Predictors of mortality
diabetes
REGRESSION, ACUTE CHOLANGITIS, SENSITIVITY, DIABETES
Overall mortality in the whole cohort of patients with IPN was 23.5%. Factors associated with mortality at univariable analysis are reported in Table Regarding comorbidities, a clinical history of diabetes (Concerning vital parameters, mean blood oxygen saturation (Acute cholangitis was more common in non-survivor patients (Details of the final multivariable prediction model for the risk of mortality in IPN patients are shown in Table In the multivariable logistic regression analysis, age (The optimal cut-point was for CRP 125 mg/L (Sensitivity 81.94%, Specificity 38.57%, PPV 80.89%, NPV 40.2%, Accuracy 72.6%), age 76 years (Sensitivity 79.73%, Specificity 39.87%, PPV 82.76%, NPV 30.3%, Accuracy 77.5%), and LDH 510 U/L (Sensitivity 39.21%, Specificity 55.26%, PPV 60.47%, NPV 38.2%, Accuracy 52.3%).ROC curves were plotted to assess the performance of the combination of the parameters mentioned above to predict mortality in this group of patients. The results of the ROC analysis are shown in Fig. Mortality prediction model