarterback Anthony Richardson hurt to quarterback situation in flux.


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[Assistant] Derrick Carr is out there and I do have our main man Chris Olave on the team. So I was contemplating and I'm up against like Tyree Hill and Raheem Mostert and Lamar Jackson.


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[Assistant] So I was kind of contemplating like a Derek Carr, a Lave stack or a Baker Mayfield Mike Evans stack just to try and like, it's against the best team in the league and like one of my good friends who I would really like beating. Uh, any thoughts on dropping, uh, Stafford for Carr or Mayfield?


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[Assistant] And uh, yeah, Ram's like fifth in DBA. Okay, alright, done. Moving along.


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[Assistant] Yeah, uhm, yeah, I would think the quarterback situation is definitely concerning. I mean, look, Cleveland has.


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[Assistant] Cleveland is, was, um, up there in terms of all time DVO a through five weeks. Now the 15th best team in terms of defensive DVO a through six games in like the history of the stats. I mean, this is like a very, very, very good, uh, Brown's defense.


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[Assistant] It does feel like the, the way that the cults can work though, with sort of a, like,


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[Assistant] They've been aggressively like ground to poundy and like run some faster stuff that I would probably lean towards where RJ's going, where it's like, if it's PJ Walker, like, like catch it, like lay three on the road. I mean, that's.


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[Assistant] Like, uh, the one thing, um, R.J., the, uh, Colts lost, um, I'm drawing a complete blank on who, uh, they lost their best run stuffer, or maybe second best run stuffer to suspension, um, this week. Any concern there with how the Browns might run the football?


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[Assistant] You started to go through these things. You're like, man, these games like this, if, if you were hoping for a magical, like rebirth of scoring around the NFL, uh, this is not the week for you. If you are,


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[Assistant] Yeah, very tight lines. But I mean, just like the over-unders here are insane. I mean, the commander's three point road favorites against the New York football giants.


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[Assistant] A total of, I mean, it's, I mean, pretty much it's like an identical, uglier version of the game we just talked about where the commander says, uh, you know, three, three point road favorite, and then a really low total 37 and a half. I think they're talking about the weather in, um, in DC is going to be.