Probability of 5-year incidence of CKD
CKD, diabetes
DIABETES, HYPERURICEMIA, HYPERTENSION, DYSLIPIDEMIA
Probability = 1/ (1 + exp[−{9.4876 + 0.0311 × age + 0.2400 × sex + 0.3470 × hypertension + 0.0893 × dyslipidemia + 0.3444 × diabetes + 0.0832 × hyperuricemia + -0.1980 × eGFR}]).The median probability obtained from the derivation cohort was 0.018 (interquartile range 0.002–0.084), and the AUC value of the ROC curve for the development of CKD after 5 years was 0.88, with a sensitivity of 0.84 and a specificity of 0.78 at a cutoff value of 0.077 calculated from the Youden index (Fig. ROC curves in the derivation and validation cohorts for the risk equation for predicting the 5-year incidence of CKD. Receiver operating characteristic curves of the derivation cohort (Calibration plots for the equation model in derivation and validation cohorts. The visual agreement between the CKD predictions (Predicted probability) and observations (Actual probability) for the equation model in the derivation and validation cohorts. (