Chances of a(nother) Black President, 1993 and 2010 % saying the chances are Excellent Good 2010: What do you think are the chances will thata president black other than Barack Obama will be elected
Five years ago today, on November 4, 2008, Barack Obama won the presidency and became our first African American president. The historic moment may not have come as a surprise to many. Twenty years ago, about half of Americans (54%) thought the chances were good that we would have a black president by now, according to a 1993 Gallup/CNN/USA Today survey of U.S. adults, while 45% thought the chances were slim.
In 1993, one-in-ten adults thought that the chances were “excellent” that we would elect a black American as president, 44% thought the chances were “good,” 24% thought they were “not good” and 21% thought they were “poor.”
Chances of a(nother) Black  | President, 1993 and 2010  | % saying the chances are  | Excellent Good  | eNot good  | Poor  | 2010: What do you think are the chances will thata  | president black other than Barack Obama will be elected  | president in the next 20 years?  | 13  | 52  | 21  | 13  | 1993: will What do you think president are the chances thata  | black will be elected president in chances the next 20 years?  | 10  | 44  | 24  | 21  | Note: Don't know) Refused" responses not shown.  | Source: CNN/USA CNN/ORC Today poll, July poll, 16- Aug. 21, 2010 (N=1, 1993 468);  | Source: Gallup/ CNN/USA CNN/ORC Today poll, July poll, 16- Aug. 21, 23-25, 2010 (N=1, 1993 468); (N=1, 065)  | PEW RESEARCH CENTER 