According to this view, the first oracle was about an event not related to the succession to the Imperial Throne (perhaps it was related to the capital relocation to Yugenomiya Detached Palace [Yuge, in Kawachi Province, hometown of Dokyo] done in the same year), and WAKE no Kiyomaro was exiled because the plan by the Fujiwara clan (probably FUJIWARA no Nagate and his younger brother FUJIWARA no Kaedemaro) to make up an oracle using Kiyomaro was uncovered; according to this plan, the oracle says Prince Shirakabe or his son Imperial Prince Osabe should become Crown Prince (among the grandchildren of Emperor Shomu, Emperor Shotoku's father, born to his daughters married into another family, Imperial Prince Osabe was the only grandchild who had the right to ascend the Imperial Throne).
その説によれば、最初の神託は皇位継承以外の出来事に纏わる（恐らくはこの年に行われた由義宮（道鏡の故郷である河内国弓削）遷都に関する）ものであって、これに乗じた藤原氏（恐らくは藤原永手とその弟の藤原楓麻呂か）が和気清麻呂を利用して白壁王あるいはその子である他戸親王（称徳天皇の父・聖武天皇の外孫の中で唯一皇位継承権を持つ）の立太子するようにという神託を仕立て上げようとしたことが発覚したために清麻呂が流刑にされたとする可能性も指摘されている。