Furthermore , the strongest univariate predictors of diabetes progression for the intensive treatment group ( measured as time to first insulin ) were younger age ( HR [ 95 % C.I. ] = 0.96 [ 0.93-0 .99 ] ) , increased BMI ( 1.05 [ 1.01-1 .09 ] ) , increased HbA1c ( 1.50 [ 1.36 -.66 ] ) , increased TG ( 1.24 [ 1.11-1 .39 ] ) and reduced fasting serum HDL ( 0.37 [ 0.17-0 .80 ] ) at baseline .