You're being tricked by stupid stories. 

The 𝗡𝗮𝗿𝗿𝗮𝘁𝗶𝘃𝗲 𝗙𝗮𝗹𝗹𝗮𝗰𝘆 is a cognitive bias that causes us to construct stories or narratives to explain events and patterns. 

Even when the data doesn't support those stories. 

Why it's bad and how to fix it: