Mining is one of the principal economic activities in Mexico, which in addition to bringing benefits to the population, causes health and environmental problems. This activity produces a lot of wastes, but the main one is tailings. In Mexico, these wastes are disposed of in the open air, and there is no control over them, so the particles of these wastes are dispersed by wind currents to the surrounding population. In this research, tailings were characterized, finding in them particles smaller than 100 microns; in this way, tailings can enter into the respiratory system and hence can cause diseases. Furthermore, it is important to identify the toxic components. The present work does not have previous research in Mexico, and it shows a qualitative characterization of the tailings from an active mine using different analytical techniques. In addition to the data obtained from the characterization of the tailings, as well as the concentration of the toxic elements found, which were Pb and As, a dispersal model was generated and used to estimate the concentration of particles in the wind generated at the studied area. The air quality model used in this research is AERMOD, where it uses emission factors and available databases provided by Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA); Moreover, the model was coupled with meteorological information from the latest generation WRF model. The modeling results estimated that the dispersion of particles from the tailings dam can contribute up to 10.15 µg/m3of PM10to the air quality of the site, which, according to the characterization of the samples obtained, could be dangerous for human health and can be estimated up to a concentration of 0.04 µg/m3of Pb and 10.90 ng/m3of As. It is very important to make this kind of research to know the risk which people around this disposal sites are exposed to.Supplementary InformationThe online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s10661-023-11475-4.