One opinion on this theory is that such a masterful intellect as Mitsuhide would not think that he could come into power through such a rebellion, and that it was the best chance for Mitsuhide to kill Nobunaga quickly because Mitsuhide had more than 100 times as many soldiers as Nobunaga did.
この説に対しては「知将とされる光秀が、このような謀反で天下を取れると思うはずがない」という意見や、「相手の100倍以上の兵で奇襲できることは、信長を殺すのにこれ以上ないと言える程の機会だった」という意見がある。