As to turnout and percentage of blacks, this election they favored Trump considerably more than they did for Romney or McCain. That, combined with the exact same dynamic among Latinos, and the unexpected turnout of rural voters, is going to be the fly in your ointment for 4/8 years. This was not Trump's election to win; this was Hillary's election to lose. All she had to do was spend just a tad bit more time among the people she deplores, and we're not having this conversation.