twoyear treasury notes are on track to trade at the widest closing yield differential above 10year securities in more than four decades a clear indication that fixedincome investors expect a recession during early afternoon trading tuesday the twoyear treasury’s yield was at 5 far above the 396 yield for the 10year treasury that differential or inversion is on pace for its widest closing level since sept 22 1981 when it ended the day at 1214 percentage points according to dow jones market data though it remains some 17 basis points from that level