{"action":"created","comment":{"url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/comments/93883216","pull_request_review_id":14415803,"id":93883216,"diff_hunk":"@@ -293,7 +292,7 @@ function celeste_to_df(results::Vector{OptimizedSource})\n \n         function get_median_fluxes(i::Int)\n             ret = Array(Float64, 5)\n-            ret[3] = exp(vs[ids.r1[i]] + 0.5 * vs[ids.r2[i]])\n+            ret[3] = exp(vs[ids.r1[i]])","path":"src/Stripe82Score.jl","position":13,"original_position":13,"commit_id":"4322807e287727fd65d080241cfa1045dca1430e","original_commit_id":"4322807e287727fd65d080241cfa1045dca1430e","user":{"login":"jeff-regier","id":8953355,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/8953355?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier","html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"body":"I don't think this changes the scores substantively. It's just that I had changed the name of the function to indicate median but left the formula for the mean.","created_at":"2016-12-26T20:10:10Z","updated_at":"2016-12-26T20:10:10Z","html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pull/497#discussion_r93883216","pull_request_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/497","_links":{"self":{"href":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/comments/93883216"},"html":{"href":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pull/497#discussion_r93883216"},"pull_request":{"href":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/497"}}},"pull_request":{"url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/497","id":99388168,"html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pull/497","diff_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pull/497.diff","patch_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pull/497.patch","issue_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/issues/497","number":497,"state":"open","locked":false,"title":"Improve scores on stripe 82","user":{"login":"jeff-regier","id":8953355,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/8953355?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier","html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"body":"This PR makes 4 changes to improve our scores on stripe 82, to close #390 and #458. Before any changes, our scores were\r\n```\r\n│ Row │ field        │ primary   │ celeste   │ diff       │ diff_sd   │ N   │\r\n├─────┼──────────────┼───────────┼───────────┼────────────┼───────────┼─────┤\r\n│ 1   │ position     │ 0.243422  │ 0.28916   │ -0.0457376 │ 0.0389249 │ 423 │\r\n│ 2   │ missed_stars │ 0.0260047 │ 0.0874704 │ -0.0614657 │ 0.0124957 │ 423 │\r\n│ 3   │ missed_gals  │ 0.0543735 │ 0.0189125 │ 0.035461   │ 0.0105737 │ 423 │\r\n│ 4   │ mag_r        │ 0.202179  │ 0.370661  │ -0.168481  │ 0.0214247 │ 422 │\r\n│ 5   │ color_ug     │ 1.26769   │ 0.705708  │ 0.561985   │ 0.0569545 │ 376 │\r\n│ 6   │ color_gr     │ 0.327099  │ 0.216384  │ 0.110714   │ 0.016137  │ 419 │\r\n│ 7   │ color_ri     │ 0.203595  │ 0.168319  │ 0.0352759  │ 0.0156782 │ 422 │\r\n│ 8   │ color_iz     │ 0.291645  │ 0.139645  │ 0.152      │ 0.020086  │ 423 │\r\n│ 9   │ gal_fracdev  │ 0.272315  │ 0.316787  │ -0.0444725 │ 0.0236397 │ 177 │\r\n│ 10  │ gal_ab       │ 0.190473  │ 0.125808  │ 0.064664   │ 0.0101485 │ 177 │\r\n│ 11  │ gal_scale    │ 1.9531    │ 2.12071   │ -0.167615  │ 0.612314  │ 177 │\r\n│ 12  │ gal_angle    │ 18.182    │ 12.9137   │ 5.26832    │ 1.75487   │ 82  │\r\n```\r\n\r\n### Commit 1\r\nExclude over-saturated light sources and galaxies over 20 pixels in radius. There's no hope of getting over-saturated light sources' brightnesses correct, because `coadd` is wrong for them, and `primary` agrees with `coadd` since they're results from the same program. Over-saturated sources aren't properly flagged in `coadd` or else these would already have been excluded. To remove them, I excluded all 4 light sources that `primary` (not `coadd`) labels as having a _point source_ magnitude less than 16. (Galaxies can have low magnitudes but still not be that bright if they are large spatially, and these galaxies won't necessarily saturate the detector.)\r\n```\r\n│ Row │ field        │ primary   │ celeste   │ diff       │ diff_sd    │ N   │\r\n├─────┼──────────────┼───────────┼───────────┼────────────┼────────────┼─────┤\r\n│ 1   │ position     │ 0.243098  │ 0.236769  │ 0.00632952 │ 0.00712242 │ 417 │\r\n│ 2   │ missed_stars │ 0.0263789 │ 0.0911271 │ -0.0647482 │ 0.0128615  │ 417 │\r\n│ 3   │ missed_gals  │ 0.0455635 │ 0.0215827 │ 0.0239808  │ 0.00996414 │ 417 │\r\n│ 4   │ mag_r        │ 0.189753  │ 0.346296  │ -0.156543  │ 0.0199377  │ 416 │\r\n│ 5   │ color_ug     │ 1.25994   │ 0.695006  │ 0.564932   │ 0.0576451  │ 370 │\r\n│ 6   │ color_gr     │ 0.30301   │ 0.192473  │ 0.110537   │ 0.0156054  │ 413 │\r\n│ 7   │ color_ri     │ 0.18629   │ 0.151314  │ 0.0349755  │ 0.0150455  │ 416 │\r\n│ 8   │ color_iz     │ 0.285698  │ 0.13451   │ 0.151188   │ 0.0200507  │ 417 │\r\n│ 9   │ gal_fracdev  │ 0.260406  │ 0.30947   │ -0.0490643 │ 0.0244967  │ 173 │\r\n│ 10  │ gal_ab       │ 0.189946  │ 0.123312  │ 0.0666336  │ 0.0105085  │ 173 │\r\n│ 11  │ gal_scale    │ 1.54675   │ 1.76099   │ -0.214242  │ 0.622934   │ 173 │\r\n│ 12  │ gal_angle    │ 17.6112   │ 13.0451   │ 4.56618    │ 1.69223    │ 81  │\r\n```\r\n\r\n### Commit 2\r\nPut a prior on e_scale. I'd tried this long ago, before Steve discovered we were computing `gal_scale` differently that `coadd` for non-circular galaxies. It wasn't apparent whether the improvement was helping then because our scoring was so off. Now it appears to help quite a bit.\r\n```\r\n│ Row │ field        │ primary   │ celeste   │ diff       │ diff_sd    │ N   │\r\n├─────┼──────────────┼───────────┼───────────┼────────────┼────────────┼─────┤\r\n│ 1   │ position     │ 0.243098  │ 0.235384  │ 0.00771473 │ 0.00718145 │ 417 │\r\n│ 2   │ missed_stars │ 0.0263789 │ 0.088729  │ -0.0623501 │ 0.0126687  │ 417 │\r\n│ 3   │ missed_gals  │ 0.0455635 │ 0.0215827 │ 0.0239808  │ 0.00996414 │ 417 │\r\n│ 4   │ mag_r        │ 0.189753  │ 0.225616  │ -0.0358637 │ 0.0127009  │ 416 │\r\n│ 5   │ color_ug     │ 1.25994   │ 0.692927  │ 0.567011   │ 0.0577282  │ 370 │\r\n│ 6   │ color_gr     │ 0.30301   │ 0.192993  │ 0.110017   │ 0.0154877  │ 413 │\r\n│ 7   │ color_ri     │ 0.18629   │ 0.150301  │ 0.0359885  │ 0.0151188  │ 416 │\r\n│ 8   │ color_iz     │ 0.285698  │ 0.132154  │ 0.153544   │ 0.0201293  │ 417 │\r\n│ 9   │ gal_fracdev  │ 0.260406  │ 0.203116  │ 0.0572894  │ 0.021681   │ 173 │\r\n│ 10  │ gal_ab       │ 0.189946  │ 0.143091  │ 0.0468551  │ 0.0109655  │ 173 │\r\n│ 11  │ gal_scale    │ 1.54675   │ 0.845844  │ 0.700908   │ 0.602327   │ 173 │\r\n│ 12  │ gal_angle    │ 17.6112   │ 12.7193   │ 4.89192    │ 1.76112    │ 81  │\r\n```\r\n### Commit 3\r\nOur former prior's parameters come from a large catalog of stars and galaxies. Reasonable enough, but these light sources have a difference distribution of brightnesses than the light sources in our test sets. Also, I may have filtered out some of the light sources from the large catalog that had high error in the estimates of there brightness. This led to priors that were too bright. The new prior parameters come from fitting a log normal distribution to `primary`'s (not `coadd`'s) output.\r\n```\r\n│ Row │ field        │ primary   │ celeste   │ diff       │ diff_sd    │ N   │\r\n├─────┼──────────────┼───────────┼───────────┼────────────┼────────────┼─────┤\r\n│ 1   │ position     │ 0.243098  │ 0.2354    │ 0.00769844 │ 0.00719023 │ 417 │\r\n│ 2   │ missed_stars │ 0.0263789 │ 0.0839329 │ -0.057554  │ 0.0122707  │ 417 │\r\n│ 3   │ missed_gals  │ 0.0455635 │ 0.0239808 │ 0.0215827  │ 0.00969553 │ 417 │\r\n│ 4   │ mag_r        │ 0.189753  │ 0.216757  │ -0.0270039 │ 0.0125978  │ 416 │\r\n│ 5   │ color_ug     │ 1.25994   │ 0.69483   │ 0.565108   │ 0.0576652  │ 370 │\r\n│ 6   │ color_gr     │ 0.30301   │ 0.193071  │ 0.109939   │ 0.0154853  │ 413 │\r\n│ 7   │ color_ri     │ 0.18629   │ 0.14962   │ 0.0366701  │ 0.0150704  │ 416 │\r\n│ 8   │ color_iz     │ 0.285698  │ 0.131925  │ 0.153773   │ 0.0201273  │ 417 │\r\n│ 9   │ gal_fracdev  │ 0.260406  │ 0.198644  │ 0.0617617  │ 0.0219343  │ 173 │\r\n│ 10  │ gal_ab       │ 0.189946  │ 0.141316  │ 0.0486291  │ 0.0108641  │ 173 │\r\n│ 11  │ gal_scale    │ 1.54675   │ 0.842526  │ 0.704226   │ 0.601285   │ 173 │\r\n│ 12  │ gal_angle    │ 17.6112   │ 12.7251   │ 4.8861     │ 1.76616    │ 81  │\r\n```\r\n\r\n### Commit 4\r\nWe had been initializing all light sources to `primary`'s output, which seems reasonable, but for galaxies that `primary` labels as big, it can cause us to get stuck in bad local optima. In the process of shrinking, the optimizer ends up in a shallow local optima where it's explaining some noise at the edge of the galaxy well so it won't shrink further, even though the elbo is higher if it gets much smaller. Growing seems to be more robust than shrinking to shallow local optima. Note the reduction in `gal_scale` error.\r\n```\r\n│ Row │ field        │ primary   │ celeste   │ diff       │ diff_sd    │ N   │\r\n├─────┼──────────────┼───────────┼───────────┼────────────┼────────────┼─────┤\r\n│ 1   │ position     │ 0.243098  │ 0.23518   │ 0.00791887 │ 0.00716562 │ 417 │\r\n│ 2   │ missed_stars │ 0.0263789 │ 0.0839329 │ -0.057554  │ 0.0122707  │ 417 │\r\n│ 3   │ missed_gals  │ 0.0455635 │ 0.0215827 │ 0.0239808  │ 0.0094178  │ 417 │\r\n│ 4   │ mag_r        │ 0.189753  │ 0.210598  │ -0.0208454 │ 0.0150438  │ 416 │\r\n│ 5   │ color_ug     │ 1.25994   │ 0.694875  │ 0.565062   │ 0.0574756  │ 370 │\r\n│ 6   │ color_gr     │ 0.30301   │ 0.194523  │ 0.108488   │ 0.0156366  │ 413 │\r\n│ 7   │ color_ri     │ 0.18629   │ 0.147998  │ 0.0382921  │ 0.0154828  │ 416 │\r\n│ 8   │ color_iz     │ 0.285698  │ 0.132507  │ 0.153191   │ 0.0203253  │ 417 │\r\n│ 9   │ gal_fracdev  │ 0.260406  │ 0.19759   │ 0.0628155  │ 0.0219391  │ 173 │\r\n│ 10  │ gal_ab       │ 0.189946  │ 0.144088  │ 0.0458578  │ 0.0112346  │ 173 │\r\n│ 11  │ gal_scale    │ 1.54675   │ 0.592342  │ 0.954409   │ 0.850121   │ 173 │\r\n│ 12  │ gal_angle    │ 17.6112   │ 12.8662   │ 4.74503    │ 1.83588    │ 81  │\r\n```\r\n\r\nI've tuned our scores to the current region now so we'll need to rerun on fresh data of course. But these improvements should hold up.","created_at":"2016-12-26T19:50:49Z","updated_at":"2016-12-26T20:10:10Z","closed_at":null,"merged_at":null,"merge_commit_sha":"23f0ac63f45cae08563464d88ad5a80b3c0915e2","assignee":null,"assignees":[],"milestone":null,"commits_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/497/commits","review_comments_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/497/comments","review_comment_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/pulls/comments{/number}","comments_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/issues/497/comments","statuses_url":"https://api.github.com/repos/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl/statuses/4322807e287727fd65d080241cfa1045dca1430e","head":{"label":"jeff-regier:jcr/stripe82","ref":"jcr/stripe82","sha":"4322807e287727fd65d080241cfa1045dca1430e","user":{"login":"jeff-regier","id":8953355,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/8953355?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier","html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"repo":{"id":28730928,"name":"Celeste.jl","full_name":"jeff-regier/Celeste.jl","owner":{"login":"jeff-regier","id":8953355,"avatar_url":"https://avatars.githubusercontent.com/u/8953355?v=3","gravatar_id":"","url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier","html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier","followers_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/followers","following_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/following{/other_user}","gists_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/gists{/gist_id}","starred_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/starred{/owner}{/repo}","subscriptions_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/subscriptions","organizations_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/orgs","repos_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/repos","events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/events{/privacy}","received_events_url":"https://api.github.com/users/jeff-regier/received_events","type":"User","site_admin":false},"private":false,"html_url":"https://github.com/jeff-regier/Celeste.jl","description":"Scalable 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