Democrats Upbeat About House Control A Month From Election | HuffPost Latest News




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Log InGo Ad-FreeNEWSPOLITICSENTERTAINMENTLIFEPERSONALVOICESSHOPPINGGAMESU.S. EditionOpen editions submenuPolitics2024 electionsDemocratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeHouse RacesDemocrats Bullish On Chances For House Takeover A Month Out From Election DayA strategy memo from the Democrats’ campaign arm obtained by HuffPost said the average Democratic candidate in competitive races is up by 2 percentage points.By Jonathan NicholsonPolitics Reporter, HuffPostOct 5, 2024, 08:00 AM EDTLEAVE A COMMENTLOADINGERROR LOADINGHouse Democrats, who have provided key votes to keep the government open and on other big issues even as a fractured Republican majority controlled the chamber, are feeling increasingly confident they’ll win back the majority in November.And at 30 days before Election Day, a new Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee strategy memo obtained by HuffPost gives them more reasons to feel that way, including seeing an edge for the average Democratic candidate over their opponent in competitive district races’ polling.Advertisement

“Democrats in Frontline and In Play districts are ahead by two points in the named head-to-head against their Republican opponent,” according to the two-page memo, referring to a group of 67 expected-to-be-close races the DCCC is watching closely.“House Democrats have the candidates, message, money, and mobilization efforts to connect with voters, and the DCCC is confident that we will build on this momentum in the closing weeks to win in November,” the memo said.Though each party likes to tout its chances as the days to Nov. 5 dwindle, the memo added to some other good news for Democrats. The respected Cook Political Report said Friday it was shifting its assessments of five House races — two in Iowa and one each in Indiana, Illinois and Montana — toward Democrats.Advertisement

The current makeup of the House includes 220 Republicans, which would leave the party only a two-vote cushion in a full 435-member chamber. The average swing in House elections is well above three seats, but in which direction it will go in November is unclear. House Republicans have largely pinned their hopes on former President Donald Trump winning the White House again and pulling them over the finish line to keep control of the House.But the DCCC memo found House Republicans on their own have problems. It said polling in those 67 competitive races showed GOP candidates’ favorability ratings on average are underwater by 6 percentage points. And it said Project 2025, a far-right blueprint for a Republican presidency that was compiled by the conservative Heritage Foundation and written by several Trump White House alumni, continued to weigh on GOP candidates, with 62% of independent voters viewing it unfavorably.“We’re going to make sure voters remember how House Republicans wasted their two years with nothing but chaos and dysfunction.”- DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.)Advertisement

The memo also said door-knocking, the meat-and-potatoes of retail campaigning, had risen sharply for House Democrats in a sign of grassroots enthusiasm.“In September, volunteers knocked on 696,634 doors, nearly doubling the number of doors knocked in August,” the memo said. The August number was well above the number of doors volunteers knocked on earlier in the summer before Vice President Kamala Harris was named the White House nominee.The DCCC has also continued to hold a fundraising edge over its counterpart, the Republican National Campaign Committee.Advertisement

With such a thin House majority to start with and a GOP conference often riven by ideological differences between hard-core Trump-supporting Make America Great Again members and more moderate representatives from suburban districts, the Republicans have had a hard time advancing their priorities.But they have stopped Democrats from passing many of their ideas, resulting in a Congress historically short on lawmaking and long on intramural infighting and chaos.Go Ad-Free — And Protect The Free PressThe next four years will change America forever. But HuffPost won't back down when it comes to providing free and impartial journalism.For the first time, we're offering an ad-free experience to qualifying contributors who support our fearless newsroom. We hope you'll join us.You've supported HuffPost before, and we'll be honest — we could use your help again. We won't back down from our mission of providing free, fair news during this critical moment. But we can't do it without you.For the first time,  we're offering an ad-free experience. to qualifying contributors who support our fearless journalism. We hope you'll join us.You've supported HuffPost before, and we'll be honest — we could use your help again. We won't back down from our mission of providing free, fair news during this critical moment. But we can't do it without you.For the first time,  we're offering an ad-free experience. to qualifying contributors who support our fearless journalism. We hope you'll join us.Support HuffPostAlready contributed? Log in to hide these messages.“As more voters tune into the election in the coming weeks, they are going to hear from us about how Republicans, despite holding the majority, have done nothing to deliver for working families. We’re going to make sure voters remember how House Republicans wasted their two years with nothing but chaos and dysfunction,” DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene (D-Wash.) told reporters Friday.Advertisement

Eight-term Rep. Mike Quigley (D-Ill.) told HuffPost on Friday that he thinks Harris will eke out a White House victory and Democrats will take the House.“If I had to do my crystal ball, I do believe we win the House,” he said. Related2024 electionsDemocratic Congressional Campaign CommitteeHouse RacesAmid Lebanon Bloodshed, Key House Democrats Say U.S. Must End Israeli 'Culture Of Impunity'To Keep The Senate, Democrats Need A Surprise Victory In At Least One Of These Three StatesPeople Mock RFK Jr.'s Claim That Democrats Spent Millions To Make Him Look 'Crazy' Go to HomepageLEAVE A COMMENTSuggest a correction|Submit a tipAdvertisement
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I can’t blame them for feeling hopeful, but we’ll see if that momentum really carries through on Election Day.