Long-term predictions following intensive mass drug administration
infection
INFECTION
To determine the possible long-term effects of human movement, we simulated a hypothetical MDA scenario, using the TUMIKIA baseline, where each pixel receives 8 years of biannual community treatment (16 rounds) with 85% coverage, and measured the prevelance after a further 10 years to assess the likelihood of infection bounce back to pre-intervention levels. In Mean prevalence of no-movement model (top row) and model with movement (bottom row) fitted to baseline data at (