Julian plays the lottery every day  Julian always manages to buy his daily ticket, but he often struggles to pay his rent  Despite the billion-to-one odds, Julian is always close to hitting the power ball  The Local Lottery Commission' s commercials state that the more lottery tickets an individual purchases, the better his or her chances are at winning
Thus, Julian wisely spends his money and will likely win the lottery in the near future
The argument confuses correlation with causation.