John wants to win the annual Mayfield raffle next year because he needs the Mayfield raffle' s prize  If he enters more than one raffle next year, the likelihood of his winning one of them would be greater than if he entered only a single raffle
Hence, to have this greater likelihood of winning the Mayfield prize, John should enter several other raffles next year
confusing the likelihood that at least one event in a set of events will occur with the likelihood that a designated event in that set will occur