cc may contain inaccuracies what does it tell you that the data anyway the strength of this recovery yeah i think you know tomorrow we will have the official first quarter gdp figure so based on our forecast i think that first quarter gdp growth will be around 4 percent which will beat that market expectation so from the perspective of gdp breakdown i think consumption will finally becomes a major booster so just like the market expected but especially for the consumer services spending as for the investment side i think the infrastructure investment growth will remain robust just like february and january data but the decline of the property investment growth will continue to narrow i think what i want to mention which is a very unique aspect just like you guys said before as the actual growth i think that in the first quarter is a net dax worth of rolls to will have a positive contribution to the overall gdp growth but given that the march estimate for us was around fourteen point eight percent which is a very strong number so overall speaking i think the first quarters chinas gdp or economic growth transcript will be quite satisfied by the market that was the bonus say because we didnt expect exports to pick up that much do you think that continues this boom in exports what would you think was behind that mixture yeah i think you know especially in the second half i think that the united states will formally enter the recession so i think this will hit the chinas export growth even though asean growth is always very robust but the acid only account for around 14 or 15 percent of chinas overall export about the united states and europe they are coming around 30 or 35 percent in total so this will send a downside pressure off chinas export especially in the second half okay thats got the export side of things here as well but are you seeing any signs of globalization hitting these numbers either in the longer term what do you see yeah i think definitely that the globalization will hit chinas export but the thing is you know we all know that chinas manufacturing has a few departments over the world this is the only country in the world so we believe that chinas manufacturing still have the ability to supply the world but the thing is we propose a lack of supply as it does it also the export disinflation ah yes yes exactly so i think but we propose a lot of you know policies to the us in this country and also russia so this will became the new driver to export growth in the future but for the united states and europe actually im quite active on this given how low inflation is in china is there a risk of deflation in china no i dont think because from the economic fundamental perspective i dont think china is right now call it deflation but the thing i just want to say that chinas inflation hotline for a year has a done risk downside risk but i think in the second half because of the low base i think that inflation how long it will gradually elevated