Under this assumption, real GDP would reach ETB 1.13 trillion at the end of the GTP II period and ETB 2.1 trillion by 2025/26. Under a fast-growth scenario, real GDP would approach ETB 2.3 trillion by 2025/26. As a result, the first and third scenarios (low and fast growth) are used in this chapter for the purposes of projecting key variables, including public expenditure, public revenue and social protection expenditure relative to GDP.