/r/Politics' 2024 US Elections Live Threadjump to contentmy subredditsedit subscriptionspopular-all-users | AskReddit-pics-funny-movies-gaming-worldnews-news-todayilearned-nottheonion-explainlikeimfive-mildlyinteresting-DIY-videos-OldSchoolCool-TwoXChromosomes-tifu-Music-books-LifeProTips-dataisbeautiful-aww-science-space-Showerthoughts-askscience-Jokes-IAmA-Futurology-sports-UpliftingNews-food-nosleep-creepy-history-gifs-InternetIsBeautiful-GetMotivated-gadgets-announcements-WritingPrompts-philosophy-Documentaries-EarthPorn-photoshopbattles-listentothis-blogmore »reddit.com updatesdiscussionsWant to join? Log in or sign up in seconds./r/Politics' 2024 US Elections Live ThreadA live thread to cover major US elections in the 2024 election year with polls, news, and results.

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Current Election Day Discussion Thread


discussions/r/Politics' 2024 US Elections Live Thread, Part 644000 comments/r/politics/r/Politics' 2024 US Elections Live Thread, Part 6336287 comments/r/politics/r/Politics' 2024 US Elections Live Thread, Part 6280370 comments/r/politicsupdated by/u/Agondonter/u/CapitanDirtbag/u/DubTeeDub… and 19 more ⇒06 Nov 11:43https://twitter.com/eorden/status/1854126732955046026

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 11:39https://twitter.com/FoxReports/status/1854126340447911993

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 11:30https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1854119193366450215

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 11:29https://twitter.com/Olivia_Beavers/status/1854119493829566657

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 11:28https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1854123516322361533

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 11:18https://twitter.com/NBCPolitics/status/1854111744278347885

/u/wil_daven_06 Nov 03:35https://twitter.com/Politics_Polls/status/1854002757654528192

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 03:31https://twitter.com/DecisionDeskHQ/status/1854003047556616527

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 03:29NBC: Sen. Ted Cruz wins re-election, overcoming challenge from Democrat Colin Allred

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 03:29NBC: Iowa passes voting amendment

NBC News projects Iowa has passed an amendment that requires citizenship and also lowers the voting age for primaries, allowing 17-year-olds who will be 18 years old by Election Day to participate.


/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 03:14AP Race Call: Kamala Harris wins Colorado

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 03:02AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Missouri
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Montana
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Utah

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:35AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Texas

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:34AP: Florida rejects abortion measure, further limiting access in the South

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:34AP: Republican Mark Robinson loses North Carolina gubernatorial bid after tumultuous campaign

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:12AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Ohio

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:11AP: A Decision Desk update on Texas

As polls close statewide in Texas, the AP is not yet declaring a winner in the race for president. AP’s Decision Team is waiting for election officials to report additional results of votes cast on Election Day, particularly in Democratic-leaning areas of the state.


/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:11The AP reports Donald Trump wins North Dakota, South Dakota, Louisiana, Wyoming, and Ohio

/u/Ganon_Cubana06 Nov 02:11The AP reports Kamala Harris wins New York.

/u/Ganon_Cubana06 Nov 02:11AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins North Dakota
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins the statewide vote in Nebraska and two electoral votes
AP Race Call: Kamala Harris wins New York
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins South Dakota
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Louisiana
AP Race Call: Donald Trump wins Wyoming

/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 02:00‘No credible threat’ in Pennsylvania, says Gov. Shapiro

Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro said there had been multiple bomb threats called into polling locations across the state, but said so far there is “no credible threat” to the public.


/u/SpaceElevatorMusic06 Nov 01:39The AP reports Kamala Harris wins Illinois.

/u/Ganon_Cubana06 Nov 01:35The AP reports Kamala Harris wins Delaware.

/u/Ganon_Cubana06 Nov 01:32The AP reports Kamala Harris wins New Jersey.

/u/Ganon_Cubana06 Nov 01:32The AP reports Donald Trump wins Arkansas.

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Unsurprising but welcome news: [Musk's GOTV PAC is on track to miss its canvassing target](https://www.reuters.com/world/us/pro-trump-group-funded-by-musk-struggles-with-outreach-targets-inflation-2024-10-18/)

Been following the GOP's GOTV operations after reading an [article on in in June calling it bonkers.](https://washingtonmonthly.com/2024/06/20/donald-trumps-get-out-the-vote-plan-is-bonkers/) The article is right. That original plan was bonkers. Charlie Kirk's org had a single state election under their belt and Lake lost in 2022. Ronna was right to turn down their plan, but then Trump took her out and installed his daughter in law before the RNC approved the plan.

After Musk went all in, he started funding his PAC claiming over 400 part time paid canvassers in each swing state. Last month, his PAC [replaced the contractor handling Nevada and Arizona](https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024/sep/17/trump-american-pac-voter-turnout-operation-arizona-nevada) so there were already indications of big issues with the GOTV efforts on the right, but the issues now, just over two weeks before the election are bad, bad news for the republicans.

Dems have traditionally been better at the ground game and with their promotion of early voting, the ground game only gets more targeted. Once people send their ballots in or vote early, they are off the canvassing list (not the donation one!) allowing canvassers to only hit the people who have yet to vote.

The GOP are almost exclusively targeting low propensity voters, too. This comes with an assumption their base will vote no matter what, and we all know the old line about assumptions. The MAGA faithful will come out for Trump, but what about the Haley primary voters? Some who could be convinced might stay home, vote for Harris or write in Reagan as a protest. A robust ground game like the dems play, will target the base and the low propensity voters.

I'm not making predictions based only on ground game problems but when I first looked into it in June, it gave me a little hopium after Biden shit the bed in the debate. Now, as republican polls flooding the average has the race looking razor thin, further ground game issues on the right offer a little lift, but all gas, no brakes til Election Day.