clonal hematopoiesis clonal hematopoiesis clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential, or chip, is a common aging-related phenomenon in which hematopoietic stem cells (hscs) or other early blood cell progenitors contribute to the formation of a genetically distinct subpopulation of blood cells. as the name suggests, this subpopulation in the blood is characterized by a shared unique mutation in the cells' dna; it is thought that this subpopulation is "clonally" derived from a single founding cell and is therefore made of genetic "clones" of the founder. the establishment of a clonal population may occur when a stem or progenitor cell acquires one or more somatic mutations that give it a competitive advantage in hematopoiesis over the stem/progenitor cells without these mutations. alternatively, clonal hematopoiesis may arise without a driving mutation, through mechanisms such as neutral drift in the stem cell population. clonal hematopoiesis may occur in people who are completely healthy but has also been found in people with hematologic diseases. the clonal population may vary in size depending on the person, where it can be less than 2% of the blood or, at the other end, can sometimes grow close to 100%. the incidence of clonal hematopoiesis has been found to rise dramatically with age. recent studies have demonstrated that less than 1% of the population under age 40 but approximately 10-20% of the population over age 70 has observable clonal hematopoiesis. having clonal hematopoiesis has been linked to a more than 10-fold increased risk of developing a blood cancer, though the overall likelihood is still low. clonal hematopoiesis does not typically give rise to noticeable symptoms, but does lead to increased risk of cardiovascular disease. patients with solid tumors or lymphoma and clonal hematopoiesis have been shown to have an inferior outcome. history the first major evidence for the existence of prevalent clonal hematopoiesis in healthy people was put forth in the 1990s. using the humara assay, scientists found that there was nonrandom x-inactivation of the x chromosome in the blood of some healthy women. this means that a greater than expected proportion of the blood had the silencing of one specific x chromosome in the chromosome pair. just as the observation of the same dna mutation in a subset of cells suggests a single founding source, this x-inactivation skew suggests that a greater than expected number of cells are being generated from the same precursor. importantly, these findings described an increase in this nonrandom skewing with increasing age, hinting that unobserved mutations acquired with age could be driving a clonal expansion. in a similar vein, other studies using the humara technology had found that hematologic malignancies are clonal diseases even when there is no apparent chromosomal abnormality, and that there are pre-leukemic clonal populations which precede acute myeloid leukemia (aml). as the humara assay is based on the epigenetic state of cells, the underlying genetic determinants of the clonal expansion remained to be uncovered. this set of evidence led to the suggestion in 2005 that driving mutations in leukemia are acquired in a step-wise manner. this model has received support from studies showing subpopulations of blood cells harboring initiating but not late somatic mutations in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia (cll), hairy cell leukemia (hcl), and aml. the combination of these two ideas, that clonal hematopoiesis might be common in the elderly population and that aml evolves from pre-leukemic populations, led to the hypothesis that malignancy-associated mutations could also contribute to asymptomatic clonal hematopoiesis in healthy individuals. this view gained mechanistic support in 2012 when it was found a number of the women who showed evidence for clonal hematopoiesis through x-inactivation skew also had mutations in the hematologic-malignancy-associated gene tet2. in 2014, several independent studies confirmed the presence of malignancy-associated mutations in the blood of individuals who have no clinical signs of hematologic malignancy. in combination, these studies have demonstrated the widespread incidence of clonal hematopoiesis in the healthy adult population and have stimulated further efforts to broaden our understanding of clonal hematopoiesis in health and disease. the term "clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential" (chip) was proposed later that year to describe persons who do not have a malignancy meeting world health organization diagnostic criteria, yet have somatic mutations in hematopoietic stem and progenitor cells involving genes that have been associated with hematological malignancy, and these mutations are present in blood cells with a variant allele frequency of at least 2%. the 2% threshold was chosen in part because of technical limitations (i.e., analytic sensitivity of clinically available sequencing assays) but also because very small clones are of unclear clinical significance. population genetics the advent of next-generation dna sequencing has allowed for the targeted identification of somatic mutations involved in clonal hematopoiesis at the population level. the studies undertaken as of 2017 are largely consistent in their main findings. one common finding has been that observable clonal hematopoiesis is virtually absent from the under-40 population, with a sharp uptick in frequency past 60 years of age. indeed, the evidence from these studies suggests that between 10% and 20% of the population over age 70 have clonal hematopoiesis. in the u.s. alone, this means that, at the low end, some 2,975,000 seniors over 70 years of age are living with this condition. number of people estimated to be affected by clonal hematopoiesis out of the total u.s. population, by age group. the other main common finding is that there are many different mutations involved in clonal hematopoiesis. many of these fall into the categories of epigenetic regulators (dnmt3a, tet2, and asxl1), signaling proteins (jak2), spliceosome components (sf3b1 and srsf2), or members of the dna damage response (tp53 and ppm1d). many people identified as having clonal hematopoiesis have a mutation in a single gene, though a significant number have mutations in two or more genes. the number and variety of observed mutations suggests that these mutations may contribute to clonal hematopoiesis by several distinct mechanisms, discussed in more detail below. there is also limited evidence suggesting clonal hematopoiesis may be ubiquitous in healthy adults, albeit at extremely low levels (less than 0.1% of peripheral blood cells). a study employing the ultra-sensitive digital droplet pcr method found that 95% of studied individuals (19 out of 20) between the ages of 50 and 70 had at least low-level clonal hematopoiesis. this finding does not necessarily conflict with earlier reports that clonal hematopoiesis is not ubiquitous in this age bracket, as these previous studies' experimental designs compels the use of a higher threshold to identify legitimate clonal hematopoiesis. ongoing studies are examining what genetic and epidemiological factors may influence the acquisition of mutations in clonal hematopoiesis. biology clonal hematopoiesis is thought to originate with the hematopoietic stem cells that make blood. an adult human has approximately 10,000 to 20,000 hscs. the fact that these cells are maintained for life and each hsc may acquire about one mutation in a protein-coding exon each decade means that an elderly individual will have a certain amount of genetic mosaicism, or a variety of cells with different unique mutations, within their hsc population. however, this does not lead to clonal hematopoiesis in all cases. it is only when the genetic mutation confers a selective advantage on its host or there is another favorable stem cell dynamic that there is a clonal expansion. candidate driver mutations there are several general mechanisms by which a mutation could provide such an advantage and it is likely that the mutations found in clonal hematopoiesis act through different pathways. first, a mutation could provide a growth advantage, causing hscs to divide more rapidly and contribute a larger proportion of the mature blood cells. this may be the case for mutations in genes related to signaling, such as that which causes the activating v617f substitution in the jak2 signaling protein. mutations in the dna damage response genes would appear more likely to act via a second mechanism: allowing for hsc survival and proliferation under normally lethal cytotoxic stress. other mechanisms are more likely to be associated with the disruption of epigenetic regulators, which comprises 80% of observed mutations in clonal hematopoiesis. a third potential mechanism of action is that the mutation makes the hsc-derived progenitor cells less able to differentiate into mature blood cells. this would allow these cells to continue to divide even after they would have normally stopped, since progenitor cells may divide whereas normal mature blood cells cannot. a fourth possibility is that the mutation makes the progenitor cells and cells derived from them more like stem cells in their ability to keep dividing. the previous two possibilities are very similar in terms of physiologic outcome and mainly differ on what is happening at the dna level: whether differentiation genes are suppressed or a stem cell program is upregulated. a final possibility is that a gradient of epigenetic states is created in the hsc and progenitor cells and the cells with the most favorable epigenetics are able to grow out faster than unmutated cells. non-candidate-driver mechanisms an expansion of blood cells from a single source does not necessarily require a mutation to act as the driving force. a large proportion of the population who exhibit clonal hematopoiesis have no identifiable mutations in known candidate driver genes. one possible explanation is that among a naturally-occurring spectrum of inheritable epigenetic states, there are those which augment the self-renewal or proliferation of a stem cell and its progeny. another explanation is that a process of neutral drift causes the predominance of a clonal stem cell population over time. in this scenario, all stem cells have an equal proliferative potential but some of them die out in a stochastic manner leading some of the remaining cells to proliferate to replace them. this can be equated to a game of chance where all players start with the same odds of winning. as the game is played, winners and losers will arise despite the equal starting positions. implications for human health clonal hematopoiesis by itself is not considered to be a hematologic cancer; nevertheless, evidence is mounting that this condition may adversely affect human health. it has been proposed to label the group of individuals who have clonal hematopoiesis defined by a mutation in a malignancy-associated gene but without evidence of disease (such as cytopenia, dysplasia or immature "blast" cells in the bone marrow) as having clonal hematopoiesis of indeterminate potential (chip). a clonal involvement (sometimes referred to simply as the size of a "clone") of 2% of the blood has been tentatively proposed as a cutoff, though there is discussion that a lower floor that is more inclusive could also be appropriate. this cutoff may ultimately depend on whether clones must reach a certain size before influencing health. the level at which a clone begins to have a potential clinical impact is an open question, though there is already data to suggest larger clones have a larger effect on health. the presence of clonal hematopoiesis/chip has been shown to increase blood cancer risk and is correlated with an increased risk of mortality overall. this is true both of clonal hematopoiesis with known candidate drivers as well as in cases without such drivers. blood cancer risk one area of health that chip has been definitively shown to influence is the risk of progression to blood cancer. in a given year, a tiny fraction of the general population will develop a hematologic cancer such as myelodysplastic syndrome (mds) or aml; it is estimated that just 3 to 4 people per 100,000 will get mds in a given year, and 4 people per 100,000 will develop aml. with chip, the risk of acquiring a hematologic malignancy like mds or aml is increased more than 10-fold. despite this increased risk, people with chip are still at low overall risk for developing a blood cancer, with only about 0.5-1.0% transformation per year. cardiovascular risk a second area of health that may be affected by chip is the risk for heart attack and stroke. a strong association between chip and heart attack/ischemic stroke has been identified in one human genetic dataset, where chip was a stronger predictor of heart attack/stroke than if a patient 1) was a smoker, 2) had hypertension, 3) had high cholesterol, or 4) was overweight. in this study, which shows correlation but not causation, people with