a computerized system and method comprises a predictive model for estimating the probability of a patient hospital readmission . the computerized system and method is useful for identifying patients at risk of hospital readmission and further identifying an intervention to mitigate the risk and reduce the likelihood that the patient returns to the hospital . the computerized system method collects and analyzes historical health data from administrative claims data and current health data collected in real - time from medical records at the point of treatment . signals indicating readmission are extracted from the health data that is collected . the signals are evaluated by the model software application to estimate a probability that a patient will be readmitted to the hospital . patients with a high readmissions probability score are selected for clinical programs and interventions that help them manage their health conditions and problems and reduce the likelihood that they return to the hospital .