Q: In this task, you are given a text of many news articles seperated by special token "|||||". Your task is to summarize them.
These forecasts are formulated from an average of recent surveys, with adjustments made to account for a polling firm's accuracy, freshness of a poll and each candidate's momentum. Although this improves accuracy, there is still considerable uncertainty in the forecast as is reflected in the range of possible vote totals for each candidate. Read more about the methodology. ||||| TAMPA, Fla. — After a 10-day, post-South Carolina slog characterized by relentless attacks on Newt Gingrich from Mitt Romney’s forces, Florida on Tuesday will vote in its 2012 Republican presidential primary. 
  
 With Romney and his associated super PAC outspending the Gingrich teams by a nearly 5-to-1 margin and blanketing the state’s airwaves with negative TV ads, Gingrich never found his footing here, careening from one message to another without gaining traction. 
  
 Text Size - 
  
 + 
  
 reset Adam Smith: 5 counties to watch Important issues to Fla. voters 
  
 Here are POLITICO’s five things to watch from Florida as the polls close, at 7 p.m. local time in both the Eastern and Central Time Zones: 
  
 1) Mitt’s margin 
  
 Gingrich needs a close race more than Romney needs a blowout victory. 
  
 For the former House speaker, finishing a respectable second means he can explain away a loss by arguing that he was outspent and out-organized by a superior Romney organization that was already in place and had a 2008 run under its belt. 
  
 If Romney wins by a lot — say, 12 percentage points or more — it’s likely to negate Gingrich’s victory in South Carolina, making that win about as useful a yardstick as Rick Santorum’s Iowa caucuses triumph. And without any more scheduled debates until Feb. 22 in Arizona — an event that Romney has not committed to attending — Gingrich will be more reliant than ever on super PAC money to get him to Super Tuesday. 
  
 All the available polling evidence suggests a comfortable Romney victory, the size of which will have a bearing on perceptions of Gingrich’s durability. 
  
 A Romney campaign adviser said Monday that Romney’s goal in Florida remains a 6-to-8-percentage-point spread — which tracks exactly with the final Public Policy Polling difference in the state — with a double-digit victory being “more than we had ever expected.” 
  
 At his campaign’s final event Monday at The Villages, Romney paid Gingrich the ultimate insult: After a day of wicked Gingrich attacks, Romney ignored him altogether. 
  
 2) Newt and women 
  
 The Romney campaign’s last hope in South Carolina was a big margin over Gingrich among women, but that turned out to be wishful thinking: Gingrich swept to victory across almost all significant demographic categories. 
  
 Gingrich skillfully shut down the issue of his ex-wife Marianne’s grievances during the CNN debate in Charleston, but the story may play differently among a Florida GOP electorate that is larger and more diverse than South Carolina’s. 
  
 The good news for Gingrich is the story of his two divorces and his second wife’s allegations that he demanded an “open marriage” didn’t come up in the Florida debates or campaign. 
  
 But even though the Romney campaign has stayed away from the divorce story, Romney and his campaign haven’t been subtle about highlighting the Romney family. 
  
 Florida Attorney General Pam Bondi, in particular, has been an aggressive surrogate for Romney in pushing his pristine family story — she hasn’t needed to overtly contrast it it with the Gingrich history to make her point. 
  
 Even Romney’s wife, Ann, who typically offers relatively apolitical but loving introductions of her husband, opened his first event in the state in Ormond Beach last weekend with a reminder of their family life. 
  
 “I want to remind you where we know our riches are,” she said. “Our riches are with our families. It is the American way, and I am proud of my husband and I am proud of all the accomplishments he’s made in his life.” ||||| PPP's tracking of the Florida Republican primary wraps up with Mitt Romney at 39%, Newt Gingrich at 31%, Rick Santorum at 15%, and Ron Paul at 11%. Our three days of tracking found very little movement in the race: Romney was at 39-40% every day, Gingrich was at 31-32% every day, Santorum was at 14-15% every day, and Paul was at 9-11% every day. 
  
 The lack of movement in the final 72 hours of the campaign is a far cry from the dramatic shifts Florida Republicans made in their preferences over the last four months. In late September we found Mitt Romney ahead of Newt Gingrich by 20 points in the state. By late November, as he surged nationally, Gingrich had taken a 30 point led over Romney. But then our first poll in early January, after poor performances by Gingrich in Iowa and New Hampshire, found Romney back on top by 15 points. Riding a (short lived) wave of momentum off his South Carolina victory, Gingrich led our Florida poll last week by 5 points. By the end of the week the race had swung back to Romney and over the last three days his lead has been steady in the 7-8 point range. 
  
 One thing Romney did a great job of was getting his voters out early. With the third of the electorate who have already cast their ballots he leads 45-32. That means Gingrich would have to win election day voters by somewhere in the 6-8 point range to pull off the Florida upset, but we find that Romney still has a 36-30 advantage with those are waiting to vote tomorrow. 
  
 Romney will win in Florida tomorrow because he's winning his core groups of support by wide margins, while holding Gingrich to single digit advantages with his key constituencies. Romney is winning moderates by 39 (53-14), seniors by 12 (46-32), and women by 12 (42-30). Meanwhile Gingrich is only up 8 with Tea Partiers (39-31) and 6 with Evangelicals (38-32), groups he won by huge margins in South Carolina. ||||| With Mitt Romney appearing poised to win a commanding victory in Florida’s GOP presidential primary on Tuesday, the candidates repositioned themselves on Monday for a series of unpredictable contests to follow, with no end in sight to the rift within the Republican Party. 
  
 Romney and his chief rival, Newt Gingrich, hurled personal barbs at each other in a final burst of campaigning here, signaling that they will remain at their battle stations as the nomination fight quickly pivots to Nevada, Maine, Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri — and on to delegate-rich states that will hold contests on Super Tuesday, March 6. 
  
 The two other candidates in the race, former senator Rick Santorum (Pa.) and Rep. Ron Paul (Tex.), had already pulled up stakes in the Sunshine State, where new polls showed Romney opening as much as a 20-point lead over Gingrich. 
  
 At the same time, at least 15 percent of Florida’s registered Republican voters had already cast their ballots before primary day. More than 630,000 voted early or returned absentee ballots, according to the secretary of state’s office. A Suffolk University-7News poll found that Romney led Gingrich 55 percent to 24 percent among early voters. 
  
 That shifted some of the focus of the primary campaign toward Nevada, where the four contenders will gather this week. Even as Romney and Gingrich dueled in Florida until the final hours, their advisers described plans for a prolonged contest, with Gingrich promising to take the fight all the way to the Republican National Convention and Romney pledging to wage a strong battle in each state. 
  
 “I don’t think you can ever count on a state being in your corner,” Romney told reporters. “I think people look at what happens in the give-and-take of a campaign, and what the messages are that you’re connecting with, and hopefully that will work in my favor. Time will tell.” 
  
 For Romney, who had once hoped to lock up the nomination with a victory in Florida, the vote now marks a milestone — but not a conclusion. 
  
 Florida is the largest state so far this year to hold a primary, and 50 delegates are at stake in a winner-take-all format. At least 1,114 delegates are needed to secure the nomination at the Republican convention in Tampa in August. 
  
 From Florida, the campaign’s footprint will expand rapidly. Contests in Maine and Nevada on Saturday, and in Colorado, Minnesota and Missouri on Feb. 7 will test the candidates’ organizational muscle and financial fortitude. 
  
 Romney hopes to progress rapidly toward the nomination by powering through each state. His aides have announced plans to fly to Minnesota on Wednesday before arriving in Las Vegas for a rally that night. 
  
 Gingrich said his campaign is only getting started. With an eye toward the next contest, he is scheduled to leave Florida on Tuesday for Nevada, where his strategy is to try to galvanize conservative grass-roots voters — the part of the electorate that nominated tea party favorite Sharron Angle over an establishment front-runner in the 2010 Senate race in Nevada. 
  
 “Newt Gingrich has established himself as the only conservative capable of defeating President Obama in the 2012 general election,” Martin Baker, the Gingrich campaign’s national political director, wrote in a memo to reporters Monday. “All of the money in the world can’t buy excitement or intensity.” 
  
 Paul and Santorum, trailing far behind in the Florida polls, have set their sights on February contests in smaller states, including Maine and Minnesota, where they think they could have stronger showings. 
  
 Romney aides said he will stay on the offensive in the coming weeks — not only with Gingrich, but also with Paul and Santorum. The Romney team considers Paul a particularly strong opponent in Nevada and Santorum in Minnesota, senior adviser Eric Fehrnstrom said. 
  
 “It’s not a two-person contest between Mitt and Newt Gingrich, no matter how much Newt may feel that way,” Fehrnstrom said, adding: “You’re not going to see Mitt Romney go into cruise control after Florida.” 
  
 Romney opened his first of three rallies Monday with an increasingly familiar attack. Just 30 seconds into his remarks at a Jacksonville construction equipment warehouse, he assailed Gingrich over his work with mortgage giant Freddie Mac and tried to link him to Florida’s housing crisis. 
  
 Romney asked a few hundred supporters to raise their hands if they have been affected by the crisis or know someone who has. Scores of hands shot up. “Wow,” he said, “this is what I see all over this state.” 
  
 At that, he talked about Gingrich’s work as a consultant for the federally subsidized company. “The idea that someone running for president was getting paid by Freddie Mac while that was going on — $1.6 million — that just irks people,” Romney said. “I think that’s the real reason why Speaker Gingrich has had such a hard time.” 
  
 One supporter interrupted Romney’s speech to say of Gingrich: “Send him to the moon!” Romney then poked fun at Gingrich’s ambitious space agenda. “The idea of the moon as the 51st state is not on the top of my mind,” he said. 
  
 Gingrich, meanwhile, sought to cast fresh doubt about Romney’s candidacy among Florida’s Jewish voters, accusing him of reducing kosher meals for the poor when he was governor of Massachusetts. 
  
 “For $5 a day, he said, ‘No, you can’t follow your religious beliefs,’ ” Gingrich said at a rally in a Tampa airplane hanger. One supporter replied: “Newt-ron bomb! Newt-ron bomb!” 
  
 ruckerp@washpost.com 
  
 gardnera@washpost.com 
  
 Gardner reported from Tampa. |||||
A:
Voters will be casting ballots in Florida today, and if polls are any indication, they'll be voting for Mitt Romney. But as always, there are other subplots to watch, too. Here's a rundown of what the pundits are saying: Based on dozens of polls, Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight projection system gives Romney a whopping 97% chance of victory, predicting that he'll win around 44% of the vote, to Newt Gingrich's 29.3%. That's close to the final Florida poll from PPP, which has Romney winning 39% to 31%. Indeed, Romney has a sizeable lead already. At least 15% of Florida Republicans voted in advance, the Washington Post reports, and one poll suggests Romney won that round 55% to 24%. Romney's victory would be especially significant because Florida is so diverse, the Wall Street Journal adds; a win would indicate that he is indeed the candidate best poised to beat Obama. Politico will be watching a few key demographics with interest. Will Gingrich's marital shenanigans hurt him with women, as they didn't in South Carolina? And will Romney win over Hispanics, as he didn't in 2008? (Polls indicate that he will.) Gingrich's totals in the Panhandle and northeast will be interesting as well—those are the regions most similar to South Carolina. And then there's Rick Santorum. He devoted no resources to Florida, but if his total is too low, expect calls for him to drop out to intensify. The apparent inevitability of Romney's victory already has some candidates shifting focus to Nevada—which means that whatever happens, this rodeo ain't over.