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In this high-stakes politics , Syria is not without options . " Imagine Baathist Syria , " suddenly surrounded by established democracies ( Israel and Turkey ) and emerging democracies ( Iraq and Jordan ) . Though it voted in favor of UNSCR 1441 in 2002 , Syria was against coalition military action in Iraq in 2003 . If the UN certifies that the withdrawal is complete , Syria 's Mr Assad will have to weigh up whether he wants to use groups in Lebanon to keep up the pressure on Mr Barak . In the long-run , Syria in combination with Iraq , Egypt , revolutionary Arabia , & Iran might look different but these Tom Clancy type scenarios need to wait for another time when we have the energy to unpack them .