Harris vs. Trump: New presidential swing state poll has Harris up 8% - masslive.comSkip to ArticleAll Access + The Republican online newspaper  – Start today for $1PoliticsHarris vs. Trump: New presidential swing state poll has Harris up 8%Updated: Oct. 20, 2024, 8:49 a.m.|Published: Oct. 19, 2024, 9:50 a.m.FILE - This combination of photos shows Republican presidential nominee former President Donald Trump, left, and Democratic presidential nominee Vice President Kamala Harris during an ABC News presidential debate at the National Constitution Center, Tuesday, Sept. 10, 2024, in Philadelphia. (AP Photo/Alex Brandon, File)AP374 sharesBy Dave Eisenstadter | deisen@masslive.comAmid a tightening race for president, Vice President Kamala Harris has opened up a significant lead over former President Donald Trump in a key swing state.In a poll released Friday, Bullfinch Group revealed data from a poll of 600 voters each in Michigan, Wisconsin and Pennsylvania.Overall, the data showed a close race, but voters in Michigan revealed a clear preference for Harris by a margin of 53% to 45% in a head-to-head matchup between Harris and Trump, and a margin of 51% to 43% when third party candidates are included.In both cases, Harris held an 8% lead.The poll, which was taken over the course of Oct. 11-18, had a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4%.The race is much closer in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, the poll revealed.In Wisconsin, voters preferred Harris by 3% (50%-47%) in a head-to-head matchup, and chose Harris by 2% (48%-46%) when third party candidates were included.Pennsylvania marked the closest state in the survey. Voters there were tied at 49% apiece in a head-to-head matching, and gave Harris a slight 49%-48% edge when third party candidates were included.The poll also surveyed respondents on how they would vote in their states' respective U.S. Senate races. In all cases, the Democrat was ahead by a wider margin than in the presidential race.In Michigan, Democrat Elissa Slotkin was ahead of Republican Mike Rogers by 9%, a margin of 51% to 42%. In Pennsylvania, incumbent Democrat Bob Casey Jr. was ahead of Republican challenger Dave McCormick by a 7% margin of 50% to 43%.Wisconsin was the closest Senate race polled. Democratic incumbent Tammy Baldwin was ahead of Republican challenger Eric Hovde by a margin of 49% to 45%, or 4% total.Full data from the survey is available here.More on PoliticsWest Boylston board to meet with town leader Friday about Trump flag dispute Worcester city councilor won’t return to council but is not resigningMassLive wants your nominations for 2025 rising political stars in Mass. ‘It scares the heck out of me’: Advocates mull local impact of GOP budget plan| John L. Micek Could banning some rat poisons lead to better pest control in Mass.?If you purchase a product or register for an account through a link on our site, we may receive compensation. By using this site, you consent to our User Agreement and agree that your clicks, interactions, and personal information may be collected, recorded, and/or stored by us and social media and other third-party partners in accordance with our Privacy Policy.Footer NavigationContact UsContact MassLiveContact The RepublicanSubscriptionsMassLive.comNewslettersBreaking news push alertsThe RepublicanE-edition LoginSubscriptions and CirculationMassLive MediaAbout MassLive MediaAdvertise with usSponsor ContentAccessibility StatementFollow UsFacebookWorcester FacebookRed Sox FacebookPatriots FacebookBruins FacebookTwitterYouTubeHS Sports TwitterSports TwitterInstagramHS Sports InstagramRSSMassLive.com SectionsNewsSportsEntertainmentPoliticsOpinionHigh School SportsBettingLivingReal EstateObituariesClassifiedsAutosJobsMore on MassLive.comCareers at MassLiveArchivesCommunity rulesThe Republican ArchivesThe Republican Special SectionsPlace an adYour Privacy RightsYour Privacy ChoicesPrivacy Policy|User Agreement|Ad ChoicesDisclaimerUse of and/or registration on any portion of this site constitutes acceptance of our User Agreement, (updated 8/1/2024) and acknowledgement of our Privacy Policy,  and Your Privacy Choices and Rights  (updated 1/1/2025).© 2025 Advance Local Media LLC. All rights reserved (About Us). The material on this site may not be reproduced, distributed, transmitted, cached or otherwise used, except with the prior written permission of Advance Local.Community Rules apply to all content you upload or otherwise submit to this site.YouTube's privacy policy is available here and YouTube's terms of service is available here.Ad ChoicesXOpt out of the sale or sharing of personal informationIf you opt out, we won’t sell or share your personal information to inform the ads you see. You may still see interest-based ads if your information is sold or shared by other companies or was sold or shared previously.DismissOpt out
The interesting thing about this poll is they didn’t use the past vote weights that most polls are using this election.  The results are still weird with Michigan being such a huge outlier.